29/06/2017 Asia Business Report


29/06/2017

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The BBC understands that the retired Court of Appeal judge -

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Sir Martin Moore-Bick - will be appointed head of the public

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inquiry into the Grenfell Tower fire.

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The plot thickens in the saga over who will buy Toshiba's lucrative

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memory chip business. We look back at what Malaysia did different to

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survive the financial crisis 20 years ago, but was it the right

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move? Good morning, Asia. Hello, world. It is Thursday. I'm Rico

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Hizon. Well, it is going from bad to worse for Toshiba. It is suing its

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US joint-venture partner Western Digital four 8 billion US dollars in

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damages for interfering in the sale of the memory chip division. Toshiba

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will not allow Western Digital employees at its Japanese plant to

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access any information relating to the companies' joint-venture.

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Toshiba faced angry shareholders at the annual meeting on Tuesday. The

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firm hasn't said exactly how much money it lost last fiscal year

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because it's watered at hasn't approved the figures. Let's hear

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what some of the investors had to say. TRANSLATION: I cannot believe

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how many times they postponed the results. It is a serious problem.

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TRANSLATION: I want the company to rebuild even if it downsizes its

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business. Toshiba chose a government led consortium as its preferred

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bidder and it was hoping to conclude before yesterday's meeting. Are they

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running out of time? I asked Leo Lewis from the Financial Times what

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will happen to the government led deal. It is not dead in the water.

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They will push it pretty hard. As you have heard and described, these

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different things going on signal how severe the situation is for Toshiba

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and the worse they get the more they push for a deal of some sort and

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this still looks, this government backed INCJ consortium looks like

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the best option. We mentioned Toshiba says Western Digital is

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interfering and dead set against the sale. Are they still a likely

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suitor? They have come up with another bid. That's right. If you

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look at the interchange, this legal battle, escalating battle between

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Western Digital and Toshiba, you see both sides signalling their

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desperation. A bad deal isn't good for either of them. I think that

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Western Digital are still in there. When they resubmitted the bid

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earlier this week it clearly was the reason that these negotiations were

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delayed and Toshiba was unable to say as it wanted to at the

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shareholders meeting that we have a deal signed and we will be okayed by

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next year. Leo Lewis from the Financial Times in Tokyo.

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Companies around the world are trying to recover from the latest

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cyber attack including and transport networks including

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shipping giant Maersk. The attack is contained party system

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is down and we have to make sure that we can have the software put in

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place to prevent such an attack from occurring again and also that we

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don't want to get the systems backup to see the infection start again.

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Their ships are operational, they are sailing safely. They do not rely

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on the same network as we do. There are a number of processes we cannot

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run today. We cannot take new orders and some terminals are affected in

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their operation. In other news: making headlines, Rupert Murdoch

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will find out later today whether he is closer to securing takeover

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target Sky. Murdoch's 21st Century Fox offered $15 billion to buy the

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rest of the network, reigniting a row over whether the Australian-born

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businessman has too much influence. Turning to aviation and India's

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Cabinet will privatise air India. A committee will be formed to decide

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the details including the size of the government stake to be sold. The

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debtladen carrier has struggled to become profitable due to growing

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competition from low-cost rivals. And as we have been reporting all

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week it has been 20 years since a financial crisis or a three stage.

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While regional currencies were tumbling Malaysia went against

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conventional wisdom, implementing capital controls and sparking an

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outcry from the international financial community. In the short

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term this helped lessen economic damage but what about the long-term?

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Christine Hart made that decision, the former Prime Minister on whether

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he indeed did the right thing. A constant buzz of activity. This

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company makes cranes and lifting equipment for industrial sites

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across Asia. Last year they opened the largest manufacturing facility

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in Southeast Asia. 20 years ago its business ranked almost 70% in a

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matter of months. This man was starting out in the family business

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in Malaysia which included the company. We were seeing first

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customers come back and saying we probably can't take delivery, or we

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will take delivery but we cannot pay the final bill. In that year, '97,

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the damage when we looked at our books, will always be in our

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memories as the worst ever. But things looked very different at

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street level. This man has run the store for 46 years and says he did

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not feel the effects of the Asian financial crisis. TRANSLATION:

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Business today is not as good as it was in 1997. Under Mahathir, things

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were better. Then the Prime Minister, Mahathir Mohamad, refused

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a bailout, and in September 1998 implemented capital controls

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stopping offshore trade and taking it to the dollar. It was a very

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frightening thing, to go against the whole world, all of the great

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opinions of the great economies and all that, it is not something that

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you do everyday. But I found that there is no other way. So it is a

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big risk, I know, but I had to take that risk. As a result of our

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currency control, we recovered very quickly. Now, if you ask around

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here, most people will tell you that they didn't feel the effects of the

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Asian financial crisis that much. At 20 years on there are some who say

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that Malaysia missed a golden opportunity for reform which would

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have put it in a better position today. This is GDP growth. This

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economist tells me capital controls sheltered Malaysia from the worst of

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the IMF's austerity measures. But it let the government continue with an

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economic policy favouring the Indigenous Malaysian population and

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allowed bail outs of ailing state-owned companies and banks. All

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of this hurt Malaysia in the long run. We did have a head start but

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the economy was growing much faster than them, so after what happened to

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Malaysia. It is a question as relevant today as it was two decades

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ago. All of this week we revisit the

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country's hardest hit by the Asian financial crisis and we have heard

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stories of survival. What lessons have learnt from the economic

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meltdown? I put it to an economist at the monetary authority of

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Singapore during the crisis. Since the crisis they have taken a lot of

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measures, very painful measures, to reform the economy, rebuilt

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foundations for growth, and also strengthening fundamentals. The

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fundamentals from then and now are different, with geopolitical issues,

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you have Brexit, potential US protectionism, a slowdown in Chinese

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economic growth, could these be risks for another financial turmoil?

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Certainly, I mean, they are risks and you need to constantly adapt

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your monetary policy framework, your economic fundamentals. That's what

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the countries have been doing. For instance, during the global

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financial crisis they were able to weather the crisis relatively

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unscathed. And that's because longer way they adopted prudential policies

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to deal with all of our capital flows. So, the region has been doing

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a lot of work on the economy to make it more resilient. We are seeing

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signs of a potential crisis brewing? Well, at the moment it has receded

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somewhat, but there is risk of protectionism which would be

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damaging to global trade and there is always the risk of financial

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turbulence and we just saw a cyber attack as a possible risk now, so

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these new risks are merging. The best way is for the region to be

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more resilient, develop buffers, strengthen the fundamentals. We have

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seen the likes of Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines growing

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over the last 20 years. Is that growth secured over the next five to

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ten years? I'm quite comfortable that it will be able to secure and

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grow around 5% over the next five years and they can even do better

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than that. And the main reason I am saying that is because the region

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has become much more self-sufficient. They are less

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dependent on the west and Europe. After the global financial crisis

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they rebalanced to become much more self-sufficient. And don't forget to

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tune into the special programme playing out at the weekend starting

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on Saturday and tomorrow we have the Philippines focusing on the people

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who suffered during the Asian financial crisis. So, watch out for

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that, and a quick look at markets - Asia is off to a positive start this

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Thursday. Tokyo stocks opening higher with banks rallying following

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strong performances from their US peers. Thank you so much for

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investing your

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