30/06/2017 Asia Business Report


30/06/2017

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Now on BBC News all the latest business news live from Singapore.

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20 years since Hong Kong's hand over to China - is its economy better or

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worse off? And it has been two decades since the Asian financial

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crisis - we look at the Philippines and why it did better than its

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regional neighbours in riding out the turmoil.

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Thank you for joining me for this Friday edition of Asia Business

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As we told you on Newsday this weekend marks 20 years since Hong

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Kong saw the end of British colonial will. Chris Patten was the last

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governor of Hong Kong, which is one of the major financial hubs of Asia.

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My colleague asked him if he is concerned about the future of the

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economy under China's growing influence. My biggest worry about

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Hong Kong wasn't that the tanks would roll in from the north but

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that Hong Kong would simply become the richest city in China. I don't

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think that is going to happen so long as Hong Kong can hold onto the

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rule of law, independent judiciary and all of those things. They are

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crucial for business. Even some Chinese businesses feel they have to

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go to Hong Kong to sign contracts with one another because that way

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they can be properly just -- justiciable. It is the rule of all

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which makes Hong Kong special and will mean it has advantages over

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Shanghai or other Chinese cities. Now to India, less than a year after

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the high-value currency notes were removed from circulation, another

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ambitious reform initiative - the goods and services tax, GST. The

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country's 1.5 billion people live in 29 separate states and each of those

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states has its own tax arrangements. As of tomorrow, the GST replaces the

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complex web of taxes. What does this mean for India? Our India business

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team makes it down. -- breaks it down.

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The goods and services tax, the GST, will unify India into a single

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market. Businesses will pay one tax rather than several state and

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federal taxes that they pay at the moment. There are four basic rates,

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five, 12, 18 and 20 8%. Most goods and services were signed a tax rate.

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There are some exceptions like milk and vegetables. -- 28%.

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India's finance minister says GST could lift growth as much as 2% by

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streamlining tax collections, so the government can make more money.

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Businesses are worried that they are not ready for the tax overhaul.

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It has been a good six months for Asian share prices despite concerns

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over rising interest rates in the US. Stock markets across the region

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have rallied. Looking at the Regent's biggest markets - Hong Kong

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and South Korea are some of the top performers up nearly 20% since the

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beginning of the year. Japan is up 6% and stocks in China have inched

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higher by nearly 3%. I asked an independent strategist, Andrew

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Solomon, why the difference in performance between Hong Kong and

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China. This year is strange for China with the party conference at

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the end of the year. People are very much expecting the markets will

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trudge along ahead of that. They don't expect upside because the

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government doesn't want bubbles in any sector. Equally, we don't expect

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to see downside because the government will want to support the

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market and maintain confidence. It is range bound. The concern is that

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the yuan will weaken another policy of the government post the party

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conference will be towards tightening, people are concerned

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about the property market. In Hong Kong, we have seen more growth.

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Largely it has come from tech names, like has done so well, and banks

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continue to do well -- like Ten Cent, which is done well. Because

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there is no dollar risk, it has helped Hong Kong as well.

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The latest buzzword in the mobile technology is 5G and smart phone

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makers have teamed up with telcos to show what the technology could bring

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in a couple of years' time. Mobile phones have come a long way since

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Motorola produced the first model in 1973. Check out this picture, Martin

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Cooper, the inventor, with the first device. In 2020 they are on target

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to be a $50 billion industry. We asked Jake Saunders about the race

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to be first with 5G phones. 5G won't start properly until 2020. In 2018

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just next year, in Korea they have the Winter Olympics. Samsung and LG

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will do a number of 5G demos. Samsung says it will have a 5G

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handset and it will have a 5G coverage running. In 2019 in the US

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AT and Verizon are keen to get 5G up and running just four mobile

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services. What is intriguing is it has the opportunity to provide

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coverage in rural communities and perhaps small towns and villages.

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In our final report this week, 20 years on from the Asian financial

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crisis we look at the Philippines which at the time was seen as the

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sick man of Asia but the economy did not suffer as much as its neighbours

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in the region. I went to my hometown of Manila to hear from one survivor

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of the crisis and find out why the Philippines is now one of the

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fastest-growing economies in the region.

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Manila, the capital city of one of the most dynamic economies in South

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East Asia. When the Asian financial crisis devastated the region, the

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Philippines managed to pull through better than its neighbours. So, how

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did it happen? One of the crucial factors was its remittance economy -

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everyday hundreds if not thousands of people queue up here to try to

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get the permits to work overseas. The money they send back helps to

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drive consumption and keep the economy buoyant. 20 years ago

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remittance is made up 6%- 8% of GDP - that nearly doubled in 2005. Today

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it is still worth 10% of the national income. What other factors

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helped the Philippines ride out the crisis and recover quicker than

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everyone else? We were late in the game in the property sector, so we

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didn't have a property bubble just yet at the time. Compared with

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Thailand and Indonesia, you know, they had a property bubble that was

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financed by dollar debts. But at the same time... It was a tough time for

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many. In 1997 Wellington song watched his business empire all but

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collapsed. He is building technology company was wiped out and he spent

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years painstakingly rehabilitating the luxury car dealership he began

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from scratch. It came as a total surprise. We didn't know where it

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came from, we had no idea how it was going to affect us. And then we just

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realised that it was a financial holocaust - it was a corporate

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nightmare. Every day being so fearful of what new problems will

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arise. And it was like eating broken glass for breakfast every day for 11

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years. So, what do you think, guys, will I be warm in London? The

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Philippines is looking forward, not back. This woman is typical of the

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new generation. In her early 20s, she is the average age of the

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population and like many Filipinos she sees a future are broad and she

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is preparing to move to London. -- abroad. Here in the Philippines are

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don't get paid as much as I work for the job. -- I don't get paid. I work

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48 hours and I don't get much. The expanding Philippine economy has its

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challenges - a slowdown in remittances, the need to improve

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infrastructure and tackling the poverty gap. Still, Anna is excited

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and optimistic about the future and so too is the Philippines.

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And don't forget to tune into the special programme playing out this

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weekend, starting on Saturday. And before we go, a BBC exclusive, the

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Philippines central bank governor takes over this weekend. In his

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first interview with foreign media as head of the BSB, Nesto Junior

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tells us of his priorities on Monday on Asia Business Report. And on the

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market put screens, Asian markets are in negative territory, the

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Nikkei is down 216 points and the All Ordinaries losing around 9%.

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Thank you so much for investing your time with us, have a productive

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Friday! I'm Rico Hizon, goodbye

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