21/09/2016 BBC Business Live


21/09/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

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It is Super Wednesday with two of the world's most influential

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central banks making big decisions that could directly affect

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Live from London, that's our top story on Wednesday, 21st September.

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There was no change in the cost of borrowing from the Bank of Japan

:00:34.:00:36.

but all eyes now shift to America's Central Bank for any

:00:37.:00:41.

signs of a rate rise for the world's largest economy.

:00:42.:00:46.

Also in the programme, Tesla car gets hacked and they gain

:00:47.:00:50.

The firm has updated the software to correct the problem,

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but what safety issues does it raise for the electric car giant.

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And we'll bring you all the latest market reaction to that

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European markets up by 0.5%. Stay tuned for the reaction to what's

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happening on global markets. And we'll get the inside track

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on how technology is making life The website Live Better With sells

:01:21.:01:23.

non-medical products to help Could hi-tech fitness tracker make

:01:24.:01:28.

you fatter not fitter? It's being called super Wednesday

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with announcements from two central bank heavyweights -

:01:39.:02:09.

the Bank of Japan and The Bank of Japan has decided

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to keep rates on hold at minus 0.1% and hasn't

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added to its stimulus. Later it's the turn

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of America's Central Bank to tell us what it has

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decided to do. But the two are facing very

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different economic challenges and today's events show why central

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banks comes in for so much scrutiny. As economies have struggled to pick

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up after the global slowdown, Central Bank policy has become

:02:42.:02:44.

increasingly important but also Japan has led the way

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in lowering rates. And the cost of borrowing

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is hovering at near historic lows but also across most developed

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countries around the world. Such low rates has meant

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Central Banks have had to take other That's why we've seen a big rise

:03:00.:03:02.

in the use of quantitative easing, where central banks buy

:03:03.:03:06.

large amounts of debt and that frees up money

:03:07.:03:08.

in the wider economy for lending In Europe, for instance,

:03:09.:03:11.

the ECB is buying 80 billion euros a month and it includes government

:03:12.:03:14.

and corporate debt. But despite this unprecedented

:03:15.:03:18.

action, inflation has stayed stubbornly low and growth,

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except in America, So what tools do Central Banks

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actually have left to Karishma Vaswani is in Singapore

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and we've had that Bank Some reports say it is tinkering

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around the edges of a policy that's not working. Is that the case? That

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would be fair to say that's been the assessment among many of the

:03:54.:03:56.

analysts that I have been speaking to, but remember the Bank of Japan

:03:57.:04:00.

is always controversial or it has been recently certainly and

:04:01.:04:05.

investors in Tokyo re-Warded the policy statement with showing with a

:04:06.:04:16.

rise in shares, by over 12%. 1%, the yen weakened slightly. As you said

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the BOJ didn't push interest rates further below zero, but it is

:04:22.:04:25.

targeting the yield curve of ten-year-old bonds aim to go keep

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that around zero. Both the measures appear to be aimed at ensuring that

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those big banks and financials, remember they make up a huge portion

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of the Japanese economy, pension funds as well as insurance

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companies. They don't continue to see profits hurting the way they

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have been in the past and ever since that negative interest rate decision

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came into play around January, but analysts as I was saying earlier are

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pretty divided on whether the moves will be effective because as we have

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been talking about, the ammunition for central banks appears to be

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running out and key economic reforms have yet to take place there.

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Thank you very much. There is more on the website. Thank you for now.

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Pippa Malmgren is founder of the DRPM Group and an international

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Nice to see you. So we've heard about the Bank of Japan. Give us

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your take on how they've tweaked things. In Japan they are literally

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running out of tools. They're minus interest rates. They have been

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pumping stimulus and they've tried it all, haven't they? So today they

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have said they are not going to have quantitative easing, they are going

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to have quantitative and qualative easing and price for interest rates

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for long-term and short-term money so it is more expensive to borrow

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long-term. That's to help the pension funds, they are really

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struggling? They surely are, but the thing is quantitative easing doesn't

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necessarily work the same way in every country and I would argue it

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doesn't work in Japan, but it does work in the United Kingdom and it

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work in the United States and that's why there is speculation that the

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Federal Reserve is going to raise interest rates potentially at some

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point, maybe today, but maybe soon, but in Japan, no. And there are lots

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of reasons, but I would say the main reason is they're not very

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supportive of small businesses which is where two-thirds of the net new

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jobs are created, firms that have less than 50 people. So in Japan,

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you can put all the money you want in the system, but it never gets to

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the little businesses, whereas it dus in the UK and the US. Let's talk

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about the Fed. It is an interesting one. One we've watched closely. All

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the speculation about will they do, when will they do and how much will

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they do it by? Today we could get some answers and we will see a

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direct impact on the markets? It looks like the polls are showing

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only a fifth of the traders in the market believe that they'll raise

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interest rates to. It would be a surprise if they acted, but they've

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told us that they want to raise interests interest rates. I think,

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they have not warned us as frequently as they did in the past

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so people are hesitating. But the reality is if they do, it is the

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equivalent of taking a teaspoonful of water out of a bathtub. It

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doesn't actually tighten the liquidity conditions much. I say

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even if they act, the market might be initially surprised, but I think

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it will make the stock market go up. Pippa, thank you. Michelle is

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stationed at the US Central Bank in Washington and will update us as

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soon as we get the news. The boss

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of American Bank, Wells Fargo, has apologised to customers,

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but refused to resign after a two hour grilling by a Senate Banking

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Committee yesterday. He was giving evidence

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after two million fake accounts were created at the bank that

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customers hadn't John Stumpf said he was "deeply

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sorry" for that and Oil and gas giant Exxon Mobil

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is being investigated over the way The company may have misled

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investors and the public by failing to reflect a slump in oil prices,

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increasing regulation and potential A Tesla car has been hacked

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by researchers in China, and the company has now updated

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the software in its vehicle The researchers managed to control

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the brake system on a moving vehicle and opened a car door

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using a laptop. Tesla says the attack could only be

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triggered when a web browser was in use and the vehicle was close

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enough to a malicious wi-fi It is very worrying, isn't it? Not a

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great thing to be able to control the brakes and the door from a

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laptop, for the people inside, anyway.

:09:12.:09:17.

In Europe, it is all about what is happening at the central banks.

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Michael Hewson from CMC Markets is in London.

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We are 40 minutes into the European day, what's going on? Are people

:09:23.:09:28.

reacting to Japan are just looking ahead to the Fed or a bit of both? A

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bit of both. The financial stocks are up significantly on the Bank of

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Japan's tweaking of its policy framework, but all eyes will be on

:09:40.:09:43.

the Fed. It is clear the Federal Reserve is split down the middle as

:09:44.:09:47.

to whether it should raise rates. The window is closing for the Fed to

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act and while markets aren't expecting a rate rise today, there

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is an expectation that Janet Yellen could give guidance on a potential

:09:57.:10:00.

rate rise in December. Michael, when we talk about the reaction on the

:10:01.:10:03.

markets, what is it that investors want to see? Is it just clarity,

:10:04.:10:08.

some sort of direction rather than this scrabbling around for any tool

:10:09.:10:11.

that's left or is it that they actually want to see a rate rise

:10:12.:10:14.

because it makes money more attractive? Absolutely. I think

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that's exactly what investors want to see. At the beginning of this

:10:19.:10:21.

year we were told to expect four rate rises this year. Thus far, we

:10:22.:10:25.

are still waiting for the first one. Ultimately, I think, the perception

:10:26.:10:29.

out there is get it out of the way, get it done and update the market as

:10:30.:10:33.

to what your inflation expectations are going forward. Michael, as

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always, it is really good to talk to you.

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Joining us is James Quinn, Group Business Editor

:10:42.:10:44.

We promised we would talk about at thes lard, it sounds worrying,

:10:45.:10:57.

Chinese hackers controlling the brakes? There was a team of Chinese

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hackers 12 miles from the car. They published the video online and at

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thes lard were able to issue an update to the software. You say it

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is good they figured this out now before the cars, clearly, the cars

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are up and running and on the road, but spot it early, get the patch

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sent out and the software updated and they say no one needs to take

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the car in, they have been able to do this over the air? That's

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different compared to with what happened to VW and the emissions

:11:26.:11:29.

scandal which is still leading to the recall of hundreds of thousands

:11:30.:11:32.

of cars across Europe. This is how it works with innovation with

:11:33.:11:37.

companies pushing into new frontiers, but the news about the at

:11:38.:11:41.

thes lard vehicles has been negative lately. It has had an effect on the

:11:42.:11:51.

share price? Yes, it closed at $204 yesterday compared to 240, the

:11:52.:11:54.

question is regulation. The regulation is not really keeping up.

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The US yesterday releasing rules to try and work out how companies like

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at thes lard and Uber which is testing autonomous cars keep us all

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safe. The regulation issue is a really interesting one. As touched

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on, all this innovation is happening faster than the regulation can keep

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up with, so you might find that the regulators are just having to do

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piecemeal bits of regulation to stay on top of it and it strikes me they

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need to step back and think this is the future, how are we going to deal

:12:26.:12:29.

with this, but they can't do that yet? It is country by country. In

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the US alone... State by State. The federal regulators said companies

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should share their data and whether they do that, that's a different

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matter. James, we will see you later. More to talk to James about

:12:45.:12:50.

in terms of stories in the media. Including the fitness trackers and

:12:51.:12:53.

whether they make you fatter or fitter!

:12:54.:13:02.

Tech support, how one firm is using technology

:13:03.:13:04.

We'll speak to the woman behind the website that's simplifying

:13:05.:13:08.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:13:09.:13:13.

In the UK, Royal Bank of Scotland has had a setback trying to offload

:13:14.:13:16.

Selling the branches was a key condition of RBS' taxpayer-funded

:13:17.:13:23.

bailout at the height of the financial crisis.

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Theo Leggett has the details in our business newsroom.

:13:26.:13:31.

Theo, they have been trying to sell them, but the buyer pulled out. Just

:13:32.:13:37.

explain this for us. Well, this is a real problem for RBS because they

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have, as you say a legal requirement to sell 315 branches by the end of

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next year. That was a condition attached to the taxpayer bail out in

:13:47.:13:49.

2008, but the problem is at the moment, there aren't many buyers for

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banking branches. We're all moving our accounts online and they're not

:13:54.:13:56.

particularly profitable and bank accounts anyway aren't particularly

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profitable as an investment because of low interest rates and there are

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a couple of million accounts we understand that come with the

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branches. So RBS is trying to sell them. Santander was one buyer, it

:14:06.:14:11.

was interested and it pulled out in 2012, RBS then tried to set-up a

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stand alone business under the Williams and Glyn brand. That wasn't

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working out and then Santander came into the picture, but they are

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disagreeing over price. RBS would like ?1.5 billion and ?2 billion and

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Santander isn't willing to pay that much. There is not many potential

:14:30.:14:32.

buyers out there. Whilst this is going on, what about the wider

:14:33.:14:34.

problems at RBS? Look at this share price from just a

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few days ago. That was because of the fines which the Department of

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Justice is thinking about imposing on Deutsche Bank for misselling

:14:52.:14:57.

mortgage security. Now, RBS is also in the firing line for that kind of

:14:58.:14:59.

thing. So you can see investor reaction there. Not only that but a

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recently reported $2 billion loss for the first six months of this

:15:06.:15:09.

year, which is partly linked to a legal hangover from payment

:15:10.:15:12.

protection insurance misselling. The big picture for RBS is that there

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are a lot of things on the line. It is not going terribly well. And

:15:19.:15:22.

investors, as you can see, are not terribly happy, either. Majestic

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Wine has warned that profits will be hit by a slow down in its commercial

:15:33.:15:37.

business, and also a failure in its direct mail campaign in the US. More

:15:38.:15:39.

on that on the websites. Japan's Central Bank keeps

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rates on hold at -0.1%, and now, all eyes shift Stateside

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for the Federal Reserve's decision, as Central Banks struggle to revive

:16:02.:16:04.

growth in the world economy. The big question - do they have any

:16:05.:16:16.

tools left to tackle sluggish growth? That's what we have been

:16:17.:16:17.

discussing this morning. Now, we know technology has

:16:18.:16:20.

changed our everyday lives, but can it also help ease

:16:21.:16:23.

pain from illness? The website Live Better With was

:16:24.:16:26.

launched late last year to help millions of people suffering

:16:27.:16:33.

from cancer to find non-medical products specifically for them,

:16:34.:16:37.

all in one place. Over 500,000 visitors have used

:16:38.:16:43.

the site, with 20,000 patients and carers now part

:16:44.:16:48.

of the online community. Live Better With has offices

:16:49.:16:52.

in London and New York and has received over ?2 million in private

:16:53.:16:55.

investment in the last few months. Tamara Rajah is the founder and CEO

:16:56.:16:58.

of the website Live Better With. She joins us now. Nice to see you.

:16:59.:17:10.

First of all, just explain the concept behind the website. It

:17:11.:17:13.

strikes me, there's lots of places you can get these kind of things

:17:14.:17:17.

online, but this is about bringing them altogether? Yes, they're all

:17:18.:17:22.

over the place. If you're suffering from cancer or a long-term

:17:23.:17:25.

condition, or you're caring for somebody who is, how do you bring

:17:26.:17:28.

together what could be hopeful for them? That's the whole purpose

:17:29.:17:32.

behind this. It should be at your thing tips. That's what we do, it's

:17:33.:17:36.

to make day-to-day life a little bit better, bring together all the

:17:37.:17:39.

things which can be useful and curated them. So if we look at your

:17:40.:17:48.

website, we've got all the different elements. You've got different kinds

:17:49.:17:55.

of problems, with skin, with Herrera, you can click on that

:17:56.:17:59.

particular area. How do you make money out of this? We bring together

:18:00.:18:04.

all of the products which would be helpful for people living with

:18:05.:18:06.

cancer. They are available on the site. So you can come there knowing

:18:07.:18:13.

only how you feel. So, I feel sick. Click on it and find all the things

:18:14.:18:16.

which other people feeling sick have felt helpful, and then buy it, all

:18:17.:18:23.

on one site. How do you get all of that information from so many people

:18:24.:18:27.

you're talking to, it is an enormous task, how many people have you got

:18:28.:18:31.

doing it? We're a team of eight at the moment, but through us, we reach

:18:32.:18:36.

thousands of people living with cancer, through our online community

:18:37.:18:39.

and through face-to-face interviews. But presumably you've got to check

:18:40.:18:45.

the products are legitimate? Yes, so, a lot of the products are things

:18:46.:18:49.

that may have been recommended in a very fragmented way by individual

:18:50.:18:53.

doctors and nurses. So again, bringing together all of that in one

:18:54.:18:57.

place. At the minute this specifically looks at cancer. It

:18:58.:19:00.

strikes me the business model would apply to different conditions as

:19:01.:19:04.

well - do you have plans to expand? The vision is to help all people

:19:05.:19:08.

with long-term illnesses. Exactly as you say, the business model extends

:19:09.:19:11.

to people living with chronic conditions who have different side

:19:12.:19:16.

effects and symptoms. But to start with, we're focusing on cancer, and

:19:17.:19:19.

for that alone, there's hundreds of products. Talkers through the

:19:20.:19:23.

journey of getting this up and running. It's a lovely website, you

:19:24.:19:26.

conceive the need for it, but there must have been a lot of pain and

:19:27.:19:30.

long hours and blood, sweat and tears going into getting it off the

:19:31.:19:35.

ground? And looking at some of the stuff, it's about bringing together

:19:36.:19:37.

the experts as well? It absolutely is, it's a balance of content, as

:19:38.:19:42.

well as the products themselves. Each of those needs a lot of

:19:43.:19:46.

searching and validating and curating and clearing it all up.

:19:47.:19:49.

It's balancing this social mission that we have two make life better

:19:50.:19:54.

for people with cancer, with building a sustainable business,

:19:55.:19:57.

which is what will help it grow in the long-term. You have been around

:19:58.:20:01.

for a year, and most people don't know about you. It's a very, very

:20:02.:20:07.

busy, noisy environment online. How on earth will you get your voice out

:20:08.:20:16.

there, other than being on Business Life -- On Business Live? That Is

:20:17.:20:24.

The Thing, We Have This Burning Need To Reach Everybody With Cancer In

:20:25.:20:28.

The Whole World. That's what striving us. It is a huge mission!

:20:29.:20:34.

But everybody should know where to find these things. That's what's

:20:35.:20:37.

behind it. We are partnering with charities, with hospitals, and other

:20:38.:20:43.

people as well. Where does the money come from to scale up on this, with

:20:44.:20:47.

that sort of ambition, as well as with the charities on the hospitals,

:20:48.:20:51.

you need to partner with financial institutions, clearly. How receptive

:20:52.:20:56.

have they been to this? Yes. You mentioned the investment that we've

:20:57.:21:01.

had, and it's got a very warm reception from investors. And I

:21:02.:21:05.

think that balance of what we're doing for people with these

:21:06.:21:08.

conditions, plus building a sustainable business, but coupled

:21:09.:21:13.

together makes it an attractive investment story. Thanks for your

:21:14.:21:20.

time today, and all the very best. Very interesting concept. We will

:21:21.:21:23.

keep an eye on how it progresses. Best of luck to.

:21:24.:21:30.

In a moment, we'll take a look through the business pages.

:21:31.:21:37.

Including those fitness devices. My love of burgers, what can I say?!

:21:38.:21:45.

But first, here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:21:46.:21:53.

We will keep you up-to-date with all the latest details, with insight and

:21:54.:22:00.

analysis from the BBC's team of editors around the world. And we

:22:01.:22:03.

want to hear from you, too. Get involved on our web page.

:22:04.:22:18.

Let's talk about that story that we have now mentioned a few times. I

:22:19.:22:31.

just want to talk you through the story first of all. This is about

:22:32.:22:34.

fitness trackers and weather they can make you fat or fitter. A lot of

:22:35.:22:38.

you getting in touch with us this morning. This one says, personally I

:22:39.:22:41.

think it makes me smarter and fitter. It lets you check on the

:22:42.:22:46.

amount of calories and nutrients. Where does he get that from, being

:22:47.:22:52.

more smart? Is it about eating smart, do you think? Your thoughts?

:22:53.:22:59.

The story is based on a University of Pittsburgh study which look that

:23:00.:23:02.

500 people over two years. Those who did not have the trackers actually

:23:03.:23:07.

lost more wait, there were people who were doing weight counselling in

:23:08.:23:11.

any case. As Ben was saying earlier, you are thinking that you only have

:23:12.:23:15.

to walk 10,000 steps and everything is all right - that's probably not

:23:16.:23:19.

quite right. I think it is an interesting concept because it is

:23:20.:23:22.

about this kind of outsourcing responsibility for your fitness.

:23:23.:23:27.

It's not about thinking of a work-out plan, it's, I just need to

:23:28.:23:31.

walk 10,000 steps. It's brilliant to get people moving, but then... I

:23:32.:23:38.

haven't got one, but they do more than just how many steps, don't

:23:39.:23:42.

they? Yes, it's smartphones and watches now have got lots of

:23:43.:23:46.

different techniques to outsource health, and there is big business in

:23:47.:23:50.

it. Google and others are trying to get into it. There is that thing,

:23:51.:23:55.

all the gear and no idea. People posting about where they have run,

:23:56.:23:59.

how long they have run for... Clearly you're not a fan! Let's move

:24:00.:24:06.

on! The base rate could lead to any UK mortgages under 1%. Mortgage --

:24:07.:24:13.

mortgage rates, should I say. People will be thinking, yes, please! I

:24:14.:24:19.

think there are some banks where you can get that already, like HSBC, for

:24:20.:24:24.

those with a 35% deposit, you can get a rate of under 1%. Thanks for

:24:25.:24:32.

turning all the viewers about that, I don't mind! I think it's good to

:24:33.:24:39.

be open. I think if the Bank of England cuts at the end of the year,

:24:40.:24:42.

we should see another fall in mortgage rates. It's clearly good

:24:43.:24:47.

for first-time buyers and those looking to switch mortgages. So what

:24:48.:24:52.

is the downside? People might be thinking, I can make those payments,

:24:53.:24:55.

but if the rates go up, even slightly, then people will get

:24:56.:24:59.

indebted to a rate they cannot afford. And we are a bit addicted to

:25:00.:25:05.

cheap money. We expect it always to be cheap and when it goes up, we

:25:06.:25:09.

will suffer. The idea that money is cheap and you can borrow. Our

:25:10.:25:14.

parents generation would be horrified. That's right. The big

:25:15.:25:21.

companies have already got into this, with the impact of

:25:22.:25:23.

quantitative easing on corporate debt. I think the impact of

:25:24.:25:27.

quantitative easing on personal debt will have a similar effect. Nice to

:25:28.:25:34.

see you, James. Are you going to be busy with the Fed decision later

:25:35.:25:39.

today? Definitely, it will be a full day. Busy day for James, and for the

:25:40.:25:45.

rest of us! I will be busy not using my fitness tracker! Bye-bye!

:25:46.:26:08.

Good morning. The mist has arrived, with some dense fog patches across

:26:09.:26:12.

eastern

:26:13.:26:13.

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