22/09/2016 BBC Business Live


22/09/2016

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Prospects are fading fast for the massive free trade deal between

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Europe and the United States, EU trade ministers meet today to

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discuss the future of the transatlantic trade and investment

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partnership. Live from London, that is the focus today.

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Unfair trade, transatlantic megadeals, face a growing backlash

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against globalisation, is it terminal for Tito? Also in the

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programme, Mark Zuckerberg and his wife have pledged $3 billion of

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their own wealth in an attempt to cure, prevent or manage all diseases

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by the end of the century. We will be talking about philanthropy and

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reacting to the Fed as expected Janet Yellen and her team have kept

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the cost of borrowing on hold, we will talk you through the market

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reaction around the world. And we will get the inside track on the

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initiative to encourage more rich business leaders to share wealth to

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solve some of the world problems. Intentions are good but does it make

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a difference or is it just good PR for those who donate? We will be

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finding out later. Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg pledges $3 billion

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to tackle all disease by 2100, we are looking at the business of

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philanthropy. Can big business solve problems in the world, or is it just

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good PR? Send in your comments, we will

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mention as many as we can. As far as trade deals go, this would be a big

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one but it has been beset by problems since the beginning, and so

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European trade ministers are gathered today, to discuss the

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massive free trade deal with the United States, but prospects are

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fading fast. We are talking about the transatlantic trade and

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investment partnership, TTIP for short, it is facing a growing public

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backlash against rising political opposition on both sides of the

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Atlantic. Supporters of the deal say that cutting trade tariffs and

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regulations would bring big economic benefits, they have done the sums,

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they claim, for the United States, every year looking at a benefit of

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95 billion euros, for the European Union they argue it could boost the

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region by 119 billion euros a year. That translates to around 500 euros

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for each person in Europe. Opponents say that it gives too much power to

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international companies and many of them are American, they fear that it

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will lower European standards on issues like food and the

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environment, also it could threaten jobs, it could push down wages,

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outsourcing is a big fear. A similar deal between the UN Canada, has

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already been signed, it will come into force next year, if Europe's

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national parliaments ratify it. That is a big if. There has been

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the whole idea. Over to you. Robert the whole idea. Over to you. Robert

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Parker is with us, senior adviser of investment and strategy and research

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at credits wheeze. Both sides of the argument laid out there, pros and

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cons, critics and supporters, which side do you fall on? There are many

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elements to this. -- Credit Suisse. These negotiations are very

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compensated, against a background of very weak or mediocre growth, at

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best in 2017 we will get US growth close to 2%, euro zone around 1.5%.

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As far as a specific deal, Japanese growth is struggling to get above

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1%, if one says, what side of the argument I come down on, it is

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fairly straightforward, if this deal goes ahead, which unfortunately at

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the moment is looking very difficult and problematic, I think it clearly

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would see benefits but one has to challenge whether the numbers that

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Sally mentioned are exact right, there is a high degree of error. I

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think there would be clear benefits to the Eurozone economy and to the

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US. In this environment of weak growth you have touched on, it

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strikes me, they do not have an alternative, should they be getting

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this deal Duncan Watmore eight, because growth is so weak? There is

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a number of things to do to reboot growth in the Eurozone and the

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United States, this free-trade steel, this agreement, would be part

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of a jigsaw puzzle of a number of things to do to boost growth,

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obviously a change in fiscal policy would be another element of that.

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The political environment, both in the United States and in Europe, one

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has to emphasise that in Europe in 2017 we had elections in Germany,

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France, the Netherlands, next month a referendum in Italy. The political

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framework in Europe is actually very difficult to push this deal through.

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That political framework we have seen sparking protests, looking at

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pictures we have had from Brussels, people protesting against the deal,

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that is what is so interesting, in that arena, people have a strong

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opinion and on both sides people do not want to compromise. You see this

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also in the American presidential political debate, Linton and trump,

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both, particularly Donald Trump, have no interviews yet for these

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deals at all. The populist reaction is people are concerned about job

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security. They are concerned about competition from other parts of the

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world which might depress wages, I would argue that a lot of those

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concerns are not properly founded, having said that, you see

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demonstrations on the street, you see political opposition, as a

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consequence, pushing Beale steals through, getting an agreement, I do

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not think we will see deals being cancel completely. -- pushing these

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deals through. But we could be having these conversations in one

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year's time. And I am sure that we will. Thank you very much for coming

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in. Let's tell you more about what Mark Zuckerberg and his wife have

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been doing. Facebook's founder Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla

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Chan have pledged $3bn to fund medical research over the next

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decade. At a press conference in San Francisco, they said their ultimate

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goal was to "cure, prevent or manage all diseases by the end of the

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century". The funds will be distributed by the Chan Zuckerberg

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Initiative, which they created in December 2015. Here is Priscilla

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Chan outlining the goals of the initiative. our aim is to bring

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together teams of innovative scientists and engineers to bills

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transformational tools that unlock a new era of accelerated progress in

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science and health. for this initiative we will be investing more

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than $3 billion over the next decade to achieve our collective mission.

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applause i didn't realise, priscilla chan is

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a paediatrician. do send in your thoughts about what they are up to,

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and also the very public way in which they told the world about it.

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we will discuss this in detail later in the show.

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Formula 1 team McLaren has played down reports that it's received

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an investment bid from tech giant Apple.

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The Financial Times says the talks started several months ago

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and could see Apple pay up to ?1.5bn for McLaren.

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It's understood McLaren had been in talks with Apple

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over its rumoured Apple car, but those talks have since ended.

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Insurance market Lloyds of London has reported profits of almost

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$2 billion for the first six months of the year.

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That's a rise of a quarter of a billion pounds

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AT the same time, the firm says it's putting plans in place that

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will ensure it continues trading across Europe following Brexit,

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weeks after its chairman warned that the group could be forced

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to move parts of its business to the EU.

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We grilled her on that point, about what Brexit means for the company.

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Some of the details that came out of that, they are on the business page.

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Brexit is a major issue, says the insurer, Lloyds. The insurance

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market in London, accounts for 50,000 jobs. It is one fifth of the

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GDP growth for the City of London, quite a substantial element. It is

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about that. As you would expect, about that. As you would expect,

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much more on the life page about the news we were covering at the start

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of the programme, about Mark Zuckerberg's pledge to eradicate or

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manage disease by the year 2100. At the press conference, I did not

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watch it but I have seen snippets, Bill Gates was there, the Gates

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foundation is quite major in the world of philanthropy, he was on the

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stage as well to cheer on the decision to go ahead with that. --

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Gates Foundation. We will talk about that much later in the programme.

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Turning to Asia, because shares of troubled Hanjin Shipping have jumped

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by as much as 28% in South Korea after the board at Korean Air Lines,

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its biggest shareholder, approved a loan of around $54 million for the

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troubled shipping firm. Sharanjit Leyl is following this for us from

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our Singapore newsroom. Phyllis in on the latest in the long saga of

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Hanjin. They thought perhaps this would be resolved fairly soon, the

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problem is the shipping line has, you mentioned Korean airlines, major

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stakeholder in and Jean shipping, the funds will be abided as soon as

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necessary checks are conducted. -- and Jean shipping. The Korean

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development bank agrees to $45 million of a loan to the firm as

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well. -- hand Jim there is estimates from the South

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Korean government that have shown that the government needs at least

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half $1 billion to cover unpaid costs such as fuel and cargo

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handling. Earlier this month, the parent company, Hanjin Group, said

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that it would inject around $100 billion of fresh funds to resolve

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the problems with the cargo shop at sea -- stuck at sea. In various

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ports including South Korea they are working to prevent seizure. Right

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here in Japan and Singapore as well. Dozens of ships continue to be

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anchored off ports and this is causing great disruption in the

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industry. The whole economic downturn we have seen in recent

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years has really impacted profits across that cargo shipping industry.

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Hanjin Very much in focus. Japanese markets, closed for a public

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holiday, Wednesday's closed, when the Nikkei was responding to the

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bank of Japan news, it's too kept its interest rate on hold but

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introduce measures to try to boost the economy. When Japan reopens it

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may have a tougher time. The yen has strengthened following on from the

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Federal reserve decision in the US late Wednesday, Hong Kong traded

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today up half a percent. Nearly 8% at the close. Europe, as you can

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see, gains right across-the-board. I would imagine this is a reaction to

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the US Federal reserve, strong positive gains in Asia and the night

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before, tends to flow through into the European day, and we will talk

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about market reaction in a few minutes, but first, we can speak

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with Samira Hussain in New York. The Fed have held off from raising

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interest rates this month, it was not an easy decision, over two days,

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members of the committee debated, and of the ten voting members, three

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had voted in favour of a rate rise this month. This kind of division

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among members of the Federal Reserve is especially rare, as they like to

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present a unanimous front. The case for a rate rise has really

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strengthened, chair of the US Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen,

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really wants to see the economy doing better before making a move.

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The labour market is strengthening but inflation remains just a little

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too low to take action. Going forward, the Federal Reserve

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believes that the US economy will still grow but at a slightly slower

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pace, than they had anticipated, at the beginning of the year. The eagle

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eyed among you will have spotted that Samira was not in New York,

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contrary to what we have said, she was in Washington, she is outside

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the Fed. That is in Washington, DC. Joining us is Mike Amey, managing

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director and portfolio manager at PIMCO. No change from the fed but

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nonetheless, it has not stopped the speculators. Two things going on

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here, one is that the Fed has raised interest rates only once, they have

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been trying for 12, 18 months, some guidance that they are aiming to

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raise rates in December, which was not massive news. The reason the

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markets have responded well, stock markets up everywhere, it is as much

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about what they expect to do next year and the year after, next year

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they are pencilling in at the moment gots further rate hikes, down from

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three, the market has taken that well, it means the Fed is not going

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to be too aggressive on rate hikes, that supports asset prices. That is

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why you have seen stock market prices bounce. Janet Yellen was

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grilled in the press about the election, she vociferously refused

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to even say that it was an issue. She was specifically asked by one of

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the journalists in the press conference, whether the upcoming

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election played a part in her decision, they meet again before the

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US election, one week before the US election, she was very clear, as you

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would expect her to be, the election is not their issue and they will do

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what they expect is right. The yen was strengthening today. The bank of

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Japan met the day before, and the bank of Japan, the challenge the

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Japanese have, they want to get inflation up, they need to stop the

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yen from going up, because if it goes up, it puts pressure on

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domestic prices. The yen is seeing just over 100, pretty key level. The

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yen is really high up. Mike, thank you. Michael returned to

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talk us through some of the stories in the papers. We will discuss

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whether philanthropists investing in health stories are really making a

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difference, or whether it is just PR.

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That's a rise of a quarter of a billion pounds

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Our economics correspondent Andrew Walker is following the story

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there are some games on currency movements, the strength of the

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dollar has helped the business maker and improved profits. Its actual

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insurance underwriting business, the core of the business, sore lower

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profits, and that was largely due to the extent of the fires in Fort

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McMurray in Canada. Big pay-outs on claims there. That is very much the

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fundamental business. Looking ahead, what the business is quite concerned

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about is the impact of Brexit, the decision to leave the European

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Union. The chief executive has been planning for that eventuality. The

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Lloyds, we anticipate that by losing any licensing and losing any

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passport in that we have into the EU countries, that 4% of our revenues

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will be impacted. We have obviously got contingency plans in case the

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Government doesn't come up with a negotiation that suits us, and

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enables us to continue trading in those EU countries. So we are

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working on contingency plans to either work on having a subsidiary

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in one of those countries, or perhaps branching, but certainly 4%

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of our revenues are impacted, and we will no longer be able to write that

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business from London. That was Inge Beale, the boss, and interesting

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what she had to say about Brexit. It is clearly something she has been

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concerned about. She is emphatic that for the time being there is no

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change. The business continues as before. She has been very anxious to

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reassure clients that that remains the case, that Lloyds for the time

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being continues to be able to do that same insurance business on

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exactly the same basis as before, but there is the possibility

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depending on what accepted the terms of the British departure are, that

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it might need to organise that European aspect of the business

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somewhat differently, perhaps moving some operations to a limited extent

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to other parts of Europe. Andrew, thank you very much. Much

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more on the website. The US-EU trade agreement,

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the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership,

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is on the verge of collapse as trade ministers meet today to try

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and save the project. But the prospect of an agreement

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on TTIP before the end of the year We have been looking at the

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implications. They are meeting in Bratislava, and if we hear any news,

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we will let you know. The markets are not fussed about that, they are

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reacting to what the Federal reserve didn't do and what it had to say

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about what it might do in the future. The bookies are betting

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perhaps December is the most likely month for a rate rise. We have been

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here before. Don't place your bets! That is what I am saying. I have a

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feeling we will be talking about this quite a little bit more. Now

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let's get the inside track on philanthropy.

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As we mentioned earlier, the Zuckerbergs are pledging

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they are giving $3 billion to try and eliminate all diseaseses

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This is the latest example of many high-profile business leaders

:19:59.:20:01.

who are using their wealth to fund such causes.

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Others include the likes of Bill Gates.

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Well, one hotel chain has seen the opportunity.

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The Six Senses hotel chain caters to travellers looking

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for a slice of paradise, with all the trappings

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of an ultra-luxe, five-star experience -

:20:14.:20:14.

but with an emphasis on philanthropy.

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Joining us now is Sonu Shivdasani, founder, Chairman of Board

:20:25.:20:27.

and Chief Executive Officer of the Soneva Group.

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Welcome. It's a pleasure being here. I founded Six Senses, but I sold

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that back in 2012, and I am now running Soneva. We have the Soneva

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Foundation. And you invite other business leaders to get together to

:20:52.:20:56.

talk about how you can spend some of your money to put the world's

:20:57.:21:01.

problems right. There are various aspect of Soneva, and the crux of it

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is, I believe strongly that business success comes when you can happily

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merge apparent contrast and make them fit in harmony. So at Soneva we

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offer our guests a luxury but strive to have them fit with the

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environment of the planet, and these things go hand in feed off each

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other, so to reinforce that, we created the Soneva Foundation,

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because I think fundamentally, companies must have a purpose beyond

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pleasing shareholders and paying employees' salaries, and that is

:21:40.:21:45.

essential for the 21st-century. But how can you offer luxury travel but

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not cover an impact on the environment? There are lots of touch

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points, but fundamentally, everything from, we measure all our

:21:56.:22:02.

carbon emissions, so I believe strongly that we need to make small

:22:03.:22:06.

tweaks to our business model that doesn't affect profitability. I

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would love to have the net worth of marks ago Berg, and it is fantastic

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what they are doing. The richest 85 people on the planet, according to

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Oxfam, have more wealth than the poorest half, will you think about

:22:25.:22:29.

Soneva at his wife, so I think what they are doing is fantastic, but I

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don't have the liquidity and the net worth. I believe that companies have

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to make small tweaks to our business model, we have to be a force for

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good generally. I will give you some examples, and that has funded the

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Soneva Foundation. We have raised less than the billions of the

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Zuckerbergs, it is in the millions, but we have made small tweaks. We

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haven't donated money, it has come from small changes. We are the only

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hospitality firm to measure all three scopes of carbon, Scopes one

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and two are very, limited, but the third is guest travel, supplier of

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food is coming in, and the irony is that 85% of the CO2 emissions is

:23:15.:23:20.

that, scopes three, so we measure that, and we then have a carbon

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levy, and that has raised $6 million, and has given people, it

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has funded a 1.5 megawatts windmill in India, 5000 trees in Thailand

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supporting local communities, and cooking stoves in Darfur. Sorry to

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interrupt you. How do the examples of the Mark Zuckerberg, will Gates,

:23:48.:23:55.

Warren Buffett, affect the business community? Does it encourage other

:23:56.:23:59.

business leaders to do the same? As you know, Gates and buffet have made

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a pledge around the world, and they have enormous wealth, given that

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their wealth adds up to more than half the world's population, if they

:24:13.:24:16.

spend it on philanthropy, it can have a huge impact. But coming back

:24:17.:24:20.

to the point I was making, companies need to put that into their business

:24:21.:24:25.

model. Like the mandatory carbon levy, it has had no negative impact

:24:26.:24:30.

on our profitability or the way guests perceive us, but it has

:24:31.:24:36.

supported 150,000 families. We have a world today worth 4 million people

:24:37.:24:39.

die per year of lung succeed Asian. By using firewood to heat their

:24:40.:24:53.

food. -- lung asphyxiation. David Haye is suggesting, wouldn't it be

:24:54.:24:56.

easier for companies just to pay their taxes and let governments

:24:57.:25:01.

decide how money is spent? A lot of this is ego. That is a tricky

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balance, how much is going back to saying, we are giving all this money

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away, rather than actually maybe filtering that money through the

:25:11.:25:13.

proper channels and then governments pulled aside what to do. In a

:25:14.:25:18.

country like Britain, having this debate between the effectiveness of

:25:19.:25:23.

government versus the private sector, there is no better country

:25:24.:25:27.

to do it, Margaret Thatcher's privatisation of the economy has

:25:28.:25:34.

completely revolutionised the private sector. Some people might

:25:35.:25:39.

disagree with you! The economy is thriving and the infrastructure is

:25:40.:25:43.

doing well, so it is fantastic that individuals and the private sector

:25:44.:25:47.

do give, because they will give with passion. We can tell you are

:25:48.:25:52.

extremely passionate, but we have to leave it here, I'm afraid. We have

:25:53.:25:56.

run out of time. It was a fascinating conversation. Thank you

:25:57.:26:00.

for having me. That's it from us, we will see very

:26:01.:26:01.

soon. Good morning. A lot of fine weather

:26:02.:26:14.

around for the next couple of days, but not completely dry by any

:26:15.:26:15.

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