12/10/2016 BBC Business Live


12/10/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

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Oil prices creep higher as major producers meet

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But can they agree on moves to prop up the price of crude?

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Live from London, that's our top story on Wednesday, 12th October.

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Oil prices have rallied in recent weeks.

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But the continued revival relies on producers agreeing

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We'll assess what's at stake and what it means for us.

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We'll hear from New York about the boom in the market

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And after the FTSE 100 hit a record intraday high

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in yesterday's session, all eyes on the market that's up

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Future fashion, we'll find out about the gizmo that lets you try

:01:09.:01:15.

clothes before you buy through your online avatar.

:01:16.:01:26.

We're talking about second-hand sneakers later - we want to know -

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Sally and I have our trainers in the studio, it is not pleasant!

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The price of oil is in the spotlight once again as ministers from oil

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They'll be hoping to hammer out a deal to boost crude prices

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Today's meeting follows the announcement last month

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from Opec that the oil cartel would cut production

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for the first time since 2008 - by around 700,000 barrels a day.

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That left key questions - which countries would reduce

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In other words how will Opec share the burden among its members?

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And that's expected to be the focus of a lot of the debate at today's

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World Energy Congress - ahead of Opec's next official

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But nonetheless, despite a lack of clarity about Opec's actions,

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oil prices have been bouncing back in recent weeks.

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In fact, they're up around 15% since September.

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Well, prices have also been boosted by President Putin of Russia

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announcing that the country will also limit production,

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He's the Chief Executive of advisory boutique,

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Good morning. As clear as mud as ever in terms of what they are

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deciding, Opec members, non-OPEC members, but all eyes on Istanbul at

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the moment for sure? That's right. There is in fairness to the rallying

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markets some encouraging and positive rhetoric coming out of

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Istanbul as we've rightly touched on both the warm noises from the Opec

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Secretary-General around co-ordination within Opec and from

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Russia's Vladimir Putin. The next month is going to be very

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interesting in terms of the detail that will need to sit behind that to

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make it robust. Do you think we will see agreement in Vienna? It is one

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thing saying positive noises to the press and pushing up the price that

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way, but it is another thing working it out in practise, who will bear

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the brunt of the oil production? That's the huge question for next

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month. In my view, the markets are rallying strongly on a fact pattern

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that historically hasn't always gone through to delivery. I think Opec

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has the carrot, but not always the sticks it needs to enforce within

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its membership and I think they have got a tough month ahead. If they do

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agree and are able to woo Iran and keep Saudi Arabia happy and all the

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other members happy, Iraq, for example, what will it mean for oil

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prices if we are looking at a 700,000 barrel per day less

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outthere, to what extent will it boost the price do you think or has

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it been priced? Look, certainly the markets are starting to price that

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in. That 700,000 is significant. Part of the reason you see the

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volatility in markets is the balance between over and under supply, is

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very delicate at the moment. There is a lot of stored oil to be worked

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through, but that volume is certainly significant where it

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attained. Neil, thank you for joining us. In one answer, the price

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of oil by the end of the year? I'd $50 to $55. That's where we are now.

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The UK based airline Monarch says its received investment

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worth around $202 million from its majority shareholder,

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Reports suggested the firm was running dangerously short

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of cash which would have prevented it renewing operating licences

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Monarch has now renewed those ATOL licences for the next 12 months

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and says the money will also help fund future growth plans.

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The investment is the biggest in its 48 year history.

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Japan's parliament has passed an extra spending package worth

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$32 billion aimed at boosting the economy.

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It will be funded by bonds, adding to Japan's already heavy

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The money will be spent on infrastructure

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projects and will boost wages for day-care workers.

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The union representing workers at Hyundai Motor is set to resume

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talks with the management in a bid to end their dispute for higher pay.

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It follows months of industrial action including a nationwide

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The walk-outs have already cost the company $2.6 billion

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Samsung issued a profits warning. Our team in Asia will brief you on

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that in a second. Monarch managed to retain a licence

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as a deadline looms. This is key, isn't it for Monarch? This is the

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biggest investment in the airline's 48 year history. It was teetering on

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the brink of losing the licences, not having enough cash in reserve,

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all part of it's Atol operating licence which means they should have

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cash in reserve, but they didn't have. Now a big investment to secure

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the future for now, for the airline. Samsung said they would halt

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production of the Note 7 device. Samsung has slashed its

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third-quarter profit forecasts - in the wake of the exploding phones

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saga. Don't forget all this is happening

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in right ahead of the holiday season which traditionally would give them

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the most sales. So now they are cutting third quarter operating

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profits. Previously it was closer to 7 billion. It cut its revenue

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estimates for the quarterer by just under $2 billion. All of this, of

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course, is a shorter term worry. It answers the shorter term questions

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we have with Samsung, but it doesn't really answer the longer term

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questions we have, the issues to do with the devices catching fire, are

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those going to affect other models? If it has got to do with its

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technology rather than the battery? It raises questions about what this

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does to Samsung Electronic's reputation. At Samsung group, you

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have issues with the leadership. The chairman is very ill. He is not

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likely to come back to the Samsung Group. His son is going to take

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over. Nobody knows whether he is fit to lead and this will raise

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questions about how its companies are run.

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It is a really interesting network for the big organisations

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particularly in that part of the world. Christine for now, thank you

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very much. A quick look at how the numbers

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finished in ash yasmt Europe in the spotlight today after London's

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footsie 100 hit a record high yesterday.

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It is up 16% so par over the course of the year.

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Let's hear from Michelle. Minutes from the latest meeting of the

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federal verve's committee are published. Global markets are on

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tenterhooks waiting for the next interest rise here in the United

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States. For much of the year the committee, led by Fed chair, Janet

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Yellen has been in favour of keeping rates on hold. But now, more and

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more of the so-called hawks, those who favour tighter monetary policy,

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insist that now is the time for a rate hike. Three of the ten

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committee members voted to rise. Investors want to find out more

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about their arguments and why the hawks haven't prevailed yet. For now

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just about everyone thinks they will get their way come December.

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We are joined by Richard Fletcher. The Fed minutes are out today,

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discussing Janet Yellen etcetera. Just for those watching who don't

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know what a hawk is, explain. Hawk and dove. It is to describe those

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people who are hawkish about inflation, ie they're more likely to

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raise interest rates than those who aren't and therefore are less likely

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to raise rates. You talk about hawks, ie, and you talk about doves

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on the committees that set rates for central banks. And in terms of what

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your thoughts are about the minutes and what they might tell us? The

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markets got quite excited. They're very much betting on a December rate

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rise, 75% chance, but we have been here before. I sat here and said

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that everyone is betting the Fed is going to raise rates and then they

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haven't. So we had some good economic news last week out of the

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US. We had some consumer confidence data. We had retail sales and that

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was all good which that does suggest there might be a rate rise in

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December. We have a meeting in December. We have a meeting in

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November, but that's a week before the US Presidential elections so the

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market seems to have ruled that out. Let's talk about the pound. The weak

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pound pushing the FTSE very close, just shy of the all-time high, 7129,

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we are looking at 7069 this morning. We have seen movements in the pound

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that we don't normally see. The pound lost 4.9% over the previous

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full trading sessions and in overnight Asia we saw a 1.5% bounce

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and that's the largest rise in three months, but it is at very low levels

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and that appears to be running out of steam a little bit as we move

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into London trading. Richard, thank you very much. We

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will get Richard's take on smelly sneakers later!

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We will meet the firm that wants to dress you and style you all without

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ever having to leave your house! Will it work? Stay tuned. You're

:12:32.:12:43.

with Business Live from BBC News. Monarch secured their ATOL licence

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for another year. Theo Leggett is in our

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Business Newsroom. It secures their future in the

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short-term? Absolutely. What this does really is under pins confidence

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that Monarch has the financial where with all to keep operating. When it

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was clear it was struggling to renew its ATOL licence that left

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passengers worried that they might not able to get to their

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destinations and their flights might be cancelled and there was a cloud

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hanging over the airline's future. You don't get an ATOL licence

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without having a strong financial bulwark behind you. That's what this

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injection gives. To put it in prospective. This is $165 million.

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When the owner of Monarch bought its majority stake, it paid ?125

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million, it is a significant cash injection. Critical they got this

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licence at this time. We've interviewed the boss of Monarch. He

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has been Business Live. The outlook for this company, flying low or

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still turbulence ahead? They have money. They have reserves, but it is

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a difficult environment. This is a holiday-focussed airline and many of

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the destinations it has been flying to Tunisia, Turkey and Egypt, there

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have been security problems so passengers don't want to fly there.

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They can fly to other routes, but there is competition. Consumers have

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seen there were financial issues relate to go this airline. There is

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the price of airline fuel and the value of the pound. Airline fuel is

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priced in dollars, the value of the pound has gone down, that means its

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fuel bill has gone up. Of courts, when you have a low pound as well,

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people see holidays abroad becoming more expensive, they are less likely

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to book. So there are real clouds on the horizon. Yes, they're taking off

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again. Yes, they've got the, they can stay in the air for the moment,

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but the future is pretty unclear. A quick question, we are talking about

:14:39.:14:42.

whether people would buy second-hand train sners Absolutely not. Have you

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smelt mine? Theo, thank you very much. I

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wouldn't buy Theo's. You'd have to pay me!

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The maker of Oxo have given a trading update. Trading sales fell

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by 4.5%, we were not making gravery in the month of September because it

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was unusually warm. Perhaps more barbecues than Sunday roasts!

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Ministers from oil-producing nations are meeting to try to hammer out

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details of a deal to cut production of crude.

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Prices have rallied in anticipation of such a cut, but further price

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increases hinge on producers agreeing coordinated action.

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The FTSE 100 doing well off the weaker pound, although the pound has

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risen in overnight trade. Buying clothes can be

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a pleasure for some, Especially if you take your kids

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with the! If you fall into the latter

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category, schlepping around the shops, traipsing back and forth

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to the changing rooms, constantly seeking the right size

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can be a genuine pain. But technology is coming

:16:04.:16:05.

to the rescue, courtesy Metail allows you to build a virtual

:16:06.:16:07.

model of yourself and try the clothes on in the digital world

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before buying them. Set up in 2008, it now has more

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than 3.5 million users Although it's a British company,

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most of its customer growth has been in Asia,

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with 79% of revenue coming It's not just the customers

:16:24.:16:26.

who like it. Metail say their programme lifts

:16:27.:16:31.

sales for retailers by 22% And with a 20% year-on-year growth,

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it's forecast strong future growth. We have got the boss here. Thank you

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for coming in. I had not heard about your company before meeting due

:16:56.:16:59.

today, but when I read about what you do, I thought, perfect, because

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I buy something online and it has to go back, and it must be an item

:17:05.:17:07.

level retailers, dealing with the returns. Yes, it is a big problem.

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It is not just for the retailers, but also for users, there is a lack

:17:15.:17:19.

of confidence to buy online, when we live in a fast-paced economy where

:17:20.:17:23.

people want convenience and they want things quick and fast. It is

:17:24.:17:27.

the blending of physical stores on the high Street, we want the

:17:28.:17:33.

convenience of online, but the reassurance of knowing it fits. We

:17:34.:17:38.

want to be the best way in which a consumer can discover, share, shop

:17:39.:17:44.

and wear fashion, by digitising the world's clothes and people. You take

:17:45.:17:50.

pictures of them, you measure them? For the user it is about making the

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process as quick as possible, so entering a few basic measurements to

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create a 3-D version of yourself to try clothes on and see how they fit.

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On the retail side, we built a fast and quick photo rigour to enable us

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to shoot garments in 3-D three times cheaper than Amazon does in 2-D. It

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is about doing it quickly and building a dataset on the size and

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shape of people that can improve the efficiency of the supply chain. Are

:18:23.:18:30.

you both selling clothes on your own website but also selling the

:18:31.:18:32.

technology to other clothing retailers? Now we are a plug-in

:18:33.:18:37.

service for retailers, we are about helping them with making the

:18:38.:18:43.

shopping experience more fun and more efficient. But ultimately we

:18:44.:18:47.

want the model to be used in any type of engagement with fashion, be

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that trying on a dress in a magazine, sharing the outfit you

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might wear for next week's party with your friends, so you don't end

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up clashing, and you go into the store, the changing room queue is

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long, you can try on the garment there and then. And you are offering

:19:10.:19:13.

some of this information about body shapes and sizes and the changes to

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the retailers, so they start making better fitting clothes? Yes, our big

:19:19.:19:23.

partner in India starting to use our dataset to understand and change the

:19:24.:19:29.

shape of clothing for the different democratics, so you have ten

:19:30.:19:32.

different shapes of people, and they want to make those clothes did the

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different demographics. One retailer, only 22% of their customer

:19:37.:19:41.

base matched the way in which the clothes were cut, and by changing

:19:42.:19:46.

the fit and shape, they could do a much better job and therefore

:19:47.:19:50.

increased the confidence of their consumers and make a better

:19:51.:19:53.

experience all round. You have been involved in all sorts of different

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companies, what is next, once you have conquered this round?

:19:58.:20:01.

Fundamentally I started this business to solve a problem for my

:20:02.:20:08.

partner back then, wife now, she hated the whole experience of buying

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clothing in-store and online, and we had to travel to Vietnam for her to

:20:14.:20:19.

get the perfect dress in the shape that she wanted. I will be finished

:20:20.:20:23.

with this problem when I have made her happy! We talk about this

:20:24.:20:28.

looking nice, user-friendly, but there is a load of science behind

:20:29.:20:34.

it. 13 Ph.D. Is in the team, we are working with machine learning,

:20:35.:20:39.

artificial intelligence and robotics in the photography section. Would

:20:40.:20:46.

you wear second-hand sneakers? These ones are box fresh.

:20:47.:20:52.

The reason we are talking about it is... Would you buy these? These are

:20:53.:21:02.

my second-hand trainers. These are mine! Check it out!

:21:03.:21:04.

We know the market for trainers, or sneakers, is big business.

:21:05.:21:07.

But did you know there's also a booming market for

:21:08.:21:09.

And in New York, where else, one entrepreneur has opened a shop

:21:10.:21:22.

And it's so successful, it's about to open a second shop.

:21:23.:21:26.

Part of being fly and looking the best is topping off your outfit

:21:27.:21:32.

I wanted to be the coolest, I had to have the best outfits.

:21:33.:21:38.

My father would buy my sneakers and my mum would buy my clothes.

:21:39.:21:46.

I have every sneaker now, I am known for having

:21:47.:21:48.

He was taking advantage a bit, he had the audacity to ask for $50

:21:49.:21:56.

That is when I said, "When you give me my $50 back,

:21:57.:22:05.

That was the first real nucleus of us coming up

:22:06.:22:11.

The most expensive we have had, Air Max, they go for 10,000,

:22:12.:22:24.

We have had others that go for 30,000.

:22:25.:22:34.

Where do I go anywhere else in the world but do something better

:22:35.:22:37.

than wake up with my son, go to sleep with my son,

:22:38.:22:42.

Richard is back. I would not buy that!

:22:43.:23:00.

Open to offers. They are size 12.

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You are reducing your market already! I would not buy them

:23:06.:23:09.

second-hand, but I wish my kids would, given how much they spend on

:23:10.:23:15.

them. They are not quite at those levels! But they are quite

:23:16.:23:21.

expensive. You have centres loads of tweets. Troy is based in Seattle, in

:23:22.:23:27.

the Fox News room, he did a straw poll of those, 4-1 say no.

:23:28.:23:33.

Another suggestion, it depends where they have been. Clearly you want

:23:34.:23:37.

information about where they have been. Some suggestions, Tom says it

:23:38.:23:45.

is because it all depends on whether they are limited edition and you

:23:46.:23:48.

miss them when they were first issued.

:23:49.:23:50.

I guess yours are not. They are not.

:23:51.:23:57.

This is in the Times, Amazon has a fresh look at bricks and mortar.

:23:58.:24:03.

Amazon opened a book store as an experiment, and in New York, you can

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order your groceries, you do a click and collect, and you can also buy

:24:10.:24:14.

those products that you buy from your convenience store that we all

:24:15.:24:17.

use, your pint of milk, loaf of bread. This shift in shopping, we do

:24:18.:24:25.

one big shop online, then we top up at convenience stores throughout the

:24:26.:24:29.

week. The idea is that in New York at least Amazon will experiment with

:24:30.:24:33.

opening these click and collect, convenience stores. It marks a

:24:34.:24:43.

shift. It is about the convergence. We want the convenience of online,

:24:44.:24:48.

but we don't necessarily want to wait in, we want to try things on,

:24:49.:24:52.

and it is about blurring the boundaries. One of the surprises was

:24:53.:24:57.

the popularity of click and collect, they thought it would be a small

:24:58.:25:00.

part of their business, but consumers like it, because nobody

:25:01.:25:05.

wants to wait in. In Sweden companies are introducing a six hour

:25:06.:25:10.

working day. You would love that! It is on the basis that we waste 61% of

:25:11.:25:14.

our day at work. If you want something done, ask a busy person!

:25:15.:25:22.

Let shorten the day, stop wasting it, and the six hours includes a

:25:23.:25:27.

mandatory one hour lunch break. The picture in this article is an empty

:25:28.:25:31.

office, very trendy, with a big panda. That is spot if I's UK

:25:32.:25:35.

office. Nothing like ours. Nice to see you.

:25:36.:25:43.

Send us your offers for my trainers. See you soon, goodbye.

:25:44.:26:09.

The weather is stuck in a rut today, similar to the last few days. Any

:26:10.:26:16.

areas stayed right. Rather cloudy today, limited

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