26/04/2017 BBC Business Live


26/04/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Aaron

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He's promising a big announcement on taxes today.

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But can President Trump really make good on his ambitious

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Live from London, that's our top story on Wednesday, 26th April.

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Mr Trump has promised a "phenomenal" tax plan.

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He'll unveil the details in just a few hours time.

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Also in the programme, paying the price for regional

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The South Korean carmaker Hyundai sees profits plunge as sales

:00:51.:00:56.

And as always we'll take you through the markets,

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but right now, investors focused on just two things -

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Trump's tax cuts and those French elections.

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Riding the wave of the foodie revolution.

:01:12.:01:13.

Celebrity chef Mark Hix will be with us to talk, food,

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Today, we want to know is cash your king?

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A survey says a third of us would rather pay digitally,

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do you still carry cash or is contactless the future?

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Let us know. Just use the hashtag BBCBizLive.

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Cash, Rachel. Always carry that with you. I shouldn't say that. I don't

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have any cash on me! Shaking up the tax system

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has been a major theme Today he's promising what he

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describes as "a big announcement" In fact, Mr Trump has already said

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he's planning what he's called "maybe the biggest tax

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cut we've ever had". During the campaign

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he talked about cutting the top individual tax rate

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from 36.9% to 25%. In terms of business,

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he wants to cut the corporate tax Mr Trump has also proposed charging

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American firms a one-off tax of just 10% on money they bring back

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to the US from overseas. He has also pledged to simplify

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the overall tax system. But can he turn all

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this into legislation? After all, he's failed to deliver

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on other key policy objectives, like health care reform

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and an extensive travel ban. Arnab Das, Head of Emerging

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Markets Macro Research, Thank you very much for coming in

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this morning. I guess the first question is, can America afford this

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tax cut? Well, I think that's the key question, right. How are they

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going to pay for this massive great tax cut in the corporate tax rate in

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particular. I think if we step back, you have a lot of actors, most of

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them agree that there needs to be tax reform. Nobody really agrees on

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how they're going to do it. Nor how they're going to finance it, how to

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fund this massive tax cut. That's where the rubber is going to meet

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the road and that's where we're going to see a lot of give-and-take.

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We will probably end up with a moderate tax cut rather than a big

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picture, big package comprehensive tax reform through the negotiation

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process. Everybody agrees there needs to be some sort of tax reform.

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What that tax reform is hopefully we will find out over the coming days

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and weeks. Who is going to benefit? Will it the be the wealthy elite,

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the big corporations? I'm assuming this needs to be about the whole

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economy? That's the president's plan and the administration's desire is

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to, you know, jump start investment and thereby create a lot of jobs and

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invest in America, hire American and buy American. I think in the end we

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are in a much more interlinked economy than all of that. So I think

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probably a mix of things will happen and some money will be coming back

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on shore. Some money is going to be invested. Some of it is going to go

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to shareholders. Some of it will go to shareholders generally across the

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economy. Some of it will go to the elite and some of it will be

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invested in the rest of the world. You say some of it is going back to

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the showeders. If we talk about the repatriation, there is billions

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sitting off-shore, but they have done this once before, 2004 and

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Fife, back then, it was $250 billion, I was talking to an expert

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this morning, who said, a study showed that back then, 96 cents out

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of every $1 that came back to America ended up in the pockets of

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the investors or share buy backs. It didn't go out into the economy for

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infrastructure or things like that? No, that's right. Part of the logic

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of President Trump's plan is to do a comprehensive tax reform and make it

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permanent. Also to deregulate the economy and make the US much more

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attractive as a place to invest. That's the idea that they're aiming

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for. Some of this will come through. I think on the amounts of money and

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how much will go to shareholders, it is hard to tell at this stage. We

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are looking at 2.5 to $3 trillion that's held off-shorement some

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estimates suggest if it is a good tax reform and it's permanent you

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can see something like $1 trillion coming back on shore. How much of

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that will be invested rather than paid out to shareholders? Well, that

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depends on deregulation and a host of other things. I think it is early

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days yet. Yeah, it is. I'm sure we'll keep talking about it for a

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long time. Thank you very much. Let's take a look at some of

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the other stories making the news. Singapore has retained its crown

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as the maritime capital of the world, according

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to a respected bi-annual ranking. The Asian city topped the tables

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followed by Hamburg, Oslo, Shanghai and London,

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according to the International Shares in McDonalds jumped

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by more than 5% in US trade after the fast food giant reported

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better than expected figures for the first three

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months of this year. Maccy Dee's pocketed

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a profit of $1.2 billion. That's an increase of 8% compared

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to same period a year ago. The 60-year-old chain has undergone

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a revamp, slashing costs, shutting down outlets that weren't

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performing, and introducing The US firm Coca-Cola has said it

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will cut about 1,200 jobs due to falling demand

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for its fizzy drinks. Its global drink sales fell 1%

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in the quarter to 31st March. The bulk of the redundancies will be

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in Atlanta where it has The firm has more than 100,000

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employees around the world. Guess what, Aaron? We're still

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buying cars! We're going to talk about Hyundai in

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a minute. This is record sales in the first quarter for Daimler!

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I was going to talk about this drink that I have no idea about, but you

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do? Vinto. South Korea's Hyundai Motor posts

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a 21% fall in first quarter profit South Korean car maker Hyundai has

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seen regional tensions take a big Leisha Chi is in our

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Asia Business Hub. China wants to, I guess, show its

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might, you got problems as a car maker. You've got problems if you've

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got problems with China so to speak. Exactly, Aaron. China is flexing its

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muscle and it hurts the bottom line. This is a very good example of how

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political problems can spill over to affect companies like Hyundai.

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They've reported a 21% drop in quarterly profit. They are rating $1

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billion. This is due to a costly recall in the US over defective

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engines, but the main reason is due to these political tensions with

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China, its biggest market. It stems from this controversial US missile

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defence system called Thud. As we have been reporting today, Korea is

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hosting this defence system, but China opposes it and as a result we

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have seen consumers shunning the brand and even allegedly defacing

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cars this year because of anger over the issue. Wow. That's great. I've

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got my teeth in. Thank you for that update.

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I'm going to stay with the markets though.

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Asian stocks continued gaining for the fifth straight day in fact.

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Wall Street is up and continues to be up.

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All of this because of the renewed optimism

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about the world's biggest economy, the US.

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And yes, huge hopes for these Trump tax cuts.

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If we talk about Europe it's a similar story,

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all eyes looking towards the US, but also the French

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elections on Sunday, continuing to give the single

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currency a boost as well as the markets.

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Let's find out more, here she is, here's Samira.

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Among the many companies reporting will be Twitter and PayPal.

:10:33.:10:39.

Twitter has been losing advertisers to competition

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It's trying to use a new formula that will attract both new users

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and advertisers but until then, Twitter's earnings

:10:52.:10:52.

PayPal has been facing some stiffer competition from start-ups

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like Venmo, but it's still been able to add more customers and process

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Now, investors will focus on PayPal's forecasts

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for the coming quarter and outside of earnings,

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Congress will be holding a hearing on a bill that would drastically

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overhaul the way the US government to regulate the financial sector.

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Specifically, the bill will eliminate a big part of Dodd-Frank,

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the financial rules put in place by the Obama administration

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James Hughes, Chief Market Analyst, at GKFX joins us now.

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Thank you for coming in. No problem. Donald Trump, tax reforms. Yes. How

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are the markets feeling? Well, we have been waiting long enough for

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Donald Trump to say something about tax. From a market point of view,

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that's the only bit we really cared about. We didn't care about the

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immigration point from a market point of view. The health care,

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apart from the health care stocks, it didn't give it too much to go on.

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It's the tax reforms which were going to be the big thing and he has

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been front running this for a long time that the worry you get is that,

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there is so much now based on this and put around this that if it

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disappoints the market we could see an extension that down side that

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we're already seeing in the markets. We're already seeing the US dollar

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falling. The US markets in terms of the Dow, the S and P, they have been

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moving higher. We are in earnings season and that's what helps that to

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push higher sometimes, but if this is that little bit disappointing in

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terms of the tax reform and we don't know what he's going to say like

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anything Donald Trump, we don't know what he's going to say. If that

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disappoints us, we could see some down side in those US markets and

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that's the bit that worries us. We put so much impetus into it. And

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what would disappoint? Just not enough detail. A watered down...

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Yes. It could be likely. We won't get detail. We know that. We won't

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get too much detail. He will say I'm going to do the tax reforms. They're

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going to be massive. There will be numbers. If the numbers aren't as

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big as we expect them to be which is very much likely to be the case then

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we see down side in the market because it is another bit of Donald

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Trump's first 100 day that is disappoints the markets.

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The French elections. Are the markets - I think the markets are

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ahead of themselves. Are they ruling out Marine Le Pen? It is like it's a

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done deal. That's a very, very worrying place to be for the market.

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The euro rallied strongly because everyone thinks Emmanuel Macron has

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done it by getting through that first round with Marine Le Pen, but

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I don't think that's the case. It could well be.

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James, we will have you back to talk about the papers. And do you carry

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cash? No. I haven't got any cash, that's why!

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LAUGHTER He's lying, you know that.

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I saw him with a wheelbarrow full of it the other day.

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We have got lots of tweets and can do we have the time now or not?

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Yeah, OK, thank you. I like to talk to the gallery, that's all. A viewer

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says, "I pay small businesses in cash so they don't have to pay

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credit card charges." Somebody says, "I have got a ?10 note in my wallet

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in case systems go down, but 99% of the time it's contactless all the

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way." I like reading my online statement, it is nothing, but coffee

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shops and pubs. You do stuff on your phone... It is too techie.

:14:35.:14:38.

The foodie revolution is shaking up the restaurant business,

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we'll get the lowdown from celebrity chef Mark Hix.

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You're with Business Live from BBC News.

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Challenger bank Metro has reported a 33% growth in underlying profits

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The high street bank also increased deposits by ?1.1 billion.

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Theo Leggett is in our Business Newsroom.

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This is pretty stellar numbers, stellar performance from little old

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Metro. Pretty good numbers, you are right. But don't forget, this is

:15:23.:15:28.

still a very small bank. Metro Bank was only set up in 2010, as a

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challenger to the big high street lenders one day and it is doing

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pretty well at the. It's managed to it increased its profits, third

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successive quarter of increased profits. We're used to seeing high

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street lenders reporting profit in billions, this is small, only 50

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branches. It wants to create another ten over the next year. Look at the

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share price. Investors don't quite know what to make at this moment.

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Reasonably good numbers but also other things you need to look at.

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For example, the level of deposits has gone up very rapidly, they have

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increased by more than ?1 billion over the last quarter, lending

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hasn't increased quite the same rate. For a bank that is trying to

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grow, trying to build its presence in the market, some analysts say

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that could be a pointer to a worry in future but we will give them the

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benefit of the doubt. We will say these are positive numbers so far.

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The dogs! Talk about them dogs! Bring your dog in! It's a unique

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quirky little banks, isn't it? I drive by the branches and they are

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flash, the dogs, open seven days a week, customer friendly, apparently.

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Certainly if you've got a dog. They are trying to be a disruptive bank,

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they are trying to do things differently from other banks and

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that includes relying, to a great extent, and having branches where

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people can go in and speak to their banker. You know as well as I do

:16:55.:17:00.

that most banks are moving away from that model, they have hundreds of

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branches but they are closing them because they think people would

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rather do their banking online. For the bank it is cheaper to provide

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services online. Metro Bank says that is the wrong way to go, they

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can embrace new technologies and they will have those branches where

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you can bring in your dog and they provide dog biscuits. Good on you,

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we will talk to you soon. Pretty good customer service. I will

:17:23.:17:27.

switch! Do it. Metro, if you are listening, I want to switch, I don't

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have a dog but I will switch. You're watching Business Live,

:17:30.:17:38.

our top story: President Trump is getting

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ready to make a major He's already pledged to simplify

:17:40.:17:41.

the system and cut tax rates for some individuals

:17:42.:17:46.

and for corporations. A quick look at how

:17:47.:17:51.

markets are faring. Trump, tax and the French election,

:17:52.:17:57.

let's move on. And now let's get the inside track

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on the world of celebrity chefs It's a competitve business,

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where there's big pressure to constantly come up with new ideas

:18:03.:18:05.

to help you stand out Mark Hix started off in the staff

:18:06.:18:08.

canteen at London's Hilton hotel but now has nine top restaurants

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of his own including this one, One of their unique selling

:18:13.:18:15.

points is the art that Damien Hirst is perhaps the biggest

:18:16.:18:21.

name he's partnered with. Joining us now is the well known

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restauranteur and chef, Mark Hix. Welcome, thank you for coming in.

:18:32.:18:40.

Did you bring any food? That's it? Nothing! Thanks! When it comes to

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restaurants, it is one of those sectors that we hear there's always

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a lot of turnover. Restaurant is open and close, how do you make your

:18:50.:18:54.

money in restaurants? It is a good question. Some restaurants, for

:18:55.:18:58.

example my third restaurant in Soho, I kind of acquired because the

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previous business went bust. There are various ways that you can, you

:19:04.:19:06.

know, get a restaurant. That was fortunate for me. But you've got to

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keep it running and you've got to keep the tills... Exactly, there are

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various ways to get investment, you can get an angel investor, you can

:19:16.:19:19.

go to the bank. Someone that fancies dabbling in the restaurant business,

:19:20.:19:23.

not always a good idea. It is tough. Once you have the investment, in

:19:24.:19:26.

terms of keeping the profits up, it seems to be difficult business to

:19:27.:19:30.

continue to be successful in. It is always about the top line, the

:19:31.:19:35.

turnover. That doesn't always, depending on business, equate to how

:19:36.:19:40.

good the bottom line is. But that is the same with all businesses. You

:19:41.:19:44.

have to constantly be reinventing yourself, keeping things fresh. Hix

:19:45.:19:50.

Soho, we are doing a revamp at the moment. I got some funding from a

:19:51.:19:57.

business called WSH, I was a consultant for them for the last six

:19:58.:20:01.

years. We just had a bit of a makeover. In fact, Soho has changed

:20:02.:20:10.

over the years. Hix Soho was 50% meat, 50% meat and now we are 80%

:20:11.:20:16.

fish because in Soho, there's not really any decent fish restaurants.

:20:17.:20:19.

I have just switched. Finding your niche. And being flexible. While you

:20:20.:20:25.

were talking, we were showing some of the artwork. That whole art

:20:26.:20:31.

thing, is it a bit gimmicky? People what to eat your food. Is it really

:20:32.:20:36.

about what surrounds them? A lot of people come to the restaurant with

:20:37.:20:42.

interest to the art. I get asked dealers, gallery owners, we host a

:20:43.:20:46.

lot of at parties. If you want to decorate your restaurant, you can go

:20:47.:20:50.

shopping for art, not know anything about the artwork itself but what I

:20:51.:20:53.

try to do is have a relationship with the artist. All the work in the

:20:54.:20:58.

restaurant is commissioned specifically for the restaurant.

:20:59.:21:00.

Like the Damien Hirst cow for example. Yeah stop that tank of the

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mother Howard is chicken and stay, what is the many -- that tank of

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formaldehyde is basically. We talked about a cashless society. For the in

:21:13.:21:17.

your restaurants, what is it? Or credit cards. We don't do

:21:18.:21:22.

contactless. You very rarely see cash coming through. -- they are all

:21:23.:21:30.

credit cards. If you Perry AMEX all these... Would you stop taking cash?

:21:31.:21:35.

Some cafes and restaurants were stealing cash at all. That a tricky

:21:36.:21:38.

one. Especially in a restaurant business. Because, tips, that kind

:21:39.:21:43.

of stuff, people still leave cash tips. You very rarely see people

:21:44.:21:49.

actually paying by cash. It's always a bit suspicious if someone pays by

:21:50.:21:54.

cash! LAUGHTER Exactly when I pay with cash people

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think what is going on. Crisp ?50 note! It would be remiss of me, to

:22:00.:22:03.

talk about Brexit, but I am curious about your point on this. There is a

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lot of worry in the industry, your industry, about staffing if they

:22:09.:22:12.

bring in these immigration controls, free movement controls. It could

:22:13.:22:19.

have an impact on you, you are a big local producer, using local produce.

:22:20.:22:23.

I get asked that question a lot. People phoned me for interviews

:22:24.:22:26.

about staffing but it hasn't really affected us. Staffing levels are

:22:27.:22:34.

good. They are still sparse because lots of restaurants and hotels are

:22:35.:22:38.

opening. You use a lot of foreign staff. We do. It is about 50-50, I

:22:39.:22:43.

would say. That doesn't mean that because you are using imported

:22:44.:22:47.

staff, if you like, that the quality goes down. Because a lot of staff

:22:48.:22:51.

from Eastern Europe, for example, are as good as the British. It has

:22:52.:22:57.

to become a part of your restaurant equation if you like. Thank you for

:22:58.:23:03.

joining us. Nobody told you, but we like props on this programme! Props,

:23:04.:23:09.

as a restaurant, that means food, a bit breakfast! . Or Brexit. Very

:23:10.:23:13.

good. Here on the show we like to hear

:23:14.:23:22.

from you - here's a reminder of how Stay ahead with the breaking

:23:23.:23:29.

business news, we keep you up-to-date with the latest business

:23:30.:23:31.

with insight and analysis from the BBC's team of editors right around

:23:32.:23:34.

the world. We want to hear from you. Get involved on the BBC business

:23:35.:23:36.

live web page. On TV and online, whenever you need

:23:37.:23:43.

to know. James Hughes, Chief Market Analyst,

:23:44.:23:51.

at GKFX joins us now. You have returned. We will kick off

:23:52.:24:01.

with another difficult PR story for United. What was on course to be the

:24:02.:24:08.

world's largest rabbit, Simon, unfortunately has died on a flight

:24:09.:24:19.

on United Airlines going to O'Hare airport, the same place they have

:24:20.:24:25.

the issues before. This is a story about a giant rabbit dying on an

:24:26.:24:32.

aeroplane. That's not necessarily him! He is bigger! That is him. It

:24:33.:24:37.

is a picture of him. Simon the rabbit was flying to O'Hare? You

:24:38.:24:44.

couldn't write this! No. Supposedly he was checked out beforehand and he

:24:45.:24:48.

was absolutely fine but the biggest problem if it is another scandal for

:24:49.:24:51.

United airlines who are struggling with scandals ever since previously

:24:52.:24:55.

the passenger being dragged off because of an overbooked flight. It

:24:56.:25:00.

is just... Unfortunate because it is perhaps not even United fault.

:25:01.:25:05.

Animals do die on trips. Don't like me like that! They do. 100,000

:25:06.:25:10.

animals fly during the day and the numbers were 17 last year. Nine of

:25:11.:25:16.

them on United. That's true. I wonder if the CEO is eating rabbit

:25:17.:25:23.

stew! A lot of it. He was a big old rabbit. Cashless society, is that

:25:24.:25:27.

where we are going? It is interesting. Mark was saying

:25:28.:25:32.

previously about... You do need cash for various different things. If you

:25:33.:25:37.

look at different points like parking meters or kids taking money

:25:38.:25:41.

into school for something or if you tip in a restaurant something like

:25:42.:25:44.

that, we need cash for those sorts of things but if you look at this

:25:45.:25:47.

poll, actually in the UK, the numbers were lower than they were in

:25:48.:25:51.

the rest of Europe. As to how many people use cashless. Good on you,

:25:52.:25:55.

mate, short and sweet, sorry, we've got to go.

:25:56.:25:56.

There will be more business news throughout the day on the BBC Live

:25:57.:26:01.

web page and on World Business Report.

:26:02.:26:03.

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