08/05/2017 BBC Business Live


08/05/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

:00:00.:00:08.

Emmanuel Macron wins the French Presidency,

:00:09.:00:12.

but that may prove to have been the easy part.

:00:13.:00:15.

Movement hopes to tackle the huge problems facing the French economy.

:00:16.:00:20.

Live from London, that's our top story on Monday 8th May.

:00:21.:00:36.

Emmanuel Macron beats the eurosceptic Marine Le Pen

:00:37.:00:43.

Following the election result, we're live from a City trading floor

:00:44.:00:48.

Markets today, in mixed picture opening up across Europe but some

:00:49.:01:00.

relief for global investors. Is the smartphone set to replace our

:01:01.:01:05.

doctors and opticians? Later in the programme we'll get

:01:06.:01:07.

the Inside Track on a tech company which aims to tackle the worldwide

:01:08.:01:10.

problem of poor eyesight. A new survey has found that online

:01:11.:01:13.

spending in the UK has fallen Today we want to know

:01:14.:01:16.

whether your expectations of the future are affecting

:01:17.:01:20.

your spending decisions? Do get in touch - just use

:01:21.:01:25.

the hashtag BBCBizLive. So Emmanuel Macron has won

:01:26.:01:36.

the French presidency, His first challenge will be to form

:01:37.:01:40.

a government with crucial The outcome of that will determine

:01:41.:01:46.

how much power the new president has to tackle the lengthy list

:01:47.:01:52.

of economic problems. France has had a high unemployment

:01:53.:01:56.

rate for decades: currently around 10% of the workforce -

:01:57.:01:59.

or 3 million people. That compares with less than half -

:02:00.:02:08.

4.3% across the border in Germany. The problem is worse for young

:02:09.:02:11.

people: 24% of those between the ages of 15 and 24 don't

:02:12.:02:14.

have a job. The other big issue is the size

:02:15.:02:19.

of the public sector in France - one of the largest in the world -

:02:20.:02:23.

last year it accounted for over This is something Macron

:02:24.:02:26.

has promised to tackle With an economy that has seen

:02:27.:02:29.

faltering growth for years some experts say it will bring

:02:30.:02:34.

much needed savings. Let's start by giving new market

:02:35.:02:49.

reaction. Tanya Beckett joins me now

:02:50.:02:51.

from a trading floor in the City... We had 30 minutes trading in Europe,

:02:52.:03:01.

how is it going? Very much a sense of relief, the Halo hunt stockbroker

:03:02.:03:07.

floor. The bars are starting as the markets open, we saw some

:03:08.:03:11.

fluctuation in the Euro but largely this was priced in, the opinion

:03:12.:03:15.

polls suggesting this outcome and thoughts now moving to Fort next.

:03:16.:03:21.

Post-election France. More importantly post-election eurozone

:03:22.:03:25.

and EU. Can Emmanuel Macron as you've raised the question can he

:03:26.:03:30.

actually deliver on these reforms or what next for France or is populism

:03:31.:03:34.

going to be an issue that is going to find itself coming back in a few

:03:35.:03:39.

years? That's the big question. As you know, Tanya, it typical to know

:03:40.:03:44.

what happens next but I guess in terms of political risk there was

:03:45.:03:47.

concern at the start of this year, we've had France, the Netherlands,

:03:48.:03:52.

Germany is next. Yes, Germany is next but are not facing exactly the

:03:53.:03:58.

same problems between Angela Merkel and Schultz in Germany because

:03:59.:04:02.

France has said different economic trajectory from Germany and this is

:04:03.:04:05.

part of the problems which underlies this move to populism. France if we

:04:06.:04:11.

come back to France, the problem has been there has been a widening of

:04:12.:04:14.

the wealth gap of course, we seen that elsewhere, in terms of Germany,

:04:15.:04:19.

its growth path has been very weak indeed, compared to its larger

:04:20.:04:23.

European partner and France now wants to make up that gap, there is

:04:24.:04:28.

a little bit of envy there but whether it can push through these

:04:29.:04:32.

labour reforms which many see as being absolutely key to achieving

:04:33.:04:36.

the German side of the border this the German side of the border this

:04:37.:04:40.

is an excellent outcome. Micron has stated he is a committed to the EU,

:04:41.:04:45.

committed to the eurozone, he is not committed to the German trade

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surplus, there will be a little fire between the countries but economic

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it, much more on the same page than they have been for the last decade

:04:54.:04:58.

in terms of what is required because again, look to Berlin, we've seen

:04:59.:05:01.

some profound labour reforms, what many see as key to delivering that

:05:02.:05:05.

economic growth we've seen and particularly that has shown itself

:05:06.:05:11.

in post-financial crisis, hasn't emerged in France. Whether Macron

:05:12.:05:15.

can deliver that, he's advocating slow pace to reform but he thinks

:05:16.:05:20.

that will deliver, we could be talking many years before it does.

:05:21.:05:23.

Tanya, thank you, we'll see you again later.

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With me is Dr Francoise Boucek, Lecturer

:05:25.:05:26.

at the School of Politics and International

:05:27.:05:29.

Nice to see you and welcome. Tanya running through some of the economic

:05:30.:05:41.

issues that Mr Macron has to do with, I suppose the question is

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where does he start on fortune be first on his list? Firstly, he has

:05:46.:05:49.

to win a majority in parliament next month and that will be a tall order.

:05:50.:05:54.

He is more likely to have to do with a coalition government in which case

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he will have possibly some awkward partners who are going to try and

:06:00.:06:03.

block some of his more drastic reforms that he wants to bring in.

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Particularly -- particularly to reform the labour market and because

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he is more likely to form a coalition with parties on the left,

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he is lucky to have a lot of opposition there. Plus he will have

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to conduct with the power of the street and in France, whenever it

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there are any large important reforms of social policy or economic

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policy there is usually people coming down on the street. Listening

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to you and what you said, you think has he any hope at all because he

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will have a coalition, difficult government. Also he has the front

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National as the main opposition, the power of the street, can he get

:06:44.:06:49.

through any radical reform? It's more likely we'll end up with

:06:50.:06:56.

legislative gridlock, I think, he is threatening to push these labour

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reforms by presidential decree and the French President has these

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powers because the reforms were already introduced by the Francois

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Hollande government that reform the French labour code, which is a huge

:07:16.:07:19.

already there, people descended on already there, people descended on

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the streets and protested. We covered it all, regular protesting.

:07:25.:07:29.

The issue of voter dissatisfaction is so interesting, looking at the

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first round of voting, nearly half of all voters backed a ticket that

:07:33.:07:36.

was an anti globalisation ticket, they said they wanted something

:07:37.:07:41.

entirely different, barriers to run free, trade to end, he have to

:07:42.:07:46.

recognise some of that, wouldn't he? Absolutely, his project is embedded

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in the European project as well and he's the only one who's pushed the

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European agenda so 40 has in mind for the eurozone is quite drastic,

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whether he can get it through. He wants major institutional changes,

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he wants a Europe list of finance for the Eurozone countries and he

:08:07.:08:11.

wants a eurozone parliament and he has a vision of bringing about a

:08:12.:08:17.

transferring of fiscal federalism which Germany will not go along with

:08:18.:08:21.

but that is kind of his vision. He's very likely to also come up against

:08:22.:08:25.

opposition because of his approach, it's almost on a European scale,

:08:26.:08:32.

what he has in mind. That's all we have time for which is a real shame

:08:33.:08:37.

but to ask you, which part of France are you from? Brittany. Which is one

:08:38.:08:42.

of the highest regions to vote for Macron, a huge majority. Very

:08:43.:08:46.

interesting, thank you for coming in, we appreciate your analysis. I

:08:47.:08:53.

used to live in Brittany. You did? That is for I am from,! You should

:08:54.:09:02.

go for coffee. Great coastline. We have a life page dedicated to all of

:09:03.:09:13.

this analysis. Many leaders congratulating Emmanuel Macron.

:09:14.:09:15.

Stay tuned to BBC News - we'll have plenty more

:09:16.:09:17.

In just over an hour, both Emmanuel Macron

:09:18.:09:26.

and the outgoing President - Francois Hollande -

:09:27.:09:27.

will attend a ceremony commemorating the end of the Second World War.

:09:28.:09:39.

Let's take a look at some of the other stories

:09:40.:09:41.

Facebook has broadened its campaign to raise awareness about fake news,

:09:42.:09:45.

by publishing adverts in the UK press.

:09:46.:09:48.

The adverts carry a list of ten things to look out for when deciding

:09:49.:09:52.

They include checking the article date and website address,

:09:53.:09:55.

as well as making sure it isn't intended as satire.

:09:56.:09:59.

Facebook is under fresh political pressure to tackle

:10:00.:10:03.

fake news in the run up to the UK general election.

:10:04.:10:08.

China's exports and imports rose in April but missed

:10:09.:10:10.

analysts' expectations, as domestic and foreign demand

:10:11.:10:13.

Exports rose 8 percent in April, while imports were up 11.9 percent.

:10:14.:10:25.

The country's trade surplus last month came in at $38.05 billion,

:10:26.:10:28.

Reports say the Pentagon has backed a plan to invest nearly $8 billion

:10:29.:10:33.

to boost the US presence in the Asia-Pacific region.

:10:34.:10:35.

The Wall Street Journal says the money will be used

:10:36.:10:37.

to upgrade its military infrastructure, conduct additional

:10:38.:10:39.

exercises and deploy more forces and ships over the next five years.

:10:40.:10:48.

Dulux paint owner AkzoNobel has turned down a third takeover bid

:10:49.:10:51.

from US rival PPG which valued the business at about $29.5 billion.

:10:52.:10:54.

The firm says its chief executive and chairman met with PPG,

:10:55.:10:56.

but decided that the business was "best-served by its own strategy

:10:57.:10:59.

to accelerate growth and value creation".

:11:00.:11:14.

That means they just didn't agree! Would have saved us a lot of time.

:11:15.:11:21.

The Dulux dog is leaving. Thanks but no thanks was the message.

:11:22.:11:24.

The start of a new trading week and as European markets digest news

:11:25.:11:27.

of the French Presidential election and that victory for

:11:28.:11:29.

Emmanuel Macron, over in the US it's all about corporate earnings.

:11:30.:11:31.

Samira has the details of a busy week ahead on Wall Street.

:11:32.:11:38.

Earnings continue this week with companies that are worth

:11:39.:11:44.

highlighting. On Tuesday we will hear from media companies Walt

:11:45.:11:46.

Disney and news coanda on Wednesday when he first century Fox will

:11:47.:11:51.

report its earnings. This is significant as the company is

:11:52.:11:53.

waiting on approval from the British government for its 14 and a half

:11:54.:11:58.

billion dollar takeover bid of Sky News. And on Thursday to hear from

:11:59.:12:06.

American retail giant Macy's, the companies will close about 100

:12:07.:12:10.

stores in the next few years, about 15% of all stores. Macy's continues

:12:11.:12:15.

to face intense pressure from online retailers as well a struggling with

:12:16.:12:18.

underperforming stores. On Friday will focus on some economic news

:12:19.:12:23.

with the latest numbers on retail sales in the United States as well

:12:24.:12:27.

as consumer sentiment on the consumer Price index, inflation.

:12:28.:12:35.

That this era in New York. -- some era.

:12:36.:12:36.

Joining us is James Bevan, Chief Investment Officer at CCLA

:12:37.:12:38.

We've touched on Europol ready, a quick take not, we have seen some

:12:39.:12:48.

reaction the other way. This is unambiguously positive for the Euro

:12:49.:12:53.

project and the next big test is Italy, not Germany. For the moment,

:12:54.:12:59.

great news. Interestingly the price of oil edging up today, news from

:13:00.:13:02.

Opec which is helping oil stocks on the market. Oil price is pretty

:13:03.:13:07.

bumpy and I'm not expecting it to go up in any trend basis because every

:13:08.:13:12.

time Opec says it will cost maintain low production the US pond is more.

:13:13.:13:16.

In terms of the announcement at the Saudi Arabia of saying they will

:13:17.:13:20.

extend lives as Opec generally is doing everything it can... But when

:13:21.:13:26.

we look at the rig count in the States, last week it was up again,

:13:27.:13:29.

every time there is a little bit of relaxation from Opec US is straight

:13:30.:13:34.

in. Big week for corporate earnings, what are you watching? For me it's

:13:35.:13:39.

not just a big week for corporate earnings, bigwig in terms of

:13:40.:13:43.

statements about Central Bank policy because we all know the central bank

:13:44.:13:47.

will want to tighten up at some point, were going to be looking for

:13:48.:13:51.

early signals in press briefings, in announcements as to think that is

:13:52.:14:00.

likely to be. Give us your take on the company we mentioned saying no

:14:01.:14:04.

to PPG. That has an excellent engine for delivering shareholder growth

:14:05.:14:07.

and on that basis it doesn't believe that combine will add value, the

:14:08.:14:12.

shareholders who corporate are told we will not do that and they will be

:14:13.:14:15.

grumpy but I think the April statement that Akzo but I'd is clear

:14:16.:14:22.

for the generation will come from and I think the bulk of investors.

:14:23.:14:28.

For that, they are discounting this will go away. Thank you, James will

:14:29.:14:33.

be back later. More to touch on with James in the programme.

:14:34.:14:34.

Is the smartphone set to replace our doctors and opticians?

:14:35.:14:39.

Later in the programme we'll get the Inside Track on a tech company

:14:40.:14:42.

which aims to tackle the worldwide problem of poor eyesight.

:14:43.:14:44.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:14:45.:15:00.

The Halifax has just released its house price study.

:15:01.:15:02.

The research has found that annual house price growth

:15:03.:15:04.

Let us go to Leeds now and speak to Martin Ellis,

:15:05.:15:13.

an Economist from the Halifax for the rest of its findings.

:15:14.:15:17.

Talk us through the numbers because it is watched closely this. We're

:15:18.:15:24.

obsessed by house prices, but this gives us an indication what's

:15:25.:15:27.

happening out there at the moment in the real world? We have seen house

:15:28.:15:32.

prices fall slightly. Just down 0.1%. And that comes after a couple

:15:33.:15:37.

of months where we've had no change in house prices at all. So, we're

:15:38.:15:42.

seeing a state here where house prices have really plateaued and

:15:43.:15:46.

actually if you look at the latest three months, they're down slightly

:15:47.:15:49.

on the previous three months. That's the first time we have seen a

:15:50.:15:53.

decline in house prices on a quarterly basis since the end of

:15:54.:15:58.

2012. So the first time for quite a while. It is very, very fractional.

:15:59.:16:04.

Just a slight decline. Martin, if we look at different parts of the UK,

:16:05.:16:07.

what stands out to you? A story we had last week on this programme was

:16:08.:16:10.

estate agents offering a free car with a house sale in London. They're

:16:11.:16:14.

having such a tough time? Well, that's right. There are parts of

:16:15.:16:19.

London, typically the more expensive areas where we are seeing lots of

:16:20.:16:23.

incentives now to try and get people into buy. We are seeing falls in

:16:24.:16:28.

house prices in some parts in London. In outer London, we are

:16:29.:16:33.

still seeing house price growth, but the main story here is really that

:16:34.:16:38.

we have seen a period where house prices have risen very rapidly

:16:39.:16:44.

particularly between 2014 and 2016. And much more sharply than average

:16:45.:16:47.

earnings. People's earnings really doing very little. So, it has just

:16:48.:16:53.

become incredibly ex-expensive for a lot of people to be able to afford

:16:54.:16:57.

that home. That's putting a natural constraint on housing demand and

:16:58.:17:01.

that's really why we have seen this sharp slowdown in house price

:17:02.:17:06.

inflation. Now if we look backment we're talking about an annual rate

:17:07.:17:10.

of below 4%. That's unchanged from last month, but over a year ago, we

:17:11.:17:14.

were seeing double digit house price inflation. House prices were 10%

:17:15.:17:19.

higher than a year earlier. Martin, thank you. Martin Ellis at

:17:20.:17:25.

the Halifax. There is more on the Business Live

:17:26.:17:30.

page. More reaction to events in France.

:17:31.:17:39.

You're watching Business Live. Our top story:

:17:40.:17:43.

All the reaction to the victory of Emmanuel Macron in France in the

:17:44.:17:51.

French Presidential elections. Markets are mixed. It had factored

:17:52.:17:57.

in a victory for Emmanuel Macron. A fact will markets. So since the

:17:58.:18:03.

first round of the presidential election in France the CAC has gone

:18:04.:18:08.

up by 7%. Today, down 0.5%. No surprise. No.

:18:09.:18:20.

Now, does the future of medical diagnosis depend on the smartphone?

:18:21.:18:29.

Peek is one social enterprise hoping to change all of this.

:18:30.:18:35.

The company's portable eye examination kit contains

:18:36.:18:39.

a 3D-printed adapter that clips onto a smartphone camera and allows

:18:40.:18:41.

Estimates suggest that there are currently 2.5 billion people

:18:42.:18:47.

in the world with poor vision and no access to treatment.

:18:48.:18:51.

The Peek School Screening programme has already test more than 84,000

:18:52.:18:55.

children in developing countries such as Botswana, India and Kenya

:18:56.:18:58.

as part of the Peek School Screening programmes.

:18:59.:19:00.

With me is Dr Andrew Bastawrous, co-founder and Chief Executive

:19:01.:19:02.

I've got your name wrong. Andrew, you have brought your device in.

:19:03.:19:29.

Just quickly show us how it works. To being able to see inside the eye

:19:30.:19:36.

is hugely beneficial for diagnosing eye problems and other problems.

:19:37.:19:40.

What we have been able to do is put this device... Put it up higher so

:19:41.:19:46.

our viewers can have a look. We put this device on to a smartphone so

:19:47.:19:51.

you can see inside the eye while looking at the screen. You can

:19:52.:19:54.

record the image and share it with someone else to review. The medical

:19:55.:19:58.

practitioner, the trained person, has the smartphone. They need to buy

:19:59.:20:04.

the extra add on bit and that's $200 and that means clearly, it is much

:20:05.:20:08.

more accessible then for anyone around the world to be able to

:20:09.:20:11.

travel out. They need the smartphone and the kit that sticks on the top?

:20:12.:20:17.

I can give you an example of where it has been used recently. I was

:20:18.:20:20.

living in ken why for a couple of years and there was a lady in her

:20:21.:20:27.

90s, one of our field workers went to her home, it was a typical old

:20:28.:20:35.

mud village and they found her and did a vision test on our app and

:20:36.:20:38.

found that she was blind in both eyes. As soon as they identified she

:20:39.:20:42.

couldn't see, the information was sent to the hospital three hours

:20:43.:20:47.

away. She was taken to the hospital because she was geotaged, she she

:20:48.:20:51.

haved treatment and had her sight restored having been blind for over

:20:52.:20:56.

20 years. When she was taken home, she started to see things that she

:20:57.:21:00.

hadn't seen in over two decades and stood at the doorway to her house

:21:01.:21:03.

with her son, but she didn't know that was her son and he was looking

:21:04.:21:07.

at her with great anticipation until he spoke and said, "How are you

:21:08.:21:12.

doing?" It was only in that moment that she realised it was her son.

:21:13.:21:16.

She recognised his voice. That's incredible. There are millions of

:21:17.:21:19.

people who are unnecessarily blind and what we're trying to do is

:21:20.:21:23.

increase the access to that community. To those who can provide

:21:24.:21:31.

services. You're blind, aren't you, and your story and your background

:21:32.:21:35.

is why you're involved? Yes. Although a lot of people are blind

:21:36.:21:38.

from cataracts, you can be blind from needing a pair of glasses. I'm

:21:39.:21:43.

short-sighted, but with contact lenses in I have perfect vision and

:21:44.:21:47.

the estimates are 2.5 billion people can't see as well as they could if

:21:48.:21:50.

they had basic treatment like glasses. You can use technology as

:21:51.:21:54.

well to explain that. Many parents of young children might not know

:21:55.:21:57.

that their children are suffering and I don't know if we can show this

:21:58.:22:01.

to viewers. This is part of the app and it gives parents or anyone else

:22:02.:22:05.

an understanding of what it is their children can actually see and what

:22:06.:22:07.

they should be able to see and that really paints a picture then of why

:22:08.:22:11.

that help is so needed? It is hugely important. If you tell someone that

:22:12.:22:18.

your vision is 6/60 that means something if you're in my world.

:22:19.:22:24.

This image there on the left, obviously you can see it blurs

:22:25.:22:27.

according to the prescription of whoever is suffering from the sight

:22:28.:22:30.

loss and that would be normal vision on the side. So that gives a really

:22:31.:22:34.

visual indication of how problematic it is for people who don't actually

:22:35.:22:38.

know they're suffering from sight loss? Exactly. I was one of those

:22:39.:22:43.

children. I didn't know I couldn't see. I knew I was doing well at

:22:44.:22:50.

school. When I got my first pair of glasses, I could see stars and

:22:51.:22:54.

leaves on trees and it changed my life. That's why we're empowering

:22:55.:23:00.

teachers, teachers are screening in schools, but they understand what it

:23:01.:23:05.

means. So rather than just having a result they're empowered on

:23:06.:23:08.

following up and making sure the child gets treatment and we are

:23:09.:23:11.

close to having screened 100,000 children to make sure they get the

:23:12.:23:14.

right treatment. Andrew, thank you very much for coming in. It has been

:23:15.:23:22.

great to hear the story about Peek. You work with other companies with

:23:23.:23:25.

similar technology and advancement to help people see around the world.

:23:26.:23:28.

Yes, best of luck with it. Thank you for coming in.

:23:29.:23:31.

In a moment we'll take a look through the Business Pages but first

:23:32.:23:34.

here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:23:35.:23:37.

The Business Live page is where you can stay

:23:38.:23:39.

ahead of all the day's breaking business news.

:23:40.:23:41.

We'll keep you up-to-date with all the latest details,

:23:42.:23:43.

with insight and analysis from the BBC's team of editors

:23:44.:23:45.

Get involved on the BBC business live web page, bbc.com/business.

:23:46.:23:57.

On Twitter we're at @BBCBusiness and you can find us on Facebook

:23:58.:23:59.

Business Live on TV and online, whenever you need to know.

:24:00.:24:11.

Volkswagen is in the news again. Now they are in the papers talking about

:24:12.:24:26.

a US turn around plan? It is a very grand plan indeed. They are saying

:24:27.:24:31.

they're going to get costs down and productivity up and they want

:24:32.:24:36.

margins of 4% by 2020 and in 2020 they're going to shift focus into

:24:37.:24:39.

becoming dominant in electric vehicles over the period that then

:24:40.:24:43.

follows to 2025. That's a big ask. Yes, they have got their work cut

:24:44.:24:48.

out anyway, image wise after the emissions scandal? What they have

:24:49.:24:53.

done well is launch sports utility vehicles, popular in the American

:24:54.:24:56.

markets so they have been increasing sales and we learnt that from the

:24:57.:24:59.

numbers last week. I guess they're trying to ride the popular,

:25:00.:25:04.

enthusiasm that's been engendered. Let's look at the consumer spending

:25:05.:25:11.

story. This is UK spending consuming spending dipping. Online is dipping

:25:12.:25:16.

because people have been spending on things like chocolate and hot cross

:25:17.:25:23.

buns and leisure. But there is a bigger issue here which is that we

:25:24.:25:27.

are having higher import prices, poor wage growth and since Brexit,

:25:28.:25:31.

the consumer has been borrowing money and clearly their preparedness

:25:32.:25:36.

and appetite to borrow money is diminishing and that's not good news

:25:37.:25:39.

for the UK economy. James, thank you very much for rattling through those

:25:40.:25:42.

stories. Thank you for your company today. We

:25:43.:25:46.

will do at the same time, same place tomorrow. Yes, do join us. See you

:25:47.:25:49.

then. Bye-bye. Hello. It's a new week, but it's not

:25:50.:26:09.

a particularly new weather story. At least not in the first part of the

:26:10.:26:12.

week. We have the high pressure

:26:13.:26:13.

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