07/07/2017 BBC Business Live


07/07/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Rachel Horne and Ben Bland.

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Pressure grows on that T20 Reach G20 to tackle the migration crisis, is

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more investment in Africa the answer? That is our top story. --

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pressure grows on the G20. The G20 begins today, but can

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leaders who represent 85% of the world's wealth come up with a plan

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to solve the growing migration crisis? Also when the programme,

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forget the exploding phones, because Samsung says it is on track for

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record quarterly profits. We live in our Asia business hub with details.

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Markets in Europe have opened and they are all down, we'll be looking

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at the figures. And we'll be getting

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the inside track on this weeks big financial news with the BBC's

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business guru Simon Jack. Social media is buzzing

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today with rumours that President Trump had trouble

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securing a hotel room So today we want to know

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what you have missed out Just let us know -

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Use the hashtag BBCBizLive. We start in Hamburg, Germany

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where as you've been hearing, leaders of the G20 group

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of the world's top Concerns over free trade

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and the environment But for Europe - equally pressing

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is the migration crisis. Record numbers of migrants

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from Sub-Saharan Africa have been heading into the EU -

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increasingly across the Mediterranean via

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Italy as this map shows. The final destination

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for many is Germany - where migration related costs

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are projected to top $100bn by 2020. Chancellor Angela Merkel has made it

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clear that she thinks other countries must shoulder more

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of the burden Last year alone Germany saw almost

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three quarters of a million There are fears that climate change

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and poverty could drive millions more Africans in particular to make

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the dangerous journey to Europe Look at these numbers

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and you can see why According to the World Bank -

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the average income in Sub-Saharan Africa last

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year was $1,504. With me is Professor Christian

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Dustmann, Director of the Centre for Research Analysis of Migration

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at University College London. We'll speak in a moment, I think we

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can show you live the scene in Hamburg. It looks like Emmanuel

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Macron just getting into a car. This is live from Hamburg where the G20

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summit of leaders is taking place. All eyes are on that. A lot for them

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to be discussing. Including how to deal with the migration crisis. So

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let's delve into that with Professor Dustman. What do you think the

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likelihood is of reaching consensus, how much common ground is there

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between the leaders when it comes to the challenges, benefits and answers

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to the migration crisis. Consensus on what precisely? What we're seeing

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at the moment is a continuation of what started in 2015, emphasis has

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shifted from Africa to the Middle East. People are fleeing war,

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persecution and, increasingly, poverty. Making their way over the

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Mediterranean into Europe. Now, the borders of Libya, which have been

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avoiding that during the Gaddafi regime, are now not doing that any

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more. This flow has to be in some way addressed. Where we can see, and

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hopefully we'll see consensus, is to create situations in those countries

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where these people are coming from which will make it liveable future

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for these people. I think that is something where we can see hopefully

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some progress at the G20. These are the leaders of some of the most

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powerful and wealthy nations. There is a lot of anger among some, we can

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see protests taking place on the streets. Some people feeling these

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very powerful leaders are simply not doing enough. I wonder whether you

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think that, for example, greater investment in Africa and supporting

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those North African economies would help actually solve the deeper

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problem? Well it will address the problem, it's not so much only the

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economic situation in which we find these people, but instability and

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insecurity. Even more so, the population projections for these

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countries are quite dramatic. We have 1.1 billion people living in

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Africa today. They are projected to increase to 2.8 billion in 45 years.

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So the pressure will not abate. We need to address insecurity,

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instability and poverty in these countries, if we want to address the

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increasing migration flows from those regions. It's got to be a

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long-term plan. One of the counters to the idea of immediate investment

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in Africa is that once people are earning more, then they will

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actually have more means to make that journey north to Europe. That

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is very true, many of the very poor people who would like to migrate

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don't even have the means to do so. So increasing economic wealth in

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those regions, without creating security and stability, and a future

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for these people, may actually at least in the short run lead to

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increased migrations, and that has to be considered. We are seeing live

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images from Hamburg, those protesters staging a sit in protest

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in the middle of the street. It appears police are using water

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cannon on them to try to get them to move on. Dave been protesting in

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Hamburg since the summit began yesterday. Initially a very peaceful

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protest, but then it later turned into clashes between protesters and

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riot police. We can see the water cannon being used, but the

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protesters seemingly not being moved by that. Determined to stay there.

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Some of them feeling, perhaps, capitalism, the markets have in some

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way failed some of these people, who are in a really desperate situation.

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But also angry about what they would consider the insufficient action

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taken by the world leaders at that G20 summit. A lot of focus on that,

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they know the world will be watching. Huge media presence, with

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the G20 leaders, and these protesters will no doubt have

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factored that in, knowing they will get a lot of attention drawn to

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their cause and the points they are trying to make.

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Professor Dustmann, what reaction do you think this will garner within

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the G20 leaders? I don't think this will affect much what will be

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negotiated within the G20 circles. I mean... In a way some of the

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arguments you see in the streets are a little bit naive. Of course we

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need to help people in need, but what we have seen in 2015-2016 for

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instance was that very large migration flows from countries

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outside Europe lead to political radicalisation within Europe. We had

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the rise of the radical anti-immigration party in Germany

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and also in other European countries as a response to the migration

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crisis of 2015. If that leads to political change, then clearly that

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doesn't help anybody. So we can deal with migration but we have to avoid

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inflows which are considered by the majority of the population is

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something not sustainable. Again, it brings me to the point I tried to

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make earlier, we need to address the issues and the problems in those

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countries where these people are coming from. I hope we will make

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progress on that at the G20. The key issue here, of course, is that much

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of the instability, which is causing these migrations, is created by a

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number of different actors. Not just Europe alone which can influence

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that. It is many other countries which have to take responsibility.

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And that is why it is so important to discuss that within the G20

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meeting. Professor Dustmann from UCL, thank you very much for your

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time. Let's take a look at some of

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the other stories making the news. Microsoft is to cut "thousands"

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of jobs worldwide as it attempts to beef up its presence

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in the cloud computing sector. The technology giant wants

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to strengthen its cloud computing division but is facing intense

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competition from rivals such The majority of cuts are expected

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to be outside the US. Luxury handbag maker,

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Mulberry, has set-up a joint venture in Japan as it

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continues its expansion into Asia. The company has signed a deal

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with Japan's Onward Global Fashion The company will be called

:10:06.:10:07.

Mulberry Japan and have Earlier this year, the company

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launched Mulberry Asia, operating in Hong Kong,

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China and Taiwan. Tesla is planning to build

:10:15.:10:18.

the world's biggest battery in South Australia

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to store renewable energy. The lithium ion battery system

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will be paired with a wind farm. Repeated recent blackouts

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in South Australia have sparked a political row over energy policy,

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with the federal government blaming the failures on the use

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of renewable technology. Samsung Electronics seems to have

:10:36.:10:43.

recovered from both its exploding smartphone crisis and it's

:10:44.:10:45.

corporate corruption scandal. The South Korean tech giant says it

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made record quarterly Tell us more. You've been looking at

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the figures. For the first time, Samsung has taken a bite out of the

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Apple in terms of quarterly profits. The South Korean electronics giant

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says it will make $12 billion in the second quarter, a 72% bump compared

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to where it was this time last year. All because of strong demand for

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memory chips. Some analysts say the company is on track to overtake

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Intel is the world's biggest chip-maker in terms of sales by the

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end of 2017. It's a huge turnaround from where Sansom was half a year

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ago. They were coming off the scandal of exploding batteries on

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the galaxy note seven. You wonder what they do with the other parts

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that are OK to use. In South Korea they launched a new phone and said

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the reason was because they wanted to minimise the environmental

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impact. Let's look at how the markets have been getting on.

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Overnight in Asia... Traders have been watching political

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tensions on the Korean peninsula, falling oil prices and were also

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awaiting a key employment report indices loosing out to the bond

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markets - central banks calling for a tightening

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of monetary policy - soon they will start to turn

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off the flow of easy money to the markets -

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that has made bonds more attractive - driven up the yield investors can

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get from bonds which means some are turning from equities

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to bonds - explaining some And Samira Hussain has

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the details about what's ahead It's the first Friday in July, which

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means it is jobs day for the US. The latest snapshot of America's labour

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market will be released. The unemployment rate currently stands

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at 4.3%, economists are not expecting it to change. Analysts

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will be looking closely at both the labour participation rate and to see

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if wages have increased. Ahead of the US Federal reserve Janet Yellen

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will testify to US lawmakers next week and on Friday the American

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central bank will issue its semiannual report outlining recent

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policy decisions and describing its plans for reducing its asset

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holdings. By law the Fed has to testify twice a year and issues a

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formal report on the state of the economy and monetary policy. Usually

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it is issued simultaneously with the chair's testimony, but this year the

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report will be issued a few days ahead of time. Joining us now is

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Richard Fletcher, business editor at the times. We mentioned the US jobs

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figures out later. What are analysts expecting? They are closely watching

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job figures to give a snapshot of the US economy. We expect 179,000

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non-farm payroll jobs to be created, then there will be a focus on

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average earnings, expected to come in at 0.3%. The overall unemployment

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figure, which we expect will stay at 4.3%. It's what this tells us about

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the US economy, particularly what that means in terms of whether the

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Fed will eventually reach its forward target of a third rate rise

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this year. At the moment there is very little chance of a rate rise

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when they next meet, only 18% chance in September, according to how the

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markets are pricing. It's going to give us, hopefully, some clue about

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what's happening to the US economy and what it might mean in terms of

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rate rises. It comes back to the whole sell-off of equities and

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what's happening in the bond market. Let's talk about the bond market,

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we've seen a rise in the bond markets. As yields have gone up they

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are looking more attractive to investors. The German ten year bond

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is trading at an 18 month high. With the ECB minutes we had earlier this

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week, there is this feeling the ECB is going to turn off the taps is a

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bit sooner than the market had expected. We've also seen here in

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the UK split among the MBC. There is a feeling that globally we will see

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a tightening of monetary policy. There will be some people who say,

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you know, about time. Because this loose monetary policy has been in

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place for so long that the concern is, if there was another chopped the

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system the are almost all the way into emergency mode. How do you turn

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this off after such a long period of loose monetary policy? That is

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interesting. For the central bankers it's about how you do that without

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causing too much of a shock to the market. Oil doesn't know if it up or

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down, it's volatile at the moment. It has been volatile for oil at the

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moment. One of the big movers has come out and said, the changes we

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have seen in the US because the costs in production of shale

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falling, we will look at oil trading in this tight band. We've seen it

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trading in this $45 - $55 band for a long time. That's probably set to

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continue, a bit up and down on a daily basis but we do appear to be

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quite range bound. When it comes to investing it is all about timing and

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not leaving it too late, it ties in with rumours about President Trump

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at the G20 apparently struggling to get a hotel room. Have you ever left

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it too late, for investment or otherwise? I'm a terrible investor

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so I have definitely left it too late. I am a nervous traveller so I

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booked my hotel and get to the airport at least a day in advance. I

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know the feeling, having once missed a flight and the stress of that.

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Richard, thank you very much. Richard Fletcher, there. Coming up

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with a look at the mega trade deal between Europe and Japan and if free

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trade is back on the global agenda. This is Business Life from the BBC.

:17:15.:17:22.

The food delivery firm Deliveroo has said it will pay sickness and injury

:17:23.:17:25.

benefits to its 15,000 riders in the UK if the law is changed.

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At the moment the firm says, the law prevents it from offering

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enhanced rights because it classifies its riders

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Let's get more from our business correspondent Theo Leggett.What

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As you know Deliveroo is a company that takes restaurant food and

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delivers it direct to customers. It uses a network of cyclists and

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mopeds and riders mainly to deliver the food and they work flexibly. So

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they can work when they want, log on, get jobs to them and work for

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other people as well. As a result Deliveroo classifies them as

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self-employed. So they are not eligible for holiday pay and

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sickness benefit. What Deliveroo has done, is, in submission to the

:18:17.:18:20.

government which is reviewing how employment law works with regards to

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the gig economy, it says if the category of workers is changed it

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might be prepared to offer more benefits than it currently gets. Why

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is there an issue with the current law. It hasn't kept up with the way

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the economy has changed especially the development of the gig economy.

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People who work on behalf of companies are either categorised as

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self-employed, as workers or as employees. As we go up that scale

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the number of benefits you are eligible for increases. A lot of

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companies in the gig economy in particular want to give their

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workers classified as self-employed because then they don't have to pay

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National Insurance on behalf of those workers so they can operate

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more cheaply. For the workers and offers flexibility although they

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don't have those benefits. The gig economy is a great area. It doesn't

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fit naturally -- a grey area. It doesn't fit in any of those

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classifications. So the law is being looked at to see if these workers

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cannot be exploited and at the same time give them the flexibility to

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work in a way that they do. Thank you very much for that. Very

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interesting story continuing with the gig economy which is becoming a

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huge part the economy in the UK, with zero hours contracts, people

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are starting to work out how to make it work both for the employer and

:19:50.:19:53.

the employee. You can read more about that story on the business

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page. You're watching Business

:19:57.:20:01.

Live - our top story. The G20 summit gets under

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way in Hamburg today. The meeting is expected to be

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divisive, as world leaders discuss a wide range of issues -

:20:11.:20:13.

including migration, A quick look at how

:20:14.:20:14.

markets are faring. This is how they look at the start

:20:15.:20:26.

of the trading day across Europe, all the main indices are down shade,

:20:27.:20:27.

and the pound below the $1.30 mark. And now let's get the inside track

:20:28.:20:36.

on this week's big financial stories including that mega deal

:20:37.:20:41.

between Japan and the EU and the billionaire owner

:20:42.:20:53.

of Newcastle football club's rather unusual meeting style --

:20:54.:20:55.

Our business editor The main focus is on Trump and Putin

:20:56.:21:05.

but keep an eye on trade and in particular this undercurrent of

:21:06.:21:07.

whether the US. Imposing steel tariffs. There's a story about steel

:21:08.:21:14.

and whiskey and orange juice. President Trump has been the big

:21:15.:21:18.

defender of the US steel industry. He's already got tough with China

:21:19.:21:23.

about some of their steel exports to the US. It looks as if he puts wider

:21:24.:21:30.

tariffs on steel imports, people say this trade war could be starting and

:21:31.:21:33.

other countries will get caught in the crossfire but we have seen

:21:34.:21:38.

between the US and China. He's been looking into a particular section,

:21:39.:21:43.

section 232 of an old act from the 1960s saying, you can reveal imports

:21:44.:21:47.

if this national security interest. What he is trying to say is that

:21:48.:21:52.

they use steel in defence. It hasn't been done often before so he's using

:21:53.:21:56.

a strange and powerful instrument to maybe put the squeeze on foreign and

:21:57.:22:02.

steel imports into the US. The other interesting thing about the meeting

:22:03.:22:05.

of the leaders is not just the official group gathering but what is

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happening on the sidelines, we saw yesterday the meeting between EU

:22:13.:22:15.

leaders in Japan talking about this deal that they have reached. If you

:22:16.:22:21.

look at the backlash around the world, it seems against the odds.

:22:22.:22:27.

The Japan deal is interesting because for one thing it did not

:22:28.:22:31.

take a long time to do, they've been negotiating it since 2013. It will

:22:32.:22:36.

also put out of joint analysis of French auto makers, exports of cars,

:22:37.:22:43.

a tariff of 10% on that, for the Europeans, agricultural products, a

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lot of beef is consumed in Japan, what is interesting in a Brexit

:22:47.:22:51.

context, there seems to have been this move against free trade, a big

:22:52.:22:56.

blockbuster deal. At the same time you see the UK is leaving the EU and

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some say this is leaving precisely at the moment when they have their

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mojo and their schools together on trading. Others say, people like

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Japan want to do deals with important economies, the UK is one

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of them and this could be a bit of a blueprint for a deal between the UK

:23:16.:23:19.

and Japan. Speaking of the T20 another meeting is also happening in

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the weekend in the UK. Business leaders are going to the Foreign

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Secretary 's residence to meet with the government. Business leaders

:23:28.:23:32.

felt they had been frozen out of the political process, their hopes and

:23:33.:23:36.

fears about Brexit were not being listened to. And just last might the

:23:37.:23:43.

CBI said, what we want to do is running out, we are never going to

:23:44.:23:48.

get a trade deal done in the time available until March 20 19. What we

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should do now is say early until we get a full trade steel, and it is

:23:56.:23:58.

enforced we should stay in the single market and in the customs

:23:59.:24:04.

union. People on the other side of the debate say this sounds like

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Hotel California, you can check out any time you like but you can never

:24:09.:24:14.

leave because this will go on for years! With spoken before about

:24:15.:24:18.

Sports Direct. Interesting revelations. Real caucus! Sports

:24:19.:24:24.

Direct is run by the maverick entrepreneur, Mike Ashley. He

:24:25.:24:27.

founded this company and did fantastically well. They floated

:24:28.:24:32.

some shares. He runs it with an iron fist and owns 70% of the shares. He

:24:33.:24:37.

calls the shots and it turns out he also buys the shots! He had a big

:24:38.:24:42.

boozy meeting where he drank 12 pints of lager punctuated by vodka

:24:43.:24:48.

chasers. Apparently he drew up into the fireplace. The case in the court

:24:49.:24:51.

at the moment is that on one of these boozy nights he said to one

:24:52.:24:55.

investment banker, if you can double the share price give you ?15

:24:56.:25:00.

million. It did happen and now he said it was nothing more than

:25:01.:25:04.

banter. The other guy said, no we have a proper understanding. Very

:25:05.:25:08.

amusing story. It's well worth the read. My Twitter question,

:25:09.:25:15.

apparently Donald Trump had trouble finding a hotel room at the G20

:25:16.:25:20.

because he left it too late to book. I went to the Frankfurt motor show

:25:21.:25:26.

and ended up staying in, it was more like a monastery cell, it was like a

:25:27.:25:31.

monastic cell. When you go to one of these big trade conventions like

:25:32.:25:35.

Frankfurt motor show or the G20 the best hotels are booked. If you know

:25:36.:25:41.

journalists, we go at the whim of the editor and by the time you get

:25:42.:25:45.

there only the greatest rooms are available. And he's still got there

:25:46.:25:49.

and did the job. -- the greatest rooms. That's it from Business Live

:25:50.:25:54.

today. There will be more business news

:25:55.:25:59.

throughout the day on the BBC Live webpage and on World Business

:26:00.:26:02.

Report. We will be back on Monday, we will

:26:03.:26:03.

see you then.

:26:04.:26:11.

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