30/08/2017 BBC Business Live


30/08/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

:00:00.:00:08.

The UK Prime Minister travels to Tokyo to talk trade,

:00:09.:00:15.

but will the talks be overshadowed by North Korea?

:00:16.:00:17.

Live from London, that's our top story on Wednesday 30th August.

:00:18.:00:38.

Theresa May meets Shinzo Abe to discuss life after Brexit.

:00:39.:00:43.

But the UK can't strike any sort of free-trade deal until it

:00:44.:00:46.

actually quits the EU - so what progress will they make?

:00:47.:00:49.

Also in the programme, in touching distance of parity.

:00:50.:00:55.

A strong euro and weak pound push the two closer.

:00:56.:00:58.

And here's how those markets are faring across europe -

:00:59.:01:07.

That's the current rate and how European markets are doing. We will

:01:08.:01:15.

tell you all you need to know. We meet the man who created

:01:16.:01:16.

an empire built on baking. The founder of the Hummingbird

:01:17.:01:21.

Bakery will give us the inside track on the finding

:01:22.:01:24.

the recipe for success. And so today - and this is in no way

:01:25.:01:27.

a business question, but we just want to know -

:01:28.:01:34.

what's your favourite? Lemon drizzle, red

:01:35.:01:37.

velvet, double chcolate? Let us know.

:01:38.:01:38.

No reason. We look forward to hearing from you.

:01:39.:02:01.

If you follow me on twitter you know that the home-made banana bread is

:02:02.:02:04.

tough to beat. And there are photos as well. Let's start with Japan.

:02:05.:02:08.

British Prime Minister Theresa May is in Japan for talks

:02:09.:02:10.

with her counterpart Shinzo Abe on everything from defence

:02:11.:02:13.

Although the UK can't officially start any trade negotiations

:02:14.:02:20.

until it leaves the European Union, both sides are already weighing up

:02:21.:02:23.

While the UK's investment in Japan is relatively small,

:02:24.:02:34.

Japan's direct investment in the UK is worth over $52 billion.

:02:35.:02:41.

And that investment feeds through to the real economy,

:02:42.:02:46.

roughly a thousand Japanese firms operate in the UK, employing close

:02:47.:02:49.

One of Theresa May's key aims will be to keep as many of those

:02:50.:02:56.

jobs as possible in the UK in the coming years.

:02:57.:02:58.

A strongly worded report from Japan's foreign ministry last

:02:59.:03:08.

year said firms might want to move "if EU laws cease to be

:03:09.:03:11.

Meanwhile Japanese banks Nomura and Daiwa have already chosen

:03:12.:03:19.

Frankfurt as their new EU hubs in the wake of the Brexit vote.

:03:20.:03:23.

The meeting also has added significance as only last month

:03:24.:03:27.

the EU signed its own free trade deal with Japan - a deal the UK

:03:28.:03:30.

With me is Yuichiro Nakajima, managing partner at advisory

:03:31.:03:37.

Nice to see you. Sally running through some of the issues there. If

:03:38.:03:49.

you can run through what is at stake, how significant is trade

:03:50.:03:53.

between the countries? It's very important, certainly for the UK, as

:03:54.:03:58.

the figures we have just seen show. Japan has been one of the biggest

:03:59.:04:03.

investors in this country. And the UK has been the largest investment

:04:04.:04:10.

destination for Japanese companies coming to Europe. It really started

:04:11.:04:15.

in the 80s when Margaret Thatcher promoted Britain as the gateway into

:04:16.:04:20.

the European market, and Japan bought that. There is a long history

:04:21.:04:25.

of Japanese companies coming to this country, setting up shop and then

:04:26.:04:30.

doing business with the rest of the continent. And now that bridge is

:04:31.:04:38.

likely to be removed. You talk about that gateway to Europe. We should

:04:39.:04:42.

say these are very early-stage talks because, as Sally pointed out,

:04:43.:04:45.

nothing can be done and no deal can be put in place until the UK has

:04:46.:04:50.

left the European Union. How will that affect the issues they will

:04:51.:04:56.

encounter in these very early-stage talks? I guess Mrs May work like to

:04:57.:05:02.

get some kind of undertaking from the Japanese government that they

:05:03.:05:10.

will do their best to not... To keep Japanese companies here, and there

:05:11.:05:19.

is so much a government can do to control a private company's

:05:20.:05:25.

behaviour. She is sunny petite tight rope to tread. -- she is on a pretty

:05:26.:05:31.

tight rope to tread. She has the domestic political audience to

:05:32.:05:36.

satisfy in the meantime. She needs to make sure that she isn't seen to

:05:37.:05:46.

be going against EU rules about negotiating with third countries on

:05:47.:05:50.

an independent basis. A funny irony about this, as he said last month,

:05:51.:05:55.

the European Union struck its own trades deal with Japan. Ultimately

:05:56.:05:59.

that's a deal the UK will be locked out of and we now go to Japan saying

:06:00.:06:04.

that we want something similar. Is there a willingness in Japan to

:06:05.:06:12.

grant that? I think Japan, because the UK and Japanese relationships

:06:13.:06:16.

are very good, and strategically quite important, so I think Japan

:06:17.:06:21.

would like to do the best it can to support the UK Government. But the

:06:22.:06:28.

trade and investment with the EU, the remainder of the EU, so to

:06:29.:06:35.

speak, is important, of course, and the UK is but one part of it. Japan

:06:36.:06:41.

isn't going to be able to do anything particularly formal whilst

:06:42.:06:45.

the picture is very unclear as to the terms on which the UK will be

:06:46.:06:50.

leaving the EU. We will follow that closely to see how it plays out.

:06:51.:06:53.

Thank you very much. Let's take a look at some of

:06:54.:06:55.

the other stories making the news. Uber says it is cooperating

:06:56.:06:59.

with an investigation by authorities in the United States

:07:00.:07:01.

into accusations it It's not yet clear whether

:07:02.:07:03.

the allegations focus on one country or several

:07:04.:07:09.

where the company operates. It's the latest in a series of legal

:07:10.:07:13.

problems the ride-hailing app faces as it waits

:07:14.:07:15.

for a new chief executive. Sky is to stop broadcasting

:07:16.:07:19.

Fox News in the UK due 21st Century Fox, which is owned

:07:20.:07:22.

by Rupert Murdoch, says the channel is being withdrawn

:07:23.:07:28.

as it is not commercially viable. Sources say the decision

:07:29.:07:31.

is not related to Fox's The London company that makes

:07:32.:07:34.

the Rubik's Cube has sued two US companies for selling what it says

:07:35.:07:41.

is a knock-off of Rubik's Brand Limited says

:07:42.:07:44.

retailer Toys "R" Us and manufacturer Duncan Toys

:07:45.:07:51.

are violating its trademark and hurting its reputation with

:07:52.:07:54.

an "imitation twist puzzle cube". Let's look at the financial markets.

:07:55.:08:09.

They are regaining composure around the world following concern this

:08:10.:08:12.

time yesterday about what was happening with regard to North Korea

:08:13.:08:16.

and its latest missile test. You can see Japan jumping today from eight

:08:17.:08:20.

four-month low, that was yesterday's story. The yen was weakening as

:08:21.:08:27.

well. Wall Street wobbled at the start of trade on Tuesday but ended

:08:28.:08:33.

high. Looking at Europe so we have a sense of how things are going. All

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these markets were down more than 1% yesterday. Right now you can see

:08:38.:08:41.

they have already gained some composure today. We will talk you

:08:42.:08:45.

through the winners and losers in a moment, in particular the euro and

:08:46.:08:46.

Pound relationship. And Michelle Fleury has

:08:47.:08:47.

the details about what's ahead Donald Trump will make the case

:08:48.:08:49.

for overhauling America's tax system this Wednesday,

:08:50.:08:53.

in a speech in Missouri. He is expected to talk

:08:54.:08:55.

about the need to simplify the tax code and make the US corporate

:08:56.:08:58.

system more globally competitive. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin

:08:59.:09:01.

has said in the past he hopes to get tax reform done by the end

:09:02.:09:04.

of the year. That was a tall order,

:09:05.:09:07.

even before attention shifted Sceptics warn that while the White

:09:08.:09:10.

House and Republicans generally agree on a lower tax rate,

:09:11.:09:17.

they still have yet to figure out specifically what they want to do

:09:18.:09:20.

and how to proceed. Meanwhile ahead of Friday's

:09:21.:09:29.

jobs report, investors will be looking at hiring

:09:30.:09:31.

figures from private employers to see if there were any signs

:09:32.:09:33.

that the jobs market And the US Commerce Department

:09:34.:09:36.

will provide an update on the economic expansion

:09:37.:09:39.

in the second quarter. GDP growth likely came

:09:40.:09:41.

in at 2.7%, that's instead James Hughes is here,

:09:42.:09:44.

he's Chief Market Analyst at GKFX. We will come onto the US stuff in a

:09:45.:10:02.

minute. But first of all the pound and Europe. All the attention has

:10:03.:10:07.

been on the pound and dollar relationship. But the euro is really

:10:08.:10:11.

interesting right now. It's interesting because it's getting

:10:12.:10:16.

close to parity, one for one, the Euro and Pound been worth the same

:10:17.:10:19.

amount. It's something we have not seen for a long time. We always talk

:10:20.:10:23.

about this sort of stuff when the markets get to those areas, and very

:10:24.:10:31.

often we don't end up seeing it. Very often there is something

:10:32.:10:33.

psychological that happens and the market will move. It's because we

:10:34.:10:38.

are all talking about it. Everybody puts money on it and it doesn't

:10:39.:10:42.

necessarily work. Because we have seen strength in the euro, with the

:10:43.:10:47.

Eurozone recovering particularly well, but in the UK we have so much

:10:48.:10:52.

uncertainty around Brexit. Because we don't have any idea what breaks

:10:53.:10:56.

it means, what post Brexit means or what it means right now, the issue

:10:57.:11:00.

means we see negativity in the pound, strength in the euro, driving

:11:01.:11:04.

it closer and closer to parity. Any of us going on holiday to Europe, we

:11:05.:11:09.

can feel the difference this year and last summer. But it's a huge

:11:10.:11:13.

deal for businesses and it can not huge sums of their quarterly

:11:14.:11:17.

profits, or it can add, as the case may be. Importers and exporters get

:11:18.:11:23.

hit and not hit on both sides. Also from an economic point of view, the

:11:24.:11:29.

weaker currency in the country, it tends to push up inflation that

:11:30.:11:33.

little bit. On the other side, if the currency is too strong, it can

:11:34.:11:37.

push down inflation. The problem we have in the UK is that inflation is

:11:38.:11:40.

that little bit too high at the moment. If there are problems with

:11:41.:11:44.

the Eurozone with recovery, it's that inflation is too low. The

:11:45.:11:47.

strength with the Euro and the weakness with the pound are doing

:11:48.:11:53.

just that. And a quick word on America. GDP, we are expecting 2.7%,

:11:54.:11:58.

slightly higher than what we expected and saw earlier in the

:11:59.:12:01.

month. Not too many surprises but good news for the economy there. You

:12:02.:12:05.

will talk us through the papers later.

:12:06.:12:07.

Still to come - cashing in on cupcakes.

:12:08.:12:11.

Your tweets about favourite cupcakes have been flooding in.

:12:12.:12:14.

The founder of Hummingbird Bakery is here to talk all things

:12:15.:12:16.

But how did the one bakery in West London

:12:17.:12:22.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:12:23.:12:39.

Kate and debt, the two can be linked... -- cake and debt.

:12:40.:12:47.

Soaring levels of consumer debt are worrying the Bank of England -

:12:48.:12:49.

unsecured debts have risen 10% over the last year.

:12:50.:12:52.

And now new figures suggest people already struggling with long term

:12:53.:12:54.

credit card debt are being offered more credit, and more likely

:12:55.:12:57.

Matthew Upton is from Citizens Advice who produced the research.

:12:58.:13:04.

It's an interesting one, this. They say people most at risk of not being

:13:05.:13:09.

able to pay it back are being offered more money. As you say,

:13:10.:13:13.

credit cards are very popular as well as cake, and credit card debt

:13:14.:13:22.

currently stands at ?67 billion and is growing quickly. We have all had

:13:23.:13:26.

the experience of getting the letter through the door saying our credit

:13:27.:13:28.

card limit has been increased without is asking it to happen.

:13:29.:13:32.

Research has shown that small likely to happen if you are stuck in debt

:13:33.:13:36.

and struggling to pay off that credit. These are often people stuck

:13:37.:13:42.

on paying the minimum payments and barely chipping away at their debt,

:13:43.:13:46.

discovering the interest payments. This can only be characterised as

:13:47.:13:50.

irresponsible behaviour on the part of lenders and we want to see it

:13:51.:13:55.

banned. You say that, but I'm amazed this hasn't been tackled already.

:13:56.:14:00.

The issue of debt and those in debt being offered further credit, as you

:14:01.:14:04.

say, it's been around for years. How has it not been sorted? It's a very

:14:05.:14:10.

good question. The reality is that credit card companies and lenders

:14:11.:14:12.

stand to make huge amounts of money from these people who are often

:14:13.:14:16.

stuck on minimum payments and stuck in debt for many years and

:14:17.:14:19.

struggling to pay it off. That's why we think it's time to act. We can't

:14:20.:14:23.

see there being any justification. Credit cards are clearly a good

:14:24.:14:27.

product for some, but for flexible payments, good for when people want

:14:28.:14:31.

to make a purchase and will struggle to pay it down initially. But we

:14:32.:14:35.

don't think there is any justification for keeping people

:14:36.:14:37.

stuck in a cycle of debt that happens in these circumstances.

:14:38.:14:42.

Matthew Upson from citizens advice, thank you for your time. All the

:14:43.:14:50.

stuff we can't fit into the show is on the business live page. That

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includes the story in a lot of the business pages this morning, the

:14:58.:15:04.

news that the online retailer Asos is set to overtake Marks Spencer

:15:05.:15:05.

in terms of value. You're watching Business

:15:06.:15:15.

Live - our top story. British Prime Minister Theresa May

:15:16.:15:17.

is in Japan for talks with her counterpart Shinzo Abe

:15:18.:15:20.

on everything from defence Between the world's third biggest

:15:21.:15:22.

economy and the UK. A quick look at how

:15:23.:15:31.

markets are faring. The pound and the euro are getting

:15:32.:15:40.

ever closer. Uncertainty over Brexit really

:15:41.:15:59.

weighing on the value of the pound. Our next guest is here to prove you

:16:00.:16:03.

can have your cake and eat it. Marshmallow fluff-filled

:16:04.:16:06.

whoopie pies. These are just some of the sweet

:16:07.:16:09.

treats that our next guest Tarek Malouf started up

:16:10.:16:13.

the Hummingbird Bakery to fill a gap in the UK market for traditional

:16:14.:16:17.

American baking. He's taken the business

:16:18.:16:23.

from a single store on Notting Hill's Portobello Road

:16:24.:16:25.

to a 129-person strong company, with seven stores in the UK,

:16:26.:16:32.

and a turnover of ?6.6 million - that's around $8.5

:16:33.:16:36.

million - last year. It has four franchises

:16:37.:16:38.

in the Middle East, and is seeking franchise partners in Russia,

:16:39.:16:43.

India and China. And Tarek has written four

:16:44.:16:46.

best-selling cookbooks, sharing He is here with a box of cupcakes

:16:47.:17:07.

and they've not been eaten yet! I've never seen anyone so excited about a

:17:08.:17:14.

box! LAUGHTER Tarek, good morning. We'd like to talk to you. Welcome to

:17:15.:17:19.

the programme. Let's talk about how it all began. We probably take this

:17:20.:17:25.

for granted, cupcakes in the UK. They are an American import and you

:17:26.:17:28.

were inspired to do it after a trip to America. Yes, I was inspired

:17:29.:17:34.

after visiting my sister who lived in New York for many years. I grew

:17:35.:17:39.

up in London but went to an American school so these were really familiar

:17:40.:17:43.

to me. They didn't exist in London at the time and they also had a bad

:17:44.:17:49.

reputation for being cheap and not very well made. I wanted to remedy

:17:50.:17:54.

that and show people the amazingness of American baking. Interestingly

:17:55.:17:59.

you're working as a reporter for another TV broadcaster which we

:18:00.:18:02.

won't name. After five years of doing that, you thought I'm going to

:18:03.:18:08.

start this company. You went back to the US to learn the trade. This is

:18:09.:18:13.

what is key about your company, it's about the American way of breaking

:18:14.:18:18.

with American ingredients and that's your USP. That's right. We always

:18:19.:18:23.

wanted to use traditional recipes. It's really important that

:18:24.:18:26.

everything we make is freshly made, we bake on site. I wanted to have

:18:27.:18:33.

that authentic home-made feel, even though it wasn't made at home. We

:18:34.:18:38.

talk about cupcakes and there was a real boom in their popularity, a lot

:18:39.:18:47.

of that was related to things like Sex and the City. We often see with

:18:48.:18:52.

these things they are short lived trends, you are proof that isn't the

:18:53.:18:57.

case. 14 years later I can say it's not a trend. Many things can be

:18:58.:19:04.

fads. But ultimately cupcakes are cake and they are just in an

:19:05.:19:11.

individual size. Who is your typical customer? Customers are mostly

:19:12.:19:17.

female. We have all age ranges but I would say women between 18 and 40

:19:18.:19:24.

something. People like me! You're looking so longingly at this box!

:19:25.:19:33.

Can I eat while you two tour?! I want to bring up the point that you

:19:34.:19:38.

make all your cakes on the day. They have to be made the day they are

:19:39.:19:42.

sold or consumed and you believe that's really important. You aren't

:19:43.:19:45.

making them en masse and freezing them. That's right. Cake is

:19:46.:19:54.

delicate. It dries out quickly and can go stale. You are selling

:19:55.:19:58.

something like 25,000 cakes a week and you've got 120 people. How do

:19:59.:20:03.

you physically make that many on the day and shift them on the day? Do

:20:04.:20:09.

you have to have lots of premises? We have seven in the UK. We've grown

:20:10.:20:15.

used to it over the years. The ovens are high-capacity, the storage

:20:16.:20:19.

space, but we make do and manage somehow. We talked about your

:20:20.:20:23.

expansion plans. Looking around the country, certainly in the UK. I know

:20:24.:20:28.

you've got big plans in Dubai. It's interesting the dynamic. Sweet

:20:29.:20:33.

things in the UAE and the Gulf are really popular. It's a social

:20:34.:20:39.

activity, it's not about going to the pub or the bar, it's about ice

:20:40.:20:43.

cream and cake. How would you pick where you would opening in the UK?

:20:44.:20:49.

You said London for you is tough. It's tough because of friends. Any

:20:50.:20:56.

area where there is a relatively affluent population but also

:20:57.:21:01.

businesses nearby, lots of kids, mums with kids. Tourists help. The

:21:02.:21:08.

ideal place would be somewhere that combines all of those elements.

:21:09.:21:12.

Right here, giving the interest you've seen in the studio! Thank you

:21:13.:21:21.

for coming. The cakes are staying! Nice to meet you. You just want the

:21:22.:21:30.

cakes! What's your favourite cake? Someone's pointed out on Twitter

:21:31.:21:34.

that millionaires shortbread should be the one we talk about the most.

:21:35.:21:43.

It's technically not a cake. It's my banana bread, isn't it?! Just

:21:44.:21:52.

saying! Still to come, we are talking about the sharing economy.

:21:53.:21:55.

John Sudworth had a look around the Chinese city of Beijing.

:21:56.:21:58.

The company behind this venture plan to make 20 million footballs

:21:59.:22:09.

and basketballs available for hire right across China.

:22:10.:22:13.

The cakes have gone! Not far. A lot of you getting in touch. Red velvet

:22:14.:23:45.

is one viewer 's favourite. Welsh cakes, Madeira cake and we've got

:23:46.:23:49.

one more saying date and walnut, hard to find a good one she says.

:23:50.:23:54.

Remember the W Y shops and their home-made cakes. -- WI shops.

:23:55.:24:03.

James Hughes is back with us, he's Chief Market Analyst at GKFX.

:24:04.:24:07.

Favourite cake? I'm partial to a lemon drizzle cake. Let's talk about

:24:08.:24:20.

Apple. This is really interesting. Spars with movie studios overpricing

:24:21.:24:26.

ahead of Apple TV roll-out? In the next couple of weeks Apple will have

:24:27.:24:31.

their keynote presentation, launch a new iPhone we imagine. They are also

:24:32.:24:35.

launching another version of Apple TV. One of the capabilities is being

:24:36.:24:44.

able to stream 4k quality videos and films. It's super high definition.

:24:45.:24:47.

The problem they are having is they are in a tussle with the film

:24:48.:24:52.

studios about how much they want to charge. Apple want to charge around

:24:53.:24:57.

1999 per film. But the film studios are saying is they are looking at

:24:58.:25:03.

charging more like $5 - $10 per film. It seems like the wrong way

:25:04.:25:12.

round. It's not necessarily always been Apple's major point of being

:25:13.:25:18.

cheap. The fact that this is a big difference between $5 and $19. An

:25:19.:25:23.

interesting quote from one of the film studios says, I wouldn't tell

:25:24.:25:29.

Apple how to price their iPads. Ford and dominoes trialling delivering

:25:30.:25:39.

pizza in self driving cars. How does that work? Automated cars and self

:25:40.:25:46.

driving cars are big business. Apple are looking at doing this. This is a

:25:47.:25:50.

collaboration between Domino's and Ford to say let's get your pizza to

:25:51.:25:54.

you quickly without some on taking at there. It wouldn't get past

:25:55.:25:58.

family if it's like the cakes! LAUGHTER

:25:59.:26:01.

Good morning. Feeling much cooler today across the south-east of

:26:02.:26:16.

England. Temperature is 29 degrees yesterday, today they are going to

:26:17.:26:19.

plummet. In the North and the West a mixture

:26:20.:26:20.

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