24/10/2017 BBC Business Live


24/10/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Bland and Jamie Robertson.

:00:08.:00:10.

The White House says President Trump will talk tough on trade with China

:00:11.:00:13.

when he visits Asia next week, we look at what's at stake.

:00:14.:00:17.

As China's Party Congress draws to a close -

:00:18.:00:36.

Washington says it plans to tackle Beijing's "predatory

:00:37.:00:38.

Also in the programme - the United States is imposing

:00:39.:00:43.

limited measures against Myanmar in response to the treatment

:00:44.:00:45.

This is how the markets are doing. Not much movement in London and

:00:46.:01:00.

Not much movement in London and Frankfurt.

:01:01.:01:04.

A bright idea in renewables - one of the leaders in

:01:05.:01:07.

storing solar energy - Sonnen - will be here to discuss

:01:08.:01:10.

taking on rivals Tesla and setting up projects in hurricane-hit areas.

:01:11.:01:12.

And as a car finance firm issues a profit warning

:01:13.:01:15.

because of falling new car sales - we want to know -

:01:16.:01:18.

Would you boy a new car not a used one, especially not from Jamie.

:01:19.:01:45.

Today marks the last day of the five-yearly Congress

:01:46.:01:47.

in China, which has confirmed Xi Jinping a second

:01:48.:01:50.

Xi will even have his name inscribed in the party's constitution,

:01:51.:01:56.

placing him alongside Mao in the Chinese pantheon.

:01:57.:02:02.

But as Xi consolidates his power, America is ramping up the pressure.

:02:03.:02:05.

On Monday, the White House said that on his forthcoming

:02:06.:02:13.

trip to Asia next week President Trump will press China

:02:14.:02:16.

to cease what the White House calls its "predatory trade practices".

:02:17.:02:20.

And he will do that by addressing the "problem

:02:21.:02:22.

So far this year, the US has imported goods worth over

:02:23.:02:32.

$319 billion from China, but only exported $80 billion worth.

:02:33.:02:43.

But here's the question - will China be in any mood to listen?

:02:44.:02:50.

We're joined by Sarah Fowler, International Economist,

:02:51.:02:51.

Sarah, what is America trying to get, what is it trying to do? So,

:02:52.:03:08.

Trumps team has this impression that the goods deficit has caused a lot

:03:09.:03:12.

of job losses in the US manufacturing, research over the

:03:13.:03:18.

last 20 years since China ranked up its trading shows technology is much

:03:19.:03:25.

more the cause than trade. So Trump's narrow focus is on narrowing

:03:26.:03:32.

this goods manufacturing deficit with China, but actually the

:03:33.:03:38.

services surplus, the US runs quite a bit services surplus which has

:03:39.:03:41.

risen very fast over the last decade. Is he not ignoring the

:03:42.:03:52.

services? He is. It, the services surplus is much smaller than the

:03:53.:03:57.

goods deficit, which is why it is perhaps not noticed so much. Is it

:03:58.:04:04.

growing quite fast? Yes, the way the Chinese economy is rebalancing, the

:04:05.:04:07.

services sector in China is growing faster than the goods manufacturing.

:04:08.:04:11.

So how do you think, how, what does China feel about this? China

:04:12.:04:17.

obviously, in terms of its service sector, wants to see it developed,

:04:18.:04:23.

does it feel kit do that still with an open services trade with the US?

:04:24.:04:29.

Yes. Services trade is absolutely crucial to China as it rebalances

:04:30.:04:38.

its economy, so earlier in year, the US started an investigation, a probe

:04:39.:04:43.

into China's intellectual property because what has happened US tech

:04:44.:04:47.

firms have struggled to make progress in the Chinese market. So

:04:48.:04:55.

Donald Trump may be perhaps looking for a legislative win before the

:04:56.:05:01.

midterm elections, because policy progress has been somewhat slow, and

:05:02.:05:08.

so on the intellectual property side China could make some modest

:05:09.:05:10.

concessions. The elephant in the room is going to be North Korea, how

:05:11.:05:16.

does the North Korean situation play into trade relationships between the

:05:17.:05:23.

US and China? Well, so, I think they both effectively want the status quo

:05:24.:05:32.

with North Korea, for the US, imposing more sanctions, would hurt

:05:33.:05:37.

its own economy because North Korea trades with about 80 country, the

:05:38.:05:41.

Treasury, the US Treasury has the power to impose sanctions on any

:05:42.:05:47.

multiculturals or banks that do business in North Korea, but that of

:05:48.:05:52.

course would hurt the US economy as much as every other economy. From

:05:53.:05:57.

the North Korean perspective, while more sanctions would hurt their

:05:58.:06:03.

living standards, the elites could protect from that, and quell any

:06:04.:06:09.

social unrest in the population, buzz for North Korea, it would

:06:10.:06:14.

eventually raise the cost and the risk of the more nuclear

:06:15.:06:17.

development, so the US is likely to keep that threat there and stop

:06:18.:06:19.

them. OK, thank you very much. Let's take a look at some of

:06:20.:06:23.

the other stories making the news. Google's new flagship smartphones,

:06:24.:06:35.

the Pixel 2 and Pixel 2 XL, have received complaints

:06:36.:06:38.

about the quality of the screen. Tech reviewers, who have had

:06:39.:06:40.

the device for about two weeks, noticed "burn in" on the display,

:06:41.:06:42.

while others noted "muddy" Google said it was investigating

:06:43.:06:45.

the issue, which it A court in New York has found

:06:46.:06:48.

a former HSBC trader guilty of defrauding a British energy

:06:49.:06:52.

company in a $3.5 billion US prosecutors accused Mark Johnson

:06:53.:06:54.

of exploiting confidential Investors have been selling off

:06:55.:07:00.

shares of toymaker Hasbro. Its stock price tumbled by 10%

:07:01.:07:11.

after the firm warned that Toys'R'Us The fall came despite

:07:12.:07:13.

better-than-expected earnings. Hasbro saw quarterly profits rise

:07:14.:07:20.

to 266 million dollars due to strong sales of its Transformers

:07:21.:07:24.

and My Little Pony franchises. The United States has announced

:07:25.:07:38.

limited measures against Myanmar in response to the treatment

:07:39.:07:42.

of its Rohingya Muslim minority. It is considering targeted economic

:07:43.:07:44.

sanctions against certain individuals it believes

:07:45.:07:46.

responsible for the violence. First, Karishma Vaswani

:07:47.:07:48.

is in Singapore. What kind of sanctions are these

:07:49.:08:05.

they are thinking of bringing in? Jamie, the sort of first indications

:08:06.:08:10.

we are seeing or early indications of how seriously the US State

:08:11.:08:14.

Department is taking this issue, it says it is gravely concerned with it

:08:15.:08:20.

and added in the statement from the State Department its imperative that

:08:21.:08:24.

individuals or any entities responsible for the atrocities in

:08:25.:08:27.

the state should be held accountable. The US decided won't

:08:28.:08:35.

allow any Burmese officers is to participate in US assistance

:08:36.:08:38.

programmes, that means it is cutting off military assistance to them, but

:08:39.:08:42.

with regards to economic sanctions, the things they are considering

:08:43.:08:46.

against targeted individuals associated with the violence would

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allow for visa bans and asset freezes of this individuals, so

:08:51.:08:54.

serious considerations with regards to sanctions in Myanmar. OK. Many

:08:55.:08:57.

thanks indeed. And the markets. We don't talk about

:08:58.:09:19.

the New Zealand dollar very much, with the incoming Labour Government

:09:20.:09:23.

coming in it could prove negative for the New Zealand dollar. Let us

:09:24.:09:28.

look at Europe. Not a huge amount of movement. Some political tensions,

:09:29.:09:35.

of course the rumblings continue in Catalonia, the issue of whether they

:09:36.:09:39.

want to break away from Spain, and also the far right party AFD taking

:09:40.:09:45.

their seats in the German Bundestag later today. The other thing

:09:46.:09:50.

investors are watching is the meeting of the European Central Bank

:09:51.:09:53.

which happens this week and the Bank of England and what they might do on

:09:54.:09:57.

interest rate, that meeting is happening next week. First let us

:09:58.:10:02.

take a look at what is happening on Wall Street.

:10:03.:10:04.

Several companies will be reporting earnings on Tuesday.

:10:05.:10:07.

The recovery in the construction city will help Caterpillar's profit

:10:08.:10:09.

The heavy machinery manufacturer which has been battered

:10:10.:10:12.

in the last few years by a slurp slump in oil and commodity prices,

:10:13.:10:17.

as well as weakness in China, but is seeing a rise in construction

:10:18.:10:20.

equipment sales in China specifically, because of increased

:10:21.:10:26.

It has been trying new menu items to try and

:10:27.:10:35.

Things like fresh beef quarter pounders and

:10:36.:10:37.

But it seems that its $1 drinks drove up traffic.

:10:38.:10:46.

And while we are talking about fast food,

:10:47.:10:48.

we should talk about Chipotle, which has also reported a rise

:10:49.:10:50.

The chain has been trying to recover from a few food safety lapses.

:10:51.:10:55.

Most recently one restaurant had to close because of an outbreak

:10:56.:10:57.

David Bloom, Global Head of FX Strategy at HSBC joins me now.

:10:58.:11:04.

Street. Receive We were talking before we came on the programme,

:11:05.:11:14.

about why people aren't concerned is about politics, they, the thing that

:11:15.:11:18.

is concerning markets is the central banks and round the world and what

:11:19.:11:23.

they will be doing, can you take us through that is the The financial

:11:24.:11:32.

crisis in 20062007 and wait for the first-rate rise in 2015, and they

:11:33.:11:35.

have been raising rate bus the next wave has started. We saw the

:11:36.:11:41.

Canadians couple of months ago do their first hike, this week we are

:11:42.:11:46.

look for the ECB to reign back and next week the Bank of England is

:11:47.:11:50.

going to drop the clanger by raising rates in the UK for the first time,

:11:51.:11:55.

I think, before some of your viewers were even born! It is interesting

:11:56.:11:59.

the way you talk about it. You talk about they will do this, they will

:12:00.:12:04.

do that, we were discussing that about how there is very little

:12:05.:12:09.

uncertainty now given the way a lot of, although it is not over until

:12:10.:12:15.

they published it. I am saying they will it is what they have told me to

:12:16.:12:21.

tell you. The fed has said, here, December, is that OK with you? The

:12:22.:12:25.

Bank of England said next week? But you are referring to the hints and

:12:26.:12:29.

tips. It is more than that, it is more, it even more overt than that,

:12:30.:12:36.

you know, in the old days waiting the central bank would come with a

:12:37.:12:41.

decision and markets would flash, now we have like six, eight weeks to

:12:42.:12:45.

prepare ourself, so by the time it happens it is like a ship that

:12:46.:12:50.

passes in the night. You think the bulk of the moves happens before?

:12:51.:12:54.

Absolutely, if you look at the dollar, 2014 rose 25% before the fed

:12:55.:13:00.

raised rates, some two years later, this year we had the euro going from

:13:01.:13:07.

1.05 to 1.20 and we had sterling going from 1.25 to 1.32 because the

:13:08.:13:11.

Bank of England is going to raise rates. It is done. It is baiting the

:13:12.:13:18.

cake. You will go through The Papers with us later.

:13:19.:13:22.

Harnessing the power of the sun - we'll be speaking to a leader

:13:23.:13:25.

in renewable energy batteries to find out how they

:13:26.:13:28.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:13:29.:13:41.

Whitbread, the owner of Costa Coffee and Premier Inn,

:13:42.:13:49.

has announced pre-tax profits of ?316 million.

:13:50.:13:51.

However, the results at Costa were more disappointing,

:13:52.:13:53.

with the chain reporting a 10% fall in half-year profits

:13:54.:13:55.

to ?59 million, partly due to coffee imports

:13:56.:13:57.

Theo Leggett is in our business newsroom.

:13:58.:14:05.

How well placed are they then to weather this drop? Whitbread has a

:14:06.:14:14.

group seems to be doing remarkably well, its profits are up by about

:14:15.:14:21.

10% on an underlying operating basis its headline figure is up 26%. It is

:14:22.:14:26.

expanding rapidly. Look at the share price this morning. Down 5%. Now the

:14:27.:14:29.

reason for that is concerns about one of the two main divisions of

:14:30.:14:35.

this group, Costa Coffee the so we have Premier Inns doing very well.

:14:36.:14:39.

It is expanding rapidly, and does seem to be benefits from an increase

:14:40.:14:44.

in tourism due to the weakness in the value of the pound. Costa Coffee

:14:45.:14:51.

profits are down nearly 10%, more than that, on an underlying basis,

:14:52.:14:55.

to looking at what is happening in the existing outlet, stripping out

:14:56.:15:00.

the growth, underlying sales have only grown by 0. 6%. This is a

:15:01.:15:04.

coffee maker struggling to generate growth in its existing store, that

:15:05.:15:08.

maybe partly because consumers are moving towards more sophisticated

:15:09.:15:12.

products. On top of the fact imports are more expensive because of the

:15:13.:15:16.

weak pound, people aren't so keen on that product any more and maybe they

:15:17.:15:21.

are going elsewhere. As we see investors aren't that impressed.

:15:22.:15:24.

Tell me about the third wave of coffee. Costa said this today, this

:15:25.:15:32.

what is the UK is entering, the third wave of coffee. It sounds

:15:33.:15:37.

ominous. Yes, it means consumers have gone from drinking

:15:38.:15:45.

unsophisticated freeze-dried muck we had a year year ago to going for

:15:46.:15:50.

posher coffees and now they're moving into niche products and

:15:51.:15:57.

specialist summer coffees. Costa is moving into those things and it has

:15:58.:16:05.

new coffees. But other people are doing that better. Go and relax and

:16:06.:16:13.

have a cuppa. Or have a coffee. We are back in just a moment.

:16:14.:16:23.

You're watching Business live - our top story - there's tough talk

:16:24.:16:26.

on trade ahead of President Trump's trip to Beijing next week.

:16:27.:16:29.

Last year, world leaders signed a landmark agreement to keep global

:16:30.:16:38.

And with car-makers already making a transition

:16:39.:16:41.

to greener technologies - many companies are moving

:16:42.:16:43.

Globally, our ability to capture solar energy increased

:16:44.:16:46.

by 50% in 2016 alone, but some of this electricity can be

:16:47.:16:49.

One company hoping to change this is the renewable energy firm Sonnen.

:16:50.:16:56.

The business installs batteries in people's homes and it's claimed

:16:57.:17:01.

that the system can provide three-quarters of your

:17:02.:17:03.

Christopher Ostermann is Founder and CEO of Sonnen.

:17:04.:17:15.

Tell us how the system works. The system is storing solar power until

:17:16.:17:24.

the point in time when you need it. For example in the night. It can

:17:25.:17:30.

cover the energy need for an entire night and manage the energy in your

:17:31.:17:38.

house, meaning improving our consumption, by switching electric

:17:39.:17:45.

devices. You're northern Europe and it would be possible to be cynical

:17:46.:17:50.

and say there is not enough to keep my washing machine going at night.

:17:51.:17:59.

In northern Europe you have sun light and it is enough to power a

:18:00.:18:06.

house. How much do you need. An average is a four or five kilowatt

:18:07.:18:22.

teak. The storage and installation is around 10,000. That is a lot. A

:18:23.:18:26.

lot of people won't be able to afford that. The key for your

:18:27.:18:31.

business is getting developers to install these as standard? Yes as

:18:32.:18:36.

well. It is developers and individual home owners. And if you

:18:37.:18:41.

imagine that you save 75% of your electricity bill from day one and

:18:42.:18:45.

this system lasts 20 years you have a fairly well pay back. The real

:18:46.:18:49.

market for you must be in new build I imagine. That must be where you

:18:50.:18:57.

can... Organise it so with the developers to get all the roofs

:18:58.:19:02.

facing in the right direction and the infrastructure in place, how

:19:03.:19:07.

much of your stuff is new build or is it retro fitting? 80% of the

:19:08.:19:13.

business is newly installed installations, not necessarily on

:19:14.:19:21.

new homes. New homes is maybe 50% of the business. What you need is

:19:22.:19:31.

regulator tos or s to say we are going to build revery new house with

:19:32.:19:37.

this. Yes this is happening around the world, people understand cleaner

:19:38.:19:43.

energy is a main issue. Where is it happening and where is not

:19:44.:19:46.

happening. Needless to say in the United States it is not happening

:19:47.:19:50.

for several reasons, but it is happening all over the world. The

:19:51.:19:57.

energy market it getting decentralised and this is supporting

:19:58.:20:03.

what we do. We solve the problem of renewable energy. You never know

:20:04.:20:13.

when the sun is shining and storage over comes this problem. How big are

:20:14.:20:19.

these things. Is it the size of a boiler. No it is like the shelf for

:20:20.:20:24.

shoes. It is 60 centimetres wide. That gives you enough power from the

:20:25.:20:30.

time the sun goes down until it comes up Yes. You don't use use your

:20:31.:20:38.

own battery. How does that work. We are sourcing battery sales from

:20:39.:20:42.

different suppliers, high quality sales that last 20 years and we are

:20:43.:20:47.

building the rest around that and the main part of what we are doing

:20:48.:20:55.

is the software part. It is do with what you call communities of

:20:56.:20:59.

batteries. Yes we invented this community and this means that we

:21:00.:21:05.

interconnect thousands of residential systems into a virtual

:21:06.:21:10.

power plant and what this does is supply customers from grid powers

:21:11.:21:18.

from other users, and secondly it supports the grid, by giving balance

:21:19.:21:23.

to the grid. Do I have to be close to the other users? No, you can use

:21:24.:21:30.

the public grid, you're paying a fee for that. We are using obviously the

:21:31.:21:35.

asset of the grid. But we can use the grid. So it is a national

:21:36.:21:39.

concept and no matter where you live you can be part of the community.

:21:40.:21:41.

Thank you very much. In a moment we'll take a look

:21:42.:21:47.

through the Business Pages but first here's a quick reminder of how

:21:48.:21:51.

to get in touch with us. The business live page is where you

:21:52.:21:59.

can stay ahead with the day's breaking business news. We have

:22:00.:22:03.

insight and analysis from the BBC's team of editors around the world.

:22:04.:22:07.

And we want to hear from you too. Get involved on the BBC business

:22:08.:22:18.

live web page. And we are on Twitter and Facebook.

:22:19.:22:25.

David is back to look through the papers.

:22:26.:22:30.

We will start with the story in the Hill, the political web-site based

:22:31.:22:38.

in Washington, the president very close to picking the next chair of

:22:39.:22:43.

the Federal Reserve? Yes the story is he wants to pick it before he

:22:44.:22:49.

goes on his tour of Asia. There is a lot of speculation. But the

:22:50.:22:54.

institutional framework of the Federal Reserve bank of America is

:22:55.:22:58.

bigger than any individual. So I'm not particularly worked. You don't

:22:59.:23:03.

think it will make a difference? No, people are speculating and traders

:23:04.:23:08.

love this kind of thing, when you have an esteemed institution, if I

:23:09.:23:13.

was to ask the difference between Eddie George and her Mervyn King and

:23:14.:23:23.

Carney, you would say you can't pick them out. It is an institutional

:23:24.:23:28.

framework. But of course I'm intrigued. There is a difference

:23:29.:23:33.

between the hawks and doves. I know he is the chairman and he has to go

:23:34.:23:39.

with the committee, but he still has a lot of weight. Yes, but to be

:23:40.:23:46.

honest once these people get in the job, it is job that makes them or

:23:47.:23:51.

they make the job. When you have a powerful institution it difficult to

:23:52.:23:55.

come and chop and change it. They will make a difference on the

:23:56.:23:58.

margin, but I'm not particularly worried over the next five years

:23:59.:24:03.

that whoever he picks will be a massive change in policy. Now back

:24:04.:24:11.

closer to the UK and in some respects people wouldn't see this as

:24:12.:24:15.

important, but it is a car dealer which has a profit warning. There is

:24:16.:24:20.

more to that about what is going on in cars and car finance. It is not

:24:21.:24:27.

just cars, people are worried about the credit growth in the United

:24:28.:24:31.

Kingdom and people earn money from financing deals and we are worried

:24:32.:24:35.

about consumption, but the Bank of England is talking of raising rates.

:24:36.:24:41.

And we think they will raise rates again in March. So we have discord.

:24:42.:24:48.

Because car sales are not doing well and consumers are struggling and the

:24:49.:24:52.

Bank of England say we want to raise rates. We have been asking for

:24:53.:24:58.

tweets on this, whether you would buy a car. Darren said buying a new

:24:59.:25:04.

car is like chucking a third of the money in the river. Always buy

:25:05.:25:09.

second hand. He says if I could afford it, yes. Helen said always

:25:10.:25:16.

buy a three-year-old vehicle. It might be difficult for everyone to

:25:17.:25:23.

buy second hand cars. You can buy them too old and you have to pay

:25:24.:25:31.

higher taxes to drive into London. But making the air cleaner for us

:25:32.:25:37.

all. That is one argument not to buy a second hand vehicle. Or you can

:25:38.:25:42.

buy no vehicle. I gave my car away. Maybe for the sake of the economy

:25:43.:25:47.

you should buy a car. I don't know how devoted to the economy you have

:25:48.:25:52.

to be to do that. Thank you very much.

:25:53.:25:54.

There will be more business news throughout the day on the BBC Live

:25:55.:26:01.

webpage and on World Business Report.

:26:02.:26:03.

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