25/10/2017 BBC Business Live


25/10/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Alice Baxter and Ben Bland.

:00:00.:00:09.

The weed killer conundrum - EU health experts are due to vote

:00:10.:00:12.

on whether or not to extend the licence for glyphosate over

:00:13.:00:15.

Live from London, that's our top story on Wednesday

:00:16.:00:19.

The industry say it's harmless and necessary

:00:20.:00:39.

for farmers but opponents claim it's carcinogenic.

:00:40.:00:46.

Also in the programme, China's Communist Party

:00:47.:00:48.

unveils its new top leadership with no obvious successor among

:00:49.:00:50.

We'll find out what it means for the economy.

:00:51.:01:02.

Of course, we will bring you up to date with the latest from the

:01:03.:01:07.

markets. Following a healthy run in Asia overnight, European markets

:01:08.:01:08.

have opened. Once the leader in smartphone

:01:09.:01:11.

technology, Blackberry left the handset game last year

:01:12.:01:13.

to focus on software. We'll be speaking to

:01:14.:01:15.

the Chief Executive about the move. And a handwritten note containing

:01:16.:01:18.

Albert Einstein's formula for happiness has fetched

:01:19.:01:22.

$1.3 million at auction. So, we want to know -

:01:23.:01:26.

what's your secret to happiness? Apart from watching BBC Business

:01:27.:01:31.

Life, of course! A two-year row over whether to ban

:01:32.:01:35.

the use of a common weed killer EU health experts are due to vote

:01:36.:01:52.

on whether to extend It's a chemical used by farmers

:01:53.:01:58.

and gardeners across the world To give you an idea,

:01:59.:02:04.

residue of the chemical has been And it was discovered in the urine

:02:05.:02:10.

of three-quarters of Germans tested, The reason this is worrying

:02:11.:02:19.

for some are the links A study in 2015 by the World Health

:02:20.:02:25.

Organisation's Cancer Agency found that it was probably

:02:26.:02:36.

carcinogenic to humans. Monsanto - which discovered

:02:37.:02:38.

the chemical and owns the Roundup brand -

:02:39.:02:40.

insists it is safe. The other issue is

:02:41.:02:44.

what could replace it. Several farmers unions

:02:45.:02:46.

have threatened lawsuits if the licence is not extended

:02:47.:02:47.

because they would have With me is our Economics

:02:48.:02:50.

Correspondent Andrew Walker. As Alice was mentioning, there is a

:02:51.:03:11.

lot riding on this decision? Yes, glyphosate is the most widely used

:03:12.:03:15.

pesticide and it is very important for farmers as it is currently

:03:16.:03:19.

practised, particularly in the European Union. There have been a

:03:20.:03:22.

number of estimates about potential economic costs if they were unable

:03:23.:03:27.

to use it. One study suggested ?1 billion per year would be the cost

:03:28.:03:31.

to British farmers. Other studies in France suggested even larger costs

:03:32.:03:38.

for French vine growers and cereal farmers. So, yes, a lot at stake,

:03:39.:03:44.

quite apart from the potential losses for the suppliers. Monsanto

:03:45.:03:48.

is one you mentioned. But there are other businesses that use the

:03:49.:03:53.

glyphosate in pesticides. It is also worth mentioning that the ability to

:03:54.:03:58.

use glyphosate is one of the key selling points of certain types of

:03:59.:04:02.

genetically modified crops, because they are resistant to glyphosate,

:04:03.:04:08.

which means that the soil around them can be sprayed with this

:04:09.:04:12.

pesticide, with this herbicide, and they survive intact and don't have

:04:13.:04:21.

to deal with competition from weeds. The politics behind this are

:04:22.:04:26.

interesting. The European Commission seems to be in favour of renewing

:04:27.:04:29.

the license, but the European Parliament sits on the other side of

:04:30.:04:33.

the fence? The European Parliament yesterday passed a resolution

:04:34.:04:38.

calling for glyphosate to be phased out over five years. The European

:04:39.:04:43.

Commission originally proposed a ten year renewal. They are now accepting

:04:44.:04:46.

it is likely to be shorter than that. In a meeting happening today

:04:47.:04:49.

they are looking for something between five and seven years. It is

:04:50.:04:53.

striking, they could come in principle, go ahead and simply do

:04:54.:04:59.

this if they wanted to. But they want to ensure that the member

:05:00.:05:04.

states are onside, because it is so politically sensitive. We had a

:05:05.:05:08.

petition signed by more than 1 million Europeans presented to the

:05:09.:05:12.

EU this week calling for no extension. I was speaking to

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somebody from the European Crop Protection Agency earlier who said

:05:18.:05:20.

there is very little evidence that it is carcinogenic. That is one of

:05:21.:05:25.

the big issues that has made this so controversial? Indeed. There are a

:05:26.:05:28.

couple of European agencies, one looking at food and one that

:05:29.:05:31.

chemicals, that have concluded glyphosate is probably OK. The main

:05:32.:05:38.

report against it is from, as Alice mentioned at the beginning, from the

:05:39.:05:45.

WHO's Cancer Research Agency, which thought it was probably carcinogenic

:05:46.:05:50.

to humans. That is based to a large extent on evidence from animal

:05:51.:05:53.

experiments and evidence looking at DNA damage in human cells. At the

:05:54.:05:59.

very least, it is fair to say that the scientific community does not

:06:00.:06:03.

regard it as established fact that it is dangerous. OK, thanks very

:06:04.:06:04.

much. Let's take a look at some of

:06:05.:06:09.

the other stories making the news. French carmaker PSA Group says it's

:06:10.:06:13.

seen its revenue rise strongly after it added Opel-Vauxhall sales

:06:14.:06:15.

numbers for the first time and increased deliveries

:06:16.:06:18.

in Europe and Latin America. The maker of Peugeot and Citroen

:06:19.:06:23.

cars saw a revenue rise of 31 percent to $17.6 billion

:06:24.:06:28.

in the third quarter Shares of Chipotle slumped more

:06:29.:06:30.

than 8% in late US trading after the Mexican food chain

:06:31.:06:38.

missed earnings expectations. The company has struggled to win

:06:39.:06:42.

back customers after at least two food safety scares

:06:43.:06:44.

and a hacking attack. The last pack of UK-made cigarettes

:06:45.:06:50.

has rolled off the production line The Japanese firm JTI which took

:06:51.:06:53.

over Gallaher in 2007 announced the closure of its Ballymena

:06:54.:07:02.

plant in 2014. More than 800 people

:07:03.:07:07.

were employed at the factory. China has revealed its new senior

:07:08.:07:13.

leadership committee but broke with tradition by not including

:07:14.:07:16.

a clear successor to What does it mean for the future

:07:17.:07:18.

of the Chinese economy? Just bring us up-to-date with what

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has been happening, and what does this all mean for the economy? Five

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new faces. What we now have is the upper echelons of power, the seven

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person body, filled now with people who are loyal to President Xi and

:07:56.:08:05.

what he wants to do with the economy. It continues to grow at a

:08:06.:08:08.

rate that many in the West would envy, but the rate is slowing and

:08:09.:08:12.

the government needs to deal with changes to big state-owned entities

:08:13.:08:15.

that employ millions of people but are struck down by terrible

:08:16.:08:26.

inefficiencies. Xi Jinping made it clear that he wants market reforms

:08:27.:08:32.

to remain in place, but he wants few of them but more of them,, the

:08:33.:08:35.

state-owned entities. We are not good to see sudden reforms that mean

:08:36.:08:39.

big bankruptcies and more privatisation. That is not going to

:08:40.:08:40.

happen. Asian shares outside of Japan edged

:08:41.:08:43.

higher on Wednesday, while US Treasury yields

:08:44.:08:50.

and the dollar got a lift following a report that Republican

:08:51.:08:52.

senators were leaning towards John Taylor to be the next

:08:53.:08:54.

Federal Reserve chief. That is a name you might hear a lot

:08:55.:09:02.

more than the future. But, Tokyo's Nikkei share average

:09:03.:09:05.

dropped for the first time in 17 days in choppy trade on Wednesday -

:09:06.:09:08.

it looks like there's been some investor profit taking

:09:09.:09:11.

following the recent record run of consecutive daily

:09:12.:09:13.

gains helped this week by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's

:09:14.:09:15.

coalition winning Sunday's election. Meanwhile, here in Europe,

:09:16.:09:24.

stocks have opened Wednesday. Fairly mixed, but it is only really

:09:25.:09:37.

the London FTSE 100 that is slightly down.

:09:38.:09:39.

And Samira Hussain has the details about what's ahead

:09:40.:09:41.

Earnings continue on Wednesday with Coca-Cola reporting

:09:42.:09:46.

Now, while it is best known for soft drinks it seems bottled iced coffee

:09:47.:09:51.

Its rival, PepsiCo, reported a drop in soda sales in North America.

:09:52.:09:57.

That could be an indication that Coke have gained some market share

:09:58.:10:00.

Now, the world's biggest playmaker saw an increase in total

:10:01.:10:17.

That was really led by more single-aisle 737 jets.

:10:18.:10:20.

But fewer higher valued widebody deliveries.

:10:21.:10:22.

Finally Visa, the world's largest payments processor

:10:23.:10:24.

Now, with consumer spending rising, people were using the payment

:10:25.:10:27.

That means this past quarter will likely have been a good

:10:28.:10:33.

Richard Dunbar is Investment Director at Aberdeen

:10:34.:10:43.

Good to see you, nice to have you on the programme. Some healthy earnings

:10:44.:10:55.

reports from the US, helping to push the Wall Street stocks to a new

:10:56.:11:00.

record high? Indeed, probably a good job. We are seeing reasonably good

:11:01.:11:08.

results from the likes of Caterpillar, GM, it is a reasonable

:11:09.:11:16.

result. Next, the generally good results from banks in the US. Tell

:11:17.:11:21.

us what is happening with UK earnings? More mixed. There has been

:11:22.:11:25.

a well-publicised drop in the pound and the pressure that puts on the

:11:26.:11:30.

consumer. We have the likes of Whitbread yesterday, companies

:11:31.:11:32.

finding it more difficult to make progress in the UK and more broadly

:11:33.:11:37.

in Europe. Things are a little bit more difficult and that is what we

:11:38.:11:40.

are seeing in the results coming through. I mentioned earlier that

:11:41.:11:45.

finally that slight dip we have seen in Tokyo, after the huge consecutive

:11:46.:11:55.

run of daily gains? Week now have a strong government, a weaker yen,

:11:56.:12:00.

positive for exporters. Now the focus is back on what Prime Minister

:12:01.:12:07.

Abe is going to do. The tax policy, interest policy and trying to

:12:08.:12:11.

restore or improve some of the governance around the Japanese

:12:12.:12:15.

corporate sector. We are going to focus on that. That is why the

:12:16.:12:18.

market has weakened back to real life, if you like. That is where the

:12:19.:12:23.

real challenge lies, the big structural reforms that seem to be

:12:24.:12:26.

quite slow to actually come into practice? Cutting interest rates,

:12:27.:12:29.

reducing tax is quite straightforward. The whole

:12:30.:12:32.

restructuring, the changing governance, the change in the wake

:12:33.:12:35.

Japanese companies do business, it is a very positive change. What we

:12:36.:12:41.

have seen so far has been taken very well by markets. It is much more

:12:42.:12:49.

difficult than the first two that he helpfully fired. We're going to talk

:12:50.:12:52.

about the Albert Einstein note that fetched more than $1 million at

:12:53.:12:57.

auction about happiness. Have a think about what your secret to

:12:58.:13:02.

happiness is. I have been told the secret to happiness is champagne,

:13:03.:13:05.

champagne and more champagne. That is one of the market guests. That is

:13:06.:13:10.

Ron Jeremy, good to know that you are watching even when you are not

:13:11.:13:11.

doing the markets. Still to come, Blackberry's comeback

:13:12.:13:12.

- but without the iconic handset. We'll be speaking to

:13:13.:13:15.

the Chief Executive about how the company's doing now it's left

:13:16.:13:17.

the hardware market. You're with Business

:13:18.:13:19.

Live from BBC News. Lloyds Banking Group profits soared

:13:20.:13:36.

9% to ?2 billion in it's An upbeat trading update

:13:37.:13:38.

from the bank called Theo Leggett has been

:13:39.:13:42.

going through the numbers. It does generally seem to be good

:13:43.:13:58.

news. What's interesting is the reaction from shareholders. As you

:13:59.:14:05.

can see, the Lloyds share price did dip 1.5% on opening. This is largely

:14:06.:14:08.

because the results are slightly lower than expectations. That is

:14:09.:14:12.

because expectations were so high. Lloyds had a very good first half of

:14:13.:14:15.

the year. The last quarter has also been very good. Figures massaged

:14:16.:14:22.

edit by the fact that we have a big allocation for payment protection

:14:23.:14:25.

insurance. Even so, if you look at the figures over the past nine

:14:26.:14:30.

months, pre-tax profit of ?4.5 billion, up 38% on last year. It is

:14:31.:14:35.

generating profits. The government has sold the final tranche of

:14:36.:14:38.

shares. Things are looking up for this bank, I think. What is behind

:14:39.:14:46.

the profit growth? If you listen to the chief Executive, simply that

:14:47.:14:48.

they have a prudent approach to investing. That the UK economy has

:14:49.:14:54.

remained largely resilient. Also worth noting that these results

:14:55.:14:59.

don't contain any new provisions for PPI, payment protection insurance

:15:00.:15:05.

compensation. In July, ?700 million was put aside for compensation, but

:15:06.:15:10.

this time there is nothing put aside, even though it is still

:15:11.:15:13.

getting a lot of applications. Getting out of the way is a

:15:14.:15:17.

significant moment for the bank, as well as the fact that earlier this

:15:18.:15:20.

year the government back are out. It is putting crisis in previous good

:15:21.:15:34.

-- bad management behind it. Lovely stuff, thank you. Plenty of

:15:35.:15:41.

stories updated throughout the day on the website. On there at the

:15:42.:15:46.

moment, the fashion retailer jigsaw, talking about their marketing

:15:47.:15:51.

campaign, with the chief executive saying it is not political, just

:15:52.:15:55.

about basic humanity and values for us, saying we are a brand that

:15:56.:16:02.

relies on a multitude of diversity, fabric from Italy, people from

:16:03.:16:05.

Germany, people from Japan. We are showing that very few of us are 100%

:16:06.:16:10.

British. More details of that on our website.

:16:11.:16:14.

Our top story, the weed killer conundrum.

:16:15.:16:20.

EU health experts will vote on whether or not to extend

:16:21.:16:23.

Industry says it's harmless and necessary, but opponents claim

:16:24.:16:28.

Now, let's talk about something a little bit different, shall we?

:16:29.:16:40.

A full QWERTY keyboard, Blackberry Messenger and access

:16:41.:16:41.

At the start of the decade, the Blackberry smartphone was as

:16:42.:16:46.

But following the rise of both Apple and other Android-based rivals

:16:47.:16:55.

the company's share price has since plummeted over 80%.

:16:56.:16:58.

Last year, Blackberry took the landmark

:16:59.:17:01.

decision to stop manufacturing the handsets which the company

:17:02.:17:04.

Instead, the business is now focusing on online services

:17:05.:17:08.

such as cyber-security and driverless car technology.

:17:09.:17:10.

. Welcome. Good to see you. John, when he took over at Blackberry,

:17:11.:17:29.

charged with turning the company around, what did you pinpoint as the

:17:30.:17:33.

main problems that led to its demise from the dominant position it once

:17:34.:17:38.

held? Well, we obviously were losing money and market share. You pointed

:17:39.:17:42.

out a little bit earlier that we have some strong rivals that came

:17:43.:17:47.

kind of out of nowhere, so with that, we were missing the then

:17:48.:17:55.

trend. That was the issue we had to face. As I was saying earlier, you

:17:56.:18:01.

took the decision about a year ago now to stop producing the formerly

:18:02.:18:04.

ubiquitous Blackberry handset. Do you look back now at the decision

:18:05.:18:08.

with regret, do you think it was the right thing to do? Well, first of

:18:09.:18:15.

all, we didn't really leave the bones behind. We licensed to others

:18:16.:18:21.

to build all these iconic things you mentioned. It is regret for only

:18:22.:18:25.

that we used to do everything, from putting it together, but now we have

:18:26.:18:30.

other people doing it. We licensed it and we manage the brand. I think

:18:31.:18:36.

the good days of the phone could yet come back but Blackberry will get a

:18:37.:18:41.

royalty payment however broadly they sell the phone. So your focus is now

:18:42.:18:47.

very much on software and interestingly moving into the

:18:48.:18:51.

driverless car technology said. It strikes me that almost every day

:18:52.:18:55.

another company says they are going into driverless car technology. I

:18:56.:18:58.

enter such a competitive field rather than focus on what you are

:18:59.:19:03.

known for, cyber security, and just do that thing really well without

:19:04.:19:08.

getting distracted? Wonderful questions. First of all, a car also

:19:09.:19:14.

needs cyber security. Especially an autonomous driven car. It is very

:19:15.:19:24.

packable. -- it is very easy to hack. So we are applying that

:19:25.:19:33.

technology to cars. Secondly, we happen to own a company which is the

:19:34.:19:43.

largest car software company, delivering 60 million cars software.

:19:44.:19:46.

When I came into the company, I looked at all the assets, what do

:19:47.:19:52.

you do well? So I said I will look at what we do well rather than what

:19:53.:19:57.

you don't do well and cars happen to be one of the areas where we were

:19:58.:20:04.

dominant. Although we embed software and sell through others, providing

:20:05.:20:09.

it to the car manufacturer, you will see us getting a bigger and bigger

:20:10.:20:14.

footprint. But are we right in thinking that you are perhaps not as

:20:15.:20:17.

bullish as others in the market in thinking it may be longer than we

:20:18.:20:21.

think before we see the driverless cars on our roads in a mainstream

:20:22.:20:26.

way? Yes, I think there are a lot of problems to be solved and most of

:20:27.:20:30.

them are not technological. Some of them are cost structure but a lot of

:20:31.:20:38.

them are at Government level. We need to define how safe car must be

:20:39.:20:42.

before it is allowed on the road. There are a lot of different things.

:20:43.:20:47.

You can have a car driving along by itself as well as cars being driven

:20:48.:20:52.

by people like us. Mistakes be made. A decision needs to be taken in a

:20:53.:20:58.

split-second, so I think the public policy, the whole insurance market,

:20:59.:21:02.

who is liable, everything has got to change, so it is not as simple as me

:21:03.:21:11.

giving you a car. I could build you a car by 2021. I'd like to get back

:21:12.:21:16.

to your question earlier. I think the car market is heat so huge that

:21:17.:21:22.

it requires many players. So it is far from exaggerated.

:21:23.:21:27.

John, just very quickly, do you think Blackberry has had its glory

:21:28.:21:35.

days because it can never reproduce the dominant it had in that sector?

:21:36.:21:42.

It was king, wasn't it? It was, but as I say, every car has security and

:21:43.:21:46.

we manage that every day, so I think that is a dominance. John, thank you

:21:47.:21:53.

very much indeed. John Chen, chief executive at Blackberry.

:21:54.:21:57.

Yes, that is very interesting. Thank you.

:21:58.:21:58.

In a moment we'll take a look through the Business Pages but first

:21:59.:22:01.

here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:22:02.:22:04.

The businesslike pages where you can keep up-to-date with all the gay's

:22:05.:22:10.

breaking business news. We will keep you up-to-date with insight and

:22:11.:22:18.

analysis from people worldwide. Get involved on the BBC's web page and

:22:19.:22:22.

on social media. First, let's read through some of

:22:23.:22:40.

the tweets you have been sending in because of the back of one of the

:22:41.:22:44.

paper stories we have been looking at today about Einstein having

:22:45.:22:47.

written this note about the secret to happiness and it being sold for

:22:48.:22:52.

$1.5 million, we asked you what your secret to happiness was. One from

:22:53.:22:58.

Barlow, finding another of Einstein's handwritten secrets. That

:22:59.:23:02.

would make him happy. From back then, good company, good sleep and

:23:03.:23:07.

good wine. Derek says not caring what others think about you. Ray

:23:08.:23:12.

says family, food and football. And Jerome says sunset over the Thames.

:23:13.:23:16.

Remember to appreciate the little things in life. Very good points.

:23:17.:23:24.

Richard, your million-dollar secret to happiness. A free putt on the

:23:25.:23:35.

golf course. I think shopping for handbags and shoes and never feeling

:23:36.:23:37.

bad about yourself. How about you? I think focus on what

:23:38.:23:43.

you have rather than what you haven't got. It's so cheesy, isn't

:23:44.:23:48.

it? So much nicer than my response

:23:49.:23:53.

though. Getting back to the article, what did you make of it? I

:23:54.:24:05.

suppose we are going to focus instead on the situation in Dubai,

:24:06.:24:15.

we have clients in Dubai, I have friends who do business in Dubai and

:24:16.:24:20.

I have spent there myself. It is a place we can do business but it is a

:24:21.:24:24.

different way of doing business, a different culture and a different

:24:25.:24:27.

way of running a country, both in Dubai and in the broader Middle

:24:28.:24:32.

East. Because this particular article in the independent follows

:24:33.:24:37.

the arrest and subsequent release of 27-year-old electrician Jamie Haran

:24:38.:24:44.

who was arrested in Dubai for public indecency and then this article was

:24:45.:24:47.

written by the former managing director of Leeds united following

:24:48.:24:52.

his experience of working in Dubai. Yes, he was trying to transact in

:24:53.:24:57.

the football market, trying to buy assets into Dubai and ended up in

:24:58.:25:02.

jail rather like Jamie Haran. There are obviously different experiences

:25:03.:25:06.

people have of doing business in Dubai and the broader Middle East

:25:07.:25:09.

and experiences are mixed but the culture, governance, the way of

:25:10.:25:13.

running the country's, it is all difference. I was reading the

:25:14.:25:22.

article on my way into work this morning and it goes into a lot of

:25:23.:25:24.

detail about the experience of trying to get help and how difficult

:25:25.:25:29.

it was. There are sensitivities, aren't there, as people don't want

:25:30.:25:33.

to risk offending local customs and cultures but equally with this

:25:34.:25:40.

example of, what was his name again, the Leeds united chap who was there,

:25:41.:25:47.

he was just there to take a case to court and it went rather sour. A

:25:48.:25:51.

really interesting article. Well worth a read. Richard, really good

:25:52.:25:55.

to see you. We will see you again soon.

:25:56.:25:55.

Thank you again for all of your tweets. We have so many this

:25:56.:26:04.

morning. We will see you again soon. But by Finau. -- goodbye for now. It

:26:05.:26:14.

is another mild start to the day across the south-east of England but

:26:15.:26:17.

here we have got a bit of cloud and one or two spots of rain. That

:26:18.:26:21.

should clear away and for most of us today it should be dry with good

:26:22.:26:25.

spells of sunshine as well.

:26:26.:26:26.

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