31/01/2018 BBC Business Live


31/01/2018

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This is Business Live

from BBC News, with Sally

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Bundock and Ben Thompson.

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Bundock and Ben Thompson.

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And shakes and trade deals. --

handshakes.

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The UK Prime Minister

begins her three-day visit to China.

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Business is top of the agenda.

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Live from London,

that's our top story

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on Wednesday 31st January.

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Theresa May has arrived in China

at a crucial period for the UK.

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We'll be asking a leading expert

about the future relationship

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between the two countries.

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Also in the programme.

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Just how "great" is

the American economy?

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We weigh up the reaction

to President Trump's State

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of the Union Address.

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And January has

been the best month on record

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for global financial markets.

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Today, we look ahead to the Fed.

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Is this the

end of consumerism?

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New research confirms young people

are buying fewer things,

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but choosing to live

new experiences instead.

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So how is business

adapting to the change?

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We meet the boss of one

entertainment company

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with a bit of a difference.

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So we want to know,

are you buying less stuff.

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Are you spending less time

in the shops and more time

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in restaurants and cinemas?

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Let us know.

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Just use the hashtag BBCBizLive.

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Hello and welcome

to Business Live.

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We hope you enjoyed this experience!

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The UK Prime Minister Theresa

May has announced new education

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links with China as she arrives

for a three-day visit to boost trade

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and investment after Brexit.

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She has claimed her visit

"will intensify the golden era

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in UK-China relations".

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But she also stressed

China must adhere to free

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and fair trade practices.

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Trade between the two

is already worth more

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than $80 billion and the UK's

trade secretary Liam Fox

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says that exports to China

increased by over 25%

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in the last year alone.

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But the talks are about

more than just trade.

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The two sides will want

to ensure that investment

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between the two countries is both

fair and transparent.

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Chinese businesses

have been pursuing huge

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international expansion plans,

with investment in the UK more

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than doubling in 2017.

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Matthew Rous the Chief

Executive of China-Britain

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business council joins us.

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Thank you for joining us. Theresa

May has already announced new

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education links with China. All well

and good but should we be aiming

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higher? Should there be a bigger

trade deal in place rather than just

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a relatively small-scale education

link which is useful but it's not

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going to help a lot of businesses?

We are aiming high, my company is

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aiming high and the UK is aiming

high as well, this visit will help

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build momentum towards a free trade

agreement in the medium-term. But in

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the meantime, there are gains to be

made. This visit will usefully build

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the momentum.

It is all about small

steps, I suppose. You have

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highlighted it there and Theresa May

has made very clear it must be our

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shared objective over the coming

years, suggesting this isn't about a

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big announcement but about lots of

handshakes and meetings like this

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and lots of gatherings to try to

improve relations on a day-to-day

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basis.

Sometimes it is Big Bang but

generally speaking, China is a long

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game for UK business. As an

organisation, we've been never 65

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years, helping companies to make

success, to achieve success in a big

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and challenging market in many ways.

But various such a thing as

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Brailsford's law, fans of British

cycling will know you accrue the

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incremental gains one by one and

that applies in business as well and

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we want to see good things coming

out of this.

The British delegation

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is about 50 or so people with

Theresa May, not the biggest but at

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the same time important in terms of

who is there, we know Jaguar Land

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Rover and firms like BP are there,

well and good for big firms but what

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about small business?

It's actually

quite a diverse delegation. The

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government has done a good job in

assembling a mix of companies large

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and small from different sectors and

there are some new faces there and I

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think that is welcome as it helps to

put new people in front of Chinese

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audiences and to showcase everything

we do. As China gets older and

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richer, the UK's offer in terms of

world beating financial services,

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health care and consumer goods is

really strong.

But it's not without

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controversy, though, particularly

when it comes to things like steel

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exports from China, a lot of

manufacturers say it is done too

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cheaply and locked them out of the

market and lots of concern about

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Chinese technology involvement in

things like Hinkley Point. Will she

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address those on this visit?

I think

we can be proud of the fact that

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Britain is one of the world's most

open economies and we have been very

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open to Chinese investment in key

sectors.

But can Theresa May have

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tough talks with the Chinese without

jeopardising the investment?

It is

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part of a mature conversation

between two long-standing partners.

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So yes, is my answer, I would not

expect it to dominate but she will

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be looking to get the point across.

We will watch and wait and see what

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is announced. Thank you for joining

us.

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Let's take a look

at some of the other

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stories making the news.

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Japan's

Fujifilm is to cut a fifth

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of its global workforce -

that's around 10,000

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jobs, blaming a decline

in the photocopying business.

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Fujifilm owns 75% of the joint

venture, called Fuji Xerox,

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which accounts for nearly half

of the Japanese company's

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sales and profits.

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It comes as Fuji film looks set to

take over Xerox.

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Workers in Germany have

begun a series of 24-hour strikes

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in a row over pay and working hours.

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The powerful Ee Gay Metall union has

called on its members to down tools

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for the rest of the week.

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The union is demanding an 8% pay

rise and shorter working hours

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for 3.9 million workers.

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Samsung has reported

a record 73% jump

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in its fourth quarter profit,

to $11.4 billion.

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That was mainly driven

by demand for its memory

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chips and display panels.

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The South Korean giant's shares

surged more than 8%,

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after suggesting the outlook

for the memory sector

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is forecast to remain strong.

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Donald Trump has given his first

State of the Union speech,

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where he outlined his achievements

during his first year in office.

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One hour and 20 minutes, that is how

long it was. I listened to the whole

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thing!

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The US President also

reiterated his stance

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on international trade -

here's what he had to say.

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The era of economic surrender is

totally over. From now on, we expect

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trading relationships to be fair and

very importantly, reciprocal.

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We will work to fix bad trade deals

and negotiate new ones and they will

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be good ones but they will be fair.

We will protect American workers and

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American intellectual property

through strong enforcement of our

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trade rules.

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Our Asia Business

Correspondent Karishma Vaswani

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is in Singapore for us.

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It interesting, talking about trade

but not a lot of detail.

I think it

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would be fair to say there was not a

lot of detail in many aspects of the

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President's speech today but the

State of the Union is all about

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laying out an agenda for the next 12

months or so and President Trump

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certainly did that and when it came

to trade, as you said, in the clip

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you have just run for the audiences,

he's repeated some of the things we

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have heard before so many times, he

wants free trade, fair trade,

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reciprocal trade, some of his

favourite words when it comes to

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talking about trade policies. What

we did not hear however is that he

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was not as hard on China as many had

expected him to be. Ahead of the

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State of the Union, there were lots

of comments, lots of expectations,

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certainly from people out in the

Asian business community that

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perhaps we would see some hard

policy moves on China with regard to

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intellectual property, the

investigation of the US has launched

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an China, or something even on steel

and aluminium tariffs, especially

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after he slapped tariffs on solar

panels and washing machines last

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week, which we have talked about

before. But beyond saying that he

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wants trade to be fair and

reciprocal, that he will get out of

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bad trade deals, no specifics so far

on what he is actually going to do

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with China. Many of the Asian

businesses I have been speaking to

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our breathing a sigh of relief

because for now, at least, but not

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for long, but because as one member

of the Asian trade business

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Association in Singapore told me

does not mean there is not a trade

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war on the horizon because it was

not mentioned in the State of union.

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We should that warning. So the

Twitter or teleprompter president

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delivered his State of the Union

address and we will talk more about

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that in a minute but let's look at

the market. Japan down by 0.8% at

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the close. Some of the key losers,

like Fuji film, one of the big

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stories, Hong Kong bouncing back

after slides across the board on

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Wall Street the night before. We are

in the midst of the Federal Reserve

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meeting. The last one presided over

by Janet Yellen as chair. We will

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talk about that in a moment. January

in Europe has proved to be the

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strongest month on record -- January

on record for global financial

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markets but some profit-taking going

on around the world, the Footsie

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down just a touch having opened, but

gains in Europe and Stirling

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bouncing back today against some

guarantees. Let's look ahead to the

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day on Wall Street.

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Yogita Limaye has the details.

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It's a big day for

corporate results here.

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Technology giant Microsoft

is expected to report a strong

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performance as is Facebook.

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Investors will be waiting to hear

how the new tax bill will impact

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earnings in the months ahead

for the two companies.

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Meanwhile, profits are

expected to have risen at

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American plane-maker

Boeing because more people

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are choosing to travel by air.

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Wall Street will be watching

for comments on the trade battle

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with Canada's Bombardier,

which Boeing recently lost,

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and they will also be looking

for more details of

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the company's proposed tie-up

with Brazilian firm Embraer.

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Telecoms company AT&T

and chip-maker Qualcomm,

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will also be releasing earnings.

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And we will be hearing

from the Federal

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Reserve as well which will conclude

its monetary policy meeting today.

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Rates are not expected to be changed

but it will be interesting to see

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what the committee makes

of the slightly lower than expected

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growth rate in the last

quarter of 2017.

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We were just chatting about Janet

Yellen!

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Joining us is Mike Amey,

Managing Director and Portfolio

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Manager at PIMCO.

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Good morning. Let's stay in the US

because we saw pictures of Janet

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Yellen, her last Federal Reserve

meeting in charge but she's had a

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pretty good run, held a steady ship.

A very good run, yeah, she's

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achieved a number of things, one is

the US economy continuing to do very

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well and she should take some credit

for that. She has also managed to

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get interest rates away from

effectively zero and that, a couple

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of years ago, was a very big deal.

It was uncertain whether they would

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be able to raise rates and there

would not be problems somewhere in

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the system and she has achieved that

well. She's done a good job.

And

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also the massive quantitative easing

experiment, she has kind of got the

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US economy off the intravenous drip

and she has done it without any

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tapered tantrums that we saw

previously.

They learned from

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previous experience and the

so-called template -- taper tantrum

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way you got volatility was all about

market is being surprised but now

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they have been making it very clear

they will be slow about it and the

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rate rises, for example, it has

taken in two years to get up to 1.5%

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from 0.25%, it's been steadily done

which has been the right thing as it

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has turned out, so good job.

A quick

word on the state of union, we heard

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Donald Trump talking about trade

earlier but he was also very keen to

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point out the tax cut that he says

has handed business a big boost and

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lots of infrastructure spending and

US business will like that. It looks

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like the theme going forward is

infrastructure spending.

The tax cut

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gave the stock market a boost at the

year's end and they are looking to

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the midterms at the end of this year

so we will hear more about

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infrastructure but as we know,

getting infrastructure spend done is

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difficult and takes time and he's

trying to do what other countries

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have done which is in gauge the

government and the private sector

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and that can be a very difficult

combination, as we know. -- is

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engaged the government.

We will

learn the lessons from Carillion.

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Still to come...

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Tapping in to the $1 trillion

experience industry.

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We meet the entrepreneur

putting on virtual reality

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entertainment shows.

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That is what these pictures relate

to.

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You're with Business

Live from BBC News.

0:14:130:14:18

The number of cars made

in the UK fell last year

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for the first time since 2009.

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Lower demand is partly to blame,

according to the Society

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of Motor Manufacturers and Traders.

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It's just released

the latest figures.

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Chief executive Mike

Hawes joins us now.

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So tell us a bit more about how

things have gone.

Over the past

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year, production output from UK car

manufacturing plants fell about 3%,

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primarily due to a drop in demand in

local markets, so basically cars

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built in the UK for UK customers.

What we have seen is slowing growth,

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declining business and consumer

confidence which has affected demand

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last year, as has a lot of the

confusion in the UK around potential

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diesel changes that the government

is looking to make. But both of

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those factors together and it's

depressed new car registrations last

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year which has a knock-on effect on

production as well.

But coming from

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a pretty high level, every time we

speak to you it has done a story of

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sales and new registrations going up

but at the same time, a lot of

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concern about financing deals,

people able to get cars cheaply but

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you end up with a flood of

second-hand cars in the market would

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ultimately affects new-car sales.

Potentially but what has been very

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encouraging is the residual value of

the second-hand car market has been

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very strong and second-hand values

have held up which is good for the

0:15:480:15:52

finance packages that are available.

There has been a degree of

0:15:520:15:56

examination of the finance

arrangements but essentially, they

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are delivering what the consumer

wants and that is enabling the

0:16:000:16:05

consumer to purchase a car or at

least effectively lease one third or

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four years and at the conclusion of

the lease, they can flip into a new

0:16:090:16:13

one, had the car back or pay a bit

more to own it outright and that is

0:16:130:16:16

very attractive, it is just the

changing nature of the new-car

0:16:160:16:20

consumer.

Thank you for joining us.

0:16:200:16:22

OK, Andrew

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OK, Mike, thanks.

0:16:400:16:45

boss of the company, Ellipsis

Entertainment. And polenta is in

0:16:450:16:50

trouble over possible insider

trading, so there will be updates

0:16:500:16:53

you the Business Live page. You can

find out more on the website.

0:16:530:17:03

You're watching Business

Live - our top story:

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UK Prime Minister Theresa May has

announced new education links with

0:17:090:17:12

China as she begins her three-day

tour of the country. Of course she

0:17:120:17:16

is looking to boost trade and

investment after Brexit. She has

0:17:160:17:20

claimed her visit will intensify the

golden era in UK and China

0:17:200:17:25

relations, but she has also stressed

China must agree to free and fair

0:17:250:17:28

trade practices. Claims of steel

exports being dumped earlier.

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We are in the grip of

a spending revolution,

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with the rise of the so-called

"experience economy."

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That's where people are spending

more cash on doing things -

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like going to concerts -

than buying objects like

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clothes or gadgets.

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It's being fuelled by the changing

tastes of millennials.

0:17:490:17:52

Research in the US suggests

78% of young people

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would rather buy access to an event

or experience, rather

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than buying objects.

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The same study says that more

than half of millennials

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are spending more on events and live

experiences than ever before.

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And that's good for business,

and our next guest.

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His company - Ellipsis Entertainment

- is planning to stage innovative

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theatre events using virtual reality

and augmented reality.

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He's already managed to raise around

$4.5 million in investment to stage

0:18:210:18:24

the first event in London in March.

0:18:240:18:28

Andrew McGuiness is the boss

of Ellipsis Entertainment

0:18:280:18:30

and joins me now.

0:18:300:18:35

This event in March was your big

idea. Can you just explain how it

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will work?

We are bringing together

technology, virtual reality,

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augmented reality, with theatre, so

we have large-scale sets with

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actors, 20,000 square feet, so very

large spaces, together with the

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physical aspect, and it is bringing

together of those things, the kind

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of layering if you like of those

different experiences that makes

0:18:580:19:02

ours unique.

Who is the customer for

this? Are we talking about those

0:19:020:19:06

millennial is we just mentioned

there?

They will be a big part of

0:19:060:19:11

it, you know. They are very keen to

have new and experiences. They want

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to have both those expenses with

their friends but also to share them

0:19:160:19:19

with the wider community to show

they have had them. But the truth is

0:19:190:19:24

this data is focused on millennials

but many of us... I want to buy less

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stuff, I want to do things I

remember, and really what we're

0:19:290:19:33

trying to do is create really

memorable experiences for people. It

0:19:330:19:36

might just explain how this works.

As you were saying to me earlier in

0:19:360:19:40

the green room -- so can you just

explain how this works?

During a

0:19:400:19:46

mass of warehouse with real actors

and you go on a bit of a journey, a

0:19:460:19:51

bit of story -- you are in a massive

warehouse. Some of it is physical?

0:19:510:19:56

Is that right?

Yes, you go in groups

of six, how you travel through it,

0:19:560:20:01

and it is a big physical experience

and some of it is fairly invasive,

0:20:010:20:06

like virtual reality, incredible in

terms of what it can deliver, but

0:20:060:20:09

then we are combining that with

actors and sets to make it much

0:20:090:20:12

richer, but we are also using other

technologies, so other things people

0:20:120:20:16

may not have experienced at all.

It

is £50 for a ticket?

Yes, for 90

0:20:160:20:23

minutes, to two hours, the whole

experience. The equivalent of going

0:20:230:20:26

to a West End theatre but for a new

generation of people looking for a

0:20:260:20:30

different experience.

Talking about

the cost, we constantly hear young

0:20:300:20:33

people have less money in their

pocket because it is harder to get

0:20:330:20:36

on the housing ladder and everything

is costing more, European student

0:20:360:20:41

loans, although what sort of thing.

Does that worry you? As a business

0:20:410:20:44

that target young people, that they

have less money? -- you are paying

0:20:440:20:51

student loans.

Of course we would

love people to have more money in

0:20:510:20:53

their pocket but what we have on

from research is they prioritise

0:20:530:20:56

these experiences. They are willing

to spend it, partly because they

0:20:560:20:59

can't have other things in their

lives, so they may not have a home,

0:20:590:21:03

a car, some of the things I may have

aspired to have in my 20s but it is

0:21:030:21:07

a choice they are having they want

to spend the money on experiences

0:21:070:21:11

rather than that staff.

Presumably

being located in London where you

0:21:110:21:14

are launching this, I know you have

global ambitions, New York,

0:21:140:21:19

Singapore etc, but you are also

banking on the tourism market,

0:21:190:21:21

Irish? It is a catchall in a city

like London? -- you are banking on

0:21:210:21:28

the tourism market, I assume?

Yes,

the website gives you an idea of

0:21:280:21:35

what the experience is like.

Did you

just throw that one in?

0:21:350:21:41

LAUGHTER

It is my job. We will get tourists,

0:21:410:21:44

but this is for the people of

London, and we want to do something

0:21:440:21:48

that particularly the young people

of London love and deliver them some

0:21:480:21:52

fantastic memories.

Andrew, thank

you. Good luck with it and let us

0:21:520:21:57

know how it goes. Andrew McGuiness,

director of Ellipsis Entertainment.

0:21:570:22:00

Lots of you getting in touch with us

about this. We spoke about this at

0:22:000:22:04

the start of the programme, spending

less money on stuff and moronic

0:22:040:22:08

abuses. Here is one. The only stuff

I need is a stack of photos from the

0:22:080:22:12

awesome places I have been.

Experiences overstuffed any day --

0:22:120:22:22

spending less money on stuff and

more on experiences. Lots of you are

0:22:220:22:30

getting in touch. Here's another

reason why.

0:22:300:22:38

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There is insight and analysis

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0:22:460:22:49

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And we want to hear from you.

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Business Live, on TV and online -

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0:22:580:23:01

when you need to know.

0:23:010:23:08

Mike is back, as promised. And they

said not a day goes by when we don't

0:23:080:23:14

talk about crypto currencies, and we

don't want to break that rule so we

0:23:140:23:19

are talking about it again. Facebook

is banning ads for Bitcoin and other

0:23:190:23:27

crypto currencies.

Interesting, yes,

Facebook trying to respond to some

0:23:270:23:32

of the alleged misinformation going

through Facebook and of course the

0:23:320:23:36

volatility and uncertainty over

crypto currencies so I think they

0:23:360:23:39

catch two with one decision.

And

also because of the anonymous

0:23:390:23:43

nature, crypto currencies can be

used for money-laundering and that

0:23:430:23:46

kind of activity?

Yes, that's right.

The challenge with crypto currencies

0:23:460:23:52

if you are in authority is to know

where they are going, and that is

0:23:520:23:55

one thing they are aware of.

I guess

it is no big deal for Facebook

0:23:550:24:02

because the amount of advertising on

their platform, Facebook and Google

0:24:020:24:04

between them get over half of global

ads on their platform.

I think that

0:24:040:24:08

is right and a lot of crypto

currencies have questions in other

0:24:080:24:14

ways because of the volatility of

the prices, so probably a relatively

0:24:140:24:18

cheap one for them. It lets talk

about this story in the Telegraph.

0:24:180:24:23

Cards.

This in terms of the diesel

emissions issue. German

0:24:230:24:34

manufacturers with blood on their

hands...

Yes, one of the chief

0:24:340:24:37

scientific advisers who was in the

job when diesel cars and engines

0:24:370:24:40

were perceived as being the best for

the environment, and of course now

0:24:400:24:46

we know, we have the emissions

scandal, and get more information

0:24:460:24:49

coming out now with Volkswagen and

one or two match of the other German

0:24:490:24:57

manufacturers allegedly using

unfortunately monkeys to create

0:24:570:24:59

potentially miss information on the

amount of diesel emission, so sadly

0:24:590:25:02

this story just keeps coming and

unfortunately doesn't get any

0:25:020:25:06

better.

You say that, but it was not

that long ago Volkswagen released

0:25:060:25:11

its sales and profits numbers,

really strong, and everybody

0:25:110:25:14

thought, it has drawn a line, but

clearly not. The headlines keep

0:25:140:25:18

coming.

Obviously it is costing them

financially in fines, but the things

0:25:180:25:25

they are really worried about, VW,

is getting the car sales back up

0:25:250:25:28

again so I would say they would be

saying this is not welcome news, but

0:25:280:25:31

the fact they have car sales are up

for them is clearly helpful,

0:25:310:25:35

amazing, actually.

Yes or no map,

buying more staff, are less stuff

0:25:350:25:39

and bought experiences?

Less stuff,

more experiences.

Virtual reality

0:25:390:25:47

sets in a big warehouse, with iPod,

what do you think?

I'm more into

0:25:470:25:53

music.

Live concerts? -- with a pod.

0:25:530:25:59

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