02/11/2017 Beyond 100 Days


02/11/2017

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You're watching Beyond 100 Days. Two

big economic stories on either side

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of the Atlantic. In the UK, and

interest rate rise for the first

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time in a decade.

And here, the US

president prepares to name his pick

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to be the next chief of the Federal

reserve. Janet Yellen is out, Jerome

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Powell could be in. What does

Trump's Tres tell us about the

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future of the world's most powerful

central bank? This is the view right

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now of the White House Rose Garden

where the president is due to

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confirm him any time now. The

Republicans are ready to unveil

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their plans for tax reform. Not

since Ronald Reagan has there been

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an across-the-board tax cut. Eight

former members of the Catalan

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government are in custody in the

grid while a court considers an

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arrest warrant for the deposed

leader, who is in Belgium. Also on

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the programme: Not pulling any

punches. President Trump says the

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New York terror suspect should face

the death penalty. As part of our

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special series on the Russian

Revolution, we've visit the place of

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a decisive battle. But whose victory

was it?

So often here, the past is

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rewritten, reinterpreted according

to who is in power.

Do get in touch

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with us using the hashtag.

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Welcome, I'm Christian Fraser in

London, Jon Sopel is in Washington.

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These past few days, the focus has

been consumed by the indictments in

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the Russia investigation, under

terror attack in New York and the

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President's response to both.

Anywhere but where Donald Trump

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would really want is to be focusing,

his agenda on the economy.

But

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shortly, the president is shortly to

announce who is to be the new chair

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of the Federal reserve, and in

Congress after delays and fine

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tuning, the Republicans have at last

been unveiling their plans for tax

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reform.

We are working to give the

American people a giant tax cut for

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Christmas. We are giving them a big,

beautiful Christmas present in the

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form of a tremendous tax cut. It

will be the biggest cut in the

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history of our country. It would

also be tax reform, and it will

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create jobs.

Joining us now for a

reaction to today's announcement is

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the former governor of Minnesota and

CEO of the lobbying group financial

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services Round Table. What do we

know about the new guy. Will it

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frighten the markets will reassure?

The new guy is also the old guy, he

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has plenty of experience, this is a

steady hand on the throttle,

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somebody experienced, probably a

continuation of the Yellen monetary

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policy, more open and perhaps Janet

Yellen was.

And the other big story

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we have been covering is the

unveiling of the tax reform measures

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in the house that has kind of won

the approval of the president so

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far. How easy is it going to be to

get these measures through? He is

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talking about getting them on the

statute book by Christmas. Is that

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possible?

It won't be easy, but I

think it will get done for this

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reason, if you are a Republican who

has campaigned around this country

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saying if we are ever going to get

in power we will have conquered the

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tax reform, and they don't do this,

particularly on the heels of failing

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to repeal and replace bar McKerr, --

Obamacare, that will not that bad,

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so they need to get it done.

And is

it a tax cut everyone? A lot of the

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experts say it leans towards

corporations and the rich.

It is a

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good day for a number of things, for

simplifying the tax code, they are

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estimating that 90% or more of tax

filers will be able to submit their

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taxes on one page which will be a

lot less headache most Americans.

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Who does provide middle income tax

relief, they are estimating for an

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average household that make $60,000,

that could mean as much as $1200 or

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more in their pockets, and for a

modest income person, that is real

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money. And although a lot of the

other benefits are geared towards

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companies and businesses, if we are

going to have good paying jobs we

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need businesses to start and grow by

commitment and pay wages, so we

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shouldn't take any defence or shame

in saying that we are going to grow

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the economy, and this tax bill will

do that.

We are still waiting for

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the president to arrive. Going back

to J Powell, he is the first federal

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chair, if it is him, that hasn't

studied for a Ph.D. In economics

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since the 1980s. I would have

thought that qualification in

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economics would be a prerequisite?

That are some who might argue on the

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popular side of the debate who would

say of the ones who got us in

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trouble, we need people with common

sense and practical experience, and

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Governor Powell certainly has that.

And a final thought on the

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complexity of the tax code and

changing it, everybody has little

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concessions for mortgage relief all

this, the special interest groups

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will want to preserve this. Yet you

are talking about fundamental

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reform. How easy will it be to get

people to give up the special

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interests?

I do think it will be

easy, but I think it will get done

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because of what little about

earlier. When we talk about niche

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things being eliminated, the retort

to Congress will be looking at the

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net effect of the whole package, so

you might lose a deduction here or

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there, but if you look at the net

benefit, for most businesses and

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most people it will be positive.

Tim, thank you very much indeed.

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Lets just show you these live

pictures coming to us from the White

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House Rose Garden. We might dip back

to that when the president arrives.

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Jon, the president once this tax

reform through by Thanksgiving,

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which is pretty ambitious. No

question who he holds responsible

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for this. Have a listen to what he

said yesterday in his cabinet

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meeting.

Administration officials

including Gary Cohen will be

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Steimbach from the trip to Asia to

remain vigilant in making sure the

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tax cuts pass, so if I have any

problems, I will be blaming

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Stevenage -- Manuchin.

There are

always used to be saying that

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failure is an orphaned but success

has many parents. You can be sure

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that success will only have one name

attached to it, Donald Trump.

And as

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he heads off to China, is his head

full of this, or is it elsewhere? Is

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it in the Russia investigation is

under all that has gone on at the

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beginning of the week?

I think that

the Asia trip, particularly the trip

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to Korea and China is so

consequential, they fill a lot of

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days in the President's diary. Look

at the terror attack in New York, he

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must've had a strong instinct to go

there, but he has wanted to keep his

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focus on what will be happening in

Japan, China, and when he goes to

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Asia and trying to counter the

influence of China as well. He has

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just come, so let's listen in.

I am

pleased to welcome members of the

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Calum -- Cabinet, members of

Congress and distinguished guests to

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the White House Rose Garden this

afternoon. I also welcome the

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chairman of the Senate Banking

Committee who has done an incredible

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job, where is Mike? Great job,

appreciate it. As president there

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are few decisions more important

than nominating leaders of integrity

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and good judgment hold trusted

positions in public office. And few

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of those trusted positions are more

important than the chairman of the

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Federal reserve. Accordingly, it is

my pleasure and honour to announce

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my nomination of Jerome Powell to be

the next chairman of the Federal

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reserve. Congratulations.

Just as

well it was J Powell, after we told

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you it would be! Good timing. We

will talk a bit more about that.

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Interest rates here in the UK have

risen for the first time in more

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than a decade. The Bank of England's

Monetary Policy Committee has risen

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the cost of borrowing from a quarter

to a half of percent.

It means

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almost 4 million households will

face higher mortgage payments after

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the rise, but long-awaited good news

for savers who should get a modest

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lift their returns. It has been ten

years since the last rate rise, and

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we will look back at the fall it has

taken.

One of the first things you

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will notice about the iPhone is it

simple design.

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I can just about remember interest

rate rises! With me is Vicki Price,

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and how do we seek the appointment

of Jerome Powell?

He is himself in

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favour generally of a fairly easy

monetary policy, perhaps not as easy

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as Janet Yellen, but certainly I

think he would be listening a lot

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more to what Donald Trump wants to

see happen. If it is a continuation,

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what is the point of changing? What

he is obviously aiming to do is

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facilitate through the new

appointment some of the deregulation

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that he wants to see into the

banking system itself, which Janet

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Yellen didn't seem to be pleased

that.

Let's talk about interest

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rates. Although have done is take

back the quarter cut that they took

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after the Brexit vote.

Yes, but why?

The Bank of England had been pushed

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into a corner. He was expecting they

might do something. Committee

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members are independent, so they can

say what they think about the

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economy, and they have sent some

confusing messages. The number who

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you thought were in favour of

keeping rates low had been starting

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to say we might see arise, so the

markets were anticipating it. And

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with inflation 1% above the target,

they had to do something, but it

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won't do much for sterling which

reacted rather negatively to the

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fact that the words around the

injuries were not more hawkish.

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There was nothing to say that there

would be further increases soon.

Did

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it and Amanda cut?

Yes, and why do

this now? The economy is showing

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signs of slowing down. There are

huge uncertainties because of

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Brexit, and if you raise rates now

whenever then you say around it is

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worrying, they themselves, the Bank

of England, have downgraded their

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own forecast for growth of the

economy, so you wonder why they're

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doing it, I think it is just because

they had to do something.

When the

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bank was given operational

independence 20 years ago, that

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target was one of the main thing is,

avoiding an overheating economy. Do

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we need to get rid of the inflation

target that constrains the governor

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of England?

Perhaps, but the truth

is the inflation target has hardly

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constrained previous governors, and

it hasn't constrained him for a

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while. But he only has to write a

letter if the inflation rate goes up

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to more than 1% above, so if it goes

to 3.1%, he might have to explain

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why he hasn't raised interest rates,

but we have had the inflation rate

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way above this current level and low

interest rates, so there is a

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constraint on his credibility, but

there is a lot of leeway that the

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governor can have.

Vicki

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there is a lot of leeway that the

governor can have.

Vicki, thank you

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for coming in. Gavin Williamson has

been appointed as the new Defence

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Secretary after Sir Michael Fallon's

resignation yesterday.

Sir Michael

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resigned on Wednesday saying his

past behaviour may have fallen short

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of the standard expected by the UK

military. He became the first

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politician to quit after recently

revealed claims of sexual harassment

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in Parliament. Laura Kuenssberg

reports.

Who would it be?

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Before long, Gavin Williamson

emerged with the top brass. To take

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a proud walk across Whitehall. Into

one of the biggest jobs in

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government.

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He has never worked in a government

department before, though.

It is a

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privilege to be able to step into

this role, and what is so amazing is

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to have so many first-rate

world-renowned people to be working

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with, and the armed services are the

greatest pride of our nation. Until

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today, he was in charge of party

discipline, and last month he

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described his approach. I don't like

the stick, but it is amazing what

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can be achieved with a sharpened

carrot.

Leftover cheesy local MP

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pictures. In stead of managing his

constituency and 315 Tory MPs, he is

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in charge of about 200,000 staff and

£36 billion, part of a rising to

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regeneration and a Yorkshire and to

boot. And here is his replacement,

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Julian Smith, the new Tory arm

twisted in chief, one of Gavin

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Williamson's compound rates, who

seems to have inherited his

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tarantula, yes, the giant spider the

former Chief Whip kept on his desk.

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The new number two, Esther McVey,

who says she will add this to the

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mix.

Maybe I can bring a feminine

touch to the whip's office and work

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with all my colleagues.

The Ludik of

Gavin Williamson's Move over there

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is simple. He is a good operator,

and Theresa May trust him, but the

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pushback has been fierce. One senior

Tory told me he has abandoned his

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post at a crucial time. One minister

suggested that he has outplayed

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Number 10, saying Theresa May is so

weak, she has allowed him to in

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point himself. And one former

minister says this Government is in

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the grip of a bunch of boys. As

ever, the irony is rich. The man who

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was in charge of making sure that

MPs behave has found himself in a

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plum new job because one of his

colleagues did not. And all the

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parties are readying themselves in

case they have to defend their side

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from more potential allegations of

bad behaviour. The Foreign

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Secretary, known for his interesting

private life, said today he had

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nothing to hide. You confident your

behaviour has been what would be

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expected a Cabinet Minister?

You

bet.

Thank you, Foreign Secretary.

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Number 10 acknowledges that Every

has to do more to protect staff at

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West must do, and there are calls

from wholesale change.

We have seen

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bullying allegations between members

of staff, allegations of sexual

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impropriety between members and

others, and this is all about power.

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It is who holds that power and how

they use it that sets that course.

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Laura Kuenssberg reporting from

Westminster. A few eyebrows raised

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about Gavin Williamson's appointment

today.

He is the Chief Whip, and his

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job is to advise the Prime Minister

whether he thinks in his judgment a

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minister can stay or should have to

go, and so he has given Theresa May

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the advice, and poorer Michael

Fallon, I think will have to quit,

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any idea who should replace him? I

could expect straight out of House

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Of Cards but maybe I am too cynical.

And he has a tarantula today, the

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tarantula is called Cronos, which

makes it sounds like it devours

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bodies! He left it on the desk of

Julian Smith, most people leave a

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file not a tarantula!

The Chief

Whip's job is to intimidate and put

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fear into the heart of the MPs he

rules over. Having a tarantula on

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your desk may not be a bad idea!

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Catalan separatists have called for

protests outside the parliament in

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Barcelona after a judge in Madrid

remanded eight as did Catalan

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government ministers in custody.

She

is still considering the requests to

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issue an arrest warrant for Carles

Puigdemont and others. Just looking

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down the list of those who have been

remanded in custody today, the

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deputy vice president, the interior

minister and the former foreign

0:19:170:19:20

affairs minister who we have had on

the programme several times.

It is

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astonishing. The regional government

of Catalonia which used to run its

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affairs from the headquarters behind

me has essentially been in this

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rated just a few days after they all

declared independence. If you just

0:19:340:19:39

stop and think about it, all of them

are either now in prison, on bail or

0:19:390:19:45

in exile. It is a stunning reversal

of fortune.

James in Barcelona,

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thank you very much indeed for that

update.

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Donald Trump has repeated his calls

for the man suspected of being

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behind Tuesday's terror attack in

New York City to face the death

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penalty. He made the comment on

Twitter, saying, the New York City

0:20:040:20:09

terrorist was happy as he was asking

to have an Isis Flag at his hospital

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room. He killed eight people, badly

injured 12. Should get death penalty

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excavation mark. Mr Trump also

peddled back on his call to send the

0:20:200:20:24

attacker to Guantanamo Bay, saying,

would love to send him to

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Guantanamo, but statistically that

process takes much longer than going

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through the federal system.

And we are also learning more about

0:20:340:20:38

the attacker Sayfullo Saipov. The

Uzbek immigrant had apparently been

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planning the attack for more than a

year and had identified Brooklyn

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Bridge is another possible target

and had been inspired by graphic and

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violent propaganda videos.

Joining me now in the studios

0:20:500:20:55

Bennett Waters, a former partner at

Homeland Security and.

Thank you for

0:20:550:21:03

coming in. I was struck in the

immediate aftermath of this how much

0:21:030:21:07

immediate information the police,

the FBI, seems to have gathered very

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quickly indeed.

That is true, there

has been quite a bit of information

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that has come out in a quick period

of time, and we are still very early

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in this investigation. There have

been pieces of information that in

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some cases contradict others, so it

will be important to let this

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unfold.

And one of the things we

heard the New York governor saying

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was that it was a lone wolf. But

these things are never alone wolf.

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There are never no leads that lead

nowhere. There are a lot of lines of

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inquiry that have to be pursued.

And

that is an example of what I was

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saying, early indications were that

there were no other attacker is

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being sought out, and over the

course of the last 24 hours, we have

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seen that there is a second and

perhaps even third individual, so I

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think perhaps this investigation

needs to on fold, to follow leads

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only to conclusions.

Does it matter

that the President is saying that

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the legal system is a joke, and that

the suspect needs to be

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investigated, before there is even a

trial?

There is quite a bit of

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investigation to do in terms of

chasing down suspected associates,

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interrogating his electronic

devices, his patterns of life, doing

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all we can to understand this

individual and get to the bottom of

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whether or not there are in fact

others involved.

We are going to

0:22:350:22:40

talk to you about returnees from

Syria later today. What is the

0:22:400:22:44

American policy on that? I don't

know how many Americans went to

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fight in Syria, but in returns of

returnees coming back from

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Afghanistan and Syria, what is the

American government's policy, and

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what you think Western governments

should be thinking about?

We will

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pay close attention to folks

returning from parts of the world

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that we now have historically been

troublesome, and I think you can

0:23:030:23:06

expect to see increased attention on

those individuals as they process

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through immigration.

And going back

to what Christian was asking about,

0:23:130:23:16

the death penalty call. If you are a

prosecutor involved in trying to

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bring this to trial, the last thing

you want are distractions which

0:23:200:23:24

could lead the defence counsel to be

able to say, my guy can't get a fair

0:23:240:23:29

trial now.

Again, we are very early

in the investigation, and I think

0:23:290:23:34

that as the investigation proceeds,

law enforcement and intelligence

0:23:340:23:38

community will be doing so with an

eye on prosecution, working with the

0:23:380:23:43

federal authorities.

So maybe a

little more silence from every body

0:23:430:23:47

would be a good thing?

Again, I

think we will see how the

0:23:470:23:50

investigation unfolds.

That was very

diplomatically put, thank you for

0:23:500:23:55

being with us!

Some of the day's other news.

0:23:550:24:08

Myanmar's leader Aung Sang Syi Kyi

has been accused of not doing enough

0:24:090:24:12

to stop the ethnic cleansing of

Rohingya Muslim is.

And Theresa May

0:24:120:24:22

has hosted her Israeli cant --

counterpart Binyamin Netanyahu on

0:24:220:24:33

the Balfour declaration, with

Palestinians regarding the Balfour

0:24:330:24:41

declaration as an historical

injustice.

A lot of interest in that

0:24:410:24:45

today, the Balfour agreement. We

have had high-profile people

0:24:450:24:52

speaking about it here in London,

and what I picked up from a lot of

0:24:520:24:55

interviews on breakfast radio

stations is that we are no nearer

0:24:550:25:03

Peace than at any other time, and

there is still great bitterness. You

0:25:030:25:09

wonder how Donald Trump can be so

positive about a peace agreement.

0:25:090:25:13

But I was hearing stuff from the

weekend from people saying that

0:25:130:25:18

under the table there are all sorts

of things happening across the

0:25:180:25:22

region where there is cause for some

optimism. Maybe that is people

0:25:220:25:26

whistling to keep their spirits up,

but you would have to say the moment

0:25:260:25:30

it doesn't look great, but there are

apparently talks going on with all

0:25:300:25:34

sorts of people.

This is Beyond 100

Days from the BBC.

Coming up for

0:25:340:25:42

viewers on the BBC News Channel,

Trump's Asian adventure. What sort

0:25:420:25:47

of reception of the deals will he

get from his Pacific partners?

And I

0:25:470:25:52

will be sitting down with the

parents of the man known as jihadi

0:25:520:25:56

Jack. What should the West do with

returnees from Syria? Still to come.

0:25:560:26:04

Good evening. It's very quiet

weather at the moment, slow-moving,

0:26:100:26:16

the best

0:26:160:26:16

weather at the moment, slow-moving,

the best of the sunshine today

0:26:160:26:18

across Scotland, but we will see

cloud spilling in across Northern

0:26:180:26:22

Ireland, heading into western

Scotland. South of the cloud, one or

0:26:220:26:27

two clear skies overnight, but we

will find more fog forming in

0:26:270:26:31

places, the Somerset Levels didn't

really clear all day. More fog

0:26:310:26:35

forming across the south, then we

have cloudy skies across the

0:26:350:26:39

Midlands and East Anglia, and

eastern Scotland could see a touch

0:26:390:26:44

of frost with clearer skies for

longer. The fog is going to be

0:26:440:26:48

across southern parts of England

through the morning rush hour,

0:26:480:26:51

perhaps not clearing until 11

o'clock or so. Areas of the West

0:26:510:26:58

Country will see the worst of the

fog, then cloudy skies as you head

0:26:580:27:02

northwards perhaps producing one or

two spots of drizzle. Cloudy across

0:27:020:27:07

Northern Ireland, continuing to push

its way to Scotland, and we have a

0:27:070:27:10

bit of rain in the far north-west of

Scotland. Quite a week weather

0:27:100:27:15

front, not making huge progress

cheering the day. Stronger winds,

0:27:150:27:19

otherwise across the UK wind will be

light, the fog slowly lifting,

0:27:190:27:22

perhaps just into low cloud, while

we will see the sunshine trying to

0:27:220:27:33

come out, it is rather half-hearted

on the whole, a lot of dry weather,

0:27:330:27:36

but a lot of cloud and temperatures

just about getting into double

0:27:360:27:38

figures. Things change overnight,

the band of rain coming down across

0:27:380:27:42

Scotland and Northern Ireland, a

little heavy at times. We start to

0:27:420:27:46

see showers coming back into

Northern Ireland, temperatures

0:27:460:27:49

dropping away but on the whole

because of cloud and rain, it will

0:27:490:27:52

be a much milder night, and we are

not so worried about fog. But the

0:27:520:27:57

mildness won't last because of

north-westerly wind over the weekend

0:27:570:28:00

will bring some colder air. We start

the weekend with cloud across

0:28:000:28:05

England and Wales, wetter weather

across eastern England doesn't

0:28:050:28:08

really clear away until the middle

part of the afternoon. It takes a

0:28:080:28:12

while for the cloud to break.

Showers continuing to run into the

0:28:120:28:16

north-west on Briscoe wins where

temperatures will be no better than

0:28:160:28:19

eight or 9 degrees. Chilly Saturday

night, hopefully a bit more

0:28:190:28:25

sunshine, particularly across the

eastern side of England, some

0:28:250:28:28

scattered showers in the wind.

0:28:280:28:31

comments This is Beyond 100 Days

with me, Christian Fraser in London,

0:30:130:30:19

and Jon Sopel is in Washington.

0:30:190:30:26

with me, Christian Fraser in London,

and Jon Sopel is in Washington.

0:30:260:30:30

Eight former members of the Catalan

government are in custody in Madrid.

0:30:300:30:39

Coming up, what to do with returnees

to Britain from IS territories? I

0:30:390:30:43

will be sitting down with the

British man known as Jihadi Jack.

0:30:430:30:47

Surely you want to bring back some

of those kids who have seen this,

0:30:470:30:50

and who have very clearly said, I

stand against this. Surely that is

0:30:500:30:56

how to counter this in an

intelligent way rather than just

0:30:560:30:58

shooting them. We are dropping

ourselves to their very same level

0:30:580:31:01

of doing that and as far as I can

see that is advocating murder.

You

0:31:010:31:06

can get it out yourself using the

hashtag Beyond 100 Days. On Friday

0:31:060:31:15

Donald Trump will embark on his

first official visit to Asia as US

0:31:150:31:20

president. It will also be his

longest foreign trip since his

0:31:200:31:23

arrival in the White House. He will

be taking in five countries in all,

0:31:230:31:27

and this is the root... Starting in

the Japanese capital Tokyo, and from

0:31:270:31:31

there he is on to Seoul in South

Korea, then Beijing in China and

0:31:310:31:36

from there he jets off to Vietnam,

to Danang and Hanoi, before ending

0:31:360:31:46

his trip in the Philippine capital

of Manila. The security adviser gave

0:31:460:31:50

more details on his visit, and no

surprise what was top of that

0:31:500:31:56

agenda...

North Korea is a threat to

the entire world, so all nations of

0:31:560:32:00

the world must do more to counter

that threat. That is happening.

0:32:000:32:06

But the president recognises we are

running out of time, and will ask

0:32:060:32:10

all nations to do more. In

particular the president will

0:32:100:32:15

continue to call on all responsible

nations, especially those with the

0:32:150:32:18

most influence over North Korea, to

isolate the North Korean regime

0:32:180:32:23

economically and politically.

That

was McMaster in the White House, and

0:32:230:32:30

joining the now is William Cohen,

the former Defence Secretary. Thank

0:32:300:32:37

you for joining us. It is easy to

think this trip is all about North

0:32:370:32:41

Korea because that will be the focus

I suspect from a lot of the

0:32:410:32:44

politicians and journalss travelling

with him, but it is wider than that?

0:32:440:32:48

Much wider than that. Firstly,

looking to the Chinese, they are

0:32:480:32:52

very strategic in their thinking and

planning and the United States has

0:32:520:32:56

been very tactical -- journalists

and politicians. In terms of policy

0:32:560:33:03

towards the entire region. The

council, the transpacific

0:33:030:33:07

partnership, that alienating many of

the Asian countries and I met with

0:33:070:33:11

them personally when they were here

in the spring. They felt they had

0:33:110:33:15

been betrayed in the sense they had

wasted seven years negotiating this

0:33:150:33:19

agreement and it was tossed

overboard. So there is still some

0:33:190:33:23

resentment there. What will our

policy be in the region? He will

0:33:230:33:26

have to really sure up those

relationships, starting perhaps even

0:33:260:33:30

in South Korea. Again,

strategically, look what the Chinese

0:33:300:33:33

have just done. They have renewed

their relationship with the South

0:33:330:33:37

Koreans because they had put some

prohibitions on trading beer,

0:33:370:33:41

because we put the anti-missile

system in on South Korean territory

0:33:410:33:47

that cut off relations for some time

with the South Koreans, so they are

0:33:470:33:50

back on track, just before the

president gets there. You're the

0:33:500:33:54

president going to South Korea as

part of the trip, and he will try to

0:33:540:33:58

the need -- you have the president

going. He has accused the south

0:33:580:34:03

Korean president of being an

appeaser, so the relationship will

0:34:030:34:06

be a little more tense than with

Japan with the president has a

0:34:060:34:10

closer relationship with Private

Minister Shinzo Abe, so it will be

0:34:100:34:14

different in each place, but we

don't seem to have a coherent

0:34:140:34:18

strategy for the Asia-Pacific

region.

Should we expect anything

0:34:180:34:22

concrete to come out in terms of

North Korea, apart from warm words,

0:34:220:34:25

and this is a problem that has to be

dealt with?

I think the Chinese will

0:34:250:34:29

try to persuade the president that

we need to take a long review, that

0:34:290:34:32

the pressure is working, be patient,

do not engage in bombastic verbal

0:34:320:34:39

assaults on the North Korean regime.

I think they will take much slower

0:34:390:34:45

posture towards this, and we should

anticipate that. Strategically, I

0:34:450:34:49

should say from a business point of

view, the Secretary of commerce is

0:34:490:34:53

bringing some top business people

who will likely strikes deals but

0:34:530:34:57

that will not go with the

fundamental structural relationship

0:34:570:35:00

we have with China.

Thank you for

coming in, great to have you with

0:35:000:35:03

us. Jon, I mentioned he was going to

Hanoi and Danang in Vietnam, and

0:35:030:35:13

another thing that might happen is a

meeting with President Vladimir

0:35:130:35:16

Putin, due to take place on the

economic corporations. He denied any

0:35:160:35:21

decision had been taken, but I just

wonder if it is possible in light of

0:35:210:35:24

what is going on in Washington at

the moment?

Well, remember, they met

0:35:240:35:30

at the G20 in Hamburg this summer.

They then had a private meeting with

0:35:300:35:35

only a Russian translator present,

so I kind of think, what is normal

0:35:350:35:40

protocol? What is the conventional

way of behaving? It doesn't normally

0:35:400:35:44

apply with President Trump. If he

thinks there is business to be done

0:35:440:35:48

and to be had with Vladimir Putin, I

suspect that meeting will probably

0:35:480:35:52

go ahead.

OK. On the Russian theme,

so let's check in with Moscow

0:35:520:35:58

correspondent Steve Rosenberg who

has all week been travelling across

0:35:580:36:00

Russia for a series of special

reports, revisiting the 1917

0:36:000:36:04

revolution that would end centuries

imperial rule. Starting his journey

0:36:040:36:09

in St Peter's back he is now 6000

kilometres away -- starting in St

0:36:090:36:16

Petersburg. Talking about how would

take a hundred years and civil war

0:36:160:36:21

before the Bolsheviks would

establish control over the whole

0:36:210:36:23

of... TRANSLATION: This man and the

Russian Revolution have one thing in

0:36:230:36:32

common, they are both 100 years old.

Born in 1917, she has survived three

0:36:320:36:37

famines, for the format worse. In

his lifetime. --. Four worries. How

0:36:370:36:49

does a nation survive that kind of

century? Because they are strong and

0:36:490:36:55

patriotic, he says. We love our

motherland and we are ready to die

0:36:550:36:57

for it. His home is in the Russian

far east and your China is closer

0:36:570:37:07

than Russia, in Khabarovsk. More

than 6000 miles east of St

0:37:070:37:20

Petersburg. It would take a brutal

civil war before the Bolsheviks

0:37:200:37:23

conquered this area. Soviet

mythology painted the reds as

0:37:230:37:30

triumphant heroes, and

anti-Communist White Army as

0:37:300:37:33

deservedly crushed. But this version

of history is crumbling. Just like

0:37:330:37:40

the battle site memorial to the red

mark heroes, and that is because the

0:37:400:37:46

official view of the revolution has

changed in Russia. To those in power

0:37:460:37:51

here today, Red October is no longer

a national celebration. In Russia it

0:37:510:37:57

is not just the future that is

unpredictable. So is the past, and

0:37:570:38:01

that applies to the Russian Civil

War, the Russian Revolution, to

0:38:010:38:04

almost any period of this country's

history. So often here the past is

0:38:040:38:10

rewritten, reinterpreted, according

to who is in power. In this school

0:38:100:38:17

museum which is open to the public,

they display guns and bayonets

0:38:170:38:22

unearthed in the forest. They try

not to take sides, red or white, but

0:38:220:38:26

not everyone welcomes that.

TRANSLATION:

The Soviet Union wasn't

0:38:260:38:33

that long ago.

This teacher says

that what we see now about the White

0:38:330:38:38

Army does not go down well with

supporters of the USSR. Back in his

0:38:380:38:45

flat, the centenarian shows me the

commendation he got from Josef

0:38:450:38:49

Stalin. His view of the past is

unlikely to change. TRANSLATION:

0:38:490:38:56

Revolution Day is like my second

birthday. It is the birthday of the

0:38:560:39:00

USSR.

And that is unshakeable

loyalty, to a country which no

0:39:000:39:09

longer exists. Steve Rosenberg, BBC

News, Khabarovsk. Fascinating stuff.

0:39:090:39:18

Now, what should happen to

foreigners who travelled to Syria

0:39:180:39:21

and end up being captured by the

opponents of the so-called Islamic

0:39:210:39:24

State? That is the question raised

by the case of a British man held by

0:39:240:39:28

Kurdish fighters. The parents of the

man known as Jihadi Jack say not

0:39:280:39:32

enough is being done by the UK

Government to bring him home. Yes,

0:39:320:39:38

John and Sally have been charged

with funding terrorism having said

0:39:380:39:42

money to their son in Syria and I

have been speaking to them about

0:39:420:39:46

their son Jack Letts and what they

know about his whereabouts. We know

0:39:460:39:48

he was charged last week by the

Kurds of belonging to IS and the

0:39:480:39:54

last time his mother spoke to him

was in July.

He told us he's being

0:39:540:40:01

held for months in solitary

confinement, that he is receiving

0:40:010:40:04

very little food. He is not allowed

out of his cell at all. He used to

0:40:040:40:08

be allowed out for half an hour mark

then it was reduced to ten minutes,

0:40:080:40:12

then no time at all.

How did he come

to be there?

He was in Raqqa in

0:40:120:40:20

hating, desperately trying to get

out, as everyone else was, and we

0:40:200:40:24

knew that -- he was in Raqqa in

hiding. The last message he sent was

0:40:240:40:30

pretty harrowing, saying that if I

try to escape and they catch me

0:40:300:40:33

because they are hunting me, Isis

was hunting him, he said they would

0:40:330:40:37

kill him immediately, because he had

already been imprisoned several

0:40:370:40:40

times, so he basically said goodbye,

mum and dad, this will not in doubt

0:40:400:40:44

well, but thank you for believing in

me. The next thing we heard was

0:40:440:40:49

three weeks later he had escaped,

and from what he told us, and we

0:40:490:40:53

have not had a detailed conversation

about it yet, but somehow with

0:40:530:40:57

people smuggler he got out and was

picked up with a group of refugees

0:40:570:41:01

from Raqqa.

And he has been charged

since then?

Only in the last week,

0:41:010:41:06

yes.

What other penalties?

I assume

the penalty is death they are, I

0:41:060:41:11

have no idea. But their legal

system, it is a self-declared

0:41:110:41:21

autonomous zone, so I think the

whole legal code is still being

0:41:210:41:23

worked out. We have no idea.

We have

a clip of your son speaking from the

0:41:230:41:27

jail, from June. Let's just show our

viewers that.

We will just go to the

0:41:270:41:32

territories for a bit and then

continue to territory, -- to Turkey,

0:41:320:41:36

we thought, then as soon as we got

the position we were imprisoned, not

0:41:360:41:40

sure how long exactly, a week,

maybe, and after that I was in

0:41:400:41:44

solitary confinement until now.

Still am.

When you watch that, what

0:41:440:41:48

do you think of this state of mind?

He told us, and he says he fears he

0:41:480:41:54

is losing his mind. He has

hallucinated, he thinks he is going

0:41:540:41:57

mad.

Let's talk about what is being

done. If anything, do you think,

0:41:570:42:03

being done by the British

Government?

By the British

0:42:030:42:08

Government, from what we know,

nothing at all. We have been told by

0:42:080:42:11

the Foreign Office when we have

tried to talk to them about it, they

0:42:110:42:16

just keep repeating the mantra that

our policy is we strongly advise

0:42:160:42:20

people not to go to Syria, because

it is a very dangerous place. Well,

0:42:200:42:24

we know that, but beyond that, after

pushing, they basically admitted to

0:42:240:42:30

us, well, not basically, but they

did admit, that the policy is not to

0:42:300:42:34

do anything to help anybody come

back from Syria.

So you have now

0:42:340:42:39

approach the Canadians?

Yes, almost

six months ago, right ago, because

0:42:390:42:43

Jack is a Canadian and British

citizen, as I am, we all are, have

0:42:430:42:51

been my life, and the Canadians said

we take allegations of torture very

0:42:510:42:55

seriously and we will do everything

we can.

The Foreign Minister told

0:42:550:42:59

the BBC the other week that because

many of these fighters went to die

0:42:590:43:01

in Syria, and they really only want

to die fighting the enemy, that in

0:43:010:43:07

most every case it was better to

kill them...

What seems to be

0:43:070:43:11

happening is a link between

everybody who went to Syria, that

0:43:110:43:14

they should be killed, or everyone

shouldn't, and if you look at the

0:43:140:43:18

tabloid writers that is what they

are referring to. Anyone who went to

0:43:180:43:22

Syria should be killed, open season

on anyone who went, does that

0:43:220:43:27

include the ambulance drivers,

surgeons, health workers, medics,

0:43:270:43:30

who went for religious reasons,

religious motivations, not to join

0:43:300:43:34

and fight with Isis?

But Rory

Stewart speaks to the concerns a lot

0:43:340:43:38

of people will have, the Government

first responsibility is to the

0:43:380:43:43

public at home, and bringing people

back, is it not importing ideologies

0:43:430:43:49

that could put people at risk?

Yes,

and I have as much beer as anyone

0:43:490:43:53

walking the streets of that type of

situation, but this is not a

0:43:530:43:58

situation -- I have as much fear is

anyone else. But this is not about

0:43:580:44:03

putting the against the wall and

shipping them on the head. That is

0:44:030:44:05

doing exactly what they are doing.

We have the rule of law. What a

0:44:050:44:09

British values? To the disappear the

minute you cross the border?

But do

0:44:090:44:13

you understand, Sally, why people in

this country will not want to see

0:44:130:44:16

people who have travelled to IS

territory back on the head. That is

0:44:160:44:19

doing exactly what they are doing.

We have the rule of law. What a

0:44:190:44:22

British values? Do they disappear

the minute you cross the border? But

0:44:220:44:24

do you understand, Sally, why people

in this country will not want to see

0:44:240:44:27

people who have travelled to IS

territory back in

be very clear. I

0:44:270:44:33

think everyone who comes back from

Syria should be detained and

0:44:330:44:37

probably arrested and locked up

until you can be really sure they

0:44:370:44:40

have done nothing wrong... Yes,

absolutely. I have no problem with

0:44:400:44:43

that. Of course we support that. It

is democracy and the rule of law.

0:44:430:44:48

Due process. Putting someone up

against the wall and shooting them

0:44:480:44:51

in the head is not due process and

it is not a British or Canadian

0:44:510:44:55

value. That is all we're asking for.

Give Jack a chance to speak. He has

0:44:550:45:00

been found guilty in the court of

public opinion.

Do you think you

0:45:000:45:04

will see your son again?

We can't

conceive of a world where we will

0:45:040:45:07

not see him again, we go there

really. We have to believe he is

0:45:070:45:13

alive and that reason and science

and justice will prevail, because,

0:45:130:45:19

you know, we can't cope otherwise.

Top for the parents, Jon, but for

0:45:190:45:25

for governments I think. What

politician will want to be seen as

0:45:250:45:29

being soft on terrorism at the

moment when we are talking about New

0:45:290:45:32

York, London, Paris and the

incidents this week? A lot of people

0:45:320:45:35

will share of the fears, what sort

of ideology are we importing if we

0:45:350:45:39

bring them back? How can we be sure

if we rehabilitate them that they

0:45:390:45:46

will not offend again? This is the

concern from the Foreign Office...

0:45:460:45:50

The statement there. It is in fact

in touch with the cards because they

0:45:500:46:01

are part of the alliance.

I suppose

one of the weaknesses of democracy

0:46:010:46:07

is that politicians often feel

impelled to do what is popular,

0:46:070:46:11

perhaps over what is right, and I

suspect people who have gone to

0:46:110:46:14

Syria to fight with Islamic State

are not exactly a popular cause, and

0:46:140:46:19

therefore the politicians will

think, you know what, I could turn a

0:46:190:46:22

deaf ear to this and no one will

criticise me too much, perhaps with

0:46:220:46:27

the exception of parents of loved

ones whose children went there.

0:46:270:46:34

Anyway, this is 100 Days, and from

one straight talker to the next,

0:46:340:46:39

this former Greek finance at Pfizer

has some words for President Trump

0:46:390:46:43

and his take on the very busy world

of economics. Yanis Varoufakis is

0:46:430:46:48

next.

A sharp decline in the number

of nurses from European Union

0:46:480:46:57

countries wanting to work in the UK.

The nursing and midwifery Council

0:46:570:47:02

says there was a drop in...

0:47:020:47:13

The nurses and midwives' regulator,

the NMC, says in the year

0:47:310:47:34

to September 2016, more than 10,000

joined the UK register.

0:47:340:47:36

But this year that fell

dramatically, to around 1000.

0:47:360:47:39

And the number of EU nurses already

working here who decided to give

0:47:390:47:42

up their UK registration

rose by 67%.

0:47:420:47:43

The Nursing and Midwifery Council

says there was a drop of nearly 90%

0:47:430:47:46

in new registrations for EU nurses,

compared to the same

0:47:460:47:49

period the year before.

0:47:490:47:50

The Department of Health says

an increase in training places

0:47:500:47:52

will compensate for the fall.

0:47:520:47:54

Our health correspondent

Sophie Hutchinson has the details.

0:47:540:47:55

Around one in every 20 nurses

and midwives working in the UK

0:47:550:47:58

was trained in the EU.

0:47:580:48:00

Many are from Spain,

Portugal, Poland and Romania.

0:48:000:48:01

But according to new figures,

the numbers are declining.

0:48:010:48:04

The nurses and midwives' regulator,

the NMC, says in the year

0:48:040:48:06

to September 2016, more than 10,000

joined the UK register.

0:48:060:48:09

But this year that fell

dramatically, to around 1000.

0:48:090:48:11

And the number of EU nurses already

working here who decided to give

0:48:110:48:14

up their UK registration

rose by 67%.

0:48:140:48:16

Clearly, it's a worrying trend,

and for those who are responsible

0:48:160:48:18

for thinking about what we need

in the future, so the nurses

0:48:180:48:21

and midwives we need

in the future to care for us,

0:48:210:48:24

they'll obviously look at this

and think what can we do

0:48:240:48:26

to reverse that trend.

0:48:260:48:27

In the aftermath of the referendum

a campaign was launched to support

0:48:270:48:30

EU staff in the NHS,

but today's figures suggest that's

0:48:300:48:33

not been enough reassurance and many

EU nurses are no longer keen to work

0:48:330:48:36

in the UK.

0:48:360:48:37

The situation has been described as

alarming by the Royal College of

0:48:370:48:40

nurses.

0:48:400:48:42

Nursing.

0:48:420:48:43

The vast majority of hospitals

are telling us they are finding it

0:48:430:48:46

increasingly difficult

to recruit from overseas.

0:48:460:48:47

The numbers will come as a concern,

but unfortunately not

0:48:470:48:50

a surprise to them.

0:48:500:48:51

Many of them are still going out

to Europe and the rest of the world

0:48:510:48:54

to recruit nurses and doctors

from overseas, but it's

0:48:540:48:57

becoming increasingly

challenging at the moment.

0:48:570:48:58

The Government has said it's

ensuring the NHS has the staff it

0:48:580:49:01

needs through a 25% increase

in nurse training places.

0:49:010:49:03

Sophie Hutchinson, BBC News.

0:49:030:49:04

You are watching Beyond 100 Days. It

is a tumultuous day in economics.

0:49:040:49:07

Donald Trump has put forward his

nomination to head up the world's

0:49:070:49:10

most central bank and finally the

Republicans are planning to unveil

0:49:100:49:14

their plans for tax reform, whilst

the UK has seen an interest rise for

0:49:140:49:17

the first time in a decade. Some of

this might go over your head. Let's

0:49:170:49:21

face it. Economics can be a pretty

obex object at the best of times,

0:49:210:49:26

which is why the former Greek

finance minister Yanis Varoufakis

0:49:260:49:30

has written an new book. He wrote it

in just nine days and it is titled,

0:49:300:49:35

Talking To My Daughter About The

Economy. We have been speaking to

0:49:350:49:40

him from New York. Here in

Washington, lawmakers are proposing

0:49:400:49:44

big tax cuts, not worrying too much

about the deficit, and in the UK we

0:49:440:49:47

have seen interest rates rise for

the first time in a decade. Has the

0:49:470:49:51

world economy gone back to normal?

I

am afraid the truth points to

0:49:510:49:56

exactly the opposite being the case.

On the one hand you have in the

0:49:560:49:59

United States a tax cut, federal tax

cut, which the federal budget in

0:49:590:50:04

this country cannot afford. Right at

the very same time the Trump

0:50:040:50:13

administration is antagonising

China, and major holder of US trade

0:50:130:50:16

deals. And on the other side of the

Atlantic you have exactly the

0:50:160:50:20

opposite, more of a contraction

removed by the Bank of England,

0:50:200:50:24

trying to signal a return to higher

interest rates. The one

0:50:240:50:28

characteristic of our era,

especially at this juncture, a very

0:50:280:50:34

important juncture just before

Brexit in Britain and after Trump is

0:50:340:50:39

stamping his authority, in the

United States, the order of the day

0:50:390:50:43

is one of disintegration of what

should be an integrated financial

0:50:430:50:50

and economic policy by the great

powers of the West.

Do you think

0:50:500:50:55

anything has fundamentally changed

since the financial crisis?

A great

0:50:550:51:00

deal has. We have had the largest

operation of concealing bankruptcy

0:51:000:51:10

through printing of public money in

the history of capitalism. That is

0:51:100:51:14

not an insignificant change, but the

fundamental incapacity of those who

0:51:140:51:20

have their hands on the levers of

economic and financial power, there

0:51:200:51:29

are fundamental incapacity to

coordinate the behaviour of our

0:51:290:51:35

governments in Europe, the United

States and China, it remains, and

0:51:350:51:37

this is why uncertainty remains the

predominant condition that

0:51:370:51:46

businesses and citizens are facing

all over the world.

Yanis, you have

0:51:460:51:51

written a new book, Talking To My

Daughter About The Economy, and you

0:51:510:51:56

wrote it as we said in nine days,

and I presume you have put it in the

0:51:560:52:00

simplest language you can, and is

that because you think people are

0:52:000:52:03

ignorant about the economy? And from

that ignorance politicians take

0:52:030:52:08

their power?

No, no, no, you

misunderstood me. I am pleased to

0:52:080:52:16

say the reason why I found it an

interesting exercise to put, dated

0:52:160:52:20

concept and theories -- to put

complicated concepts and theories in

0:52:200:52:29

as simple language as possible is to

understand the world I live in. We

0:52:290:52:34

economists are famous for taking

what is, did it already and then

0:52:340:52:41

spinning out of control in terms of

our own understanding of what is

0:52:410:52:44

happening. Only if you manage to

put, dated ideas in the language of

0:52:440:52:49

teenager can understand -- if you

put complicated ideas. Then only can

0:52:490:52:54

you claim to understand it yourself.

Your last book was essential summer

0:52:540:52:59

reading for the politicians involved

in the Brexit negotiation. Have you

0:52:590:53:02

had any feedback from them?

No, I

haven't, and I must tell you I am

0:53:020:53:08

disappointed. The Article 50 process

is going to end up in complete

0:53:080:53:11

disaster. If you imagine that during

that two year period you will

0:53:110:53:16

negotiate a free trade agreement.

The EU is never going to negotiate

0:53:160:53:18

with you because the greatest

nightmare for Jean-Claude Juncker,

0:53:180:53:25

Mrs Merkel, and even the French

president, is a mutually

0:53:250:53:30

advantageous agreement with Britain,

because it would signal to the rest

0:53:300:53:35

of the countries around Europe you

can challenge the authority of the

0:53:350:53:38

EU and end up with a half decent

agreement.

Before you go I must show

0:53:380:53:42

you some pictures of, well, if your

nemesis, Jean-Claude Juncker? This

0:53:420:53:45

is him just the other day -- is he

your nemesis? This is receiving an

0:53:450:53:52

honorary degree in Portugal. Have

you ever seen an outfit like this?

0:53:520:53:55

He doesn't look too pleased with it,

does he?

Well, we academics are used

0:53:550:54:02

to fancy dress and ridiculous

attire. But allowed me to say that

0:54:020:54:06

Jean-Claude Juncker could never be

my nemesis in the EU, simply because

0:54:060:54:09

he was never significant. Every time

he tried to help, we knew we would

0:54:090:54:14

get seriously clobbered, as a

demonstration of the limits of his

0:54:140:54:19

power.

Yanis Varoufakis there in

characteristic T-shirt, but perhaps

0:54:190:54:24

not the leather jacket. Four years

ago things were not looking great

0:54:240:54:28

for the US baseball team the Houston

Astros. In 2011 they lost 101 games

0:54:280:54:36

in one season, and since joining in

1962 they had never won the World

0:54:360:54:44

Series. But all that has changed...

Victory in the seventh and deciding

0:54:440:54:49

game of the LA Dodgers medley won

the championship for the first time

0:54:490:54:53

in their history, and not the only

cause for celebration. Look at what

0:54:530:54:57

happened when one of their players

was interviewed after the game.

It

0:54:570:55:03

is one of the biggest compliments of

my life and right now I want to take

0:55:030:55:06

another big step in my life...

Daniela, you make me the happiest

0:55:060:55:13

man in the world. Will you marry me?

Oh, my God!

0:55:130:55:21

LAUGHTER

Sadly, she said no.

0:55:210:55:25

LAUGHTER

No, she didn't! She said yes. We

0:55:250:55:29

have had long chat about this, Jon,

about baseball. I am a big American

0:55:290:55:35

football fan, love hotdogs, but I

just don't baseball! No, it is

good,

0:55:350:55:41

and that was the most exciting thing

that happened in last week's final.

0:55:410:55:45

The last one was a tedious game

after the first games being

0:55:450:55:50

fantastic. The curve ball, the

slider, the fast one, etc, there are

0:55:500:55:54

a lot of tactics involved in

baseball. I'm not sure it will ever

0:55:540:55:58

catch on around the rest of the

world.

Not the World Series, though,

0:55:580:56:05

is it?

It is the World Series if you

recognise America is the whole

0:56:050:56:09

world. You, living in Britain, seem

to think other countries matter, but

0:56:090:56:13

me living here, I can recognise the

truth!

Is it posh rounders?

0:56:130:56:19

LAUGHTER

I think you could find your visa

0:56:190:56:22

revoked the next time you try to

come to the United States if you are

0:56:220:56:26

going to express the dishes views

like that.

0:56:260:56:27

LAUGHTER

Coming up next

0:56:270:56:32

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