06/03/2014 Daily Politics


06/03/2014

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Afternoon, folks. Welcome to the Daily Politics. David Cameron's in

:00:40.:00:45.

Brussels for an emergency summit on the Ukraine crisis but what chance

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is there of the EU showing a united front to Russian aggression? British

:00:50.:00:59.

leaders talked tough at PMQs yesterday but the Germans are

:01:00.:01:04.

against sanctions. Will President Putin end up with no more than a

:01:05.:01:07.

Meanwhile, back at Westminster, more coalition skirmishes over

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immigration. Slap on the wrist? The Lib Dems say they're intensely

:01:12.:01:14.

relaxed about people coming to the UK. The Tories aren't exactly

:01:15.:01:17.

relaxed, so have the stage-managed rows gone too far? Everyone agrees

:01:18.:01:27.

there are not enough affordable homes. We will speak to the Housing

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Minister and an academic who thinks he has the ants are -- he has the

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answer. We will test your knowledge of the Lib Dems. All that is coming

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up in the next hour. And with us for the whole programme today is Olly

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Grender. She's a former head of communications for the Lib Dems and

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these days shelters in the relative obscurity of the House of Lords.

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She's the 35th most influential Lib Dem in the land, according to the

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Telegraph, which of course is the party's in-house newspaper. And, in

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fact, they've moved her down the list by 13 places since she joined

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the Lords. But, tough luck, Matthew Oakshott, she's still one ahead of

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you. First, a statement from the Home Secretary following publication

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of the review into the original Stephen Lawrence murder

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investigation. The review found, reasonable grounds to suspect

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corruption by the police. Here is the Home Secretary. I do not say

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this lightly but I think the greatest possible scrutiny is now

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needed into what has taken place. And so, given the gravity of what

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has now been uncovered, I have decided that a public enquiry, led

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by a judge, is necessary to investigate undercover policing and

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the fruition -- the operation of the STS. Only a public enquiry will get

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to the full truth. To amazed speaking on that developing story.

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We are joined now by Norman Smith, who is in the Central Lobby of the

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House of Commons. Bring us up to date. What we heard from the Home

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Secretary was a political bombshell. It is a real body blow to the

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standing, the credibility, of the police. You basically have a

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Conservative Home Secretary saying we have a problem with our police.

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It is all based on this review into the conduct of the police, not just

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into the original enquiry their response to next person. This

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details instances of the police delivered it is all based on this

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review into the conduct of the police, not just into the original

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in quiet but their response to next person. This details instances of

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the police delivered information, possible miscarriages of justice by

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the use of undercover officers. It is the response by the Home

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Secretary which frankly is a moment, not just a public enquiry

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into the conduct of the police, a judge led public enquiry over

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Lawrence but she is also going to introduce a new legal offence of

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police corruption. That, I think, gives you some appreciation of how

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concerned the Home Secretary is about the problem of police

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corruption that she feels it necessary now to introduce such a

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specific offence as a lease corruption. She also said she will

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introduce measures to in Courage whistle-blowers to come forward. The

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National Crime Agency were arrested gate whether further instances of

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corruption into the handling of the whole Steven Lawrence Naga existed.

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-- Steven Lawrence saga existed. We know there where we writing of

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witness statements and the plebs gate saga, police officers coming to

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the House of Commons to apologise for their conduct and now this. It

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is a profoundly and serious -- it is a profoundly serious moment for the

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police. It is about how they are seen by the public and how they are

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viewed by politicians here. Thank you fray much of putting all that

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into context. This is a crisis for the police. Yes, it is. There has

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been a drip drip of it. Some of the cases that are now taking place,

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like the hacking trials. It is extraordinary. It sounds like

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Theresa May is doing the right thing. In the House of Lords, Doreen

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Lawrence is one of the members of the House of Lords. I spoke to her

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the other day. The continual upset. Not only to go through that thing

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from which you never recover of losing your son. To find out time

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and again what the institutions who are supposed to help her do behind

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the scenes. It is shocking. It seems it is much worse than anyone

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thought, or at least as bad as the worst critics of the police have

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claimed. We have to believe it. It needs credibility. It gets tougher

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after that announcement from the Home Secretary. It will be running

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story all day today. We know that the Lib Dems and Tories allow each

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other license disunity. It shows the voters and their parties what they

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are really made of. The gloves have come off this morning with the

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latest partly-manufactured row between the coalition partners over

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immigration. The Conservatives are already struggling to reach their

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target of cutting net migration to the tens of thousands. And, in a

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display of support for his Cabinet colleagues that warms the heart,

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Nick Clegg's had this to say on LBC radio. I have always said to them,

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the problem is it is a target over which they do not have full control.

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It depends partly how many Brits lead this country. Actually, the

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number of Brits leaving the country is at its lowest level for many

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years. You cannot tell the number of Brits leaving the country in order

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to meet targets. It is absurd. I think they have become very

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preoccupied with that. There are certain things we have to do, they

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are down on illegal immigration, unscrupulous employers, reintroduced

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exit checks. It is about tatters and battered public confidence in the

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way the immigration system is run. So, that's the Deputy Prime Minister

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on LBC radio this morning. Later on, the Business Secretary Vince Cable's

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going to express a similar view. The new Immigration Minister will be

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taking a different view. He has said net migration is still much too

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high. What is the difference between you and the Tories on immigration?

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We talk about having a net figure. The tens of thousands figures. It is

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not in the coalition agreement. The Liberal Democrats do not want net

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immigration to fall to the tens of thousands? The Liberal Democrats

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want to make sure there are proper instigation is of checks. You will

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have heard Nick Clegg talking about exit controls. It is not going to

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happen but the Tories want net migration to fall to the tens of

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thousands. They want proof of the figure. It is a full Sig. If loads

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of UK citizens day, then you cannot improve that figure. -- this day.

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Lib Dems want to control things like illegal immigration. You both agree

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with that. How we deal with it, there is a bigger disagreement. I

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cannot understand whether Tories of pro or anti immigration and will not

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introduce X checks in order to have a proper debate about what is going

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on. I cannot decide what you think is an appropriate number of

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immigrants to come to this country every year. Making sure there is a

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controlled number coming in. You need to have a ballpark figure.

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Putting a target on it of tens of thousands is not achievable. I do

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not personally have a target. How can you control it? You need to know

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the numbers. If I control the heat on the cooker, I have a thermostat.

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We're in a position where we do not know. Asking me for target after

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target after target... Just one would be fine. I do not have a

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target. I am at a loss to work out how you can control anything if you

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do not even have a single target. What you do is understand who is

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leading a how many people are leaving. If there are economic

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migrants coming in and are paying their taxes and that is what Vince

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Cable is talking about, she is intensely relaxed about it will stop

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if students are here, they are intensely relaxed about that. If I

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said to you 3 million people or 3.5 people you would be satisfied with

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an answer like that? Exit checks is a very clear policy. Would we have

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to put up with this allowing for the next 14 months? Will there be

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endless, manufactured batters between the two of you? It is like

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Wall of the Roses. We have to watch this for 14 months! You could have a

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Blair/ Brown scenario. In their leaders debate at the last general

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election, what everyone wanted to know was what the immigration policy

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was at what people were saying about immigration. Having a good of

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national debate about this but without the rhetoric which is

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dangerous in terms of attitude and society. It is a good thing. We have

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seen a lot of rhetoric from the Lib Dems and Tories. So, that's the view

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from the Lib Dems. But what do the Tories make of how coalition

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government is working? We're joined now by another former Number ten

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insider, Sean Worth. He used to work for the Prime Minister and now works

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for the lobbying firm, Quiller. In your mind, are these manufactured

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rows are is this a liberation of the two parties in the run-up to the

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general election? There are quite a lot of differences. It is natural

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they will voice differences. The point I would make and this is not a

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party political point am trying to make, there is a greater difficulty

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for the Liberal Democrats because of the kind of coalition we have in

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this country. On the continent, minority parties own separate chunks

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of policy often. They build a political platform on the back of

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that. They are trying to share power, not just on spending, which

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is right. On the issues they do not agree on, there is a bit of disunity

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and lack of clarity over what they stand for. I do not think we will

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see this power-sharing arrangement in the future. How would you have

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split the departments? Could you imagine energy going purely to the

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Liberal Democrats with no Tory ministers in that department? My

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observation, having worked in the coalition and looking at it now, and

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looking around the world at how it works, absolutely. A minority party.

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If you think about the position of the Lib Dems, they are not in a good

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place. They do not have territory in government on which they can convey

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a platform. I am not suggesting they go to single issues. On the

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continent you do see more power-sharing based on areas, when

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you go into a coalition new demand territorial control effectively of

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say odysseys which are relevant to consumers or social policies.

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Without that electoral platform, we are seeing a disintegration within

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certain departments, like parts of the Home Office on immigration. It

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looks more and more difficult as you approach an election. If you did

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have that model and I imagine this is what will happen next time. If

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you have a model where you share more distinctly, it will be

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perfectly legitimate for the Liberal Democrats to be briefing against the

:15:15.:15:17.

Home Secretary because they disagree. At the moment they are

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personally responsible for every single policy that comes up after

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the tax spending limits were agreed. You are saying the Lib Dems are

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releasing this report on immigration in order to undermine what Theresa

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May and the Tories are doing? The same with stop and search? There

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have been issues where the Liberal Democrats are good -- disagree with

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the majority part of government. That is perfectly acceptable.

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Everyone knows the two parties have to rub along and they have done well

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in the coalition. It is a function of the kind of coalition we have

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got, I am suggesting, which is a bitter for the Liberal Democrats.

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Lib Dems have got a problem? The only way they can get points across

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is briefing against the other party? No, academics are going to write

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about this forever, whether they should have controlled one

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department as they do in some parts of continental Europe, but the

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judgement was taken to be across all government policy, so the Deputy

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Prime Minister, only time will tell and history books, I believe it was

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the right way to do it. Others even in my party believe that maybe if

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one controlled one department, I think that is a sideline. The

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question you asking me is, is their counter briefing, is that going on?

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I see as much counter briefing about George Osborne and Iain Duncan Smith

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that I do about any that is legitimate policy debate. I think

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legitimate policy debate is a good aim. When I first worked in number

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ten, I thought, the debates are pretty rough. I said that in the

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click and he said, that's how it should be. You should have heated

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debates. Let's see if we can help with that heated debate! We will

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talk a bit more about immigration And we're joined now by Conservative

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MP Nadhim Zahawi. Now. The Home Secretary was saying that for every

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100 immigrants, 23 Brits lost their jobs, now the government has

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published a report saying that there is little evidence that it has

:17:43.:17:46.

caused statistically significant displacement from the labour market.

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If you read the report, read on, I am sure you have, the report that

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the Home Secretary was quoting on has not been contradicted as a

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different period, 1995 until 2008, that was the period. 2010, I

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apologise. What they are saying is that it was important data from that

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report. So the robustness of 100 immigrants, non-EU, would result in

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23 displaced jobs... That's not true, is it? It is contradicting the

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data. And by the way, the original report also said statistics were not

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robust and it depended on the time period you chose and if you took out

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statistics that looked a bit dodgy, there was no statistical

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significance. So this report is only backing up the previous one. The

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previous one had caveats. But there is no contradiction. If you read

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carefully, it's not contradiction. But there is between what the Home

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Secretary said a couple of years ago and what this report as saying. We

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lose 23 for every hundred that come in, that figure is just not true. On

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the period the report is looking at... This is a new period, that's

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what you need to tell your viewers. The real issue here is the rate at

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which immigration comes into this country, and the problem was the

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rate was too high. We have succeeded in bringing it down for non-EU

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migrants, down by a third. That rate puts massive pressure on public

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services, schools, hospital and social cohesion and may lead to

:19:39.:19:42.

displacement of low-paid jobs. The Lib Dems took about people on low

:19:43.:19:46.

pay and how they championed them, they should be championing them if

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they are losing their jobs. You asked about why they is a target,

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you set your organisation a target, so it has a focus to make sure that

:19:57.:20:01.

it moves in the direction of meeting the target. We are, on the non-EU

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target... But your target was overall immigration to be in the

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tens of thousands and it is not. Ultimately the real issue is the

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difference in wages between different European countries. We

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have grown larger from the days of having six EU countries, to now

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having 28. The difference now has to be looked at, and the idea that we

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need, as a European family, to look at what measures we need to put in

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place to stop that movement, those countries need to raise their wages

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or the GDP per capita needs to increase. This is not a monologue.

:20:46.:20:52.

The real question is, you made a promise that you can't keep. That's

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the real problem. He promised that net migration would go down to the

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tens of thousands, it did go down a bit, it's just risen again to

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212,000. Can we just be honest here, there is no possibility by May of

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next year that it will be in the tens of thousands, agreed? I was

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about to say to you before you wanted to ask that question that the

:21:17.:21:19.

poor factor of people coming over is being addressed through legislation,

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from Europe... I think the target can still be met. By May 2015? In

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any organisation, you set targets for the direction of travel of that

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organisation. I would say wait and see. But I would say, the important

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thing is to have targets. Do you want a bit? If we can negotiate a

:21:46.:21:51.

settlement in terms of those countries... You cannot do that this

:21:52.:22:00.

side of the election. That may be true, but it is important that we

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address these issues. It also matters that politicians, when they

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tell us these things, they are either true to their word or they

:22:09.:22:11.

admit they got it wrong, and you have to have a new policy. I was

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suggested the honest thing you to do is admit you are not going to hit

:22:16.:22:19.

your target and come out with a new policy or target. I would say to

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you, targets in any organisation are important, it is important to stick

:22:27.:22:30.

to them and try and deliver on them. You tried and failed. We haven't, we

:22:31.:22:39.

have legislation... What is it like, being in denial? We're not in

:22:40.:22:47.

denial. You do things to try and hit the target. The point was, you made

:22:48.:22:55.

a target with a part of immigration you have no control over. I cannot

:22:56.:23:00.

have the life of me understand, if you are talking about bottom lines

:23:01.:23:04.

and business imperatives, if someone walks into your business, you want

:23:05.:23:07.

to know if they have walked out again. What is holding it up in the

:23:08.:23:13.

Home Office? Tell me! I don't understand. Even from your point of

:23:14.:23:18.

view, what is wrong with an exit control? While the Tories stalling

:23:19.:23:24.

that? You are creating a false document between the Lib Dems, and

:23:25.:23:28.

it will be delivered, my understanding is that, once the

:23:29.:23:33.

technology and everything else is in place, it will be delivered because

:23:34.:23:37.

we count people in now. We will be counting them out. Can I just bring

:23:38.:23:46.

you back, because your party has dined out on this figure of 100

:23:47.:23:53.

people coming, 23 British jobs are lost. The most of this new report,

:23:54.:24:00.

which has been peer reviewed, with civil servants and academics, says

:24:01.:24:04.

there is evidence that some labour market displacement in recent years,

:24:05.:24:09.

when the economy was in recession. That's as far as it goes, it doesn't

:24:10.:24:15.

say 23. It then also says that this is likely to dissipate over time,

:24:16.:24:20.

and any displacement from one set of new arrivals will gradually decline.

:24:21.:24:29.

From the higher earner. So the figure is a nonsense. What it

:24:30.:24:35.

actually says is the previous report offered valuable evidence, so there

:24:36.:24:40.

isn't this disagreement that you are trying to pretend exists between the

:24:41.:24:46.

reports. The reality is, if we take a step back, it is about the rate of

:24:47.:24:49.

people come to this country, about pressure on public services and how

:24:50.:24:56.

pressure can be easily as it on the displacement of low-paid workers. If

:24:57.:24:59.

the Lib Dems are serious about the people on the lowest wages... I'm

:25:00.:25:06.

sorry, we have run out of time. Now to the crisis in Ukraine, and EU

:25:07.:25:10.

leaders are meeting in Brussels today to see if they can agree on

:25:11.:25:13.

sanctions against Russia following the occupation of Crimea. So can

:25:14.:25:17.

they pull a rabbit out of the hat? Our correspondent Matthew Price is

:25:18.:25:23.

in Brussels. How realistic is agreement on tough sanctions against

:25:24.:25:27.

Russia when we already hearing that MPs from Angela Merkel's party in

:25:28.:25:31.

Germany are extremely worried about anything that would harm their

:25:32.:25:35.

economic interests? I think it's unrealistic to expect tough

:25:36.:25:41.

sanctions. I think it's probably unrealistic to expect any sanctions.

:25:42.:25:46.

It is more realistic to expect the possible threat of sanctions,

:25:47.:25:52.

although one early leaked draft of the conclusions, and I reiterate

:25:53.:25:56.

that it is early in the day on this, and it could change, but one early

:25:57.:26:00.

leaked draft to our colleagues here at the Financial Times seems to have

:26:01.:26:05.

stripped away even the threat of sanctions. It talks about possible

:26:06.:26:09.

consequences, but that language could change. The EU risks looking

:26:10.:26:15.

week at the end of this summit, the end of the day, when it seemed

:26:16.:26:21.

leaders couldn't reach 10pm this evening without having something

:26:22.:26:24.

substantive to say in response to Moscow? The way that sources here

:26:25.:26:31.

answer that is to say that what they are trying to do is find it a

:26:32.:26:36.

dramatic way through this, there can only be a political solution, it

:26:37.:26:38.

will involve Russia and Ukraine talking. They are not about to put

:26:39.:26:43.

troops on the ground, NATO is not about to send forces in, or the US.

:26:44.:26:50.

So in the end they are left with the diplomatic push and threats that

:26:51.:26:54.

might be made against Russia. Germany is crucial in this. It is

:26:55.:26:59.

Angela Merkel's opinion that if you push Russia, it will push back, so

:27:00.:27:02.

she doesn't want to see that happen. There are also economic and

:27:03.:27:07.

energy reasons why the Germans might not want to see that happening, and

:27:08.:27:12.

another couple of nations as well. Britain is more on the side of the

:27:13.:27:17.

Eastern European states, notably Poland, who are pretty keen for

:27:18.:27:20.

there to be a strong message to Moscow from this summit. David

:27:21.:27:27.

Cameron said, Russia need to know there are consequences. But it is

:27:28.:27:33.

Germany's arguments who are winning out. That means there is going to be

:27:34.:27:39.

a divide and you will have groups of countries: The different things stop

:27:40.:27:43.

in public, the bubbly one, because they realise these are high-stakes

:27:44.:27:52.

-- in public, there probably won't. There is a big difference of opinion

:27:53.:27:56.

between Poland and Germany, for instance, and yet he said, of course

:27:57.:28:00.

we have different perspectives on this but we are united in our

:28:01.:28:07.

belief... Ukraine must maintain territorial integrity, Russian

:28:08.:28:09.

forces should withdraw back to their bases, etc. So I don't think in

:28:10.:28:16.

public you are then to see any open division but behind-the-scenes, in

:28:17.:28:19.

the room behind me, the divisions of being expressed. Yesterday, I was

:28:20.:28:28.

telling the Tory guest that the Germans are going to stop this from

:28:29.:28:33.

happening. They are very reticent about this.

:28:34.:28:37.

With us now on the line from Kiev is Sergei Sobolev, he's an MP from the

:28:38.:28:41.

Fatherland Party - that's the group that makes up most of the interim

:28:42.:28:45.

government - and used to advise the former president Viktor Yuschenko

:28:46.:28:47.

who came to power after the Orange revolution. Welcome to the Daily

:28:48.:28:55.

Politics. It doesn't look like you are going to get much out of the

:28:56.:29:00.

European summit. What does that mean for Ukraine's future? You see, just

:29:01.:29:08.

now we have an answer on the main question. Whether all countries

:29:09.:29:12.

guarantee for us sovereignty, independence, will support that, so

:29:13.:29:20.

first of all, it's nuclear power states such as the US, Great

:29:21.:29:24.

Britain, France, China, because if you will not protect our

:29:25.:29:29.

independence, it means for all other nations, such as Iran, Pakistan,

:29:30.:29:36.

India and others, who we need to withdraw the nuclear weapons, we

:29:37.:29:41.

will never protect them also. So now we have two onto the main question.

:29:42.:29:44.

Whether the nuclear power states will save peace in the world. And

:29:45.:29:53.

this piece now is on the Black Sea, where we need real support from

:29:54.:29:55.

these countries in order to protect our southern border from the war

:29:56.:30:04.

that Russian invaders started. Is it not a hard fact of realpolitik that

:30:05.:30:10.

Crimea has in effect already been annexed by Russia? It is now to all

:30:11.:30:23.

intents and purposes Russian? Really, about the population, we

:30:24.:30:38.

have one third of the population is Crimean and one third of the

:30:39.:30:42.

population more is Ukrainians which will never be in the Russian

:30:43.:30:47.

Empire. Just now, only one third of the population who are Russians,

:30:48.:30:52.

even not all Russians, want to support the so-called referendum. If

:30:53.:30:57.

you know just now the Parliament of Crimea announced this referendum

:30:58.:31:02.

could not on the 25th of May, not on 30th of March, now they announce the

:31:03.:31:07.

15th of March as the new date for the referendum. That means the

:31:08.:31:14.

Russian invader has already fallen down. This referendum will need to

:31:15.:31:18.

be in several days. I think the answer on the referendum will not be

:31:19.:31:22.

illegal because we do not have such a law. In another case there will be

:31:23.:31:27.

a referendum under their weapon that Russian invaders want to use the

:31:28.:31:40.

main argument on this referendum together they export 130 billion

:31:41.:31:44.

euros of exports to Russia every year. It seems they have put that as

:31:45.:31:52.

being more important than the freedom of Ukraine from Russian

:31:53.:31:59.

control. What do you say? I do not think so. Which is a problem of

:32:00.:32:05.

Russia how to solve their gas and oil. -- it is a problem. Without the

:32:06.:32:13.

solving of the problem, how to solve the gas and oil, they will never

:32:14.:32:19.

have the economy. 87% of the Russian economy is based on oil and gas

:32:20.:32:25.

dollars. We must understand our world is so close together that it

:32:26.:32:30.

is not only a problem of Europe where to buy gas and oil, it is a

:32:31.:32:36.

problem of Russians Festival. One day, of real sanctions against

:32:37.:32:43.

Russia, it means millions of Russians will be on the streets and

:32:44.:32:48.

they will protest against the regime of Putin, who wants to provide Third

:32:49.:32:59.

World War. That may be true. The Russians need that foreign

:33:00.:33:03.

currency. To do what you have just said they should do, the Germans

:33:04.:33:07.

would need to have a stomach for the fight, the economic sanctions

:33:08.:33:12.

fight. There is no evidence that the Merckle government has any stomach

:33:13.:33:20.

for that fight. -- angular Merckle government. In the same position,

:33:21.:33:26.

German supported our independence and our sovereignty in this period

:33:27.:33:30.

of time. They must understand it is not only a question of Crimea. After

:33:31.:33:39.

Crimea, they want to be invaders in another areas which is just on the

:33:40.:33:45.

borders of NATO. It is only the start of the Russian Empire. I think

:33:46.:33:50.

the whole world must understand, Crimea is not the end of this war,

:33:51.:33:57.

it is only the beginning. When, for example, some years ago everyone

:33:58.:34:02.

watched the events in Georgia. They thought it is not our country, it is

:34:03.:34:08.

not our territory. Now it is Crimea. It must be the main

:34:09.:34:14.

question, in order to protect real peace in Europe and the world.

:34:15.:34:21.

Crimea seems to be gone, at least for now. How big is at risk is East

:34:22.:34:26.

Ukraine from some sort of Russian incursion? I am from eastern

:34:27.:34:34.

Ukraine. It is a serious industrial centre. Everybody provides to

:34:35.:34:46.

support the central government in Kiev. The only way they want to

:34:47.:34:53.

divide Ukraine, they want to have a support in the Donetsk region. You

:34:54.:34:59.

can compare. More than 10,000 people gave support of one united Ukraine

:35:00.:35:09.

yesterday. Near 1000 people, who had Russian flags were from Russia. They

:35:10.:35:15.

supported the Russian Empire. I think that now it is not even a

:35:16.:35:20.

question of eastern Ukraine. Now it is

:35:21.:35:21.

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