Browse content similar to 06/03/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Afternoon, folks. Welcome to the Daily Politics. David Cameron's in | :00:40. | :00:45. | |
Brussels for an emergency summit on the Ukraine crisis but what chance | :00:46. | :00:49. | |
is there of the EU showing a united front to Russian aggression? British | :00:50. | :00:59. | |
leaders talked tough at PMQs yesterday but the Germans are | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
against sanctions. Will President Putin end up with no more than a | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
Meanwhile, back at Westminster, more coalition skirmishes over | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
immigration. Slap on the wrist? The Lib Dems say they're intensely | :01:12. | :01:14. | |
relaxed about people coming to the UK. The Tories aren't exactly | :01:15. | :01:17. | |
relaxed, so have the stage-managed rows gone too far? Everyone agrees | :01:18. | :01:27. | |
there are not enough affordable homes. We will speak to the Housing | :01:28. | :01:31. | |
Minister and an academic who thinks he has the ants are -- he has the | :01:32. | :01:40. | |
answer. We will test your knowledge of the Lib Dems. All that is coming | :01:41. | :01:50. | |
up in the next hour. And with us for the whole programme today is Olly | :01:51. | :01:54. | |
Grender. She's a former head of communications for the Lib Dems and | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
these days shelters in the relative obscurity of the House of Lords. | :01:58. | :02:00. | |
She's the 35th most influential Lib Dem in the land, according to the | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
Telegraph, which of course is the party's in-house newspaper. And, in | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
fact, they've moved her down the list by 13 places since she joined | :02:09. | :02:14. | |
the Lords. But, tough luck, Matthew Oakshott, she's still one ahead of | :02:15. | :02:27. | |
you. First, a statement from the Home Secretary following publication | :02:28. | :02:33. | |
of the review into the original Stephen Lawrence murder | :02:34. | :02:37. | |
investigation. The review found, reasonable grounds to suspect | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
corruption by the police. Here is the Home Secretary. I do not say | :02:43. | :02:47. | |
this lightly but I think the greatest possible scrutiny is now | :02:48. | :02:52. | |
needed into what has taken place. And so, given the gravity of what | :02:53. | :02:58. | |
has now been uncovered, I have decided that a public enquiry, led | :02:59. | :03:03. | |
by a judge, is necessary to investigate undercover policing and | :03:04. | :03:10. | |
the fruition -- the operation of the STS. Only a public enquiry will get | :03:11. | :03:19. | |
to the full truth. To amazed speaking on that developing story. | :03:20. | :03:25. | |
We are joined now by Norman Smith, who is in the Central Lobby of the | :03:26. | :03:30. | |
House of Commons. Bring us up to date. What we heard from the Home | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
Secretary was a political bombshell. It is a real body blow to the | :03:36. | :03:41. | |
standing, the credibility, of the police. You basically have a | :03:42. | :03:46. | |
Conservative Home Secretary saying we have a problem with our police. | :03:47. | :03:52. | |
It is all based on this review into the conduct of the police, not just | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
into the original enquiry their response to next person. This | :03:58. | :04:00. | |
details instances of the police delivered it is all based on this | :04:01. | :04:03. | |
review into the conduct of the police, not just into the original | :04:04. | :04:05. | |
in quiet but their response to next person. This details instances of | :04:06. | :04:08. | |
the police delivered information, possible miscarriages of justice by | :04:09. | :04:13. | |
the use of undercover officers. It is the response by the Home | :04:14. | :04:16. | |
Secretary which frankly is a moment, not just a public enquiry | :04:17. | :04:23. | |
into the conduct of the police, a judge led public enquiry over | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
Lawrence but she is also going to introduce a new legal offence of | :04:28. | :04:32. | |
police corruption. That, I think, gives you some appreciation of how | :04:33. | :04:36. | |
concerned the Home Secretary is about the problem of police | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
corruption that she feels it necessary now to introduce such a | :04:41. | :04:45. | |
specific offence as a lease corruption. She also said she will | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
introduce measures to in Courage whistle-blowers to come forward. The | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
National Crime Agency were arrested gate whether further instances of | :04:55. | :04:59. | |
corruption into the handling of the whole Steven Lawrence Naga existed. | :05:00. | :05:08. | |
-- Steven Lawrence saga existed. We know there where we writing of | :05:09. | :05:15. | |
witness statements and the plebs gate saga, police officers coming to | :05:16. | :05:21. | |
the House of Commons to apologise for their conduct and now this. It | :05:22. | :05:29. | |
is a profoundly and serious -- it is a profoundly serious moment for the | :05:30. | :05:34. | |
police. It is about how they are seen by the public and how they are | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
viewed by politicians here. Thank you fray much of putting all that | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
into context. This is a crisis for the police. Yes, it is. There has | :05:45. | :05:53. | |
been a drip drip of it. Some of the cases that are now taking place, | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
like the hacking trials. It is extraordinary. It sounds like | :05:59. | :06:01. | |
Theresa May is doing the right thing. In the House of Lords, Doreen | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
Lawrence is one of the members of the House of Lords. I spoke to her | :06:08. | :06:14. | |
the other day. The continual upset. Not only to go through that thing | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
from which you never recover of losing your son. To find out time | :06:20. | :06:26. | |
and again what the institutions who are supposed to help her do behind | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
the scenes. It is shocking. It seems it is much worse than anyone | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
thought, or at least as bad as the worst critics of the police have | :06:37. | :06:43. | |
claimed. We have to believe it. It needs credibility. It gets tougher | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
after that announcement from the Home Secretary. It will be running | :06:48. | :06:55. | |
story all day today. We know that the Lib Dems and Tories allow each | :06:56. | :07:02. | |
other license disunity. It shows the voters and their parties what they | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
are really made of. The gloves have come off this morning with the | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
latest partly-manufactured row between the coalition partners over | :07:12. | :07:14. | |
immigration. The Conservatives are already struggling to reach their | :07:15. | :07:17. | |
target of cutting net migration to the tens of thousands. And, in a | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
display of support for his Cabinet colleagues that warms the heart, | :07:23. | :07:26. | |
Nick Clegg's had this to say on LBC radio. I have always said to them, | :07:27. | :07:32. | |
the problem is it is a target over which they do not have full control. | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
It depends partly how many Brits lead this country. Actually, the | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
number of Brits leaving the country is at its lowest level for many | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
years. You cannot tell the number of Brits leaving the country in order | :07:46. | :07:51. | |
to meet targets. It is absurd. I think they have become very | :07:52. | :07:53. | |
preoccupied with that. There are certain things we have to do, they | :07:54. | :07:59. | |
are down on illegal immigration, unscrupulous employers, reintroduced | :08:00. | :08:09. | |
exit checks. It is about tatters and battered public confidence in the | :08:10. | :08:13. | |
way the immigration system is run. So, that's the Deputy Prime Minister | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
on LBC radio this morning. Later on, the Business Secretary Vince Cable's | :08:18. | :08:27. | |
going to express a similar view. The new Immigration Minister will be | :08:28. | :08:35. | |
taking a different view. He has said net migration is still much too | :08:36. | :08:41. | |
high. What is the difference between you and the Tories on immigration? | :08:42. | :08:48. | |
We talk about having a net figure. The tens of thousands figures. It is | :08:49. | :08:55. | |
not in the coalition agreement. The Liberal Democrats do not want net | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
immigration to fall to the tens of thousands? The Liberal Democrats | :09:00. | :09:07. | |
want to make sure there are proper instigation is of checks. You will | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
have heard Nick Clegg talking about exit controls. It is not going to | :09:12. | :09:19. | |
happen but the Tories want net migration to fall to the tens of | :09:20. | :09:25. | |
thousands. They want proof of the figure. It is a full Sig. If loads | :09:26. | :09:32. | |
of UK citizens day, then you cannot improve that figure. -- this day. | :09:33. | :09:41. | |
Lib Dems want to control things like illegal immigration. You both agree | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
with that. How we deal with it, there is a bigger disagreement. I | :09:48. | :09:53. | |
cannot understand whether Tories of pro or anti immigration and will not | :09:54. | :09:59. | |
introduce X checks in order to have a proper debate about what is going | :10:00. | :10:06. | |
on. I cannot decide what you think is an appropriate number of | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
immigrants to come to this country every year. Making sure there is a | :10:11. | :10:16. | |
controlled number coming in. You need to have a ballpark figure. | :10:17. | :10:23. | |
Putting a target on it of tens of thousands is not achievable. I do | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
not personally have a target. How can you control it? You need to know | :10:30. | :10:37. | |
the numbers. If I control the heat on the cooker, I have a thermostat. | :10:38. | :10:43. | |
We're in a position where we do not know. Asking me for target after | :10:44. | :10:50. | |
target after target... Just one would be fine. I do not have a | :10:51. | :10:56. | |
target. I am at a loss to work out how you can control anything if you | :10:57. | :11:00. | |
do not even have a single target. What you do is understand who is | :11:01. | :11:05. | |
leading a how many people are leaving. If there are economic | :11:06. | :11:13. | |
migrants coming in and are paying their taxes and that is what Vince | :11:14. | :11:15. | |
Cable is talking about, she is intensely relaxed about it will stop | :11:16. | :11:19. | |
if students are here, they are intensely relaxed about that. If I | :11:20. | :11:26. | |
said to you 3 million people or 3.5 people you would be satisfied with | :11:27. | :11:32. | |
an answer like that? Exit checks is a very clear policy. Would we have | :11:33. | :11:41. | |
to put up with this allowing for the next 14 months? Will there be | :11:42. | :11:46. | |
endless, manufactured batters between the two of you? It is like | :11:47. | :11:54. | |
Wall of the Roses. We have to watch this for 14 months! You could have a | :11:55. | :12:04. | |
Blair/ Brown scenario. In their leaders debate at the last general | :12:05. | :12:07. | |
election, what everyone wanted to know was what the immigration policy | :12:08. | :12:12. | |
was at what people were saying about immigration. Having a good of | :12:13. | :12:18. | |
national debate about this but without the rhetoric which is | :12:19. | :12:25. | |
dangerous in terms of attitude and society. It is a good thing. We have | :12:26. | :12:31. | |
seen a lot of rhetoric from the Lib Dems and Tories. So, that's the view | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
from the Lib Dems. But what do the Tories make of how coalition | :12:37. | :12:39. | |
government is working? We're joined now by another former Number ten | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
insider, Sean Worth. He used to work for the Prime Minister and now works | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
for the lobbying firm, Quiller. In your mind, are these manufactured | :12:48. | :12:52. | |
rows are is this a liberation of the two parties in the run-up to the | :12:53. | :12:58. | |
general election? There are quite a lot of differences. It is natural | :12:59. | :13:03. | |
they will voice differences. The point I would make and this is not a | :13:04. | :13:06. | |
party political point am trying to make, there is a greater difficulty | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
for the Liberal Democrats because of the kind of coalition we have in | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
this country. On the continent, minority parties own separate chunks | :13:18. | :13:22. | |
of policy often. They build a political platform on the back of | :13:23. | :13:24. | |
that. They are trying to share power, not just on spending, which | :13:25. | :13:35. | |
is right. On the issues they do not agree on, there is a bit of disunity | :13:36. | :13:42. | |
and lack of clarity over what they stand for. I do not think we will | :13:43. | :13:47. | |
see this power-sharing arrangement in the future. How would you have | :13:48. | :13:54. | |
split the departments? Could you imagine energy going purely to the | :13:55. | :13:58. | |
Liberal Democrats with no Tory ministers in that department? My | :13:59. | :14:05. | |
observation, having worked in the coalition and looking at it now, and | :14:06. | :14:08. | |
looking around the world at how it works, absolutely. A minority party. | :14:09. | :14:16. | |
If you think about the position of the Lib Dems, they are not in a good | :14:17. | :14:21. | |
place. They do not have territory in government on which they can convey | :14:22. | :14:26. | |
a platform. I am not suggesting they go to single issues. On the | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
continent you do see more power-sharing based on areas, when | :14:31. | :14:35. | |
you go into a coalition new demand territorial control effectively of | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
say odysseys which are relevant to consumers or social policies. | :14:41. | :14:49. | |
Without that electoral platform, we are seeing a disintegration within | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
certain departments, like parts of the Home Office on immigration. It | :14:54. | :15:01. | |
looks more and more difficult as you approach an election. If you did | :15:02. | :15:05. | |
have that model and I imagine this is what will happen next time. If | :15:06. | :15:10. | |
you have a model where you share more distinctly, it will be | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
perfectly legitimate for the Liberal Democrats to be briefing against the | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
Home Secretary because they disagree. At the moment they are | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
personally responsible for every single policy that comes up after | :15:22. | :15:25. | |
the tax spending limits were agreed. You are saying the Lib Dems are | :15:26. | :15:32. | |
releasing this report on immigration in order to undermine what Theresa | :15:33. | :15:37. | |
May and the Tories are doing? The same with stop and search? There | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
have been issues where the Liberal Democrats are good -- disagree with | :15:44. | :15:51. | |
the majority part of government. That is perfectly acceptable. | :15:52. | :15:53. | |
Everyone knows the two parties have to rub along and they have done well | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
in the coalition. It is a function of the kind of coalition we have | :15:59. | :16:02. | |
got, I am suggesting, which is a bitter for the Liberal Democrats. | :16:03. | :16:09. | |
Lib Dems have got a problem? The only way they can get points across | :16:10. | :16:17. | |
is briefing against the other party? No, academics are going to write | :16:18. | :16:20. | |
about this forever, whether they should have controlled one | :16:21. | :16:24. | |
department as they do in some parts of continental Europe, but the | :16:25. | :16:31. | |
judgement was taken to be across all government policy, so the Deputy | :16:32. | :16:34. | |
Prime Minister, only time will tell and history books, I believe it was | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
the right way to do it. Others even in my party believe that maybe if | :16:40. | :16:43. | |
one controlled one department, I think that is a sideline. The | :16:44. | :16:50. | |
question you asking me is, is their counter briefing, is that going on? | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
I see as much counter briefing about George Osborne and Iain Duncan Smith | :16:57. | :16:59. | |
that I do about any that is legitimate policy debate. I think | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
legitimate policy debate is a good aim. When I first worked in number | :17:04. | :17:08. | |
ten, I thought, the debates are pretty rough. I said that in the | :17:09. | :17:12. | |
click and he said, that's how it should be. You should have heated | :17:13. | :17:21. | |
debates. Let's see if we can help with that heated debate! We will | :17:22. | :17:29. | |
talk a bit more about immigration And we're joined now by Conservative | :17:30. | :17:34. | |
MP Nadhim Zahawi. Now. The Home Secretary was saying that for every | :17:35. | :17:37. | |
100 immigrants, 23 Brits lost their jobs, now the government has | :17:38. | :17:42. | |
published a report saying that there is little evidence that it has | :17:43. | :17:46. | |
caused statistically significant displacement from the labour market. | :17:47. | :17:54. | |
If you read the report, read on, I am sure you have, the report that | :17:55. | :17:59. | |
the Home Secretary was quoting on has not been contradicted as a | :18:00. | :18:06. | |
different period, 1995 until 2008, that was the period. 2010, I | :18:07. | :18:12. | |
apologise. What they are saying is that it was important data from that | :18:13. | :18:22. | |
report. So the robustness of 100 immigrants, non-EU, would result in | :18:23. | :18:27. | |
23 displaced jobs... That's not true, is it? It is contradicting the | :18:28. | :18:33. | |
data. And by the way, the original report also said statistics were not | :18:34. | :18:39. | |
robust and it depended on the time period you chose and if you took out | :18:40. | :18:45. | |
statistics that looked a bit dodgy, there was no statistical | :18:46. | :18:48. | |
significance. So this report is only backing up the previous one. The | :18:49. | :18:54. | |
previous one had caveats. But there is no contradiction. If you read | :18:55. | :19:00. | |
carefully, it's not contradiction. But there is between what the Home | :19:01. | :19:03. | |
Secretary said a couple of years ago and what this report as saying. We | :19:04. | :19:07. | |
lose 23 for every hundred that come in, that figure is just not true. On | :19:08. | :19:13. | |
the period the report is looking at... This is a new period, that's | :19:14. | :19:18. | |
what you need to tell your viewers. The real issue here is the rate at | :19:19. | :19:24. | |
which immigration comes into this country, and the problem was the | :19:25. | :19:28. | |
rate was too high. We have succeeded in bringing it down for non-EU | :19:29. | :19:33. | |
migrants, down by a third. That rate puts massive pressure on public | :19:34. | :19:38. | |
services, schools, hospital and social cohesion and may lead to | :19:39. | :19:42. | |
displacement of low-paid jobs. The Lib Dems took about people on low | :19:43. | :19:46. | |
pay and how they championed them, they should be championing them if | :19:47. | :19:49. | |
they are losing their jobs. You asked about why they is a target, | :19:50. | :19:56. | |
you set your organisation a target, so it has a focus to make sure that | :19:57. | :20:01. | |
it moves in the direction of meeting the target. We are, on the non-EU | :20:02. | :20:11. | |
target... But your target was overall immigration to be in the | :20:12. | :20:16. | |
tens of thousands and it is not. Ultimately the real issue is the | :20:17. | :20:19. | |
difference in wages between different European countries. We | :20:20. | :20:23. | |
have grown larger from the days of having six EU countries, to now | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
having 28. The difference now has to be looked at, and the idea that we | :20:30. | :20:35. | |
need, as a European family, to look at what measures we need to put in | :20:36. | :20:40. | |
place to stop that movement, those countries need to raise their wages | :20:41. | :20:45. | |
or the GDP per capita needs to increase. This is not a monologue. | :20:46. | :20:52. | |
The real question is, you made a promise that you can't keep. That's | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
the real problem. He promised that net migration would go down to the | :20:58. | :21:00. | |
tens of thousands, it did go down a bit, it's just risen again to | :21:01. | :21:07. | |
212,000. Can we just be honest here, there is no possibility by May of | :21:08. | :21:10. | |
next year that it will be in the tens of thousands, agreed? I was | :21:11. | :21:16. | |
about to say to you before you wanted to ask that question that the | :21:17. | :21:19. | |
poor factor of people coming over is being addressed through legislation, | :21:20. | :21:25. | |
from Europe... I think the target can still be met. By May 2015? In | :21:26. | :21:34. | |
any organisation, you set targets for the direction of travel of that | :21:35. | :21:39. | |
organisation. I would say wait and see. But I would say, the important | :21:40. | :21:45. | |
thing is to have targets. Do you want a bit? If we can negotiate a | :21:46. | :21:51. | |
settlement in terms of those countries... You cannot do that this | :21:52. | :22:00. | |
side of the election. That may be true, but it is important that we | :22:01. | :22:05. | |
address these issues. It also matters that politicians, when they | :22:06. | :22:08. | |
tell us these things, they are either true to their word or they | :22:09. | :22:11. | |
admit they got it wrong, and you have to have a new policy. I was | :22:12. | :22:15. | |
suggested the honest thing you to do is admit you are not going to hit | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
your target and come out with a new policy or target. I would say to | :22:20. | :22:26. | |
you, targets in any organisation are important, it is important to stick | :22:27. | :22:30. | |
to them and try and deliver on them. You tried and failed. We haven't, we | :22:31. | :22:39. | |
have legislation... What is it like, being in denial? We're not in | :22:40. | :22:47. | |
denial. You do things to try and hit the target. The point was, you made | :22:48. | :22:55. | |
a target with a part of immigration you have no control over. I cannot | :22:56. | :23:00. | |
have the life of me understand, if you are talking about bottom lines | :23:01. | :23:04. | |
and business imperatives, if someone walks into your business, you want | :23:05. | :23:07. | |
to know if they have walked out again. What is holding it up in the | :23:08. | :23:13. | |
Home Office? Tell me! I don't understand. Even from your point of | :23:14. | :23:18. | |
view, what is wrong with an exit control? While the Tories stalling | :23:19. | :23:24. | |
that? You are creating a false document between the Lib Dems, and | :23:25. | :23:28. | |
it will be delivered, my understanding is that, once the | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
technology and everything else is in place, it will be delivered because | :23:34. | :23:37. | |
we count people in now. We will be counting them out. Can I just bring | :23:38. | :23:46. | |
you back, because your party has dined out on this figure of 100 | :23:47. | :23:53. | |
people coming, 23 British jobs are lost. The most of this new report, | :23:54. | :24:00. | |
which has been peer reviewed, with civil servants and academics, says | :24:01. | :24:04. | |
there is evidence that some labour market displacement in recent years, | :24:05. | :24:09. | |
when the economy was in recession. That's as far as it goes, it doesn't | :24:10. | :24:15. | |
say 23. It then also says that this is likely to dissipate over time, | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
and any displacement from one set of new arrivals will gradually decline. | :24:21. | :24:29. | |
From the higher earner. So the figure is a nonsense. What it | :24:30. | :24:35. | |
actually says is the previous report offered valuable evidence, so there | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
isn't this disagreement that you are trying to pretend exists between the | :24:41. | :24:46. | |
reports. The reality is, if we take a step back, it is about the rate of | :24:47. | :24:49. | |
people come to this country, about pressure on public services and how | :24:50. | :24:56. | |
pressure can be easily as it on the displacement of low-paid workers. If | :24:57. | :24:59. | |
the Lib Dems are serious about the people on the lowest wages... I'm | :25:00. | :25:06. | |
sorry, we have run out of time. Now to the crisis in Ukraine, and EU | :25:07. | :25:10. | |
leaders are meeting in Brussels today to see if they can agree on | :25:11. | :25:13. | |
sanctions against Russia following the occupation of Crimea. So can | :25:14. | :25:17. | |
they pull a rabbit out of the hat? Our correspondent Matthew Price is | :25:18. | :25:23. | |
in Brussels. How realistic is agreement on tough sanctions against | :25:24. | :25:27. | |
Russia when we already hearing that MPs from Angela Merkel's party in | :25:28. | :25:31. | |
Germany are extremely worried about anything that would harm their | :25:32. | :25:35. | |
economic interests? I think it's unrealistic to expect tough | :25:36. | :25:41. | |
sanctions. I think it's probably unrealistic to expect any sanctions. | :25:42. | :25:46. | |
It is more realistic to expect the possible threat of sanctions, | :25:47. | :25:52. | |
although one early leaked draft of the conclusions, and I reiterate | :25:53. | :25:56. | |
that it is early in the day on this, and it could change, but one early | :25:57. | :26:00. | |
leaked draft to our colleagues here at the Financial Times seems to have | :26:01. | :26:05. | |
stripped away even the threat of sanctions. It talks about possible | :26:06. | :26:09. | |
consequences, but that language could change. The EU risks looking | :26:10. | :26:15. | |
week at the end of this summit, the end of the day, when it seemed | :26:16. | :26:21. | |
leaders couldn't reach 10pm this evening without having something | :26:22. | :26:24. | |
substantive to say in response to Moscow? The way that sources here | :26:25. | :26:31. | |
answer that is to say that what they are trying to do is find it a | :26:32. | :26:36. | |
dramatic way through this, there can only be a political solution, it | :26:37. | :26:38. | |
will involve Russia and Ukraine talking. They are not about to put | :26:39. | :26:43. | |
troops on the ground, NATO is not about to send forces in, or the US. | :26:44. | :26:50. | |
So in the end they are left with the diplomatic push and threats that | :26:51. | :26:54. | |
might be made against Russia. Germany is crucial in this. It is | :26:55. | :26:59. | |
Angela Merkel's opinion that if you push Russia, it will push back, so | :27:00. | :27:02. | |
she doesn't want to see that happen. There are also economic and | :27:03. | :27:07. | |
energy reasons why the Germans might not want to see that happening, and | :27:08. | :27:12. | |
another couple of nations as well. Britain is more on the side of the | :27:13. | :27:17. | |
Eastern European states, notably Poland, who are pretty keen for | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
there to be a strong message to Moscow from this summit. David | :27:21. | :27:27. | |
Cameron said, Russia need to know there are consequences. But it is | :27:28. | :27:33. | |
Germany's arguments who are winning out. That means there is going to be | :27:34. | :27:39. | |
a divide and you will have groups of countries: The different things stop | :27:40. | :27:43. | |
in public, the bubbly one, because they realise these are high-stakes | :27:44. | :27:52. | |
-- in public, there probably won't. There is a big difference of opinion | :27:53. | :27:56. | |
between Poland and Germany, for instance, and yet he said, of course | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
we have different perspectives on this but we are united in our | :28:01. | :28:07. | |
belief... Ukraine must maintain territorial integrity, Russian | :28:08. | :28:09. | |
forces should withdraw back to their bases, etc. So I don't think in | :28:10. | :28:16. | |
public you are then to see any open division but behind-the-scenes, in | :28:17. | :28:19. | |
the room behind me, the divisions of being expressed. Yesterday, I was | :28:20. | :28:28. | |
telling the Tory guest that the Germans are going to stop this from | :28:29. | :28:33. | |
happening. They are very reticent about this. | :28:34. | :28:37. | |
With us now on the line from Kiev is Sergei Sobolev, he's an MP from the | :28:38. | :28:41. | |
Fatherland Party - that's the group that makes up most of the interim | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
government - and used to advise the former president Viktor Yuschenko | :28:46. | :28:47. | |
who came to power after the Orange revolution. Welcome to the Daily | :28:48. | :28:55. | |
Politics. It doesn't look like you are going to get much out of the | :28:56. | :29:00. | |
European summit. What does that mean for Ukraine's future? You see, just | :29:01. | :29:08. | |
now we have an answer on the main question. Whether all countries | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
guarantee for us sovereignty, independence, will support that, so | :29:13. | :29:20. | |
first of all, it's nuclear power states such as the US, Great | :29:21. | :29:24. | |
Britain, France, China, because if you will not protect our | :29:25. | :29:29. | |
independence, it means for all other nations, such as Iran, Pakistan, | :29:30. | :29:36. | |
India and others, who we need to withdraw the nuclear weapons, we | :29:37. | :29:41. | |
will never protect them also. So now we have two onto the main question. | :29:42. | :29:44. | |
Whether the nuclear power states will save peace in the world. And | :29:45. | :29:53. | |
this piece now is on the Black Sea, where we need real support from | :29:54. | :29:55. | |
these countries in order to protect our southern border from the war | :29:56. | :30:04. | |
that Russian invaders started. Is it not a hard fact of realpolitik that | :30:05. | :30:10. | |
Crimea has in effect already been annexed by Russia? It is now to all | :30:11. | :30:23. | |
intents and purposes Russian? Really, about the population, we | :30:24. | :30:38. | |
have one third of the population is Crimean and one third of the | :30:39. | :30:42. | |
population more is Ukrainians which will never be in the Russian | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
Empire. Just now, only one third of the population who are Russians, | :30:48. | :30:52. | |
even not all Russians, want to support the so-called referendum. If | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
you know just now the Parliament of Crimea announced this referendum | :30:58. | :31:02. | |
could not on the 25th of May, not on 30th of March, now they announce the | :31:03. | :31:07. | |
15th of March as the new date for the referendum. That means the | :31:08. | :31:14. | |
Russian invader has already fallen down. This referendum will need to | :31:15. | :31:18. | |
be in several days. I think the answer on the referendum will not be | :31:19. | :31:22. | |
illegal because we do not have such a law. In another case there will be | :31:23. | :31:27. | |
a referendum under their weapon that Russian invaders want to use the | :31:28. | :31:40. | |
main argument on this referendum together they export 130 billion | :31:41. | :31:44. | |
euros of exports to Russia every year. It seems they have put that as | :31:45. | :31:52. | |
being more important than the freedom of Ukraine from Russian | :31:53. | :31:59. | |
control. What do you say? I do not think so. Which is a problem of | :32:00. | :32:05. | |
Russia how to solve their gas and oil. -- it is a problem. Without the | :32:06. | :32:13. | |
solving of the problem, how to solve the gas and oil, they will never | :32:14. | :32:19. | |
have the economy. 87% of the Russian economy is based on oil and gas | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
dollars. We must understand our world is so close together that it | :32:26. | :32:30. | |
is not only a problem of Europe where to buy gas and oil, it is a | :32:31. | :32:36. | |
problem of Russians Festival. One day, of real sanctions against | :32:37. | :32:43. | |
Russia, it means millions of Russians will be on the streets and | :32:44. | :32:48. | |
they will protest against the regime of Putin, who wants to provide Third | :32:49. | :32:59. | |
World War. That may be true. The Russians need that foreign | :33:00. | :33:03. | |
currency. To do what you have just said they should do, the Germans | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
would need to have a stomach for the fight, the economic sanctions | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
fight. There is no evidence that the Merckle government has any stomach | :33:13. | :33:20. | |
for that fight. -- angular Merckle government. In the same position, | :33:21. | :33:26. | |
German supported our independence and our sovereignty in this period | :33:27. | :33:30. | |
of time. They must understand it is not only a question of Crimea. After | :33:31. | :33:39. | |
Crimea, they want to be invaders in another areas which is just on the | :33:40. | :33:45. | |
borders of NATO. It is only the start of the Russian Empire. I think | :33:46. | :33:50. | |
the whole world must understand, Crimea is not the end of this war, | :33:51. | :33:57. | |
it is only the beginning. When, for example, some years ago everyone | :33:58. | :34:02. | |
watched the events in Georgia. They thought it is not our country, it is | :34:03. | :34:08. | |
not our territory. Now it is Crimea. It must be the main | :34:09. | :34:14. | |
question, in order to protect real peace in Europe and the world. | :34:15. | :34:21. | |
Crimea seems to be gone, at least for now. How big is at risk is East | :34:22. | :34:26. | |
Ukraine from some sort of Russian incursion? I am from eastern | :34:27. | :34:34. | |
Ukraine. It is a serious industrial centre. Everybody provides to | :34:35. | :34:46. | |
support the central government in Kiev. The only way they want to | :34:47. | :34:53. | |
divide Ukraine, they want to have a support in the Donetsk region. You | :34:54. | :34:59. | |
can compare. More than 10,000 people gave support of one united Ukraine | :35:00. | :35:09. | |
yesterday. Near 1000 people, who had Russian flags were from Russia. They | :35:10. | :35:15. | |
supported the Russian Empire. I think that now it is not even a | :35:16. | :35:20. | |
question of eastern Ukraine. Now it is | :35:21. | :35:21. |