10/03/2016 Daily Politics


10/03/2016

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LineFromTo

Afternoon folks - welcome to the Daily Politics.

:00:37.:00:39.

The government's plans to extend shop opening hours in England

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and Wales have been defeated - but should Scottish MPs have

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Should this self-confessed Trotskyite who's been accused

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of justifying the 9/11 hijackers be a member of the Labour Party?

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I'll be talking to Gerry Downing, who's just been expelled

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David Cameron says he'll start making the positive case for staying

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in the EU - one of his cabinet ministers says he's not impressed

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with the PM's deal on our membership - we'll have the latest

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And Tony Blair is the Labour party's most successful leader -

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but is his record something the party should celebrate

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All that in the next hour, and with us for the duration today

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is Tony Blair's former speechwriter - now Times columnist,

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Phil Collins - welcome to the programme.

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Now - Phil Collins has spent the morning chairing a meeting

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of the Labour think tank Demos - the star speaker was a man talked

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of in some quarters as a future leader of the party -

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Cameras weren't allowed in to listen to the speech by the Barnsley MP

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who ruled himself out of last year's leadership race -

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but journalists were - including sketch-writer,

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I was pleasantly surprised. I went in with very little expectation.

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Jarvis has a great back story, he was a paratrooper who raised his

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children on his own after his wife died but he hasn't been an MP for

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long and little was known about him. He didn't make a great speech but he

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made a good speech, much better than what had been trailed to the morning

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papers, which one of my colleagues described as the EU warned of a new

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era! It was personal, but his narrative, he spoke honestly about

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the failings of Labour in government as well as the current government,

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and set out some of his ideas. It was a Blairite piece of

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triangulation, but this time between old Labour, currently running the

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party, and new Labour, he was trying to play himself in the middle. --

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place himself. It was the firing gun, but he was keen to say it

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wasn't a leadership challenge right now. Given he is not that well-known

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outside political circles, why didn't he let the cameras in? I

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don't know, 24 hours live from Demos... I don't know the answer, it

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wouldn't be the organisation that didn't want the cameras, we would

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love to have them. It was an interesting speech. He is right, we

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don't know a lot about Dan Jarvis. Anyone who can start a speech with,

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"I have been to war three times" would be hard to attack. He does

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things for the party nobody else could do. From the trenches of

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Helmand to the green benches of Westminster, I liked that line. If

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he is serious about down the road, he has the raise his profile. Yes,

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he has to show he can speech, he has ideas, and some of these were

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starting to be built. He was also distancing himself from a lot of new

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Labour without totally damning them. Without mentioning Peter Mandelson,

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he said there were people in new Labour, who were... Intensely

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relaxed... About people being for the rich. He also said the Labour

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Party has to realise, we are on the side of the workers and generate

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help for them through having a successful economy. Was this the

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starting gun? I don't mean to trigger a leadership attempt this

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year, but the starting gun for a long march towards an attempted

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leadership? I think inevitably it is: you don't do a look at me speech

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if you don't want people to look at you, I don't think it is the start

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of a coup, but in a sense, it was, here am I, here are my arguments and

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if there should be a vacancy, don't forget about me! Where would you

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position him? Would it be right to position him in the centre of the

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Labour Party? I think the next leader is probably going to come

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from the soft left of the Labour Party so I think it was an attempt

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to talk about things like that. There are a lot of things Ed

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Miliband would have been comfortable saying, it just sounds different

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coming from Dan Jarvis, partly because we don't know about him but

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party has the background which makes you think differently. Tactically,

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it is a clever thing to do, positioned himself with the soft

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left. This morning he is speaking to labour people, inside Westminster,

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how would he go down with the broader British electorate? They

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know next to nothing about him and so repeatedly, of course they will

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only see it from what they read because the TV cameras weren't

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there, he was trying to base himself, he spoke about Barnsley a

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lot, talked about when things were going well when Labour were in

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government, they saw it on television but didn't feel it in

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their own bank balances, he is trying to get out into the country.

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I think at the moment David Cameron is playing PMQ 's on the easy

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setting. He needs someone to raise his game and George Osborne to raise

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his game. There is plenty of time before the next election.

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Last night the SNP joined forces with Tory rebels to block

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the government's plans to devolve Sunday shopping hours

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An amendment tabled by Conservative MP David Burrowes removing

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the changes was carried, despite the PM's personally

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intervening to try and convince his colleagues.

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Yes, Nicola Sturgeon's party have helped to shut the door on longer

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new rules in the Commons designed to stop Scots MP's blocking laws

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which don't affect their constituents,

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so called England Votes for English Laws.

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But EVEL did not apply to proposed changes to Sunday trading yesterday,

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because other parts of the Enterprise Bill apply

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Now some English MPs are now calling for it to be extended to prevent

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Scottish MPs having any say on legislation that does not apply

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We asked the SNP for an interview but our request was declined. But we

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will speak to Nicola Sturgeon this weekend.

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We're joined now by the Conservative MP Philip Davies.

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So it turns out EVEL wasn't worth the paper it was written on? No, it

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doesn't deliver what English voters think it is, it delivers an English

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veto for English laws, basically it stops things being imposed on

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England against the wishes of England but doesn't mean that

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English MPs can positively make a difference to England without other

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people interfering, England has been sold a bit of a turkey, it doesn't

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deliver English votes for English laws. Was it also a mess to put this

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particular measure applying to England and Wales into a bill which

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did have Scottish things in it? Shouldn't have made a difference

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because you still need on these issues, a double majority, of the

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whole house, and of English MPs. So whichever Bilby government put this

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into, Scottish MPs could have torpedoed it in the way that they

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did anyway. If Scottish MPs who have their own opening hours, more

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liberal than down here, they have voted against liberalisation down

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here, if they can argue that that has some connection with Scotland

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and an impact on Scotland, then almost anything has an impact on

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Scotland, you could argue. The Sunday trading laws in Scotland are

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completely deregulated, you can shop at any hour of the day in Scotland,

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this is all about, as far as I can see, the SNP, in advance of the

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Scottish elections, trying to show to their voters that they are more

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effective opposition than the Labour Party are, this is all about the

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pathetic kind of competition with the Labour Party in Scotland,

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nothing to do with Sunday trading, they are happy with their

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deregulated hours in Scotland, it's a political game they are playing in

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advance of the election. If you wanted to criticise the government,

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they could put the measure after the Scottish election. None of this

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could have happened if the amendment had been moved by a conservative

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colleague of yours. There were 27 conservative rebels, they are

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principled people, on religious grounds, they felt strongly about

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this. I have no quibble about that. They voted on this because of their

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own personal principle and nobody can argue with that. But the SNP

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were not voting on any principle at all. It's interesting that they

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can't get Tory votes for Tory laws. Despite the personal intervention of

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the Prime Minister, who was getting people to talk to them, people were

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not been persuaded. Every one of them I am sure has a marvellous

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principled reason, but a disciplined party doesn't do this. Mrs Thatcher

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lost a three line whip on Sunday trading, when she had a huge

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majority, this always raises... What were the books doing? Identity

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anyone would say that her as government wasn't disciplined and

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effective. This has an issue... Quite poor parliamentary management

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to lose a vote. You must know that you're going to lose a vote by 30 if

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you are a whip and then wonder why you went ahead with the boat but

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that shouldn't get the SNP off the hook by acting in a way that is

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unjustified. Though they're now be a head of steam of the Tory

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backbenches to toughen up the English votes for English laws? I

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hope so, I raised it today in business questions that we need to

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revisit this and deliver real English votes for English laws which

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is what being this public think is happening. It is a bit of a turkey

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and the only thing that has come out of this vote is that now it is

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therefore all to see that we don't actually have English votes for

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laws. In the end the only way to secure it is that for a couple of

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days the building across the road becomes English parliament dealing

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with English only matters. That's one way around it. I don't have a

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problem with dealing with it built by Bill, all I want is we have a

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situation where English and Welsh MPs can vote on issues that only

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affect their constituents and Scottish MPs can't come down and

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veto something. I asked that if Scottish MPs want to vote on these

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things in Westminster, let's bring the powers back from Holyrood to

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Westminster that will soon sort them out! If we return the power back to

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dispense to. I think there is a moved south of the border that if

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the Scots are in complete control of certain major domestic areas, like

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Sunday trading, the things that affect us in England, that should be

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down to the people we elect. I think there is, and it's obviously a

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slight change of heart from Scottish Nationalists, it was clear before

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the election that they would not interfere on votes of this kind. You

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can always say there are implications, but as you said, that

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can apply to anything. This seems a clear breach of something Nicola

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Sturgeon was pretty candid on before the election. I think it will

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inevitably mean that we will go back and look at the English votes for

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English laws to see if it can be toughened up. Will that happen? I

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hope so, whether the government has the appetite for it, I don't know,

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but there is a feeling on the backbenches that we have to sort

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this out. The question for today

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is all about where David Cameron He's written a piece for one

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regional paper extolling the beauty of the local area and reminiscing

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about the trips he's enjoyed there. Unfortunately he'd also spelled

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the name of one famous beach wrong. Now - yesterday David Cameron used

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Prime Minister's questions to attack the Labour Party for re-admitting

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into their ranks someone who the PM said had defended both Islamic State

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and the 9/11 hijackers. In a moment we will be talking

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to the man in question. First here is the Prime

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Minister yesterday. We are protecting counterterrorism

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policing and investing in our intelligence

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and security services, as we did

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in the last parliament. In terms of Iraq and Syria,

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we are making good progress at pushing Daesh back,

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this is something we need to do both But I have to say, I was completely

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appalled to see yesterday that the Labour Party has readmitted

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someone to their party who says, and I believe, that the "9/11

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suicide bombers must never be condemned", and belongs

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to an organisation that says, "we defend Islamic State

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in Syria and Iraq." Those are appalling views and I hope

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the Leader of the Opposition will throw this person

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out of the party rather who was expelled from the Labour

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Party again last night was "further evidence that

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has come to light". welcome to the programme, we will

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come onto 9/11 and Islamic State in a minute, but the organisation you

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are part of, Socialist Fight,, says Mr Advocaat marks, support

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revolutionary socialism, so why do you want to be in the Labour Party

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-- support, arcs. It has traditionally been the party of the

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working class. It is linked to the trade unions and organically, it

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reflects the class consciousness of the class itself. Would it be fair

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to say that you see being a part of the member party as a tactical move,

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in your view of bourgeois party like the Labour Party couldn't bring

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about in itself the kind of changes you want? It can bring about some of

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the changes, of course, but it cannot actually get rid of

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capitalism itself, but it can advance the cause of the working

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class seriously and because of the working class has been in decline

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now since 1997, I believe, when the GE coefficient shows the balance of

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wealth flowing from the poor to the rich. Do you work with Labour people

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at the moment? We have some footage of you on a platform here with John

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McDonnell, the Shadow Chancellor. Are you quite close to John

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McDonnell? No, I am not a personal friend of his, that was a dispute at

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my workplace, where I was sacked unjustly and he came to defend me

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because we admit in the Labour representation committee -- we had

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met. He stood on a picket line outside the bus garage and it

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secured my reinstatement and my job, so I think he owed some justice for

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me and I was very pleased but I am not a friend as such. Do you work

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with many Labour people? I am a member of the Central Labour Party

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and I am on the GC. You are a member? Well, I had been until last

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night. Either way, everybody tells me I was expelled last night but

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nobody has bothered inform me, no communication whatsoever. The Prime

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Minister yesterday said that you had defended the 9/11 hijackers and you

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said that had been taken out of context. Had it? Yes, indeed, and I

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don't support politically ISIS and I don't support the 9/11 attack in any

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way whatsoever. What I was doing was to explain the reasons for it and

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the reasons for the attack are basically what imperialism did in

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the Middle East. But you did right, of the 9/11 attack, you said it is

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the "Justified outrage of the oppressed as opposed to the outrage

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of the oppressor. " The first you say is progressive no matter how

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distorted and you said "Must never be condemned, that is the entirely

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understandable motivation for 9/11 and suicide bombers." Yes, well, I

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would explain it in this way. Back in 1996, Madeleine Albright was

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asked what she thought of the fact that half a million Iraqi children

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had died because of the US sanctions and she was asked if she thought the

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price was worth it and she said, "This is a very hard choice, but the

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price, we think the prizes worth it." It would be to be appalled by

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Madeleine Albright's reply and not say the 9/11 bombers should never be

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condemned. I think you would have to say that in those circumstances, the

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first thing you have to do is to understand why that happened. It

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didn't happen because these are madmen or because they are lunatics

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or because they are bad people, it happened because they were outraged

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at what had happened to their land. Most of the 9/11 bombers came from

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Saudi Arabia. But do you still not condemn the 9/11 attack? I wouldn't

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use the phrase "Condemn", because I think like it was said, I have

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striven not to laugh that human actions, not to weep or hate them,

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but understand them, so if you understand them... So you would

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understand rather than condemn. I would understand the motivation of

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the people that did that. The article that is referred to is an

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article that says the ridiculous conspiracy theories about 9/11 are

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entirely wrong. You attack the conspiracy theories. On Islamic

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State, the Prime Minister again mentioned that you had supported

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Islamic State and in terms of tactical military assistance, you

:20:51.:20:56.

do, don't you? No, I don't. I don't support them militarily or

:20:57.:21:01.

politically in any way. Can I put the quote to you, from your group

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that you are a key member of? You say," you mentioned the Taliban and

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the Sunni and sheer, Hamas, Gaddafi, Assad, the Islamic State, we give no

:21:18.:21:22.

military support to that, but we recognise the US-led world

:21:23.:21:26.

imperialism is the main enemy of humanity, so we do advocate critical

:21:27.:21:31.

support and tactical military assistance from the working class to

:21:32.:21:36.

all those fighting for the defeat of imperialism, "Referring to all of

:21:37.:21:40.

the groups above, meaning Islamic State. Well if you think what has

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happened in Afghanistan, Libya, Syria and Iraq, these countries were

:21:47.:21:53.

all bombed by America. These countries have their infrastructure

:21:54.:22:00.

totally degraded, over a million people killed, apparently, in Iraq,

:22:01.:22:07.

and it has produced absolutely no progressive outlook, this states --

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the states have no democracy, they are worse than when it happened. I

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understand that, very legitimate line of argument and many people

:22:17.:22:19.

across the political spectrum will share that but you say as a result

:22:20.:22:23.

of that, you advocate critical support and tactical military

:22:24.:22:25.

assistance to groups like Islamic State. Tactical support means that

:22:26.:22:37.

we are opposed to the US bombing of them. We would not be for the US

:22:38.:22:42.

bombing, because first of all, US bombing involves the killing of what

:22:43.:22:46.

they call collateral damage, that is a vast number of civilians. And what

:22:47.:22:51.

about tactical military assistance, what would that require or involve?

:22:52.:22:57.

If you analyse world imperialism as the main enemy, you always oppose

:22:58.:23:02.

its actions, that follows logic. You would always be for driving out US

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imperialism from the Middle East, etc. You have also said that we need

:23:10.:23:15.

to confront the Jewish question. What is the Jewish question? Well,

:23:16.:23:24.

the fact that Israel can commit absolutely heinous crimes against

:23:25.:23:28.

the Palestinians, they can bomb them without let or hindrance and this is

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presented in the Western media as an attack on terrorists. That is

:23:36.:23:39.

Israel, that is not the Jewish question. It is Zionism, as such. I

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am interested, because you talk about Zionism a lot. You and your

:23:51.:23:58.

group say that Zionism plays a major role in politics, all the advanced

:23:59.:24:01.

capitalist countries. You say that the Zionists are behind the

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witchhunt against Jeremy Corbyn. You say that Zionists hold great sway

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over our three main political parties. You say that Zionism is the

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vanguard of injecting anti-Muslim hatred into Western politics. You

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say Zionism is on the vanguard in a capitalist offensive against the

:24:25.:24:27.

workers. It would sound, when you see all that, that for you, the

:24:28.:24:31.

Jewish question is a Zionist conspiracy. Doesn't all that add up

:24:32.:24:36.

to a conspiracy? No, it doesn't. It adds up to something very material

:24:37.:24:39.

and that is the number of millionaires and billionaires of

:24:40.:24:45.

Zionist persuasion within the American ruling class and within the

:24:46.:24:50.

European ruling classes in general. It is their economic and political

:24:51.:24:55.

power that leads to ridiculous situations. You think that Zionists,

:24:56.:25:01.

as you call them, play a key role in that? They obviously do play a key

:25:02.:25:07.

role. They have dual citizenship, most of them. Isn't that very

:25:08.:25:11.

reminiscent of what the Nazis said in Germany in the 1930s, there were

:25:12.:25:14.

these rich Jews controlling the German economy? Indeed, no. Look, if

:25:15.:25:22.

you want to take what Benjamin Netanyahu says, he says that

:25:23.:25:26.

actually the Holocaust was caused by the grand mufti of Jerusalem and not

:25:27.:25:34.

by the Nazis. With respect, I don't have Mr Netanyahu to interview, I

:25:35.:25:38.

have you and I just think that if you list all these things you accuse

:25:39.:25:44.

of Zionism, it sounds very much bulk-macro I don't want to push this

:25:45.:25:48.

too far but I would suggest people listening to this, they will hear

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shades of the protocols of Zion. I reject totally the protocols of

:25:56.:26:01.

Zion, this is based on the material, political fact of the overwhelming

:26:02.:26:07.

political authority of Zionist politicians within the ruling

:26:08.:26:10.

classes of America and Europe. It is not to do with their actual Jewish

:26:11.:26:18.

origins, as such. You have been listening to this. I suspect you are

:26:19.:26:24.

happy, I mean I am pre-empting this, that Mr Downing is not in a Labour

:26:25.:26:29.

Party now? Absolutely. Outrageous. Tactical support for ISIS, the

:26:30.:26:33.

Jewish question. I am a member of the Labour Party and I'm delighted

:26:34.:26:37.

you are not. I hope they will call you this afternoon to confirm you

:26:38.:26:40.

are not, because there is no place in the party for those kind of use.

:26:41.:26:45.

Nor is their impact on your less toxic but nevertheless non-labour

:26:46.:26:49.

views about social revolution is on. Labour is not committed to the

:26:50.:26:53.

overthrow of capitalism. Trade unions are remedial organisation to

:26:54.:26:56.

get a better deal for their workers and very good they are too, but they

:26:57.:27:01.

are not rubidium organisation so given that alone, you have no place

:27:02.:27:05.

in the Labour Party. You may have the final word. I believe one of the

:27:06.:27:10.

motivations for readmitting me at the time was politicians like Keir

:27:11.:27:17.

Hardie etc said something is very similar to that in the past and the

:27:18.:27:22.

ambition to overthrow capitalism is a very legitimate political

:27:23.:27:26.

ambition, if you take the state of the planet today. You feel that

:27:27.:27:30.

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party is a more welcoming party feel sort of

:27:31.:27:35.

socialism? I think it should be, if it allows in Ukip councillors who

:27:36.:27:42.

defect and it allows in people from the far right of that nature, I

:27:43.:27:46.

cannot see why you shouldn't allow in people like me. Will you appeal

:27:47.:27:52.

against the decision? I will, of course. Thank you. Don't go away

:27:53.:27:55.

just yet. Now it's 19 days since the deal

:27:56.:27:57.

was done on our membership of the EU But don't worry -

:27:58.:28:01.

there are still more than three And the pace doesn't seem

:28:02.:28:05.

to be slowing. Luckily our political correspondent,

:28:06.:28:08.

Vicki Young, has been keeping up Let's go straight to her,

:28:09.:28:20.

overlooking Westminster. So speeches by the Prime Minister, obviously

:28:21.:28:26.

poor remain, and for Macklin it from Cabinet Minister Grayling for leave,

:28:27.:28:30.

what are they telling us? We are being told by Downing Street that

:28:31.:28:35.

today's speech by the Prime Minister will be 80% positive, they say,

:28:36.:28:39.

talking about what he sees as the economic benefits, before he goes on

:28:40.:28:43.

to one that we are all going to end up paying higher mortgages because

:28:44.:28:46.

interest rates will come under pressure if we do leave the EU. What

:28:47.:28:52.

they have done, the remain side, is dug out a load of quotes for those

:28:53.:28:56.

who are campaigning to leave, which they say shows that people on the

:28:57.:29:00.

other side willing to sacrifice people's jobs in the United Kingdom

:29:01.:29:06.

and they talk about this thing, the Nike tick, you will have seen it on

:29:07.:29:10.

your trainers, Andrew, the idea that if we leave the EU, there will be a

:29:11.:29:14.

downturn but in the long term, we go up and there is a huge recovery. It

:29:15.:29:19.

is insulting to those on the other side and Chris Grayling was asked

:29:20.:29:22.

and said it would be a lively debate. He has talked about

:29:23.:29:25.

sovereignty, about this place. He has been very rude about the deal

:29:26.:29:29.

the Prime Minister got in Brussels after all of the negotiations and

:29:30.:29:33.

says it hasn't achieved anything, that the parliament here isn't

:29:34.:29:36.

sovereign and the EU is in crunching on all parts of our lives,

:29:37.:29:41.

including, he says, things like vacuum cleaners -- encroaching. We

:29:42.:29:46.

have heard from Mr Cameron, Mr Grayling, have we heard from the

:29:47.:29:50.

Queen yet today on Europe? We haven't and as you know, this is a

:29:51.:29:54.

very sensitive subject. You will remember when the Prime Minister let

:29:55.:29:57.

slip and said the Queen had heard them the phone at him when he told

:29:58.:30:02.

her the result of the Scottish referendum -- had purred down the

:30:03.:30:08.

phone. He had to issue a grovelling apology. This story from the Sun, a

:30:09.:30:12.

great story, because we will never know what was said in the room, so

:30:13.:30:15.

we can endlessly speculate. People have tried to put the pieces

:30:16.:30:19.

together, saying if it happened on this date, not only was declared

:30:20.:30:22.

their but also a certain Michael Gove, said the finger being pointed

:30:23.:30:25.

at him but his advisers saying he has no idea where the story came

:30:26.:30:32.

from. The palace is denying it is true, Nick Clegg is denying it, but

:30:33.:30:34.

the editor of the newspaper is sticking to it, saying they have two

:30:35.:30:39.

sources for the story. It goes back to 2011. I think the headline which

:30:40.:30:43.

said the Queen was in favour of Brexit is probably just a twinkle in

:30:44.:30:48.

the eye at that time, so it was a long time ago we cannot establish

:30:49.:30:50.

the facts. I understand the were two sources,

:30:51.:30:58.

but they were both corgi dogs! Now - some people's minds will be

:30:59.:31:03.

changed over the next three months - But what makes someone go

:31:04.:31:06.

from committed europhile Here's the director of the Institute

:31:07.:31:09.

of Economic Affairs, I used to believe in the European

:31:10.:31:13.

dream, a free market, liberal and open democratic

:31:14.:31:29.

brotherhood of man. So inspired was I by this

:31:30.:31:32.

vision that 20 years ago, I even became president of the UK

:31:33.:31:35.

branch of the Young European With every passing year,

:31:36.:31:38.

I've had to come to terms with the European Union as it is,

:31:39.:31:45.

not as I would like it to be. The EU has become a sprawling,

:31:46.:31:50.

inefficient, petty, self obsessed bureaucracy, with a vociferous

:31:51.:31:54.

appetite for controlling nearly every aspect of our

:31:55.:31:58.

lives, however tiny. It is wonderful that we have had

:31:59.:32:03.

peace in most of Europe for over 70 years, but that has not been brought

:32:04.:32:07.

about by Eurocrats issuing directives, stipulating the maximum

:32:08.:32:13.

suction power of a vacuum cleaner. Worse still, the EU has failed

:32:14.:32:18.

to tackle the big issues. Rules around the single currency

:32:19.:32:22.

have largely been observed Only Luxembourg has abided

:32:23.:32:25.

consistently with the convergence And the migrant crisis has found

:32:26.:32:29.

the European Union badly wanting. These might be surmountable problem

:32:30.:32:35.

is if the European Union had To witness the British Prime

:32:36.:32:41.

Minister staying up, negotiating till half past

:32:42.:32:49.

five in the morning, arguing over how he would be allowed

:32:50.:32:53.

to spend about ?25 million worth of child benefit, barely 0.1%

:32:54.:32:57.

of our total welfare spending, It is true that leaving

:32:58.:33:01.

the European Union would involve some uncertainties and even a few

:33:02.:33:08.

risks, but virtually every substantial human achievement

:33:09.:33:13.

involves having the guts And, of course, how Britain would

:33:14.:33:16.

look outside of the European Union It means remaining remember club

:33:17.:33:22.

which has a very different agenda to that of the United Kingdom

:33:23.:33:30.

and merely having a seat around that table, especially if that seat

:33:31.:33:37.

is occupied by a Prime Minister who has deluded himself that the EU

:33:38.:33:40.

has substantially reformed, The referendum will split

:33:41.:33:44.

families, political parties Even my own think tank

:33:45.:33:51.

takes no corporate view But I have reached the personal

:33:52.:33:56.

conclusion that the brave, self-confident, forward-looking step

:33:57.:34:01.

to take is to vote leave on June 23. As if by magic, he joins us here,

:34:02.:34:22.

not far to walk! You were once the president of the UK branch of the

:34:23.:34:29.

Young European Federalists. So I guess you didn't get out much when

:34:30.:34:33.

you were a junk! It felt like a good hobby at the time! Mark's journey is

:34:34.:34:40.

not uncommon. Many people have made this journey, of his generation and

:34:41.:34:48.

older, who without doubt voted to stay in England in 75 and there are

:34:49.:34:52.

either saying, I'm not going to do that again, or I am more uncertain,

:34:53.:34:59.

something has changed. Yes, 40 years of history, also some of the

:35:00.:35:03.

justifications for the EU back then seem like ancient history now, war

:35:04.:35:08.

was a much bigger presence in British life back then and doesn't

:35:09.:35:13.

really feature now in the debate. So we are 40 years on and it's very

:35:14.:35:17.

different stop anyone who has ever had dealings with the EU tends to

:35:18.:35:23.

become more sceptical of it then you were before. I have had some

:35:24.:35:25.

dealings myself and you cannot help being frustrated by its endless

:35:26.:35:32.

delays, the sort of things Mark was saying. I don't myself conclude it

:35:33.:35:35.

is better to come out because you candidly said that there are risks

:35:36.:35:40.

with coming out, I would be interested to hear what you think

:35:41.:35:45.

they are. I think it is true that if you want certainty about where

:35:46.:35:48.

Britain is going to be the next five years you should probably vote to

:35:49.:35:52.

remain, if you care about certainty can you should vote to remain. It is

:35:53.:36:00.

a powerful impulse. I am conceding that out is less certain than in.

:36:01.:36:06.

The risks are, what sort of trade deals can we get and how quickly,

:36:07.:36:11.

what would our relationship with the rest of the European Union look

:36:12.:36:18.

like, would we reform the free-trade arrangements, that is a lot of

:36:19.:36:22.

uncertainty. And big business doesn't like uncertainty. So I am

:36:23.:36:26.

unsurprised that most of the FTSE 100 want things as they are. Unless

:36:27.:36:33.

things are terrible, the status quo is the default option for those who

:36:34.:36:37.

are doing well out of it. So there would be uncertainty... That is an

:36:38.:36:44.

awful lot not to know. Do not also be uncertainty in staying in? I can

:36:45.:36:50.

understand the argument that there would be less uncertainty staying

:36:51.:36:55.

in, because it's the status quo, but the status quo isn't going to last

:36:56.:37:00.

forever, there is uncertainty in the future of migration policy,

:37:01.:37:03.

particularly if Turkey becomes closer to the EU, which is beginning

:37:04.:37:09.

to happen, the number of migrants we may face, we don't know how the

:37:10.:37:16.

Eurozone is going to consolidate itself in the future and exactly

:37:17.:37:19.

what the fallout would be for us. If you vote out you will probably get

:37:20.:37:26.

both sets of uncertainty, we can't kid ourselves we would be isolated

:37:27.:37:30.

from those problems. I think Mark would accept that it is the

:37:31.:37:35.

uncertainty of not even knowing what our relationship on trade would be

:37:36.:37:41.

with you is a huge one and would take is years, there is another risk

:37:42.:37:45.

to, we might end up where we are anyway. That hardly sounds like a

:37:46.:37:52.

risk. They are making the case that actually there is a future for us

:37:53.:37:56.

which is significantly better. It may be the case that the future is

:37:57.:38:00.

not that different. In that case leaving would not be a risk. To my

:38:01.:38:05.

mind, this goes to the confident around the UK, and this clinging to

:38:06.:38:12.

nurse for fear of worse idea. Do you believe that the UK, in the two

:38:13.:38:17.

years it would take to negotiate except from the U, could put in

:38:18.:38:22.

place sensible, pragmatic, improved trade deals with the rest of the EU

:38:23.:38:29.

and the world or do you think that the UK and our government, of

:38:30.:38:33.

whatever complexion, is incapable of doing so? It seems if you don't have

:38:34.:38:39.

confidence that the UK Government could put these things in place, you

:38:40.:38:43.

are probably better off being run by Brussels. If you are confident the

:38:44.:38:47.

UK Government can put these things in place over a two-year period, I

:38:48.:38:51.

don't see what the fear is of leaving. You point to some

:38:52.:38:59.

irritations, but they are quite minor, the jury is out on that one

:39:00.:39:04.

anyway. As we go about our daily lives, in what way does the European

:39:05.:39:11.

Union in pinch on us? You are right, the practically nothing is a side

:39:12.:39:18.

issue, it has not substantially diminished British GDP! But if it

:39:19.:39:24.

goes to the nature of the beast... Whilst there are substantial,

:39:25.:39:27.

serious issues confronting the European Union, the migrant crisis,

:39:28.:39:32.

the stability of the Eurozone, what we have in Brussels is committees of

:39:33.:39:36.

people dealing with trivial health and safety factors, that is not a

:39:37.:39:42.

major impact on the British economy but speaks to the nature of the EU.

:39:43.:39:48.

But today, in what way will it prints your life? Every single

:39:49.:39:53.

product you buy is readily to buy a used ended. Everything you buy in

:39:54.:39:59.

the shop will be dictated... What couldn't you buy here that you could

:40:00.:40:04.

buy in America? There are every conditions about confectionery. The

:40:05.:40:11.

issue is this. What I am worried about is the British government, who

:40:12.:40:16.

often hides behind the figleaf of European Union directives, it is not

:40:17.:40:20.

the case that we have a bunch of civil servants who are secret

:40:21.:40:23.

free-market Liberals, we have our own regulations but they will be

:40:24.:40:28.

ours and we will be able to hold to account the people making those

:40:29.:40:32.

regulations and argue about the pettiness and change them rather

:40:33.:40:37.

than looking across the water to Brussels bureaucracy nobody

:40:38.:40:39.

understands finds impenetrable. Thank you very much.

:40:40.:40:44.

Now as we were discussing earlier, the Labour backbencher Dan Jarvis -

:40:45.:40:46.

seen by many on the centre and right of the party as a future leader -

:40:47.:40:50.

has made a speech this morning setting out his vision

:40:51.:40:53.

His intervention comes amid speculation that a bad performance

:40:54.:40:56.

But is it Jeremy Corbyn's message or his delivery that's the problem?

:40:57.:41:03.

And could another figure from the Corbynite wing of the party

:41:04.:41:05.

do a better job at articulating that message?

:41:06.:41:10.

MUSIC: "I Still Believe" by Frank Turner

:41:11.:41:12.

The conveyor belt moves on and I've just been elevated up to here.

:41:13.:41:22.

I'm Cat Smith, I'm the MP for Lancaster and Fleetwood.

:41:23.:41:34.

And I've just been told that I have two minutes to try and sum up

:41:35.:41:40.

what has happened in the past 100 days,

:41:41.:41:42.

To get ready for today's speech, I went to my favourite local cafe,

:41:43.:41:51.

next to my house, called Jirasol, drank some excellent coffee

:41:52.:41:54.

setting this thing up a year ago, employing six people,

:41:55.:41:58.

doing really well and hopefully expanding in the future,

:41:59.:42:02.

because I fully understand the importance of innovation

:42:03.:42:06.

and supporting very small businesses in order to get underway

:42:07.:42:10.

and the work they do within our community.

:42:11.:42:12.

# Now anybody could take this stage...

:42:13.:42:17.

There is no issue that better illustrates the internationalism

:42:18.:42:22.

that is at the core of progressive politics than our commitment

:42:23.:42:28.

Let's go into that next election with a leader who has got

:42:29.:42:41.

a coherent economic strategy, so we don't see another failure.

:42:42.:42:47.

Jeremy was elected leader of the Labour Party

:42:48.:42:53.

by an overwhelming majority of the members and supporters

:42:54.:42:55.

on the basis of a programme that rested on three pillars.

:42:56.:43:00.

First, a new politics, the creation of a more democratic,

:43:01.:43:02.

engaging and kinder politics in both the Labour Party and society.

:43:03.:43:08.

We are getting there on the kinder bit.

:43:09.:43:12.

Thank you very much for inviting me here today.

:43:13.:43:16.

We're joined now by James Schneider, press adviser to Momentum,

:43:17.:43:26.

the grassroots movement designed to sustain Jeremy Corbyn's leadership.

:43:27.:43:29.

Phil Collins from The Times remains with us.

:43:30.:43:35.

Is Mr Corbyn the best message of his vision? The best messenger?

:43:36.:43:48.

Absolutely. I think part of the problem of politics is a disconnect

:43:49.:43:51.

between Westminster and most people, who don't trust politicians and what

:43:52.:43:55.

they are saying. With Jeremy Corbyn, we have got somebody who doesn't

:43:56.:43:59.

seem like a traditional politician because he isn't. He seemed honest,

:44:00.:44:03.

straightforward and he's clearly on people's side. Use a disconnect, you

:44:04.:44:07.

have a leader who can connect with the several hundred thousand people

:44:08.:44:12.

who have recently joined the Labour Party, no doubt about that, but is

:44:13.:44:18.

there not a huge disconnect between these people and the wider

:44:19.:44:21.

electorate, otherwise you would be doing better in the polls? I don't

:44:22.:44:25.

think so, what we're seeing with the Corbyn project is rather than the

:44:26.:44:30.

traditional thing, PR led, bring your new product and your high point

:44:31.:44:33.

is at the beginning, when it is fresh, exciting, what Corbyn is

:44:34.:44:38.

doing is building a movement over the course of the next four years.

:44:39.:44:44.

There has to be a process of reconnecting with voters across

:44:45.:44:47.

communities which we can now do with this huge membership, we need to get

:44:48.:44:51.

that growing and we need to get people more active in their local

:44:52.:44:55.

parties. At the moment the polls are pretty dire both personally for Mr

:44:56.:45:00.

Corbyn and for the Labour Party. When would you expect to see, if

:45:01.:45:04.

your strategy is right, a turnaround in these polls? I think the polling

:45:05.:45:10.

position will grow and it will get better over the next four years. As

:45:11.:45:19.

the message homes and the opposition to a criticism of the Tory

:45:20.:45:21.

government builds, we will see the polls moving.

:45:22.:45:27.

Currency-macro so not in time for good results for Labour outside

:45:28.:45:33.

London in the May elections. Perfectly in time, we will have an

:45:34.:45:36.

extremely strong ground campaign in councils across the country and will

:45:37.:45:41.

see good results. In May? A good result would be winning the mayoral

:45:42.:45:46.

battle in London. What else would be a good result? Doing well in

:45:47.:45:50.

councils across the country, in Harlow, in Rotherham, across the

:45:51.:45:55.

country, doing well in whales. Does that mean winning seats, net gain?

:45:56.:46:04.

Holding councils, winning councils, advancing the councils, getting good

:46:05.:46:07.

councillors in. At the moment, it looks like the Scottish Nationalists

:46:08.:46:11.

will sweep to power again in Edinburgh and you lose overall

:46:12.:46:15.

control of the Welsh Assembly and between 200 and 400 seats, you will

:46:16.:46:20.

lose, net, in the English local elections. If that was to happen,

:46:21.:46:30.

your strategy would suffer something of a setback. I have not seen the

:46:31.:46:34.

polling that is based on. I expect things to be very difficult in

:46:35.:46:37.

Scotland, I think everybody understands that is going to be the

:46:38.:46:41.

case. I think we stand a very good chance of maintaining the position

:46:42.:46:45.

in whales and will be campaigning councils across the country. I am

:46:46.:46:49.

hearing figures bandied about but I'm not sure. Is it the man or the

:46:50.:46:54.

message? It is both. I think if you had a better messenger, you would

:46:55.:47:00.

have a more articulate exposition of a message that nobody wants to hear,

:47:01.:47:04.

but certainly it is both and the main trouble with Momentum is you

:47:05.:47:08.

haven't got any, no Momentum out of the party into the public at all.

:47:09.:47:12.

You are suggesting something completely unprecedented, which is

:47:13.:47:17.

you go backwards first and gradually this unheralded figure suddenly

:47:18.:47:20.

becomes really popular over time. It has never happened before and there

:47:21.:47:24.

is absolutely no reason to suppose beyond your mere assertion that it

:47:25.:47:28.

is ever going to happen. Why should anybody think that that, which has

:47:29.:47:31.

never happened before, that gradual recovery from a desperately low

:47:32.:47:36.

base, should happen? Let's hear from James Schneider. The Labour Party at

:47:37.:47:41.

the last election had a very difficult position, a lot of

:47:42.:47:45.

building back to do, and I think there wasn't that bank option which

:47:46.:47:50.

would immediately have hugely supported candidate across the

:47:51.:47:53.

country in the leadership election. I think with Jeremy Corbyn we have

:47:54.:47:57.

by miles our best chance to re-energise, as we have done,

:47:58.:48:01.

reenergise the party and reenergise activists and communities across the

:48:02.:48:04.

country and we will see the fruits of that as we go on and get a more

:48:05.:48:09.

activist Labour Party. At the moment, Mr Corbyn's net approval

:48:10.:48:14.

score is plus 55% among Labour voters, exactly what you are saying,

:48:15.:48:19.

he has got them... Sorry, among Labour members, he has got them, but

:48:20.:48:25.

only plus 17 among Labour voters and -24 among the wider electorate.

:48:26.:48:30.

Clearly we have to get the message across and I think what you can see

:48:31.:48:34.

is the people that know Corbyn the best and have seen the most about

:48:35.:48:37.

him like him the most. What we do need to do is make the message at

:48:38.:48:41.

times sharper but I think the message is essentially right. What

:48:42.:48:46.

we are seeing being built is a new economic strategy belt on

:48:47.:48:49.

investment, high technology. These are the things that are going to cut

:48:50.:48:55.

through. How long has he got to begin to show at least in the polls

:48:56.:48:59.

and in the by-elections and local Government elections in the next

:49:00.:49:02.

couple of years, that this is strategy is working? I don't see it

:49:03.:49:10.

being a significant... He is there until the election. Until 2020

:49:11.:49:14.

election. He has the support because Labour's membership, and lots of

:49:15.:49:18.

people right across the country, want to see a new strategy from

:49:19.:49:23.

Labour and also want to see a new alternative economic strategy and

:49:24.:49:26.

new political strategy for the country and that is the sort of

:49:27.:49:30.

change which Corbyn can bring and is bringing. We interviewed Jerry

:49:31.:49:42.

Durning earlier from Socialist Fight -- -- Gerry Downing. He has been

:49:43.:49:45.

kicked that, should he be allowed to be part of that? I don't know him

:49:46.:49:52.

but I am extremely uncomfortable about the views on the Jewish

:49:53.:49:57.

question. How big roles are you intending Momentum to play in the

:49:58.:50:02.

European referendum? -- how big a role. We need to meet to discuss

:50:03.:50:07.

that, which will probably happened in the second week of May. Only a

:50:08.:50:13.

month before the referendum? It will be seven or eight weeks. Our first

:50:14.:50:17.

priority is the May elections and building for the people's March for

:50:18.:50:22.

health, homes, jobs and education on the 16th of April. And very briefly,

:50:23.:50:26.

in your own view, would you like to campaign strongly to keep us in?

:50:27.:50:32.

Personally, yes, I would like to see a social Europe. I think we are

:50:33.:50:36.

better in Europe, we can deal with tax avoidance, environmental issues.

:50:37.:50:40.

But Momentum as an organisation won't decide until after the May

:50:41.:50:45.

five elections? Probably. Come back and tell us what you think.

:50:46.:50:48.

So much for Labour's future - what about Labour's past?

:50:49.:50:50.

Tony Blair is the subject of a new biography

:50:51.:50:52.

by the investigative journalist Tom Bower.

:50:53.:50:54.

Broken Vows - Tony Blair and the Tragedy of Power.

:50:55.:50:56.

As the title suggests, the book's not got many good things

:50:57.:50:59.

to say about the former Prime Minister.

:51:00.:51:00.

One of Tom Bower's suggestions is that Tony Blair did a secret deal

:51:01.:51:03.

with George Bush to go to war in Iraq - something that was put

:51:04.:51:07.

to the former Prime Minister at the Chilcott Inquiry.

:51:08.:51:09.

During the course of these discussions,

:51:10.:51:11.

do you think you gave him any commitments?

:51:12.:51:14.

The only commitment I gave, and I gave this very openly

:51:15.:51:17.

at the meeting, was a commitment to deal with Saddam.

:51:18.:51:21.

So you were at one that you had to deal with...

:51:22.:51:23.

Absolutely, and that wasn't a private commitment,

:51:24.:51:25.

So you were agreed on the end, but not by the means?

:51:26.:51:31.

So you were agreed on the end, but not on the means?

:51:32.:51:34.

Well, we were agreed on both, actually, as it came to you finally,

:51:35.:51:37.

but we were agreed that we had to confront this issue,

:51:38.:51:40.

that Saddam had to come back into compliance

:51:41.:51:42.

and as I think I said in a press conference with President Bush,

:51:43.:51:46.

the method of doing that is open. And indeed, he made the same point.

:51:47.:51:52.

And we are joined now by Tom Bower, welcome to the programme. Let me

:51:53.:51:59.

come straight to what for many people is the biggest question of

:52:00.:52:04.

all for Mr Blair, did he take us into the invasion of Iraq knowing

:52:05.:52:08.

that there were no weapons of mass destruction? No, he thought there

:52:09.:52:15.

were. Because of the intelligence services? Yes. And so it was a

:52:16.:52:23.

mistake, he made the mistake of believing them, but he did not, us,

:52:24.:52:28.

if I can put it that way? Well, he did not con us about WMD is, but he

:52:29.:52:34.

had corrupted the Government machine which would have tested MI6's

:52:35.:52:39.

intelligence and found it wanting, he short-circuited it, but what my

:52:40.:52:46.

book shows and argues is that the WMDs was the smoke screen, he had

:52:47.:52:51.

believed in regime change from 1998 onwards. Was that the Chicago

:52:52.:52:58.

speech? Before Chicago, when he bombed Iraq with Bill Clinton, so at

:52:59.:53:03.

the 9/11, he wanted to remove Saddam but he knew the regime change was

:53:04.:53:08.

illegal so WMDs, he could show that Saddam had breached UN resolutions,

:53:09.:53:14.

he could say we were going after the WMDs, because unlike Bush, who was

:53:15.:53:18.

allowed regime change, he needed a different excuse. And you think he

:53:19.:53:24.

made an agreement -- an agreement with President Bush for the

:53:25.:53:29.

invasion, in Texas? Long before that. What many of us think is the

:53:30.:53:35.

central part of the Chilcott inquiry, what evidence have you been

:53:36.:53:40.

able to bring to show that there was a Bush Blair deal on the invasion?

:53:41.:53:45.

It is quite clear from all of the memos from the British Embassy

:53:46.:53:51.

before Crawford in April, at the ranch in Texas, that they had agreed

:53:52.:53:56.

on the invasion. The Americans had agreed on it already before the turn

:53:57.:54:00.

of the year in 2001 and the British, through their conversations with

:54:01.:54:04.

Bush and Blair, had agreed they would go along. So Crawford, a ranch

:54:05.:54:09.

in Texas, was not the beginning of the process, it was the end. At that

:54:10.:54:14.

stage, they put the seal on it and the Americans started the plans for

:54:15.:54:18.

invasion. The British were excluded until they formally committed.

:54:19.:54:23.

Blair, as I show in the book, conducted all these things in secret

:54:24.:54:27.

by keeping a very tight number of people involved and it all changed

:54:28.:54:31.

on the 26th of July 2002 when Richard Dearlove, the head of MI6,

:54:32.:54:36.

comes back from Washington and says the invasion is on we either have to

:54:37.:54:39.

commit ourselves or not. At that stage, he had to bring in more

:54:40.:54:43.

people to begin preparing and at that stage, it slowly becomes more

:54:44.:54:46.

apparent but he is at all times committed. What is remarkable and

:54:47.:54:51.

comes out in the book is that the Cabinet didn't know until January

:54:52.:54:57.

2,000 and three. Only Jack Straw and Geoff Hoon knew about it but even

:54:58.:55:02.

they were kept away. -- 2003. It was a very tightly kept secret. So he

:55:03.:55:07.

did a deal to go to war than we did not know about? It depends on what

:55:08.:55:10.

you think about when a commitment was made. If that was the case, why

:55:11.:55:14.

go to Parliament and have a vote? Why risk that, if you say he had a

:55:15.:55:18.

commitment and had the wherewithal to put the commitment into effect?

:55:19.:55:22.

He went to Parliament on the eve of war in March 2003. He could have

:55:23.:55:30.

lost the vote and then couldn't have gone to war, so the point stands,

:55:31.:55:35.

why go? He had to carry public opinion. He also had to carry his

:55:36.:55:41.

own party. So therefore the commitment is not worth something

:55:42.:55:44.

until you can get the binding into a resolution of those... It is his own

:55:45.:55:53.

view, which as we said from a long time back, his own view of world

:55:54.:55:59.

politics was as it was. 45,000 British troops were ready on the

:56:00.:56:02.

border of Iraq. The British fleet was already off the coast. So why

:56:03.:56:08.

have a vote in Parliament about whether to go to war and you vote to

:56:09.:56:12.

say, you cannot then say, we haven't even thought about having any

:56:13.:56:16.

troops. Those troops would have had to have been withdrawn. But it was a

:56:17.:56:21.

done deal, he had the Tory party support, so he had no doubt he would

:56:22.:56:25.

get a majority in parliament. There was never a doubt about that.

:56:26.:56:29.

Overlooking it all, I have not finished the book yet, but would it

:56:30.:56:34.

be unfair to say, because it is a very critical book, that you regard

:56:35.:56:42.

Mr Blair almost as... Is this too strong a word? Almost as a

:56:43.:56:47.

charlatan? No, that is accurate. It came as a surprise to people, people

:56:48.:56:52.

always think I start these books without prejudice, but believe me, I

:56:53.:56:56.

was just curious. I just wondered what happened in that ten years of

:56:57.:57:00.

Government. We have had Blair's book, 35 other books all described

:57:01.:57:06.

in great virtues by Prescott, Jack Straw, Blunkett, and I went to the

:57:07.:57:09.

civil servants and the ministers and the generals and the rest and ask

:57:10.:57:13.

them what happened and it is a very different picture to what we,

:57:14.:57:16.

through the brilliance Labour spin, believe. He was surprisingly

:57:17.:57:24.

unprepared for power. Fatally unprepared. It completely threw him

:57:25.:57:28.

off course. Even though he knew he was going to win. And worse, he is

:57:29.:57:33.

an intelligent man but his great weaknesses he was an educated and if

:57:34.:57:36.

you are not educated of Government in history, you make the sort of

:57:37.:57:42.

mistakes he made, and that was the tragedy, that is why it is The

:57:43.:57:45.

Tragedy of Power, because he could have been a phenomenal success and

:57:46.:57:51.

was his own worst enemy. Even among his supporters, there was a huge

:57:52.:57:55.

wasted opportunity. We look back on that day in May 19 97. That is true,

:57:56.:58:00.

the part of the book I agree with is the Government was not prepared for

:58:01.:58:03.

power, I don't think they knew what they wanted to do and in some areas

:58:04.:58:06.

where they did know what they wanted to do, they did the wrong things, so

:58:07.:58:12.

he subsequently had to undo things urgently. The Labour Party hated the

:58:13.:58:16.

subsequent reforms, that is when he became really unpopular in his own

:58:17.:58:21.

party. We need to leave it there, whether you disagree or agree, it is

:58:22.:58:24.

a great read, so thank you very much, Tom Bower.

:58:25.:58:26.

There's just time before we go to find out the answer to our quiz.

:58:27.:58:29.

The question was which beach did David Cameron say he'd enjoyed

:58:30.:58:32.

visiting, but unfortunately spelled its name wrong?

:58:33.:58:39.

Is it Holkham? Yes, he said he had enjoyed visiting Holcombe, but that

:58:40.:58:56.

is in Devon. When the pace is fast or

:58:57.:58:58.

the traffic is slow...

:58:59.:59:14.

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