24/12/2011 Dateline London


24/12/2011

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Now it is time for our foreign correspondents to give up their

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views on the latest news in Hello, welcome to Dateline London's

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year in review. From the Arab spring to the possible meltdown of

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the euro with sitting governments across the world feeling the anger

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of those suffering from bad economies. Plus British tabloid

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It is good to see you all. The Arab spring. It has rewritten the

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politics of the Middle East, seen three dictators and inspired other

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protesters from Russia to Uganda. How significant has it been for the

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region and the world? Barry, you talk on this programme for some

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years about corruption and awful dictators and -- in parts of the

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Arab world why did it happen in 2011 and begin in Tunisia?

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frustration was huge. 60 million unemployed... The gap between the

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rulers and the ruled was huge. The average age of the rulers was over

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70. You can see that it could not work. Mubarak was in power for 40

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years. Others were in power for many years. This kind of thing

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cannot continue forever. The question is, we were expecting it.

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We are expecting something to happen but we never expected the

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revolution to start in Tunisia. Tunisia was much better than other

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countries. I expected to start in Egypt. 40 million people under the

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poverty line. Mubarak so corrupt, and also denied his wife used to

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have 1,000 pairs of shoes -- his wife used to have 1,000 pairs of

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shoes. We expected the revolution to start in Egypt with 40 million

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people below the poverty line. Unemployment, corruption, why this

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year, honestly nobody can tell. was going to happen sooner or

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later? Mark, has 2011 changed how many people around the world see

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Arab countries? Post-colonial Arab people have not done what the young

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men and women have done this year. It seems to have changed how they

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are seen. The West has not a monopoly on the quest for democracy.

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There Arab world also has it. In the 90s in Algeria or... Things

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have changed. Europe is back in the picture of the Middle East. The

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Libyan campaign has been made by France and Britain and in Tunisia,

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France and for the first time we see America in the background in

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the Middle East. Almost consciously in a way. The Americans have left

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it to the British and the French largely. Militarily they were there.

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It shows that the foreign policy of the EU does exist and that that

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foreign policy which has been disregarded by many has been played

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very well in the Arab world. The Arab world is looking to Europe as

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an example of what they want, not the euro crisis, the Institution of

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Europe. Geoff, do you think there disconnection between the Obama

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administration and what is going on? Obama made that made -- great

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speech in Cairo a few years ago suggesting he was a different

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President from George Bush but he is so preoccupied by matters back

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home that he has left the Arab spring to the Arab people. If he

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had not, what would he have done? That is the question. You can look

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at this as a successful American policy in a way. By not getting

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involved? Exactly. This is a success for a kind of globalised

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model that was... Clinton talked about it a while back, the desire

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to do something different in the country that permeates different

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kinds of technologies and different economies that makes people rise up

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themselves to solve their own problems. American troops had just

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left Iraq. Nobody even talked about that. This is a story that has died.

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Is this as excess? This was the old fashioned way of trying... The

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large armies, spending trillions of dollars and hundreds of thousands

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of lives, it was not successful. Obama said he was going to lead

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from behind. It was a lot of American intelligence that helped

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the British and the French to do the work in Libya. I would say that

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is fantastic, what a success. If we have President's keeping doing

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things that way we will be a lot better off. I think Obama has done

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brilliantly. It is a real model for how America should not want to be

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seen any longer as the great world policeman, the one who steps in and

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puts everything right. Europe and America have a lot of apologising

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to do to the Arab people. If you think to the extent that we are all

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responsible for keeping empower monstrous dictators because it

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suited us. In Bahrain, we are still doing it, and Saudi Arabia. We have

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dirty hands in this business. For once we had done cleanly and well.

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If the Arab people forgive us if we are very lucky. Did you find this

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an expiring year? If you listen to young Arab men and women making an

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articulate case for the kind of future they want... I thought that

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was striking. It reminds you that everybody, everywhere, once

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democracy if they want -- if they get the chance. North Korea may be

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the next place. Clinton used to say that. If you look at the map of the

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last 50 years it has been across the world, gradual democratisation

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of large chunks of the world that were not a democratic before. Maybe

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not perfect democracies but better than before. We have to believe in

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hope... We have to hope that human aspiration will inevitably roll out

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everywhere. What about Syria? agree with Polly. The Arab words...

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Suffer from humiliation. One from a brutal rulers and the second from

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the West. They admitted it defeated despite Obama saying we left

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holding -- holding our head high. There is unfinished business, isn't

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there? However brave the people are in Syria they could be more

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bloodshed to come. For the last nine months they have been

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revolting, protesting and nobody is helping them. People give up or are

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about to give up because there is no intervention from the

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international community. Things are more complicated than that. How

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could you do it? If you were President Barack Obama and you

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wanted to take out of the regime, how could you do it? It is

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complement -- complicated and militarily impossible. You would

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see more of a civil war that we see now. In Iraq it never happened. It

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was a huge defeat after nine years. There is some sort of recognition

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that the Taliban is a new power, deposed ten years ago and we are

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ready to reinstate them again. Syria is complicated, a lot of

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sectarian divisions. If civil war erupted we could be stuck there for

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years. Civil war in Lebanon lasted for 18 years. If it came to Syria

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it would be a huge setback. Without the French and the British and the

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Hall of the America of... It was not better before. It is not

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sectarian,... One thing I am surprised we do not discuss is the

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Israeli and Palestinian problem. It has been put under the rug and this

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is the future of 2011 Why we focused on the Arab spring. The

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other conflict has been completely inured. It will come. If you see

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for example who is taking over in Egypt and who will take over in

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Syria. This will be reflected badly on the Arab-Israeli conflict. From

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the eyes of the Western perspective. The peace process failed and now

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because it has failed no pressure on Israel and the Muslim

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Brotherhood will say, we will give you the chance and now it is our

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turn. The economic news for 2011 has been

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high unemployment, lack of leadership and in Europe the

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possibility of the meltdown of the euro itself. How have the world's

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democracies cope? Not very well, some people think. The euro is

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still there, it is still strong. Germany and France are working

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together to get it right. There is a new fiscal treaty. I think the

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year which has gone has shown how important the Franco-German axis

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has been to save Europe against the most incredible speculation from a

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market. That may be true but the one thing that has been missing is

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not the question of leadership but by the question of candour.

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Throughout the year we have been told they are just about us all

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that, they have got a plan, numerous summits and nothing has

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actually worked. The markets do not believe it. It has been obvious

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that Greece is in default. It is constantly denied. I know that the

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notion of solidarity... Transparency and truth! We have

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Greek... Germany tried to help Greece because they are part of the

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eurozone. It depends what you call help. I am astonished to hear this

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from you. I look at what Europe is doing and this is a Europe of

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extreme conservatism, Sarkozy and Merkel imposing austerity on

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countries that cannot bear it. A return to the economics of the

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1930s. Watching Europe go the wrong way... Do you want the Germans to

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give all this money and the Greeks to continue with their ways? If

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there needs to be austerity. There needs to be a collective programme

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for growth, not austerity. They need to increase taxes, privatise

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and reform their administration. That is the pressure on the euro.

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Most people believe that... They are bust. It is a little country

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compared to the overall project. You're trying to impose on them and

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us -- and austerity they cannot possibly... No country with the

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best will in the world could survive it. Spain, Italy, they have

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done it. Talking about one country out of 27 countries, that is Greece.

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The eurozone... We in the Middle East suffer from these austerity

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measures imposed by the IMF and other funds and it has a huge

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social repercussions. People hate it in the Middle East that the

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IMF... When you mention the IMF, people we know that food subsidies

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will be removed, other subsidies will be removed and people will

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suffer. On the Greek side, I will be astonished, I would be scared of

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these measures being imposed. I believe Greece is humiliated by the

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two superpowers in Europe, France and Germany are saying, you should

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do this, you should do that. I think we should be a bit kinder to

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Greece. So then conned -- so they can continue with their bad ways?

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So they can continue to spend? The reason the austerity measure... We

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You are right that we need to reorganise the economy, but we need

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to go for growth. The EU see no programme for growth anywhere. Not

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exports, nothing you can imagine -- you see. The American economy is

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still in a mess. I agree. Part of it is a divided government. I think

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the circumstances in the US are different to Europe. I agree with

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you that politics are in a state of gridlocked - a worse state of

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gridlock and I can ever remember happening. The system has been

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billed for distributed power to prevent autocracy. That is what the

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Founding Fathers were worried about in the 18th century. Somehow in the

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years after the Cold War there was enough of a sense of common threat

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that people were able to come together and do things.... There

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really is no, no agreement about what people should do in the US any

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more. That is one of the factors that makes the US less powerful in

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the world, which has a cyclical affect. A less powerful people

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think you are, no less powerful you really are. I would say, in the

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same way... People will start paying attention to the fact that

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our educational standards are decreasing and that the things we

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are creating for our children are not enough any more. When I look at

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Europe I think - what a pathetic enterprise. I can't see how we

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stability pact that has people spending less and agreeing there

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will be penalties on governments to do not deficits bend will solve the

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problem. -- deficit spend. The political will is to help Europe

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come out of this mess. The good news is that, of course it now we

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are 26. Britain is a semi-detached member. Somebody like you who is on

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the left - you have bought into this 1930s economic idea. Why are

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you not saying "listen, this is no way to generate growth"? We need

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growth. You need to read the fundamentals right. Economies need

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good taxation and good austerity. You need to tax the rich more.

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think the point - everybody in 2011 has been modelling a long, but

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nothing is coming through. -- muddling. We have had 26 strong,

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and the odd man and not, which is always making life difficult in

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Europe.... We have the help of the two big countries, France and

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Germany. So we are back to that pre-Second World War time. No, we

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are back... On that note, we will move on. This has been an

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extraordinary year for newspapers. The practices of some newspapers

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have been laid bare in their awfulness. Dig 2011 mark the

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beginning of the end for these practices? it has been a terrible

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year for the industry. Indeed, newspapers are in decline

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everywhere. They probably will not last much longer in their present

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form. Journalism will continue online. This great revelation about

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phone hacking was not really a surprise. You only had to pick up a

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copy of them to know that they were fill the papers. Britain probably

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has the filthiest papers in the Western democratic world because of

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the dominance of 3-4 rogue, eccentric owners of newspapers who

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have dominated the British press back to the 1930s. We have an

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extremely right-wing, unpleasant, Euro-sceptic press. It has

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dominated our politics in ways that have forced it to become a footnote.

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The Murdoch press, which still owns 40% of our main newspapers - they

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are mostly living in tax havens, they are weird people who manage

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our national conversation. They have been dealt a blow with the

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exposure of their methods, but do I think that next time this year we

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will still have a nasty press? I think so. I think you might like an

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is to the Arab dictators. (LAUGHTER).

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What happened in the Arab spring is here. I remember the chief of the

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Washington Post poll this wonderful story about coming across several

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national newspapers reporting on a country that was selling

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scaffolding in Africa because it was made of British rock. It turned

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out some by had talked it up at the Palm and papers had written about

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it but nobody had ever made a phone call -- hotel bar.... I think the

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press will have to be restrained, and everybody needs to understand

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that. There needs to be a cultural shift, do we need an ombudsman? I

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think the best thing would be that the requirement that any corruption

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be bought in the paper and naming the names of the guilty.

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correction? In some newspapers, such a thing does not exist. There

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are one or two where they have started put corrections in.

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Guardian began doing that. Now some of the more respectable papers are

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doing it. Our corrections are right there on a map centre leading page.

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-- our. Do I think that the British press will improve? Not under the

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present ownership. Since I came to this country I witnessed three

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scandals.... The pension thing (INAUDIBLE). He ended up in prison.

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Another scandal at News of the World, phone hacking. Are the

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British media are used to be our model. People like me would look to

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Britain. I am not sure if it's the same case can apply now. We have

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had some fantastic investigations... Exactly. Not just for these kind of

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things but also for the Middle East - most Middle-Eastern people...

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Britain, for all its faults, the press is very vigorous. Someone

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like Jacques Chirac would have been exposed by British newspapers years

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ago. I always feel uncomfortable because I have always defended the

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tabloid press. In France we cover up scandals. Thanks to the Guardian

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we discovered that the whole system was covered by Murdoch, the police,

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the politicians, the courts. Everything. I think today the

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British press has, with the exception of the Guardian, the

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British press needs to reform itself. Will it? The money is not

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there for online journalism as far as we know. There is no way to

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monotypes it - that horrible phrase. The Guardian is surviving, the New

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York Times is surviving - there is still a place for good journalism.

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The world is so complicated, we need more than ever some good

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explanations and good press. That is true. There is no lack of

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appetite for good, accurate stories. We have a huge global reach for the

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guardian Online. But we do not make money out of it because there is no

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advertising. Not enough to pay for the depth and quality of journalism

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which really costs money - journalism is not free. If people

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think they can go to any old website aimed at the news - they

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need the news from somewhere they trust. That's all for Dateline

:25:50.:25:55.

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