21/09/2013 Dateline London


21/09/2013

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Now it is time for Dateline London. Welcome to Dateline London. Labour

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begins to flesh out what it would do in government, Germany goes to the

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remains uncertain, and a little in government, Germany goes to the

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of wind between the United States and Iran. I am joined by Mustapha

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Karkouti of Gulf News, Greg Katz of Associated Press, Eunice Goes, a

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We are in the middle of conference season, and the Labour Party has

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government. It comes as the UKIP begun to explain what it would do in

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government. It comes as the UKIP Does any of this feel as if British

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politics is changing significantly? All of the party conferences are

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setting up the election pitch. Labour starts off a little bit on

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the back foot because of the big about Gordon Brown 's former spin

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doctor —— by Gordon Brown 's former #ColourWhite which was that they

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that it is quite bad. Although the were all knifing each other. Yes.

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that it is quite bad. Although the Daily Mail has made a valiant effort

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to link Ed Miliband to it I do not think that that really quite works.

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But of course it is true that you have a leader of the Labour Party

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and the Chancellor that both worked for Gordon Brown. It is not a great

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they will do their best. That said, things like reversing the bedroom

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tax, that the spending commitment, something which they said they would

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not do Tilney wrote that —— that they would not do until nearer the

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election. That is put in some meat in. It is quite a big step for Ed

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Miliband to take. It will be popular with the supporters. They have to

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fight to show that it does not mean that they are against all forms

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fight to show that it does not mean welfare reform. But they need to

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make a strong case that this is welfare reform. But they need to

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very unfair tax. It seems to be unpopular and a campaign against it

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seems to have been quite vocal, mobilised and so on. If you are

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going to do something on welfare from the Labour perspective and

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going to do something on welfare is perhaps the easiest one to pick.

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They are saying that they are going to put a cap on welfare spending,

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essentially copying the coalition. They are trying to mark themselves

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resonance with the waves of most out, by showing a difference. The

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resonance with the waves of most voters. —— the lives of most voters.

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But he has to get rid of that clunky voters. —— the lives of most voters.

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language about widening access to childcare. What does that mean?

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language about widening access to does he not see that we are going to

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raise the minimum wage? It needs to be easy to understand and direct. In

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this morning 's papers, Douglas Alexander has said that they might

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take a leaf out of the Ronald Regan saying, are you better off than

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take a leaf out of the Ronald Regan were four or five years ago? Which

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was his saying that sank Jimmy Carter. Cancer to that for most

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people would possibly be now. —— the answer to that. David Cameron will

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come back and say that he was left with such a mess that he could not

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have made it any better. But Ed Miliband 's very predictable less

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than charismatic delivery, no one has done anything that has really

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blown up in his face, and maybe has done anything that has really

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is the person to lead the party has done anything that has really

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this election. It was interesting to see pictures of him with his family,

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on the beach, something which I see pictures of him with his family,

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before. Is it him saying, I am like before. Is it him saying, I am like

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you, I am a family guy? We mentioned Ronald Reagan. His people invented

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this beautiful staging of political events to make them look perfect,

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somebody said. But it showed him in events to make them look perfect,

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somebody said. But it showed him in jeans. And he would jeans that

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time, we see him with his family. I do not recall seeing him with his

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it will happen. But what really do not recall seeing him with his

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it will happen. But what really strictly the most is the latest

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Yes, Rachel Reeves saying that they to £60,000 area. A lot of people

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think that that is rich. I have worked for about 50 years in my

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think that that is rich. I have yet. So it is hard work to earn

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£60,000. Watched you make of the have the UKIP leader, Nigel Farage,

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who manages to connect with people in this country. He made what a

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who manages to connect with people of observers thought was a good

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speech. —— a rude speech by Godfrey Bloom. It was a dramatic and fairly

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holy area is a dramatic and fairly holy area solicitor and UKIP 's

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fundamental problem —— hilarious illustration of UKIP 's fundamental

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problem. They have a charismatic leader but not very many friendly

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types around him. It was a bit of a should not write this man off, Nigel

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Farage, the leader of UKIP. They are riding the tide of Eurosceptics

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in a rather toxic week, into a major this country quite well. He is

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want our country back, but the point issue. —— immigration. He said,

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months time and that is unacceptable he made was that you could have

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months time and that is unacceptable —— Bulgarians. It is a good lesson

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for the Conservative party, because UKIP managed to wait in their appeal

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by moving from Europe into widening their message on immigration. What

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Euroscepticism, it is immigration. These are the issues people care

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about. In a very curious way, Manuel endorse UKIP, but was suggesting

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that many voters may choose to vote Conservative party. Manuel Barroso

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should keep out of the national politics, because before he went to

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Brussels he had already ruined the Portuguese national economy, so

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Brussels he had already ruined the other big change in British politics

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is the possibility of another hung parliament, another coalition.

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European country. That is the irony. The Lib Dems this week, Nick Clegg

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government for the rest of your has said that we have got used to

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more European with the coalitions, life, possibly. I agree that it

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more European with the coalitions, but I thought that if Nick Clegg, if

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that is the best thing that he can say, it is pretty weak. If the best

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thing he can say is that he is in the middle and not as bad as the

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also there is a restlessness among as his previous election promises.

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also there is a restlessness among British voters to find something

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different to break the mould. I think that Nigel Farage is very

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astute in the way that he presents himself and is good at tapping into

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it. Without meaning to insult Manuel Barroso, any time you would put

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it. Without meaning to insult Manuel picture on the television, British

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voters will think of UKIP. You will bureaucrats, faceless people, that

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they might vote for Nigel Farage. It is very likely to continue to the

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end of the government time. I will happening again, whether Labour

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end of the government time. I will Conservative wins the majority at

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coalition now, yes it is a European fact of life, it has become a fact

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of life in Britain as well. I was going to ask, Donald, about your

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thoughts. It is one year to go until the Scottish referendum. That throws

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a lot of calculations, it is fair to say that many people in England

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a lot of calculations, it is fair to wondering why they should care about

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it. As someone who listening wind of Scottish ancestry, I think we should

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care a lot. This is a very big political events coming down the

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of... What at the moment is slightly track. Although there is a sort

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of... What at the moment is slightly dangerous is that in government

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of... What at the moment is slightly it is going to be all right because

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for independence which I personally in the end the Scots will not fought

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rather more engaged with this. think that English people should

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rather more engaged with this. Because although in my view cutting

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think this is a big event coming yourself off from England would

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think this is a big event coming down the track and of course would

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be disastrous and domestic political times for David Cameron. Being the

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Angela Merkel remains the most powerful woman in the world and

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Europe 's most powerful leader. powerful woman in the world and

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it a good thing for all of Europe if she receives a new mandate from

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German voters this weekend? What coalition will we expect and will

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she be able to offer the kind of leadership that Europeans say that

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they need but do not much like if it comes from Berlin. Is there much

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cheerleading in Portugal for Angela Merkel? Not really. And I do not

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capitals, because she is going to continue to be chancellor and there

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is no hope in times of change of strategy. We are going to continue

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to muddle through the year is on the crisis. No big bank solutions, no

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crisis. She will probably start crisis. No big bank solutions, no

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the budget targets, the budget deficit targets, to the countries

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that have been bailed out. Greece is going to need another bailout. And

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in Portugal as well. I —— a new bailout is going to be needed. We

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massive interest on debt and the are paying out this massive debt,

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massive interest on debt and the deficit is still pretty large. There

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in the end result and the collapse deficit is still pretty large. There

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in the end result and the collapse Any German leader would take broad

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note of what the German electorate countries and would be moving along

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in the same direction. There is countries and would be moving along

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small party that would pull out countries and would be moving along

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the whole thing. Whether it is a grand coalition or a continuation of

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we will see much change in terms of grand coalition or a continuation of

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we will see much change in terms of charismatic and not reaching out to

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people in southern Europe, but she has been steadfast in keeping her

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charismatic German leaders before! absolutely pivotal, and she has

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charismatic German leaders before! absolutely consistent. The leader

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here does not really matter. What really matters is the country.

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Just imagine Europe without Germany. There will never be Europe without

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Germany. What makes the leader more effective is the country. In this

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case, whoever is there, Angela Merkel will still be working. I

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think an even more weird thoughts Germany without Europe. That is

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quite a scary thought. I think Angela Merkel is a traditional

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politician who also understands Angela Merkel is a traditional

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and believes that it is essential Europe. Two other quick points.

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and believes that it is essential you were hinting at earlier, she

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to be hugely successful. I think believes that you do not have to be

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to be hugely successful. I think that is quite a plus for her. Also,

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about her, which is that she clearly that is quite a plus for her. Also,

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about her, which is that she clearly European Union. As Cameron goes

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negotiating and having a referendum, I think it is probably quite a good

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thing from his point of view, and Angela Merkel at the helm. I am

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thing from his point of view, and too sure about that. I am not so

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sure that she will cave into the demands David Cameron. She may be

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more sympathetic. She may help to gloss a significant negotiating

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victory for David Cameron. You could say that if the Conservative Party

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are given what they want to do and they cannot get on with Angela

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Merkel, it will be difficult to they cannot get on with Angela

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a relationship with anybody in Europe, because they come from the

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same place in terms of austerity David Cameron is putting huge hopes

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in David —— Angela Merkel. The General assembly is coming up. It

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points to the potential of a new and better relationship between Iran and

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the United States, with Syria now weapons. Should we begin to be

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optimistic? There is a general feeling around the region that the

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new language and approach. He has new president will bring with him

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new language and approach. He has exchanged letters, for example.

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new language and approach. He has is meeting the French resident on

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Tuesday during the meetings in the General assembly. But he is not

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meeting Obama. There are rumours General assembly. But he is not

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meeting Obama. There are rumours that he might. Beside that, whether

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or not he meets Obama, certainly he that he might. Beside that, whether

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or not he meets Obama, certainly he certainly Iran is a speaking a

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different language now. He has been at the helm of nuclear negotiations

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for many years. On security, he at the helm of nuclear negotiations

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sitting on committees for at least 16 years. On top of that, he has got

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the blessing of the spiritual leader of the country, and he has got an

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authority. He told ABC television that he has the full authority of

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the Ayatollah. The only problem that he has the full authority of

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that is that, from the American perspective, there have been so

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that is that, from the American moderates of Iran over the last

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that is that, from the American years. The Obama administration

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that is that, from the American be very cautious about this. This is

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positive until the instant where it seems to follow apart. There is

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positive until the instant where it of good reason to hope that the

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moment. All of the signals being sent back and forth, there could be

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substance behind them. This is the time for Obama, if he is going to a

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comp which anything in the foreign accomplish anything in the foreign

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Some commentators think that America just is not in the game properly. I

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influence in the Middle East than we influence in the Middle East than we

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did 15 or 30 years ago. But the influence in the Middle East than we

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that Obama's this plot —— diplomacy has been in disarray, I do not buy

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and Obama is some big loser, I do has been in disarray, I do not buy

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and Obama is some big loser, I do not buy that. Obama with that out of

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There is a ground to be optimistic not buy that. Obama with that out of

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There is a ground to be optimistic here. Let's not forget that America

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could have never withdrawn from Afghanistan and now Iraq next year

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without some kind of agreement and understanding with Iran itself.

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without some kind of agreement and government running Iraqi —— Iraq has

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influence. Now it wrong can deliver Syria as well. They have Hezbollah

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working and upgrading next to the Syria Army in Syria, killing Syrian

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people, and that is affecting things in the political game at the moment.

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One of the bizarre things about years is that Iran has been helped

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immensely by American policy. They neutralize the Taliban regime in

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Afghanistan. Now perhaps there will be a deal in. That would be in the

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is trysts —— that will be a deal in interest. Even before the president

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was elected, it was thought that Iran would have to play some role if

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there would ever be a successful piece conference to end the civil

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war. Now it has become even clearer. I think it is very pragmatic. I

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something and achieve something about this being a disaster and

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something and achieve something really sensible and a much more

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pragmatic way towards Iran. And really sensible and a much more

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is without dropping a bomb with really sensible and a much more

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on anybody. American influence in the Middle East might have been

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on anybody. American influence in greater in the last 30 years, but it

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extent. This is a great opportunity, agree. The US has never used their

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extent. This is a great opportunity, because it is showing what the

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possibilities are of diplomacy and patients rather than, let's drop

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some bombs and see what happens afterwards, like some people were

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defending. I do not know how much the Congress will cooperate with

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Obama. This is going to be the next headache. We should cherish this

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moment of rationalism, of people should be cherished. We do not often

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and on an optimistic note about should be cherished. We do not often

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Middle East. I am really optimistic about that. I hope the leadership

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will work. That is it for this week. You can comment on the programme on

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