05/12/2015 Dateline London


05/12/2015

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Hello and welcome to Dateline London, Britain Bonds Islamic State

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targets in Syria, what difference would it make militarily and in

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terms of security? Outguess today Art Ian Birrell of the Mail on

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Sunday, Nesrine Malik is a Sudanese writer and broadcaster, Janet Daley

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who is a writer and Jeffrey Kaufman. The British Parliament's decision to

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overwhelming endorse the bombing of Islamic State or Daesh in Syria,

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comes as the German parliament comes to agree to help non-lethal

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assistance, and America, is considering whether the mass

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shooting in America is linked to Islamic terrorism. Does British

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involvement make any difference militarily or diplomatically? First

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of all, Janet, is it a big deal? It is a big deal, militarily, there was

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a complete logical breakdown in the fact that we were bombing in Iraq

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but not in Syria, even though, the border between Iraq and Syria does

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not exist any longer, and it would have been shameful, given that this

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is an unprecedented situation, of course it is unpredictable as

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everybody says. Of course it is chaotic as everybody says, of course

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it is a shambles but this is an unprecedented situation, this is a

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death cult that is threatening not just innocent life as we have seen

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repeatedly in Europe. But, the liberal democratic values, the human

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values that the whole of our supposed Western alliance is

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supposed to stand for and even in the East. There is no more, possible

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plausible moral argument for standing on the sideline in this

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fight. This is a malignant form of nihilistic love of death, this isn't

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even a negotiable Army given any more. This is not a recognisable

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war, that is true because it has broken all of the rules of war. What

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is it that they are to minding that we could concede? Of course the

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reaction will be incoherent and shambolic, recalls this is an

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incoherent phenomenon. But it would still be morally unacceptable to

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stand on the sidelines, particularly when close allies of ours have just

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been under attack. Nesrine? We have been on the sidelines for a very

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long time, the timing is arbitrary and reflects a need to be see to be

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doing something, rather than doing something because you think it will

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be productive. I think that is the fundamental discomfort that I have,

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with the decision to proceed with bombing because I feel that, it kind

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of harks back to the response to 9-11 which as people say, we don't

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actually, we can't actually pinpoint where all of this terrorism is

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coming from but we can be seen to be doing something about it. If it

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means that we have to bomb certain targets indiscriminately or mean

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that they are civilian casualties, that is less important than what it

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says about Britain's standing in the world and I find that deeply morally

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objectionable, that people's rhetoric, particularly Hilary

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Benn's message of what we are sending. It doesn't really matter if

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it cost innocent lives, that is not the issue. This is not an issue of

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the perception of yourself. This is not narcissism. It is parochial

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narcissism. This is the opposite parochial, this is an international

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response to an international threat of unprecedented proportions. This

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is beyond anything that we understood in the Cold War, it is

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not an argument about how men should live, it is not a post in light and

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disagreement about critical philosophies, this is just nihilism

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and murderous merciless cult. I don't think anybody is going to sit

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around and defend Isis, I lost somebody who I knew in Paris. It is

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about how we defeat them and the best way to do so. The reality is

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that British bombing is going to do very little difference, we sent for

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bombs to bomb an airfield, when America sent 4000 strike missions.

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There are no forces on the ground, there aren't any good guys, we don't

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know who we are working with. All we will do is prop up a sad, we were

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being told that he was a danger to us. Assad is the root cause of all

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problems. In that country. We should not get away from that. What we

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should do, we are aiding Assad, who was our turn me two years ago, and

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Putin who I was told was the biggest threat to us in Europe, and I

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believe it. And we're not doing anything to come the problem of

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Islamic Jihad is on, that is not just in Syria and Iraq, we have seen

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it in Mali and Somalia and nine Bangladesh and Afghanistan. The idea

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that if you British bombs are going to solve this problem. I agree

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fundamentally with what you are saying, this is a death cult and we

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cannot ignore it, but I would question whether if you British jets

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are going to make a difference and we know that they are not. In fact,

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the paradox that we see right now in the Western world, is that we want

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to be involved but we don't actually want to have two touch anything, so

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aerial bombing is a sanitised way, holding dating that ultimately we

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know is not going to be effective. So you want ground forces? So the

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reality is it will likely take boots on the ground to defeat these evil

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people. Iraq gave birth to Isis, let us not forget that. This is toppling

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a regime. Neutralising these guys is not going to be done... But that

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will not be neutralising it, pouring oil on the fire. That is true, we

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have a problem which is this generation of young Sunni is is

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alienating in Iraq and Syria, they had Shi'ite governments, there is no

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sense of part of a political discourse and there has to be a way

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to bring them into the discussion. These guys are not going to enter

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political discussion. But that is the long-term. I want to make a

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point about your argument about Assad. I agree with you with Assad

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and I was in favour of the original vote for bombing, but if Britain

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pulls out, if it makes it clear that it is, it has no intention of

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entering this fray, we will not bolster... One of the reasons that

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Obama decided not to bomb Assad is because of the vote in the British

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Parliament, it increased his tendency to eye to nation is. If

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if you allow Putin to run the show and get Europe and America out of

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the game, Assad will be there permanently as a client state, and

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assuming there is a post Isis world and in the Middle East it will be

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run by the Russians, with people like Assad. This is a red herring,

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nobody in the West who has voted for bombing Syria, cares about either of

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these disenfranchised people joining Isis or cares about Assad's

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longevity. The only thing that made people scrambled to action was

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terrorist attacks in Europe, in Paris, and now in the United States.

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I think, that is fundamentally, the Matic inconsistent. This is why I

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find the rhetoric around the death cult aspect of it really

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disingenuous, nobody cared about the Muslims that were being killed,

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beheaded, all of the Muslim concubines being raped. Nobody cared

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about that until it became a convenient vehicle, for posturing in

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the British Parliament. I think you are confusing general public opinion

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with political opinion, I happen to know that there are an awful lot of

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MPs who had particular passion and concerns about that region. Why

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didn't they vote for bombing one year ago? Some of them did. Why did

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they not pass it? Because Ed Miliband pulls the plug, Cameron

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thought he had a deal with Ed Miliband's labour to vote in favour

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of the bombing and he pulls the carpet. Can we bring some of these

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threads together, is everybody around the table agreed about the

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end is, that Isis somehow must be defeated? Do you agree? Absolutely.

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It has two B but Isis is just one part of a global confrontation. The

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idea that it is perpetuated by people arguing for if you British

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bombs to drop in Syria is that Isis is defeated and the problem is

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solved. It isn't, this is about local politics, religious politics,

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sectarianism, corruption, repression. Intervention can make it

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worse, look at what has happened in Mali and Iraq and even in Syria.

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Look at Libya, intervention is not the solution stop blue just one

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other thought, is everybody also agreed, none of you have made the

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argument that bombing makes Britain more of a target, does

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everybody agree that Britain is already a target? Yes yes yes.

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Surely you are not suggesting that nothing should be done? Something

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has to be done. The problem is that now it is so out of control that

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something surgical is required, and bombing is the first step. But it

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comes with no guaranteed outcome. I completely agree with you, if you

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wipe out Isis, even if you took troops in, if you put 20,000 troops

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in tomorrow and you neutralised their command centres and killed

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their leaders, something else will crop up in that void. Is do

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something that has been proven in the recent past... Because we did

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not stay, we did not finish the job. Debt has not forget, that Isis, the

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four members of the military Council of Isis were former Baathists. It is

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about Sunni-sheer sectarianism. America is so averse to being

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colonial, that it would not stay and finish the job, having beheaded the

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regime, it wouldn't stay on and do what needed to be done. It will take

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a long, long time to develop stability in this region, and

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somebody is going to have two stick it, it is not a question of military

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intervention. This time it is going to get worse? So what, so we should

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do nothing? I think there is a difference between Iraq and Syria.

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There is a big difference because in Iraq, varies the Kurdish group, who

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are forces that we should be backing and they are forces that will bring

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a degree of sanity to the situation there. Not in the view of Turkey I

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have two says. In Syria there is nobody like that, what can be done,

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we can have logic in our politics where we stop backing the people who

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are funding terrorism like Saudi Arabia. We can have logic in our

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foreign policy where we stopped backing repressive regime so that we

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have logic in the domestic policy that we stop permitting corruption.

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The cause of what happened in Syria was partly the grotesque corruption

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of the Syria regime who all had big links to London. Let us take the

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plank out of our own high. Yes I agree, framing the question, if

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you're not going to do this do you want to do nothing is problematic.

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It is difficult to answer without sounding like a mumbling delivered

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liberal, saying maybe we shouldn't do this. Actually, it is a perfectly

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legitimate thing to do nothing in the immediate term. If there is

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nothing precise and affected to do. I completely agree with Ian, these

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are the legacies of entrenched long-term political decisions that

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had been made by successive governments in the West and in the

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Arab world, and it is not sexy and it doesn't wind you any plaudits, to

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stand up in Parliament and sailor does not bombing Syria but that does

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have a coherent plan. If you are saying, what can we do other than

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bomb? The answer is that there are several things that can be done that

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require commitment, cross-party, cross government over the years in

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gauge and with the Arab world in a way, that means that dictators are

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propped up, that Muslim governments like Saudi Arabia and other similar

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ones are not allowed to fund gratuitously and arbitrarily Muslim

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opposition in other countries. It is a failure of a coherent in gauge

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went in the region. Having said that, it doesn't mean it is a

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British or a western problem but it does mean if you are asking me what

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else can be done, there are other things that can be done but they are

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not things that you can rouse people up about. It is a British and

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Western problem if protecting ourselves against the consequences

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of this gratuitous and anarchic violence is not only going to

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destroy life and destroy values. We are effectively going to have two...

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I have mused for you, terrorism existed before Isis and will exists

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afterwards. There were more terrorist in Europe than there had

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been since 9/11. Hold on. Hold on. Hold our next mission at I said it

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is not just a threat to life which is on a pretty small-scale. It is

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the threat to the values of freedom and liberty, and the kind of

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security measures that are going to be needed to protect, because all

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governments have a moral sponsor ability to protect the security of

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their citizens especially in West and Chris Eves. The kind security

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measures that are going to have two be brought in are going to undermine

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the freedom and liberal democracy that we accept as part of our

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liberal culture. Bombing because you don't want to telephone tapped? --

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your telephone tapped. Compare to what we had in the 1970s,

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Baader-Meinhof, the IRA, every single one of them wanted something

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on this planet that you could negotiate with. Either a change of a

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governmental system or a bit of land. Is there anything that can be

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negotiated with the people of Isis? We need to go back one step because

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it is not about Isis beating demands, it is about why does Isis

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exist in the first place? You do realise that there are immediate

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demands, which is democracy, not propping up quite as a military

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dictatorships, but if you listen to what might she said, we need to go

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back one step and asked why Isis exists and why ceramic terrorism has

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existed in the Islamic world since the 60s and 70s. There is a whole

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political and historical context, and if you take a very simple not

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particularly intellectual look at the Arab world in the last 50 years,

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you will see that from Omar unto the Maghreb, the entire region has been

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led by undemocratic, princelings. You cannot expect that to happen

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backed by Western governments who have their own interests taken care

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of, you cannot expect that to happen for 50 or 60 years, and not have

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disenfranchised people stop and I think we agree but the problem with

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your argument, and you bring the argument into reality. If you look

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at Sadam and the consequences ten or 15 years later, is that we can't

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simply go in and say we are going to make things better. There is no

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quick or even long-term fix. That is the problem. You can't go in and do

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regime change, George Bush effectively taught us that and

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Tony Blair thank you. But you could also cannot sit back, you cannot

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respond to Bataclan by doing nothing. Saying it is a long-term

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study and we should report with an international commission. But there

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are things that you can do on the ground, Yiu Kam Shing Iraq some of

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the tribal groups, -- you can separate some of the tribal groups.

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Some of them support Isis for short-term political reasons, you

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can get Isis away from oil, a lot of people, are fleeing Isis. It may

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well collapse under its own misery. The West always thinks that the

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solution is to go in and stir things up and make matters worse. There is

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politics and diplomacy that can be done and that does go back to what

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you are talking about with the IRA, ultimately there was a political

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solution. Like it or not, it is not about giving ground to the fanatics,

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it is about solving some of the bitter good problems that attracted

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millions of people to their side no matter how much people like them. --

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some of the political problems. But you are implying that there is a

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rational argument that we can have, this is absurd, this is way beyond

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that. You are in Paris and Wonderland, people say, you love

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life, we love death. You also criticised the West for

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supporting these tinpot dictators, which you are right for but then you

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criticised them for displacing them. Which? I am criticising the view

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that bombing Isis is going to solve anything, I did not say anything,

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about regime change. You did. The problem is, I agree with you, that

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their generational issues that have led to this and the propping up, of

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the 20th century dictators in this region, it has led to this anger and

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frustration. And 21st-century too. Part of what we are seeing is the

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direct result of the toppling of Saddam Hussein, when Paul Bremer

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issued his decree number one getting rid of the Baathist party and agree

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number two, disbanding the Iraqi army.

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He sowed the seeds. All of those disenfranchised Sunni 's in Iraq,

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felt that they had no way to actually press the case. That was

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the case of removing a tyrant, so you are

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wrong if you remove a tyrant and you are wrong if you keep a tyrant. I

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think one thing where you are right is that we will be talking about

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this for a long time, there is no quick fix. Isn't this a problem,

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that it is being sold to the problem that this is a quick fix, that we

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will white out Isis and it will all be fixed. If you tell Francois

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Hollande that he needs not to do anything, he has two. It is about

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not pouring oil on the fire. Bombing the oilfields is very specific and

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meaningful. Our discussion unfortunately cannot go on for an

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entire generation, we have got five more minutes. What impact is is

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having on British domestic politics if any? We are seeing, the Labour

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Party, some MPs saying that they are being hectored by this, there is

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some nasty politics going on. The leadership of the Labour Party is

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saying there is no place for this. For David Cameron it is very

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important, I think the authority of the Prime Minister was weakened in

:21:23.:21:25.

2013, not backing the Prime Minister and making him look foolish on the

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world stage. So it has been very important for the authority of the

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British Prime Minister, also only seven Tory MPs did not back him, and

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it has reasserted his hold on his new look and image, Conservative

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Party. For the Tories it has been very good. For labour it has been

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disastrous because it has brought to a head, the craziness of the

:21:48.:21:50.

division, where you have got a leader who is backed by the new

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membership, quite strongly and politicians in parliament who really

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don't like him and don't like what he's doing. And wanting to be more

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in tune with public. It is a huge fissure and it has been brought into

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the public eye and it needs to be reconciled, whether to be throwing

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out the leader or the MPs. Edition artist is, it is not always about us

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but it is sometimes about us? What if it is a vote in the British

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Parliament, it is about you, I can't take that away from you. But it is

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interesting to see, self-involved, what does it say about us. But very

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little about what does this actually mean, hearing from Syrians and

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Middle Eastern experts, even the media discourse about it. You have

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question Time panels, you have moral maze discussions on BBC Four where

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you don't hear from anyone from the region, it is about what should we

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BBC to be doing and what does it say about us and what does it say about

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the liberal left. I have seen Syrians being interviewed and

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Iraqis. But in terms of what has been bubbling up in the main screen

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discussion, what people had been used for evidence. What politicians

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have viewed as evidence, has not been native and indigenous. We heard

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a lot from amateur lobby in the lead up to the Iraq war and it was not

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entirely helpful, to the administration. That does not mean

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that we throw out the baby with the bath water. The constituents, that

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has to be the case, it is the only thing over which we have any

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accountability. This is a very important point, sorry to cut you

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off. Because of short-term democratic cycles, I'm not saying

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that we should have dictatorships, these decisions are made, with

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short-term deadlines. Can I finish. When democratic politics is about

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being accountable to the population, and the relationship and the

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population, I am sorry, you don't seem to understand the principle,

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democracy is about explaining to the nation and the nation responding to

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your explanation of why you are doing what you are doing. There is

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nothing wrong with being assessed with that, that is the system. We

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have a minute left. My own country, Canada, the new Prime Minister is

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pulling the teams from the bombing campaign. That is what he ran on,

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but he says since Paris, Bataclan, he will be increasing the training

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forces. But different currents in different countries. I think what is

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happening here is that Cameron is asserting himself on the foreign

:24:48.:24:53.

stage and saying we are a player. On that note of agreement, do we agree

:24:54.:24:59.

with that? That is it for Dateline London, you can comment on the

:25:00.:25:03.

programme on Twitter, we are back next week at the same time, thanks

:25:04.:25:04.

for watching and goodbye.

:25:05.:25:10.

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