13/08/2016 Dateline London


13/08/2016

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Hello and welcome to Dateline London. Does infighting mean the

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Labour Party is finished as a potential British government for

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many years to come? Donald Trump does not really suggest gun-owners

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should shoot Hillary Clinton. Good to see all my guests. The

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British Labour Party is split on so many different ways it is difficult

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to know where to begin. There are many different members who want

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different things. Is it safe to assume that Labour will not be

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challenging to four minutes government in the United Kingdom? I

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am afraid that Labour have counted themselves out for the time being.

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It is in a terrible state like in the 1980s. It took them for

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elections to get into power. If they can do it in only two that would be

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miraculous. They have accidentally elected a leader in by a series of

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accidents who is unelectable and has the worst personal ratings of any

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opposition leader ever. He is the lowest of them all. There is no

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chance that he could be elected as Prime Minister but he has a Donald

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Trump like fan base of people convinced that only all of the

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Labour Party got behind could make it. But it is not so. It is a case

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of ideology, though and not that sure there is that much difference,

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but the realists against the fantasists. Perhaps other than on

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Trident, you would struggle to put your finger on a big ideological

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difference between the two sides. Owns Smith has quite radical

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policies which would be maxed by stuff the party. -- Owen Smith. It

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is about the mystique of Jeremy Corbyn that many people in the

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Labour Party do not understand. The new arrivals have stars in their

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eyes about him. What is happening in the French left with Francois Hull

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being the most unpopular? The same problem. In France there are no

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Trots going into the Labour Party. The economy is doing badly and

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President Hollande is seen as a weak president. Nicolas Sarkozy has taken

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on the mantle of the crusade he is launching. The Socialist Party is

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cut-off and their only hope is the centre-left is the minister of the

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economy. Unlike Britain where at least there is something is today,

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where you could see progress in moderate Labour and central lists,

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in France it is stuck. One thing that is different is that no one

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toxin the French left about a social movement. President Hollande wants

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to hang onto power and the people that support her more power. That is

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all that they want. It is the extreme left wing and the Communist

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Party. There are no entrance into the two main parties by the extreme

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left in France. You have an electoral system that binds people

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together and are is even worse. Labours should be to parties and the

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Conservative Party should be two parties, the Ken Clarke progressive

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and the anti-European nutcases, they should be to parties and so should

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Labour. Which I before to split the Labour Party and our first past the

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post system destroys any new entrant. That is what is fascinating

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about the Labour Party is it -- Labour Party it is an example of

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democracy working against voting for new members. You think of the UK and

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the ideal of the mother of Parliament and the mother of

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democracy, and then you see the courts blocking people from voting.

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A group of disaffected members, not the NEC, went to the court and the

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court said this is a private club, sort yourself out. But the fact that

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there is a move to block people from voting. I am not saying it is wrong

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or right, is just how people are tried to work out the technicalities

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of eight. If you have hundreds and thousands of Trotsky and ensure

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this, which is pretty niche, to stop them from voting it shows that what

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is happening is not only a crisis of ideology in the Labour Party but a

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crisis of the technicalities of the Labour machine and the political

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system in general. I asked why is it that the Right can sort out their

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difficulties and get rid of our Prime Minister quickly and the left

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cannot. You said that the left is an open process while the right wants

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to get results. You could send that to the Oxford book of quotation, I

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like that. It is true. The left, in this country anyway, it's all about

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the process. How can people turn up and give a speech and suddenly have

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carbonates invented as a word. Trotsky we have heard. Blairites and

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brown nights. Owen Smith looks like President

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Hollande, like a better looking younger brother. I hope that he will

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be more successful than President Hollande. Knowing we were going to

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talk about this, a US general said after we went into Afghanistan that

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we should declare victory and get out. I think it is time for the left

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to declare its factories and reformulate itself, because there

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have been considerable progress of victories in my lifetime on social

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issues. We should declare victory. I do not know how the Labour Party

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holds together. Those who forget their history are condemned to

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repeat it, but those who remember it too well I condemned to repeat it as

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well. I do not see how this party holds together as a unit. The only

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thing that keeps it together is the electoral system. They would split

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tomorrow if they were not bound together. That has done the

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Conservative Party Hamas well. The Labour Party should change the

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electoral system when they were in power. We are seeing the longing for

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new parties to come up, whoever it is. There is a need to be

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represented. In this country there was Ukip, for instance. 4 million

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people voted for Ukip and they court once it because of our unfair

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system. There should be a far left party that should be able to get

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people into Parliament. I think it is about ideology and the difference

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in style. It is less the particularities that there is

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something about left-wing dogma, particularly in the UK, that has the

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virtue and then things develop like with Jeremy Corbyn. I think it is

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about a legacy of left-wing thinking which has inherent morality, while

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right-wing thinking doesn't. It is more practical. But that is seeing

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things not doing things. It is about presenting yourself in a certain

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way. That some people are not political parties and they just want

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to see the country run properly. This is where I not entirely sure

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that Jeremy Corbyn... He is unelectable in a general election

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but I do not think his fans are only from the Labour Party. There is

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something about him that might translate... It might translate in

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the sense that people think that he looks like you might believe in

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something. There is a lot of resentment and part of the

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population, not only because of the political system but also the fact

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of the financial crisis and that it is continuing, people cannot get

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jobs according to the qualifications, and that attracts a

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lot of anger and bosses are giving themselves a 10% pay increase. That

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is why I think Jeremy Corbyn represent something. It is not to

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when, but it is a protest vote. There is no sign that Jeremy Corbyn

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has brought anybody into the Labour side who ever voted anything other

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than left in this country. He has to get somebody who has voted

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Conservative in the past two support him and there is no chance. We can

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move on. There were signs of some relief in the siege of Aleppo this

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week that the Syrian war continues. It can be difficult to follow who is

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making progress. Does this all in Turkish relations with Moscow

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represent a major shift in what effect will this have on the refugee

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crisis? Whatever you think is going on in Syria, there is so much going

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on around Syria that is causing people to die. Aleppo is the epitome

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of that. It is a city that has paralysed by four or five players.

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There is the Assad resume, the rebels, Turkey, Iran in the

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background. Aleppo has become this tragic flash point of how the Syrian

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crisis is a proxy for other agenda is, but also how President aside has

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managed to Lethbridge international agendas. -- President Assad. Turkey

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and Syria had a meeting and they are coming closer together, the BBC

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called it an alliance of misfits. They world say things that look like

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they are cooperating, but really is it owing to happen? The largest

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concession that came out of it was that Russia was going to allow a

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three-hour window for aid convoys to come into Aleppo, which the Turkish

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to not think is long enough and they do not think that they are going to

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do it anyway. The other bit of propaganda was that there are going

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to be harder on Isis. They can agree on that. But they are relevant when

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it comes to Aleppo. -- they are not relevant. They shake hands and it is

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on TV and it looks like Russia and Turkey coming together, that they

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are not tackling what is good to make the situation easier in Aleppo.

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I was wondering whether that was game played to say to the Americans

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that we do not get on very well with them at the moment, please handed

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over to us. There is an element of that. We seem to be in an era where

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there is no ideology. It is just strong man. There is a strong man in

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Vladimir Putin and another in the Turkish Prime Minister. They have

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been at all since the tight shot down the Russian jet last year. This

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is a perfect moment for the Turkish Prime Minister to go to the lakeside

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near St Petersburg and to remind people, which is a good photo Op for

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Putin who is always taking every advantage, to remind the west that

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Nato may not be a perfect alliance. I think there is more but that the

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mirrors to do with Syria. The constant thing about the tax and

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Syria is the effect of fighting against Isis is the Kurds. President

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Erdogan will not have them playing a leading role if you can avoid it

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because that will strengthen the situation. There is a lot going on

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here. Vice President Biden is supposed to be going to Turkey to

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play a different role there. While all of this goes on, this big power

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game, more people are dying. We have watched the horror this week of

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chemical attacks. I am never sure why it is worse to be killed by

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chemicals than a barrel bomb fool of appalling weapons, but it is

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internationally recognised and that is not seem to make much difference.

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We sit here in Britain looking at it with horror and people are saying,

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do something, but all that has been proposed is that we drop more bombs

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on them. That does not seem very helpful. There is no shortage of

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bombs being dropped. That is not an answer. We do have some special

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forces on the ground, although we do not know what they're doing or how

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many there are fairer doing any good, but we've is very clear how we

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in could intervene to any good purpose. The deal were tacky about

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what to do with refugees, whether that can survive? It is the only

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deal on offer. It suggests deal and we shouldn't have done it, but it is

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the only deal at a time that Europe is in crisis. It cannot take any

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more refugees without creating a populist backlash, and at a time

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where there is Brexit. Aleppo is making it worse because there will

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be more refugees. The refugee question should be a UN question and

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America and Shirley and Britain should take more refugees. For

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Europe, whatever happens if President erred again. There are two

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reasons why the economy is doing badly in Turkey. The Euro and taking

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more refugees. Donald Trump is guilty of what might be called

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Jeremy Clarkson syndrome. When Donald Trump says something because

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as I read it claims it is a joke or he has been misinterpreted by

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hostile media. Is it a total misrepresentation to suggest this

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week that he encouraged gun orders to shoot Hillary Clinton? That is

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what a lot of people thought. I know a lot of those people, including the

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guy behind individual whose jaw dropped. My interpretation of its,

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having watched it over and over, is that he was referring to court by

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Thomas Jefferson about the tree of liberty needing to be watered from

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time to time with the blood of pigeons and tyrants. It is summoned

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to the militia movement to be on guard if there is a democratic

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Senate and president as to what kinds of judges and gun rights. Many

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of his commercial is not been paid for by the Republican party but by

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the national rifle is to. They are quite effective. The polls are bad

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for him but they have been affected. That is what he meant I think. We

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can get the Minutemen to get rid of that somehow. Without thinking, I do

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not think years summoning. It is not like these dark web websites that

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the militia guys go to, but it is the sort of thing that Timothy

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McVeigh... I was in Oklahoma City when the bomb went off. This has

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never gone away from the underbelly of America. People looked at the

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patterns of gun ownership they would see that most American families do

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not own a gun. Most of the weaponry is owned by a third or 40% of the

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population and their own a lot. They believe that Sunday the government

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will become a terrorist. I think you give Donald Trump too much credit. I

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don't think it says things that clear or defined. He reminds me of a

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quote by the Joker in the Batman Returns, he said like a dog chasing

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a car I do not know what to do if I catch it. But what will he do with

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it? I don't think when he says these things that he has that kind of

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coherent thought of who he is reaching out to. I think it has

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become clear, because his gaffes are becoming more frequent. I thought it

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was impossible that he would be able to alienate his supporters, but it

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is really beginning to happen. A few things in succession would prove

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that he doesn't know why saying these things because he is going to

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hurt himself. The attack on the parents, which you do not do. The

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third most recent thing is the Clinton incitement and then saying

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Obama founded Isis. Hello Clinton treated this week that Obama did not

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find Isis. -- sent a message this week saying that Obama did not find

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Isis. That is what the debaters. I do not think that child knows what

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he is talking about. I think it does in a way, but he is a psycho path

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and a narcissist. He is also a bully and a tyrant in the making. The rest

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of the world looks on and wonders how he could get close, that he

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could get near to the nuclear button. How could it be that America

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that thinks of itself as the Seine and constitutional place, think of

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its self-image as a spreader of liberty, it has bridges this

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monster. It is terrifying. He reminds me of Marie Le Pen. She is

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the leader of the national front, the daughter of the founder. The

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more incredible lies that her father told, he managed to get 25% of the

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vote and get the social soaked. It is dangerous. As we saw with Brexit,

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the poll always. Ready Le Pen is doing well by distancing herself

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from the politics of her father while still building on some of that

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support. She is done it well is that because of that. She got rid of the

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anti-Semitic attack to concentrate on the Muslim attack. She is more

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subtle. If you are good to be successful on the right you need to

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blow the dog whistle and not trumpet. Trump and the pen just say

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it out right. Anyone who is anti-Semitic knows that MIDI Le

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Pen... Is the Republican Party in worse shape than the Labour Party is

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in Britain? No. Being president is not being an elected dictator. There

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is the possibility and the likelihood is that the Republicans

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will remain control of the House of Representatives, regardless how

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badly Trump does they may lose the Senate. The Republican party, like

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the Conservative Party, they will come back from Donald Trump. If

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Donald Trump losers, by a landslide as the Poles estimate, he will

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probably lose in the electoral college by a landslide. The

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Republican Party will bounce back and continue to practice but they

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have been practising for 25 years, a practical approach to politics.

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Block everything a Democratic president does, bring him closer

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ruin the presidency. As they have come close to doing with Barack

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Obama, they have made it impossible for him to be as effective as he

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could've been. The same thing with Bill Clinton. I do not think that a

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Trump defeat that I see today is likely will kill the Republican

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Party. It is actually possible that I will never see a Labour government

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in my lifetime. It is true, unfortunately. But it is not Donald

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Trump's defeat that will kill the Republican Party, it is the fact

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that he exists and is running that is killing the party. They are

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responsible for him. Donald Trump is the Republican Party's owned

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creature from the dark lagoon. The fact he exists as the most

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dangerous. The American electorate created Donald Trump. He will get

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40% of the votes. If there was no Donald Trump, those votes would go.

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They exist. If they were finding a voice and organise politics, then

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what I was talking about earlier about the militia movement, Lee, who

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were born in America, would they really fearful because it would have

:25:30.:25:34.

greater wind in its sale. I would rather they words reveal politics

:25:35.:25:40.

than the dark web. That is all from Dateline London for this week. We

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are back next week at the same time. Goodbye.

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