Part 3 Election 2016


Part 3

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Yes, a very good afternoon, welcome back to the BBC Election Centre. We

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will be here throughout the afternoon and bring you up-to-date

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with what is happening around the UK. We are talking principally in

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Scotland about an historic third victory for the Scottish National

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Party in the Parliamentary elections. 63 seats after the

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results came in, two short of an overall majority this time. But it

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was a very strong performance by the SNP. Also a very good night for the

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Scottish Conservatives. Their leader Ruth Davidson won a seat in

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Edinburgh Central. She has been celebrating gains elsewhere in

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Scotland. The Scottish Labour Party, however, pushed into third because

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of the strong Conservative showing. A disappointing result for them. But

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a very different story, it has to be said, for Labour in Wales, where

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they have won 29 seats in the National Assembly. Holding onto

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power. They have been in power for 17 years in Cardiff and they will be

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there for another five years. And a good result for Ukip in Wales, they

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have taken seven seats in the Welsh Assembly, their first representation

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in the Welsh Assembly. Plaid Cymru's leader, Leanne Wood, a notable

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victory in the Labour stronghold of Rhondda, where she unseated Leighton

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Andrews, a former Minister in the Welsh Assembly. And in the endless

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council elections, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn says predictions for

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his party, losing councils, have not come true. Instead, he says Labour

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have been growing their support. David Cameron, on the other hand,

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visiting Peterborough, saying it might have been a data dread for him

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as a Prime Minister, but it had not materialised, and Labour had lost

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touch with the hard-working people they are supposed to represent. -- a

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data dread. Votes are still being counted, so don't think it is all

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over. In the London Assembly on the London Mayoral contest, such a very,

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very ferociously for Grace in recent weeks, around three quarters of the

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first preference votes counted. -- ferociously fought race. Labour's

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Sadiq Khan has a sizeable lead over the Conservative Zac Goldsmith.

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With a bit of luck, we will have some more clear signals on the

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London Mayoral race, which has been very controversial to say the least.

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I will be talking to my guests, Justine Greening and John Ashworth,

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for the Conservatives and Labour. Thank you for joining us. But before

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we talk to you, we will catch up with all of the day's news and get

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some of the figures and reactions. Yes, as you say, results are still

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awaited in the campaign to be the Mayor of London. Most of the votes

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for Police and Crime Commissioners and the Northern Ireland Stormont

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assembly. This is the round-up of all the political points so far,

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from Carol Walker. A third term in power for Nicola

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Sturgeon, although the SNP fell just short of an overall majority, but

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the result confirms our party's grip on politics in Scotland. We are

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seeing a huge vote of confidence in the SNP record in government, and an

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enormous vote of trust in our ability to lead the country forward.

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But Conservative leader Ruth Davidson had reason to be cheerful

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too, winning Edinburgh Central and overtaking Labour to become the

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second largest party in Holyrood. The beleaguered Liberal Democrats

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retain their five seats in Scotland. The result was a serious blow for

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Labour. The former party leader Johann Lamont, one of the political

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casualties. The current leader Kezia Dugdale said she was heartbroken

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that her party had been pushed into third, but said she would remain as

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leader no matter what. Good morning, everybody! Jeremy Corbyn went to

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Sheffield to congratulate one of two Labour MPs, Gill Furniss, who won

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the by-election caused by the death of her late husband. These elections

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are being seen as a test of Mr Corbyn's leadership. We were getting

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predictions that Labour would lose councils, and we didn't, we hung on

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and we grew support in a lot of places. There is a lot more results

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to come today. Labour hung on to some of the council is considered

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vulnerable in their northern heartlands, and retain control of

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Southampton and Hastings along the south coast. Critics say the party

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should have done much better. It was a really disappointing night for the

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Labour activists who have been out there, campaigning for months, and

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Jeremy needs to take responsible a deep for a poor performance

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yesterday. For goodness sake, get behind the leader of the Labour

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Party who was democratically elected. It is time to put up or

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shut up. David Cameron new it would never be easy for the Conservatives

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to fight elections while his Ministers are openly disagreeing

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over Europe, but in Peterborough where the Tories took control, he

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said the modest gains represented a great day for the Tories overall.

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Election day for sitting Prime Minister's is meant to be a day to

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dread, sitting there waiting for someone to knock on the door like a

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condemned man waiting for the hangman, but that is not what it was

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like last night. Or today. We have held councils right across the

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country. Ukip has gained at least 20 seats in England and won seven seats

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in Wales, depriving Labour of an overall majority. A big breakthrough

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for us, in Wales in particular but right across the country, our vote

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share is up. In England, coming second almost everywhere and

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beginning to break through and get more firsts as well. Votes are still

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being counted in London and elsewhere, but already these

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elections are providing an important snapshot of public opinion a year

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after the general election. We have been expecting a statement

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from the First Minister of Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon, on her intentions.

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She has just started speaking in Edinburgh. The day after a momentous

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election victory for the SNP. Yesterday, the SNP made history. We

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became the first party to win a third consecutive Scottish

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Parliament election, and secure a third term in office. We won the

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highest share of the constituency vote. And the largest number of

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constituency seats ever achieved in a Scottish Parliament election. We

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are the very first party in the era of devolution to poll more than 1

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million votes in constituencies across our country. The result of

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the election was emphatic. The people of Scotland once again placed

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their trust in the SNP to govern our country. We won a clear and

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unequivocal mandate. And I secured the personal mandate I sought to

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implement the bold and ambitious programme of government that I asked

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the country to vote for. So I can confirm that when it reconvenes in

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the coming days, I will ask the Scottish Parliament to formally

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re-elect me as the First Minister of Scotland. It will then be my

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intention to form and to lead an SNP government. With such a large group

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of MSPs elected, I don't intend to seek any formal arrangement with any

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other parties. However, the Government I lead will be an

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inclusive government. It will be firm on our determination to deliver

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on the commitments we made to the Scottish people. But it will also

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reach out and seek to work with others across the Parliament, to

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find common ground and build consensus. Election campaigns

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inevitably focus on differences and on dividing lines. But I believe

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that if we choose to find it, there is common ground are plenty to build

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on. -- aplenty. I made clear that education will be the defining and

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driving priority of my tenure as First Minister. And I expect to be

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judged on that. I reiterate that commitment today. Education is my

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passion and my priority. And because of that, I was heartened that all

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parties chose to put a clear focus on it. So I hope we can put party

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differences aside and work together, in CHEERING AND APPLAUSE.

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Opportunities for all of our young people, regardless of their

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background or circumstances. -- insuring label opportunities for all

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of our young people, regardless of their background or circumstances,

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that must unite us not divide us over the next five years. Climate

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change and protecting the environment, and putting support for

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innovation at the heart of our effort to transform the productivity

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of the Scottish economy. And of course the SNP's determination to

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use new powers to mitigate austerity, invest in our public

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services and build a social security system based on the principles of

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dignity and respect is, with perhaps one exception, shared by other

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parties in our Parliament. So the Government I lead will reach out. We

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will govern with conviction, with ambition and with determination. But

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also with humility and a willingness to listen and to learn from the

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ideas of others. And on the question of independence, let me say this.

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The SNP will always make our case with passion, with patience, and

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with respect. But our aim is to persuade, not to divide. We will

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always respect the opinion of the people. Now and in the future. And

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we simply ask that other parties do likewise. You know, it is the

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greatest privilege imaginable to be elected as the First Minister of our

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country. To those who voted for me and the SNP yesterday, thank you me

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from the very bottom of my heart. You have given me a precious

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opportunity to change this country for the better, and I promise to

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seize that opportunity with both hands. To those who did not vote for

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me, I promise you that I will never stop striving to own your trust and

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your support. Like all politicians, I am passionate, very passionate,

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about the ideals I believe in. But as First Minister, I know that I

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have a duty to rise above party politics and to govern in the best

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interests of all of our country. My pledge today is that I will always

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seek to do that. Whatever your politics or your point of view, my

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job is to serve you. I will always fight Scotland's corner, and I will

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work every single day to make our country fairer, wealthier and

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stronger. I relish the opportunity is that this next term of Parliament

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presents. And I now look forward very much, after perhaps a few

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hours' sleep, to getting on with the job. Thank you very much.

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STUDIO: So there we have Nicola Sturgeon, the First Minister,

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acknowledging the fact that she now has a personal mandate, as she has

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been calling it. Getting ready to put a stamp on that government for

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the next five years. Very interesting that she has gone out of

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her way several times overnight, and today, to address those many

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thousands of Scottish voters who did not back the SNP in these elections.

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Saying that she wants to earn their trust, and that she is going to

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govern for all people in Scotland, whether they back the ideal of

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independence or not. Because of course that is still the principal

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goal of the Scottish National Party. Nicola Sturgeon, into the official

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seat of government in Edinburgh. We are going to go to Kevin Keane, my

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colleague who was listening to that. What did you read into those

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messages, of reaching out, and indeed the tone of the message on

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the way that she will approach the independence question again? Well,

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that's very much been the theme of this SNP government throughout.

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Remember, of course, before that last term in Parliament, their

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first-term which began nine years ago, they were in the same position

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they are in now, they didn't have a majority. They were in a minority

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and they had to reach consensus. Every time they had to put forward a

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new budget. This puts them back in the same position. They are only two

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votes short of a majority, and by the sound of it, they feel confident

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they would be able to reach that when necessary. Of course, John

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Swinney, the Finance Secretary, Deputy First Minister now, was very

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much involved in that. That position, that phase, continues to

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be in the same seat. Nicola Sturgeon herself was involved in all of those

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negotiations then, as Deputy First Minister. But it is very much like

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Nicola Sturgeon to try to reach out to other parties. It is a

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Parliament, remember, that is meant to be one of consensus and

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agreement. This is the first step in her third term, the SNP's third term

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of trying to do that. Thank you. What I would like to do now is join

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Kezia Dugdale, at the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood. Thank you so

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much for joining us. It's been a very long nice. Afternoon. Thank

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you. It's been very tough for your party. Talk us through the

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expectations that you had and where you think you are today. It's been a

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very disappointing election for the Scottish Labour Party. You have to

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remember that we had a very difficult general election campaign

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last year. We went from having 41 MPs to just 1. Last night I lost a

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third of the Labour MSP group here in the Scottish Parliament. It

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appears in Scotland we've returned to the constitutional arguments of

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the past. The final days of the election campaign have focused on

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issues of independence and remaining part of the United Kingdom. The

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Tories have benefited hugely from being the party to say they oppose a

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second referendum on independence. Lots of people in Scotland were very

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fearful of that. The Scottish Labour Party had a commitment to oppose a

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second referendum as well. We were trying to binge together people who

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voted yes and no, with a positive vision of the future of Scotland,

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which was about using the new powers of this Parliament. Powers over tax

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and welfare that will allow us to make different choices from the

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Tories in Scotland. So I very much regret what's happened overnight but

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the Labour Party will get back together and make that case for

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building a more fair and equal Scotland. For viewers loo are

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joining us, you are no longer the official opposition in Scotland,

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that the Conservatives have overtaken you and they are pleased

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about that and they've been underlining that achievement

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overnight. Do you think that that's a reason for people to question your

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position as leader in Scotland? Or do you think it's early days and

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you've got more work to do? I've made it very clear that I intend to

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remain as leader of the Scottish Labour Party. As I said to you I

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took over the leadership of the party under difficult circumstances

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last year, when we lost 40 members. I turned around our party so it

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could be fit to return again. Last night's result is of course a bad

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result for the Scottish Labour Party. We lost a third of our MSPs.

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I believe there's fresh blood coming into the Scottish Parliament next

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week. That belief that the Scottish Labour Party has ideas, values and

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principles that are fit for the people of Scotland. Trying to heal

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this nation of ours which is divided along lines of yes and no, to make

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different choices from the Tories. We've seen the result of a timid

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campaign from the SNP. They are back in power but with no majority, and

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an official opposition that will challenge them to do less, to cut

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more, and I think it's the role of the Labour Party now in Scotland to

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stand up against austerity, to continue to make the case for how we

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can stop the cuts, using the powers of this Parliament behind me. Make

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different choices from the Tories, to stand up for working people the

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length and breadth of this country. Ian Murray says, I don't think the

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public see the UK Labour Party led by Jeremy Corbyn at the moment as

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being a credible party of future Government in 2020. Do you agree

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with that view? To be honest, I'm taking full responsibility for the

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campaign I've run here in Scotland. I believe it was right for us to

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focus on the positive arguments for why people should vote Labour here

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in Scotland. Appealing to people who voted yes and no. That sense of

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making different choices from the Tories. I always said I was the

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leader of this campaign, so it is always the case in the event of a

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big defeat or a bad night that you look to apportion blame. That's not

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what I'm going to do today. I'm going to reflect on the result and

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get the Labour Party in Scotland fit for the future again. To be clear,

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are you telling our viewers you don't think the leadership of the

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Labour Party, and Jeremy Corbyn's leadership, was any factor, or did

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it play a part? It's quite apparent that when people saw a can divided

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Labour Party across the country it wasn't particularly appealing in

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terms of getting people's votes and being focused on the future. I would

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appeal to people to unite behind our ideals, our values and principles

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and focus on the future. We have to get back to making the arguments for

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why Tory ideals that smaller government, cutting taxes instead of

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stopping austerity are the wrong ideas, the wrong values for our

:19:54.:19:56.

country at a time when we need to invest in our public services, to

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invest in education and grow our economy. I would appeal from a

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united Labour Party focused on our values and principles that's ready

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to rebuild for the future. Kezia Dugdale, thank you for joining us.

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Thank you. That's Kezia Dugdale, the leader of the Labour Party in

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Scotland. That was interesting on several counts, not least to do with

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the last answer there, acknowledging that a divided Labour Party has not

:20:22.:20:26.

helped her position there. Can I bring in John Ashworth for Labour

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and Justine Greening for the Conservatives. The message from

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Kezia Dugdale, what did you make of it? Mfrnlts I thought Kezia handled

:20:35.:20:40.

herself with tremendous dignity there, the taking responsibility for

:20:41.:20:43.

the defeat in Scotland. Getting back on the front foot in Scotland is a

:20:44.:20:49.

long term project. I hope we can be competitive to get into Scotland for

:20:50.:20:54.

2020. For a credible prospect for government we need to show we can

:20:55.:20:59.

win support. It is arithmetically impossible to form a government

:21:00.:21:04.

without Labour MPs in Scotland, but to look credible for Government we

:21:05.:21:10.

need to gain in Scotland. It is a longer term project given the

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devastating result in Scotland last year. And given what she said about

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a publicly divided party. What are your thoughts on that? I think

:21:18.:21:22.

Labour Party members wants us to pull together and focus on the

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Tories. Throughout this campaign when we've had various noises off,

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hall I put it like that? We've got to really take the fight to the

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Tories over the next few months and years. I don't think this is a very

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good Tory Government, to be frank. It is getting harder to see a GP.

:21:39.:21:43.

Class sizes are on the rise. George Osborne's budget became a shambles

:21:44.:21:48.

when he tried to cut ?4 billion from system of the most vulnerable

:21:49.:21:53.

people. Labour Party members want us to focus on these issues, and voters

:21:54.:22:00.

as well. Why didn't Labour make any proper gains? Or any gains at all?

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We have had quotes from MPs, Alison McGovern, saying losing control of a

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single council would be an unacceptable betrayal of people. Jo

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Cox said it was a disappointing night. Ian Australiain, I no ethese

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aren't necessarily Jeremy Corbyn's biggest fans, but we've had hoping

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to win back disillusioned voters. Do you think the pert could win in 2020

:22:28.:22:32.

on these election results? The goal Jeremy set the Labour Party was to

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improve the vote share against the terrible result we had last year. I

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am pleased that we've managed to hold on to councils which a lot of

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the experts told us we were going to lose. Some people told us we were

:22:45.:22:48.

going to have a desperately catastrophic night. I would much

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prefer it if we had done a lot better. Wont I want to do over the

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next weeks and month to go to these places, like Nuneaton, where we

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should have done better, and engage with voters and ask why they don't

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vote Labour in these elections. Clearly the demise of Labour in

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Scotland started before the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. But

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they are now in third place in Scotland. And she blames a party

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that is not United. What do you say? I think Scotland is a massive

:23:18.:23:21.

challenge for the Labour Party. I can't pretend it isn't. You've gone

:23:22.:23:26.

backwards. Coming third behind the Tories is a terrible result for the

:23:27.:23:29.

Labour Party in Scotland. I would say this, we over the next four

:23:30.:23:33.

years have got to make Scotland a political priority for us. If we

:23:34.:23:36.

want to be a credible prospect for government in 2020, we have to be

:23:37.:23:42.

competitive in Scotland. It was interesting that rite Davidson said

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she thought she was picking up lots of votes and doing really well

:23:47.:23:50.

because she pursued a very robust and clear line on the union. And

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rejecting this thought of a second referendum and the case for

:23:56.:23:59.

independence. She said because she was offering a clear line on that

:24:00.:24:03.

and Labour wasn't sufficiently, in her view, that was the main reason

:24:04.:24:06.

for Conservatives' success in Scotland. Is that your receiving of

:24:07.:24:10.

it? I think it is to do with that. I think it is to do with Ruth's

:24:11.:24:15.

personal leadership and the way she has conducted this campaign. People

:24:16.:24:19.

can see her as the only person that can really hold the SNP to account.

:24:20.:24:23.

That's what we want to see from a credible opposition. I think for us

:24:24.:24:25.

as a Conservatives, this is the first time in over a century that

:24:26.:24:29.

we've beaten the Labour Party in Scotland. So it is a real

:24:30.:24:32.

breakthrough moment for us. I think what it shows is that we are the run

:24:33.:24:37.

remaining party in Britain now that's a one-nation party that's

:24:38.:24:41.

representing people all over our great country. I think possibly the

:24:42.:24:45.

problem for Labour is that my view is in Scotland as in so many other

:24:46.:24:50.

parts of the world, of the country, they've lost touch with grass roots

:24:51.:24:53.

public opinion. I think they've not been out there on the doorstep

:24:54.:24:57.

talking to people for a long time. I think the in Scotland they took

:24:58.:25:00.

their electorate for granted. I think the problem is that if

:25:01.:25:04.

Scotland's anything to go by be, it is not just that people think that

:25:05.:25:08.

Labour aren't a credible alternative Government. They don't think they

:25:09.:25:14.

are a credible opposition either. The entire premise of Jeremy

:25:15.:25:18.

Corbyn's leadership and election is because he is backed up by grass

:25:19.:25:22.

roots position that he is in this position, because he says he's in

:25:23.:25:26.

touch with that that he is a leader with a big mandate. I don't agree

:25:27.:25:31.

with that. I think he is somebody who's got extreme views, who is the

:25:32.:25:34.

leader of what used to be a mainstream party. That's the real

:25:35.:25:38.

problem. You are seeing that in these election results. John? The

:25:39.:25:42.

Labour Party is of course a mainstream party. It is extreme to

:25:43.:25:46.

be forcing schools to become academies. The way in which the

:25:47.:25:51.

Tories are undermining the NHS is pretty extreme. The way in which you

:25:52.:25:56.

wanted to cut ?4 billion off some of the most vulnerable and disabled

:25:57.:26:03.

people in society was a pretty extreme proposal from George

:26:04.:26:05.

Osborne. We have to focus on people in the next weeks and months. Let's

:26:06.:26:11.

pause. This is quite a big moment for us having been broadcasting for

:26:12.:26:15.

hours and looking at all the election results, Scotland and

:26:16.:26:17.

Wales. They are still counting in London. Based on those council

:26:18.:26:23.

results in England, what we are able to do is produce a projected

:26:24.:26:27.

national share of the vote. In other words what would have happened if

:26:28.:26:32.

there had been a general election. I won't spoil the surprise. Let's go

:26:33.:26:36.

to Jeremy. We've been on air I think for 15 hours now with a couple of

:26:37.:26:40.

breaks. We have about 900 wards in the English council elections that

:26:41.:26:44.

we look at. I think they are pretty much now all in. I'm going to give

:26:45.:26:49.

you what we call n. I'm going to give you what we call our projected

:26:50.:26:53.

n. I'm going to give you what we call our projected national share -

:26:54.:26:55.

the scores would have been had the election happened in all parts of

:26:56.:26:58.

the UK. For the main national parties that we are seeing here.

:26:59.:27:02.

Let's look at this. Labour in first place. 31%. An improvement clearly

:27:03.:27:07.

on their score in 2015, when they lost the general election to the

:27:08.:27:11.

Conservatives. Just behind them, not far behind them, 30%, you have to go

:27:12.:27:15.

back years and years to find a situation where the two main parties

:27:16.:27:22.

combined were under 62%. Lib Dems, third place. 15%. Ukip, quite

:27:23.:27:29.

impressive on 12%. And the others on 12% here. Let's take in these

:27:30.:27:33.

figures. It shows that Labour are in the lead in our projected national

:27:34.:27:38.

share. Our idea of what would have been scored had this election

:27:39.:27:41.

happened across the whole country not just in the English councils,

:27:42.:27:46.

where it is being held. I will show you change now. It won't surprise

:27:47.:27:52.

you if we look at change since 2015, the positions reverse. That's the

:27:53.:27:54.

year when the Conservatives won the general election. Labour are up 2%

:27:55.:28:00.

since their performance last year. The Conservatives down 5%. Not a lot

:28:01.:28:05.

to write home about for the Conservatives. They haven't had

:28:06.:28:10.

enough welly to push Labour out of councils in the south, where you

:28:11.:28:15.

would have thought they were vulnerable. Lib Dems the up 4%. But

:28:16.:28:18.

they can say the momentum is everything. We are moving in the

:28:19.:28:21.

right direction. The direction is up for the Liberal Democrats. They

:28:22.:28:24.

haven't expired as a political party. You cup down 1% since last

:28:25.:28:31.

year The others are where they were. This is change since 2015. Change

:28:32.:28:35.

since 2012. We've come back to again and again during this programme. It

:28:36.:28:40.

was year in which the council seats we've been looking at tonight,

:28:41.:28:47.

yesterday, overnight and this morning, were last fought. Ed

:28:48.:28:50.

Miliband put in a spark ag performance in 2012, he was in his

:28:51.:28:56.

honeymoon. Labour have not done as well, down 7%. The Conservatives did

:28:57.:29:03.

poorly in 2012 and they are down. How can they all be down? The

:29:04.:29:08.

arrival of Ukip have taken all of those votes. Votes. They weren't

:29:09.:29:11.

really on the board from 2012, but their arrival has done this. Labour

:29:12.:29:16.

is hurting compared to 2012 but more impressive compared to 2015. That's

:29:17.:29:21.

interesting Jeremy. That prompts a few questions for Labour and the

:29:22.:29:29.

Conservatives. I want to bring in John Curtice. We had a stream of

:29:30.:29:34.

Conservative guests saying, we are having a great time. We are

:29:35.:29:38.

relieved. David Cameron in Peterborough said it's fantastic.

:29:39.:29:42.

How do we square that with what we've seen on the projected national

:29:43.:29:46.

share of 30%? Well, what the Conservatives have been arguing is

:29:47.:29:50.

they expect to do badly because they are in government. And by badly they

:29:51.:29:55.

mean doing a lot worse than the principal opposition. The truth is

:29:56.:29:58.

the Conservatives aren't doing that well, although they are not doing

:29:59.:30:03.

catastrophically badly. But their performance is roughly on a par,

:30:04.:30:07.

slightly worse with what they achieved in 2012, which you will

:30:08.:30:14.

remember occurred shortly after George Osborne's omnishambles budget

:30:15.:30:16.

which at the time was blamed for what was regarded as a relatively

:30:17.:30:20.

poor Conservative performance. The Conservatives are beginning to

:30:21.:30:24.

demonstrate evidence of a degree of midterm blues but they are not as

:30:25.:30:29.

serious as you would see an other occasions.

:30:30.:30:34.

Labour will say they are doing better than last year, making

:30:35.:30:41.

process. Yes, absolutely. And Mr Corbyn's critics will say it's not

:30:42.:30:46.

enough progress. It is simply not as good for Labour in 2012, it is also

:30:47.:30:54.

slightly less good than it was in 2011, the first year when Ed

:30:55.:30:57.

Miliband had to fight local elections as a leader. So the truth

:30:58.:31:01.

is, as is so often on these occasions, both sides will have

:31:02.:31:06.

evidence to support their argument. But on both sides the argument

:31:07.:31:11.

probably came before the evidence! Indeed! A final point, is there a

:31:12.:31:18.

Lib Dem revival? How well, how badly have Ukip done in relative terms? In

:31:19.:31:23.

truth, the Lib Dems have scraped themselves off the floor from the

:31:24.:31:30.

2015 election. Their worst performance since the founding of

:31:31.:31:34.

the party, with the amalgamation of the former Liberal Party and the

:31:35.:31:39.

SDP. But at 15%, they are still not doing as well as they did in 2011

:31:40.:31:47.

and 2012. When we got those results, we said, boy, oh boy, aren't the

:31:48.:31:52.

Liberal Democrats paying a big price for being in coalition with the

:31:53.:31:55.

Conservatives? Historically, they are meant to be the past masters of

:31:56.:32:00.

local government elections, percentages way into the 20s. They

:32:01.:32:03.

are still nothing like that. It has not been an election in which the

:32:04.:32:07.

party has done very much to rebuild its base. As far as Ukip are

:32:08.:32:14.

concerned, they can basically say, and we saw this in the Assembly

:32:15.:32:19.

elections in Wales, they have more or less hung on to what they

:32:20.:32:23.

achieved 12 months ago. And a member by historical standards, that was a

:32:24.:32:27.

phenomenal performance for a fourth party in England. But equally, they

:32:28.:32:31.

have not made much progress or exploited the EU referendum. Because

:32:32.:32:37.

of the first past the post system, it means they have only made about

:32:38.:32:44.

20 gains or so. Not a lot in terms of reward for the votes they have

:32:45.:32:50.

managed to achieve. John, thank you. Very interesting, the projected

:32:51.:32:54.

national share, Labour on 31, the Conservatives on 30, the Lib Dems on

:32:55.:33:01.

15, Ukip on 12, the others on 12. That is what would have happened in

:33:02.:33:06.

a general election based on the results in England. I raised that

:33:07.:33:12.

point with John Curtice, because 30% at this stage of the game... How

:33:13.:33:17.

would you grade it? As John says, it is roughly what we achieved in 2012

:33:18.:33:24.

and 2013, and we went on to win the election last year. It also reflects

:33:25.:33:28.

the fact we have a difficult mandate to continue fixing public finances,

:33:29.:33:32.

asking councils to deliver more for less, which they are doing. This is

:33:33.:33:36.

as much a vote on whether people think their local authorities are

:33:37.:33:41.

delivering. But you are also seeing, in key election battle ground places

:33:42.:33:46.

like Peterborough, Bury where we picked up seats, Nuneaton...

:33:47.:33:49.

Everyone will remember the Conservatives taking Nuneaton last

:33:50.:33:54.

year. We are doing well. So we are making progress. As John says, it is

:33:55.:33:58.

one after an election and we are bringing forward a challenging but

:33:59.:34:01.

sensible plan to get the country back on track, and that also gets

:34:02.:34:06.

reflected. Is it fair to say that you might have done better had you

:34:07.:34:09.

not been in a position where you have a budget which starts to

:34:10.:34:14.

unravel a bit, you have the Panama papers scandal, the Prime Minister

:34:15.:34:19.

having to defend that... It has been a turbulent time in terms of

:34:20.:34:23.

headlines for the party. The poll ratings are up since the budget, so

:34:24.:34:27.

I don't think that is right. I would reiterate, we are doing well in the

:34:28.:34:30.

key election battle ground seats, the places where we focused. For us,

:34:31.:34:35.

this is not only a real breakthrough moment in Scotland, but when you

:34:36.:34:38.

look at the rest of the country, particularly key places in England,

:34:39.:34:43.

we are doing well there. Except you haven't done well in those key

:34:44.:34:47.

places in England. Of course you have cited Peterborough because that

:34:48.:34:50.

is the only place you have done well. What about the councils were

:34:51.:34:53.

Labour were predicted to have terrible losses and lose councils, a

:34:54.:34:58.

string of them across the South? You have not capitalised on that. You

:34:59.:35:01.

haven't managed to excite the voters at all. I think that is slightly

:35:02.:35:08.

reverse psychology... Crawley, Southampton... None of these places

:35:09.:35:11.

the Conservatives could have made gains because they were predicted to

:35:12.:35:16.

lose them. We have worked hard in all of those places. In some key

:35:17.:35:20.

election battle grounds, we did very well. It tells you where the Labour

:35:21.:35:24.

Party is that the discussion is, even though we are bringing forward

:35:25.:35:29.

a challenging mandate for government, taking difficult

:35:30.:35:33.

decisions, actually the discussion is not about us being under

:35:34.:35:37.

pressure, it is actually about the fact we have put Labour under

:35:38.:35:40.

pressure. And in some places that pressure has come forward with more

:35:41.:35:43.

seats, in other places we have not quite managed it, but I am really

:35:44.:35:47.

proud of the work we have done. A huge amount of work by activists on

:35:48.:35:52.

the doorstep, finding out what people's issues are, making them

:35:53.:35:55.

their own and then starting to work actively on fixing them. You talk

:35:56.:36:01.

about Bury. In Bury North, a Conservative held seat, we would

:36:02.:36:05.

have won that if it was a general election. In Bolton West, we would

:36:06.:36:10.

have won that seat last night in a general election. In Bury South, you

:36:11.:36:17.

picked up one seat, I believe. In Bury North, the seat you currently

:36:18.:36:20.

hold, you would have lost it to us in a general election. The same in

:36:21.:36:25.

Bolton. In Swindon, marginal constituencies. We would have taken

:36:26.:36:29.

seats from you in Birmingham. You don't hold them at the moment but

:36:30.:36:33.

they tend to be seats which are competitive. We have held onto

:36:34.:36:38.

Hastings Council, a key seat that we fight very closely over at a general

:36:39.:36:42.

election. So your argument that we're not making progress in

:36:43.:36:45.

marginal constituencies which decide general election, I'm not sure

:36:46.:36:50.

stacks up. Jeremy Corbyn describe it as hanging on, rather than progress.

:36:51.:36:58.

Those were Hibs words. -- his words. What impact has the referendum had?

:36:59.:37:06.

I can genuinely say, having spent a lot of time on the doorstep, talking

:37:07.:37:12.

to voters, it has not, as an issue. People have seen Boris campaigning,

:37:13.:37:16.

the Prime Minister campaigning. -- it has not come up as an issue.

:37:17.:37:21.

People recognise that the EU referendum is hugely important. Now

:37:22.:37:25.

the local elections are out of the way, the voter attention will turn

:37:26.:37:29.

to that. But in terms of the fact that there are people on the

:37:30.:37:33.

Conservative Party on different sides of the referendum... The Prime

:37:34.:37:35.

Minister has been clear that people could take different sides and the

:37:36.:37:40.

voters have accepted that. Liam Fox was sitting in that chair many hours

:37:41.:37:46.

ago saying that he had been out canvassing and that all people

:37:47.:37:48.

wanted to talk about was the referendum. You are talking to

:37:49.:37:54.

different people! I was answering the question that whether

:37:55.:37:59.

Conservatives being different sides of the fence has made a difference,

:38:00.:38:04.

and it hasn't. Ukip have been the beneficiaries of a lot of the seat

:38:05.:38:08.

changes, haven't they? That can only be because of the debate about the

:38:09.:38:12.

EU referendum and whether we should remain or leave. I don't think

:38:13.:38:17.

that's quite right. In some places where they have done better, what

:38:18.:38:21.

you are seeing is them picking up seats from the Labour Party. There

:38:22.:38:26.

is a sense of Ukip, if you like, taking some of that protest vote,

:38:27.:38:30.

the disgruntlement that there is more broadly across Britain at the

:38:31.:38:35.

Labour Party. We are still waiting for more results to come in in

:38:36.:38:40.

London, the London Mayoral election. We will be talking more about this

:38:41.:38:45.

during the day, but, John, on the really very, very tough,

:38:46.:38:50.

controversial issue of allegations of anti-Semitism and the rest of it,

:38:51.:38:54.

which engulfed the Labour Party in this campaign, I am noting that Len

:38:55.:39:01.

McCluskey -- Len McCluskey said it was a cynical attempt to manipulate

:39:02.:39:06.

anti-Semitism for political aims. Is that your understanding of it?

:39:07.:39:11.

That's not what I would say. I have been in the Labour Party for 22

:39:12.:39:15.

years, since I was 15, we are not an anti-Semitic party. We are disgusted

:39:16.:39:19.

by anti-Semitism and we are resolute in our -- opposition to

:39:20.:39:27.

anti-Semitism. People tweeting disgusting anti-Semitic comments,

:39:28.:39:30.

they are suspended from the Labour Party and they will be looked at by

:39:31.:39:33.

the relevant committees of the Labour Party and dealt with. Also,

:39:34.:39:37.

one of the more high-profile individuals who was commenting

:39:38.:39:42.

recently... He has been suspended from the Labour Party as well, and

:39:43.:39:45.

the National Executive committee will look into it. Look, there is no

:39:46.:39:50.

place for anti-Semitism in the Labour Party. We are disgusted by

:39:51.:39:54.

it, we are opposed to it and we are taking it seriously. Do you think it

:39:55.:40:00.

had an impact on the campaign? Kezia Dugdale said it unquestionably had

:40:01.:40:05.

an effect. Of course it did. It was in the headlines for days. Talking

:40:06.:40:10.

about headlines, Fraser Nelson of the Spectator and Kevin Maguire of

:40:11.:40:13.

the Mirror, thank you for joining us. Your reading of the results and

:40:14.:40:19.

where it leaves the Conservative Party, first of all. This is

:40:20.:40:23.

obviously a great day for the Conservative Party in Scotland. The

:40:24.:40:27.

phrase Scottish Conservatives is no longer a contradiction in terms. An

:40:28.:40:31.

incredible victory by Ruth Davidson. To re-establish a base in rule

:40:32.:40:35.

Scotland, to become the official opposition in Holyrood, an

:40:36.:40:40.

incredible achievement. One that I think Labour did not expect to lose

:40:41.:40:44.

to the extent which they have. In England, much of a muchness. In

:40:45.:40:49.

Wales, Ukip seem to be the main winners. Ironically for Labour, it's

:40:50.:40:54.

not so bad that Jeremy Corbyn has to go. And Cameron cannot really take

:40:55.:40:58.

credit for Scotland because he never visited. Difficult to work out the

:40:59.:41:01.

overall winners and losers, apart from Ruth Davidson in Holyrood.

:41:02.:41:06.

Kevin, what is your reading of where Labour and Jeremy Corbyn stand

:41:07.:41:12.

today? Standing still. A very good result in Wales where it lost far

:41:13.:41:17.

fewer seats. Almost certainly going to win the London Mayor, a big plus

:41:18.:41:24.

for Labour, although Jeremy Corbyn did not play a large role in that

:41:25.:41:30.

campaign. In England, Norwich, councils in Exeter, Hastings,

:41:31.:41:33.

Crawley, it lost far fewer seats than was expected. Hardly a party

:41:34.:41:38.

moving forward and looking as if it is on the road to victory in a

:41:39.:41:44.

general election. Labour is still badly split. Jeremy Corbyn is not

:41:45.:41:47.

going to face a coup, but a lot of his MPs still believe he is not a

:41:48.:41:52.

credible leader. Fraser, we were talking about the referendum as a

:41:53.:41:56.

backdrop. To what extent did that play a part in this campaign?

:41:57.:42:00.

Judging by the Ukip vote, it does not seem to have played a big part

:42:01.:42:05.

at all. A few years ago, we were looking at huge Ukip gains in local

:42:06.:42:09.

authorities, and now they are not a player. Nigel Farage was talking

:42:10.:42:13.

about Scotland, but that was not the case in the European elections where

:42:14.:42:16.

they were the only party to gain seats in Scotland. But interesting

:42:17.:42:20.

how the voters have completely separated the issue of the

:42:21.:42:23.

referendum from the question in front of them in the various

:42:24.:42:28.

elections yesterday. Kevin, you touched on it there, but

:42:29.:42:33.

post-referendum, because that is clearly a very big milestone coming

:42:34.:42:38.

up, what is your sense now of the kind of mood within Labour today as

:42:39.:42:43.

far as the leadership is concerned? There is still a small group,

:42:44.:42:46.

several dozen MPs, who would like to mount a coup and topple Jeremy

:42:47.:42:50.

Corbyn. But they realise they haven't got support across the

:42:51.:42:53.

Parliamentary Labour Party and they won't have it amongst the party

:42:54.:42:58.

members in the country. If they somehow managed to trigger a

:42:59.:43:01.

leadership election, Jeremy Corbyn would win again. The most

:43:02.:43:04.

significant intervention today was Tom Watson, the deputy leader,

:43:05.:43:08.

saying, look, he has only been there eight months, you can't behave like

:43:09.:43:13.

this. It will not silence Jeremy Corbyn's critics, but they are

:43:14.:43:17.

weaker today than yesterday. I will turn to one of those critics now,

:43:18.:43:24.

the Labour MP in Leeds. Michael, your sense of where you are today.

:43:25.:43:29.

All of the Labour Party now needs to come together and reflect on what

:43:30.:43:35.

was a huge set of results. Every corner of the country, Ireland in a

:43:36.:43:42.

meeting a few weeks ago, everyone, everywhere will have a vote for

:43:43.:43:48.

something. -- I was in a meeting. A big test for Jeremy. He won the

:43:49.:43:53.

leadership election with a strong mandate, but we should also

:43:54.:43:56.

understand that mandate. It was a mandate to win power, and looking at

:43:57.:44:01.

these results today we can say, are we on a trajectory towards winning a

:44:02.:44:06.

future general election? I am afraid I am not convinced we are at the

:44:07.:44:11.

moment. That ought to be alarming for those of us in the Labour Party

:44:12.:44:13.

that see the disarray in the Conservatives. I think this is the

:44:14.:44:17.

worst Conservative government I can remember since Major in the bid 90s.

:44:18.:44:23.

We should be storming ahead at the moment and that is not the feedback

:44:24.:44:27.

we were getting on the doorstep. -- the mid-90s. The party has to come

:44:28.:44:30.

together and reflect on these results. Let's remind viewers of

:44:31.:44:36.

what John McDonnell, the Shadow Chancellor, said earlier today.

:44:37.:44:42.

What is your response to that, because you are still making the

:44:43.:44:46.

case that you don't think Labour's on the path to power. Well, I think

:44:47.:44:51.

it was Jeremy Corbyn who talked about having a party where we could

:44:52.:44:55.

have debates and where there's room for a little dissent. I know he's

:44:56.:44:58.

rather gone off the idea of late, but it is really important when

:44:59.:45:01.

you've had a big set of election results like this. If you look in

:45:02.:45:07.

Scotland, Jeremy and John McDonnell were clear that the anti-austerity

:45:08.:45:11.

hard left message, anti-Trident that was in the Scottish manifesto, that

:45:12.:45:15.

will be the key to transforming our fortunes in Scotland. And we

:45:16.:45:19.

finished third behind the Conservatives. We've gone backwards

:45:20.:45:23.

in Wales. In England no Leader of the Opposition has gone on the win a

:45:24.:45:27.

general election without making gains in local elections. Average

:45:28.:45:31.

gains in local elections for a Leader of the Opposition in a

:45:32.:45:34.

non-general election year are over 400. If you are going to win a

:45:35.:45:39.

general election it is over 500. We haven't come anywhere near those

:45:40.:45:48.

results, so I don't think I would respond by putting our fingers in

:45:49.:45:53.

our ears. We have to listen to our members, particularly those knocking

:45:54.:45:56.

on doors and our hard-working councillors. I'm sorry for those who

:45:57.:46:00.

lost their seats. And those fighting council seats where we should have

:46:01.:46:05.

won. We should be listening to all of those people and coming together.

:46:06.:46:10.

I hope that's what all of us can do in the coming weeks as well as

:46:11.:46:13.

fighting that EU referendum which is so critical for the country.

:46:14.:46:17.

Michael, I want to bring in Jo Coburn. Michael, your colleague John

:46:18.:46:24.

Trickett, on the projected national share, which put Labour ahead of the

:46:25.:46:30.

Tories by a small margin. He says fantastic news for Jeremy Corbyn's

:46:31.:46:34.

Labour, the first test in a lip and we've beaten the Tories. What do you

:46:35.:46:41.

say to him? It is a good try, John, but it's not fantastic news. Those

:46:42.:46:45.

of hews knocked on a lot of doors, as I did, know the reception on the

:46:46.:46:48.

doorstep. Look at the result in Scotland. Look at us going backwards

:46:49.:46:54.

in Wales. Look at our inability to make gains in England. It is not a

:46:55.:46:58.

fantastic result. Of course we should be doing better. What is the

:46:59.:47:01.

Labour Party for? We were founded so that we could get into Parliament,

:47:02.:47:05.

form majorities, form governments so we could deliver for the people we

:47:06.:47:09.

are in politics to serve. This is not a gain. There are very, very

:47:10.:47:13.

high stakes here. We've got to have a Labour Party that can defeat the

:47:14.:47:17.

Conservatives. I'm afraid at the moment there just isn't the evidence

:47:18.:47:21.

that that's happening. I think there should be alarm bells ringing at the

:47:22.:47:25.

moment. What we need to do is to come together and focus on the

:47:26.:47:31.

results. Why is there an 11% swing against Labour in Nuneaton? That was

:47:32.:47:34.

the moment a year ago when we knew we lost the general election. We

:47:35.:47:38.

have not done this badly in local elections since 1985. We went on to

:47:39.:47:42.

win two general elections after that. My constituents in Barnsley

:47:43.:47:46.

can't afford more Conservative Government, so we've got to get our

:47:47.:47:51.

act together. But are you calling for everybody to rally behind Jeremy

:47:52.:47:55.

Corbyn when you say you need to be united? We have to do two things.

:47:56.:48:02.

First, come together behind that EU referendum campaign. That's

:48:03.:48:03.

critically important for the country. The second thing, we can

:48:04.:48:17.

have debates about opinion polls but we have to reflect on the verdict

:48:18.:48:21.

the country has delivered. We are clearly not on a trajectory to win

:48:22.:48:25.

the general election. But my question was, should you unify

:48:26.:48:29.

behind Jeremy Corbyn now? I think we have to ahead of that EU referendum.

:48:30.:48:35.

But I hope hasful that all of but I hope that all of the party can get

:48:36.:48:41.

the focus on the people again. It is no good getting people on the demo,

:48:42.:48:46.

filling meeting halls and talking among ourselves. Unless it transfers

:48:47.:48:51.

into real support from ordinary British working people who

:48:52.:48:55.

desperately need a Labour Government, that we convince them,

:48:56.:48:59.

that they can put their trust in us the, that the issues that are

:49:00.:49:02.

important to them are important to us as well. We haven't done that I'm

:49:03.:49:08.

afraid in recent months. Michael Dugher, thank you. Bringing are up

:49:09.:49:12.

the issue of the referendum that's coming up. It is a good moment to

:49:13.:49:18.

bring in Ukip's leader in Wales, Nathan Gill. Congratulations on your

:49:19.:49:22.

results overnight. Thank you Huw. You are in Bangor in North Wales.

:49:23.:49:27.

Your response to the fact that Ukip now for the first time has a

:49:28.:49:31.

representation of I think 7 seats in the National Assembly. That's

:49:32.:49:35.

correct. We are over the Moon. We aimed to ensure that everybody in

:49:36.:49:43.

Wales had a Ukip AM to represent them, which went... We got two in

:49:44.:49:48.

North Wales and two in South Wales East, which has given us seven.

:49:49.:49:52.

We've gone from zero to seven. We are the first party since the

:49:53.:49:58.

creation of the Welsh Assembly to get in there afresh. We think we've

:49:59.:50:04.

done very well last night. How are you going to work with people like

:50:05.:50:10.

Neil Hamilton and Mark Reckless. When you were asked about the

:50:11.:50:14.

selection of these people you said it wasn't be ideal, it wouldn't be

:50:15.:50:18.

your choice. How are you going to form a relationship with them now

:50:19.:50:23.

you have to work with them? Well, we are big boys. We can put thing

:50:24.:50:27.

behind us. We've got goals we want to achieve. We are in politics for a

:50:28.:50:31.

reason, because we want to do something good with our time as

:50:32.:50:35.

politicians. Not squabble or fight. Fight. We've put that behind us.

:50:36.:50:39.

We've got behind each of the candidates. Behind our manifesto.

:50:40.:50:43.

We've moved forward and we've been very successful in this campaign. It

:50:44.:50:46.

is difficult when for example the wife of one of your colleagues

:50:47.:50:52.

called you a third rate general. That's not exactly being subtle. I'm

:50:53.:50:58.

just asking how you are going to knit together as a team. There's a

:50:59.:51:03.

lot of scepticism about how you will achieve that? There may be, but

:51:04.:51:08.

every time we meet we get on well. We are united behind a common core.

:51:09.:51:13.

That's how we'll knit together. What are you hoping to achieve there?

:51:14.:51:21.

Let's talk about policy. Give than we are looking at another five years

:51:22.:51:25.

of a Labour Government in Cardiff. Absolutely, but they are in a

:51:26.:51:29.

minority, so they are going to have to do a deal with somebody. We are

:51:30.:51:33.

not saying they'll have to do a deal with us specifically, but there are

:51:34.:51:37.

many things we want to stand up for. For instance the devolution

:51:38.:51:39.

settlement. We are absolutely opposed to the creation of more AMs,

:51:40.:51:43.

more Assembly Members. Which is what Labour wants to do. The other thing

:51:44.:51:48.

we really stand against and we are going to be a strong voice in that

:51:49.:51:51.

Assembly about is tax-raising powers. In 2011, and I'm sure you

:51:52.:51:55.

will remember this Huw, coming from Wales, when we had that referendum

:51:56.:52:03.

on further powers, the First Minister said specifically there

:52:04.:52:08.

would not, that a "yes" vote would not lead to tax-raising powers. Now

:52:09.:52:12.

there is that cosy consensus they all want us to have those

:52:13.:52:15.

tax-raising powers without a referendum. What we are saying is

:52:16.:52:19.

no, you must do that promise that you said and give the meme of Wales

:52:20.:52:24.

a referendum on tax-raising powers. There is lots of areas. We've got

:52:25.:52:29.

the elections next year for every single council in Wales. Again,

:52:30.:52:34.

Labour want to reduce the number of councils from 22 to possibly 8. We

:52:35.:52:39.

think this is an attack against democracy and local democracy, so we

:52:40.:52:42.

need to ensure that this doesn't happen as well. Nathan Gill, nice to

:52:43.:52:47.

talk to you. Thank you for coming in. You're welcome. That's the Ukip

:52:48.:52:53.

leader in Wales. A very important moment in Welsh politics, because

:52:54.:52:56.

they have representation in the rebel Assembly for the very first

:52:57.:53:01.

time. Nigel Farage has been underlining that as one of their

:53:02.:53:05.

principal achievements of the entire set of elections we've been through.

:53:06.:53:09.

Through. Natalie Bennett is here from the Green Party. Good

:53:10.:53:13.

afternoon. We'll come to you for in a second. Emily, if you can tell us

:53:14.:53:19.

more about the Green performance and I can talk to Natalie about that.

:53:20.:53:23.

They haven't had a great night, to be honest, Huw. I want to take you

:53:24.:53:29.

into a few individual ones in English councils, and Norwich. Can

:53:30.:53:33.

Labour hold off a Green challenge? The answer is a stark yes for

:53:34.:53:38.

Labour. They are on a majority of 13. The Greens are in second on 10.

:53:39.:53:44.

Overnight you can see losses for the Greens. They are down in a part of

:53:45.:53:48.

the world where we would expect and hope to do pretty well. Let me show

:53:49.:53:54.

you a similar pattern in Oxford, where the Greens have been quite

:53:55.:53:59.

strong. Labour in pole position on a majority of 20. If you look at the

:54:00.:54:03.

Greens, they are falling. They are down two. Select Committee have

:54:04.:54:06.

seats, they are a presence on that council but they are down again. A

:54:07.:54:09.

different story, however, in Solihull. Here you see it is a

:54:10.:54:14.

Conservative council. They are holding it with a majority of 13.

:54:15.:54:19.

And there are modest gains, just one. No movement on the council

:54:20.:54:24.

except for that gain for the Greens. I know you are going to talk to

:54:25.:54:30.

Natalie Bennett. It hasn't been an overwhelming success for the Greens.

:54:31.:54:33.

Patches of light but nothing spectacular. Emily. Thank you. Is

:54:34.:54:41.

that fair Natalie? . I'm disappointed to lose some great

:54:42.:54:44.

councillors in Oxford and Norwich. But if you look at the West

:54:45.:54:50.

Midlands, one of our councillors got 75% of the vote, a ringing

:54:51.:54:54.

endorsement. Worcester Council, people have been hearing all through

:54:55.:55:01.

the night it fell from Tory to no overall control. Louis Steven

:55:02.:55:06.

brought a brilliant campaign with the Tories throwing everything but

:55:07.:55:10.

the kitchen sink at it, and he won that seat. We are looking at the

:55:11.:55:16.

Scottish Greens, who rememberled their representation in Holyrood.

:55:17.:55:22.

Andy Wainwright is a real campaign reform early. Ross will be the

:55:23.:55:25.

youngest MSP in the Scottish Parliament. We are still waiting to

:55:26.:55:30.

hear the final result but it is looking good in London, where

:55:31.:55:36.

Rebecca Sian Berry's positive campaign, who has good ideas to

:55:37.:55:39.

improve the life of people if London. That's resonated and done

:55:40.:55:44.

very well. What achievement are you looking at in London in terms of

:55:45.:55:49.

your share or your position? There are still votes to count, but it

:55:50.:55:54.

looks increasingly likely that Sian will finish a clear third in that

:55:55.:56:00.

election, which follows from the achievement of Jenny Jones in the

:56:01.:56:04.

last election. In the Assembly it looks like we'll finish a clear

:56:05.:56:08.

third as well. I remember Sian said there were high expectations in

:56:09.:56:12.

terms of her performance. The challenge there being against a

:56:13.:56:17.

notably green campaigner in Zac Goldsmith, which lots of people have

:56:18.:56:22.

made a big deal of. And in a way according to quite a few of

:56:23.:56:27.

commentaries, the that's marginalised, not my word, but used

:56:28.:56:33.

by some commentators, marginalised the Green campaign. Is that your

:56:34.:56:38.

sense of it? You were up against someone who made such a play on his

:56:39.:56:47.

Green credentials. Someone said Zac Goldsmith's campaign was 99% Lynton

:56:48.:56:51.

Crosby and 1% ecologist. Sian, whether it is in terms of housing,

:56:52.:56:57.

trying to provide affordable housing for Londoners, or the single TfL

:56:58.:57:01.

ticket, ideas to tackle air pollution, things that would really

:57:02.:57:06.

improve the lives of Londoners. We are seeing Londoners voting in

:57:07.:57:09.

response to that. I'm getting a note from curt that. I'm getting a note

:57:10.:57:20.

-- from John Curtice. He said the Greens have a party net loss of four

:57:21.:57:25.

seats. John says I think this has to be seen as a disappointing night

:57:26.:57:30.

after maintaining support in opinion polls from the general election.

:57:31.:57:32.

Would you refute that? One of the things we have to do is wait and

:57:33.:57:37.

see. Bristol, in Bristol West we had a 23% swing to us in the general

:57:38.:57:41.

election. They are not counting the council seats until Sunday. We

:57:42.:57:46.

haven't had results yesterday from Stroud, an area of Green Party

:57:47.:57:51.

strength. That figure may well change in the end result. Rochford

:57:52.:57:56.

District Council in Essex, we've had another gain, which probably updates

:57:57.:57:59.

that figure which you might not have yet. I'm bound to ask, how sensitive

:58:00.:58:05.

are you to criticism about your role and performance as leader and could

:58:06.:58:09.

the Greens, as some have suggested, have done better under a different

:58:10.:58:13.

kind of leader? I think if you look at my record as Green Party leader,

:58:14.:58:20.

when we started we had 12,000 members, and now have 60,000

:58:21.:58:26.

members, a fivefold increase. Before the general election I said let's

:58:27.:58:30.

set a challenge of standing in 75% of seats. We stood in 93% of seats.

:58:31.:58:35.

The Green Party has come a long way. In terms of the share of the vote

:58:36.:58:42.

between Labour and Tory, it hit historic lows. The march tomorrow on

:58:43.:58:48.

electoral reform, first past the post system, whether in local

:58:49.:58:51.

councils or Westminster is clearly no longer fit for purpose. Why do

:58:52.:58:56.

you think it was more disappointing in English councils? Councils? What

:58:57.:58:59.

do you think was behind that? I think if you look at what happens,

:59:00.:59:04.

we've done well in the West Midlands, where 27 councillors on 11

:59:05.:59:08.

councils, we are representing in every council there. Where we've

:59:09.:59:13.

struggled and lost really good councillors in places like Oxford

:59:14.:59:16.

and Norwich... Which were your strongholds. Because of the

:59:17.:59:20.

first-past-the-post electoral system, in both cases you've got a

:59:21.:59:24.

large Labour majority council, and they've got seats they know are

:59:25.:59:27.

safe, so they are able to focus all the fire power as the Greens on the

:59:28.:59:32.

opposition. This isn't unique to the Green Party. This is true in places

:59:33.:59:36.

up and down the country, where someone has a one-party

:59:37.:59:38.

state-typeset-up it is hard for other parties to get a foothold. We

:59:39.:59:42.

did a lot of work in Manchester, but it is still very much a one-party

:59:43.:59:46.

state. Do you think the Jeremy Corbyn impacts has taken some of

:59:47.:59:50.

your Green support, because they feel, there's a man we can do

:59:51.:59:54.

business with? I think Norwich is an example of this, I think it is

:59:55.:59:59.

perhaps the Clive Lewis effect in Norwich. He is a popular local MP

:00:00.:00:05.

and that's helped galvanise Labour campaigners. We've got a look at how

:00:06.:00:10.

we can tackle this. We are not despondent. People are saying look

:00:11.:00:15.

at what we can achieve, look at how we can go forward, look at the West

:00:16.:00:17.

Midlands. Natalie, thank you. Just coming up to three o'clock. The

:00:18.:00:19.

weather now. Good afternoon. Much talk across the

:00:20.:00:32.

programme about Scotland. Straight away to the western side, things a

:00:33.:00:37.

little bit improved on yesterday. The weather is not looking bad for

:00:38.:00:42.

many of us. A bit more cloud than of late across England and Wales. A

:00:43.:00:47.

decent enough day. Watch out for the pollen levels, pretty high at the

:00:48.:00:51.

moment. And also the UV has been high. Not such a problem across the

:00:52.:00:56.

eastern side of Scotland, where we have had more cloud. If you are

:00:57.:01:02.

stepping out later on for an evening walk, temperatures having reached

:01:03.:01:08.

23-24, they will still be around 20 across London. A bit cooler around

:01:09.:01:15.

the coast. Into the North of England, that is where the

:01:16.:01:18.

temperatures begin to fall away. Northern Ireland, the greater part

:01:19.:01:22.

of Scotland. Although quite a pleasant evening in prospect for

:01:23.:01:29.

Glasgow. Overnight, we will keep the warm air pumping up from the south

:01:30.:01:33.

around the area of low pressure, but notice the low pressure begins to

:01:34.:01:38.

close on us. Quite a close night across the southern British Isles. A

:01:39.:01:42.

bit fresher further north. We will start to see the first signs of this

:01:43.:01:45.

more disturbed weather beginning to get into the south-western Court of

:01:46.:01:49.

the British Isles through the day on Saturday. It will big grin to

:01:50.:01:54.

migrate further north. The timings are bit uncertain. -- it will begin.

:01:55.:02:00.

Heavy on thundery weather, some hail as well, particularly late on as the

:02:01.:02:03.

heat begins to percolate into the Derbyshire Peaks and the southern

:02:04.:02:08.

Pennines on a warm day across England and Wales. Less so across

:02:09.:02:11.

Northern Ireland and Scotland. Not helped by the onshore breeze. 10-11,

:02:12.:02:23.

as with today, on the coast. And also low cloud to the eastern side

:02:24.:02:26.

of Scotland and the north-east of England. Come Sunday, we will start

:02:27.:02:32.

to push the rain away from the Western Isles eventually. Behind

:02:33.:02:35.

that, the chance of isolated showers, but no less intense for

:02:36.:02:39.

that. You will really begin to notice, especially through the spine

:02:40.:02:43.

of the British Isles and even into southern Scotland and Northern

:02:44.:02:47.

Ireland, you will have found several degrees. Many areas pushing towards

:02:48.:02:53.

20 degrees. Towards the south-east, you could be looking at 26-27.

:02:54.:03:05.

Welcome back to the BBC Election Centre. We are here throughout the

:03:06.:03:09.

afternoon bringing you up-to-date with what is happening around the

:03:10.:03:14.

country. A few headlines. It is an historic third victory for the

:03:15.:03:19.

Scottish National Party in the Scottish Parliamentary elections.

:03:20.:03:23.

The SNP's Nicola Sturgeon, the First Minister, says she will not seek any

:03:24.:03:26.

formal arrangement with any other part is, after falling two seats

:03:27.:03:30.

short of an overall majority this time. -- parties. An excellent night

:03:31.:03:36.

also for the Scottish Conservatives and their leader Ruth Davidson, who

:03:37.:03:39.

won a seat in Edinburgh Central. Other gains too in Scotland, moving

:03:40.:03:46.

up into second and the main opposition. A different story for

:03:47.:03:50.

the Scottish Labour Party, pushed into third. A disappointing result

:03:51.:03:55.

for Scottish Labour. We talked to Kezia Dugdale a while ago. But a

:03:56.:04:00.

very different story for Labour in Wales, winning 29 seats in the

:04:01.:04:04.

National Assembly. They will hold onto power in Cardiff. A much better

:04:05.:04:10.

result, it's fair to say, than many in Welsh Labour had been predicting.

:04:11.:04:15.

A good night for Ukip in Wales, there's Neil Hamilton. Seven Ukip

:04:16.:04:19.

members of the National Assembly, the first party representation in

:04:20.:04:24.

the Assembly in Cardiff. Plaid Cymru, well, Leanne Wood, the party

:04:25.:04:29.

leader, had a dramatic win in Rhondda, an ceding, but elsewhere

:04:30.:04:33.

the party did not make the gains it was trying to make. -- on seating

:04:34.:04:39.

Labour. Jeremy Corbyn said predictions that his party would

:04:40.:04:42.

lose councils have not come true. He said Labour had been growing their

:04:43.:04:47.

support. We saw David Cameron in Peterborough earlier today. He says

:04:48.:04:52.

what might have been a day of bread for him as a sitting Prime Minister

:04:53.:04:59.

has not materialised. -- dread. He said Labour have lost sight of the

:05:00.:05:02.

people they are supposed to represent. Votes are still being

:05:03.:05:06.

counted in City Hall on the banks of the Thames in the race for the

:05:07.:05:12.

London Assembly and in the contest for the Mayor of London. In that

:05:13.:05:17.

race, with most of the first preference votes counted, Labour's

:05:18.:05:21.

Sadiq Khan has a sizeable lead over the Conservatives Zac Goldsmith.

:05:22.:05:29.

With me in the studio, Jo Coburn is still with me, Justine Greening for

:05:30.:05:36.

the Conservatives, Jon Ashworth for Labour, and Ken Livingstone the

:05:37.:05:40.

former mail of London is with us. -- Joanne Ashworth.

:05:41.:05:44.

Results are still awaited in a number of polls, including the

:05:45.:05:56.

campaign to be Mayor of London. In most of the votes for Police and

:05:57.:05:59.

Crime Commissioners and Northern Ireland for the Stormont assembly.

:06:00.:06:02.

Here is our political correspondent Carole Walker with a round-up of

:06:03.:06:05.

everything we know so far. A third term in power

:06:06.:06:11.

for Nicola Sturgeon. Although the SNP fell just short

:06:12.:06:12.

of an overall majority, the result confirms the party's grip

:06:13.:06:15.

on politics in Scotland. The result of the

:06:16.:06:17.

election was emphatic. The people of Scotland once again

:06:18.:06:19.

placed their trust in the SNP We won a clear and unequivocal

:06:20.:06:22.

mandate and I secured the personal mandate I sought to implement

:06:23.:06:32.

the bold and ambitious programme for government that I asked

:06:33.:06:37.

the country to vote for. But the Conservative leader,

:06:38.:06:41.

Ruth Davidson, had reason to be cheerful too, winning

:06:42.:06:44.

Edinburgh Central and overtaking Labour to become the second

:06:45.:06:48.

largest party at Holyrood. The beleaguered Liberal Democrats

:06:49.:06:52.

retained their five seats in Scotland, but the result

:06:53.:06:56.

was a serious blow for Labour with the former party

:06:57.:07:03.

leader Johann Lamont one The current leader, Kezia Dugdale,

:07:04.:07:05.

said she was heartbroken that her party had been pushed

:07:06.:07:10.

into third place but said she would Jeremy Corbyn went to Sheffield

:07:11.:07:13.

to congratulate one of two new Labour MPs, Gill Furniss,

:07:14.:07:18.

who won the by-election caused These elections are being seen

:07:19.:07:22.

as a test of Mr Corbyn's leadership. We were getting predictions that

:07:23.:07:28.

Labour would lose councils but we didn't, we hung

:07:29.:07:31.

on and we grew support And there are a lot

:07:32.:07:34.

more results to come. Labour hung onto some councils

:07:35.:07:44.

considered vulnerable in their northern heartlands

:07:45.:07:46.

and retained control of Southampton But critics say the party should

:07:47.:07:49.

have done much better. It was a really disappointing night

:07:50.:07:54.

for all those Labour activists who have been campaigning for months

:07:55.:07:57.

and Jeremy needs to take responsibility

:07:58.:08:00.

for a poor performance. For goodness sake, get behind

:08:01.:08:06.

the leader of the Labour Party who was democratically elected,

:08:07.:08:09.

it is time to put up or shut up. David Cameron knew it would never be

:08:10.:08:12.

easy for the Conservatives to fight elections while his ministers

:08:13.:08:16.

were openly disagreeing over Europe. But in Peterborough,

:08:17.:08:19.

where the Tories took control, he said the modest gains represented

:08:20.:08:22.

a great day for the Tories overall. Election day for sitting prime

:08:23.:08:26.

ministers is meant to be a day of dread, when you are sitting

:08:27.:08:31.

there waiting for somebody to knock on the door like a condemned man

:08:32.:08:34.

waiting for the hangman. But that was not what it was like

:08:35.:08:37.

last night or today. We have held councils right

:08:38.:08:40.

across the country. Ukip has gained at least 20 seats

:08:41.:08:44.

in England and won seven seats in Wales, depriving Labour

:08:45.:08:47.

of an overall majority. Votes are still being counted

:08:48.:08:50.

in London and elsewhere. But already these elections

:08:51.:08:55.

are providing an important snapshot of public opinion a year

:08:56.:08:58.

after the general election. Carole Walker, BBC News,

:08:59.:09:00.

Westminster. In other news, the management buyout

:09:01.:09:06.

team Excalibur has said it hopes to secure funding to rescue

:09:07.:09:09.

Tata Steel's UK It's to meet bankers next Friday

:09:10.:09:12.

for talks about financing a deal. But Excalibur says any buyout

:09:13.:09:20.

proposal is likely to involve The Government has made a

:09:21.:09:38.

significant concession in its bid to compel schools to become academies.

:09:39.:09:42.

Good and outstanding schools will no longer have to convert, and in rural

:09:43.:09:46.

areas local authorities will have a say before a decision to close

:09:47.:09:49.

schools. And no small rural schools will be forced to join a

:09:50.:09:54.

multi-academy trust. It is thought these changes to legislation,

:09:55.:09:57.

planned for the autumn, will satisfy the main concerns of Conservative

:09:58.:10:02.

backbench MPs. Rescuers are searching for a man

:10:03.:10:06.

missing after shelving collapsed at a food distribution

:10:07.:10:08.

warehouse in Shropshire. Specialist sniffer dogs and drones

:10:09.:10:10.

are being used to try and find the worker,

:10:11.:10:15.

after units full Firefighters are cutting

:10:16.:10:17.

through the roof of the building It's not known why

:10:18.:10:20.

the shelving came down. We are going to pick up on the story

:10:21.:10:36.

that Jane mentioned briefly, which is the change, potentially a very

:10:37.:10:40.

significant change, to the Government policy on making schools

:10:41.:10:44.

in England become academies. Plan when Jefferies, our education

:10:45.:10:47.

editor, is in Loughborough, where Nicky Morgan was talking. You have

:10:48.:10:53.

discovered what is going on. Tell us what the intention is. Huw, I have

:10:54.:11:00.

just been speaking to Nicky Morgan at her constituency office. It is

:11:01.:11:03.

clear the Government is making a very significant U-turn on one of

:11:04.:11:07.

the key components of its controversial academy plans. It is

:11:08.:11:12.

dropping the part of its plans which would force good or outstanding

:11:13.:11:15.

schools in England to become academies whether they wanted to or

:11:16.:11:20.

not, by 2022. That deadline becomes more of an aspiration, which leaves

:11:21.:11:25.

open the possibility that in some areas, good schools could still be

:11:26.:11:31.

overseen by local authorities. And there is another key concession too,

:11:32.:11:36.

significant movement on what happens to small village schools. One of the

:11:37.:11:43.

key concerns for rural MPs for Conservative backbenchers. There,

:11:44.:11:45.

the local authority will be able to have a say in whether or not a small

:11:46.:11:49.

school would close. A significant concession because it means there is

:11:50.:11:56.

still a degree of local democratic accountability in the

:11:57.:11:58.

decision-making about these much loved small schools. Just a thought

:11:59.:12:03.

from you on what has led to this U-turn, as you put it, and whether

:12:04.:12:06.

the changes you have now outlined to us will be enough to really answer

:12:07.:12:13.

some of the concerns that some Conservative MPs and local

:12:14.:12:15.

authorities have been expressing in recent weeks. Huw, the brutal

:12:16.:12:24.

reality was that in their current form there was no way they were

:12:25.:12:27.

going to be able to get these plans through Parliament. So many

:12:28.:12:31.

backbench MPs had been speaking about concerns, asking the questions

:12:32.:12:35.

about good schools, if it is not broke, why fix it? Why intervene

:12:36.:12:40.

where things are working well and the local authorities are supporting

:12:41.:12:44.

schools to provide a good education for their pupils? That element of

:12:45.:12:48.

compulsion was the key concern of everyone I have spoken to. Something

:12:49.:12:52.

else happening behind-the-scenes too, many people who were supporters

:12:53.:12:57.

of the idea of the academy programme, who believe it can offer

:12:58.:13:00.

the potential for schools to improve, were also beginning to

:13:01.:13:04.

privately voiced their concerns. And of course, now we are past the local

:13:05.:13:09.

elections, there was the possibility that many more councillors and MPs

:13:10.:13:13.

would have felt able to voice their concerns if the Government hadn't

:13:14.:13:18.

given significant ground. Very interesting, thank you for bringing

:13:19.:13:20.

that story to us. Can I point out that she was reporting from School

:13:21.:13:25.

Street in Loughborough, the location was ideal!

:13:26.:13:32.

Justine, our education editor says it is a U-turn, a significant

:13:33.:13:40.

concession. Does it surprise you? Nikki was clear that she understood

:13:41.:13:43.

the concerns people were expressing were genuine. We will have to see

:13:44.:13:49.

what the details. The sense is clearly that, over the past 60

:13:50.:13:56.

years, 1.2 million more children in good and outstanding schools. -- the

:13:57.:14:02.

past six years. The plan is to keep the positive elements of the overall

:14:03.:14:06.

proposal on academies, which has seen us free up the system so

:14:07.:14:11.

parents have more chance to get their children in a school that

:14:12.:14:15.

works for them. Giving teachers more freedom but at the same time raising

:14:16.:14:20.

standards. Keeping that a sick principle in place, it has seen more

:14:21.:14:23.

children in good and outstanding schools. -- basic principle. But we

:14:24.:14:30.

need to work with local communities and go at a pace that works for

:14:31.:14:34.

them. And focus particularly on areas that need to improve first,

:14:35.:14:39.

and then come to the ones that are already doing a better job perhaps

:14:40.:14:44.

after that. Some words from Nicky Morgan now. This will give us a

:14:45.:14:47.

sense... In other words that element of

:14:48.:15:03.

choice goes in there, so it's official. Jo, for you how

:15:04.:15:08.

significant is that? It is a massive climbdown. Only last week we were

:15:09.:15:12.

talking to Ministers in the department and in the Government

:15:13.:15:17.

saying that this was a central plank of your education policy. To compel

:15:18.:15:22.

schools, even if they were good or outstanding, even if they were

:15:23.:15:26.

successful rural schools, you were going to compel them by 2022 to

:15:27.:15:33.

become academies. It is a massive climbdown because you weren't strong

:15:34.:15:40.

enough to push it through. I think Nicky Morgan has listened to the

:15:41.:15:45.

concerning with raised and is reflecting those. Those. We are

:15:46.:15:49.

trying to have a schools system that's better placed to drive

:15:50.:15:53.

excellence whilst at the same time making sure there are more and

:15:54.:15:58.

different and new schools out there that can enable parents to find the

:15:59.:16:04.

right school for their child. That's what the Academy system and free

:16:05.:16:09.

schools will do. You're an experienced politician, why did the

:16:10.:16:16.

plans get to that stage, launched with such prop innocence, if you had

:16:17.:16:20.

done all the right work they wouldn't have got to that stage, so

:16:21.:16:26.

you must ask questions about the process that went up to that. The

:16:27.:16:30.

there was a huge amount of work has went into the white paper. But just

:16:31.:16:34.

asking people, they would have said happily, we are not happy with it.

:16:35.:16:39.

There was a huge amount of work that went into the white paper. It

:16:40.:16:44.

doesn't matter how much work you put in, in the end the only real way you

:16:45.:16:49.

will find out what the broad spectrum of opinion is is once it

:16:50.:16:52.

gets published and the debate begins. This was a proposal which I

:16:53.:16:56.

think essentially we are sticking to. It keeps at its core this point

:16:57.:17:01.

where we think that academies and freeing up the school system is the

:17:02.:17:05.

best way to ensure improved standards. We've seen over the last

:17:06.:17:10.

five or six children, more children, 5 or million in good or outstanding

:17:11.:17:16.

schools. This is a approach with real, positive benefits for

:17:17.:17:20.

children's schools. We want to pragmatically recognise that people

:17:21.:17:24.

had genuine concerns and it is sensible to take those on boards. It

:17:25.:17:32.

is difficult to square what you said about standards, when 30-35 local

:17:33.:17:35.

authorities said they didn't think this plan would lead to better

:17:36.:17:41.

standards. That is a direct contradiction of the rationale for

:17:42.:17:45.

the thing in the first place. When your own colleagues in local

:17:46.:17:50.

authority say sorry, not just one or two local authorities but 37

:17:51.:17:55.

actually, when they say it is not going to work, you weren't listening

:17:56.:18:02.

in the preparatorily stages. I don't think that's right. As an imagine

:18:03.:18:08.

who represents a London seat, we've seen dramatic improvements in London

:18:09.:18:12.

schools. Academies have been able to change schools that were in special

:18:13.:18:16.

%s, I had one in my constituency, and free schools. Clearly they are

:18:17.:18:20.

central to how we've improved standards. I think what local

:18:21.:18:22.

authorities were also saying is there are other things that local

:18:23.:18:26.

authorities have done that have contributed and where schools

:18:27.:18:28.

already at a level where they are improving and they are go or

:18:29.:18:32.

outstanding, what they are saying is the focus of the Government needs to

:18:33.:18:36.

be on the areas that are still letting down children, and that's

:18:37.:18:41.

quite right. I was ren, and that's quite right. I was just going to say

:18:42.:18:45.

- sorry to interrupt. Let's focus once again on more results on the

:18:46.:18:48.

London Assembly and the mayoral election. I think we have some

:18:49.:18:54.

images of Sadiq Khan, should is out and about today, the Labour

:18:55.:18:58.

candidate. It is a fantastic day, the sun is shining.

:18:59.:19:03.

REPORTER: Are you feeling confident? I'm the least complacent person you

:19:04.:19:08.

will find but I am enjoying the good weather today. You must be nervous.

:19:09.:19:14.

I'm always nervous. Has it been the last 24 hours, has it been crazy? I

:19:15.:19:20.

love the campaign. I always enjoy talking to Londoners, listening to

:19:21.:19:23.

Londoners, and the last 24 hours have been fantastic. Nationally for

:19:24.:19:27.

Labour, I think a lot of hopes are pinned on you now aren't there? I'm

:19:28.:19:33.

focusing on making sure I enjoy the good weather. I'm looking forward

:19:34.:19:38.

to, are you OK? I'm looking forward to the count later on. And Barnet,

:19:39.:19:43.

do you think that might prove to be an issue. Let's wait and see.

:19:44.:19:50.

STUDIO: I'm glad we didn't force Sadiq Khan into the hedge there on

:19:51.:19:54.

the streets of Tooting I think it was. That was Sadiq Khan walking

:19:55.:19:58.

around enjoying the sunshine, answering a few questions from one

:19:59.:20:02.

of my colleagues. I will bring Ken Livingstone in that moment. Let's

:20:03.:20:07.

join Emily for a second. Probably gets the prize for the most awkward

:20:08.:20:11.

campaign walk yet, but there'll be something else to cheer him up when

:20:12.:20:15.

he looks at the fist results from the London Assembly. It is the body

:20:16.:20:19.

that scrutinises the work of the London Mayor. At the moment, you can

:20:20.:20:24.

see just one result, Bexley and Bromley. This is a safe Conservative

:20:25.:20:27.

seat. It was never going to change hands. But if you look at what's

:20:28.:20:33.

happened overnight you can see how the Conservatives' share of the vote

:20:34.:20:37.

has fallen. It is down seven. Ukip makes the gains here in this part of

:20:38.:20:42.

south-east London, up 10%. But the swing takes it from Conservative to

:20:43.:20:50.

Labour of 3.2%. If that sort of swing were replicated in seats

:20:51.:20:53.

across London tonight, Labour would hope to pick up one or two more

:20:54.:20:57.

seats on the Assembly. They would come in with 8 constituency seats

:20:58.:21:02.

out of 4. And Sadiq Khan might look at a picture like this and think

:21:03.:21:06.

that could propel him a good part of the way that areds mayoral post. One

:21:07.:21:14.

result in. That swing of that order. Maybe we'll see different swings in

:21:15.:21:18.

other seats. Ken Livingstone, thank you for coming in. Hi. I wonder what

:21:19.:21:22.

your sense of the campaign is and whether you agree, according to the

:21:23.:21:26.

first preferences that have come in, Sadiq Khan looks as if he is heading

:21:27.:21:30.

for a robust win. Sadiq has been ahead in the polls for months. It

:21:31.:21:36.

looks like he is going to have a bigger majority over if

:21:37.:21:38.

Conservatives than Boris Johnson had over me in the last two elections.

:21:39.:21:42.

This could be a very good result. If we are getting a swing in the

:21:43.:21:46.

constituents... We've got more Assembly seats than before. It was a

:21:47.:21:52.

good election for the Assembly over four years ago, so any gains from

:21:53.:21:56.

that is very strong and good for Labour. We've had a 4% swing to

:21:57.:22:00.

Labour nationwide, according to your analysis. That London result just

:22:01.:22:06.

then fits in with that. We were just discussing Barnet earlier because of

:22:07.:22:11.

the strong Jewish vote there and early signs that the Labour vote was

:22:12.:22:16.

affected an was down. What are your reflections on that, if that's true,

:22:17.:22:20.

Ken? Let's wait and see. I think the simple reality is that most people

:22:21.:22:28.

will vote based on issues about income, not these, and Government's

:22:29.:22:32.

economic policy not about the trivia that's dominated the news. Because

:22:33.:22:35.

it has dominated the news. It has, terrible. And it is bound to have an

:22:36.:22:41.

impact. Sadiq was running are 16% in the polls before that anti-Semetism

:22:42.:22:47.

nonsense blew up and nationally we were 5% ahead of the Tories, not 1.

:22:48.:22:54.

It has been damaging. Damaging. Those MPs demanding my suspension,

:22:55.:22:58.

you've cost us seats all over the country. John wants you to be

:22:59.:23:02.

expelled from the country. I have never said that. I want the National

:23:03.:23:08.

Executive Committee to follow d duction i process. Want the National

:23:09.:23:10.

Executive Committee to follow d duction i process. -- to follow due

:23:11.:23:15.

process. Would that not be the intention? Wait for the facts. Ken

:23:16.:23:21.

has the right to go to the National Executive Committee and put his

:23:22.:23:24.

case. The disputes committee is scheduled to meet in July. There's a

:23:25.:23:27.

process that has to be followed. I think it was the I think it was the

:23:28.:23:32.

right thing to do - sorry to say, Ken, to suspend you. I say that not

:23:33.:23:36.

because I have a bitter axe to grind, but I thought in the

:23:37.:23:38.

circumstances that was the right approach. There is an NEC process. I

:23:39.:23:43.

think that process has to be followed. Given that you've said

:23:44.:23:56.

that. I don't think Labour party members want to see me and Ken

:23:57.:24:00.

chewing over this on national television. They hate it when we

:24:01.:24:07.

argue on TV. It is what it is. Let the NEC process be pursued. I think

:24:08.:24:10.

in an election campaign you are better talking about the issues on

:24:11.:24:13.

the economy, about the issues affecting the health service, about

:24:14.:24:18.

schools. And by the way I do think this U-turn on academiesation is

:24:19.:24:24.

draw dropping now. It speaks to a bigger thing. The Tories couldn't

:24:25.:24:31.

get their tax credit changes through, their PP positive. Changes

:24:32.:24:34.

through, the Trade Union Bill through. This is a Tory Government

:24:35.:24:39.

that cannot get its business through the House of Commons. It is a weak

:24:40.:24:43.

and incompetent Tory Government and we in the Labour Party need to go

:24:44.:24:48.

after them. I can't think of any time in my lifetime where the

:24:49.:24:54.

Government has had so many defeats in the Commons. It is unprecedented.

:24:55.:25:00.

To go back to the row on anti-Semetism. Ken Livingstone, you

:25:01.:25:05.

said it was trivia confirm I want to remind John Ashworth, who tweeted at

:25:06.:25:07.

the time, enough is enough, Ken Livingstone has crossed a line, he

:25:08.:25:12.

doesn't represent mainstream Labour members like me, he has to go. Do

:25:13.:25:16.

you stand by that, John? I do. That's why when Jeremy suspended Ken

:25:17.:25:19.

I think that was the right course of action. But I do think it is right,

:25:20.:25:24.

fair and proper that Ken has the opportunity to go to the National

:25:25.:25:27.

Executive Committee, put his case and they look into it. One small

:25:28.:25:31.

correction there, I wasn't suspended by Jeremy, but the party machine.

:25:32.:25:36.

Last year they suspend one of the staff they had just appointed. Let's

:25:37.:25:39.

look at the impats on the campaign. You don't think it has had an

:25:40.:25:45.

impact. No, I do. Right, but your comments directly rather than the

:25:46.:25:50.

row you say has been manufactured by other MPs. Even Sadiq Khan, who was

:25:51.:25:55.

further ahead before you made your comments about Hitler and Zionism,

:25:56.:26:00.

he said I accept it makes it difficult for Londoners of Jewish

:26:01.:26:03.

faith to feel that the Labour Party is a place for them, so I will

:26:04.:26:08.

continue to speak for everyone. He went on a to say, Sadiq Khan, has

:26:09.:26:14.

your comments are appalling and inexcusable and there is no place

:26:15.:26:20.

for you in that party. I don't blame Sadiq, as he was 12 years old when

:26:21.:26:28.

Lenni Brenner made his book about the Zionists. Six months ago the

:26:29.:26:31.

Prime Minister of Israel said exactly what I had said. No-one is

:26:32.:26:37.

going to accuse him of being anti-Semitic. Is this helping the

:26:38.:26:42.

Labour Party? Of course not. So why do you want to intervene? I was

:26:43.:26:47.

asked in a BBC interview about Adolf Hitler. I set it aside in about 30

:26:48.:26:55.

words. What I deplore is those MPs who have demanded my expulsion could

:26:56.:26:58.

have gone on the internet and found out that it is actually true. The

:26:59.:27:04.

Scottish Labour leader, Dugdale Dirk said it unquestionably had an

:27:05.:27:08.

effect, the row about anti-Semetism and your comments, so they've

:27:09.:27:13.

stomped Labour in Scotland holding on to what little they had. Had. Do

:27:14.:27:18.

you take responsibility for that? I don't take responsibility. If I'm

:27:19.:27:23.

asked by a BBC interview about Adolf Hitler, I will answer the question.

:27:24.:27:27.

You won't remember didn't in my public career where I have dodged

:27:28.:27:31.

questions, like some MPs have done all the time. I answered the

:27:32.:27:38.

question, I stated it, it is true. Those MPs trying to undermine

:27:39.:27:43.

Jeremy, they blew this up into a big issue. I was there, as you know, and

:27:44.:27:50.

we asked you a whether Naz Shah, the Labour MP, was anti-Semitic. We

:27:51.:27:56.

didn't ask you about Hitler and Zionism. It wasn't on your

:27:57.:28:02.

programme. It was BBC Radio. The question was, is what Adolf Hitler

:28:03.:28:07.

did illegal? Well, with killing 6 million people was illegal. But you

:28:08.:28:12.

answered when we weren't asking you about it. John Ashworth is listening

:28:13.:28:17.

to you again. By reminding people of those comments, do you think it does

:28:18.:28:21.

the Labour Party good? The issue has got to be resolved. As John as

:28:22.:28:28.

saying, the NEC has to look into this. I will be able to invoke the

:28:29.:28:32.

Prime Minister of Israel for saying the same things. People can go on to

:28:33.:28:37.

the internet and see the Finkelstein interview, which is breathtaking. He

:28:38.:28:42.

is very supportive of me. Last week a Jewish Londoner stopped me on the

:28:43.:28:47.

street and said, what's wrong with MPs, don't they study history? John

:28:48.:28:52.

McDonnell, is he one of those campaign MPs who is whipping things

:28:53.:28:56.

up against you? If someone shows I said something that wasn't true, I

:28:57.:29:00.

will apologise. You can't expect someone to apologise for stating the

:29:01.:29:04.

truth. We should denounce MPs and politicians when they lie, not when

:29:05.:29:10.

they tell the truth. Do you regret saying those things, given what's

:29:11.:29:15.

happened? Absolutely. If I had known what the old Blairite MPs would whip

:29:16.:29:20.

this up into, I would have evaded the question. Not just old Blairite

:29:21.:29:27.

MPs. John McDonnell is one of those. But those link to do so the far

:29:28.:29:33.

right Progress group. I'm not, Ken. It was set up by Lord Sainsbury, big

:29:34.:29:38.

business, and it is funded by the hedge fund managers. But Ken

:29:39.:29:43.

Livingstone There were a of MPs and Labour Party politicians asking for

:29:44.:29:48.

you to go, as it was harming the party, John Ashworth being one of

:29:49.:29:54.

them. You can't blame one wing. Labour losses in Bury, losing two or

:29:55.:30:05.

three seats in Prestwich. MPs said it caused grotesque offence and

:30:06.:30:09.

caused a backlash against Labour Party. Down to one person - Ken

:30:10.:30:17.

Livingstone. Go online and see what Ken Livingstone has said, it is

:30:18.:30:22.

true. If right-wing Labour MPs hadn't turned this into an issue, it

:30:23.:30:28.

wouldn't be an issue. Almost anyone with a Jewish background knows their

:30:29.:30:35.

history, what happened in the 1930s. Let's pause for a seconds. I want to

:30:36.:30:38.

see where we are with the current race. Let's join Tim don von.

:30:39.:30:46.

Sorry... Tim, hang on a second, we are trying to fix the sound. We will

:30:47.:31:03.

come back to you in a second. We will try to get Tim back. A quick

:31:04.:31:10.

word, Jo, in terms of the indications we are looking for this

:31:11.:31:13.

afternoon. At what point do you think, unlike in previous elections,

:31:14.:31:17.

we will be in a position to know where we are? The London Mayoral? It

:31:18.:31:25.

is true to say that Sadiq Khan has had a fairly commanding lead, even

:31:26.:31:28.

if it has slipped back somewhat in the last few days and weeks. It may

:31:29.:31:32.

be that by early evening we will have a result we can declare, but

:31:33.:31:36.

people will be speculating before then. Let's join Jeremy to shed some

:31:37.:31:45.

more light. We have just been processing the national share

:31:46.:31:49.

figures that we gave you earlier. Looking at what would happen had

:31:50.:31:53.

there been a general election, with the voting patterns we have seen in

:31:54.:31:57.

these local elections. This is our virtual House of Commons. You need

:31:58.:32:03.

326 MPs in the Commons for an overall majority out of a total of

:32:04.:32:09.

650. Let's see which party has the most MPs. It is the Conservatives.

:32:10.:32:16.

We project 301 MPs for the Conservatives if all the same voting

:32:17.:32:20.

patterns had happened across the country. It leaves them short of the

:32:21.:32:26.

overall majority they got last year, so they would have fallen back a

:32:27.:32:30.

bit. Difficult for the Conservatives to claim it is a great victory,

:32:31.:32:35.

anything like that, when they are in a situation that, with a wafer thin

:32:36.:32:38.

majority, any kind of setback puts them into the danger zone. Still,

:32:39.:32:43.

they would be the largest single party. Labour, the main opposition

:32:44.:32:49.

party, 253 seats. An improvement on last time but nowhere near

:32:50.:32:54.

overtaking the Conservatives. The SNP, interestingly, our projection

:32:55.:32:57.

would have them down three seats, 53. The other parties, notably the

:32:58.:33:06.

Liberal Democrats have 19. Plaid Cymru, the Welsh Nationalists, four.

:33:07.:33:10.

A single Ukip MP, as we had last year. The others, mainly Northern

:33:11.:33:15.

Ireland parties, 19. This is the House of Commons if the voting

:33:16.:33:18.

patterns were repeated in a general election. People vote differently in

:33:19.:33:23.

a general election, so this is a rather academic exercise, although

:33:24.:33:27.

an entertaining one. Secondly, you might think, why is it that Labour

:33:28.:33:31.

1% ahead in the projected national share but the Conservatives have

:33:32.:33:35.

more MPs if you put it into the House of Commons? The answer, ever

:33:36.:33:40.

since Labour lost control of Scotland, their vote has become, in

:33:41.:33:44.

the words of psephology 'ss, inefficient. They pile up votes in

:33:45.:33:49.

Scotland that do not become members of the House of Commons. In a first

:33:50.:33:57.

past the post system, fewer MPs. The Conservatives, the biggest party,

:33:58.:34:02.

but short by 25. Jeremy, thank you. That has raised a few things that I

:34:03.:34:07.

will talk to John Curtice about in a moment. But I would like to go

:34:08.:34:12.

straight to Emily first, to get our first proper result from the London

:34:13.:34:17.

Assembly. The first result from Bexley and Bromley. Don't forget,

:34:18.:34:21.

they are not constituencies as such, but it is a way of measuring who is

:34:22.:34:26.

in the lead in the race to be the London Mayor. A safe Conservative

:34:27.:34:30.

Party of London, so don't be surprised by Zac Goldsmith on 52%

:34:31.:34:36.

and Sadiq Khan on 26%. But this is where the story lies, as you can

:34:37.:34:40.

see, the Conservative share of the vote has dropped by a staggering

:34:41.:34:48.

11%. Labour making gin, Ukip making gin. The swing is always measured

:34:49.:34:51.

between the top two parties, it has gone from Conservative to Labour on

:34:52.:35:00.

7%. -- Ukip making gains. That kind of swing could make Sadiq Khan mayor

:35:01.:35:05.

on the first preference. The rebate at this point in the afternoon for

:35:06.:35:13.

Sadiq. 7%, John Curtice. You going to dip your toe into the water and

:35:14.:35:17.

give us a sense of what you think the Mayoral race is heading? It is

:35:18.:35:21.

pretty clear if you have been following it, they have counted over

:35:22.:35:25.

80% of the vote and it seems clear that Sadiq Khan is going to win.

:35:26.:35:29.

That result from Bromley underlines the point. There is no doubt that

:35:30.:35:36.

the Conservatives are going to lose the race for the Mayor of London.

:35:37.:35:41.

The polls have been telling us that. For all of the sound and fury

:35:42.:35:44.

between the two parties about anti-Semitism on the one hand and

:35:45.:35:49.

arguments about Islamophobia on the other, it really hasn't made much

:35:50.:35:53.

difference. We spent a lot of time talking about what might happen in

:35:54.:35:59.

the Conservative areas of London, the outer boroughs, and that they

:36:00.:36:03.

possibly were hiding some kind of pattern which might boost Zac

:36:04.:36:06.

Goldsmith's position. That doesn't seem to be... I would have thought

:36:07.:36:12.

that if Lynton Crosby's dog whistle politics would affect anywhere in

:36:13.:36:16.

London, it would be the outer south-east corner of London, such as

:36:17.:36:21.

Bromley. But it looks as if the dog owners of Bromley have decided to

:36:22.:36:25.

walk the dog instead. That is one way of putting it. So where Boris

:36:26.:36:32.

Johnson really did capitalise last time, Zac Goldsmith has singularly

:36:33.:36:37.

failed this time? Yes, and if you look at the Cannes for the Greater

:36:38.:36:40.

London Assembly that is also going on, it is not clear that Labour have

:36:41.:36:46.

made any advance on 2012. -- the counters. Boris essentially out told

:36:47.:36:56.

his party. It looks as though this time that the outcome of the

:36:57.:36:59.

Assembly election will be quite close. -- out polled his party.

:37:00.:37:06.

Don't assume the success for Labour in London is an indication of a

:37:07.:37:10.

swing to Labour in London, as opposed to Labour simply overcoming

:37:11.:37:15.

the disadvantage of Boris Johnson's personal popularity from four years

:37:16.:37:19.

ago. That is very clear, Ken, isn't it? It is interesting, if you look

:37:20.:37:25.

at the general election last year, so many Labour games bobbins were in

:37:26.:37:29.

London. If the rest of the country had swung that way, Ed Miliband

:37:30.:37:37.

would be in power today. -- so many Labour gains. It looks like a very

:37:38.:37:44.

good night tonight in London for Labour. Interesting to see what

:37:45.:37:48.

happens in the other assembly seats. Before I came on the show, it looked

:37:49.:37:52.

like we were close in Conservative held seats, I wonder if we will pick

:37:53.:37:57.

up any of them. We will see. It does look like a very good evening in

:37:58.:38:02.

London indeed. Does the potential scale of the victory for Sadiq Khan

:38:03.:38:07.

surprise you, Justine? There is a very long way to go. One set of

:38:08.:38:13.

results. As John said, in many respects, probably just as much as

:38:14.:38:17.

anything else a reflect how uniquely popular Boris Johnson has been as a

:38:18.:38:27.

mayor over two successful Mayoralties. Let's see where we are

:38:28.:38:31.

at the end of the evening. Tim, can you hear me? I can hear you clearly.

:38:32.:38:40.

Bring us up to date. John Curtice has given us a firm pointer. How do

:38:41.:38:46.

you see things there? I have just heard the Bexley and Bromley result.

:38:47.:38:52.

In all, around 85% of votes, perhaps a few more now, have been counted.

:38:53.:38:57.

When it gets to 90%, they take it off the screens and we don't get to

:38:58.:39:01.

see the progress of the last 10% until the returning officer

:39:02.:39:04.

declares. But the indications are that Sadiq Khan is a head when you

:39:05.:39:08.

look at first preference votes. 44-35. A couple of polling experts

:39:09.:39:14.

have looked at that and extrapolated what they think the second

:39:15.:39:20.

preference votes... Where they will distribute. It is thought the Greens

:39:21.:39:26.

and the Liberal Democrats may go for Sadiq Khan and that Ukip voters will

:39:27.:39:31.

go for Zac Goldsmith. When you factor them in, a suggestion that

:39:32.:39:38.

Sadiq Khan may win by 57% to 43%. Quite a margin. Nowhere near the

:39:39.:39:42.

kind of margin anyone would have anticipated a few months ago,

:39:43.:39:46.

although the polls have suggested that kind of size of victory. This

:39:47.:39:52.

is in the scale of Ken Livingstone's territory. As an independent back at

:39:53.:39:56.

the dawn of devolution when the first mayor was elected, in 2000. A

:39:57.:40:02.

similar margin of victory. Clearly that will raise all kind of things,

:40:03.:40:08.

the kind of campaign run by the Conservatives and what has happened

:40:09.:40:13.

as a result. Justine made the perfectly fair point that it is

:40:14.:40:18.

still early days. Tim, what is your sense now of timing? When will we

:40:19.:40:22.

get approaching a formal declaration in terms of the outcome? The reason

:40:23.:40:29.

they are not giving us any very accurate assessment and it is all

:40:30.:40:33.

guesswork is, firstly, there have been some embarrassing counters in

:40:34.:40:38.

the past where it has been close to bedtime, some would say after

:40:39.:40:43.

bedtime, when we got the results. But there are also a number of

:40:44.:40:48.

things that can still go wrong. Particularly a sense of anyone

:40:49.:40:51.

challenging any of the votes anywhere. And there have been issues

:40:52.:40:54.

because of problems in polling stations in Barnet yesterday. There

:40:55.:40:59.

is a suggestion that if, say, the Assembly result there was close,

:41:00.:41:06.

there could be a challenge. Or a challenge to the running of the

:41:07.:41:09.

election, rather than the result. That is why there is caution. If

:41:10.:41:14.

everything went to plan, we should get it by six o'clock, but people

:41:15.:41:18.

are reluctant to say that. We should mention turnout. People thought it

:41:19.:41:21.

had not been a particularly inspiring and that turnout would be

:41:22.:41:26.

low. Whether it was the sunshine or people have started to come out

:41:27.:41:29.

privately, concerned by the way the campaign has been run, turnout could

:41:30.:41:34.

be up to about 44%. Not large, but higher than 2012. Tim, thank you,

:41:35.:41:42.

from City Hall. As he was speaking, a very good result for the Lib Dems

:41:43.:41:49.

in Watford. A gain from no overall control. MLA. -- MLE. A rare beast

:41:50.:42:01.

indeed. The last time the Lib Dems gained a council was 2009. They have

:42:02.:42:09.

a Lib Dem mayor there. She has been mayor since 2002. The Lib Dems with

:42:10.:42:15.

a majority of 14 in Watford, taken from no overall control. Labour in

:42:16.:42:22.

second on 11th. The Lib Dems will have been pleased to have taken

:42:23.:42:26.

seats from everyone, mostly from their former partners in Coalition

:42:27.:42:30.

Government, the Conservatives, down five. Labour, down one. The Greens,

:42:31.:42:36.

down one. This was an all-out election, which means anything can

:42:37.:42:40.

happen. You can get big results, and the Lib Dems will be delighted with

:42:41.:42:48.

that. I would like to go down to College Green, Westminster. Waiting

:42:49.:42:53.

to talk to us, Labour's David Lammy, and the Conservative Mark Field.

:42:54.:43:00.

They did, your sense of how the London race is going. I was in

:43:01.:43:04.

Alexandra Palace in North London where the vote is being counted. It

:43:05.:43:09.

is going extraordinarily well for Sadiq Khan. I could not believe the

:43:10.:43:12.

numbers I was seeing across North London. But when you look at more

:43:13.:43:18.

marginal seats, Wandsworth, Murton, areas like Redbridge, he bring, the

:43:19.:43:24.

Outer London area, it looks like a substantial swing to Labour on the

:43:25.:43:29.

Assembly and absolutely for Sadiq Khan. A fantastic day for Labour

:43:30.:43:34.

people across London. David Lammy, you said it was one of the most

:43:35.:43:38.

divisive campaigns you had seen. You said it had gone into the gutter. Do

:43:39.:43:44.

you stand by those comments? Absolutely. Personally, I get on

:43:45.:43:49.

with the Zac Goldsmith, but the campaign has thrown so many smears

:43:50.:43:53.

around and has not really concentrated on the substance and

:43:54.:43:58.

the issues in London, housing and the transport system. With all of

:43:59.:44:04.

those smears, very much the tactic of Lynton Crosby, I'm afraid getting

:44:05.:44:10.

into very divisive territory between communities, I'm really pleased that

:44:11.:44:13.

if you look at the vote... I'm sure in a few hours' time, we will see

:44:14.:44:18.

that London is right across the city have rejected that campaign. And

:44:19.:44:22.

maybe we will see the back of Lynton Crosby as a result. -- Londons. I

:44:23.:44:30.

would point out it is your own party that has had people suspended for

:44:31.:44:35.

anti-Semitism at the moment. It is not something that is entirely to

:44:36.:44:38.

have fingers pointed at the Conservatives. To be fair, Zac

:44:39.:44:42.

Goldsmith bid try to put forward a positive agenda. A sense that he

:44:43.:44:51.

alone could have the of government. -- the of government. Aspirational

:44:52.:44:54.

in terms of housing and transportation. The demographics of

:44:55.:45:00.

London are changing. As Ken Livingstone pointed out earlier, the

:45:01.:45:06.

truth is, there was a 3.5% swing to Labour in the capital in the last

:45:07.:45:09.

general election. Had that been replicated across the board, the

:45:10.:45:14.

opinion polls would have been proven right. Realistically, the exception

:45:15.:45:19.

was Boris Johnson's performance in 2012. He out pawed the Conservatives

:45:20.:45:25.

by double-digit percentage at that stage. Zac Goldsmith was an unknown

:45:26.:45:30.

quantity as far as London voters were concerned. He has worked

:45:31.:45:35.

tremendously hard. It does look as though Sadiq Khan is ahead. I feel

:45:36.:45:41.

very sorry for Zac, he has worked very hard and has had a more

:45:42.:45:45.

positive agenda than some would have us believe. I hope that all London

:45:46.:45:51.

MPs, David and myself, Justine Greening, we can work together

:45:52.:45:54.

because there are some issues and problems that London faces that are

:45:55.:45:57.

very different to the rest of the country.

:45:58.:45:59.

When Zac Goldsmith was quoted as saying, this is not a normal

:46:00.:46:07.

campaign for me, it would have been a different campaign if they had

:46:08.:46:12.

chosen someone like David Lammy or Tessa Jowell, it would have been

:46:13.:46:15.

about the issues. This is different, it really is. What did he mean by

:46:16.:46:20.

that? There've been issues about Sadiq Khan's associations in the

:46:21.:46:27.

past. Rather like Zac Goldsmith I prefer to play the ball rather than

:46:28.:46:31.

the man on these issues. Zac, because he had a strong agenda on

:46:32.:46:35.

the environmental side, perhaps he felt ill at ease to be putting the

:46:36.:46:40.

boot in, as it were. I think there were issues of character that had to

:46:41.:46:44.

be faced by Sadiq Khan. I think clearly if he does become the Mayor

:46:45.:46:50.

I very much hope he'll be Mayor for all Londoners. We have a fantastic

:46:51.:46:54.

cosmopolitan city, but very real issues. One of the things that's a

:46:55.:46:58.

challenge for us as Conservatives is the issue of home ownership and the

:46:59.:47:05.

inability of many well-off Londoners in highly paid jobs earning a

:47:06.:47:11.

multiple of average earnings across the country simply can't get on the

:47:12.:47:15.

housing ladder. There are no easy solutions with, that but I hope

:47:16.:47:20.

Sadiq Khan will work with people of all political persuasions to get a

:47:21.:47:25.

result for us all. It would have been about the issues, this is

:47:26.:47:32.

different, it d have been about the issues, this is different, it really

:47:33.:47:35.

is, said -. What did he mean by that? If Sadiq Khan does win, this

:47:36.:47:39.

is a massive breakthrough moment in British politics. This is the first

:47:40.:47:43.

ethnic minority coming from Parliament to get a huge political

:47:44.:47:47.

mandate from millions of people in a major global city and he happens to

:47:48.:47:52.

be Muslim, at a time when there are real concerns in terms of

:47:53.:47:57.

fundamentalism. It is an impressive victory. It makes me so happy to be

:47:58.:48:02.

British. All credit to him for the tremendous hard work that he has put

:48:03.:48:06.

in. It has been a twicive campaign. Has put in. It has been a twicive

:48:07.:48:09.

campaign. It's -- a divisive campaign. It's been rejected across

:48:10.:48:14.

London. I'm so joyous that this son of an immigrant. He reminds people

:48:15.:48:19.

his dad was a bus driver, has emerged in this great country and

:48:20.:48:23.

this great city as a London Mayor. It is a fantastic moment for British

:48:24.:48:27.

politics. We'll wait for the results, but gentlemen, thank you

:48:28.:48:32.

for joining us. David Lammy and Mark Field. There were four mayoral

:48:33.:48:38.

contests and I have the result from Salford on first preference. Labour

:48:39.:48:46.

on 24,200 votes. Second place Conservatives. Third place Ukip and

:48:47.:48:52.

the Greens are in fourth place. Are in fourth place. The share - this

:48:53.:48:56.

important thing about redistributing votes if they don't get 50%. 49% to

:48:57.:49:03.

Labour, 24% the Conservatives, 18% to Ukip and 9% to the Greens. It is

:49:04.:49:13.

a Labour hold. If we look at that, a Labour hold on 28,000 for Paul den

:49:14.:49:21.

et. Robin Garrido for the Conservatives. We reported that Jo

:49:22.:49:27.

Anderson in Liverpool re-elected for Labour. Does any of this feed into

:49:28.:49:34.

what we think is the challenge that Labour faces given the results

:49:35.:49:38.

overnight? We've been talking about Scotland and Wales, but the

:49:39.:49:42.

challenge Labour faces when it looks towards the 2020? Jeremy has news on

:49:43.:49:47.

that. Well, a sense of the scale of that challenge for Labour. Obviously

:49:48.:49:52.

this has been in some places not a bad night for Labour. The London

:49:53.:49:56.

mayoralty may be a good result for them. But 2020 and the next general

:49:57.:50:01.

election. Let's look at what Labour needs to win. They've got 232 seats

:50:02.:50:05.

at the last general election. You need to get to 32 and beyond for t

:50:06.:50:16.

to 32 and beyond for an overall majority -- 326 seats for an overall

:50:17.:50:21.

majority. Gower, Conservative-held, should be the first seat to fall for

:50:22.:50:25.

Labour if they start to attack this Conservative board. Gradually as you

:50:26.:50:29.

move to the right, the seats get harder

:50:30.:50:30.

Conservative board. Gradually as you move to the right, the seats get

:50:31.:50:32.

harder to take. The question is how far down the boards would Labour

:50:33.:50:36.

have to go to get a majority in the House of Commons? I will add one

:50:37.:50:43.

rider. We are very to assume, a big assumption, for the purposes of this

:50:44.:50:48.

graphic that Labour don't pick up SNP seats. They've got such a

:50:49.:50:51.

problem in Scotland. We are going to skip the yellow seats, the SNP

:50:52.:50:55.

seats. So in order to win a majority in the House of Commons, they've got

:50:56.:50:58.

to take the whole of this board. They've got to go through that like

:50:59.:51:03.

a knife through butter, and the second as well. These are the seats

:51:04.:51:12.

they had under Tony Blair. On board three, it gets harder. They need to

:51:13.:51:18.

take Camborne, previously held by the Liberal Democrats. They've got

:51:19.:51:21.

to take that board as well. We are assuming they are not taking the SNP

:51:22.:51:26.

seats in yellow. They have to go through to board four to get any

:51:27.:51:32.

kind of slender majority. Taking a seat for example like Chingford,

:51:33.:51:36.

Iain Duncan Smith's. It was Norman Tebbit's before. It is not the kind

:51:37.:51:41.

of place you would expect Labour to be taking, be you they could do it.

:51:42.:51:46.

They would need to take Kensington if they are not picking up any SNP

:51:47.:51:51.

seats. It is very difficult. Ideally they want to be on board five, they

:51:52.:51:57.

might want to take Putney. Justine Greening, what is your majority in

:51:58.:52:04.

Putney, 10,000? It is 10,000. Not an easy seat to take. Uxbridge, Boris

:52:05.:52:08.

Johnson's seat. The point being that Labour have put in a result that

:52:09.:52:12.

puts them 1% ahead of the Conservatives. It is still very

:52:13.:52:15.

difficult. We reckon on the swing we've seen, I will take it back to

:52:16.:52:20.

the beginning, it is about a 3-4% swing to Labour tonight. We reckon

:52:21.:52:23.

it would take them comfortably across the first board and take the

:52:24.:52:30.

easiest 30-35 seats. But after that they might struggle. Huw. Jeremy,

:52:31.:52:37.

thank you. Justine looking slightly menacing when you mentioned Putney

:52:38.:52:41.

and the size of the majority. One very interesting result in terms of

:52:42.:52:47.

the circumstances of the local authority, Rotherham, where Emily

:52:48.:52:51.

will explain the circumstances, but an all-out election because of the

:52:52.:52:53.

controversial issues that the local authority there was dealing with.

:52:54.:52:57.

You will remember this one. A new leadership team put in place

:52:58.:53:01.

following that dreadful child abuse scandal in Rotherham. But the

:53:02.:53:05.

extraordinary thing is tonight after an all-out election, all of the

:53:06.:53:09.

councillors were standing for election tonight, because they had

:53:10.:53:11.

to put in place this new team. Labour have held it and there's been

:53:12.:53:15.

little movement on the council. Labour holds it on a majority of 33,

:53:16.:53:24.

with Ukip in second place on 14. In terms of seat change, Labour's not

:53:25.:53:29.

been punished for that. Ukip has taken the seat from the

:53:30.:53:32.

Conservatives. No movement here really. The story of the night if I

:53:33.:53:38.

show you the overall picture of the scoreboard, you can see what's

:53:39.:53:44.

happened here. Let me try and get that back for you. There we go. You

:53:45.:53:53.

can see 1,177 councillors. They have the lion's share, because 49% of

:53:54.:53:56.

those standing at the beginning of the night were Labour. They are down

:53:57.:54:00.

24, but the Conservatives are also down 24. They are on 655. Modest

:54:01.:54:06.

gains for the Lib Dems of 29. Over the last five years the Lib Dems

:54:07.:54:13.

have lost 1,800 councillors. It puts that number into perspective. Ukip

:54:14.:54:20.

making gains. 24, they are at 51. And those losses for the Greens. In

:54:21.:54:25.

terms of the actual councils themselves, you can see very little

:54:26.:54:32.

movement. Labour has lost one to s lost one to no overall control -

:54:33.:54:35.

Dudley. The Conservatives still have an empty tally, even though they

:54:36.:54:40.

gained Peterborough, under those election boundaries it was always

:54:41.:54:44.

considered to be a hold in terms of how this is counted, because the

:54:45.:54:50.

boundaries were redrawn. A gain of Watford for the lib dells. It is an

:54:51.:54:58.

extraordinary that how little has changed giveton expectations of both

:54:59.:55:03.

parties. I want to underline the sem etry there of a loss of 24 on Labour

:55:04.:55:08.

and Conservative. And at the end of this day when we are taking stock,

:55:09.:55:12.

just yesterday after all the preparation and listening to what

:55:13.:55:16.

the parties were saying, who would have imagined for one second that we

:55:17.:55:21.

would see Labour on a loss of just 24. I'm saying just, because there

:55:22.:55:25.

were plenty of people offering 150 losses, and the Conservatives on

:55:26.:55:34.

that too. Aren't expectation as important, and aren't they

:55:35.:55:37.

confusing? We were talking about the bad night for Labour being losses of

:55:38.:55:43.

50, and a medium night being not more than 50. Put that into

:55:44.:55:46.

perspective, this is a terrific night for Labour. But the

:55:47.:55:49.

Conservatives would say, what are you talking about? At this point

:55:50.:55:53.

when we've been in power for so long, the opposition parties should

:55:54.:55:58.

be making fantastic gains. So when nothing very much moves, the trouble

:55:59.:56:02.

is you can put whatever narrative you want on the numbers that are

:56:03.:56:06.

there. I think both sides will give you their narrative of what those

:56:07.:56:12.

losses mean. A quick comment John, Rotherham has come in this rather

:56:13.:56:16.

different circumstances. Just going back to Jeremy's presentation, it

:56:17.:56:20.

shows us making progress in the sorts of seats that decide general

:56:21.:56:24.

elections, but we've got to go much further. We've got to think in the

:56:25.:56:28.

Labour Party how do we win over people who used to vote Labour and

:56:29.:56:34.

switched to the Conservatives in the last election and 2010 election. The

:56:35.:56:38.

route back to power in the Labour Party is getting people who went

:56:39.:56:43.

away from us to the Conservative Party and other parties, and that's

:56:44.:56:50.

a challenge. Justine? I was born and brought up in Rotherham, I'm proud

:56:51.:56:53.

to have come from Rotherham. Rotherham. I hope that the new

:56:54.:56:58.

Labour councillors can do a better job than the last lot and that the

:56:59.:57:02.

council group can work together to start delivering for the people in

:57:03.:57:08.

that town who need a better set of services, better prospects, a better

:57:09.:57:12.

deal on crime, at a price that they can afford. Are you surprised by the

:57:13.:57:19.

result given the controversy? That's a very clear result. In some ways

:57:20.:57:25.

yes. I'm disappointed to see the one remaining a Conservative not regain

:57:26.:57:28.

his seat. But at the same time I think there's a clean sweep of

:57:29.:57:32.

councillors across the board, particularly for Labour, which is

:57:33.:57:35.

quite right. The important thing now is to rise above party politics and

:57:36.:57:38.

start delivering for that local community. We'll pause there. Thank

:57:39.:57:44.

you for that. It is coming up to 4 o'clock. Let's catch up once again

:57:45.:57:49.

with a rather sunny story in the weather, yes?

:57:50.:57:49.

with a rather sunny story in the weather, yes? It is indeed. Tomorrow

:57:50.:57:54.

there'll be thunderstorms affecting some of us, maybe outbreaks of rain.

:57:55.:57:59.

Sunshine coming back. Warmth developing more widely across the

:58:00.:58:02.

UK, including Scotland and Northern Ireland by Sunday. Hazy sunshine

:58:03.:58:10.

from Norfolk this afternoon. It is again England and Wales seeing most

:58:11.:58:17.

of the warmth. Glasgow up to 16. South West Scotland got to 17

:58:18.:58:23.

Scotland. Atlantic air for Northern Ireland and Scotland. We'll import

:58:24.:58:29.

showers towards the far south-west of England. Maybe clipping

:58:30.:58:33.

south-west Wales. Some of those could include a rumble of thunder.

:58:34.:58:39.

Some spots into single figures. The complication tomorrow is that for

:58:40.:58:43.

the western side of the UK we've got cloud, some outbreaks of rain. It is

:58:44.:58:47.

not going be raining all the time. Thunderstorms breaking out across

:58:48.:58:54.

parts of Wales, and maybe the chance of an intense storm in the afternoon

:58:55.:58:59.

into the Pennines and Yorkshire. The best of the sunshine will be across

:59:00.:59:04.

south-east England and East Anglia. Showers across western parts.

:59:05.:59:08.

Outbreaks of rain possible into Northern Ireland. Maybe clipping

:59:09.:59:12.

parts of western Scotland as well. It is not wall to wall sunshine for

:59:13.:59:18.

the start of the weekend, but there is warmth to be had, particularly

:59:19.:59:22.

across England and Wales. No huge change into Scotland and Northern

:59:23.:59:26.

Ireland. Some of us have rain in Northern Ireland. And we've got an

:59:27.:59:31.

onshore wind for the east of Scotland and east England. The sea

:59:32.:59:35.

is 8-9 degrees. That cools the air above it and has an impact on your

:59:36.:59:40.

temperature here, with perhaps mist in parts of eastern Scotland and

:59:41.:59:43.

north-east England. Quite cool to start the weekend. That weather

:59:44.:59:47.

system taking the thunderstorms and outbreaks of rain across western

:59:48.:59:51.

parts of the UK begins to pull northwards during Sunday. What

:59:52.:59:55.

happens then is that we are all in that warmer Continental air. The

:59:56.:00:00.

warmth is spreading into Scotland and Northern Ireland. The odd

:00:01.:00:04.

thundery shower but most placeses in the afternoon on Sunday will be

:00:05.:00:10.

fine, with plenty of sunshine. 25-26 in south-east England, but the

:00:11.:00:13.

warmth into western Scotland and Northern Ireland. 19-20 degrees.

:00:14.:00:27.

It's 4pm. Good afternoon. Welcome back to the BBC election centre. We

:00:28.:00:34.

are here throughout the afternoon, bripging you up -- bringing you up

:00:35.:00:37.

to date with what is happening around the country. Let's start with

:00:38.:00:40.

Scotland, if you've just joined us, a headline - a big win for the

:00:41.:00:44.

Scottish National Party in the Parliamentary elections there, a

:00:45.:00:49.

third victory for them. Nicola Sturgeon, the SNP leader, First

:00:50.:00:54.

Minister, says she will not seek any formal arrangement with any other

:00:55.:00:57.

parties, though she is two seats short of an overall majority this

:00:58.:01:03.

time. A very big win for the SNP. Delight too in Scotland for the

:01:04.:01:05.

Scottish Conservatives. They had a very good night. Their leader, Ruth

:01:06.:01:09.

Davidson, winning her seed in Edinburgh central. But making gains

:01:10.:01:14.

too in other parts of Scotland. They're delighted in the role of

:01:15.:01:18.

main Opposition now. They've overtaken Labour. Scottish Labour

:01:19.:01:21.

had a disappointing night, pushed into third place. We spoke to their

:01:22.:01:27.

leader earlier. She acknowledges the party is facing a very challenging

:01:28.:01:30.

time. What a contrast with the Labour story in Wales. There,

:01:31.:01:34.

despite some of the predictions of gloom and doom, they won 29 seats

:01:35.:01:40.

and they will be holding onto power in Wales. For the next five years.

:01:41.:01:50.

Better than anyone predicted. Neil Hamilton there, one of seven Ukip

:01:51.:01:54.

members, first time to have representation in the National

:01:55.:01:56.

Assembly of Wales. That's a significant moment. And Leanne Wood,

:01:57.:02:01.

the leader of Plaid Cymru had a notable win against Leighton

:02:02.:02:09.

Andrews. Elsewhere, Plaid Cymru did not make the gains they were setting

:02:10.:02:13.

out to achieve especially in Llanelli. Let's talk about the

:02:14.:02:17.

English council elections. There's Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader. He

:02:18.:02:22.

says his predictions that the party would lose seats, they haven't come

:02:23.:02:26.

through, he says. Labour has been growing support, he says. He's put

:02:27.:02:30.

out a bullish statement about Labour's performance. A little

:02:31.:02:34.

earlier, we saw David Cameron in Peterborough, that's a council they

:02:35.:02:38.

gained. He says that what might have been a day of dread for him, for a

:02:39.:02:44.

sitting Prime Minister, at these local elections has not

:02:45.:02:47.

materialised. He wanted to point the finger at Labour saying they'd lost

:02:48.:02:50.

touch with working people. That was his spin on the result. In the race

:02:51.:02:57.

for Mayor of London, with more than 90% of the first performance votes

:02:58.:03:01.

counted there's Labour's Sadiq Khan and he has a sizeable lead over the

:03:02.:03:08.

Conservative candidate Zac Goldsmith. Mr Khan says he's not

:03:09.:03:13.

being complacent. He says he's loved the campaign, despite the fact,

:03:14.:03:18.

let's face it, it's been fiercely contested, very couldn't yersial --

:03:19.:03:23.

controversial in parts. The last of the votes are being counted at City

:03:24.:03:28.

Hall. We'll have the latest in a moment with those results.

:03:29.:03:38.

So with that, let's catch up with the election news, but importantly

:03:39.:03:42.

other news today, before we discuss a little more in the next hour,

:03:43.:03:47.

what's going on. Let's join Jane. A flavour of all today's news. As we

:03:48.:03:52.

approach an end to the first choice voting in the London mayoral

:03:53.:03:56.

election, we're also getting the counts in from Police and Crime

:03:57.:03:59.

Commissioner votes and polling for the Northern Ireland Assembly. Let's

:04:00.:04:03.

start with this overview of the day so far from our political

:04:04.:04:09.

correspondent. A third term in power for Nicola

:04:10.:04:13.

Sturgeon, though the SNP fell just short of an overall majority. The

:04:14.:04:18.

result confirms her party's grip on politics in Scotland. We won a clear

:04:19.:04:26.

and unequivocal mandate and I secured the personal mandate I

:04:27.:04:31.

sought to implement the bold and ambitious programme for Government

:04:32.:04:34.

that I asked the country to vote for. With a surge in support across

:04:35.:04:39.

Scotland, the Conservatives were celebrating too, becoming the

:04:40.:04:43.

official Opposition at Holyrood. And pushing Labour into third place, it

:04:44.:04:48.

was a dismall night for the party north of the border. Labour's leader

:04:49.:04:55.

in Scotland putting on a brave face, but behind the smiles

:04:56.:04:58.

disappointment. And there were big wins for the Green Party in

:04:59.:05:04.

Scotland, who gained four new MSPs. The Liberal Democrats held onto

:05:05.:05:08.

their five. Good morning everybody. Jeremy Corbyn went to Sheffield to

:05:09.:05:16.

congratulate one of his party's two new MPs, jil Furnace won the

:05:17.:05:20.

by-election caused by the death of her late husband. Jeremy Corbyn said

:05:21.:05:26.

his party had defied expectations We were getting predictions that Labour

:05:27.:05:28.

was going to lose councils. We didn't. We hung on and we grew

:05:29.:05:34.

support in a lot of places. And there's a lot more results to come

:05:35.:05:40.

today. Labour hung onto some of the councils considered vulnerable this

:05:41.:05:44.

their northern Heartlands and retained control of Southampton and

:05:45.:05:48.

Hastings along the south coast. But critics say the party should have

:05:49.:05:51.

done much Bert. We've got to have a Labour Party that can defeat the

:05:52.:05:55.

Conservatives and I'm afraid, at the moment, there just isn't the

:05:56.:06:00.

evidence that that's happening. There should be alarm bells ringing.

:06:01.:06:06.

Among the celebrations, some senior Labour figures rounded on Jeremy

:06:07.:06:09.

Corbyn's critics. For goodness sake, look, get behind the leader of the

:06:10.:06:12.

Labour Party that was Democratically elected. It's time to put up or shut

:06:13.:06:17.

up. David Cameron knew it wouldn't be easy for the Conservatives to

:06:18.:06:21.

fight elections while his ministers are openly disagreeing over Europe,

:06:22.:06:25.

but in Peterborough, where the Tories took control, he said it had

:06:26.:06:29.

been a great day overall. Election day for sitting Prime Ministers is

:06:30.:06:32.

meant to be a day of dread, it's meant to be a day when you're

:06:33.:06:36.

sitting there waiting for someone to knocken the door like -- knock on

:06:37.:06:39.

the door like the condemned man waiting for the hangman. That wasn't

:06:40.:06:42.

what it was like last night or today. We have held councils right

:06:43.:06:47.

across the country. Cheers everybody. Ukip has gained at least

:06:48.:06:53.

20 seats in England and won seven in Wales, depriving Labour of an

:06:54.:06:56.

overall majority. The result of the contest for London Mayor won't be

:06:57.:07:00.

known until later, but Labour appears to be on course to seize

:07:01.:07:03.

control of City Hall from the Conservatives.

:07:04.:07:10.

Another main story here this afternoon, the Government has

:07:11.:07:14.

abandoned plans to compel all schools in England to back cad mys.

:07:15.:07:19.

Good or outstanding schools will no longer have to convert, while no

:07:20.:07:24.

small rural school will be forced to join a multiacademy trust. The

:07:25.:07:27.

Education Secretary said there is still a drive for schools to convert

:07:28.:07:31.

voluntarily. We don't think it's necessary for

:07:32.:07:36.

there to be a blanket provision for schools to convert to become

:07:37.:07:40.

academies, but there is a real appetite for schools to convert

:07:41.:07:45.

voluntarily and determination, I've made this very clear as Secretary of

:07:46.:07:50.

State, with support from Conservative members, to continue to

:07:51.:07:53.

lift standards in our schools. The Education Secretary. The BBC has

:07:54.:07:59.

found that at least eight police forces are investigating whether

:08:00.:08:04.

some Tory MPs' election expenses were filed illegally after the

:08:05.:08:08.

general election. The allegation centre on the hotel costs battle bus

:08:09.:08:15.

activists in marginal seats. They have blamed an administrative error.

:08:16.:08:19.

That's all from me for now. Back to Election 2016.

:08:20.:08:24.

Thanks very much. See you later. We've been joined now by Chris

:08:25.:08:28.

Leslie for Labour and Matthew han cock for the Conservatives. Thank

:08:29.:08:31.

you for coming in. Why not a few more results. There are results

:08:32.:08:35.

coming in from some of the London areas still, let's join Emily again.

:08:36.:08:39.

You'll remember in 2015 Labour's best success stories came in London.

:08:40.:08:44.

It looks so far this afternoon as if London is coming good for Labour

:08:45.:08:48.

again. You can see here the second seat in on the London Assembly has

:08:49.:08:52.

been taken from the Conservatives by Labour. It's the first time this has

:08:53.:08:57.

ever changed hands, a Labour gain from the Conservatives. Can you see

:08:58.:09:01.

how close that share of the vote is 41% to 39%. If you look at the

:09:02.:09:06.

direction of travel of the parties, that's where Labour will be pleased,

:09:07.:09:12.

gains of 5%. The Conservative losing ground and the Lib Dems as well.

:09:13.:09:15.

Importantly, this swing that I was talking about earlier, going from

:09:16.:09:19.

the Conservatives to Labour, 4. 5% swing. We've seen a swing of 7%. Now

:09:20.:09:24.

on these sorts of swings, it makes it very easy for Sadiq Khan to take

:09:25.:09:33.

the mayoral I. One -- mayorlty. This is a Conservative hold. The second

:09:34.:09:37.

safest Tory seat. But again, just look at what's happening to the

:09:38.:09:40.

direction of travel of the parties. Conservatives seeing their share of

:09:41.:09:46.

the vote down six. Labour up four. A bit of movement for Ukip up two.

:09:47.:09:52.

Once again that swing, as you can see, is from the Conservatives to

:09:53.:09:57.

Labour of a solid 5%. I understand we might also have one more result

:09:58.:10:02.

in from the London Mayor. If I take you to that now. We have got Lambeth

:10:03.:10:10.

and Southwark. Ken Livingstone topped the polls here last time

:10:11.:10:15.

round. Can you see that Sadiq Khan has 56% of the vote. Watch what

:10:16.:10:20.

happens when I show you the change overnight. Once again, you see how

:10:21.:10:24.

badly that Conservative share of the vote, this time, in the mayoral

:10:25.:10:31.

election, this is the two-horse race between Zach Goldsmith and Sadiq.

:10:32.:10:34.

Conservatives down 10%. Labour putting on the votes. Interesting to

:10:35.:10:38.

see movement here for the women's equality party, up 3% and gains for

:10:39.:10:42.

the Greens and Lib Dems as well. Let's just see if we can see what

:10:43.:10:49.

kind of a swing that is. Nearly 8%. So far, on the few results we've had

:10:50.:10:53.

in, it's looking like a very good night for Labour.

:10:54.:10:57.

Thanks very much. Let's bring in Chris Leslie there. What does that

:10:58.:11:05.

do other than underline the narrative around Labour London, what

:11:06.:11:09.

are these results telling you? First of all huge congratulations, maybe

:11:10.:11:13.

slightly ahead of the official announcement to Sadiq if he's won,

:11:14.:11:18.

this is a really great way for him to show that he, as an individual,

:11:19.:11:23.

has been able to reach out across London with significant appeal. And

:11:24.:11:30.

of course, by the way, also congratulations to Gill Furnace for

:11:31.:11:34.

winning the Sheffield by-election. I think overall, I would have liked to

:11:35.:11:37.

have seen Labour doing a lot better than this. For me, my focus is on

:11:38.:11:42.

winning that general election and kicking the Tories out in 2020. When

:11:43.:11:45.

you think about all of the things that have been going on in the past

:11:46.:11:50.

few weeks, whether it's the Panama papers or Iain Duncan Smith

:11:51.:11:54.

resigning over disability benefits or the steel crisis, so many things.

:11:55.:11:59.

Doctors on strike. Really, we should have been absolutely wiping the

:12:00.:12:03.

floor with the Conservative Party. I'm quite worried that we really

:12:04.:12:07.

don't seem to have been advancing very much at all, in fact, in some

:12:08.:12:12.

ways in those English local government elections and elsewhere,

:12:13.:12:14.

we've been falling backwards. Where we've held on, that is a testament

:12:15.:12:20.

to those local councillors who have really shown that good Labour and

:12:21.:12:24.

local government can deliver and hang on there. We've got to be doing

:12:25.:12:29.

better because that mountain for the general election is enormous and Ben

:12:30.:12:33.

Page this morning was talking about that 13-point lead that Labour has

:12:34.:12:37.

to win. I don't think we can afford to rest until we're within shot this

:12:38.:12:43.

afternoon general election. Those points have been echoed by others in

:12:44.:12:49.

that chairman. Matt, first of all, London, Zach Goldsmith's campaign,

:12:50.:12:51.

what's your sense of that now, given the figures that we're looking at?

:12:52.:12:55.

Unlike Chris I'm not going to jump the gun on that one. We'll see the

:12:56.:12:59.

official result when it comes through. The general election last

:13:00.:13:04.

year, London was one of the places that we didn't do as well as in the

:13:05.:13:11.

rest of the country. To come out of the English council elections in

:13:12.:13:16.

good shape and especially with the big change in Scotland, it just

:13:17.:13:20.

shows that while we're six years into Government, we're delivering on

:13:21.:13:24.

the ground and normally, governments in these situations get a far worse

:13:25.:13:29.

deal. Instead, in terms of the councillors, Labour's gone

:13:30.:13:31.

backwards, which is the first time an Opposition party has gone

:13:32.:13:36.

backwards in terms of the number of councillors since 1984, I

:13:37.:13:39.

understand. That's right. It was 82 and 85, though as we've been making

:13:40.:13:44.

the point for several hours now, all the predictions were for far, far,

:13:45.:13:47.

far bigger losses than the 25 losses that they've notched up so far. Just

:13:48.:13:52.

to concentrate on London first. You don't want to jump the gun, as you

:13:53.:13:56.

say. John Curtis is confidently saying that all the indications are

:13:57.:14:02.

that Sadiq Khan has won. Do you have reflections on the kind of campaign

:14:03.:14:06.

that Zach Goldsmith fought and do you have regrets about the tone of

:14:07.:14:11.

the campaign? No, we can discuss it when we find out what the result

:14:12.:14:15.

actually is. But you must have thoughts on the campaign even now,

:14:16.:14:20.

regardless of the results, are you happy with the campaign? Yes. He

:14:21.:14:25.

fought a campaign based on him and his principles, there was a lot on

:14:26.:14:28.

the environment, for instance, which he's always been passionate about.

:14:29.:14:34.

Lots on Sadiq Khan as well Also right to point out the flaws of

:14:35.:14:39.

Sadiq Khan and who he has shared platforms with in the past. That's

:14:40.:14:43.

reasonable to point ewe. Look, let's -- point out. Let's see what the

:14:44.:14:48.

result is. OK, that's three times you've told me that. I'm taking the

:14:49.:14:52.

point. On the tone of that campaign and the way to develop it, Ken

:14:53.:14:59.

Livingstone here earlier, fair to say unrepen tent in what he said and

:15:00.:15:04.

acknowledging that it had an impact. We discussed that. Your thoughts on

:15:05.:15:08.

the tone of this campaign in London. That's why I think a Sadiq victory

:15:09.:15:13.

is so remarkable. Of course, he had this, all of this, well, it was a

:15:14.:15:17.

smear attempt really from the Conservative campaign with this

:15:18.:15:20.

undertones of extremism, all these things. I think on reflection, Matt,

:15:21.:15:25.

you know that was going to back fire and it really has spectacularly done

:15:26.:15:31.

so. Sadiq, as he said himself, also found himself having to disentangle

:15:32.:15:35.

himself from some of the ridiculous hard-left stuff we were getting from

:15:36.:15:41.

Ken Livingstone and anti-Semitism and goodness knows whatever. It's a

:15:42.:15:45.

testament to Sadiq to his character, that he's an authentic and strong

:15:46.:15:48.

politician, now I think going to be the greatest Mayor of London ever

:15:49.:15:53.

and you know, I'm delighted to see him winning. I just wish, though,

:15:54.:15:58.

that for the rest of the country, we would have seen such great gains and

:15:59.:16:01.

that, for me, gives me pause for thought. I'm focussed on kicking the

:16:02.:16:06.

Tories out in 2020. That's the thing a lot of us in the Labour Party have

:16:07.:16:08.

to think about. No pressure there on Sadiq Khan to

:16:09.:16:21.

be the best Mayor of London already. Just looking at the trends Emily was

:16:22.:16:26.

describing, are you not worried by Labour gains in Merton and

:16:27.:16:30.

Wandsworth, and even if you had priced in Labour's success in

:16:31.:16:33.

London, the swing from Conservative to Labour in your heartlands of

:16:34.:16:37.

Bexley and Bromley, it is all going to wrong way in London isn't it?

:16:38.:16:41.

You've got to take the country as a whole, I agree with Chris... No,

:16:42.:16:46.

let's take London for the moment. The trend is away from the Tories,

:16:47.:16:52.

even in your heartlands. But when it comes to what this matters for the

:16:53.:16:55.

country as a whole, you can't just take London, but the whole country.

:16:56.:16:59.

We've lost seats on the London Assembly. One seat so far, but we

:17:00.:17:05.

won in Peterborough, a key marginal. Clearly in Scotland, in a huge way,

:17:06.:17:10.

coming second. If you look at the country as a whole, we've made

:17:11.:17:14.

progress this evening, because we've held our own in the council

:17:15.:17:19.

elections and Labour have lost councillors. In Scotland we've made

:17:20.:17:23.

the sorts of change that happens once in a generation when a new

:17:24.:17:27.

party that's been out of it frankly in Scotland for a long time has come

:17:28.:17:34.

back now as the official opposition. Clearly there's a realignment going

:17:35.:17:41.

on there. You've got the left-wing separatists versus the

:17:42.:17:44.

compassionate, moderate Conservatives who are also the

:17:45.:17:49.

unionist party. I think you lost in London because you were abandoning

:17:50.:17:53.

that compassionate centre ground, where Sadiq clearly moved. He has

:17:54.:17:57.

owned those issues in London and moved firmly to the centre ground.

:17:58.:18:01.

In Scotland there was a different story, where perhaps it was an

:18:02.:18:06.

attempt to go down the road of higher taxes and unilateralism. That

:18:07.:18:13.

militant way of looking at politics I don't think has worked out.

:18:14.:18:19.

Sadiq's way of politics is what we should look at in future. As Matt

:18:20.:18:24.

keeps on telling us, we haven't had the result yet, but we'll pause for

:18:25.:18:29.

a second. There's lots going on. I must mention the elections of dozens

:18:30.:18:34.

of Police and Crime Commissioners. The Welsh ones won't be counted

:18:35.:18:39.

until the weekend, but there are results in England. Scott Ellis in

:18:40.:18:46.

Bristol, let's talk about the Avon and Somerset contest. What's going

:18:47.:18:51.

on? It was all looking a bit 2012 for a moment. We thought we had a

:18:52.:18:56.

straightforward shoot-out between the current Crime Commissioner, the

:18:57.:19:01.

independent candidate, and her Conservative rival, that was the

:19:02.:19:06.

case four years ago. It was looking that way all morning and afternoon.

:19:07.:19:12.

The average turn out in the force area has been 26%, but the final

:19:13.:19:16.

station left to report its results was Bristol. There the turnout was

:19:17.:19:21.

44%. That's because there are also mayoral elections there and council

:19:22.:19:24.

elections. When they reported, the man in third place, the Labour

:19:25.:19:31.

candidate, Kerry Barker, got more than 46,000 votes. Sue Stevens

:19:32.:19:40.

getting the more than 30,000. It means that Kerry Barker, the Labour

:19:41.:19:44.

candidate, is now in second place and it is a shoot-out even him and

:19:45.:19:53.

Sue Mount-Stevens. He is a professional barrister and I'm told

:19:54.:19:58.

he was in court in Swindon today. It is a result that will send a shudder

:19:59.:20:04.

down the back of Bristol's elected Mayor, George Ferguson, the

:20:05.:20:07.

independent candidate. He is up against his main rival, who is

:20:08.:20:12.

Labour. If that's an indication of how Labour is voting it will send a

:20:13.:20:20.

shudder down George Ferguson's back. Now we are on to the supplemental

:20:21.:20:30.

voting, Sue Mount-Stevens or Kerry Barker. It will be some time before

:20:31.:20:35.

we get a result. The race in South Yorkshire. Some very special

:20:36.:20:39.

circumstances here, not least in terms of what we've been reporting

:20:40.:20:44.

with the Hillsborough inquests and other developments. James, give us a

:20:45.:20:48.

sense of the race there and how much interest there's been in it. There's

:20:49.:20:52.

been a huge amount of interest in the race here, Huw. This is probably

:20:53.:20:56.

the toughest PCC job in the country. Weapon you think about think about

:20:57.:21:02.

the issues that -- when you think about the issues that the newly

:21:03.:21:10.

elected Commissioner has to face. The unlawful verdicts last week, and

:21:11.:21:17.

Orgreave. There've been more calls for a tumble inquiry. The temporary

:21:18.:21:28.

Commissioner said he would be in for an independent look. These are the

:21:29.:21:33.

three issues Dr Alan Billings has to tackle. He had 18 months in the job.

:21:34.:21:38.

We've had three Police Commissioner elections in four years in South

:21:39.:21:41.

Yorkshire, because his predecessor has to resign over the child

:21:42.:21:45.

exploitation scandal. It gives you a sense of how much turmoil the police

:21:46.:21:49.

has been here. He's got to sit down with senior officers. He's had three

:21:50.:21:55.

Chief Constables in a week. He suspended David Crompton, appointed

:21:56.:21:58.

the deputy, but she stepped back from the job. Now he's appointed

:21:59.:22:05.

Dave Jones from North Yorkshire. Alan Billings as the newly

:22:06.:22:10.

re-elected Police Commissioner in South Yorkshire has a huge inbox on

:22:11.:22:14.

Monday morning. It will be interesting how he answers questions

:22:15.:22:19.

about how he has handled all these scandals and how he will do that in

:22:20.:22:24.

his four-year term, starting from today. I've just spoken to him after

:22:25.:22:30.

the election. He got past the 50% plus margin on the first preference.

:22:31.:22:35.

That's no real surprise in a Labour stronghold of South Yorkshire. He

:22:36.:22:40.

told me that a public inquiry into how the police handled Orgreave is

:22:41.:22:44.

inevitable. That's the decision that only Theresa May can make. She's

:22:45.:22:49.

been given submissions from the Orgreave campaigners. It is now up

:22:50.:22:52.

to Theresa May and the Home Office to see if there will be a full

:22:53.:23:01.

public inquiry, much as we had into Hillsborough, into Orgreave. James,

:23:02.:23:10.

thank you. Alan Billings is the Police and Crime Commissioner for

:23:11.:23:14.

Labour. We have elections too to the Assembly in Northern Ireland. Let me

:23:15.:23:21.

bring in my colleague Chris Buckler. Chris, the sense there of what the

:23:22.:23:26.

likely outcome is going to be. Are we likely to see a different First

:23:27.:23:30.

Minister in Stormont? What is your view? I think the view is that the

:23:31.:23:35.

Democratic Unionist Party have done exceptionally well and as a result

:23:36.:23:40.

will remain the biggest party in Stormont. Arlene Foster will remain

:23:41.:23:44.

Northern Ireland's First Minister. Sinn Fein are in second place. Let's

:23:45.:23:49.

talk about the DUP for a second. This campaign has marked a different

:23:50.:23:55.

era for the DUP. Their first female leader took over from Peter

:23:56.:23:59.

Robinson. She's been out and about. It is a very big success for the

:24:00.:24:03.

Democratic Unionist Party. It looks like a success for Sinn Fein. It is

:24:04.:24:11.

worth mentioning that in Sinn Fein's stronghold of West Belfast, where

:24:12.:24:16.

they had five seats. They've been beaten by the People Before Profit

:24:17.:24:22.

Alliance. Their candidate Gerry Carol, an anti-austerity candidate,

:24:23.:24:26.

took the top spot be a considerable lead. He says that reflects that

:24:27.:24:30.

people are unhappy with austerity measures that Stormont has had to

:24:31.:24:33.

bring in, and unhappiness with the state of he would and education. If

:24:34.:24:37.

there are going to be winners, and the DUP and shift seem to be

:24:38.:24:44.

winners, there have to be have to be losers as well -- there have to with

:24:45.:24:48.

winners and losers, and Sinn Fein seem to be the winners. The SDLP,

:24:49.:24:54.

who have a young leader, just 33 years of age, it was his birthday

:24:55.:25:00.

last week, half the age of his predecessor, Alastair McDonnell, the

:25:01.:25:04.

SDLP haven't done as well as they would have hoped. The counting

:25:05.:25:08.

continues here. We've only had 14 seats declared of 108. The

:25:09.:25:13.

complicated system of voting here which involves votes being

:25:14.:25:17.

transferred, candidates being eliminated, we won't know what the

:25:18.:25:21.

Assembly looks like probably until tomorrow evening. Chris, thank you.

:25:22.:25:29.

Underlining the strength of the DUP but not forecasting any change in

:25:30.:25:33.

terms of First Minister there with Arlene frost ter. As Chris was

:25:34.:25:38.

talking to us, more good news for the Lib Dems. Cheltenham, they have

:25:39.:25:44.

had held on to Cheltenham. Let's get details from Emily. They are still

:25:45.:25:49.

counting here. There's 12 to declare, but the key number is 21,

:25:50.:25:54.

the winning post. The Lib Dems have held that. They'll be pleased to see

:25:55.:25:58.

this, particularly after losing the Westminster seat to Conservatives in

:25:59.:26:03.

2015. The pattern overnight has been this gentle rather English recovery

:26:04.:26:07.

for the Lib Dems. Not massive gains, but they are up to and they'll be

:26:08.:26:11.

interested to see their former partners in Government, the

:26:12.:26:16.

Conservatives, down two here in a part of the world here where they

:26:17.:26:21.

have strong Lib Dem-Tory battles. We are expecting more from the London

:26:22.:26:27.

Assembly. Ealing and Hillingdon, a key battleground. Often called a

:26:28.:26:32.

bellwether. As soon as we get that one, we'll be straight back. Emily,

:26:33.:26:38.

thank you. What I want to do now is take stock. We are approaching the

:26:39.:26:41.

end of the afternoon. We've been talking about a lot of developments

:26:42.:26:43.

in local authorities. We've been talking about the latest

:26:44.:26:46.

developments in the London mayoral. What I would like to do now is to

:26:47.:26:51.

have a really good look at what's happened in that very exciting

:26:52.:26:54.

election in Scotland. We've seen Nicola Sturgeon back as First

:26:55.:26:57.

Minister, but this time with a personal mandate. A third period in

:26:58.:27:01.

office for the Scottish National Party. Significantly not with a

:27:02.:27:07.

majority this time. She's determined to soldier on and legislate, asking

:27:08.:27:12.

for support as she goes. Let's look at what's happened in Scotland

:27:13.:27:16.

overnight and during the day and join

:27:17.:27:16.

at what's happened in Scotland overnight and during the day and

:27:17.:27:20.

join Jeremy. Let's go into our virtual Scottish chamber and look at

:27:21.:27:23.

the map and see the result. This is what came in overnight. The SNP with

:27:24.:27:29.

63 seats in the Scottish Parliament. Previously they had 67. 65 is needed

:27:30.:27:34.

for an overall majority. We were wondering whether the map would be

:27:35.:27:39.

coloured yellow. It hasn't worked out that way. Very interesting. The

:27:40.:27:43.

second story of the nice is second place. Conservatives on 31 seats,

:27:44.:27:52.

beating Labour into third place. The Lib Dems into fifth behind the

:27:53.:27:56.

Greens. The map was more complex than we might have thought. There

:27:57.:28:00.

were seats that Labour defended successfully. I will flash the gains

:28:01.:28:04.

for you so you can see where exactly things changed. Conservative gain

:28:05.:28:12.

here, creating this blue collar around the south of Scotland.

:28:13.:28:19.

Dumfriesshire. Five was a gain. The night started with the Lib Dems

:28:20.:28:25.

holding on to Orkney and Shetland, signalling that they are still in

:28:26.:28:29.

the fight. They had difficulties in the other areas. Look at the centre

:28:30.:28:33.

of Scotland and see how the SNP powered through the Labour vote.

:28:34.:28:38.

This is a crucial part of the story. It is pretty much where they were

:28:39.:28:43.

five years ago, it was described as a stunning result. We have this belt

:28:44.:28:47.

around Glasgow. All the flashing seats in yellow are Labour seats

:28:48.:28:52.

that have gone to the SNP. It is true that Labour held Dunbarton

:28:53.:28:58.

north of Glasgow, and the Conservatives took Eastwood from

:28:59.:29:04.

Labour south. In the main where the SNP prospered it it was on the map

:29:05.:29:08.

at Labour's expense. We'll she the share the parties had. This shows

:29:09.:29:13.

the SNP where they were five years ago when the Parliament was last

:29:14.:29:20.

elected. 47%. In terms of the constituencies Labour and the

:29:21.:29:24.

Conservatives were quite close. If you are voting in Scotland you have

:29:25.:29:29.

two votes. One for the local representative, first-past-the-post.

:29:30.:29:34.

And the second into a regional list. 23, 22 for the Labour and the

:29:35.:29:38.

Conservatives. The Lib Dems lagging behind. The change on 2011, the

:29:39.:29:43.

all-important direction of travel graphic. SNP roughly where they

:29:44.:29:47.

were, but it was a good result back then. There's a little question mark

:29:48.:29:51.

about it, because last year's general election result saw the SNP

:29:52.:29:56.

getting 50%. 50%. Half the vote. They are now on 47. We had a

:29:57.:30:01.

conversation overnight, are we past the point of peak SNP? That's the

:30:02.:30:06.

question. It is an impressive performance. Labour are the story

:30:07.:30:10.

with this problem here going down 9%. The Conservatives then rising by

:30:11.:30:17.

comparison, up 8%. Lib Dems roughly where they were.

:30:18.:30:26.

Here the SNP were a bit lower, but this is where the Conservatives won

:30:27.:30:33.

their second place against Labour, on the second vote that they did

:30:34.:30:39.

much better than Labour. Greens 7%, Lib Dems 5%, Ukip 2%. Change on the

:30:40.:30:44.

list, again SNP roughly where they were, a bit down on 2011. It's the

:30:45.:30:49.

Conservatives making all the ground. So it was a terrible night for

:30:50.:30:54.

Labour in Scotland. It was a very good night for the SNP. And in a

:30:55.:30:59.

way, surprise secondary winners, the Conservatives, taking the second

:31:00.:31:01.

place. Thanks very much. Listening to that

:31:02.:31:06.

carefully and certainly in terms of the challenge for Labour, I'm going

:31:07.:31:10.

to bring in the Labour MP Jess Philips in Birmingham. Thanks very

:31:11.:31:15.

much for talking to us. Your sense of where Labour is at teatime today,

:31:16.:31:20.

having digested most of the results, we've got Chris Leslie in the studio

:31:21.:31:24.

saying he was hoping for far better, frankly. Where are you? I think that

:31:25.:31:29.

I am fairly nonplussed by it all. There has been no movement forward.

:31:30.:31:33.

A bit of a movement backwards and I think it's just really brilliant

:31:34.:31:36.

watching all political parties trying to spin how this has been

:31:37.:31:41.

good for them, when really the result is (inaudible) Oh, that's a

:31:42.:31:46.

shame, because Jess was just getting into her stride. Are you back? ...

:31:47.:31:50.

Spin how this has been good for them, when really... Hello? You're

:31:51.:31:55.

back with us. Sorry we lost you for a second. This is exciting and

:31:56.:32:01.

technical! Terribly exciting. Can I just thank you for producing the

:32:02.:32:06.

excitement. Lessen, pick up -- listen, pick up again and say that

:32:07.:32:11.

the spin is intriguing. The spin is brilliant. I've listened to every

:32:12.:32:17.

party, even Lib Dems saying it's been a good night for them. The

:32:18.:32:21.

result is exactly the same as it was the day before yesterday. I'm not

:32:22.:32:25.

sure why everybody's so excited and declaring their own victory. Let me

:32:26.:32:30.

lead you to the question again, which is, your assessment of

:32:31.:32:34.

Labour's performance and what that leads us to think about Mr Corbyn's

:32:35.:32:38.

leadership. Do you want to comment on that? That seems to be all

:32:39.:32:42.

anybody wants any comment on is Jeremy Corbyn's leadership. I think

:32:43.:32:45.

that it should have been a lot better, but then David Cameron's

:32:46.:32:49.

results should have been a lot better. Yeah, I wouldn't be resting

:32:50.:32:56.

tonight, putting my feet up if I was Jeremy Corbyn, thinking what a

:32:57.:33:01.

cracking job I'd done. I'd think, "Wow, I got through that all right."

:33:02.:33:05.

Are you on course to win in 2020 on these results? Erm...... No.

:33:06.:33:09.

Absolutely not. I think that I've watched some of your programme today

:33:10.:33:13.

and what we are doing at the moment is stacking up vote well in places

:33:14.:33:16.

like Birmingham, there are reasons to be cheerful. Birmingham has

:33:17.:33:20.

bucked the national trend. We have gained seats for Labour and we

:33:21.:33:26.

bucked the national trend in the 2015 election and the same is

:33:27.:33:29.

happening in London. Getting more people out to vote for Labour in

:33:30.:33:34.

already Labour seats will not win an election. So that's what we've got

:33:35.:33:40.

to focus on, making gains in places where we didn't win in 2015. It's

:33:41.:33:45.

just, what kind of goals Jeremy Corbyn is setting himself. When you

:33:46.:33:49.

said last year, you'd be looking at evidence of whether he was damaging

:33:50.:33:52.

the party's chances of electoral success. So what judgment would you

:33:53.:33:55.

reach today, given that we now have proper results to look at? I

:33:56.:33:59.

wouldn't say it's a massive body blow, but I also wouldn't say it's

:34:00.:34:03.

anything to be cheerful about. He's got to look at the results today,

:34:04.:34:07.

actually look at them and not think, oh, this is brilliant, I've done a

:34:08.:34:10.

brilliant job. Look at them, really critically and say, what the hell

:34:11.:34:13.

are we going to do now to take the next steps? This isn't about sitting

:34:14.:34:18.

there and patting ourselves on the back and people from the far left of

:34:19.:34:21.

the party congratulating themselves and feeling smug and people from the

:34:22.:34:24.

far right being sort of like, trying to plot. This is about us looking at

:34:25.:34:28.

what has actually happened today and saying - what are we going to do

:34:29.:34:32.

tomorrow to make the change? Stay with us, Chris Leslie and Matt

:34:33.:34:37.

Hancock here. Your thoughts? We're supposed to be in an era of straight

:34:38.:34:42.

talking, honest new politics. Jess has been pretty good there. She said

:34:43.:34:47.

we're not doing it well enough. I can't possibly match her. Maybe I'm

:34:48.:34:51.

from the old era, Jess. You're perfect. Jess knows my obsession,

:34:52.:34:57.

absolute obsession is winning a general election in 2020. I am sorry

:34:58.:35:02.

to keep returning to this. I think the idea that we should be content

:35:03.:35:07.

with being a protest party with our placards in Opposition is actually

:35:08.:35:11.

completely failing the people Jess and I represent. I am not content to

:35:12.:35:17.

stay in Opposition. We have got to confront the problems that we've

:35:18.:35:21.

got. There are some very, very big challenges that the leadership team

:35:22.:35:25.

have. By the way, when John McDonnell today tells people like

:35:26.:35:29.

Jess to shut up... Put up or shut up. How on earth is that being a

:35:30.:35:35.

party that is listening, that is contemplative to what the public are

:35:36.:35:38.

saying? This is our time to listen to what the public are saying. There

:35:39.:35:43.

was a difference, Chris. Say put up or shut up, in effect saying if you

:35:44.:35:46.

want to consider some kind of challenge, just get on and do it, or

:35:47.:35:50.

else just be quiet. It's in that context, isn't it? Of course, John

:35:51.:35:55.

McDonnell was always the most loyal of members of Parliament for the

:35:56.:36:00.

past 30 years and so he comes at that with great authority. I think

:36:01.:36:05.

we have a duty to our constituents and to the people of this country to

:36:06.:36:10.

not accept another, well, five years of Conservative Government. William

:36:11.:36:14.

Hill, the bookies have said that they now their odds are on not being

:36:15.:36:20.

a change of Government till 2031. I am not content with that. None of us

:36:21.:36:24.

should be. I'm really glad we've won, looks like London results

:36:25.:36:28.

brilliant. Great local councillors, slogging their guts out, holding

:36:29.:36:32.

onto their areas. My God, we have got to pull our socks up, all of us

:36:33.:36:39.

Does that mean unity though? That's what they're talking about, the

:36:40.:36:42.

rallying cry to get behind the leader will help. Unity behind the

:36:43.:36:46.

challenges that have to be confronted, right. Are we reaching

:36:47.:36:49.

out beyond our core vote? Are we talking to new people, to those

:36:50.:36:54.

areas that we have to win? You've had the Scotland analysis, I don't

:36:55.:36:57.

see those non-voters coming out for the Labour Party. I don't see us

:36:58.:37:04.

being able to build a coalition with Greens and Liberal Democrats.

:37:05.:37:07.

Shocking though it might be, we have to persuade Conservatives to vote

:37:08.:37:10.

for the Labour Party as well. That, I think, is our challenge. If we

:37:11.:37:15.

don't couldn't front those -- confront those issues and get

:37:16.:37:22.

through the momentesque time warp of unilateralism or the economy, we've

:37:23.:37:25.

got to start looking of moving to the centre ground and taking it from

:37:26.:37:31.

the Conservatives. We should be harrying these guys every inch of

:37:32.:37:34.

the way given the appalling way they're running the country and the

:37:35.:37:38.

way that David Cameron today is sitting back, quite happy, his feet

:37:39.:37:41.

up, he's hardly broken a sweat out of these results. I don't want to

:37:42.:37:50.

put a dampener on your career, I completely agree. This shows that

:37:51.:37:53.

Labour is not in touch with the sort of people who, frankly, Labour used

:37:54.:37:58.

to represent. Our job is to make sure that we keep delivering, as we

:37:59.:38:01.

are, the national living wage, just a month ago. You're not that's the

:38:02.:38:07.

problem. And one thing to pick up from what Jess was saying, which is

:38:08.:38:10.

she said everything's the same electorally as two days ago.

:38:11.:38:14.

Actually, in Scotland, it is very, very different, where the Tories are

:38:15.:38:21.

now in second place, behind a strong, compassionate, moderate

:38:22.:38:25.

Conservative leader, incredibly impressive Ruth Davidson. Our

:38:26.:38:33.

message in that election was that we have a reasonable, centrist,

:38:34.:38:35.

Conservative leader who can stand up to Nicola Sturgeon and be the only

:38:36.:38:42.

person who can. You claim that the Tory Government is delivering, that

:38:43.:38:46.

comes into question when you look at the u turn on academies for example.

:38:47.:38:52.

That was a massive about turn on a core policy, mainly opposition from

:38:53.:38:56.

your own side that finally seemed to change your mind. On that, on

:38:57.:39:01.

housing, on tax credits, you are being forced to change your

:39:02.:39:05.

policies. We listen, as we go through this. The key point is this:

:39:06.:39:11.

We had a mandate last year for five years. On schools, we have a very

:39:12.:39:16.

strong drive towards academies. We still hope to complete the acad

:39:17.:39:22.

piesation process. Of course there's a debate about how you get there.

:39:23.:39:28.

But whether it's delivering tax cuts, improving schools, more jobs,

:39:29.:39:31.

on these big things - building more houses - on the big things that

:39:32.:39:35.

matter to people that's what we're focussed on, not on talking about

:39:36.:39:40.

anti-Semitism or Hitler or all these other things and losing touch. We're

:39:41.:39:44.

totally focussed. There's no love for the Conservatives out in the

:39:45.:39:48.

country. There is no love for the Conservative Party. Instead of

:39:49.:39:52.

having, as we've seen in some of these results, people moving from

:39:53.:39:54.

the Conservatives back to the Liberal Democrats, for goodness

:39:55.:39:56.

sake, it should be coming to the Labour Party. I'm sorry if I'm

:39:57.:40:00.

frustrated and angry about this, but it's about raising our game. All of

:40:01.:40:04.

us pulling together to confront those challenges. On the academies,

:40:05.:40:07.

that is interesting, that's a big change today. You had 37 local

:40:08.:40:12.

authorities mainly Conservative authorities saying this policy makes

:40:13.:40:16.

no sense. Had you just asked us about it, we'd have told you so.

:40:17.:40:20.

This will not lead to a raising of standards, which was the precise

:40:21.:40:23.

goal of the policy in the first place, it does raise questions about

:40:24.:40:27.

the way that policy is formulated. If you did bother to ask people in

:40:28.:40:30.

the field, including some of your own friends in local government, you

:40:31.:40:33.

wouldn't have been in a position where you're having to have a U-turn

:40:34.:40:37.

on it, the day after the local elections. To put it mildly, it's an

:40:38.:40:44.

embarrassment. I think that Nicki's shown that she listens. It's easy

:40:45.:40:48.

for the immediate reaction to be about words like embarrassment, but

:40:49.:40:53.

ultimately, we are totally focussed on the goal over this whole

:40:54.:40:59.

Parliament, over five years, of delivering improved education in the

:41:00.:41:04.

same way as we want to deliver and deliver more jobs. It's the

:41:05.:41:07.

big-picture things that really matter to people that we're focussed

:41:08.:41:14.

on. Sure, you're always going to, you know, propose policies, listen

:41:15.:41:16.

to comments on them. The best thing to do is keep the focus on what

:41:17.:41:20.

really matters on the ground. It's the profusion of change really in. A

:41:21.:41:24.

few days on child refugees, you changed policy. Changing at least

:41:25.:41:29.

changing an approach in some way to the junior doctors dispute. I'm sure

:41:30.:41:33.

you'd quibble with that. There's a notable change of tone. Now on the

:41:34.:41:38.

academies as well, those are three major areas in just three or four

:41:39.:41:42.

days where you've changed position. Why? It's not to do with listening

:41:43.:41:46.

after the event. It's surely to do with a lack of thought before the

:41:47.:41:49.

policies were put into place. No, I think you're completely in the

:41:50.:41:53.

weeds. On the NHS, our manifesto commitment is a seven-day NHS. We're

:41:54.:41:57.

going to deliver that. Of course, you've got to get there and there's

:41:58.:42:02.

lots of discussion about how you do. Secondly, on schools, the drive is

:42:03.:42:05.

for academies. They increase standards. We're going to get there.

:42:06.:42:11.

Of course, you listen along the way. And on child refugees, we already

:42:12.:42:16.

had a policy of taking 3,000 child refugees. The original policy was to

:42:17.:42:21.

take them only from Syria. We've said that we'll take them also from

:42:22.:42:24.

within Europe, where that's necessary. All of these things are

:42:25.:42:28.

about being clear about what you want to achieve and then listening

:42:29.:42:31.

to people on the way to getting that. I think that's reasonable,

:42:32.:42:37.

grown-up, centre-ground politics. Rather than you know, carrying on

:42:38.:42:42.

regardless, without listening on the way. It's perfectly reasonable.

:42:43.:42:45.

Maybe it's a change of tone in politics that, if we set out the

:42:46.:42:49.

goal that we want to achieve ah, I seven-day NHS, I think you know...

:42:50.:42:55.

It's amazing, no mention of the European referendum here, which is

:42:56.:42:58.

the elephant in the room for the Conservative Party. They have had no

:42:59.:43:02.

choice because they're ripping each other to pieces on this. I mean, for

:43:03.:43:07.

us, in the Labour Party, we now have to move onto that European

:43:08.:43:10.

referendum and focus on it. This is really serious stuff now. And for

:43:11.:43:16.

our economy, and I hope that our leadership, we can all come behind

:43:17.:43:19.

that at least and do nothing that jeopardises the vote. On that note,

:43:20.:43:25.

a final point, given the need that your party leadership, the need for

:43:26.:43:30.

unity in this coming period, given the referendum's coming up, that is

:43:31.:43:34.

something that yes, you would go along with, that the Labour Party

:43:35.:43:38.

needs to be absolutely united? The run up to June 23? It's going to be

:43:39.:43:46.

a massive challenge. Being as the Tory party are such a show with

:43:47.:43:52.

regards to their unity. All we just heard is spin, spin, spin. Their

:43:53.:43:57.

backbenchers are not happy. They're getting anxious about what is being

:43:58.:44:03.

said to them in their own ranks. It's important that we, going into

:44:04.:44:06.

Europe, we make the strong and positive case. If that means the

:44:07.:44:09.

Labour Party pulling together to do that, I'll roll up my sleeves. Jess

:44:10.:44:13.

Philips, thanks for talking to us. No probs. More results coming in in

:44:14.:44:18.

the London contest. We're colouring in the map of

:44:19.:44:22.

London, slowly but surely. These are the areas we've had in so far for

:44:23.:44:26.

the mayoral contest. Look at the pattern that's emerged already. One

:44:27.:44:32.

in a safe Labour seat, one in a safe Tory seat and one in one that's

:44:33.:44:37.

changed hands. Each time you can see the swing from Conservative to

:44:38.:44:40.

Labour. It's a staggering one really.

:44:41.:44:47.

It is 11% in Merton and Wandsworth, you can see how dominant Sadiq Khan

:44:48.:44:57.

will be in this contest over Zac Goldsmith. In terms of the mayoral

:44:58.:45:00.

race so far, early days, but I think it is fair to say we are seeing a

:45:01.:45:07.

strong lead already. Sadiq Khan on 40% of the vote on first

:45:08.:45:12.

preferences, Zac Goldsmith on 39%. Let's see if we can show you what's

:45:13.:45:16.

happening now. The Conservative share of the vote down 12%. You

:45:17.:45:23.

might call it the Boris effect. He added on a good share of the dose

:45:24.:45:27.

last time, or you might say it is down to the campaigns these two

:45:28.:45:31.

individuals have been running this time around. On that kind of score,

:45:32.:45:39.

if that's mirrored across London, we should see an early victory for

:45:40.:45:44.

Sadiq Khan. Just a note from John Curtice. I may have a word

:45:45.:45:48.

Sadiq Khan. Just a note from John Curtice. I may have a word with John

:45:49.:45:52.

In a couple of seconds. At 32, says John, the net loss of council seats

:45:53.:45:56.

suffered by the Conservatives is now higher than the loss suffered by the

:45:57.:46:00.

Labour Party at 22 and the results have come to look even better for Mr

:46:01.:46:06.

Corbyn during the course of the day. Let's start on that, John, and then

:46:07.:46:11.

we'll talk about London. The conclusions you are drawing now from

:46:12.:46:14.

those net losses in the local elections are what? The picture

:46:15.:46:19.

hasn't fundamental lip changed, but during much of this morning the

:46:20.:46:24.

Conservatives were lauding the fact they were making net gains while

:46:25.:46:30.

Labour were making net losses had, small though those numbers were. The

:46:31.:46:36.

Conservatives suffered more losses than compared with Labour in 2012.

:46:37.:46:43.

Mr Corbyn has some persuading of his own parliamentary party to do about

:46:44.:46:48.

his ability to win voters. Shall we say his case has got a little

:46:49.:46:52.

stronger over the last couple of hours. Looking at London, what for

:46:53.:46:57.

you is the main point of interest for the mayoral position? The truth

:46:58.:47:02.

is, as Emily has shown you, you are looking at swings in London well

:47:03.:47:07.

above the 2% swing that Labour need on the first preference vote. If

:47:08.:47:11.

Labour come ahead on the first preference vote they are almost

:47:12.:47:14.

bound to win the election when the second preferences of those who

:47:15.:47:18.

didn't vote Conservative or Labour are redistributed. It seems pretty

:47:19.:47:22.

clear that Sadiq Khan will be the next Mayor of London. Much more

:47:23.:47:26.

difficult to calf is the Greater London Assembly. You saw that swing

:47:27.:47:31.

in Merton and Wandsworth, however the couple of list votes show

:47:32.:47:37.

Labour's vote dropping a bit. We should remember at the end of the

:47:38.:47:41.

day it will be the lest vote in London that will determine the

:47:42.:47:46.

number of seats that Labour gets. If they have won Merton and Wandsworth

:47:47.:47:52.

but not won on the list, the will get fewer seats in conversation.

:47:53.:47:57.

Another result from Ealing, yes? It is very key to remember there are

:47:58.:48:01.

these two ways of counting seats in London will. For the moment we are

:48:02.:48:04.

looking at the constituency seats. This is a Labour hold in Ealing and

:48:05.:48:10.

Hillingdon. Why is it important? It is Labour's most marginal. It has

:48:11.:48:14.

often been a bellwether in the mayoral race in the early days.

:48:15.:48:20.

Labour have held it. If we look at what's happening beneath the

:48:21.:48:22.

surface, the Conservative share of the vote is down 3%, Labour is up.

:48:23.:48:27.

And Ukip at the same time as well as the Greens. What does that mean on a

:48:28.:48:31.

swing? It is a smaller one than we've seen in other places but it is

:48:32.:48:35.

still a 3% swing from Conservative to Labour. It is quite interesting

:48:36.:48:40.

in a lot of these areas, the turnout has been up. The turnout has been up

:48:41.:48:45.

on last time round. We'll see whether that has helped Labour as

:48:46.:48:51.

well this time. Just seeing that Labour have also held City and East

:48:52.:48:57.

by a majority of nearly 90,000. That's another result in for Labour.

:48:58.:49:02.

Another strong performance for them. Just at this point, both of you, as

:49:03.:49:07.

we approach the end of the programme within about 20 minutes or so,

:49:08.:49:14.

trying to draw together some conclusions about what's been going

:49:15.:49:19.

on overnight. When you have contests which are as varied as these and are

:49:20.:49:25.

asking voters to make different decisions on different principles.

:49:26.:49:26.

In Scotland the way the country is the way the way the country is

:49:27.:49:48.

governed, and in Wales too. In the past when people have been asked on

:49:49.:49:52.

elected Mayors and the rest of it they haven't been too enthusiastic.

:49:53.:49:55.

Are you detecting that the mood on that is changing and we are likely

:49:56.:49:59.

to move to a much greater devolving of power from Westminster to local

:50:00.:50:05.

authorities? It is good to see turn-out up a bit. In some places

:50:06.:50:09.

more than others. There does seem to have been more engagement than there

:50:10.:50:13.

often is in local elections. Maybe that's because there's been such a

:50:14.:50:17.

big group of elections together. What's interesting is that the

:50:18.:50:22.

battles seem to be different in different places. So Scotland is

:50:23.:50:27.

very different, but it often is. But then some of the marginals around

:50:28.:50:32.

England look quite different to places like London, which is

:50:33.:50:39.

typically strong for Labour. So in Bury, and in Nuneaton, that huge

:50:40.:50:45.

moment on election night. Dudley Council, another marginal, there we

:50:46.:50:50.

are being a bit better, but in other areas less so. There are many, many

:50:51.:50:55.

different battles, but the central point I think is that we are six

:50:56.:51:02.

years into a government. We are broadly holding water, and we've

:51:03.:51:06.

done very well in Scotland. Labour shouldn't be going backwards. On the

:51:07.:51:14.

principle, we have elected Mayors, with more to come, Manchester, the

:51:15.:51:20.

Great Northern powerhouse, do you detect, leaving policy to one side,

:51:21.:51:26.

do you detect a great public demand for this kind of serious devolving

:51:27.:51:29.

of power to these great city regions? I think if it's the genuine

:51:30.:51:33.

and they can see that thread between themselves and who is making the

:51:34.:51:37.

decisions is. The problem is it is easy to talk about devolution when

:51:38.:51:41.

everybody knows this is what greater Manchester looks like. I'm from the

:51:42.:51:45.

East Midlands. We've been trying to get out of the Chancellor what's

:51:46.:51:49.

happening with Nottinghamshire, Derbyshire and Leicestershire.

:51:50.:51:53.

England isn't always something you can divide up into nice neat

:51:54.:51:57.

administrative areas. If you end up but too many layers, you get

:51:58.:51:59.

politicians passing the buck between them. A lot of the story tonight is

:52:00.:52:03.

yes people do vote on national issues. Some people do vote on local

:52:04.:52:10.

ones. I would say Sadiq Khan has managed to connect his authenticity,

:52:11.:52:14.

that's really shone through and that's galvanised strong Labour

:52:15.:52:18.

support. But when it comes the that national picture, we have to listen

:52:19.:52:22.

to what the electorate say, we've got a long way before we are in

:52:23.:52:34.

context with dump -- before we are in contention to win that 2020

:52:35.:52:42.

election. There's been a third historic victory for the SNP and

:52:43.:52:46.

Nicola Sturgeon has give a pledge to people who didn't more the SNP,

:52:47.:52:51.

pledging she will try to govern on behalf of everyone regardless of

:52:52.:52:57.

their party affiliation. Let's go to Westminster and talk to Tommy

:52:58.:53:01.

Shepherd. Thank you for coming in to talk to us. Your thoughts on the

:53:02.:53:04.

outcome in Scotland and maybe to focus not on your party's win maybe,

:53:05.:53:08.

but you will want to talk about that, but you are facing a new

:53:09.:53:11.

opposition in the Conservatives. I do think you have to say that after

:53:12.:53:16.

nine years in Government it was quite remarkable for any party to

:53:17.:53:20.

get a third term of office. Not only do we do that but with the best ever

:53:21.:53:27.

election results in the Scottish Parliament elections. More votes and

:53:28.:53:34.

a higher share for us. I congratulate Ruth Davidson. She's

:53:35.:53:38.

done a good job of detoxifying the Conservative brand in Scotland. We

:53:39.:53:41.

have to point out it looks better than it is, because Labour have done

:53:42.:53:47.

so badly. Ruth has only succeeded in getting the Tories back to almost

:53:48.:53:52.

where they were after the end of two terms of Margaret Thatcher's

:53:53.:53:58.

Government in the 1980s. It is a better than it was. We look forward

:53:59.:54:04.

to being opposed by Ruth and working constructively with her and other

:54:05.:54:07.

parties to take the Scottish Government forward. It is a 16-seat

:54:08.:54:10.

gain for the Conservatives. That's why they are in the main opposition

:54:11.:54:15.

place. What for you will now be the main policy debates? Scotland? It is

:54:16.:54:20.

interesting Ruth Davidson said one of the reason she thought she won

:54:21.:54:25.

the seats she won is she offered a clear narrative on the union and

:54:26.:54:28.

opposing the second referendum. Referendum. She thought lots of

:54:29.:54:33.

people came to the Conservatives in Scotland because she was offering

:54:34.:54:37.

what's the Conservatives weren't offering. I think she was guilty at

:54:38.:54:42.

times or obsessing on a second referendum. She mentioned very

:54:43.:54:46.

little else. I hope she can put that away and get on with being a good

:54:47.:54:52.

opposition. Chats what she set out to be and what she achieved. The

:54:53.:54:57.

main problems in Scotland, as we set out in our manifesto, defending and

:54:58.:55:02.

improving public services, our housing crisis, and making sure that

:55:03.:55:04.

kids in working class communities get as much out of the education

:55:05.:55:09.

system as everyone else. Just a thought at this point as well,

:55:10.:55:13.

Tommy. I mentioned policy there. What do you think, when Nicola

:55:14.:55:24.

Sturgeon talks about prioritising education, what do you think it will

:55:25.:55:29.

entail in policy and spending terms? There can be consensus across many

:55:30.:55:33.

of the parties on this, and many politicians. Everyone agrees

:55:34.:55:37.

something needs to be done to make sure that working class kids have

:55:38.:55:41.

the same chances to get on in the education system as those from a

:55:42.:55:44.

middle class or a better off background. It does seem to be an

:55:45.:55:49.

intractable problem. This new administration is going to leave no

:55:50.:55:54.

stone unturned. The First Minister has asked to be judged by this above

:55:55.:55:59.

all else. I firmly believe her when she says she is going to close that

:56:00.:56:04.

attainment gap. That will mean putting a focus and money into

:56:05.:56:07.

schools where it is not happening. It will mean making sure we improve

:56:08.:56:11.

the education available in these areas and encourage people to take

:56:12.:56:14.

it up. Rather than the obsession, which appears to be happening in

:56:15.:56:17.

England, about the governance of schools themselves. We'll get on

:56:18.:56:21.

with improving the education system. There's ?500 million that will go

:56:22.:56:24.

straight to head teachers in the areas that most need it in order to

:56:25.:56:28.

bring the standards up in those areas. Tommy Shepherd, thank you

:56:29.:56:36.

very much. A pleasure, Huw. Police and Crime Commissioners, we are

:56:37.:56:40.

getting more results in. I am going to join my colleague in Bridlington

:56:41.:56:48.

to talk about the Humberside result. Labour here are confident their

:56:49.:56:55.

candidate has unseated the incumbent Conservative Police and Crime

:56:56.:56:57.

Commissioner for the Humberside force area. Labour's Keith Hunter is

:56:58.:57:01.

a former senior police officer. He didn't get enough votes to win this

:57:02.:57:07.

on the first preference ballot but on the second preference ballot is

:57:08.:57:11.

is more than 20,000 votes ahead and looks like he is heading for

:57:12.:57:17.

victory. There's a sense of deja vu around us here in Bridlington,

:57:18.:57:20.

because four years ago Labour's candidate was John Prescott, Lord

:57:21.:57:25.

Prescott, former Deputy Prime Minister, who was ahead on first

:57:26.:57:29.

preference votes but lost it when those all important second

:57:30.:57:32.

preference votes were counted. I don't think that's going to happen

:57:33.:57:37.

this time round. It looks like we are heading for a Labour gain here

:57:38.:57:41.

in Humberside. STUDIO: Just a quick thought about

:57:42.:57:46.

the profile of the campaign. Overall turnout this these contests, 22%.

:57:47.:57:51.

When you have high-profile people involved like a former achieve

:57:52.:57:55.

Superintendent or a Deputy Prime Minister, the race has a different

:57:56.:57:59.

profile. What sense do you have of the impact the job has had on that

:58:00.:58:04.

area, for example? Based on current turnout, the turnout was up this

:58:05.:58:08.

year, just under 23% in the Humberside force area. But the last

:58:09.:58:12.

Police and Crime Commissioner elections took place in November, on

:58:13.:58:17.

a day when there were no other local elections happening on the same day.

:58:18.:58:21.

On the streets of Bridlington today it is a sunny day in this East

:58:22.:58:26.

Yorkshire seaside resort. Police are not talking about Police and Crime

:58:27.:58:30.

Commissioners. When I mentioned the job description, they shrugged their

:58:31.:58:34.

shoulders. There is still a lot of work to to do for the man - and it

:58:35.:58:41.

is likely to do for the man - and it is likely to be Keith Hunter - who

:58:42.:58:44.

wins this role here in Humberside. Thank you. A quick comment from eve

:58:45.:58:49.

of you on Police and Crime Commissioner. People are saying the

:58:50.:58:52.

level of interest has been disappointingly low. Was it worth

:58:53.:58:56.

the effort and investment? I think tonight, this afternoon, they are

:58:57.:59:02.

showing their value. There is that one result and there's Conservative

:59:03.:59:08.

victories in Kent, West Mercia, Warwickshire, Lincolnshire, all

:59:09.:59:11.

taking over from independents. Turnout was low in some places but

:59:12.:59:18.

in other areas was remarkably high for quite a specialist election.

:59:19.:59:21.

They have done a great job in the last four years and they are

:59:22.:59:25.

becoming increasingly Ed Miliband bed bid. They are good news. And

:59:26.:59:29.

your attitude to the PCCs and Labour's attitude, which I think has

:59:30.:59:33.

changed. Do you think changed. Do you think it should be

:59:34.:59:41.

It would be difficult to go back to the previous arrangement. There is

:59:42.:59:46.

talk that what they, do the Government are talking about

:59:47.:59:50.

combining them with fire authorities or even other grander combined

:59:51.:59:54.

authority, local authority leadership, almost like in London.

:59:55.:59:59.

The thing that I worry about is - do people know who their Police

:00:00.:00:03.

Commissioner is? And if things go wrong, is that where the buck stops

:00:04.:00:07.

or do they default to MPs and the Prime Minister? I think we have a

:00:08.:00:11.

long way to go to properly inform people, who is your Police

:00:12.:00:14.

Commissioner and what they do. Where they do know, like in

:00:15.:00:17.

Nottinghamshire, they get great results. Where it works, I think it

:00:18.:00:23.

can really fly. Turnout is much improved on last time. Some of the

:00:24.:00:28.

incumbents... Couldn't be any lower, could it? Well, it could have been.

:00:29.:00:34.

15%. It's gone up significantly. Some of the incumbents who've done a

:00:35.:00:42.

good job, I mentioned Tim Passmore, a big increase because he spoke to

:00:43.:00:45.

people and represented the police to the ordinary voter. It's worked

:00:46.:00:49.

well. More results coming in. Let's join Emily.

:00:50.:00:56.

Take you to the London Assembly, Havering and Redbridge, the most

:00:57.:00:59.

eastern seat on the Assembly. It's vulnerable normally for the

:01:00.:01:01.

Conservatives. They have held on here. You can see how tight that

:01:02.:01:05.

vote is between the two main parties. This is why, it's the

:01:06.:01:10.

presence of Ukip coming in, up 9%. They stood last time round. They've

:01:11.:01:13.

made real gains of 9% this time round. The swing is not really

:01:14.:01:16.

between those two parties. Curiously, we've had a tweet in the

:01:17.:01:21.

last few moments from Wes Streeting, the Labour MP, who said he thinks

:01:22.:01:25.

that Ken Livingstone's remarks have had a bad effect on Labour here. I'm

:01:26.:01:30.

not looking at that Ukip result whether he's totally right on that

:01:31.:01:33.

one. People are trying to make sense of results that are coming in that

:01:34.:01:38.

are bucking that initial trend. Here's another one City and East

:01:39.:01:40.

London, a Labour hold. But this is the first place where we've seen

:01:41.:01:44.

that Labour share of the vote go down. Down by 5%. Why? Again, it

:01:45.:01:49.

could be the presence of Ukip here, making gains of 5% or it could be

:01:50.:01:54.

Respect making gains since 2011 of 3% for the party. Don't forget, they

:01:55.:01:59.

had a problem with the mayor in Tower Hamlets, Respect mayor, a

:02:00.:02:02.

while ago. They don't seem to have been set back by that. Some quite

:02:03.:02:07.

interesting results here. Once again, turnout up in all these seats

:02:08.:02:11.

by 10%. I don't know whether it's the publicity maybe that this

:02:12.:02:16.

mayoral contest has generated or Ken Livingstone's remarks, but it's

:02:17.:02:19.

having an effect on voters, more going to the polls. That's very

:02:20.:02:21.

interesting. Thanks very much. I want to bring in

:02:22.:02:26.

Councillor Sam Tarry, for Barking Dagenham, also on the steering group

:02:27.:02:30.

for Momentum. He joins us from Westminster. Thanks very much for

:02:31.:02:34.

coming in. We've heard lots from Jess Philips and from Chris Leslie

:02:35.:02:37.

here about their concerns about this result. Why don't you give us your

:02:38.:02:41.

perspective of how you think Labour's done overnight and where it

:02:42.:02:45.

stands today. Look, clearly Scotland is very difficult. No matter who was

:02:46.:02:49.

leading the Labour Party that was always going to be a very tough

:02:50.:02:53.

call. Across the country from the Midlands to the south coast,

:02:54.:02:58.

Hastings up to Derby, including places like Norwich, I pitch and

:02:59.:03:05.

places like -- Ipswich and Harlow, they held on. After the innessant

:03:06.:03:15.

comments and -- innessant comments -- incessant comments and attacks,

:03:16.:03:20.

we've moved forward. People want to hear the message that Corbyn has got

:03:21.:03:23.

that he's offering hope and he Shh... Is having -- is having

:03:24.:03:32.

resonance in middle England. London, stonking results. We saw there a

:03:33.:03:38.

90,000 majority. Admittedly a Labour strong hold. Nearly a 10% swing to

:03:39.:03:45.

Labour, potentially Labour's best ever result on the GLA. Across the

:03:46.:03:52.

piece as well, turnout levels up. That huge enthusiasm for Jeremy, if

:03:53.:03:55.

we're honest, hasn't been found right the way across the country,

:03:56.:04:01.

but it has, in many key places, played a pivotal role. Look at Clive

:04:02.:04:07.

Lewis in Norwich, knocking out the Greens. Here in London, huge

:04:08.:04:11.

increases in activism and people on the streets. The reality is the

:04:12.:04:17.

Tories set up the campaign in London as this so-called experiment, Corbyn

:04:18.:04:22.

experiment NASA deeck would be -- experiment that Sadiq would be

:04:23.:04:30.

Corbyn's man. They've utterly failed. The desperation what have is

:04:31.:04:35.

one of the most appalling and racist campaigns that the Conservatives

:04:36.:04:38.

have ever run in the last 30 years, I think, has had a resounding kick

:04:39.:04:45.

boss back from Londoners -- kickback from Londoners who say that kind of

:04:46.:04:49.

nasty politics is not what we want. Labour have been handed a tremendous

:04:50.:04:52.

victory. I mean, I think it's actually a case in some of those

:04:53.:04:56.

places, weighing the vote for Labour. Sadiq has won a superb

:04:57.:05:01.

campaign. He's had to fight back against such an awful campaign,

:05:02.:05:05.

that's turned off Londoners. That hope and inspiration that Jeremy's

:05:06.:05:08.

brought over the summer is actually there and actually really delivering

:05:09.:05:13.

for us in the streets, in terms of people coming out, campaigning. New

:05:14.:05:17.

act investigates on the doorstep and across the country -- activists. We

:05:18.:05:27.

have held on in touch places and made huge advances. The crowning

:05:28.:05:34.

glory in London, Sadiq Khan will be crowned the Mayor of London. Thank

:05:35.:05:39.

goodness he ran a clean and decent campaign, standing up for Londoners,

:05:40.:05:42.

with real policies to change London for the better. Zach Goldsmith,

:05:43.:05:46.

frankly, needs to hang his head in shame.

:05:47.:05:50.

Very quickly, if I may, we're up against the clock, those people you

:05:51.:05:55.

call the naysayers, what they're saying seriously is based on this

:05:56.:05:59.

performance you are not likely to be heading for a Labour victory in

:06:00.:06:03.

2020. That is the main thing, as far as they're concerned, to get Labour

:06:04.:06:06.

into power and put Labour policies into practice. What do you say to

:06:07.:06:10.

them? I think we're quite a long way off from the last general election.

:06:11.:06:14.

We're not actually gone back, we've gone forward, aprart from in

:06:15.:06:19.

Scotland. That's a separate debate. From what those people are saying,

:06:20.:06:23.

perhaps if some of them had shut up and put up or actually stopped

:06:24.:06:27.

laying into Jeremy so much over the last few weeks, we'd have gone

:06:28.:06:30.

further and held more places. They have a lot to answer for. The

:06:31.:06:34.

reality is this is a process of building and this is actually a sure

:06:35.:06:38.

and steady step forward and in London, obviously, it's a huge leap

:06:39.:06:43.

forward. Good of you to come in. Thank you very much for talking to

:06:44.:06:51.

us. Pleasure. Sam Tarry there on the steering group for Momentum such a

:06:52.:06:54.

strong supporter of Jeremy Corbyn. Let's take stock. Local elections in

:06:55.:06:58.

England, where are we now that we've had a lot of debate about woulds won

:06:59.:07:04.

and lost? Let's join Jeremy again. Let's look at those councils in

:07:05.:07:09.

England. With have nearly all of them, a dozen or so to come. The key

:07:10.:07:13.

thing about the map, the striking thing is that 24 hours ago it looked

:07:14.:07:18.

roughly the same. If I get to flash the gained councils, I'm struggling

:07:19.:07:23.

find any, Peterborough, a Conservative gain. Dudley goes from

:07:24.:07:29.

Labour to no overall control. Woir. Basically the map is as it was 24

:07:30.:07:34.

hours ago. The question then is what we actually read into that? It's

:07:35.:07:38.

interesting hearing that last interview about this is a platform

:07:39.:07:43.

for Labour to advance and so on. Certainly Labour have founted an

:07:44.:07:47.

effective -- mounted an effective defence during this election. If I

:07:48.:07:50.

ask the map to flash the Labour seats, these were ones where if you

:07:51.:07:55.

read the papers and you listen to the pundits you're thinking Jeremy

:07:56.:07:58.

Corbyn is not in a position to defend, let us say Labour's control

:07:59.:08:02.

of Exeter down here. Or in Southampton, where this council is

:08:03.:08:06.

red, next to Liberal Democrat Eastleigh or further along the south

:08:07.:08:11.

coast, this is way outside Labour's natural territory, that's why we're

:08:12.:08:14.

focussing on the south, in Hastings, for example. The interesting thing

:08:15.:08:18.

as these results came in, they didn't just hang onto all of them,

:08:19.:08:23.

he pretty much kept them. He didn't lose any of them. We have Stevenage,

:08:24.:08:32.

Harlow, and Crawley and Slough flashing red, successfully defended

:08:33.:08:35.

by this Labour leader. The question is whether an effective defence of

:08:36.:08:39.

Labour's existing assets is enough to give a clue to the next general

:08:40.:08:43.

election result, whether it's going to take them towards a win in 2020.

:08:44.:08:47.

Because you can do perfectly well defending what you've got, but you

:08:48.:08:50.

need to move forward. That's the key thing for Labour. Some context here,

:08:51.:08:55.

let's lock at projected national share, the outcomes of elections in

:08:56.:09:00.

these years going back to 2010. General election year groun lost for

:09:01.:09:03.

-- Gordon Brown lost for Labour. Let's look at the scores here.

:09:04.:09:06.

Labour were challenged by the Liberal Democrats. They barely

:09:07.:09:11.

managed to scrape second here. The Conservatives ahead. What's

:09:12.:09:15.

interesting is go on one year beyond that general election and you see

:09:16.:09:19.

this. Here we have almost the position that we've ended up with

:09:20.:09:27.

tonight. Labour 1% ahead, 36% for Labour, 35% here for the

:09:28.:09:29.

Conservatives, the Lib Dems beginning to be punished for the

:09:30.:09:33.

coalition, separate story. They'll be right down here throughout this

:09:34.:09:36.

graph. If you're Labour and you're starting to think this is good,

:09:37.:09:40.

well, yeah, maybe. It didn't go onto a win at the 2015 general election.

:09:41.:09:46.

2012, here we are, 38% for Labour, 31% for the Conservatives. This was

:09:47.:09:50.

the high point for Ed Miliband. You can see as we move on through the

:09:51.:09:58.

graph to 2015, 35% for the Conservatives, 29% for Labour, 13

:09:59.:10:02.

for Ukip and 11 for the Liberal Democrats. We were comparing a lot

:10:03.:10:05.

with 2012, because that was the year in which these council seats were

:10:06.:10:09.

last fought. Labour were ahead then and they've mounted an effective

:10:10.:10:13.

defence of many of the seats and councils that they had at that

:10:14.:10:16.

stage. A comparison with this year is interesting too. Let's look.

:10:17.:10:22.

General election year 2015 shows the Conservatives on 35. Now we have

:10:23.:10:27.

them down to 30%. Labour up to 31. Back to you.

:10:28.:10:31.

Thank you. We're just approaching the end, so thanks to you and your

:10:32.:10:35.

team for illustrating lots of these points so vividly for us overnight

:10:36.:10:39.

and today. It's been very enjoyable. Thanks very much to you and everyone

:10:40.:10:43.

in the green corner over there. Sure. And thanks to Emily too.

:10:44.:10:49.

Emily, adding lots of detail, very important detail for us on lots of

:10:50.:10:54.

these results. A last word? I don't think we'll get the full result in

:10:55.:10:58.

before we go off air, make of this what you will, a clear picture is

:10:59.:11:03.

emerging now. Labour's Sadiq Khan on the mayoral race with five of the 14

:11:04.:11:08.

seats in already is on 41% share of the vote to Zach Goldsmith on 39%.

:11:09.:11:13.

Remember, we've had more of the Tory heartlands in at this point. For

:11:14.:11:19.

Labour to be in the lead of plus 6%, Conservatives falling backwards

:11:20.:11:22.

minus 11 is very good news for Sadiq Khan. He is beating Boris in a

:11:23.:11:29.

couple of those places, Ealing and Merton, an extraordinary place for

:11:30.:11:33.

Labour to be in London tonight. ( Emily, thanks to you and the team

:11:34.:11:36.

over there for adding so much information for us as the night went

:11:37.:11:40.

on, especially when there were so many results coming through and

:11:41.:11:43.

being on top of that. Tim is in City Hall for a quick update. A couple of

:11:44.:11:49.

sentences on how things look now. Electronic counting almost complete

:11:50.:11:54.

here. The computers saying yes, Sadiq Khan appears to have won by a

:11:55.:11:58.

Brite good margin. Constituencies are coming in fairly regularly. The

:11:59.:12:04.

turnout too looks up on last year, maybe 45%. Professor Tony Travers

:12:05.:12:10.

has said it seems like an endorsement of the mayoral model.

:12:11.:12:15.

Thanks again for your constant updates from City Hall. A sentence

:12:16.:12:18.

each gentlemen. Chris, your concluding thought after a very long

:12:19.:12:23.

night and a long day of results. Delighted about what looks like a

:12:24.:12:27.

big Sadiq Khan victory. I'm mortified by us come intoing third

:12:28.:12:30.

place in Scotland -- coming into third place in Scotland. There are

:12:31.:12:35.

lessons there about where the people want us to move, to the centre

:12:36.:12:39.

ground, as Sadiq has in London. They don't want to go down the militant

:12:40.:12:44.

momentum experiment, unfortunately we dalied with too much in Scotland.

:12:45.:12:49.

As for the rest, it's for me, about focussing on the mountain range we

:12:50.:12:53.

need to scale to win the general election and unfortunately, we're

:12:54.:13:00.

not really yet at those foot hills. Six years into Government to be

:13:01.:13:03.

holding our own in council election ises good, but then to cap that off

:13:04.:13:08.

with Ruth Davidson's victory in Scotland, a modern, compassionate

:13:09.:13:11.

Conservative really taking the fight up there and we're back in Scotland

:13:12.:13:15.

and that is great news. Thank you both for being with us during the

:13:16.:13:19.

day. I'm bound to say for his sterling work and his team on the

:13:20.:13:23.

ball economy, John, thank you so much for being with us, Professor

:13:24.:13:28.

John Curtis, for giving us such expert guidance You're welcome. Of

:13:29.:13:34.

course, Jo, just a final thought? Briefly, listening to the two here

:13:35.:13:38.

present their cases, of course, you're going to hear Scotland

:13:39.:13:40.

triumph say the Conservatives come intoing second place. Humiliation

:13:41.:13:44.

for you, but triumph in London. Good to have you with us. Thank you

:13:45.:13:48.

for being with us overnight and in the day. Lots more on the BBC News

:13:49.:13:52.

channel and on BBC News online. Bye for now.

:13:53.:13:58.

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