Part Three Election 2017: Northern Ireland


Part Three

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a big drop when you look at what the DUP candidate got which was 13,000.

:00:00.:00:00.

We will pore over those in more detail surely. Chris, your thoughts.

:00:00.:00:14.

What Newton was saying is panning out, we are seeing the voters

:00:15.:00:18.

flocking to the DUP and Sinn Fein. This will be the highest ever vote

:00:19.:00:26.

for the DUP. They got 225,000 votes in March and they have now added

:00:27.:00:31.

50,000. Sinn Fein is in line for its highest ever vote. Clearly

:00:32.:00:38.

Nationalists have looked at the SDLP and decided that they will call time

:00:39.:00:44.

on them. One of the stories will be the tactical decision that Colum

:00:45.:00:48.

Eastwood made. Just to explain these pictures. This is the count centre

:00:49.:01:00.

in Omagh leisure centre. Michelle Gildernew, she looks pretty please

:01:01.:01:09.

with herself. It was on the cards that if Sinn Fein were able to get

:01:10.:01:13.

the nationalist to turn out, they would win that seat. I think even

:01:14.:01:18.

Unionist accepted that. It looks like Sinn Fein have won back that

:01:19.:01:23.

seat, which was a number one target. I think South Down was probably on

:01:24.:01:28.

the cards, Foyle is the real surprise and it shows the dire state

:01:29.:01:35.

of the SDLP. In one sense, to lose one seat would be misfortune, two to

:01:36.:01:40.

be curlers, three is utterly calamitous. It now means, where do

:01:41.:01:49.

they SDLP go? Similarly, word of the Ulster Unionist goal? It looks like

:01:50.:01:51.

they were registered the worst percentage share of the vote

:01:52.:01:55.

probably ever. You might have thought they could have come back in

:01:56.:02:01.

a Stormont election but the trends here are irresistible. I think a

:02:02.:02:05.

Stormont election would make it worse for them. Just pick up on the

:02:06.:02:10.

figures, as far, just referring to them there are moment or two ago, as

:02:11.:02:17.

far as Neary and Ahmad is concerned, still a big collapse in the Ulster

:02:18.:02:24.

Unionist vote. In 2010, it was 8500, so it is down to half of what it

:02:25.:02:30.

was. There was only one candidate... That ties in with what is happening

:02:31.:02:35.

elsewhere. In the seat that Unionist could not win, they all tended to

:02:36.:02:46.

line up behind the DUP. We hear that Theresa May has gone to Conservative

:02:47.:02:50.

Party headquarters rather than Downing Street. I gave a little bit

:02:51.:02:55.

of false information there. Alex Maskey... There will be trouble

:02:56.:03:02.

ahead for Theresa May. Do you think she can hang on? It is none of my

:03:03.:03:09.

business. I would have to say, she called an election on a very

:03:10.:03:13.

specific purpose and it has dismally failed and in any other situation,

:03:14.:03:18.

she would be gone by tomorrow. Simon Hamilton, welcome. Thank you for

:03:19.:03:23.

joining us at a moment of high drama. I have to ask you about going

:03:24.:03:33.

back, not you personally, but the party going back to Westminster with

:03:34.:03:39.

ten seats, you have added two on before, did you think in your

:03:40.:03:42.

wildest dreams that you would get that result? It is a phenomenal

:03:43.:03:48.

result. We had a sense that people were moving in our direction, that

:03:49.:03:54.

our message of sending a strong team to Westminster, to register support

:03:55.:03:58.

for the union, especially on the back of a disappointing Assembly

:03:59.:04:03.

election, it was a wake-up call for many unionists and they have rallied

:04:04.:04:08.

to the DUP. Some phenomenal results, to take the three Belfast seats, but

:04:09.:04:15.

even away from that, if you go to places like West Tyrone, Mid Ulster

:04:16.:04:19.

and Newry and Armagh, not seats we were likely to win, but we have

:04:20.:04:23.

posted huge totals for our candidates. Alex Easton in North

:04:24.:04:35.

Down. Alex represents a neighbouring constituency to mine in the

:04:36.:04:42.

Assembly. It is an endorsement. We have a declaration for Fermanagh and

:04:43.:04:48.

South Tyrone. The eligible electorate was 70,000 601. The votes

:04:49.:05:01.

polled were 53,000 714. The valid votes were 53,000 488. The invalid

:05:02.:05:13.

votes were 226. And the percentage turnout was 76.08%. I, Martin Fox,

:05:14.:05:21.

as the deputy returning officer for the Fermanagh and South Tyrone

:05:22.:05:24.

constituency hereby declare that at the election, the number of votes

:05:25.:05:30.

for each candidate was as follows. Noreen Campbell, Alliance Party,

:05:31.:05:40.

886. Tom Elliott, Ulster Unionist Party, 24,000 355. Mary Garrity,

:05:41.:05:59.

SDLP, 2587. Michelle Gildernew, Sinn Fein, 25,000 200...

:06:00.:06:00.

CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. That is 25,000 230. Tanya Jones,

:06:01.:06:37.

Green Party, 423. I declare that Michelle Gildernew is returned to

:06:38.:06:41.

serve in Parliament for the Fermanagh and South Tyrone

:06:42.:06:56.

constituency. So, Michelle Gildernew has won Fermanagh South Tyrone for

:06:57.:07:01.

Sinn Fein, taking the seat from the outgoing MP, Tom Elliott of the

:07:02.:07:05.

Ulster Unionist Party. The DUP did not run a candidate. Quick bit of

:07:06.:07:11.

mathematics, I think her majority is 875. I think that is right. We are

:07:12.:07:17.

going to hear what she has to say. She has made her way quickly up to

:07:18.:07:23.

the platform. Lots of Sinn Fein supporters are very pleased with the

:07:24.:07:27.

result. I first of all want to thank Martin Fox and his staff here for

:07:28.:07:33.

what has been a bruising year for the Omagh Electoral Office, two

:07:34.:07:39.

elections in less than six months. A tough toll on all of our families. I

:07:40.:07:44.

commend Martin Fox and his staff. I wanted, and the other candidates and

:07:45.:07:50.

it was a very positive campaign and I know we tried to get our message

:07:51.:07:55.

across that there was a lot of fear and anxiety, particularly about

:07:56.:07:59.

Brexit and what it will mean for us here, not just the closure of border

:08:00.:08:05.

rolls, tariffs and delays but potentially fracking and all sorts

:08:06.:08:09.

of complications that we do not need. People did vote with their

:08:10.:08:14.

hearts and heads and voted in huge numbers for Sinn Fein in this

:08:15.:08:19.

election on the basis of the fear and anxiety that Brexit and a

:08:20.:08:22.

referendum result has produced and also the anger that the failure to

:08:23.:08:27.

accept the majority in favour of staying in Europe, that we have here

:08:28.:08:32.

in the six counties. I want to also congratulate my other Sinn Fein

:08:33.:08:37.

candidates, I cannot believe I am being returned to Westminster along

:08:38.:08:43.

with Elisha McCallion. Brilliant, well done. We are also joined by

:08:44.:08:55.

Chris Hazzard and I think that is seven. Who could forget, the main

:08:56.:09:12.

man, Barry McElduff? I want to thank Jemma Dolan my election agent, I

:09:13.:09:18.

want to thank Sean and all of the people. This campaign has been

:09:19.:09:21.

characterised the amount of goodwill and support there is right across

:09:22.:09:26.

Ireland. It was unprecedented and I will be spending the rest of my life

:09:27.:09:31.

doing payback canvasses all over Ireland, because without you, we

:09:32.:09:35.

could not have done will be dead and team Sinn Fein is a very proud

:09:36.:09:41.

tonight and we are all each and everyone of us and equal part of

:09:42.:09:44.

that team and I am proud and humbled to be here as part of Team Sinn Fein

:09:45.:09:51.

tonight. I want to thank Michelle O'Neill for the part that she has

:09:52.:09:52.

played. CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. I want to

:09:53.:10:06.

thank my family, Jimmy and the wee ones. Mummy and daddy, my entire

:10:07.:10:13.

family, all of the people who were involved in this election, a special

:10:14.:10:20.

mention to their cabin crew, because without you...

:10:21.:10:30.

APPLAUSE. We polled 25,000... Something like that. But I want to

:10:31.:10:35.

acknowledge the hundreds of people who applied and were not able to get

:10:36.:10:40.

their postal vote and we have a lot of frustrated and angry people who

:10:41.:10:45.

if we had lost the seat by a narrow margin would have blamed themselves

:10:46.:10:49.

and that is not fair and we need to recognise that people, especially

:10:50.:10:52.

here when people are working away from home at university or unwell,

:10:53.:10:57.

we need to get a system that works for everyone because some of our

:10:58.:11:02.

most vulnerable are sitting at home tonight worrying and here's their

:11:03.:11:05.

vote was the one that did not get us over the line. For the hundreds of

:11:06.:11:09.

people who missed out on a post or proxy vote, I want to thank you

:11:10.:11:14.

because you tried your best. APPLAUSE. We have huge challenges

:11:15.:11:25.

ahead, let us not be mistaken, I have not heard what is going on

:11:26.:11:29.

across the water but Tory austerity is going to really impact upon the

:11:30.:11:33.

most vulnerable people in our community and it is our job to work

:11:34.:11:40.

on behalf of everyone, not just the working poor are other nonworking

:11:41.:11:43.

prayer, but the most vulnerable. The people who are concerned about the

:11:44.:11:49.

environment and jobs, pylons in Armagh, the lack of broadband, there

:11:50.:11:54.

is still a lot of work to be done in this constituency, it will not be

:11:55.:11:57.

easy over the next number of years, but I can tell you this, I and Team

:11:58.:12:04.

Sinn Fein are up for the challenge and just before I finish. I was not

:12:05.:12:11.

prepared to write anything down, just in case. I also want to give

:12:12.:12:14.

special mention to the people who camped out in Fermanagh and South

:12:15.:12:24.

Tyrone, because you know every corner of Fermanagh and South Tyrone

:12:25.:12:29.

and you know all the challenges. I will think of something and wish I

:12:30.:12:33.

had said it. I want to say, everybody, say, good night.

:12:34.:12:40.

Michelle Gildernew obviously delighted to have won the seat back,

:12:41.:12:51.

a majority of 875. Her vote was up on two years ago but so was Tom

:12:52.:12:57.

Elliott's, who despite that has lost the seat. Hopefully we will hear

:12:58.:13:03.

from him. We will stick with this for a moment or two more. Can anyone

:13:04.:13:10.

see Tom Elliott? Maybe he's not going to speak. We will see, if he

:13:11.:13:17.

pops up we will try and take it. Let's come back to my panel and we

:13:18.:13:23.

have been joined by Danny Kennedy of the Ulster Unionist Party, so let's

:13:24.:13:27.

go to you. Not the result you were hoping for. You had to seats at

:13:28.:13:33.

Westminster, you lost Danny Kinahan earlier and that finishes off a

:13:34.:13:39.

pretty wrong light for your party. We're very disappointed the loss of

:13:40.:13:43.

John, disappointed for Tom and for the party, disappointed for unionism

:13:44.:13:52.

and also in a funny way for the entire electorate Fermanagh and

:13:53.:13:56.

South Tyrone because they now have no representation at Westminster.

:13:57.:14:00.

But that's what a majority of people there voted for. That's part of the

:14:01.:14:07.

democratic process but it is a matter of regret for me that in

:14:08.:14:12.

constituencies mostly west of the barn there will be no

:14:13.:14:16.

representation. That is a fact of life. What is the message to the

:14:17.:14:26.

Ulster Unionist Party and the SDLP, no longer members of the House of

:14:27.:14:32.

Commons, so no SDLP, no UUP, a stronger DUP and Sinn Fein, what

:14:33.:14:39.

does that tell us? The backdrop to this election was an Assembly poll

:14:40.:14:44.

in March and there has been a reaction in the unionist population

:14:45.:14:47.

who have gravitated towards the larger unionist party. Because they

:14:48.:14:54.

believed it could deliver for them. They believed they were potentially

:14:55.:15:00.

a stronger force against the rise of Sinn Fein. That doesn't mean, with

:15:01.:15:09.

respect to anybody, and end in my view to the Ulster Unionist Party.

:15:10.:15:14.

We are still a significant presence in the Assembly where we are

:15:15.:15:18.

potentially entitled to ministerial seats. We have considerable

:15:19.:15:27.

representation in local councils and we will have to look again for a

:15:28.:15:37.

better day but we have been squeezed and unbelievably in this election

:15:38.:15:44.

and I congratulate the DUP. Alex Maskey, 24,355 people voted for Tom

:15:45.:15:51.

Elliott in Fermanagh South Karen. They wanted someone to represent

:15:52.:15:54.

them in discussions in Westminster to do with Brexit and other things,

:15:55.:15:59.

how does Michelle Gildernew represent them? Michelle has done

:16:00.:16:07.

effectively for a number of years, as an MP and MLA. She is part of

:16:08.:16:12.

what we would call team Sinn Fein. We have 30 members of the Doyle and

:16:13.:16:22.

seven senators. We are members of a state which the British Government

:16:23.:16:26.

will have to negotiate their Brexit deal with, so I would rather have

:16:27.:16:32.

representation in Dublin than in London, where the voices of MPs have

:16:33.:16:38.

been ignored, so the lesson is that people in the nationalist community

:16:39.:16:42.

and perhaps beyond have recognised the work Sinn Fein has been doing on

:16:43.:16:45.

the ground, we have been an effective party giving leadership,

:16:46.:16:51.

working with governments of all hues, whether Tory or British Labour

:16:52.:16:58.

or Irish. You could be more effective if you took your seats in

:16:59.:17:04.

Westminster. They just finished the last count of 18 seats and Sinn Fein

:17:05.:17:11.

took another seat and Michelle Gildernew brought the last seat, all

:17:12.:17:17.

our votes went up so the nationalist community have had a big debate in

:17:18.:17:22.

this election, abstention probably featured more in this campaign than

:17:23.:17:28.

others and Nationalists are not prepared to be treated as

:17:29.:17:30.

second-class in the Assembly which is why we collapsed it and they are

:17:31.:17:37.

not to sit in Westminster and be ignored, so Nationalists have turned

:17:38.:17:41.

their back on Westminster and that is something people will have to

:17:42.:17:47.

come to terms with. We have been joined now by the successful

:17:48.:17:52.

candidate in Fermanagh South Tyrone, Michelle Gildernew, MP for Fermanagh

:17:53.:17:58.

South Tyrone, so congratulations. You have tasted success before and

:17:59.:18:02.

feet. How does it feel tonight or this morning? It's all very surreal.

:18:03.:18:11.

The whole Westminster experience here at Omagh Leisure Centre is like

:18:12.:18:16.

an out of body experience happening to somewhere else, so whether it's a

:18:17.:18:21.

defeat for success, yet surreal and I am so proud and humbled to be part

:18:22.:18:25.

of Sinn Fein and return to the Westminster seat, this historic seat

:18:26.:18:31.

in Fermanagh South Tyrone with another six colleagues who are there

:18:32.:18:36.

to fly the flag for Fermanagh South Tyrone and it is a huge honour. Some

:18:37.:18:42.

people will say you were only half their because you don't properly

:18:43.:18:46.

take your seat and those who voted for Tom Elliott, 24,355, I've just

:18:47.:18:55.

been talking to Alex Maskey about this in the studio and I asked them

:18:56.:19:00.

how you would represent those people who voted for Tom Elliott and to do

:19:01.:19:04.

want someone to work to killing their views and their needs on the

:19:05.:19:09.

floor of the chamber? What is your message to them? I want to welcome

:19:10.:19:16.

Alex's comments, I got the tail end of it, he had no small part to play

:19:17.:19:22.

in the 2010 election. I think we have to look at the 25,000 plus

:19:23.:19:28.

people who voted Sinn Fein, the thousands of people who like Alex

:19:29.:19:32.

said rejected the floor of the House politics. It is highly relevant and

:19:33.:19:40.

very little of the business bike goes on at Westminster is relevance

:19:41.:19:46.

to us. We need a strong voice for everyone and nobody has a better

:19:47.:19:51.

track record of representing everyone in Fermanagh South Tyrone

:19:52.:19:55.

than I have, so I will represent the people who voted for Tom and also

:19:56.:20:02.

for the SDLP and Alliance, but we have to send a strong message not

:20:03.:20:08.

just to London to Belfast, Dublin and Brussels that we have a voice

:20:09.:20:13.

that needs to be listened to and the people have spoken in their

:20:14.:20:17.

thousands, they have rejected the idea Brexit and the notion of what

:20:18.:20:22.

it means to people here. There are almost 300 water crossings, many in

:20:23.:20:29.

Fermanagh South Tyrone and I cannot comprehend what it would mean if

:20:30.:20:32.

they read four to five border were to pop-up around my constituency and

:20:33.:20:39.

the untold damage it would do to people's lives so we have a strong

:20:40.:20:45.

mandate. Congratulations, good to talk to you, I imagine there will be

:20:46.:20:50.

a party in Omagh so I don't want to keep you back. A lot of people

:20:51.:20:56.

waiting to shake your hand. I will come to the panel again in the

:20:57.:21:02.

moment but before I do, one declaration we haven't seen his

:21:03.:21:06.

Newry and Armagh, Mickey Brady held onto the seat for Sinn Fein. It was

:21:07.:21:11.

happening while a rush of other seats were being declared so let's

:21:12.:21:17.

look at the figures as they were announced for the Newry and Armagh

:21:18.:21:24.

seek a short time ago. I is deputy returning officer for Newry and

:21:25.:21:29.

Armagh I hereby declare that at the election the number of votes for

:21:30.:21:34.

each candidate was as followed. Mickey Brady, Sinn Fein, 25,000 666.

:21:35.:21:45.

CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. Jackie Coade, Alliance Party, 1256.

:21:46.:22:04.

William Irwin, DUP, 13100 and 77. CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. Justin

:22:05.:22:28.

McNulty, SDLP, 9055. Sam Nicholson, UUP, 4425. I declare that Mickey

:22:29.:22:39.

Brady is returned to serve in Parliament for the Newry and South

:22:40.:22:47.

Armagh constituency. Thank you. Success is therefore a Mickey Brady

:22:48.:22:51.

and a warm embrace from Conor Murphy, who served as the attempt he

:22:52.:23:00.

there be for Mr Brady took over. We say congratulations to Mickey Brady,

:23:01.:23:06.

all 18 seats down declared in Northern Ireland. A couple of bits

:23:07.:23:12.

of news, Nick Clegg, the former Lib Dem leader has lost his seat, Home

:23:13.:23:17.

Secretary Amber Rudd is currently engaged in a recount and we have

:23:18.:23:23.

just had a notification in the last couple of seconds that Alex Salmond,

:23:24.:23:27.

Ford dealer of the SNP, has lost his seat, he is out so something names

:23:28.:23:34.

are losing their seats in Westminster tonight. We will pick up

:23:35.:23:39.

on a bit of that with my panel shortly but before we do any more of

:23:40.:23:45.

that, let's get another look at the picture here and across the water

:23:46.:23:47.

from Mark Simpson. Thank you. It's been a long night,

:23:48.:23:57.

just look at that time, 4:30am but here in our virtual Westminster, how

:23:58.:24:01.

interesting will it be easier in the next couple of weeks? If we look at

:24:02.:24:10.

England, there is a lot of blue but not the sea of blue that Theresa May

:24:11.:24:15.

expected. Let's look at the scores on the doors. The Conservatives are

:24:16.:24:20.

ahead but they are well short as things stand, of 326, the Magic

:24:21.:24:27.

number where they would be sure of an overall majority, the latest

:24:28.:24:31.

forecast is that they will be short so we could have a hung parliament,

:24:32.:24:37.

which brings the DUP into play. Let's look at Northern Ireland. If

:24:38.:24:42.

anything tells the story of the night, it's what you were looking

:24:43.:24:47.

at, a sea of Green west of the band, Sinn Fein, a sea of red East of the

:24:48.:24:59.

river ban for DUP and North towel being held by Sylvia Hermon. There

:25:00.:25:05.

is the DUP on top, tempted, they only got eight last time, Sinn Fein

:25:06.:25:10.

with seven seats, they only got four last time and Sylvia Hermon holding

:25:11.:25:18.

on in North Down. Five new faces in Westminster, not all of them taking

:25:19.:25:22.

their seats but one new face will be in Foyle, Elisha McCallion in Foyle.

:25:23.:25:30.

Sinn Fein have taken the seat of the SDLP, only a small majority but it

:25:31.:25:36.

was enough to take the seat of the former SDLP leader Mark Durkan.

:25:37.:25:42.

Moving over, we can see another new face who will take place in

:25:43.:25:46.

Westminster, Emma Little Pengelly in South Belfast, again lost by the

:25:47.:25:53.

SDLP but this time it was the DUP taking advantage. A real pattern has

:25:54.:26:00.

emerged to night, a real 2-party Northern Ireland with the DUP

:26:01.:26:05.

dominating one side of the river ban, Sinn Fein dominating the other,

:26:06.:26:10.

that's the story of the night and well done to the counters, we have

:26:11.:26:14.

all 18 seats counted and it's not even five a.m..

:26:15.:26:20.

They have had a busy night, as have we. It is flashed up that Kate how

:26:21.:26:27.

we, from Belfast, the MP for Vauxhall, has held her seat. She was

:26:28.:26:32.

in our fight for that and it looked like she may be in difficulty, I

:26:33.:26:36.

don't know what happened in the current but in the run-up there was

:26:37.:26:41.

speculation she might lose it but she has held her seat. I will come

:26:42.:26:46.

back to my panel for proper discussion and we will bring things

:26:47.:26:50.

to a close in the next ten minutes or thereabouts, but let's hear more

:26:51.:26:57.

analysis and number crunching from Mark Davenport and Nicholas Whyte in

:26:58.:27:02.

our results hub. During this campaign we had talked

:27:03.:27:06.

about whether there should be our border poll in the future. To some

:27:07.:27:11.

extent it that like we had a mini border poll with voters rushing to

:27:12.:27:16.

the two big parties, there we have what Mark has been telling us, the

:27:17.:27:23.

DUP with ten, Sinn Fein with seven and only Sylvia Hermon surviving but

:27:24.:27:28.

let's look at the vote share and the percentages and talk me through

:27:29.:27:29.

this. This is the best result ever in

:27:30.:27:44.

terms of vote share. . It is the worst result ever for both the SDLP

:27:45.:27:49.

and the Ulster Unionists. Do you see this as the endgame for them? They

:27:50.:27:54.

will have to think about their future strategy. The SDLP 20 years

:27:55.:28:01.

ago was getting the same number of votes as Sinn Fein. Look at the

:28:02.:28:08.

change here. This is a remarkable result for both of the big parties

:28:09.:28:14.

but in raw numbers, the DUP outdid the E in Paisley results of many

:28:15.:28:19.

years ago when he was standing as an MEP. In every seat with the DUP were

:28:20.:28:26.

standing, Sinn Fein added more voters who have never voted before.

:28:27.:28:31.

These columns do not tell the entire story. We are seeing votes, people

:28:32.:28:41.

who voted in the Assembly election, and it has come out at least as much

:28:42.:28:48.

for the DUP as Sinn Fein. Let us look at the swings on both side.

:28:49.:28:56.

Unionism first, a whopping eight percentage swing for the Ulster

:28:57.:29:02.

Unionist to the DUP. There are a couple of cases that contributed to

:29:03.:29:09.

this including Newry and Armagh. We can do the same again, as similar

:29:10.:29:15.

story, Leicester Matic in percentage terms but more dramatic in terms of

:29:16.:29:20.

seats. Part of the problem here is that the SDLP has been squeezed

:29:21.:29:25.

pretty tightly and remained strong in south Belfast and South down.

:29:26.:29:32.

They have been wiped out. Looking again at the graph of how these

:29:33.:29:43.

major parties are standing, just finally, we will look at who is Top

:29:44.:29:49.

of the Pops across Northern Ireland, our five poll toppers, there are

:29:50.:29:56.

from the DUP and Sinn Fein. Ian Paisley taking the number one. There

:29:57.:30:05.

is some change, there is the top five. Thank you very much. I

:30:06.:30:13.

mentioned that Kate wholewheat has held onto her seat in Vauxhall and

:30:14.:30:21.

then all of a sudden, Kate has popped up and I can talk to her. She

:30:22.:30:27.

is at the Cannes centre in Lambeth. Good evening and congratulations. I

:30:28.:30:31.

was talking about your couple of minutes ago. There was a lot of chat

:30:32.:30:35.

about you been under pressure but I think you will be pleased with those

:30:36.:30:37.

numbers. Completely got a huge big increase

:30:38.:30:51.

in my majority that was good. We fought a positive campaign, one

:30:52.:30:59.

party fought and nasty campaign. The people of Vauxhall came out in their

:31:00.:31:03.

thousands, particularly a lot of young people and I got a really good

:31:04.:31:07.

majority and I am delighted because it was a positive message that we

:31:08.:31:11.

were putting forward. Both locally and with the Labour manifesto. Just

:31:12.:31:17.

to be clear, I do not want to pick through the details, but just for

:31:18.:31:20.

the benefit of people who do not know, you were supportive of Brexit

:31:21.:31:27.

and the Liberal Democrats were mounting a campaign to try and

:31:28.:31:30.

unseat you because they disagreed with you. You saw them off. Did you

:31:31.:31:38.

feel vulnerable? No, what I found sad this time is I have always had

:31:39.:31:43.

good campaigns were people get on well and we have differences on

:31:44.:31:47.

policies, but this time the Liberal Democrats did have a personalised

:31:48.:31:52.

target. They felt that everyone who voted Remain in Lambeth, that

:31:53.:31:57.

somehow they would all want a second referendum and vote Liberal Democrat

:31:58.:32:01.

and that did not happen. They are spent us by about six times what we

:32:02.:32:06.

spent and they brought in all sorts of people. They brought in Nick

:32:07.:32:09.

Clegg and I thought if he had spent more time in his own constituency,

:32:10.:32:15.

he might not have lost his seat. They also brought in Bob Geldof and

:32:16.:32:21.

all these Remain star is and the people in my area, Labour voters and

:32:22.:32:26.

supporters and people who never voted Labour before came out and

:32:27.:32:29.

voted for me and I was delighted. It shows that most people want to get

:32:30.:32:34.

on with just getting a good deal now and do not want a second referendum.

:32:35.:32:39.

Many congratulations, good to talk to you. I did not realise you were

:32:40.:32:45.

counting your votes, I thought you always did at the next day. We have

:32:46.:32:52.

moved with the times. I am out of date. We stay up all night, just

:32:53.:32:59.

like you. You're looking very well, a lot better than some of the people

:33:00.:33:05.

around my table. Danny Kennedy, congratulations. I will have to miss

:33:06.:33:11.

the Azerbaijan match. That was a pity. I will let you go and

:33:12.:33:17.

celebrate. Thank you very much. Lovely to talk to you. We are

:33:18.:33:22.

bringing the programme to a close in about five minutes. Very quickly,

:33:23.:33:28.

Simon, you have an increased mandate and so do Sinn Fein, does that give

:33:29.:33:33.

you a mandate now to do a deal as far as Northern Ireland are

:33:34.:33:36.

concerned? We went into this election and said to the people of

:33:37.:33:40.

Northern Ireland that we wanted them to vote for us not just to return a

:33:41.:33:44.

strong team to Westminster, or register their support for the union

:33:45.:33:49.

but to strengthen our hand to enter negotiations commencing next week.

:33:50.:33:53.

We still want to have devolution up and running, and the message coming

:33:54.:34:01.

back on the doors, they wanted to see us get back onto the right track

:34:02.:34:05.

after disappointing result in March but they did want to see devolution

:34:06.:34:13.

up and running. Alex, quick thought? I think it is important that we try

:34:14.:34:18.

to knuckle down and get the institutions re-establish. Whatever

:34:19.:34:22.

result there is at Westminster, it will be constrained to work within

:34:23.:34:24.

the Good Friday Agreement and that is something that is immovable. The

:34:25.:34:31.

question of who would be First Minister has not arisen, there was a

:34:32.:34:33.

possibility that Sinn Fein could take it, but would the DUP have been

:34:34.:34:41.

prepared for second place? That map shows that Sinn Fein hold every

:34:42.:34:48.

border seat. The importance of Brexit on their national psyche is

:34:49.:34:57.

clearly underscored by that. I think the outcome of this election is less

:34:58.:35:03.

likely to get a deal at Stormont because of the uncertainty in the

:35:04.:35:08.

national budget. Thank you all very much for your forbearance. A

:35:09.:35:13.

fascinating few hours. It has been a roller-coaster six hours, the SDLP

:35:14.:35:18.

and the UUP have lost all their MPs, the DUP have ten seats, to more than

:35:19.:35:22.

last time, seven Seas for Sinn Fein, to more than last time with big wins

:35:23.:35:29.

in Foyle and South Down and the retaking of Fermanagh and South

:35:30.:35:33.

Tyrone. Theresa May faces some big questions over the next few hours

:35:34.:35:37.

and it looks as if she has failed to secure any sort of useful majority

:35:38.:35:40.

in the Commons. Who would have thought that when she called this

:35:41.:35:44.

election on Easter Tuesday? Plenty to talk about in the days and weeks

:35:45.:35:48.

ahead, from all of us, thank you for your company and have a very good

:35:49.:35:52.

morning. From all of us, goodbye. To the DUP candidate, Alex Easton,

:35:53.:36:22.

you have done terrifically well, but I have one. To be called po-faced by

:36:23.:36:32.

Northern Aaron's answer to Jerry Mita and... Unionism has at wake up

:36:33.:36:41.

-- Northern Ireland's answer to Jeremy Paxman. When you lose, you

:36:42.:36:47.

find out a lot about yourself. Keep counting the votes.

:36:48.:37:03.

We are certainly witnessing history. Thinking about how people like John

:37:04.:37:15.

and Patsy taken the sort of results. -- like John and Pat Hume. Martin,

:37:16.:37:18.

we did this for you. seat for Labour. One more which

:37:19.:37:43.

again suggests what we were saying about Ruth Davidson in Scotland, who

:37:44.:37:48.

is emerging as the real bright spark of the Conservatives tonight. 48% to

:37:49.:37:57.

is emerging as the real bright spark 39%, Conservative gain in the Cedar

:37:58.:38:01.

Banff and Buchan. Alex Salmond held this EP Fourie became leader and

:38:02.:38:12.

went on to hold the seat of Gordon. We have seen all the drama of the

:38:13.:38:19.

swing in the Tory gains. This is the biggest one we have seen tonight.

:38:20.:38:22.

20% from the SNP to the Conservatives. You can see why

:38:23.:38:27.

Nicola Sturgeon were starting to sound less sure about the position

:38:28.:38:33.

of independence for Scotland. We have a result coming in. Laura, you

:38:34.:38:38.

want to say something. Iain Duncan Smith is waiting with Michelle

:38:39.:38:43.

Hossain. After that very clear call from the former minister, Anna

:38:44.:38:53.

Soubry, ... Let's interrupt you. This is held by Simon Kirby, the

:38:54.:38:57.

Conservatives. Doktor Haze, independent, 212. Simon

:38:58.:39:05.

Kirby, Conservative Party, 18,000 -- 18 835. Lloyd Russell-Moyle, Labour

:39:06.:39:16.

party, 28,000 703. Emily Louise tester, Liberal Democrat, 1457. A

:39:17.:39:26.

pretty sensational victory for Labour in Brighton Kemptown. Simon

:39:27.:39:29.

Kirby defeated by something like a majority of nearly 10,000. That is

:39:30.:39:36.

another minister gone. We have seen ministers go to night. I was just

:39:37.:39:41.

saying before we went to the result, there is clearly turmoil inside the

:39:42.:39:44.

Tory ranks. We heard Anna Soubry essentially calling Theresa May to

:39:45.:39:51.

go. Consider your position. That is cold for summary should leave.

:39:52.:39:54.

Another Tory source has just told me that Theresa May is 50-50 to go

:39:55.:40:01.

tomorrow. One source, I stress, but a good source. Another minister has

:40:02.:40:08.

just messaged me saying, as William Hague said, the Tory party is

:40:09.:40:14.

absolute monarchy registered by regicide. That is the territory we

:40:15.:40:20.

are now in. They are ruthless. The thing with Theresa May is, if

:40:21.:40:24.

somebody looks like a loser, it even though she is on course to be the

:40:25.:40:28.

biggest party, the Tories are ruthless if a leader looks like they

:40:29.:40:32.

can't deliver. There is clearly a lot of turmoil. I will not make any

:40:33.:40:37.

firm predictions about what she may do. She is meeting with her advisers

:40:38.:40:43.

right now. Michelle Hossain is upstairs.

:40:44.:40:52.

Iain Duncan Smith this year. As is a former Labour Party adviser. Should

:40:53.:40:56.

you consider her position? It would be a grave error to suddenly going

:40:57.:41:02.

into the turmoil after the result. We need some stability right now. We

:41:03.:41:07.

have to figure out what the final result is and then, can we lead a

:41:08.:41:13.

government, that is the critical question to ask. These things have

:41:14.:41:17.

to be decided. You can't say you are going to have a leadership election.

:41:18.:41:20.

That would plunge everything into turmoil. Are you saying she should

:41:21.:41:26.

have a period of time and then she could step down? No. I am saying

:41:27.:41:31.

that we need to make that might find it for the result is. Whether it is

:41:32.:41:36.

feasible to put the government together. We don't know that yet. We

:41:37.:41:40.

don't know the final result. If that is feasible, then that changes the

:41:41.:41:48.

complexion of what we are dealing with. And then the party has to

:41:49.:41:52.

meet, they have to talk to her and decide whether this is what she

:41:53.:41:56.

wants to do. And if she does, frankly, we need that stability. I

:41:57.:42:00.

am not in favour of launching these kind of off the cuff vendettas. I

:42:01.:42:04.

think the truth is we need to stay calm and stable. It can't be

:42:05.:42:11.

business as usual, can it? People must be annoyed you have ended up in

:42:12.:42:16.

this position. It is clearly not going to be business as usual. The

:42:17.:42:20.

irony is this result is full of peculiar things. Poll rating has

:42:21.:42:25.

gone up but we have got the worst result. People like me have had

:42:26.:42:29.

higher vote shares but a smaller majority. We have lost colleagues

:42:30.:42:34.

around the country. Of course there is turmoil. But the key point here

:42:35.:42:38.

is the next 24-hour is we need stability. But we don't want is any

:42:39.:42:45.

kind of rush to say change, leave, let's see with the results are and

:42:46.:42:46.

whether we can form the Gutman. Ayesha Hazarika, in 2015 the Labour

:42:47.:42:57.

vote share was 30%. Jeremy Corbyn has achieved over 40%. It has been

:42:58.:43:03.

an extraordinary night for Labour. I think there were Labour MPs up and

:43:04.:43:06.

down the country wondering if they would survive the night. Jeremy

:43:07.:43:11.

Corbyn ran the opposite of the Theresa May campaign. It was open

:43:12.:43:17.

and full of hope and popular, and he was visible. It is incredible that

:43:18.:43:21.

we are in this situation. Theresa May called this election and was 20

:43:22.:43:26.

points ahead in the polls. She called it on leadership and now we

:43:27.:43:29.

are having conversations about whether she will still be around in

:43:30.:43:34.

the morning. In February, you said the only way Jeremy Corbyn could

:43:35.:43:37.

save the Labour Party was by stepping down. I completely got it

:43:38.:43:44.

wrong, along with a lot of people. But what he has done brilliantly is

:43:45.:43:49.

for people hope. This country has been sick of seven years of

:43:50.:43:53.

austerity rule, and they wanted a change. They wanted somebody to

:43:54.:44:00.

offer them hope. Credit where credit is due, I hold my hands up and say I

:44:01.:44:03.

was one of the people who got it wrong. The Labour manifesto as well,

:44:04.:44:08.

particularly in contrasts of the Tory manifesto, which didn't offer

:44:09.:44:14.

anything and was a shambolic U-turn on the dementia tax. Was it a

:44:15.:44:21.

dreadful campaign? It clearly wasn't the greatest campaign, or we would

:44:22.:44:25.

be in a different position now. The key element is that there will be

:44:26.:44:28.

time for my party to have a look through what didn't go right and

:44:29.:44:38.

what went wrong. Theresa May, having gone into the election, found her

:44:39.:44:48.

position diminished. Right now, all my colleagues need to just take a

:44:49.:44:53.

deep breath and not go on the media. They need to keep quiet until we

:44:54.:44:57.

have figured out where we are. The oldest rule in the book is, no way

:44:58.:45:03.

your starting point is. I want Theresa May to stay for that reason.

:45:04.:45:08.

Do you fear that Brexit may not be delivered, or not the sort of Brexit

:45:09.:45:14.

you would like? I just want Brexit. We will see what that means. The

:45:15.:45:17.

Labour Party has already said they were signed up to Brexit. The Labour

:45:18.:45:25.

Party position has been good on Brexit, but it is extraordinary to

:45:26.:45:29.

think that she started this whole campaign saying "My leadership will

:45:30.:45:33.

be strong and stable", and she is the one now facing leadership

:45:34.:45:37.

challenges. She has had a stinker of a campaign. It happens. Nothing is

:45:38.:45:43.

perfect, but I do want stability and I want her to stay. You want

:45:44.:45:50.

something strong and stable. I will just settle for stability right now.

:45:51.:45:55.

She remains Prime Minister and the country has to come first. For

:45:56.:46:04.

anyone watching, if you are Prime Minister, stay put and then we can

:46:05.:46:08.

figure out what our position is. Iain Duncan Smith and Ayesha

:46:09.:46:12.

Hazarika, thank you. We are joined now from stricken by

:46:13.:46:16.

Chuka Umunna, one of those who were rather critical of the leadership of

:46:17.:46:21.

Jeremy Corbyn and indeed voted him out. Congratulations on your

:46:22.:46:28.

victory, first of all. Your vote went up by 12,000 or something. But

:46:29.:46:32.

let's cut to the chase. What do you make of what has happened? You and

:46:33.:46:36.

many others misjudged Jeremy Corbyn, didn't you? First of all, the Prime

:46:37.:46:46.

Minister held this election for naked party political reasons. It

:46:47.:46:50.

was opportunism writ large, and she wanted a personal mandate to pursue

:46:51.:46:55.

an extremely job destroying Brexit. And she has been denied that. I am

:46:56.:47:00.

delighted about that. Let's be frank about the reason she has been denied

:47:01.:47:06.

that. It isn't just that she ran a terrible campaign and clearly is not

:47:07.:47:13.

up to campaigning by being with people and talking to them about the

:47:14.:47:18.

issues, whereas Jeremy is absolutely at home campaigning, talking to

:47:19.:47:21.

people, getting involved in the debate. But the reason why many

:47:22.:47:29.

people will have changed their minds, the reason I voted no

:47:30.:47:33.

confidence last year was that I was angry because I felt we could have

:47:34.:47:38.

done more to ensure that we got a Remain vote in that referendum. But

:47:39.:47:42.

the effect of Jeremy running this kind of campaign, positive,

:47:43.:47:47.

optimistic, dynamic, engaging young people, putting forward policies, we

:47:48.:47:50.

saw looked loved that from the Tories and as ie she just said, the

:47:51.:47:53.

one big thing people will remember about the Tory manifesto is the

:47:54.:47:57.

dementia tax. But the effect of actually putting forward this agenda

:47:58.:48:03.

has thwarted Theresa May's attempts to pursue a hard Brexit. I give

:48:04.:48:09.

Jeremy and the entire Labour team full credit for that, because it was

:48:10.:48:14.

a solid, good national campaign and we have amazing local operations. I

:48:15.:48:19.

temper this just by making this observation, which is that the

:48:20.:48:23.

Labour Party was founded 117 years ago by Keir Hardie and others, not

:48:24.:48:27.

only to be the representative of workers in parliament, but to govern

:48:28.:48:30.

in their interests too. We don't know what will happen because we

:48:31.:48:35.

don't know the final numbers or whether Labour will be part of

:48:36.:48:39.

whatever comes out of this. But it is a positive step forward to

:48:40.:48:43.

government today. Ultimately, we must get into government in the

:48:44.:48:54.

future to make our values real. If you were now offered a position back

:48:55.:48:58.

in the Shadow Cabinet, assuming it is still a Shadow Cabinet, would you

:48:59.:49:04.

accept it? I have never been asked to serve in the Shadow Cabinet under

:49:05.:49:09.

Jeremy before. But I want to get Labour back into government. I can

:49:10.:49:17.

work in any way to make that happen. I would not rule out being part of a

:49:18.:49:23.

Shadow Cabinet if I was asked. I don't presume that I will be asked,

:49:24.:49:28.

but I intend to play a full role in making sure we do what we need to do

:49:29.:49:36.

to deliver on our values. My guess is that you began this campaign

:49:37.:49:40.

thinking that at the end of it, there might be a vacancy for the

:49:41.:49:45.

leadership of the Labour Party, and that has now been postponed. I

:49:46.:49:53.

wouldn't describe it as my dream. I did not dream of having the majority

:49:54.:49:57.

that Labour activists have just secured here in Streatham. My wife

:49:58.:50:01.

was here with me earlier and she asked me at the beginning of the

:50:02.:50:03.

campaign not to make any predictions, because she said before

:50:04.:50:06.

the last general election, you thought Labour would end up in

:50:07.:50:10.

government and you didn't. You thought the Remain side would win

:50:11.:50:13.

the EU referendum campaign, and then you assured me we wouldn't see a

:50:14.:50:17.

president Donald Trump and we do. She said, I am not going to believe

:50:18.:50:20.

predictions from you and I don't think you make any. For the start of

:50:21.:50:24.

this campaign, I went on the Daily Politics and other programmes and

:50:25.:50:28.

people ask, do you think Labour will win? And I have said, anything is

:50:29.:50:37.

possible. What this illustrates is... Chuka Umunna, thank you much.

:50:38.:50:43.

I want to hear the result from Hastings and see whether Amber Rudd

:50:44.:50:52.

has held on. Liberal Democrats, 1885. Michael Sheridan Phillips,

:50:53.:50:59.

Ukip, 1479. Amber Rudd, the Conservative Party candidate, 25668.

:51:00.:51:13.

Nicholas John Wilson, independent, 412. The total number of ballot

:51:14.:51:19.

papers rejected was 97. The turnout was 70%. Therefore, I give public

:51:20.:51:23.

notice that Amber Rudd is duly elected as the member of Parliament

:51:24.:51:25.

for the Hastings and write constituency. So the Home Secretary

:51:26.:51:32.

holds onto her seat. There was talk that it would be difficult for her,

:51:33.:51:39.

but she holds on. I would like to thank the returning officer and the

:51:40.:51:42.

fantastic counting agents who have done the job twice this evening. We

:51:43.:51:46.

are grateful to you for staying late and doing a professional job. I

:51:47.:51:52.

would also like to thank my team who have done a fantastic job supporting

:51:53.:51:57.

me and making sure we had a good turnout on the day. I would

:51:58.:52:01.

particularly like to thank the Labour candidate, who I know well

:52:02.:52:06.

and I am sure will continue in his role as leader of the council. Thank

:52:07.:52:11.

you for a fair fight. I am deeply honoured to have been re-elected for

:52:12.:52:18.

now for the third time by the residents of Hastings and Rye. This

:52:19.:52:23.

is a fantastic place to live and work and I hope I will continue to

:52:24.:52:27.

build on the great opportunities and the great regeneration that has been

:52:28.:52:32.

taking place in this area, improving our schools, improving our NHS and

:52:33.:52:35.

getting the infrastructure investment that we need. This is

:52:36.:52:39.

what matters to me and this is what I hope to continue to deliver for

:52:40.:52:44.

the fantastic constituency of Hastings and Rye. So Amber Rudd,

:52:45.:52:55.

with the seagulls behind her. She was generally seen to have had a

:52:56.:52:59.

good campaign. Is there a possibility that she might be in the

:53:00.:53:03.

line for becoming leader of the Conservative Party? She has been

:53:04.:53:11.

talked about. But having had such a narrow result and having been a big

:53:12.:53:15.

part of a campaign that is judged to be a disaster, it looks harder for

:53:16.:53:18.

her now than it would have done a couple of weeks ago. At that time,

:53:19.:53:25.

she would have been top of the list. She was widely tipped to be Theresa

:53:26.:53:32.

May's next Chancellor if Theresa May ends up staying on. She was

:53:33.:53:40.

certainly considered as a potential leadership candidate in the future.

:53:41.:53:44.

But I wonder whether her judgment on this campaign and her role in it

:53:45.:53:54.

makes that less likely. She was the Prime Minister's understudy and she

:53:55.:53:59.

is a formidable character. She is a Remainer, but widely respected.

:54:00.:54:07.

Let's see what Nigel Farage has been up to in the last couple of hours.

:54:08.:54:14.

He has stormed back into the political conversation. In a sense,

:54:15.:54:17.

he never went away, but with Paul Nuttall as the leader of Ukip having

:54:18.:54:21.

a bad result, Nigel Farage has been vocal. He said tonight that Article

:54:22.:54:26.

50 had been triggered and we were on our way. May has put this in

:54:27.:54:29.

jeopardy. Even David Davis is now making Brexit concessions. There is

:54:30.:54:35.

a clear mood developing from lots of people who were fervent Brexiteers,

:54:36.:54:39.

including Iain Duncan Smith, that they are annoyed at what is

:54:40.:54:42.

happening. That is Nigel Farage's quote. Paddy Ashdown has also

:54:43.:54:46.

weighed in on the issue of Brexit. The former Lib Dem leader says if

:54:47.:54:51.

this election was about Brexit, must we not conclude that Britain has

:54:52.:54:56.

rejected Mrs May's hard Brexit? So there are lots of people on inside

:54:57.:54:59.

of the Brexit camp trying to use this result is a way of casting

:55:00.:55:04.

judgment on the Brexit referendum of 2016. Chris Evans, editor of the

:55:05.:55:09.

Daily Telegraph, is also talking about the softening of Brexit. He

:55:10.:55:13.

says the DUP are already outlining terms for a soft Brexit as the price

:55:14.:55:17.

for propping up the Tories. And the Financial Times says it is almost as

:55:18.:55:23.

if Theresa May looked at Hillary's campaign and said, let's do that.

:55:24.:55:32.

That is as cruel as you can get. Here is the latest Daily Mail front

:55:33.:55:38.

page. Theresa May of course had huge support from most of the British

:55:39.:55:45.

press. One of her main spin doctors is a former Daily Mail political

:55:46.:55:49.

editor. They are very disappointed at the result. And they say there

:55:50.:55:57.

are fears of Brexit chaos. Emily, another result? Look at Enfield

:55:58.:56:06.

Southgate. This was where we had the Portillo moment in 1997 and you can

:56:07.:56:10.

see what has happened. It has been a Labour gain from the Conservatives

:56:11.:56:17.

again. In Portillo's day, there was a 15,000 majority. Labour has taken

:56:18.:56:24.

it on a 4000 majority. Come back to me! Have a glass of water. That is a

:56:25.:56:32.

fascinating seat. It is outer London, not in London, where you

:56:33.:56:37.

have lots of students and very trendy left. Enfield Southgate is

:56:38.:56:40.

not the home of the trendy Islington left. Enfield Southgate is a sort of

:56:41.:56:47.

Middle Britain seat that happens to be in the south-east. And there we

:56:48.:56:51.

see a big Labour gain. At the beginning of the night, we never

:56:52.:56:54.

would have thought we would see that kind of swing. Let me pick up here.

:56:55.:57:02.

Don't choke to death this time. Sangakkara it is the excitement of

:57:03.:57:06.

the night, or maybe a stray blueberry. 9.7% swing from the

:57:07.:57:09.

Conservatives to Labour in this seat, which really was a moment in

:57:10.:57:13.

1997. We are looking at places that Blair

:57:14.:57:24.

won for the first time. Some of these are on the chart for the first

:57:25.:57:28.

time since then. It is extraordinary to think of these different

:57:29.:57:33.

characters, Tony Blair and Jeremy Corbyn, but to see the same kind of

:57:34.:57:37.

places cropping up. The next one is Keighley. Again, quite far down the

:57:38.:57:44.

Labour targets. It is a neck and neck vote between the Labour Party

:57:45.:57:49.

and the Conservatives, but enough for a Labour to gain it. A big drop

:57:50.:57:55.

in the Ukip vote. They needed a 3.1% swing. You can see what has

:57:56.:58:00.

happened. They have taken it, just, on a 3.3% swing. Some quite

:58:01.:58:05.

interesting ones. Derbyshire Northeast has been a gain for the

:58:06.:58:09.

Conservatives. It was 18 on their list. Lee Rowley pushing out

:58:10.:58:14.

Natascha Engel, quite a well-known name for Labour. You can see a 4.8%

:58:15.:58:22.

swing from Labour to the Conservatives. That is the seat just

:58:23.:58:28.

outside Chesterfield. Broadly the kind of seats we are seeing turned

:58:29.:58:32.

red to are ones that very few people would have had on any kind of

:58:33.:58:36.

rational target list at the beginning of the night. They are

:58:37.:58:40.

places taking a lot of us by surprise.

:58:41.:58:45.

John Woodcock is the Labour MP for Barrow and Furness. His majority,

:58:46.:58:50.

squeaking in at 209. A special adviser to Gordon Brown. Everybody

:58:51.:58:55.

is having their words thrown back at them tonight. Words I want to throw

:58:56.:59:01.

baguette you are, Labour is on course for an historic and

:59:02.:59:05.

catastrophic defeat. So what went right for Labour?!

:59:06.:59:14.

Well, David I have no idea! And I'm not sure anyone who you will have on

:59:15.:59:18.

this programme actually genuinely has an idea either. And if they say

:59:19.:59:22.

that they do, I think they are probably winging it. There have been

:59:23.:59:29.

utterly extraordinary results. In places where Labour has struggled,

:59:30.:59:36.

we have gained ground. In Canterbury we have produced an incredible

:59:37.:59:41.

victory out of nowhere. I don't know what is going on in British

:59:42.:59:45.

politics. I think the one thing which is clear is that this is wide

:59:46.:59:53.

open. There is a space and there is a need for a progressive force to

:59:54.:59:58.

take the country forward and give them more hope than that which has

:59:59.:00:05.

been said over these last couple of years by the Conservative

:00:06.:00:10.

government. And that force we have shown overnight can be the Labour

:00:11.:00:16.

Party. I am deeply, deeply proud. Unexpectedly, I have to say. But I

:00:17.:00:20.

am deeply proud to be returned as one of their MPs. Can you sign up to

:00:21.:00:26.

the kind of policies that Jeremy Corbyn has been promoting, when you

:00:27.:00:32.

actually clearly thought they were completely wrong, wrong for the

:00:33.:00:35.

Labour Party, but much more importantly, wrong for the country?

:00:36.:00:40.

Well, the Labour Party has always been a Broadchurch. And probably

:00:41.:00:47.

never broader than it has been at the moment. One of the things which

:00:48.:00:52.

gave me so much heart locally was the way that local party members who

:00:53.:01:02.

were deeply aggrieved by what I said about the leader, they all came

:01:03.:01:06.

together in this campaign to get us over the line and to keep a Labour

:01:07.:01:14.

MP, to keep me here. And that shows, actually, that we can unite and

:01:15.:01:18.

there will be a huge question, of course, for the party as to what

:01:19.:01:21.

direction we take. What vision we put forward. But this result shows

:01:22.:01:28.

that we can do it. Actually, there is not the appetite in this country

:01:29.:01:34.

for the paucity of vision, the lack of hope, the doing down of our

:01:35.:01:39.

country, that we have seen from this Conservative government over the

:01:40.:01:42.

last couple of years. People want change. And we have an opportunity

:01:43.:01:46.

to provide that. And that is brilliant. Thank you bring much

:01:47.:01:51.

indeed. It is time for another update on the news. Let's have that

:01:52.:02:00.

with the forecast of the moment showing... We can show it? We can't.

:02:01.:02:06.

I don't know if we can or not. Can we show the forecast, they are

:02:07.:02:10.

asking? I don't know. They haven't got it. We haven't got the forecast.

:02:11.:02:17.

We have the news. Good morning. With less than 50

:02:18.:02:23.

seats still to be declared, the outcome of the general election is

:02:24.:02:28.

still uncertain. Labour has done better-than-expected. Although the

:02:29.:02:31.

Conservatives looked like being the biggest party, they are not likely

:02:32.:02:35.

to get a majority. Jeremy Corbyn has called for Theresa May to resign.

:02:36.:02:40.

The Prime Minister says the country needs stability. The night saw Alex

:02:41.:02:43.

Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their seats. Tom Bateman's port contains

:02:44.:02:52.

flash photography. -- report. She called this election early, a

:02:53.:02:56.

political gamble, the hope that she would transform the Tories' fragile

:02:57.:03:05.

majority with a huge win. Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up

:03:06.:03:08.

even worse off without even a majority. If, as the indications

:03:09.:03:15.

have shown, if this is correct, that the Conservative Party won the most

:03:16.:03:18.

seats and probably the most votes, then it would be incumbent on us to

:03:19.:03:23.

make sure we have that period of stability, and that is exactly what

:03:24.:03:29.

we will do. You can see what the Labour leader makes of these results

:03:30.:03:34.

so far. A man whose campaign confounded expectations, beaming

:03:35.:03:37.

smiles, with Labour on course for a far better night than many thought.

:03:38.:03:42.

The Prime Minister call the election because she wanted a mandate. Will a

:03:43.:03:47.

mandate she has got is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost

:03:48.:03:54.

votes and lost confidence. I would have thought that's enough to go,

:03:55.:04:00.

actually. In Battersea, Labour had ousted a government Minister on a

:04:01.:04:04.

swing of 10%. There have been Labour gains elsewhere. In Stockton South

:04:05.:04:08.

from the Conservatives and in Scotland, Rutherglen from the SNP.

:04:09.:04:15.

It is not just the Tories suffering. In Sheffield, former Lib Dem leader

:04:16.:04:22.

Nick Clegg lost his seat. I have encountered this evening something

:04:23.:04:24.

that many people have encountered before tonight and I suspect many

:04:25.:04:29.

people encounter after tonight, which is that you live by the sword

:04:30.:04:33.

and by thy -- die by the sword in politics. The night began with a

:04:34.:04:38.

projection, the exit poll. It had the Conservatives as the largest

:04:39.:04:41.

party but short of an overall majority. It put the Tories on three

:04:42.:04:46.

other than 14 seats, down 17. Labour would be up 34 seats. The SNP down

:04:47.:04:57.

to 34 MPs. The Lib Dems on 14. The SNP have lost big names on a

:04:58.:05:01.

disappointing night compared with their Scottish landslide two years

:05:02.:05:05.

ago. Deputy leader Angus Robertson was ousted by the Conservatives.

:05:06.:05:09.

Former leader Alex Salmond lost his seat as well. Now one of Theresa

:05:10.:05:14.

May's on MPs is laying the blame on her. She is in a difficult place.

:05:15.:05:20.

She is a very talented woman and she doesn't shy from difficult

:05:21.:05:23.

positions. But she now obviously has to consider your position. V

:05:24.:05:27.

Festival of democracy has been on is full show, as have the upsets.

:05:28.:05:32.

Theresa May has left her constituency count. The election

:05:33.:05:36.

campaign has been an unpredictable journey. Already some Labour

:05:37.:05:40.

opponents are saying tonight it should bring the end of the road for

:05:41.:05:44.

her premiership. But there is still a way to go and more votes still to

:05:45.:05:51.

be counted. The pound's position on currency markets has weakened

:05:52.:05:55.

following early results. Overnight sterling suffered one of its biggest

:05:56.:06:00.

falls since January, sinking to a low of almost 2% against the dollar

:06:01.:06:04.

as the euro. A clearer picture of the markets will emerge when trading

:06:05.:06:08.

opens across Europe. And the final results of the election coming. Time

:06:09.:06:12.

for the weather. Good morning. This is how we ended

:06:13.:06:19.

the day in Highland Scotland. For much of Scotland and Northern

:06:20.:06:22.

Ireland it was a wet day on Thursday. Today we saw the rain in

:06:23.:06:26.

Scotland petering out. Showers heading eastwards. Much prior across

:06:27.:06:31.

Northern Ireland. Some sharp showers across western England and Wales.

:06:32.:06:34.

They will become heavily for the released this afternoon, as they

:06:35.:06:39.

will in parts of Scotland. We are talking hail and risk of thunder.

:06:40.:06:43.

Much drier and brighter with some sunshine for the West. It will feel

:06:44.:06:48.

warmer well. It doesn't last. As we go through the evening, more rain of

:06:49.:06:52.

the Atlantic. Wetter for Northern Ireland. As we move into Saturday,

:06:53.:06:57.

for Scotland. The South and east probably not seeing that much rain.

:06:58.:07:02.

Still quite muggy and one. The rain clears further north to reveal

:07:03.:07:06.

sunshine and showers. Eventually that weather front clears all parts

:07:07.:07:11.

going from Saturday to Sunday. Sunday day of sunny spells and

:07:12.:07:14.

showers. That is a look of the weather.

:07:15.:07:16.

Let's return to David Dimbleby. Dawn has broken over Westminster.

:07:17.:07:39.

And a cruel dawn for the Tory party. After the results that have come in,

:07:40.:07:44.

we have still got 44 to come in. A lot of talk from sources within the

:07:45.:07:48.

Tory party about Theresa May's future. We have had the call for her

:07:49.:07:55.

to go. Pretty much a call for her to go from Anna Soubry, a backbencher,

:07:56.:07:59.

famously outspoken. People Laura Kuenssberg have been speaking to

:08:00.:08:05.

have said something needs to be done fairly dramatically and swiftly.

:08:06.:08:08.

There is another interesting aspect. The votes have gone back to the two

:08:09.:08:15.

main parties, Conservative and Labour. Not since 1970 have both

:08:16.:08:20.

parties had over 12 million people voting for them. The current rate is

:08:21.:08:28.

Labour on 12 million and 100,000, the Conservatives on 12 million and

:08:29.:08:33.

6000. The smaller parties, the Liberals, and all the other parties,

:08:34.:08:38.

had given way to a 2-party vote, which in a way is like that campaign

:08:39.:08:44.

was. There were two very clearly distinct messages being given from

:08:45.:08:47.

the Conservatives on the one hand with Theresa May saying strong and

:08:48.:08:51.

stable and all that, and Jeremy Corbyn on the other hand saying,

:08:52.:08:54.

there is another way. Less austerity, more spending,, the

:08:55.:08:59.

government should do this and that. There was a poor rises and on the

:09:00.:09:02.

parties and it seems the voters have been attracted to the polarisation.

:09:03.:09:08.

They are getting two very clear and distinct messages. We will now look

:09:09.:09:14.

at how the parties stand. Let's do that. We started many hours

:09:15.:09:18.

ago in our virtual Downing Street and we give you our exit poll. A lot

:09:19.:09:23.

of people were saying on social media it can't be right. The

:09:24.:09:26.

forecast, with only about 44 seats to go, is very close to what we were

:09:27.:09:32.

saying at five minutes to ten. The Conservatives falling short. 318 we

:09:33.:09:39.

think now. Let's look at Labour. Quite a long way back but exceeding

:09:40.:09:43.

all expectations. That is the point about the Labour performance. They

:09:44.:09:47.

have done better than even they thought as we have heard from some

:09:48.:09:50.

of the extraordinary interviews we have heard. 318 for the

:09:51.:09:55.

Conservatives. You will see where these individual paving stones,

:09:56.:09:58.

which are all individual constituencies, where they are

:09:59.:10:02.

darker blue we have not got a result. Back here we have got those

:10:03.:10:07.

results in. It is just the darker blue. Most are solid blue. Not many

:10:08.:10:13.

more results. The ones we're waiting for, places like Kensington,

:10:14.:10:18.

Richmond Park, Crawley, Dumfries, Winchester, Thirsk, Truro, St Ives

:10:19.:10:24.

etc, still waiting for them. The exit polls stabilised with these

:10:25.:10:28.

results. 318, the Conservatives short of an overall majority. 650

:10:29.:10:34.

MPs in the House of Commons, so you need just over half to be in

:10:35.:10:39.

control. Theresa May will not be. She will have to find friends in the

:10:40.:10:42.

House of Commons. It will be the Liberal Democrats this time. Have a

:10:43.:10:48.

look at the Labour line. You could say the Labour result is no better

:10:49.:10:51.

than Gordon Brown did when he lost the 2010 election. They have got a

:10:52.:10:57.

handsome share of the vote. Part of that is rather surprising numbers of

:10:58.:11:01.

Ukip voters going to Labour, which commentators did not predict. Also,

:11:02.:11:05.

younger voters. I'm sure we will find out many of them have been

:11:06.:11:10.

involved in the election. Labour 262, that's what we are now

:11:11.:11:15.

forecasting, just down four from what we said at 10pm. These early

:11:16.:11:25.

seats that we are still waiting for. Hendon, Ilford North, Dudley... Most

:11:26.:11:32.

of these lines are solid red, solid blue. This is the situation. What a

:11:33.:11:40.

blow for Theresa May, to call an election when she was 16 points

:11:41.:11:43.

clear in the polls, thinking about the landslide of 100 and she didn't

:11:44.:11:47.

even get an overall majority. It is politically devastating for her.

:11:48.:11:52.

That is why we just saw Jeremy Corbyn giving the thumbs up.

:11:53.:12:00.

Amazing. John Curtice, you are being a bit cautious about your exit poll,

:12:01.:12:07.

not your exit poll, the BBC, sky, ITV exit poll, I have to say that

:12:08.:12:12.

for copyright reasons... This combined exit poll. You were being

:12:13.:12:16.

courses at the beginning, saying maybe it is not quite as bad as that

:12:17.:12:21.

for the Tories. -- cautious. It now looks like you were spot on? One

:12:22.:12:26.

always has to be cautious because the truth is one knows the

:12:27.:12:30.

fragility. Two years ago we underestimated the Tory target by 18

:12:31.:12:34.

seats. It looks as though this time we might be possibly three seats

:12:35.:12:39.

out, but that is about it. It looks as though our forecast is going to

:12:40.:12:45.

prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in the end of the most accurate exit

:12:46.:12:47.

poll yet. We will wait to see. Is there any possibility of it not

:12:48.:12:58.

being a hung parliament now? There is no way the Conservatives can get

:12:59.:13:03.

to the 326 mark. There is going to be a hung parliament. Plus some of

:13:04.:13:09.

the questions Laura was raising about Theresa May's future. It is

:13:10.:13:15.

worth remembering that the international academic extra says

:13:16.:13:20.

that calling snap elections often doesn't work, because voters ask

:13:21.:13:24.

themselves, hang on, what is it that is coming around the corner that

:13:25.:13:29.

they are trying to hide from us? If you think about the snap elections

:13:30.:13:34.

we have had in the UK in the past, 1970, Harold Wilson suddenly went to

:13:35.:13:37.

the country when he thought the June tweet polls had turned in his

:13:38.:13:43.

favour. He lost. In February in 1974, Edward Heath went to the

:13:44.:13:45.

country suddenly because of the miners strike. He lost. Now very

:13:46.:13:51.

suddenly and unexpectedly indeed, Theresa May has gone to the country.

:13:52.:13:56.

Her party has not managed to lose, but maybe we will find that she has

:13:57.:14:00.

ended up the loser of this election. She should have talked to you before

:14:01.:14:05.

she decided to do it! If she had read the international literature,

:14:06.:14:16.

it shows that although being able to call an election when you think it

:14:17.:14:19.

is a good idea might seem an advantage, if you try to call an

:14:20.:14:23.

election very early in a parliament, it can rebound on you. Laura, we

:14:24.:14:30.

know that she has a tight circle of political advisers ma Fiona Hill and

:14:31.:14:35.

Nick Timothy in particular. She must have consulted them. They are the

:14:36.:14:39.

ones who must take the blame for this. I understand she is currently

:14:40.:14:44.

closeted with them in Tory HQ, discussing their next moves. One

:14:45.:14:49.

minister has said to me, I don't think she has to go, but things will

:14:50.:14:55.

have to change. There will be demands from inside the 1922

:14:56.:15:00.

committee and among ministers that she must change her style of

:15:01.:15:05.

working. She must expand beyond that tiny group of people. That is where

:15:06.:15:14.

the discussion is. But is she capable of changing her way of

:15:15.:15:23.

working? She doesn't seem to move an inch without Nick Timothy and Fiona

:15:24.:15:27.

Hill telling her what to do. She's famed for her stubbornness. She

:15:28.:15:31.

could try to cast that as being resolute. That is what she tried to

:15:32.:15:34.

do in this election, boasting that she could be a bloody difficult

:15:35.:15:37.

woman. But if you will not change your mind and you have made the

:15:38.:15:46.

wrong decision, it is not great. We are joined by Simon Hamilton from

:15:47.:15:51.

the Democratic Unionist Party in Northern Ireland and the member of

:15:52.:15:55.

the Northern Ireland Assembly. I think you now have eight for the

:15:56.:16:02.

DUP? We increased our seats from eight in the last parliament to ten.

:16:03.:16:09.

You are clearly going to be a potentially attractive partner to a

:16:10.:16:14.

Tory Prime Minister who doesn't have an overall majority. What are you

:16:15.:16:20.

going to be asking for? Well, the results are still coming in and we

:16:21.:16:24.

will soon know what the final shape of the parliament is. Let's see what

:16:25.:16:32.

the final result is. The impact of Northern Ireland will be not just in

:16:33.:16:36.

respect of the Democratic Unionist Party, but also Sinn Fein, who don't

:16:37.:16:39.

take their seats in Westminster, which will have an impact on the

:16:40.:16:43.

overall working majority in parliament. First and foremost, the

:16:44.:16:53.

DUP will be looking to achieve our goals in respect of the best deal

:16:54.:16:59.

for Northern Ireland. We are also mindful of our responsibilities in

:17:00.:17:02.

terms of the national political scene. This is a difficult time for

:17:03.:17:07.

the UK. There are a lot of challenges, particularly with

:17:08.:17:11.

respect to terrorism and a attack on democracy in the last few weeks, but

:17:12.:17:15.

also the challenges and opportunities that Brexit presents

:17:16.:17:20.

and the need to get not just a good deal for Northern Ireland, but a

:17:21.:17:25.

good deal for the UK. Laura, you watch Westminster closely. Can you

:17:26.:17:35.

interpret for me what the DUP position would actually mean in

:17:36.:17:38.

terms of votes in the House? What kind of pressure will they be able

:17:39.:17:43.

to bring? Significant pressure. In the last Parliament, the DUP were

:17:44.:17:48.

able to do privately call shots on some issues. But if there were to be

:17:49.:17:51.

any sort of backsliding on Brexit, what would you consider to be

:17:52.:17:57.

something unacceptable? We have already heard that there may be Tory

:17:58.:18:01.

MPs calling for a reconsideration of the idea of staying in the single

:18:02.:18:06.

market. Would that be something you would consider as acceptable in the

:18:07.:18:12.

Brexit negotiations? Northern Ireland has particular circumstances

:18:13.:18:16.

in respect of Brexit, because we have a border with Ireland which

:18:17.:18:23.

will be the UK's border with the European Union after Brexit. The UK

:18:24.:18:29.

will be leaving the EU, but there are particular circumstances shaped

:18:30.:18:32.

by our history, geography and economy that we want to see

:18:33.:18:38.

reflected in any deal. That is something we would be talking very

:18:39.:18:43.

early to a new government about. Is it clear to you that you would only

:18:44.:18:47.

do a kind of vote by vote understanding or would you consider

:18:48.:18:50.

something more formal with the Conservatives? Let's see what

:18:51.:18:56.

happens over the next few hours. Clearly, our votes will be

:18:57.:19:00.

important. In the last Parliament, our votes were not needed in the way

:19:01.:19:05.

they may be in the new parliament. On a range of issues, we were able

:19:06.:19:08.

to take a position which was consistent with our policies as a

:19:09.:19:12.

party but were also in the best interests of the people of Northern

:19:13.:19:15.

Ireland, and we will continue to do that. You are in favour of leaving

:19:16.:19:25.

the EU. What kind of border do you want with the South? We want to see

:19:26.:19:30.

a frictionless border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of

:19:31.:19:34.

Ireland. There are a lot of movements on a daily basis between

:19:35.:19:38.

people who work on both sides of the border and a lot of movements in

:19:39.:19:41.

respect of the economy and trade. The rest of the UK remains our

:19:42.:19:49.

biggest seller 's market. So you think people who worry about that

:19:50.:19:52.

border and think that for instance, in terms of immigration into the UK,

:19:53.:19:57.

it is an open door from the Republic into the north, they are wrong? The

:19:58.:20:05.

Common travel area has existed between Northern Ireland and the

:20:06.:20:08.

Republic of Ireland since the 1920s. There has been a lot of talk in the

:20:09.:20:16.

last year about the creation of a hard border. That is not something

:20:17.:20:22.

we want. Sorry to interrupt, but were talking about Polish workers

:20:23.:20:26.

and Romanian workers coming from the EU who have open access at the

:20:27.:20:30.

moment to the mainland of Britain. They will surely be able to come

:20:31.:20:33.

into the Republic through Northern Ireland and into Britain. I know you

:20:34.:20:38.

have had a common border with the South, but that is going to allow

:20:39.:20:43.

anyone to come from anywhere in Europe into the mainland of Britain,

:20:44.:20:50.

isn't it? The detail of how it would work in practice would have to be

:20:51.:20:56.

worked out through the course of the next number of years as we go

:20:57.:21:01.

through the Article 50 process. We want a good deal for Northern

:21:02.:21:05.

Ireland as we exit the European Union. We were reassured by what the

:21:06.:21:10.

Prime Minister, David Davis and other Cabinet members said about

:21:11.:21:13.

their desire not to see a hard border. That is something we don't

:21:14.:21:17.

want on the Dublin government don't want to see that either. Brussels

:21:18.:21:21.

officials have also said that, so there is a recognition of the

:21:22.:21:27.

circumstances of Northern Ireland. That is something we will want to be

:21:28.:21:30.

dealt with early in the new parliament. Mr Hamilton, thank you.

:21:31.:21:40.

You mentioned David Davis. We have been trying to get Boris Johnson to

:21:41.:21:45.

talk to us. No. David Davis? No. Philip Hammond? No. Senior figures

:21:46.:22:02.

in the Tory party stumm, unlike Mishal's guests. Were ordered by

:22:03.:22:07.

Alistair Campbell, former director of Downing Street implications and

:22:08.:22:09.

the Guardian journalist Paul Mason. Paul, did you dare to hope for these

:22:10.:22:14.

sorts of games for Labour? Yes. I knew as soon as we did the left-wing

:22:15.:22:19.

manifesto that we could get back to 35%. I'm not sure what the final

:22:20.:22:22.

percentage will be, but it looks like we are on 12 million votes for

:22:23.:22:28.

Labour, which is pushing close to what the first two Tony Blair

:22:29.:22:33.

results were. What has then it is the severe deprivation across the

:22:34.:22:38.

areas of Britain that are voting for us. 12 million people picked up the

:22:39.:22:44.

Daily Mail and the # And read these headlines about Corbyn and McDonnell

:22:45.:22:48.

being Marxist terror supporters and threw them mentally in the bin.

:22:49.:22:53.

So for you, it was the anti-austerity election? Absolutely.

:22:54.:22:58.

I was campaigning in Plymouth, the home of the Trident submarine, or

:22:59.:23:04.

where they refurbish them. It looks like Labour will win both Plymouth

:23:05.:23:08.

seats. Even to that military community, home of the Royal Marine

:23:09.:23:13.

commandos, it is desperate out there in many working class communities,

:23:14.:23:19.

and nobody in politics has noticed. You are making it sound like a win,

:23:20.:23:23.

which it isn't. Alastair Campbell, what do you think? It has been an

:23:24.:23:29.

extraordinary night. I do think that an election that Theresa May called

:23:30.:23:32.

to strengthen her position, because she looked at the numbers on Jeremy

:23:33.:23:39.

Corbyn and thought it was unlosable, and she has lost. She cannot survive

:23:40.:23:43.

for long in the position she has got. I think Jeremy Corbyn is onto

:23:44.:23:48.

something in relation to how deep the austerity is going and the

:23:49.:23:51.

public saying they want something better. As you mentioned, Mishal, it

:23:52.:23:58.

is important to emphasise that she has lost and Labour hasn't won. The

:23:59.:24:05.

country is essentially still saying, we don't really want either of you.

:24:06.:24:11.

But they are doing it at a time when a government has to go into the most

:24:12.:24:14.

difficult negotiations that any government has had since the war.

:24:15.:24:20.

For your party, it means that Blairism is even more firmly part of

:24:21.:24:27.

the past. Jeremy Corbyn's wing of the party will lead it for the

:24:28.:24:31.

foreseeable future. Well, I want and hope that the Labour Party can

:24:32.:24:36.

encapsulate and encompass all of that space. The only way the Labour

:24:37.:24:39.

Party will get back into winning and having a Labour Prime Minister is if

:24:40.:24:46.

you have that coalition that has the left, but also has the centre

:24:47.:24:51.

ground. I want to get over this new, old, Blair, Brown macro thing.

:24:52.:24:58.

History has put us in an amazing edition. Of course we haven't won

:24:59.:25:02.

and we have to facilitate a stable conservative/ DUP government forming

:25:03.:25:06.

itself, because this country is under attack from terror. So what

:25:07.:25:11.

Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry are signalling about looking... We

:25:12.:25:15.

don't know what the final arithmetic is. But in the next 12 hours, Amber

:25:16.:25:24.

Rudd has to carry on being Home Secretary. You are right that Labour

:25:25.:25:30.

now needs to learn from this. I would like to see some of those big

:25:31.:25:34.

hitters from the brown and Blair era come into the Shadow Cabinet, reset

:25:35.:25:41.

the balance within Labour, re-look at what our offer on Brexit is. We

:25:42.:25:46.

have won this is committed to Brexit. That is how you win in

:25:47.:25:51.

places like Manchester and Bolton. But the kind of Brexit now has to be

:25:52.:25:55.

one that embraces an engagement with Europe. One of her big mistakes was

:25:56.:26:02.

that since the referendum, she has governed for the 40% with two

:26:03.:26:09.

fingers up to the 52%. You cannot govern for the country with such a

:26:10.:26:13.

big decision to be pursued like that. So no matter what

:26:14.:26:19.

configuration, there will have to be a much more consensual approach to

:26:20.:26:22.

what Britain's relationship with Europe becomes.

:26:23.:26:29.

Let's join Yvette Cooper in Wakefield. Thank you for joining us

:26:30.:26:37.

at this early hour of the morning. You are safely back in your seat.

:26:38.:26:43.

You were one of those who wanted to leave the Labour Party. What do you

:26:44.:26:47.

make of what has happened and what lessons does it contain for people

:26:48.:26:51.

like you on the right or the centre of Labour? I think it is great that

:26:52.:26:58.

we're winning back constituencies for and we are seeing hard work

:26:59.:27:04.

across the country. I applaud the work Jeremy, Tom, members and

:27:05.:27:10.

activists have been doing across the country to win back those

:27:11.:27:13.

constituencies. We have also had a small number of losses, that is very

:27:14.:27:19.

sad. People like Natascha Engel have been fantastic MPs in Parliament.

:27:20.:27:24.

But overall we have seen some great results. But of course what it means

:27:25.:27:29.

now is it looks like this is a hung parliament. I think that Theresa May

:27:30.:27:33.

called this as a referendum on herself and she has lost that. I do

:27:34.:27:38.

not see how she can carry on because I don't see she has a mandate for

:27:39.:27:42.

the manifesto she set out. That means it will be quite complicated

:27:43.:27:47.

in terms of what happens now. We have to keep up the pressure in

:27:48.:27:51.

terms of what we should be doing. We need to stand up for people to get a

:27:52.:27:57.

Labour government. And you are no happy with Jeremy Corbyn's

:27:58.:27:59.

leadership where you were not before? We had leadership elections

:28:00.:28:06.

in the party. That is how we do things. Jeremy Corbyn won twice. And

:28:07.:28:15.

that is why we had the whole party come together as part of this

:28:16.:28:19.

campaign, the all party campaigning across the country. I have been to

:28:20.:28:23.

about 20 constituencies across the country campaigning for those Labour

:28:24.:28:27.

candidates. It is great to see many of them elected this morning. What

:28:28.:28:34.

is happening behind you? Who is being applauded? Jon Trickett was

:28:35.:28:42.

just making his speech. He has been re-elected as the MP for Handsworth.

:28:43.:28:52.

-- Hemsworth. You were wrong about the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. It

:28:53.:28:55.

turns out he is a better leader than anybody else you could have

:28:56.:28:59.

produced. I you happy to serve in a shadow cabinet with him, indeed if

:29:00.:29:05.

he becomes Prime Minister serving cabinet with him? You back onside? I

:29:06.:29:12.

think we have all been working together in this election. We have

:29:13.:29:16.

been fighting for every vote, every single member of the party, every

:29:17.:29:22.

single candidate. We have been doing so together. That has been really

:29:23.:29:26.

important. That is why we have won support right across the country, a

:29:27.:29:31.

broad range of support. I think you would certainly agree it would be

:29:32.:29:35.

very presumptuous of me or anybody else to talk about what happens

:29:36.:29:40.

next. That is for the party. The one thing that should happen next is

:29:41.:29:46.

that Theresa May, I do think, cannot carry on as Prime Minister when she

:29:47.:29:49.

has lost what was a referendum she called on herself. We haven't seen

:29:50.:29:54.

the strong and stable claims that she made. We have seen the complete

:29:55.:29:59.

opposite happened. We have this really important Brexit

:30:00.:30:04.

negotiations? To start in about 11 days. -- due to start. There will

:30:05.:30:13.

have to be more transparency. There will have to be more negotiations

:30:14.:30:16.

and discussions in Parliament itself. There will have to be a

:30:17.:30:20.

proper, wide-open debate about what kind of Brexit Britain and the

:30:21.:30:26.

British government is pursuing. They can't do things the old ways and

:30:27.:30:29.

think they can get away with it after this election result. Thank

:30:30.:30:34.

you. We have now got a 29 seats still to declare. And we are now

:30:35.:30:40.

able, officially, so to speak, to say there is going to be, at the end

:30:41.:30:45.

when everything is in, there is going to be a hung parliament. No

:30:46.:30:51.

surprise there. With the Conservatives as the larger party.

:30:52.:30:58.

The largest party. Labour on 262. But remember, the Conservatives need

:30:59.:31:05.

326. So far from guaranteeing certainty and stability for the

:31:06.:31:08.

years ahead, Theresa May called this election and she has lost 17

:31:09.:31:17.

majority in favour of a hung parliament that has her on 318 only.

:31:18.:31:24.

Yes, we are just contemplating that inside our virtual parliament.

:31:25.:31:28.

Remember in 2010 when the Conservatives got 306 seats and they

:31:29.:31:32.

needed friends. They looked to the Liberal Democrats and you got the

:31:33.:31:35.

coalition. What may happen this time? Let me just show you the

:31:36.:31:44.

numbers here. Remarkably similar to the numbers we give you at the start

:31:45.:31:51.

of the night. 318, Conservative, 262 Labour. I'm going to show you how it

:31:52.:31:57.

would work if the Conservatives say to the DUP, the Democratic Unionist

:31:58.:32:02.

Party, help us. They haven't got the crucial 326 seats. How does it work?

:32:03.:32:09.

We take out, first of all, how do you get this to line up again? It

:32:10.:32:16.

doesn't matter if we see you. While you do that, let me explain. Here

:32:17.:32:21.

are the parties. The Conservatives, 308. We are looking for 326. It is

:32:22.:32:30.

pretty simple now. We undertake the DUP and we have got them down as

:32:31.:32:36.

ten. Add them to it. They are there. It is pretty, pretty close. It is

:32:37.:32:41.

very painful for Theresa May. It is that simple thing of saying to the

:32:42.:32:46.

DUP, will you help us? For Theresa May to reach out and ask them to at

:32:47.:32:52.

least get the Queen's speeds through. That arrangement involves

:32:53.:32:55.

all kinds of trade having to be made. Yvette Cooper saying there

:32:56.:33:00.

will be more focus on what is said and done in and around the chamber

:33:01.:33:05.

of the House of Commons. It could be done. A pretty simple calculation.

:33:06.:33:10.

They got close enough to the line to only need the support of the DUP.

:33:11.:33:13.

Let's see what this looks like inside the house of Commons. We had

:33:14.:33:19.

the Conservatives short. You can see the finishing line. Three than 26

:33:20.:33:23.

seats needed. They haven't made it. It is a hung parliament. They use

:33:24.:33:29.

the DUP to get across the line. Take a look at the opposition benches.

:33:30.:33:37.

Labour on 262. The SNP on 35. The Lib Dems recovering a bit. You can

:33:38.:33:41.

see the other parties. We have filled out the Northern Ireland

:33:42.:33:44.

parties. Labour exceeding all expectations. If you have a whirl

:33:45.:33:49.

around the House of Commons, you will see it is dominated, as before,

:33:50.:33:54.

by blue. But of course the crucial thing, the action around this line,

:33:55.:34:01.

this 327 line danger is the problem for Mrs May. That is why she will

:34:02.:34:05.

need help to pass laws and govern, if indeed she stays in power. And if

:34:06.:34:11.

she doesn't stay in power, those who like a little bit of history at 20

:34:12.:34:15.

to six in the morning, she will be the shortest term Prime Minister 's

:34:16.:34:21.

since Andrew Bonar Law, the Conservative Prime Minister, who

:34:22.:34:32.

served 210 days from 1922 to 1923. She has done 230 days. Nothing to be

:34:33.:34:39.

proud of. And the absolutely upside-down version of what he

:34:40.:34:42.

thought was kind to happen. She was expecting to be the first

:34:43.:34:46.

Conservative leader for 30 years to have a proper Conservative majority.

:34:47.:34:50.

Don't forget, David Cameron only made coalition in 2010. In 2015 he

:34:51.:34:56.

had a puny majority. This is the upside-down version of what Theresa

:34:57.:35:01.

May was anticipating. At the beginning of the campaign I remember

:35:02.:35:04.

there were a lot of opinion polls saying that people infinitely

:35:05.:35:09.

preferred her to Jeremy Corbyn. By quite big margins. Even if they

:35:10.:35:13.

didn't like the Conservative Party. People assumed it was her style,

:35:14.:35:18.

they liked are not being flashy, the light are not being as flashy as

:35:19.:35:22.

David Cameron, showing his toes off on an Instagram with his wife on

:35:23.:35:27.

holiday. She wasn't that kind of woman. A very private. She went on

:35:28.:35:31.

television and revealed nothing except that her husband put at the

:35:32.:35:36.

dustbins. People like that rectitude. Absolutely. We heard on

:35:37.:35:43.

the doorstep that people thought she wasn't like the other Tories, she

:35:44.:35:47.

was in the past boy. She was like during child's head teacher. She was

:35:48.:35:54.

calm, she had authority. I think one of the things that really hurt was

:35:55.:35:58.

not just the social care policy and the manifesto that frankly panicked

:35:59.:36:01.

a lot of elderly Conservative voters, it was probably largely due

:36:02.:36:07.

to the presentation not the actual policy. It panicked her. And then

:36:08.:36:12.

she changed her mind. That idea that she was stable, that she was

:36:13.:36:21.

resolute, but she had authority, was hugely undermined by the fact she

:36:22.:36:24.

did a U-turn on manifesto within days. That had never happened

:36:25.:36:29.

before. Secondly, the issue of police cuts in the wake of the

:36:30.:36:35.

terror attacks came up the rails in the closing days of the campaign.

:36:36.:36:40.

Just as you would normally expect the Conservatives to respond, the

:36:41.:36:44.

electorate to respond more positively to the Conservatives on

:36:45.:36:48.

security, traditionally a plus for them, in reverse, it appears to have

:36:49.:36:52.

gone the other way. So again, on the result and on the reaction of the

:36:53.:36:56.

campaign, a topsy-turvy election in that sense. It was weird, the

:36:57.:37:03.

turnabout on the care for people in their homes. It was absolutely clear

:37:04.:37:06.

reading the manifesto that what she was saying was, you can keep your

:37:07.:37:13.

last ?100,000, but you will pay for the rest of your care. There was no

:37:14.:37:19.

mention that you wouldn't have to pay more than 70 5000. Yet when they

:37:20.:37:23.

suddenly said, we will put that in so you can keep 100, and you won't

:37:24.:37:28.

have to pay more than 75, she just couldn't bring herself to say it was

:37:29.:37:35.

a change. You say the old people may not have been too worried but it was

:37:36.:37:39.

the fact that clearly everybody knew she had changed her position. The

:37:40.:37:44.

public are much more forgiving than Westminster. The concept of a

:37:45.:37:49.

U-turn. If you front up to it. In human life, everybody makes

:37:50.:37:53.

mistakes, finally you put your hands up and say, that is what happened.

:37:54.:37:58.

Theresa May stood there at repeated press conferences, answering

:37:59.:38:01.

question after question, saying nothing has changed, nothing has

:38:02.:38:05.

changed. We'll knew something had changed. We reported it. The public

:38:06.:38:09.

completely knew something had changed. That undermined her brand

:38:10.:38:15.

of not being like the rest. What is it with this nick, Timothy and Fiona

:38:16.:38:19.

Hill, that they can take on one side and say, don't give way, which is

:38:20.:38:26.

presumably what they were doing? Presumably she will have felt that.

:38:27.:38:31.

They are a core trio that I worked together for years. But to present

:38:32.:38:34.

her as not being able to make a wrong mind up is not fair. In our

:38:35.:38:40.

last couple of years at the Home Office, the to -- two of them had

:38:41.:38:45.

already left. The story is too tempting to imagine as a politician

:38:46.:38:49.

having strings pulled by people behind the scenes. The thing about

:38:50.:38:53.

Theresa May is she is extremely self-contained. She doesn't trust

:38:54.:38:57.

people easily. Since she moved into Number 10 people have been saying,

:38:58.:39:01.

she will have to broaden her circle. You can run that kind of tight ship

:39:02.:39:05.

if you are in a department. At Number 10, you have to be nimble.

:39:06.:39:11.

What we saw in this campaign, that was the one thing Theresa May seemed

:39:12.:39:15.

not capable of doing, was being nimble. The next 24-hour is she

:39:16.:39:21.

needs to survive. She is gone to need to be nimble. I understand she

:39:22.:39:26.

has been talking the Tory staff. Apparently her mood was calm,

:39:27.:39:29.

sombre. She didn't directly address the issue of her future. She didn't

:39:30.:39:35.

say she was going to stay, we will carry on together. The application

:39:36.:39:40.

of course not mentioning it is that she hasn't made of her mind. -- made

:39:41.:39:48.

up her mind. I will come back to you in a minute. This is a list of seats

:39:49.:39:53.

still to declare. Have a look at this. The Tories have to win all of

:39:54.:39:59.

these bar one. All of these bar one. There is the less. These are all

:40:00.:40:09.

being counted at the moment. They have taken Devon West and torrid.

:40:10.:40:14.

They have to take all of them bar one. If they lose two, it is a hung

:40:15.:40:19.

parliament. That is why we are forecasting a hung parliament.

:40:20.:40:28.

What reaction have you got? Not just social media.

:40:29.:40:34.

I am text on relentlessly. I text it a former Tory minister, can she

:40:35.:40:40.

survived? I will not telling the utilities. The response was, I doubt

:40:41.:40:47.

it. As Laura has been reporting and discussing, this election was called

:40:48.:40:51.

about the single issue of Brexit. Theresa May wanted a mandate to

:40:52.:40:55.

connect -- to negotiate with conviction. It is clear looking at

:40:56.:40:59.

what we are seeing on social media that people who backed Remain, they

:41:00.:41:07.

are very much emboldened. We have a declaration from Ashfield.

:41:08.:41:18.

Gloria Del Piero, 21,000 285. Tony Harper, Conservative Party, 20800

:41:19.:41:35.

and 44. Green Party candidate, 398. Putting people before politics,

:41:36.:41:48.

4612. Ray Young, Ukip, for the number of ballot papers rejected...

:41:49.:41:56.

Gloria Del Piera has been there since 2010. A former political

:41:57.:42:00.

correspondent for television. Once described as Tony Blair's favourite

:42:01.:42:05.

broadcaster. She has held onto Ashfield. The previous majority was

:42:06.:42:14.

8000. This is down in the hundreds. But anywhere, Ashfield has been

:42:15.:42:15.

held. Ashfield in Nottinghamshire. The Remainers, people like Ed

:42:16.:42:33.

Miliband, were meant to be vanquished by this election. The

:42:34.:42:37.

idea was that by getting a big mandate, Theresa merguez cover their

:42:38.:42:40.

ambitions. But actually, these guys are massively happy about this

:42:41.:42:45.

result. Ed Miliband has put out a message in the last hour saying, we

:42:46.:42:48.

know Theresa May can't now negotiate Brexit for Britain because she told

:42:49.:42:53.

us losing a majority would destroy her authority, and it has. Pretty

:42:54.:42:57.

brutal stuff from Ed Miliband. There are lots of people who are almost

:42:58.:43:04.

celebrity opponents of Brexit. Simon Schama, the historian, is one of

:43:05.:43:08.

them. He has put out a message saying hard Brexit is dead ma May on

:43:09.:43:14.

life support. Democracy is alive and kicking, a great thing. We are going

:43:15.:43:18.

to have lots of complex battles inside the Conservative Party and

:43:19.:43:20.

the House of Commons over the next few weeks, but that is not the only

:43:21.:43:24.

battle. The other 27 members of the European Union will be looking at

:43:25.:43:28.

this result. I think they agreed with Theresa May's analysis. Had she

:43:29.:43:32.

got a big increase in her majority, she would have had a stronger

:43:33.:43:35.

bargaining position. Now it is much weaker. Whoever runs the government

:43:36.:43:42.

over the next few weeks and months will find it much harder to get any

:43:43.:43:47.

deal out of the other 27 members. But if their mandate is weaker here,

:43:48.:43:56.

the strongest contingent in the Conservative Party is the

:43:57.:44:00.

Eurosceptics. So with a weaker mandate, there are potentially more

:44:01.:44:05.

likely to push her around and therefore a hard Brexit could be

:44:06.:44:09.

back on the table. Let's hear from the Conservative Party, a man who

:44:10.:44:13.

contended for the Conservative Party leadership until he dropped out,

:44:14.:44:16.

Stephen Crabb, who has held his Welsh seat by just over 300, down

:44:17.:44:24.

from 5000 or so. Thank you for joining us. Tell us what you think

:44:25.:44:30.

of the state of affairs for your party and which direction it should

:44:31.:44:37.

now go in? I have not been able to follow the full unfolding results or

:44:38.:44:41.

what the current state of the arithmetic is of what the new

:44:42.:44:45.

parliament will be but clearly, something has gone awry here. We set

:44:46.:44:48.

out on this election campaign wanting to provide the country with

:44:49.:44:52.

more stability and more unity ahead of the Brexit negotiations, and we

:44:53.:44:56.

are emerging with a situation in parliament where there are more

:44:57.:45:01.

divisions and less stability. So we clearly need to take stock of what

:45:02.:45:05.

has gone on and think about what these big overarching challenges

:45:06.:45:08.

with the Brexit negotiations, and take time to rethink what the

:45:09.:45:12.

correct approach is in the national interest. Can the Prime Minister

:45:13.:45:19.

hang on? Is absolutely she can. I don't know what the current state of

:45:20.:45:23.

affairs is with the number of seats being won, but if she is the leader

:45:24.:45:27.

of the largest party, there is a duty upon her as Prime Minister to

:45:28.:45:32.

seek to form a viable government. The last thing we should be doing

:45:33.:45:36.

right now while the election results are still coming in, is called for

:45:37.:45:39.

more political turbulence and knee jerk decisions. We need to be calm

:45:40.:45:47.

about this. Theresa May clearly understands the seriousness of the

:45:48.:45:52.

situation. But we should avoid hasty decisions that add to the

:45:53.:45:58.

instability. Leaving aside the leadership, in terms of policy, you

:45:59.:46:04.

are stored Remainer -- a staunch Remainer. You don't want to see

:46:05.:46:10.

Britain leave the EU in difficult circumstances and go into the World

:46:11.:46:14.

Trade Organisation. Do you think this election will have a salutary

:46:15.:46:18.

effect on the decisions that are made about Brexit as a Remainer?

:46:19.:46:26.

Well, I voted for Remain, but I understood the result of the

:46:27.:46:29.

referendum last year and recognised the need to strike a pragmatic and

:46:30.:46:36.

realistic Brexit position. I think it is important to avoid falling

:46:37.:46:42.

back on this hard edge Brexit relying on World Trade Organisation

:46:43.:46:46.

rules. And yes, one of the messages from the results tonight will be

:46:47.:46:50.

that the government needs to seek a balanced, pragmatic approach, strike

:46:51.:46:53.

that deal with the European Union if we can. Ideally, given that it is

:46:54.:46:59.

unlikely that there will be one party with an overall majority, we

:47:00.:47:03.

need to be trying to forge as much cross-party consensus on this as

:47:04.:47:08.

possible. Stephen Crabb, thank you. While you were talking, we were

:47:09.:47:11.

watching Zac Goldsmith at Richmond Park, where there appear to have

:47:12.:47:16.

been two recounts. He is looking very chirpy. That is him, the blond

:47:17.:47:20.

fellow in the background, who is fighting the Conservative cause

:47:21.:47:23.

against the Liberal Democrats, who took over his seat in a by-election.

:47:24.:47:30.

Let's hear from our reporter there if we can. We can't. So we will

:47:31.:47:41.

leave him there, mulling over whatever it is that has happened,

:47:42.:47:46.

and go to North East Fife. It is difficult to interpret people's

:47:47.:47:49.

faces. And we have lost North East Fife as well. But I'm sure everyone

:47:50.:47:59.

will come back in time. So we have a hung parliament, we think. 20 seats

:48:00.:48:07.

to go now and the Tories are on 306. We think they will end up at 318. Is

:48:08.:48:15.

it time to remind ourselves of what happens with a hung parliament? I am

:48:16.:48:22.

sure it is. The technical rules. Who governs while it is resolved? The

:48:23.:48:26.

incumbent Prime Minister is still in office. Whatever happens with the

:48:27.:48:33.

Tory party, the government in power gets the first chance to form a

:48:34.:48:39.

government. If they can't do that and they try to put something

:48:40.:48:42.

forward to the Commons and it fails, then the Prime Minister has to

:48:43.:48:46.

resign. We may not get to that territory. We will have to leave

:48:47.:48:57.

your lecture. We are going to Southampton. The Conservative

:48:58.:49:14.

candidate, 16006. If Labour hold this one, it is a hung parliament.

:49:15.:49:18.

Independent, 680. Southampton independent, 716. Labour

:49:19.:49:40.

Party, 27509. That is it. He has increased his agility, so it is a

:49:41.:49:43.

hung parliament. The Tories had to take that one if they were to have

:49:44.:49:49.

any chance of reaching 326. They now don't. We forecast a hung parliament

:49:50.:49:53.

and it now is a hung parliament. This is the official moment where we

:49:54.:49:57.

can say Theresa May's gamble has spectacularly backfired. She has

:49:58.:50:02.

lost the majority she inherited from David Cameron. She herself is in a

:50:03.:50:08.

vulnerable position at a time when whoever is in charge faces the most

:50:09.:50:10.

competitive political task in decades. Astonishing. You can go

:50:11.:50:22.

back to reading your rules. So the Prime Minister is still entitled.

:50:23.:50:29.

Does she go to the palace? No. I think she still will go to the

:50:30.:50:34.

palace. There still has to be a formal request after a general

:50:35.:50:37.

election. Then she goes back to the House of Commons. A vote of

:50:38.:50:42.

confidence then? That would be up to the 1922 committee. But what will

:50:43.:50:50.

she do as Prime Minister? The first move would be to put forward what

:50:51.:50:56.

she plans to do. Parliament State opening is on the 19th of June, so

:50:57.:50:59.

she would try to put forward a Queen's Speech and essentially dare

:51:00.:51:04.

the other parties to vote you down. It may be that things are moving so

:51:05.:51:08.

fast that we might not get there but technically, the largest party is

:51:09.:51:11.

entitled to put forward a Queen's Speech and see what the other

:51:12.:51:14.

parties make of it. On these numbers, it may be that if Theresa

:51:15.:51:18.

May makes it through the Tory grinder, her Queen's Speech would go

:51:19.:51:28.

through and then she could carry on, albeit very much damaged but still

:51:29.:51:36.

in charge. But it is too straightforward to say she has to

:51:37.:51:41.

get it through Parliament, because the opposition parties might not

:51:42.:51:47.

want to force another election now or form another government. So they

:51:48.:51:53.

can call back or abstain. They can do all sorts of things. Let her stew

:51:54.:51:59.

in her own juice for a bit. She has already voiced that up on her own

:52:00.:52:07.

petard. There we go, two analogies! The rules create the backdrop of all

:52:08.:52:15.

of this. But the political mood is more important. Where there is a

:52:16.:52:18.

will, there's a way. If the party allows her to stay and she wants to

:52:19.:52:25.

carry on when she's so damaged, then maybe she can. But somebody in 11

:52:26.:52:33.

days' time has to go and speak to Mr Barnier about leaving. So who does

:52:34.:52:37.

that? If Theresa May stays on, you would assume it would be David

:52:38.:52:40.

Davis, if he doesn't get moved to another job. But it would be an

:52:41.:52:45.

astonishing thing where whoever it is turned up opposing the other 27

:52:46.:52:49.

countries around the table. Emily has more results for us. We know it

:52:50.:52:55.

is now a hung parliament, but let's see what has come in. I wonder if we

:52:56.:53:02.

are starting to feel the pace of the shy Remainer in these results. This

:53:03.:53:06.

is Chipping Barnet, a north London suburb by showing that although

:53:07.:53:11.

Theresa Villiers has kept the seat, look at the swing, again away from

:53:12.:53:17.

her towards Labour of 6.9%. Same sort of direction as the one we saw

:53:18.:53:25.

with Justine Greening in Putney. They are holding on here.

:53:26.:53:29.

Dumfriesshire is the one that has been held for the Conservatives. It

:53:30.:53:43.

does start to look like a rejection of independence, whether you are

:53:44.:53:50.

talking about the Scottish referendum, or maybe a start of the

:53:51.:53:55.

shy Remain vote in England. We have seen some extraordinary swings in

:53:56.:53:59.

Scotland on a summer of 20%. This is not as big, but it is still pretty

:54:00.:54:04.

hefty, and 11 point swing towards the Conservatives away from the SNP.

:54:05.:54:17.

Even when you see the old, let's look at the change. The Ukip vote is

:54:18.:54:25.

again deeply down, Labour making those gains which holds the seat for

:54:26.:54:29.

the Conservatives. In Scotland, we are seeing a real rejection of

:54:30.:54:33.

independence, with all the parties taking away from the SNP. Will we

:54:34.:54:37.

start to interpret the same sort of movement in some of the gains that

:54:38.:54:41.

Labour is making from the Conservatives? So it could be that

:54:42.:54:45.

one of the effects of this election will be to give hope to the 48% who

:54:46.:54:50.

voted Remain in the referendum last summer? They will think there is now

:54:51.:54:55.

something to play for again. You have heard the Remainers saying the

:54:56.:55:04.

48% felt forgotten. Perhaps over the course of this year, the Remainers

:55:05.:55:07.

are the ones who have felt their voice was ignored and it is starting

:55:08.:55:16.

to come through. This is the voice of the shy Remainers, but they have

:55:17.:55:19.

not decamped en masse to the Lib Dems. It was the Lib Dem strategy to

:55:20.:55:23.

relentless target the 40% in the hope that they would all come over

:55:24.:55:26.

to the yellow column, but that has not happened, interestingly. Well,

:55:27.:55:38.

the 326 seats that the Tories needed if they were to have a majority,

:55:39.:55:45.

even a minuscule one, is now impossible. So it is a hung

:55:46.:55:51.

parliament. The Conservatives have 309 seats. Labour 258. There is no

:55:52.:55:57.

way the Conservatives can go to 326. That is how it is at the moment. We

:55:58.:56:05.

have not shown the other parties. I don't think we have even mentioned

:56:06.:56:12.

whether the Green Party won in Brighton. We are still waiting for

:56:13.:56:18.

that result, Caroline Lucas. That is how things are. It is a hung

:56:19.:56:22.

parliament, and that's the story. And it has taken us from ten

:56:23.:56:26.

o'clock, when it was quite astonishing to get the exit poll, to

:56:27.:56:31.

now, just before six o'clock, to be certain that that is how things are.

:56:32.:56:38.

Peter. In the light of the referendum a year ago, Scotland was

:56:39.:56:43.

doing one thing, London was doing one thing, and the rest of England

:56:44.:56:47.

and Wales. It is like that tonight. These three quite different

:56:48.:56:50.

operations. Scotland, a massive swing from SNP to Conservative. In a

:56:51.:56:56.

huge swing to Labour, especially in the Tory marginals. The rest of

:56:57.:57:00.

England and Wales, a small swing to Labour. So once again, the shadow of

:57:01.:57:06.

Brexit and the referendum is telling in these results. A while ago,

:57:07.:57:11.

Southgate went back to Labour. The remarkable thing is that it was

:57:12.:57:15.

actually in line with all the other Conservative marginals in London.

:57:16.:57:18.

The surprising thing is that it was not a surprise in terms of what was

:57:19.:57:20.

happening in London tonight. Cordova it is six o'clock and some

:57:21.:57:28.

of you will have had your alarm clocks winging in your ear. You will

:57:29.:57:37.

be will wanting to know what happened. The news from the Election

:57:38.:57:41.

Centre, it is a hung parliament. Theresa May, having gone to get what

:57:42.:57:47.

she called certainty and stability for the years ahead, has totally

:57:48.:57:52.

failed. She had a majority of 17 when this election was called a few

:57:53.:57:56.

weeks back, she now doesn't have a majority at all. From her point of

:57:57.:58:01.

view, it's a total disaster. It was a call she made and it fell flat.

:58:02.:58:07.

That's how things are. For the next hour and the rest of the day, we

:58:08.:58:12.

will discuss the ramifications. All sorts of ramifications, whether she

:58:13.:58:16.

stays on this, what happens on policy. 11 days from now, we have to

:58:17.:58:22.

start discussing with EU the terms of Brexit. If you are yawning and

:58:23.:58:26.

about to do your morning exercises, that is the news for you.

:58:27.:58:31.

Up here with me, two people whose job it is to decipher these messages

:58:32.:58:36.

into newsprint and onto the airwaves.

:58:37.:58:40.

Let's start with the point a moment ago, Andrew, do you think this was

:58:41.:58:48.

the voice of the shy Remainer coming back? I said earlier I thought there

:58:49.:58:54.

was an element of the angry Remainer who had been ignored for most of the

:58:55.:58:59.

campaign, expressing itself in some of the results. There is a lot to

:59:00.:59:03.

this result, but the big headline is this is the most stunning reversal

:59:04.:59:08.

of fortunes. Just a month ago, the local elections, it now appears to

:59:09.:59:12.

be the Jurassic in love. Labour was absolutely hammered at those

:59:13.:59:21.

elections. -- the Jurassic era. Fast forward now, stunningly better

:59:22.:59:24.

results for Jeremy Corbyn, when most expected, including me, and most of

:59:25.:59:32.

his MPs... Some of that is obviously down to the dreadful Conservative

:59:33.:59:34.

campaign, but credit where it is due, Labour has run a very effective

:59:35.:59:40.

campaign, confounding so many expectations. Until a minute to ten

:59:41.:59:44.

last night, many Labour MPs were waiting to come out anticipating a

:59:45.:59:50.

dreadful drubbing. Some who have appeared on this programme over the

:59:51.:59:55.

course of the evening, perhaps preparing to launch leadership

:59:56.:59:58.

campaigns. All that is for the birds now. What do you think this was

:59:59.:00:05.

about? I think we are all going to concentrate on Theresa May falling

:00:06.:00:08.

short in her gamble, but we should not miss the big driver, that Jeremy

:00:09.:00:13.

Corbyn did vastly better than people expected and had analysed. His idea

:00:14.:00:19.

was Ed Miliband did not energise people beyond the ordinary people

:00:20.:00:25.

who vote in elections, and we can do that with a new message. Everybody

:00:26.:00:29.

outside their group thought that was an eccentric theory, it wouldn't

:00:30.:00:33.

happen. They were right, we were wrong. That is one of the big

:00:34.:00:38.

drivers of the election. People thought Labour would get 30%, it got

:00:39.:00:44.

above 40%. No one saw that coming. That is a bigger feature of the

:00:45.:00:49.

election. Why would that happen? One of the reasons is obviously Remain

:00:50.:00:52.

versus Leave. When David Cameron had the election in 2015,

:00:53.:01:16.

real income growth was going up. Now it is going down. Everything

:01:17.:01:18.

political science tells you, you have to make the election about

:01:19.:01:21.

something else. She tried to make it about the Brexit negotiations, but

:01:22.:01:23.

it ended up being a lot about austerity. Not an election winning

:01:24.:01:25.

number of voters for Labour. Mr Corbyn and his team were right, they

:01:26.:01:28.

seem to have been proved correct in attaching onto the idea that after

:01:29.:01:32.

seven years, a lot of the public is heartily sick of austerity. Even if

:01:33.:01:37.

they did not think plausible the whole Labour programme... Is it a

:01:38.:01:42.

campaign when not much could have been done? It is worth noting Labour

:01:43.:01:54.

did not actually win the election. The really interesting question is,

:01:55.:01:57.

is there a way of taking the excitement Jeremy Corbyn brings to

:01:58.:02:03.

the campaign and linking it with feeling they could actually govern,

:02:04.:02:05.

which would then produce the extra votes that would allow them to

:02:06.:02:09.

actually win a majority themselves? Because it is important not to be

:02:10.:02:13.

carried away by expectations and think that Labour won the election.

:02:14.:02:17.

In circumstances where the economy was going backwards and there was a

:02:18.:02:21.

Remain feeling, of course they fall short, so we need to analyse that

:02:22.:02:27.

too. What are you hearing from within the party about Theresa May's

:02:28.:02:32.

future? Because everyone is busy, I am not hearing one way or another,

:02:33.:02:36.

but if you fight an election because you want a mandate and you don't get

:02:37.:02:40.

a mandate, that puts your position in question. The problem for the

:02:41.:02:44.

Conservative Party is there is no majority in the Conservative Party

:02:45.:02:47.

that would then command a majority on Brexit in the Commons, and in the

:02:48.:02:53.

Lords actually. Where they would go and where the Conservative Party

:02:54.:02:57.

would go is different. The leadership on a platform to

:02:58.:03:02.

govern... There is also the personal factor with Mrs May. I have watched

:03:03.:03:08.

other Prime Ministers go through this. David Cameron said before the

:03:09.:03:11.

referendum result he would not resign as Prime Minister. He woke up

:03:12.:03:17.

and realised the loss of authority and that he could not carry on

:03:18.:03:22.

plausibly in those circumstances. She will obviously be considering,

:03:23.:03:26.

the people closest to her, most of all her husband... If enough of them

:03:27.:03:31.

want me to carry on, would it be worth it? Having tried to sell

:03:32.:03:35.

myself in this way and been rejected by the people, do I want to try and

:03:36.:03:41.

go hand to mouth, knowing that a lot of my party are absolutely furious

:03:42.:03:45.

with me, having to cut day by day deals with the Ulster Unionists? I

:03:46.:03:47.

wonder. Thank you. Let's turn to the Green Party. They

:03:48.:03:58.

have in effect only one candidate with a chance of winning. It is of

:03:59.:04:05.

course Caroline Lucas, co-leader of the Greens in Brighton Pavilion.

:04:06.:04:10.

Worth thinking for a moment for those people who voted Green, if she

:04:11.:04:14.

does get in, we will get the result in a moment, over half a million

:04:15.:04:20.

people voted Green, so she represents half a million of the

:04:21.:04:24.

electorate. 13 million voted Conservative and they get 310 seats.

:04:25.:04:31.

12.5 million voted Labour and they get 258. The Lib Dems get 12. Under

:04:32.:04:40.

half a million, the SNP get 34. Over half a million and the Greens get

:04:41.:04:46.

one. Worth reflecting on. Let's get the result from Brighton Pavilion

:04:47.:04:52.

and see whether she did actually to represent...

:04:53.:05:03.

The Brighton Boolean constituency is as follows. Ian Buchanan, 630, Ukip.

:05:04.:05:16.

Solomon Curtis, Labour Party... Caroline Lucas, Green Party, 30,149.

:05:17.:05:28.

Emma Warman, Conservatives... The number of other papers rejected were

:05:29.:05:37.

as follows. Mark identifying vote, three. Unmarked, 133. The total

:05:38.:05:47.

rejected votes come 154. So Caroline Lucas has increased her majority.

:05:48.:05:57.

She is up by 6722. A majority of nearly 15,000. Here she is, the

:05:58.:06:02.

co-leader of the Green Party. Thank you so much to the returning officer

:06:03.:06:07.

and his amazing staff tonight. Thank you to the other candidates. Thank

:06:08.:06:11.

you to my really amazing campaign team and the Legion of volunteers

:06:12.:06:15.

who did so much in this campaign. Going well beyond the call of duty.

:06:16.:06:24.

I want to say a huge thank you to Matt, Gabriel, my campaign manager

:06:25.:06:28.

and my agent, you have been so fantastic. Thank you so much. Thank

:06:29.:06:33.

you to my amazing family, as ever, always with me every step of the

:06:34.:06:37.

way. And most of all, thank you to the wonderful people of Brighton

:06:38.:06:41.

Pavilion, whom it has been such an honour and privilege to serve. Thank

:06:42.:06:45.

you for putting your faith in me again. Caroline Lucas, winning her

:06:46.:06:54.

seat in Brighton Pavilion again. At 6.10, time for some news. Dawn has

:06:55.:07:02.

broken. A fine day. And my goodness, down there in those few square miles

:07:03.:07:09.

around Westminster, the people coming back, the people in Downing

:07:10.:07:13.

Street, the people in Tory party head office, the Labour Party

:07:14.:07:17.

offices, yak yak yak, trying to decide what on earth to do. All of

:07:18.:07:24.

our BBC yak gag yakkers will be going down there, including Laura

:07:25.:07:32.

Kuenssberg. Not quite yet, but shortly. At some point, we expect

:07:33.:07:37.

Theresa May to come out. I'm not sure whether she is back in there

:07:38.:07:42.

already, but it is on mornings like this that back entrances to official

:07:43.:07:51.

buildings come into their own. Waving from the window...

:07:52.:07:56.

John Major in defeat was televised making a live speech to staff, a

:07:57.:08:03.

gracious speech, when he lost in 1997. It's normal to go back to

:08:04.:08:08.

Central office. It's not normal to be completely hidden away.

:08:09.:08:14.

Westminster Abbey, the end east there, and the Union Flag flying

:08:15.:08:20.

over the House of lords. -- the East end there.

:08:21.:08:25.

Let us not be deflected any further by the beauty of this scene of

:08:26.:08:34.

London and the dawn, and let's instead have the latest news. With

:08:35.:08:36.

Louise Minchin. Theresa May's decision

:08:37.:08:40.

to call a snap general election has backfired,

:08:41.:08:44.

and there will be a hung parliament. With only a handful of seats left

:08:45.:08:48.

to declare, the Conservatives have Labour has done better than expected

:08:49.:08:50.

in the general election, and Jeremy Corbyn has called

:08:51.:08:56.

for Theresa May to resign. The Prime Minister says

:08:57.:08:59.

the country needs stability. The night saw both Alex Salmond

:09:00.:09:01.

and Nick Clegg lose their seats. Our political correspondent

:09:02.:09:05.

Tom Bateman's report A political gamble -

:09:06.:09:07.

the hope that she would transform the Tories' fragile advantage

:09:08.:09:17.

in Parliament with a huge win. But the smiles of the campaign

:09:18.:09:21.

trail have vanished. Forecasts suggest the Conservatives

:09:22.:09:25.

may end up even worse off, If, as the indications have shown,

:09:26.:09:28.

if this is correct, that the Conservative Party has won

:09:29.:09:34.

the most seats, and probably the most votes, then it will be

:09:35.:09:38.

incumbent on us to ensure we have that period of stability,

:09:39.:09:42.

and that is what we will do. And you can see what

:09:43.:09:48.

the Labour leader makes A man whose campaign

:09:49.:09:50.

confounded many expectations. Beaming smiles, with Labour

:09:51.:09:56.

on course for a far better The Prime Minister called

:09:57.:09:58.

the election because Well, the mandate she's got

:09:59.:10:03.

is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost support,

:10:04.:10:10.

and lost confidence. I would have thought

:10:11.:10:13.

that is enough to go, actually. In Battersea, Labour

:10:14.:10:18.

have ousted a government There have been Labour gains

:10:19.:10:21.

elsewhere - in Stockton South from the Conservatives,

:10:22.:10:27.

and in Scotland, And just look at the mood during the

:10:28.:10:40.

count in Hastings. Home Secretary Amber Rudd only just scraped home by

:10:41.:10:47.

346 votes. It's not just the Tories suffering.

:10:48.:10:49.

In Sheffield, the Lib Dem's former leader Nick Clegg has lost his seat.

:10:50.:10:52.

I, of course, have encountered this evening something that many people

:10:53.:10:55.

have encountered before tonight, and I suspect many people

:10:56.:10:57.

will encounter after tonight, which is in politics you live

:10:58.:10:59.

by the sword and you die by the sword.

:11:00.:11:03.

The night began with a projection - the exit poll.

:11:04.:11:11.

This morning, with most seats counted, the BBC forecast has the

:11:12.:11:17.

Conservatives as the largest party but short of an overall majority.

:11:18.:11:21.

Labour are on course to increase their number of seats by around 30.

:11:22.:11:27.

The SNP have lost big names on a disappointing night compared with

:11:28.:11:30.

their Scottish landslide two years ago. Angus Robertson was ousted by

:11:31.:11:34.

the Conservatives, and their former leader Alex Salmond lost his seat

:11:35.:11:40.

too. One of Theresa May's own MPs is laying the blame on her. She is in a

:11:41.:11:45.

very difficult place. She is a remarkable, talented woman and she

:11:46.:11:48.

does not shy from difficult decisions but she has to consider

:11:49.:11:53.

her position. Democracy has been on full show. So have the upsets. Now

:11:54.:11:59.

an unpredictable journey for Theresa May as dawn breaks on renewed

:12:00.:12:04.

political uncertainty. As she arrives at her party HQ, she knows

:12:05.:12:07.

there are those saying this result should bring the end of the road for

:12:08.:12:11.

a Premiership. The seating arrangement in this place has

:12:12.:12:14.

changed significantly, or because Theresa May asked you to decide. Now

:12:15.:12:16.

she has the answer. The pound has fallen sharply, as

:12:17.:12:34.

traders react to the results. A clearer picture of the markets will

:12:35.:12:39.

continue to emerge when trading opens across Europe. In other news,

:12:40.:12:43.

1-1 is investigating the terror attack at London Bridge in which

:12:44.:12:48.

eight people died have made another arrest. A 29-year-old man was

:12:49.:12:51.

detained in east London, bringing the total number of people in

:12:52.:12:58.

custody to five. 12 others were released without charge.

:12:59.:13:07.

The Trump administration has denied allegations by James Comey that the

:13:08.:13:16.

president tried to impede an investigation into last year's

:13:17.:13:19.

presidential election. Mr Trump's lawyers said the testimony finally

:13:20.:13:24.

confirm publicly that the president was not under investigation.

:13:25.:13:30.

He has also called for Mr Comey to be prosecuted for leaking

:13:31.:13:33.

Mr Comey has now admitted that he is one of these leakers. He has now

:13:34.:13:53.

admitted that he unilaterally and surreptitiously made unauthorised

:13:54.:13:57.

disclosure to the press. Back to election news in a couple of

:13:58.:14:01.

moments, after an update on the weather, with Matt Taylor. Good

:14:02.:14:04.

morning. Good morning. Overall, a sunny story

:14:05.:14:10.

for most of you today. But you might need your umbrella just in case,

:14:11.:14:13.

there will be some chicks in the forecast. The showers will be moving

:14:14.:14:25.

eastwards during the day. But some gaps in between the showers. With a

:14:26.:14:32.

bit more sunshine then yesterday, it will probably feel just a touch

:14:33.:14:36.

warmer. Tonight, temperatures will hold up, with cloud spilling in once

:14:37.:14:41.

again. That will be bringing rain into many areas for the start of

:14:42.:14:49.

Saturday. The driest and brightest of the weather will be across parts

:14:50.:14:53.

of the Midlands, East Anglia and the south-east of England. Quite a humid

:14:54.:14:57.

day tomorrow. Sunday, driest again in the south-east corner. Further

:14:58.:15:02.

north and west, it will feel a little bit cooler. Time now to hand

:15:03.:15:05.

you back to David Dimbleby. Welcome back. Where is the Prime

:15:06.:15:26.

Minister, and what is she up to? Ben Wright is outside Tory party

:15:27.:15:33.

headquarters. Good morning. Good morning. We believe she is now in No

:15:34.:15:38.

10, having spent quite a long time here at Tory HQ mulling over what to

:15:39.:15:45.

do next. She did talk to Tory staffers just before she left and I

:15:46.:15:48.

understand she said things would be different, but the Tories would

:15:49.:15:53.

continue to be a party which works for everyone. I am told there was no

:15:54.:15:58.

mention about her own intentions, weather she will stay or go. One

:15:59.:16:01.

source in there told me that her mood was down, sombre but calm. I'm

:16:02.:16:08.

told that she has left here and gone to Downing Street. There are a. Of

:16:09.:16:13.

Tory party staffers trudging out, looking pretty desolate. They

:16:14.:16:18.

thought this would be a morning of jubilation and celebration. I was

:16:19.:16:23.

with the Tory battle bus this week, going around Labour held seats which

:16:24.:16:26.

they thought would all be turning blue this morning. None of them were

:16:27.:16:31.

expecting this. Things will change, meaning...? Laura Kuenssberg has

:16:32.:16:36.

been talking about, she would have to change the way she does things -

:16:37.:16:42.

could that be what she meant, or could it mean, you may not have me

:16:43.:16:47.

around any more? I think it is more likely to be the former. She will be

:16:48.:16:52.

well aware that as this campaign has progressed, there have been a

:16:53.:16:57.

growing degree of frustration and anger I think within Tory party

:16:58.:17:01.

ranks, the Parliamentary Conservative ranks, about how she

:17:02.:17:04.

runs the show, how this campaign was conducted, I think there is real

:17:05.:17:09.

anger not just about social care and how that policy unravelled within a

:17:10.:17:11.

couple of days and had to be amended, but also the offerings on

:17:12.:17:16.

tensions, benefits, on the triple lock, on the repeated mantra that

:17:17.:17:21.

all Britain needed was strong and stable leadership, a campaign built

:17:22.:17:25.

entirely around Theresa May. There was a lot of disquiet, particularly

:17:26.:17:30.

in the last couple of weeks, about how this campaign had been wrong and

:17:31.:17:34.

what it said about how Theresa May runs her inner circle. I think there

:17:35.:17:38.

had already been demands for that to change. Had she won this election

:17:39.:17:43.

comfortably and carried on as Prime Minister in the months and years

:17:44.:17:46.

ahead, I think she would have been forced to make some changes on that

:17:47.:17:49.

front. That might be watching was referring to. You say you were on

:17:50.:17:54.

the campaign bus, and I know there was a lot of talk about, for

:17:55.:17:58.

instance, Jeremy Corbyn would go and speak to 1000 people, or 2000

:17:59.:18:04.

people, and she would go into an empty factory, where 12 workers were

:18:05.:18:09.

brought out to listen to her - was it actually like that, is that how

:18:10.:18:13.

it felt, that she wasn't making any real eye contact with people, wasn't

:18:14.:18:17.

arguing her case, was keeping away from the crowds? Not entirely fair.

:18:18.:18:25.

I went to some of the factory visits, where often the workers in

:18:26.:18:30.

these places were given no clue as to who was about to turn up, they

:18:31.:18:36.

were just told a VIP was about to appear, and they were quite stand to

:18:37.:18:39.

see the Prime Minister. She would then stay for up to half an hour,

:18:40.:18:42.

taking any questions they wanted to ask. When you are in the workplace

:18:43.:18:47.

setting, it is a bit odd quizzing the Prime Minister with no notice

:18:48.:18:50.

of. But there was a degree of interaction. What there wasn't was

:18:51.:18:55.

any of the colour and Carnival and the mass rallies that we saw from

:18:56.:18:58.

Jeremy Corbyn. The Tory campaign was entirely different. On the whole,

:18:59.:19:03.

Theresa May made the same short speech to 100, that's 200 Tory

:19:04.:19:10.

activists who had been bussed into a venue, with messages given to them

:19:11.:19:15.

by Tory party staffers, and it was often white hard to find a pulse on

:19:16.:19:20.

this Tory campaign. It was not exciting, it was just a robotic

:19:21.:19:24.

thing, driven, rammed home message, which did not change, really, join

:19:25.:19:30.

the campaign. I think they will feel it did the job in terms of getting

:19:31.:19:34.

the message onto the television screens, that was what the campaign

:19:35.:19:38.

was about. It was only in the last couple of days that it had some feel

:19:39.:19:41.

of a general election campaign, it had more pace, there were rallies

:19:42.:19:44.

where Theresa May became more animated. But it felt a strange

:19:45.:19:51.

campaign inside the bubble of it. Interesting picking up on what Ben

:19:52.:19:55.

Wright was saying, inevitably, the blame game inside Tory headquarters

:19:56.:20:03.

has already started. This campaign, like the previous ones, was run by

:20:04.:20:06.

Lynton Crosby, the Australian suppose it my stroke. Sources inside

:20:07.:20:13.

Tory HQ are telling me that Crosby's team did not understand Theresa May.

:20:14.:20:18.

They did not get her, they did not understand her. They walked in with

:20:19.:20:22.

their prepared attack lines about the coalition of chaos, and strong

:20:23.:20:28.

and stable... And then what was describes me as sensible people who

:20:29.:20:31.

knew Theresa May asked for changes in species and told Crosby that the

:20:32.:20:36.

strong and stable slogan had become a joke, all those suggestions were

:20:37.:20:42.

basically pushed out. Of course, everybody is now trying to rewrite

:20:43.:20:45.

history and saying, of course I said it was going to be a disaster! But

:20:46.:20:50.

it seems the public have rejected that much more controlled kind of

:20:51.:20:53.

campaigning, very similar to what David Cameron did. Theresa May did

:20:54.:20:58.

not play it any different to what David Cameron did under Lynton

:20:59.:21:03.

Crosby. But it seems that model did not fit for her, a very different

:21:04.:21:07.

kind of politician, and that kind of campaign just didn't work. Kamal

:21:08.:21:13.

Ahmed, very briefly, and I will come back to you for the wider

:21:14.:21:18.

implications - Stirling, what has happened, can you afford to go on

:21:19.:21:22.

holiday any more? Just about, David, I'm sure you will be able to afford

:21:23.:21:25.

it. I was asking on behalf of the US! We were here on Brexit night,

:21:26.:21:31.

and the market has once again shown its unerring ability to misjudge

:21:32.:21:37.

election outcomes. The market was positioned for a pretty solid

:21:38.:21:41.

Theresa May majority. That didn't happen. From the moment of the exit

:21:42.:21:45.

poll, Stirling has been weak, it has fallen by up to 2%. It has slightly

:21:46.:21:54.

rallied. But if we think about where the economy is, when politics hits

:21:55.:21:59.

the uncertainty button, the economy keeps going. Real incomes are still

:22:00.:22:06.

falling, rove has slowed down, and now the uncertainty around the

:22:07.:22:09.

direction of travel for the Government on tackling these big

:22:10.:22:14.

economic issues has only increased, overlaid on the Brexit issue and how

:22:15.:22:17.

the Government is going to negotiate with Europe in this tight time

:22:18.:22:22.

frame. That is going to mean a weaker pound, investors being more

:22:23.:22:26.

nervous about the UK. At the same time as, in the Eurozone, for

:22:27.:22:35.

example, growth has increased, and in America, growth is coming back.

:22:36.:22:40.

And so, for investors, they have got options, where they put their money.

:22:41.:22:44.

Lowball capital is global capital. And that will be the worry for

:22:45.:22:49.

investors and businesses in the UK about, we have this period of

:22:50.:22:54.

uncertainty, overlaid on Brexit, that is only going to cause the UK

:22:55.:22:57.

economy more problems, and those deep-seated problems, like real

:22:58.:23:01.

incomes falling will not be tackled by the Government, because the

:23:02.:23:05.

Government will not be clear on what its political approach will be.

:23:06.:23:13.

Let's have a look at these seats. The updated prediction now,

:23:14.:23:18.

remember, the Conservatives needed 326 to have a majority, they're 12

:23:19.:23:24.

short, and Labour is on 260. We have not looked at for some time, for

:23:25.:23:30.

people who have just got up and want to see it, some of the key

:23:31.:23:34.

constituencies which told the story tonight - can we do that? It has

:23:35.:23:40.

been a night of the big beasts with some pretty poignant losses, and one

:23:41.:23:43.

of those was in Sheffield Hallam. Nick Clegg saying that he never

:23:44.:23:48.

shirk from fighting political battles and that he stood up in the

:23:49.:23:51.

national interest to form that coalition with the Conservatives.

:23:52.:23:54.

But here, you can see what happened possibly as a result of that, or

:23:55.:24:00.

possibly as a result of Labour straightening here. The seat has

:24:01.:24:07.

been taken from the click by Labour. It was on the Labour target list but

:24:08.:24:14.

there was quite forlorn moment, watching Nick Clegg realise that his

:24:15.:24:21.

political future, in terms of his constituency MP work, had ended

:24:22.:24:27.

tonight. So, a 4% swing to Labour from the Lib Dems. We also saw Angus

:24:28.:24:32.

Robertson, was always on that list, the SNP leader in Westminster, often

:24:33.:24:40.

called, in the old days, the voice of real opposition to the

:24:41.:24:44.

Conservatives, in the days when the SNP were not taking Labour very

:24:45.:24:47.

seriously. He has lost his seat, been replaced by Douglas Ross for

:24:48.:24:53.

the Conservatives. Gordon, a real big beast here, Alex Salmond, losing

:24:54.:24:57.

this seat. He took it from the Lib Dems, and now the Conservatives have

:24:58.:25:04.

taken it from the SNP. So, that loss of some big figures. In Twickenham,

:25:05.:25:09.

Vince Cable is back for the Lib Dems. They have lost Nick Clegg, but

:25:10.:25:15.

possibly Vince Cable coming in there again. Hastings, Amber Rudd, the

:25:16.:25:23.

Home Secretary, just holding on, after two recounts in which she

:25:24.:25:30.

looked vulnerable. And Caroline Lucas has increased majority, she

:25:31.:25:35.

has virtually doubled it, she is now at nearly 15,000 majority, an

:25:36.:25:46.

astonishing personal performance for a very popular Ringleader as well as

:25:47.:26:03.

MP. -- very popular Green leader. We have an announcement coming...

:26:04.:26:09.

Scottish Labour Party, 4026. Scottish National Party, 13,743.

:26:10.:26:21.

Tony Macklin is capable Scottish Conservative unionist party, 10,088.

:26:22.:26:42.

Scottish Liberal Democrats, 13,741. Independent Sovereign Democratic

:26:43.:26:49.

Briton, 224. The total number of ballot papers allocated, 41,822...

:26:50.:26:54.

So, the SNP holds on by two votes! The Liberal Democrats very nearly

:26:55.:27:12.

took the seat. Can I thank you for your ordinary efforts tonight in

:27:13.:27:16.

what has been quite an extraordinary evening. Thank you to you. Can I

:27:17.:27:23.

thank Elizabeth, Tony and Rosalind for a well fought campaign, thank

:27:24.:27:26.

you for the campaign that we fought. It has been a close one, it's fair

:27:27.:27:40.

to say! Can I also thank the volunteers, first of all my

:27:41.:27:44.

extraordinary team, thank you. Second, the volunteers from every

:27:45.:27:48.

political party that make democracy work, and have been trudging around

:27:49.:27:52.

in the pouring rain today. You have my thanks as well. And finally,

:27:53.:27:57.

presiding Officer, on a personal note, my wife had a baby halfway

:27:58.:28:03.

through this election. She has been an absolute hero. Thank you. We will

:28:04.:28:08.

leave five Northeast. The last election as close as that was Mark

:28:09.:28:15.

oaten, in Winchester, way back. He had a majority of two and there was

:28:16.:28:18.

a legal challenge and the election was fought again, and he then won.

:28:19.:28:21.

By a landslide. Barry Gardiner, the shadow

:28:22.:28:30.

international Trade Secretary. He joins us from Brent North. Good

:28:31.:28:38.

morning. Good morning. So what do you make of all this? It has been an

:28:39.:28:45.

extraordinary night. If you look back seven weeks to what was being

:28:46.:28:48.

predicted in the broadsheets, the Prime Minister expected a floodgate,

:28:49.:28:59.

a tsunami. She was looking at a 120-150 seat majority, and she said

:29:00.:29:03.

she needed this in order to be able to negotiate in Europe a good Brexit

:29:04.:29:10.

deal for the UK. We are now in a situation which is far less about

:29:11.:29:14.

which party is up and down, it's much more about the fact that in a

:29:15.:29:23.

week, we will be the -- starting negotiations. She has gambled and

:29:24.:29:31.

has lost. It is written that has lost, because she will go into that

:29:32.:29:36.

negotiation and be considered a laughing stock with those whom she

:29:37.:29:43.

has to negotiate with. -- it is Britain that has lost. Have you

:29:44.:29:49.

spoken to Jeremy Corbyn, your party leader? John McDonnell? Not since

:29:50.:29:58.

the election results, no. You didn't expect this to happen, did you? You

:29:59.:30:02.

are taken by surprise, like many other Labour Party people? Sorry, I

:30:03.:30:09.

was working to win this election... I said you didn't expect it to

:30:10.:30:14.

happen. I didn't take anything for granted, but I have to say I didn't

:30:15.:30:19.

have an expectation, because there are real storms sweeping across

:30:20.:30:23.

British politics. Rex it was one of them. This was a general election

:30:24.:30:29.

which proved very difficult for the Conservatives. -- Brexit was one of

:30:30.:30:33.

them. In terms of their manifesto, but also it was blighted by the

:30:34.:30:38.

appalling events of Manchester and London Bridge. So there are very

:30:39.:30:43.

different, swirling measures that meant this was a very difficult

:30:44.:30:49.

election to predict. So what I concentrated on was the manifesto we

:30:50.:30:53.

had, the clarity of our policies, my belief that they were the right

:30:54.:30:59.

actions to take to help people in this country who really needed a

:31:00.:31:03.

change of government. And needed a fairer society. And I deeply, deeply

:31:04.:31:09.

disappointed that we didn't manage achieve a Labour victory so we could

:31:10.:31:15.

put those policies into effect. Put it this way, are you concerned...

:31:16.:31:21.

You talked about Brexit talks starting in 11 days. You think the

:31:22.:31:27.

Prime Minister will have to go? Do you expect to still be on the

:31:28.:31:33.

opposition benches, facing a Prime Minister supported maybe by the

:31:34.:31:36.

Northern Ireland parties? What do you think the future in Parliament

:31:37.:31:42.

is? Look, probably there are only two people who know that. Theresa

:31:43.:31:47.

May and her husband. She is in the driving seat in this, but of course

:31:48.:31:51.

she has lost the confidence of her party. That is very, very clear. It

:31:52.:31:58.

really is a matter of what she can broker within the Conservative

:31:59.:32:02.

Party. But this is a time when she should be focusing on what she can

:32:03.:32:06.

broker within Europe. That is why it's so deeply damaging to our

:32:07.:32:11.

nation. Politics is not a game between the political parties. It's

:32:12.:32:16.

ultimately supposed to be about the benefit of the British people, and

:32:17.:32:19.

she has put that all in jeopardy by this, and she has lost. Barry

:32:20.:32:26.

Gardiner, thank you for joining us. He started by describing it as an

:32:27.:32:30.

extraordinary night. I have pulled out three tweets which tell the

:32:31.:32:35.

story succinctly. The first, from Fraser Nelson, the editor of the

:32:36.:32:40.

Spectator. If Corbyn does take Labour to 40%, he will have done

:32:41.:32:46.

more to increase the party vote share since Clement Attlee in 1945.

:32:47.:32:57.

The second, Mark Wallace. An of the record quote from a Tory MP, we

:32:58.:33:03.

basically ran the Remain campaign, it was just about doom and disaster

:33:04.:33:06.

if you vote the other way. Recriminations about how inside Tory

:33:07.:33:12.

HQ they are thinking about what went wrong. And now the more panoramic,

:33:13.:33:17.

major story of this evening which we will talk about for months and years

:33:18.:33:22.

ahead. Harry Smith, a 94-year-old Labour activist who served in the

:33:23.:33:26.

Second World War, very trenchant online. He says, this morning,

:33:27.:33:32.

Britain's Young have shown they can become the greatest generation of

:33:33.:33:36.

the 21st century. You have my respect. This has been about young

:33:37.:33:40.

people coming out and swinging party towards Jeremy Corbyn and taking

:33:41.:33:46.

many of us buy supplies. Thanks. We know that the Prime Minister has

:33:47.:33:51.

gone back to Number Ten. -- many of us by surprise. Jeremy Vine is

:33:52.:34:00.

outside. People are waking up and wondering what we have been through

:34:01.:34:04.

with this extraordinary result. Let's take you through it, how by

:34:05.:34:09.

hour. Until 2am, the first handful of seats, you can see that seats

:34:10.:34:17.

Labour thought were maybe on the edge of being marginal, Hartlepool,

:34:18.:34:24.

the Vale of Clwyd, they stayed Labour. Labour were defending their

:34:25.:34:29.

territory. The Conservatives took Angus in Scotland, which it look

:34:30.:34:32.

like they had no prospect of doing, on paper. At 3am, let's see what we

:34:33.:34:40.

knew. By this stage, looking at the Labour line, they have taken

:34:41.:34:45.

Sheffield Hallam, Nick Clegg is out of the House of Commons. Glasgow

:34:46.:34:49.

North East goes Labour. An interesting result in Scotland.

:34:50.:34:56.

Ipswich goes from blue to red. Very interesting. The Conservatives

:34:57.:35:02.

hanging on to what they have got, Cleethorpes for example, but they

:35:03.:35:05.

would expect to hang onto those kinds of seats. What are they doing

:35:06.:35:09.

to move them forward? Nothing outside Scotland at all.

:35:10.:35:13.

At 4am, you can see Batley and Spen for Labour, the late Jo Cox's

:35:14.:35:23.

constituency that came back as Labour. In London, Labour posted

:35:24.:35:29.

quite high percentages in places like Vauxhall and Brent and

:35:30.:35:33.

Hammersmith and Dagenham. Underpinning this idea that in

:35:34.:35:36.

Remain seats, particularly those with lots of young voters, Labour

:35:37.:35:42.

were doing very well indeed. Scotland was constantly offsetting

:35:43.:35:45.

the bad news for the Conservatives in the meantime. Aberdeenshire West,

:35:46.:35:52.

Stirling, Berwickshire, all going to the Conservatives in Scotland,

:35:53.:35:56.

against any predictions made. At 5am, we are nearly there...

:35:57.:36:01.

The Conservatives get the result of Hastings. Amber Rudd, the Home

:36:02.:36:09.

Secretary's constituency. That was very, very close. She would not have

:36:10.:36:13.

been expecting to be in that nip and tuck fight in Hastings, but that was

:36:14.:36:18.

the case with quite a few Conservative seats. Meanwhile, OK,

:36:19.:36:22.

Labour are behind by doing much better than anyone expected. They

:36:23.:36:27.

take Enfield, Southgate off the Conservatives, the history of that

:36:28.:36:30.

seat with Michael Portillo being kicked out by Tony Blair's party in

:36:31.:36:36.

1997. A 10% swing for Labour in that seat. By six o'clock, let's bring on

:36:37.:36:41.

the rest. The Conservatives are ahead, but we knew by this stage

:36:42.:36:45.

they weren't going to make the finishing line of 326. They took

:36:46.:36:53.

Southampton, chipping barnet, but they would never have expected to be

:36:54.:36:58.

in trouble in those safe seats. Labour at this point, you can see

:36:59.:37:08.

Southampton, Gloria de Piero's seat. Hove had been assumed to be pretty

:37:09.:37:12.

marginal but Labour took it. Held it. So what a situation. We are very

:37:13.:37:23.

near the line. We have not yet got every seat. If they are dark blue,

:37:24.:37:29.

dark red, we don't know the final result. Truro, Cornwall Southeast,

:37:30.:37:37.

Crewe, Cornwall North, Kensington... But the one thing we do know, the

:37:38.:37:41.

Conservatives cannot make this 326 line. That is just over half the

:37:42.:37:49.

total number of MPs in the House of Parliament. They can't do it, and

:37:50.:37:52.

therefore it has been a terrible, terrible mistake for Theresa May to

:37:53.:37:59.

throw away the majority won by David Cameron in 2015. Yes, Labour have

:38:00.:38:02.

come second but they have done far better than almost anyone expected.

:38:03.:38:06.

David, that is the story. Amazing. Laura Kuenssberg, our political

:38:07.:38:14.

editor, has been sitting here since ten o'clock last night. You have to

:38:15.:38:18.

go to Downing Street. Do we know when Theresa May is speaking? We

:38:19.:38:22.

thought it might be ten o'clock, but we are told it is not, so I'm going

:38:23.:38:26.

to go, in case it is sooner than that. Just summarise for us how you

:38:27.:38:34.

think things stand, and the way you think politics will develop at

:38:35.:38:40.

Westminster over the next few days? Unquestionably, a total political

:38:41.:38:43.

disaster for Theresa May. This is on her, it was her decision to do it. A

:38:44.:38:49.

huge success were Jeremy Corbyn. Not the largest party but he has

:38:50.:38:54.

massively outperformed expectations. -- for Jeremy Corbyn. He has

:38:55.:38:58.

achieved far more than he himself thought. The hat-trick, if you like.

:38:59.:39:03.

He won the lass ship against expectation. -- the Labour

:39:04.:39:12.

leadership. He survived the contest. He has performed better than Labour

:39:13.:39:19.

in 2015 and 2010. A huge success. For us, we know the Tories are the

:39:20.:39:22.

largest party and they have the right to try and form the

:39:23.:39:26.

Government. They are tantalisingly close to actually getting a

:39:27.:39:30.

majority, and they would have a workable majority because we know

:39:31.:39:35.

the Northern Ireland Unionist MPs would come alongside them. But we do

:39:36.:39:42.

not know at the moment if Theresa May is the person to try to form

:39:43.:39:47.

that government. It may be her. She may be forced to stay on as a sort

:39:48.:39:52.

of caretaker and do some kind of deal behind-the-scenes about

:39:53.:39:56.

standing down later on. She may decide to quit after this

:39:57.:40:01.

humiliation. Or she may be privately being forced to do so right now. So

:40:02.:40:05.

we know the result but we don't know for sure who our Prime Minister is

:40:06.:40:09.

going to be. Tell us about Jeremy Corbyn's character. He must be tough

:40:10.:40:14.

as old boots having gone through that campaign, having been monster

:40:15.:40:21.

by the press. -- monstered by the press. 80% of his own MPs against

:40:22.:40:27.

him. In visible on the backbenches all of his career, generally known

:40:28.:40:32.

for voting against everything... A protester, indeed. The one thing we

:40:33.:40:37.

have always known about Jeremy Corbyn is he thrives on campaigning.

:40:38.:40:42.

He has been a protester, a campaigner. He was a political

:40:43.:40:47.

outsider. The gamble for the Labour Party was whether an outsider could

:40:48.:40:51.

ever have enough appeal to the floating voter, the person in the

:40:52.:40:55.

middle. Watching him over the last couple of years, even though he has

:40:56.:40:59.

had brickbats thrown at him by his own party, you see he has drawn

:41:00.:41:03.

energy from the campaigning that he has had to do. Day by Day in this

:41:04.:41:07.

campaign, it was almost like he was plugging in a charger to the crowd

:41:08.:41:12.

to get his energy to keep him going. That's what we have seen here. A

:41:13.:41:17.

protester turned campaigner that has been reinforced. How will he take to

:41:18.:41:22.

success? A whole different ball game. He has had success in his own

:41:23.:41:29.

way. On one of the last days of campaigning, he said it's not just

:41:30.:41:34.

about electing MPs. My normal campaigning and convention you say,

:41:35.:41:39.

it's only about electing MPs, that is the point. Most people thought it

:41:40.:41:45.

is eight crackpot view, not about winning, but most people would say

:41:46.:41:50.

it is a movement. But that formula has got the Labour Party further

:41:51.:41:55.

along the line than its last couple of leaders. Quite something. An

:41:56.:42:01.

amazing achievement, but clearly they are not the largest party. No

:42:02.:42:05.

question it is the Tory party that will try to form the Government. So

:42:06.:42:10.

while Labour have had an extremely good night, it's not the situation

:42:11.:42:14.

that somehow he has actually been able to overthrow that. But once

:42:15.:42:20.

again, just as in 2015, just as in the referendum, the Great British

:42:21.:42:24.

public have thrillingly, audaciously, boldly reminded the

:42:25.:42:27.

political established that they are the ones who call the shots. That is

:42:28.:42:32.

why these nights are so exciting. Laura Kuenssberg, you had better get

:42:33.:42:38.

down to Number Ten. We are going to go down there to join John Pienaar,

:42:39.:42:43.

waiting for you to arrive. Good morning to you. I suppose the

:42:44.:42:50.

obvious question is, first of all, do you have any news about what the

:42:51.:42:53.

Prime Minister is going to do? And secondly, what are your reflections

:42:54.:42:54.

on the campaign? The news is that there is no news.

:42:55.:43:07.

It is anyone's guess, about what the Prime Minister will do after this

:43:08.:43:22.

most Phyrric of election victories. We will find out when she makes that

:43:23.:43:28.

statement. I was in contact by text with a senior Tory figure just a few

:43:29.:43:33.

moments ago, asking, would Theresa May be soldiering on, and the answer

:43:34.:43:39.

was, no idea. I think he would have been speaking for an awful lot of

:43:40.:43:43.

people when he said that. Suggesting not too subtly that she should fall

:43:44.:43:47.

on her sword, one person saying. Another figure in the party, Jacob

:43:48.:43:51.

Rees Mogg am saying, we need that stability, she needs to stick

:43:52.:43:54.

around. And then, another member of the 1922 Committee, the tribal

:43:55.:43:59.

odours of the Tory party, his position was, this is the wrong time

:44:00.:44:03.

to go, with the Brexit negotiations just a few days away. We will wait

:44:04.:44:07.

and see. We will have that statement before too long. I would imagine, if

:44:08.:44:12.

she sticks around, we will see a significant change in her way of

:44:13.:44:14.

running the party and the government. Not just because she

:44:15.:44:18.

will see that is necessary but because I think the party around her

:44:19.:44:23.

will be insisting that that is what happens, and that will take a number

:44:24.:44:27.

of different forms, I think. You will see the Prime Minister being

:44:28.:44:30.

pressed to listen much more carefully to the party at large, to

:44:31.:44:35.

her MPs, to the tribal elders of the 1922 Committee. In Whitehall, around

:44:36.:44:40.

here, there are very senior civil servants who say privately that they

:44:41.:44:43.

want to see their departments, their voices, not just heard but he did in

:44:44.:44:49.

number 10 Downing Street. We know how Theresa May relies very closely

:44:50.:44:52.

on a very small circle of close senior advisers. Many people feel

:44:53.:44:56.

excluded from all of that fish you will see MPs and senior civil

:44:57.:45:01.

servants in a more deferential sort of way looking for that circle to be

:45:02.:45:05.

widened, for the listening to be made rather more attentive and for

:45:06.:45:11.

what they say to be responded to. All of that is for the future. And

:45:12.:45:15.

while, today, we will hear from the Prime Minister a little later on,

:45:16.:45:21.

having absorbed what has happened overnight, telling us weather she is

:45:22.:45:25.

going to carry on. Meanwhile, the Labour Party will be considering its

:45:26.:45:28.

own future, which now looks so very different. We have had a realignment

:45:29.:45:32.

of British politics overnight - and that's not overstating it. Thank you

:45:33.:45:38.

very much indeed, that was a great help to us. We will be back in the

:45:39.:45:42.

street when the Prime Minister comes out to speak. Can we look at a

:45:43.:45:49.

summary of how things stand? Yes. Imagine if you were a normal person,

:45:50.:45:54.

if you stayed up to watch the exit poll at ten clock and a new thought,

:45:55.:45:58.

I will go to bed and wake up in the morning and see what has happened.

:45:59.:46:02.

That exit polls which John Curtice brought us suggested the

:46:03.:46:06.

Conservatives would be on about 314 seats, Labour would be on 256. It is

:46:07.:46:11.

impossible for you to imagine the kind of turmoil which all of us in

:46:12.:46:15.

the studio have been through, wondering just how accurate that

:46:16.:46:22.

would be. Well, look. At this time of the morning, coming up to seven

:46:23.:46:26.

o'clock, these are the seats which are in, and they are nearly all

:46:27.:46:35.

counted. The Conservatives sitting on 313 - they have lost 12. Labour

:46:36.:46:41.

sitting on 260 - they have made gains of 29 so far with six or seven

:46:42.:46:48.

still remaining. The SNP on 35, we predicted they would be down by 22,

:46:49.:46:53.

they have lost 21. The Lib Dems we said would be on 12, and they have

:46:54.:46:58.

done just that. What I want to do is to show you what this looks like as

:46:59.:47:03.

a percentage of the vote. Suddenly, it all becomes an extraordinary and

:47:04.:47:09.

stock story when you tell it, as we have been looking at it, in terms of

:47:10.:47:18.

these poll numbers. Labour, just two percentage points behind the

:47:19.:47:22.

Conservatives. The SNP on only 3%, even though they have all of those

:47:23.:47:28.

seats in Scotland. And the Greens, only one point behind them, even

:47:29.:47:35.

though they just have that one seat. But this is the moment which is

:47:36.:47:40.

quite a triumph for our exit pollsters. This is what we brought

:47:41.:47:46.

you at the beginning of the night. This is what we suggested. Showing

:47:47.:47:59.

Labour up, Ukip and the SNP down, amongst others. That is what we gave

:48:00.:48:04.

you. We held our breath, we tried not to tremble when we showed you

:48:05.:48:08.

the results on air. And these are the results, with nearly all of them

:48:09.:48:12.

in. And you can see just how similar those patterns are. Labour up 10%,

:48:13.:48:22.

the Conservatives up 6% and the other is pretty much in line. So

:48:23.:48:26.

this is the moment where you will probably want to turn to John

:48:27.:48:30.

Curtice with a big pat on the back. John Curtice is beaming with

:48:31.:48:33.

pleasure, hearing that. Does the exit poll deserve a pat on the back?

:48:34.:48:40.

Well, I hope you found it useful and that it helped to inform your

:48:41.:48:44.

coverage during the course of the night, David. The crucial thing

:48:45.:48:47.

about the exit polls is not necessarily whether it is right or

:48:48.:48:50.

wrong, but it gives people a guide as to what the results might be. You

:48:51.:48:54.

will remember that actually, very early in the night, it was not clear

:48:55.:48:58.

that it was right, because most of the results came in from the

:48:59.:49:02.

north-east, particularly Newcastle and Sunderland, and the exit polls

:49:03.:49:06.

overestimated how Labour would do in that part of the world. But while

:49:07.:49:10.

that was going on, we were hearing all sorts of commentary about what

:49:11.:49:14.

was going on in seats further south, particularly crucial marginal seats.

:49:15.:49:18.

And it was fairly clear to us early on that we have got the broad

:49:19.:49:22.

picture right. And therefore hopefully it means that the

:49:23.:49:26.

programme started off on the right leg. But it is not just me, I have a

:49:27.:49:31.

wonderful set of colleagues here who have done an awful lot of computer

:49:32.:49:35.

programming and hard work, not just tonight but all the way through the

:49:36.:49:39.

election campaign. And of course, the interviewers from Ipsa Smillie

:49:40.:49:43.

and JFK, stood outside polling stations, in some cases in inclement

:49:44.:49:48.

weather, collecting the data. We could not have got this right but

:49:49.:49:55.

for the data they collected, which fruit for the most part to be highly

:49:56.:49:59.

accurate. So you're just the front man? I hope I might have contributed

:50:00.:50:04.

something to the analysis, and my colleagues might agree! But without

:50:05.:50:08.

their support, I would not be...! You're just the public face! Sky,

:50:09.:50:16.

ITV, BBC... The reason it is a co-operative poll is because we used

:50:17.:50:20.

to get it, everybody had a different one and then blame the other lot for

:50:21.:50:25.

getting it wrong. John, thank you very much and congratulations on it.

:50:26.:50:30.

Let's join Michelle for a moment up in the gods. I am sitting here with

:50:31.:50:36.

David Lammy MP, Labour MP for Tottenham, comfortably re-elected

:50:37.:50:38.

earlier on. Congratulations on that. You have been a prominent Remain

:50:39.:50:44.

campaigner, you voted against the triggering of Article 50 - want to

:50:45.:50:49.

ask what you think tonight means for the Brexit process. George Osborne

:50:50.:50:53.

has said hard Brexit is now in the bin. I think George Osborne is

:50:54.:50:58.

right. Theresa May had committed to leaving the single market, she had

:50:59.:51:00.

committed to leaving the customs union. She asked the country to back

:51:01.:51:05.

her, give her a bigger majority, that now lies in tatters. There has

:51:06.:51:10.

to be now a different course. And I might say that MPs like Ken Clarke,

:51:11.:51:16.

like Anna Soubry, MPs that do not want a hard Brexit, are emboldened

:51:17.:51:23.

within the party, with such a small minority government which

:51:24.:51:27.

effectively she has to form. In a sense, you voted against triggering

:51:28.:51:30.

Article 50, Jeremy Corbyn, your leader, took a different position -

:51:31.:51:35.

in the end, his approach, perhaps that was one of the keys to holding

:51:36.:51:39.

together the disparate groups of Labour voters and delivering this

:51:40.:51:44.

result. My view remains largely the view of London, and you have seen a

:51:45.:51:47.

massive Remain position here in London, where Labour have done well.

:51:48.:51:53.

But of course, across the country it looks like Jeremy Corbyn got it

:51:54.:52:00.

right. His assessment was, we have to have a Brexit but broadly, it has

:52:01.:52:06.

to be a soft Brexit. And that has shined in the country. That's why

:52:07.:52:12.

those predictions that we would lose the north of England, that white

:52:13.:52:16.

working-class Britain had deserted Labour, this morning were proved

:52:17.:52:20.

wrong. Jeremy and the Labour Party have kept those seats in Yorkshire,

:52:21.:52:23.

the north-east and north-west. Against your expectations but are we

:52:24.:52:28.

actually my view was always the expectation that those Ukip voters

:52:29.:52:32.

would just go to the Conservatives was an overstatement. I know why

:52:33.:52:36.

colleagues feared it, but actually, we have seen a third of those voters

:52:37.:52:45.

coming over to Labour. I'm joined now by Peter Hennessy, who has

:52:46.:52:49.

arrived with a book called The Cabinet Manual. Just describe to us,

:52:50.:52:56.

is the process of continuing the governments of Britain complex or is

:52:57.:53:02.

it straightforward? I rarely leave home without this Cabinet manual,

:53:03.:53:07.

but it is quite complicated. Politics can always make a

:53:08.:53:11.

difference to the prescribed drills. After a night of political

:53:12.:53:18.

convulsion, I fear for Mrs May. My old friend John Ramsey, historian of

:53:19.:53:22.

the Conservative Party, once describe the Tory leadership as

:53:23.:53:24.

autocracy tempered by assassination. The big question is, will she be

:53:25.:53:29.

assassinated by her own hand, by other people sounds, sooner rather

:53:30.:53:33.

than later? It's going to be the most extraordinary day. For the last

:53:34.:53:38.

briefing elections, we have had a drill laid out, we never had it

:53:39.:53:42.

before. But there is a drill for it in here, the ministers resigning

:53:43.:53:46.

either individually or on behalf of their own government. What about not

:53:47.:53:50.

resigning, with a minority government, is there a drill for

:53:51.:53:54.

that? There's several drills, they're all in here. Several drills?

:53:55.:53:58.

Several possibilities, whether you do a deal, whether you have a line

:53:59.:54:03.

of confidence, or whether you try and soldier it out as the largest

:54:04.:54:07.

single party. But I think she will go and call upon the Queen, if she

:54:08.:54:12.

follows Ted heath's pattern in 1974, he went to see the Queen to explain

:54:13.:54:16.

what he was going to try to do over the weekend, in terms of doing deals

:54:17.:54:20.

with the Liberals and a few from Northern Ireland, so I think that

:54:21.:54:23.

President will probably be followed, but who knows? We are coming up to

:54:24.:54:29.

seven o'clock, and there is a shift change coming now. That they just

:54:30.:54:34.

work it out. Jeremy Vine is staying, yes? Michelle, your work is done...

:54:35.:54:43.

And you're going home. Emily? Staining. You're staying right

:54:44.:54:47.

through the day. Are you staying or going? Going. And you're going? Not

:54:48.:54:56.

home, I'm going back to... We have got jobs to do, David! We have got

:54:57.:55:04.

day jobs! We have been on the air all the way through the night, it

:55:05.:55:07.

has been the most fascinating night, I don't think any of six, when we

:55:08.:55:12.

sat down here, when I got that exit poll in that secret room out the

:55:13.:55:18.

back and we looked at it aghast, we could not believe it, in fact I will

:55:19.:55:22.

put it on eBay one day! Nothing had prepared us for it. Politics is

:55:23.:55:27.

always surprising, who politics is exciting. And one of the complaints

:55:28.:55:32.

often, particularly among young people, is that they find it boring.

:55:33.:55:36.

This election showed that young people can be energised by politics.

:55:37.:55:40.

That's really what Jeremy Corbyn managed to do, he managed to get

:55:41.:55:44.

people really involved and intrigued by it and seeing a different way of

:55:45.:55:48.

doing politics, not just the same old way. And I said earlier on that

:55:49.:55:53.

here the fascinating thing is that we have reverted effectively to a

:55:54.:55:59.

two-party system, an absolute binary choice between the Tory party and

:56:00.:56:02.

the Labour Party, the other parties have fallen aside. For the first

:56:03.:56:07.

time since 1970, we have 13.5 million Tory, nearly 13,000,004

:56:08.:56:15.

Labour. So, the bulk of voters - and we still have to find out who they

:56:16.:56:19.

were, what the young kid, what the old did, what the people in the

:56:20.:56:23.

towns in the cities did, all that stuff - but nevertheless, we have

:56:24.:56:27.

moved back towards two-party politics. All to play for no,

:56:28.:56:31.

because Theresa May, as we have been saying, must be under extreme

:56:32.:56:34.

pressure, having originally called this election, the guaranteed

:56:35.:56:39.

certainty and stability for the years ahead. Our coverage carries on

:56:40.:56:45.

on BBC One throughout the day. There will be all kinds of developments

:56:46.:56:48.

and Huw Edwards will be back in the chair here to take us through the

:56:49.:56:52.

afternoon and no doubt into this evening, as we work out the

:56:53.:56:56.

ramifications of what has happened. But

:56:57.:56:57.

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