Part 3 Election 2017: Scotland


Part 3

Similar Content

Browse content similar to Part 3. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

it does pose challenges for the union between Northern Ireland and

:00:00.:00:00.

the rest of the United Kingdom. Northern Ireland politics is

:00:00.:00:00.

increasingly polarised which is amplified by the general election

:00:00.:00:10.

result tonight. Let us bring in a new member of our political panel,

:00:11.:00:16.

Jo Swinson, we spoke to you earlier live from your account where you

:00:17.:00:20.

were re-elected as MP for Dunbartonshire East. Thank you for

:00:21.:00:23.

coming into the studio. We are waiting for one result from

:00:24.:00:28.

Scotland, in Fife North East. Have you heard any updates? We heard

:00:29.:00:36.

there might be one vote in it. I think we're on a third recount. It

:00:37.:00:40.

shows you how close it is. It is a reminder to all of us knocking on

:00:41.:00:45.

doors until the last moments, in the pouring rain as was yesterday, that

:00:46.:00:51.

elections do come down to one or two votes. And they can be that close. I

:00:52.:00:55.

am hopeful for Elizabeth riches, but we will not know until we get the

:00:56.:00:56.

result. In terms of the picture across the

:00:57.:01:11.

UK, we expect the party to finish in the teens. It is not the sort of

:01:12.:01:15.

advance you were looking for giving the distinctive message you had on

:01:16.:01:19.

Brexit and the possibility of revisiting that question once the

:01:20.:01:23.

final deal was done. We are two years on from what was a

:01:24.:01:26.

catastrophic result for the Lib Dems. Rebuilding from that there's

:01:27.:01:31.

not going to be an overnight job. We have our highest of the membership

:01:32.:01:35.

of over 100000 and we're now seeing some solid steady progress and cease

:01:36.:01:40.

in this election, which was a snap election from a standing start in

:01:41.:01:45.

many cases. So I think we can be pleased with the results tonight,

:01:46.:01:51.

particularly when you MPs, people like Vince Cable and Ed Davey,

:01:52.:01:54.

having that level of experience, and some new places like Christine

:01:55.:02:00.

Jardine. We're going to have a strong Parliamentary party.

:02:01.:02:02.

Obviously you always want to win more seats. We have seen other

:02:03.:02:08.

parties losing seats, then you would rather be in the position of gaining

:02:09.:02:13.

seats. Where do you think this election leaves a Brexit process,

:02:14.:02:27.

Mohamed Sarwar? I think she needs to go tomorrow and is a question about

:02:28.:02:31.

who will lead the talks about trying to put together a new government,

:02:32.:02:35.

and there is a reason for that because the Brexit negotiations will

:02:36.:02:40.

be even more difficult, I think. I would go further, not only do we

:02:41.:02:46.

need a new Prime Minister and Theresa May needs to go but given

:02:47.:02:50.

the make-up of the Parliament, that negotiation team has to be a

:02:51.:02:55.

cross-party negotiation team, rather than purely a conservative

:02:56.:02:58.

negotiation team if were going to bring the country together and if

:02:59.:03:01.

Adam is right to say that we are going to try and protect the union,

:03:02.:03:05.

if we're serious about it we need to bring the parties together make up a

:03:06.:03:09.

cross-party negotiating team to get the right result for Britain. You

:03:10.:03:13.

said a cross-party negotiating team. Are you suggesting some kind of

:03:14.:03:17.

national government well? It is safe to say that there was no chance that

:03:18.:03:23.

the Labour Party 's have anything to do with the Conservative government

:03:24.:03:27.

that is what we end up with, we will have to go within the Parliament to

:03:28.:03:33.

get about past, to agree a deal, and how that deal was negotiated and put

:03:34.:03:38.

together is very serious now. Should there be labour and Lib Dem people

:03:39.:03:42.

involved in that well? There's a serious case for it to be a

:03:43.:03:45.

cross-party negotiation is that we can get agreement across the UK. All

:03:46.:03:52.

parties? Yes, get that deal passed in the Parliament. What about that

:03:53.:03:58.

idea, Adam Tomkins? Were getting a long way ahead of ourselves here. It

:03:59.:04:02.

is clear that those going to be a hung Parliament were no party has an

:04:03.:04:05.

overall majority. We have some days ahead of us of negotiations between

:04:06.:04:09.

the parties to try and form an administration. I don't agree that

:04:10.:04:18.

Theresa May should go tomorrow. There is no vacancy at the top of

:04:19.:04:22.

the Conservative Party or in Downing Street. Theresa May will try to form

:04:23.:04:25.

a minority or coalition government or some kind of combination of the

:04:26.:04:31.

two. And we have rules in the Constitution in place to allow

:04:32.:04:37.

governments to try and do that in the rare cases where we elect a hung

:04:38.:04:42.

Parliament. If Theresa May goes, which I think is likely, she cannot

:04:43.:04:47.

be replaced by a buffoon like Boris Johnson. If you allow him to lead

:04:48.:04:53.

the government and negotiation on Brexit, it is going to fail. I don't

:04:54.:05:07.

think Anas Sarwar should be saying who we should have as Prime

:05:08.:05:10.

Minister. They can see at the moment. From an SNP point of view,

:05:11.:05:22.

do you lot back the suggestion from Anas Sarwar that all parties become

:05:23.:05:26.

involved in the Brexit negotiation and that no one party leads us

:05:27.:05:30.

through that? The SNP has said all along that Scotland should have a

:05:31.:05:37.

voice within the Brexit negotiations and the Scottish Government would

:05:38.:05:41.

like the SNP to be involved in that. Adam is right in some ways... Wait,

:05:42.:05:47.

you just said that Adam Tomkins of the Conservative Party is right!

:05:48.:05:53.

There are rules of the game that the players set themselves. Theresa May

:05:54.:05:58.

said she lost 60 said this election she would have lost the election.

:05:59.:06:02.

She has done that. She cannot carry on with a record like that leaving

:06:03.:06:10.

the country into something as serious as Brexit negotiations. We

:06:11.:06:14.

have seen a performance during this election campaign. I don't think

:06:15.:06:17.

anyone seriously expects Theresa May to be able to go in and do battle

:06:18.:06:25.

for Britain amongst 27 EU members. It is a ludicrous suggestion that

:06:26.:06:28.

she has got strong and stable leadership that she promised right

:06:29.:06:34.

at the start of this campaign. She has been speaking out Conservative

:06:35.:06:37.

Party headquarters. She hasn't given an indication that she either will

:06:38.:06:44.

or will not move from the position of leadership she is currently in.

:06:45.:06:49.

Jo Swinson, in any event, does this election and its outcome change the

:06:50.:06:57.

nature of the Brexit deal that we will be seeking and ultimately end

:06:58.:07:02.

up with? It should. Theresa May went into the election saying she wanted

:07:03.:07:07.

a mandate for her extreme vision of Brexit, choices that she had made

:07:08.:07:11.

about what our opening position would be about being outside the

:07:12.:07:15.

single market and Customs union. And she hasn't had a mandate for that

:07:16.:07:21.

position. She hasn't been heard to stand up and debate it against other

:07:22.:07:25.

leaders. I do think that this result, in the same way that the SNP

:07:26.:07:30.

need to reflect on the second independence referendum having seen

:07:31.:07:33.

the results in Scotland, Theresa May needs to reflect on the way that she

:07:34.:07:38.

has been pursuing Brexit, because the people have spoken and they have

:07:39.:07:42.

not given her the majority that she sought. I want to bring in Brian

:07:43.:07:47.

Taylor. It will probably not be a popular thing for me to say but one

:07:48.:07:51.

way of resolving the hung Parliament is to have another election. Isn't

:07:52.:07:59.

that right? Take that badge away! I think it would be a courageous

:08:00.:08:12.

individual who went to the country to try and hold another election

:08:13.:08:16.

having called one unnecessary election when they were in

:08:17.:08:23.

government and then to say... Week that to a year, it has been seven

:08:24.:08:29.

including the referendums in the past two years. That discussion

:08:30.:08:34.

about Brexit, does Theresa May look to anybody here, like somebody who

:08:35.:08:40.

is up for a fight with 27 nations all of whom are defending their own

:08:41.:08:44.

interests staunchly against the United Kingdom? Does she look like

:08:45.:08:47.

someone ready to pursue that battle in 11 days' time, having made a

:08:48.:08:55.

cautious, timid, half-hearted speech and then departed from the scene of

:08:56.:08:59.

her own victory in Maidenhead? She doesn't look to me like somebody

:09:00.:09:03.

ready for that fight. She may recall, she may gather and change

:09:04.:09:07.

your mind but it didn't look like it tonight. I've had quite like to ask

:09:08.:09:14.

about potential successors, should there be a contest and that is

:09:15.:09:21.

something that we will pick up on. We are waiting in Scotland from the

:09:22.:09:26.

declaration from Fife north-east, no indication as to how soon you might

:09:27.:09:31.

get that. We are hoping to catch up with Professor John Curtice, who has

:09:32.:09:38.

been crunching numbers all night and we are hoping to hear from him, his

:09:39.:09:42.

perspective on this remarkable election outcome. I will bring in

:09:43.:09:54.

his colleague in political punditry. It's far too inaccurate word,

:09:55.:10:00.

because of course as a professor of politics what you do is much grander

:10:01.:10:05.

than that! Your perspective on this remarkable result. And where we

:10:06.:10:12.

might go on the two constitutional issues, both independence and

:10:13.:10:21.

Brexit. The Conservatives will be humbled by this result. This is not

:10:22.:10:24.

the result the UK Conservatives expected. But they will be

:10:25.:10:28.

emboldened by the performance within Scotland. There has been lots of

:10:29.:10:31.

discussion about whether or not the Scottish Government should take the

:10:32.:10:37.

independence referendum of the table. For me, it doesn't really

:10:38.:10:41.

matter whether it is formerly of the table or not because the threat or

:10:42.:10:47.

the promise as you perceive it of a second independence referendum is

:10:48.:10:50.

much less terrible now as a result of the election than it was before.

:10:51.:10:56.

But that does raise some issues. It can be used as leverage between the

:10:57.:11:00.

relations between the Scottish and UK governments to help increase the

:11:01.:11:06.

influence that Scotland has, over say, Wales and Northern Ireland, and

:11:07.:11:11.

if you remove that, it presents challenges for the Scottish

:11:12.:11:13.

Government in how it can have its voice heard in the Brexit

:11:14.:11:18.

negotiations and in some of the challenges for devolution in the

:11:19.:11:24.

past ahead. We can cross now to London and speak to Professor John

:11:25.:11:30.

Curtice of Strathclyde University. How did the exit polls do, first of

:11:31.:11:36.

all? I think in the end we got it almost right. We said at the

:11:37.:11:39.

beginning of the night the Conservatives would get 214 seats,

:11:40.:11:45.

and we would probably although by no means definitely end up with a hung

:11:46.:11:48.

Parliament. At the moment we expect the Conservatives to get 319 or so,

:11:49.:11:52.

so a slight underestimate but the essential story correct. The SNP,

:11:53.:12:01.

34, maybe ending up at 35. That is as accurate as you are going to get,

:12:02.:12:05.

it will never be spot-on, but we did tell the nation at ten o'clock

:12:06.:12:08.

roughly what the story was, and above all, that the Prime Minister's

:12:09.:12:17.

decision to call the election has basically backfired spectacularly.

:12:18.:12:20.

Backfired to the extent that we're going to need a new Prime Minister,

:12:21.:12:25.

do you think? That is a decision for the Conservative Party. It is

:12:26.:12:28.

perfectly clear that the only administration that can be formed is

:12:29.:12:32.

a conservative led administration and, indeed, so long as they can get

:12:33.:12:39.

the DUP onside that will take them past the 325 mark I given that Sinn

:12:40.:12:43.

Fein are winning as many as seven seats in Northern Ireland, there

:12:44.:12:50.

will only be 643 MPs in the next Parliament, so the Conservative

:12:51.:12:53.

Party can for all practical purposes as long as they have the DUP onside

:12:54.:12:56.

will have a small majority, but politically, the reaction in the

:12:57.:13:02.

Conservative Party is going to be, we went into this election with a 16

:13:03.:13:06.

point lead, at some point a 20 point lead and we ended up with just a

:13:07.:13:10.

3-point lead which ended up being insufficient to return an overall

:13:11.:13:16.

majority. Given that clearly, behind-the-scenes there were quite

:13:17.:13:19.

substantial criticisms of the Prime Minister's campaign and the mistakes

:13:20.:13:22.

that were made on the so-called dementia tax, and then we came to

:13:23.:13:29.

understand that she was not somebody you found it easy to deal with the

:13:30.:13:34.

unexpected, with the interchange with journalists and in casual

:13:35.:13:39.

conversation, in the way that is pretty essential. She was constantly

:13:40.:13:44.

wanting to rehearse preferred answers. She didn't look like

:13:45.:13:49.

someone who did think on her feet. In contrast, Jeremy Corbyn, who at

:13:50.:13:53.

the beginning of the election, most voters had just written off as a

:13:54.:13:58.

party leader, because he campaigned at least as well as Theresa May,

:13:59.:14:03.

because he came up with a popular manifesto, more popular than hers,

:14:04.:14:09.

many voters re-evaluated their view of the leaders. In truth, what

:14:10.:14:14.

Jeremy Corbyn has achieved in terms of his personal popularity is

:14:15.:14:17.

unprecedented in polling history. Usually in polling history if the

:14:18.:14:23.

public have decided you're not a good leader you can not turn it

:14:24.:14:26.

around. Jeremy Corbyn managed to turn around his position in just

:14:27.:14:31.

four short weeks. Given that the Conservatives put together a

:14:32.:14:37.

programme based on a landslide, in these circumstances, what bits of

:14:38.:14:40.

that programme, that manifesto, might have to be traded away, do you

:14:41.:14:48.

think? That is a very good question. The problem, of course, the big task

:14:49.:14:56.

that faces this next government is indeed negotiating Brexit. And,

:14:57.:15:01.

given that the Conservative Party, shall we say, are not entirely

:15:02.:15:04.

united on the subject, given what Theresa May was trying to do was to

:15:05.:15:09.

make it possible for her to reach an accommodation with the EU that would

:15:10.:15:13.

involve compromises for those at the hard Brexit end of her party, than

:15:14.:15:17.

they would like, she will now not have that freedom of movement. In

:15:18.:15:22.

truth, one might want to say to her in that situation that, actually, a

:15:23.:15:28.

central position, that the government would try to reach an

:15:29.:15:31.

accommodation with the opposition as to what the UK negotiating position

:15:32.:15:36.

should be, so that she therefore the wood no what the House of Commons

:15:37.:15:40.

might and might not accommodate. I've heard some people suggest that

:15:41.:15:43.

that should be the case this morning. That would require Theresa

:15:44.:15:48.

May not just add insult her party in a way that so far she has shown

:15:49.:15:53.

little appetite for doing, but actually, to be willing to reach

:15:54.:15:56.

across the floor of the House of Commons. That would require a very,

:15:57.:15:58.

very different style of government. Otherwise, I suspect that

:15:59.:16:10.

Conservative proposals for the financing of social care for older

:16:11.:16:14.

people in England, those will probably bite the dust very rapidly.

:16:15.:16:19.

And in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon appears to have, or has won the

:16:20.:16:25.

election north of the border, with the largest number of seats, I think

:16:26.:16:31.

it's 34 at the moment. But she said she will reflect on that result, so

:16:32.:16:36.

what kind of reflection do you think she might have? I think clearly the

:16:37.:16:43.

concern for the SNP must be that some of the momentum that has been

:16:44.:16:47.

behind the independence movement, which survived the defeat in the

:16:48.:16:52.

referendum three years ago, some of that has gone. One of the

:16:53.:16:57.

interesting things, apart from the opinion polls in Scotland, which

:16:58.:17:00.

were beginning to pick up the rise in Labour support north of the

:17:01.:17:04.

border towards the end of the campaign, was that again, much of it

:17:05.:17:08.

was happening among younger people, and that the SNP was losing the

:17:09.:17:14.

enthusiasm of younger people in Scotland, who hitherto had been keen

:17:15.:17:18.

on independence and keen on footing for the SNP. What the opinion polls

:17:19.:17:24.

also told us was that we should be careful of leading directly the

:17:25.:17:26.

level of support for independence from the level of support for the

:17:27.:17:32.

SNP, because only around three quarters of those who voted US in

:17:33.:17:38.

2014 said they were going to vote for the SNP. It may well be that the

:17:39.:17:48.

SNP will have to reflect, as well as rushing a second independence

:17:49.:17:52.

referendum, may want to reflect on the domestic record, not least on

:17:53.:17:56.

schools, it's beginning to undermine their support among those, who on

:17:57.:18:02.

the constitutional question, are still willing to support the

:18:03.:18:06.

nationalist position. Thanks very much for your perspective. Professor

:18:07.:18:14.

John Curtice live from London. We will be live in Glenrothes fairly

:18:15.:18:19.

shortly, we think, for the declaration. I'm hoping so, I have

:18:20.:18:25.

my fingers crossed. There have been three recounts in the Fife

:18:26.:18:29.

north-east constituency. A very close contest, perhaps just one vote

:18:30.:18:34.

in it. The last time we checked, it seemed the count was leaning towards

:18:35.:18:39.

the Liberal Democrats, but could it be that the SNP hold on? We will

:18:40.:18:44.

find out, we hope, in the next few minutes. In the meantime, let's pick

:18:45.:18:48.

up with Jackie and this morning's headlines.

:18:49.:18:53.

If you are just waking up, you're waking up to a new political dawn.

:18:54.:18:57.

The BBC is predicting a hung parliament. The Conservatives are

:18:58.:19:02.

unlikely to have an overall majority. Pressure is already

:19:03.:19:05.

growing on Theresa May to stand aside. She has not uttered the words

:19:06.:19:12.

as we saw her account. In Scotland, the party registered their best

:19:13.:19:17.

result since the early 1980s. The Scottish Secretary David Mundell is

:19:18.:19:24.

now one of 13 Conservative MPs. The SNP is still the largest party. It's

:19:25.:19:30.

easy to forget that, after the seismic victory two years ago. But

:19:31.:19:35.

they have lost 21. Conservatives with the Lucky 13 for them so far,

:19:36.:19:39.

Labour on Southern, gained six overnight and the Lib Dems on four.

:19:40.:19:44.

One of the night's most dramatic moments came when the former SNP

:19:45.:19:50.

leader Alex Sam lost his Gordon seat. I'm disappointed, I've lost so

:19:51.:19:56.

many fine parliamentary colleagues. I think one thing the polls did not

:19:57.:20:01.

detect at all was a late recovery in Labour Party fortunes, based on the

:20:02.:20:04.

admiration of a lot of people for the performance of Jeremy Corbyn

:20:05.:20:07.

during this general election campaign. The newspapers are owed.

:20:08.:20:13.

The National has some top the night like this. Being tribute to the MPs

:20:14.:20:19.

who lost their seats. As the nation wakes up to news of that hung

:20:20.:20:23.

parliament, let's see what the reaction is to some of the gains and

:20:24.:20:29.

losses on Twitter. In a speech to Conservative HQ, Theresa May did not

:20:30.:20:37.

mention her future, but obviously a lot of speculation. Angus MacNeil of

:20:38.:20:40.

the SNP, who held the Western Isles has asked the question, is this the

:20:41.:20:45.

election were everyone lost? As Glenn was just saying, we're waiting

:20:46.:20:49.

for one more declaration in Scotland. It could come down to a

:20:50.:20:54.

coin toss in North East Fife, where in the here's press in it.

:20:55.:21:00.

We will cross strait that declaration when it comes in. We are

:21:01.:21:05.

just reflecting on the extent of the conservative comeback in Scotland at

:21:06.:21:13.

this election. They have 13 seats, and among those who are returning to

:21:14.:21:19.

parliament, were taking seats in parliament, the Scottish secretary

:21:20.:21:21.

David Mundell. And in the neighbouring constituency of

:21:22.:21:28.

Dumfries and Galloway, the new MP is Alister Jack. They are both with us

:21:29.:21:31.

live from Dumfries. Congratulations to both of you on your re-election,

:21:32.:21:38.

David Mundell, and on your election, Alister Jack. Alistair Jack, how

:21:39.:21:46.

does it feel to be new to the House of Commons? It feels very good. It

:21:47.:21:53.

feels particularly good to do it when the Conservatives are returning

:21:54.:21:58.

and other 12 seats. Another 12 seats, and actually this is the best

:21:59.:22:02.

result in terms of seats that the Conservatives have had since 1983,

:22:03.:22:07.

when you won 21. This year of the board might be slightly up on that

:22:08.:22:13.

time. What do you think the key ingredients have been of this

:22:14.:22:20.

recovery? The key ingredient has been first of all Ruth Davidson's

:22:21.:22:28.

success as a leader, David Mundell's success as Scottish Secretary. I'm

:22:29.:22:32.

getting revamp in the year, but I'll learn how to do this better as time

:22:33.:22:37.

goes on. And obviously, the big thing was Nicola Sturgeon calling

:22:38.:22:43.

that vote on a second independence referendum. Had she known Theresa

:22:44.:22:47.

May was going to go to the country, I don't believe she would have done

:22:48.:22:50.

that. It was a mistake, and the country have turned their back on

:22:51.:22:55.

Nicola Sturgeon. It was a high water mark for the SNP in 2015, and the

:22:56.:23:01.

tide is now going out. But they bring in David Mundell as MP for

:23:02.:23:05.

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and detail. If I could concentrate with

:23:06.:23:11.

you on the UK picture, what you think is good to happen now? What is

:23:12.:23:15.

the way forward, given the hung parliament? You know much more about

:23:16.:23:25.

the UK position than we do, we've been stuck in a count with not

:23:26.:23:33.

particularly good Wi-Fi or mobile reception. There are still a few

:23:34.:23:36.

results to come. You will see how the results settles down in the

:23:37.:23:42.

morning. The shape of that parliament will determine the nature

:23:43.:23:46.

of the government going forward, but there is still important business to

:23:47.:23:51.

be done, particularly taking forward the Brexit negotiations, which are

:23:52.:23:57.

due to begin in about 11 days. Theresa May, having failed to

:23:58.:24:01.

achieve the goal she set herself, to increase her majority and strengthen

:24:02.:24:05.

her hand, is she now vulnerable? Will she have to go? I certainly

:24:06.:24:12.

don't think so. She is still the best person to lead us into those

:24:13.:24:17.

Brexit negotiations. We will see the shape of the new parliament when all

:24:18.:24:26.

the results are in. I think that will determine the nature of things

:24:27.:24:30.

going forward, particularly the approach that people take, what I

:24:31.:24:35.

hope as a result of the result in Scotland, is that Nicola Sturgeon

:24:36.:24:40.

takes her plans for a device of the second independence referendum of

:24:41.:24:44.

the table. We will see the SNP actually come forward in a

:24:45.:24:48.

constructive way in relation to the Brexit negotiations. I hope Labour,

:24:49.:24:54.

even with an increased size of party in parliament, will also adopt a

:24:55.:24:57.

constructive approach. We've got to work together on what our

:24:58.:25:04.

unprecedented post-war negotiations. Labour's Anas Sarwar suggested that

:25:05.:25:08.

the Conservative - led government, if that what we're going to have,

:25:09.:25:13.

will have to reach out to all the parties in the House of Commons to

:25:14.:25:18.

try and negotiate a Brexit deal. Is that a good idea? And how might that

:25:19.:25:22.

change the sort of deal we would be seeking? I think we've got to get

:25:23.:25:29.

the best possible deal, and I don't think we should be looking for a

:25:30.:25:35.

deal that meets the requirements of individual political parties. I

:25:36.:25:39.

think this is actually a time where those sort of party political

:25:40.:25:43.

considerations are put aside in the national interest, and the national

:25:44.:25:47.

interest is put first, and that the parties come together to actually

:25:48.:25:52.

look and work for a good deal for Britain. But of course, if the

:25:53.:25:55.

government doesn't have a majority, it does have to work with others,

:25:56.:25:59.

whether that is in Holyrood or Westminster. When we see the final

:26:00.:26:03.

numbers, those will determine the shape and nature of the government

:26:04.:26:11.

going forward. That is a suggestion of a deal with the Democratic

:26:12.:26:13.

Unionist Party, we will see where we end up. Thank you both for talking

:26:14.:26:20.

to us. Live from Dumfries. Now, it has been another extraordinary

:26:21.:26:26.

election. An extraordinary night. Some extraordinary results. Let's

:26:27.:26:32.

catch up on all the action with our correspondent Andrew care. Colin

:26:33.:26:39.

James Clark, Scottish Conservative and Unionist, 20 1000, the SNP may

:26:40.:26:45.

be the overall winners, but that the biggest losers. The people of Gordon

:26:46.:26:50.

hosted the former First Minister. Alex Salmond said the SNP had

:26:51.:26:53.

suffered a grievous blow, but he did think they could still play a big

:26:54.:27:00.

part at Westminster. The SNP might well find itself in reduced numbers

:27:01.:27:05.

in the House of Commons, but in a position of very substantial

:27:06.:27:09.

influence indeed. And I know that my colleagues will seek to use that

:27:10.:27:14.

influence to keep the Conservative Party from power and to build a

:27:15.:27:17.

progressive alliance to take this country forward. And to avoid the

:27:18.:27:26.

calamity of hard Brexit. And then a little warning to his opponents.

:27:27.:27:31.

Just a phrase from an old Jacobite song, in the midst of your glee,

:27:32.:27:38.

you've not seen the last of my bonnets and me. Until then, the

:27:39.:27:46.

SNP's biggest loss had been there at Westminster leader Angus Robertson.

:27:47.:27:53.

The Conservatives overturned his majority in Moray of 10,000. For the

:27:54.:27:58.

Scottish Conservatives, an unbelievable night, the best result

:27:59.:28:02.

since 1983, as they picked up the fruits of the anti-independence

:28:03.:28:07.

message. I think we've seen the country's reaction in the number of

:28:08.:28:13.

SNP seats that have fallen. Indirect to is dead, Glenn, that's what's

:28:14.:28:20.

happened tonight. The SNP also lost seats to the Conservatives and

:28:21.:28:27.

acknowledge they should reflect on the result. I'm not going to rush to

:28:28.:28:32.

hasty judgments or decisions, but clearly there's thinking... Let's

:28:33.:28:35.

cross to Glenrothes for the declaration in Fife north-east.

:28:36.:28:43.

41,000 ballot papers were verified, giving a turnout of 71.3%. I give

:28:44.:28:51.

notice that the total number of votes cast for each candidate in the

:28:52.:28:59.

election was as follows. Rosalind Garton, Scottish Labour Party, 4026.

:29:00.:29:08.

Stephen Gethins, Scottish National Party, 13700 and 43. Tony Miklinski,

:29:09.:29:19.

Scottish Conservative and Unionist party, 10000 and 88. Janet Richards,

:29:20.:29:28.

Scottish Liberal Democrats, 13700 and 41. Mike Scott-Hayward,

:29:29.:29:41.

independent sovereign democratic Britain, 224. The total number of

:29:42.:29:48.

ballot papers allocated were 41,000 822. I declare Stephen Gethins to be

:29:49.:29:53.

elected to serve in parliament as a member for the Fife north-east

:29:54.:30:01.

constituency. The majority was two. A majority of just two in Fife

:30:02.:30:06.

north-east. Stephen Gethins a relieved man. Thank you for your

:30:07.:30:12.

extraordinary efforts tonight in what has been an extraordinary

:30:13.:30:17.

evening. Thank you to you. Can I thank Elizabeth, Tony and Rosalind

:30:18.:30:22.

for I think a well fought campaign, and thank you for the campaign we

:30:23.:30:27.

have fought. It has been a close one, I think it's fair to say.

:30:28.:30:39.

Second, volunteers from all political parties who make democracy

:30:40.:30:47.

work, who have been trudging round in the pouring rain today, you have

:30:48.:30:52.

my thanks, as well. And finally, on a personal note, my wife had a baby

:30:53.:30:56.

halfway through the selection and she has been an absolute hero, so

:30:57.:31:00.

thank you, and thanks very much, everybody. Thank you. He returns to

:31:01.:31:08.

the House of Commons defeating the Liberal Democrat challenge in five

:31:09.:31:11.

north-east by two votes. You can barely get much closer than that.

:31:12.:31:20.

Stephen Gethins winning with 13,743, the Liberal Democrats Elizabeth Rich

:31:21.:31:25.

is second with 13700 and 41. The Conservatives third in the seat.

:31:26.:31:31.

Several thousand votes behind, 10,088 for him. The turnout in five

:31:32.:31:44.

north-east, 71%. The SNP and the Lib Dems almost neck and neck in terms

:31:45.:31:49.

of share of the boat with 33% each, the Conservatives on 24, Labour on

:31:50.:31:57.

10%. -- of the vote. He was a change from two years ago, the SNP down 8%,

:31:58.:32:06.

the Conservatives up 8%, Labour up two and the SNP holding on despite a

:32:07.:32:14.

swing of 4.8% from the SNP to the Lib Dems. That was the last seat in

:32:15.:32:19.

Scotland to declare. The final total for the 59 constituencies in

:32:20.:32:25.

Scotland. The SNP finishing 35, down 21 one 2015, the Conservatives

:32:26.:32:33.

second with 13, up 12, Labour on seven, up six, the Lib Dems on four

:32:34.:32:43.

up three. Let's take a look at those aerial shots, they are from London,

:32:44.:32:50.

of the Labour Party. He has clearly of the Labour Party. He has clearly

:32:51.:32:59.

-- it is clearly anticipated that he will emerge from his House at some

:33:00.:33:05.

point. His position is clear on what is now a fairly firm outcome to this

:33:06.:33:12.

election, a hung Parliament, with the Conservatives as the biggest

:33:13.:33:15.

single party but short of that overall majority and in need of

:33:16.:33:20.

support from, perhaps, the Democratic Unionists all others in

:33:21.:33:24.

the House of Commons. Jeffrey Donaldson of the DUP has said, we

:33:25.:33:31.

have suddenly become very important. We will obviously talk to the

:33:32.:33:34.

Conservatives in the best interests of the UK. That was so Jeffrey

:33:35.:33:39.

Donaldson of the DUP. Let's cross once again to the Election Cafe to

:33:40.:33:49.

catch up with the owner. There has been no problem staying awake

:33:50.:33:53.

tonight. It has been shot after shot after shock after-shock. Kirsty

:33:54.:33:57.

Strickland is with us having made it through the night. It has been

:33:58.:34:01.

fascinating, hasn't it? Where do we go from here? What is des two going

:34:02.:34:09.

to hold for us? It will be all about manoeuvring. Before the campaign it

:34:10.:34:15.

was going to be about the chess match between Nicola Sturgeon and

:34:16.:34:19.

Theresa May and at the end of this campaign, this night, they are the

:34:20.:34:24.

two characters who have suffered the most. It will be interesting to see

:34:25.:34:29.

how they regroup and come back after this. It'll be down to the deals

:34:30.:34:33.

that will be done and whether or not Labour are willing to take the

:34:34.:34:37.

poisoned chalice if the arithmetic allows and Labour can form a

:34:38.:34:41.

minority government, then whether or not that will work out well for them

:34:42.:34:45.

in the long run is a different thing because with Brexit, if you break

:34:46.:34:50.

it, you buy it, and whoever forms the next government will have one

:34:51.:34:54.

hell of a task over the Brexit negotiations and in the long run

:34:55.:34:57.

strategically, it might work out better for Labour to hold fire and

:34:58.:35:00.

put pressure on when they can, which they will be able to do, now the

:35:01.:35:06.

Conservatives have suffered so many losses and, in the next five years,

:35:07.:35:11.

come back stronger. Interesting what Tom Harris has to say, former Labour

:35:12.:35:17.

MP, support or Brexit. You have got some interesting themes. What on

:35:18.:35:24.

earth is the second day going to hold? It will be 90% speculation

:35:25.:35:30.

about who is going to resign next and who's going to do a deal. The

:35:31.:35:38.

Constitution, unwritten though it is, suggests that the sitting Prime

:35:39.:35:43.

Minister, one that has a majority of a large number of seats will have a

:35:44.:35:47.

first chance to form a government. If the DUP come on board, which they

:35:48.:35:53.

probably will, I expect, Jeffrey Donaldson has said as much already,

:35:54.:35:59.

whether it is a formal deal or not, I expect this government will be

:36:00.:36:02.

able to limp on without any major defeats in the Commons, up to and

:36:03.:36:08.

beyond the Brexit talks but there is no doubt that this is a government

:36:09.:36:15.

that has been holed below the water line. Theresa May, her position is

:36:16.:36:24.

untenable. Even if she is replaced by someone, I would suggest David

:36:25.:36:27.

Davis if I was putting money on it, but it is not a government that can

:36:28.:36:34.

be asked -- in last five or ten minutes beyond the end of the Brexit

:36:35.:36:43.

negotiations. Is this a omnishambles? For the Conservatives

:36:44.:36:48.

that would be an improvement on what we have at the moment! What are your

:36:49.:36:55.

theories about what is going to unfold now? It hinges on what

:36:56.:37:00.

Theresa May decides to do now and what pressure she is put under

:37:01.:37:04.

inside the party. You have to talk about the fact that the exit

:37:05.:37:09.

negotiations start in 11 days' time but the other question is, if you go

:37:10.:37:14.

into this Brexit talks with all of those EU leaders thinking, actually,

:37:15.:37:19.

you are a lame duck, you went into this election with a 20% advantage

:37:20.:37:23.

in the opinion polls, you thought you would come out stronger and you

:37:24.:37:27.

have come out weaker, so she might have to consider future, there is

:37:28.:37:30.

the doubt about that whatsoever. Until that happens we won't do what

:37:31.:37:34.

the other parties can do. Jeremy Corbyn is going to do a speech this

:37:35.:37:39.

morning making all sorts of challenges that she should stand

:37:40.:37:44.

down. He will start setting out his stall, with scenarios about what the

:37:45.:37:47.

left can do with some kind of anti-Brexit alliance, but her

:37:48.:37:53.

decision is absolutely pivotal. A quick prediction, in a word, what

:37:54.:37:56.

happens next? I genuinely don't know. She can quite easily say, the

:37:57.:38:06.

nation requires stable leadership. If I was putting money on it I would

:38:07.:38:11.

say that we will continue with an already Conservative government led

:38:12.:38:15.

by someone other than Theresa May. I think we will see a swift

:38:16.:38:18.

resignation from Theresa May and a minority Conservative government. If

:38:19.:38:23.

you want to letters know your thoughts and views on what could

:38:24.:38:26.

possibly happen over the next few hours, weeks and months, remember it

:38:27.:38:38.

is #bbcelection. We are heading towards a minority of chaos, not a

:38:39.:38:45.

coalition of chaos, that was copyright Lord Purves of the Lib

:38:46.:38:54.

Dems. We will hear from the panel and a little while. We can cross the

:38:55.:39:04.

Glenrothes, there are still around going on were the SNP held on with

:39:05.:39:15.

two, Laura McIver. Stephen Gethins of the SNP winning with just two

:39:16.:39:21.

votes in it at the end after four counts in Glenrothes for the North

:39:22.:39:27.

Fife seat. It seems it went twice to the Lib Dems, two ties to the SNP.

:39:28.:39:32.

In the end there were deep discussions going on with the

:39:33.:39:34.

returning officer, their candidates and their agents who went on to make

:39:35.:39:39.

the declaration of Stephen Gethins as the winner. But the Lib Dem

:39:40.:39:45.

candidate in her speech on the state said that there could be further

:39:46.:39:49.

action after this vote because it was obviously such a close one.

:39:50.:39:53.

Things are winding down and victory has been declared but it sounds like

:39:54.:39:57.

it is possible that this could be something that ends up being

:39:58.:40:00.

challenged in a couple of days' time. Just to be clear, when the

:40:01.:40:06.

declaration was made, was that not, does it, in itself, mean that the

:40:07.:40:11.

Lib Dems, the two main contenders have accepted that result? You are

:40:12.:40:16.

saying that the Lib Dems have not accepted that result? It would

:40:17.:40:20.

appear that they had because that would be the end of it for them,

:40:21.:40:25.

being on the stage together, but she talked about the possibility of

:40:26.:40:29.

further action. Whether this is something that she could end up

:40:30.:40:33.

appealing for it, asking for it to be looked into further, I am not

:40:34.:40:38.

sure. Stephen Gethins has been declared the SNP MP for North East

:40:39.:40:42.

Fife after a very long night and lots and lots of counting. Thank you

:40:43.:40:47.

for keeping as a cross that story throughout the night. We will let

:40:48.:40:53.

you get away and have some rest. The majority last time was 5344 and that

:40:54.:41:02.

is down to two. It seems that after a recount and a further recount, the

:41:03.:41:05.

victim we switched sides on more than one occasion. Let me bring in

:41:06.:41:11.

Lord Purves for the Lib Dems. Is there anything your party or

:41:12.:41:15.

candidate could do, given that that declaration has now been made? Can I

:41:16.:41:18.

congratulate Elizabeth for the campaign that she thought? She did a

:41:19.:41:25.

brilliant job in the circumstances. As someone who was first elected

:41:26.:41:29.

after two recounts I can understand the nerves that would have been

:41:30.:41:34.

there. From my recollection in my count the returning officer can make

:41:35.:41:37.

a decision and that is the decision that will stand on the night and it

:41:38.:41:42.

would be up for our agent and party to consider their options going

:41:43.:41:49.

forward. Just because of a candidate was on the stage it doesn't mean we

:41:50.:41:53.

are fully accepted the result. The returning officer can make a

:41:54.:41:56.

decision in that situation. The principle is that we will Act

:41:57.:42:01.

honourably and Stephen Gethins' speech was gracious but I would

:42:02.:42:06.

commend Elizabeth for the campaign that she fought and we will make

:42:07.:42:10.

sure that all options are considered. In 1997, Gerry Malone,

:42:11.:42:20.

the MP for Aberdeen South and then the MP for Winchester, he lost that

:42:21.:42:26.

seat by two votes, to the Lib Dems who contested the result in the High

:42:27.:42:30.

Court, the result was declared void, the election was called again and

:42:31.:42:36.

Gerry Malone lost the subsequent by-election by 21,000 votes. Voters

:42:37.:42:41.

tend not to like it if their verdict is challenged. The circumstances

:42:42.:42:47.

that were very different and also the dynamic of the campaign was very

:42:48.:42:54.

different. Quite interesting, that constituency. You are right to say

:42:55.:42:57.

that, at some point the returning officer is the returning officer, at

:42:58.:43:02.

some point he can say, that is it, I am calling it. You saying that there

:43:03.:43:09.

was a possibility that the Liberal Democrats will challenge this result

:43:10.:43:12.

in court? I don't want to read anything into this at this stage

:43:13.:43:17.

because after those number of recounts, everyone needs to just

:43:18.:43:22.

pause slightly and consider the options, including the agents

:43:23.:43:26.

involved. I've been in that situation and that six, seven

:43:27.:43:31.

o'clock in the morning, ultimately, what is important is that

:43:32.:43:34.

everybody's vote has to be properly counted. Innovations we operate a

:43:35.:43:40.

first past the post system and every vote has to be counted. It did not

:43:41.:43:49.

help that in that constituency the Conservatives were campaigning so

:43:50.:43:53.

that they had a chance to win it... A political postmortem, Shirley-Anne

:43:54.:44:01.

Somerville. I can appreciate that pensions would be running high at

:44:02.:44:05.

that count. His nerves must be absolutely frayed. I am delighted to

:44:06.:44:11.

see him re-elected. I spent quite a bit of time in that seat myself and

:44:12.:44:17.

I know what a tremendous amount of hard work he and his team have done.

:44:18.:44:22.

A period of reflection now, this is not the time for hasty decision iss

:44:23.:44:28.

and talking about the courts, but Stephen Gethins has been a fantastic

:44:29.:44:33.

MP during his time and it has been a good into the night for the SNP.

:44:34.:44:37.

Would it be sour grapes if the Liberal Democrats decided to

:44:38.:44:41.

challenge, which is a perfectly legitimate course of action given

:44:42.:44:46.

how close it was? We have to look at the different circumstances and

:44:47.:44:50.

opportunities for them. He has been declared winner in that

:44:51.:44:55.

constituency, he's a worthy winner and I would be very disappointed if

:44:56.:44:59.

the Lib Dems, with a period of reflection, didn't accept the

:45:00.:45:07.

result. Let's cross once again to Jackie Bird for more news on this

:45:08.:45:08.

extraordinary election. You might have gone to bed last

:45:09.:45:19.

night believing the UK had a self build strong and stable Prime

:45:20.:45:24.

Minister, but look at these figures. No overall majority. The

:45:25.:45:27.

Conservatives have lost 12 seats and Labour have gained 29, with about 12

:45:28.:45:33.

seats still to be declared. Theresa May is being asked to consider her

:45:34.:45:37.

future after her election gamble backfired, leaving the UK with a

:45:38.:45:43.

hung parliament. Scottish Secretary David Mundell dismissed suggestions

:45:44.:45:47.

she should stand down. She is still the best person to lead us into

:45:48.:45:51.

those Brexit negotiations. We will see the shape of the new parliament

:45:52.:46:00.

when all the results are in. I think that will determine the nature of

:46:01.:46:04.

things going forward, particularly the approach people take. What I

:46:05.:46:10.

hope, as a result of the result in Scotland is that Nicola Sturgeon

:46:11.:46:14.

Baltic plan for it divides of second independence referendum of the

:46:15.:46:19.

table. And we will see the SNP forward actually coming forward in a

:46:20.:46:24.

constructive way. With all the seats declared in Scotland,

:46:25.:46:26.

notwithstanding any legal challenges, Unite of surprises and a

:46:27.:46:33.

historic wrist versions -- a historic resurgence for the

:46:34.:46:38.

Conservatives. The SNP remains the biggest party. Labour also had a

:46:39.:46:42.

good night and an increase for the Lib Dems. The last result was the

:46:43.:46:47.

closest, after those recounts, North East Fife was retained by the SNP by

:46:48.:46:54.

just two votes. This eviction will be characterised by the loss of some

:46:55.:46:59.

of the SNP's biggest beasts, among them Alex Salmond and Angus

:47:00.:47:03.

Robertson. A quick look at the newspaper coverage. The headlines

:47:04.:47:11.

illustrating both the losses of the Tories across the UK and the SNP.

:47:12.:47:17.

Just seven constituencies still to declare in the UK, six being

:47:18.:47:23.

defended by the Conservatives. Richmond Park, Kensington, Cornwall

:47:24.:47:27.

Southeast and Cornwall North, and one being defended by the Labour

:47:28.:47:32.

Party in Dudley North. While we wait for those results, let's cross to

:47:33.:47:36.

David Henderson. What are you looking at now?

:47:37.:47:41.

Let me bring you up-to-date with the situation in Scotland. It's been an

:47:42.:47:46.

exciting night. We're close to the finish line. Let's remind you how

:47:47.:47:50.

the election has turned out in Scotland. Remember where we started.

:47:51.:47:54.

This was the electoral map for the last two years, all those SNP seats

:47:55.:48:00.

in yellow. Let's bring you up to date. This is the way the election

:48:01.:48:05.

has turned out, this is the new political map of Scotland. Labour

:48:06.:48:09.

gained six seats from the SNP. The Lib Dems have gained three and the

:48:10.:48:15.

Tories have gained 12 seats. You can see in the Borders and the

:48:16.:48:22.

north-east and in Perthshire. Some high-profile losses for the SNP.

:48:23.:48:28.

Alex Salmond losing his Gordon seat to the Tories, and the party's

:48:29.:48:35.

deputy leader Angus Robertson also losing out in Moray. That was also

:48:36.:48:41.

thanks to a strong surge from the Tories. Let's see how the parties

:48:42.:48:47.

are faring after all that. The Lib Dems led by Willie Rennie have four

:48:48.:48:53.

MPs in Scotland. Labour led by Kezia Dugdale now hold seven seats in

:48:54.:48:57.

Scotland. It's been a great night for Ruth Davidson of the Tories.

:48:58.:49:03.

They now have 13 seats. And the SNP, they have lost 21 seats, but there

:49:04.:49:10.

still a long way in front of 35. So a disappointing night for Nicola

:49:11.:49:14.

Sturgeon, but they are still far away the biggest Scottish party at

:49:15.:49:17.

Westminster. Thanks, David. Let's cross live to

:49:18.:49:23.

Glenrothes once again and speak to the last and be elected in Scotland

:49:24.:49:26.

in this general election, by a margin of just two votes, he is

:49:27.:49:32.

Stephen Gethins of the SNP. Re-elected in Fife north-east. As

:49:33.:49:37.

your colleague Shirley-Anne Somerville said a short time ago,

:49:38.:49:43.

your nerves must be short. Yes, it was quite a long night, but it was

:49:44.:49:50.

ultimately a good night. And have pay full credit to the counters who

:49:51.:49:57.

have been up all night, as well as the presiding officer here, and I'm

:49:58.:50:01.

frankly grateful to everybody who re-elected me. Yes, it was a

:50:02.:50:06.

nerve-racking night. You majority reduced dramatically, from more than

:50:07.:50:13.

4000 to just two, as I mentioned. Is your victory secure, or do you

:50:14.:50:17.

expect it will now be challenged by the Lib Dems? The people in North

:50:18.:50:24.

East Fife made a decision. It's my job to represent them all,

:50:25.:50:29.

regardless of how they voted. The presiding officer made a very clear

:50:30.:50:33.

decision tonight, and I respect that decision. You respect the decision,

:50:34.:50:37.

but there has been some suggestion that the Lib Dems may consider

:50:38.:50:40.

challenging it, perhaps in the courts or by some other means. Would

:50:41.:50:47.

you be happy to go through that process and defend the win that has

:50:48.:50:53.

been declared? The people of North East Fife have made a decision. Yes,

:50:54.:50:58.

it was tight that often happens in a first past the post system. The Lib

:50:59.:51:03.

Dems and the SNP agree we want a more proportional system, but the

:51:04.:51:07.

decision has been made. I've got a job to get on with, and in this

:51:08.:51:10.

Parliament, that will be a lot of big decisions to be made, that will

:51:11.:51:15.

affect everybody in North East Fife, not just on Europe, but on public

:51:16.:51:18.

spending and pensions and I look forward to getting on with that job.

:51:19.:51:24.

Congratulations on your win. Thanks very much taking the time to speak

:51:25.:51:30.

to us. Stephen Gethins live from the count in Glenrothes. Let's go live

:51:31.:51:34.

to Downing Street for the first this morning and speak to the BBC's

:51:35.:51:40.

political editor. What do you make of it?

:51:41.:51:43.

We're waiting to hear from the Prime Minister, who is now in number ten

:51:44.:51:48.

Downing St behind me. She came from Conservative Party headquarters,

:51:49.:51:51.

where Doctor party workers and closest advisers. The questions of

:51:52.:51:57.

many people are asking is will Theresa May choose to soldier on as

:51:58.:52:02.

Prime Minister after that most poetic of election victories, a

:52:03.:52:06.

painful election victory, which has weakened her authority are acutely

:52:07.:52:12.

mortally. It has shaken politics up in a dramatic way as we head towards

:52:13.:52:18.

Brexit. Those negotiations due to begin in about 11 days' time. Will

:52:19.:52:22.

she choose to take this woman to call for the removal van? We don't

:52:23.:52:31.

know. I asked a contact in the party earlier and they said they had no

:52:32.:52:43.

idea. It did sound a few hours ago that she was talking about

:52:44.:52:47.

continuing stability, but we will see. This has been a mortal blow,

:52:48.:52:51.

it's very difficult to see her recovering. Uncertainty lies ahead

:52:52.:52:54.

and most uncertain time for the country.

:52:55.:53:01.

The former cabinet secretary Lord Turnbull has gone on record to say

:53:02.:53:05.

that she should resign, but what are people saying within the

:53:06.:53:09.

Conservative Party? Because ultimately, they are really the only

:53:10.:53:12.

people who could push her out, aren't they? It wouldn't take much

:53:13.:53:19.

pressure, frankly from within the Conservative Party to make her go?

:53:20.:53:29.

But if she is minded to stay. So far, we have heard from Anna simply

:53:30.:53:35.

saying that is Theresa May should consider her future. That is called

:53:36.:53:44.

for she thinks she should go. Anna Soubry is not isolated on this and

:53:45.:53:47.

there will be other Tories of this in mind. Theresa May called this

:53:48.:53:52.

snap election with the sole idea of taking the Conservative Party to an

:53:53.:53:56.

unassailable position with the vastly increased majority. She may

:53:57.:54:00.

have done it reluctantly after reflection, but she didn't. Some may

:54:01.:54:04.

say she must answer for that. But it's not just that, the conduct of

:54:05.:54:12.

the campaign did not go terribly well, did it? The manifesto launch,

:54:13.:54:15.

the announcement of that big policy on social care for the elderly. An

:54:16.:54:20.

announcement, then every street and then an attempt to pretend that

:54:21.:54:26.

nothing had really changed and there had not been a U-turn. It looked

:54:27.:54:34.

like MS, it was, frankly, a mess, and Theresa May will bear the burden

:54:35.:54:37.

of that. The consequence of that will be a couple of things, one, if

:54:38.:54:43.

the Prime Minister carries on, will be under pressure in her party to

:54:44.:54:47.

change the way of leading things. To listen to more people when taking

:54:48.:54:51.

decisions, to rely less on that tiny circle of advisers. Senior

:54:52.:55:02.

officials, the so-called mandolins, they will want to see their

:55:03.:55:05.

departments and their advice not just heard, but he did. Theresa May

:55:06.:55:08.

will be under pressure from all sorts of different directions. Good

:55:09.:55:15.

to hear from you, thanks very much. Let's speak to our political editor

:55:16.:55:19.

here in Scotland, Brian Taylor. I said when I next get back to you, I

:55:20.:55:23.

would ask you for names in the frame if there's a leadership contest in

:55:24.:55:26.

the Conservative Party. Given that she has won her seat in difficult

:55:27.:55:31.

circumstances and is regarded as relatively stable, Boris Johnson

:55:32.:55:36.

would be a manoeuvre is once again. I think David Davis would be the

:55:37.:55:43.

most likely of the contenders. He was tipped, if you remember, to win

:55:44.:55:48.

the leadership when David Cameron took it perhaps with a single

:55:49.:55:51.

speech, perhaps more with his flamboyant approach and open

:55:52.:55:56.

approach and new approach to the Conservative leadership. I think he

:55:57.:56:00.

will be seen as experienced individual, but above all, he is the

:56:01.:56:03.

one who has emerged of the triumvirate of ministers gifted with

:56:04.:56:11.

the joy of dealing with Brexit, it is David Davis who has emerged as

:56:12.:56:17.

incontestably the prime figure in that triumvirate, because Boris

:56:18.:56:21.

Johnson has been sidelined and so has Liam Fox. I think he would be

:56:22.:56:27.

the one, but you have to look at the Chancellor Philip Hammond, given the

:56:28.:56:29.

difficulties caused as a result of his budget overtaxation. I can't see

:56:30.:56:38.

him winning. Michael Gove, not a chance. Let's go back to our

:56:39.:56:50.

political panel and say hello to a new member, Fiona Hyslop, Cabinet

:56:51.:56:59.

Secretary, SNP. We haven't heard yet from Morris called and James Kelly.

:57:00.:57:04.

Morris, from a conservative point of view, who would you want to take

:57:05.:57:09.

over from Theresa May, where the vacancy? I think you need to step

:57:10.:57:15.

back from that for a minute. If you look at the options on the table, we

:57:16.:57:18.

have Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn. Faced with that choice, the only

:57:19.:57:24.

choice was strength and stability is ultimately Theresa May. And I don't

:57:25.:57:29.

see any... She doesn't look very strong or stable, given that she

:57:30.:57:32.

called an election we didn't need to have, in order to strengthen her

:57:33.:57:36.

mandate, to get her own mandate to increase the Conservative grip on

:57:37.:57:40.

power, and has completely failed to do so. If you look at where we are

:57:41.:57:46.

now, from a Scottish perspective, it is bittersweet. I'm topping about

:57:47.:57:52.

the UK perspective, where we have a hung parliament. Can Theresa May

:57:53.:57:55.

really expect to carry on as Prime Minister in the circumstances? She

:57:56.:58:01.

certainly can, and I'd encourage all of the UK parliamentarians to work

:58:02.:58:03.

in the interests of the United Kingdom. We have to get the best

:58:04.:58:10.

possible deal out of Brexit, and I believe that Theresa May is

:58:11.:58:13.

certainly well positioned to do that, to negotiate the best possible

:58:14.:58:17.

deal and reach out across Westminster to help deliver that for

:58:18.:58:23.

the benefit of the United Kingdom. Let me bring in James Kelly. Labour

:58:24.:58:28.

went into this election, there were no great expectations of your party

:58:29.:58:33.

coming close, in the end, you have done better than perhaps many

:58:34.:58:38.

expected, but you haven't won. You are well off the numbers the

:58:39.:58:41.

Conservatives have achieved. Will there be questions over Jeremy

:58:42.:58:48.

Corbyn's future as party leader? At the start of this election, there

:58:49.:58:51.

were commentators who wrote of the Labour Party and said it was the end

:58:52.:58:55.

of the party. From what we've seen, both in Scotland and in the UK, the

:58:56.:59:03.

Labour Party have rejuvenated, the public have responded to Kezia

:59:04.:59:08.

Dugdale and Jeremy Corbyn and the strong policies are putting across,

:59:09.:59:14.

the investment in public services. Opposing the Tory and SNP cuts and a

:59:15.:59:23.

second in defence. -- a second independence referendum. Jeremy

:59:24.:59:26.

Corbyn was more equivocal about his opposition to the referendum, not

:59:27.:59:33.

ruling out the Hollywood power to do so. Both Kezia Dugdale and Jeremy

:59:34.:59:36.

Corbyn were very clear that the country didn't need a referendum and

:59:37.:59:40.

didn't need independence, which would lead to double charged

:59:41.:59:44.

austerity. The Labour Party comes out of this election with more

:59:45.:59:50.

seats, mournful as and a much stronger position. You say that, but

:59:51.:59:54.

in Scotland, you are the third-place party behind the Conservatives. They

:59:55.:59:58.

have completed their overhaul of Labour, having done it in local

:59:59.:00:02.

government and in Holyrood, and they have now done it in Westminster from

:00:03.:00:04.

a Scottish point of view as well. It has been a remarkable performance

:00:05.:00:21.

from Labour in Scotland who have been rejuvenated as a result. The

:00:22.:00:25.

real questions in Scotland are for the SNP... That is where we're going

:00:26.:00:31.

next. Fiona Hyslop has been sitting patiently waiting her turn. If you

:00:32.:00:38.

haven't done so extraordinarily well in the 2015 election, because,

:00:39.:00:42.

having won the selection, it doesn't feel like that. That was a

:00:43.:00:46.

phenomenal, once a century election. Looking at the last two whistler

:00:47.:00:51.

selections they have been the best results for the SNP in the history

:00:52.:00:55.

of our party at Westminster. We have won the election and we are sorry to

:00:56.:01:03.

see some standing colleagues at Pressman still lose seats, but the

:01:04.:01:07.

people of Scotland have rejected Labour and Conservatives. Have more

:01:08.:01:13.

seats than Conservatives, labour and the Lib Dems added together. That

:01:14.:01:22.

puts is in a strong position with the above has to be put forward and

:01:23.:01:27.

the mandate that Niklas vision has won to be part of the

:01:28.:02:23.

Will mandate was secured barely a year ago. That is what we are taking

:02:24.:02:29.

forward. The timing of this is for a whole variety of things. Most of it

:02:30.:02:33.

is not in our control and the Brexit Jose certainly isn't. I'm about to

:02:34.:02:41.

go to Austria to put forward the Scottish position in Europe. These

:02:42.:02:44.

things happen very quickly indeed. We don't want to be paralysed by a

:02:45.:02:48.

Westminster government that cannot get its act together. We are ready

:02:49.:02:56.

to negotiate and discuss that. That Progressive alliance that has been

:02:57.:02:59.

put forward. We are clearer on what we want from the European

:03:00.:03:02.

discussions. That is something that we want to take forward very

:03:03.:03:07.

quickly. We will move across once again to Glenrothes and speak to

:03:08.:03:13.

Elizabeth Richards, the Lib Dem candidate in the Fife north-east

:03:14.:03:18.

constituency. Good morning, Elizabeth, commiserations on the

:03:19.:03:25.

result. Is it a result that you accept? We are incredibly proud of

:03:26.:03:36.

this result because it shows how many people in North East Fife

:03:37.:03:41.

accept our message that we do not see the necessity for a second

:03:42.:03:46.

independence referendum, they accept our concern is that we need to be

:03:47.:03:51.

working to minimise the effects of a hard Brexit and they also accept the

:03:52.:03:54.

many positive aspects of our manifesto. You're saying that the

:03:55.:04:03.

voters of Fife north-east accept all of that but actually they have

:04:04.:04:11.

accepted, elected an SNP MP who are proposing a referendum on

:04:12.:04:15.

independence. No, what I said was, we are delighted at the number of

:04:16.:04:21.

people who have accepted our message, and the result had two

:04:22.:04:26.

votes in it, and that is all. They have very narrowly accepted it. Do

:04:27.:04:31.

you accept the outcome in Fife north-east, because there was a

:04:32.:04:36.

suggestion that you and your party might seek to challenge it, because

:04:37.:04:44.

it was so close? We, as a party made a logical request to the returning

:04:45.:04:48.

officer for a further recount and this is a matter that will be

:04:49.:04:53.

considered. What do you mean by that, considered, to what end?

:04:54.:05:02.

Tonight, a la concentration is on the success of the campaign that he

:05:03.:05:09.

ran. We are delighted in getting our message across to so many people. It

:05:10.:05:15.

has been a very, very hard fought campaign. And it is fair to say it

:05:16.:05:19.

has been a very amicable one with all the other contestants. I know

:05:20.:05:24.

that you will say that there will be further considerations and we'll

:05:25.:05:29.

watch this with interest. Elizabeth Richards, the Lib Dem candidate

:05:30.:05:31.

finishing second in Fife north-east. finishing second in Fife north-east.

:05:32.:05:41.

-- Elizabeth Riches. It is the morning after the election night

:05:42.:05:44.

before, and what a dramatic night it has been. The election has resulted

:05:45.:05:49.

in a hung Parliament with the Conservatives the largest party

:05:50.:05:53.

across the UK, but short of the overall majority, the increased

:05:54.:05:57.

majority, that Theresa May so desperately sought, when she called

:05:58.:06:02.

this election. Big questions about her future. Jeremy Corbyn finishing

:06:03.:06:06.

well behind the Conservatives but seems to be in a much more secure

:06:07.:06:10.

position. In Scotland the SNP has won the election but with a much

:06:11.:06:15.

reduced number of seats in this contest, and the Conservatives,

:06:16.:06:20.

making big gains, along with gains also for Labour and the Lib Dems.

:06:21.:06:25.

The Conservative Leader, with Davidson, suggesting that talk of a

:06:26.:06:28.

second independence referendum is dead, although in the discussions we

:06:29.:06:33.

have just had with SNP Cabinet Secretary Fiona Hyslop, it doesn't

:06:34.:06:37.

sound like that is the case. The First Minister and SNP leader Nicola

:06:38.:06:41.

Sturgeon has said she intends to reflect on this result before making

:06:42.:06:46.

any decisions about the future of her wishes to have that second

:06:47.:06:51.

independence vote. Lots of seats changing hands, not least in

:06:52.:06:54.

Scotland, let's get all the big developments from overnight with our

:06:55.:06:57.

political correspondent, Andrew care. James Clark, Scottish

:06:58.:07:07.

Conservative and Unionist, 21,000 861. SNP might be the overall

:07:08.:07:10.

winners but they have had the biggest losers, with the people of

:07:11.:07:14.

Gordon ousting the former First Minister. Alex Salmond said that the

:07:15.:07:19.

SNP had suffered a grievous blow but said they could still play a big

:07:20.:07:23.

part at Westminster. The SNP might well find itself in reduced numbers

:07:24.:07:29.

in the House of Commons but in a position of very substantial

:07:30.:07:34.

influence indeed. I know that my colleagues will seek to use that

:07:35.:07:37.

influence to keep the Conservative Party from power, and to build a

:07:38.:07:41.

progressive alliance to take this country forward. And then a little

:07:42.:07:50.

warning to his opponents. A phrase from an old Jacobite song, you have

:07:51.:08:05.

not seen the last of my bonnet and mead. The biggest SNP loss was there

:08:06.:08:11.

was Mr leader Angus Robertson. The Conservatives overturned his

:08:12.:08:18.

majority in Moray 10,000. For the Scottish Conservatives an

:08:19.:08:20.

unbelievable night, the best result since 1983, as they picked up the

:08:21.:08:25.

fruits of their anti-independence message. We have seen the country's

:08:26.:08:31.

reaction in a number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref2 is dead.

:08:32.:08:35.

That is what has happened tonight. As the North East turned blue, the

:08:36.:08:45.

SNP lost seats to the Tories in Ayr and in South Perthshire. We will not

:08:46.:08:49.

rush to hasty judgments or decisions. There was thinking for me

:08:50.:08:54.

to do about the SNP result. I'm not going to lose sight of the fact that

:08:55.:08:58.

the SNP has won this election in Scotland, but clearly, equally, I am

:08:59.:09:01.

not going to gloss over the fact that we have suffered some losses

:09:02.:09:09.

this evening. Labour have been criticised for campaigning against

:09:10.:09:11.

indyref2 but they have seen the benefit of that strategy and have

:09:12.:09:16.

been buoyed up by Jeremy Corbyn bounce with the Labour Leader now

:09:17.:09:19.

secure in his own position. They welcomed their return to Glasgow

:09:20.:09:22.

North East, they won in East Lothian and made other surprising gains. It

:09:23.:09:29.

has been an encouraging night for Labour with the prounion,

:09:30.:09:31.

anti-austerity message cutting through, and I am delighted. The SNP

:09:32.:09:36.

retain North East Fife by just two votes over the Lib Dems. The former

:09:37.:09:48.

government minister Jo Swinson also took out the SNP's John Nicolson in

:09:49.:09:52.

East Dunbartonshire. It is a resounding vote of confidence in me

:09:53.:09:59.

and also to send a clear message on the views of East Dunbartonshire

:10:00.:10:02.

residents about the idea of a second independence referendum. People here

:10:03.:10:07.

do not want it and the SNP really need to think again on that. Back to

:10:08.:10:12.

the Conservatives, and it was a tale of two Tory parties, joy in Scotland

:10:13.:10:17.

but this pair down south with Theresa May's election gamble

:10:18.:10:21.

proving disastrous with a hung Parliament. As we look ahead and we

:10:22.:10:26.

wait to see what the results will be, I know that, as I say, the

:10:27.:10:31.

country needs a period of stability. The people of the UK and the people

:10:32.:10:36.

of Scotland have spoken. Loud voices have told the politicians exactly

:10:37.:10:42.

what they think. Let's cross live to David Henderson now for an election

:10:43.:10:47.

overview, David. It is tough at the top. It is hard to gain the keys to

:10:48.:10:54.

Number Ten, and hard to hang onto them. Theresa May might have to move

:10:55.:10:59.

house sooner than she expected, because that has to others in the

:11:00.:11:04.

past. There is Margaret Thatcher, a towering figure during 11 years in

:11:05.:11:10.

office, very controversial, but the poll tax riots and a report by

:11:11.:11:15.

heroin party forced from office. She was replaced mid term by a gentler

:11:16.:11:20.

figure, John Major, who got on his soapbox during the 1992 election

:11:21.:11:23.

campaign and beat Labour against the odds. His later years in office saw

:11:24.:11:30.

the Tories mired in infighting over Europe, and he was swept from power

:11:31.:11:35.

by Tony Blair. A thumping majority allow them to deliver a Scottish

:11:36.:11:40.

Parliament, but his second term was dominated by the Iraq war, and a

:11:41.:11:45.

growing rift with his Chancellor, Gordon Brown. Mr Brown barely had

:11:46.:11:48.

his feet under the desk at Number Ten win the world banking crisis

:11:49.:11:53.

struck. He would lose his early election as Prime Minister. That

:11:54.:11:58.

brought David Cameron of the Tories to power in partnership with the Lib

:11:59.:12:01.

Dems, the first coalition government since the war. There are critics

:12:02.:12:08.

oppose them -- criticise them for imposing austerity. Then David

:12:09.:12:11.

Cameron won his second election outright so it was goodbye to the

:12:12.:12:14.

Lib Dems and hello, EU referendum. Mr Cameron led the campaign to

:12:15.:12:20.

remain in Europe, he lost and promptly resigned, which brings us

:12:21.:12:24.

to Theresa May. She called this election early, in a bid to win a

:12:25.:12:29.

strong mandate ahead of Brexit negotiations. That seems to have got

:12:30.:12:33.

her into some trouble this morning, returning with the largest party at

:12:34.:12:37.

Westminster, but with fewer seats than before. As we have seen in

:12:38.:12:42.

politics, you don't always get what you want. It is a tough business.

:12:43.:12:47.

The people decide and the power that is given to a Prime Minister can be

:12:48.:12:55.

taken away. With the Conservatives the largest party, the expectation

:12:56.:13:00.

is that they would form the lead in the next administration, perhaps

:13:01.:13:03.

leading a minority government with support from the Democratic Unionist

:13:04.:13:08.

Party in Northern Ireland, certainly, DUP figures have said

:13:09.:13:10.

they would be willing to talk with the Conservatives. Let me bring in

:13:11.:13:16.

Brian Taylor, our political editor, at this stage. From a later point of

:13:17.:13:22.

view, the Shadow Chancellor Joe McDonnell saying that he wants

:13:23.:13:26.

Labour to form a minority government and he is challenging parties

:13:27.:13:29.

including the SNP, the Lib Dems and the Greens, to back that. Is that

:13:30.:13:35.

even a possibility? It is not all that feasible. The way that these

:13:36.:13:40.

things work, it is not a presidential election but a

:13:41.:13:44.

parliamentary election. The palace, the Queen and her advisers will

:13:45.:13:50.

invite an individual to be Prime Minister and that individual has to

:13:51.:13:54.

be able to demonstrate that he or she can command a majority in the

:13:55.:13:57.

House of Commons and form a stable government. The first indication

:13:58.:14:02.

will go to Theresa May. It will be, Theresa May, how's it going, tough

:14:03.:14:07.

luck and all that, but can you form a government, and you have two show

:14:08.:14:10.

evidence that you can. Failing that perhaps someone else from the

:14:11.:14:15.

Conservative Party will form a government and if Labour cannot form

:14:16.:14:18.

a majority, guess what? Another election. That is quite a prospect.

:14:19.:14:24.

The think that the Queen says tough luck? I doubt it very much, perhaps

:14:25.:14:29.

it is what some of her advisers might say. Theresa May, one

:14:30.:14:37.

suggestion coming out of Westminster at the moment is that she definitely

:14:38.:14:42.

will not go in the short term, got somebody needs to answer the call

:14:43.:14:47.

from the palace, and if it is not her, then the Palace might well

:14:48.:14:51.

offer the opportunity to Jeremy Corbyn and allow Labour to seize the

:14:52.:14:57.

initiative. A week on Monday, somebody needs to go and start

:14:58.:15:00.

negotiations with the other 27 members of the European Union. I

:15:01.:15:06.

would doubt if those members are enemy to postpone something that was

:15:07.:15:09.

brought about by the UK Government and not brought about at the will of

:15:10.:15:14.

those other 27. They will say, tough luck, you didn't need to call a

:15:15.:15:19.

Brexit referendum. And you certainly didn't need to call an election in

:15:20.:15:23.

the meantime. Be there, a week on Monday.

:15:24.:15:30.

Fiona, what do you think a group of 35 SNP MPs, what kind of influence

:15:31.:15:37.

might they have in this situation? And what will they be arguing for?

:15:38.:15:43.

We have said we would want to see a progressive Alliance to make sure

:15:44.:15:47.

that the Conservative programme, not least their austerity programme, can

:15:48.:15:54.

be shelved. We want to see the cliff edge hard Brexit prevented. There

:15:55.:15:58.

might not even be a deal, and they were talking about no deal is better

:15:59.:16:05.

than a bad deal. Is that feasible? I remember the outcome of the 2007

:16:06.:16:12.

election at Holyrood, when the SNP finished with one more seat than

:16:13.:16:15.

Labour, and the assertion was made at that point that if you get the

:16:16.:16:19.

most seats, you get a shot at forming a government. Do you accept

:16:20.:16:24.

that the Conservatives get the first shot at forming a government? So

:16:25.:16:31.

there is unlikely to be a Progressive Alliance. That is

:16:32.:16:34.

dependent on Theresa May being able to form a government and weather she

:16:35.:16:39.

has other parties, the DUP or others, to work with. And also her

:16:40.:16:47.

own party. There may be people in her own party, because of this farce

:16:48.:16:51.

than election that didn't have to happen, she had a court case and an

:16:52.:16:57.

election shouldn't have to have, she has made a mess of that, so within

:16:58.:17:02.

her party, there must be people asking if they will stay with

:17:03.:17:06.

Theresa May when she has made such a mess. The pressure for her would

:17:07.:17:10.

just be from other parties perhaps having a Progressive Alliance, it

:17:11.:17:14.

may well be from her own party. We are not in a stable position at all.

:17:15.:17:21.

As we heard from David Henderson, the Conservatives can be ruthless

:17:22.:17:26.

when it comes to changing leaders. How much pressure do you think she

:17:27.:17:33.

will come under in the coming days? I think but got to look at this

:17:34.:17:37.

pragmatically. Theresa May is still the best person to lead the United

:17:38.:17:42.

Kingdom into the negotiations. Talk from the owner of a Progressive

:17:43.:17:46.

Alliance, with John McDonnell, it will be more like a Marxist

:17:47.:17:52.

Alliance. There is Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the Labour Party, leading,

:17:53.:17:56.

leaving his home in London. But supporters and lots of media

:17:57.:18:02.

surrounding his car as he heads off, perhaps to the House of Commons,

:18:03.:18:08.

perhaps to Labour headquarters. Not certainly at this stage to

:18:09.:18:12.

Buckingham Palace. I don't think anybody has had that particular call

:18:13.:18:17.

just yet. Morris, you would expect to Theresa May to get that call

:18:18.:18:21.

unless she decides herself, having set herself the target of increasing

:18:22.:18:27.

the Tory majority, and completely blowing that, she might think the

:18:28.:18:33.

game is up, I need to go. The rationale for holding the general

:18:34.:18:38.

election was to provide that strong and stable Westminster parliament. I

:18:39.:18:43.

do you keep putting her mantra, but things don't look very stable now. I

:18:44.:18:50.

fully accept that. In Scotland, it's a completely different scenario, but

:18:51.:18:54.

across the UK, we are now in a position where we do not have that

:18:55.:19:00.

strength. We have a hung parliament scenario, and we have got to, all of

:19:01.:19:05.

us, work together to make sure we deliver the best deal for the UK. I

:19:06.:19:09.

believe that is with Theresa May leading the government. Might we

:19:10.:19:15.

need some kind of national government at this time, James

:19:16.:19:19.

Kelly, where parties that disagree on so many things, come together and

:19:20.:19:23.

try to hammer out some kind of compromise agreement on Brexit,

:19:24.:19:28.

given that that is arguably the single biggest issue facing the

:19:29.:19:33.

country as a whole? I think the first thing to say is that Theresa

:19:34.:19:37.

May's reputation is in tatters because of this. Don't forget, she

:19:38.:19:40.

went to the country with the political objective of achieving a

:19:41.:19:46.

bigger majority in order to strengthen her hands in the Brexit

:19:47.:19:50.

negotiations. She returns to Westminster with less seats and

:19:51.:19:55.

diminished authority and therefore, the real question is as to weather

:19:56.:20:00.

she is able to carry on or not. In terms of how you then move that

:20:01.:20:04.

forward, I think that's going to leave a gap and therefore, it is

:20:05.:20:08.

quite legitimate for the Labour Party to put forward the view that

:20:09.:20:15.

we could fill that gap as a minority administration. That is what the

:20:16.:20:20.

Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell is proposing. Do you think that is

:20:21.:20:25.

realistic? I think there's a gap in the political spectrum, because

:20:26.:20:30.

Theresa May's reputation is in tatters. At this point she says

:20:31.:20:34.

she's going to carry on, but I don't think that's credible. I do that we

:20:35.:20:39.

actually know. I have suggested different scenarios. You didn't seem

:20:40.:20:44.

to imply that. I'm explaining to you that I have heard different

:20:45.:20:48.

scenarios from Westminster and elsewhere. We simply do not know

:20:49.:20:52.

what Theresa May's one view is that at the moment. Jeremy Purvis for the

:20:53.:20:57.

Lib Dems, your party has picked up some seats. You just lost the seat

:20:58.:21:02.

you want in the by-election in Richmond Park, going back to the

:21:03.:21:06.

Conservatives. And overall, you have not made the sort of progress in

:21:07.:21:09.

this election that Tim Farren set out to come up with a distinctive

:21:10.:21:14.

position you set out on Brexit. Will there be questions over his

:21:15.:21:20.

leadership? I don't think so. We have seen some spectacular gains,

:21:21.:21:24.

especially in Scotland, with the three additional seats and the

:21:25.:21:29.

incredibly close result in North East Fife. Our gains in Scotland

:21:30.:21:33.

means there are people with Lib Dem MPs and we will expect them not only

:21:34.:21:38.

to fight for their constituents in the House of Commons, but to try and

:21:39.:21:41.

add some form of sense to what is going to be a very uncertain period.

:21:42.:21:46.

Across the UK, there are many many people, who voted Liberal Democrat,

:21:47.:21:53.

who have new MPs, and our duty will be to act responsibly going forward.

:21:54.:21:58.

But certainly, I am very pleased this evening that we are be gaining

:21:59.:22:02.

seats, we are beginning around in Scotland and that shows we had a

:22:03.:22:07.

good campaign, and Willie Rennie's leadership is beating fruit. Let's

:22:08.:22:10.

just confirm the result from Richmond Park, which I suppose will

:22:11.:22:18.

be considered as a conservative hold. They're describing it as a

:22:19.:22:23.

Conservative win, because the Liberal Democrats took it at a

:22:24.:22:29.

by-election. And now the Conservative Zac Goldsmith has taken

:22:30.:22:32.

it back at this election. But it was very close, Zac Goldsmith had only

:22:33.:22:50.

45 majority. Bleeper in third and Ukip in fourth. Here's how the vote

:22:51.:22:56.

shares out. The top two parties are both on 45%. Labour on 9% and Ukip

:22:57.:23:01.

on less than one. He'd is the difference between this election and

:23:02.:23:07.

the last, by which I mean the 2015 general election. The Conservatives

:23:08.:23:13.

down 13 and the Lib Dems up 26. That increase is not enough for them to

:23:14.:23:21.

have this seat. The swing from the Conservatives to the Liberal

:23:22.:23:27.

Democrats in Richmond Park, 19.4%. I think I'm right in saying that this

:23:28.:23:34.

was the most Pro-remain constituency in the whole of the United Kingdom

:23:35.:23:40.

and Zac Goldsmith was also a former candidate for the London Mayor ship

:23:41.:23:46.

and he campaigned very hard. That is a phenomenal swing. In the last

:23:47.:23:49.

column, you saw the Ukip vote going down, I suspect that would have been

:23:50.:23:54.

watched just tipped it over for the Conservatives in that seat. I've

:23:55.:24:01.

just been adding up, and that seat and North East Fife, less than 50

:24:02.:24:07.

votes, a few extra hundred, and we would have a lot more MPs. But it's

:24:08.:24:16.

first is post system. I know you are a strong supporter of proportional

:24:17.:24:20.

representation. If you cannot persuade people in the most pro-EU

:24:21.:24:28.

constituencies, to back the Liberal Democrats, when you're offering the

:24:29.:24:31.

opportunity to cancel Brexit and have a second referendum on the

:24:32.:24:36.

final deal, then that argument is gone. Part of the campaign was about

:24:37.:24:42.

Brexit, other parts were not about Brexit. It wasn't an entirely

:24:43.:24:50.

dominated campaign. It was the number one issue in your campaign.

:24:51.:24:57.

In the by-election, it probably was, and in the general election, it

:24:58.:25:00.

probably isn't. We've seen many times over the years that

:25:01.:25:05.

by-election results are not always reflected in a general election, but

:25:06.:25:09.

it's a phenomenal swing to us. You have to comfort yourselves with that

:25:10.:25:19.

phenomenal swing, because you no longer in Richmond Park.

:25:20.:25:23.

It has been a long and eventful election night, which has resulted

:25:24.:25:27.

in not more political certainty, but in a hung parliament. Theresa May's

:25:28.:25:32.

snap election has spectacularly backfired on her. Her party now has

:25:33.:25:37.

no overall majority. I think her demeanour says it all there. To

:25:38.:25:42.

achieve anything, she'll have to do some nifty negotiating in the

:25:43.:25:48.

Commons. There was no shortage of drama in Scotland, as the SNP

:25:49.:25:51.

remains the largest party, although its former leader lost his seat. But

:25:52.:26:00.

the Conservatives made big gains. Here is how the parties stand. The

:26:01.:26:06.

SNP still dominating and the Tories in double figures for the first time

:26:07.:26:10.

in decades. Here is how that translates into a share. You can see

:26:11.:26:16.

not much movement for Labour there. It stayed pretty much as it was in

:26:17.:26:24.

2015, but the difference in seats results in a shift in support for

:26:25.:26:28.

the SNP and Conservatives. Here is what their leaders have had to say.

:26:29.:26:32.

I'm not going to take any rash decisions. Clearly, I have to

:26:33.:26:36.

reflect on the results and I will take time to do that. But it would

:26:37.:26:41.

be the wrong thing for me to do this hour, to take decisions before

:26:42.:26:44.

having had the opportunity to properly think about it. We are

:26:45.:26:50.

building on success last year, will be more than doubled our number of

:26:51.:26:58.

MSP 's and night, the SNP majority. In the council elections, we more

:26:59.:27:02.

than doubled our number of wards and we have carried that lament on into

:27:03.:27:06.

tonight. But there was one big issue in this campaign and that was Nicola

:27:07.:27:10.

Sturgeon tried to ram through a second independence referendum in

:27:11.:27:14.

March, and the country's reaction to that. We've seen that in the number

:27:15.:27:20.

of SNP seats at a fallen. I two is dead. The other issue is Brexit.

:27:21.:27:26.

Let's look at what Twitter is saying.

:27:27.:27:50.

George Osborne told my colleague that this means hard Brexit is in

:27:51.:27:56.

the rubbish bin. Glenn, that's all from me. I'm off to Westminster.

:27:57.:28:02.

Join us for reporting Scotland tonight for a special analysis of

:28:03.:28:05.

what this means for Scottish politics.

:28:06.:28:09.

Safe trip to London, we'll hear from you later. We'll keep the analysis

:28:10.:28:12.

going here in the election studio in Glasgow. We'll pick up in a moment

:28:13.:28:18.

with the suggestion there from George Osborne that the idea of a

:28:19.:28:23.

hard Brexit is now in the bin. But right now, let's cross once again to

:28:24.:28:27.

the election cafe, where Fiona as new guests.

:28:28.:28:33.

What a night it has been and what a day we might have in store for us.

:28:34.:28:37.

What happens is anyone's guess, but were going to have a go at that. We

:28:38.:28:44.

have Jenny Davidson from Holyrood magazine, Paul Sinclair, and Angela

:28:45.:28:50.

Hagerty. I'm going to ask you to look into your crystal balls. First

:28:51.:28:54.

of all, Jenny, what do you see in the next ready for errors? Absolute

:28:55.:29:01.

chaos. If you look into a crystal ball, you're going to see a green

:29:02.:29:04.

mass of cloud or something. I wouldn't like to be a fortune-teller

:29:05.:29:08.

and I wouldn't like to be Nicola Sturgeon or Theresa May at the

:29:09.:29:12.

moment, because both had a tough night, they've both got really

:29:13.:29:14.

difficult decisions ahead of them. Theresa May, what does she do? Does

:29:15.:29:21.

she resign? Does she leave the country without a leader or her

:29:22.:29:24.

party without a leader? It could take a long time to appoint a

:29:25.:29:28.

replacement and is now one obvious standing by. Brexit negotiations are

:29:29.:29:35.

coming up in ten days' time and then in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon, what

:29:36.:29:40.

does she do about indyref2? Does she backed down? Does she do a U-turn

:29:41.:29:44.

like Theresa May? I would like to be in either of their shoes this

:29:45.:29:49.

morning. All, a prediction on your birthday? I can see how Theresa May

:29:50.:29:54.

could last weekend, to be perfectly honest. You could understand why she

:29:55.:30:01.

wanted an increased majority with Brexit coming up, and although the

:30:02.:30:04.

maths suggest you could just about, with the DUP, have a kind of

:30:05.:30:11.

majority, that might work in the short term, if it wasn't something

:30:12.:30:15.

like Brexit. The negotiations are supposed to start in ten days. She

:30:16.:30:21.

cannot go into those negotiations with any credibility at all. And I

:30:22.:30:27.

don't see how she survives. And I think the question is, who does the

:30:28.:30:31.

Tory party choose to be the interim Prime Minister before we are back at

:30:32.:30:33.

the polls in six months' time? Who's going to be running the UK?

:30:34.:30:47.

Your guess is as good as mine. I don't see how Theresa May can stay

:30:48.:30:52.

in her position. She has to go. She called this election on the basis

:30:53.:30:57.

that she would get her personal mandate to deliver her Brexit

:30:58.:31:03.

vision. She has not done that. She has sent the Conservative Party

:31:04.:31:08.

backwards. She has no tenable position, in my mind, so she

:31:09.:31:13.

absolutely has to go. I agree, as well, that Nicola Sturgeon has also

:31:14.:31:16.

had a tough night. In Scotland there is going to have to be some serious

:31:17.:31:20.

thinking going on within the SNP as to what went wrong with this

:31:21.:31:23.

campaign. Something clearly went wrong. It is not just about Unionist

:31:24.:31:29.

voters making their play for it. Something went wrong within that SNP

:31:30.:31:34.

campaign and the SNP needs to find out exactly what it is. They haven't

:31:35.:31:38.

lost the election, that is the thing, we are talking as if the SNP

:31:39.:31:43.

have lost the election, it almost feels that way because of the loss

:31:44.:31:46.

of Angus Robertson, but why have they lost so many seats? The SNP

:31:47.:31:52.

need to figure that out fast and what it means for the second

:31:53.:31:56.

independence referendum. Do you think that we will be back for

:31:57.:32:03.

another Election Cafe within the next few months? I don't think that

:32:04.:32:07.

the voters can handle another election. Yes, I don't see how the

:32:08.:32:13.

voters will have another election. I'm going to say no, but I think it

:32:14.:32:19.

might be wishful thinking. Let's put your name is on your marks, and pop

:32:20.:32:25.

them in case. If you want to give us your views, the hash tag

:32:26.:32:33.

#ElectionCafe is still going strong. We are now just waiting for five

:32:34.:32:38.

constituency results, some knives, is in Oslo, Kendal, Cornwall

:32:39.:32:44.

Southeast and Cornwall North, sees that the Conservatives are

:32:45.:32:46.

defending, but there is one more declaration to bring you from

:32:47.:32:52.

Scotland, the Borders by-election caused by John Lamont's decision to

:32:53.:32:56.

stand down from the Scottish Parliament, in order to fight,

:32:57.:32:59.

successfully as it turned out, a Westminster constituency. Let's

:33:00.:33:04.

bring you that declaration which was made in Kelso, a short time ago. I,

:33:05.:33:11.

been the returning officer for the Roxburgh and Berwickshire

:33:12.:33:18.

constituency say that the numbers of each candidate was as follows.

:33:19.:33:24.

Rachel Hamilton, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party,

:33:25.:33:29.

20,658. APPLAUSE

:33:30.:33:35.

Gail Hennelly, Scottish National Party, 11,000 320. -- Gail Henry.

:33:36.:33:47.

Sally Prentis, Scottish Labour Party, 3406. I hereby declare that

:33:48.:33:50.

Rachel Hamilton has been duly elected to serve in a Scottish

:33:51.:33:53.

Parliament as a member for the said constituency. Rachel Hamilton holds

:33:54.:34:02.

Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire for the Conservatives, replacing

:34:03.:34:09.

John Lamont. She was an MSP for the region but now has a Rimkus agency,

:34:10.:34:14.

winning, but 20,658 votes over Gail Hendry of the SNP, sister of a

:34:15.:34:21.

certain Alex Salmond. She finished second. Sally Prentice and third for

:34:22.:34:29.

Labour and just ahead of the Liberal Democrats, the daughter of the

:34:30.:34:36.

Liberal leader of all, David steel, Catriona Bhatia. That was an

:34:37.:34:42.

all-female contest. And earlier, we were saying that there was just one

:34:43.:34:45.

of those in the whole of the UK for the general election, this

:34:46.:34:50.

by-election is a rare example of a contest at Holyrood with only female

:34:51.:34:55.

candidates. Rachel Hamilton the winner for the Conservatives, the

:34:56.:34:59.

turnout in that constituency, 70%. Lots to talk about following the

:35:00.:35:04.

general election result. Let's pick up on the Holyrood position because

:35:05.:35:12.

there was a knock-on effect, given against the Conservatives have made

:35:13.:35:16.

in Scotland and given that some of those gains have been made by list

:35:17.:35:21.

MSP is in a Scottish Parliament, what happens at Holyrood,

:35:22.:35:23.

particularly in the North East region? If a list seat was vacated

:35:24.:35:29.

you would normally go to the next person on the list, but such are the

:35:30.:35:32.

successors of the Conservatives in the North East of Scotland, were

:35:33.:35:38.

sitting list members of the Scottish Parliament have successfully stood

:35:39.:35:42.

in the Westminster general election, that they are running out of space.

:35:43.:35:51.

There is the option to maintain a dual mandate. You mean sitting in

:35:52.:35:55.

both partners? Being a part-time member of both parliaments. But it

:35:56.:36:00.

is a problem. I am sure that it is one that the Conservatives will

:36:01.:36:05.

welcome because it is as a result of their success in the North East.

:36:06.:36:09.

What will happen with those MSP 's who have been elected to

:36:10.:36:13.

Westminster, if they stood down from Holyrood, how would their positions

:36:14.:36:17.

be filled? If you run out of space on the list, you just go with the

:36:18.:36:25.

next one, so the list will be 129, for the duration of this term. We

:36:26.:36:29.

have a political panel changing all the time. We still have your nails

:36:30.:36:37.

lop, the Cabinet Secretary for the SNP, and Jamie Dean has joined us

:36:38.:36:41.

from the Scottish Conservatives. Do you know the answer to this question

:36:42.:36:45.

given that it seems that you do not have enough spare candidates on the

:36:46.:36:51.

North East list, or those elected carried on at Holyrood and try to

:36:52.:36:55.

establish themselves at Westminster? I was hoping that was a question you

:36:56.:36:59.

were not going to ask, because it is a conundrum, I guess. It is an

:37:00.:37:04.

enviable position for any party to be in, so many people elected that

:37:05.:37:09.

you almost run out of people, but there was a protocol in place at the

:37:10.:37:12.

Scottish Parliament that will deal with this and internal party

:37:13.:37:16.

processes, we will be looking at this as we speak. The party will be

:37:17.:37:20.

working at the machinations of replacing people who move from one

:37:21.:37:26.

Parliament to another. I'm not sure that we have had this particular set

:37:27.:37:33.

of circumstances. What do you think happens, Fiona Hyslop? So many

:37:34.:37:38.

Conservatives don't have much faith or belief in the Scottish

:37:39.:37:42.

Parliament, they just see it as a stepping stone to the Westminster

:37:43.:37:46.

Parliament. That is symptomatic of some things that I have got real

:37:47.:37:51.

concerns about, it is important that the status and reputation of the

:37:52.:37:55.

Scottish Parliament, not just in government, as the SNP, but many

:37:56.:37:59.

people fought hard to have a strong Scottish Parliament and the

:38:00.:38:02.

disregard that some Conservatives have, barely months into the role,

:38:03.:38:07.

they want to go somewhere else. It says a lot about how the

:38:08.:38:09.

Conservatives view the Scottish Parliament. Is that their comment?

:38:10.:38:15.

We are not the only party where people are progressed from the

:38:16.:38:17.

Scottish Parliament to the Westminster Parliament.

:38:18.:38:23.

"Progressed". Moved from one Parliament to another, it has been

:38:24.:38:27.

done before. There are still 29 of us who are Conservative MSP 's who

:38:28.:38:32.

are in Holyrood and you stay there. And the notion that we have no

:38:33.:38:36.

respect for the Scottish Parliament is nonsense. We are the second

:38:37.:38:40.

largest party in Holyrood and we are doing an effective job of being a

:38:41.:38:48.

strong opposition. I was going to say about Alex Salmond, he has moved

:38:49.:38:53.

from one Parliament to the other and get both roles. He was an MSP

:38:54.:39:01.

elected on a per Scottish Parliament then he chose to move back to

:39:02.:39:03.

Westminster, so that is what he chose to do. And since 2001, the

:39:04.:39:13.

principle has been that there are dual mandates, so this seat should

:39:14.:39:18.

remain vacant, and actually, John Lamont, user constituency member,

:39:19.:39:21.

but a conservative, stood down causing a by-election, in order to

:39:22.:39:28.

present -- prevent a dual mandate. If the Conservatives are being

:39:29.:39:31.

straightforward they should say that the dual mandate is not appropriate.

:39:32.:39:36.

Downing Street, we were there talking to our Deputy political

:39:37.:39:39.

editor. We can see Larry, the Downing Street cat. Larry has his

:39:40.:39:49.

own account on social media and it has tweeted this morning to say,

:39:50.:39:55.

what?! As it stands there was a fair chance that the Queen might have to

:39:56.:40:01.

ask me, not me, but Larry the cat, to form a government. Let's hope it

:40:02.:40:05.

does not come to that. We don't know who will be forming the next

:40:06.:40:10.

government would Conservatives finishing as the largest party in

:40:11.:40:15.

this hung Parliament, it looks most likely to be the Conservatives.

:40:16.:40:18.

Whether it will be a government led by Theresa May or not is something

:40:19.:40:21.

that we have been discussing and we will come back to in just a moment.

:40:22.:40:25.

Coming back to the Holyrood picture, following the by-election and those

:40:26.:40:31.

wins for Conservative MPs at Westminster, what would your advice

:40:32.:40:34.

to then be, because the Conservatives have been quite firm

:40:35.:40:37.

in the past on making their candidates pick one Parliament or

:40:38.:40:43.

the other? The practical thing about it, if you go back to the situation

:40:44.:40:48.

when Margo MacDonald passed away and she stood on heroin as an

:40:49.:40:54.

independent and there was no alternative to replace, -- she stood

:40:55.:40:59.

on her own. The implication with this situation is that we could up

:41:00.:41:03.

with a situation where the Parliament is one MSP short over the

:41:04.:41:08.

next four years and clearly, the Conservatives have not thought this

:41:09.:41:11.

through before setting candidates up for election. We will hear later

:41:12.:41:16.

today what the position of the Conservative Party is on that. Let

:41:17.:41:22.

me bring in Brian Taylor on that. In terms of the general election,

:41:23.:41:27.

Brian, 2015 not happen, the SNP would have had its best ever result.

:41:28.:41:32.

It is its second best ever result, but the extent of their losses make

:41:33.:41:37.

it look quite difficult. In terms of history this is a good result for

:41:38.:41:40.

the Conservative Party. They previously gained a maximum of 11

:41:41.:41:46.

seats and struggled to go beyond that in Westminster because it was

:41:47.:41:54.

seen that they could not form the UK Government, so 2015 hadn't happened,

:41:55.:41:56.

this would be an excellent result for the SNP. 2015 took them to a new

:41:57.:42:05.

plateau, and they have descended from it. Politics is about winning

:42:06.:42:09.

and losing but also about momentum and the momentum is probably not

:42:10.:42:12.

with the SNP as a consequence of these results. We have heard it said

:42:13.:42:18.

that indyref2 is now dead. I'm not sure whether I entirely endorse

:42:19.:42:23.

that, but it appears to be ailing and struggling a little bit to the

:42:24.:42:28.

extent that Nicola Sturgeon is now saying that she's going to have to

:42:29.:42:31.

consider her position with regard to that. But she postponed indyref2,

:42:32.:42:39.

maybe not, because she would say that it is already postponed until

:42:40.:42:43.

beyond the period of Brexit. Is it, in practice, deferred for a

:42:44.:42:50.

substantial period? I think, in practice, it is, because it is not

:42:51.:42:54.

just for the Scottish Government or the SNP but for the UK Government,

:42:55.:42:59.

whoever might be Prime Minister, to say that they are not particularly

:43:00.:43:03.

keen on that going forward, at this time within the timetable of Brexit.

:43:04.:43:08.

Another thing about the results in Scotland, Nicola McKeown, just how

:43:09.:43:12.

many of them were really pretty close. Quite a lot of them. We saw

:43:13.:43:21.

that dramatic result in North East Fife with just two votes in it.

:43:22.:43:26.

There are 12 seats with majorities of less than 500. Some with less

:43:27.:43:32.

than 100. Most of those are seats that the SNP have held onto, but not

:43:33.:43:40.

all of them. There are one or two for the Conservatives and Labour as

:43:41.:43:46.

well. Let's pick up with our political panel once again, Fiona

:43:47.:43:53.

Hyslop, Brian Taylor has suggested that if indyref2 was not dead as

:43:54.:43:57.

Conservative Leader Rick Dennison has suggested, then the idea of like

:43:58.:44:01.

having that vote in next couple of years is fading. We will not be

:44:02.:44:10.

having that, we agreed with Theresa May that now is not the time and we

:44:11.:44:13.

will consider it at the appropriate time. We have to deal with the

:44:14.:44:20.

Brexit situation. If you compare and contrast, the Conservatives went and

:44:21.:44:23.

try to increase their mandate and they have got less than 50% of votes

:44:24.:44:28.

across the UK. In Scotland the SNP has had its second best result ever

:44:29.:44:33.

at Westminster. And we have received over 50% of the vote. In the

:44:34.:44:39.

campaign it is quite interesting. You said that if that was the

:44:40.:44:43.

outcome that would put a triple lock on your proposals for independence.

:44:44.:44:46.

I have not heard you say that during the course of discussions this

:44:47.:44:53.

morning. We have a mandate. The mandate for the independence

:44:54.:44:55.

referendum was secured a year ago in the Scottish Parliament elections.

:44:56.:45:01.

We said victory for the SNP, and it is a victory, we have received over

:45:02.:45:06.

50% of the vote... It is a triple lock, then, you're going ahead with

:45:07.:45:12.

the independence referendum? We have secured the mandate, over 50% of the

:45:13.:45:15.

vote, which strengthens our position, and in terms of being part

:45:16.:45:21.

of the Brexit negotiations, which is the immediate issue, we are the

:45:22.:45:24.

third biggest party in Westminster, that gives us a very powerful

:45:25.:45:30.

position any hung Parliament. We will have to identify with the UK

:45:31.:45:33.

Government how we can take that forward, but, of course, we are the

:45:34.:45:37.

party of independence, and we believe in that, and the

:45:38.:45:42.

Conservative -- the Scottish people have rejected the single issue that

:45:43.:45:47.

Labour and the Conservatives made that and they have been rejected by

:45:48.:45:51.

the voters. Collectively those parties got the lion's share of the

:45:52.:45:56.

boats. They stood individually. There are different ways of

:45:57.:45:59.

interpreting the result and what the people of Scotland were trying to

:46:00.:46:00.

communicate. We have traditionally been squeezed

:46:01.:46:09.

at Westminster elections, because people know we don't have enough MPs

:46:10.:46:17.

to form a government. People identified that the Conservatives

:46:18.:46:21.

were struggling, Theresa May was struggling, Jeremy Corbyn was

:46:22.:46:26.

appealing and had a social democratic programme very similar to

:46:27.:46:31.

the SNP's, appealing to people in England. People had a choice as to

:46:32.:46:35.

weather they wanted a clear result in the Westminster election and I

:46:36.:46:39.

think it's quite remarkable in those circumstances, that we still managed

:46:40.:46:45.

to get 35 MPs out of a total of 59. Quite remarkable. The party down

:46:46.:46:51.

more than 20 seats at this election. James Kelly, some of those picked up

:46:52.:46:55.

by the Labour Party, but you come out of this election in third place

:46:56.:46:59.

in Scotland, behind the Conservatives at Holyrood and in

:47:00.:47:03.

local government. In that sense, you have actually gone further back?

:47:04.:47:09.

Even if you go back just a few weeks ago in the council elections, we

:47:10.:47:14.

took 20% of the vote, and last night, we took up to 20% of the

:47:15.:47:20.

vote, so we have moved on just in the space of the few short weeks. I

:47:21.:47:25.

think the big story in the election, there are two strands. People on the

:47:26.:47:30.

doorstep are really fed up with the SNP obsessing about the referendum.

:47:31.:47:33.

Nicola Sturgeon completely misjudged the mood of the public. Remember

:47:34.:47:39.

that press conference at Bute house, announcing, we're going to have

:47:40.:47:42.

another referendum. They thought the public would going behind them. The

:47:43.:47:47.

story of this election is that the public have rejected that. And that

:47:48.:47:58.

also fed up, after ten years, they want to see action on the ailing

:47:59.:48:00.

health service and the declining standards in schools. That's the

:48:01.:48:02.

real lesson Nicola Sturgeon need to reflect on. Nicola Sturgeon launched

:48:03.:48:10.

that back in March with a press conference at Bute house. That hung

:48:11.:48:13.

over the local elections and it dominated this campaign. I've got an

:48:14.:48:20.

important developed to bring new. The BBC now understands that Theresa

:48:21.:48:23.

May has no intention of standing down as Prime Minister and party

:48:24.:48:28.

leader. Weather that is a position that she will maintain, weather it's

:48:29.:48:32.

a position that she will articulate at some point this morning, we will

:48:33.:48:38.

wait and see, but certainly, the BBC's understanding is that she does

:48:39.:48:46.

not intend to stand down. After this incredible election, let's pick up

:48:47.:48:51.

with Brian Taylor on some of the key moments in Scotland. The key moments

:48:52.:48:55.

in Scotland, the memory has got to be Alex Salmond losing his seat. He

:48:56.:48:59.

did so with dignity and humour, which is to his credit, but

:49:00.:49:05.

nonetheless, he lost. I've known Alex Salmond for ever and I think

:49:06.:49:09.

it's the first election he is ever lost since he stood for office in

:49:10.:49:14.

the student Representative Council at St Andrews University. It's

:49:15.:49:21.

almost an icon of the evening for the SNP. Yes, they've won 35 seats,

:49:22.:49:27.

but they have lost big names. They have lost ground. They have won the

:49:28.:49:32.

election but lost ground. And the future of politics will depend upon

:49:33.:49:36.

which of those narratives is more compelling, the victory in the

:49:37.:49:40.

election or losing ground. I think in the short term, it's likely to be

:49:41.:49:44.

losing ground that is compelling in terms of the impact on the

:49:45.:49:48.

independence referendum. If I may talk about the UK briefly, this is

:49:49.:49:55.

an appalling result for the Conservatives, given the nature of

:49:56.:50:02.

the campaign. They created a completely unnecessary election and

:50:03.:50:06.

they have had a swing away from them to the Labour Party. Away from them

:50:07.:50:12.

to a leader whom the treated with contempt, and yet, he has managed to

:50:13.:50:17.

gain faults at their expense. Yes, they are the largest party, but in

:50:18.:50:25.

terms of momentum, who has got the smile early this morning? Is it

:50:26.:50:30.

Jeremy Corbyn or Theresa May? It's Jeremy Corbyn. What do you make of

:50:31.:50:34.

the suggestion that Theresa May has no intention to stand down as Prime

:50:35.:50:40.

Minister and Conservative leader? I think it fits with her declaration

:50:41.:50:43.

that the codes that there has to be form -- some form of stability. It

:50:44.:50:48.

fits with the fact that the Brexit negotiations begin a week on Monday.

:50:49.:50:52.

If she could have a leisurely handover and somebody could deputise

:50:53.:50:55.

for a spell and then you have a leisurely period in which the

:50:56.:50:59.

Conservatives choose another contender to be Prime Minister, then

:51:00.:51:04.

that would be one thing, but that's just not available. Why? Because of

:51:05.:51:09.

Brexit. This election was cold evidently because of Brexit. I think

:51:10.:51:16.

it's an incredible irony. George Osborne says that hard Brexit, what

:51:17.:51:23.

did he see? Hard Brexit is now in the bin. It is Philip, rather than

:51:24.:51:30.

to Jesus who takes out the bins, so maybe will have something of a move

:51:31.:51:36.

in that direction. But they mist interview on Though One Show and

:51:37.:51:40.

talk of boy jobs and girl jobs in the household of Theresa May. Let's

:51:41.:51:47.

just pick up on that suggestion from George Osborne that somehow this

:51:48.:51:51.

result will change the course, the nature of the Brexit deal that we

:51:52.:51:55.

get or perhaps the nature of the Brexit deal that we seek. What you

:51:56.:52:01.

make of that? Is that a likely change from your point of view? It's

:52:02.:52:07.

important to remember we haven't even started the Brexit

:52:08.:52:09.

negotiations, so pre-empting the type of Brexit we're now going to

:52:10.:52:13.

have versus the type we would've yesterday is impossible. You have to

:52:14.:52:19.

know what you want to get in the first place. People talk about hard

:52:20.:52:22.

and soft Brexit, the key difference between one and the other is

:52:23.:52:26.

membership of the single market. If we are in, people say it might be a

:52:27.:52:31.

softer Brexit. If we allowed, it might be defined as a hard Brexit.

:52:32.:52:36.

Do you think the position of the government will shift on that? That

:52:37.:52:43.

they seek to stay in. I think it will be to get the best deal

:52:44.:52:47.

possible with Europe once we start the negotiations. I can't see any

:52:48.:52:53.

particular thing that has jumped out of me. The people of the UK voted

:52:54.:52:57.

for Brexit, so that is what the government of the day, the largest

:52:58.:53:00.

party who will form the next government, they will get on with

:53:01.:53:09.

that job. So I don't see any shift. One condition politicians in

:53:10.:53:13.

Northern Ireland might be pushing really hard for, is to make sure

:53:14.:53:18.

that the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland

:53:19.:53:24.

stays very much open for trade and for free movement. Might that change

:53:25.:53:32.

the nature of the deal that the UK negotiates? I think the election

:53:33.:53:38.

changes everything. Clearly, Theresa May thought she could win the

:53:39.:53:42.

election with an overall majority and then embark on a hard Brexit and

:53:43.:53:46.

then come back and use her majorities pushed through

:53:47.:53:50.

Parliament. She no longer has an overall majority and is well, with

:53:51.:53:55.

the Irish situation, if the Conservatives do continuing

:53:56.:53:57.

government, which is not certain, they will have to deal with the

:53:58.:54:02.

other parties and open up discussions, which will mean looking

:54:03.:54:06.

more seriously at the deal on the table. I have taken part in many

:54:07.:54:14.

debates in the UK Parliament since the referendum, and the

:54:15.:54:16.

Conservatives have been very clear on the choices they've been making

:54:17.:54:20.

on leaving the single market, leaving the customs union, not

:54:21.:54:23.

having a unilateral decision on EU citizens' rights. The Lib Dems in

:54:24.:54:28.

the Lords and Commons pushed very hard on those points. I think the

:54:29.:54:32.

government now has to move. The government does not have a majority

:54:33.:54:37.

mandate to force through a hard, extreme Brexit. Part of the

:54:38.:54:40.

difficulties the Conservatives had in this campaign as it was unclear

:54:41.:54:44.

what the best deal for Britain is, and the people were confused. Now is

:54:45.:54:49.

the opportunity for a degree of clarity. The Conservatives will

:54:50.:54:53.

speak to other parties across the spectrum, because the Queen's

:54:54.:54:59.

speech, delivered as Prime Minister, they need to know the legislative

:55:00.:55:06.

agenda. Reassessing after this election is essential. There can be

:55:07.:55:11.

compromised, and the plans we have put forward, membership of the

:55:12.:55:16.

European single market, I think we can get a consensus but position,

:55:17.:55:21.

not just with the Lib Dems and Labour and the SNP, but also with a

:55:22.:55:25.

good number of conservatives. And I think that is one of the things, in

:55:26.:55:30.

what has been a mixed night, what can happen as a result of this, is

:55:31.:55:34.

that corporation, but those discussions have to start. Do you

:55:35.:55:38.

think there's a majority in the House of Commons that position? I

:55:39.:55:42.

think there's a large number of people in all the parties who think

:55:43.:55:45.

that membership of the single market is right way forward if that is to

:55:46.:55:50.

be Brexit. Thank you very much indeed for the moment. We have just

:55:51.:55:54.

over an hour left of this live television coverage of the election.

:55:55.:55:59.

Jeremy Corbyn getting a big hug as he arrives at Labour Party

:56:00.:56:04.

headquarters in London. He seems to have had a much more successful

:56:05.:56:07.

election campaign than even many in his own party thought possible at

:56:08.:56:13.

the start of this general election campaign. The result is a hung

:56:14.:56:21.

parliament, and uncertainty about the future governance of the United

:56:22.:56:26.

Kingdom and the knock-on effect for Brexit negotiations. You can share

:56:27.:56:30.

your thoughts on the election outcome and we next with Stephen

:56:31.:56:34.

Jordan on radio Scotland from nine o'clock. He is an election cafe with

:56:35.:56:42.

Fiona. It's kind of after hours in the cafe, because our guests have

:56:43.:56:46.

either gone home to bed or they have gone on to daytime programmes. You

:56:47.:56:52.

can tell what a long night it has been. I managed to get Steven

:56:53.:56:57.

Gerrard on, whose on-air at nine o'clock. What on earth are you going

:56:58.:57:00.

to be speaking about? What a remarkable night. Those just waking

:57:01.:57:06.

up this morning, huge uncertainty in the country, where do we go from

:57:07.:57:10.

here? The remarkable thing, Theresa May only hanging on where she is now

:57:11.:57:14.

thanks to the rise of the Conservatives in Scotland. So much

:57:15.:57:20.

uncertainty for her, does the result means in Scotland? I got a running

:57:21.:57:24.

order did last night, that was in the bed right now. We'll start with

:57:25.:57:29.

this, you had your vote yesterday and will have you received this

:57:30.:57:36.

morning on radio Scotland. Let us know your reaction to the result

:57:37.:57:40.

last night. As a journalist, it's an incredible thing to cover, because

:57:41.:57:44.

when the exit poll results were released, there was a huge intake of

:57:45.:57:48.

breath, it took the air out of the room. I don't think anyone could

:57:49.:57:52.

foresee this. For a journalist like yourself. No one predicted this, no

:57:53.:57:58.

one predicted the demise of Alex Salmond. So many uncertainties.

:57:59.:58:03.

These great shock waves with stealing democracy in recent years

:58:04.:58:06.

repeated in this general election. And it's all down to the people, who

:58:07.:58:10.

have their see from nine o'clock this morning on radio Scotland.

:58:11.:58:16.

Shock after shop after shop. It was almost difficult for some of the

:58:17.:58:19.

journalists here to pull out the bigger story, because it kept

:58:20.:58:23.

rolling. Every seat is different, the Conservatives rising again in

:58:24.:58:26.

the north-east of Scotland, no doubt that is Brexit related. Different

:58:27.:58:31.

parts of the country had completely different voting patterns. We'll

:58:32.:58:34.

pull that apart from nine o'clock this morning. We'll get you some

:58:35.:58:39.

coffee. You can so let us know what you think, because the election cafe

:58:40.:58:45.

is still just about open for business. The hash tag is BBC

:58:46.:58:56.

election cafe. You coming back for your bacon roll, GB, that was she

:58:57.:59:06.

was an it is almost eight o'clock. A very good morning to you. It is

:59:07.:59:11.

Friday the 9th of June and it is a morning after the election night

:59:12.:59:15.

before. The dramatic light across the UK, with a hung parliament, the

:59:16.:59:20.

final outcome of this election, with just a handful of seats to still to

:59:21.:59:25.

declare in England. Theresa May has failed to increase majority, she has

:59:26.:59:29.

failed to hang onto her majority and we now have this hung parliament.

:59:30.:59:34.

The BBC understands she does not intend to stand down at this stage.

:59:35.:59:37.

Labour having a better election than expected, whipping up -- picking up

:59:38.:59:43.

seats, including some in Scotland. But the big winners here are the

:59:44.:59:48.

Conservatives, and the SNP, in that they have won the election overall,

:59:49.:59:55.

finishing with 35 seats, and the Conservatives on a total of 13. The

:59:56.:00:00.

Labour Party on seven and the Liberal Democrats making gains as

:00:01.:00:04.

well, finishing with four. Let's pick up on some of the most dramatic

:00:05.:00:08.

developments overnight, with our political correspondent Andrew care.

:00:09.:00:20.

The SNP may be the overall winners, but they've had the biggest losers.

:00:21.:00:24.

The people of Gordon posted the former First Minister. Alex Salmond

:00:25.:00:29.

said the SNP had suffered a grievous blow, but he did think they could

:00:30.:00:33.

still play a big party at Westminster.

:00:34.:00:41.

The SNP might find itself in a position of reduced numbers in the

:00:42.:00:49.

House of Commons but the position of considerable influence and we will

:00:50.:00:53.

use it to keep the Conservative Party from power to build a

:00:54.:00:57.

progressive alliance, to take this country forward. Or. And then a

:00:58.:01:02.

little warning to his opponents. A phrase from an old Jack abate song,

:01:03.:01:14.

false whigs, in the midst of your glee, you have not seen the last of

:01:15.:01:24.

my bonnets and me. The Conservatives overturned the majority of 10,000

:01:25.:01:29.

for Angus Robertson in Moray. For the Scottish Conservatives, an

:01:30.:01:31.

unbelievable night, the best result since 1983, as they picked up the

:01:32.:01:36.

fruits of their anti-independence message. We have seen the country's

:01:37.:01:41.

reaction in a number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref2 is dead.

:01:42.:01:45.

That is what has happened tonight. As the north-east turned blue, the

:01:46.:01:54.

SNP lost seats to the Tories in Ayr, Ochil and South Perthshire. The SNP

:01:55.:02:01.

leader said that she would reflect on result. Clearly, there is

:02:02.:02:03.

thinking for diddly about the SNP result. I will not lose sight of the

:02:04.:02:09.

fact the SNP has won this election in Scotland, but clearly, equally, I

:02:10.:02:12.

will not try to gloss over the fact that we have suffered some losses

:02:13.:02:19.

this evening. Labour had been criticised for campaigning against

:02:20.:02:22.

indyref2, but they have seen the benefit of that strategy. They have

:02:23.:02:27.

also been buoyed up by Jeremy Corbyn bounce with the Labour Leader now

:02:28.:02:31.

secure in his own position. They welcomed their return to Glasgow

:02:32.:02:34.

North East, they won in East Lothian and made other surprising gains.

:02:35.:02:37.

This is an encouraging night for Labour with a prounion,

:02:38.:02:43.

anti-austerity message that cut through, and I am delighted. It was

:02:44.:02:46.

the tightest of contests for the Lib Dems in North East Fife with the SNP

:02:47.:02:50.

retaining the seat by just two votes. They kept Orkney and Shetland

:02:51.:02:54.

and gained Edinburgh West, Caithness and Sutherland and Easter Ross. Jo

:02:55.:03:03.

Swinson took out the SNP's John Nicolson in East Dunbartonshire.

:03:04.:03:07.

There is a resounding vote of confidence in me to be the MP for

:03:08.:03:12.

the area but to send a clear message on the views of East Dunbartonshire

:03:13.:03:17.

residents about the idea of a second independence referendum, it is not

:03:18.:03:20.

popular, people don't want it and the SNP need to think again on that.

:03:21.:03:24.

Back to the Conservatives and it was a daylong two story parties, jolly

:03:25.:03:28.

in Scotland but despair, down south, with Theresa May's election gamble

:03:29.:03:33.

proving disastrous with a hung Parliament. As we look ahead and

:03:34.:03:38.

wait to see what the final results will be, I know that, as I say, the

:03:39.:03:43.

country needs a period of stability. The people of the UK and the people

:03:44.:03:49.

of Scotland have spoken. Loud voices have told the politicians exactly

:03:50.:03:53.

what they think. They certainly have. The outcome across the UK, a

:03:54.:03:58.

hung Parliament, with the Conservatives as as the largest

:03:59.:04:03.

party and the indications are that Theresa May has no intention of

:04:04.:04:09.

standing down as Prime Minister. She is due to give a Queen's speech, or

:04:10.:04:14.

to have her programme read out in Parliament by the Queen on the 19th

:04:15.:04:19.

of June, and of course, before then, a week on Monday, the UK are

:04:20.:04:23.

supposed to start Brexit negotiations with the EU. Let's

:04:24.:04:27.

cross like to Brussels and speak with the BBC Europe editor. What are

:04:28.:04:38.

they making of it there, Katja? People in Brussels, Berlin and Paris

:04:39.:04:42.

are stunned as they are across the United Kingdom. One thing that they

:04:43.:04:48.

are clear on is that whether there are questions about whether the

:04:49.:04:51.

Brexit negotiations now have to be delayed, the start of them, more

:04:52.:04:55.

than a year, it could be, after the EU referendum, can the negotiations

:04:56.:05:02.

be stalled, can they be stopped? All of these are questions for the

:05:03.:05:06.

United Kingdom and not for Brussels. Brussels sees this as a domestic

:05:07.:05:10.

political situation. If the UK wants to extend the negotiating process or

:05:11.:05:15.

even if it wanted to hold a second referendum and stop or reverse it,

:05:16.:05:20.

that would then be requested on the United Kingdom that would be voted

:05:21.:05:25.

on unanimously by the 27 members of the EU, plus the European Parliament

:05:26.:05:30.

as well. Various possibilities but Brussels is saying that the ball is

:05:31.:05:34.

in the UK's court right now. What is your assessment of how a hung

:05:35.:05:39.

Parliament might impact the Brexit deal that is being sought by the UK

:05:40.:05:47.

's do you anticipate changes? Perhaps the UK Government is seeking

:05:48.:05:51.

a more moderate offer, if I can put it in those terms. Everyone is

:05:52.:05:56.

asking those questions this morning. In Brussels, those questions are

:05:57.:06:01.

being asked, as well. The chief of the European Commission, for

:06:02.:06:05.

example, is in Prague, today. They will not want to make any

:06:06.:06:09.

definitive, formal statement until they have heard Theresa May

:06:10.:06:14.

speaking. Essentially, again, all I can say is that from the EU point of

:06:15.:06:17.

view, they say that we are ready, we have been working on this were 12

:06:18.:06:22.

months, we have clear and unified negotiating positions amongst the 27

:06:23.:06:26.

member states plus the European Parliament, they want to start as

:06:27.:06:30.

soon as possible. Should there be a hard race of Brexit? From the EU

:06:31.:06:35.

point of view this is for the UK to push for. They are not making any

:06:36.:06:41.

interpretations this morning. One thing for definite, is that that

:06:42.:06:46.

clock is ticking. Article 50, that global Brexit process, was triggered

:06:47.:06:50.

back in March. It ends in March 2000 and 19. So the UK only has until the

:06:51.:06:58.

20th of March 2019 to get an exit deal, never mind any talk about a

:06:59.:07:03.

future trade relationship or anything like that. The EU,

:07:04.:07:07.

reminding the UK that that clock is ticking and it does not feel under

:07:08.:07:11.

the time pressure that the UK certainly is under. Thank you for

:07:12.:07:18.

updating us, BBC Europe editor Katya Adler. I don't want to alarm you,

:07:19.:07:24.

but one possible way of resolving the situation that we are in, the

:07:25.:07:29.

hung Parliament, I know that we have had seven votes of one kind or

:07:30.:07:34.

another but could there be another general election? Let's check out

:07:35.:07:36.

that possibility now with David Henderson. Good question, Glenn. It

:07:37.:07:43.

was the comedian Billy Connolly who said, don't vote, it only encourages

:07:44.:07:48.

them. And just maybe he had a point, because we have seen a flurry of

:07:49.:07:52.

elections, would you believe, seven in just three years? No wonder some

:07:53.:07:57.

Scottish voters are feeling a little bit weary, and this may not be the

:07:58.:08:04.

last of them. Let's recap. May 2014 saw the voters choosing members of

:08:05.:08:08.

the European Parliament. The headline was that Ukip got enough

:08:09.:08:11.

votes to take one of the seats in Scotland. And it underlined the

:08:12.:08:16.

growing strength of their campaign to take the UK out of Europe. Now,

:08:17.:08:20.

the dust had barely settled before the political event of the year,

:08:21.:08:25.

perhaps the decade, the Scottish independence referendum, with most

:08:26.:08:29.

voters choosing to remain in the UK, marking the end of Alex Salmond's

:08:30.:08:33.

reign as First Minister. Less than one year later another huge

:08:34.:08:39.

political set piece, 2015 general election. Important because it gave

:08:40.:08:43.

David Cameron's Conservatives are clear Westminster majority, at the

:08:44.:08:48.

same time all but wiping out their coalition partners, the Lib Dems.

:08:49.:08:53.

That led to huge shift in the Labour Party with Ed Miliband leaving the

:08:54.:08:57.

floor, making way for Jeremy Corbyn. In Scotland we saw a landslide

:08:58.:09:03.

victory for Nicola Sturgeon's SNP. Last year, 2016, and voters went to

:09:04.:09:08.

the polls for election to the Scottish Parliament. The result

:09:09.:09:11.

underlined the SNP dominance at Holyrood. This time they didn't

:09:12.:09:14.

quite win a majority but they were still in power, setting the stage

:09:15.:09:20.

for a with Westminster over indyref2, a second independence

:09:21.:09:26.

referendum. And then of course the EU referendum, 52% of voters across

:09:27.:09:30.

the UK choosing Brexit, voting to leave the EU. It was a political

:09:31.:09:34.

earthquake, and we don't yet know the full impact, but it marks a

:09:35.:09:37.

change of direction for this country. This year, the local

:09:38.:09:45.

council elections. Less fanfare but still surprises with gains for the

:09:46.:09:49.

Conservatives in Scotland and, after decades in power, Labour lost

:09:50.:09:54.

control of Glasgow City Council. So, we are right up to date. This snap

:09:55.:09:59.

general election. Theresa May called it three years early because she

:10:00.:10:03.

wanted a strong mandate, head of Brexit talks with Europe. At this

:10:04.:10:08.

point it looks like the plan has backfired. One thing is clear.

:10:09.:10:14.

Elections are like buses. You wait and wait and then seven, a long, one

:10:15.:10:19.

after another. And with no clear winner in this election, there might

:10:20.:10:25.

be another just around the corner. Back to you, Glenn. How do you

:10:26.:10:30.

assess that possibility, Professor Nicola McEwan? I think it is

:10:31.:10:39.

unlikely. I don't think the public would look on it particularly

:10:40.:10:43.

favourably, either. One thing about the discussion we were having about

:10:44.:10:49.

Brexit and how this may impact upon Brexit. There was a risk that we

:10:50.:10:53.

misinterpret the significance of the result. It is true to say that there

:10:54.:11:00.

was a swing towards Labour in remain supporting areas and a marginal

:11:01.:11:04.

swing towards the Conservatives in leave supporting areas. But that

:11:05.:11:09.

doesn't necessarily have to do, anything with views about Brexit, it

:11:10.:11:13.

could simply be because these areas are linked to urban- rural divides

:11:14.:11:19.

that normally align with the parties and the Labour Party campaign in the

:11:20.:11:28.

UK, Jeremy Gordon has been ambiguous on a UK membership of the EU single

:11:29.:11:32.

market, so there is nothing to suggest that would be the dividing

:11:33.:11:36.

issue and there would be pressure from Labour to soften their stance.

:11:37.:11:40.

To soften what Brexit turns out to be. The membership of the single

:11:41.:11:47.

market, it is not the trade aspects that there was a problem for the

:11:48.:11:52.

Conservatives, and the problem for the other 27 EU members, it is free

:11:53.:11:56.

movement of people. It is a core element of the single market. The

:11:57.:12:00.

European Union has made clear that you cannot be a member unless you

:12:01.:12:04.

accept that and the Conservatives have made clear, until tonight, that

:12:05.:12:09.

they cannot put up with that because it would allow further immigration

:12:10.:12:13.

which was one of the key reasons for Brexit and one of the key reasons

:12:14.:12:19.

that they call the contest in the first place. Theresa May, I think

:12:20.:12:22.

that the business of whether she stays in office and whether there is

:12:23.:12:26.

a further election, presumably the fixed term parliaments act is still

:12:27.:12:32.

in place, even though it was set aside by the device of Theresa May

:12:33.:12:35.

challenging the Labour Party not to vote against it and it is still

:12:36.:12:44.

there, so some party would have to go against that act, in order for

:12:45.:12:48.

there to be an early election and my guess is, whichever party did that

:12:49.:12:51.

created yet another election on top of this unnecessary election, would

:12:52.:12:58.

be punished. It reminds me, not that I've covered the 1924 general

:12:59.:13:04.

election, it reminds me of Stanley Baldwin, who called an election in

:13:05.:13:08.

that year and achieve the glorious outcome of reuniting the ruling

:13:09.:13:11.

Liberals and letting Labour into power for the first time, so that

:13:12.:13:17.

when Twell! If the parties at Westminster are going to have to

:13:18.:13:23.

make this work, how will they make it work? -- that went well. It is

:13:24.:13:31.

eight o'clock in the morning after the night before. We haven't yet got

:13:32.:13:35.

to the stage where a government has been formed. It is fair to say that

:13:36.:13:40.

the Conservatives as the largest party with the mandate, to continue

:13:41.:13:44.

with the government, will have to continue and make this work. Brexit

:13:45.:13:49.

will proceed as the people decided it would and I do not see what has

:13:50.:13:54.

changed in that respect. Any chance of a Jeremy Corbyn led government

:13:55.:14:00.

getting a shot instead? It is going to be for the Conservatives have

:14:01.:14:04.

their first shot, but Jamie's answer highlights the chaos that we are in,

:14:05.:14:09.

now. We went into this election the Theresa May saying that it was about

:14:10.:14:16.

strength and stability and now the chaos looks like it is going to be

:14:17.:14:19.

coming from a Conservative government who went in trying to get

:14:20.:14:23.

a large majority and has come out without that, with the country in a

:14:24.:14:27.

far weaker position than it was six weeks ago. We have a Prime Minister

:14:28.:14:33.

going into negotiations, difficult negotiations in Brussels, who

:14:34.:14:35.

doesn't seem to have a clear mandate from the British people through the

:14:36.:14:40.

selection and who, also, you can seriously question her judgment of

:14:41.:14:44.

triggering Article 50 and subsequently going for an election,

:14:45.:14:48.

so we are already in this two year period with the clock running down

:14:49.:14:53.

the and there was no certainty for the government about how we're going

:14:54.:14:56.

to get to a settlement in that time period. We voted to trigger Article

:14:57.:15:03.

50 but at that point the Prime Minister was saying there will be no

:15:04.:15:07.

election. That wasn't on the table. She triggers Article 50, says the

:15:08.:15:10.

clock running and then immediately runs into an election after

:15:11.:15:14.

dithering about whether to have an election at all. She should have

:15:15.:15:17.

been aware of the fact that this could have led to the chaos we are

:15:18.:15:21.

seeing this morning, and who knows what she's going to do? We haven't

:15:22.:15:25.

heard what she's going to say yet. We were warned through this election

:15:26.:15:29.

that it would be that would bring chaos to the country but it looks

:15:30.:15:32.

like it is the Conservatives who are doing just that.

:15:33.:15:37.

There's no chance Labour can be peace negotiations. The people had

:15:38.:15:43.

their vote and they decided they did not want Jeremy Corbyn delete us

:15:44.:15:48.

into the Brexit negotiations. They also decided they didn't want the

:15:49.:15:52.

Conservatives to have a free hand in all of this. Are you, as a party and

:15:53.:15:57.

government, going to have to bring in the other parties somehow, into

:15:58.:16:05.

the Brexit tend to try and find a common way forward? That's an

:16:06.:16:09.

interesting question. We are in a hung parliament situation, that is

:16:10.:16:13.

no majority. I think that is a duty and onus on all members of

:16:14.:16:17.

Parliament to make sure that Brexit happens and make sure that the whole

:16:18.:16:21.

country does get a good deal. That's why I'm pleased we have 13 Scottish

:16:22.:16:28.

MPs going down to have that conversation. What difference will

:16:29.:16:34.

they make? We now have 12 MPs at the top table, who are part of the

:16:35.:16:37.

government of the day, which we didn't have yesterday. Ruth Davidson

:16:38.:16:42.

quite strongly supported single market membership and did so even

:16:43.:16:47.

after the Brexit thought. As Brian pointed out, it's not just about

:16:48.:16:51.

access to the single market, it's the consequences, and the people

:16:52.:16:55.

voted against the free movement of people, which was a huge part of it.

:16:56.:17:02.

Despite the previous position that church leaders in Scotland has. Ruth

:17:03.:17:08.

Davidson accepts the result of the referendum, unlike other parties.

:17:09.:17:11.

Does that mean no single market membership? I think it's about

:17:12.:17:15.

getting the best deal for the whole of the UK. That's not an answer.

:17:16.:17:22.

Hopping in Keith Brown, Cabinet Secretary in the Scottish Government

:17:23.:17:29.

for the SNP. Welcome. What is your perspective on the result, from a

:17:30.:17:35.

Scottish and SNP perspective? This is an absolute shambles. It really

:17:36.:17:39.

is. People don't perhaps realise the extent of what it means for the

:17:40.:17:44.

Brexit negotiations. We've already had an estimate that it will cost

:17:45.:17:49.

80,000 jobs in Scotland. This magnifies the problem substantially.

:17:50.:17:53.

We have this chaotic situation in the UK at the point with a 27 are

:17:54.:18:02.

outlined in the UK is in a mess. To go into a second election, many

:18:03.:18:06.

people would blame that on the person who caused the first

:18:07.:18:09.

unnecessary election, which is Theresa May, and I think there would

:18:10.:18:12.

be a backlash on the Conservative Party because of that. You

:18:13.:18:18.

suggesting that Brexit poses a threat to the economy of the UK and

:18:19.:18:26.

in particular, to Scotland, but in what we would to this election

:18:27.:18:32.

magnify that? Talking about the scenario of a second election,

:18:33.:18:37.

that's another hiatus at a vital point in the negotiations, which

:18:38.:18:39.

were meant to have started very shortly. That is very damaging, but

:18:40.:18:44.

also the very impression for the rest of Europe that that is this

:18:45.:18:48.

chaotic mess caused by Theresa May, when she was going to get this

:18:49.:18:52.

strong and stable government. But we have the reverse. Nobody knows what

:18:53.:18:57.

government we will have. HOWZAT! Businesses and investors react to

:18:58.:19:02.

this outcome? All the businesses I talked to in Scotland, number one is

:19:03.:19:08.

definitely freedom of movement, so they are fairly exorcised by that,

:19:09.:19:13.

but also by the potential for tariffs and the barriers to trade,

:19:14.:19:19.

even more than that. They are very concerned already and businesses

:19:20.:19:21.

will always tell you, they don't like uncertainty. Jamie Green said

:19:22.:19:32.

that if you want to help end uncertainty, you should take the

:19:33.:19:35.

independence referendum of the table. That is the other issue hotly

:19:36.:19:44.

debated. Where do you think the outcome in Scotland leaves the

:19:45.:19:49.

independence question? I think the question is getting close to

:19:50.:19:54.

answered. The people don't want it. We had a major debate that was up to

:19:55.:19:58.

two years, up until 2014, and there was a convincing result. We have now

:19:59.:20:04.

had Cabinet ministers, Scottish government ministers at this table

:20:05.:20:09.

this morning, seeing this election was not about independence. They

:20:10.:20:12.

said the same in the last elections. They've been saying it now

:20:13.:20:16.

repeatedly. This election is not about independence, when clearly, it

:20:17.:20:22.

is. Because they make the case every single week, certainly the group of

:20:23.:20:25.

MPs in Westminster made the case every week but independence. I think

:20:26.:20:30.

it is now close to being completely off the table, and what the Scottish

:20:31.:20:34.

Government should do is retreat from the position, and the Scottish

:20:35.:20:38.

parliament should be reconsidering. You're saying it's close to being

:20:39.:20:43.

off the table, Ruth Davidson said it was dead, Nicola Sturgeon said she

:20:44.:20:45.

would reflect on the result before deciding what to do next. What

:20:46.:20:49.

message do you think she should take from this election? First of all to

:20:50.:20:56.

respond to the question Jeremy races, then he would take the second

:20:57.:20:59.

European referendum off the table as well. A party that got less than 7%

:21:00.:21:06.

of the vote in Scotland. In relation to the independence referendum, you

:21:07.:21:08.

have to look at the context in which it was cold by the First Minister.

:21:09.:21:16.

We have to see if the situation is going to be changed. What is your

:21:17.:21:20.

gut feeling? It depends on the outcome of the discussions at

:21:21.:21:25.

Westminster and weather the Conservatives continue, I just can't

:21:26.:21:28.

see that Theresa May can stay on in office, so it depends what happens

:21:29.:21:32.

in Westminster. You except that weather or not there is a referendum

:21:33.:21:38.

depends on permission being given from the UK Government? Of course,

:21:39.:21:43.

that is that element, it requires engaging with the UK Government, but

:21:44.:21:47.

there was a fixed position before, to completely ignore Scotland. Do

:21:48.:21:52.

you think it should be taken off the table? I think the First Minister

:21:53.:22:00.

says we should reflect. You are defending. Yes. Lord Faulkner is in

:22:01.:22:05.

our Westminster studio, the former Lord Chancellor and Labour minister.

:22:06.:22:13.

Good morning. Thanks for joining us. What do you make of this

:22:14.:22:20.

extraordinary election outcome? I think Mrs May has been unreservedly

:22:21.:22:24.

repudiated by the country. She said to the country, I cannot go on

:22:25.:22:29.

without getting the mandate from the people, because Parliament is making

:22:30.:22:33.

my life too difficult in the context of Brexit. And the public have

:22:34.:22:38.

refused to give her that mandate. Quite separately from the public

:22:39.:22:41.

refusing to give her the mandate is this colossal sense she has made a

:22:42.:22:45.

massive misjudgement. Nobody would think it was sensible to spend six

:22:46.:22:52.

weeks in a vital PDW preparing for negotiations, to enter with less

:22:53.:22:56.

seats they had before and indeed, losing your majority. She is a lame

:22:57.:23:01.

duck now. She has to go as Prime Minister, not just because that is

:23:02.:23:06.

the right thing, having been repudiated by the country, but what

:23:07.:23:10.

will our European allies think, when they seek to negotiate with somebody

:23:11.:23:13.

who they see has been repudiated by the country? But given the time

:23:14.:23:19.

fumes were talking about, with Brexit negotiations due to start in

:23:20.:23:24.

just over a week's time and the Queen's speech a week after that,

:23:25.:23:29.

does she have to go quickly or signal her intention to go and lead

:23:30.:23:33.

us through this tense period? I think she's got a signal she's going

:23:34.:23:37.

very quickly. Who forms the next government depends upon the

:23:38.:23:44.

arithmetic in the House of Commons. What everybody is speculating about

:23:45.:23:48.

is can the Tories to deal with the DUP, and if they do a deal with the

:23:49.:23:53.

DUP, that gives them an overall majority. It's extremely

:23:54.:23:57.

unsatisfactory, and it can't last very long, because it is unclear in

:23:58.:24:02.

terms of determining what our economy and Brexit is, but if the

:24:03.:24:07.

Tories have the numbers, they can stay in power. But there is no point

:24:08.:24:11.

in the UK sending to Brussels as our negotiator, somebody from the

:24:12.:24:14.

government which is run by somebody who is a lame duck. So the quicker

:24:15.:24:19.

she goes, the better. I see from the news media this morning that her

:24:20.:24:24.

aides are briefing she's not going. I know she's making a statement at

:24:25.:24:27.

ten o'clock. The right statement to make as she is going. She will stay

:24:28.:24:33.

for as long as it takes for a new Prime Minister to be selected. What

:24:34.:24:37.

is your thinking on the suggestion from the Shadow Chancellor that

:24:38.:24:40.

Labour should attempt to form a minority government and challenge

:24:41.:24:46.

other minority parties in the House of Commons to back them? If we can

:24:47.:24:53.

form a minority government well and good, but the position is that the

:24:54.:24:58.

Tories and the DUP have entered into an arrangement, whereby the DUP will

:24:59.:25:03.

support the Tories and that gives them 328 seats, then that gives them

:25:04.:25:07.

a majority and it means any attempts to form a government outside that

:25:08.:25:11.

grouping won't work, because the majority is there, but it all

:25:12.:25:17.

depends upon the numbers. If, as Theresa May suggested, somehow a

:25:18.:25:21.

bigger majority for the UK Government would strengthen that

:25:22.:25:25.

government's hand in the Brexit negotiations, does it therefore

:25:26.:25:30.

follows that a hung parliament, a government with no single party

:25:31.:25:34.

majority, will be weaker in this negotiations and get a worse deal

:25:35.:25:39.

than they might otherwise? It will be weaker if there is a sense that

:25:40.:25:42.

there is real division about what those terms should be. In the light

:25:43.:25:48.

of what has happened, whoever negotiates on behalf of the UK has

:25:49.:25:54.

now got to get as much agreement and consensus within the Commons,

:25:55.:25:58.

because if it cannot be obtained by winning a massive majority in the

:25:59.:26:01.

country, because the country will not have that, which is what has

:26:02.:26:07.

happened overnight, then whoever it is a Prime Minister has to build the

:26:08.:26:10.

broadest consensus he or she can within the House of Commons. And

:26:11.:26:14.

that is the way you will get strength. It means, in effect, going

:26:15.:26:19.

through with the Commons what the terms to be sought are and then

:26:20.:26:23.

negotiating those terms on the basis that the negotiator, whoever the

:26:24.:26:29.

Prime Minister is, this is what the House of Commons supports. Thanks

:26:30.:26:33.

very much indeed for your time this morning and forge your analysis of

:26:34.:26:36.

the situation we find ourselves in this morning, with a hung

:26:37.:26:41.

parliament. The Conservative 's largest party. There are different

:26:42.:26:44.

ways governments can operate in these circumstances. They can get

:26:45.:26:50.

support from other parties on an issue by issue basis. Or going for a

:26:51.:26:58.

more formal deal, as we had in the Parliament between 2010 and 2015, a

:26:59.:27:02.

coalition between two or more parties. I would that work?

:27:03.:27:08.

Use Jeremy Vine. One of the things this result will do, because it is

:27:09.:27:12.

so tight, is put a lot of focus on the House of Commons. We are sitting

:27:13.:27:16.

on a virtual one here. Let's look at the numbers. Here we have the

:27:17.:27:22.

parties arranged as we think the final result will be. There are

:27:23.:27:31.

three or four more results coming. We know that you have to get 326 MPs

:27:32.:27:36.

for an overall majority, so what I'm going to do is try and build the

:27:37.:27:40.

overall majority now, bidding in mind that no one party can do it. So

:27:41.:27:44.

the Conservatives, having fallen into a minority, set there now with

:27:45.:27:50.

their seats and they need to add to that total and somehow get it up to

:27:51.:27:56.

326. The obvious place to go is the Democratic Unionists in Northern

:27:57.:28:00.

Ireland. They have ten MPs. Let's put them on. This is pretty simple

:28:01.:28:07.

maths. The politics is not simple, because the DUP will want something

:28:08.:28:16.

for being in there and helping the Conservatives, so they can get the

:28:17.:28:20.

Queen's speech through. The problem for Theresa May as she hasn't done

:28:21.:28:25.

it on a road. But they get to 326 and pass them by simply enlisting

:28:26.:28:31.

the DUP in Northern Ireland. Let me show you the benches as this would

:28:32.:28:35.

look. Not what anyone expected from this election. The Conservatives are

:28:36.:28:43.

here with 319 MPs and the line is just there. The DUP help them

:28:44.:28:47.

through the line with the extra ten. If we have a look at the opposition

:28:48.:28:50.

benches, that's where they are at the moment, with the single biggest

:28:51.:28:58.

opposition party the Labour Party. The Liberal Democrats have done a

:28:59.:29:03.

bit better than they did last time. That is how it would work. These are

:29:04.:29:07.

the benches to focus on. There is a way of the Conservatives getting

:29:08.:29:12.

through, but it is pretty humiliating for the Prime Minister

:29:13.:29:16.

to have to even think about this. For seats still to declare, foresees

:29:17.:29:21.

the Conservatives are defending in England, to complete general

:29:22.:29:25.

election picture. All the constituencies in Scotland, all 59

:29:26.:29:30.

already declared. The SNP on 35, that's down 21 on the 2015 result.

:29:31.:29:37.

So a lot of seats changing hands in Scotland. Let's take a look at those

:29:38.:29:44.

that have switched. Changed seats include Aberdeen South, taken from

:29:45.:29:49.

the SNP by the Conservatives. Another Conservative gain in

:29:50.:29:51.

Aberdeenshire West and in Angus and in air and Carrick and in Banff and

:29:52.:29:58.

Buchan, which had a 60% vote share for the SNP last time around. It has

:29:59.:30:04.

gone conservative and so has what was the most marginal constituency

:30:05.:30:09.

in Scotland, Berwickshire, Roxboro and Selkirk. But there have been

:30:10.:30:13.

gains were other parties as well. The Lib Dems picking up Caithness

:30:14.:30:16.

and Sutherland, retuning that seat from the SNP. And gains for the

:30:17.:30:23.

Labour Party. Taking Coatbridge and Christ and, all these gains from the

:30:24.:30:27.

SNP. Dumfries and Galloway going to the Conservatives. East Lothian

:30:28.:30:32.

falling to the Labour Party. Edinburgh West of the Lib Dems.

:30:33.:30:37.

Glasgow North East Labour and remember, that is where the biggest

:30:38.:30:42.

single swing against Labour took place in in the 20 15th election,

:30:43.:30:47.

yet two years later, they've managed to win it back on another big swing.

:30:48.:30:53.

And at the bottom of the page, perhaps the most breathtaking result

:30:54.:30:58.

of the night, the Conservatives taking Gordon, the seat that Alex

:30:59.:31:03.

Salmond has occupied in the House of Commons. He is out now and is

:31:04.:31:09.

defeated, in what was his tenth parliamentary contest, having won

:31:10.:31:13.

the last nine in a room. Big changes taking place all over Scotland.

:31:14.:31:29.

Gains for the Conservatives, in Moray, Renfrewshire East, and in the

:31:30.:31:37.

case of Moray, the Conservatives toppling the SNP deputy, and lead at

:31:38.:31:42.

Westminster, Angus Robertson, who is out of Parliament. Rutherglen picked

:31:43.:31:47.

up by Labour and the Conservatives are back in the seat that was

:31:48.:31:56.

occupied by then Lord Forsyth, Michael Desai, one of the big

:31:57.:32:01.

casualties on that night in 1997, Stirling. The Conservatives are back

:32:02.:32:06.

in a big way in Scotland, with 13 seats, their best result in Scotland

:32:07.:32:11.

since 1983, when Margaret Thatcher was Prime Minister. Remarkable

:32:12.:32:13.

results from across the country, Brian. Yes, they are, remarkable

:32:14.:32:19.

results in Scotland. You have to come back to that Alex Salmond

:32:20.:32:24.

defeat in Gordon. He quoted from what he said was a Jacobite ballad,

:32:25.:32:30.

but it was the great Sir Walter Scott who wrote the words, but one,

:32:31.:32:43.

you have not seen the last of my bonnets and me. That is quite a

:32:44.:32:50.

remarkable defeat for the SNP. John Swinney, the deputy leader in the

:32:51.:32:54.

SNP administration at Holyrood, says the party must acknowledge that a

:32:55.:32:59.

significant motivator of the vote against the SNP was the question of

:33:00.:33:04.

independence. He says that he and his colleagues must be attentive to

:33:05.:33:09.

that. That is underlining what the First Minister has already said.

:33:10.:33:13.

There was a phrase used in the 1992 election when the Tories were

:33:14.:33:17.

returned and the Tories said that they would take stock about devolved

:33:18.:33:25.

government, it was an interview with Kenny MacIntyre, and it was a phrase

:33:26.:33:30.

that defined that election. The SNP will be taking stock on this

:33:31.:33:34.

occasion and they will not defer, formerly, on an independence

:33:35.:33:38.

referendum but accept that it is not going to happen on the timescale

:33:39.:33:44.

that they set out. I feel in a poetic mode, I have done so Walter

:33:45.:33:49.

Scott, so here is some browning for you, a poem called the lost leader.

:33:50.:33:55.

It could apply to Angus Robertson or Alex Salmond and the Palm concluded

:33:56.:34:02.

by saying never glad, confident morning again. It is not quite that

:34:03.:34:09.

for the SNP, but it is a slightly duller dawn than they had hoped for

:34:10.:34:13.

this morning. On that literary note I will return to the politics. Just

:34:14.:34:19.

bringing in Keith Brown on this business of reflecting, that was the

:34:20.:34:24.

word that the First Minister use, the Deputy First Minister is talking

:34:25.:34:27.

about being attentive to the extent to which people left the SNP over

:34:28.:34:33.

the question of independence. Brian used the phrase, take stock. Isn't

:34:34.:34:38.

indyref2 going to be on the back burner or on the altogether? I am

:34:39.:34:50.

reminded of the words of Shelley, rising like lions after slumber, in

:34:51.:34:57.

unvanquishable number. It is the right thing to do as both the First

:34:58.:35:01.

Minister and Deputy First Minister have said, when you've had an

:35:02.:35:04.

election where you have lost 21 seats, you have got to take stock,

:35:05.:35:10.

that was the phrase used by Ian Lang back in the 90s. You have to

:35:11.:35:13.

acknowledge that the SNP won the majority of seats in Scotland on the

:35:14.:35:17.

system that they have to fight these seats on. It is wrong to try to jump

:35:18.:35:23.

to the conclusion on the morning after an election that has just

:35:24.:35:26.

taken place but you have got to take that into account and that is what

:35:27.:35:30.

the First Minister is going to do. There is the result in Scotland, 35

:35:31.:35:37.

seats for the SNP, down from 56, the Conservatives on 13, up from one,

:35:38.:35:42.

Labour on seven, up from one, and the Lib Dems on four, again, up from

:35:43.:35:49.

one. Gains for the three parties advocating continued union,

:35:50.:35:57.

advocating an end to talk of a second independence referendum. Just

:35:58.:35:59.

give us a sense from the interview, if you would, how big a motivator

:36:00.:36:05.

was that, for those who supported your parties in this election? In

:36:06.:36:13.

the areas where we regained we understood the biggest challenges to

:36:14.:36:22.

the SNP to stopping and second independence referendum. It was a

:36:23.:36:25.

major factor in support that persuaded Conservatives and Lib Dem

:36:26.:36:31.

's to support us, but that was in addition to is highlighting what

:36:32.:36:36.

many people in Scotland across the board is that the ten year

:36:37.:36:40.

decade-long record on domestic services from the SNP is April one,

:36:41.:36:44.

and they are not having the policies that are brought forward to end. But

:36:45.:36:51.

two combined has been what has made the SNP fallback quite dramatically.

:36:52.:36:55.

To what extent in the case of labour was it independence and to what

:36:56.:36:59.

extent other factors? In many of the seats that we won, and where we came

:37:00.:37:04.

close, I'm thinking about seats in the west of Scotland, where we are

:37:05.:37:07.

in some cases just hundreds of votes behind the SNP now, in large part it

:37:08.:37:12.

was due to the record on public services than about the independence

:37:13.:37:17.

referendum. The issue of health services in the seat I stood in,

:37:18.:37:22.

Inverclyde, closure to maternity services at Inverclyde Royal

:37:23.:37:26.

Hospital, explains much about why the SNP vote fell. And in Paisley

:37:27.:37:31.

where we were 2000 behind the SNP, hospital services and schools were

:37:32.:37:34.

high up the agenda. In some parts of the country it was public services

:37:35.:37:38.

the issue, in places where the Tories did quite well it was the

:37:39.:37:43.

referendum. Is the independence question down as the number one

:37:44.:37:47.

factor from a Tory point of view? One of a number of factors. The SNP

:37:48.:37:52.

need to do much more than just reflect on what happened. They need

:37:53.:37:56.

to listen to the people. The people made a very decisive decision

:37:57.:38:00.

yesterday to say no thanks across Scotland, in every part of Scotland,

:38:01.:38:06.

to say no thanks to independence. There is points being made about the

:38:07.:38:10.

track record on public services of the SNP, the people have said no

:38:11.:38:14.

thanks to their track record on education and the NHS. And that was

:38:15.:38:17.

at the back of their minds when they were putting crosses inboxes. You

:38:18.:38:24.

lost 21 seats. Down in terms of those, the SNP are just a few...

:38:25.:38:31.

They lost some overseas, as well. You cannot pretend that this

:38:32.:38:38.

election has not been a setback. To hear the Conservatives who said they

:38:39.:38:42.

were going to get a huge majority to carry through Brexit and to lose the

:38:43.:38:45.

majority they had so that it was catastrophic, it sounds a bit odd.

:38:46.:38:49.

Of course we have been in government for ten years. We have won the last

:38:50.:38:53.

seven or Scotland elections, including this one, we have more

:38:54.:38:58.

votes than anyone else at each of those elections. That is an

:38:59.:39:02.

incredible record. Given that this was a UK general election, was it

:39:03.:39:05.

reasonable for people to look at your record in Hollywood, and to

:39:06.:39:10.

punish you? I don't think you can tell the electorate the basis upon

:39:11.:39:15.

which the vote, they decide. It is legitimate to consider devolved

:39:16.:39:20.

issues as well as reserve issues. There was an unfortunate focus which

:39:21.:39:24.

sometimes allowed some of the absence of any policy content on the

:39:25.:39:28.

Conservatives in Scotland, other than an anti-independence message,

:39:29.:39:32.

there was no discussion of the rape laws, austerity or plans were

:39:33.:39:36.

Brexit, it was just simply about anti-independence. It was not the

:39:37.:39:40.

best election from that point of view, but the electric decide the

:39:41.:39:44.

basis upon which they cast their vote. You did not listen to your

:39:45.:39:48.

Brexit voters. That is why there were swings across Scotland from the

:39:49.:39:52.

SNP to the Conservatives. Those are Brexit voters. And across the UK you

:39:53.:39:59.

have lost your majority, what did you not listen to in terms of the UK

:40:00.:40:03.

that set you back so far? We gave the choice to people in a general

:40:04.:40:08.

election. We did listen. We are the only party that respected the result

:40:09.:40:16.

of the EU referendum. Let me bring in professor of politics at

:40:17.:40:24.

Edinburgh University, Nicola McEwen. On the business of leave and remain

:40:25.:40:27.

voters, any patterns that you have been able to detect in Scotland on

:40:28.:40:31.

how they have responded in this party contest for a UK general

:40:32.:40:39.

election? It is very difficult, given how little it was played as an

:40:40.:40:44.

issue in the Scottish campaign, to draw anything from that. You can

:40:45.:40:51.

look to the North East, for example, whirl was a majority for Remain

:40:52.:41:00.

across Scotland, not in every constituency but we have estimates

:41:01.:41:07.

to suggest that Banff and Buchan as a constituency voted for leaving the

:41:08.:41:10.

referendum, but we don't know if this is reason for a change in the

:41:11.:41:15.

voting preferences in that particular constituency. We don't

:41:16.:41:20.

know any of the issues. Listening to that debate with great interest,

:41:21.:41:25.

though, because it is purely speculative in terms of why people

:41:26.:41:29.

voted the way that they did. With a hung Parliament in which the

:41:30.:41:32.

Conservatives are the largest party, the expectation is that they would

:41:33.:41:37.

have the first opportunity to form the next administration, the next UK

:41:38.:41:42.

Government, but might it just be possible that Jeremy Corbyn forms

:41:43.:41:45.

the next government? Here is what he had to say. That is what we fought

:41:46.:41:52.

the selection for, and this is the programme we put forward in our

:41:53.:42:00.

election. And no deals, no packs, is that the case? We are offering to

:42:01.:42:03.

put forward the programme upon which we fought the election. We have done

:42:04.:42:08.

no deals with anybody. We are there as the Labour Party with our points

:42:09.:42:12.

of view. Everyone knows what they are, and everyone can see the huge

:42:13.:42:15.

increase in our support, because of the way we conduct of the election

:42:16.:42:19.

and the comprehensive nature of the programme we put forward. Do you

:42:20.:42:26.

envisage, then, that you would be able to form a minority government

:42:27.:42:30.

or are we heading, as many predicted, for another general

:42:31.:42:34.

election? Parliament must meet, and then Parliament will have to take a

:42:35.:42:38.

decision on what happens, when the government puts forward the Queen's

:42:39.:42:42.

speech. We will put forward our point of view. We are, of course,

:42:43.:42:48.

ready to serve. In all this uncertainty, should the Brexit

:42:49.:42:52.

negotiations be delayed? They are supposed to be happening in 11 days'

:42:53.:42:55.

time. They are going to have to go ahead. The government in office in

:42:56.:43:01.

11 days' time will have to conduct those Brexit negotiations. Our

:43:02.:43:08.

position is very clear. The most important thing is the trade deal

:43:09.:43:13.

with Europe and I would of thought that a good gesture and Parliament

:43:14.:43:17.

would be to agree that all EU nationals can remain in Britain. To

:43:18.:43:20.

think there should be any delay whatsoever in the negotiations? That

:43:21.:43:25.

is not completely in Britain's hands. That decision has to be taken

:43:26.:43:29.

by the other party to the negotiations. We are ready to

:43:30.:43:32.

undertake negotiations on behalf of this country to protect jobs and

:43:33.:43:37.

have a sensible tariff free trade arrangement with Europe. Do you

:43:38.:43:42.

think Theresa May should resign? I said last night that she fought the

:43:43.:43:46.

election on the basis that it was her campaign, her decision to call

:43:47.:43:51.

the election, it was her name out there and she was saying she was

:43:52.:43:54.

doing it to bring about strong and stable government. This morning it

:43:55.:43:57.

doesn't look like a strong government, a stable government, a

:43:58.:44:01.

government that has any programme whatsoever. You can't put forward a

:44:02.:44:08.

stable government, you have no position. We have just been elected

:44:09.:44:12.

to Parliament a few hours ago, and my party has had a huge increase in

:44:13.:44:18.

its vote, gained seats Oliver Lee country, every region of this

:44:19.:44:24.

country and in Scotland and Wales. -- in all over the country. Young

:44:25.:44:30.

people, all people, everyone in between supported Labour yesterday

:44:31.:44:34.

and they should be very proud of what we achieved. Are you saying

:44:35.:44:38.

that you are the victors and that you should be forming the next

:44:39.:44:39.

government? We put forward our policies, strong

:44:40.:44:48.

and hopeful policies, and they gained a lot of traction. I think

:44:49.:44:53.

it's very clear who won the election. We're ready to serve the

:44:54.:44:56.

people who have given their trust to ours. Jeremy Corbyn speaking from

:44:57.:45:02.

Labour headquarters in London. And if it's not his opportunity to form

:45:03.:45:07.

the next government, a minority administration, he would likely

:45:08.:45:09.

scenario is some kind of deal between the Conservatives and the

:45:10.:45:14.

DUP in Northern Ireland, but what price might the DUP demand in that

:45:15.:45:22.

situation? It's a party formed by Ian Paisley, in distinction to the

:45:23.:45:30.

Ulster Unionist party, which is mortally inclined. In 1994, John

:45:31.:45:35.

Major was Prime Minister and a good phrase used by his government when

:45:36.:45:41.

he said, Britain had snow selfish strategic or economic interest in

:45:42.:45:44.

sustaining Northern Ireland as part of the United Kingdom. I think the

:45:45.:45:49.

DUP will want to things. The want a deal that insures cross-border

:45:50.:45:56.

trade, without the requirement for a pull. They may want to overturn

:45:57.:46:00.

those words that are still formal British policy, no strategic

:46:01.:46:06.

interest. Their manifesto said they wanted the Brexit talks to proceed

:46:07.:46:11.

without there being any hint of any threat whatsoever to Northern

:46:12.:46:16.

Ireland's position within the UK, so I think people want a statement from

:46:17.:46:22.

the Prime Minister, whoever that is, that such an undertaking will be

:46:23.:46:27.

given. Thank you very much, Brian Taylor, our political editor in

:46:28.:46:31.

Scotland. We're going to hear from Downing Street in just a moment, I

:46:32.:46:36.

understand. A quick word with you, Professor Nicola McEwen. I'll come

:46:37.:46:41.

to you in just a moment, because I want to cross live to Westminster

:46:42.:46:46.

and our political editor Laura Kuenssberg, who is outside number

:46:47.:46:50.

ten. What a roller-coaster night. You'd assessment of where we are

:46:51.:46:56.

this morning? It's very fluid. It's clear Theresa May is going to try to

:46:57.:47:02.

stay. I've spoken to senior Tories who spoken to her directly. I've

:47:03.:47:05.

spoken to a senior Cabinet minister who says it's the right thing she

:47:06.:47:10.

tries to do her constitutional duty to put forward a government. There's

:47:11.:47:13.

a sense inside the Tory party that the thing anybody wants is another

:47:14.:47:19.

general election. And if they were plunged immediately into another

:47:20.:47:22.

leadership contest, which would happen if she quits today,

:47:23.:47:27.

inevitably one of the candidates might believe they needed their own

:47:28.:47:31.

mandate in another general election. And given how unpredictable the last

:47:32.:47:35.

one was, given how they got their expectations completely wrong, the

:47:36.:47:39.

one thing the Tories can probably agree on is that they do not want to

:47:40.:47:43.

be going into another general election campaign. However, there

:47:44.:47:50.

are several spanners in the works. Theresa May's political authority is

:47:51.:47:54.

badly, badly damaged. She took a huge risk and she got it wrong.

:47:55.:48:00.

Secondly, in order to stay on, she has to be confident she will be able

:48:01.:48:05.

to do gales, not a formal coalition deal, but that she'll be able to do

:48:06.:48:10.

gales with other parties and most likely the DUP. The problem with

:48:11.:48:16.

that is that Arlene Foster, the leader of the DUP, has told BBC

:48:17.:48:20.

Radio Ulster this morning that she believes Theresa May may not

:48:21.:48:23.

survive. That doesn't mean they're going to try and figure out today,

:48:24.:48:27.

but I just wonder, I get a sense that if there's going to be some

:48:28.:48:31.

kind of understanding that Theresa May can stay for now, get the Brexit

:48:32.:48:37.

negotiations under way in ten or 11 days' time, but over time, both

:48:38.:48:44.

inside her own party and inside the DUP, there's an expectation, if not

:48:45.:48:49.

understanding, that she will have to go. But it's very fluid. 50-50 is

:48:50.:48:55.

being told to me. She is holed up in there and nobody is saying anything

:48:56.:48:58.

officially on the record at all. Thank you very much indeed for

:48:59.:49:04.

joining us this morning with your assessment. That's the UK wide

:49:05.:49:09.

picture, lots of uncertainty there. Let's take a look in more detail at

:49:10.:49:14.

the picture in Scotland, with a summery of the result.

:49:15.:49:18.

Here is David Henderson. What an election this has been. Full of

:49:19.:49:22.

drama and surprises and the end result, a big change in Scotland's

:49:23.:49:28.

political landscape. Remember, this is where we started, this was the

:49:29.:49:33.

electoral map or the last two years, a sea of yellow shows where voters

:49:34.:49:38.

had chosen the SNP. Let's bring you up to date. This is the new

:49:39.:49:44.

political map of Scotland. The SNP has lost ground, it's lost 21 MPs.

:49:45.:49:49.

It is read from Labour, they gained six seats from Labour, most of them

:49:50.:49:54.

through the central belt. Orphanage for the Lib Dems, who have gained

:49:55.:49:59.

three seats. They lost out to the SNP in North East Fife by just two

:50:00.:50:04.

votes, incredibly close there. In the biggest surprise of the night,

:50:05.:50:09.

the Tories have gained 12 new seats in Scotland, that is their best

:50:10.:50:14.

performance 1983. The end results, some big-name casualties for the

:50:15.:50:19.

SNP. Alex Salmond lost as Gordon seat to the Tories. And deputy

:50:20.:50:24.

leader Angus Robertson also lost out in Moray again to the Tories. Let's

:50:25.:50:30.

see where it has left the parties. The Scottish Lib Dems, led by Willie

:50:31.:50:34.

Rennie, now have four members of Parliament. Scottish Labour, led by

:50:35.:50:40.

Kezia Dugdale, now have a seven seat in Scotland. And it's been a great

:50:41.:50:44.

night for the Scottish Tory leader, Ruth Davidson, her party now has 13

:50:45.:50:49.

MPs. For Nicola Sturgeon, you look -- you can look at this two ways.

:50:50.:50:54.

They still dominate Scottish politics with 35 MPs. There are

:50:55.:50:58.

still the biggest Scottish party at Westminster, but they've lost some

:50:59.:51:03.

of their biggest names. And just look at that swing from the SNP to

:51:04.:51:10.

the Scottish Conservatives. It's the story of the night, a swing of more

:51:11.:51:16.

than 13%. That's bound to have far reaching consequences.

:51:17.:51:21.

It is indeed. I wonder what the consequences of this election for

:51:22.:51:25.

the economy and for a business might be. Let's cross to our business

:51:26.:51:33.

editor. What is the market reaction? The biggest market reaction happened

:51:34.:51:37.

pretty much immediately the first exit polls were published last

:51:38.:51:42.

night. Then we saw the pound falling by about 2% against the dollar and

:51:43.:51:46.

the usual. It's pretty easy to see why. We now have a hung parliament,

:51:47.:51:49.

so we don't know who's good to make up the government, we don't know

:51:50.:51:54.

what the economic policies might be, so that creates an uncertain outlook

:51:55.:51:59.

for businesses. Perhaps more importantly, in 11 days' time,

:52:00.:52:03.

negotiations on leaving the EU are due to begin. The prospectors, we

:52:04.:52:10.

may not even have a government at that time, but if we do, it will be

:52:11.:52:14.

in a weaker position. Investors had been bargaining on the fact that the

:52:15.:52:20.

Conservatives would have a relatively comfortable working

:52:21.:52:22.

majority. That's not going to happen. The pound has fallen as much

:52:23.:52:27.

as it did in the wake of the EU referendum last year, because that

:52:28.:52:30.

is the prospect that investors have to take into account, maybe we are

:52:31.:52:35.

less likely to have a hard Brexit family were a few days ago. All of

:52:36.:52:38.

these factors have to be taken into account. The reaction has been a

:52:39.:52:44.

sharp fall on the pound sterling, have about 2% against both major

:52:45.:52:49.

currencies, but we can expect trading to be relatively volatile

:52:50.:52:52.

over the days and weeks to come. Thank you very much for your

:52:53.:52:57.

analysis live from the BBC business studio. Let's just pick up with our

:52:58.:53:03.

political panel. As we move towards the end of our live coverage of

:53:04.:53:13.

Election 2017. Jeremy Purvis, further observations, in particular,

:53:14.:53:18.

on the prospect of some kind of power-sharing arrangement. I think

:53:19.:53:24.

fundamentally, the White Paper on Brexit is dead, so the government,

:53:25.:53:29.

most likely a minority Conservative administration, will have to either

:53:30.:53:35.

rely on supply and demand, or it will try and get support for Brexit

:53:36.:53:42.

proposals. If that's the case, it needs to retreat on some of the hard

:53:43.:53:45.

positions on Brexit it took. So we will need a new White Paper. In

:53:46.:53:50.

Scotland, the letter Nicola Sturgeon wrote on triggering Article 50 is

:53:51.:53:55.

now no longer relevant on Scottish independence and that has to be

:53:56.:53:58.

looked at again. It is encouraged at the SNP are going to take stock, but

:53:59.:54:02.

it would be interesting to see what happens. It's probably a better

:54:03.:54:08.

scenario for the country, that we may have a more sensible way

:54:09.:54:11.

forward, and if we can get that, that would be a good countermeasure

:54:12.:54:14.

to the uncertainty in the Tory party. Briefly, if the SNP have to

:54:15.:54:20.

take independence of the table, do you have to take a second vote on

:54:21.:54:25.

Brexit off the table as well? Keith referred to that as well, but in a

:54:26.:54:30.

funny kind of way, it probably makes it more relevant. If there

:54:31.:54:36.

negotiations commence, with whoever is in government, the case further

:54:37.:54:39.

public to ratify that deal probably stronger. But this will be part of

:54:40.:54:44.

discussions one ) Parliament. Martin McCluskey, all from a later point of

:54:45.:54:48.

view, would you rather the Conservatives form the next

:54:49.:54:51.

government would you rather that Jimmy Corrigan, a Labour leader you

:54:52.:54:55.

certainly did not support, got a chance to have a go? I would always

:54:56.:55:01.

rather have a Labour government. You heard clearly from Jeddah Mayfair

:55:02.:55:05.

that if we are given every opportunity, we will put our

:55:06.:55:12.

proposals forward for the Queens speech. That would potentially be

:55:13.:55:17.

less stable than some kind of agreement between the Conservatives

:55:18.:55:24.

and the DUP? It's for the other parties, and they know what we would

:55:25.:55:28.

put into a Queens speech, because a manifesto was very clear. It would

:55:29.:55:34.

be for them to decide how to vote on it. It's obvious they gamble that

:55:35.:55:38.

hasn't paid off for Theresa May. Just how big a mistake as she made,

:55:39.:55:46.

Jamie? As a Scottish Conservative, I am very pleased. I think we've made

:55:47.:55:51.

tremendous steps under Ruth Davidson's leadership. We've gone

:55:52.:55:53.

from strength to strength in Scotland. But absolutely, we are

:55:54.:55:59.

disappointed to have lost our majority in that respect. The onus

:56:00.:56:02.

is on Parliament to come together and find a way forward. That has to

:56:03.:56:08.

involve the largest party, with the most votes in the big issues of the

:56:09.:56:13.

vote. But not necessarily with Theresa May at the helm, at least

:56:14.:56:18.

she may carry on for a short period, but would you expect she will have

:56:19.:56:23.

to go in the coming weeks? The Prime Minister is due to make a statement

:56:24.:56:27.

any moment now. We'll find out more about her thoughts then. But at the

:56:28.:56:32.

moment, she is the Prime Minister and a leader and she will carry on

:56:33.:56:38.

with negotiations on Monday. The First Minister says she is thinking

:56:39.:56:42.

about her response. What would your advice to Herbie? The point that was

:56:43.:56:45.

made about the White Paper, submission made by the Scottish

:56:46.:56:49.

Government was not about independence, it was about how the

:56:50.:56:54.

UK can approach Brexit. If Jeremy Corbyn thinks a minority government

:56:55.:56:57.

is unstable then he must think the same about a Labour one. There is an

:56:58.:57:04.

opportunity to end austerity at this election and we should take that

:57:05.:57:08.

opportunity. Thank you to all of you on the panel. Most of you have

:57:09.:57:12.

stayed up all M. Your PCH contributions to the programme. A

:57:13.:57:19.

quick word from due, Brian. The SNP won the election but lost ground and

:57:20.:57:23.

lost momentum with regard to the referendum. Theresa May said she

:57:24.:57:27.

wanted a personal mandate and to strengthen Britain's hand in

:57:28.:57:32.

negotiations. She lost all of these. A triple failure and at the result

:57:33.:57:38.

from a calamitous decision. Here we have it, a hung parliament is the

:57:39.:57:44.

outcome of the 2017 general election. The Conservatives the

:57:45.:57:48.

largest party across the UK, the SNP the largest party in Scotland, but

:57:49.:57:53.

big setbacks were both Nicola Sturgeon and for Theresa May and a

:57:54.:57:55.

great deal of uncertainty ahead. This has been Election 2017.

:57:56.:58:08.

We are the length and breadth of the country to cover all the big

:58:09.:58:12.

moments. If these results are correct, Theresa May will not have

:58:13.:58:14.

the mandate that she hoped for. So that's your new MP in Rutherglen

:58:15.:58:43.

and Hamilton. Mhairi Black is back. She was the youngest MP in the last

:58:44.:58:47.

parliament. We are prepared to work with anyone in terms of the

:58:48.:58:48.

Progressive Alliance. The SNP's Westminster leader is out,

:58:49.:59:07.

there is the new MP for Moray. Two winds, back-to-back for the

:59:08.:59:18.

Tories. He is out! The former Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, has lost

:59:19.:59:28.

in Sheffield Hallam. Voting for hope for the future and turning their

:59:29.:59:34.

backs on austerity. UK wide, this is a disaster for Theresa May. The

:59:35.:59:42.

Conservative Party would ensure we fulfil our duty in ensuring

:59:43.:59:47.

stability, so that we can all, as one country, go forward together.

:59:48.:59:50.

It's good night from one of the biggest names in Scottish politics.

:59:51.:59:56.

Overall, the results in Scotland show the SNP will have won a

:59:57.:00:00.

majority of seats in this country. The election has resulted in a hung

:00:01.:00:03.

parliament, with the conservatives are

:00:04.:00:04.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS