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it does pose challenges for the union between Northern Ireland and | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
the rest of the United Kingdom. Northern Ireland politics is | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
increasingly polarised which is amplified by the general election | :00:00. | :00:10. | |
result tonight. Let us bring in a new member of our political panel, | :00:11. | :00:16. | |
Jo Swinson, we spoke to you earlier live from your account where you | :00:17. | :00:20. | |
were re-elected as MP for Dunbartonshire East. Thank you for | :00:21. | :00:23. | |
coming into the studio. We are waiting for one result from | :00:24. | :00:28. | |
Scotland, in Fife North East. Have you heard any updates? We heard | :00:29. | :00:36. | |
there might be one vote in it. I think we're on a third recount. It | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
shows you how close it is. It is a reminder to all of us knocking on | :00:41. | :00:45. | |
doors until the last moments, in the pouring rain as was yesterday, that | :00:46. | :00:51. | |
elections do come down to one or two votes. And they can be that close. I | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
am hopeful for Elizabeth riches, but we will not know until we get the | :00:56. | :00:56. | |
result. In terms of the picture across the | :00:57. | :01:11. | |
UK, we expect the party to finish in the teens. It is not the sort of | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
advance you were looking for giving the distinctive message you had on | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
Brexit and the possibility of revisiting that question once the | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
final deal was done. We are two years on from what was a | :01:24. | :01:26. | |
catastrophic result for the Lib Dems. Rebuilding from that there's | :01:27. | :01:31. | |
not going to be an overnight job. We have our highest of the membership | :01:32. | :01:35. | |
of over 100000 and we're now seeing some solid steady progress and cease | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
in this election, which was a snap election from a standing start in | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
many cases. So I think we can be pleased with the results tonight, | :01:46. | :01:51. | |
particularly when you MPs, people like Vince Cable and Ed Davey, | :01:52. | :01:54. | |
having that level of experience, and some new places like Christine | :01:55. | :02:00. | |
Jardine. We're going to have a strong Parliamentary party. | :02:01. | :02:02. | |
Obviously you always want to win more seats. We have seen other | :02:03. | :02:08. | |
parties losing seats, then you would rather be in the position of gaining | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
seats. Where do you think this election leaves a Brexit process, | :02:14. | :02:27. | |
Mohamed Sarwar? I think she needs to go tomorrow and is a question about | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
who will lead the talks about trying to put together a new government, | :02:32. | :02:35. | |
and there is a reason for that because the Brexit negotiations will | :02:36. | :02:40. | |
be even more difficult, I think. I would go further, not only do we | :02:41. | :02:46. | |
need a new Prime Minister and Theresa May needs to go but given | :02:47. | :02:50. | |
the make-up of the Parliament, that negotiation team has to be a | :02:51. | :02:55. | |
cross-party negotiation team, rather than purely a conservative | :02:56. | :02:58. | |
negotiation team if were going to bring the country together and if | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
Adam is right to say that we are going to try and protect the union, | :03:02. | :03:05. | |
if we're serious about it we need to bring the parties together make up a | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
cross-party negotiating team to get the right result for Britain. You | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
said a cross-party negotiating team. Are you suggesting some kind of | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
national government well? It is safe to say that there was no chance that | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
the Labour Party 's have anything to do with the Conservative government | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
that is what we end up with, we will have to go within the Parliament to | :03:28. | :03:33. | |
get about past, to agree a deal, and how that deal was negotiated and put | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
together is very serious now. Should there be labour and Lib Dem people | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
involved in that well? There's a serious case for it to be a | :03:43. | :03:45. | |
cross-party negotiation is that we can get agreement across the UK. All | :03:46. | :03:52. | |
parties? Yes, get that deal passed in the Parliament. What about that | :03:53. | :03:58. | |
idea, Adam Tomkins? Were getting a long way ahead of ourselves here. It | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
is clear that those going to be a hung Parliament were no party has an | :04:03. | :04:05. | |
overall majority. We have some days ahead of us of negotiations between | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
the parties to try and form an administration. I don't agree that | :04:10. | :04:18. | |
Theresa May should go tomorrow. There is no vacancy at the top of | :04:19. | :04:22. | |
the Conservative Party or in Downing Street. Theresa May will try to form | :04:23. | :04:25. | |
a minority or coalition government or some kind of combination of the | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
two. And we have rules in the Constitution in place to allow | :04:32. | :04:37. | |
governments to try and do that in the rare cases where we elect a hung | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
Parliament. If Theresa May goes, which I think is likely, she cannot | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
be replaced by a buffoon like Boris Johnson. If you allow him to lead | :04:48. | :04:53. | |
the government and negotiation on Brexit, it is going to fail. I don't | :04:54. | :05:07. | |
think Anas Sarwar should be saying who we should have as Prime | :05:08. | :05:10. | |
Minister. They can see at the moment. From an SNP point of view, | :05:11. | :05:22. | |
do you lot back the suggestion from Anas Sarwar that all parties become | :05:23. | :05:26. | |
involved in the Brexit negotiation and that no one party leads us | :05:27. | :05:30. | |
through that? The SNP has said all along that Scotland should have a | :05:31. | :05:37. | |
voice within the Brexit negotiations and the Scottish Government would | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
like the SNP to be involved in that. Adam is right in some ways... Wait, | :05:42. | :05:47. | |
you just said that Adam Tomkins of the Conservative Party is right! | :05:48. | :05:53. | |
There are rules of the game that the players set themselves. Theresa May | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
said she lost 60 said this election she would have lost the election. | :05:59. | :06:02. | |
She has done that. She cannot carry on with a record like that leaving | :06:03. | :06:10. | |
the country into something as serious as Brexit negotiations. We | :06:11. | :06:14. | |
have seen a performance during this election campaign. I don't think | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
anyone seriously expects Theresa May to be able to go in and do battle | :06:18. | :06:25. | |
for Britain amongst 27 EU members. It is a ludicrous suggestion that | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
she has got strong and stable leadership that she promised right | :06:29. | :06:34. | |
at the start of this campaign. She has been speaking out Conservative | :06:35. | :06:37. | |
Party headquarters. She hasn't given an indication that she either will | :06:38. | :06:44. | |
or will not move from the position of leadership she is currently in. | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
Jo Swinson, in any event, does this election and its outcome change the | :06:50. | :06:57. | |
nature of the Brexit deal that we will be seeking and ultimately end | :06:58. | :07:02. | |
up with? It should. Theresa May went into the election saying she wanted | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
a mandate for her extreme vision of Brexit, choices that she had made | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
about what our opening position would be about being outside the | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
single market and Customs union. And she hasn't had a mandate for that | :07:16. | :07:21. | |
position. She hasn't been heard to stand up and debate it against other | :07:22. | :07:25. | |
leaders. I do think that this result, in the same way that the SNP | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
need to reflect on the second independence referendum having seen | :07:31. | :07:33. | |
the results in Scotland, Theresa May needs to reflect on the way that she | :07:34. | :07:38. | |
has been pursuing Brexit, because the people have spoken and they have | :07:39. | :07:42. | |
not given her the majority that she sought. I want to bring in Brian | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
Taylor. It will probably not be a popular thing for me to say but one | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
way of resolving the hung Parliament is to have another election. Isn't | :07:52. | :07:59. | |
that right? Take that badge away! I think it would be a courageous | :08:00. | :08:12. | |
individual who went to the country to try and hold another election | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
having called one unnecessary election when they were in | :08:17. | :08:23. | |
government and then to say... Week that to a year, it has been seven | :08:24. | :08:29. | |
including the referendums in the past two years. That discussion | :08:30. | :08:34. | |
about Brexit, does Theresa May look to anybody here, like somebody who | :08:35. | :08:40. | |
is up for a fight with 27 nations all of whom are defending their own | :08:41. | :08:44. | |
interests staunchly against the United Kingdom? Does she look like | :08:45. | :08:47. | |
someone ready to pursue that battle in 11 days' time, having made a | :08:48. | :08:55. | |
cautious, timid, half-hearted speech and then departed from the scene of | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
her own victory in Maidenhead? She doesn't look to me like somebody | :09:00. | :09:03. | |
ready for that fight. She may recall, she may gather and change | :09:04. | :09:07. | |
your mind but it didn't look like it tonight. I've had quite like to ask | :09:08. | :09:14. | |
about potential successors, should there be a contest and that is | :09:15. | :09:21. | |
something that we will pick up on. We are waiting in Scotland from the | :09:22. | :09:26. | |
declaration from Fife north-east, no indication as to how soon you might | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
get that. We are hoping to catch up with Professor John Curtice, who has | :09:32. | :09:38. | |
been crunching numbers all night and we are hoping to hear from him, his | :09:39. | :09:42. | |
perspective on this remarkable election outcome. I will bring in | :09:43. | :09:54. | |
his colleague in political punditry. It's far too inaccurate word, | :09:55. | :10:00. | |
because of course as a professor of politics what you do is much grander | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
than that! Your perspective on this remarkable result. And where we | :10:06. | :10:12. | |
might go on the two constitutional issues, both independence and | :10:13. | :10:21. | |
Brexit. The Conservatives will be humbled by this result. This is not | :10:22. | :10:24. | |
the result the UK Conservatives expected. But they will be | :10:25. | :10:28. | |
emboldened by the performance within Scotland. There has been lots of | :10:29. | :10:31. | |
discussion about whether or not the Scottish Government should take the | :10:32. | :10:37. | |
independence referendum of the table. For me, it doesn't really | :10:38. | :10:41. | |
matter whether it is formerly of the table or not because the threat or | :10:42. | :10:47. | |
the promise as you perceive it of a second independence referendum is | :10:48. | :10:50. | |
much less terrible now as a result of the election than it was before. | :10:51. | :10:56. | |
But that does raise some issues. It can be used as leverage between the | :10:57. | :11:00. | |
relations between the Scottish and UK governments to help increase the | :11:01. | :11:06. | |
influence that Scotland has, over say, Wales and Northern Ireland, and | :11:07. | :11:11. | |
if you remove that, it presents challenges for the Scottish | :11:12. | :11:13. | |
Government in how it can have its voice heard in the Brexit | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
negotiations and in some of the challenges for devolution in the | :11:19. | :11:24. | |
past ahead. We can cross now to London and speak to Professor John | :11:25. | :11:30. | |
Curtice of Strathclyde University. How did the exit polls do, first of | :11:31. | :11:36. | |
all? I think in the end we got it almost right. We said at the | :11:37. | :11:39. | |
beginning of the night the Conservatives would get 214 seats, | :11:40. | :11:45. | |
and we would probably although by no means definitely end up with a hung | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
Parliament. At the moment we expect the Conservatives to get 319 or so, | :11:49. | :11:52. | |
so a slight underestimate but the essential story correct. The SNP, | :11:53. | :12:01. | |
34, maybe ending up at 35. That is as accurate as you are going to get, | :12:02. | :12:05. | |
it will never be spot-on, but we did tell the nation at ten o'clock | :12:06. | :12:08. | |
roughly what the story was, and above all, that the Prime Minister's | :12:09. | :12:17. | |
decision to call the election has basically backfired spectacularly. | :12:18. | :12:20. | |
Backfired to the extent that we're going to need a new Prime Minister, | :12:21. | :12:25. | |
do you think? That is a decision for the Conservative Party. It is | :12:26. | :12:28. | |
perfectly clear that the only administration that can be formed is | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
a conservative led administration and, indeed, so long as they can get | :12:33. | :12:39. | |
the DUP onside that will take them past the 325 mark I given that Sinn | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
Fein are winning as many as seven seats in Northern Ireland, there | :12:44. | :12:50. | |
will only be 643 MPs in the next Parliament, so the Conservative | :12:51. | :12:53. | |
Party can for all practical purposes as long as they have the DUP onside | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
will have a small majority, but politically, the reaction in the | :12:57. | :13:02. | |
Conservative Party is going to be, we went into this election with a 16 | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
point lead, at some point a 20 point lead and we ended up with just a | :13:07. | :13:10. | |
3-point lead which ended up being insufficient to return an overall | :13:11. | :13:16. | |
majority. Given that clearly, behind-the-scenes there were quite | :13:17. | :13:19. | |
substantial criticisms of the Prime Minister's campaign and the mistakes | :13:20. | :13:22. | |
that were made on the so-called dementia tax, and then we came to | :13:23. | :13:29. | |
understand that she was not somebody you found it easy to deal with the | :13:30. | :13:34. | |
unexpected, with the interchange with journalists and in casual | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
conversation, in the way that is pretty essential. She was constantly | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
wanting to rehearse preferred answers. She didn't look like | :13:45. | :13:49. | |
someone who did think on her feet. In contrast, Jeremy Corbyn, who at | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
the beginning of the election, most voters had just written off as a | :13:54. | :13:58. | |
party leader, because he campaigned at least as well as Theresa May, | :13:59. | :14:03. | |
because he came up with a popular manifesto, more popular than hers, | :14:04. | :14:09. | |
many voters re-evaluated their view of the leaders. In truth, what | :14:10. | :14:14. | |
Jeremy Corbyn has achieved in terms of his personal popularity is | :14:15. | :14:17. | |
unprecedented in polling history. Usually in polling history if the | :14:18. | :14:23. | |
public have decided you're not a good leader you can not turn it | :14:24. | :14:26. | |
around. Jeremy Corbyn managed to turn around his position in just | :14:27. | :14:31. | |
four short weeks. Given that the Conservatives put together a | :14:32. | :14:37. | |
programme based on a landslide, in these circumstances, what bits of | :14:38. | :14:40. | |
that programme, that manifesto, might have to be traded away, do you | :14:41. | :14:48. | |
think? That is a very good question. The problem, of course, the big task | :14:49. | :14:56. | |
that faces this next government is indeed negotiating Brexit. And, | :14:57. | :15:01. | |
given that the Conservative Party, shall we say, are not entirely | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
united on the subject, given what Theresa May was trying to do was to | :15:05. | :15:09. | |
make it possible for her to reach an accommodation with the EU that would | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
involve compromises for those at the hard Brexit end of her party, than | :15:14. | :15:17. | |
they would like, she will now not have that freedom of movement. In | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
truth, one might want to say to her in that situation that, actually, a | :15:23. | :15:28. | |
central position, that the government would try to reach an | :15:29. | :15:31. | |
accommodation with the opposition as to what the UK negotiating position | :15:32. | :15:36. | |
should be, so that she therefore the wood no what the House of Commons | :15:37. | :15:40. | |
might and might not accommodate. I've heard some people suggest that | :15:41. | :15:43. | |
that should be the case this morning. That would require Theresa | :15:44. | :15:48. | |
May not just add insult her party in a way that so far she has shown | :15:49. | :15:53. | |
little appetite for doing, but actually, to be willing to reach | :15:54. | :15:56. | |
across the floor of the House of Commons. That would require a very, | :15:57. | :15:58. | |
very different style of government. Otherwise, I suspect that | :15:59. | :16:10. | |
Conservative proposals for the financing of social care for older | :16:11. | :16:14. | |
people in England, those will probably bite the dust very rapidly. | :16:15. | :16:19. | |
And in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon appears to have, or has won the | :16:20. | :16:25. | |
election north of the border, with the largest number of seats, I think | :16:26. | :16:31. | |
it's 34 at the moment. But she said she will reflect on that result, so | :16:32. | :16:36. | |
what kind of reflection do you think she might have? I think clearly the | :16:37. | :16:43. | |
concern for the SNP must be that some of the momentum that has been | :16:44. | :16:47. | |
behind the independence movement, which survived the defeat in the | :16:48. | :16:52. | |
referendum three years ago, some of that has gone. One of the | :16:53. | :16:57. | |
interesting things, apart from the opinion polls in Scotland, which | :16:58. | :17:00. | |
were beginning to pick up the rise in Labour support north of the | :17:01. | :17:04. | |
border towards the end of the campaign, was that again, much of it | :17:05. | :17:08. | |
was happening among younger people, and that the SNP was losing the | :17:09. | :17:14. | |
enthusiasm of younger people in Scotland, who hitherto had been keen | :17:15. | :17:18. | |
on independence and keen on footing for the SNP. What the opinion polls | :17:19. | :17:24. | |
also told us was that we should be careful of leading directly the | :17:25. | :17:26. | |
level of support for independence from the level of support for the | :17:27. | :17:32. | |
SNP, because only around three quarters of those who voted US in | :17:33. | :17:38. | |
2014 said they were going to vote for the SNP. It may well be that the | :17:39. | :17:48. | |
SNP will have to reflect, as well as rushing a second independence | :17:49. | :17:52. | |
referendum, may want to reflect on the domestic record, not least on | :17:53. | :17:56. | |
schools, it's beginning to undermine their support among those, who on | :17:57. | :18:02. | |
the constitutional question, are still willing to support the | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
nationalist position. Thanks very much for your perspective. Professor | :18:07. | :18:14. | |
John Curtice live from London. We will be live in Glenrothes fairly | :18:15. | :18:19. | |
shortly, we think, for the declaration. I'm hoping so, I have | :18:20. | :18:25. | |
my fingers crossed. There have been three recounts in the Fife | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
north-east constituency. A very close contest, perhaps just one vote | :18:30. | :18:34. | |
in it. The last time we checked, it seemed the count was leaning towards | :18:35. | :18:39. | |
the Liberal Democrats, but could it be that the SNP hold on? We will | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
find out, we hope, in the next few minutes. In the meantime, let's pick | :18:45. | :18:48. | |
up with Jackie and this morning's headlines. | :18:49. | :18:53. | |
If you are just waking up, you're waking up to a new political dawn. | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
The BBC is predicting a hung parliament. The Conservatives are | :18:58. | :19:02. | |
unlikely to have an overall majority. Pressure is already | :19:03. | :19:05. | |
growing on Theresa May to stand aside. She has not uttered the words | :19:06. | :19:12. | |
as we saw her account. In Scotland, the party registered their best | :19:13. | :19:17. | |
result since the early 1980s. The Scottish Secretary David Mundell is | :19:18. | :19:24. | |
now one of 13 Conservative MPs. The SNP is still the largest party. It's | :19:25. | :19:30. | |
easy to forget that, after the seismic victory two years ago. But | :19:31. | :19:35. | |
they have lost 21. Conservatives with the Lucky 13 for them so far, | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
Labour on Southern, gained six overnight and the Lib Dems on four. | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
One of the night's most dramatic moments came when the former SNP | :19:45. | :19:50. | |
leader Alex Sam lost his Gordon seat. I'm disappointed, I've lost so | :19:51. | :19:56. | |
many fine parliamentary colleagues. I think one thing the polls did not | :19:57. | :20:01. | |
detect at all was a late recovery in Labour Party fortunes, based on the | :20:02. | :20:04. | |
admiration of a lot of people for the performance of Jeremy Corbyn | :20:05. | :20:07. | |
during this general election campaign. The newspapers are owed. | :20:08. | :20:13. | |
The National has some top the night like this. Being tribute to the MPs | :20:14. | :20:19. | |
who lost their seats. As the nation wakes up to news of that hung | :20:20. | :20:23. | |
parliament, let's see what the reaction is to some of the gains and | :20:24. | :20:29. | |
losses on Twitter. In a speech to Conservative HQ, Theresa May did not | :20:30. | :20:37. | |
mention her future, but obviously a lot of speculation. Angus MacNeil of | :20:38. | :20:40. | |
the SNP, who held the Western Isles has asked the question, is this the | :20:41. | :20:45. | |
election were everyone lost? As Glenn was just saying, we're waiting | :20:46. | :20:49. | |
for one more declaration in Scotland. It could come down to a | :20:50. | :20:54. | |
coin toss in North East Fife, where in the here's press in it. | :20:55. | :21:00. | |
We will cross strait that declaration when it comes in. We are | :21:01. | :21:05. | |
just reflecting on the extent of the conservative comeback in Scotland at | :21:06. | :21:13. | |
this election. They have 13 seats, and among those who are returning to | :21:14. | :21:19. | |
parliament, were taking seats in parliament, the Scottish secretary | :21:20. | :21:21. | |
David Mundell. And in the neighbouring constituency of | :21:22. | :21:28. | |
Dumfries and Galloway, the new MP is Alister Jack. They are both with us | :21:29. | :21:31. | |
live from Dumfries. Congratulations to both of you on your re-election, | :21:32. | :21:38. | |
David Mundell, and on your election, Alister Jack. Alistair Jack, how | :21:39. | :21:46. | |
does it feel to be new to the House of Commons? It feels very good. It | :21:47. | :21:53. | |
feels particularly good to do it when the Conservatives are returning | :21:54. | :21:58. | |
and other 12 seats. Another 12 seats, and actually this is the best | :21:59. | :22:02. | |
result in terms of seats that the Conservatives have had since 1983, | :22:03. | :22:07. | |
when you won 21. This year of the board might be slightly up on that | :22:08. | :22:13. | |
time. What do you think the key ingredients have been of this | :22:14. | :22:20. | |
recovery? The key ingredient has been first of all Ruth Davidson's | :22:21. | :22:28. | |
success as a leader, David Mundell's success as Scottish Secretary. I'm | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
getting revamp in the year, but I'll learn how to do this better as time | :22:33. | :22:37. | |
goes on. And obviously, the big thing was Nicola Sturgeon calling | :22:38. | :22:43. | |
that vote on a second independence referendum. Had she known Theresa | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
May was going to go to the country, I don't believe she would have done | :22:48. | :22:50. | |
that. It was a mistake, and the country have turned their back on | :22:51. | :22:55. | |
Nicola Sturgeon. It was a high water mark for the SNP in 2015, and the | :22:56. | :23:01. | |
tide is now going out. But they bring in David Mundell as MP for | :23:02. | :23:05. | |
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and detail. If I could concentrate with | :23:06. | :23:11. | |
you on the UK picture, what you think is good to happen now? What is | :23:12. | :23:15. | |
the way forward, given the hung parliament? You know much more about | :23:16. | :23:25. | |
the UK position than we do, we've been stuck in a count with not | :23:26. | :23:33. | |
particularly good Wi-Fi or mobile reception. There are still a few | :23:34. | :23:36. | |
results to come. You will see how the results settles down in the | :23:37. | :23:42. | |
morning. The shape of that parliament will determine the nature | :23:43. | :23:46. | |
of the government going forward, but there is still important business to | :23:47. | :23:51. | |
be done, particularly taking forward the Brexit negotiations, which are | :23:52. | :23:57. | |
due to begin in about 11 days. Theresa May, having failed to | :23:58. | :24:01. | |
achieve the goal she set herself, to increase her majority and strengthen | :24:02. | :24:05. | |
her hand, is she now vulnerable? Will she have to go? I certainly | :24:06. | :24:12. | |
don't think so. She is still the best person to lead us into those | :24:13. | :24:17. | |
Brexit negotiations. We will see the shape of the new parliament when all | :24:18. | :24:26. | |
the results are in. I think that will determine the nature of things | :24:27. | :24:30. | |
going forward, particularly the approach that people take, what I | :24:31. | :24:35. | |
hope as a result of the result in Scotland, is that Nicola Sturgeon | :24:36. | :24:40. | |
takes her plans for a device of the second independence referendum of | :24:41. | :24:44. | |
the table. We will see the SNP actually come forward in a | :24:45. | :24:48. | |
constructive way in relation to the Brexit negotiations. I hope Labour, | :24:49. | :24:54. | |
even with an increased size of party in parliament, will also adopt a | :24:55. | :24:57. | |
constructive approach. We've got to work together on what our | :24:58. | :25:04. | |
unprecedented post-war negotiations. Labour's Anas Sarwar suggested that | :25:05. | :25:08. | |
the Conservative - led government, if that what we're going to have, | :25:09. | :25:13. | |
will have to reach out to all the parties in the House of Commons to | :25:14. | :25:18. | |
try and negotiate a Brexit deal. Is that a good idea? And how might that | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
change the sort of deal we would be seeking? I think we've got to get | :25:23. | :25:29. | |
the best possible deal, and I don't think we should be looking for a | :25:30. | :25:35. | |
deal that meets the requirements of individual political parties. I | :25:36. | :25:39. | |
think this is actually a time where those sort of party political | :25:40. | :25:43. | |
considerations are put aside in the national interest, and the national | :25:44. | :25:47. | |
interest is put first, and that the parties come together to actually | :25:48. | :25:52. | |
look and work for a good deal for Britain. But of course, if the | :25:53. | :25:55. | |
government doesn't have a majority, it does have to work with others, | :25:56. | :25:59. | |
whether that is in Holyrood or Westminster. When we see the final | :26:00. | :26:03. | |
numbers, those will determine the shape and nature of the government | :26:04. | :26:11. | |
going forward. That is a suggestion of a deal with the Democratic | :26:12. | :26:13. | |
Unionist Party, we will see where we end up. Thank you both for talking | :26:14. | :26:20. | |
to us. Live from Dumfries. Now, it has been another extraordinary | :26:21. | :26:26. | |
election. An extraordinary night. Some extraordinary results. Let's | :26:27. | :26:32. | |
catch up on all the action with our correspondent Andrew care. Colin | :26:33. | :26:39. | |
James Clark, Scottish Conservative and Unionist, 20 1000, the SNP may | :26:40. | :26:45. | |
be the overall winners, but that the biggest losers. The people of Gordon | :26:46. | :26:50. | |
hosted the former First Minister. Alex Salmond said the SNP had | :26:51. | :26:53. | |
suffered a grievous blow, but he did think they could still play a big | :26:54. | :27:00. | |
part at Westminster. The SNP might well find itself in reduced numbers | :27:01. | :27:05. | |
in the House of Commons, but in a position of very substantial | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
influence indeed. And I know that my colleagues will seek to use that | :27:10. | :27:14. | |
influence to keep the Conservative Party from power and to build a | :27:15. | :27:17. | |
progressive alliance to take this country forward. And to avoid the | :27:18. | :27:26. | |
calamity of hard Brexit. And then a little warning to his opponents. | :27:27. | :27:31. | |
Just a phrase from an old Jacobite song, in the midst of your glee, | :27:32. | :27:38. | |
you've not seen the last of my bonnets and me. Until then, the | :27:39. | :27:46. | |
SNP's biggest loss had been there at Westminster leader Angus Robertson. | :27:47. | :27:53. | |
The Conservatives overturned his majority in Moray of 10,000. For the | :27:54. | :27:58. | |
Scottish Conservatives, an unbelievable night, the best result | :27:59. | :28:02. | |
since 1983, as they picked up the fruits of the anti-independence | :28:03. | :28:07. | |
message. I think we've seen the country's reaction in the number of | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
SNP seats that have fallen. Indirect to is dead, Glenn, that's what's | :28:14. | :28:20. | |
happened tonight. The SNP also lost seats to the Conservatives and | :28:21. | :28:27. | |
acknowledge they should reflect on the result. I'm not going to rush to | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
hasty judgments or decisions, but clearly there's thinking... Let's | :28:33. | :28:35. | |
cross to Glenrothes for the declaration in Fife north-east. | :28:36. | :28:43. | |
41,000 ballot papers were verified, giving a turnout of 71.3%. I give | :28:44. | :28:51. | |
notice that the total number of votes cast for each candidate in the | :28:52. | :28:59. | |
election was as follows. Rosalind Garton, Scottish Labour Party, 4026. | :29:00. | :29:08. | |
Stephen Gethins, Scottish National Party, 13700 and 43. Tony Miklinski, | :29:09. | :29:19. | |
Scottish Conservative and Unionist party, 10000 and 88. Janet Richards, | :29:20. | :29:28. | |
Scottish Liberal Democrats, 13700 and 41. Mike Scott-Hayward, | :29:29. | :29:41. | |
independent sovereign democratic Britain, 224. The total number of | :29:42. | :29:48. | |
ballot papers allocated were 41,000 822. I declare Stephen Gethins to be | :29:49. | :29:53. | |
elected to serve in parliament as a member for the Fife north-east | :29:54. | :30:01. | |
constituency. The majority was two. A majority of just two in Fife | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
north-east. Stephen Gethins a relieved man. Thank you for your | :30:07. | :30:12. | |
extraordinary efforts tonight in what has been an extraordinary | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
evening. Thank you to you. Can I thank Elizabeth, Tony and Rosalind | :30:18. | :30:22. | |
for I think a well fought campaign, and thank you for the campaign we | :30:23. | :30:27. | |
have fought. It has been a close one, I think it's fair to say. | :30:28. | :30:39. | |
Second, volunteers from all political parties who make democracy | :30:40. | :30:47. | |
work, who have been trudging round in the pouring rain today, you have | :30:48. | :30:52. | |
my thanks, as well. And finally, on a personal note, my wife had a baby | :30:53. | :30:56. | |
halfway through the selection and she has been an absolute hero, so | :30:57. | :31:00. | |
thank you, and thanks very much, everybody. Thank you. He returns to | :31:01. | :31:08. | |
the House of Commons defeating the Liberal Democrat challenge in five | :31:09. | :31:11. | |
north-east by two votes. You can barely get much closer than that. | :31:12. | :31:20. | |
Stephen Gethins winning with 13,743, the Liberal Democrats Elizabeth Rich | :31:21. | :31:25. | |
is second with 13700 and 41. The Conservatives third in the seat. | :31:26. | :31:31. | |
Several thousand votes behind, 10,088 for him. The turnout in five | :31:32. | :31:44. | |
north-east, 71%. The SNP and the Lib Dems almost neck and neck in terms | :31:45. | :31:49. | |
of share of the boat with 33% each, the Conservatives on 24, Labour on | :31:50. | :31:57. | |
10%. -- of the vote. He was a change from two years ago, the SNP down 8%, | :31:58. | :32:06. | |
the Conservatives up 8%, Labour up two and the SNP holding on despite a | :32:07. | :32:14. | |
swing of 4.8% from the SNP to the Lib Dems. That was the last seat in | :32:15. | :32:19. | |
Scotland to declare. The final total for the 59 constituencies in | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
Scotland. The SNP finishing 35, down 21 one 2015, the Conservatives | :32:26. | :32:33. | |
second with 13, up 12, Labour on seven, up six, the Lib Dems on four | :32:34. | :32:43. | |
up three. Let's take a look at those aerial shots, they are from London, | :32:44. | :32:50. | |
of the Labour Party. He has clearly of the Labour Party. He has clearly | :32:51. | :32:59. | |
-- it is clearly anticipated that he will emerge from his House at some | :33:00. | :33:05. | |
point. His position is clear on what is now a fairly firm outcome to this | :33:06. | :33:12. | |
election, a hung Parliament, with the Conservatives as the biggest | :33:13. | :33:15. | |
single party but short of that overall majority and in need of | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
support from, perhaps, the Democratic Unionists all others in | :33:21. | :33:24. | |
the House of Commons. Jeffrey Donaldson of the DUP has said, we | :33:25. | :33:31. | |
have suddenly become very important. We will obviously talk to the | :33:32. | :33:34. | |
Conservatives in the best interests of the UK. That was so Jeffrey | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
Donaldson of the DUP. Let's cross once again to the Election Cafe to | :33:40. | :33:49. | |
catch up with the owner. There has been no problem staying awake | :33:50. | :33:53. | |
tonight. It has been shot after shot after shock after-shock. Kirsty | :33:54. | :33:57. | |
Strickland is with us having made it through the night. It has been | :33:58. | :34:01. | |
fascinating, hasn't it? Where do we go from here? What is des two going | :34:02. | :34:09. | |
to hold for us? It will be all about manoeuvring. Before the campaign it | :34:10. | :34:15. | |
was going to be about the chess match between Nicola Sturgeon and | :34:16. | :34:19. | |
Theresa May and at the end of this campaign, this night, they are the | :34:20. | :34:24. | |
two characters who have suffered the most. It will be interesting to see | :34:25. | :34:29. | |
how they regroup and come back after this. It'll be down to the deals | :34:30. | :34:33. | |
that will be done and whether or not Labour are willing to take the | :34:34. | :34:37. | |
poisoned chalice if the arithmetic allows and Labour can form a | :34:38. | :34:41. | |
minority government, then whether or not that will work out well for them | :34:42. | :34:45. | |
in the long run is a different thing because with Brexit, if you break | :34:46. | :34:50. | |
it, you buy it, and whoever forms the next government will have one | :34:51. | :34:54. | |
hell of a task over the Brexit negotiations and in the long run | :34:55. | :34:57. | |
strategically, it might work out better for Labour to hold fire and | :34:58. | :35:00. | |
put pressure on when they can, which they will be able to do, now the | :35:01. | :35:06. | |
Conservatives have suffered so many losses and, in the next five years, | :35:07. | :35:11. | |
come back stronger. Interesting what Tom Harris has to say, former Labour | :35:12. | :35:17. | |
MP, support or Brexit. You have got some interesting themes. What on | :35:18. | :35:24. | |
earth is the second day going to hold? It will be 90% speculation | :35:25. | :35:30. | |
about who is going to resign next and who's going to do a deal. The | :35:31. | :35:38. | |
Constitution, unwritten though it is, suggests that the sitting Prime | :35:39. | :35:43. | |
Minister, one that has a majority of a large number of seats will have a | :35:44. | :35:47. | |
first chance to form a government. If the DUP come on board, which they | :35:48. | :35:53. | |
probably will, I expect, Jeffrey Donaldson has said as much already, | :35:54. | :35:59. | |
whether it is a formal deal or not, I expect this government will be | :36:00. | :36:02. | |
able to limp on without any major defeats in the Commons, up to and | :36:03. | :36:08. | |
beyond the Brexit talks but there is no doubt that this is a government | :36:09. | :36:15. | |
that has been holed below the water line. Theresa May, her position is | :36:16. | :36:24. | |
untenable. Even if she is replaced by someone, I would suggest David | :36:25. | :36:27. | |
Davis if I was putting money on it, but it is not a government that can | :36:28. | :36:34. | |
be asked -- in last five or ten minutes beyond the end of the Brexit | :36:35. | :36:43. | |
negotiations. Is this a omnishambles? For the Conservatives | :36:44. | :36:48. | |
that would be an improvement on what we have at the moment! What are your | :36:49. | :36:55. | |
theories about what is going to unfold now? It hinges on what | :36:56. | :37:00. | |
Theresa May decides to do now and what pressure she is put under | :37:01. | :37:04. | |
inside the party. You have to talk about the fact that the exit | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
negotiations start in 11 days' time but the other question is, if you go | :37:10. | :37:14. | |
into this Brexit talks with all of those EU leaders thinking, actually, | :37:15. | :37:19. | |
you are a lame duck, you went into this election with a 20% advantage | :37:20. | :37:23. | |
in the opinion polls, you thought you would come out stronger and you | :37:24. | :37:27. | |
have come out weaker, so she might have to consider future, there is | :37:28. | :37:30. | |
the doubt about that whatsoever. Until that happens we won't do what | :37:31. | :37:34. | |
the other parties can do. Jeremy Corbyn is going to do a speech this | :37:35. | :37:39. | |
morning making all sorts of challenges that she should stand | :37:40. | :37:44. | |
down. He will start setting out his stall, with scenarios about what the | :37:45. | :37:47. | |
left can do with some kind of anti-Brexit alliance, but her | :37:48. | :37:53. | |
decision is absolutely pivotal. A quick prediction, in a word, what | :37:54. | :37:56. | |
happens next? I genuinely don't know. She can quite easily say, the | :37:57. | :38:06. | |
nation requires stable leadership. If I was putting money on it I would | :38:07. | :38:11. | |
say that we will continue with an already Conservative government led | :38:12. | :38:15. | |
by someone other than Theresa May. I think we will see a swift | :38:16. | :38:18. | |
resignation from Theresa May and a minority Conservative government. If | :38:19. | :38:23. | |
you want to letters know your thoughts and views on what could | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
possibly happen over the next few hours, weeks and months, remember it | :38:27. | :38:38. | |
is #bbcelection. We are heading towards a minority of chaos, not a | :38:39. | :38:45. | |
coalition of chaos, that was copyright Lord Purves of the Lib | :38:46. | :38:54. | |
Dems. We will hear from the panel and a little while. We can cross the | :38:55. | :39:04. | |
Glenrothes, there are still around going on were the SNP held on with | :39:05. | :39:15. | |
two, Laura McIver. Stephen Gethins of the SNP winning with just two | :39:16. | :39:21. | |
votes in it at the end after four counts in Glenrothes for the North | :39:22. | :39:27. | |
Fife seat. It seems it went twice to the Lib Dems, two ties to the SNP. | :39:28. | :39:32. | |
In the end there were deep discussions going on with the | :39:33. | :39:34. | |
returning officer, their candidates and their agents who went on to make | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
the declaration of Stephen Gethins as the winner. But the Lib Dem | :39:40. | :39:45. | |
candidate in her speech on the state said that there could be further | :39:46. | :39:49. | |
action after this vote because it was obviously such a close one. | :39:50. | :39:53. | |
Things are winding down and victory has been declared but it sounds like | :39:54. | :39:57. | |
it is possible that this could be something that ends up being | :39:58. | :40:00. | |
challenged in a couple of days' time. Just to be clear, when the | :40:01. | :40:06. | |
declaration was made, was that not, does it, in itself, mean that the | :40:07. | :40:11. | |
Lib Dems, the two main contenders have accepted that result? You are | :40:12. | :40:16. | |
saying that the Lib Dems have not accepted that result? It would | :40:17. | :40:20. | |
appear that they had because that would be the end of it for them, | :40:21. | :40:25. | |
being on the stage together, but she talked about the possibility of | :40:26. | :40:29. | |
further action. Whether this is something that she could end up | :40:30. | :40:33. | |
appealing for it, asking for it to be looked into further, I am not | :40:34. | :40:38. | |
sure. Stephen Gethins has been declared the SNP MP for North East | :40:39. | :40:42. | |
Fife after a very long night and lots and lots of counting. Thank you | :40:43. | :40:47. | |
for keeping as a cross that story throughout the night. We will let | :40:48. | :40:53. | |
you get away and have some rest. The majority last time was 5344 and that | :40:54. | :41:02. | |
is down to two. It seems that after a recount and a further recount, the | :41:03. | :41:05. | |
victim we switched sides on more than one occasion. Let me bring in | :41:06. | :41:11. | |
Lord Purves for the Lib Dems. Is there anything your party or | :41:12. | :41:15. | |
candidate could do, given that that declaration has now been made? Can I | :41:16. | :41:18. | |
congratulate Elizabeth for the campaign that she thought? She did a | :41:19. | :41:25. | |
brilliant job in the circumstances. As someone who was first elected | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
after two recounts I can understand the nerves that would have been | :41:30. | :41:34. | |
there. From my recollection in my count the returning officer can make | :41:35. | :41:37. | |
a decision and that is the decision that will stand on the night and it | :41:38. | :41:42. | |
would be up for our agent and party to consider their options going | :41:43. | :41:49. | |
forward. Just because of a candidate was on the stage it doesn't mean we | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
are fully accepted the result. The returning officer can make a | :41:54. | :41:56. | |
decision in that situation. The principle is that we will Act | :41:57. | :42:01. | |
honourably and Stephen Gethins' speech was gracious but I would | :42:02. | :42:06. | |
commend Elizabeth for the campaign that she fought and we will make | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
sure that all options are considered. In 1997, Gerry Malone, | :42:11. | :42:20. | |
the MP for Aberdeen South and then the MP for Winchester, he lost that | :42:21. | :42:26. | |
seat by two votes, to the Lib Dems who contested the result in the High | :42:27. | :42:30. | |
Court, the result was declared void, the election was called again and | :42:31. | :42:36. | |
Gerry Malone lost the subsequent by-election by 21,000 votes. Voters | :42:37. | :42:41. | |
tend not to like it if their verdict is challenged. The circumstances | :42:42. | :42:47. | |
that were very different and also the dynamic of the campaign was very | :42:48. | :42:54. | |
different. Quite interesting, that constituency. You are right to say | :42:55. | :42:57. | |
that, at some point the returning officer is the returning officer, at | :42:58. | :43:02. | |
some point he can say, that is it, I am calling it. You saying that there | :43:03. | :43:09. | |
was a possibility that the Liberal Democrats will challenge this result | :43:10. | :43:12. | |
in court? I don't want to read anything into this at this stage | :43:13. | :43:17. | |
because after those number of recounts, everyone needs to just | :43:18. | :43:22. | |
pause slightly and consider the options, including the agents | :43:23. | :43:26. | |
involved. I've been in that situation and that six, seven | :43:27. | :43:31. | |
o'clock in the morning, ultimately, what is important is that | :43:32. | :43:34. | |
everybody's vote has to be properly counted. Innovations we operate a | :43:35. | :43:40. | |
first past the post system and every vote has to be counted. It did not | :43:41. | :43:49. | |
help that in that constituency the Conservatives were campaigning so | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
that they had a chance to win it... A political postmortem, Shirley-Anne | :43:54. | :44:01. | |
Somerville. I can appreciate that pensions would be running high at | :44:02. | :44:05. | |
that count. His nerves must be absolutely frayed. I am delighted to | :44:06. | :44:11. | |
see him re-elected. I spent quite a bit of time in that seat myself and | :44:12. | :44:17. | |
I know what a tremendous amount of hard work he and his team have done. | :44:18. | :44:22. | |
A period of reflection now, this is not the time for hasty decision iss | :44:23. | :44:28. | |
and talking about the courts, but Stephen Gethins has been a fantastic | :44:29. | :44:33. | |
MP during his time and it has been a good into the night for the SNP. | :44:34. | :44:37. | |
Would it be sour grapes if the Liberal Democrats decided to | :44:38. | :44:41. | |
challenge, which is a perfectly legitimate course of action given | :44:42. | :44:46. | |
how close it was? We have to look at the different circumstances and | :44:47. | :44:50. | |
opportunities for them. He has been declared winner in that | :44:51. | :44:55. | |
constituency, he's a worthy winner and I would be very disappointed if | :44:56. | :44:59. | |
the Lib Dems, with a period of reflection, didn't accept the | :45:00. | :45:07. | |
result. Let's cross once again to Jackie Bird for more news on this | :45:08. | :45:08. | |
extraordinary election. You might have gone to bed last | :45:09. | :45:19. | |
night believing the UK had a self build strong and stable Prime | :45:20. | :45:24. | |
Minister, but look at these figures. No overall majority. The | :45:25. | :45:27. | |
Conservatives have lost 12 seats and Labour have gained 29, with about 12 | :45:28. | :45:33. | |
seats still to be declared. Theresa May is being asked to consider her | :45:34. | :45:37. | |
future after her election gamble backfired, leaving the UK with a | :45:38. | :45:43. | |
hung parliament. Scottish Secretary David Mundell dismissed suggestions | :45:44. | :45:47. | |
she should stand down. She is still the best person to lead us into | :45:48. | :45:51. | |
those Brexit negotiations. We will see the shape of the new parliament | :45:52. | :46:00. | |
when all the results are in. I think that will determine the nature of | :46:01. | :46:04. | |
things going forward, particularly the approach people take. What I | :46:05. | :46:10. | |
hope, as a result of the result in Scotland is that Nicola Sturgeon | :46:11. | :46:14. | |
Baltic plan for it divides of second independence referendum of the | :46:15. | :46:19. | |
table. And we will see the SNP forward actually coming forward in a | :46:20. | :46:24. | |
constructive way. With all the seats declared in Scotland, | :46:25. | :46:26. | |
notwithstanding any legal challenges, Unite of surprises and a | :46:27. | :46:33. | |
historic wrist versions -- a historic resurgence for the | :46:34. | :46:38. | |
Conservatives. The SNP remains the biggest party. Labour also had a | :46:39. | :46:42. | |
good night and an increase for the Lib Dems. The last result was the | :46:43. | :46:47. | |
closest, after those recounts, North East Fife was retained by the SNP by | :46:48. | :46:54. | |
just two votes. This eviction will be characterised by the loss of some | :46:55. | :46:59. | |
of the SNP's biggest beasts, among them Alex Salmond and Angus | :47:00. | :47:03. | |
Robertson. A quick look at the newspaper coverage. The headlines | :47:04. | :47:11. | |
illustrating both the losses of the Tories across the UK and the SNP. | :47:12. | :47:17. | |
Just seven constituencies still to declare in the UK, six being | :47:18. | :47:23. | |
defended by the Conservatives. Richmond Park, Kensington, Cornwall | :47:24. | :47:27. | |
Southeast and Cornwall North, and one being defended by the Labour | :47:28. | :47:32. | |
Party in Dudley North. While we wait for those results, let's cross to | :47:33. | :47:36. | |
David Henderson. What are you looking at now? | :47:37. | :47:41. | |
Let me bring you up-to-date with the situation in Scotland. It's been an | :47:42. | :47:46. | |
exciting night. We're close to the finish line. Let's remind you how | :47:47. | :47:50. | |
the election has turned out in Scotland. Remember where we started. | :47:51. | :47:54. | |
This was the electoral map for the last two years, all those SNP seats | :47:55. | :48:00. | |
in yellow. Let's bring you up to date. This is the way the election | :48:01. | :48:05. | |
has turned out, this is the new political map of Scotland. Labour | :48:06. | :48:09. | |
gained six seats from the SNP. The Lib Dems have gained three and the | :48:10. | :48:15. | |
Tories have gained 12 seats. You can see in the Borders and the | :48:16. | :48:22. | |
north-east and in Perthshire. Some high-profile losses for the SNP. | :48:23. | :48:28. | |
Alex Salmond losing his Gordon seat to the Tories, and the party's | :48:29. | :48:35. | |
deputy leader Angus Robertson also losing out in Moray. That was also | :48:36. | :48:41. | |
thanks to a strong surge from the Tories. Let's see how the parties | :48:42. | :48:47. | |
are faring after all that. The Lib Dems led by Willie Rennie have four | :48:48. | :48:53. | |
MPs in Scotland. Labour led by Kezia Dugdale now hold seven seats in | :48:54. | :48:57. | |
Scotland. It's been a great night for Ruth Davidson of the Tories. | :48:58. | :49:03. | |
They now have 13 seats. And the SNP, they have lost 21 seats, but there | :49:04. | :49:10. | |
still a long way in front of 35. So a disappointing night for Nicola | :49:11. | :49:14. | |
Sturgeon, but they are still far away the biggest Scottish party at | :49:15. | :49:17. | |
Westminster. Thanks, David. Let's cross live to | :49:18. | :49:23. | |
Glenrothes once again and speak to the last and be elected in Scotland | :49:24. | :49:26. | |
in this general election, by a margin of just two votes, he is | :49:27. | :49:32. | |
Stephen Gethins of the SNP. Re-elected in Fife north-east. As | :49:33. | :49:37. | |
your colleague Shirley-Anne Somerville said a short time ago, | :49:38. | :49:43. | |
your nerves must be short. Yes, it was quite a long night, but it was | :49:44. | :49:50. | |
ultimately a good night. And have pay full credit to the counters who | :49:51. | :49:57. | |
have been up all night, as well as the presiding officer here, and I'm | :49:58. | :50:01. | |
frankly grateful to everybody who re-elected me. Yes, it was a | :50:02. | :50:06. | |
nerve-racking night. You majority reduced dramatically, from more than | :50:07. | :50:13. | |
4000 to just two, as I mentioned. Is your victory secure, or do you | :50:14. | :50:17. | |
expect it will now be challenged by the Lib Dems? The people in North | :50:18. | :50:24. | |
East Fife made a decision. It's my job to represent them all, | :50:25. | :50:29. | |
regardless of how they voted. The presiding officer made a very clear | :50:30. | :50:33. | |
decision tonight, and I respect that decision. You respect the decision, | :50:34. | :50:37. | |
but there has been some suggestion that the Lib Dems may consider | :50:38. | :50:40. | |
challenging it, perhaps in the courts or by some other means. Would | :50:41. | :50:47. | |
you be happy to go through that process and defend the win that has | :50:48. | :50:53. | |
been declared? The people of North East Fife have made a decision. Yes, | :50:54. | :50:58. | |
it was tight that often happens in a first past the post system. The Lib | :50:59. | :51:03. | |
Dems and the SNP agree we want a more proportional system, but the | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
decision has been made. I've got a job to get on with, and in this | :51:08. | :51:10. | |
Parliament, that will be a lot of big decisions to be made, that will | :51:11. | :51:15. | |
affect everybody in North East Fife, not just on Europe, but on public | :51:16. | :51:18. | |
spending and pensions and I look forward to getting on with that job. | :51:19. | :51:24. | |
Congratulations on your win. Thanks very much taking the time to speak | :51:25. | :51:30. | |
to us. Stephen Gethins live from the count in Glenrothes. Let's go live | :51:31. | :51:34. | |
to Downing Street for the first this morning and speak to the BBC's | :51:35. | :51:40. | |
political editor. What do you make of it? | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
We're waiting to hear from the Prime Minister, who is now in number ten | :51:44. | :51:48. | |
Downing St behind me. She came from Conservative Party headquarters, | :51:49. | :51:51. | |
where Doctor party workers and closest advisers. The questions of | :51:52. | :51:57. | |
many people are asking is will Theresa May choose to soldier on as | :51:58. | :52:02. | |
Prime Minister after that most poetic of election victories, a | :52:03. | :52:06. | |
painful election victory, which has weakened her authority are acutely | :52:07. | :52:12. | |
mortally. It has shaken politics up in a dramatic way as we head towards | :52:13. | :52:18. | |
Brexit. Those negotiations due to begin in about 11 days' time. Will | :52:19. | :52:22. | |
she choose to take this woman to call for the removal van? We don't | :52:23. | :52:31. | |
know. I asked a contact in the party earlier and they said they had no | :52:32. | :52:43. | |
idea. It did sound a few hours ago that she was talking about | :52:44. | :52:47. | |
continuing stability, but we will see. This has been a mortal blow, | :52:48. | :52:51. | |
it's very difficult to see her recovering. Uncertainty lies ahead | :52:52. | :52:54. | |
and most uncertain time for the country. | :52:55. | :53:01. | |
The former cabinet secretary Lord Turnbull has gone on record to say | :53:02. | :53:05. | |
that she should resign, but what are people saying within the | :53:06. | :53:09. | |
Conservative Party? Because ultimately, they are really the only | :53:10. | :53:12. | |
people who could push her out, aren't they? It wouldn't take much | :53:13. | :53:19. | |
pressure, frankly from within the Conservative Party to make her go? | :53:20. | :53:29. | |
But if she is minded to stay. So far, we have heard from Anna simply | :53:30. | :53:35. | |
saying that is Theresa May should consider her future. That is called | :53:36. | :53:44. | |
for she thinks she should go. Anna Soubry is not isolated on this and | :53:45. | :53:47. | |
there will be other Tories of this in mind. Theresa May called this | :53:48. | :53:52. | |
snap election with the sole idea of taking the Conservative Party to an | :53:53. | :53:56. | |
unassailable position with the vastly increased majority. She may | :53:57. | :54:00. | |
have done it reluctantly after reflection, but she didn't. Some may | :54:01. | :54:04. | |
say she must answer for that. But it's not just that, the conduct of | :54:05. | :54:12. | |
the campaign did not go terribly well, did it? The manifesto launch, | :54:13. | :54:15. | |
the announcement of that big policy on social care for the elderly. An | :54:16. | :54:20. | |
announcement, then every street and then an attempt to pretend that | :54:21. | :54:26. | |
nothing had really changed and there had not been a U-turn. It looked | :54:27. | :54:34. | |
like MS, it was, frankly, a mess, and Theresa May will bear the burden | :54:35. | :54:37. | |
of that. The consequence of that will be a couple of things, one, if | :54:38. | :54:43. | |
the Prime Minister carries on, will be under pressure in her party to | :54:44. | :54:47. | |
change the way of leading things. To listen to more people when taking | :54:48. | :54:51. | |
decisions, to rely less on that tiny circle of advisers. Senior | :54:52. | :55:02. | |
officials, the so-called mandolins, they will want to see their | :55:03. | :55:05. | |
departments and their advice not just heard, but he did. Theresa May | :55:06. | :55:08. | |
will be under pressure from all sorts of different directions. Good | :55:09. | :55:15. | |
to hear from you, thanks very much. Let's speak to our political editor | :55:16. | :55:19. | |
here in Scotland, Brian Taylor. I said when I next get back to you, I | :55:20. | :55:23. | |
would ask you for names in the frame if there's a leadership contest in | :55:24. | :55:26. | |
the Conservative Party. Given that she has won her seat in difficult | :55:27. | :55:31. | |
circumstances and is regarded as relatively stable, Boris Johnson | :55:32. | :55:36. | |
would be a manoeuvre is once again. I think David Davis would be the | :55:37. | :55:43. | |
most likely of the contenders. He was tipped, if you remember, to win | :55:44. | :55:48. | |
the leadership when David Cameron took it perhaps with a single | :55:49. | :55:51. | |
speech, perhaps more with his flamboyant approach and open | :55:52. | :55:56. | |
approach and new approach to the Conservative leadership. I think he | :55:57. | :56:00. | |
will be seen as experienced individual, but above all, he is the | :56:01. | :56:03. | |
one who has emerged of the triumvirate of ministers gifted with | :56:04. | :56:11. | |
the joy of dealing with Brexit, it is David Davis who has emerged as | :56:12. | :56:17. | |
incontestably the prime figure in that triumvirate, because Boris | :56:18. | :56:21. | |
Johnson has been sidelined and so has Liam Fox. I think he would be | :56:22. | :56:27. | |
the one, but you have to look at the Chancellor Philip Hammond, given the | :56:28. | :56:29. | |
difficulties caused as a result of his budget overtaxation. I can't see | :56:30. | :56:38. | |
him winning. Michael Gove, not a chance. Let's go back to our | :56:39. | :56:50. | |
political panel and say hello to a new member, Fiona Hyslop, Cabinet | :56:51. | :56:59. | |
Secretary, SNP. We haven't heard yet from Morris called and James Kelly. | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
Morris, from a conservative point of view, who would you want to take | :57:05. | :57:09. | |
over from Theresa May, where the vacancy? I think you need to step | :57:10. | :57:15. | |
back from that for a minute. If you look at the options on the table, we | :57:16. | :57:18. | |
have Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn. Faced with that choice, the only | :57:19. | :57:24. | |
choice was strength and stability is ultimately Theresa May. And I don't | :57:25. | :57:29. | |
see any... She doesn't look very strong or stable, given that she | :57:30. | :57:32. | |
called an election we didn't need to have, in order to strengthen her | :57:33. | :57:36. | |
mandate, to get her own mandate to increase the Conservative grip on | :57:37. | :57:40. | |
power, and has completely failed to do so. If you look at where we are | :57:41. | :57:46. | |
now, from a Scottish perspective, it is bittersweet. I'm topping about | :57:47. | :57:52. | |
the UK perspective, where we have a hung parliament. Can Theresa May | :57:53. | :57:55. | |
really expect to carry on as Prime Minister in the circumstances? She | :57:56. | :58:01. | |
certainly can, and I'd encourage all of the UK parliamentarians to work | :58:02. | :58:03. | |
in the interests of the United Kingdom. We have to get the best | :58:04. | :58:10. | |
possible deal out of Brexit, and I believe that Theresa May is | :58:11. | :58:13. | |
certainly well positioned to do that, to negotiate the best possible | :58:14. | :58:17. | |
deal and reach out across Westminster to help deliver that for | :58:18. | :58:23. | |
the benefit of the United Kingdom. Let me bring in James Kelly. Labour | :58:24. | :58:28. | |
went into this election, there were no great expectations of your party | :58:29. | :58:33. | |
coming close, in the end, you have done better than perhaps many | :58:34. | :58:38. | |
expected, but you haven't won. You are well off the numbers the | :58:39. | :58:41. | |
Conservatives have achieved. Will there be questions over Jeremy | :58:42. | :58:48. | |
Corbyn's future as party leader? At the start of this election, there | :58:49. | :58:51. | |
were commentators who wrote of the Labour Party and said it was the end | :58:52. | :58:55. | |
of the party. From what we've seen, both in Scotland and in the UK, the | :58:56. | :59:03. | |
Labour Party have rejuvenated, the public have responded to Kezia | :59:04. | :59:08. | |
Dugdale and Jeremy Corbyn and the strong policies are putting across, | :59:09. | :59:14. | |
the investment in public services. Opposing the Tory and SNP cuts and a | :59:15. | :59:23. | |
second in defence. -- a second independence referendum. Jeremy | :59:24. | :59:26. | |
Corbyn was more equivocal about his opposition to the referendum, not | :59:27. | :59:33. | |
ruling out the Hollywood power to do so. Both Kezia Dugdale and Jeremy | :59:34. | :59:36. | |
Corbyn were very clear that the country didn't need a referendum and | :59:37. | :59:40. | |
didn't need independence, which would lead to double charged | :59:41. | :59:44. | |
austerity. The Labour Party comes out of this election with more | :59:45. | :59:50. | |
seats, mournful as and a much stronger position. You say that, but | :59:51. | :59:54. | |
in Scotland, you are the third-place party behind the Conservatives. They | :59:55. | :59:58. | |
have completed their overhaul of Labour, having done it in local | :59:59. | :00:02. | |
government and in Holyrood, and they have now done it in Westminster from | :00:03. | :00:04. | |
a Scottish point of view as well. It has been a remarkable performance | :00:05. | :00:21. | |
from Labour in Scotland who have been rejuvenated as a result. The | :00:22. | :00:25. | |
real questions in Scotland are for the SNP... That is where we're going | :00:26. | :00:31. | |
next. Fiona Hyslop has been sitting patiently waiting her turn. If you | :00:32. | :00:38. | |
haven't done so extraordinarily well in the 2015 election, because, | :00:39. | :00:42. | |
having won the selection, it doesn't feel like that. That was a | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
phenomenal, once a century election. Looking at the last two whistler | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
selections they have been the best results for the SNP in the history | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
of our party at Westminster. We have won the election and we are sorry to | :00:56. | :01:03. | |
see some standing colleagues at Pressman still lose seats, but the | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
people of Scotland have rejected Labour and Conservatives. Have more | :01:08. | :01:13. | |
seats than Conservatives, labour and the Lib Dems added together. That | :01:14. | :01:22. | |
puts is in a strong position with the above has to be put forward and | :01:23. | :01:27. | |
the mandate that Niklas vision has won to be part of the | :01:28. | :02:23. | |
Will mandate was secured barely a year ago. That is what we are taking | :02:24. | :02:29. | |
forward. The timing of this is for a whole variety of things. Most of it | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
is not in our control and the Brexit Jose certainly isn't. I'm about to | :02:34. | :02:41. | |
go to Austria to put forward the Scottish position in Europe. These | :02:42. | :02:44. | |
things happen very quickly indeed. We don't want to be paralysed by a | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
Westminster government that cannot get its act together. We are ready | :02:49. | :02:56. | |
to negotiate and discuss that. That Progressive alliance that has been | :02:57. | :02:59. | |
put forward. We are clearer on what we want from the European | :03:00. | :03:02. | |
discussions. That is something that we want to take forward very | :03:03. | :03:07. | |
quickly. We will move across once again to Glenrothes and speak to | :03:08. | :03:13. | |
Elizabeth Richards, the Lib Dem candidate in the Fife north-east | :03:14. | :03:18. | |
constituency. Good morning, Elizabeth, commiserations on the | :03:19. | :03:25. | |
result. Is it a result that you accept? We are incredibly proud of | :03:26. | :03:36. | |
this result because it shows how many people in North East Fife | :03:37. | :03:41. | |
accept our message that we do not see the necessity for a second | :03:42. | :03:46. | |
independence referendum, they accept our concern is that we need to be | :03:47. | :03:51. | |
working to minimise the effects of a hard Brexit and they also accept the | :03:52. | :03:54. | |
many positive aspects of our manifesto. You're saying that the | :03:55. | :04:03. | |
voters of Fife north-east accept all of that but actually they have | :04:04. | :04:11. | |
accepted, elected an SNP MP who are proposing a referendum on | :04:12. | :04:15. | |
independence. No, what I said was, we are delighted at the number of | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
people who have accepted our message, and the result had two | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
votes in it, and that is all. They have very narrowly accepted it. Do | :04:27. | :04:31. | |
you accept the outcome in Fife north-east, because there was a | :04:32. | :04:36. | |
suggestion that you and your party might seek to challenge it, because | :04:37. | :04:44. | |
it was so close? We, as a party made a logical request to the returning | :04:45. | :04:48. | |
officer for a further recount and this is a matter that will be | :04:49. | :04:53. | |
considered. What do you mean by that, considered, to what end? | :04:54. | :05:02. | |
Tonight, a la concentration is on the success of the campaign that he | :05:03. | :05:09. | |
ran. We are delighted in getting our message across to so many people. It | :05:10. | :05:15. | |
has been a very, very hard fought campaign. And it is fair to say it | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
has been a very amicable one with all the other contestants. I know | :05:20. | :05:24. | |
that you will say that there will be further considerations and we'll | :05:25. | :05:29. | |
watch this with interest. Elizabeth Richards, the Lib Dem candidate | :05:30. | :05:31. | |
finishing second in Fife north-east. finishing second in Fife north-east. | :05:32. | :05:41. | |
-- Elizabeth Riches. It is the morning after the election night | :05:42. | :05:44. | |
before, and what a dramatic night it has been. The election has resulted | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
in a hung Parliament with the Conservatives the largest party | :05:50. | :05:53. | |
across the UK, but short of the overall majority, the increased | :05:54. | :05:57. | |
majority, that Theresa May so desperately sought, when she called | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
this election. Big questions about her future. Jeremy Corbyn finishing | :06:03. | :06:06. | |
well behind the Conservatives but seems to be in a much more secure | :06:07. | :06:10. | |
position. In Scotland the SNP has won the election but with a much | :06:11. | :06:15. | |
reduced number of seats in this contest, and the Conservatives, | :06:16. | :06:20. | |
making big gains, along with gains also for Labour and the Lib Dems. | :06:21. | :06:25. | |
The Conservative Leader, with Davidson, suggesting that talk of a | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
second independence referendum is dead, although in the discussions we | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
have just had with SNP Cabinet Secretary Fiona Hyslop, it doesn't | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
sound like that is the case. The First Minister and SNP leader Nicola | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
Sturgeon has said she intends to reflect on this result before making | :06:42. | :06:46. | |
any decisions about the future of her wishes to have that second | :06:47. | :06:51. | |
independence vote. Lots of seats changing hands, not least in | :06:52. | :06:54. | |
Scotland, let's get all the big developments from overnight with our | :06:55. | :06:57. | |
political correspondent, Andrew care. James Clark, Scottish | :06:58. | :07:07. | |
Conservative and Unionist, 21,000 861. SNP might be the overall | :07:08. | :07:10. | |
winners but they have had the biggest losers, with the people of | :07:11. | :07:14. | |
Gordon ousting the former First Minister. Alex Salmond said that the | :07:15. | :07:19. | |
SNP had suffered a grievous blow but said they could still play a big | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
part at Westminster. The SNP might well find itself in reduced numbers | :07:24. | :07:29. | |
in the House of Commons but in a position of very substantial | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
influence indeed. I know that my colleagues will seek to use that | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
influence to keep the Conservative Party from power, and to build a | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
progressive alliance to take this country forward. And then a little | :07:42. | :07:50. | |
warning to his opponents. A phrase from an old Jacobite song, you have | :07:51. | :08:05. | |
not seen the last of my bonnet and mead. The biggest SNP loss was there | :08:06. | :08:11. | |
was Mr leader Angus Robertson. The Conservatives overturned his | :08:12. | :08:18. | |
majority in Moray 10,000. For the Scottish Conservatives an | :08:19. | :08:20. | |
unbelievable night, the best result since 1983, as they picked up the | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
fruits of their anti-independence message. We have seen the country's | :08:26. | :08:31. | |
reaction in a number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref2 is dead. | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
That is what has happened tonight. As the North East turned blue, the | :08:36. | :08:45. | |
SNP lost seats to the Tories in Ayr and in South Perthshire. We will not | :08:46. | :08:49. | |
rush to hasty judgments or decisions. There was thinking for me | :08:50. | :08:54. | |
to do about the SNP result. I'm not going to lose sight of the fact that | :08:55. | :08:58. | |
the SNP has won this election in Scotland, but clearly, equally, I am | :08:59. | :09:01. | |
not going to gloss over the fact that we have suffered some losses | :09:02. | :09:09. | |
this evening. Labour have been criticised for campaigning against | :09:10. | :09:11. | |
indyref2 but they have seen the benefit of that strategy and have | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
been buoyed up by Jeremy Corbyn bounce with the Labour Leader now | :09:17. | :09:19. | |
secure in his own position. They welcomed their return to Glasgow | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
North East, they won in East Lothian and made other surprising gains. It | :09:23. | :09:29. | |
has been an encouraging night for Labour with the prounion, | :09:30. | :09:31. | |
anti-austerity message cutting through, and I am delighted. The SNP | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
retain North East Fife by just two votes over the Lib Dems. The former | :09:37. | :09:48. | |
government minister Jo Swinson also took out the SNP's John Nicolson in | :09:49. | :09:52. | |
East Dunbartonshire. It is a resounding vote of confidence in me | :09:53. | :09:59. | |
and also to send a clear message on the views of East Dunbartonshire | :10:00. | :10:02. | |
residents about the idea of a second independence referendum. People here | :10:03. | :10:07. | |
do not want it and the SNP really need to think again on that. Back to | :10:08. | :10:12. | |
the Conservatives, and it was a tale of two Tory parties, joy in Scotland | :10:13. | :10:17. | |
but this pair down south with Theresa May's election gamble | :10:18. | :10:21. | |
proving disastrous with a hung Parliament. As we look ahead and we | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
wait to see what the results will be, I know that, as I say, the | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
country needs a period of stability. The people of the UK and the people | :10:32. | :10:36. | |
of Scotland have spoken. Loud voices have told the politicians exactly | :10:37. | :10:42. | |
what they think. Let's cross live to David Henderson now for an election | :10:43. | :10:47. | |
overview, David. It is tough at the top. It is hard to gain the keys to | :10:48. | :10:54. | |
Number Ten, and hard to hang onto them. Theresa May might have to move | :10:55. | :10:59. | |
house sooner than she expected, because that has to others in the | :11:00. | :11:04. | |
past. There is Margaret Thatcher, a towering figure during 11 years in | :11:05. | :11:10. | |
office, very controversial, but the poll tax riots and a report by | :11:11. | :11:15. | |
heroin party forced from office. She was replaced mid term by a gentler | :11:16. | :11:20. | |
figure, John Major, who got on his soapbox during the 1992 election | :11:21. | :11:23. | |
campaign and beat Labour against the odds. His later years in office saw | :11:24. | :11:30. | |
the Tories mired in infighting over Europe, and he was swept from power | :11:31. | :11:35. | |
by Tony Blair. A thumping majority allow them to deliver a Scottish | :11:36. | :11:40. | |
Parliament, but his second term was dominated by the Iraq war, and a | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
growing rift with his Chancellor, Gordon Brown. Mr Brown barely had | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
his feet under the desk at Number Ten win the world banking crisis | :11:49. | :11:53. | |
struck. He would lose his early election as Prime Minister. That | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
brought David Cameron of the Tories to power in partnership with the Lib | :11:59. | :12:01. | |
Dems, the first coalition government since the war. There are critics | :12:02. | :12:08. | |
oppose them -- criticise them for imposing austerity. Then David | :12:09. | :12:11. | |
Cameron won his second election outright so it was goodbye to the | :12:12. | :12:14. | |
Lib Dems and hello, EU referendum. Mr Cameron led the campaign to | :12:15. | :12:20. | |
remain in Europe, he lost and promptly resigned, which brings us | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
to Theresa May. She called this election early, in a bid to win a | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
strong mandate ahead of Brexit negotiations. That seems to have got | :12:30. | :12:33. | |
her into some trouble this morning, returning with the largest party at | :12:34. | :12:37. | |
Westminster, but with fewer seats than before. As we have seen in | :12:38. | :12:42. | |
politics, you don't always get what you want. It is a tough business. | :12:43. | :12:47. | |
The people decide and the power that is given to a Prime Minister can be | :12:48. | :12:55. | |
taken away. With the Conservatives the largest party, the expectation | :12:56. | :13:00. | |
is that they would form the lead in the next administration, perhaps | :13:01. | :13:03. | |
leading a minority government with support from the Democratic Unionist | :13:04. | :13:08. | |
Party in Northern Ireland, certainly, DUP figures have said | :13:09. | :13:10. | |
they would be willing to talk with the Conservatives. Let me bring in | :13:11. | :13:16. | |
Brian Taylor, our political editor, at this stage. From a later point of | :13:17. | :13:22. | |
view, the Shadow Chancellor Joe McDonnell saying that he wants | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
Labour to form a minority government and he is challenging parties | :13:27. | :13:29. | |
including the SNP, the Lib Dems and the Greens, to back that. Is that | :13:30. | :13:35. | |
even a possibility? It is not all that feasible. The way that these | :13:36. | :13:40. | |
things work, it is not a presidential election but a | :13:41. | :13:44. | |
parliamentary election. The palace, the Queen and her advisers will | :13:45. | :13:50. | |
invite an individual to be Prime Minister and that individual has to | :13:51. | :13:54. | |
be able to demonstrate that he or she can command a majority in the | :13:55. | :13:57. | |
House of Commons and form a stable government. The first indication | :13:58. | :14:02. | |
will go to Theresa May. It will be, Theresa May, how's it going, tough | :14:03. | :14:07. | |
luck and all that, but can you form a government, and you have two show | :14:08. | :14:10. | |
evidence that you can. Failing that perhaps someone else from the | :14:11. | :14:15. | |
Conservative Party will form a government and if Labour cannot form | :14:16. | :14:18. | |
a majority, guess what? Another election. That is quite a prospect. | :14:19. | :14:24. | |
The think that the Queen says tough luck? I doubt it very much, perhaps | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
it is what some of her advisers might say. Theresa May, one | :14:30. | :14:37. | |
suggestion coming out of Westminster at the moment is that she definitely | :14:38. | :14:42. | |
will not go in the short term, got somebody needs to answer the call | :14:43. | :14:47. | |
from the palace, and if it is not her, then the Palace might well | :14:48. | :14:51. | |
offer the opportunity to Jeremy Corbyn and allow Labour to seize the | :14:52. | :14:57. | |
initiative. A week on Monday, somebody needs to go and start | :14:58. | :15:00. | |
negotiations with the other 27 members of the European Union. I | :15:01. | :15:06. | |
would doubt if those members are enemy to postpone something that was | :15:07. | :15:09. | |
brought about by the UK Government and not brought about at the will of | :15:10. | :15:14. | |
those other 27. They will say, tough luck, you didn't need to call a | :15:15. | :15:19. | |
Brexit referendum. And you certainly didn't need to call an election in | :15:20. | :15:23. | |
the meantime. Be there, a week on Monday. | :15:24. | :15:30. | |
Fiona, what do you think a group of 35 SNP MPs, what kind of influence | :15:31. | :15:37. | |
might they have in this situation? And what will they be arguing for? | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
We have said we would want to see a progressive Alliance to make sure | :15:44. | :15:47. | |
that the Conservative programme, not least their austerity programme, can | :15:48. | :15:54. | |
be shelved. We want to see the cliff edge hard Brexit prevented. There | :15:55. | :15:58. | |
might not even be a deal, and they were talking about no deal is better | :15:59. | :16:05. | |
than a bad deal. Is that feasible? I remember the outcome of the 2007 | :16:06. | :16:12. | |
election at Holyrood, when the SNP finished with one more seat than | :16:13. | :16:15. | |
Labour, and the assertion was made at that point that if you get the | :16:16. | :16:19. | |
most seats, you get a shot at forming a government. Do you accept | :16:20. | :16:24. | |
that the Conservatives get the first shot at forming a government? So | :16:25. | :16:31. | |
there is unlikely to be a Progressive Alliance. That is | :16:32. | :16:34. | |
dependent on Theresa May being able to form a government and weather she | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
has other parties, the DUP or others, to work with. And also her | :16:40. | :16:47. | |
own party. There may be people in her own party, because of this farce | :16:48. | :16:51. | |
than election that didn't have to happen, she had a court case and an | :16:52. | :16:57. | |
election shouldn't have to have, she has made a mess of that, so within | :16:58. | :17:02. | |
her party, there must be people asking if they will stay with | :17:03. | :17:06. | |
Theresa May when she has made such a mess. The pressure for her would | :17:07. | :17:10. | |
just be from other parties perhaps having a Progressive Alliance, it | :17:11. | :17:14. | |
may well be from her own party. We are not in a stable position at all. | :17:15. | :17:21. | |
As we heard from David Henderson, the Conservatives can be ruthless | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
when it comes to changing leaders. How much pressure do you think she | :17:27. | :17:33. | |
will come under in the coming days? I think but got to look at this | :17:34. | :17:37. | |
pragmatically. Theresa May is still the best person to lead the United | :17:38. | :17:42. | |
Kingdom into the negotiations. Talk from the owner of a Progressive | :17:43. | :17:46. | |
Alliance, with John McDonnell, it will be more like a Marxist | :17:47. | :17:52. | |
Alliance. There is Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the Labour Party, leading, | :17:53. | :17:56. | |
leaving his home in London. But supporters and lots of media | :17:57. | :18:02. | |
surrounding his car as he heads off, perhaps to the House of Commons, | :18:03. | :18:08. | |
perhaps to Labour headquarters. Not certainly at this stage to | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
Buckingham Palace. I don't think anybody has had that particular call | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
just yet. Morris, you would expect to Theresa May to get that call | :18:18. | :18:21. | |
unless she decides herself, having set herself the target of increasing | :18:22. | :18:27. | |
the Tory majority, and completely blowing that, she might think the | :18:28. | :18:33. | |
game is up, I need to go. The rationale for holding the general | :18:34. | :18:38. | |
election was to provide that strong and stable Westminster parliament. I | :18:39. | :18:43. | |
do you keep putting her mantra, but things don't look very stable now. I | :18:44. | :18:50. | |
fully accept that. In Scotland, it's a completely different scenario, but | :18:51. | :18:54. | |
across the UK, we are now in a position where we do not have that | :18:55. | :19:00. | |
strength. We have a hung parliament scenario, and we have got to, all of | :19:01. | :19:05. | |
us, work together to make sure we deliver the best deal for the UK. I | :19:06. | :19:09. | |
believe that is with Theresa May leading the government. Might we | :19:10. | :19:15. | |
need some kind of national government at this time, James | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
Kelly, where parties that disagree on so many things, come together and | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
try to hammer out some kind of compromise agreement on Brexit, | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
given that that is arguably the single biggest issue facing the | :19:29. | :19:33. | |
country as a whole? I think the first thing to say is that Theresa | :19:34. | :19:37. | |
May's reputation is in tatters because of this. Don't forget, she | :19:38. | :19:40. | |
went to the country with the political objective of achieving a | :19:41. | :19:46. | |
bigger majority in order to strengthen her hands in the Brexit | :19:47. | :19:50. | |
negotiations. She returns to Westminster with less seats and | :19:51. | :19:55. | |
diminished authority and therefore, the real question is as to weather | :19:56. | :20:00. | |
she is able to carry on or not. In terms of how you then move that | :20:01. | :20:04. | |
forward, I think that's going to leave a gap and therefore, it is | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
quite legitimate for the Labour Party to put forward the view that | :20:09. | :20:15. | |
we could fill that gap as a minority administration. That is what the | :20:16. | :20:20. | |
Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell is proposing. Do you think that is | :20:21. | :20:25. | |
realistic? I think there's a gap in the political spectrum, because | :20:26. | :20:30. | |
Theresa May's reputation is in tatters. At this point she says | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
she's going to carry on, but I don't think that's credible. I do that we | :20:35. | :20:39. | |
actually know. I have suggested different scenarios. You didn't seem | :20:40. | :20:44. | |
to imply that. I'm explaining to you that I have heard different | :20:45. | :20:48. | |
scenarios from Westminster and elsewhere. We simply do not know | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
what Theresa May's one view is that at the moment. Jeremy Purvis for the | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
Lib Dems, your party has picked up some seats. You just lost the seat | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
you want in the by-election in Richmond Park, going back to the | :21:03. | :21:06. | |
Conservatives. And overall, you have not made the sort of progress in | :21:07. | :21:09. | |
this election that Tim Farren set out to come up with a distinctive | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
position you set out on Brexit. Will there be questions over his | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
leadership? I don't think so. We have seen some spectacular gains, | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
especially in Scotland, with the three additional seats and the | :21:25. | :21:29. | |
incredibly close result in North East Fife. Our gains in Scotland | :21:30. | :21:33. | |
means there are people with Lib Dem MPs and we will expect them not only | :21:34. | :21:38. | |
to fight for their constituents in the House of Commons, but to try and | :21:39. | :21:41. | |
add some form of sense to what is going to be a very uncertain period. | :21:42. | :21:46. | |
Across the UK, there are many many people, who voted Liberal Democrat, | :21:47. | :21:53. | |
who have new MPs, and our duty will be to act responsibly going forward. | :21:54. | :21:58. | |
But certainly, I am very pleased this evening that we are be gaining | :21:59. | :22:02. | |
seats, we are beginning around in Scotland and that shows we had a | :22:03. | :22:07. | |
good campaign, and Willie Rennie's leadership is beating fruit. Let's | :22:08. | :22:10. | |
just confirm the result from Richmond Park, which I suppose will | :22:11. | :22:18. | |
be considered as a conservative hold. They're describing it as a | :22:19. | :22:23. | |
Conservative win, because the Liberal Democrats took it at a | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
by-election. And now the Conservative Zac Goldsmith has taken | :22:30. | :22:32. | |
it back at this election. But it was very close, Zac Goldsmith had only | :22:33. | :22:50. | |
45 majority. Bleeper in third and Ukip in fourth. Here's how the vote | :22:51. | :22:56. | |
shares out. The top two parties are both on 45%. Labour on 9% and Ukip | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
on less than one. He'd is the difference between this election and | :23:02. | :23:07. | |
the last, by which I mean the 2015 general election. The Conservatives | :23:08. | :23:13. | |
down 13 and the Lib Dems up 26. That increase is not enough for them to | :23:14. | :23:21. | |
have this seat. The swing from the Conservatives to the Liberal | :23:22. | :23:27. | |
Democrats in Richmond Park, 19.4%. I think I'm right in saying that this | :23:28. | :23:34. | |
was the most Pro-remain constituency in the whole of the United Kingdom | :23:35. | :23:40. | |
and Zac Goldsmith was also a former candidate for the London Mayor ship | :23:41. | :23:46. | |
and he campaigned very hard. That is a phenomenal swing. In the last | :23:47. | :23:49. | |
column, you saw the Ukip vote going down, I suspect that would have been | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
watched just tipped it over for the Conservatives in that seat. I've | :23:55. | :24:01. | |
just been adding up, and that seat and North East Fife, less than 50 | :24:02. | :24:07. | |
votes, a few extra hundred, and we would have a lot more MPs. But it's | :24:08. | :24:16. | |
first is post system. I know you are a strong supporter of proportional | :24:17. | :24:20. | |
representation. If you cannot persuade people in the most pro-EU | :24:21. | :24:28. | |
constituencies, to back the Liberal Democrats, when you're offering the | :24:29. | :24:31. | |
opportunity to cancel Brexit and have a second referendum on the | :24:32. | :24:36. | |
final deal, then that argument is gone. Part of the campaign was about | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
Brexit, other parts were not about Brexit. It wasn't an entirely | :24:43. | :24:50. | |
dominated campaign. It was the number one issue in your campaign. | :24:51. | :24:57. | |
In the by-election, it probably was, and in the general election, it | :24:58. | :25:00. | |
probably isn't. We've seen many times over the years that | :25:01. | :25:05. | |
by-election results are not always reflected in a general election, but | :25:06. | :25:09. | |
it's a phenomenal swing to us. You have to comfort yourselves with that | :25:10. | :25:19. | |
phenomenal swing, because you no longer in Richmond Park. | :25:20. | :25:23. | |
It has been a long and eventful election night, which has resulted | :25:24. | :25:27. | |
in not more political certainty, but in a hung parliament. Theresa May's | :25:28. | :25:32. | |
snap election has spectacularly backfired on her. Her party now has | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
no overall majority. I think her demeanour says it all there. To | :25:38. | :25:42. | |
achieve anything, she'll have to do some nifty negotiating in the | :25:43. | :25:48. | |
Commons. There was no shortage of drama in Scotland, as the SNP | :25:49. | :25:51. | |
remains the largest party, although its former leader lost his seat. But | :25:52. | :26:00. | |
the Conservatives made big gains. Here is how the parties stand. The | :26:01. | :26:06. | |
SNP still dominating and the Tories in double figures for the first time | :26:07. | :26:10. | |
in decades. Here is how that translates into a share. You can see | :26:11. | :26:16. | |
not much movement for Labour there. It stayed pretty much as it was in | :26:17. | :26:24. | |
2015, but the difference in seats results in a shift in support for | :26:25. | :26:28. | |
the SNP and Conservatives. Here is what their leaders have had to say. | :26:29. | :26:32. | |
I'm not going to take any rash decisions. Clearly, I have to | :26:33. | :26:36. | |
reflect on the results and I will take time to do that. But it would | :26:37. | :26:41. | |
be the wrong thing for me to do this hour, to take decisions before | :26:42. | :26:44. | |
having had the opportunity to properly think about it. We are | :26:45. | :26:50. | |
building on success last year, will be more than doubled our number of | :26:51. | :26:58. | |
MSP 's and night, the SNP majority. In the council elections, we more | :26:59. | :27:02. | |
than doubled our number of wards and we have carried that lament on into | :27:03. | :27:06. | |
tonight. But there was one big issue in this campaign and that was Nicola | :27:07. | :27:10. | |
Sturgeon tried to ram through a second independence referendum in | :27:11. | :27:14. | |
March, and the country's reaction to that. We've seen that in the number | :27:15. | :27:20. | |
of SNP seats at a fallen. I two is dead. The other issue is Brexit. | :27:21. | :27:26. | |
Let's look at what Twitter is saying. | :27:27. | :27:50. | |
George Osborne told my colleague that this means hard Brexit is in | :27:51. | :27:56. | |
the rubbish bin. Glenn, that's all from me. I'm off to Westminster. | :27:57. | :28:02. | |
Join us for reporting Scotland tonight for a special analysis of | :28:03. | :28:05. | |
what this means for Scottish politics. | :28:06. | :28:09. | |
Safe trip to London, we'll hear from you later. We'll keep the analysis | :28:10. | :28:12. | |
going here in the election studio in Glasgow. We'll pick up in a moment | :28:13. | :28:18. | |
with the suggestion there from George Osborne that the idea of a | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
hard Brexit is now in the bin. But right now, let's cross once again to | :28:24. | :28:27. | |
the election cafe, where Fiona as new guests. | :28:28. | :28:33. | |
What a night it has been and what a day we might have in store for us. | :28:34. | :28:37. | |
What happens is anyone's guess, but were going to have a go at that. We | :28:38. | :28:44. | |
have Jenny Davidson from Holyrood magazine, Paul Sinclair, and Angela | :28:45. | :28:50. | |
Hagerty. I'm going to ask you to look into your crystal balls. First | :28:51. | :28:54. | |
of all, Jenny, what do you see in the next ready for errors? Absolute | :28:55. | :29:01. | |
chaos. If you look into a crystal ball, you're going to see a green | :29:02. | :29:04. | |
mass of cloud or something. I wouldn't like to be a fortune-teller | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
and I wouldn't like to be Nicola Sturgeon or Theresa May at the | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
moment, because both had a tough night, they've both got really | :29:13. | :29:14. | |
difficult decisions ahead of them. Theresa May, what does she do? Does | :29:15. | :29:21. | |
she resign? Does she leave the country without a leader or her | :29:22. | :29:24. | |
party without a leader? It could take a long time to appoint a | :29:25. | :29:28. | |
replacement and is now one obvious standing by. Brexit negotiations are | :29:29. | :29:35. | |
coming up in ten days' time and then in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon, what | :29:36. | :29:40. | |
does she do about indyref2? Does she backed down? Does she do a U-turn | :29:41. | :29:44. | |
like Theresa May? I would like to be in either of their shoes this | :29:45. | :29:49. | |
morning. All, a prediction on your birthday? I can see how Theresa May | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
could last weekend, to be perfectly honest. You could understand why she | :29:55. | :30:01. | |
wanted an increased majority with Brexit coming up, and although the | :30:02. | :30:04. | |
maths suggest you could just about, with the DUP, have a kind of | :30:05. | :30:11. | |
majority, that might work in the short term, if it wasn't something | :30:12. | :30:15. | |
like Brexit. The negotiations are supposed to start in ten days. She | :30:16. | :30:21. | |
cannot go into those negotiations with any credibility at all. And I | :30:22. | :30:27. | |
don't see how she survives. And I think the question is, who does the | :30:28. | :30:31. | |
Tory party choose to be the interim Prime Minister before we are back at | :30:32. | :30:33. | |
the polls in six months' time? Who's going to be running the UK? | :30:34. | :30:47. | |
Your guess is as good as mine. I don't see how Theresa May can stay | :30:48. | :30:52. | |
in her position. She has to go. She called this election on the basis | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
that she would get her personal mandate to deliver her Brexit | :30:58. | :31:03. | |
vision. She has not done that. She has sent the Conservative Party | :31:04. | :31:08. | |
backwards. She has no tenable position, in my mind, so she | :31:09. | :31:13. | |
absolutely has to go. I agree, as well, that Nicola Sturgeon has also | :31:14. | :31:16. | |
had a tough night. In Scotland there is going to have to be some serious | :31:17. | :31:20. | |
thinking going on within the SNP as to what went wrong with this | :31:21. | :31:23. | |
campaign. Something clearly went wrong. It is not just about Unionist | :31:24. | :31:29. | |
voters making their play for it. Something went wrong within that SNP | :31:30. | :31:34. | |
campaign and the SNP needs to find out exactly what it is. They haven't | :31:35. | :31:38. | |
lost the election, that is the thing, we are talking as if the SNP | :31:39. | :31:43. | |
have lost the election, it almost feels that way because of the loss | :31:44. | :31:46. | |
of Angus Robertson, but why have they lost so many seats? The SNP | :31:47. | :31:52. | |
need to figure that out fast and what it means for the second | :31:53. | :31:56. | |
independence referendum. Do you think that we will be back for | :31:57. | :32:03. | |
another Election Cafe within the next few months? I don't think that | :32:04. | :32:07. | |
the voters can handle another election. Yes, I don't see how the | :32:08. | :32:13. | |
voters will have another election. I'm going to say no, but I think it | :32:14. | :32:19. | |
might be wishful thinking. Let's put your name is on your marks, and pop | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
them in case. If you want to give us your views, the hash tag | :32:26. | :32:33. | |
#ElectionCafe is still going strong. We are now just waiting for five | :32:34. | :32:38. | |
constituency results, some knives, is in Oslo, Kendal, Cornwall | :32:39. | :32:44. | |
Southeast and Cornwall North, sees that the Conservatives are | :32:45. | :32:46. | |
defending, but there is one more declaration to bring you from | :32:47. | :32:52. | |
Scotland, the Borders by-election caused by John Lamont's decision to | :32:53. | :32:56. | |
stand down from the Scottish Parliament, in order to fight, | :32:57. | :32:59. | |
successfully as it turned out, a Westminster constituency. Let's | :33:00. | :33:04. | |
bring you that declaration which was made in Kelso, a short time ago. I, | :33:05. | :33:11. | |
been the returning officer for the Roxburgh and Berwickshire | :33:12. | :33:18. | |
constituency say that the numbers of each candidate was as follows. | :33:19. | :33:24. | |
Rachel Hamilton, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
20,658. APPLAUSE | :33:30. | :33:35. | |
Gail Hennelly, Scottish National Party, 11,000 320. -- Gail Henry. | :33:36. | :33:47. | |
Sally Prentis, Scottish Labour Party, 3406. I hereby declare that | :33:48. | :33:50. | |
Rachel Hamilton has been duly elected to serve in a Scottish | :33:51. | :33:53. | |
Parliament as a member for the said constituency. Rachel Hamilton holds | :33:54. | :34:02. | |
Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire for the Conservatives, replacing | :34:03. | :34:09. | |
John Lamont. She was an MSP for the region but now has a Rimkus agency, | :34:10. | :34:14. | |
winning, but 20,658 votes over Gail Hendry of the SNP, sister of a | :34:15. | :34:21. | |
certain Alex Salmond. She finished second. Sally Prentice and third for | :34:22. | :34:29. | |
Labour and just ahead of the Liberal Democrats, the daughter of the | :34:30. | :34:36. | |
Liberal leader of all, David steel, Catriona Bhatia. That was an | :34:37. | :34:42. | |
all-female contest. And earlier, we were saying that there was just one | :34:43. | :34:45. | |
of those in the whole of the UK for the general election, this | :34:46. | :34:50. | |
by-election is a rare example of a contest at Holyrood with only female | :34:51. | :34:55. | |
candidates. Rachel Hamilton the winner for the Conservatives, the | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
turnout in that constituency, 70%. Lots to talk about following the | :35:00. | :35:04. | |
general election result. Let's pick up on the Holyrood position because | :35:05. | :35:12. | |
there was a knock-on effect, given against the Conservatives have made | :35:13. | :35:16. | |
in Scotland and given that some of those gains have been made by list | :35:17. | :35:21. | |
MSP is in a Scottish Parliament, what happens at Holyrood, | :35:22. | :35:23. | |
particularly in the North East region? If a list seat was vacated | :35:24. | :35:29. | |
you would normally go to the next person on the list, but such are the | :35:30. | :35:32. | |
successors of the Conservatives in the North East of Scotland, were | :35:33. | :35:38. | |
sitting list members of the Scottish Parliament have successfully stood | :35:39. | :35:42. | |
in the Westminster general election, that they are running out of space. | :35:43. | :35:51. | |
There is the option to maintain a dual mandate. You mean sitting in | :35:52. | :35:55. | |
both partners? Being a part-time member of both parliaments. But it | :35:56. | :36:00. | |
is a problem. I am sure that it is one that the Conservatives will | :36:01. | :36:05. | |
welcome because it is as a result of their success in the North East. | :36:06. | :36:09. | |
What will happen with those MSP 's who have been elected to | :36:10. | :36:13. | |
Westminster, if they stood down from Holyrood, how would their positions | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
be filled? If you run out of space on the list, you just go with the | :36:18. | :36:25. | |
next one, so the list will be 129, for the duration of this term. We | :36:26. | :36:29. | |
have a political panel changing all the time. We still have your nails | :36:30. | :36:37. | |
lop, the Cabinet Secretary for the SNP, and Jamie Dean has joined us | :36:38. | :36:41. | |
from the Scottish Conservatives. Do you know the answer to this question | :36:42. | :36:45. | |
given that it seems that you do not have enough spare candidates on the | :36:46. | :36:51. | |
North East list, or those elected carried on at Holyrood and try to | :36:52. | :36:55. | |
establish themselves at Westminster? I was hoping that was a question you | :36:56. | :36:59. | |
were not going to ask, because it is a conundrum, I guess. It is an | :37:00. | :37:04. | |
enviable position for any party to be in, so many people elected that | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
you almost run out of people, but there was a protocol in place at the | :37:10. | :37:12. | |
Scottish Parliament that will deal with this and internal party | :37:13. | :37:16. | |
processes, we will be looking at this as we speak. The party will be | :37:17. | :37:20. | |
working at the machinations of replacing people who move from one | :37:21. | :37:26. | |
Parliament to another. I'm not sure that we have had this particular set | :37:27. | :37:33. | |
of circumstances. What do you think happens, Fiona Hyslop? So many | :37:34. | :37:38. | |
Conservatives don't have much faith or belief in the Scottish | :37:39. | :37:42. | |
Parliament, they just see it as a stepping stone to the Westminster | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
Parliament. That is symptomatic of some things that I have got real | :37:47. | :37:51. | |
concerns about, it is important that the status and reputation of the | :37:52. | :37:55. | |
Scottish Parliament, not just in government, as the SNP, but many | :37:56. | :37:59. | |
people fought hard to have a strong Scottish Parliament and the | :38:00. | :38:02. | |
disregard that some Conservatives have, barely months into the role, | :38:03. | :38:07. | |
they want to go somewhere else. It says a lot about how the | :38:08. | :38:09. | |
Conservatives view the Scottish Parliament. Is that their comment? | :38:10. | :38:15. | |
We are not the only party where people are progressed from the | :38:16. | :38:17. | |
Scottish Parliament to the Westminster Parliament. | :38:18. | :38:23. | |
"Progressed". Moved from one Parliament to another, it has been | :38:24. | :38:27. | |
done before. There are still 29 of us who are Conservative MSP 's who | :38:28. | :38:32. | |
are in Holyrood and you stay there. And the notion that we have no | :38:33. | :38:36. | |
respect for the Scottish Parliament is nonsense. We are the second | :38:37. | :38:40. | |
largest party in Holyrood and we are doing an effective job of being a | :38:41. | :38:48. | |
strong opposition. I was going to say about Alex Salmond, he has moved | :38:49. | :38:53. | |
from one Parliament to the other and get both roles. He was an MSP | :38:54. | :39:01. | |
elected on a per Scottish Parliament then he chose to move back to | :39:02. | :39:03. | |
Westminster, so that is what he chose to do. And since 2001, the | :39:04. | :39:13. | |
principle has been that there are dual mandates, so this seat should | :39:14. | :39:18. | |
remain vacant, and actually, John Lamont, user constituency member, | :39:19. | :39:21. | |
but a conservative, stood down causing a by-election, in order to | :39:22. | :39:28. | |
present -- prevent a dual mandate. If the Conservatives are being | :39:29. | :39:31. | |
straightforward they should say that the dual mandate is not appropriate. | :39:32. | :39:36. | |
Downing Street, we were there talking to our Deputy political | :39:37. | :39:39. | |
editor. We can see Larry, the Downing Street cat. Larry has his | :39:40. | :39:49. | |
own account on social media and it has tweeted this morning to say, | :39:50. | :39:55. | |
what?! As it stands there was a fair chance that the Queen might have to | :39:56. | :40:01. | |
ask me, not me, but Larry the cat, to form a government. Let's hope it | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
does not come to that. We don't know who will be forming the next | :40:06. | :40:10. | |
government would Conservatives finishing as the largest party in | :40:11. | :40:15. | |
this hung Parliament, it looks most likely to be the Conservatives. | :40:16. | :40:18. | |
Whether it will be a government led by Theresa May or not is something | :40:19. | :40:21. | |
that we have been discussing and we will come back to in just a moment. | :40:22. | :40:25. | |
Coming back to the Holyrood picture, following the by-election and those | :40:26. | :40:31. | |
wins for Conservative MPs at Westminster, what would your advice | :40:32. | :40:34. | |
to then be, because the Conservatives have been quite firm | :40:35. | :40:37. | |
in the past on making their candidates pick one Parliament or | :40:38. | :40:43. | |
the other? The practical thing about it, if you go back to the situation | :40:44. | :40:48. | |
when Margo MacDonald passed away and she stood on heroin as an | :40:49. | :40:54. | |
independent and there was no alternative to replace, -- she stood | :40:55. | :40:59. | |
on her own. The implication with this situation is that we could up | :41:00. | :41:03. | |
with a situation where the Parliament is one MSP short over the | :41:04. | :41:08. | |
next four years and clearly, the Conservatives have not thought this | :41:09. | :41:11. | |
through before setting candidates up for election. We will hear later | :41:12. | :41:16. | |
today what the position of the Conservative Party is on that. Let | :41:17. | :41:22. | |
me bring in Brian Taylor on that. In terms of the general election, | :41:23. | :41:27. | |
Brian, 2015 not happen, the SNP would have had its best ever result. | :41:28. | :41:32. | |
It is its second best ever result, but the extent of their losses make | :41:33. | :41:37. | |
it look quite difficult. In terms of history this is a good result for | :41:38. | :41:40. | |
the Conservative Party. They previously gained a maximum of 11 | :41:41. | :41:46. | |
seats and struggled to go beyond that in Westminster because it was | :41:47. | :41:54. | |
seen that they could not form the UK Government, so 2015 hadn't happened, | :41:55. | :41:56. | |
this would be an excellent result for the SNP. 2015 took them to a new | :41:57. | :42:05. | |
plateau, and they have descended from it. Politics is about winning | :42:06. | :42:09. | |
and losing but also about momentum and the momentum is probably not | :42:10. | :42:12. | |
with the SNP as a consequence of these results. We have heard it said | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
that indyref2 is now dead. I'm not sure whether I entirely endorse | :42:19. | :42:23. | |
that, but it appears to be ailing and struggling a little bit to the | :42:24. | :42:28. | |
extent that Nicola Sturgeon is now saying that she's going to have to | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
consider her position with regard to that. But she postponed indyref2, | :42:32. | :42:39. | |
maybe not, because she would say that it is already postponed until | :42:40. | :42:43. | |
beyond the period of Brexit. Is it, in practice, deferred for a | :42:44. | :42:50. | |
substantial period? I think, in practice, it is, because it is not | :42:51. | :42:54. | |
just for the Scottish Government or the SNP but for the UK Government, | :42:55. | :42:59. | |
whoever might be Prime Minister, to say that they are not particularly | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
keen on that going forward, at this time within the timetable of Brexit. | :43:04. | :43:08. | |
Another thing about the results in Scotland, Nicola McKeown, just how | :43:09. | :43:12. | |
many of them were really pretty close. Quite a lot of them. We saw | :43:13. | :43:21. | |
that dramatic result in North East Fife with just two votes in it. | :43:22. | :43:26. | |
There are 12 seats with majorities of less than 500. Some with less | :43:27. | :43:32. | |
than 100. Most of those are seats that the SNP have held onto, but not | :43:33. | :43:40. | |
all of them. There are one or two for the Conservatives and Labour as | :43:41. | :43:46. | |
well. Let's pick up with our political panel once again, Fiona | :43:47. | :43:53. | |
Hyslop, Brian Taylor has suggested that if indyref2 was not dead as | :43:54. | :43:57. | |
Conservative Leader Rick Dennison has suggested, then the idea of like | :43:58. | :44:01. | |
having that vote in next couple of years is fading. We will not be | :44:02. | :44:10. | |
having that, we agreed with Theresa May that now is not the time and we | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
will consider it at the appropriate time. We have to deal with the | :44:14. | :44:20. | |
Brexit situation. If you compare and contrast, the Conservatives went and | :44:21. | :44:23. | |
try to increase their mandate and they have got less than 50% of votes | :44:24. | :44:28. | |
across the UK. In Scotland the SNP has had its second best result ever | :44:29. | :44:33. | |
at Westminster. And we have received over 50% of the vote. In the | :44:34. | :44:39. | |
campaign it is quite interesting. You said that if that was the | :44:40. | :44:43. | |
outcome that would put a triple lock on your proposals for independence. | :44:44. | :44:46. | |
I have not heard you say that during the course of discussions this | :44:47. | :44:53. | |
morning. We have a mandate. The mandate for the independence | :44:54. | :44:55. | |
referendum was secured a year ago in the Scottish Parliament elections. | :44:56. | :45:01. | |
We said victory for the SNP, and it is a victory, we have received over | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
50% of the vote... It is a triple lock, then, you're going ahead with | :45:07. | :45:12. | |
the independence referendum? We have secured the mandate, over 50% of the | :45:13. | :45:15. | |
vote, which strengthens our position, and in terms of being part | :45:16. | :45:21. | |
of the Brexit negotiations, which is the immediate issue, we are the | :45:22. | :45:24. | |
third biggest party in Westminster, that gives us a very powerful | :45:25. | :45:30. | |
position any hung Parliament. We will have to identify with the UK | :45:31. | :45:33. | |
Government how we can take that forward, but, of course, we are the | :45:34. | :45:37. | |
party of independence, and we believe in that, and the | :45:38. | :45:42. | |
Conservative -- the Scottish people have rejected the single issue that | :45:43. | :45:47. | |
Labour and the Conservatives made that and they have been rejected by | :45:48. | :45:51. | |
the voters. Collectively those parties got the lion's share of the | :45:52. | :45:56. | |
boats. They stood individually. There are different ways of | :45:57. | :45:59. | |
interpreting the result and what the people of Scotland were trying to | :46:00. | :46:00. | |
communicate. We have traditionally been squeezed | :46:01. | :46:09. | |
at Westminster elections, because people know we don't have enough MPs | :46:10. | :46:17. | |
to form a government. People identified that the Conservatives | :46:18. | :46:21. | |
were struggling, Theresa May was struggling, Jeremy Corbyn was | :46:22. | :46:26. | |
appealing and had a social democratic programme very similar to | :46:27. | :46:31. | |
the SNP's, appealing to people in England. People had a choice as to | :46:32. | :46:35. | |
weather they wanted a clear result in the Westminster election and I | :46:36. | :46:39. | |
think it's quite remarkable in those circumstances, that we still managed | :46:40. | :46:45. | |
to get 35 MPs out of a total of 59. Quite remarkable. The party down | :46:46. | :46:51. | |
more than 20 seats at this election. James Kelly, some of those picked up | :46:52. | :46:55. | |
by the Labour Party, but you come out of this election in third place | :46:56. | :46:59. | |
in Scotland, behind the Conservatives at Holyrood and in | :47:00. | :47:03. | |
local government. In that sense, you have actually gone further back? | :47:04. | :47:09. | |
Even if you go back just a few weeks ago in the council elections, we | :47:10. | :47:14. | |
took 20% of the vote, and last night, we took up to 20% of the | :47:15. | :47:20. | |
vote, so we have moved on just in the space of the few short weeks. I | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
think the big story in the election, there are two strands. People on the | :47:26. | :47:30. | |
doorstep are really fed up with the SNP obsessing about the referendum. | :47:31. | :47:33. | |
Nicola Sturgeon completely misjudged the mood of the public. Remember | :47:34. | :47:39. | |
that press conference at Bute house, announcing, we're going to have | :47:40. | :47:42. | |
another referendum. They thought the public would going behind them. The | :47:43. | :47:47. | |
story of this election is that the public have rejected that. And that | :47:48. | :47:58. | |
also fed up, after ten years, they want to see action on the ailing | :47:59. | :48:00. | |
health service and the declining standards in schools. That's the | :48:01. | :48:02. | |
real lesson Nicola Sturgeon need to reflect on. Nicola Sturgeon launched | :48:03. | :48:10. | |
that back in March with a press conference at Bute house. That hung | :48:11. | :48:13. | |
over the local elections and it dominated this campaign. I've got an | :48:14. | :48:20. | |
important developed to bring new. The BBC now understands that Theresa | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
May has no intention of standing down as Prime Minister and party | :48:24. | :48:28. | |
leader. Weather that is a position that she will maintain, weather it's | :48:29. | :48:32. | |
a position that she will articulate at some point this morning, we will | :48:33. | :48:38. | |
wait and see, but certainly, the BBC's understanding is that she does | :48:39. | :48:46. | |
not intend to stand down. After this incredible election, let's pick up | :48:47. | :48:51. | |
with Brian Taylor on some of the key moments in Scotland. The key moments | :48:52. | :48:55. | |
in Scotland, the memory has got to be Alex Salmond losing his seat. He | :48:56. | :48:59. | |
did so with dignity and humour, which is to his credit, but | :49:00. | :49:05. | |
nonetheless, he lost. I've known Alex Salmond for ever and I think | :49:06. | :49:09. | |
it's the first election he is ever lost since he stood for office in | :49:10. | :49:14. | |
the student Representative Council at St Andrews University. It's | :49:15. | :49:21. | |
almost an icon of the evening for the SNP. Yes, they've won 35 seats, | :49:22. | :49:27. | |
but they have lost big names. They have lost ground. They have won the | :49:28. | :49:32. | |
election but lost ground. And the future of politics will depend upon | :49:33. | :49:36. | |
which of those narratives is more compelling, the victory in the | :49:37. | :49:40. | |
election or losing ground. I think in the short term, it's likely to be | :49:41. | :49:44. | |
losing ground that is compelling in terms of the impact on the | :49:45. | :49:48. | |
independence referendum. If I may talk about the UK briefly, this is | :49:49. | :49:55. | |
an appalling result for the Conservatives, given the nature of | :49:56. | :50:02. | |
the campaign. They created a completely unnecessary election and | :50:03. | :50:06. | |
they have had a swing away from them to the Labour Party. Away from them | :50:07. | :50:12. | |
to a leader whom the treated with contempt, and yet, he has managed to | :50:13. | :50:17. | |
gain faults at their expense. Yes, they are the largest party, but in | :50:18. | :50:25. | |
terms of momentum, who has got the smile early this morning? Is it | :50:26. | :50:30. | |
Jeremy Corbyn or Theresa May? It's Jeremy Corbyn. What do you make of | :50:31. | :50:34. | |
the suggestion that Theresa May has no intention to stand down as Prime | :50:35. | :50:40. | |
Minister and Conservative leader? I think it fits with her declaration | :50:41. | :50:43. | |
that the codes that there has to be form -- some form of stability. It | :50:44. | :50:48. | |
fits with the fact that the Brexit negotiations begin a week on Monday. | :50:49. | :50:52. | |
If she could have a leisurely handover and somebody could deputise | :50:53. | :50:55. | |
for a spell and then you have a leisurely period in which the | :50:56. | :50:59. | |
Conservatives choose another contender to be Prime Minister, then | :51:00. | :51:04. | |
that would be one thing, but that's just not available. Why? Because of | :51:05. | :51:09. | |
Brexit. This election was cold evidently because of Brexit. I think | :51:10. | :51:16. | |
it's an incredible irony. George Osborne says that hard Brexit, what | :51:17. | :51:23. | |
did he see? Hard Brexit is now in the bin. It is Philip, rather than | :51:24. | :51:30. | |
to Jesus who takes out the bins, so maybe will have something of a move | :51:31. | :51:36. | |
in that direction. But they mist interview on Though One Show and | :51:37. | :51:40. | |
talk of boy jobs and girl jobs in the household of Theresa May. Let's | :51:41. | :51:47. | |
just pick up on that suggestion from George Osborne that somehow this | :51:48. | :51:51. | |
result will change the course, the nature of the Brexit deal that we | :51:52. | :51:55. | |
get or perhaps the nature of the Brexit deal that we seek. What you | :51:56. | :52:01. | |
make of that? Is that a likely change from your point of view? It's | :52:02. | :52:07. | |
important to remember we haven't even started the Brexit | :52:08. | :52:09. | |
negotiations, so pre-empting the type of Brexit we're now going to | :52:10. | :52:13. | |
have versus the type we would've yesterday is impossible. You have to | :52:14. | :52:19. | |
know what you want to get in the first place. People talk about hard | :52:20. | :52:22. | |
and soft Brexit, the key difference between one and the other is | :52:23. | :52:26. | |
membership of the single market. If we are in, people say it might be a | :52:27. | :52:31. | |
softer Brexit. If we allowed, it might be defined as a hard Brexit. | :52:32. | :52:36. | |
Do you think the position of the government will shift on that? That | :52:37. | :52:43. | |
they seek to stay in. I think it will be to get the best deal | :52:44. | :52:47. | |
possible with Europe once we start the negotiations. I can't see any | :52:48. | :52:53. | |
particular thing that has jumped out of me. The people of the UK voted | :52:54. | :52:57. | |
for Brexit, so that is what the government of the day, the largest | :52:58. | :53:00. | |
party who will form the next government, they will get on with | :53:01. | :53:09. | |
that job. So I don't see any shift. One condition politicians in | :53:10. | :53:13. | |
Northern Ireland might be pushing really hard for, is to make sure | :53:14. | :53:18. | |
that the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland | :53:19. | :53:24. | |
stays very much open for trade and for free movement. Might that change | :53:25. | :53:32. | |
the nature of the deal that the UK negotiates? I think the election | :53:33. | :53:38. | |
changes everything. Clearly, Theresa May thought she could win the | :53:39. | :53:42. | |
election with an overall majority and then embark on a hard Brexit and | :53:43. | :53:46. | |
then come back and use her majorities pushed through | :53:47. | :53:50. | |
Parliament. She no longer has an overall majority and is well, with | :53:51. | :53:55. | |
the Irish situation, if the Conservatives do continuing | :53:56. | :53:57. | |
government, which is not certain, they will have to deal with the | :53:58. | :54:02. | |
other parties and open up discussions, which will mean looking | :54:03. | :54:06. | |
more seriously at the deal on the table. I have taken part in many | :54:07. | :54:14. | |
debates in the UK Parliament since the referendum, and the | :54:15. | :54:16. | |
Conservatives have been very clear on the choices they've been making | :54:17. | :54:20. | |
on leaving the single market, leaving the customs union, not | :54:21. | :54:23. | |
having a unilateral decision on EU citizens' rights. The Lib Dems in | :54:24. | :54:28. | |
the Lords and Commons pushed very hard on those points. I think the | :54:29. | :54:32. | |
government now has to move. The government does not have a majority | :54:33. | :54:37. | |
mandate to force through a hard, extreme Brexit. Part of the | :54:38. | :54:40. | |
difficulties the Conservatives had in this campaign as it was unclear | :54:41. | :54:44. | |
what the best deal for Britain is, and the people were confused. Now is | :54:45. | :54:49. | |
the opportunity for a degree of clarity. The Conservatives will | :54:50. | :54:53. | |
speak to other parties across the spectrum, because the Queen's | :54:54. | :54:59. | |
speech, delivered as Prime Minister, they need to know the legislative | :55:00. | :55:06. | |
agenda. Reassessing after this election is essential. There can be | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
compromised, and the plans we have put forward, membership of the | :55:12. | :55:16. | |
European single market, I think we can get a consensus but position, | :55:17. | :55:21. | |
not just with the Lib Dems and Labour and the SNP, but also with a | :55:22. | :55:25. | |
good number of conservatives. And I think that is one of the things, in | :55:26. | :55:30. | |
what has been a mixed night, what can happen as a result of this, is | :55:31. | :55:34. | |
that corporation, but those discussions have to start. Do you | :55:35. | :55:38. | |
think there's a majority in the House of Commons that position? I | :55:39. | :55:42. | |
think there's a large number of people in all the parties who think | :55:43. | :55:45. | |
that membership of the single market is right way forward if that is to | :55:46. | :55:50. | |
be Brexit. Thank you very much indeed for the moment. We have just | :55:51. | :55:54. | |
over an hour left of this live television coverage of the election. | :55:55. | :55:59. | |
Jeremy Corbyn getting a big hug as he arrives at Labour Party | :56:00. | :56:04. | |
headquarters in London. He seems to have had a much more successful | :56:05. | :56:07. | |
election campaign than even many in his own party thought possible at | :56:08. | :56:13. | |
the start of this general election campaign. The result is a hung | :56:14. | :56:21. | |
parliament, and uncertainty about the future governance of the United | :56:22. | :56:26. | |
Kingdom and the knock-on effect for Brexit negotiations. You can share | :56:27. | :56:30. | |
your thoughts on the election outcome and we next with Stephen | :56:31. | :56:34. | |
Jordan on radio Scotland from nine o'clock. He is an election cafe with | :56:35. | :56:42. | |
Fiona. It's kind of after hours in the cafe, because our guests have | :56:43. | :56:46. | |
either gone home to bed or they have gone on to daytime programmes. You | :56:47. | :56:52. | |
can tell what a long night it has been. I managed to get Steven | :56:53. | :56:57. | |
Gerrard on, whose on-air at nine o'clock. What on earth are you going | :56:58. | :57:00. | |
to be speaking about? What a remarkable night. Those just waking | :57:01. | :57:06. | |
up this morning, huge uncertainty in the country, where do we go from | :57:07. | :57:10. | |
here? The remarkable thing, Theresa May only hanging on where she is now | :57:11. | :57:14. | |
thanks to the rise of the Conservatives in Scotland. So much | :57:15. | :57:20. | |
uncertainty for her, does the result means in Scotland? I got a running | :57:21. | :57:24. | |
order did last night, that was in the bed right now. We'll start with | :57:25. | :57:29. | |
this, you had your vote yesterday and will have you received this | :57:30. | :57:36. | |
morning on radio Scotland. Let us know your reaction to the result | :57:37. | :57:40. | |
last night. As a journalist, it's an incredible thing to cover, because | :57:41. | :57:44. | |
when the exit poll results were released, there was a huge intake of | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
breath, it took the air out of the room. I don't think anyone could | :57:49. | :57:52. | |
foresee this. For a journalist like yourself. No one predicted this, no | :57:53. | :57:58. | |
one predicted the demise of Alex Salmond. So many uncertainties. | :57:59. | :58:03. | |
These great shock waves with stealing democracy in recent years | :58:04. | :58:06. | |
repeated in this general election. And it's all down to the people, who | :58:07. | :58:10. | |
have their see from nine o'clock this morning on radio Scotland. | :58:11. | :58:16. | |
Shock after shop after shop. It was almost difficult for some of the | :58:17. | :58:19. | |
journalists here to pull out the bigger story, because it kept | :58:20. | :58:23. | |
rolling. Every seat is different, the Conservatives rising again in | :58:24. | :58:26. | |
the north-east of Scotland, no doubt that is Brexit related. Different | :58:27. | :58:31. | |
parts of the country had completely different voting patterns. We'll | :58:32. | :58:34. | |
pull that apart from nine o'clock this morning. We'll get you some | :58:35. | :58:39. | |
coffee. You can so let us know what you think, because the election cafe | :58:40. | :58:45. | |
is still just about open for business. The hash tag is BBC | :58:46. | :58:56. | |
election cafe. You coming back for your bacon roll, GB, that was she | :58:57. | :59:06. | |
was an it is almost eight o'clock. A very good morning to you. It is | :59:07. | :59:11. | |
Friday the 9th of June and it is a morning after the election night | :59:12. | :59:15. | |
before. The dramatic light across the UK, with a hung parliament, the | :59:16. | :59:20. | |
final outcome of this election, with just a handful of seats to still to | :59:21. | :59:25. | |
declare in England. Theresa May has failed to increase majority, she has | :59:26. | :59:29. | |
failed to hang onto her majority and we now have this hung parliament. | :59:30. | :59:34. | |
The BBC understands she does not intend to stand down at this stage. | :59:35. | :59:37. | |
Labour having a better election than expected, whipping up -- picking up | :59:38. | :59:43. | |
seats, including some in Scotland. But the big winners here are the | :59:44. | :59:48. | |
Conservatives, and the SNP, in that they have won the election overall, | :59:49. | :59:55. | |
finishing with 35 seats, and the Conservatives on a total of 13. The | :59:56. | :00:00. | |
Labour Party on seven and the Liberal Democrats making gains as | :00:01. | :00:04. | |
well, finishing with four. Let's pick up on some of the most dramatic | :00:05. | :00:08. | |
developments overnight, with our political correspondent Andrew care. | :00:09. | :00:20. | |
The SNP may be the overall winners, but they've had the biggest losers. | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
The people of Gordon posted the former First Minister. Alex Salmond | :00:25. | :00:29. | |
said the SNP had suffered a grievous blow, but he did think they could | :00:30. | :00:33. | |
still play a big party at Westminster. | :00:34. | :00:41. | |
The SNP might find itself in a position of reduced numbers in the | :00:42. | :00:49. | |
House of Commons but the position of considerable influence and we will | :00:50. | :00:53. | |
use it to keep the Conservative Party from power to build a | :00:54. | :00:57. | |
progressive alliance, to take this country forward. Or. And then a | :00:58. | :01:02. | |
little warning to his opponents. A phrase from an old Jack abate song, | :01:03. | :01:14. | |
false whigs, in the midst of your glee, you have not seen the last of | :01:15. | :01:24. | |
my bonnets and me. The Conservatives overturned the majority of 10,000 | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
for Angus Robertson in Moray. For the Scottish Conservatives, an | :01:30. | :01:31. | |
unbelievable night, the best result since 1983, as they picked up the | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
fruits of their anti-independence message. We have seen the country's | :01:37. | :01:41. | |
reaction in a number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref2 is dead. | :01:42. | :01:45. | |
That is what has happened tonight. As the north-east turned blue, the | :01:46. | :01:54. | |
SNP lost seats to the Tories in Ayr, Ochil and South Perthshire. The SNP | :01:55. | :02:01. | |
leader said that she would reflect on result. Clearly, there is | :02:02. | :02:03. | |
thinking for diddly about the SNP result. I will not lose sight of the | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
fact the SNP has won this election in Scotland, but clearly, equally, I | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
will not try to gloss over the fact that we have suffered some losses | :02:13. | :02:19. | |
this evening. Labour had been criticised for campaigning against | :02:20. | :02:22. | |
indyref2, but they have seen the benefit of that strategy. They have | :02:23. | :02:27. | |
also been buoyed up by Jeremy Corbyn bounce with the Labour Leader now | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
secure in his own position. They welcomed their return to Glasgow | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
North East, they won in East Lothian and made other surprising gains. | :02:35. | :02:37. | |
This is an encouraging night for Labour with a prounion, | :02:38. | :02:43. | |
anti-austerity message that cut through, and I am delighted. It was | :02:44. | :02:46. | |
the tightest of contests for the Lib Dems in North East Fife with the SNP | :02:47. | :02:50. | |
retaining the seat by just two votes. They kept Orkney and Shetland | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
and gained Edinburgh West, Caithness and Sutherland and Easter Ross. Jo | :02:55. | :03:03. | |
Swinson took out the SNP's John Nicolson in East Dunbartonshire. | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
There is a resounding vote of confidence in me to be the MP for | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
the area but to send a clear message on the views of East Dunbartonshire | :03:13. | :03:17. | |
residents about the idea of a second independence referendum, it is not | :03:18. | :03:20. | |
popular, people don't want it and the SNP need to think again on that. | :03:21. | :03:24. | |
Back to the Conservatives and it was a daylong two story parties, jolly | :03:25. | :03:28. | |
in Scotland but despair, down south, with Theresa May's election gamble | :03:29. | :03:33. | |
proving disastrous with a hung Parliament. As we look ahead and | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
wait to see what the final results will be, I know that, as I say, the | :03:39. | :03:43. | |
country needs a period of stability. The people of the UK and the people | :03:44. | :03:49. | |
of Scotland have spoken. Loud voices have told the politicians exactly | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
what they think. They certainly have. The outcome across the UK, a | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
hung Parliament, with the Conservatives as as the largest | :03:59. | :04:03. | |
party and the indications are that Theresa May has no intention of | :04:04. | :04:09. | |
standing down as Prime Minister. She is due to give a Queen's speech, or | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
to have her programme read out in Parliament by the Queen on the 19th | :04:15. | :04:19. | |
of June, and of course, before then, a week on Monday, the UK are | :04:20. | :04:23. | |
supposed to start Brexit negotiations with the EU. Let's | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
cross like to Brussels and speak with the BBC Europe editor. What are | :04:28. | :04:38. | |
they making of it there, Katja? People in Brussels, Berlin and Paris | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
are stunned as they are across the United Kingdom. One thing that they | :04:43. | :04:48. | |
are clear on is that whether there are questions about whether the | :04:49. | :04:51. | |
Brexit negotiations now have to be delayed, the start of them, more | :04:52. | :04:55. | |
than a year, it could be, after the EU referendum, can the negotiations | :04:56. | :05:02. | |
be stalled, can they be stopped? All of these are questions for the | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
United Kingdom and not for Brussels. Brussels sees this as a domestic | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
political situation. If the UK wants to extend the negotiating process or | :05:11. | :05:15. | |
even if it wanted to hold a second referendum and stop or reverse it, | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
that would then be requested on the United Kingdom that would be voted | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
on unanimously by the 27 members of the EU, plus the European Parliament | :05:26. | :05:30. | |
as well. Various possibilities but Brussels is saying that the ball is | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
in the UK's court right now. What is your assessment of how a hung | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
Parliament might impact the Brexit deal that is being sought by the UK | :05:40. | :05:47. | |
's do you anticipate changes? Perhaps the UK Government is seeking | :05:48. | :05:51. | |
a more moderate offer, if I can put it in those terms. Everyone is | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
asking those questions this morning. In Brussels, those questions are | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
being asked, as well. The chief of the European Commission, for | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
example, is in Prague, today. They will not want to make any | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
definitive, formal statement until they have heard Theresa May | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
speaking. Essentially, again, all I can say is that from the EU point of | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
view, they say that we are ready, we have been working on this were 12 | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
months, we have clear and unified negotiating positions amongst the 27 | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
member states plus the European Parliament, they want to start as | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
soon as possible. Should there be a hard race of Brexit? From the EU | :06:31. | :06:35. | |
point of view this is for the UK to push for. They are not making any | :06:36. | :06:41. | |
interpretations this morning. One thing for definite, is that that | :06:42. | :06:46. | |
clock is ticking. Article 50, that global Brexit process, was triggered | :06:47. | :06:50. | |
back in March. It ends in March 2000 and 19. So the UK only has until the | :06:51. | :06:58. | |
20th of March 2019 to get an exit deal, never mind any talk about a | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
future trade relationship or anything like that. The EU, | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
reminding the UK that that clock is ticking and it does not feel under | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
the time pressure that the UK certainly is under. Thank you for | :07:12. | :07:18. | |
updating us, BBC Europe editor Katya Adler. I don't want to alarm you, | :07:19. | :07:24. | |
but one possible way of resolving the situation that we are in, the | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
hung Parliament, I know that we have had seven votes of one kind or | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
another but could there be another general election? Let's check out | :07:35. | :07:36. | |
that possibility now with David Henderson. Good question, Glenn. It | :07:37. | :07:43. | |
was the comedian Billy Connolly who said, don't vote, it only encourages | :07:44. | :07:48. | |
them. And just maybe he had a point, because we have seen a flurry of | :07:49. | :07:52. | |
elections, would you believe, seven in just three years? No wonder some | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
Scottish voters are feeling a little bit weary, and this may not be the | :07:58. | :08:04. | |
last of them. Let's recap. May 2014 saw the voters choosing members of | :08:05. | :08:08. | |
the European Parliament. The headline was that Ukip got enough | :08:09. | :08:11. | |
votes to take one of the seats in Scotland. And it underlined the | :08:12. | :08:16. | |
growing strength of their campaign to take the UK out of Europe. Now, | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
the dust had barely settled before the political event of the year, | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
perhaps the decade, the Scottish independence referendum, with most | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
voters choosing to remain in the UK, marking the end of Alex Salmond's | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
reign as First Minister. Less than one year later another huge | :08:34. | :08:39. | |
political set piece, 2015 general election. Important because it gave | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
David Cameron's Conservatives are clear Westminster majority, at the | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
same time all but wiping out their coalition partners, the Lib Dems. | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
That led to huge shift in the Labour Party with Ed Miliband leaving the | :08:54. | :08:57. | |
floor, making way for Jeremy Corbyn. In Scotland we saw a landslide | :08:58. | :09:03. | |
victory for Nicola Sturgeon's SNP. Last year, 2016, and voters went to | :09:04. | :09:08. | |
the polls for election to the Scottish Parliament. The result | :09:09. | :09:11. | |
underlined the SNP dominance at Holyrood. This time they didn't | :09:12. | :09:14. | |
quite win a majority but they were still in power, setting the stage | :09:15. | :09:20. | |
for a with Westminster over indyref2, a second independence | :09:21. | :09:26. | |
referendum. And then of course the EU referendum, 52% of voters across | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
the UK choosing Brexit, voting to leave the EU. It was a political | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
earthquake, and we don't yet know the full impact, but it marks a | :09:35. | :09:37. | |
change of direction for this country. This year, the local | :09:38. | :09:45. | |
council elections. Less fanfare but still surprises with gains for the | :09:46. | :09:49. | |
Conservatives in Scotland and, after decades in power, Labour lost | :09:50. | :09:54. | |
control of Glasgow City Council. So, we are right up to date. This snap | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
general election. Theresa May called it three years early because she | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
wanted a strong mandate, head of Brexit talks with Europe. At this | :10:04. | :10:08. | |
point it looks like the plan has backfired. One thing is clear. | :10:09. | :10:14. | |
Elections are like buses. You wait and wait and then seven, a long, one | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
after another. And with no clear winner in this election, there might | :10:20. | :10:25. | |
be another just around the corner. Back to you, Glenn. How do you | :10:26. | :10:30. | |
assess that possibility, Professor Nicola McEwan? I think it is | :10:31. | :10:39. | |
unlikely. I don't think the public would look on it particularly | :10:40. | :10:43. | |
favourably, either. One thing about the discussion we were having about | :10:44. | :10:49. | |
Brexit and how this may impact upon Brexit. There was a risk that we | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
misinterpret the significance of the result. It is true to say that there | :10:54. | :11:00. | |
was a swing towards Labour in remain supporting areas and a marginal | :11:01. | :11:04. | |
swing towards the Conservatives in leave supporting areas. But that | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
doesn't necessarily have to do, anything with views about Brexit, it | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
could simply be because these areas are linked to urban- rural divides | :11:14. | :11:19. | |
that normally align with the parties and the Labour Party campaign in the | :11:20. | :11:28. | |
UK, Jeremy Gordon has been ambiguous on a UK membership of the EU single | :11:29. | :11:32. | |
market, so there is nothing to suggest that would be the dividing | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
issue and there would be pressure from Labour to soften their stance. | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
To soften what Brexit turns out to be. The membership of the single | :11:41. | :11:47. | |
market, it is not the trade aspects that there was a problem for the | :11:48. | :11:52. | |
Conservatives, and the problem for the other 27 EU members, it is free | :11:53. | :11:56. | |
movement of people. It is a core element of the single market. The | :11:57. | :12:00. | |
European Union has made clear that you cannot be a member unless you | :12:01. | :12:04. | |
accept that and the Conservatives have made clear, until tonight, that | :12:05. | :12:09. | |
they cannot put up with that because it would allow further immigration | :12:10. | :12:13. | |
which was one of the key reasons for Brexit and one of the key reasons | :12:14. | :12:19. | |
that they call the contest in the first place. Theresa May, I think | :12:20. | :12:22. | |
that the business of whether she stays in office and whether there is | :12:23. | :12:26. | |
a further election, presumably the fixed term parliaments act is still | :12:27. | :12:32. | |
in place, even though it was set aside by the device of Theresa May | :12:33. | :12:35. | |
challenging the Labour Party not to vote against it and it is still | :12:36. | :12:44. | |
there, so some party would have to go against that act, in order for | :12:45. | :12:48. | |
there to be an early election and my guess is, whichever party did that | :12:49. | :12:51. | |
created yet another election on top of this unnecessary election, would | :12:52. | :12:58. | |
be punished. It reminds me, not that I've covered the 1924 general | :12:59. | :13:04. | |
election, it reminds me of Stanley Baldwin, who called an election in | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
that year and achieve the glorious outcome of reuniting the ruling | :13:09. | :13:11. | |
Liberals and letting Labour into power for the first time, so that | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
when Twell! If the parties at Westminster are going to have to | :13:18. | :13:23. | |
make this work, how will they make it work? -- that went well. It is | :13:24. | :13:31. | |
eight o'clock in the morning after the night before. We haven't yet got | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
to the stage where a government has been formed. It is fair to say that | :13:36. | :13:40. | |
the Conservatives as the largest party with the mandate, to continue | :13:41. | :13:44. | |
with the government, will have to continue and make this work. Brexit | :13:45. | :13:49. | |
will proceed as the people decided it would and I do not see what has | :13:50. | :13:54. | |
changed in that respect. Any chance of a Jeremy Corbyn led government | :13:55. | :14:00. | |
getting a shot instead? It is going to be for the Conservatives have | :14:01. | :14:04. | |
their first shot, but Jamie's answer highlights the chaos that we are in, | :14:05. | :14:09. | |
now. We went into this election the Theresa May saying that it was about | :14:10. | :14:16. | |
strength and stability and now the chaos looks like it is going to be | :14:17. | :14:19. | |
coming from a Conservative government who went in trying to get | :14:20. | :14:23. | |
a large majority and has come out without that, with the country in a | :14:24. | :14:27. | |
far weaker position than it was six weeks ago. We have a Prime Minister | :14:28. | :14:33. | |
going into negotiations, difficult negotiations in Brussels, who | :14:34. | :14:35. | |
doesn't seem to have a clear mandate from the British people through the | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
selection and who, also, you can seriously question her judgment of | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
triggering Article 50 and subsequently going for an election, | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
so we are already in this two year period with the clock running down | :14:49. | :14:53. | |
the and there was no certainty for the government about how we're going | :14:54. | :14:56. | |
to get to a settlement in that time period. We voted to trigger Article | :14:57. | :15:03. | |
50 but at that point the Prime Minister was saying there will be no | :15:04. | :15:07. | |
election. That wasn't on the table. She triggers Article 50, says the | :15:08. | :15:10. | |
clock running and then immediately runs into an election after | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
dithering about whether to have an election at all. She should have | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
been aware of the fact that this could have led to the chaos we are | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
seeing this morning, and who knows what she's going to do? We haven't | :15:22. | :15:25. | |
heard what she's going to say yet. We were warned through this election | :15:26. | :15:29. | |
that it would be that would bring chaos to the country but it looks | :15:30. | :15:32. | |
like it is the Conservatives who are doing just that. | :15:33. | :15:37. | |
There's no chance Labour can be peace negotiations. The people had | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
their vote and they decided they did not want Jeremy Corbyn delete us | :15:44. | :15:48. | |
into the Brexit negotiations. They also decided they didn't want the | :15:49. | :15:52. | |
Conservatives to have a free hand in all of this. Are you, as a party and | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
government, going to have to bring in the other parties somehow, into | :15:58. | :16:05. | |
the Brexit tend to try and find a common way forward? That's an | :16:06. | :16:09. | |
interesting question. We are in a hung parliament situation, that is | :16:10. | :16:13. | |
no majority. I think that is a duty and onus on all members of | :16:14. | :16:17. | |
Parliament to make sure that Brexit happens and make sure that the whole | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
country does get a good deal. That's why I'm pleased we have 13 Scottish | :16:22. | :16:28. | |
MPs going down to have that conversation. What difference will | :16:29. | :16:34. | |
they make? We now have 12 MPs at the top table, who are part of the | :16:35. | :16:37. | |
government of the day, which we didn't have yesterday. Ruth Davidson | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
quite strongly supported single market membership and did so even | :16:43. | :16:47. | |
after the Brexit thought. As Brian pointed out, it's not just about | :16:48. | :16:51. | |
access to the single market, it's the consequences, and the people | :16:52. | :16:55. | |
voted against the free movement of people, which was a huge part of it. | :16:56. | :17:02. | |
Despite the previous position that church leaders in Scotland has. Ruth | :17:03. | :17:08. | |
Davidson accepts the result of the referendum, unlike other parties. | :17:09. | :17:11. | |
Does that mean no single market membership? I think it's about | :17:12. | :17:15. | |
getting the best deal for the whole of the UK. That's not an answer. | :17:16. | :17:22. | |
Hopping in Keith Brown, Cabinet Secretary in the Scottish Government | :17:23. | :17:29. | |
for the SNP. Welcome. What is your perspective on the result, from a | :17:30. | :17:35. | |
Scottish and SNP perspective? This is an absolute shambles. It really | :17:36. | :17:39. | |
is. People don't perhaps realise the extent of what it means for the | :17:40. | :17:44. | |
Brexit negotiations. We've already had an estimate that it will cost | :17:45. | :17:49. | |
80,000 jobs in Scotland. This magnifies the problem substantially. | :17:50. | :17:53. | |
We have this chaotic situation in the UK at the point with a 27 are | :17:54. | :18:02. | |
outlined in the UK is in a mess. To go into a second election, many | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
people would blame that on the person who caused the first | :18:07. | :18:09. | |
unnecessary election, which is Theresa May, and I think there would | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
be a backlash on the Conservative Party because of that. You | :18:13. | :18:18. | |
suggesting that Brexit poses a threat to the economy of the UK and | :18:19. | :18:26. | |
in particular, to Scotland, but in what we would to this election | :18:27. | :18:32. | |
magnify that? Talking about the scenario of a second election, | :18:33. | :18:37. | |
that's another hiatus at a vital point in the negotiations, which | :18:38. | :18:39. | |
were meant to have started very shortly. That is very damaging, but | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
also the very impression for the rest of Europe that that is this | :18:45. | :18:48. | |
chaotic mess caused by Theresa May, when she was going to get this | :18:49. | :18:52. | |
strong and stable government. But we have the reverse. Nobody knows what | :18:53. | :18:57. | |
government we will have. HOWZAT! Businesses and investors react to | :18:58. | :19:02. | |
this outcome? All the businesses I talked to in Scotland, number one is | :19:03. | :19:08. | |
definitely freedom of movement, so they are fairly exorcised by that, | :19:09. | :19:13. | |
but also by the potential for tariffs and the barriers to trade, | :19:14. | :19:19. | |
even more than that. They are very concerned already and businesses | :19:20. | :19:21. | |
will always tell you, they don't like uncertainty. Jamie Green said | :19:22. | :19:32. | |
that if you want to help end uncertainty, you should take the | :19:33. | :19:35. | |
independence referendum of the table. That is the other issue hotly | :19:36. | :19:44. | |
debated. Where do you think the outcome in Scotland leaves the | :19:45. | :19:49. | |
independence question? I think the question is getting close to | :19:50. | :19:54. | |
answered. The people don't want it. We had a major debate that was up to | :19:55. | :19:58. | |
two years, up until 2014, and there was a convincing result. We have now | :19:59. | :20:04. | |
had Cabinet ministers, Scottish government ministers at this table | :20:05. | :20:09. | |
this morning, seeing this election was not about independence. They | :20:10. | :20:12. | |
said the same in the last elections. They've been saying it now | :20:13. | :20:16. | |
repeatedly. This election is not about independence, when clearly, it | :20:17. | :20:22. | |
is. Because they make the case every single week, certainly the group of | :20:23. | :20:25. | |
MPs in Westminster made the case every week but independence. I think | :20:26. | :20:30. | |
it is now close to being completely off the table, and what the Scottish | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
Government should do is retreat from the position, and the Scottish | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
parliament should be reconsidering. You're saying it's close to being | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
off the table, Ruth Davidson said it was dead, Nicola Sturgeon said she | :20:44. | :20:45. | |
would reflect on the result before deciding what to do next. What | :20:46. | :20:49. | |
message do you think she should take from this election? First of all to | :20:50. | :20:56. | |
respond to the question Jeremy races, then he would take the second | :20:57. | :20:59. | |
European referendum off the table as well. A party that got less than 7% | :21:00. | :21:06. | |
of the vote in Scotland. In relation to the independence referendum, you | :21:07. | :21:08. | |
have to look at the context in which it was cold by the First Minister. | :21:09. | :21:16. | |
We have to see if the situation is going to be changed. What is your | :21:17. | :21:20. | |
gut feeling? It depends on the outcome of the discussions at | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
Westminster and weather the Conservatives continue, I just can't | :21:26. | :21:28. | |
see that Theresa May can stay on in office, so it depends what happens | :21:29. | :21:32. | |
in Westminster. You except that weather or not there is a referendum | :21:33. | :21:38. | |
depends on permission being given from the UK Government? Of course, | :21:39. | :21:43. | |
that is that element, it requires engaging with the UK Government, but | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
there was a fixed position before, to completely ignore Scotland. Do | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
you think it should be taken off the table? I think the First Minister | :21:53. | :22:00. | |
says we should reflect. You are defending. Yes. Lord Faulkner is in | :22:01. | :22:05. | |
our Westminster studio, the former Lord Chancellor and Labour minister. | :22:06. | :22:13. | |
Good morning. Thanks for joining us. What do you make of this | :22:14. | :22:20. | |
extraordinary election outcome? I think Mrs May has been unreservedly | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
repudiated by the country. She said to the country, I cannot go on | :22:25. | :22:29. | |
without getting the mandate from the people, because Parliament is making | :22:30. | :22:33. | |
my life too difficult in the context of Brexit. And the public have | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
refused to give her that mandate. Quite separately from the public | :22:39. | :22:41. | |
refusing to give her the mandate is this colossal sense she has made a | :22:42. | :22:45. | |
massive misjudgement. Nobody would think it was sensible to spend six | :22:46. | :22:52. | |
weeks in a vital PDW preparing for negotiations, to enter with less | :22:53. | :22:56. | |
seats they had before and indeed, losing your majority. She is a lame | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
duck now. She has to go as Prime Minister, not just because that is | :23:02. | :23:06. | |
the right thing, having been repudiated by the country, but what | :23:07. | :23:10. | |
will our European allies think, when they seek to negotiate with somebody | :23:11. | :23:13. | |
who they see has been repudiated by the country? But given the time | :23:14. | :23:19. | |
fumes were talking about, with Brexit negotiations due to start in | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
just over a week's time and the Queen's speech a week after that, | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
does she have to go quickly or signal her intention to go and lead | :23:30. | :23:33. | |
us through this tense period? I think she's got a signal she's going | :23:34. | :23:37. | |
very quickly. Who forms the next government depends upon the | :23:38. | :23:44. | |
arithmetic in the House of Commons. What everybody is speculating about | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
is can the Tories to deal with the DUP, and if they do a deal with the | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
DUP, that gives them an overall majority. It's extremely | :23:54. | :23:57. | |
unsatisfactory, and it can't last very long, because it is unclear in | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
terms of determining what our economy and Brexit is, but if the | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
Tories have the numbers, they can stay in power. But there is no point | :24:08. | :24:11. | |
in the UK sending to Brussels as our negotiator, somebody from the | :24:12. | :24:14. | |
government which is run by somebody who is a lame duck. So the quicker | :24:15. | :24:19. | |
she goes, the better. I see from the news media this morning that her | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
aides are briefing she's not going. I know she's making a statement at | :24:25. | :24:27. | |
ten o'clock. The right statement to make as she is going. She will stay | :24:28. | :24:33. | |
for as long as it takes for a new Prime Minister to be selected. What | :24:34. | :24:37. | |
is your thinking on the suggestion from the Shadow Chancellor that | :24:38. | :24:40. | |
Labour should attempt to form a minority government and challenge | :24:41. | :24:46. | |
other minority parties in the House of Commons to back them? If we can | :24:47. | :24:53. | |
form a minority government well and good, but the position is that the | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
Tories and the DUP have entered into an arrangement, whereby the DUP will | :24:59. | :25:03. | |
support the Tories and that gives them 328 seats, then that gives them | :25:04. | :25:07. | |
a majority and it means any attempts to form a government outside that | :25:08. | :25:11. | |
grouping won't work, because the majority is there, but it all | :25:12. | :25:17. | |
depends upon the numbers. If, as Theresa May suggested, somehow a | :25:18. | :25:21. | |
bigger majority for the UK Government would strengthen that | :25:22. | :25:25. | |
government's hand in the Brexit negotiations, does it therefore | :25:26. | :25:30. | |
follows that a hung parliament, a government with no single party | :25:31. | :25:34. | |
majority, will be weaker in this negotiations and get a worse deal | :25:35. | :25:39. | |
than they might otherwise? It will be weaker if there is a sense that | :25:40. | :25:42. | |
there is real division about what those terms should be. In the light | :25:43. | :25:48. | |
of what has happened, whoever negotiates on behalf of the UK has | :25:49. | :25:54. | |
now got to get as much agreement and consensus within the Commons, | :25:55. | :25:58. | |
because if it cannot be obtained by winning a massive majority in the | :25:59. | :26:01. | |
country, because the country will not have that, which is what has | :26:02. | :26:07. | |
happened overnight, then whoever it is a Prime Minister has to build the | :26:08. | :26:10. | |
broadest consensus he or she can within the House of Commons. And | :26:11. | :26:14. | |
that is the way you will get strength. It means, in effect, going | :26:15. | :26:19. | |
through with the Commons what the terms to be sought are and then | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
negotiating those terms on the basis that the negotiator, whoever the | :26:24. | :26:29. | |
Prime Minister is, this is what the House of Commons supports. Thanks | :26:30. | :26:33. | |
very much indeed for your time this morning and forge your analysis of | :26:34. | :26:36. | |
the situation we find ourselves in this morning, with a hung | :26:37. | :26:41. | |
parliament. The Conservative 's largest party. There are different | :26:42. | :26:44. | |
ways governments can operate in these circumstances. They can get | :26:45. | :26:50. | |
support from other parties on an issue by issue basis. Or going for a | :26:51. | :26:58. | |
more formal deal, as we had in the Parliament between 2010 and 2015, a | :26:59. | :27:02. | |
coalition between two or more parties. I would that work? | :27:03. | :27:08. | |
Use Jeremy Vine. One of the things this result will do, because it is | :27:09. | :27:12. | |
so tight, is put a lot of focus on the House of Commons. We are sitting | :27:13. | :27:16. | |
on a virtual one here. Let's look at the numbers. Here we have the | :27:17. | :27:22. | |
parties arranged as we think the final result will be. There are | :27:23. | :27:31. | |
three or four more results coming. We know that you have to get 326 MPs | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
for an overall majority, so what I'm going to do is try and build the | :27:37. | :27:40. | |
overall majority now, bidding in mind that no one party can do it. So | :27:41. | :27:44. | |
the Conservatives, having fallen into a minority, set there now with | :27:45. | :27:50. | |
their seats and they need to add to that total and somehow get it up to | :27:51. | :27:56. | |
326. The obvious place to go is the Democratic Unionists in Northern | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
Ireland. They have ten MPs. Let's put them on. This is pretty simple | :28:01. | :28:07. | |
maths. The politics is not simple, because the DUP will want something | :28:08. | :28:16. | |
for being in there and helping the Conservatives, so they can get the | :28:17. | :28:20. | |
Queen's speech through. The problem for Theresa May as she hasn't done | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
it on a road. But they get to 326 and pass them by simply enlisting | :28:26. | :28:31. | |
the DUP in Northern Ireland. Let me show you the benches as this would | :28:32. | :28:35. | |
look. Not what anyone expected from this election. The Conservatives are | :28:36. | :28:43. | |
here with 319 MPs and the line is just there. The DUP help them | :28:44. | :28:47. | |
through the line with the extra ten. If we have a look at the opposition | :28:48. | :28:50. | |
benches, that's where they are at the moment, with the single biggest | :28:51. | :28:58. | |
opposition party the Labour Party. The Liberal Democrats have done a | :28:59. | :29:03. | |
bit better than they did last time. That is how it would work. These are | :29:04. | :29:07. | |
the benches to focus on. There is a way of the Conservatives getting | :29:08. | :29:12. | |
through, but it is pretty humiliating for the Prime Minister | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
to have to even think about this. For seats still to declare, foresees | :29:17. | :29:21. | |
the Conservatives are defending in England, to complete general | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
election picture. All the constituencies in Scotland, all 59 | :29:26. | :29:30. | |
already declared. The SNP on 35, that's down 21 on the 2015 result. | :29:31. | :29:37. | |
So a lot of seats changing hands in Scotland. Let's take a look at those | :29:38. | :29:44. | |
that have switched. Changed seats include Aberdeen South, taken from | :29:45. | :29:49. | |
the SNP by the Conservatives. Another Conservative gain in | :29:50. | :29:51. | |
Aberdeenshire West and in Angus and in air and Carrick and in Banff and | :29:52. | :29:58. | |
Buchan, which had a 60% vote share for the SNP last time around. It has | :29:59. | :30:04. | |
gone conservative and so has what was the most marginal constituency | :30:05. | :30:09. | |
in Scotland, Berwickshire, Roxboro and Selkirk. But there have been | :30:10. | :30:13. | |
gains were other parties as well. The Lib Dems picking up Caithness | :30:14. | :30:16. | |
and Sutherland, retuning that seat from the SNP. And gains for the | :30:17. | :30:23. | |
Labour Party. Taking Coatbridge and Christ and, all these gains from the | :30:24. | :30:27. | |
SNP. Dumfries and Galloway going to the Conservatives. East Lothian | :30:28. | :30:32. | |
falling to the Labour Party. Edinburgh West of the Lib Dems. | :30:33. | :30:37. | |
Glasgow North East Labour and remember, that is where the biggest | :30:38. | :30:42. | |
single swing against Labour took place in in the 20 15th election, | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
yet two years later, they've managed to win it back on another big swing. | :30:48. | :30:53. | |
And at the bottom of the page, perhaps the most breathtaking result | :30:54. | :30:58. | |
of the night, the Conservatives taking Gordon, the seat that Alex | :30:59. | :31:03. | |
Salmond has occupied in the House of Commons. He is out now and is | :31:04. | :31:09. | |
defeated, in what was his tenth parliamentary contest, having won | :31:10. | :31:13. | |
the last nine in a room. Big changes taking place all over Scotland. | :31:14. | :31:29. | |
Gains for the Conservatives, in Moray, Renfrewshire East, and in the | :31:30. | :31:37. | |
case of Moray, the Conservatives toppling the SNP deputy, and lead at | :31:38. | :31:42. | |
Westminster, Angus Robertson, who is out of Parliament. Rutherglen picked | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
up by Labour and the Conservatives are back in the seat that was | :31:48. | :31:56. | |
occupied by then Lord Forsyth, Michael Desai, one of the big | :31:57. | :32:01. | |
casualties on that night in 1997, Stirling. The Conservatives are back | :32:02. | :32:06. | |
in a big way in Scotland, with 13 seats, their best result in Scotland | :32:07. | :32:11. | |
since 1983, when Margaret Thatcher was Prime Minister. Remarkable | :32:12. | :32:13. | |
results from across the country, Brian. Yes, they are, remarkable | :32:14. | :32:19. | |
results in Scotland. You have to come back to that Alex Salmond | :32:20. | :32:24. | |
defeat in Gordon. He quoted from what he said was a Jacobite ballad, | :32:25. | :32:30. | |
but it was the great Sir Walter Scott who wrote the words, but one, | :32:31. | :32:43. | |
you have not seen the last of my bonnets and me. That is quite a | :32:44. | :32:50. | |
remarkable defeat for the SNP. John Swinney, the deputy leader in the | :32:51. | :32:54. | |
SNP administration at Holyrood, says the party must acknowledge that a | :32:55. | :32:59. | |
significant motivator of the vote against the SNP was the question of | :33:00. | :33:04. | |
independence. He says that he and his colleagues must be attentive to | :33:05. | :33:09. | |
that. That is underlining what the First Minister has already said. | :33:10. | :33:13. | |
There was a phrase used in the 1992 election when the Tories were | :33:14. | :33:17. | |
returned and the Tories said that they would take stock about devolved | :33:18. | :33:25. | |
government, it was an interview with Kenny MacIntyre, and it was a phrase | :33:26. | :33:30. | |
that defined that election. The SNP will be taking stock on this | :33:31. | :33:34. | |
occasion and they will not defer, formerly, on an independence | :33:35. | :33:38. | |
referendum but accept that it is not going to happen on the timescale | :33:39. | :33:44. | |
that they set out. I feel in a poetic mode, I have done so Walter | :33:45. | :33:49. | |
Scott, so here is some browning for you, a poem called the lost leader. | :33:50. | :33:55. | |
It could apply to Angus Robertson or Alex Salmond and the Palm concluded | :33:56. | :34:02. | |
by saying never glad, confident morning again. It is not quite that | :34:03. | :34:09. | |
for the SNP, but it is a slightly duller dawn than they had hoped for | :34:10. | :34:13. | |
this morning. On that literary note I will return to the politics. Just | :34:14. | :34:19. | |
bringing in Keith Brown on this business of reflecting, that was the | :34:20. | :34:24. | |
word that the First Minister use, the Deputy First Minister is talking | :34:25. | :34:27. | |
about being attentive to the extent to which people left the SNP over | :34:28. | :34:33. | |
the question of independence. Brian used the phrase, take stock. Isn't | :34:34. | :34:38. | |
indyref2 going to be on the back burner or on the altogether? I am | :34:39. | :34:50. | |
reminded of the words of Shelley, rising like lions after slumber, in | :34:51. | :34:57. | |
unvanquishable number. It is the right thing to do as both the First | :34:58. | :35:01. | |
Minister and Deputy First Minister have said, when you've had an | :35:02. | :35:04. | |
election where you have lost 21 seats, you have got to take stock, | :35:05. | :35:10. | |
that was the phrase used by Ian Lang back in the 90s. You have to | :35:11. | :35:13. | |
acknowledge that the SNP won the majority of seats in Scotland on the | :35:14. | :35:17. | |
system that they have to fight these seats on. It is wrong to try to jump | :35:18. | :35:23. | |
to the conclusion on the morning after an election that has just | :35:24. | :35:26. | |
taken place but you have got to take that into account and that is what | :35:27. | :35:30. | |
the First Minister is going to do. There is the result in Scotland, 35 | :35:31. | :35:37. | |
seats for the SNP, down from 56, the Conservatives on 13, up from one, | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
Labour on seven, up from one, and the Lib Dems on four, again, up from | :35:43. | :35:49. | |
one. Gains for the three parties advocating continued union, | :35:50. | :35:57. | |
advocating an end to talk of a second independence referendum. Just | :35:58. | :35:59. | |
give us a sense from the interview, if you would, how big a motivator | :36:00. | :36:05. | |
was that, for those who supported your parties in this election? In | :36:06. | :36:13. | |
the areas where we regained we understood the biggest challenges to | :36:14. | :36:22. | |
the SNP to stopping and second independence referendum. It was a | :36:23. | :36:25. | |
major factor in support that persuaded Conservatives and Lib Dem | :36:26. | :36:31. | |
's to support us, but that was in addition to is highlighting what | :36:32. | :36:36. | |
many people in Scotland across the board is that the ten year | :36:37. | :36:40. | |
decade-long record on domestic services from the SNP is April one, | :36:41. | :36:44. | |
and they are not having the policies that are brought forward to end. But | :36:45. | :36:51. | |
two combined has been what has made the SNP fallback quite dramatically. | :36:52. | :36:55. | |
To what extent in the case of labour was it independence and to what | :36:56. | :36:59. | |
extent other factors? In many of the seats that we won, and where we came | :37:00. | :37:04. | |
close, I'm thinking about seats in the west of Scotland, where we are | :37:05. | :37:07. | |
in some cases just hundreds of votes behind the SNP now, in large part it | :37:08. | :37:12. | |
was due to the record on public services than about the independence | :37:13. | :37:17. | |
referendum. The issue of health services in the seat I stood in, | :37:18. | :37:22. | |
Inverclyde, closure to maternity services at Inverclyde Royal | :37:23. | :37:26. | |
Hospital, explains much about why the SNP vote fell. And in Paisley | :37:27. | :37:31. | |
where we were 2000 behind the SNP, hospital services and schools were | :37:32. | :37:34. | |
high up the agenda. In some parts of the country it was public services | :37:35. | :37:38. | |
the issue, in places where the Tories did quite well it was the | :37:39. | :37:43. | |
referendum. Is the independence question down as the number one | :37:44. | :37:47. | |
factor from a Tory point of view? One of a number of factors. The SNP | :37:48. | :37:52. | |
need to do much more than just reflect on what happened. They need | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
to listen to the people. The people made a very decisive decision | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
yesterday to say no thanks across Scotland, in every part of Scotland, | :38:01. | :38:06. | |
to say no thanks to independence. There is points being made about the | :38:07. | :38:10. | |
track record on public services of the SNP, the people have said no | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
thanks to their track record on education and the NHS. And that was | :38:15. | :38:17. | |
at the back of their minds when they were putting crosses inboxes. You | :38:18. | :38:24. | |
lost 21 seats. Down in terms of those, the SNP are just a few... | :38:25. | :38:31. | |
They lost some overseas, as well. You cannot pretend that this | :38:32. | :38:38. | |
election has not been a setback. To hear the Conservatives who said they | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
were going to get a huge majority to carry through Brexit and to lose the | :38:43. | :38:45. | |
majority they had so that it was catastrophic, it sounds a bit odd. | :38:46. | :38:49. | |
Of course we have been in government for ten years. We have won the last | :38:50. | :38:53. | |
seven or Scotland elections, including this one, we have more | :38:54. | :38:58. | |
votes than anyone else at each of those elections. That is an | :38:59. | :39:02. | |
incredible record. Given that this was a UK general election, was it | :39:03. | :39:05. | |
reasonable for people to look at your record in Hollywood, and to | :39:06. | :39:10. | |
punish you? I don't think you can tell the electorate the basis upon | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
which the vote, they decide. It is legitimate to consider devolved | :39:16. | :39:20. | |
issues as well as reserve issues. There was an unfortunate focus which | :39:21. | :39:24. | |
sometimes allowed some of the absence of any policy content on the | :39:25. | :39:28. | |
Conservatives in Scotland, other than an anti-independence message, | :39:29. | :39:32. | |
there was no discussion of the rape laws, austerity or plans were | :39:33. | :39:36. | |
Brexit, it was just simply about anti-independence. It was not the | :39:37. | :39:40. | |
best election from that point of view, but the electric decide the | :39:41. | :39:44. | |
basis upon which they cast their vote. You did not listen to your | :39:45. | :39:48. | |
Brexit voters. That is why there were swings across Scotland from the | :39:49. | :39:52. | |
SNP to the Conservatives. Those are Brexit voters. And across the UK you | :39:53. | :39:59. | |
have lost your majority, what did you not listen to in terms of the UK | :40:00. | :40:03. | |
that set you back so far? We gave the choice to people in a general | :40:04. | :40:08. | |
election. We did listen. We are the only party that respected the result | :40:09. | :40:16. | |
of the EU referendum. Let me bring in professor of politics at | :40:17. | :40:24. | |
Edinburgh University, Nicola McEwen. On the business of leave and remain | :40:25. | :40:27. | |
voters, any patterns that you have been able to detect in Scotland on | :40:28. | :40:31. | |
how they have responded in this party contest for a UK general | :40:32. | :40:39. | |
election? It is very difficult, given how little it was played as an | :40:40. | :40:44. | |
issue in the Scottish campaign, to draw anything from that. You can | :40:45. | :40:51. | |
look to the North East, for example, whirl was a majority for Remain | :40:52. | :41:00. | |
across Scotland, not in every constituency but we have estimates | :41:01. | :41:07. | |
to suggest that Banff and Buchan as a constituency voted for leaving the | :41:08. | :41:10. | |
referendum, but we don't know if this is reason for a change in the | :41:11. | :41:15. | |
voting preferences in that particular constituency. We don't | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
know any of the issues. Listening to that debate with great interest, | :41:21. | :41:25. | |
though, because it is purely speculative in terms of why people | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
voted the way that they did. With a hung Parliament in which the | :41:30. | :41:32. | |
Conservatives are the largest party, the expectation is that they would | :41:33. | :41:37. | |
have the first opportunity to form the next administration, the next UK | :41:38. | :41:42. | |
Government, but might it just be possible that Jeremy Corbyn forms | :41:43. | :41:45. | |
the next government? Here is what he had to say. That is what we fought | :41:46. | :41:52. | |
the selection for, and this is the programme we put forward in our | :41:53. | :42:00. | |
election. And no deals, no packs, is that the case? We are offering to | :42:01. | :42:03. | |
put forward the programme upon which we fought the election. We have done | :42:04. | :42:08. | |
no deals with anybody. We are there as the Labour Party with our points | :42:09. | :42:12. | |
of view. Everyone knows what they are, and everyone can see the huge | :42:13. | :42:15. | |
increase in our support, because of the way we conduct of the election | :42:16. | :42:19. | |
and the comprehensive nature of the programme we put forward. Do you | :42:20. | :42:26. | |
envisage, then, that you would be able to form a minority government | :42:27. | :42:30. | |
or are we heading, as many predicted, for another general | :42:31. | :42:34. | |
election? Parliament must meet, and then Parliament will have to take a | :42:35. | :42:38. | |
decision on what happens, when the government puts forward the Queen's | :42:39. | :42:42. | |
speech. We will put forward our point of view. We are, of course, | :42:43. | :42:48. | |
ready to serve. In all this uncertainty, should the Brexit | :42:49. | :42:52. | |
negotiations be delayed? They are supposed to be happening in 11 days' | :42:53. | :42:55. | |
time. They are going to have to go ahead. The government in office in | :42:56. | :43:01. | |
11 days' time will have to conduct those Brexit negotiations. Our | :43:02. | :43:08. | |
position is very clear. The most important thing is the trade deal | :43:09. | :43:13. | |
with Europe and I would of thought that a good gesture and Parliament | :43:14. | :43:17. | |
would be to agree that all EU nationals can remain in Britain. To | :43:18. | :43:20. | |
think there should be any delay whatsoever in the negotiations? That | :43:21. | :43:25. | |
is not completely in Britain's hands. That decision has to be taken | :43:26. | :43:29. | |
by the other party to the negotiations. We are ready to | :43:30. | :43:32. | |
undertake negotiations on behalf of this country to protect jobs and | :43:33. | :43:37. | |
have a sensible tariff free trade arrangement with Europe. Do you | :43:38. | :43:42. | |
think Theresa May should resign? I said last night that she fought the | :43:43. | :43:46. | |
election on the basis that it was her campaign, her decision to call | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
the election, it was her name out there and she was saying she was | :43:52. | :43:54. | |
doing it to bring about strong and stable government. This morning it | :43:55. | :43:57. | |
doesn't look like a strong government, a stable government, a | :43:58. | :44:01. | |
government that has any programme whatsoever. You can't put forward a | :44:02. | :44:08. | |
stable government, you have no position. We have just been elected | :44:09. | :44:12. | |
to Parliament a few hours ago, and my party has had a huge increase in | :44:13. | :44:18. | |
its vote, gained seats Oliver Lee country, every region of this | :44:19. | :44:24. | |
country and in Scotland and Wales. -- in all over the country. Young | :44:25. | :44:30. | |
people, all people, everyone in between supported Labour yesterday | :44:31. | :44:34. | |
and they should be very proud of what we achieved. Are you saying | :44:35. | :44:38. | |
that you are the victors and that you should be forming the next | :44:39. | :44:39. | |
government? We put forward our policies, strong | :44:40. | :44:48. | |
and hopeful policies, and they gained a lot of traction. I think | :44:49. | :44:53. | |
it's very clear who won the election. We're ready to serve the | :44:54. | :44:56. | |
people who have given their trust to ours. Jeremy Corbyn speaking from | :44:57. | :45:02. | |
Labour headquarters in London. And if it's not his opportunity to form | :45:03. | :45:07. | |
the next government, a minority administration, he would likely | :45:08. | :45:09. | |
scenario is some kind of deal between the Conservatives and the | :45:10. | :45:14. | |
DUP in Northern Ireland, but what price might the DUP demand in that | :45:15. | :45:22. | |
situation? It's a party formed by Ian Paisley, in distinction to the | :45:23. | :45:30. | |
Ulster Unionist party, which is mortally inclined. In 1994, John | :45:31. | :45:35. | |
Major was Prime Minister and a good phrase used by his government when | :45:36. | :45:41. | |
he said, Britain had snow selfish strategic or economic interest in | :45:42. | :45:44. | |
sustaining Northern Ireland as part of the United Kingdom. I think the | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
DUP will want to things. The want a deal that insures cross-border | :45:50. | :45:56. | |
trade, without the requirement for a pull. They may want to overturn | :45:57. | :46:00. | |
those words that are still formal British policy, no strategic | :46:01. | :46:06. | |
interest. Their manifesto said they wanted the Brexit talks to proceed | :46:07. | :46:11. | |
without there being any hint of any threat whatsoever to Northern | :46:12. | :46:16. | |
Ireland's position within the UK, so I think people want a statement from | :46:17. | :46:22. | |
the Prime Minister, whoever that is, that such an undertaking will be | :46:23. | :46:27. | |
given. Thank you very much, Brian Taylor, our political editor in | :46:28. | :46:31. | |
Scotland. We're going to hear from Downing Street in just a moment, I | :46:32. | :46:36. | |
understand. A quick word with you, Professor Nicola McEwen. I'll come | :46:37. | :46:41. | |
to you in just a moment, because I want to cross live to Westminster | :46:42. | :46:46. | |
and our political editor Laura Kuenssberg, who is outside number | :46:47. | :46:50. | |
ten. What a roller-coaster night. You'd assessment of where we are | :46:51. | :46:56. | |
this morning? It's very fluid. It's clear Theresa May is going to try to | :46:57. | :47:02. | |
stay. I've spoken to senior Tories who spoken to her directly. I've | :47:03. | :47:05. | |
spoken to a senior Cabinet minister who says it's the right thing she | :47:06. | :47:10. | |
tries to do her constitutional duty to put forward a government. There's | :47:11. | :47:13. | |
a sense inside the Tory party that the thing anybody wants is another | :47:14. | :47:19. | |
general election. And if they were plunged immediately into another | :47:20. | :47:22. | |
leadership contest, which would happen if she quits today, | :47:23. | :47:27. | |
inevitably one of the candidates might believe they needed their own | :47:28. | :47:31. | |
mandate in another general election. And given how unpredictable the last | :47:32. | :47:35. | |
one was, given how they got their expectations completely wrong, the | :47:36. | :47:39. | |
one thing the Tories can probably agree on is that they do not want to | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
be going into another general election campaign. However, there | :47:44. | :47:50. | |
are several spanners in the works. Theresa May's political authority is | :47:51. | :47:54. | |
badly, badly damaged. She took a huge risk and she got it wrong. | :47:55. | :48:00. | |
Secondly, in order to stay on, she has to be confident she will be able | :48:01. | :48:05. | |
to do gales, not a formal coalition deal, but that she'll be able to do | :48:06. | :48:10. | |
gales with other parties and most likely the DUP. The problem with | :48:11. | :48:16. | |
that is that Arlene Foster, the leader of the DUP, has told BBC | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
Radio Ulster this morning that she believes Theresa May may not | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
survive. That doesn't mean they're going to try and figure out today, | :48:24. | :48:27. | |
but I just wonder, I get a sense that if there's going to be some | :48:28. | :48:31. | |
kind of understanding that Theresa May can stay for now, get the Brexit | :48:32. | :48:37. | |
negotiations under way in ten or 11 days' time, but over time, both | :48:38. | :48:44. | |
inside her own party and inside the DUP, there's an expectation, if not | :48:45. | :48:49. | |
understanding, that she will have to go. But it's very fluid. 50-50 is | :48:50. | :48:55. | |
being told to me. She is holed up in there and nobody is saying anything | :48:56. | :48:58. | |
officially on the record at all. Thank you very much indeed for | :48:59. | :49:04. | |
joining us this morning with your assessment. That's the UK wide | :49:05. | :49:09. | |
picture, lots of uncertainty there. Let's take a look in more detail at | :49:10. | :49:14. | |
the picture in Scotland, with a summery of the result. | :49:15. | :49:18. | |
Here is David Henderson. What an election this has been. Full of | :49:19. | :49:22. | |
drama and surprises and the end result, a big change in Scotland's | :49:23. | :49:28. | |
political landscape. Remember, this is where we started, this was the | :49:29. | :49:33. | |
electoral map or the last two years, a sea of yellow shows where voters | :49:34. | :49:38. | |
had chosen the SNP. Let's bring you up to date. This is the new | :49:39. | :49:44. | |
political map of Scotland. The SNP has lost ground, it's lost 21 MPs. | :49:45. | :49:49. | |
It is read from Labour, they gained six seats from Labour, most of them | :49:50. | :49:54. | |
through the central belt. Orphanage for the Lib Dems, who have gained | :49:55. | :49:59. | |
three seats. They lost out to the SNP in North East Fife by just two | :50:00. | :50:04. | |
votes, incredibly close there. In the biggest surprise of the night, | :50:05. | :50:09. | |
the Tories have gained 12 new seats in Scotland, that is their best | :50:10. | :50:14. | |
performance 1983. The end results, some big-name casualties for the | :50:15. | :50:19. | |
SNP. Alex Salmond lost as Gordon seat to the Tories. And deputy | :50:20. | :50:24. | |
leader Angus Robertson also lost out in Moray again to the Tories. Let's | :50:25. | :50:30. | |
see where it has left the parties. The Scottish Lib Dems, led by Willie | :50:31. | :50:34. | |
Rennie, now have four members of Parliament. Scottish Labour, led by | :50:35. | :50:40. | |
Kezia Dugdale, now have a seven seat in Scotland. And it's been a great | :50:41. | :50:44. | |
night for the Scottish Tory leader, Ruth Davidson, her party now has 13 | :50:45. | :50:49. | |
MPs. For Nicola Sturgeon, you look -- you can look at this two ways. | :50:50. | :50:54. | |
They still dominate Scottish politics with 35 MPs. There are | :50:55. | :50:58. | |
still the biggest Scottish party at Westminster, but they've lost some | :50:59. | :51:03. | |
of their biggest names. And just look at that swing from the SNP to | :51:04. | :51:10. | |
the Scottish Conservatives. It's the story of the night, a swing of more | :51:11. | :51:16. | |
than 13%. That's bound to have far reaching consequences. | :51:17. | :51:21. | |
It is indeed. I wonder what the consequences of this election for | :51:22. | :51:25. | |
the economy and for a business might be. Let's cross to our business | :51:26. | :51:33. | |
editor. What is the market reaction? The biggest market reaction happened | :51:34. | :51:37. | |
pretty much immediately the first exit polls were published last | :51:38. | :51:42. | |
night. Then we saw the pound falling by about 2% against the dollar and | :51:43. | :51:46. | |
the usual. It's pretty easy to see why. We now have a hung parliament, | :51:47. | :51:49. | |
so we don't know who's good to make up the government, we don't know | :51:50. | :51:54. | |
what the economic policies might be, so that creates an uncertain outlook | :51:55. | :51:59. | |
for businesses. Perhaps more importantly, in 11 days' time, | :52:00. | :52:03. | |
negotiations on leaving the EU are due to begin. The prospectors, we | :52:04. | :52:10. | |
may not even have a government at that time, but if we do, it will be | :52:11. | :52:14. | |
in a weaker position. Investors had been bargaining on the fact that the | :52:15. | :52:20. | |
Conservatives would have a relatively comfortable working | :52:21. | :52:22. | |
majority. That's not going to happen. The pound has fallen as much | :52:23. | :52:27. | |
as it did in the wake of the EU referendum last year, because that | :52:28. | :52:30. | |
is the prospect that investors have to take into account, maybe we are | :52:31. | :52:35. | |
less likely to have a hard Brexit family were a few days ago. All of | :52:36. | :52:38. | |
these factors have to be taken into account. The reaction has been a | :52:39. | :52:44. | |
sharp fall on the pound sterling, have about 2% against both major | :52:45. | :52:49. | |
currencies, but we can expect trading to be relatively volatile | :52:50. | :52:52. | |
over the days and weeks to come. Thank you very much for your | :52:53. | :52:57. | |
analysis live from the BBC business studio. Let's just pick up with our | :52:58. | :53:03. | |
political panel. As we move towards the end of our live coverage of | :53:04. | :53:13. | |
Election 2017. Jeremy Purvis, further observations, in particular, | :53:14. | :53:18. | |
on the prospect of some kind of power-sharing arrangement. I think | :53:19. | :53:24. | |
fundamentally, the White Paper on Brexit is dead, so the government, | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
most likely a minority Conservative administration, will have to either | :53:30. | :53:35. | |
rely on supply and demand, or it will try and get support for Brexit | :53:36. | :53:42. | |
proposals. If that's the case, it needs to retreat on some of the hard | :53:43. | :53:45. | |
positions on Brexit it took. So we will need a new White Paper. In | :53:46. | :53:50. | |
Scotland, the letter Nicola Sturgeon wrote on triggering Article 50 is | :53:51. | :53:55. | |
now no longer relevant on Scottish independence and that has to be | :53:56. | :53:58. | |
looked at again. It is encouraged at the SNP are going to take stock, but | :53:59. | :54:02. | |
it would be interesting to see what happens. It's probably a better | :54:03. | :54:08. | |
scenario for the country, that we may have a more sensible way | :54:09. | :54:11. | |
forward, and if we can get that, that would be a good countermeasure | :54:12. | :54:14. | |
to the uncertainty in the Tory party. Briefly, if the SNP have to | :54:15. | :54:20. | |
take independence of the table, do you have to take a second vote on | :54:21. | :54:25. | |
Brexit off the table as well? Keith referred to that as well, but in a | :54:26. | :54:30. | |
funny kind of way, it probably makes it more relevant. If there | :54:31. | :54:36. | |
negotiations commence, with whoever is in government, the case further | :54:37. | :54:39. | |
public to ratify that deal probably stronger. But this will be part of | :54:40. | :54:44. | |
discussions one ) Parliament. Martin McCluskey, all from a later point of | :54:45. | :54:48. | |
view, would you rather the Conservatives form the next | :54:49. | :54:51. | |
government would you rather that Jimmy Corrigan, a Labour leader you | :54:52. | :54:55. | |
certainly did not support, got a chance to have a go? I would always | :54:56. | :55:01. | |
rather have a Labour government. You heard clearly from Jeddah Mayfair | :55:02. | :55:05. | |
that if we are given every opportunity, we will put our | :55:06. | :55:12. | |
proposals forward for the Queens speech. That would potentially be | :55:13. | :55:17. | |
less stable than some kind of agreement between the Conservatives | :55:18. | :55:24. | |
and the DUP? It's for the other parties, and they know what we would | :55:25. | :55:28. | |
put into a Queens speech, because a manifesto was very clear. It would | :55:29. | :55:34. | |
be for them to decide how to vote on it. It's obvious they gamble that | :55:35. | :55:38. | |
hasn't paid off for Theresa May. Just how big a mistake as she made, | :55:39. | :55:46. | |
Jamie? As a Scottish Conservative, I am very pleased. I think we've made | :55:47. | :55:51. | |
tremendous steps under Ruth Davidson's leadership. We've gone | :55:52. | :55:53. | |
from strength to strength in Scotland. But absolutely, we are | :55:54. | :55:59. | |
disappointed to have lost our majority in that respect. The onus | :56:00. | :56:02. | |
is on Parliament to come together and find a way forward. That has to | :56:03. | :56:08. | |
involve the largest party, with the most votes in the big issues of the | :56:09. | :56:13. | |
vote. But not necessarily with Theresa May at the helm, at least | :56:14. | :56:18. | |
she may carry on for a short period, but would you expect she will have | :56:19. | :56:23. | |
to go in the coming weeks? The Prime Minister is due to make a statement | :56:24. | :56:27. | |
any moment now. We'll find out more about her thoughts then. But at the | :56:28. | :56:32. | |
moment, she is the Prime Minister and a leader and she will carry on | :56:33. | :56:38. | |
with negotiations on Monday. The First Minister says she is thinking | :56:39. | :56:42. | |
about her response. What would your advice to Herbie? The point that was | :56:43. | :56:45. | |
made about the White Paper, submission made by the Scottish | :56:46. | :56:49. | |
Government was not about independence, it was about how the | :56:50. | :56:54. | |
UK can approach Brexit. If Jeremy Corbyn thinks a minority government | :56:55. | :56:57. | |
is unstable then he must think the same about a Labour one. There is an | :56:58. | :57:04. | |
opportunity to end austerity at this election and we should take that | :57:05. | :57:08. | |
opportunity. Thank you to all of you on the panel. Most of you have | :57:09. | :57:12. | |
stayed up all M. Your PCH contributions to the programme. A | :57:13. | :57:19. | |
quick word from due, Brian. The SNP won the election but lost ground and | :57:20. | :57:23. | |
lost momentum with regard to the referendum. Theresa May said she | :57:24. | :57:27. | |
wanted a personal mandate and to strengthen Britain's hand in | :57:28. | :57:32. | |
negotiations. She lost all of these. A triple failure and at the result | :57:33. | :57:38. | |
from a calamitous decision. Here we have it, a hung parliament is the | :57:39. | :57:44. | |
outcome of the 2017 general election. The Conservatives the | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
largest party across the UK, the SNP the largest party in Scotland, but | :57:49. | :57:53. | |
big setbacks were both Nicola Sturgeon and for Theresa May and a | :57:54. | :57:55. | |
great deal of uncertainty ahead. This has been Election 2017. | :57:56. | :58:08. | |
We are the length and breadth of the country to cover all the big | :58:09. | :58:12. | |
moments. If these results are correct, Theresa May will not have | :58:13. | :58:14. | |
the mandate that she hoped for. So that's your new MP in Rutherglen | :58:15. | :58:43. | |
and Hamilton. Mhairi Black is back. She was the youngest MP in the last | :58:44. | :58:47. | |
parliament. We are prepared to work with anyone in terms of the | :58:48. | :58:48. | |
Progressive Alliance. The SNP's Westminster leader is out, | :58:49. | :59:07. | |
there is the new MP for Moray. Two winds, back-to-back for the | :59:08. | :59:18. | |
Tories. He is out! The former Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg, has lost | :59:19. | :59:28. | |
in Sheffield Hallam. Voting for hope for the future and turning their | :59:29. | :59:34. | |
backs on austerity. UK wide, this is a disaster for Theresa May. The | :59:35. | :59:42. | |
Conservative Party would ensure we fulfil our duty in ensuring | :59:43. | :59:47. | |
stability, so that we can all, as one country, go forward together. | :59:48. | :59:50. | |
It's good night from one of the biggest names in Scottish politics. | :59:51. | :59:56. | |
Overall, the results in Scotland show the SNP will have won a | :59:57. | :00:00. | |
majority of seats in this country. The election has resulted in a hung | :00:01. | :00:03. | |
parliament, with the conservatives are | :00:04. | :00:04. |