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enhanced, is not even an MP. John McDonnell told me earlier that they | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
are on stand-by to form a minority government, but no deals with the | :00:00. | :00:08. | |
SNP or the Lib Dems or the Greens? That is not have a minority | :00:09. | :00:12. | |
government works, by definition you need to do deals? There would be a | :00:13. | :00:16. | |
lot of backroom deals, I think he means no formal coalition as we saw | :00:17. | :00:20. | |
between the Conservatives and the Lib Dems. We understand that. You | :00:21. | :00:25. | |
could not do it otherwise. It would be very difficult to organise. The | :00:26. | :00:30. | |
arithmetic is against you. When the Conservatives... The finishing line | :00:31. | :00:35. | |
is 322, because the seven Sinn Fein MPs abstain and the Speaker is taken | :00:36. | :00:41. | |
into account. It will be 318, 319, they will do the deal with the | :00:42. | :00:45. | |
Democratic Unionists, who will extract a huge price for this | :00:46. | :00:52. | |
coalition of chaos, they will want a porous border with the Republic of | :00:53. | :00:55. | |
Ireland which rules out a very hard Brexit. Labour is waiting in the | :00:56. | :00:59. | |
wings, hoping it will fall. It is difficult to see how the DUP, they | :01:00. | :01:04. | |
are the kingmakers, you can't have a coalition without them. You could | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
put Labour, the SNP, the Liberals and the green altogether and it | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
would not be enough. The DUP hold all the cards and will be ruthless. | :01:12. | :01:18. | |
The fixed term Parliament Act, maybe MrsMay mansion to get some kind of | :01:19. | :01:24. | |
coalition together, by it's fragile. It doesn't last for long. The DUP | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
walk out or something happens. They don't then necessarily go to the | :01:30. | :01:33. | |
country because they would need 66% of parliament to vote. Labour will | :01:34. | :01:38. | |
say no, it's our turn. Let us do it. You could have a Corbyn Government. | :01:39. | :01:42. | |
Well, the act is the Tories' friend now because it makes it very | :01:43. | :01:48. | |
difficult to force them out. Also this, the DUP will never countenance | :01:49. | :01:55. | |
talking to Jeremy Corbyn because of this issue. The attitude towards the | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
IRA. The Tories can be absolutely Government whatever price the DUP | :02:01. | :02:03. | |
ex-track from them they're never going to put Jeremy Corbyn into | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
Downing Street. They could trigger another election. They will play | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
hard. She's weak. She's a lame duck now. They can spin it any way they | :02:14. | :02:20. | |
like and prop her up. She was a commanding - she was a commanding | :02:21. | :02:23. | |
figure. It was almost as if she was trying to lose the election with | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
that social care u-turn and pretended it wasn't. Someone here in | :02:28. | :02:32. | |
Westminster said to me Cameron gambled on the referendum and lost. | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
MrsMay gambled on the election and lost. And they said is the Tory | :02:37. | :02:44. | |
Party a party or a casino? Back to you, Huw. On that note, Andrew, | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
thank you. What are Theresa May's plans. Let's go to Downing Street. | :02:49. | :02:52. | |
Laura, what can you tell us? Thank you. In the last few moments I have | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
been told we can expect Theresa May will go to the Palace at some point | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
later today and crucially will go to the Palace to see the Queen, I am | :03:02. | :03:05. | |
told with the understanding and belief she can form a Government | :03:06. | :03:08. | |
based on some form of assurances and conversations that have been going | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
backwards and forwards between the Conservatives and the DUP in the | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
last couple of hours. As I understand it, this is not | :03:17. | :03:19. | |
necessarily an attempt to form any kind of formal coalition but the DUP | :03:20. | :03:24. | |
has no wish to see Theresa May out of office. They have certainly no | :03:25. | :03:29. | |
wish whatsoever to work with Jeremy Corbyn. Just to reiterate that, | :03:30. | :03:33. | |
still nothing official. Nothing confirmed. But sources are telling | :03:34. | :03:39. | |
me we can expect Theresa May will go to the Palace at some point later | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
today saying, believing she can form a Government with the assurance and | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
understanding from the DUP that they will allow her, will in order for | :03:51. | :03:58. | |
her to a stay in office. Other conversations I sense and listening | :03:59. | :04:01. | |
to Nicky Morgan there stopping short of calling for Theresa May to go, | :04:02. | :04:09. | |
unlike her close colleague Anna Soubrey, it seems at the moment the | :04:10. | :04:13. | |
sense is of rallying around and allowing Theresa May to stay in | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
place. That said, it will be a weakened and fragile Theresa May | :04:19. | :04:21. | |
staying in place if that does happen. A weak and fragile Prime | :04:22. | :04:27. | |
Minister in a volatile era, that's not something necessarily with a | :04:28. | :04:30. | |
very long shelf life. We will be back with you shortly. Thank you | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
very much. The Prime Minister will be going to | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
the Palace sometime today, not sure whether it is before or after lunch. | :04:39. | :04:41. | |
But will be going to the pal loss to see the Queen on the understanding | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
that she can indeed tell Her Majesty she is in a position to form a | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
Government, depending on the ten votes of the DUP. | :04:50. | :04:53. | |
That's the prospect. If we have more on the timing we will bring it to | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
you straightaway. But we are expecting the Prime Minister to go | :04:58. | :05:01. | |
to the Palace to basically tell the Queen it is possible to stay in | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
power. We will be back with more on this in a second. We are going to | :05:06. | :05:10. | |
get the news now. Morning. Theresa May is determined | :05:11. | :05:15. | |
to stay on as Conservative leader, the BBC understands, despite a | :05:16. | :05:18. | |
difficult night that's led to a hung parliament. With all but one seat - | :05:19. | :05:24. | |
declared, the Tories have 318, eight short of the figure needed to form a | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
majority. Our political correspondent reports. | :05:29. | :05:35. | |
A brief smile but it did not last long. Theresa May's huge political | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
gamble ended in failure. She wanted to transform the Tories' fragile | :05:41. | :05:45. | |
majority into a stronger negotiating hand. Instead, her party's ended up | :05:46. | :05:50. | |
weaker. If, as the indications have shown, and if this is correct, that | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
the Conservative Party has won the most seats, and probably the most | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
votes, then it will be incumbent on us to ensure we have that period of | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
stability ap that's exactly what we will do. He confounded expectations. | :06:06. | :06:13. | |
As the Labour leader arrived at party HQ this morning celebrations. | :06:14. | :06:19. | |
We are ready to serve this country. That is what we fought the election | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
for. This is the programme we put forward in our election. We have | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
done no deals and no pacts with anybody. We are there as the Labour | :06:28. | :06:32. | |
Party with our points of view. Labour even took Reading East, | :06:33. | :06:38. | |
ousting a Tory Minister. In total, eight of May's top team failed to | :06:39. | :06:43. | |
get re-elected. The Conservatives at the count in Hastings looked glum. | :06:44. | :06:50. | |
The Home Secretary only just scraped home by 346 votes. While the Lib | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
Dems celebrated the return of former Ministers like Sir Vince Cable, the | :06:55. | :06:58. | |
party's old leader had one of the biggest upsets of the night, losing | :06:59. | :07:04. | |
his Sheffield seat. I of course have encountered this evening something | :07:05. | :07:06. | |
that many people have encountered before tonight and I suspect many | :07:07. | :07:09. | |
people will encounter after tonight, which is in politics, you live by | :07:10. | :07:15. | |
the sword, and you die by the sword. The SNP lost big names on a very bad | :07:16. | :07:20. | |
night. Their deputy leader Angus Robertson was ousted by the | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
Conservatives and their former leader Alex Salmond has lost his | :07:25. | :07:28. | |
seat too. A few counts are still to come in. But the result is clear. | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
There is to be a hung parliament, it's not going to be a majority | :07:33. | :07:37. | |
Government of any colour. Now some are questioning whether MrsMay can | :07:38. | :07:40. | |
continue. I think she's in a very difficult place. She's a remarkable | :07:41. | :07:45. | |
and a very talented woman and doesn't shy from difficult decisions | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
but she now has to obviously consider her position. Are you | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
stepping down? Sources say she has no intention of resigning but she is | :07:54. | :08:00. | |
weaker, has fewer MPs and there are questions over her future. | :08:01. | :08:06. | |
There are reports that the Conservatives have already begun | :08:07. | :08:09. | |
talks with the DUP in Northern Ireland. The DUP could help to give | :08:10. | :08:13. | |
the Tories a working majority at Westminster to enable them to | :08:14. | :08:17. | |
govern. The DUP took ten seats which was up two. Sinn Fein won seven but | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
will continue to abstain from sitting in parliament. Both the SDLP | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
and the Ulster Unionist party lost their seats. Labour had a strong | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
night in Wales, reclaim ago number of seats from the Conservatives. The | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
results were a blow to the Tories, they hoped to make gains in | :08:35. | :08:38. | |
pro-Brexit areas. Plaid Cymru won four seats. That's up one. And the | :08:39. | :08:42. | |
Liberal Democrats lost their only Welsh MP. The swing to Labour seems | :08:43. | :08:48. | |
to be highest in areas with a significant number of younger | :08:49. | :08:51. | |
voters. Some Labour politicians are ascribing their successes to a high | :08:52. | :08:56. | |
turnout of 18-24-year-olds. Young voter turnout is estimated at 72%, | :08:57. | :09:03. | |
with turnout overall 2% up at 69%, which is the biggest since 1997. The | :09:04. | :09:08. | |
outcome raises Dawes about whether Brexit talks can begin later this | :09:09. | :09:12. | |
month. The European Council President has tweeted that he did | :09:13. | :09:17. | |
not know when the talks would start, only when they had to end. | :09:18. | :09:19. | |
Jean-Claude Juncker, the Commission President says the EU is ready for | :09:20. | :09:26. | |
negotiations and he hopes the UK will form a Government as soon as | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
possible. Back to Huw Edwards with the BBC's election special. | :09:31. | :09:46. | |
Good morning once again. It's 10. 10am just about, we are one seat | :09:47. | :09:53. | |
away from the full count of results. We have one seat to go. That is | :09:54. | :09:59. | |
Kensington. Cornwall North came in as a Conservative hold. So where are | :10:00. | :10:05. | |
we? The Conservatives on 318. Labour on 261. Officially it's a hung | :10:06. | :10:11. | |
parliament. All the talk of a solid majority for MrsMay, that talk has | :10:12. | :10:16. | |
evaporated. It's a hung parliament. The Conservatives as the largest | :10:17. | :10:20. | |
party but they need the Democratic Unionist Party to support them. I | :10:21. | :10:23. | |
think we can go back to Downing Street now. | :10:24. | :10:28. | |
I think Laura has another update for us. What do you have? A couple of | :10:29. | :10:34. | |
moments ago I was suggesting that Theresa May was to attend the Palace | :10:35. | :10:40. | |
later today, I have just had it officially confirmed she will go to | :10:41. | :10:44. | |
Buckingham Palace at 12. 30 to seek permission from the Queen to form a | :10:45. | :10:48. | |
Government. Official confirmation, Theresa May has no intention | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
whatsoever of resigning. She will leave here in a couple of hours' | :10:53. | :10:56. | |
time to go to Buckingham Palace to seek permission from the Queen to | :10:57. | :11:00. | |
form a Government. The way we understand she will do that is with | :11:01. | :11:08. | |
assurances from the Ulster Unionists they will see her through in | :11:09. | :11:11. | |
parliament. It's not a formal coalition, this will be a looser | :11:12. | :11:16. | |
arrangement but quietly, but definitely in fact, those two | :11:17. | :11:19. | |
parties have already been working together behind the scenes for a | :11:20. | :11:23. | |
couple of years now. It was something that wasn't necessarily | :11:24. | :11:27. | |
picked up often in parliament but on some crucial occasions, in fact when | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
Tory backbenchers had been opposing David Cameron or Theresa May, it had | :11:32. | :11:37. | |
on some occasions been the DUP that had seen the Prime Minister through. | :11:38. | :11:42. | |
So in a much more public way, in a much more vital way for Theresa May | :11:43. | :11:44. | |
it will be the DUP that is Nellie It doesn't necessarily mean she will | :11:45. | :12:01. | |
be able to stay in post for long. But for today that's her plan. Just | :12:02. | :12:06. | |
behind the scenes, any sense you are picking up that the Prime Minister | :12:07. | :12:10. | |
has had to be talked Staying on, there was suggestions from Gus oh | :12:11. | :12:17. | |
done earlier that he thought she may have thought instinctively at the | :12:18. | :12:22. | |
start of this set of results she might want to leave immediately but | :12:23. | :12:25. | |
colleagues thought for the sake of stability she should stay? Well, I | :12:26. | :12:33. | |
think when we saw her speak at her count in Maidenhead she looked | :12:34. | :12:37. | |
extremely shaken, like somebody who felt personally it looked like she | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
was feeling the loss. From a human point of view, having had such high | :12:42. | :12:45. | |
expectations and frankly such failures on the point of view of | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
expectations management, she looked like somebody who had absolutely no | :12:50. | :12:54. | |
enthusiasm for the idea of staying on. One Cabinet Minister said to me | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
before you came back to me, she does have loyal supporters in Cabinet. | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
Although this has been a devastating time, it's certainly not the case | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
that everybody in her circle, everybody in Cabinet will have been | :13:07. | :13:09. | |
trying to push her out. But in terms of whether or not she had to be | :13:10. | :13:14. | |
talked into it or out of it, I suspect more broadly it was probably | :13:15. | :13:16. | |
a more fluid conversation. They were probably looking at all the | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
potential angles, looking at the different calculations and of course | :13:21. | :13:23. | |
having conversations with the DUP as to whether or not they were up for | :13:24. | :13:27. | |
it. Thank you very much. In a moment we will have the latest from the | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
City of London because the financial markets famously do not like a lack | :13:32. | :13:36. | |
of certainty. We will be with Simon Jack in a second. A very quick | :13:37. | :13:42. | |
thought on what kind of support do you think she has in Cabinet? It's | :13:43. | :13:45. | |
interesting, because Theresa May is not what they call in the House of | :13:46. | :13:51. | |
Commons clubbable, she doesn't hang around drinking gin at night. She | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
doesn't have a lot of backbenchers or ministers who know her very well | :13:57. | :14:06. | |
and are personally loyal. There is a tight group who stuck together, it's | :14:07. | :14:11. | |
not like that with Theresa May. There are people, a few, but not | :14:12. | :14:17. | |
very many. She's going to have to create, if she is staying on, a new | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
network of links and even friends inI had side the Conservative Party | :14:23. | :14:26. | |
because she doesn't have enough. I think Andrew is absolutely right. It | :14:27. | :14:29. | |
was the interview you did with Nigel Evans earlier, he is putting the | :14:30. | :14:33. | |
blame squarely for that u-turn, for the policy put out there first of | :14:34. | :14:39. | |
all, the social care policy and then the u-turn which was unprecedented | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
in election terms, never had a manifesto commitment made one day | :14:44. | :14:46. | |
and within days there's been a u-turn. He put the blame squarely on | :14:47. | :14:51. | |
her two advisers, because she's known to deal with Fiona Hill and | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
Nick Timothy in a threesome in terms of putting policy together, that | :14:57. | :15:00. | |
will have to end in Nigel Evans' terms and I think it will have to | :15:01. | :15:03. | |
end more generally. They say if she had consulted on that policy and | :15:04. | :15:07. | |
consulted widely amongst ministers they would have warned her of the | :15:08. | :15:13. | |
pitfalls, whether it was right or wrong, the polling will show it | :15:14. | :15:16. | |
affected her dramatically. Let's ask Peter. Was that the point where the | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
polls made a significant change when that manifesto went wrong? | :15:22. | :15:27. | |
Yes, absolutely. Up to the launch of the manifesto the Conservatives were | :15:28. | :15:37. | |
holding and even creeping up to 45, 46, 40 7% on the eve of the | :15:38. | :15:41. | |
manifesto. A week later the Tories had dropped three points, Labour had | :15:42. | :15:47. | |
climbed three points, it was a game changer. If one takes the simplistic | :15:48. | :15:51. | |
but possibly correct view that that three points was lost for the rest | :15:52. | :15:55. | |
of the campaign because of social care, it made the difference between | :15:56. | :15:59. | |
the hung parliament and the mess the Conservatives are in now and not a | :16:00. | :16:02. | |
big majority but a fairly comfortable majority of 40 or 50. Mr | :16:03. | :16:09. | |
Corbyn emerging, smiling broadly. He has been mentioning a little earlier | :16:10. | :16:14. | |
that he feels that he has policies which could actually appeal to | :16:15. | :16:17. | |
people across the House of Commons, John McDonnell also said that | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
earlier, offering up the thought of a potential Labour minority | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
government. I had to say that everyone we have discussed that with | :16:26. | :16:28. | |
has said that the numbers do not make sense in that regard, Peter? If | :16:29. | :16:35. | |
the Conservatives can do a deal with the DUP they have a collective | :16:36. | :16:40. | |
majority of 13 if they do not in Kensington, 15 if they do, because | :16:41. | :16:44. | |
of Sinn Fein not taking up their seven seats. In the short run, that | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
is perfectly viable as long as they hold together. It is the medium term | :16:49. | :16:53. | |
when the Brexit negotiations get tough, the policy strain starts to | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
emerge, that is when I would not like to place too much money on | :16:59. | :17:02. | |
survival. The next two weeks, relatively easy. We are getting a | :17:03. | :17:08. | |
government, not necessarily a long-term one. The other thing we | :17:09. | :17:11. | |
have not mentioned at any point this morning about the campaign is the | :17:12. | :17:15. | |
two terrible terrorist incidents, the murders in Manchester and | :17:16. | :17:20. | |
London, that badly disrupted the Conservative campaign and Theresa | :17:21. | :17:23. | |
May's campaign. We think back to that snowy day in John Major's | :17:24. | :17:30. | |
Government when the IRA hit a mortar bomb into Downing Street, almost | :17:31. | :17:36. | |
killed Lord Donald, at that point we were engaged in another big | :17:37. | :17:39. | |
arguments, the Government had to be moved from Downing Street into | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
Admiralty Arch, there was a major hiatus, Black Wednesday followed. In | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
the same sort of way these awful terrorist attacks disrupted things, | :17:49. | :17:52. | |
Cobra met, the rhythm of the campaign, the way Conservative HQ | :17:53. | :17:56. | |
would often have a grip of the campaign was loosened and two | :17:57. | :18:00. | |
crucial moments. People don't want to talk about this because nobody | :18:01. | :18:03. | |
wants to suggest that the terrorists have any bigotry in any sense but it | :18:04. | :18:09. | |
disrupted the campaign. If the Conservatives had begun to develop a | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
fightback in the wake of social care, the terrorist attacks | :18:13. | :18:16. | |
disrupted any fight back so there was no new Tory narrative that could | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
trump the rather tarnished old one. And a very effective Labour country | :18:22. | :18:25. | |
tag. Tories thought that if the terror attack has any effect it will | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
help us because Jeremy Corbyn the IRA friends and all that, Labour | :18:30. | :18:34. | |
came back very fast on police numbers, armed police in particular, | :18:35. | :18:37. | |
they were supported by serving police officers. And that was | :18:38. | :18:49. | |
successful for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party and gave them a certain | :18:50. | :18:52. | |
amount of momentum that fed into a manifesto making promises on | :18:53. | :18:54. | |
spending on public services more broadly. We're talking about pulling | :18:55. | :18:56. | |
milestones, things that mark the campaign, John joins us. I know it | :18:57. | :18:59. | |
has been a long night, but your thoughts on when we match-up the | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
events, the results, to the stages of polling you have been involved | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
in, what conclusions do you draw? I think it is pretty clear that Jeremy | :19:11. | :19:13. | |
Corbyn achieved something quite remarkable during this election | :19:14. | :19:17. | |
campaign. The truth is that usually when the electorate have decided | :19:18. | :19:20. | |
that a politician is not much good, they don't change their mind. That | :19:21. | :19:24. | |
was the fate of William Hague and Iain Duncan Smith, in truth it was | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
the fate of Gordon Brown. Derek -- Jeremy Corbyn has been regarded for | :19:30. | :19:31. | |
the last two years by most British voters is being incapable of being a | :19:32. | :19:46. | |
capable party leader, let alone Prime Minister, but during the | :19:47. | :19:47. | |
campaign his personal evaluation has improved so much that those polls | :19:48. | :19:50. | |
who is king people how good or bad do you think Jeremy Corbyn is doing, | :19:51. | :19:53. | |
do you approve or disapprove of his leadership, he almost had as many | :19:54. | :19:57. | |
people who thought he was doing OK than 40 was doing worse. The | :19:58. | :20:00. | |
trajectory for Theresa May was in the opposite direction. Given that | :20:01. | :20:05. | |
went Theresa May started the campaign, it sounded like it would | :20:06. | :20:09. | |
be a one trick pony, strong and stable leadership in the national | :20:10. | :20:13. | |
interest. The moment that that became rather fragile for the | :20:14. | :20:16. | |
reasons you have been discussing around the launch of the Tory | :20:17. | :20:21. | |
manifesto, while at the same time people were saying, hang on, Jeremy | :20:22. | :20:24. | |
Corbyn is not quite so bad after all. I think in particular what | :20:25. | :20:30. | |
happened apart from clearly him capturing the enthusiasm of young | :20:31. | :20:35. | |
voters and those who had not voted before, he simply persuaded those | :20:36. | :20:38. | |
people who usually voted Labour but who four weeks ago were still saying | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
I usually vote Labour but I could not possibly vote for them under | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
Jeremy Corbyn, it is too extreme and he is useless. By the end of the | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
campaign the poll said that just as many people who voted Labour in 2015 | :20:53. | :21:01. | |
would vote Labour again, as were saying that they voted Conservative | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
in 2015 and would vote Conservative again. Corbin got the Labour tribe | :21:06. | :21:14. | |
back-in. -- Corbyn got the Labour tribe back-in. Labour has lost this | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
election, as badly as Gordon Brown did in 2010, and while Mr Corbyn may | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
be able to demonstrate that his strategy of not appealing to the | :21:24. | :21:28. | |
centre, trying to go for young voters, it may in fact not lead to a | :21:29. | :21:32. | |
heavy defeat but he is still to prove it can take the party to | :21:33. | :21:38. | |
victory. Thank you, John. We will talk in a while again. | :21:39. | :21:43. | |
Andy? There was an interesting optimistic aspect, Theresa May | :21:44. | :21:46. | |
famously tried to do the entire election campaign with a series of | :21:47. | :21:50. | |
slogans. Strong and stable, strong and stable. She did not seem to want | :21:51. | :21:53. | |
to have a lively and vigorous conversation with the country about | :21:54. | :21:57. | |
Brexit or the economy or what she really thought or anything else. | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
Jeremy Corbyn was going around and appeared to be in listening mode, he | :22:01. | :22:06. | |
had very strong views as well but he was having more of a conversation, | :22:07. | :22:11. | |
which was very important. The differences Jeremy Corbyn has spent | :22:12. | :22:15. | |
nearly 40 years as a campaigner, albeit within a certain niche | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
market. Theresa May is not a natural people person. I think the public | :22:20. | :22:23. | |
began to catch on to the fact that maybe this assembly who does not | :22:24. | :22:27. | |
find it very easy to think on her feet, who much prefers to be | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
well-prepared before doing anything. The trouble is that once you are | :22:32. | :22:34. | |
Prime Minister that is not necessarily a mode in which you can | :22:35. | :22:42. | |
operate in most of the same ways one might say that Gordon Brown | :22:43. | :22:44. | |
discovered when he also became Prime Minister. Thank you, John. Let's | :22:45. | :22:48. | |
pause for a second because John Curtice has raised several themes | :22:49. | :22:52. | |
about the Corbyn performance and we would like to set it in historical | :22:53. | :22:56. | |
context so we can judge it against other things. | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
Let's join Jeremy. Entering the Central Lobby of the House of | :23:02. | :23:05. | |
Commons. John Curtice talking about Labour have lost and how badly. Can | :23:06. | :23:09. | |
we measure how badly they have lost? Lots of reasons to be pleased, they | :23:10. | :23:13. | |
did much better than expected, we will try to set the loss in context. | :23:14. | :23:21. | |
This is where we think it will end up at the end of this, a seat still | :23:22. | :23:25. | |
in play, 261 to Labour in the 2017 election. They did better than | :23:26. | :23:30. | |
people expected. How does it compared to previous losses? Way | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
better than Ed Miliband, who last two years ago in 2015, who had a | :23:35. | :23:38. | |
horrible time. Sort of in the zone that Gordon Brown was then in 2010 | :23:39. | :23:43. | |
if you look at seat numbers, 258, he is a bit ahead of Gordon Brown. Neil | :23:44. | :23:50. | |
Kinnock, 271 in 1992, the John Major election where huge turnout for the | :23:51. | :24:01. | |
Conservatives won eight, Neil Kinnock had to resign, but he did | :24:02. | :24:03. | |
better in seats than Mr Corbyn today. Neil Kinnock 220 91987 was | :24:04. | :24:06. | |
allowed to fight again, losing to Mrs Thatcher for her second | :24:07. | :24:10. | |
landslide. This one was defining, bad political campaigns, the | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
disaster for Labour in 1983, is such a landslide after the Falklands War, | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
Michael Foot only got 209 seats. Chewing the campaign, people were | :24:21. | :24:26. | |
saying before it started, will Mr Corbyn got what Mr foot got or even | :24:27. | :24:31. | |
lower? Where he has succeeded and he has completely changed the terms of | :24:32. | :24:36. | |
reference, he is a long way ahead of Michael Foot in 1983. Look at Jim | :24:37. | :24:43. | |
Callaghan, 1979, he lost to Mrs Thatcher when he won -- she won her | :24:44. | :24:50. | |
first election, 269, very much in the same zone. 1970, Harold Wilson | :24:51. | :24:56. | |
lost to Heath, 288. You have a spectrum of Labour leaders. In terms | :24:57. | :25:00. | |
of how well or badly Jeremy Corbyn did, he is very much part of the | :25:01. | :25:02. | |
peace if you measure it in seats. I want to do a different | :25:03. | :25:16. | |
measurements, this is very, very interesting. Let's start at this end | :25:17. | :25:19. | |
and look at percentages. If we go back to the Wilson era, the 70s and | :25:20. | :25:22. | |
previously, you saw for example in the 50s that the combination of the | :25:23. | :25:24. | |
Labour and Conservative vote would be above 90 or 95%. This is a bit of | :25:25. | :25:29. | |
a legacy of art, 43%, losing the election with 43%. That did not | :25:30. | :25:34. | |
happen for many years thereafter. Losing Labour leaders, Callaghan got | :25:35. | :25:44. | |
37% in 79, Foot 28%, historically low in 83. Kinnock 31 and 34, this | :25:45. | :25:49. | |
is the effect of a multiplicity of different parties, particularly the | :25:50. | :25:54. | |
Liberals as they then were. 29% the Gordon Brown in 2010, horrible | :25:55. | :25:59. | |
percentage, of a bid for Ed Miliband in 2015, but look at this. 40% of | :26:00. | :26:06. | |
the vote, four out of ten voters in this election went for Corbyn across | :26:07. | :26:11. | |
the UK. If you are a Jeremy Corbyn fan, that is the figure you point | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
to. It is partly because you could have almost left the pitch and the | :26:17. | :26:19. | |
Liberal Democrats are still down in the dumps but it is a brilliant | :26:20. | :26:24. | |
statistic for people who say that as the successful Corbyn bar to be | :26:25. | :26:28. | |
election -- it is partly because Ukip have almost left the pitch. | :26:29. | :26:31. | |
Such a huge proportion of the electorate chose Labour this time. | :26:32. | :26:36. | |
You have to go way back among losing Labour leaders to find anything like | :26:37. | :26:42. | |
that, he even beat Tony Blair in one of his winning elections! | :26:43. | :26:47. | |
Thank you, Jeremy Vine, taking us through the performances of the past | :26:48. | :26:50. | |
and underlining what has been achieved as far as the Corbyn | :26:51. | :26:52. | |
campaign is concerned. I mentioned the City and how the | :26:53. | :26:59. | |
markets have responded, Simon Jack, tell us about the reaction? | :27:00. | :27:06. | |
They have been completely bamboozled once again and fail to read British | :27:07. | :27:11. | |
politics. They were pricing in a solid Tory majority, but you can see | :27:12. | :27:15. | |
what happened to sterling, the value of the pound against the dollar, | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
easily the most per to be sensitive market, it felt very sharply on that | :27:21. | :27:26. | |
exit poll. -- easily the most politically sensitive market. The | :27:27. | :27:30. | |
pound started to say to itself, why am I falling? It is not this I do | :27:31. | :27:35. | |
not want, I am most scared of the hard Brexit. We saw the big fall | :27:36. | :27:38. | |
after the referendum last year. So it started creeping up again. Maybe | :27:39. | :27:44. | |
Theresa May will be more beholden to the hard Brexit elements in her own | :27:45. | :27:48. | |
party if she does the negotiating, so it goes back up. These | :27:49. | :27:52. | |
conflicting thoughts all morning, drifting off a bit when the market | :27:53. | :27:55. | |
and businesses I have been speaking to said, do you know what will | :27:56. | :28:01. | |
happen? The Brexit clock is ticking, we have invoked Article 50 and we | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
have the worst possible outcome. We have wasted valuable time and not | :28:06. | :28:09. | |
got certainty coming into the negotiations that we were promised. | :28:10. | :28:14. | |
Looking at the other side, AE you negotiators have been pressing their | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
best shirts, getting their ring binders ready, it looks as if we are | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
stumbling into the room at the last minute underprepared. That is the | :28:23. | :28:28. | |
pound. The stock market went up, because as the pound falls the | :28:29. | :28:32. | |
foreign earnings of the big multinationals are worth more. | :28:33. | :28:35. | |
Companies focused mostly on the UK like banks and building societies, | :28:36. | :28:40. | |
sorry, banks or house-builders, their shares had said that. This is | :28:41. | :28:45. | |
seen as not brilliant for the UK economy. That is the market reaction | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
in the City. Thank you, Simon. We will be back in | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
the City of London later. The time is coming up to 10:30am. We are | :28:54. | :28:58. | |
continuing coverage of the election outcome at Westminster. We are | :28:59. | :29:04. | |
looking at a hung parliament, the Conservatives as the largest party | :29:05. | :29:14. | |
and a possible and as -- possible understanding, and informal | :29:15. | :29:15. | |
understanding between the Conservatives and the Democratic | :29:16. | :29:19. | |
Unionist Party. Viewers on BBC world have been with this all night and | :29:20. | :29:22. | |
during the morning, thank you for watching, you are leaving now and we | :29:23. | :29:26. | |
wish you well. And our coverage continues. Before I join Andrew Neil | :29:27. | :29:31. | |
at Westminster, an important update on the position of the Democratic | :29:32. | :29:35. | |
Unionists in Northern Ireland is, they are a very important part of | :29:36. | :29:40. | |
this Government jigsaw. They are potentially kingmakers. DUP is | :29:41. | :29:45. | |
meeting to reflect in a situation that one party source described as | :29:46. | :29:49. | |
messy. That source has confirmed soundings have been made but nothing | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
formal agreed, as you said it would be an understanding, a supply and | :29:55. | :29:57. | |
demand understanding. Talk of an agreement is described as premature | :29:58. | :30:06. | |
and the party is expected to have a news conference in the early | :30:07. | :30:08. | |
afternoon. The timing might be quite crucial if Theresa May is expected | :30:09. | :30:11. | |
to go to the Palace on the understanding that she would have | :30:12. | :30:13. | |
the support of the ten DUP in order to get through her policies and get | :30:14. | :30:17. | |
the majority in the House of Commons, we need to keep an eye on | :30:18. | :30:20. | |
that. This is pressure in negotiations. The DUP will have a | :30:21. | :30:23. | |
shopping list to some extent of what they would like. Just to underline, | :30:24. | :30:28. | |
we expect the Prime Minister to go to the powers that about 12:30pm to | :30:29. | :30:33. | |
inform Her Majesty of her plans -- go to the Sidnei Buckingham Palace. | :30:34. | :30:40. | |
We understand she wants to form a government with the Democratic | :30:41. | :30:43. | |
Unionists, then the DUP might set details a short while after that. | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
Let's go back to Westminster. It is rather rainy but Andrew is waiting. | :30:48. | :30:54. | |
It's turned into a downpower, the Tory tears I told you about are now | :30:55. | :31:01. | |
a flood! We are getting plenty of that rain and being kept cool in the | :31:02. | :31:09. | |
process. You have had your suit washed courtesy of the licence | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
payer, what more can we say on a morning like this? . | :31:15. | :31:25. | |
Eric Pickles, one of your MPs, Philip Davis, he said the | :31:26. | :31:29. | |
Conservative Party had made a pig's ear of the national campaign. Do you | :31:30. | :31:34. | |
agree? It's not been the happiest campaign that I have been engaged | :31:35. | :31:39. | |
with. Is that an understatement? It's all rather pointless now, what | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
we have to do is try and put a majority together to remain in | :31:45. | :31:48. | |
Government. There will be a time for us to go through what went wrong and | :31:49. | :31:52. | |
how we can improve. But I can tell you this, it's not now. Well, maybe | :31:53. | :31:57. | |
not. But even if you do manage to stay in Government you will be the | :31:58. | :32:03. | |
walking wounded, won't you? It will be better if we had a majority, 20, | :32:04. | :32:09. | |
30 majority, it's going to be very difficult. But that's democracy, | :32:10. | :32:12. | |
that's what people voted for. It's up to us to get on with the job. | :32:13. | :32:16. | |
Doesn't it leave Theresa May as a lame duck? No, I don't think that is | :32:17. | :32:22. | |
right. I think she has the opportunity, she has to see the | :32:23. | :32:27. | |
Queen at 12. 30, of putting together a Government. The most important | :32:28. | :32:33. | |
thing is to be able to get a negotiating position ready for | :32:34. | :32:36. | |
Brexit. But she had a Government, six weeks ago she had a Government, | :32:37. | :32:39. | |
she had a Government with an overall majority. It wasn't huge but it was | :32:40. | :32:45. | |
a majority. Now she doesn't, she's going to have to ask the Queen for | :32:46. | :32:51. | |
permission to form a Government. What's the good news in this? It's | :32:52. | :32:57. | |
clearly not a happy moment for the Conservative Party. But it's not | :32:58. | :33:01. | |
necessarily a fatal moment for the Conservative Party. What are you | :33:02. | :33:07. | |
going to give to the DUP to keep you in power? I am in the a member of | :33:08. | :33:15. | |
the House of Commons and think it's unlikely I would be part of the | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
negotiating team. But you will have to give something? It depends what | :33:21. | :33:24. | |
the understanding is, I don't know whether it's going to be issue by | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
issue. Adam Clarke, you have obviously done much better than many | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
people thought, or Jeremy Corbyn has done better. What should Labour do | :33:34. | :33:39. | |
now? You still lost the election. Yeah, disappointed to not be able to | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
not have a majority, we have seen a big bold positive campaign and | :33:45. | :33:47. | |
vision for the country that's been incredibly popular. If you think of | :33:48. | :33:52. | |
seven weeks ago, Theresa May called this election thinking it was going | :33:53. | :33:57. | |
to be a Tory landslide and Labour were polling at 24% and now at over | :33:58. | :34:00. | |
40%, it's been an incredible campaign. Would you be a little bit | :34:01. | :34:08. | |
nervous if Jeremy Corbyn tried to form a minority Government which | :34:09. | :34:12. | |
would involve all sorts of deals and compromises and that could end in | :34:13. | :34:16. | |
tears, as well? Well, minority Government, not a coalition, but on | :34:17. | :34:20. | |
a deal by deal basis is what my understanding is, I think that would | :34:21. | :34:23. | |
be fantastic if that was able to be achieved. The British people | :34:24. | :34:26. | |
wouldn't have to live under Tory austerity any more and I think it | :34:27. | :34:30. | |
would set a different direction of travel, so I hope that can happen. | :34:31. | :34:35. | |
Is it not a yard stick of how appalling your party's campaign was | :34:36. | :34:40. | |
that 40% of this country voted for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party? A | :34:41. | :34:45. | |
bigger percentage voted for the Conservative Party. The poll rating | :34:46. | :34:48. | |
never varied very much in terms of percentage. 40% for Jeremy Corbyn. A | :34:49. | :34:53. | |
man that you thought you could wipe the floor with. I think I did and a | :34:54. | :34:59. | |
lot of other people underestimated Mr Corbyn. His achievement in terms | :35:00. | :35:03. | |
to get the percentage share that he did and to be able to turn over a | :35:04. | :35:10. | |
number of Conservative seats is a considerable achievement. I thank | :35:11. | :35:15. | |
you both. By the time you come back to us we may well have dried out, | :35:16. | :35:21. | |
but don't count on it. Thank you very much. Trying to squeeze under | :35:22. | :35:28. | |
that umbrella you have. We are back in our warm studio, Andrew won't | :35:29. | :35:31. | |
like that. I would like to catch up with some more reaction and I think | :35:32. | :35:37. | |
we are in a position to hear from Ukip's Paul Nuttall standing in | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
Boston. Do we have that? Otherwise I will just ask for reaction to what | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
we heard there. Here is Paul Nuttall. Regressed electorally back | :35:49. | :35:53. | |
to our 2011 level which is what many of us believed would happen and I | :35:54. | :35:59. | |
know it comes as little surprise to many of you guys in the press. What | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
we have seen overnight is a return and I believe it's only a temporary | :36:05. | :36:11. | |
return to two-party politics. But at the moment it could be argued that | :36:12. | :36:17. | |
Ukip have been a victim of its own success. We forced the referendum | :36:18. | :36:25. | |
and we helped win Brexit. Some people mistakenly think our job is | :36:26. | :36:30. | |
done. But it's not. With Brexit we may well have won the war but we now | :36:31. | :36:35. | |
have to secure the peace. And that is getting a good deal for the | :36:36. | :36:43. | |
British people in these up and coming negotiations with the | :36:44. | :36:47. | |
eurocrats in Brussels. There is no getting away from the fact that this | :36:48. | :36:54. | |
was a unique election that came about at an inopportunity time for | :36:55. | :36:59. | |
our party. The Prime Minister was able to talk the talk on the Brexit | :37:00. | :37:05. | |
negotiations without having to walk the walk. Which is precisely why | :37:06. | :37:11. | |
this election was called in the first place. And what a hubristic, | :37:12. | :37:25. | |
foolish, ish politically naive election to call. The negotiations | :37:26. | :37:30. | |
begin in a few weeks with Brussels and I wish the Prime Minister, | :37:31. | :37:36. | |
whoever that is, all the very best. I hope whoever leads the team get | :37:37. | :37:42. | |
the best deal for the British people. They will, however, only get | :37:43. | :37:48. | |
a good deal if they believe in our great country and they are genuinely | :37:49. | :37:53. | |
prepared to walk away if the Brussels bureaucrats put a bad deal | :37:54. | :38:01. | |
on the table. In my heart I hope they do, like me, truly believe in | :38:02. | :38:06. | |
Britain but something in my head says otherwise. I hope I am proven | :38:07. | :38:13. | |
to be wrong. As for Ukip, well, I have said throughout this election | :38:14. | :38:20. | |
that in politics sometimes the tide comes in, sometimes the tide goes | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
out. But for us, although the tide may be out at the moment, at this | :38:26. | :38:32. | |
present moment in time, I am convinced it will return. The one | :38:33. | :38:36. | |
question I have been asked by the media more than any other during | :38:37. | :38:40. | |
this general election has been what is the relevance of Ukip now? Well, | :38:41. | :38:48. | |
I contend even after the difficult night last night that Ukip is more | :38:49. | :38:54. | |
relevant than it ever was. This is because Ukip are more now than ever | :38:55. | :39:00. | |
after last night's result the guard dogs of Brexit and the Prime | :39:01. | :39:06. | |
Minister, and I suspect it will be a Tory, must know that if they begin | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
to back-track or Bartter things away, then they must know they will | :39:12. | :39:16. | |
be punished at the ballot box and that will only happen if Ukip is | :39:17. | :39:22. | |
electorally viable and strong. We are, in effect, the country's | :39:23. | :39:29. | |
insurance policy on Brexit. Ukip has also proved its relevance by leading | :39:30. | :39:33. | |
the agenda in many ways in this election. To give you one example, | :39:34. | :39:39. | |
we were the first to talk about the greater need for integration and the | :39:40. | :39:45. | |
threats posed to our people from the growing cancer of Islamist extremism | :39:46. | :39:51. | |
in our midst. Unfortunately, the recent attacks in Manchester and | :39:52. | :39:56. | |
London have proved we were correct. I would also argue on many other | :39:57. | :40:00. | |
issues we have led and others have followed. We put down a manifesto | :40:01. | :40:04. | |
that not only highlighted many of the issues we now face, but came up | :40:05. | :40:12. | |
with common sense remedies. Indeed I called it a manifesto that was a | :40:13. | :40:16. | |
decade ahead of its time and I am more confident now than ever that | :40:17. | :40:22. | |
many of our proposals in the 2017 manifesto will either be Government | :40:23. | :40:28. | |
policy or adopted by the establishment parties before the | :40:29. | :40:34. | |
next general election. I believe in the long-term some of our policy | :40:35. | :40:41. | |
proposals are inevitable, such as an English parliament or a full face - | :40:42. | :40:46. | |
full face coverings ban. I am proud to have stood on a platform of | :40:47. | :40:52. | |
policies that included getting immigration under control, slashing | :40:53. | :40:56. | |
the bloated foreign aid budget, reversing the cuts to our police | :40:57. | :41:01. | |
force and increasing the size of our Armed Forces. I contend that if Ukip | :41:02. | :41:08. | |
is to prosper it must continue to be the outriders of British politics. | :41:09. | :41:12. | |
The party that leads the debate and does not follow. The party that is | :41:13. | :41:19. | |
not hamstrung by political correctness and therefore straight | :41:20. | :41:22. | |
talks and says what everybody else is thinking. If Ukip sticks to these | :41:23. | :41:30. | |
principles, then I believe it will flourish in future years. Indeed, I | :41:31. | :41:36. | |
even predict after last night that if things go the way I expect, then | :41:37. | :41:42. | |
Ukip could in 18 months' time be bigger in terms of poll ratings and | :41:43. | :41:49. | |
members than it ever has been before. However, it will not be with | :41:50. | :41:55. | |
me as its leader. I am standing down today as the leader of Ukip with | :41:56. | :41:59. | |
immediate effect. This will allow the party to have a new leader in | :42:00. | :42:05. | |
place by the conference in September. And at the annual | :42:06. | :42:13. | |
conference in are to quay the new rebranded Ukip must be launched and | :42:14. | :42:17. | |
a new era must begin with a new leader. This will be an exciting | :42:18. | :42:25. | |
time for all of us who love our party. I have to admit that I never | :42:26. | :42:31. | |
envisaged that I would lead the party into three by-elections and a | :42:32. | :42:36. | |
general election in the space of six hectic months. I wanted at least a | :42:37. | :42:44. | |
year of calm to rebrand and rebuild the party structures so we were | :42:45. | :42:48. | |
ready for the electoral battles ahead. But alas... Paul Nuttall | :42:49. | :42:54. | |
standing down as leader of Ukip with immediate effect. There will be a | :42:55. | :42:58. | |
leadership contest this year in time are the party conference. I think | :42:59. | :43:02. | |
that will make it three leadership contests in one year for Ukip. I | :43:03. | :43:08. | |
suppose in this context looking at a share of 1. 1.8% of the vote, that | :43:09. | :43:13. | |
was inevitable. Rather small guard dogs of Brexit these days. Clever | :43:14. | :43:17. | |
people with slide rules have calculated after he goes that will | :43:18. | :43:21. | |
be five Ukip leaders in nine months, even by the standard of British | :43:22. | :43:26. | |
politics is going it some. He is an affable guy but he was not a | :43:27. | :43:29. | |
successful leader, got in lots of trouble almost every time he | :43:30. | :43:34. | |
appeared in public. The famous statement, he couldn't remember | :43:35. | :43:38. | |
Leanne woods name. He is known in the press now as Natalie Nuttall. | :43:39. | :43:43. | |
It's been a miserable experience for him. He did it with a certain amount | :43:44. | :43:49. | |
of grace there. It's hard to see Ukip reviving quickly. That depends | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
very much on a new leader. We have heard from Nigel Farage today, | :43:54. | :44:00. | |
delighted to see that Paul Nuttall is standing down, Nigel Farage I | :44:01. | :44:03. | |
think we can predict will be bouncing back. If the Conservative | :44:04. | :44:08. | |
Party in parliament breaks badly over the Brexit negotiations, and I | :44:09. | :44:11. | |
think that's likely, then we will see Ukip coming in to support the | :44:12. | :44:17. | |
hard Brexiteers from the outside. If they're making running in | :44:18. | :44:19. | |
parliament, the Conservatives, why are people going to look for a new | :44:20. | :44:22. | |
party, another party outside of parliament? Hard to see how they | :44:23. | :44:27. | |
come back. This has been the demise of Ukip, in local elections they did | :44:28. | :44:30. | |
badly. Obviously, in this election, as you say you are looking at their | :44:31. | :44:37. | |
vote share, they have no MPs. We can see there Nigel Farage, former | :44:38. | :44:41. | |
leader, saying an excellent speech by Paul Nuttall, sorry he is | :44:42. | :44:45. | |
standing down. There were those - as we know this is the man who said he | :44:46. | :44:49. | |
would be resigning and not coming back to frontline politics. He has | :44:50. | :44:53. | |
had certainly plenty of reincarnations in that regard. We | :44:54. | :44:56. | |
could well see him back. The point about holding the Government's feet | :44:57. | :45:00. | |
to the fire, they don't have the physical infrastructure to do that | :45:01. | :45:05. | |
any more in electoral terms. Paul Nuttall's heart wasn't in it to the | :45:06. | :45:09. | |
end because of the difficult time you talked about. When we | :45:10. | :45:12. | |
interviewed him we said do you think he will be the last leader of Ukip, | :45:13. | :45:16. | |
he said no, that's not going to happen. Who will be the next leader? | :45:17. | :45:21. | |
They struggled to get one to stick around as long as he did, having had | :45:22. | :45:25. | |
quite a few leadership contests and people pulling out within days. | :45:26. | :45:31. | |
Peter Hennessy, good to have you back. In that Paul Nuttall speech, | :45:32. | :45:37. | |
again he went over the theme of projected difficulties ahead the | :45:38. | :45:41. | |
Conservatives in the Brexit process. Surely he is right on that? Yes, and | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
I have a sliver of human sympathy him, think of the hell of being the | :45:47. | :45:53. | |
leader of Ukip with the Farage bird hovering over you. We must remember | :45:54. | :46:00. | |
that they reflected a slice of opinion in our country which really | :46:01. | :46:03. | |
mattered, which was not finding its voice. 4 million votes last time. | :46:04. | :46:11. | |
You have parties to give people a voice, that keeps open society on | :46:12. | :46:20. | |
the road. Tim Shipman has correctly said all elections ends with Nigel | :46:21. | :46:24. | |
Farage resigning or being appointed leader of Ukip, and sometimes both. | :46:25. | :46:28. | |
I think that has happened on this programme more than once or twice! | :46:29. | :46:32. | |
Certainly a heavy hint earlier that he might be needed. He said he would | :46:33. | :46:37. | |
absolutely have to make a to front line if Brexit was at risk, which he | :46:38. | :46:42. | |
said it could be in the light of a hung parliament. We have been | :46:43. | :46:46. | |
notified. He would have would have to have his arm twisted ex-smokers | :46:47. | :46:51. | |
were there into some of the seats Emily looked at where Ukip did very | :46:52. | :46:55. | |
well last time around, there was an expectation at the beginning of this | :46:56. | :46:59. | |
election campaign that their votes were folding into the Conservatives. | :47:00. | :47:03. | |
Up to a point. It was clear from some of Emily's graphs that some of | :47:04. | :47:09. | |
them were dividing in the northern constituencies where the Ukip vote | :47:10. | :47:14. | |
had gone down almost collapsed, dividing it equally, Labour were | :47:15. | :47:18. | |
getting back some of the votes. It is not straightforward to say they | :47:19. | :47:21. | |
have gone to the Conservatives, as we can see from the election result. | :47:22. | :47:28. | |
Lots of Labour voters are worried about immigration, hostile to the | :47:29. | :47:33. | |
EU, Ukip gave them a new voice. Now Ukip is going down, some are coming | :47:34. | :47:36. | |
back to the Labour Party. That is why Jeremy Corbyn was so clear he | :47:37. | :47:40. | |
would be unclear about Brexit, he knew that so many of his voters, 9 | :47:41. | :47:45. | |
million Labour voters voted for Brexit and the party was divided. | :47:46. | :47:49. | |
Keir Starmer brilliantly said that is why we are great for Britain, | :47:50. | :47:54. | |
Britain is divided by Brexit answer was the Labour Party, so we | :47:55. | :47:58. | |
represent Britain! A refreshing degree of honesty. We said earlier | :47:59. | :48:03. | |
we expect the Prime Minister to emerge at around 12:30pm to take the | :48:04. | :48:07. | |
journey from Downing Street to Buckingham Palace. Let's go to | :48:08. | :48:11. | |
Downing Street, Laura has the latest on what is being set | :48:12. | :48:15. | |
behind-the-scenes about the Prime Minister's position? | :48:16. | :48:18. | |
Just before I tell you about that I can't help but remind you that | :48:19. | :48:30. | |
almost exactly this time in 2015 we were talking about Nigel Farage | :48:31. | :48:32. | |
being the Vicky Pollard of resignations yeah, but, no, yeah, | :48:33. | :48:34. | |
but, no. It sounds like another yeah today. I love of my bad metaphors. | :48:35. | :48:39. | |
Talking to Tories privately from outside Downing Street this morning | :48:40. | :48:42. | |
it seems very much that Theresa May has shored up her position at least | :48:43. | :48:49. | |
for now. So what seemed a couple of hours ago very, very uncertain, | :48:50. | :48:53. | |
would she be able to get through the day? It seems the sentiment I think | :48:54. | :48:57. | |
more than anything else of the horror of the prospect of another | :48:58. | :49:01. | |
election seems to have allowed the party to at least settle its | :49:02. | :49:06. | |
collective nerve for a little while. I had to say that those | :49:07. | :49:09. | |
conversations have also made completely plain that many MPs will | :49:10. | :49:15. | |
regard her as a caretaker rather than a Prime Minister who will be in | :49:16. | :49:20. | |
this for the long haul. Just another point about the fact that she will | :49:21. | :49:23. | |
have to rely on some form of assurance or support from the DUP, | :49:24. | :49:28. | |
not clear exactly what the form of that will be, but as we said earlier | :49:29. | :49:32. | |
some kind of loose arrangement. Here's a thought, very many really | :49:33. | :49:37. | |
important issues for the public like social care, housing, are devolved. | :49:38. | :49:41. | |
So they are different in Northern Ireland. So what happens when it | :49:42. | :49:46. | |
comes a controversial vote in the House of Commons? When the Tories | :49:47. | :49:51. | |
need to rely on the DUP but they are not issues affecting the DUP's | :49:52. | :49:55. | |
voters? In the months to come back or be quite a conundrum for the | :49:56. | :49:59. | |
Tories. I think that might exaggerate the effect you often see | :50:00. | :50:04. | |
with minority governments were basically anything controversial, | :50:05. | :50:07. | |
anything difficult just doesn't even make it to the House of Commons, let | :50:08. | :50:12. | |
alone actually getting its way through. A quick point, when we | :50:13. | :50:18. | |
spoke to Nigel Evans earlier, and to Nicky Morgan, we discussed the fact | :50:19. | :50:21. | |
that there was significant misgivings with the way the campaign | :50:22. | :50:26. | |
was run, specifically around the very close-knit people around the | :50:27. | :50:30. | |
Prime Minister, basically the way that she governs and runs things? | :50:31. | :50:34. | |
Absolutely. To what extent will she be able to change that, because that | :50:35. | :50:40. | |
is a very established pattern that she has? It is her modus operandi | :50:41. | :50:43. | |
but it is very clear to me that MPs will demand that some of her closest | :50:44. | :50:48. | |
team go. One former minister said on the phone awhile ago that it will | :50:49. | :50:53. | |
have to be the case that Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy, her chiefs of | :50:54. | :50:57. | |
staff, depart. Of course that will be a decision of the number ten and | :50:58. | :51:02. | |
Theresa May but let's be clear, there are Conservative MPs who | :51:03. | :51:07. | |
expect and will demand that happens. There is deep unhappiness at how the | :51:08. | :51:10. | |
campaign was run but, if you like, it is a symbol of how she had been | :51:11. | :51:15. | |
running operations, not being inclusive enough, not consulting and | :51:16. | :51:19. | |
of Cabinet colleagues. Some people in Cabinet like the way she worked | :51:20. | :51:23. | |
because they felt that one she had made a decision she tended to stick | :51:24. | :51:24. | |
to it and looked for evidence, things were much more | :51:25. | :51:42. | |
formal. But I think because she is so much weaker now than 24 hours | :51:43. | :51:45. | |
ago, she will have to take counsel from the Cabinet, she will not now, | :51:46. | :51:48. | |
I don't think, be able to Sakho Chancellor, Philip Hammond, which | :51:49. | :51:50. | |
had been the plan for this election. -- will not be able to Sakho | :51:51. | :51:53. | |
Chancellor. Philip Hammond is on the less sceptical end of the Brexit | :51:54. | :51:55. | |
spectrum. I hate to use the word soft and hard but it may well be the | :51:56. | :52:01. | |
case, it has been suggested to me, that's Cabinet members wanted that | :52:02. | :52:04. | |
the approach to the single market back on the table. -- that some | :52:05. | :52:09. | |
Cabinet members. The DUP are soft in terms of the border with the | :52:10. | :52:15. | |
mainland of Ireland but definitely Eurosceptic in character. It is too | :52:16. | :52:18. | |
early to say whether this will change the nature of the kind of | :52:19. | :52:23. | |
Brexit we will end up with, but complications all around. It is a | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
very, very complicated set of consequences from what has clearly | :52:29. | :52:32. | |
been a political disaster. We will be back, Laura, thank you very much. | :52:33. | :52:37. | |
Andy? It'll be a personal humiliation of a new kind the | :52:38. | :52:41. | |
Theresa May to have to get rid of Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill, she | :52:42. | :52:42. | |
would hate that and be badly weakened if she did, she depends | :52:43. | :52:57. | |
upon them very, very much. She would prefer to lose back teeth without | :52:58. | :52:59. | |
anaesthetic and a set of pliers than do that. One she has done it she | :53:00. | :53:03. | |
will be in a weaker position and her modus operandi will have gone, I | :53:04. | :53:05. | |
will be very surprised if she finds it easy to do. She might have | :53:06. | :53:08. | |
pressure to get rid of one of them, to at least have made some | :53:09. | :53:10. | |
sacrifice, but it would be difficult. Or at least replace them | :53:11. | :53:13. | |
with somebody else even though she only has a very small coterie. It is | :53:14. | :53:17. | |
almost saying to Theresa May you must be a different kind of human | :53:18. | :53:21. | |
being, that is very, very hard to do. The problem with the two | :53:22. | :53:23. | |
gatekeepers is a reflection of Mrs May being very | :53:24. | :53:42. | |
anxious as a Prime Minister. She is very determined and very tough but | :53:43. | :53:44. | |
also very anxious person. Everybody on all sites describes how things | :53:45. | :53:47. | |
get held by the gatekeepers. It is deeply inefficient, they get worn | :53:48. | :53:49. | |
out, so does she. There is a huge machine as well as Cabinet | :53:50. | :53:52. | |
colleagues at her disposal. You can get away with it as Secretary of | :53:53. | :53:54. | |
State but not as Prime Minister, it is only a matter of time. On a | :53:55. | :53:57. | |
completely different note, a record number of female MPs elected, more | :53:58. | :54:00. | |
than 200 in this Parliament, is numbering the 196 in 2015, there is | :54:01. | :54:07. | |
one seat to go in Kensington. -- outnumbering the 196. And Theresa | :54:08. | :54:14. | |
May used to run a campaign for women and the Conservatives. You will have | :54:15. | :54:17. | |
noticed that the weather is not great towards Westminster, but it is | :54:18. | :54:21. | |
not putting tourists and people gathering outside Buckingham Palace, | :54:22. | :54:26. | |
let me tell you! Changing the guard at Buckingham Palace, that is taking | :54:27. | :54:31. | |
place today. But all eyes as on Horse Guards Parade, lots of | :54:32. | :54:36. | |
rehearsing going on for the Queen's Birthday Parade and the Trooping of | :54:37. | :54:40. | |
the Colour which takes place a week tomorrow. They are on their way to | :54:41. | :54:46. | |
Buckingham Palace right now, Andy? I think that is Momentum marching, | :54:47. | :54:50. | |
their official honour guard explanation mark about it certainly | :54:51. | :54:58. | |
involves Momentum, no doubt! Plenty of umbrellas, but the weather is not | :54:59. | :55:03. | |
putting off people who have been to see the great spectacle happening | :55:04. | :55:07. | |
outside Buckingham Palace. We are full of sympathy about the weather, | :55:08. | :55:12. | |
Andrew Neil! Thank you, that I don't need | :55:13. | :55:16. | |
sympathy, the sun has come out. If you don't like the weather, hang | :55:17. | :55:23. | |
around, it changes in 15 minutes. I have Jean Miller with me, she ran | :55:24. | :55:31. | |
the famous court case which called the Parliamentary vote on Brexit. -- | :55:32. | :55:40. | |
I have Gina Miller. Gina Miller, does a hung parliament make what you | :55:41. | :55:43. | |
would regard as a softer Brexit more likely or will it perhaps make for a | :55:44. | :55:50. | |
chaotic breakfast... I'm sorry, Brexit! It has been a long night! It | :55:51. | :55:55. | |
has. I think the people have spoken loud and clear and said we do not | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
want an extreme Brexit, we do not want one that leaves the single | :56:01. | :56:03. | |
market, and that is what will happen. It is loud and clear. It was | :56:04. | :56:08. | |
in the Conservative manifesto, that is what they voted against. I don't | :56:09. | :56:12. | |
think it will be chaos, we will not put the hung parliament. We might | :56:13. | :56:15. | |
end up with a parliament who votes issue by issue, and when it comes to | :56:16. | :56:20. | |
Brexit we will go on close negotiations with a far more | :56:21. | :56:24. | |
flexible approach. Mrs May called the selection because she said she | :56:25. | :56:28. | |
wanted a mandate for her form of Brexit. What is her mandate this | :56:29. | :56:34. | |
morning? It is a desperately disappointing outcome and I feel for | :56:35. | :56:38. | |
the 30 or so former colleagues who very unexpectedly, to them at least, | :56:39. | :56:42. | |
lost their seats. I think it is fair to say that we are the largest party | :56:43. | :56:47. | |
by quite some way, 55 seats ahead of Labour. The idea that Labour can | :56:48. | :56:52. | |
form an administration, I think, is for the birds. But we have not got | :56:53. | :56:59. | |
over the line of 326. But what is her mandate? We are the party that | :57:00. | :57:03. | |
will be the leading light in the government, it looks as if we will | :57:04. | :57:07. | |
have an arrangement with the DUP which will be sustainable for the | :57:08. | :57:11. | |
short and medium-term at least and maybe beyond. Where I agree with | :57:12. | :57:15. | |
Gina, I think the important thing is not to Brexit. We got through that | :57:16. | :57:21. | |
process, the legal process, the Article 50 process is through. | :57:22. | :57:25. | |
However I hope that is part and parcel of this, and I say that as a | :57:26. | :57:28. | |
London MP where there are massive swing is very much because of the | :57:29. | :57:32. | |
Brexit issue which permeated through to the very poor results the | :57:33. | :57:36. | |
Conservatives had in London, I would like to see an open offer from the | :57:37. | :57:40. | |
Theresa May administration to make sure we hear as many voices as | :57:41. | :57:43. | |
possible playing their parts from other political parties in terms of | :57:44. | :57:47. | |
trying to sort out what will be the right deal within particular | :57:48. | :57:50. | |
sectors. Is there not a danger from your point of view that if Mrs May | :57:51. | :57:58. | |
is to do a deal with the DUP from Northern Ireland, which are pretty | :57:59. | :58:03. | |
strong on Brexit, that she will, despite not getting the mandate she | :58:04. | :58:08. | |
looked for, stick to her form of Brexit that was in the manifesto? I | :58:09. | :58:13. | |
don't think so. I think the idea of more voices from different parties | :58:14. | :58:16. | |
is absolutely right. This issue is too big to be left to one party. | :58:17. | :58:21. | |
That has won, democracy has spoken and said it should be more people, | :58:22. | :58:26. | |
more voices in something that will affect our country so deeply. It is | :58:27. | :58:34. | |
in the national decades -- interest the decades to come. There is a very | :58:35. | :58:38. | |
big issue with Ireland, either we treated as an entity in its own | :58:39. | :58:44. | |
right or that the islands of Great Britain, my preference would be the | :58:45. | :58:47. | |
matter. Clearly the preference of the DUP would be the matter, they're | :58:48. | :58:51. | |
all sort of implications following from. The Irish government are well | :58:52. | :58:56. | |
aware of the issue. I did not mean the Irish issue, just that you are | :58:57. | :59:00. | |
dependent on the DUP and they are pretty strong on Brexit. If I was Mr | :59:01. | :59:05. | |
Barnier, the lead negotiator, listening to you this morning, I | :59:06. | :59:09. | |
would say it is a bit down late that you will start consulting all these | :59:10. | :59:13. | |
people and deciding what Brexit really means. We start negotiations | :59:14. | :59:18. | |
in a few days. I think he has been quite fair, he is relaxed about | :59:19. | :59:23. | |
having a pause, given the political uncertainty, it would be foolish not | :59:24. | :59:27. | |
to have a pause. So you do not think the negotiations will bring us -- | :59:28. | :59:36. | |
begin as scheduled? I think until the general... German electoral | :59:37. | :59:39. | |
system is sorted out it will be difficult to get anything finalised. | :59:40. | :59:44. | |
But let's get this right, let's be able to bring other voices to have | :59:45. | :59:47. | |
their part to play, I accept that the clock is ticking on Brexit but | :59:48. | :59:51. | |
we don't have to rush in headlong over the next few weeks. If she | :59:52. | :59:59. | |
manages to pull off forming a government, did she not go into the | :00:00. | :00:03. | |
negotiations, given what she hoped to achieve is and has clearly failed | :00:04. | :00:07. | |
to achieve, she goes into the negotiations a diminished figure? | :00:08. | :00:12. | |
That is a problem because her reputation is in tatters. The EU do | :00:13. | :00:19. | |
not want a failing neighbour. We should not want them to fail either. | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
It would be reasonable negotiations and that's what we didn't have | :00:24. | :00:29. | |
before. With MrsMay we had a very closed, inflexible approach that was | :00:30. | :00:31. | |
hard Brexit or nothing, deal or no deal. We won't have that nothing. | :00:32. | :00:38. | |
What you are talking about is almost a fundamental reopening of our | :00:39. | :00:42. | |
Brexit negotiating position. No, I don't think it's that. Well, she is | :00:43. | :00:48. | |
talking about remaining a member of the single market, aren't you I do. | :00:49. | :00:52. | |
That's what I said, that's pretty fundamental. That would be. The | :00:53. | :00:57. | |
risk, to be honest, that would essentially be frustrating the | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
Brexit that has been agreed as far as getting to Article 50 is | :01:01. | :01:08. | |
concerned. We did we search with 50% Leavers and Remains and asked that | :01:09. | :01:10. | |
question, do you want the next Government to leave the single | :01:11. | :01:15. | |
market and 50% said no. Only 21% said they wanted to leave the single | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
market. When it came to freedom of movement, 69% said they wanted those | :01:21. | :01:24. | |
rights. Actually, I was not surprised... All of us have | :01:25. | :01:29. | |
experience of opinion polls. It was a survey, directly asked questions. | :01:30. | :01:34. | |
When this result came we were not surprised. Staying part of the | :01:35. | :01:39. | |
customs union? It's not a political union, it's not a military union. | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
It's not a judicial union. You want to remain a member of the single | :01:44. | :01:46. | |
market, and you want to remain a member of the customs union. If that | :01:47. | :01:52. | |
is not a radical redrawing of the Government's Brexit conditions, what | :01:53. | :01:56. | |
is? That would be. This customs union issue is likely to rear its | :01:57. | :02:00. | |
head as far as the Irish issue, a blind eye is going to have to be | :02:01. | :02:03. | |
turned for goods to go through the UK from Ireland. Do you fear for the | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
future of this country? I do, a little bit, the uncertainty is not | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
good news, I represent the City of London and you have seen jitters | :02:13. | :02:19. | |
today. I hoped we would have a definitive election result and a | :02:20. | :02:22. | |
very stable Government in place. You got none of that. In fairness to | :02:23. | :02:26. | |
Theresa May she's quickly acted this morning to get supply and confidence | :02:27. | :02:30. | |
arrangement to make sure we are able to stabilise things. That's in | :02:31. | :02:39. | |
desperation. I think it's a reality that unlike the offer from Jeremy | :02:40. | :02:45. | |
Corbyn and Mr McDonnell, that is... Will she recover her authority again | :02:46. | :02:47. | |
with the Conservative Party after what she has put them through? She | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
is the head of Government, I would disagree with what Gina said about | :02:52. | :02:54. | |
her relationship with European leaders. I am not asking about | :02:55. | :03:00. | |
European leaders. Will she ever recover authority with her own | :03:01. | :03:02. | |
party? I am confident we can recover that authority. I am not going to | :03:03. | :03:05. | |
say it's going to be entirely easy, this has been a bruising and | :03:06. | :03:10. | |
unexpected experience. I think the danger with what happened with the | :03:11. | :03:14. | |
campaign, with hindsight, the tone was too negative, we don't have the | :03:15. | :03:18. | |
hope and optimism that Labour were able to portray. We were right I | :03:19. | :03:22. | |
think to recognise that this whole Brexit process is going to be very | :03:23. | :03:25. | |
difficult and we have to level with the public about that but also to | :03:26. | :03:32. | |
make the case danger of what a Corbyn and McDonnell Government | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
would do. You had a chance to make that case and look where it got you. | :03:37. | :03:40. | |
We will move on. Back to you, Huw. We will be talking about the nature | :03:41. | :03:47. | |
of the campaign in a few minutes. Talking about a negative campaign | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
and talking about reports that are coming in that so far there's been | :03:52. | :03:54. | |
no contact or little contact between the Prime Minister and her team and | :03:55. | :03:57. | |
most members of the Cabinet. We will pick that up. In a moment the news. | :03:58. | :04:02. | |
First, the weather, as we have seen it's wet in London. | :04:03. | :04:07. | |
Hello there. With the expectation of northern Scotland for many more | :04:08. | :04:10. | |
sunshine around today compared with yesterday. But keep the umbrella | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
handy. Showers in western areas today, they're pushing eastwards for | :04:15. | :04:17. | |
the afternoon. Central and eastern England some showers could be heavy. | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
A lot of cloud across northern and eastern Scotland but the rain | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
turning lighter and patchier. Many dry through the afternoon, | :04:27. | :04:30. | |
especially further west and pleasant enough in the sunshine. | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
Showers fade away this evening. Cloud spills in through tonight | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
bringing rain to Northern Ireland, which will ease into Saturday to | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
bright and blustery weather. Rain in Scotland. For northern England, | :04:44. | :04:48. | |
Wales, potentially parts of Devon and Cornwall rain on and off | :04:49. | :04:52. | |
throughout the day. Further south and east, you should stay dry on | :04:53. | :04:58. | |
Saturday and feeling humid too. Many south-eastern areas dry again | :04:59. | :05:01. | |
on Sunday. A small chance of a shower. Sunshine coming through. | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
Elsewhere, sunshine and showers and feeling cooler. Have a good day. | :05:06. | :05:10. | |
Theresa May will go to Buckingham Palace this lunchtime to seek | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
permission from the Queen to form a Government, despite the general | :05:15. | :05:16. | |
election ending in a hung parliament. With all but one seat | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
declared the Tories have 318 seats, eight short of the figure needed to | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
form a majority. The Prime Minister is trying to stay in office on the | :05:26. | :05:31. | |
understanding that the DUP party will support a minority Conservative | :05:32. | :05:35. | |
administration. DUP sources say reports of an agreement are | :05:36. | :05:38. | |
premature. Our political correspondent reports. | :05:39. | :05:52. | |
A brief smile but it did not last long. | :05:53. | :05:54. | |
Theresa May's huge political gamble ended in failure. | :05:55. | :05:56. | |
She wanted to transform the Tories' fragile | :05:57. | :05:58. | |
majority into a stronger negotiating hand. | :05:59. | :05:59. | |
Instead, her party's ended up weaker. | :06:00. | :06:00. | |
If, as the indications have shown, and if this is correct, that | :06:01. | :06:03. | |
the Conservative Party has won the most seats, | :06:04. | :06:05. | |
and probably the most votes, then it will be incumbent on | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
us to ensure we have that period of stability and that's | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
As the Labour leader arrived at party HQ this | :06:16. | :06:24. | |
That is what we fought the election for. | :06:25. | :06:30. | |
This is the programme we put forward in our election. | :06:31. | :06:35. | |
We have done no deals and no pacts with anybody. | :06:36. | :06:37. | |
We are there as the Labour Party with our points of view. | :06:38. | :06:42. | |
The Conservatives at the count in Hastings looked glum. | :06:43. | :06:44. | |
The Home Secretary only just scraped home by 346 votes. | :06:45. | :07:02. | |
Eight of May's top team failed to get re-elected. | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
While the Lib Dems celebrated the return of former | :07:07. | :07:09. | |
Ministers like Sir Vince Cable, the party's | :07:10. | :07:13. | |
Ministers like Sir Vince Cable, the party's old leader had one | :07:14. | :07:16. | |
of the biggest upsets of the night, losing his Sheffield seat. | :07:17. | :07:18. | |
I of course have encountered this evening something | :07:19. | :07:20. | |
that many people have encountered before tonight and I suspect many | :07:21. | :07:23. | |
people will encounter after tonight, which is in politics, you live by | :07:24. | :07:26. | |
The SNP lost big names on a very bad night. | :07:27. | :07:30. | |
Their deputy leader Angus Robertson was ousted by the | :07:31. | :07:33. | |
Conservatives and their former leader Alex Salmond has lost his | :07:34. | :07:35. | |
The DUP have said they will make their influence felt. With just one | :07:36. | :07:53. | |
count still to come in, the result is clear. There is to be a hung | :07:54. | :07:57. | |
parliament. It's not going to be a majority Government of any colour. | :07:58. | :08:01. | |
It's left some questioning whether MrsMay can continue. I think she's | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
in a very difficult place. She's a remarkable and a very talented woman | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
and she doesn't shy from difficult decisions but she now has to | :08:11. | :08:13. | |
obviously consider her position. Are you stepping down? Sources say she | :08:14. | :08:18. | |
has no intention of resigning but she is weaker, has fewer MPs and | :08:19. | :08:26. | |
there are questions over her future. The leader of the Ukip party, Paul | :08:27. | :08:31. | |
Nuttall, is standing down from the job with immediate effect. Ukip | :08:32. | :08:33. | |
failed to win any seats in parliament and its share of the vote | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
collapsed. Earlier the former leader Nigel Farage hinted at a return to | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
politics. Labour had a strong night in Wales, reclaiming a number of | :08:44. | :08:46. | |
seats from the Conservatives. The results were a blow to the Tories. | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
They hoped to make gains in pro-Brexit areas. Plaid Cymru won | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
four seats, up one. The Liberal Democrats lost their only Welsh MP. | :08:56. | :09:01. | |
The outcome raises doubts about whether Brexit talks can begin this | :09:02. | :09:04. | |
month. The European Council President has tweeted he did not | :09:05. | :09:09. | |
know when the talks would start, only when they had to end. | :09:10. | :09:11. | |
Jean-Claude Juncker, the Commission President, says the EU is ready for | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
negotiations and he hopes the UK will form a Government as soon as | :09:17. | :09:18. | |
possible. Let's return to the BBC's election | :09:19. | :09:20. | |
special. Good morning. It is 11. 10 am. We | :09:21. | :09:42. | |
are back in the election centre with the latest for you on the election | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
outcome and of course we are one seat away from a full complement of | :09:48. | :09:55. | |
results. With one seat to go in Kensington, Conservatives on 318, | :09:56. | :09:58. | |
Labour on 261. The Conservatives the biggest party but do not have a | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
majority. Theresa May is facing a hung parliament and if she is to | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
stay in power, which she intends to do, she will probably say that | :10:08. | :10:11. | |
later, she will depend on the support of the DUP. A word about the | :10:12. | :10:17. | |
seat that we don't have, that is Kensington in a very prosperous part | :10:18. | :10:25. | |
of London. They were counting overnight, it's very tight. We are | :10:26. | :10:29. | |
told when they stopped counting because they were exhausted Labour | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
was marginally ahead by 30 or 40 votes. They're not going to count | :10:35. | :10:38. | |
again until later. We may get a result in the early evening. So, we | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
could be in a position where the Tories will be on 319 or indeed on | :10:43. | :10:48. | |
318 with Labour on 262. Basically, that's the result. It is a hung | :10:49. | :10:52. | |
parliament. Lots more reaction for you. If you are just joining us, the | :10:53. | :10:57. | |
Prime Minister will be going to Buckingham Palace at 12. 30 and is | :10:58. | :11:02. | |
likely to make a statement in Downing Street on her plans. Plenty | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
to talk about the challenges she faces and Peter Hennessy is with us | :11:07. | :11:11. | |
a great perspective on what's gone on in the past. In the past what has | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
happened at this point, what's the Prime Minister been doing? 1st | :11:16. | :11:22. | |
March, 1974, the previous day Ted Heath lost, it was a snap election | :11:23. | :11:26. | |
that snapped him up. In the afternoon, the Friday afternoon, | :11:27. | :11:29. | |
this is an intriguing question, if I recall correctly, he called the | :11:30. | :11:32. | |
Cabinet together to tell them he was going to try to do a deal with the | :11:33. | :11:37. | |
Liberal leader over the weekend and also went to see the Queen. Not sure | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
if it was before or after... On the Monday, if I recall correctly, he | :11:44. | :11:47. | |
had another meeting with the Cabinet to report on why he didn't think | :11:48. | :11:53. | |
what Jeremy Thorpe was considering offering, which wasn't very much or | :11:54. | :12:00. | |
vice versa, wasn't going to work. One would look this afternoon for a | :12:01. | :12:04. | |
Cabinet meeting to take them into her confidence how she will play it. | :12:05. | :12:07. | |
No sign of that yet. That's the point. We haven't heard anything | :12:08. | :12:11. | |
about her gathering a team around her and as well as discussions with | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
the DUP, whom she might want in that confidence and supply, needs to go | :12:16. | :12:18. | |
ahead with Brexit, who is going to be in her team? While the election | :12:19. | :12:22. | |
was going on, and during the campaign when there was all this | :12:23. | :12:27. | |
talk of 100-seat majority, talk Philip Hammond may no longer be in | :12:28. | :12:33. | |
post, she might be moving Amber Rudd who only just about held on to her | :12:34. | :12:38. | |
seat, Ben Gummer was talked about, who lost his seat, he was talked | :12:39. | :12:42. | |
about possibly taking over David Davis role, all these things now... | :12:43. | :12:46. | |
By friends of Ben Gummer. These things were being circulated at the | :12:47. | :12:50. | |
time. Yet we still haven't heard from the Cabinet. We are hearing a | :12:51. | :12:53. | |
lot of Cabinet ministers haven't heard at all from Theresa May. Far | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
from there being a formal Cabinet meeting as Peter suggested, there | :12:59. | :13:01. | |
doesn't seem to be informal points made either. Both of the main | :13:02. | :13:05. | |
parties leaders have big questions about how wide and generously they | :13:06. | :13:09. | |
open up. Does Theresa May go to people like Michael Gove who she | :13:10. | :13:14. | |
fired on the back benches, experienced, popular Tories and try | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
and bring them back? On the other side, how does Jeremy Corbyn build | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
further on the great electoral success he has had? Lots of the more | :13:23. | :13:31. | |
moderate or Blairite centrist MPs said he was rubbish and walked out. | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
They have been proved wrong, now some are saying so. Owen Jones | :13:36. | :13:40. | |
saying what a great campaign. Harriet Harman tweeting. Does Jeremy | :13:41. | :13:44. | |
Corbyn hold out the hand to people like Yvette Cooper and say come on | :13:45. | :13:48. | |
in, we are going to build a proper Labour Cabinet, that reflects all | :13:49. | :13:54. | |
shades. What's your... It would be generous for him to do, he is a | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
generous and non-mean spirited individual, I think. Lots of people | :14:00. | :14:04. | |
around him on the left who hate the idea of bringing wretched Blairites | :14:05. | :14:08. | |
in but it would be clever. He can afford to be generous. The hard van | :14:09. | :14:13. | |
guard left party types, a hangover group from the old days, do alienate | :14:14. | :14:17. | |
the centre and right in the Labour Party and an act of generosity, the | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
van guard Labour types do believe in exactly that, that elite group, | :14:23. | :14:26. | |
don't they, to carry the next stage forward? They have a manifesto to | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
stick to. Jeremy Corbyn hasn't had it all his own way in terms of the | :14:31. | :14:37. | |
manifesto on things like Trident renewal, for example. There will be | :14:38. | :14:40. | |
things moderate Labour MPs can hold on to and argue they could come | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
back. He could afford an act of generosity to bring some of those | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
people in, even if not at the top. Parties based on fraternity and | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
brotherhood find it difficult to put it into practice internally. A quick | :14:53. | :15:01. | |
word on more EU response. There is a very intriguing statement from | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
Jean-Claude Juncker. The President of the Commission. On the business | :15:05. | :15:08. | |
of extending negotiations on Article 50, asked at a news conference | :15:09. | :15:12. | |
whether the Article 50 negotiations should be extended in the light of | :15:13. | :15:17. | |
the UK election result, Jean-Claude Juncker replied that before | :15:18. | :15:20. | |
negotiations can be extended, they first need to begin. That is his | :15:21. | :15:26. | |
words. Clearly again question marks over whether this rigid timetable of | :15:27. | :15:29. | |
starting in ten days is going to happen. We heard Michel Barnier | :15:30. | :15:34. | |
saying we need to be in a position where people are happy to start and | :15:35. | :15:37. | |
will be confident in that process. We will pick up on that in a while. | :15:38. | :15:42. | |
We may get more from Brussels on that. Can I bring in Jonathan | :15:43. | :15:46. | |
Bartley, co-leader of the Greens. Thank you very much for waiting to | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
talk to us. Your perspective on the outcome of this election and what | :15:52. | :15:53. | |
are the lessons you draw? We talked for a long time about | :15:54. | :16:04. | |
Progressive alliances, for two years and we stood aside in 24 seat to | :16:05. | :16:08. | |
allow that possibility, those swing seats that would determine the | :16:09. | :16:11. | |
outcome of the election and in some of those it has come to fruition. We | :16:12. | :16:16. | |
were thrilled that there seem to have been a change in the way we do | :16:17. | :16:20. | |
politics in this country with the Labour Party taking up a lot of our | :16:21. | :16:25. | |
ideas from the 2015 manifesto and people endorsing them and voting for | :16:26. | :16:30. | |
them. It is great to have Caroline Lucas returning with a bigger | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
majority but really worried about the DUP having this sway over a | :16:36. | :16:38. | |
Conservative government. They are climate change sceptics and have | :16:39. | :16:43. | |
faced accusations of bigotry and homophobia and to have at the heart | :16:44. | :16:48. | |
of government is worrying. And Theresa May's credibility seems to | :16:49. | :16:54. | |
be shot, one mistake after another, from originally getting the job | :16:55. | :16:58. | |
because everyone else ran away to the problems over invoking Article | :16:59. | :17:05. | |
50, having to be dragged into Parliament to have a meaningful | :17:06. | :17:09. | |
debate and a vote on the final deal right through to the U-turn on a | :17:10. | :17:13. | |
general election and now this ticking over her supposed mandate to | :17:14. | :17:19. | |
take the Brexit negotiations. It is a government in chaos. Looking at | :17:20. | :17:25. | |
the figures, you have just over half a million votes in the election | :17:26. | :17:30. | |
which is roughly 2% which is probably half of what you got in | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
percentage terms last time. How difficult was it for you? It was | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
tough but we always knew we would take a hit. We have been pushing | :17:40. | :17:44. | |
hard for voting for progressive candidates and standing aside in | :17:45. | :17:49. | |
those seats and do have one MP with half a million votes underlined the | :17:50. | :17:52. | |
ongoing unfairness of the system which is what we want to change. Not | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
forgetting we have got almost double the number of votes as the DUP who | :17:58. | :18:02. | |
are about to call the shots and that shows the Observer of the system. -- | :18:03. | :18:08. | |
of the absurdity of the system. We will hear from the Prime Minister | :18:09. | :18:13. | |
later, but a Conservative administration basically supported | :18:14. | :18:21. | |
by the DUP, ten MPs, is that the basis for a politically stable | :18:22. | :18:23. | |
government in your view given the challenges ahead? The DUP I don't | :18:24. | :18:30. | |
think are the kind of people you want calling the shots. We have just | :18:31. | :18:36. | |
got rid of Ukip who seems to have finally died a death but without any | :18:37. | :18:39. | |
MPs they were still calling shots and they said to the government to | :18:40. | :18:44. | |
jump and they said how hype. We saw them pursue this extreme Brexit. | :18:45. | :18:49. | |
What will happen with the DUP and are climate change scepticism? Will | :18:50. | :18:53. | |
they exact a serious price for the government being propped up? That is | :18:54. | :18:59. | |
a coalition of chaos. We will be hearing from the DUP later so maybe | :19:00. | :19:03. | |
we will get some answers to that but thank you for joining us. What I | :19:04. | :19:10. | |
would like to do is hear from some voters and we can go to York where | :19:11. | :19:15. | |
one of those big debate took place at the University. Good morning. | :19:16. | :19:23. | |
Absolutely glorious here in York and life is getting back to normal after | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
a fairly busy night with some people queueing up ready to go off on a | :19:29. | :19:33. | |
boat trip. A lot of people wondering what on earth happened last night | :19:34. | :19:37. | |
and what it means, not least our voters. Good morning, everyone. I | :19:38. | :19:42. | |
know between you there has not been much sleep! But a quick chat about | :19:43. | :19:49. | |
how you feel. You were a Labour vote and you look happy. I am very happy | :19:50. | :19:55. | |
this morning. I regret the fact that we can't be in a position to form a | :19:56. | :19:58. | |
government but it's a brilliant result from where we were. And you | :19:59. | :20:04. | |
are a student so how important to get out and vote? Really important. | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
I was persuading a lot of people to vote no matter what party they were, | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
it is important that students vote and the turnout has been miserable | :20:13. | :20:17. | |
previously and nice to see it up. And you were a Ukip supporter but | :20:18. | :20:26. | |
who did you vote for? I spoiled my ballot. I was very excited that none | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
could form a government. They were terrible. You have won a Communist | :20:30. | :20:38. | |
and Theresa May who is censoring the Internet, I don't think either | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
platform deserves to form a government. But for Ukip is | :20:43. | :20:45. | |
important to spoil your paper to say something? -- but for you it was | :20:46. | :20:52. | |
important. You had to register your dismay at the system and the parties | :20:53. | :20:57. | |
ignoring us. And you have been watching it all night, how are you | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
feeling, you voted Conservative. I did, with a heavy heart. I feel they | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
need to get more compassionate and get a social conscience, they are | :21:08. | :21:10. | |
not listening to what people want but I felt they were the strongest | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
party on the economy and to lead us into Brexit. I am dismayed at where | :21:16. | :21:21. | |
we go and how we get through that. And I was talking to you the other | :21:22. | :21:27. | |
day on Breakfast, a Lib Dem voter, how are you feeling? Bittersweet. | :21:28. | :21:33. | |
Four games is actually quite good and in new places. -- four gains. | :21:34. | :21:44. | |
But then Nick Clegg lost his seat. Were you shocked at that? No | :21:45. | :21:49. | |
comment! You put your head in your hands earlier! I did! Now the | :21:50. | :21:56. | |
cameras are rolling... But it was devastating because he was the | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
reason I got infused in politics. Had it changed how you feel about | :22:02. | :22:06. | |
politics? Not necessarily, it has made me more determined to change | :22:07. | :22:13. | |
minds. And like these guys, you are young, do you feel there is more | :22:14. | :22:20. | |
support for Young people now? The weird thing about this election, | :22:21. | :22:26. | |
after Brexit and the referendum, everybody on my Facebook page | :22:27. | :22:29. | |
started talking about politics and it was surreal because before that | :22:30. | :22:34. | |
nothing like that happened. I think Brexit changed a lot of minds and | :22:35. | :22:39. | |
allowed a lot of people to step into that sphere of politics when they | :22:40. | :22:44. | |
didn't necessarily want to get involved before or didn't care. And | :22:45. | :22:48. | |
you are nodding because that is important to you as well? The | :22:49. | :22:54. | |
enthusiasm for politics. Even if you don't vote Conservative like I do, | :22:55. | :22:57. | |
you should be involved in politics and make your voice heard because it | :22:58. | :23:03. | |
is interested in what you are doing even if you are not interested in | :23:04. | :23:08. | |
politics. Taxes, Internet censorship, day to day life. I'm | :23:09. | :23:11. | |
obviously disappointed with the result but it is not the overall | :23:12. | :23:16. | |
majority we wanted but it allows us to look at how Jeremy Corbyn has | :23:17. | :23:21. | |
done well and it allows to to change for the future and reform the inner | :23:22. | :23:26. | |
workings of the party and grow for the future pulls up what would you | :23:27. | :23:27. | |
do if you were Theresa May? I would look at forming a coalition | :23:28. | :23:37. | |
with sensible partners that can meet in agreement. Look at your face! I | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
don't think it is going to happen. As I said before, I was going to say | :23:43. | :23:49. | |
2-mac different pages in a book but it is two different books. I highly | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
doubt it is going to happen. I don't it will either, I don't think it | :23:55. | :23:57. | |
will be Lib Dems because neither party wants to be in coalition again | :23:58. | :24:01. | |
after last time and we had to deal with you. It is more likely to be | :24:02. | :24:07. | |
the DUP which I'm not happy with personally but it is the sensible | :24:08. | :24:10. | |
solution because they are slightly closer to the Lib Dems. -- than the | :24:11. | :24:17. | |
Lib Dems. You have bought a comfort cake this morning! You voted | :24:18. | :24:21. | |
Conservative and you have a cake ready to eat! It was a long night | :24:22. | :24:26. | |
and a disappointing night with the outcome. Off to work this morning | :24:27. | :24:31. | |
and I had to buy some comfort food to get me through the day! It is a | :24:32. | :24:41. | |
mess. For everybody, really. Thank you for joining us, we really | :24:42. | :24:44. | |
appreciate it, at least we got to sit in the sunshine! That is it from | :24:45. | :24:50. | |
me for now. Thank you very much and to all of your guests for some | :24:51. | :24:55. | |
fascinating views. Steph McGovern with some young voters in York. I | :24:56. | :24:59. | |
mentioned earlier that Jon Ford Jonker, the president of the | :25:00. | :25:04. | |
European Commission had made a statement -- Jean Claude Junker. | :25:05. | :25:12. | |
Also on the reactions of Donald Tusk and Michel Barnier on the impact of | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
this uncertain election on the Brexit presses which is starting | :25:18. | :25:20. | |
within days and I think we now have a statement from Mr Junker. All | :25:21. | :25:31. | |
elections are important, not only in so-called big member states, but the | :25:32. | :25:36. | |
one of yesterday was of particular importance. I do strongly hope that | :25:37. | :25:42. | |
Britain will stay ready to open negotiations. As far as the | :25:43. | :25:46. | |
commission is concerned, we can open negotiations tomorrow morning at | :25:47. | :25:50. | |
half past nine so we are waiting for visitors coming from London. I hope | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
we will not experience a further delay in the conclusion of this | :25:55. | :26:01. | |
negotiation. First we have to agree on the divorce and exit modalities | :26:02. | :26:09. | |
and then we have to envisage the architecture of future relations and | :26:10. | :26:12. | |
I hope the result of the election will have no major impact on the | :26:13. | :26:18. | |
negotiations we are desperately waiting for. What do we make of | :26:19. | :26:24. | |
that? Very carefully worded message from Jean Claude Junker. Slightly | :26:25. | :26:31. | |
menacing, rubbing our hands, waiting for you, we know you not ready for | :26:32. | :26:35. | |
us, we are ready for you. There will be a lot of that in the next few | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
days and a lot depends on whether the plans from the government for | :26:40. | :26:43. | |
Brexit under David Davies and so forth can go ahead and it will be a | :26:44. | :26:46. | |
big priority for Theresa May to get those going in an orderly way. There | :26:47. | :26:51. | |
is a plan and she will hope above all that she can get it going. The | :26:52. | :26:55. | |
one thing she could rescue from this, if she was the Prime Minister | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
who negotiated what was widely seen as a successful negotiation we might | :27:01. | :27:03. | |
start to forget about the disastrous election campaign she has had. | :27:04. | :27:10. | |
Before we join Andrew Neill, it is surely the case that now that she is | :27:11. | :27:14. | |
looking at these talks and having to talk to the DUP, that she might | :27:15. | :27:18. | |
already be having to revise the options or parameters for those | :27:19. | :27:23. | |
talks. The DUP take a much softer line on the single market for | :27:24. | :27:26. | |
instance. The view in Downing Street is that we cannot possibly be | :27:27. | :27:30. | |
members of the single market because that means we could not have control | :27:31. | :27:34. | |
over EU migration and therefore it is out but the DUP pick a different | :27:35. | :27:39. | |
view, like the SNP. We might start to the eighth reopening of that | :27:40. | :27:43. | |
single market question which would drive Nigel Farage and the hard | :27:44. | :27:47. | |
Brexiteers nuts with furious. Let's join Andrew Neill. | :27:48. | :27:51. | |
I have Paddy Ashdown with me, Dominic Grieve, John Trickett. I | :27:52. | :28:06. | |
have been looking at this headline from the London Evening Standard | :28:07. | :28:10. | |
this morning which said" May hung out to dry". It says knives out for | :28:11. | :28:18. | |
the Prime Minister after poll disaster. The editor these days is | :28:19. | :28:23. | |
Mr George Osborne, former Cabinet colleagues. Had she been hung out to | :28:24. | :28:30. | |
dry? It has been a disappointing result and what she was aiming to | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
achieve, which was endorsement of the approach the government was | :28:35. | :28:36. | |
going to take to the Brexit negotiations and the time to do it, | :28:37. | :28:40. | |
is seriously called into question. One of the consequences of this vote | :28:41. | :28:48. | |
is that we once again see how Brexit has destabilised the British | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
political system and when you have revolutionary acts like Brexit, the | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
trouble is it create a swing the pendulum in another direction and in | :28:56. | :28:59. | |
this case it has centred on young people mainly who I suspect may not | :29:00. | :29:04. | |
have been in favour of Brexit, but didn't actually vote in the | :29:05. | :29:07. | |
referendum, expressing their unhappiness by being attracted to | :29:08. | :29:12. | |
other options, some of which I think were economically incoherent but | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
nevertheless attractive. But are the knives out for Mrs May? Not from me. | :29:17. | :29:23. | |
Seeing that the Queen's government has to be carried on and there is no | :29:24. | :29:27. | |
party I think apart from the Conservative Party capable of acting | :29:28. | :29:30. | |
in government, the idea that it would be in the national interest to | :29:31. | :29:34. | |
change the Prime Minister at this stage seems to be far-fetched. The | :29:35. | :29:40. | |
Lib Dems hopes to milk the remaining macro constituency to become the | :29:41. | :29:44. | |
party of the Remain voters but it has not quite worked out. But on the | :29:45. | :29:48. | |
other hand we have increased our number of MPs bike 50% and name | :29:49. | :29:53. | |
another party leader who is don't that. We are starting from a small | :29:54. | :30:01. | |
base, and they are not irrelevant if you are growing not just in numbers | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
but in ability. You have 13 seats, that's it. Indeed and nobody is | :30:07. | :30:12. | |
suggesting that is a position that can build a government from | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
tomorrow... Your leader said there were scores of seed you were going | :30:18. | :30:21. | |
to win. The party is growing again and it has people with real weight, | :30:22. | :30:26. | |
Jo Swinson, Vince Cable, they will make a difference. The real | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
question, and by the way the Evening Standard headline is great, I think | :30:31. | :30:34. | |
it is George Osborne's revenge and a long time coming but the reality is | :30:35. | :30:37. | |
the Prime Minister has lost touch with reality. She has no legitimate | :30:38. | :30:44. | |
democratic credibility at all. She put a proposition to the country | :30:45. | :30:48. | |
asking for a mandate for a hard Brexit, the country returned a | :30:49. | :30:52. | |
resounding raspberry and yet she still goes off to see the Queen as | :30:53. | :30:55. | |
if nothing had happened. Executive is going to be the policy of the | :30:56. | :30:59. | |
government as a matter of interest? Is it hard Brexit in which case she | :31:00. | :31:03. | |
is ignoring the fact that the British people have refused to give | :31:04. | :31:07. | |
her a mandate for that or is it a soft Brexit she will now convert two | :31:08. | :31:10. | |
in which case you have a Prime Minister who studied at a Remainer, | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
became a Brexiteer, proposed hard Brexit and is now going to the EU to | :31:15. | :31:19. | |
say that she wants a soft one! This has all the consistency of the Vicar | :31:20. | :31:24. | |
of Bray. It is... Did the Vicar of Bray win yesterday? Not by any | :31:25. | :31:31. | |
manner of means! But she has no democratic legitimacy for the | :31:32. | :31:34. | |
proposition she has made. To put the dear old Queen through this process | :31:35. | :31:38. | |
again it is a bit like London buses, if you wait long in another | :31:39. | :31:40. | |
Conservative Prime Minister will come along soon and it will. She | :31:41. | :31:45. | |
cannot last, her position is untenable. This is a position which | :31:46. | :31:49. | |
she can have no credibility at home and no bargaining power with the EU. | :31:50. | :31:55. | |
Given the uncertainty, is Labour in a position to form a minority | :31:56. | :32:01. | |
Government? The first thing is, she is the Prime Minister, I went to the | :32:02. | :32:04. | |
civil service the other day, in charge of the transition team, had | :32:05. | :32:10. | |
we won, they made it clear that in the case of a hung parliament... She | :32:11. | :32:14. | |
has first chance. Look at the mess they're in. They've Brexit on the | :32:15. | :32:19. | |
19th, Queen's Speech on the same day, by the way. Then on 26th, the | :32:20. | :32:26. | |
collapse of the possible Northern Irish... Let me come back to the | :32:27. | :32:32. | |
question. Is Labour in a position to form a minority Government? We | :32:33. | :32:35. | |
believe we can put together the Queen's Speech which would command a | :32:36. | :32:40. | |
majority in the House, but that is not our option until she | :32:41. | :32:43. | |
demonstrates she is incapable of doing it. The constitutional | :32:44. | :32:47. | |
position is she needs to come to us. There are serious problems she's | :32:48. | :32:52. | |
created for the country and this Irish problem, she's proposing to | :32:53. | :32:56. | |
depend on the DUP. You want to talk about her, but I want to talk about | :32:57. | :33:02. | |
Labour. Let me ask you this. If, as you argue, she cannot put together a | :33:03. | :33:07. | |
Government with 318 Conservative MPs, how can Labour put together a | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
stable Government with 261 MPs? We think we can put together a Queen's | :33:13. | :33:19. | |
Speech that will command a majority. How with 261 MPs? We think there | :33:20. | :33:24. | |
will be a wide support for a range of problems facing our country. We | :33:25. | :33:27. | |
think we can do that. Even if you got all the Lib Dems, Paddy is | :33:28. | :33:31. | |
shaking his head there, even if you got all the SNP, not as many of them | :33:32. | :33:36. | |
any more. The one Green. Who else are you going to get? Look, we will | :33:37. | :33:39. | |
put a proposal to the House if we are given the opportunity by the | :33:40. | :33:43. | |
Queen. You have told me you think you can get it. Where does the | :33:44. | :33:46. | |
majority come from? We are not talking about a coalition or | :33:47. | :33:49. | |
anything like that. I am asking where does the support come from? We | :33:50. | :33:52. | |
will put the proposals down, if we are given the opportunity by the | :33:53. | :33:55. | |
Queen and see what happens. If nobody's able to form a Government, | :33:56. | :34:00. | |
then you know as well as I do, we are back into an election. You think | :34:01. | :34:03. | |
there may be another election this year? I think there will be an | :34:04. | :34:09. | |
election. Are you trying to cheer us up or make us miserable! Are we | :34:10. | :34:13. | |
really going to have a Government that depends on the unionists with a | :34:14. | :34:17. | |
power-sharing executive about to collapse? It's outrageous. Let me | :34:18. | :34:26. | |
ask you, Dominic, MrsMay made a calculation which has turned out to | :34:27. | :34:32. | |
be a massive miscalculation and has plummeted this country into | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
instability and uncertainty. What's wrong with that statement? I don't | :34:37. | :34:41. | |
disagree that the consequence of the election is to create greater | :34:42. | :34:45. | |
uncertainty. But the question, to come back to the point. And | :34:46. | :34:49. | |
instability. The question is how do we carry on the Queen's Government? | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
We have an immediate election, not sure the electorate would welcome | :34:55. | :34:57. | |
that, or we have to try to put together a policy that can be taken | :34:58. | :35:00. | |
forward. It's quite apparent that only the Conservative Party can do | :35:01. | :35:05. | |
that. This is fantasy land of Labour to suggest they can put a Government | :35:06. | :35:10. | |
together. Dominic is right, it is fantasy, but it is also fantasy to | :35:11. | :35:14. | |
think she can continue. The thing that... You think she should step | :35:15. | :35:18. | |
down? The thing that frightened me more than anything else, in her | :35:19. | :35:22. | |
explanation as to why she would see the Queen, she said the country | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
needs stability. The country was, oh, no, not more MrsMay stability! | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
There is no Prime Minister we have had, perhaps xepting only MrCameron, | :35:32. | :35:35. | |
who has given this country so much instability. You were right, it's a | :35:36. | :35:38. | |
mess. The country is broken. It's fractured. It's adrift. Doesn't know | :35:39. | :35:44. | |
what to do next. If the Conservative Party want to appeal to Her Majesty | :35:45. | :35:48. | |
and given a chance to form a Government as they are entitled to | :35:49. | :35:51. | |
do, they have to choose another leader. Sooner or later they will. | :35:52. | :35:56. | |
Is there a contest coming up in the Conservative Party? I have no idea, | :35:57. | :36:02. | |
I have no desire to see it. It will be more levels of disruption and not | :36:03. | :36:06. | |
sure where the public interest is. We are proposing to have a second | :36:07. | :36:11. | |
Prime Minister never elected, what a bizarre situation the Conservative | :36:12. | :36:16. | |
Party are... I want to reflect on this statement, if any is wrong, | :36:17. | :36:21. | |
just tell me. We have had two Conservative Prime Ministers who | :36:22. | :36:25. | |
have given this country, insisted on giving this country a vote we | :36:26. | :36:28. | |
neither needed nor wanted, in the interests of the Conservative Party, | :36:29. | :36:32. | |
not of the nation. In both cases, we vended up in a bigger mess. Why | :36:33. | :36:36. | |
should anybody trust any of you ever again? I have to say that my | :36:37. | :36:41. | |
experience of the last five years in politics is there is good reasons | :36:42. | :36:44. | |
why the electorate shouldn't trust any politicians ever again, that's | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
my anxiety about this, I would like to see some stable Government. It | :36:49. | :36:50. | |
seems to me that the best way forward is the way that the Prime | :36:51. | :36:55. | |
Minister's proposed this morning. Everything I hear from you, the | :36:56. | :36:58. | |
difficulty of Mrs May being the walking wounded, but trying to put a | :36:59. | :37:04. | |
Government together, and of the real difficulty of MrCorbyn with 261 | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
seats trying to get a programme through parliament, that we are in a | :37:10. | :37:13. | |
period now of indefinite instability and uncertainty. She is the walking | :37:14. | :37:19. | |
wounded and who shot her? She shot herself, that's the situation we are | :37:20. | :37:24. | |
in. She's created, let me finish, created pressure in terms of Brexit. | :37:25. | :37:28. | |
Nobody decided the time-scale, expect her. Nobody decided the 19th, | :37:29. | :37:32. | |
it wasn't imposed on her, it was decided with her consent. Nobody | :37:33. | :37:34. | |
decided the Queen's Speech should be on the same day. All we should be | :37:35. | :37:38. | |
relying on... You have made the points twice. Yes or no, will there | :37:39. | :37:43. | |
be another election before the end of the year? God help us, we have | :37:44. | :37:47. | |
had enough. It looks like it. Dominic? I have no idea, it's | :37:48. | :37:54. | |
possible. I think so and we have a Labour Government, I am sure of it. | :37:55. | :37:57. | |
We will see. Huw, back to you. Andrew, thank you. Thank you to your | :37:58. | :38:02. | |
guests. Well, before we even get to the thought of another election, | :38:03. | :38:05. | |
there is the point about how they try to construct a Government this | :38:06. | :38:11. | |
time following this election. We now know the Democratic Unionist Party | :38:12. | :38:14. | |
in Northern Ireland is absolutely critical to the solution that | :38:15. | :38:17. | |
Theresa May is hoping to put together and one she may address | :38:18. | :38:21. | |
when she speaks later probably in Downing Street within the hour, | :38:22. | :38:24. | |
probably, on her way to see the Queen at Buckingham Palace. Let's | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
have the latest intelligence from Belfast on what that DUP mindset | :38:30. | :38:34. | |
might be going into this and Chris Buckler is there. Northern Ireland | :38:35. | :38:38. | |
only has 18 MPs and normally they don't matter that much in a | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
parliament of 650 people but boy do they mat they are time. | :38:43. | :38:45. | |
Particularly, the ten MPs that the DUP are coming out of this election | :38:46. | :38:49. | |
with. There is no doubt that the parties have been talking, talking | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
for sometime, as it is they have a good relationship at Westminster. | :38:55. | :38:57. | |
Even in 2015 when there was talk of a hung parliament, at that stage the | :38:58. | :39:01. | |
DUP and Conservatives were chatting. Working out whether or not they | :39:02. | :39:05. | |
could potentially do a deal. There have been some private negotiations | :39:06. | :39:09. | |
to ensure that the DUP would back the Tories in some of the votes that | :39:10. | :39:12. | |
have taken place in the last parliament. Now they say at this | :39:13. | :39:18. | |
stage talk of a formal agreement is premature. But they accept there | :39:19. | :39:21. | |
have been talks, there have been soundings and they are trying to | :39:22. | :39:24. | |
work out some kind of a deal. The big question is what will that be? | :39:25. | :39:28. | |
Will it be something of confidence and supply, they vote with them? Or | :39:29. | :39:32. | |
do they want something more formal in return? One thing's for sure they | :39:33. | :39:36. | |
will want something in return for it. That's likely to be some money | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
for the economy in Northern Ireland, some money of some sort. And | :39:42. | :39:45. | |
certainly a say in what happens in terms of the Brexit negotiations. | :39:46. | :39:48. | |
They believe this could put them into a good position. They are, | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
frankly, licking their lips at the prospect of being able to have some | :39:54. | :39:57. | |
kind of ear towards the Prime Minister and a Government. As these | :39:58. | :40:00. | |
negotiations take place, they have a range of different issues when it | :40:01. | :40:03. | |
comes to making sure the border is as open as possible, making sure | :40:04. | :40:08. | |
that potentially money comes in. They are really openly saying they | :40:09. | :40:13. | |
want to be a part of something here. Thank you very much. Any more, and | :40:14. | :40:17. | |
we will be back to you. I have a comment here from the Taoiseach, the | :40:18. | :40:20. | |
Irish Prime Minister and we do know that Nicola Sturgeon, the First | :40:21. | :40:24. | |
Minister of Scotland, is also making a statement at midday. We hope to | :40:25. | :40:28. | |
have that live for you. But the comment from the Irish Taoiseach | :40:29. | :40:33. | |
saying this, the inconclusive outcome of Britain's election | :40:34. | :40:36. | |
amounts to a rejection of a hard Brexit and provides an opportunity | :40:37. | :40:39. | |
for Ireland, he says, it's a rejection of a hard Brexit terms, | :40:40. | :40:43. | |
what do we think of that? Very interesting. Everybody is piling in | :40:44. | :40:48. | |
with their own interpretation. The truth is if Theresa May has less rum | :40:49. | :40:53. | |
for negotiations, will find it harder to do compromise deals, that | :40:54. | :40:57. | |
doesn't mean we will go to a soft Brexit direction, it might head to a | :40:58. | :41:01. | |
hard Brexit. It depends whose votes in the House of Commons she's most | :41:02. | :41:07. | |
frightened of. There is firm, clear Brexiteer group in the House of | :41:08. | :41:10. | |
Commons is better organised in terms of meetings and groups and making | :41:11. | :41:14. | |
their view felt than anybody on the other side of the arcment. When you | :41:15. | :41:19. | |
look at that group they're prepared to go out and go after Brexit, | :41:20. | :41:24. | |
Euroscepticism in a way that they put ahead of the party. Some MPs | :41:25. | :41:27. | |
might not be prepared to do, but they will. As you say, it depends on | :41:28. | :41:32. | |
the pressure. We can look at the second edition of the Evening | :41:33. | :41:36. | |
Standard. The front page, of course the editor is one George Osbourne. | :41:37. | :41:40. | |
Former Chancellor. Ever since he has taken over that job the headlines | :41:41. | :41:44. | |
have not been friendly to Theresa May. We now have May's Irish bail | :41:45. | :41:49. | |
out. I think one of the lines underneath is orange is the new | :41:50. | :41:53. | |
blue. Pretty provocative, you might add. But certainly true, as has been | :41:54. | :41:57. | |
discussed by our correspondent there in terms of what they may or may not | :41:58. | :42:02. | |
want. The timing is critical. She's going, as is convention, going to | :42:03. | :42:05. | |
the Queen to say she can form this new Government, the DUP are still | :42:06. | :42:08. | |
talking. They're obviously talking behind the scenes. Meanwhile, | :42:09. | :42:12. | |
Theresa May has got to put this Government together. Now Steve Hawks | :42:13. | :42:16. | |
at The Sun has said reshuffle is obviously going to happen for those | :42:17. | :42:20. | |
ministers lower down the food chain but who lost their seats and she | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
will be replacing them with people whom again will reflect, interesting | :42:26. | :42:28. | |
to see how they reflect the Brexit decision and the Brexit discussion. | :42:29. | :42:32. | |
We can see the reshuffle is certain for this afternoon. | :42:33. | :42:43. | |
A quick thought, Peter? On the Irish point, it's hard on a morning like | :42:44. | :42:49. | |
this to find anything consensual, everybody is lined up on the need to | :42:50. | :42:53. | |
get the Irish thing sorted as quickly as possible, the common | :42:54. | :42:57. | |
travel area and the rest, the Taoiseach, the Commission, Northern | :42:58. | :42:59. | |
Ireland people and the Government. I think there are reasons to be | :43:00. | :43:02. | |
cheerful but then it gets difficult to work out how to do it. But there | :43:03. | :43:08. | |
is a consensus there in a way there is in other places this morning. | :43:09. | :43:13. | |
Theresa May's Conservatives notched up 42. 4% of the vote in this | :43:14. | :43:18. | |
election. It wasn't enough to get them a majority in the Commons. How | :43:19. | :43:21. | |
does that compare with previous performances? We had a look at | :43:22. | :43:26. | |
Labour's historic performances earlier with Jeremy. Let's have the | :43:27. | :43:30. | |
Conservative now. It's a funny situation. In our | :43:31. | :43:33. | |
system when you have a hung parliament, whether you describe the | :43:34. | :43:37. | |
party with the most number of seats as having won the election or just | :43:38. | :43:41. | |
come first or what? Because in a sense you only win by having an | :43:42. | :43:45. | |
outright majority. Let's try and get context then. Let's see previous | :43:46. | :43:48. | |
Conservative winners and let's look at the number of seats they got. | :43:49. | :43:57. | |
Theresa May with 319 in 2017, not an outright majority. That's caused all | :43:58. | :44:03. | |
the trouble. The majority she threw away, the seats she threw away, | :44:04. | :44:07. | |
Conservative 331 in 2015, that was David Cameron's shock victory that | :44:08. | :44:11. | |
put him in control surprisingly in the House of Commons: She will be | :44:12. | :44:15. | |
ruing that day for the rest of her political career she decided to | :44:16. | :44:18. | |
revisit that result. She could have stuck with it for five years. She | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
didn't. Now seat numbers, how many seats were won in previous elections | :44:24. | :44:25. | |
where the The phrasing is important. It's | :44:26. | :44:31. | |
difficult to say Cameron won the election when he didn't get an | :44:32. | :44:35. | |
overall majority. He had to go into coalition with the Liberal Democrats | :44:36. | :44:38. | |
and had 307. That's below where Theresa May finds herself today. | :44:39. | :44:44. | |
In 1992, John Major squeaked in with 336. It was narrow. It gave him five | :44:45. | :44:50. | |
years of trouble at Westminster but it was an outright victory. Then the | :44:51. | :44:55. | |
landslide for MrsThatcher, we are picking Conservative winners here | :44:56. | :45:02. | |
and having a look at how many. 376. 397 against Michael Foot. That was a | :45:03. | :45:04. | |
very big victory for the Conservatives. We go back to the | :45:05. | :45:11. | |
first Thatcher win. 1979, 339. All of them were majorities. Theresa | :45:12. | :45:14. | |
May's isn't. That's the whole problem. She hasn't got over half | :45:15. | :45:18. | |
the MPs in the House of Commons. That's why all this horse trading is | :45:19. | :45:23. | |
starting. 1970 surprise victory for Edward Heath. From that point of | :45:24. | :45:26. | |
view if you are going to call Theresa May one of the winners here | :45:27. | :45:29. | |
in that she got more seats than any other party, she's not a very | :45:30. | :45:33. | |
convincing winner and may even be out of a job soon. Who knows. There | :45:34. | :45:35. | |
is a line of defence. We can look at this differently, | :45:36. | :45:45. | |
going back to the 70s and Edward Heath and his percentage of the | :45:46. | :45:51. | |
vote. It was in the 40s, 46%. And we're coming off the period where | :45:52. | :45:56. | |
the two main parties shared around 90% of the vote. We have missed is | :45:57. | :46:04. | |
that you're winning with 45% and in the landslide with 43% so we are in | :46:05. | :46:12. | |
the 40s. John Major in 1992 with 43% again and then it starts to decline | :46:13. | :46:17. | |
because Ukip are on the pitch and the Lib Dems are stronger and the | :46:18. | :46:22. | |
Greens and so on. We were thinking in 2010 we might not see the big | :46:23. | :46:29. | |
parties above 40%. Cameron had 37% in 2010, not convincing, and then | :46:30. | :46:36. | |
his majority but still in 2015 he did not have 40% so have a look at | :46:37. | :46:41. | |
what Theresa May has done, 44% of the vote. That undercut the | :46:42. | :46:48. | |
conversation about the disaster. She and her supporters in their last | :46:49. | :46:51. | |
ditch attempt to say this is not so bad could say that 44%, you are | :46:52. | :46:57. | |
talking about the proportion of the vote that Mrs Thatcher got when she | :46:58. | :47:03. | |
beat Michael foot in 1983 which is remarkable. Of course it is a | :47:04. | :47:07. | |
function of the smaller parties claiming the state and particularly | :47:08. | :47:12. | |
Ukip not doing much but it is interesting you can use that line of | :47:13. | :47:13. | |
defence for Theresa May. Maybe we should wish them luck with | :47:14. | :47:23. | |
that line of defence! It underlines the outcome, thank you, of a hung | :47:24. | :47:28. | |
parliament and a lot of signals from within the Conservative Party that | :47:29. | :47:34. | |
people are increasingly, really, dismayed and angered and frustrated | :47:35. | :47:39. | |
with the style of government. Sarah Wollaston contributing to this | :47:40. | :47:46. | |
chorus of voices, talking about Theresa May's special advisers. | :47:47. | :47:51. | |
Criticising that style of government because Sarah Wollaston, a prominent | :47:52. | :47:54. | |
Conservative MP, obviously feels this was an own goal and | :47:55. | :47:59. | |
self-inflicted and she is calling for the advisers to go. In our | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
earlier discussion, Theresa May needs people she trusts around her, | :48:05. | :48:09. | |
but you can understand why there will be a chorus saying that we need | :48:10. | :48:13. | |
to blame someone and if it is not Theresa May directly by calling for | :48:14. | :48:17. | |
her to go, we have to blame the people around her. Thing is, let's | :48:18. | :48:24. | |
damaged her. You suggested earlier and strongly, that she couldn't | :48:25. | :48:31. | |
really function without these people. Every Prime Minister has a | :48:32. | :48:35. | |
different style and there is no easy answer. If you go back to full-scale | :48:36. | :48:40. | |
Cabinet government, you have endless conversations and they get licked | :48:41. | :48:45. | |
and Cabinet committees have conversations and they get leaked. | :48:46. | :48:48. | |
In a pressure to get a tight in a team. Tony Blair rapid, he got | :48:49. | :48:52. | |
criticised for the sofa government but it was highly effective for a | :48:53. | :48:58. | |
long time. There is always a pendulum and she has gone for a | :48:59. | :49:02. | |
tight in a team. But if you save that you can carry on as Prime | :49:03. | :49:05. | |
Minister but we will remove your inner team and see how you get on, | :49:06. | :49:10. | |
it is difficult. There have been notable examples were her own | :49:11. | :49:15. | |
ministers have gone out to bat on a particular policy, controversial it | :49:16. | :49:18. | |
may be, and I'm thinking of the national insurance contributions for | :49:19. | :49:21. | |
the self-employed when Philip Hammond said they would go up, it | :49:22. | :49:25. | |
was a manifesto promise that had been broken, but we spoke to | :49:26. | :49:30. | |
ministers who supported it and as they were doing it she had | :49:31. | :49:33. | |
backtracked. There is bad experience. He mentioned Philip | :49:34. | :49:39. | |
Hammond, what is clear to a lot of Tories this morning is that she has | :49:40. | :49:44. | |
to go out and make new connections with key ministers and it is always | :49:45. | :49:49. | |
dangerous for the Prime Minister and the Chancellor to be dislocated and | :49:50. | :49:52. | |
that was bidding to happen. Philip Hammond is much like in the city -- | :49:53. | :49:57. | |
that was beginning to happen. He is seen as a strong voice for their | :49:58. | :50:01. | |
interest inside this government and if she got rid of him that voice | :50:02. | :50:06. | |
would go. Very important in this case the less about the advisers but | :50:07. | :50:10. | |
more the ministers that she had to make better relationships with. They | :50:11. | :50:14. | |
will have to reach out. What is history tell us about the way that | :50:15. | :50:18. | |
certain ways of working within number ten had been successful or | :50:19. | :50:24. | |
not? Going back to the old days, Jim Callaghan and Clement Attlee in a | :50:25. | :50:29. | |
different way work collegial about everything. Jim in particular on | :50:30. | :50:35. | |
nuclear weapons and also interest rate decisions which were buried | :50:36. | :50:40. | |
particular -- very political at that time. And you need the gift for | :50:41. | :50:44. | |
political friendship and Mrs May does not naturally have that. Every | :50:45. | :50:51. | |
primaries to need his or her friends at times of crisis and four are all | :50:52. | :50:56. | |
her gifts, Mrs make is an iceberg. And a final thing on leadership, as | :50:57. | :51:02. | |
we know, Theresa May went into this about leadership, her leadership, | :51:03. | :51:07. | |
and Jeremy Corbyn was criticised endlessly for leading a party whose | :51:08. | :51:09. | |
manifesto he did not believe in entirely but he made a virtue of the | :51:10. | :51:15. | |
fact they had come to a collective view, it was a collegiate affair | :51:16. | :51:18. | |
will stop he was criticised for that but there will be the irony that she | :51:19. | :51:24. | |
has not done as well as she expected on the basis of the strong | :51:25. | :51:27. | |
leadership and he has done better by being collected and collegiate. What | :51:28. | :51:33. | |
I would like to do at this point, we were talking about the Conservative | :51:34. | :51:41. | |
Party performance, with 44%, Labour with 40% and before I go to Emma | :51:42. | :51:47. | |
Lane to talk about some of the point about what Jeremy Corbyn has | :51:48. | :51:51. | |
achieved in terms of the share which we need to underline -- I will go to | :51:52. | :51:57. | |
Emily. He has done better than anyone apart from Clement Attlee in | :51:58. | :52:02. | |
1945 which is a strange statement to hear, Corbyn coming from the left. | :52:03. | :52:10. | |
In Attlee's terms he might not be regarded as that far left, but he | :52:11. | :52:15. | |
has driven their share of the vote sharply upwards and that is the | :52:16. | :52:20. | |
achievement of Momentum and the social media campaign and the | :52:21. | :52:23. | |
unorthodox style of campaigning that a lot of people like us sneered at | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
saying it would never work but it did. It is a major game changer and | :52:29. | :52:31. | |
all of the British parties will look at this and our political culture | :52:32. | :52:35. | |
will feel slightly different as a result. And it is a delayed effect | :52:36. | :52:40. | |
of the huge expansion of British higher education, this vote was | :52:41. | :52:43. | |
waiting to be harvested. When I went to college it was 7.5% of the age | :52:44. | :52:49. | |
group and it is now 45% and they have tapped it for the first time. | :52:50. | :52:54. | |
Let's see how they did. When Jeremy Corbyn says he is ready to serve the | :52:55. | :52:59. | |
country he does so from a stronger geographical mandate, no longer to | :53:00. | :53:04. | |
be seen as the if you like hummus eating MP for Islington North, he do | :53:05. | :53:10. | |
so on the back of these kinds of gains, 35 overnight and in all sorts | :53:11. | :53:15. | |
of different areas in the country. Canterbury, Ipswich, Stroud, places | :53:16. | :53:22. | |
you never thought we would see Labour taking. This is particularly | :53:23. | :53:25. | |
extraordinary, and incredibly safe Conservative seat, it has not been | :53:26. | :53:31. | |
anything other than Conservative since World War I. Julian Brazier | :53:32. | :53:38. | |
has been the sitting MP here since 1987 and to take this was a real | :53:39. | :53:42. | |
feather in the cap for Jeremy Corbyn and a massive swing of nearly 10%. | :53:43. | :53:48. | |
And not the only outside London part that they took, you can see Stroud, | :53:49. | :53:56. | |
again, this Cotswolds town at small swing required but they overturned a | :53:57. | :54:01. | |
majority of nearly 5000, 4.5% swing and the same sort of story. Ipswich | :54:02. | :54:06. | |
perhaps the story of the night, one of them, ousting Ben Gummer, who | :54:07. | :54:11. | |
helped write the Conservative manifesto, who was tipped a week ago | :54:12. | :54:15. | |
to be the next Brexit secretary if she got her big majority. Sandy | :54:16. | :54:23. | |
Martin comes in, a tight race but a 5% swing against and the same sort | :54:24. | :54:26. | |
of story. There was one result we are still waiting for to complete | :54:27. | :54:34. | |
the map and that is tingling -- that is tending to them. This is what it | :54:35. | :54:38. | |
is interesting we hear there are about 35 votes between the parties | :54:39. | :54:49. | |
-- Kensington. These are the different constituencies bordering | :54:50. | :54:55. | |
Kensington. When Smith, a swing of 11p -- Westminster. Chelsea and in | :54:56. | :55:03. | |
the City of London you saw earlier, Conservative to Labour of just over | :55:04. | :55:10. | |
9%. When we look at Kensington something that seemed not even worth | :55:11. | :55:14. | |
considering in the target list, we are now looking very closely at | :55:15. | :55:19. | |
this. And I want to finish on one more comparison if we can and that | :55:20. | :55:23. | |
is our exit poll and how the results have fared. At the beginning of the | :55:24. | :55:29. | |
night we were very nervous when we said we expected the Conservatives | :55:30. | :55:35. | |
to be the largest party but only on about 314 seats and this is where we | :55:36. | :55:39. | |
end the night, lunchtime, and it is a very similar pattern with the | :55:40. | :55:44. | |
result in so far come all of them bar one, you can see how closely | :55:45. | :55:50. | |
those results tally and the psephologists were bang on once | :55:51. | :55:55. | |
again. Very interesting and good to underline the SNP and Lib Dem | :55:56. | :55:59. | |
performances because we are expecting Nicola Sturgeon to say | :56:00. | :56:02. | |
something within the next few minutes. We will be there | :56:03. | :56:08. | |
straightaway when it happens, that is the scene in Edinburgh. What do | :56:09. | :56:12. | |
you expect? I would be surprised if she resigns, you always wonder at | :56:13. | :56:19. | |
this stage if that will happen, but the old thing about there being more | :56:20. | :56:23. | |
pandas in Scotland than Tory MPs! I expect they will announce an | :56:24. | :56:28. | |
emergency panda breeding programme! We shall see! And Tim Farron, the | :56:29. | :56:35. | |
Lib Dem leader, is also expected to make a statement in the next few | :56:36. | :56:41. | |
minutes. I think that is at the National Liberal club in Whitehall. | :56:42. | :56:45. | |
He held onto his seat in Westmorland and Lonsdale in a pretty close run | :56:46. | :56:52. | |
thing. Tim Farron also expected to make a statement in the next few | :56:53. | :56:55. | |
minutes. Nicola Sturgeon and Tim Farron. We can join Andrew at | :56:56. | :57:02. | |
Westminster. Clearly if we get Nicola Sturgeon or Tim Farron we | :57:03. | :57:05. | |
will come back straightaway. Of course, the moment they take the | :57:06. | :57:11. | |
stage we will find out what they have to say it but I'm joined by | :57:12. | :57:16. | |
Thorsten Bell, former adviser to add Helen Loos and let me come to you | :57:17. | :57:24. | |
first. The Prime Minister is off to see the Queen, I think she thinks | :57:25. | :57:28. | |
she's got the DUP in the bag and she will tell the Queen she can form a | :57:29. | :57:34. | |
government. What happens next? In some ways it is actually quite | :57:35. | :57:39. | |
simple, we have at the campaign, and at the end of it what she has done | :57:40. | :57:44. | |
is lose 12 Conservative MPs and gain ten DUP MPs and carry on with a | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
slightly smaller majority. For all of the noise this morning that looks | :57:49. | :57:52. | |
like where we are going so in the short term the situation is quite | :57:53. | :57:56. | |
clear, she will try to carry on. Beyond that everything is up for | :57:57. | :58:00. | |
grabs, what happened in the Tory party, what's the DUP ask for and | :58:01. | :58:04. | |
how long Theresa May lasts. Can she get away with it? Not for long | :58:05. | :58:10. | |
because you think about the big ticket things from their manifesto, | :58:11. | :58:13. | |
what can she get cross-party support on? A lot of it will have to go. | :58:14. | :58:22. | |
Social care is interesting because there was Labour support for a | :58:23. | :58:26. | |
different package, but something as simple as the pensions triple-lock | :58:27. | :58:30. | |
or double-lock, no way you get that past now. And the DUP will want the | :58:31. | :58:33. | |
triple-lock looking at the profile of their supporters? It all sounds a | :58:34. | :58:39. | |
bit the opposite of stable and strong, weak and unstable. | :58:40. | :58:43. | |
Wonderfully weak and unstable and that is one of the things that makes | :58:44. | :58:48. | |
Parliament historically the guarantee of liberties in that there | :58:49. | :58:52. | |
can be an election at any point and the Tories will not want to fight | :58:53. | :58:56. | |
another election under the leadership of Theresa May. You are | :58:57. | :58:59. | |
the second person who said that this morning, but they are so disgusted | :59:00. | :59:04. | |
by the campaign and how she handled it. They won't let her do it again. | :59:05. | :59:12. | |
It was all her and her tight-knit group 's idea. It took everybody by | :59:13. | :59:16. | |
surprise. Her idea and it did not work out. Of course, she has lost | :59:17. | :59:23. | |
the trust of the Tory party. You were careful to stress in the | :59:24. | :59:26. | |
short-term she might get her way on this but it could unravel but since | :59:27. | :59:31. | |
we still have the fixed in Parliament act, if it unravels it | :59:32. | :59:34. | |
does not necessarily mean another election, it can mean that Mr Carbon | :59:35. | :59:41. | |
has a chance of forming a minority government. -- Mr Corbyn. It looks | :59:42. | :59:47. | |
like she will try to form a government today with the DUP and | :59:48. | :59:51. | |
she can try to pass a Queen's speech in about two weeks' time also if the | :59:52. | :59:56. | |
DUP pull out a bad deal or she cannot pass that, the get the fixed | :59:57. | :00:00. | |
in Parliament act for a second, just the constitution, history would | :00:01. | :00:03. | |
teach us that the Queen would call on the leader of the option to try | :00:04. | :00:06. | |
to form a government but he himself would need the DUP, not a coalition, | :00:07. | :00:13. | |
but he needs the Lib Dems and SNP and DUP to pass a Queen's speech and | :00:14. | :00:16. | |
without that we are heading for another election. What do you make | :00:17. | :00:19. | |
of that? That the problem for Labour, this is a good result for | :00:20. | :00:23. | |
them but nowhere near getting in a place where they can cobble | :00:24. | :00:27. | |
together... The grandest coalitions. Let me interrupt you, we are about | :00:28. | :00:32. | |
to hear I think from Tim Farron, the leader of the Lib Dems. | :00:33. | :00:42. | |
Let's hear what he has to say. APPLAUSE AND | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
CHEERING. Thank you all for being here, I am | :00:46. | :00:57. | |
the member of parliament for Oxford West and Abingdon. | :00:58. | :00:58. | |
APPLAUSE AND CHEERING That feels good to say! It has been | :00:59. | :01:12. | |
the most extraordinary 24 hours because this time, was it yesterday | :01:13. | :01:16. | |
or the day before, I can't remember, Tim was in Oxford having the final | :01:17. | :01:21. | |
rally of the campaign. We were there with all our activists saying knock | :01:22. | :01:26. | |
on doors until the very end. We did. And we won by the shrimp of | :01:27. | :01:33. | |
majorities, but what that now means is Oxford West is represented again | :01:34. | :01:38. | |
by Liberal values and that's what it's all about. | :01:39. | :01:49. | |
APPLAUSE. So, this is my first engagement as a member of parliament | :01:50. | :01:53. | |
and it is with great pleasure to now hand over to the man who made it all | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
possible, our leader, Tim Farron! APPLAUSE AND | :01:57. | :02:11. | |
CHEERING. Thank you, Layla, it was less than 48 hours ago, at Oxford | :02:12. | :02:15. | |
United's ground where we rallied the troops and asked people to work | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
their hardest for the final push. You did. And we got the result that | :02:19. | :02:23. | |
we did, I am enormously grateful to all of you and very, very proud to | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
welcome Layla here to the National Liberal Club. This was the hardest | :02:29. | :02:35. | |
of elections, marred by the tragedy of those two vile terrorist attacks | :02:36. | :02:43. | |
in Manchester and in London. And now the future of our country is less | :02:44. | :02:49. | |
certain than it was when Theresa May called this election a | :02:50. | :02:54. | |
month-and-a-half ago. For the Liberal Democrats, we have made | :02:55. | :02:58. | |
progress in incredibly difficult circumstances and we face a new | :02:59. | :03:02. | |
parliament in a far stronger position than we left the last one. | :03:03. | :03:08. | |
I am delighted to welcome back some old friends, Jo Swinson, Vince | :03:09. | :03:12. | |
Cable, Ed Davey, and we of course are bolstering our ranks with those | :03:13. | :03:17. | |
big figures who have served our country in Government. We will now | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
be able to put their talent and experience to shaping what comes | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
next. In Steven Lloyd we welcome back a force of nature, a brilliant | :03:27. | :03:33. | |
campaigner and a loyal servant to his constituents. Alongside Alistair | :03:34. | :03:39. | |
Carmichael, Norman and Tim, they are returning to a formidable team. I am | :03:40. | :03:44. | |
also incredibly proud to welcome new faces to our ranks. Christine | :03:45. | :03:52. | |
Jardina, Vera and Layla and Jamie, we have fantastic campaigners who | :03:53. | :03:55. | |
will be outstanding Members of Parliament for their constituents | :03:56. | :03:59. | |
and for our country as a whole. Now I am not just proud that our | :04:00. | :04:05. | |
parliamentary party is bigger, but also that it is more diverse. After | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
the 2015 general election we were reduced to just eight seats, all of | :04:11. | :04:15. | |
them represented by white men. We are not yet at the point where our | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
party fully reflects the diversity of our great country but we have | :04:22. | :04:27. | |
made real progress. While we have made great gains, we have also lost | :04:28. | :04:32. | |
colleagues who will be very sorely missed. Nick Clegg is a giant of | :04:33. | :04:39. | |
British politics, a friend and a hero to me and countless others. Not | :04:40. | :04:43. | |
only did he lead our party into Government for the first time in | :04:44. | :04:49. | |
generations, he did so in the most difficult of circumstances and for | :04:50. | :04:55. | |
the most noble of reasons. Our party paid a political price for joining | :04:56. | :05:00. | |
that coalition Government but it is nothing compared to the price our | :05:01. | :05:05. | |
country would have paid had Nick not shown the steel and determination to | :05:06. | :05:11. | |
do the right thing when it was needed most. | :05:12. | :05:14. | |
APPLAUSE. In 2010, our country was on the edge | :05:15. | :05:32. | |
of a precipe, because of Nick Clegg it survived and flourished. The | :05:33. | :05:36. | |
pupil premium which has helped so many children get the start in life | :05:37. | :05:41. | |
they deserve, would not have happened without Nick Clegg, | :05:42. | :05:43. | |
same-sex marriage would not have happened without Nick Clegg, the | :05:44. | :05:49. | |
children of asylum seekers would have remained behind bars without | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
Nick Clegg. The raising of the income tax threshold, which has | :05:53. | :05:57. | |
helped millions of people on low and middle incomes would not have | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
happened without Nick Clegg. I could stand here and keep listing Nick's | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
achievements, but it would take hours. People say they want | :06:08. | :06:12. | |
politicians to put their differences aside and to put the country first. | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
Nick Clegg did that. Have no doubt, history will be kind to Nick and the | :06:17. | :06:22. | |
new parliament will be immensely poorer without the insight, | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
expertise and passion he brings, especially to the Brexit debate. We | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
also say goodbye to Greg Mulholland, Mark Williams and Sarah Olney. Greg | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
has been a brilliant, dedicated and determined campaigner and a loyal | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
servant to the people of Leeds North West. Mark, a powerful voice for | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
Wales and for rural communities everywhere. And Sarah, in her few | :06:46. | :06:50. | |
short months in parliament, showed she had the makings of a brilliant | :06:51. | :06:55. | |
MP. She was a brilliant MP and a real star of the party's future. Our | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
parliament is worse off without them and I am certain that if they want | :07:01. | :07:07. | |
to, Greg, Mark and Sarah can return to our ranks in the future. Theresa | :07:08. | :07:12. | |
May called this election expecting it to be a coronation. She took each | :07:13. | :07:18. | |
and every one of us for granted in the most cynical way possible. Like | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
David Cameron before her, our Conservative Prime Minister rolled | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
the dice and put the future of our country at risk out of sheer | :07:28. | :07:34. | |
arrogance and vanity. And now in her diminished state she reaches out to | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
the right to form her own coalition of chaos. Theresa May has done the | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
opposite of what Nick Clegg did, she put her party before her country, | :07:43. | :07:48. | |
she has been found out, she should be ashamed. | :07:49. | :08:00. | |
APPLAUSE. We will now have a Government that is weaker and less | :08:01. | :08:05. | |
stable at a time when we are about to embark on the most difficult and | :08:06. | :08:12. | |
complex negotiations in our history. Theresa May promised strong and | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
stable leadership. She has brought weakness and uncertainty. If she has | :08:16. | :08:21. | |
an ounce of self-respect, she will resign. | :08:22. | :08:28. | |
APPLAUSE. The Tories have taken our country | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
for granted too many times. Whatever happens in this coming parliament, | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
the Liberal Democrats will fight for you, for your family and for your | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
community. If Theresa May or any other Conservative approaches the | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
Liberal Democrats and asks for our support to deliver their agenda, let | :08:46. | :08:52. | |
me make our position clear, no deal is better than a bad deal... | :08:53. | :09:06. | |
APPLAUSE. There will be no deals, no coalitions, no confidence and supply | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
arrangements, if the Government puts a Queen's Speech to parliament or a | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
budget in front of us, we will judge it on whether or not we think it is | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
good for the country and if it isn't, we will not support it. This | :09:19. | :09:24. | |
parliament faces a challenge greater than any for generations, Brexit. | :09:25. | :09:29. | |
And yet, both the Conservatives and Labour went to great lengths to make | :09:30. | :09:33. | |
sure this election was about anything but. Their plans were paper | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
thin. Their ambitions built on little more than platitudes. Now | :09:39. | :09:42. | |
they must lay their cards on the table. Brexit is about to get very | :09:43. | :09:50. | |
real. The phoney war is nearly over. Its consequences will be felt by | :09:51. | :09:56. | |
every single person in this country. One thing that is clear from the | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
result of the election is that the mandate Theresa May sought for her | :10:02. | :10:08. | |
extreme version of Brexit has been rejected by the British people. | :10:09. | :10:20. | |
APPLAUSE. It is simply inconceivable that the Prime Minister can begin | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
the Brexit negotiations in just two weeks' time. She should consider her | :10:26. | :10:31. | |
future and then for once she should consider the future of our country. | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
The negotiations should be put on hold until the Government has | :10:36. | :10:39. | |
reassessed its priorities and set them out to the British public. The | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
British people have the right to expect that our Prime Minister will | :10:45. | :10:50. | |
explain to them what it is that she seeks to achieve. Now my party, all | :10:51. | :10:55. | |
of us here gathered today, have always been proudly pro-European. We | :10:56. | :10:59. | |
believe as much today as we ever have that we are stronger, safer and | :11:00. | :11:08. | |
more prosperous as a country... The Conservatives have lost their | :11:09. | :11:13. | |
majority and the Prime Minister has lost all authority and credibility. | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
In Scotland, the SNP won this election, we have more seats than | :11:19. | :11:23. | |
all of the other parties combined. I want today to thank all those who | :11:24. | :11:28. | |
have once again placed their trust in the SNP. We will endeavour every | :11:29. | :11:35. | |
single day to repay that trust. As we said throughout this campaign, | :11:36. | :11:39. | |
SNP MPs will be strong voices for Scotland, standing up for our | :11:40. | :11:44. | |
country's interests and working to make Scotland the very best country | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
it can be. However, it is an inescapable fact that we also | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
suffered some bitterly disappointing losses last night. I want to pay | :11:54. | :11:59. | |
tribute to all of the SNP candidates who campaigned so hard, but who | :12:00. | :12:04. | |
won't be returning to Westminster. In particular, I want to pay tribute | :12:05. | :12:12. | |
to Angus Robertson, a politician and parliamentarian of immense stature. | :12:13. | :12:15. | |
Week after week held the Prime Minister to account, providing the | :12:16. | :12:20. | |
scrutiny that the official opposition in the House of Commons | :12:21. | :12:25. | |
failed to do. And, I want to also make particular mention of Alex | :12:26. | :12:30. | |
Salmond, my friend and mentor for almost 30 years, and without a | :12:31. | :12:36. | |
shadow of a doubt, the giant of modern Scottish politics, someone | :12:37. | :12:41. | |
who has devoted his life to serving this country. Both Angus and Alex | :12:42. | :12:47. | |
and all of the other defeated SNP candidates still have so much to | :12:48. | :12:52. | |
offer to public life and I very much look forward to their continuing | :12:53. | :12:58. | |
contributions. In 2015, the SNP achieved an exceptional, perhaps | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
once in a century result, traditionally in Westminster | :13:03. | :13:05. | |
elections, the SNP is squeezed by the main UK parties. Indeed in this | :13:06. | :13:11. | |
campaign we have seen the return of a dominant two-party system in | :13:12. | :13:14. | |
England. This makes the SNP's achievements of winning a clear | :13:15. | :13:19. | |
majority of seats in Scotland all the more remarkable. However, as we | :13:20. | :13:25. | |
do after all elections, we will reflect on these results, we will | :13:26. | :13:30. | |
listen to voters and we will consider very carefully the best way | :13:31. | :13:34. | |
forward for Scotland, a way forward that is in the interests of all of | :13:35. | :13:38. | |
Scotland. I will take the opportunity of saying more on that | :13:39. | :13:43. | |
front in the days to come. The SNP will also seek to play our full part | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
in finding the right way forward for all of the UK. The SNP fought this | :13:49. | :13:54. | |
election warning against the consequences of continued Tory | :13:55. | :13:57. | |
Government. The Tories have given the chance will hit living | :13:58. | :14:02. | |
standards, widen inequality and force many, many more children into | :14:03. | :14:05. | |
poverty. We will now work with others to do everything we can to | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
prevent that from happening and to bring an end to the austerity that | :14:10. | :14:15. | |
voters the length of the UK are no longer prepared to accept. And we | :14:16. | :14:19. | |
will work with others if it is at all possible to keep the Tories out | :14:20. | :14:22. | |
of Government. We have always said that we would work in alliance with | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
others to were moat progressive policies to build a fairer country, | :14:28. | :14:31. | |
we stand ready to play our part in that alliance. And it is needed now | :14:32. | :14:36. | |
more than ever. The damage the Tories have done to the stability | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
and reputation of the UK cannot be overstated. In less than a year, | :14:42. | :14:47. | |
they have caused chaos on an industrial scale. They wrecklessly | :14:48. | :14:55. | |
forced through an EU referendum, they then embarked on a Brexit | :14:56. | :15:00. | |
strategy decided to withdraw the UK from the single market with no idea | :15:01. | :15:03. | |
or plan what would come next. They called an election knowing the | :15:04. | :15:06. | |
result would be declared 11 days, less than two weeks before the most | :15:07. | :15:11. | |
important negotiations in the UK's modern history were due to start. | :15:12. | :15:15. | |
They were so arrogant they thought they could do anything and get away | :15:16. | :15:20. | |
with it. Now they're planning to cobble together an unstable | :15:21. | :15:22. | |
administration causing yet more damaging uncertainty. | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
All of this because they have consistently put the interests of | :15:27. | :15:32. | |
the Tory party ahead of the interests of the country. What is | :15:33. | :15:38. | |
perhaps most breathtaking of all, this is a party that has the | :15:39. | :15:43. | |
temerity to accuse others of causing division and uncertainty. It simply | :15:44. | :15:49. | |
cannot go on. Instead there must now be an attempt to find consensus and | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
bring people together. Last night has shown that the reckless Tory | :15:55. | :16:00. | |
pursuit of a hard Brexit must be abandoned. The clock on the article | :16:01. | :16:05. | |
15 negotiations is ticking and it is no longer acceptable to proceed | :16:06. | :16:09. | |
without a coherent plan so I'm appealing to MPs of all parties to | :16:10. | :16:13. | |
help keep the UK in the European single market to protect jobs, | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
preserve our relationship with Europe and bring some order to these | :16:19. | :16:23. | |
negotiations. Finally let me say this directly to the people of | :16:24. | :16:28. | |
Scotland. In the coming weeks and months the Scottish Government will | :16:29. | :16:30. | |
continue to provide the stable is that the government that our country | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
needs, amongst our other priorities we will carry on with our reforms to | :16:36. | :16:40. | |
education, support our NHS to meet the challenges of rising demand and | :16:41. | :16:44. | |
take the next steps in building a new Social Security system with | :16:45. | :16:49. | |
dignity at its heart. As First Minister it is my job and duty to | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
govern in the interests of everybody in Scotland. I know that in these | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
times that is more important than ever, and it is exactly what I and | :16:59. | :17:04. | |
my government will work to deliver. I will now take a couple of | :17:05. | :17:16. | |
questions. Do you accept... I said I would reflect carefully on the | :17:17. | :17:22. | |
result and I will take... STUDIO: The First Minister of Scotland, | :17:23. | :17:25. | |
Nicola Sturgeon, giving her response with some heavy criticism of Theresa | :17:26. | :17:31. | |
May's conservatives and the outcome of this election which is a hung | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
parliament and we are expecting the Prime Minister to leave Downing | :17:37. | :17:38. | |
Street in the next few minutes to make the short journey to Buckingham | :17:39. | :17:41. | |
Palace where she will have an audience with Her Majesty the Queen | :17:42. | :17:46. | |
and we are expecting her to share her plans which are to continue in | :17:47. | :17:49. | |
government as Prime Minister with the Conservatives depending on ten | :17:50. | :17:54. | |
seats from the Democratic Unionist Party in Northern Ireland in order | :17:55. | :18:00. | |
to control a very small majority in the House of Commons. A very sunny | :18:01. | :18:04. | |
day at this point in Westminster. Andrew Marr, what are we thinking in | :18:05. | :18:11. | |
terms of the sequence of event we are reporting? Just to the already | :18:12. | :18:16. | |
one of the senior aides of the Queen is in the Cabinet Office so those | :18:17. | :18:19. | |
conversations have started and connections are being made and when | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
Theresa May arrives at the prize she would have a direct conversation | :18:25. | :18:29. | |
with the Queen who will ask some direct and pertinent questions as | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
she tends to do, it will not be a smiley and formal meeting, I would | :18:34. | :18:41. | |
love to be a fly on the wall! There will be nobody else there because it | :18:42. | :18:45. | |
will be just the two of them and if Mr Mae goes he will go in with the | :18:46. | :18:54. | |
aquarists for a while -- Mr May. No doubt she will want to advise the | :18:55. | :18:59. | |
Queen who might be coming in and the plans and all the rest as Andrew | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
described so there is a convention and courtesy and choreography about | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
it. But then it will be straight to work and straight into what will be | :19:10. | :19:13. | |
pretty difficult times for Theresa May in terms of forming that | :19:14. | :19:16. | |
government, getting the personnel correctly in place. We heard from | :19:17. | :19:22. | |
Nicola Sturgeon, she would join any sort of alliance to keep the Tories | :19:23. | :19:26. | |
out and obviously that is consistent with what she has said and she also | :19:27. | :19:32. | |
said the SNP and she herself will reflect on the results and listen to | :19:33. | :19:37. | |
voters carefully for the way forward for Scotland which is code for... | :19:38. | :19:44. | |
Indyref2 is likely to be off. Laura Kuenssberg is in Downing Street | :19:45. | :19:47. | |
keeping an eye on things and final preparations are being made? That is | :19:48. | :19:53. | |
right, Theresa May's folder of documents containing her plans for | :19:54. | :19:56. | |
keeping her government going to have been put into the Prime Minister | :19:57. | :20:00. | |
Raqqa and her bag and things have been put in by an aide who has | :20:01. | :20:06. | |
snaked round the corner -- the Prime Minister car. This is the first | :20:07. | :20:13. | |
glimpse of her since her plans went so right. Is this strong and stable, | :20:14. | :20:19. | |
Prime Minister? Theresa May accompanied by her husband, Philip, | :20:20. | :20:26. | |
and off to the Palace. And just 12 hours ago this kind of journey she | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
never thought she would have to make, as that exit poll came in in | :20:30. | :20:36. | |
Tory HQ they simply did not believe it. They were scratching their heads | :20:37. | :20:41. | |
wondering how their numbers could be so different. Over the subsequent | :20:42. | :20:47. | |
few hours the exit polls numbers rather than the Conservatives' were | :20:48. | :20:53. | |
the ones that came through with an accurate picture with the fact that | :20:54. | :20:57. | |
Theresa May's political gamble has done so awry for the Conservative | :20:58. | :21:01. | |
Party. The gates of Downing Street being closed as she goes to the | :21:02. | :21:09. | |
palace to have discussions that really are her political nightmare | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
rather than the dream of a first proper Conservative majority in 30 | :21:15. | :21:17. | |
years that she believed and hoped she was on the verge of achieving. | :21:18. | :21:24. | |
Theresa May travelling along Whitehall, past the Horse Guards | :21:25. | :21:31. | |
building at up to add multi-arch and Trafalgar Square and down to the | :21:32. | :21:35. | |
Palace and at the other end waiting for her arrival and to do is more | :21:36. | :21:40. | |
about what is likely to happen is our Royal correspondent, Nicolas | :21:41. | :21:45. | |
Witchell. Yes, good afternoon, it is 11 months since Theresa May came to | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
Buckingham Palace to be asked by the Queen to form a government which is | :21:50. | :21:52. | |
after the resignation of David Cameron on the 13th of July 2016 | :21:53. | :21:58. | |
when Theresa May was asked by the Queen to form a government. 11 | :21:59. | :22:03. | |
months later, and certainly not in the circumstances she would have | :22:04. | :22:08. | |
wished for or envisaged, still in a position to form a government but as | :22:09. | :22:13. | |
we Usain, within a hung parliament. -- as we are saying. And no longer | :22:14. | :22:20. | |
head of the largest party. The vehicle making its way down the Mall | :22:21. | :22:25. | |
with the Metropolitan Police escorting motorcyclists and shortly | :22:26. | :22:30. | |
she will be turning around the Victoria Memorial and into | :22:31. | :22:34. | |
Buckingham Palace. A good number of tourists have been watching the | :22:35. | :22:36. | |
changing of the guard ceremony which has been taking place as normal and | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
tight security with a large number of police around as you might | :22:42. | :22:46. | |
imagine. Theresa May, when she gets into the private audience room, and | :22:47. | :22:51. | |
as your guests have been saying, it will be just Theresa May and the | :22:52. | :22:58. | |
Queen in that audience. And the vital question is, are you in a | :22:59. | :23:01. | |
position to command the confidence of the House of Commons? She is the | :23:02. | :23:07. | |
leader of the largest party and one must assume she is now in a position | :23:08. | :23:10. | |
to answer that question in the affirmative. The convoy just | :23:11. | :23:17. | |
sweeping in now to the gates of Buckingham Palace with the crowds, | :23:18. | :23:24. | |
mostly tourists, clearly recognising something rather unusual is | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
happening, not just the changing of the guard but something of | :23:28. | :23:33. | |
constitutional significance. Across the forecourt and in a moment the | :23:34. | :23:38. | |
car will enter into the central quadrangle. And the critical | :23:39. | :23:44. | |
question whether she is in a position to tell the Queen that she | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
now believes she can command the confidence of the House of Commons. | :23:49. | :23:52. | |
She will go up to the private audience room of the Queen where she | :23:53. | :23:57. | |
will normally meet the Queen every Wednesday evening for the Prime | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
Minister's audience. And again, as your guests have been saying, that | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
is an audience only she attends. Phillip May will be taken into one | :24:08. | :24:15. | |
of the other rooms by the private secretary of the Queen who has been | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
seen this morning at the Cabinet Office and it is his responsible of | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
on such occasions to coordinate closely between Buckingham Palace | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
and Whitehall. A little unclear from the aerial shot where the car is but | :24:29. | :24:33. | |
it will be pulling up at the King 's entrance, as it is known where I | :24:34. | :24:39. | |
would imagine the Prime Minister will be greeted by Wing Commander | :24:40. | :24:44. | |
Sam Fletcher, the Queen's aquarists. -- | :24:45. | :24:49. | |
Audiences vary in length anything from 20 minutes up to 40 minutes but | :24:50. | :25:01. | |
the Queen will clearly want to know what Theresa May's plans are, to | :25:02. | :25:09. | |
form a government. It is a reappointment, none of the kissing | :25:10. | :25:14. | |
of hands, and there is the limousine drawn up at the King 's entrance. It | :25:15. | :25:19. | |
looks as though the Prime Minister has already gone in and she will now | :25:20. | :25:22. | |
be on her way up to the audience room for this audience with the | :25:23. | :25:30. | |
Queen. She is the 13th person to hold the office of Prime Minister | :25:31. | :25:35. | |
during this long reign of Elizabeth II. More interesting than many of | :25:36. | :25:38. | |
those audiences but within the next few minutes the Queen will be asking | :25:39. | :25:45. | |
that essential question, are you in a position to form a government? The | :25:46. | :25:50. | |
answer clearly will be yes based on what we understand at the moment and | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
then the Queen will invite Theresa May to form a government. That is | :25:57. | :26:02. | |
all there is. There is no oath, handing over of seals, it is just a | :26:03. | :26:06. | |
question and answer and then a request to form a government. And | :26:07. | :26:11. | |
after further moment of conversation with the Queen during which I am | :26:12. | :26:14. | |
sure the Queen will be asking, how can you do this and what do you view | :26:15. | :26:19. | |
the prospect of forming a stable government as the other profoundly | :26:20. | :26:25. | |
important issues that Theresa May will face amid greater uncertainty | :26:26. | :26:28. | |
than she would have wished for at this point, but after that private | :26:29. | :26:31. | |
conversation between the Queen and Theresa May, one would imagine that | :26:32. | :26:37. | |
Philip May will be invited in for a few moments for a final conversation | :26:38. | :26:43. | |
before the Prime Minister leaves Buckingham Palace and makes her way | :26:44. | :26:46. | |
back to Downing Street. Thank you for now. A magnificent sight, all | :26:47. | :26:53. | |
the greenery of Green Park and St James's Park and indeed the gardens | :26:54. | :26:57. | |
of Buckingham Palace and the mall leading up to Admiralty Arch and | :26:58. | :27:03. | |
Trafalgar Square and the Queen Victoria Memorial near the gate | :27:04. | :27:09. | |
where Nick was talking to us from. With the Prime Minister already | :27:10. | :27:13. | |
inside the palace and the audience probably already starting, Peter | :27:14. | :27:17. | |
Hennessy, someone who has witnessed and written about a lot of these | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
similar processes, you reckon on average about half an hour? Half an | :27:21. | :27:26. | |
hour, 40 minutes, I have not witnessed one of these audiences, I | :27:27. | :27:32. | |
live in hope! Of course you do! Witnessed indirectly. If it is half | :27:33. | :27:37. | |
an hour and quite a simple matter of can you command the confidence of | :27:38. | :27:41. | |
the Commons, to what extent will the Queen push in terms of what has | :27:42. | :27:44. | |
happened and what is going to happen and likely to happen and what are | :27:45. | :27:49. | |
your plans? The Queen has this mixture of curiosity and vast | :27:50. | :27:52. | |
experience and she is also very soothing. Every prime ministers | :27:53. | :27:57. | |
talks about how she has this soothing effect bitterly at times of | :27:58. | :28:01. | |
trouble and I remember one of her private secretaries think she has | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
this tonic effect. I think Mrs May might need a touch of that today! -- | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
particularly at times of trouble. The Queen has always loved political | :28:11. | :28:18. | |
gossip, and she says things to Prime Minister is not directly but she | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
would make guarded and therefore quite painful criticism at times so | :28:23. | :28:28. | |
it will not be an entirely bland conversation. The euphemism will | :28:29. | :28:32. | |
become what is going on and what is going to happen? Prime Minister, | :28:33. | :28:36. | |
what have you done and white?! Could you explain that to me! And I | :28:37. | :28:41. | |
presume Theresa May will add to start ringing round her Cabinet and | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
to say to them, you have still got a job or you haven't got a job because | :28:46. | :28:50. | |
otherwise they are going to be sitting waiting and of course they | :28:51. | :28:54. | |
don't want any political vacuum of any kind. She needs to be able to | :28:55. | :28:58. | |
say, have I got your confronted and support question and what has been | :28:59. | :29:07. | |
interesting, talking about the lack of sight of the other big Tory | :29:08. | :29:11. | |
beasts. Where are Boris Johnson and Michael Gove and Philip Hammond? If | :29:12. | :29:15. | |
there was some kind of plot developing against her they would be | :29:16. | :29:18. | |
out making coded statements but they are not. And if they are not going | :29:19. | :29:23. | |
to go forward and challenge, they know that anything they say and do | :29:24. | :29:27. | |
it will be either misconstrued or more will be read into it. We could | :29:28. | :29:33. | |
have a brief look in a few moments from Anushka Asthana from the | :29:34. | :29:35. | |
Guardian do is take there is a big mission at the top of the Tory body | :29:36. | :29:41. | |
on what went wrong. The postmortem will start. Some say it is down to | :29:42. | :29:45. | |
the manifesto and the U-turn on social care and the triple lock and | :29:46. | :29:48. | |
others say it was about a negative campaign that we also discussed | :29:49. | :29:52. | |
earlier. Those discussions will be going on amongst Tory MPs. I think | :29:53. | :29:57. | |
they should add over controlling to the list. Over controlled and rather | :29:58. | :30:00. | |
robotic. That was one of the big problems. | :30:01. | :30:04. | |
There used to be conventional wisdom that the campaign did not make much | :30:05. | :30:11. | |
difference. Don't believe that any more! Is John Curtice said, people | :30:12. | :30:16. | |
have usually made their minds up about the leaders before they get | :30:17. | :30:20. | |
into a campaign, clearly in this case that convention has not been | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
followed. For viewers joining us wondering what is going on, because | :30:25. | :30:30. | |
it is a hung parliament, we assume, Peter, that the Prime Minister would | :30:31. | :30:33. | |
not be visiting the palace at this point were she not very confident of | :30:34. | :30:37. | |
having secured some sort of understanding with the DUP? I think | :30:38. | :30:43. | |
she would as a matter of courtesy to report to the sovereign. That is | :30:44. | :30:48. | |
what usually happens, whatever has happened. We are pretty sure that | :30:49. | :30:51. | |
she will not have to do what Ted Heath did, which is to say I will | :30:52. | :30:55. | |
spend the weekend trying to do with deal with the Liberals. The Queen | :30:56. | :31:00. | |
has a deal to be informed, to advise and worn. I have never been anywhere | :31:01. | :31:05. | |
near all of this and there are no minutes, you see. George VI and | :31:06. | :31:10. | |
Clement Attlee were so shy that they tended to dry up so they had cue | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
cards, that was the only trace you ever had. The Queen, I gather, Andy | :31:15. | :31:21. | |
was just talking about it, she asks rather good, penetrating, Socratic | :31:22. | :31:25. | |
questions. They are not couched in why on earth did you do it that way? | :31:26. | :31:31. | |
Not at all. I remember one of the heads of the secret agencies saying | :31:32. | :31:35. | |
to me that when I go and see her she asks me much more penetrating | :31:36. | :31:39. | |
questions than any of my secretaries of State ever have. Isn't that | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
interesting? She had a reputation of getting to the point quickly. At the | :31:45. | :31:49. | |
time of the financial crash she was overheard asking some key City | :31:50. | :31:54. | |
people why did you not see this coming? The LSE. It was the first | :31:55. | :32:02. | |
time the governor of the bank had had a specific audience. The | :32:03. | :32:07. | |
curiosity was unbounded. Experience is extraordinary. You have made the | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
point that she would go as a courtesy even if she possibly had | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
not had a sufficient understanding with the DUP, but this opens up a | :32:16. | :32:20. | |
new thing, Peter, Prime Minister returns to Downing Street and it | :32:21. | :32:24. | |
would be extremely difficult Prime Minister did not say something in | :32:25. | :32:28. | |
Downing Street when she returns. What do we then expect? What will | :32:29. | :32:35. | |
the message then be? She has to tellers in direct terms, I have to | :32:36. | :32:38. | |
former government, I have been talking to the DUP or whatever, I | :32:39. | :32:42. | |
believe we can give Britain... Whether she dares to say strong and | :32:43. | :32:49. | |
stable, who knows. Surely not?! Brexit will remain my priority and I | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
will reshuffle my cabinet over the next day and a half. The record was | :32:54. | :32:58. | |
Clement Attlee in 1953, they were waiting at number ten when he came | :32:59. | :33:04. | |
back from seeing the king. We are carrying on, that is all he said. | :33:05. | :33:08. | |
Which could be short and sweet in that sense, otherwise she will have | :33:09. | :33:12. | |
to get into the realms of, what went wrong? If she comes onto the streets | :33:13. | :33:16. | |
of Downing Street she will in some sense have to say in her own words | :33:17. | :33:20. | |
what she thought went wrong and the mistake of calling a snap election, | :33:21. | :33:24. | |
and as you say it might be better to stick very much to a well-defined | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
script which says I am here, still Prime Minister, I have seen the | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
Queen and I will have a Cabinet in place. Mostly if there was any | :33:34. | :33:37. | |
choice between do I speak out on this occasion or not, Theresa May | :33:38. | :33:42. | |
has not. Any possibility of not saying anything, she takes it. We | :33:43. | :33:47. | |
will see what happens. If she goes for a big speech it will be the most | :33:48. | :33:53. | |
difficult in her life so far. The little phrase, Cabinet in place, do | :33:54. | :33:59. | |
we think, Andy, Jo, Peter, that some calls will have been made to key | :34:00. | :34:03. | |
Cabinet figures? I would be surprised if they had not. Philip -- | :34:04. | :34:09. | |
Philip Hammond needs to know if he is remaining Chancellor of the | :34:10. | :34:11. | |
Exchequer, Boris Johnson needs to know if he is staying on as Foreign | :34:12. | :34:17. | |
Secretary. And David Davis in the key role of Brexit Secretary. That | :34:18. | :34:20. | |
will have been calls and soundings done. I take the point about | :34:21. | :34:24. | |
convention, she would have gone to the Queen, but I think if she felt | :34:25. | :34:27. | |
it would not be held together she would not have made that trip. | :34:28. | :34:32. | |
Simply Cabinet ministers have already had face-to-face meetings | :34:33. | :34:38. | |
with her, probably early on -- some key Cabinet ministers. Probably | :34:39. | :34:44. | |
through the back door. It is a remarkable example of continents on | :34:45. | :34:50. | |
Boris' party. Almost unheard of. An amazing 24 hours. And we have not | :34:51. | :34:56. | |
had a tweet from Donald Trump! The Royal Standard is flying, a signal | :34:57. | :35:00. | |
that the Queen is in residence at Buckingham Palace. A very busy time | :35:01. | :35:04. | |
for the Royal family, we look ahead to the Queen's Birthday Parade a | :35:05. | :35:08. | |
week tomorrow and the State Opening of Parliament which takes place a | :35:09. | :35:12. | |
couple of days later on Monday the 19th of June, and incredibly busy | :35:13. | :35:23. | |
time. Peter, again, the state opening, this timetable to get a | :35:24. | :35:25. | |
meaningful Queen's Speech in place with a partner in Government, a very | :35:26. | :35:35. | |
short amount of time. Yes. I gather that it will not be a blingy state | :35:36. | :35:45. | |
opening. Bala ceremony and pageantry than normal. Which is a pity, | :35:46. | :35:50. | |
because I like flaunting. But it will be dressed down in the informal | :35:51. | :35:56. | |
sense of the word. He does that when he boats in the chamber! I am too | :35:57. | :36:03. | |
humble. A surprisingly short speech, we would assume. There is not an | :36:04. | :36:08. | |
awful lot she can say at this stage if she goes into agreement with the | :36:09. | :36:12. | |
DUP. There will be talk of foreign affairs and getting on with Brexit | :36:13. | :36:16. | |
but I don't think there will be much legislation and relatively few | :36:17. | :36:18. | |
promises. How long do you think it has gone on | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
already? Let's bring Royal correspondent Nicholas Witchell | :36:24. | :36:27. | |
back-in. I was slightly distracted, how long do you think we have had on | :36:28. | :36:34. | |
this audience? I make it about 12 minutes. She went in, we did not see | :36:35. | :36:39. | |
her step across the threshold but it was at about 12:25pm, we are about | :36:40. | :36:44. | |
12 minutes into the audience of indeterminate length, but as you | :36:45. | :36:47. | |
have said I would imagine it might be around half an hour. Serious | :36:48. | :36:53. | |
business to be discussed. As we have said, soothing though the occasion | :36:54. | :36:58. | |
may be for a Prime Minister on what on this particular occasion, for | :36:59. | :37:02. | |
this particular Prime Minister must be an extremely difficult day, she | :37:03. | :37:06. | |
still has to answer those very pointed and pithy questions which | :37:07. | :37:10. | |
the Queen is certainly very capable of directing at her prime ministers | :37:11. | :37:15. | |
and others, and I am quite sure that in a sense it will perhaps be the | :37:16. | :37:18. | |
first occasion when Theresa May is able to explore with someone outside | :37:19. | :37:24. | |
her immediate circle, well, what did come from your point of view, go | :37:25. | :37:28. | |
wrong? What do you think has happened and what would you do now? | :37:29. | :37:32. | |
How will you deal with the considerable challenges, most | :37:33. | :37:36. | |
particularly Brexit? The Queen, as she always is, will be closely | :37:37. | :37:39. | |
interested in those answers because she maintains a close interest, a | :37:40. | :37:45. | |
nonexecutive head of state she may be but she has this vast experience | :37:46. | :37:53. | |
stretching back now for these 63, 64 years across the 12 other prime | :37:54. | :37:57. | |
ministers with whom she has dealt. So she will perhaps be able to offer | :37:58. | :38:04. | |
that little bit of calming to a Prime Minister facing very | :38:05. | :38:06. | |
considerable challenges within her own party, her own parliament and | :38:07. | :38:12. | |
within Europe, dealing with Brexit. For the Queen, of course, there is | :38:13. | :38:16. | |
the business of state to be handled today. She will be going to Windsor | :38:17. | :38:21. | |
and there is one other event that will be in her horizon, that is | :38:22. | :38:28. | |
tomorrow, the 96th birthday of her husband, the Duke of Edinburgh. They | :38:29. | :38:32. | |
will celebrate that family event at Windsor. But that is the apparatus | :38:33. | :38:37. | |
of ceremonial London and the significant events, Trooping the | :38:38. | :38:41. | |
Colour, the Queen's Birthday Parade taking place a week tomorrow, | :38:42. | :38:45. | |
followed two days later by the State Opening of Parliament which, as you | :38:46. | :38:49. | |
have said, will be non-ceremonial, not least because after Trooping the | :38:50. | :38:54. | |
Colour on Saturday the 17th it has been concluded that the Footguards, | :38:55. | :38:59. | |
Horse Guards and the rest will not have the opportunity to rehearse for | :39:00. | :39:03. | |
the State opening enough, that is one of the particular reasons why on | :39:04. | :39:06. | |
this occasion it is being done in this non-ceremonial way. So there we | :39:07. | :39:11. | |
can see this aerial shot of Buckingham Palace and we can see | :39:12. | :39:15. | |
that the crowds have certainly thinned from the front of the Paras, | :39:16. | :39:21. | |
-- Palace, there are considerable crowds here at this time every year | :39:22. | :39:25. | |
when they watch the changing of the guard. They have largely dispersed | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
but there are some left, particularly clustered around the | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
North Centre gate which is the way in which visitors generally low in | :39:35. | :39:41. | |
across the forecourt and in. What are we, I would say we are about 15 | :39:42. | :39:47. | |
minutes into this audience so far. Perhaps another, who knows, 50 | :39:48. | :39:51. | |
minutes ago. Thank you, Nick Witchell. Let's go back to Downing | :39:52. | :39:56. | |
Street if I can, I think they are preparing for a prime ministerial | :39:57. | :40:01. | |
statement. The lectern, the podium is in place in its usual place | :40:02. | :40:08. | |
outside the door of number ten. At least, Jo, we know there will be a | :40:09. | :40:12. | |
statement is expected? We have talked about that. Just think back | :40:13. | :40:16. | |
if you weeks ago, the last time we saw a Lachie Turner unexpectedly, I | :40:17. | :40:21. | |
suppose we expected this time, which appeared outside number ten was, of | :40:22. | :40:24. | |
course, when Theresa May announced the snap election night she said she | :40:25. | :40:29. | |
would never call -- the last time we saw a lectern. I will not call a | :40:30. | :40:34. | |
snap election is what she said. I cannot tell you the rush and the | :40:35. | :40:38. | |
fury around newsrooms when we saw that lectern going up outside number | :40:39. | :40:41. | |
ten. If I remember rightly it was not a prime ministerial one at that | :40:42. | :40:46. | |
stage, it was the party, that is what led to was thinking it would be | :40:47. | :40:50. | |
a call for a snap election. Let's stay on this. My next contribution | :40:51. | :40:57. | |
is rather relevant as we look at the door of number ten. George Osborne, | :40:58. | :41:01. | |
who is editor of the London Evening Standard, has written this in his | :41:02. | :41:04. | |
editorial today talking about this notion of confidence and supply, | :41:05. | :41:09. | |
that is the technical term for the Democratic Unionist supporting the | :41:10. | :41:13. | |
Conservatives. He says the confidence in her leadership is | :41:14. | :41:17. | |
precisely what the British people failed to give her, and supply will | :41:18. | :41:21. | |
mean London taxpayers sending yet more money to Northern Ireland. In | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
this topsy-turvy world, decisions that affect London will be taking in | :41:26. | :41:31. | |
Belfast. He is not pulling any punches, Andy? He is having a lovely | :41:32. | :41:34. | |
time. He is editor of Evening Standard but I think he has been | :41:35. | :41:38. | |
caught slightly by surprise by the events of the last few weeks and | :41:39. | :41:42. | |
months. Had he stayed in the House of Commons, we would be talking | :41:43. | :41:46. | |
about him as a future Conservative leader. He got out, he is in the | :41:47. | :41:50. | |
wrong place just as Ruth Davidson was in the wrong place at the rump | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
Parliament if she wants to lead the Conservative Party in the UK. -- the | :41:55. | :41:59. | |
wrong place in the wrong parliament. David Miliband in the wrong | :42:00. | :42:04. | |
continent. If you look further down in the editorial George Osborne says | :42:05. | :42:08. | |
it is not a sustainable position and the paper were subjected to close | :42:09. | :42:11. | |
scrutiny. The other people who will be scrutinised will be the DDP. | :42:12. | :42:16. | |
Peter, you will know that in this minority governments the people who | :42:17. | :42:19. | |
seem to be propping up a government commenting enormous scrutiny | :42:20. | :42:23. | |
themselves, as do their policies. -- the other people who will be | :42:24. | :42:29. | |
scrutinised will be the DUP. The last seats, the Huffington Post say | :42:30. | :42:33. | |
that the early tip about Labour taking Kensington is correct. Labour | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
was ahead by more than 20 boats on the secondary cap. That is a real | :42:38. | :42:49. | |
turn up. Kensington goes Labour! They will be quite rightly hailing | :42:50. | :42:55. | |
that is a big victory. -- is a big victory. It has not been confirmed, | :42:56. | :43:00. | |
but if that is the case they will claim that is a big victory. Let's | :43:01. | :43:06. | |
go to Laura in Downing Street. Some thoughts on what the Prime Minister | :43:07. | :43:09. | |
will need to do in the statement she will deliver within the next 15 | :43:10. | :43:15. | |
minutes or so. I think she has to strike a very different tone and | :43:16. | :43:18. | |
close to when we saw a glimpse of her at her Maidenhead counter in the | :43:19. | :43:23. | |
early hours of the morning. At that stage she looked visibly shocked and | :43:24. | :43:28. | |
hurting from the results. The expectation the Tories had being | :43:29. | :43:33. | |
turned on their head. If this is to work and if she is to be able to | :43:34. | :43:36. | |
stay for a dignified period of time she needs to walk back in and look | :43:37. | :43:43. | |
like she is in charge of the moment. She is not in charge of a majority | :43:44. | :43:47. | |
but she needs to come back and look like the Prime Minister that she has | :43:48. | :43:51. | |
just told the Queen she hopes to be in terms of forming a government. It | :43:52. | :43:56. | |
is not that long ago since we had the formal coalition in 2010. Even | :43:57. | :44:01. | |
at that stage, even though David Cameron never had a majority and he | :44:02. | :44:06. | |
had to rely hugely on the Liberal Democrats, his supporters at the | :44:07. | :44:10. | |
time would say he looked the part, he always looked confident and made | :44:11. | :44:14. | |
what he described at the time is an open and expansive offer to the | :44:15. | :44:18. | |
Liberal Democrats, and with confidence strode into a very | :44:19. | :44:25. | |
different era of politics. Theresa May has to, to reassure her own | :44:26. | :44:29. | |
party and stop the sniping about this terrible results, she has to | :44:30. | :44:33. | |
come back and look like she is in charge. Given the personal defeat | :44:34. | :44:37. | |
that this is for her, although she of course is still the leader of the | :44:38. | :44:41. | |
largest party, that is quite some task. | :44:42. | :44:50. | |
Let's bring in Andrew Neil at Westminster, your thoughts, Andrew? | :44:51. | :44:53. | |
I think the big unknown is that we do not know the nature of the deal | :44:54. | :44:57. | |
that the Prime Minister has done with the DUP. We know it is not a | :44:58. | :45:01. | |
formal coalition of the sort that Mr Cameron had with Mr Clegg and the | :45:02. | :45:05. | |
Lib Dems, but we know some kind of deal has been done. We do not know | :45:06. | :45:09. | |
what she has given away, what she has agreed to in order to get the | :45:10. | :45:14. | |
support of the ten DUP members and give her and all but working | :45:15. | :45:20. | |
majority. Nor do we know, the atmospherics, it is not just the | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
arithmetic, but Mrs May will seem not just to the country but the | :45:25. | :45:28. | |
Conservative Party a diminished figure in British politics. Maybe | :45:29. | :45:32. | |
even the walking wounded by some. Several Conservatives have said to | :45:33. | :45:36. | |
me this morning in the course of the broadcast that they do not see her | :45:37. | :45:41. | |
running another election campaign, that they will not let her run | :45:42. | :45:45. | |
another election campaign after what has happened. So as they scrabble to | :45:46. | :45:49. | |
put together a minority government or a government that can survive a | :45:50. | :45:54. | |
hung parliament for a while, the future is still very uncertain for | :45:55. | :45:55. | |
this Conservative government. Nicholas Witchel is still with us, I | :45:56. | :46:07. | |
am wondering, I am seeing some staff in the courtyard, I'm wondering if | :46:08. | :46:13. | |
we might be getting to the point where Mrs made's departure could be | :46:14. | :46:21. | |
imminent. -- Mrs May. I would think not for the next few minutes, this | :46:22. | :46:25. | |
is one of the Escort vehicles but to the left you can see one of the | :46:26. | :46:33. | |
footmen who is looking out of the victor. The Prime Minister's car to | :46:34. | :46:39. | |
the left. They are standing there ready to open the door when she does | :46:40. | :46:44. | |
come out. We have been trying to see whether the motorcyclists who are in | :46:45. | :46:48. | |
the outer forecourt, they don't seem to be starting up yet. We are about | :46:49. | :46:56. | |
22 minutes in... There is Wing Commander Sam Fletcher, the | :46:57. | :47:08. | |
equerries. And there we are. And as you said, the Prime Minister | :47:09. | :47:11. | |
emerging after an audience of 20 minutes or so with the time almost | :47:12. | :47:18. | |
ten to one this Friday after the general election and Theresa May has | :47:19. | :47:21. | |
been to have an audience with Her Majesty the Queen as she faces a | :47:22. | :47:28. | |
hung parliament and intends to carry on as the primaries that at the head | :47:29. | :47:32. | |
of the Conservative administration with the head of support on a vote | :47:33. | :47:38. | |
to vote bases, not any formal grounds of the DUP in Northern | :47:39. | :47:41. | |
Ireland. But we have no idea what kind of deal has been struck and | :47:42. | :47:45. | |
what assurances have been given and no idea of the basis on which any | :47:46. | :47:50. | |
agreement has been reached. Maybe the pie Minister will shed some | :47:51. | :47:55. | |
light on that when she gets back -- Prime Minister. She will soon be | :47:56. | :48:02. | |
delivering a message which is meant to convince and reassure people. She | :48:03. | :48:09. | |
will. And as Laura was saying, it is all about demeanour, the way she | :48:10. | :48:16. | |
presents herself. If she wants to carry on as Prime Minister, she | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
needs to look and sound like one and put to one side or the self doubt | :48:21. | :48:25. | |
and shock of the night and come out fighting and it will be interesting | :48:26. | :48:29. | |
to see if she can deliver that kind of speech. She is a much less | :48:30. | :48:35. | |
practice figure in that sense than David Cameron or Tony Blair so can | :48:36. | :48:43. | |
she raised her game rhetorically and in terms of demeanour? She is not | :48:44. | :48:49. | |
known for being agile from her performances at PMQs and some may | :48:50. | :48:52. | |
argue the fact that she did not take part in the TV debates, that another | :48:53. | :48:57. | |
example of her perhaps showing away from having to think on her feet in | :48:58. | :49:01. | |
that way and you said earlier, Peter, that she likes to be in the | :49:02. | :49:07. | |
arena of being prepared. She will have had some time to think about | :49:08. | :49:10. | |
this, particularly if it is relatively short. She is speaking to | :49:11. | :49:19. | |
the markets, to the Tory body, swing voters, MPs. An authority will count | :49:20. | :49:24. | |
a lot here. And in human terms sheet must be worn out -- she must be one | :49:25. | :49:31. | |
out. It is bad enough if things go well but after these shocks, in | :49:32. | :49:36. | |
human terms you can only sympathise. We were talking about Kensington, | :49:37. | :49:43. | |
three words we would not associate, Labour gain Kensington. That has | :49:44. | :49:51. | |
been confirmed. The car passing through Admiralty Arch into | :49:52. | :49:54. | |
Trafalgar Square and turning into Whitehall. And going past a lot of | :49:55. | :50:03. | |
the big government offices including Adrien Admiralty House on the right. | :50:04. | :50:12. | |
We mentioned that earlier with the security crisis in the 90s. And I'm | :50:13. | :50:16. | |
bound to say it past the Wales Office! The Ministry of Defence on | :50:17. | :50:25. | |
the left. Thank you, can we stop this now! And soon turning right... | :50:26. | :50:31. | |
The red Lion pub! I knew you would mention that! And turning into | :50:32. | :50:36. | |
Downing Street and we will see the Prime Minister emerging from the car | :50:37. | :50:39. | |
and making that statement straightway before going back into | :50:40. | :50:43. | |
Downing Street to maybe complete the calls about the formation the new | :50:44. | :50:49. | |
government. Laura Coombs but it in Downing | :50:50. | :50:53. | |
-- Laura Kuenssberg. She is arriving now, we expect that she will confirm | :50:54. | :51:01. | |
that she will stay on as Prime Minister with some form of | :51:02. | :51:06. | |
arrangement with the DUP, not the scenario she had dreams of or that | :51:07. | :51:13. | |
she hoped for. She exits the car with her husband, who is putting a | :51:14. | :51:20. | |
rather grim face on it and she gets out to walk up to the podium. Only | :51:21. | :51:27. | |
seven weeks since she stood at that podium and announced the snap | :51:28. | :51:31. | |
election which she had said would not happen, the election that she | :51:32. | :51:35. | |
changed her mind about. And how any human being in her vision must | :51:36. | :51:38. | |
regret that decision. Here she is. I have just been to see Her Majesty | :51:39. | :51:52. | |
the Queen. And I will now form a government, a government that can | :51:53. | :51:57. | |
provide certainty and lead Britain forward at this critical time for | :51:58. | :52:02. | |
our country. This government will guide the country through the | :52:03. | :52:05. | |
crucial Brexit talks that begin in just ten days and deliver on the | :52:06. | :52:12. | |
will of the British people by taking the United Kingdom out of the | :52:13. | :52:16. | |
European Union. It will work to keep our nation safe and secure by | :52:17. | :52:23. | |
delivering the change that I set out following the appalling attacks in | :52:24. | :52:26. | |
Manchester and London. Cracking down on the ideology of Islamist | :52:27. | :52:32. | |
extremism and all those who support it and giving the police and the | :52:33. | :52:37. | |
authorities the powers they need to keep our country safe. The | :52:38. | :52:43. | |
government I lead will put fairness and opportunity at the heart of | :52:44. | :52:49. | |
everything we do. So that we will fulfil the promise of Brexit | :52:50. | :52:54. | |
together and, over the next five years, filled a country in which no | :52:55. | :53:00. | |
one and no community is left behind -- build a country. A country in | :53:01. | :53:06. | |
which prosperity and opportunity are shared right across this United | :53:07. | :53:11. | |
Kingdom. What the country needs more than ever is certainty and having | :53:12. | :53:17. | |
secured the largest number of votes and the greatest number of seats in | :53:18. | :53:20. | |
the general election it is clear that only the Conservative and | :53:21. | :53:27. | |
Unionist Party has the legitimacy and ability to provide that | :53:28. | :53:30. | |
certainty by commanding majority the House of Commons. As we do, we will | :53:31. | :53:38. | |
continue to work with our friends and allies in the Democratic | :53:39. | :53:41. | |
Unionist Party in particular will stop our two parties have enjoyed a | :53:42. | :53:46. | |
strong relationship over many years and this gives me the confidence to | :53:47. | :53:51. | |
believe that we will be able to work together in the interests of the | :53:52. | :53:55. | |
whole United Kingdom. This will allow us to come together as a | :53:56. | :54:02. | |
country and channel our energies towards a successful Brexit deal | :54:03. | :54:05. | |
that works for everybody in the country, securing a new partnership | :54:06. | :54:10. | |
with the EU which guarantees our long-term prosperity. That is what | :54:11. | :54:14. | |
people voted for last June, that is what we will deliver, now let's get | :54:15. | :54:25. | |
to work. The Prime Minister making a brief statement on the threshold of | :54:26. | :54:30. | |
Downing Street and really, Andrew Marr, I'm trying to make out that it | :54:31. | :54:37. | |
is business as usual. I thought the most important thing she said is | :54:38. | :54:40. | |
that she would carry on the Brexit negotiations as planned on the | :54:41. | :54:44. | |
timetable, having heard these voices from the continent saying to delay | :54:45. | :54:50. | |
things but she is saying no, we are going ahead on the original | :54:51. | :54:55. | |
timetable which strongly suggests that David Davies remained as Brexit | :54:56. | :54:58. | |
secretary and the plans remain as they were. The rest of it is | :54:59. | :55:02. | |
repeating of campaign slogans, unspecific, but the reference to the | :55:03. | :55:07. | |
Conservative and Unionist Party which they don't often say. That was | :55:08. | :55:12. | |
a very pointed reference because it is a commission of the situation she | :55:13. | :55:16. | |
is in and she said it in a way that I thought she was dragged to say to | :55:17. | :55:19. | |
everybody, and that is a natural thing, a natural fit -- she was | :55:20. | :55:26. | |
trying to say. A natural fit to have the Conservatives and the DUP | :55:27. | :55:30. | |
together in these negotiations and the government. And not even the | :55:31. | :55:36. | |
most glancing reference to what happened in the campaign. If you | :55:37. | :55:41. | |
keep it short and to the point, you just look ahead. She must have said | :55:42. | :55:44. | |
certainty at least half a dozen times. Not even glancing reference | :55:45. | :55:52. | |
to performance. No, it has played to her strengths and that is hers, she | :55:53. | :55:56. | |
always says that she gets on with what is put in front of let's get to | :55:57. | :56:00. | |
work, that will be her new trademark. It was brave and quite | :56:01. | :56:07. | |
impressive. Fairness and opportunity, echoes of course of the | :56:08. | :56:11. | |
first speech that she made at the time. People will make of that what | :56:12. | :56:16. | |
they will, fairness and opportunity for the whole divinity, working for | :56:17. | :56:19. | |
everyone, all those statement she made when she stood there -- for the | :56:20. | :56:26. | |
whole community. Laura is there for us. A pretty grim faced Theresa May | :56:27. | :56:33. | |
but emphasising that word she used throughout the campaign, certainty. | :56:34. | :56:38. | |
Not giving any more details of how she would work with the DUP, she | :56:39. | :56:43. | |
said they will continue to work with friends and allies, suggesting as we | :56:44. | :56:46. | |
expected that the arrangement between them will be very loose, | :56:47. | :56:50. | |
nothing formal at all. One wonders therefore in the rough-and-tumble of | :56:51. | :56:56. | |
the next few months, perhaps the next few weeks, how the bonds | :56:57. | :56:59. | |
between those parties might be tested. I think in terms of getting | :57:00. | :57:05. | |
back her composure, certainly it was a very different Theresa May to the | :57:06. | :57:10. | |
one we saw standing at her count in Maidenhead when she looked almost | :57:11. | :57:15. | |
broken by the result is the picture was emerging overnight. No question, | :57:16. | :57:19. | |
she might have walked back in as Prime Minister but she walks back | :57:20. | :57:24. | |
into number ten are diminished figure, a politically damaged | :57:25. | :57:27. | |
figure, still Prime Minister but for quite how long? And given that we | :57:28. | :57:33. | |
are talking about her status and position as Prime Minister, a | :57:34. | :57:37. | |
thought on the event this afternoon and how soon you think we will be in | :57:38. | :57:40. | |
a position to hear her confirming who is in and out the Cabinet? I | :57:41. | :57:46. | |
think that any plans she might have had for our bold reshuffle, moving | :57:47. | :57:53. | |
her neighbour out of number 11 or making big switches around in the | :57:54. | :57:57. | |
top team, I would expect, and I'm speculating, that she would be | :57:58. | :58:03. | |
encouraged against making any big changes. Her diminished stature of | :58:04. | :58:07. | |
course gives more power to the rest of the people around the Cabinet | :58:08. | :58:12. | |
table. She needs their backing, it has been conspicuous, really | :58:13. | :58:18. | |
conspicuous this morning, that whether by accident or design and I | :58:19. | :58:22. | |
suspect design while the situation with fluid, we have not seen the cam | :58:23. | :58:27. | |
and administers coming to her defence publicly, silence instead -- | :58:28. | :58:33. | |
the Cabinet ministers. They have not put a ring of steel around Theresa | :58:34. | :58:38. | |
May and I expect she will certainly be called on to change her style and | :58:39. | :58:46. | |
expand her circle, to rely on more people also I think that will have | :58:47. | :58:49. | |
an impact on the scale of her reshuffle. We might well find that | :58:50. | :58:54. | |
all she does is replace those who have lost their jobs with people | :58:55. | :59:00. | |
further down the ranks. Don't forget overnight she lost eight ministers, | :59:01. | :59:05. | |
only one Cabinet minister, Ben Gummer, and what a metaphor, the | :59:06. | :59:07. | |
minister in charge of coordinating the manifesto, the manifesto that | :59:08. | :59:14. | |
for many people appears to have been such a part of the root of all of | :59:15. | :59:20. | |
the Tories' disaster overnight. Quite a strange situation, the | :59:21. | :59:23. | |
leader of the biggest party, with the biggest share of the votes but | :59:24. | :59:27. | |
so diminished by the decision of the British people who did not like what | :59:28. | :59:32. | |
they saw. And finally, we are looking at a House of Commons that | :59:33. | :59:36. | |
will look very different with a different character, what are your | :59:37. | :59:40. | |
thoughts on how it will conduct itself in the weeks and months to | :59:41. | :59:45. | |
come? It will be fascinating to see, how will Jeremy Corbyn responds to | :59:46. | :59:50. | |
his new-found strength? Will he reached out to his prominent | :59:51. | :59:55. | |
critics, many of whom have real experience in the front bench? Will | :59:56. | :59:59. | |
he strengthen in that way? How will the SNB behave without their | :00:00. | :00:03. | |
dominant leader in Westminster, Angus Robertson, one of the biggest | :00:04. | :00:10. | |
scalps -- the SNP. We are in for all sorts of interesting elements as the | :00:11. | :00:14. | |
political Rubiks cube turns around with new faces and patterns emerging | :00:15. | :00:18. | |
but one thing I would say is that it will not be straightforward. | :00:19. | :00:23. | |
Thank you, Laura. The one o'clock News, by the way, follows very | :00:24. | :00:30. | |
shortly with Sophie Raworth, we just added a few more minutes for us to | :00:31. | :00:34. | |
really undermine the magnitude of what has happened overnight, and | :00:35. | :00:37. | |
that's being underlined by some of the responses from conservatives. | :00:38. | :00:42. | |
Despite the fact that Theresa May says the largest party of the | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
largest number of votes, we have Tories like Heidi Allen, we as | :00:47. | :00:50. | |
Conservatives will learn from this, we will listen, collaborate more and | :00:51. | :00:54. | |
demonstrate greater vision and compassion for all. We had to | :00:55. | :00:58. | |
change. With the emphasis on the have. It is not lost on anyone that | :00:59. | :01:04. | |
Heidi Allen has opposed her own Government in the past as a | :01:05. | :01:08. | |
backbench MP on some of the measures that she felt were too harsh, this | :01:09. | :01:12. | |
is the type of pressure that will come to bear. In the weeks to come | :01:13. | :01:17. | |
and when legislation is put before the house. That is just one, we have | :01:18. | :01:22. | |
heard from Sarah Wolviston already. These people will not remain quiet. | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
Low blow both of the main parties badly shaken or changed in many | :01:27. | :01:31. | |
ways, I am stripping compared with Peter but I have followed the House | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
of Commons since 1984 and I think it will be the most interesting | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
parliament of my political lifetime -- I am a stripling compared to | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
Peter. She was timed in modest to say so but we had to pay more | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
attention to Laura Kuenssberg! I think that is good advice. Peter, | :01:49. | :01:55. | |
your thoughts after the last 15 hours? One of the greatest upsets | :01:56. | :02:02. | |
since the Second World War which will be scarred and seared in the | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
memories of the country forever because of the atrocities at | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
Manchester and London Bridge. Andreu, Jo and Peter, I want to | :02:12. | :02:16. | |
thank you. I am bound to thank Emily and her team. Thank you to John | :02:17. | :02:20. | |
Curtice, Jeremy Vine and their teams as well. It is not just those in the | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
studio, an army outside the studio performs all sorts of vital tasks. | :02:26. | :02:31. | |
Without that, we would not be on air. It is not just in the BBC | :02:32. | :02:39. | |
Election Centre, it is all of us, thank you very much. It has been a | :02:40. | :02:44. | |
remarkable 15 hours and I don't think anyone expected to be in this | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
position, least of all Theresa May, who went into at the majority and | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
has come with no majority, a hung parliament, she will have to depend | :02:54. | :02:57. | |
on an informal deal. Stumbling along, as her opponents would say, | :02:58. | :03:02. | |
with the Democratic Unionists. A hung parliament with many questions | :03:03. | :03:07. | |
to be answered. Coverage continues on the BBC News Channel, the BBC | :03:08. | :03:14. | |
News at one is coming up, but I will leave you with some of the enduring | :03:15. | :03:17. | |
words and images of the last 15 hours. | :03:18. | :03:19. | |
It is the third time in just over two McCready is that we have come to | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
discover the result of the major UK wide poll. -- in just over two | :03:24. | :03:30. | |
years. Will the Conservatives get the seats they need to win outright | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
or will Labour close the gap? Never before have we gone into an election | :03:36. | :03:41. | |
with such diverse prediction. By the magic of psephology we can predict | :03:42. | :03:44. | |
what we think has happened tonight. And what we are saying is that the | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
Conservatives are the largest party. They don't have an overall majority | :03:51. | :03:54. | |
at this stage. The Conservative Party have lost their overall | :03:55. | :03:59. | |
majority and will be short by 12 votes, 12 MP short. If these numbers | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
are correct than Theresa May has played a high risk political gain | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
and it appears she may have lost a gamble. The reaction from senior | :04:08. | :04:12. | |
Conservatives, I have talked to a few, is they flatly do not believe | :04:13. | :04:15. | |
it. It will give enormous power to | :04:16. | :04:18. | |
Jeremy Corbyn, not just in parliament but within his party. | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
The pound is down around 2% already against the dollar, it is down | :04:24. | :04:30. | |
against the euro. Boy, old boy, oh boy, will we be hung, drawn and | :04:31. | :04:37. | |
quartered if this is wrong?! Chi Onwurah, Labour Party, 24000 and 71. | :04:38. | :04:47. | |
It is the first sign of the night that maybe the country will drift | :04:48. | :04:51. | |
from the Conservatives to the Labour Party. I don't know what has | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
happened to Sunderland, they were beavering away but nothing seems to | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
have happened. All those white grubs that running around. Julie Elliott | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
has been elected to serve as member for the said constituency. | :05:04. | :05:06. | |
Immediately better for the Conservatives than the exit poll | :05:07. | :05:11. | |
suggested, worse for labour than the exit polls suggested. We are getting | :05:12. | :05:26. | |
really conflicting signals. Help me with the technology for a moment, it | :05:27. | :05:29. | |
does not matter if we see you! Gobbler we will need anywhere to the | :05:30. | :05:31. | |
caveat soon. The SNP are on 34 seats, they would lose 12. A real | :05:32. | :05:34. | |
triumph the Ruth Davidson. It is much less likely we will see another | :05:35. | :05:36. | |
Scottish independence referendum any time soon. No election is complete | :05:37. | :05:39. | |
without the swingometer, where is it?! | :05:40. | :05:50. | |
Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrats, 19700 and 56. In politics, you live by the | :05:51. | :05:55. | |
sword and you die by the sword. The electorate gives with one hand and | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
takes away with the other. Will you come back into active politics? I | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
would have absolutely no choice but to do exactly that. | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
I am standing down today as the leader of UKIP with immediate | :06:10. | :06:16. | |
effect. Extraordinary, Labour has done serious damage to Conservative | :06:17. | :06:19. | |
seats in England. The worst possible outcome would be a hung parliament. | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
I would have thought that is enough to go, actually. Contrast that with | :06:24. | :06:29. | |
the face of Theresa May, the look of a woman defeated, heavily made up as | :06:30. | :06:34. | |
if she had been in tears earlier. At this time, more than anything else, | :06:35. | :06:38. | |
this country needs a period of stability. Are you still a moron? | :06:39. | :06:45. | |
Jeremy has performed better than anybody, probably even Jeremy, | :06:46. | :06:49. | |
expected he would, and Theresa May has performed infinitely worse. She | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
has to content with the absolute horror of her party. She has to | :06:54. | :06:58. | |
consider her position. We have tried to get Boris Johnson to talk to us, | :06:59. | :07:04. | |
no. David Davis, no. Philip Hammond to talk to us, went to his count, | :07:05. | :07:12. | |
no. Senior figures in the Tory party, keeping Stumpf. | :07:13. | :07:23. | |
It looks as though our forecast will prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in | :07:24. | :07:27. | |
the end the most accurate exit poll yet. It is a hung parliament, that | :07:28. | :07:33. | |
is the story. Nobody has won, who is best to form | :07:34. | :07:37. | |
a stable government in the interest of the people? We believe the Labour | :07:38. | :07:42. | |
Party. Theresa May has no intention whatsoever of resigning, she will be | :07:43. | :07:46. | |
than a couple of hours to go to Buckingham Palace to seek permission | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
from the Queen to form a government, and the way we understand she will | :07:51. | :07:54. | |
do that is with assurances from the Ulster Unionists that they will see | :07:55. | :08:03. | |
her through in Parliament. Not a formal coalition but an | :08:04. | :08:05. | |
informal understanding between the Conservatives and the Democratic | :08:06. | :08:06. | |
Unionist Party. I hope that the result of the | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
election will have no major impact on the negotiations we are | :08:11. | :08:14. | |
desperately waiting for. The government IVF will put -- the | :08:15. | :08:17. | |
government I read will put fairness and opportunity at the heart of | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
everything we do so that we will fulfil the promise of Brexit | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
together, and over the next five years, build a country in which no | :08:28. | :08:30. | |
one and no community is left behind. I've had enough... | :08:31. | :08:38. | |
..alternative facts. here to help you | :08:39. | :08:44. | |
get the facts straight. Search online, | :08:45. | :08:53. | |
for BBC Reality Check. | :08:54. | :08:57. |