Part Four Election 2017


Part Four

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enhanced, is not even an MP. John McDonnell told me earlier that they

:00:00.:00:00.

are on stand-by to form a minority government, but no deals with the

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SNP or the Lib Dems or the Greens? That is not have a minority

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government works, by definition you need to do deals? There would be a

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lot of backroom deals, I think he means no formal coalition as we saw

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between the Conservatives and the Lib Dems. We understand that. You

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could not do it otherwise. It would be very difficult to organise. The

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arithmetic is against you. When the Conservatives... The finishing line

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is 322, because the seven Sinn Fein MPs abstain and the Speaker is taken

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into account. It will be 318, 319, they will do the deal with the

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Democratic Unionists, who will extract a huge price for this

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coalition of chaos, they will want a porous border with the Republic of

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Ireland which rules out a very hard Brexit. Labour is waiting in the

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wings, hoping it will fall. It is difficult to see how the DUP, they

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are the kingmakers, you can't have a coalition without them. You could

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put Labour, the SNP, the Liberals and the green altogether and it

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would not be enough. The DUP hold all the cards and will be ruthless.

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The fixed term Parliament Act, maybe MrsMay mansion to get some kind of

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coalition together, by it's fragile. It doesn't last for long. The DUP

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walk out or something happens. They don't then necessarily go to the

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country because they would need 66% of parliament to vote. Labour will

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say no, it's our turn. Let us do it. You could have a Corbyn Government.

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Well, the act is the Tories' friend now because it makes it very

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difficult to force them out. Also this, the DUP will never countenance

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talking to Jeremy Corbyn because of this issue. The attitude towards the

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IRA. The Tories can be absolutely Government whatever price the DUP

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ex-track from them they're never going to put Jeremy Corbyn into

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Downing Street. They could trigger another election. They will play

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hard. She's weak. She's a lame duck now. They can spin it any way they

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like and prop her up. She was a commanding - she was a commanding

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figure. It was almost as if she was trying to lose the election with

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that social care u-turn and pretended it wasn't. Someone here in

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Westminster said to me Cameron gambled on the referendum and lost.

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MrsMay gambled on the election and lost. And they said is the Tory

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Party a party or a casino? Back to you, Huw. On that note, Andrew,

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thank you. What are Theresa May's plans. Let's go to Downing Street.

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Laura, what can you tell us? Thank you. In the last few moments I have

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been told we can expect Theresa May will go to the Palace at some point

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later today and crucially will go to the Palace to see the Queen, I am

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told with the understanding and belief she can form a Government

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based on some form of assurances and conversations that have been going

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backwards and forwards between the Conservatives and the DUP in the

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last couple of hours. As I understand it, this is not

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necessarily an attempt to form any kind of formal coalition but the DUP

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has no wish to see Theresa May out of office. They have certainly no

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wish whatsoever to work with Jeremy Corbyn. Just to reiterate that,

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still nothing official. Nothing confirmed. But sources are telling

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me we can expect Theresa May will go to the Palace at some point later

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today saying, believing she can form a Government with the assurance and

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understanding from the DUP that they will allow her, will in order for

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her to a stay in office. Other conversations I sense and listening

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to Nicky Morgan there stopping short of calling for Theresa May to go,

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unlike her close colleague Anna Soubrey, it seems at the moment the

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sense is of rallying around and allowing Theresa May to stay in

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place. That said, it will be a weakened and fragile Theresa May

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staying in place if that does happen. A weak and fragile Prime

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Minister in a volatile era, that's not something necessarily with a

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very long shelf life. We will be back with you shortly. Thank you

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very much. The Prime Minister will be going to

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the Palace sometime today, not sure whether it is before or after lunch.

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But will be going to the pal loss to see the Queen on the understanding

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that she can indeed tell Her Majesty she is in a position to form a

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Government, depending on the ten votes of the DUP.

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That's the prospect. If we have more on the timing we will bring it to

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you straightaway. But we are expecting the Prime Minister to go

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to the Palace to basically tell the Queen it is possible to stay in

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power. We will be back with more on this in a second. We are going to

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get the news now. Morning. Theresa May is determined

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to stay on as Conservative leader, the BBC understands, despite a

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difficult night that's led to a hung parliament. With all but one seat -

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declared, the Tories have 318, eight short of the figure needed to form a

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majority. Our political correspondent reports.

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A brief smile but it did not last long. Theresa May's huge political

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gamble ended in failure. She wanted to transform the Tories' fragile

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majority into a stronger negotiating hand. Instead, her party's ended up

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weaker. If, as the indications have shown, and if this is correct, that

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the Conservative Party has won the most seats, and probably the most

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votes, then it will be incumbent on us to ensure we have that period of

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stability ap that's exactly what we will do. He confounded expectations.

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As the Labour leader arrived at party HQ this morning celebrations.

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We are ready to serve this country. That is what we fought the election

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for. This is the programme we put forward in our election. We have

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done no deals and no pacts with anybody. We are there as the Labour

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Party with our points of view. Labour even took Reading East,

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ousting a Tory Minister. In total, eight of May's top team failed to

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get re-elected. The Conservatives at the count in Hastings looked glum.

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The Home Secretary only just scraped home by 346 votes. While the Lib

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Dems celebrated the return of former Ministers like Sir Vince Cable, the

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party's old leader had one of the biggest upsets of the night, losing

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his Sheffield seat. I of course have encountered this evening something

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that many people have encountered before tonight and I suspect many

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people will encounter after tonight, which is in politics, you live by

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the sword, and you die by the sword. The SNP lost big names on a very bad

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night. Their deputy leader Angus Robertson was ousted by the

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Conservatives and their former leader Alex Salmond has lost his

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seat too. A few counts are still to come in. But the result is clear.

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There is to be a hung parliament, it's not going to be a majority

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Government of any colour. Now some are questioning whether MrsMay can

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continue. I think she's in a very difficult place. She's a remarkable

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and a very talented woman and doesn't shy from difficult decisions

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but she now has to obviously consider her position. Are you

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stepping down? Sources say she has no intention of resigning but she is

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weaker, has fewer MPs and there are questions over her future.

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There are reports that the Conservatives have already begun

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talks with the DUP in Northern Ireland. The DUP could help to give

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the Tories a working majority at Westminster to enable them to

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govern. The DUP took ten seats which was up two. Sinn Fein won seven but

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will continue to abstain from sitting in parliament. Both the SDLP

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and the Ulster Unionist party lost their seats. Labour had a strong

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night in Wales, reclaim ago number of seats from the Conservatives. The

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results were a blow to the Tories, they hoped to make gains in

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pro-Brexit areas. Plaid Cymru won four seats. That's up one. And the

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Liberal Democrats lost their only Welsh MP. The swing to Labour seems

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to be highest in areas with a significant number of younger

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voters. Some Labour politicians are ascribing their successes to a high

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turnout of 18-24-year-olds. Young voter turnout is estimated at 72%,

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with turnout overall 2% up at 69%, which is the biggest since 1997. The

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outcome raises Dawes about whether Brexit talks can begin later this

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month. The European Council President has tweeted that he did

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not know when the talks would start, only when they had to end.

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Jean-Claude Juncker, the Commission President says the EU is ready for

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negotiations and he hopes the UK will form a Government as soon as

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possible. Back to Huw Edwards with the BBC's election special.

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Good morning once again. It's 10. 10am just about, we are one seat

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away from the full count of results. We have one seat to go. That is

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Kensington. Cornwall North came in as a Conservative hold. So where are

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we? The Conservatives on 318. Labour on 261. Officially it's a hung

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parliament. All the talk of a solid majority for MrsMay, that talk has

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evaporated. It's a hung parliament. The Conservatives as the largest

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party but they need the Democratic Unionist Party to support them. I

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think we can go back to Downing Street now.

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I think Laura has another update for us. What do you have? A couple of

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moments ago I was suggesting that Theresa May was to attend the Palace

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later today, I have just had it officially confirmed she will go to

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Buckingham Palace at 12. 30 to seek permission from the Queen to form a

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Government. Official confirmation, Theresa May has no intention

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whatsoever of resigning. She will leave here in a couple of hours'

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time to go to Buckingham Palace to seek permission from the Queen to

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form a Government. The way we understand she will do that is with

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assurances from the Ulster Unionists they will see her through in

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parliament. It's not a formal coalition, this will be a looser

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arrangement but quietly, but definitely in fact, those two

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parties have already been working together behind the scenes for a

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couple of years now. It was something that wasn't necessarily

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picked up often in parliament but on some crucial occasions, in fact when

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Tory backbenchers had been opposing David Cameron or Theresa May, it had

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on some occasions been the DUP that had seen the Prime Minister through.

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So in a much more public way, in a much more vital way for Theresa May

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it will be the DUP that is Nellie It doesn't necessarily mean she will

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be able to stay in post for long. But for today that's her plan. Just

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behind the scenes, any sense you are picking up that the Prime Minister

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has had to be talked Staying on, there was suggestions from Gus oh

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done earlier that he thought she may have thought instinctively at the

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start of this set of results she might want to leave immediately but

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colleagues thought for the sake of stability she should stay? Well, I

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think when we saw her speak at her count in Maidenhead she looked

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extremely shaken, like somebody who felt personally it looked like she

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was feeling the loss. From a human point of view, having had such high

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expectations and frankly such failures on the point of view of

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expectations management, she looked like somebody who had absolutely no

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enthusiasm for the idea of staying on. One Cabinet Minister said to me

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before you came back to me, she does have loyal supporters in Cabinet.

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Although this has been a devastating time, it's certainly not the case

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that everybody in her circle, everybody in Cabinet will have been

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trying to push her out. But in terms of whether or not she had to be

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talked into it or out of it, I suspect more broadly it was probably

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a more fluid conversation. They were probably looking at all the

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potential angles, looking at the different calculations and of course

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having conversations with the DUP as to whether or not they were up for

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it. Thank you very much. In a moment we will have the latest from the

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City of London because the financial markets famously do not like a lack

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of certainty. We will be with Simon Jack in a second. A very quick

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thought on what kind of support do you think she has in Cabinet? It's

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interesting, because Theresa May is not what they call in the House of

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Commons clubbable, she doesn't hang around drinking gin at night. She

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doesn't have a lot of backbenchers or ministers who know her very well

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and are personally loyal. There is a tight group who stuck together, it's

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not like that with Theresa May. There are people, a few, but not

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very many. She's going to have to create, if she is staying on, a new

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network of links and even friends inI had side the Conservative Party

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because she doesn't have enough. I think Andrew is absolutely right. It

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was the interview you did with Nigel Evans earlier, he is putting the

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blame squarely for that u-turn, for the policy put out there first of

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all, the social care policy and then the u-turn which was unprecedented

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in election terms, never had a manifesto commitment made one day

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and within days there's been a u-turn. He put the blame squarely on

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her two advisers, because she's known to deal with Fiona Hill and

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Nick Timothy in a threesome in terms of putting policy together, that

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will have to end in Nigel Evans' terms and I think it will have to

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end more generally. They say if she had consulted on that policy and

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consulted widely amongst ministers they would have warned her of the

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pitfalls, whether it was right or wrong, the polling will show it

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affected her dramatically. Let's ask Peter. Was that the point where the

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polls made a significant change when that manifesto went wrong?

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Yes, absolutely. Up to the launch of the manifesto the Conservatives were

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holding and even creeping up to 45, 46, 40 7% on the eve of the

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manifesto. A week later the Tories had dropped three points, Labour had

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climbed three points, it was a game changer. If one takes the simplistic

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but possibly correct view that that three points was lost for the rest

:15:52.:15:55.

of the campaign because of social care, it made the difference between

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the hung parliament and the mess the Conservatives are in now and not a

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big majority but a fairly comfortable majority of 40 or 50. Mr

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Corbyn emerging, smiling broadly. He has been mentioning a little earlier

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that he feels that he has policies which could actually appeal to

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people across the House of Commons, John McDonnell also said that

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earlier, offering up the thought of a potential Labour minority

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government. I had to say that everyone we have discussed that with

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has said that the numbers do not make sense in that regard, Peter? If

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the Conservatives can do a deal with the DUP they have a collective

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majority of 13 if they do not in Kensington, 15 if they do, because

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of Sinn Fein not taking up their seven seats. In the short run, that

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is perfectly viable as long as they hold together. It is the medium term

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when the Brexit negotiations get tough, the policy strain starts to

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emerge, that is when I would not like to place too much money on

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survival. The next two weeks, relatively easy. We are getting a

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government, not necessarily a long-term one. The other thing we

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have not mentioned at any point this morning about the campaign is the

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two terrible terrorist incidents, the murders in Manchester and

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London, that badly disrupted the Conservative campaign and Theresa

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May's campaign. We think back to that snowy day in John Major's

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Government when the IRA hit a mortar bomb into Downing Street, almost

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killed Lord Donald, at that point we were engaged in another big

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arguments, the Government had to be moved from Downing Street into

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Admiralty Arch, there was a major hiatus, Black Wednesday followed. In

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the same sort of way these awful terrorist attacks disrupted things,

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Cobra met, the rhythm of the campaign, the way Conservative HQ

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would often have a grip of the campaign was loosened and two

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crucial moments. People don't want to talk about this because nobody

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wants to suggest that the terrorists have any bigotry in any sense but it

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disrupted the campaign. If the Conservatives had begun to develop a

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fightback in the wake of social care, the terrorist attacks

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disrupted any fight back so there was no new Tory narrative that could

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trump the rather tarnished old one. And a very effective Labour country

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tag. Tories thought that if the terror attack has any effect it will

:18:26.:18:29.

help us because Jeremy Corbyn the IRA friends and all that, Labour

:18:30.:18:34.

came back very fast on police numbers, armed police in particular,

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they were supported by serving police officers. And that was

:18:38.:18:49.

successful for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party and gave them a certain

:18:50.:18:52.

amount of momentum that fed into a manifesto making promises on

:18:53.:18:54.

spending on public services more broadly. We're talking about pulling

:18:55.:18:56.

milestones, things that mark the campaign, John joins us. I know it

:18:57.:18:59.

has been a long night, but your thoughts on when we match-up the

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events, the results, to the stages of polling you have been involved

:19:05.:19:10.

in, what conclusions do you draw? I think it is pretty clear that Jeremy

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Corbyn achieved something quite remarkable during this election

:19:14.:19:17.

campaign. The truth is that usually when the electorate have decided

:19:18.:19:20.

that a politician is not much good, they don't change their mind. That

:19:21.:19:24.

was the fate of William Hague and Iain Duncan Smith, in truth it was

:19:25.:19:29.

the fate of Gordon Brown. Derek -- Jeremy Corbyn has been regarded for

:19:30.:19:31.

the last two years by most British voters is being incapable of being a

:19:32.:19:46.

capable party leader, let alone Prime Minister, but during the

:19:47.:19:47.

campaign his personal evaluation has improved so much that those polls

:19:48.:19:50.

who is king people how good or bad do you think Jeremy Corbyn is doing,

:19:51.:19:53.

do you approve or disapprove of his leadership, he almost had as many

:19:54.:19:57.

people who thought he was doing OK than 40 was doing worse. The

:19:58.:20:00.

trajectory for Theresa May was in the opposite direction. Given that

:20:01.:20:05.

went Theresa May started the campaign, it sounded like it would

:20:06.:20:09.

be a one trick pony, strong and stable leadership in the national

:20:10.:20:13.

interest. The moment that that became rather fragile for the

:20:14.:20:16.

reasons you have been discussing around the launch of the Tory

:20:17.:20:21.

manifesto, while at the same time people were saying, hang on, Jeremy

:20:22.:20:24.

Corbyn is not quite so bad after all. I think in particular what

:20:25.:20:30.

happened apart from clearly him capturing the enthusiasm of young

:20:31.:20:35.

voters and those who had not voted before, he simply persuaded those

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people who usually voted Labour but who four weeks ago were still saying

:20:39.:20:43.

I usually vote Labour but I could not possibly vote for them under

:20:44.:20:48.

Jeremy Corbyn, it is too extreme and he is useless. By the end of the

:20:49.:20:52.

campaign the poll said that just as many people who voted Labour in 2015

:20:53.:21:01.

would vote Labour again, as were saying that they voted Conservative

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in 2015 and would vote Conservative again. Corbin got the Labour tribe

:21:06.:21:14.

back-in. -- Corbyn got the Labour tribe back-in. Labour has lost this

:21:15.:21:19.

election, as badly as Gordon Brown did in 2010, and while Mr Corbyn may

:21:20.:21:23.

be able to demonstrate that his strategy of not appealing to the

:21:24.:21:28.

centre, trying to go for young voters, it may in fact not lead to a

:21:29.:21:32.

heavy defeat but he is still to prove it can take the party to

:21:33.:21:38.

victory. Thank you, John. We will talk in a while again.

:21:39.:21:43.

Andy? There was an interesting optimistic aspect, Theresa May

:21:44.:21:46.

famously tried to do the entire election campaign with a series of

:21:47.:21:50.

slogans. Strong and stable, strong and stable. She did not seem to want

:21:51.:21:53.

to have a lively and vigorous conversation with the country about

:21:54.:21:57.

Brexit or the economy or what she really thought or anything else.

:21:58.:22:00.

Jeremy Corbyn was going around and appeared to be in listening mode, he

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had very strong views as well but he was having more of a conversation,

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which was very important. The differences Jeremy Corbyn has spent

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nearly 40 years as a campaigner, albeit within a certain niche

:22:16.:22:19.

market. Theresa May is not a natural people person. I think the public

:22:20.:22:23.

began to catch on to the fact that maybe this assembly who does not

:22:24.:22:27.

find it very easy to think on her feet, who much prefers to be

:22:28.:22:31.

well-prepared before doing anything. The trouble is that once you are

:22:32.:22:34.

Prime Minister that is not necessarily a mode in which you can

:22:35.:22:42.

operate in most of the same ways one might say that Gordon Brown

:22:43.:22:44.

discovered when he also became Prime Minister. Thank you, John. Let's

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pause for a second because John Curtice has raised several themes

:22:49.:22:52.

about the Corbyn performance and we would like to set it in historical

:22:53.:22:56.

context so we can judge it against other things.

:22:57.:23:01.

Let's join Jeremy. Entering the Central Lobby of the House of

:23:02.:23:05.

Commons. John Curtice talking about Labour have lost and how badly. Can

:23:06.:23:09.

we measure how badly they have lost? Lots of reasons to be pleased, they

:23:10.:23:13.

did much better than expected, we will try to set the loss in context.

:23:14.:23:21.

This is where we think it will end up at the end of this, a seat still

:23:22.:23:25.

in play, 261 to Labour in the 2017 election. They did better than

:23:26.:23:30.

people expected. How does it compared to previous losses? Way

:23:31.:23:34.

better than Ed Miliband, who last two years ago in 2015, who had a

:23:35.:23:38.

horrible time. Sort of in the zone that Gordon Brown was then in 2010

:23:39.:23:43.

if you look at seat numbers, 258, he is a bit ahead of Gordon Brown. Neil

:23:44.:23:50.

Kinnock, 271 in 1992, the John Major election where huge turnout for the

:23:51.:24:01.

Conservatives won eight, Neil Kinnock had to resign, but he did

:24:02.:24:03.

better in seats than Mr Corbyn today. Neil Kinnock 220 91987 was

:24:04.:24:06.

allowed to fight again, losing to Mrs Thatcher for her second

:24:07.:24:10.

landslide. This one was defining, bad political campaigns, the

:24:11.:24:15.

disaster for Labour in 1983, is such a landslide after the Falklands War,

:24:16.:24:20.

Michael Foot only got 209 seats. Chewing the campaign, people were

:24:21.:24:26.

saying before it started, will Mr Corbyn got what Mr foot got or even

:24:27.:24:31.

lower? Where he has succeeded and he has completely changed the terms of

:24:32.:24:36.

reference, he is a long way ahead of Michael Foot in 1983. Look at Jim

:24:37.:24:43.

Callaghan, 1979, he lost to Mrs Thatcher when he won -- she won her

:24:44.:24:50.

first election, 269, very much in the same zone. 1970, Harold Wilson

:24:51.:24:56.

lost to Heath, 288. You have a spectrum of Labour leaders. In terms

:24:57.:25:00.

of how well or badly Jeremy Corbyn did, he is very much part of the

:25:01.:25:02.

peace if you measure it in seats. I want to do a different

:25:03.:25:16.

measurements, this is very, very interesting. Let's start at this end

:25:17.:25:19.

and look at percentages. If we go back to the Wilson era, the 70s and

:25:20.:25:22.

previously, you saw for example in the 50s that the combination of the

:25:23.:25:24.

Labour and Conservative vote would be above 90 or 95%. This is a bit of

:25:25.:25:29.

a legacy of art, 43%, losing the election with 43%. That did not

:25:30.:25:34.

happen for many years thereafter. Losing Labour leaders, Callaghan got

:25:35.:25:44.

37% in 79, Foot 28%, historically low in 83. Kinnock 31 and 34, this

:25:45.:25:49.

is the effect of a multiplicity of different parties, particularly the

:25:50.:25:54.

Liberals as they then were. 29% the Gordon Brown in 2010, horrible

:25:55.:25:59.

percentage, of a bid for Ed Miliband in 2015, but look at this. 40% of

:26:00.:26:06.

the vote, four out of ten voters in this election went for Corbyn across

:26:07.:26:11.

the UK. If you are a Jeremy Corbyn fan, that is the figure you point

:26:12.:26:16.

to. It is partly because you could have almost left the pitch and the

:26:17.:26:19.

Liberal Democrats are still down in the dumps but it is a brilliant

:26:20.:26:24.

statistic for people who say that as the successful Corbyn bar to be

:26:25.:26:28.

election -- it is partly because Ukip have almost left the pitch.

:26:29.:26:31.

Such a huge proportion of the electorate chose Labour this time.

:26:32.:26:36.

You have to go way back among losing Labour leaders to find anything like

:26:37.:26:42.

that, he even beat Tony Blair in one of his winning elections!

:26:43.:26:47.

Thank you, Jeremy Vine, taking us through the performances of the past

:26:48.:26:50.

and underlining what has been achieved as far as the Corbyn

:26:51.:26:52.

campaign is concerned. I mentioned the City and how the

:26:53.:26:59.

markets have responded, Simon Jack, tell us about the reaction?

:27:00.:27:06.

They have been completely bamboozled once again and fail to read British

:27:07.:27:11.

politics. They were pricing in a solid Tory majority, but you can see

:27:12.:27:15.

what happened to sterling, the value of the pound against the dollar,

:27:16.:27:20.

easily the most per to be sensitive market, it felt very sharply on that

:27:21.:27:26.

exit poll. -- easily the most politically sensitive market. The

:27:27.:27:30.

pound started to say to itself, why am I falling? It is not this I do

:27:31.:27:35.

not want, I am most scared of the hard Brexit. We saw the big fall

:27:36.:27:38.

after the referendum last year. So it started creeping up again. Maybe

:27:39.:27:44.

Theresa May will be more beholden to the hard Brexit elements in her own

:27:45.:27:48.

party if she does the negotiating, so it goes back up. These

:27:49.:27:52.

conflicting thoughts all morning, drifting off a bit when the market

:27:53.:27:55.

and businesses I have been speaking to said, do you know what will

:27:56.:28:01.

happen? The Brexit clock is ticking, we have invoked Article 50 and we

:28:02.:28:05.

have the worst possible outcome. We have wasted valuable time and not

:28:06.:28:09.

got certainty coming into the negotiations that we were promised.

:28:10.:28:14.

Looking at the other side, AE you negotiators have been pressing their

:28:15.:28:18.

best shirts, getting their ring binders ready, it looks as if we are

:28:19.:28:22.

stumbling into the room at the last minute underprepared. That is the

:28:23.:28:28.

pound. The stock market went up, because as the pound falls the

:28:29.:28:32.

foreign earnings of the big multinationals are worth more.

:28:33.:28:35.

Companies focused mostly on the UK like banks and building societies,

:28:36.:28:40.

sorry, banks or house-builders, their shares had said that. This is

:28:41.:28:45.

seen as not brilliant for the UK economy. That is the market reaction

:28:46.:28:48.

in the City. Thank you, Simon. We will be back in

:28:49.:28:53.

the City of London later. The time is coming up to 10:30am. We are

:28:54.:28:58.

continuing coverage of the election outcome at Westminster. We are

:28:59.:29:04.

looking at a hung parliament, the Conservatives as the largest party

:29:05.:29:14.

and a possible and as -- possible understanding, and informal

:29:15.:29:15.

understanding between the Conservatives and the Democratic

:29:16.:29:19.

Unionist Party. Viewers on BBC world have been with this all night and

:29:20.:29:22.

during the morning, thank you for watching, you are leaving now and we

:29:23.:29:26.

wish you well. And our coverage continues. Before I join Andrew Neil

:29:27.:29:31.

at Westminster, an important update on the position of the Democratic

:29:32.:29:35.

Unionists in Northern Ireland is, they are a very important part of

:29:36.:29:40.

this Government jigsaw. They are potentially kingmakers. DUP is

:29:41.:29:45.

meeting to reflect in a situation that one party source described as

:29:46.:29:49.

messy. That source has confirmed soundings have been made but nothing

:29:50.:29:54.

formal agreed, as you said it would be an understanding, a supply and

:29:55.:29:57.

demand understanding. Talk of an agreement is described as premature

:29:58.:30:06.

and the party is expected to have a news conference in the early

:30:07.:30:08.

afternoon. The timing might be quite crucial if Theresa May is expected

:30:09.:30:11.

to go to the Palace on the understanding that she would have

:30:12.:30:13.

the support of the ten DUP in order to get through her policies and get

:30:14.:30:17.

the majority in the House of Commons, we need to keep an eye on

:30:18.:30:20.

that. This is pressure in negotiations. The DUP will have a

:30:21.:30:23.

shopping list to some extent of what they would like. Just to underline,

:30:24.:30:28.

we expect the Prime Minister to go to the powers that about 12:30pm to

:30:29.:30:33.

inform Her Majesty of her plans -- go to the Sidnei Buckingham Palace.

:30:34.:30:40.

We understand she wants to form a government with the Democratic

:30:41.:30:43.

Unionists, then the DUP might set details a short while after that.

:30:44.:30:47.

Let's go back to Westminster. It is rather rainy but Andrew is waiting.

:30:48.:30:54.

It's turned into a downpower, the Tory tears I told you about are now

:30:55.:31:01.

a flood! We are getting plenty of that rain and being kept cool in the

:31:02.:31:09.

process. You have had your suit washed courtesy of the licence

:31:10.:31:14.

payer, what more can we say on a morning like this? .

:31:15.:31:25.

Eric Pickles, one of your MPs, Philip Davis, he said the

:31:26.:31:29.

Conservative Party had made a pig's ear of the national campaign. Do you

:31:30.:31:34.

agree? It's not been the happiest campaign that I have been engaged

:31:35.:31:39.

with. Is that an understatement? It's all rather pointless now, what

:31:40.:31:44.

we have to do is try and put a majority together to remain in

:31:45.:31:48.

Government. There will be a time for us to go through what went wrong and

:31:49.:31:52.

how we can improve. But I can tell you this, it's not now. Well, maybe

:31:53.:31:57.

not. But even if you do manage to stay in Government you will be the

:31:58.:32:03.

walking wounded, won't you? It will be better if we had a majority, 20,

:32:04.:32:09.

30 majority, it's going to be very difficult. But that's democracy,

:32:10.:32:12.

that's what people voted for. It's up to us to get on with the job.

:32:13.:32:16.

Doesn't it leave Theresa May as a lame duck? No, I don't think that is

:32:17.:32:22.

right. I think she has the opportunity, she has to see the

:32:23.:32:27.

Queen at 12. 30, of putting together a Government. The most important

:32:28.:32:33.

thing is to be able to get a negotiating position ready for

:32:34.:32:36.

Brexit. But she had a Government, six weeks ago she had a Government,

:32:37.:32:39.

she had a Government with an overall majority. It wasn't huge but it was

:32:40.:32:45.

a majority. Now she doesn't, she's going to have to ask the Queen for

:32:46.:32:51.

permission to form a Government. What's the good news in this? It's

:32:52.:32:57.

clearly not a happy moment for the Conservative Party. But it's not

:32:58.:33:01.

necessarily a fatal moment for the Conservative Party. What are you

:33:02.:33:07.

going to give to the DUP to keep you in power? I am in the a member of

:33:08.:33:15.

the House of Commons and think it's unlikely I would be part of the

:33:16.:33:20.

negotiating team. But you will have to give something? It depends what

:33:21.:33:24.

the understanding is, I don't know whether it's going to be issue by

:33:25.:33:29.

issue. Adam Clarke, you have obviously done much better than many

:33:30.:33:33.

people thought, or Jeremy Corbyn has done better. What should Labour do

:33:34.:33:39.

now? You still lost the election. Yeah, disappointed to not be able to

:33:40.:33:44.

not have a majority, we have seen a big bold positive campaign and

:33:45.:33:47.

vision for the country that's been incredibly popular. If you think of

:33:48.:33:52.

seven weeks ago, Theresa May called this election thinking it was going

:33:53.:33:57.

to be a Tory landslide and Labour were polling at 24% and now at over

:33:58.:34:00.

40%, it's been an incredible campaign. Would you be a little bit

:34:01.:34:08.

nervous if Jeremy Corbyn tried to form a minority Government which

:34:09.:34:12.

would involve all sorts of deals and compromises and that could end in

:34:13.:34:16.

tears, as well? Well, minority Government, not a coalition, but on

:34:17.:34:20.

a deal by deal basis is what my understanding is, I think that would

:34:21.:34:23.

be fantastic if that was able to be achieved. The British people

:34:24.:34:26.

wouldn't have to live under Tory austerity any more and I think it

:34:27.:34:30.

would set a different direction of travel, so I hope that can happen.

:34:31.:34:35.

Is it not a yard stick of how appalling your party's campaign was

:34:36.:34:40.

that 40% of this country voted for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party? A

:34:41.:34:45.

bigger percentage voted for the Conservative Party. The poll rating

:34:46.:34:48.

never varied very much in terms of percentage. 40% for Jeremy Corbyn. A

:34:49.:34:53.

man that you thought you could wipe the floor with. I think I did and a

:34:54.:34:59.

lot of other people underestimated Mr Corbyn. His achievement in terms

:35:00.:35:03.

to get the percentage share that he did and to be able to turn over a

:35:04.:35:10.

number of Conservative seats is a considerable achievement. I thank

:35:11.:35:15.

you both. By the time you come back to us we may well have dried out,

:35:16.:35:21.

but don't count on it. Thank you very much. Trying to squeeze under

:35:22.:35:28.

that umbrella you have. We are back in our warm studio, Andrew won't

:35:29.:35:31.

like that. I would like to catch up with some more reaction and I think

:35:32.:35:37.

we are in a position to hear from Ukip's Paul Nuttall standing in

:35:38.:35:42.

Boston. Do we have that? Otherwise I will just ask for reaction to what

:35:43.:35:48.

we heard there. Here is Paul Nuttall. Regressed electorally back

:35:49.:35:53.

to our 2011 level which is what many of us believed would happen and I

:35:54.:35:59.

know it comes as little surprise to many of you guys in the press. What

:36:00.:36:04.

we have seen overnight is a return and I believe it's only a temporary

:36:05.:36:11.

return to two-party politics. But at the moment it could be argued that

:36:12.:36:17.

Ukip have been a victim of its own success. We forced the referendum

:36:18.:36:25.

and we helped win Brexit. Some people mistakenly think our job is

:36:26.:36:30.

done. But it's not. With Brexit we may well have won the war but we now

:36:31.:36:35.

have to secure the peace. And that is getting a good deal for the

:36:36.:36:43.

British people in these up and coming negotiations with the

:36:44.:36:47.

eurocrats in Brussels. There is no getting away from the fact that this

:36:48.:36:54.

was a unique election that came about at an inopportunity time for

:36:55.:36:59.

our party. The Prime Minister was able to talk the talk on the Brexit

:37:00.:37:05.

negotiations without having to walk the walk. Which is precisely why

:37:06.:37:11.

this election was called in the first place. And what a hubristic,

:37:12.:37:25.

foolish, ish politically naive election to call. The negotiations

:37:26.:37:30.

begin in a few weeks with Brussels and I wish the Prime Minister,

:37:31.:37:36.

whoever that is, all the very best. I hope whoever leads the team get

:37:37.:37:42.

the best deal for the British people. They will, however, only get

:37:43.:37:48.

a good deal if they believe in our great country and they are genuinely

:37:49.:37:53.

prepared to walk away if the Brussels bureaucrats put a bad deal

:37:54.:38:01.

on the table. In my heart I hope they do, like me, truly believe in

:38:02.:38:06.

Britain but something in my head says otherwise. I hope I am proven

:38:07.:38:13.

to be wrong. As for Ukip, well, I have said throughout this election

:38:14.:38:20.

that in politics sometimes the tide comes in, sometimes the tide goes

:38:21.:38:25.

out. But for us, although the tide may be out at the moment, at this

:38:26.:38:32.

present moment in time, I am convinced it will return. The one

:38:33.:38:36.

question I have been asked by the media more than any other during

:38:37.:38:40.

this general election has been what is the relevance of Ukip now? Well,

:38:41.:38:48.

I contend even after the difficult night last night that Ukip is more

:38:49.:38:54.

relevant than it ever was. This is because Ukip are more now than ever

:38:55.:39:00.

after last night's result the guard dogs of Brexit and the Prime

:39:01.:39:06.

Minister, and I suspect it will be a Tory, must know that if they begin

:39:07.:39:11.

to back-track or Bartter things away, then they must know they will

:39:12.:39:16.

be punished at the ballot box and that will only happen if Ukip is

:39:17.:39:22.

electorally viable and strong. We are, in effect, the country's

:39:23.:39:29.

insurance policy on Brexit. Ukip has also proved its relevance by leading

:39:30.:39:33.

the agenda in many ways in this election. To give you one example,

:39:34.:39:39.

we were the first to talk about the greater need for integration and the

:39:40.:39:45.

threats posed to our people from the growing cancer of Islamist extremism

:39:46.:39:51.

in our midst. Unfortunately, the recent attacks in Manchester and

:39:52.:39:56.

London have proved we were correct. I would also argue on many other

:39:57.:40:00.

issues we have led and others have followed. We put down a manifesto

:40:01.:40:04.

that not only highlighted many of the issues we now face, but came up

:40:05.:40:12.

with common sense remedies. Indeed I called it a manifesto that was a

:40:13.:40:16.

decade ahead of its time and I am more confident now than ever that

:40:17.:40:22.

many of our proposals in the 2017 manifesto will either be Government

:40:23.:40:28.

policy or adopted by the establishment parties before the

:40:29.:40:34.

next general election. I believe in the long-term some of our policy

:40:35.:40:41.

proposals are inevitable, such as an English parliament or a full face -

:40:42.:40:46.

full face coverings ban. I am proud to have stood on a platform of

:40:47.:40:52.

policies that included getting immigration under control, slashing

:40:53.:40:56.

the bloated foreign aid budget, reversing the cuts to our police

:40:57.:41:01.

force and increasing the size of our Armed Forces. I contend that if Ukip

:41:02.:41:08.

is to prosper it must continue to be the outriders of British politics.

:41:09.:41:12.

The party that leads the debate and does not follow. The party that is

:41:13.:41:19.

not hamstrung by political correctness and therefore straight

:41:20.:41:22.

talks and says what everybody else is thinking. If Ukip sticks to these

:41:23.:41:30.

principles, then I believe it will flourish in future years. Indeed, I

:41:31.:41:36.

even predict after last night that if things go the way I expect, then

:41:37.:41:42.

Ukip could in 18 months' time be bigger in terms of poll ratings and

:41:43.:41:49.

members than it ever has been before. However, it will not be with

:41:50.:41:55.

me as its leader. I am standing down today as the leader of Ukip with

:41:56.:41:59.

immediate effect. This will allow the party to have a new leader in

:42:00.:42:05.

place by the conference in September. And at the annual

:42:06.:42:13.

conference in are to quay the new rebranded Ukip must be launched and

:42:14.:42:17.

a new era must begin with a new leader. This will be an exciting

:42:18.:42:25.

time for all of us who love our party. I have to admit that I never

:42:26.:42:31.

envisaged that I would lead the party into three by-elections and a

:42:32.:42:36.

general election in the space of six hectic months. I wanted at least a

:42:37.:42:44.

year of calm to rebrand and rebuild the party structures so we were

:42:45.:42:48.

ready for the electoral battles ahead. But alas... Paul Nuttall

:42:49.:42:54.

standing down as leader of Ukip with immediate effect. There will be a

:42:55.:42:58.

leadership contest this year in time are the party conference. I think

:42:59.:43:02.

that will make it three leadership contests in one year for Ukip. I

:43:03.:43:08.

suppose in this context looking at a share of 1. 1.8% of the vote, that

:43:09.:43:13.

was inevitable. Rather small guard dogs of Brexit these days. Clever

:43:14.:43:17.

people with slide rules have calculated after he goes that will

:43:18.:43:21.

be five Ukip leaders in nine months, even by the standard of British

:43:22.:43:26.

politics is going it some. He is an affable guy but he was not a

:43:27.:43:29.

successful leader, got in lots of trouble almost every time he

:43:30.:43:34.

appeared in public. The famous statement, he couldn't remember

:43:35.:43:38.

Leanne woods name. He is known in the press now as Natalie Nuttall.

:43:39.:43:43.

It's been a miserable experience for him. He did it with a certain amount

:43:44.:43:49.

of grace there. It's hard to see Ukip reviving quickly. That depends

:43:50.:43:53.

very much on a new leader. We have heard from Nigel Farage today,

:43:54.:44:00.

delighted to see that Paul Nuttall is standing down, Nigel Farage I

:44:01.:44:03.

think we can predict will be bouncing back. If the Conservative

:44:04.:44:08.

Party in parliament breaks badly over the Brexit negotiations, and I

:44:09.:44:11.

think that's likely, then we will see Ukip coming in to support the

:44:12.:44:17.

hard Brexiteers from the outside. If they're making running in

:44:18.:44:19.

parliament, the Conservatives, why are people going to look for a new

:44:20.:44:22.

party, another party outside of parliament? Hard to see how they

:44:23.:44:27.

come back. This has been the demise of Ukip, in local elections they did

:44:28.:44:30.

badly. Obviously, in this election, as you say you are looking at their

:44:31.:44:37.

vote share, they have no MPs. We can see there Nigel Farage, former

:44:38.:44:41.

leader, saying an excellent speech by Paul Nuttall, sorry he is

:44:42.:44:45.

standing down. There were those - as we know this is the man who said he

:44:46.:44:49.

would be resigning and not coming back to frontline politics. He has

:44:50.:44:53.

had certainly plenty of reincarnations in that regard. We

:44:54.:44:56.

could well see him back. The point about holding the Government's feet

:44:57.:45:00.

to the fire, they don't have the physical infrastructure to do that

:45:01.:45:05.

any more in electoral terms. Paul Nuttall's heart wasn't in it to the

:45:06.:45:09.

end because of the difficult time you talked about. When we

:45:10.:45:12.

interviewed him we said do you think he will be the last leader of Ukip,

:45:13.:45:16.

he said no, that's not going to happen. Who will be the next leader?

:45:17.:45:21.

They struggled to get one to stick around as long as he did, having had

:45:22.:45:25.

quite a few leadership contests and people pulling out within days.

:45:26.:45:31.

Peter Hennessy, good to have you back. In that Paul Nuttall speech,

:45:32.:45:37.

again he went over the theme of projected difficulties ahead the

:45:38.:45:41.

Conservatives in the Brexit process. Surely he is right on that? Yes, and

:45:42.:45:46.

I have a sliver of human sympathy him, think of the hell of being the

:45:47.:45:53.

leader of Ukip with the Farage bird hovering over you. We must remember

:45:54.:46:00.

that they reflected a slice of opinion in our country which really

:46:01.:46:03.

mattered, which was not finding its voice. 4 million votes last time.

:46:04.:46:11.

You have parties to give people a voice, that keeps open society on

:46:12.:46:20.

the road. Tim Shipman has correctly said all elections ends with Nigel

:46:21.:46:24.

Farage resigning or being appointed leader of Ukip, and sometimes both.

:46:25.:46:28.

I think that has happened on this programme more than once or twice!

:46:29.:46:32.

Certainly a heavy hint earlier that he might be needed. He said he would

:46:33.:46:37.

absolutely have to make a to front line if Brexit was at risk, which he

:46:38.:46:42.

said it could be in the light of a hung parliament. We have been

:46:43.:46:46.

notified. He would have would have to have his arm twisted ex-smokers

:46:47.:46:51.

were there into some of the seats Emily looked at where Ukip did very

:46:52.:46:55.

well last time around, there was an expectation at the beginning of this

:46:56.:46:59.

election campaign that their votes were folding into the Conservatives.

:47:00.:47:03.

Up to a point. It was clear from some of Emily's graphs that some of

:47:04.:47:09.

them were dividing in the northern constituencies where the Ukip vote

:47:10.:47:14.

had gone down almost collapsed, dividing it equally, Labour were

:47:15.:47:18.

getting back some of the votes. It is not straightforward to say they

:47:19.:47:21.

have gone to the Conservatives, as we can see from the election result.

:47:22.:47:28.

Lots of Labour voters are worried about immigration, hostile to the

:47:29.:47:33.

EU, Ukip gave them a new voice. Now Ukip is going down, some are coming

:47:34.:47:36.

back to the Labour Party. That is why Jeremy Corbyn was so clear he

:47:37.:47:40.

would be unclear about Brexit, he knew that so many of his voters, 9

:47:41.:47:45.

million Labour voters voted for Brexit and the party was divided.

:47:46.:47:49.

Keir Starmer brilliantly said that is why we are great for Britain,

:47:50.:47:54.

Britain is divided by Brexit answer was the Labour Party, so we

:47:55.:47:58.

represent Britain! A refreshing degree of honesty. We said earlier

:47:59.:48:03.

we expect the Prime Minister to emerge at around 12:30pm to take the

:48:04.:48:07.

journey from Downing Street to Buckingham Palace. Let's go to

:48:08.:48:11.

Downing Street, Laura has the latest on what is being set

:48:12.:48:15.

behind-the-scenes about the Prime Minister's position?

:48:16.:48:18.

Just before I tell you about that I can't help but remind you that

:48:19.:48:30.

almost exactly this time in 2015 we were talking about Nigel Farage

:48:31.:48:32.

being the Vicky Pollard of resignations yeah, but, no, yeah,

:48:33.:48:34.

but, no. It sounds like another yeah today. I love of my bad metaphors.

:48:35.:48:39.

Talking to Tories privately from outside Downing Street this morning

:48:40.:48:42.

it seems very much that Theresa May has shored up her position at least

:48:43.:48:49.

for now. So what seemed a couple of hours ago very, very uncertain,

:48:50.:48:53.

would she be able to get through the day? It seems the sentiment I think

:48:54.:48:57.

more than anything else of the horror of the prospect of another

:48:58.:49:01.

election seems to have allowed the party to at least settle its

:49:02.:49:06.

collective nerve for a little while. I had to say that those

:49:07.:49:09.

conversations have also made completely plain that many MPs will

:49:10.:49:15.

regard her as a caretaker rather than a Prime Minister who will be in

:49:16.:49:20.

this for the long haul. Just another point about the fact that she will

:49:21.:49:23.

have to rely on some form of assurance or support from the DUP,

:49:24.:49:28.

not clear exactly what the form of that will be, but as we said earlier

:49:29.:49:32.

some kind of loose arrangement. Here's a thought, very many really

:49:33.:49:37.

important issues for the public like social care, housing, are devolved.

:49:38.:49:41.

So they are different in Northern Ireland. So what happens when it

:49:42.:49:46.

comes a controversial vote in the House of Commons? When the Tories

:49:47.:49:51.

need to rely on the DUP but they are not issues affecting the DUP's

:49:52.:49:55.

voters? In the months to come back or be quite a conundrum for the

:49:56.:49:59.

Tories. I think that might exaggerate the effect you often see

:50:00.:50:04.

with minority governments were basically anything controversial,

:50:05.:50:07.

anything difficult just doesn't even make it to the House of Commons, let

:50:08.:50:12.

alone actually getting its way through. A quick point, when we

:50:13.:50:18.

spoke to Nigel Evans earlier, and to Nicky Morgan, we discussed the fact

:50:19.:50:21.

that there was significant misgivings with the way the campaign

:50:22.:50:26.

was run, specifically around the very close-knit people around the

:50:27.:50:30.

Prime Minister, basically the way that she governs and runs things?

:50:31.:50:34.

Absolutely. To what extent will she be able to change that, because that

:50:35.:50:40.

is a very established pattern that she has? It is her modus operandi

:50:41.:50:43.

but it is very clear to me that MPs will demand that some of her closest

:50:44.:50:48.

team go. One former minister said on the phone awhile ago that it will

:50:49.:50:53.

have to be the case that Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy, her chiefs of

:50:54.:50:57.

staff, depart. Of course that will be a decision of the number ten and

:50:58.:51:02.

Theresa May but let's be clear, there are Conservative MPs who

:51:03.:51:07.

expect and will demand that happens. There is deep unhappiness at how the

:51:08.:51:10.

campaign was run but, if you like, it is a symbol of how she had been

:51:11.:51:15.

running operations, not being inclusive enough, not consulting and

:51:16.:51:19.

of Cabinet colleagues. Some people in Cabinet like the way she worked

:51:20.:51:23.

because they felt that one she had made a decision she tended to stick

:51:24.:51:24.

to it and looked for evidence, things were much more

:51:25.:51:42.

formal. But I think because she is so much weaker now than 24 hours

:51:43.:51:45.

ago, she will have to take counsel from the Cabinet, she will not now,

:51:46.:51:48.

I don't think, be able to Sakho Chancellor, Philip Hammond, which

:51:49.:51:50.

had been the plan for this election. -- will not be able to Sakho

:51:51.:51:53.

Chancellor. Philip Hammond is on the less sceptical end of the Brexit

:51:54.:51:55.

spectrum. I hate to use the word soft and hard but it may well be the

:51:56.:52:01.

case, it has been suggested to me, that's Cabinet members wanted that

:52:02.:52:04.

the approach to the single market back on the table. -- that some

:52:05.:52:09.

Cabinet members. The DUP are soft in terms of the border with the

:52:10.:52:15.

mainland of Ireland but definitely Eurosceptic in character. It is too

:52:16.:52:18.

early to say whether this will change the nature of the kind of

:52:19.:52:23.

Brexit we will end up with, but complications all around. It is a

:52:24.:52:28.

very, very complicated set of consequences from what has clearly

:52:29.:52:32.

been a political disaster. We will be back, Laura, thank you very much.

:52:33.:52:37.

Andy? It'll be a personal humiliation of a new kind the

:52:38.:52:41.

Theresa May to have to get rid of Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill, she

:52:42.:52:42.

would hate that and be badly weakened if she did, she depends

:52:43.:52:57.

upon them very, very much. She would prefer to lose back teeth without

:52:58.:52:59.

anaesthetic and a set of pliers than do that. One she has done it she

:53:00.:53:03.

will be in a weaker position and her modus operandi will have gone, I

:53:04.:53:05.

will be very surprised if she finds it easy to do. She might have

:53:06.:53:08.

pressure to get rid of one of them, to at least have made some

:53:09.:53:10.

sacrifice, but it would be difficult. Or at least replace them

:53:11.:53:13.

with somebody else even though she only has a very small coterie. It is

:53:14.:53:17.

almost saying to Theresa May you must be a different kind of human

:53:18.:53:21.

being, that is very, very hard to do. The problem with the two

:53:22.:53:23.

gatekeepers is a reflection of Mrs May being very

:53:24.:53:42.

anxious as a Prime Minister. She is very determined and very tough but

:53:43.:53:44.

also very anxious person. Everybody on all sites describes how things

:53:45.:53:47.

get held by the gatekeepers. It is deeply inefficient, they get worn

:53:48.:53:49.

out, so does she. There is a huge machine as well as Cabinet

:53:50.:53:52.

colleagues at her disposal. You can get away with it as Secretary of

:53:53.:53:54.

State but not as Prime Minister, it is only a matter of time. On a

:53:55.:53:57.

completely different note, a record number of female MPs elected, more

:53:58.:54:00.

than 200 in this Parliament, is numbering the 196 in 2015, there is

:54:01.:54:07.

one seat to go in Kensington. -- outnumbering the 196. And Theresa

:54:08.:54:14.

May used to run a campaign for women and the Conservatives. You will have

:54:15.:54:17.

noticed that the weather is not great towards Westminster, but it is

:54:18.:54:21.

not putting tourists and people gathering outside Buckingham Palace,

:54:22.:54:26.

let me tell you! Changing the guard at Buckingham Palace, that is taking

:54:27.:54:31.

place today. But all eyes as on Horse Guards Parade, lots of

:54:32.:54:36.

rehearsing going on for the Queen's Birthday Parade and the Trooping of

:54:37.:54:40.

the Colour which takes place a week tomorrow. They are on their way to

:54:41.:54:46.

Buckingham Palace right now, Andy? I think that is Momentum marching,

:54:47.:54:50.

their official honour guard explanation mark about it certainly

:54:51.:54:58.

involves Momentum, no doubt! Plenty of umbrellas, but the weather is not

:54:59.:55:03.

putting off people who have been to see the great spectacle happening

:55:04.:55:07.

outside Buckingham Palace. We are full of sympathy about the weather,

:55:08.:55:12.

Andrew Neil! Thank you, that I don't need

:55:13.:55:16.

sympathy, the sun has come out. If you don't like the weather, hang

:55:17.:55:23.

around, it changes in 15 minutes. I have Jean Miller with me, she ran

:55:24.:55:31.

the famous court case which called the Parliamentary vote on Brexit. --

:55:32.:55:40.

I have Gina Miller. Gina Miller, does a hung parliament make what you

:55:41.:55:43.

would regard as a softer Brexit more likely or will it perhaps make for a

:55:44.:55:50.

chaotic breakfast... I'm sorry, Brexit! It has been a long night! It

:55:51.:55:55.

has. I think the people have spoken loud and clear and said we do not

:55:56.:56:00.

want an extreme Brexit, we do not want one that leaves the single

:56:01.:56:03.

market, and that is what will happen. It is loud and clear. It was

:56:04.:56:08.

in the Conservative manifesto, that is what they voted against. I don't

:56:09.:56:12.

think it will be chaos, we will not put the hung parliament. We might

:56:13.:56:15.

end up with a parliament who votes issue by issue, and when it comes to

:56:16.:56:20.

Brexit we will go on close negotiations with a far more

:56:21.:56:24.

flexible approach. Mrs May called the selection because she said she

:56:25.:56:28.

wanted a mandate for her form of Brexit. What is her mandate this

:56:29.:56:34.

morning? It is a desperately disappointing outcome and I feel for

:56:35.:56:38.

the 30 or so former colleagues who very unexpectedly, to them at least,

:56:39.:56:42.

lost their seats. I think it is fair to say that we are the largest party

:56:43.:56:47.

by quite some way, 55 seats ahead of Labour. The idea that Labour can

:56:48.:56:52.

form an administration, I think, is for the birds. But we have not got

:56:53.:56:59.

over the line of 326. But what is her mandate? We are the party that

:57:00.:57:03.

will be the leading light in the government, it looks as if we will

:57:04.:57:07.

have an arrangement with the DUP which will be sustainable for the

:57:08.:57:11.

short and medium-term at least and maybe beyond. Where I agree with

:57:12.:57:15.

Gina, I think the important thing is not to Brexit. We got through that

:57:16.:57:21.

process, the legal process, the Article 50 process is through.

:57:22.:57:25.

However I hope that is part and parcel of this, and I say that as a

:57:26.:57:28.

London MP where there are massive swing is very much because of the

:57:29.:57:32.

Brexit issue which permeated through to the very poor results the

:57:33.:57:36.

Conservatives had in London, I would like to see an open offer from the

:57:37.:57:40.

Theresa May administration to make sure we hear as many voices as

:57:41.:57:43.

possible playing their parts from other political parties in terms of

:57:44.:57:47.

trying to sort out what will be the right deal within particular

:57:48.:57:50.

sectors. Is there not a danger from your point of view that if Mrs May

:57:51.:57:58.

is to do a deal with the DUP from Northern Ireland, which are pretty

:57:59.:58:03.

strong on Brexit, that she will, despite not getting the mandate she

:58:04.:58:08.

looked for, stick to her form of Brexit that was in the manifesto? I

:58:09.:58:13.

don't think so. I think the idea of more voices from different parties

:58:14.:58:16.

is absolutely right. This issue is too big to be left to one party.

:58:17.:58:21.

That has won, democracy has spoken and said it should be more people,

:58:22.:58:26.

more voices in something that will affect our country so deeply. It is

:58:27.:58:34.

in the national decades -- interest the decades to come. There is a very

:58:35.:58:38.

big issue with Ireland, either we treated as an entity in its own

:58:39.:58:44.

right or that the islands of Great Britain, my preference would be the

:58:45.:58:47.

matter. Clearly the preference of the DUP would be the matter, they're

:58:48.:58:51.

all sort of implications following from. The Irish government are well

:58:52.:58:56.

aware of the issue. I did not mean the Irish issue, just that you are

:58:57.:59:00.

dependent on the DUP and they are pretty strong on Brexit. If I was Mr

:59:01.:59:05.

Barnier, the lead negotiator, listening to you this morning, I

:59:06.:59:09.

would say it is a bit down late that you will start consulting all these

:59:10.:59:13.

people and deciding what Brexit really means. We start negotiations

:59:14.:59:18.

in a few days. I think he has been quite fair, he is relaxed about

:59:19.:59:23.

having a pause, given the political uncertainty, it would be foolish not

:59:24.:59:27.

to have a pause. So you do not think the negotiations will bring us --

:59:28.:59:36.

begin as scheduled? I think until the general... German electoral

:59:37.:59:39.

system is sorted out it will be difficult to get anything finalised.

:59:40.:59:44.

But let's get this right, let's be able to bring other voices to have

:59:45.:59:47.

their part to play, I accept that the clock is ticking on Brexit but

:59:48.:59:51.

we don't have to rush in headlong over the next few weeks. If she

:59:52.:59:59.

manages to pull off forming a government, did she not go into the

:00:00.:00:03.

negotiations, given what she hoped to achieve is and has clearly failed

:00:04.:00:07.

to achieve, she goes into the negotiations a diminished figure?

:00:08.:00:12.

That is a problem because her reputation is in tatters. The EU do

:00:13.:00:19.

not want a failing neighbour. We should not want them to fail either.

:00:20.:00:23.

It would be reasonable negotiations and that's what we didn't have

:00:24.:00:29.

before. With MrsMay we had a very closed, inflexible approach that was

:00:30.:00:31.

hard Brexit or nothing, deal or no deal. We won't have that nothing.

:00:32.:00:38.

What you are talking about is almost a fundamental reopening of our

:00:39.:00:42.

Brexit negotiating position. No, I don't think it's that. Well, she is

:00:43.:00:48.

talking about remaining a member of the single market, aren't you I do.

:00:49.:00:52.

That's what I said, that's pretty fundamental. That would be. The

:00:53.:00:57.

risk, to be honest, that would essentially be frustrating the

:00:58.:01:00.

Brexit that has been agreed as far as getting to Article 50 is

:01:01.:01:08.

concerned. We did we search with 50% Leavers and Remains and asked that

:01:09.:01:10.

question, do you want the next Government to leave the single

:01:11.:01:15.

market and 50% said no. Only 21% said they wanted to leave the single

:01:16.:01:20.

market. When it came to freedom of movement, 69% said they wanted those

:01:21.:01:24.

rights. Actually, I was not surprised... All of us have

:01:25.:01:29.

experience of opinion polls. It was a survey, directly asked questions.

:01:30.:01:34.

When this result came we were not surprised. Staying part of the

:01:35.:01:39.

customs union? It's not a political union, it's not a military union.

:01:40.:01:43.

It's not a judicial union. You want to remain a member of the single

:01:44.:01:46.

market, and you want to remain a member of the customs union. If that

:01:47.:01:52.

is not a radical redrawing of the Government's Brexit conditions, what

:01:53.:01:56.

is? That would be. This customs union issue is likely to rear its

:01:57.:02:00.

head as far as the Irish issue, a blind eye is going to have to be

:02:01.:02:03.

turned for goods to go through the UK from Ireland. Do you fear for the

:02:04.:02:09.

future of this country? I do, a little bit, the uncertainty is not

:02:10.:02:12.

good news, I represent the City of London and you have seen jitters

:02:13.:02:19.

today. I hoped we would have a definitive election result and a

:02:20.:02:22.

very stable Government in place. You got none of that. In fairness to

:02:23.:02:26.

Theresa May she's quickly acted this morning to get supply and confidence

:02:27.:02:30.

arrangement to make sure we are able to stabilise things. That's in

:02:31.:02:39.

desperation. I think it's a reality that unlike the offer from Jeremy

:02:40.:02:45.

Corbyn and Mr McDonnell, that is... Will she recover her authority again

:02:46.:02:47.

with the Conservative Party after what she has put them through? She

:02:48.:02:51.

is the head of Government, I would disagree with what Gina said about

:02:52.:02:54.

her relationship with European leaders. I am not asking about

:02:55.:03:00.

European leaders. Will she ever recover authority with her own

:03:01.:03:02.

party? I am confident we can recover that authority. I am not going to

:03:03.:03:05.

say it's going to be entirely easy, this has been a bruising and

:03:06.:03:10.

unexpected experience. I think the danger with what happened with the

:03:11.:03:14.

campaign, with hindsight, the tone was too negative, we don't have the

:03:15.:03:18.

hope and optimism that Labour were able to portray. We were right I

:03:19.:03:22.

think to recognise that this whole Brexit process is going to be very

:03:23.:03:25.

difficult and we have to level with the public about that but also to

:03:26.:03:32.

make the case danger of what a Corbyn and McDonnell Government

:03:33.:03:36.

would do. You had a chance to make that case and look where it got you.

:03:37.:03:40.

We will move on. Back to you, Huw. We will be talking about the nature

:03:41.:03:47.

of the campaign in a few minutes. Talking about a negative campaign

:03:48.:03:51.

and talking about reports that are coming in that so far there's been

:03:52.:03:54.

no contact or little contact between the Prime Minister and her team and

:03:55.:03:57.

most members of the Cabinet. We will pick that up. In a moment the news.

:03:58.:04:02.

First, the weather, as we have seen it's wet in London.

:04:03.:04:07.

Hello there. With the expectation of northern Scotland for many more

:04:08.:04:10.

sunshine around today compared with yesterday. But keep the umbrella

:04:11.:04:14.

handy. Showers in western areas today, they're pushing eastwards for

:04:15.:04:17.

the afternoon. Central and eastern England some showers could be heavy.

:04:18.:04:21.

A lot of cloud across northern and eastern Scotland but the rain

:04:22.:04:26.

turning lighter and patchier. Many dry through the afternoon,

:04:27.:04:30.

especially further west and pleasant enough in the sunshine.

:04:31.:04:36.

Showers fade away this evening. Cloud spills in through tonight

:04:37.:04:40.

bringing rain to Northern Ireland, which will ease into Saturday to

:04:41.:04:43.

bright and blustery weather. Rain in Scotland. For northern England,

:04:44.:04:48.

Wales, potentially parts of Devon and Cornwall rain on and off

:04:49.:04:52.

throughout the day. Further south and east, you should stay dry on

:04:53.:04:58.

Saturday and feeling humid too. Many south-eastern areas dry again

:04:59.:05:01.

on Sunday. A small chance of a shower. Sunshine coming through.

:05:02.:05:05.

Elsewhere, sunshine and showers and feeling cooler. Have a good day.

:05:06.:05:10.

Theresa May will go to Buckingham Palace this lunchtime to seek

:05:11.:05:14.

permission from the Queen to form a Government, despite the general

:05:15.:05:16.

election ending in a hung parliament. With all but one seat

:05:17.:05:21.

declared the Tories have 318 seats, eight short of the figure needed to

:05:22.:05:25.

form a majority. The Prime Minister is trying to stay in office on the

:05:26.:05:31.

understanding that the DUP party will support a minority Conservative

:05:32.:05:35.

administration. DUP sources say reports of an agreement are

:05:36.:05:38.

premature. Our political correspondent reports.

:05:39.:05:52.

A brief smile but it did not last long.

:05:53.:05:54.

Theresa May's huge political gamble ended in failure.

:05:55.:05:56.

She wanted to transform the Tories' fragile

:05:57.:05:58.

majority into a stronger negotiating hand.

:05:59.:05:59.

Instead, her party's ended up weaker.

:06:00.:06:00.

If, as the indications have shown, and if this is correct, that

:06:01.:06:03.

the Conservative Party has won the most seats,

:06:04.:06:05.

and probably the most votes, then it will be incumbent on

:06:06.:06:12.

us to ensure we have that period of stability and that's

:06:13.:06:15.

As the Labour leader arrived at party HQ this

:06:16.:06:24.

That is what we fought the election for.

:06:25.:06:30.

This is the programme we put forward in our election.

:06:31.:06:35.

We have done no deals and no pacts with anybody.

:06:36.:06:37.

We are there as the Labour Party with our points of view.

:06:38.:06:42.

The Conservatives at the count in Hastings looked glum.

:06:43.:06:44.

The Home Secretary only just scraped home by 346 votes.

:06:45.:07:02.

Eight of May's top team failed to get re-elected.

:07:03.:07:06.

While the Lib Dems celebrated the return of former

:07:07.:07:09.

Ministers like Sir Vince Cable, the party's

:07:10.:07:13.

Ministers like Sir Vince Cable, the party's old leader had one

:07:14.:07:16.

of the biggest upsets of the night, losing his Sheffield seat.

:07:17.:07:18.

I of course have encountered this evening something

:07:19.:07:20.

that many people have encountered before tonight and I suspect many

:07:21.:07:23.

people will encounter after tonight, which is in politics, you live by

:07:24.:07:26.

The SNP lost big names on a very bad night.

:07:27.:07:30.

Their deputy leader Angus Robertson was ousted by the

:07:31.:07:33.

Conservatives and their former leader Alex Salmond has lost his

:07:34.:07:35.

The DUP have said they will make their influence felt. With just one

:07:36.:07:53.

count still to come in, the result is clear. There is to be a hung

:07:54.:07:57.

parliament. It's not going to be a majority Government of any colour.

:07:58.:08:01.

It's left some questioning whether MrsMay can continue. I think she's

:08:02.:08:06.

in a very difficult place. She's a remarkable and a very talented woman

:08:07.:08:10.

and she doesn't shy from difficult decisions but she now has to

:08:11.:08:13.

obviously consider her position. Are you stepping down? Sources say she

:08:14.:08:18.

has no intention of resigning but she is weaker, has fewer MPs and

:08:19.:08:26.

there are questions over her future. The leader of the Ukip party, Paul

:08:27.:08:31.

Nuttall, is standing down from the job with immediate effect. Ukip

:08:32.:08:33.

failed to win any seats in parliament and its share of the vote

:08:34.:08:38.

collapsed. Earlier the former leader Nigel Farage hinted at a return to

:08:39.:08:43.

politics. Labour had a strong night in Wales, reclaiming a number of

:08:44.:08:46.

seats from the Conservatives. The results were a blow to the Tories.

:08:47.:08:50.

They hoped to make gains in pro-Brexit areas. Plaid Cymru won

:08:51.:08:55.

four seats, up one. The Liberal Democrats lost their only Welsh MP.

:08:56.:09:01.

The outcome raises doubts about whether Brexit talks can begin this

:09:02.:09:04.

month. The European Council President has tweeted he did not

:09:05.:09:09.

know when the talks would start, only when they had to end.

:09:10.:09:11.

Jean-Claude Juncker, the Commission President, says the EU is ready for

:09:12.:09:16.

negotiations and he hopes the UK will form a Government as soon as

:09:17.:09:18.

possible. Let's return to the BBC's election

:09:19.:09:20.

special. Good morning. It is 11. 10 am. We

:09:21.:09:42.

are back in the election centre with the latest for you on the election

:09:43.:09:47.

outcome and of course we are one seat away from a full complement of

:09:48.:09:55.

results. With one seat to go in Kensington, Conservatives on 318,

:09:56.:09:58.

Labour on 261. The Conservatives the biggest party but do not have a

:09:59.:10:03.

majority. Theresa May is facing a hung parliament and if she is to

:10:04.:10:07.

stay in power, which she intends to do, she will probably say that

:10:08.:10:11.

later, she will depend on the support of the DUP. A word about the

:10:12.:10:17.

seat that we don't have, that is Kensington in a very prosperous part

:10:18.:10:25.

of London. They were counting overnight, it's very tight. We are

:10:26.:10:29.

told when they stopped counting because they were exhausted Labour

:10:30.:10:34.

was marginally ahead by 30 or 40 votes. They're not going to count

:10:35.:10:38.

again until later. We may get a result in the early evening. So, we

:10:39.:10:42.

could be in a position where the Tories will be on 319 or indeed on

:10:43.:10:48.

318 with Labour on 262. Basically, that's the result. It is a hung

:10:49.:10:52.

parliament. Lots more reaction for you. If you are just joining us, the

:10:53.:10:57.

Prime Minister will be going to Buckingham Palace at 12. 30 and is

:10:58.:11:02.

likely to make a statement in Downing Street on her plans. Plenty

:11:03.:11:06.

to talk about the challenges she faces and Peter Hennessy is with us

:11:07.:11:11.

a great perspective on what's gone on in the past. In the past what has

:11:12.:11:15.

happened at this point, what's the Prime Minister been doing? 1st

:11:16.:11:22.

March, 1974, the previous day Ted Heath lost, it was a snap election

:11:23.:11:26.

that snapped him up. In the afternoon, the Friday afternoon,

:11:27.:11:29.

this is an intriguing question, if I recall correctly, he called the

:11:30.:11:32.

Cabinet together to tell them he was going to try to do a deal with the

:11:33.:11:37.

Liberal leader over the weekend and also went to see the Queen. Not sure

:11:38.:11:43.

if it was before or after... On the Monday, if I recall correctly, he

:11:44.:11:47.

had another meeting with the Cabinet to report on why he didn't think

:11:48.:11:53.

what Jeremy Thorpe was considering offering, which wasn't very much or

:11:54.:12:00.

vice versa, wasn't going to work. One would look this afternoon for a

:12:01.:12:04.

Cabinet meeting to take them into her confidence how she will play it.

:12:05.:12:07.

No sign of that yet. That's the point. We haven't heard anything

:12:08.:12:11.

about her gathering a team around her and as well as discussions with

:12:12.:12:15.

the DUP, whom she might want in that confidence and supply, needs to go

:12:16.:12:18.

ahead with Brexit, who is going to be in her team? While the election

:12:19.:12:22.

was going on, and during the campaign when there was all this

:12:23.:12:27.

talk of 100-seat majority, talk Philip Hammond may no longer be in

:12:28.:12:33.

post, she might be moving Amber Rudd who only just about held on to her

:12:34.:12:38.

seat, Ben Gummer was talked about, who lost his seat, he was talked

:12:39.:12:42.

about possibly taking over David Davis role, all these things now...

:12:43.:12:46.

By friends of Ben Gummer. These things were being circulated at the

:12:47.:12:50.

time. Yet we still haven't heard from the Cabinet. We are hearing a

:12:51.:12:53.

lot of Cabinet ministers haven't heard at all from Theresa May. Far

:12:54.:12:58.

from there being a formal Cabinet meeting as Peter suggested, there

:12:59.:13:01.

doesn't seem to be informal points made either. Both of the main

:13:02.:13:05.

parties leaders have big questions about how wide and generously they

:13:06.:13:09.

open up. Does Theresa May go to people like Michael Gove who she

:13:10.:13:14.

fired on the back benches, experienced, popular Tories and try

:13:15.:13:18.

and bring them back? On the other side, how does Jeremy Corbyn build

:13:19.:13:22.

further on the great electoral success he has had? Lots of the more

:13:23.:13:31.

moderate or Blairite centrist MPs said he was rubbish and walked out.

:13:32.:13:35.

They have been proved wrong, now some are saying so. Owen Jones

:13:36.:13:40.

saying what a great campaign. Harriet Harman tweeting. Does Jeremy

:13:41.:13:44.

Corbyn hold out the hand to people like Yvette Cooper and say come on

:13:45.:13:48.

in, we are going to build a proper Labour Cabinet, that reflects all

:13:49.:13:54.

shades. What's your... It would be generous for him to do, he is a

:13:55.:13:59.

generous and non-mean spirited individual, I think. Lots of people

:14:00.:14:04.

around him on the left who hate the idea of bringing wretched Blairites

:14:05.:14:08.

in but it would be clever. He can afford to be generous. The hard van

:14:09.:14:13.

guard left party types, a hangover group from the old days, do alienate

:14:14.:14:17.

the centre and right in the Labour Party and an act of generosity, the

:14:18.:14:22.

van guard Labour types do believe in exactly that, that elite group,

:14:23.:14:26.

don't they, to carry the next stage forward? They have a manifesto to

:14:27.:14:30.

stick to. Jeremy Corbyn hasn't had it all his own way in terms of the

:14:31.:14:37.

manifesto on things like Trident renewal, for example. There will be

:14:38.:14:40.

things moderate Labour MPs can hold on to and argue they could come

:14:41.:14:44.

back. He could afford an act of generosity to bring some of those

:14:45.:14:48.

people in, even if not at the top. Parties based on fraternity and

:14:49.:14:52.

brotherhood find it difficult to put it into practice internally. A quick

:14:53.:15:01.

word on more EU response. There is a very intriguing statement from

:15:02.:15:04.

Jean-Claude Juncker. The President of the Commission. On the business

:15:05.:15:08.

of extending negotiations on Article 50, asked at a news conference

:15:09.:15:12.

whether the Article 50 negotiations should be extended in the light of

:15:13.:15:17.

the UK election result, Jean-Claude Juncker replied that before

:15:18.:15:20.

negotiations can be extended, they first need to begin. That is his

:15:21.:15:26.

words. Clearly again question marks over whether this rigid timetable of

:15:27.:15:29.

starting in ten days is going to happen. We heard Michel Barnier

:15:30.:15:34.

saying we need to be in a position where people are happy to start and

:15:35.:15:37.

will be confident in that process. We will pick up on that in a while.

:15:38.:15:42.

We may get more from Brussels on that. Can I bring in Jonathan

:15:43.:15:46.

Bartley, co-leader of the Greens. Thank you very much for waiting to

:15:47.:15:51.

talk to us. Your perspective on the outcome of this election and what

:15:52.:15:53.

are the lessons you draw? We talked for a long time about

:15:54.:16:04.

Progressive alliances, for two years and we stood aside in 24 seat to

:16:05.:16:08.

allow that possibility, those swing seats that would determine the

:16:09.:16:11.

outcome of the election and in some of those it has come to fruition. We

:16:12.:16:16.

were thrilled that there seem to have been a change in the way we do

:16:17.:16:20.

politics in this country with the Labour Party taking up a lot of our

:16:21.:16:25.

ideas from the 2015 manifesto and people endorsing them and voting for

:16:26.:16:30.

them. It is great to have Caroline Lucas returning with a bigger

:16:31.:16:35.

majority but really worried about the DUP having this sway over a

:16:36.:16:38.

Conservative government. They are climate change sceptics and have

:16:39.:16:43.

faced accusations of bigotry and homophobia and to have at the heart

:16:44.:16:48.

of government is worrying. And Theresa May's credibility seems to

:16:49.:16:54.

be shot, one mistake after another, from originally getting the job

:16:55.:16:58.

because everyone else ran away to the problems over invoking Article

:16:59.:17:05.

50, having to be dragged into Parliament to have a meaningful

:17:06.:17:09.

debate and a vote on the final deal right through to the U-turn on a

:17:10.:17:13.

general election and now this ticking over her supposed mandate to

:17:14.:17:19.

take the Brexit negotiations. It is a government in chaos. Looking at

:17:20.:17:25.

the figures, you have just over half a million votes in the election

:17:26.:17:30.

which is roughly 2% which is probably half of what you got in

:17:31.:17:34.

percentage terms last time. How difficult was it for you? It was

:17:35.:17:39.

tough but we always knew we would take a hit. We have been pushing

:17:40.:17:44.

hard for voting for progressive candidates and standing aside in

:17:45.:17:49.

those seats and do have one MP with half a million votes underlined the

:17:50.:17:52.

ongoing unfairness of the system which is what we want to change. Not

:17:53.:17:57.

forgetting we have got almost double the number of votes as the DUP who

:17:58.:18:02.

are about to call the shots and that shows the Observer of the system. --

:18:03.:18:08.

of the absurdity of the system. We will hear from the Prime Minister

:18:09.:18:13.

later, but a Conservative administration basically supported

:18:14.:18:21.

by the DUP, ten MPs, is that the basis for a politically stable

:18:22.:18:23.

government in your view given the challenges ahead? The DUP I don't

:18:24.:18:30.

think are the kind of people you want calling the shots. We have just

:18:31.:18:36.

got rid of Ukip who seems to have finally died a death but without any

:18:37.:18:39.

MPs they were still calling shots and they said to the government to

:18:40.:18:44.

jump and they said how hype. We saw them pursue this extreme Brexit.

:18:45.:18:49.

What will happen with the DUP and are climate change scepticism? Will

:18:50.:18:53.

they exact a serious price for the government being propped up? That is

:18:54.:18:59.

a coalition of chaos. We will be hearing from the DUP later so maybe

:19:00.:19:03.

we will get some answers to that but thank you for joining us. What I

:19:04.:19:10.

would like to do is hear from some voters and we can go to York where

:19:11.:19:15.

one of those big debate took place at the University. Good morning.

:19:16.:19:23.

Absolutely glorious here in York and life is getting back to normal after

:19:24.:19:28.

a fairly busy night with some people queueing up ready to go off on a

:19:29.:19:33.

boat trip. A lot of people wondering what on earth happened last night

:19:34.:19:37.

and what it means, not least our voters. Good morning, everyone. I

:19:38.:19:42.

know between you there has not been much sleep! But a quick chat about

:19:43.:19:49.

how you feel. You were a Labour vote and you look happy. I am very happy

:19:50.:19:55.

this morning. I regret the fact that we can't be in a position to form a

:19:56.:19:58.

government but it's a brilliant result from where we were. And you

:19:59.:20:04.

are a student so how important to get out and vote? Really important.

:20:05.:20:08.

I was persuading a lot of people to vote no matter what party they were,

:20:09.:20:12.

it is important that students vote and the turnout has been miserable

:20:13.:20:17.

previously and nice to see it up. And you were a Ukip supporter but

:20:18.:20:26.

who did you vote for? I spoiled my ballot. I was very excited that none

:20:27.:20:29.

could form a government. They were terrible. You have won a Communist

:20:30.:20:38.

and Theresa May who is censoring the Internet, I don't think either

:20:39.:20:42.

platform deserves to form a government. But for Ukip is

:20:43.:20:45.

important to spoil your paper to say something? -- but for you it was

:20:46.:20:52.

important. You had to register your dismay at the system and the parties

:20:53.:20:57.

ignoring us. And you have been watching it all night, how are you

:20:58.:21:02.

feeling, you voted Conservative. I did, with a heavy heart. I feel they

:21:03.:21:07.

need to get more compassionate and get a social conscience, they are

:21:08.:21:10.

not listening to what people want but I felt they were the strongest

:21:11.:21:15.

party on the economy and to lead us into Brexit. I am dismayed at where

:21:16.:21:21.

we go and how we get through that. And I was talking to you the other

:21:22.:21:27.

day on Breakfast, a Lib Dem voter, how are you feeling? Bittersweet.

:21:28.:21:33.

Four games is actually quite good and in new places. -- four gains.

:21:34.:21:44.

But then Nick Clegg lost his seat. Were you shocked at that? No

:21:45.:21:49.

comment! You put your head in your hands earlier! I did! Now the

:21:50.:21:56.

cameras are rolling... But it was devastating because he was the

:21:57.:22:01.

reason I got infused in politics. Had it changed how you feel about

:22:02.:22:06.

politics? Not necessarily, it has made me more determined to change

:22:07.:22:13.

minds. And like these guys, you are young, do you feel there is more

:22:14.:22:20.

support for Young people now? The weird thing about this election,

:22:21.:22:26.

after Brexit and the referendum, everybody on my Facebook page

:22:27.:22:29.

started talking about politics and it was surreal because before that

:22:30.:22:34.

nothing like that happened. I think Brexit changed a lot of minds and

:22:35.:22:39.

allowed a lot of people to step into that sphere of politics when they

:22:40.:22:44.

didn't necessarily want to get involved before or didn't care. And

:22:45.:22:48.

you are nodding because that is important to you as well? The

:22:49.:22:54.

enthusiasm for politics. Even if you don't vote Conservative like I do,

:22:55.:22:57.

you should be involved in politics and make your voice heard because it

:22:58.:23:03.

is interested in what you are doing even if you are not interested in

:23:04.:23:08.

politics. Taxes, Internet censorship, day to day life. I'm

:23:09.:23:11.

obviously disappointed with the result but it is not the overall

:23:12.:23:16.

majority we wanted but it allows us to look at how Jeremy Corbyn has

:23:17.:23:21.

done well and it allows to to change for the future and reform the inner

:23:22.:23:26.

workings of the party and grow for the future pulls up what would you

:23:27.:23:27.

do if you were Theresa May? I would look at forming a coalition

:23:28.:23:37.

with sensible partners that can meet in agreement. Look at your face! I

:23:38.:23:42.

don't think it is going to happen. As I said before, I was going to say

:23:43.:23:49.

2-mac different pages in a book but it is two different books. I highly

:23:50.:23:54.

doubt it is going to happen. I don't it will either, I don't think it

:23:55.:23:57.

will be Lib Dems because neither party wants to be in coalition again

:23:58.:24:01.

after last time and we had to deal with you. It is more likely to be

:24:02.:24:07.

the DUP which I'm not happy with personally but it is the sensible

:24:08.:24:10.

solution because they are slightly closer to the Lib Dems. -- than the

:24:11.:24:17.

Lib Dems. You have bought a comfort cake this morning! You voted

:24:18.:24:21.

Conservative and you have a cake ready to eat! It was a long night

:24:22.:24:26.

and a disappointing night with the outcome. Off to work this morning

:24:27.:24:31.

and I had to buy some comfort food to get me through the day! It is a

:24:32.:24:41.

mess. For everybody, really. Thank you for joining us, we really

:24:42.:24:44.

appreciate it, at least we got to sit in the sunshine! That is it from

:24:45.:24:50.

me for now. Thank you very much and to all of your guests for some

:24:51.:24:55.

fascinating views. Steph McGovern with some young voters in York. I

:24:56.:24:59.

mentioned earlier that Jon Ford Jonker, the president of the

:25:00.:25:04.

European Commission had made a statement -- Jean Claude Junker.

:25:05.:25:12.

Also on the reactions of Donald Tusk and Michel Barnier on the impact of

:25:13.:25:17.

this uncertain election on the Brexit presses which is starting

:25:18.:25:20.

within days and I think we now have a statement from Mr Junker. All

:25:21.:25:31.

elections are important, not only in so-called big member states, but the

:25:32.:25:36.

one of yesterday was of particular importance. I do strongly hope that

:25:37.:25:42.

Britain will stay ready to open negotiations. As far as the

:25:43.:25:46.

commission is concerned, we can open negotiations tomorrow morning at

:25:47.:25:50.

half past nine so we are waiting for visitors coming from London. I hope

:25:51.:25:54.

we will not experience a further delay in the conclusion of this

:25:55.:26:01.

negotiation. First we have to agree on the divorce and exit modalities

:26:02.:26:09.

and then we have to envisage the architecture of future relations and

:26:10.:26:12.

I hope the result of the election will have no major impact on the

:26:13.:26:18.

negotiations we are desperately waiting for. What do we make of

:26:19.:26:24.

that? Very carefully worded message from Jean Claude Junker. Slightly

:26:25.:26:31.

menacing, rubbing our hands, waiting for you, we know you not ready for

:26:32.:26:35.

us, we are ready for you. There will be a lot of that in the next few

:26:36.:26:39.

days and a lot depends on whether the plans from the government for

:26:40.:26:43.

Brexit under David Davies and so forth can go ahead and it will be a

:26:44.:26:46.

big priority for Theresa May to get those going in an orderly way. There

:26:47.:26:51.

is a plan and she will hope above all that she can get it going. The

:26:52.:26:55.

one thing she could rescue from this, if she was the Prime Minister

:26:56.:27:00.

who negotiated what was widely seen as a successful negotiation we might

:27:01.:27:03.

start to forget about the disastrous election campaign she has had.

:27:04.:27:10.

Before we join Andrew Neill, it is surely the case that now that she is

:27:11.:27:14.

looking at these talks and having to talk to the DUP, that she might

:27:15.:27:18.

already be having to revise the options or parameters for those

:27:19.:27:23.

talks. The DUP take a much softer line on the single market for

:27:24.:27:26.

instance. The view in Downing Street is that we cannot possibly be

:27:27.:27:30.

members of the single market because that means we could not have control

:27:31.:27:34.

over EU migration and therefore it is out but the DUP pick a different

:27:35.:27:39.

view, like the SNP. We might start to the eighth reopening of that

:27:40.:27:43.

single market question which would drive Nigel Farage and the hard

:27:44.:27:47.

Brexiteers nuts with furious. Let's join Andrew Neill.

:27:48.:27:51.

I have Paddy Ashdown with me, Dominic Grieve, John Trickett. I

:27:52.:28:06.

have been looking at this headline from the London Evening Standard

:28:07.:28:10.

this morning which said" May hung out to dry". It says knives out for

:28:11.:28:18.

the Prime Minister after poll disaster. The editor these days is

:28:19.:28:23.

Mr George Osborne, former Cabinet colleagues. Had she been hung out to

:28:24.:28:30.

dry? It has been a disappointing result and what she was aiming to

:28:31.:28:34.

achieve, which was endorsement of the approach the government was

:28:35.:28:36.

going to take to the Brexit negotiations and the time to do it,

:28:37.:28:40.

is seriously called into question. One of the consequences of this vote

:28:41.:28:48.

is that we once again see how Brexit has destabilised the British

:28:49.:28:51.

political system and when you have revolutionary acts like Brexit, the

:28:52.:28:55.

trouble is it create a swing the pendulum in another direction and in

:28:56.:28:59.

this case it has centred on young people mainly who I suspect may not

:29:00.:29:04.

have been in favour of Brexit, but didn't actually vote in the

:29:05.:29:07.

referendum, expressing their unhappiness by being attracted to

:29:08.:29:12.

other options, some of which I think were economically incoherent but

:29:13.:29:16.

nevertheless attractive. But are the knives out for Mrs May? Not from me.

:29:17.:29:23.

Seeing that the Queen's government has to be carried on and there is no

:29:24.:29:27.

party I think apart from the Conservative Party capable of acting

:29:28.:29:30.

in government, the idea that it would be in the national interest to

:29:31.:29:34.

change the Prime Minister at this stage seems to be far-fetched. The

:29:35.:29:40.

Lib Dems hopes to milk the remaining macro constituency to become the

:29:41.:29:44.

party of the Remain voters but it has not quite worked out. But on the

:29:45.:29:48.

other hand we have increased our number of MPs bike 50% and name

:29:49.:29:53.

another party leader who is don't that. We are starting from a small

:29:54.:30:01.

base, and they are not irrelevant if you are growing not just in numbers

:30:02.:30:06.

but in ability. You have 13 seats, that's it. Indeed and nobody is

:30:07.:30:12.

suggesting that is a position that can build a government from

:30:13.:30:17.

tomorrow... Your leader said there were scores of seed you were going

:30:18.:30:21.

to win. The party is growing again and it has people with real weight,

:30:22.:30:26.

Jo Swinson, Vince Cable, they will make a difference. The real

:30:27.:30:30.

question, and by the way the Evening Standard headline is great, I think

:30:31.:30:34.

it is George Osborne's revenge and a long time coming but the reality is

:30:35.:30:37.

the Prime Minister has lost touch with reality. She has no legitimate

:30:38.:30:44.

democratic credibility at all. She put a proposition to the country

:30:45.:30:48.

asking for a mandate for a hard Brexit, the country returned a

:30:49.:30:52.

resounding raspberry and yet she still goes off to see the Queen as

:30:53.:30:55.

if nothing had happened. Executive is going to be the policy of the

:30:56.:30:59.

government as a matter of interest? Is it hard Brexit in which case she

:31:00.:31:03.

is ignoring the fact that the British people have refused to give

:31:04.:31:07.

her a mandate for that or is it a soft Brexit she will now convert two

:31:08.:31:10.

in which case you have a Prime Minister who studied at a Remainer,

:31:11.:31:14.

became a Brexiteer, proposed hard Brexit and is now going to the EU to

:31:15.:31:19.

say that she wants a soft one! This has all the consistency of the Vicar

:31:20.:31:24.

of Bray. It is... Did the Vicar of Bray win yesterday? Not by any

:31:25.:31:31.

manner of means! But she has no democratic legitimacy for the

:31:32.:31:34.

proposition she has made. To put the dear old Queen through this process

:31:35.:31:38.

again it is a bit like London buses, if you wait long in another

:31:39.:31:40.

Conservative Prime Minister will come along soon and it will. She

:31:41.:31:45.

cannot last, her position is untenable. This is a position which

:31:46.:31:49.

she can have no credibility at home and no bargaining power with the EU.

:31:50.:31:55.

Given the uncertainty, is Labour in a position to form a minority

:31:56.:32:01.

Government? The first thing is, she is the Prime Minister, I went to the

:32:02.:32:04.

civil service the other day, in charge of the transition team, had

:32:05.:32:10.

we won, they made it clear that in the case of a hung parliament... She

:32:11.:32:14.

has first chance. Look at the mess they're in. They've Brexit on the

:32:15.:32:19.

19th, Queen's Speech on the same day, by the way. Then on 26th, the

:32:20.:32:26.

collapse of the possible Northern Irish... Let me come back to the

:32:27.:32:32.

question. Is Labour in a position to form a minority Government? We

:32:33.:32:35.

believe we can put together the Queen's Speech which would command a

:32:36.:32:40.

majority in the House, but that is not our option until she

:32:41.:32:43.

demonstrates she is incapable of doing it. The constitutional

:32:44.:32:47.

position is she needs to come to us. There are serious problems she's

:32:48.:32:52.

created for the country and this Irish problem, she's proposing to

:32:53.:32:56.

depend on the DUP. You want to talk about her, but I want to talk about

:32:57.:33:02.

Labour. Let me ask you this. If, as you argue, she cannot put together a

:33:03.:33:07.

Government with 318 Conservative MPs, how can Labour put together a

:33:08.:33:12.

stable Government with 261 MPs? We think we can put together a Queen's

:33:13.:33:19.

Speech that will command a majority. How with 261 MPs? We think there

:33:20.:33:24.

will be a wide support for a range of problems facing our country. We

:33:25.:33:27.

think we can do that. Even if you got all the Lib Dems, Paddy is

:33:28.:33:31.

shaking his head there, even if you got all the SNP, not as many of them

:33:32.:33:36.

any more. The one Green. Who else are you going to get? Look, we will

:33:37.:33:39.

put a proposal to the House if we are given the opportunity by the

:33:40.:33:43.

Queen. You have told me you think you can get it. Where does the

:33:44.:33:46.

majority come from? We are not talking about a coalition or

:33:47.:33:49.

anything like that. I am asking where does the support come from? We

:33:50.:33:52.

will put the proposals down, if we are given the opportunity by the

:33:53.:33:55.

Queen and see what happens. If nobody's able to form a Government,

:33:56.:34:00.

then you know as well as I do, we are back into an election. You think

:34:01.:34:03.

there may be another election this year? I think there will be an

:34:04.:34:09.

election. Are you trying to cheer us up or make us miserable! Are we

:34:10.:34:13.

really going to have a Government that depends on the unionists with a

:34:14.:34:17.

power-sharing executive about to collapse? It's outrageous. Let me

:34:18.:34:26.

ask you, Dominic, MrsMay made a calculation which has turned out to

:34:27.:34:32.

be a massive miscalculation and has plummeted this country into

:34:33.:34:36.

instability and uncertainty. What's wrong with that statement? I don't

:34:37.:34:41.

disagree that the consequence of the election is to create greater

:34:42.:34:45.

uncertainty. But the question, to come back to the point. And

:34:46.:34:49.

instability. The question is how do we carry on the Queen's Government?

:34:50.:34:54.

We have an immediate election, not sure the electorate would welcome

:34:55.:34:57.

that, or we have to try to put together a policy that can be taken

:34:58.:35:00.

forward. It's quite apparent that only the Conservative Party can do

:35:01.:35:05.

that. This is fantasy land of Labour to suggest they can put a Government

:35:06.:35:10.

together. Dominic is right, it is fantasy, but it is also fantasy to

:35:11.:35:14.

think she can continue. The thing that... You think she should step

:35:15.:35:18.

down? The thing that frightened me more than anything else, in her

:35:19.:35:22.

explanation as to why she would see the Queen, she said the country

:35:23.:35:26.

needs stability. The country was, oh, no, not more MrsMay stability!

:35:27.:35:31.

There is no Prime Minister we have had, perhaps xepting only MrCameron,

:35:32.:35:35.

who has given this country so much instability. You were right, it's a

:35:36.:35:38.

mess. The country is broken. It's fractured. It's adrift. Doesn't know

:35:39.:35:44.

what to do next. If the Conservative Party want to appeal to Her Majesty

:35:45.:35:48.

and given a chance to form a Government as they are entitled to

:35:49.:35:51.

do, they have to choose another leader. Sooner or later they will.

:35:52.:35:56.

Is there a contest coming up in the Conservative Party? I have no idea,

:35:57.:36:02.

I have no desire to see it. It will be more levels of disruption and not

:36:03.:36:06.

sure where the public interest is. We are proposing to have a second

:36:07.:36:11.

Prime Minister never elected, what a bizarre situation the Conservative

:36:12.:36:16.

Party are... I want to reflect on this statement, if any is wrong,

:36:17.:36:21.

just tell me. We have had two Conservative Prime Ministers who

:36:22.:36:25.

have given this country, insisted on giving this country a vote we

:36:26.:36:28.

neither needed nor wanted, in the interests of the Conservative Party,

:36:29.:36:32.

not of the nation. In both cases, we vended up in a bigger mess. Why

:36:33.:36:36.

should anybody trust any of you ever again? I have to say that my

:36:37.:36:41.

experience of the last five years in politics is there is good reasons

:36:42.:36:44.

why the electorate shouldn't trust any politicians ever again, that's

:36:45.:36:48.

my anxiety about this, I would like to see some stable Government. It

:36:49.:36:50.

seems to me that the best way forward is the way that the Prime

:36:51.:36:55.

Minister's proposed this morning. Everything I hear from you, the

:36:56.:36:58.

difficulty of Mrs May being the walking wounded, but trying to put a

:36:59.:37:04.

Government together, and of the real difficulty of MrCorbyn with 261

:37:05.:37:09.

seats trying to get a programme through parliament, that we are in a

:37:10.:37:13.

period now of indefinite instability and uncertainty. She is the walking

:37:14.:37:19.

wounded and who shot her? She shot herself, that's the situation we are

:37:20.:37:24.

in. She's created, let me finish, created pressure in terms of Brexit.

:37:25.:37:28.

Nobody decided the time-scale, expect her. Nobody decided the 19th,

:37:29.:37:32.

it wasn't imposed on her, it was decided with her consent. Nobody

:37:33.:37:34.

decided the Queen's Speech should be on the same day. All we should be

:37:35.:37:38.

relying on... You have made the points twice. Yes or no, will there

:37:39.:37:43.

be another election before the end of the year? God help us, we have

:37:44.:37:47.

had enough. It looks like it. Dominic? I have no idea, it's

:37:48.:37:54.

possible. I think so and we have a Labour Government, I am sure of it.

:37:55.:37:57.

We will see. Huw, back to you. Andrew, thank you. Thank you to your

:37:58.:38:02.

guests. Well, before we even get to the thought of another election,

:38:03.:38:05.

there is the point about how they try to construct a Government this

:38:06.:38:11.

time following this election. We now know the Democratic Unionist Party

:38:12.:38:14.

in Northern Ireland is absolutely critical to the solution that

:38:15.:38:17.

Theresa May is hoping to put together and one she may address

:38:18.:38:21.

when she speaks later probably in Downing Street within the hour,

:38:22.:38:24.

probably, on her way to see the Queen at Buckingham Palace. Let's

:38:25.:38:29.

have the latest intelligence from Belfast on what that DUP mindset

:38:30.:38:34.

might be going into this and Chris Buckler is there. Northern Ireland

:38:35.:38:38.

only has 18 MPs and normally they don't matter that much in a

:38:39.:38:42.

parliament of 650 people but boy do they mat they are time.

:38:43.:38:45.

Particularly, the ten MPs that the DUP are coming out of this election

:38:46.:38:49.

with. There is no doubt that the parties have been talking, talking

:38:50.:38:54.

for sometime, as it is they have a good relationship at Westminster.

:38:55.:38:57.

Even in 2015 when there was talk of a hung parliament, at that stage the

:38:58.:39:01.

DUP and Conservatives were chatting. Working out whether or not they

:39:02.:39:05.

could potentially do a deal. There have been some private negotiations

:39:06.:39:09.

to ensure that the DUP would back the Tories in some of the votes that

:39:10.:39:12.

have taken place in the last parliament. Now they say at this

:39:13.:39:18.

stage talk of a formal agreement is premature. But they accept there

:39:19.:39:21.

have been talks, there have been soundings and they are trying to

:39:22.:39:24.

work out some kind of a deal. The big question is what will that be?

:39:25.:39:28.

Will it be something of confidence and supply, they vote with them? Or

:39:29.:39:32.

do they want something more formal in return? One thing's for sure they

:39:33.:39:36.

will want something in return for it. That's likely to be some money

:39:37.:39:41.

for the economy in Northern Ireland, some money of some sort. And

:39:42.:39:45.

certainly a say in what happens in terms of the Brexit negotiations.

:39:46.:39:48.

They believe this could put them into a good position. They are,

:39:49.:39:53.

frankly, licking their lips at the prospect of being able to have some

:39:54.:39:57.

kind of ear towards the Prime Minister and a Government. As these

:39:58.:40:00.

negotiations take place, they have a range of different issues when it

:40:01.:40:03.

comes to making sure the border is as open as possible, making sure

:40:04.:40:08.

that potentially money comes in. They are really openly saying they

:40:09.:40:13.

want to be a part of something here. Thank you very much. Any more, and

:40:14.:40:17.

we will be back to you. I have a comment here from the Taoiseach, the

:40:18.:40:20.

Irish Prime Minister and we do know that Nicola Sturgeon, the First

:40:21.:40:24.

Minister of Scotland, is also making a statement at midday. We hope to

:40:25.:40:28.

have that live for you. But the comment from the Irish Taoiseach

:40:29.:40:33.

saying this, the inconclusive outcome of Britain's election

:40:34.:40:36.

amounts to a rejection of a hard Brexit and provides an opportunity

:40:37.:40:39.

for Ireland, he says, it's a rejection of a hard Brexit terms,

:40:40.:40:43.

what do we think of that? Very interesting. Everybody is piling in

:40:44.:40:48.

with their own interpretation. The truth is if Theresa May has less rum

:40:49.:40:53.

for negotiations, will find it harder to do compromise deals, that

:40:54.:40:57.

doesn't mean we will go to a soft Brexit direction, it might head to a

:40:58.:41:01.

hard Brexit. It depends whose votes in the House of Commons she's most

:41:02.:41:07.

frightened of. There is firm, clear Brexiteer group in the House of

:41:08.:41:10.

Commons is better organised in terms of meetings and groups and making

:41:11.:41:14.

their view felt than anybody on the other side of the arcment. When you

:41:15.:41:19.

look at that group they're prepared to go out and go after Brexit,

:41:20.:41:24.

Euroscepticism in a way that they put ahead of the party. Some MPs

:41:25.:41:27.

might not be prepared to do, but they will. As you say, it depends on

:41:28.:41:32.

the pressure. We can look at the second edition of the Evening

:41:33.:41:36.

Standard. The front page, of course the editor is one George Osbourne.

:41:37.:41:40.

Former Chancellor. Ever since he has taken over that job the headlines

:41:41.:41:44.

have not been friendly to Theresa May. We now have May's Irish bail

:41:45.:41:49.

out. I think one of the lines underneath is orange is the new

:41:50.:41:53.

blue. Pretty provocative, you might add. But certainly true, as has been

:41:54.:41:57.

discussed by our correspondent there in terms of what they may or may not

:41:58.:42:02.

want. The timing is critical. She's going, as is convention, going to

:42:03.:42:05.

the Queen to say she can form this new Government, the DUP are still

:42:06.:42:08.

talking. They're obviously talking behind the scenes. Meanwhile,

:42:09.:42:12.

Theresa May has got to put this Government together. Now Steve Hawks

:42:13.:42:16.

at The Sun has said reshuffle is obviously going to happen for those

:42:17.:42:20.

ministers lower down the food chain but who lost their seats and she

:42:21.:42:25.

will be replacing them with people whom again will reflect, interesting

:42:26.:42:28.

to see how they reflect the Brexit decision and the Brexit discussion.

:42:29.:42:32.

We can see the reshuffle is certain for this afternoon.

:42:33.:42:43.

A quick thought, Peter? On the Irish point, it's hard on a morning like

:42:44.:42:49.

this to find anything consensual, everybody is lined up on the need to

:42:50.:42:53.

get the Irish thing sorted as quickly as possible, the common

:42:54.:42:57.

travel area and the rest, the Taoiseach, the Commission, Northern

:42:58.:42:59.

Ireland people and the Government. I think there are reasons to be

:43:00.:43:02.

cheerful but then it gets difficult to work out how to do it. But there

:43:03.:43:08.

is a consensus there in a way there is in other places this morning.

:43:09.:43:13.

Theresa May's Conservatives notched up 42. 4% of the vote in this

:43:14.:43:18.

election. It wasn't enough to get them a majority in the Commons. How

:43:19.:43:21.

does that compare with previous performances? We had a look at

:43:22.:43:26.

Labour's historic performances earlier with Jeremy. Let's have the

:43:27.:43:30.

Conservative now. It's a funny situation. In our

:43:31.:43:33.

system when you have a hung parliament, whether you describe the

:43:34.:43:37.

party with the most number of seats as having won the election or just

:43:38.:43:41.

come first or what? Because in a sense you only win by having an

:43:42.:43:45.

outright majority. Let's try and get context then. Let's see previous

:43:46.:43:48.

Conservative winners and let's look at the number of seats they got.

:43:49.:43:57.

Theresa May with 319 in 2017, not an outright majority. That's caused all

:43:58.:44:03.

the trouble. The majority she threw away, the seats she threw away,

:44:04.:44:07.

Conservative 331 in 2015, that was David Cameron's shock victory that

:44:08.:44:11.

put him in control surprisingly in the House of Commons: She will be

:44:12.:44:15.

ruing that day for the rest of her political career she decided to

:44:16.:44:18.

revisit that result. She could have stuck with it for five years. She

:44:19.:44:23.

didn't. Now seat numbers, how many seats were won in previous elections

:44:24.:44:25.

where the The phrasing is important. It's

:44:26.:44:31.

difficult to say Cameron won the election when he didn't get an

:44:32.:44:35.

overall majority. He had to go into coalition with the Liberal Democrats

:44:36.:44:38.

and had 307. That's below where Theresa May finds herself today.

:44:39.:44:44.

In 1992, John Major squeaked in with 336. It was narrow. It gave him five

:44:45.:44:50.

years of trouble at Westminster but it was an outright victory. Then the

:44:51.:44:55.

landslide for MrsThatcher, we are picking Conservative winners here

:44:56.:45:02.

and having a look at how many. 376. 397 against Michael Foot. That was a

:45:03.:45:04.

very big victory for the Conservatives. We go back to the

:45:05.:45:11.

first Thatcher win. 1979, 339. All of them were majorities. Theresa

:45:12.:45:14.

May's isn't. That's the whole problem. She hasn't got over half

:45:15.:45:18.

the MPs in the House of Commons. That's why all this horse trading is

:45:19.:45:23.

starting. 1970 surprise victory for Edward Heath. From that point of

:45:24.:45:26.

view if you are going to call Theresa May one of the winners here

:45:27.:45:29.

in that she got more seats than any other party, she's not a very

:45:30.:45:33.

convincing winner and may even be out of a job soon. Who knows. There

:45:34.:45:35.

is a line of defence. We can look at this differently,

:45:36.:45:45.

going back to the 70s and Edward Heath and his percentage of the

:45:46.:45:51.

vote. It was in the 40s, 46%. And we're coming off the period where

:45:52.:45:56.

the two main parties shared around 90% of the vote. We have missed is

:45:57.:46:04.

that you're winning with 45% and in the landslide with 43% so we are in

:46:05.:46:12.

the 40s. John Major in 1992 with 43% again and then it starts to decline

:46:13.:46:17.

because Ukip are on the pitch and the Lib Dems are stronger and the

:46:18.:46:22.

Greens and so on. We were thinking in 2010 we might not see the big

:46:23.:46:29.

parties above 40%. Cameron had 37% in 2010, not convincing, and then

:46:30.:46:36.

his majority but still in 2015 he did not have 40% so have a look at

:46:37.:46:41.

what Theresa May has done, 44% of the vote. That undercut the

:46:42.:46:48.

conversation about the disaster. She and her supporters in their last

:46:49.:46:51.

ditch attempt to say this is not so bad could say that 44%, you are

:46:52.:46:57.

talking about the proportion of the vote that Mrs Thatcher got when she

:46:58.:47:03.

beat Michael foot in 1983 which is remarkable. Of course it is a

:47:04.:47:07.

function of the smaller parties claiming the state and particularly

:47:08.:47:12.

Ukip not doing much but it is interesting you can use that line of

:47:13.:47:13.

defence for Theresa May. Maybe we should wish them luck with

:47:14.:47:23.

that line of defence! It underlines the outcome, thank you, of a hung

:47:24.:47:28.

parliament and a lot of signals from within the Conservative Party that

:47:29.:47:34.

people are increasingly, really, dismayed and angered and frustrated

:47:35.:47:39.

with the style of government. Sarah Wollaston contributing to this

:47:40.:47:46.

chorus of voices, talking about Theresa May's special advisers.

:47:47.:47:51.

Criticising that style of government because Sarah Wollaston, a prominent

:47:52.:47:54.

Conservative MP, obviously feels this was an own goal and

:47:55.:47:59.

self-inflicted and she is calling for the advisers to go. In our

:48:00.:48:04.

earlier discussion, Theresa May needs people she trusts around her,

:48:05.:48:09.

but you can understand why there will be a chorus saying that we need

:48:10.:48:13.

to blame someone and if it is not Theresa May directly by calling for

:48:14.:48:17.

her to go, we have to blame the people around her. Thing is, let's

:48:18.:48:24.

damaged her. You suggested earlier and strongly, that she couldn't

:48:25.:48:31.

really function without these people. Every Prime Minister has a

:48:32.:48:35.

different style and there is no easy answer. If you go back to full-scale

:48:36.:48:40.

Cabinet government, you have endless conversations and they get licked

:48:41.:48:45.

and Cabinet committees have conversations and they get leaked.

:48:46.:48:48.

In a pressure to get a tight in a team. Tony Blair rapid, he got

:48:49.:48:52.

criticised for the sofa government but it was highly effective for a

:48:53.:48:58.

long time. There is always a pendulum and she has gone for a

:48:59.:49:02.

tight in a team. But if you save that you can carry on as Prime

:49:03.:49:05.

Minister but we will remove your inner team and see how you get on,

:49:06.:49:10.

it is difficult. There have been notable examples were her own

:49:11.:49:15.

ministers have gone out to bat on a particular policy, controversial it

:49:16.:49:18.

may be, and I'm thinking of the national insurance contributions for

:49:19.:49:21.

the self-employed when Philip Hammond said they would go up, it

:49:22.:49:25.

was a manifesto promise that had been broken, but we spoke to

:49:26.:49:30.

ministers who supported it and as they were doing it she had

:49:31.:49:33.

backtracked. There is bad experience. He mentioned Philip

:49:34.:49:39.

Hammond, what is clear to a lot of Tories this morning is that she has

:49:40.:49:44.

to go out and make new connections with key ministers and it is always

:49:45.:49:49.

dangerous for the Prime Minister and the Chancellor to be dislocated and

:49:50.:49:52.

that was bidding to happen. Philip Hammond is much like in the city --

:49:53.:49:57.

that was beginning to happen. He is seen as a strong voice for their

:49:58.:50:01.

interest inside this government and if she got rid of him that voice

:50:02.:50:06.

would go. Very important in this case the less about the advisers but

:50:07.:50:10.

more the ministers that she had to make better relationships with. They

:50:11.:50:14.

will have to reach out. What is history tell us about the way that

:50:15.:50:18.

certain ways of working within number ten had been successful or

:50:19.:50:24.

not? Going back to the old days, Jim Callaghan and Clement Attlee in a

:50:25.:50:29.

different way work collegial about everything. Jim in particular on

:50:30.:50:35.

nuclear weapons and also interest rate decisions which were buried

:50:36.:50:40.

particular -- very political at that time. And you need the gift for

:50:41.:50:44.

political friendship and Mrs May does not naturally have that. Every

:50:45.:50:51.

primaries to need his or her friends at times of crisis and four are all

:50:52.:50:56.

her gifts, Mrs make is an iceberg. And a final thing on leadership, as

:50:57.:51:02.

we know, Theresa May went into this about leadership, her leadership,

:51:03.:51:07.

and Jeremy Corbyn was criticised endlessly for leading a party whose

:51:08.:51:09.

manifesto he did not believe in entirely but he made a virtue of the

:51:10.:51:15.

fact they had come to a collective view, it was a collegiate affair

:51:16.:51:18.

will stop he was criticised for that but there will be the irony that she

:51:19.:51:24.

has not done as well as she expected on the basis of the strong

:51:25.:51:27.

leadership and he has done better by being collected and collegiate. What

:51:28.:51:33.

I would like to do at this point, we were talking about the Conservative

:51:34.:51:41.

Party performance, with 44%, Labour with 40% and before I go to Emma

:51:42.:51:47.

Lane to talk about some of the point about what Jeremy Corbyn has

:51:48.:51:51.

achieved in terms of the share which we need to underline -- I will go to

:51:52.:51:57.

Emily. He has done better than anyone apart from Clement Attlee in

:51:58.:52:02.

1945 which is a strange statement to hear, Corbyn coming from the left.

:52:03.:52:10.

In Attlee's terms he might not be regarded as that far left, but he

:52:11.:52:15.

has driven their share of the vote sharply upwards and that is the

:52:16.:52:20.

achievement of Momentum and the social media campaign and the

:52:21.:52:23.

unorthodox style of campaigning that a lot of people like us sneered at

:52:24.:52:28.

saying it would never work but it did. It is a major game changer and

:52:29.:52:31.

all of the British parties will look at this and our political culture

:52:32.:52:35.

will feel slightly different as a result. And it is a delayed effect

:52:36.:52:40.

of the huge expansion of British higher education, this vote was

:52:41.:52:43.

waiting to be harvested. When I went to college it was 7.5% of the age

:52:44.:52:49.

group and it is now 45% and they have tapped it for the first time.

:52:50.:52:54.

Let's see how they did. When Jeremy Corbyn says he is ready to serve the

:52:55.:52:59.

country he does so from a stronger geographical mandate, no longer to

:53:00.:53:04.

be seen as the if you like hummus eating MP for Islington North, he do

:53:05.:53:10.

so on the back of these kinds of gains, 35 overnight and in all sorts

:53:11.:53:15.

of different areas in the country. Canterbury, Ipswich, Stroud, places

:53:16.:53:22.

you never thought we would see Labour taking. This is particularly

:53:23.:53:25.

extraordinary, and incredibly safe Conservative seat, it has not been

:53:26.:53:31.

anything other than Conservative since World War I. Julian Brazier

:53:32.:53:38.

has been the sitting MP here since 1987 and to take this was a real

:53:39.:53:42.

feather in the cap for Jeremy Corbyn and a massive swing of nearly 10%.

:53:43.:53:48.

And not the only outside London part that they took, you can see Stroud,

:53:49.:53:56.

again, this Cotswolds town at small swing required but they overturned a

:53:57.:54:01.

majority of nearly 5000, 4.5% swing and the same sort of story. Ipswich

:54:02.:54:06.

perhaps the story of the night, one of them, ousting Ben Gummer, who

:54:07.:54:11.

helped write the Conservative manifesto, who was tipped a week ago

:54:12.:54:15.

to be the next Brexit secretary if she got her big majority. Sandy

:54:16.:54:23.

Martin comes in, a tight race but a 5% swing against and the same sort

:54:24.:54:26.

of story. There was one result we are still waiting for to complete

:54:27.:54:34.

the map and that is tingling -- that is tending to them. This is what it

:54:35.:54:38.

is interesting we hear there are about 35 votes between the parties

:54:39.:54:49.

-- Kensington. These are the different constituencies bordering

:54:50.:54:55.

Kensington. When Smith, a swing of 11p -- Westminster. Chelsea and in

:54:56.:55:03.

the City of London you saw earlier, Conservative to Labour of just over

:55:04.:55:10.

9%. When we look at Kensington something that seemed not even worth

:55:11.:55:14.

considering in the target list, we are now looking very closely at

:55:15.:55:19.

this. And I want to finish on one more comparison if we can and that

:55:20.:55:23.

is our exit poll and how the results have fared. At the beginning of the

:55:24.:55:29.

night we were very nervous when we said we expected the Conservatives

:55:30.:55:35.

to be the largest party but only on about 314 seats and this is where we

:55:36.:55:39.

end the night, lunchtime, and it is a very similar pattern with the

:55:40.:55:44.

result in so far come all of them bar one, you can see how closely

:55:45.:55:50.

those results tally and the psephologists were bang on once

:55:51.:55:55.

again. Very interesting and good to underline the SNP and Lib Dem

:55:56.:55:59.

performances because we are expecting Nicola Sturgeon to say

:56:00.:56:02.

something within the next few minutes. We will be there

:56:03.:56:08.

straightaway when it happens, that is the scene in Edinburgh. What do

:56:09.:56:12.

you expect? I would be surprised if she resigns, you always wonder at

:56:13.:56:19.

this stage if that will happen, but the old thing about there being more

:56:20.:56:23.

pandas in Scotland than Tory MPs! I expect they will announce an

:56:24.:56:28.

emergency panda breeding programme! We shall see! And Tim Farron, the

:56:29.:56:35.

Lib Dem leader, is also expected to make a statement in the next few

:56:36.:56:41.

minutes. I think that is at the National Liberal club in Whitehall.

:56:42.:56:45.

He held onto his seat in Westmorland and Lonsdale in a pretty close run

:56:46.:56:52.

thing. Tim Farron also expected to make a statement in the next few

:56:53.:56:55.

minutes. Nicola Sturgeon and Tim Farron. We can join Andrew at

:56:56.:57:02.

Westminster. Clearly if we get Nicola Sturgeon or Tim Farron we

:57:03.:57:05.

will come back straightaway. Of course, the moment they take the

:57:06.:57:11.

stage we will find out what they have to say it but I'm joined by

:57:12.:57:16.

Thorsten Bell, former adviser to add Helen Loos and let me come to you

:57:17.:57:24.

first. The Prime Minister is off to see the Queen, I think she thinks

:57:25.:57:28.

she's got the DUP in the bag and she will tell the Queen she can form a

:57:29.:57:34.

government. What happens next? In some ways it is actually quite

:57:35.:57:39.

simple, we have at the campaign, and at the end of it what she has done

:57:40.:57:44.

is lose 12 Conservative MPs and gain ten DUP MPs and carry on with a

:57:45.:57:48.

slightly smaller majority. For all of the noise this morning that looks

:57:49.:57:52.

like where we are going so in the short term the situation is quite

:57:53.:57:56.

clear, she will try to carry on. Beyond that everything is up for

:57:57.:58:00.

grabs, what happened in the Tory party, what's the DUP ask for and

:58:01.:58:04.

how long Theresa May lasts. Can she get away with it? Not for long

:58:05.:58:10.

because you think about the big ticket things from their manifesto,

:58:11.:58:13.

what can she get cross-party support on? A lot of it will have to go.

:58:14.:58:22.

Social care is interesting because there was Labour support for a

:58:23.:58:26.

different package, but something as simple as the pensions triple-lock

:58:27.:58:30.

or double-lock, no way you get that past now. And the DUP will want the

:58:31.:58:33.

triple-lock looking at the profile of their supporters? It all sounds a

:58:34.:58:39.

bit the opposite of stable and strong, weak and unstable.

:58:40.:58:43.

Wonderfully weak and unstable and that is one of the things that makes

:58:44.:58:48.

Parliament historically the guarantee of liberties in that there

:58:49.:58:52.

can be an election at any point and the Tories will not want to fight

:58:53.:58:56.

another election under the leadership of Theresa May. You are

:58:57.:58:59.

the second person who said that this morning, but they are so disgusted

:59:00.:59:04.

by the campaign and how she handled it. They won't let her do it again.

:59:05.:59:12.

It was all her and her tight-knit group 's idea. It took everybody by

:59:13.:59:16.

surprise. Her idea and it did not work out. Of course, she has lost

:59:17.:59:23.

the trust of the Tory party. You were careful to stress in the

:59:24.:59:26.

short-term she might get her way on this but it could unravel but since

:59:27.:59:31.

we still have the fixed in Parliament act, if it unravels it

:59:32.:59:34.

does not necessarily mean another election, it can mean that Mr Carbon

:59:35.:59:41.

has a chance of forming a minority government. -- Mr Corbyn. It looks

:59:42.:59:47.

like she will try to form a government today with the DUP and

:59:48.:59:51.

she can try to pass a Queen's speech in about two weeks' time also if the

:59:52.:59:56.

DUP pull out a bad deal or she cannot pass that, the get the fixed

:59:57.:00:00.

in Parliament act for a second, just the constitution, history would

:00:01.:00:03.

teach us that the Queen would call on the leader of the option to try

:00:04.:00:06.

to form a government but he himself would need the DUP, not a coalition,

:00:07.:00:13.

but he needs the Lib Dems and SNP and DUP to pass a Queen's speech and

:00:14.:00:16.

without that we are heading for another election. What do you make

:00:17.:00:19.

of that? That the problem for Labour, this is a good result for

:00:20.:00:23.

them but nowhere near getting in a place where they can cobble

:00:24.:00:27.

together... The grandest coalitions. Let me interrupt you, we are about

:00:28.:00:32.

to hear I think from Tim Farron, the leader of the Lib Dems.

:00:33.:00:42.

Let's hear what he has to say. APPLAUSE AND

:00:43.:00:45.

CHEERING. Thank you all for being here, I am

:00:46.:00:57.

the member of parliament for Oxford West and Abingdon.

:00:58.:00:58.

APPLAUSE AND CHEERING That feels good to say! It has been

:00:59.:01:12.

the most extraordinary 24 hours because this time, was it yesterday

:01:13.:01:16.

or the day before, I can't remember, Tim was in Oxford having the final

:01:17.:01:21.

rally of the campaign. We were there with all our activists saying knock

:01:22.:01:26.

on doors until the very end. We did. And we won by the shrimp of

:01:27.:01:33.

majorities, but what that now means is Oxford West is represented again

:01:34.:01:38.

by Liberal values and that's what it's all about.

:01:39.:01:49.

APPLAUSE. So, this is my first engagement as a member of parliament

:01:50.:01:53.

and it is with great pleasure to now hand over to the man who made it all

:01:54.:01:56.

possible, our leader, Tim Farron! APPLAUSE AND

:01:57.:02:11.

CHEERING. Thank you, Layla, it was less than 48 hours ago, at Oxford

:02:12.:02:15.

United's ground where we rallied the troops and asked people to work

:02:16.:02:18.

their hardest for the final push. You did. And we got the result that

:02:19.:02:23.

we did, I am enormously grateful to all of you and very, very proud to

:02:24.:02:28.

welcome Layla here to the National Liberal Club. This was the hardest

:02:29.:02:35.

of elections, marred by the tragedy of those two vile terrorist attacks

:02:36.:02:43.

in Manchester and in London. And now the future of our country is less

:02:44.:02:49.

certain than it was when Theresa May called this election a

:02:50.:02:54.

month-and-a-half ago. For the Liberal Democrats, we have made

:02:55.:02:58.

progress in incredibly difficult circumstances and we face a new

:02:59.:03:02.

parliament in a far stronger position than we left the last one.

:03:03.:03:08.

I am delighted to welcome back some old friends, Jo Swinson, Vince

:03:09.:03:12.

Cable, Ed Davey, and we of course are bolstering our ranks with those

:03:13.:03:17.

big figures who have served our country in Government. We will now

:03:18.:03:23.

be able to put their talent and experience to shaping what comes

:03:24.:03:26.

next. In Steven Lloyd we welcome back a force of nature, a brilliant

:03:27.:03:33.

campaigner and a loyal servant to his constituents. Alongside Alistair

:03:34.:03:39.

Carmichael, Norman and Tim, they are returning to a formidable team. I am

:03:40.:03:44.

also incredibly proud to welcome new faces to our ranks. Christine

:03:45.:03:52.

Jardina, Vera and Layla and Jamie, we have fantastic campaigners who

:03:53.:03:55.

will be outstanding Members of Parliament for their constituents

:03:56.:03:59.

and for our country as a whole. Now I am not just proud that our

:04:00.:04:05.

parliamentary party is bigger, but also that it is more diverse. After

:04:06.:04:10.

the 2015 general election we were reduced to just eight seats, all of

:04:11.:04:15.

them represented by white men. We are not yet at the point where our

:04:16.:04:21.

party fully reflects the diversity of our great country but we have

:04:22.:04:27.

made real progress. While we have made great gains, we have also lost

:04:28.:04:32.

colleagues who will be very sorely missed. Nick Clegg is a giant of

:04:33.:04:39.

British politics, a friend and a hero to me and countless others. Not

:04:40.:04:43.

only did he lead our party into Government for the first time in

:04:44.:04:49.

generations, he did so in the most difficult of circumstances and for

:04:50.:04:55.

the most noble of reasons. Our party paid a political price for joining

:04:56.:05:00.

that coalition Government but it is nothing compared to the price our

:05:01.:05:05.

country would have paid had Nick not shown the steel and determination to

:05:06.:05:11.

do the right thing when it was needed most.

:05:12.:05:14.

APPLAUSE. In 2010, our country was on the edge

:05:15.:05:32.

of a precipe, because of Nick Clegg it survived and flourished. The

:05:33.:05:36.

pupil premium which has helped so many children get the start in life

:05:37.:05:41.

they deserve, would not have happened without Nick Clegg,

:05:42.:05:43.

same-sex marriage would not have happened without Nick Clegg, the

:05:44.:05:49.

children of asylum seekers would have remained behind bars without

:05:50.:05:52.

Nick Clegg. The raising of the income tax threshold, which has

:05:53.:05:57.

helped millions of people on low and middle incomes would not have

:05:58.:06:02.

happened without Nick Clegg. I could stand here and keep listing Nick's

:06:03.:06:07.

achievements, but it would take hours. People say they want

:06:08.:06:12.

politicians to put their differences aside and to put the country first.

:06:13.:06:16.

Nick Clegg did that. Have no doubt, history will be kind to Nick and the

:06:17.:06:22.

new parliament will be immensely poorer without the insight,

:06:23.:06:26.

expertise and passion he brings, especially to the Brexit debate. We

:06:27.:06:32.

also say goodbye to Greg Mulholland, Mark Williams and Sarah Olney. Greg

:06:33.:06:36.

has been a brilliant, dedicated and determined campaigner and a loyal

:06:37.:06:40.

servant to the people of Leeds North West. Mark, a powerful voice for

:06:41.:06:45.

Wales and for rural communities everywhere. And Sarah, in her few

:06:46.:06:50.

short months in parliament, showed she had the makings of a brilliant

:06:51.:06:55.

MP. She was a brilliant MP and a real star of the party's future. Our

:06:56.:07:00.

parliament is worse off without them and I am certain that if they want

:07:01.:07:07.

to, Greg, Mark and Sarah can return to our ranks in the future. Theresa

:07:08.:07:12.

May called this election expecting it to be a coronation. She took each

:07:13.:07:18.

and every one of us for granted in the most cynical way possible. Like

:07:19.:07:23.

David Cameron before her, our Conservative Prime Minister rolled

:07:24.:07:27.

the dice and put the future of our country at risk out of sheer

:07:28.:07:34.

arrogance and vanity. And now in her diminished state she reaches out to

:07:35.:07:37.

the right to form her own coalition of chaos. Theresa May has done the

:07:38.:07:42.

opposite of what Nick Clegg did, she put her party before her country,

:07:43.:07:48.

she has been found out, she should be ashamed.

:07:49.:08:00.

APPLAUSE. We will now have a Government that is weaker and less

:08:01.:08:05.

stable at a time when we are about to embark on the most difficult and

:08:06.:08:12.

complex negotiations in our history. Theresa May promised strong and

:08:13.:08:15.

stable leadership. She has brought weakness and uncertainty. If she has

:08:16.:08:21.

an ounce of self-respect, she will resign.

:08:22.:08:28.

APPLAUSE. The Tories have taken our country

:08:29.:08:32.

for granted too many times. Whatever happens in this coming parliament,

:08:33.:08:36.

the Liberal Democrats will fight for you, for your family and for your

:08:37.:08:42.

community. If Theresa May or any other Conservative approaches the

:08:43.:08:45.

Liberal Democrats and asks for our support to deliver their agenda, let

:08:46.:08:52.

me make our position clear, no deal is better than a bad deal...

:08:53.:09:06.

APPLAUSE. There will be no deals, no coalitions, no confidence and supply

:09:07.:09:10.

arrangements, if the Government puts a Queen's Speech to parliament or a

:09:11.:09:14.

budget in front of us, we will judge it on whether or not we think it is

:09:15.:09:18.

good for the country and if it isn't, we will not support it. This

:09:19.:09:24.

parliament faces a challenge greater than any for generations, Brexit.

:09:25.:09:29.

And yet, both the Conservatives and Labour went to great lengths to make

:09:30.:09:33.

sure this election was about anything but. Their plans were paper

:09:34.:09:38.

thin. Their ambitions built on little more than platitudes. Now

:09:39.:09:42.

they must lay their cards on the table. Brexit is about to get very

:09:43.:09:50.

real. The phoney war is nearly over. Its consequences will be felt by

:09:51.:09:56.

every single person in this country. One thing that is clear from the

:09:57.:10:01.

result of the election is that the mandate Theresa May sought for her

:10:02.:10:08.

extreme version of Brexit has been rejected by the British people.

:10:09.:10:20.

APPLAUSE. It is simply inconceivable that the Prime Minister can begin

:10:21.:10:25.

the Brexit negotiations in just two weeks' time. She should consider her

:10:26.:10:31.

future and then for once she should consider the future of our country.

:10:32.:10:35.

The negotiations should be put on hold until the Government has

:10:36.:10:39.

reassessed its priorities and set them out to the British public. The

:10:40.:10:44.

British people have the right to expect that our Prime Minister will

:10:45.:10:50.

explain to them what it is that she seeks to achieve. Now my party, all

:10:51.:10:55.

of us here gathered today, have always been proudly pro-European. We

:10:56.:10:59.

believe as much today as we ever have that we are stronger, safer and

:11:00.:11:08.

more prosperous as a country... The Conservatives have lost their

:11:09.:11:13.

majority and the Prime Minister has lost all authority and credibility.

:11:14.:11:18.

In Scotland, the SNP won this election, we have more seats than

:11:19.:11:23.

all of the other parties combined. I want today to thank all those who

:11:24.:11:28.

have once again placed their trust in the SNP. We will endeavour every

:11:29.:11:35.

single day to repay that trust. As we said throughout this campaign,

:11:36.:11:39.

SNP MPs will be strong voices for Scotland, standing up for our

:11:40.:11:44.

country's interests and working to make Scotland the very best country

:11:45.:11:49.

it can be. However, it is an inescapable fact that we also

:11:50.:11:53.

suffered some bitterly disappointing losses last night. I want to pay

:11:54.:11:59.

tribute to all of the SNP candidates who campaigned so hard, but who

:12:00.:12:04.

won't be returning to Westminster. In particular, I want to pay tribute

:12:05.:12:12.

to Angus Robertson, a politician and parliamentarian of immense stature.

:12:13.:12:15.

Week after week held the Prime Minister to account, providing the

:12:16.:12:20.

scrutiny that the official opposition in the House of Commons

:12:21.:12:25.

failed to do. And, I want to also make particular mention of Alex

:12:26.:12:30.

Salmond, my friend and mentor for almost 30 years, and without a

:12:31.:12:36.

shadow of a doubt, the giant of modern Scottish politics, someone

:12:37.:12:41.

who has devoted his life to serving this country. Both Angus and Alex

:12:42.:12:47.

and all of the other defeated SNP candidates still have so much to

:12:48.:12:52.

offer to public life and I very much look forward to their continuing

:12:53.:12:58.

contributions. In 2015, the SNP achieved an exceptional, perhaps

:12:59.:13:02.

once in a century result, traditionally in Westminster

:13:03.:13:05.

elections, the SNP is squeezed by the main UK parties. Indeed in this

:13:06.:13:11.

campaign we have seen the return of a dominant two-party system in

:13:12.:13:14.

England. This makes the SNP's achievements of winning a clear

:13:15.:13:19.

majority of seats in Scotland all the more remarkable. However, as we

:13:20.:13:25.

do after all elections, we will reflect on these results, we will

:13:26.:13:30.

listen to voters and we will consider very carefully the best way

:13:31.:13:34.

forward for Scotland, a way forward that is in the interests of all of

:13:35.:13:38.

Scotland. I will take the opportunity of saying more on that

:13:39.:13:43.

front in the days to come. The SNP will also seek to play our full part

:13:44.:13:48.

in finding the right way forward for all of the UK. The SNP fought this

:13:49.:13:54.

election warning against the consequences of continued Tory

:13:55.:13:57.

Government. The Tories have given the chance will hit living

:13:58.:14:02.

standards, widen inequality and force many, many more children into

:14:03.:14:05.

poverty. We will now work with others to do everything we can to

:14:06.:14:09.

prevent that from happening and to bring an end to the austerity that

:14:10.:14:15.

voters the length of the UK are no longer prepared to accept. And we

:14:16.:14:19.

will work with others if it is at all possible to keep the Tories out

:14:20.:14:22.

of Government. We have always said that we would work in alliance with

:14:23.:14:27.

others to were moat progressive policies to build a fairer country,

:14:28.:14:31.

we stand ready to play our part in that alliance. And it is needed now

:14:32.:14:36.

more than ever. The damage the Tories have done to the stability

:14:37.:14:41.

and reputation of the UK cannot be overstated. In less than a year,

:14:42.:14:47.

they have caused chaos on an industrial scale. They wrecklessly

:14:48.:14:55.

forced through an EU referendum, they then embarked on a Brexit

:14:56.:15:00.

strategy decided to withdraw the UK from the single market with no idea

:15:01.:15:03.

or plan what would come next. They called an election knowing the

:15:04.:15:06.

result would be declared 11 days, less than two weeks before the most

:15:07.:15:11.

important negotiations in the UK's modern history were due to start.

:15:12.:15:15.

They were so arrogant they thought they could do anything and get away

:15:16.:15:20.

with it. Now they're planning to cobble together an unstable

:15:21.:15:22.

administration causing yet more damaging uncertainty.

:15:23.:15:26.

All of this because they have consistently put the interests of

:15:27.:15:32.

the Tory party ahead of the interests of the country. What is

:15:33.:15:38.

perhaps most breathtaking of all, this is a party that has the

:15:39.:15:43.

temerity to accuse others of causing division and uncertainty. It simply

:15:44.:15:49.

cannot go on. Instead there must now be an attempt to find consensus and

:15:50.:15:54.

bring people together. Last night has shown that the reckless Tory

:15:55.:16:00.

pursuit of a hard Brexit must be abandoned. The clock on the article

:16:01.:16:05.

15 negotiations is ticking and it is no longer acceptable to proceed

:16:06.:16:09.

without a coherent plan so I'm appealing to MPs of all parties to

:16:10.:16:13.

help keep the UK in the European single market to protect jobs,

:16:14.:16:18.

preserve our relationship with Europe and bring some order to these

:16:19.:16:23.

negotiations. Finally let me say this directly to the people of

:16:24.:16:28.

Scotland. In the coming weeks and months the Scottish Government will

:16:29.:16:30.

continue to provide the stable is that the government that our country

:16:31.:16:35.

needs, amongst our other priorities we will carry on with our reforms to

:16:36.:16:40.

education, support our NHS to meet the challenges of rising demand and

:16:41.:16:44.

take the next steps in building a new Social Security system with

:16:45.:16:49.

dignity at its heart. As First Minister it is my job and duty to

:16:50.:16:53.

govern in the interests of everybody in Scotland. I know that in these

:16:54.:16:58.

times that is more important than ever, and it is exactly what I and

:16:59.:17:04.

my government will work to deliver. I will now take a couple of

:17:05.:17:16.

questions. Do you accept... I said I would reflect carefully on the

:17:17.:17:22.

result and I will take... STUDIO: The First Minister of Scotland,

:17:23.:17:25.

Nicola Sturgeon, giving her response with some heavy criticism of Theresa

:17:26.:17:31.

May's conservatives and the outcome of this election which is a hung

:17:32.:17:36.

parliament and we are expecting the Prime Minister to leave Downing

:17:37.:17:38.

Street in the next few minutes to make the short journey to Buckingham

:17:39.:17:41.

Palace where she will have an audience with Her Majesty the Queen

:17:42.:17:46.

and we are expecting her to share her plans which are to continue in

:17:47.:17:49.

government as Prime Minister with the Conservatives depending on ten

:17:50.:17:54.

seats from the Democratic Unionist Party in Northern Ireland in order

:17:55.:18:00.

to control a very small majority in the House of Commons. A very sunny

:18:01.:18:04.

day at this point in Westminster. Andrew Marr, what are we thinking in

:18:05.:18:11.

terms of the sequence of event we are reporting? Just to the already

:18:12.:18:16.

one of the senior aides of the Queen is in the Cabinet Office so those

:18:17.:18:19.

conversations have started and connections are being made and when

:18:20.:18:24.

Theresa May arrives at the prize she would have a direct conversation

:18:25.:18:29.

with the Queen who will ask some direct and pertinent questions as

:18:30.:18:33.

she tends to do, it will not be a smiley and formal meeting, I would

:18:34.:18:41.

love to be a fly on the wall! There will be nobody else there because it

:18:42.:18:45.

will be just the two of them and if Mr Mae goes he will go in with the

:18:46.:18:54.

aquarists for a while -- Mr May. No doubt she will want to advise the

:18:55.:18:59.

Queen who might be coming in and the plans and all the rest as Andrew

:19:00.:19:04.

described so there is a convention and courtesy and choreography about

:19:05.:19:09.

it. But then it will be straight to work and straight into what will be

:19:10.:19:13.

pretty difficult times for Theresa May in terms of forming that

:19:14.:19:16.

government, getting the personnel correctly in place. We heard from

:19:17.:19:22.

Nicola Sturgeon, she would join any sort of alliance to keep the Tories

:19:23.:19:26.

out and obviously that is consistent with what she has said and she also

:19:27.:19:32.

said the SNP and she herself will reflect on the results and listen to

:19:33.:19:37.

voters carefully for the way forward for Scotland which is code for...

:19:38.:19:44.

Indyref2 is likely to be off. Laura Kuenssberg is in Downing Street

:19:45.:19:47.

keeping an eye on things and final preparations are being made? That is

:19:48.:19:53.

right, Theresa May's folder of documents containing her plans for

:19:54.:19:56.

keeping her government going to have been put into the Prime Minister

:19:57.:20:00.

Raqqa and her bag and things have been put in by an aide who has

:20:01.:20:06.

snaked round the corner -- the Prime Minister car. This is the first

:20:07.:20:13.

glimpse of her since her plans went so right. Is this strong and stable,

:20:14.:20:19.

Prime Minister? Theresa May accompanied by her husband, Philip,

:20:20.:20:26.

and off to the Palace. And just 12 hours ago this kind of journey she

:20:27.:20:29.

never thought she would have to make, as that exit poll came in in

:20:30.:20:36.

Tory HQ they simply did not believe it. They were scratching their heads

:20:37.:20:41.

wondering how their numbers could be so different. Over the subsequent

:20:42.:20:47.

few hours the exit polls numbers rather than the Conservatives' were

:20:48.:20:53.

the ones that came through with an accurate picture with the fact that

:20:54.:20:57.

Theresa May's political gamble has done so awry for the Conservative

:20:58.:21:01.

Party. The gates of Downing Street being closed as she goes to the

:21:02.:21:09.

palace to have discussions that really are her political nightmare

:21:10.:21:14.

rather than the dream of a first proper Conservative majority in 30

:21:15.:21:17.

years that she believed and hoped she was on the verge of achieving.

:21:18.:21:24.

Theresa May travelling along Whitehall, past the Horse Guards

:21:25.:21:31.

building at up to add multi-arch and Trafalgar Square and down to the

:21:32.:21:35.

Palace and at the other end waiting for her arrival and to do is more

:21:36.:21:40.

about what is likely to happen is our Royal correspondent, Nicolas

:21:41.:21:45.

Witchell. Yes, good afternoon, it is 11 months since Theresa May came to

:21:46.:21:49.

Buckingham Palace to be asked by the Queen to form a government which is

:21:50.:21:52.

after the resignation of David Cameron on the 13th of July 2016

:21:53.:21:58.

when Theresa May was asked by the Queen to form a government. 11

:21:59.:22:03.

months later, and certainly not in the circumstances she would have

:22:04.:22:08.

wished for or envisaged, still in a position to form a government but as

:22:09.:22:13.

we Usain, within a hung parliament. -- as we are saying. And no longer

:22:14.:22:20.

head of the largest party. The vehicle making its way down the Mall

:22:21.:22:25.

with the Metropolitan Police escorting motorcyclists and shortly

:22:26.:22:30.

she will be turning around the Victoria Memorial and into

:22:31.:22:34.

Buckingham Palace. A good number of tourists have been watching the

:22:35.:22:36.

changing of the guard ceremony which has been taking place as normal and

:22:37.:22:41.

tight security with a large number of police around as you might

:22:42.:22:46.

imagine. Theresa May, when she gets into the private audience room, and

:22:47.:22:51.

as your guests have been saying, it will be just Theresa May and the

:22:52.:22:58.

Queen in that audience. And the vital question is, are you in a

:22:59.:23:01.

position to command the confidence of the House of Commons? She is the

:23:02.:23:07.

leader of the largest party and one must assume she is now in a position

:23:08.:23:10.

to answer that question in the affirmative. The convoy just

:23:11.:23:17.

sweeping in now to the gates of Buckingham Palace with the crowds,

:23:18.:23:24.

mostly tourists, clearly recognising something rather unusual is

:23:25.:23:27.

happening, not just the changing of the guard but something of

:23:28.:23:33.

constitutional significance. Across the forecourt and in a moment the

:23:34.:23:38.

car will enter into the central quadrangle. And the critical

:23:39.:23:44.

question whether she is in a position to tell the Queen that she

:23:45.:23:48.

now believes she can command the confidence of the House of Commons.

:23:49.:23:52.

She will go up to the private audience room of the Queen where she

:23:53.:23:57.

will normally meet the Queen every Wednesday evening for the Prime

:23:58.:24:02.

Minister's audience. And again, as your guests have been saying, that

:24:03.:24:07.

is an audience only she attends. Phillip May will be taken into one

:24:08.:24:15.

of the other rooms by the private secretary of the Queen who has been

:24:16.:24:19.

seen this morning at the Cabinet Office and it is his responsible of

:24:20.:24:23.

on such occasions to coordinate closely between Buckingham Palace

:24:24.:24:28.

and Whitehall. A little unclear from the aerial shot where the car is but

:24:29.:24:33.

it will be pulling up at the King 's entrance, as it is known where I

:24:34.:24:39.

would imagine the Prime Minister will be greeted by Wing Commander

:24:40.:24:44.

Sam Fletcher, the Queen's aquarists. --

:24:45.:24:49.

Audiences vary in length anything from 20 minutes up to 40 minutes but

:24:50.:25:01.

the Queen will clearly want to know what Theresa May's plans are, to

:25:02.:25:09.

form a government. It is a reappointment, none of the kissing

:25:10.:25:14.

of hands, and there is the limousine drawn up at the King 's entrance. It

:25:15.:25:19.

looks as though the Prime Minister has already gone in and she will now

:25:20.:25:22.

be on her way up to the audience room for this audience with the

:25:23.:25:30.

Queen. She is the 13th person to hold the office of Prime Minister

:25:31.:25:35.

during this long reign of Elizabeth II. More interesting than many of

:25:36.:25:38.

those audiences but within the next few minutes the Queen will be asking

:25:39.:25:45.

that essential question, are you in a position to form a government? The

:25:46.:25:50.

answer clearly will be yes based on what we understand at the moment and

:25:51.:25:56.

then the Queen will invite Theresa May to form a government. That is

:25:57.:26:02.

all there is. There is no oath, handing over of seals, it is just a

:26:03.:26:06.

question and answer and then a request to form a government. And

:26:07.:26:11.

after further moment of conversation with the Queen during which I am

:26:12.:26:14.

sure the Queen will be asking, how can you do this and what do you view

:26:15.:26:19.

the prospect of forming a stable government as the other profoundly

:26:20.:26:25.

important issues that Theresa May will face amid greater uncertainty

:26:26.:26:28.

than she would have wished for at this point, but after that private

:26:29.:26:31.

conversation between the Queen and Theresa May, one would imagine that

:26:32.:26:37.

Philip May will be invited in for a few moments for a final conversation

:26:38.:26:43.

before the Prime Minister leaves Buckingham Palace and makes her way

:26:44.:26:46.

back to Downing Street. Thank you for now. A magnificent sight, all

:26:47.:26:53.

the greenery of Green Park and St James's Park and indeed the gardens

:26:54.:26:57.

of Buckingham Palace and the mall leading up to Admiralty Arch and

:26:58.:27:03.

Trafalgar Square and the Queen Victoria Memorial near the gate

:27:04.:27:09.

where Nick was talking to us from. With the Prime Minister already

:27:10.:27:13.

inside the palace and the audience probably already starting, Peter

:27:14.:27:17.

Hennessy, someone who has witnessed and written about a lot of these

:27:18.:27:20.

similar processes, you reckon on average about half an hour? Half an

:27:21.:27:26.

hour, 40 minutes, I have not witnessed one of these audiences, I

:27:27.:27:32.

live in hope! Of course you do! Witnessed indirectly. If it is half

:27:33.:27:37.

an hour and quite a simple matter of can you command the confidence of

:27:38.:27:41.

the Commons, to what extent will the Queen push in terms of what has

:27:42.:27:44.

happened and what is going to happen and likely to happen and what are

:27:45.:27:49.

your plans? The Queen has this mixture of curiosity and vast

:27:50.:27:52.

experience and she is also very soothing. Every prime ministers

:27:53.:27:57.

talks about how she has this soothing effect bitterly at times of

:27:58.:28:01.

trouble and I remember one of her private secretaries think she has

:28:02.:28:05.

this tonic effect. I think Mrs May might need a touch of that today! --

:28:06.:28:10.

particularly at times of trouble. The Queen has always loved political

:28:11.:28:18.

gossip, and she says things to Prime Minister is not directly but she

:28:19.:28:22.

would make guarded and therefore quite painful criticism at times so

:28:23.:28:28.

it will not be an entirely bland conversation. The euphemism will

:28:29.:28:32.

become what is going on and what is going to happen? Prime Minister,

:28:33.:28:36.

what have you done and white?! Could you explain that to me! And I

:28:37.:28:41.

presume Theresa May will add to start ringing round her Cabinet and

:28:42.:28:45.

to say to them, you have still got a job or you haven't got a job because

:28:46.:28:50.

otherwise they are going to be sitting waiting and of course they

:28:51.:28:54.

don't want any political vacuum of any kind. She needs to be able to

:28:55.:28:58.

say, have I got your confronted and support question and what has been

:28:59.:29:07.

interesting, talking about the lack of sight of the other big Tory

:29:08.:29:11.

beasts. Where are Boris Johnson and Michael Gove and Philip Hammond? If

:29:12.:29:15.

there was some kind of plot developing against her they would be

:29:16.:29:18.

out making coded statements but they are not. And if they are not going

:29:19.:29:23.

to go forward and challenge, they know that anything they say and do

:29:24.:29:27.

it will be either misconstrued or more will be read into it. We could

:29:28.:29:33.

have a brief look in a few moments from Anushka Asthana from the

:29:34.:29:35.

Guardian do is take there is a big mission at the top of the Tory body

:29:36.:29:41.

on what went wrong. The postmortem will start. Some say it is down to

:29:42.:29:45.

the manifesto and the U-turn on social care and the triple lock and

:29:46.:29:48.

others say it was about a negative campaign that we also discussed

:29:49.:29:52.

earlier. Those discussions will be going on amongst Tory MPs. I think

:29:53.:29:57.

they should add over controlling to the list. Over controlled and rather

:29:58.:30:00.

robotic. That was one of the big problems.

:30:01.:30:04.

There used to be conventional wisdom that the campaign did not make much

:30:05.:30:11.

difference. Don't believe that any more! Is John Curtice said, people

:30:12.:30:16.

have usually made their minds up about the leaders before they get

:30:17.:30:20.

into a campaign, clearly in this case that convention has not been

:30:21.:30:24.

followed. For viewers joining us wondering what is going on, because

:30:25.:30:30.

it is a hung parliament, we assume, Peter, that the Prime Minister would

:30:31.:30:33.

not be visiting the palace at this point were she not very confident of

:30:34.:30:37.

having secured some sort of understanding with the DUP? I think

:30:38.:30:43.

she would as a matter of courtesy to report to the sovereign. That is

:30:44.:30:48.

what usually happens, whatever has happened. We are pretty sure that

:30:49.:30:51.

she will not have to do what Ted Heath did, which is to say I will

:30:52.:30:55.

spend the weekend trying to do with deal with the Liberals. The Queen

:30:56.:31:00.

has a deal to be informed, to advise and worn. I have never been anywhere

:31:01.:31:05.

near all of this and there are no minutes, you see. George VI and

:31:06.:31:10.

Clement Attlee were so shy that they tended to dry up so they had cue

:31:11.:31:14.

cards, that was the only trace you ever had. The Queen, I gather, Andy

:31:15.:31:21.

was just talking about it, she asks rather good, penetrating, Socratic

:31:22.:31:25.

questions. They are not couched in why on earth did you do it that way?

:31:26.:31:31.

Not at all. I remember one of the heads of the secret agencies saying

:31:32.:31:35.

to me that when I go and see her she asks me much more penetrating

:31:36.:31:39.

questions than any of my secretaries of State ever have. Isn't that

:31:40.:31:44.

interesting? She had a reputation of getting to the point quickly. At the

:31:45.:31:49.

time of the financial crash she was overheard asking some key City

:31:50.:31:54.

people why did you not see this coming? The LSE. It was the first

:31:55.:32:02.

time the governor of the bank had had a specific audience. The

:32:03.:32:07.

curiosity was unbounded. Experience is extraordinary. You have made the

:32:08.:32:12.

point that she would go as a courtesy even if she possibly had

:32:13.:32:15.

not had a sufficient understanding with the DUP, but this opens up a

:32:16.:32:20.

new thing, Peter, Prime Minister returns to Downing Street and it

:32:21.:32:24.

would be extremely difficult Prime Minister did not say something in

:32:25.:32:28.

Downing Street when she returns. What do we then expect? What will

:32:29.:32:35.

the message then be? She has to tellers in direct terms, I have to

:32:36.:32:38.

former government, I have been talking to the DUP or whatever, I

:32:39.:32:42.

believe we can give Britain... Whether she dares to say strong and

:32:43.:32:49.

stable, who knows. Surely not?! Brexit will remain my priority and I

:32:50.:32:53.

will reshuffle my cabinet over the next day and a half. The record was

:32:54.:32:58.

Clement Attlee in 1953, they were waiting at number ten when he came

:32:59.:33:04.

back from seeing the king. We are carrying on, that is all he said.

:33:05.:33:08.

Which could be short and sweet in that sense, otherwise she will have

:33:09.:33:12.

to get into the realms of, what went wrong? If she comes onto the streets

:33:13.:33:16.

of Downing Street she will in some sense have to say in her own words

:33:17.:33:20.

what she thought went wrong and the mistake of calling a snap election,

:33:21.:33:24.

and as you say it might be better to stick very much to a well-defined

:33:25.:33:29.

script which says I am here, still Prime Minister, I have seen the

:33:30.:33:33.

Queen and I will have a Cabinet in place. Mostly if there was any

:33:34.:33:37.

choice between do I speak out on this occasion or not, Theresa May

:33:38.:33:42.

has not. Any possibility of not saying anything, she takes it. We

:33:43.:33:47.

will see what happens. If she goes for a big speech it will be the most

:33:48.:33:53.

difficult in her life so far. The little phrase, Cabinet in place, do

:33:54.:33:59.

we think, Andy, Jo, Peter, that some calls will have been made to key

:34:00.:34:03.

Cabinet figures? I would be surprised if they had not. Philip --

:34:04.:34:09.

Philip Hammond needs to know if he is remaining Chancellor of the

:34:10.:34:11.

Exchequer, Boris Johnson needs to know if he is staying on as Foreign

:34:12.:34:17.

Secretary. And David Davis in the key role of Brexit Secretary. That

:34:18.:34:20.

will have been calls and soundings done. I take the point about

:34:21.:34:24.

convention, she would have gone to the Queen, but I think if she felt

:34:25.:34:27.

it would not be held together she would not have made that trip.

:34:28.:34:32.

Simply Cabinet ministers have already had face-to-face meetings

:34:33.:34:38.

with her, probably early on -- some key Cabinet ministers. Probably

:34:39.:34:44.

through the back door. It is a remarkable example of continents on

:34:45.:34:50.

Boris' party. Almost unheard of. An amazing 24 hours. And we have not

:34:51.:34:56.

had a tweet from Donald Trump! The Royal Standard is flying, a signal

:34:57.:35:00.

that the Queen is in residence at Buckingham Palace. A very busy time

:35:01.:35:04.

for the Royal family, we look ahead to the Queen's Birthday Parade a

:35:05.:35:08.

week tomorrow and the State Opening of Parliament which takes place a

:35:09.:35:12.

couple of days later on Monday the 19th of June, and incredibly busy

:35:13.:35:23.

time. Peter, again, the state opening, this timetable to get a

:35:24.:35:25.

meaningful Queen's Speech in place with a partner in Government, a very

:35:26.:35:35.

short amount of time. Yes. I gather that it will not be a blingy state

:35:36.:35:45.

opening. Bala ceremony and pageantry than normal. Which is a pity,

:35:46.:35:50.

because I like flaunting. But it will be dressed down in the informal

:35:51.:35:56.

sense of the word. He does that when he boats in the chamber! I am too

:35:57.:36:03.

humble. A surprisingly short speech, we would assume. There is not an

:36:04.:36:08.

awful lot she can say at this stage if she goes into agreement with the

:36:09.:36:12.

DUP. There will be talk of foreign affairs and getting on with Brexit

:36:13.:36:16.

but I don't think there will be much legislation and relatively few

:36:17.:36:18.

promises. How long do you think it has gone on

:36:19.:36:23.

already? Let's bring Royal correspondent Nicholas Witchell

:36:24.:36:27.

back-in. I was slightly distracted, how long do you think we have had on

:36:28.:36:34.

this audience? I make it about 12 minutes. She went in, we did not see

:36:35.:36:39.

her step across the threshold but it was at about 12:25pm, we are about

:36:40.:36:44.

12 minutes into the audience of indeterminate length, but as you

:36:45.:36:47.

have said I would imagine it might be around half an hour. Serious

:36:48.:36:53.

business to be discussed. As we have said, soothing though the occasion

:36:54.:36:58.

may be for a Prime Minister on what on this particular occasion, for

:36:59.:37:02.

this particular Prime Minister must be an extremely difficult day, she

:37:03.:37:06.

still has to answer those very pointed and pithy questions which

:37:07.:37:10.

the Queen is certainly very capable of directing at her prime ministers

:37:11.:37:15.

and others, and I am quite sure that in a sense it will perhaps be the

:37:16.:37:18.

first occasion when Theresa May is able to explore with someone outside

:37:19.:37:24.

her immediate circle, well, what did come from your point of view, go

:37:25.:37:28.

wrong? What do you think has happened and what would you do now?

:37:29.:37:32.

How will you deal with the considerable challenges, most

:37:33.:37:36.

particularly Brexit? The Queen, as she always is, will be closely

:37:37.:37:39.

interested in those answers because she maintains a close interest, a

:37:40.:37:45.

nonexecutive head of state she may be but she has this vast experience

:37:46.:37:53.

stretching back now for these 63, 64 years across the 12 other prime

:37:54.:37:57.

ministers with whom she has dealt. So she will perhaps be able to offer

:37:58.:38:04.

that little bit of calming to a Prime Minister facing very

:38:05.:38:06.

considerable challenges within her own party, her own parliament and

:38:07.:38:12.

within Europe, dealing with Brexit. For the Queen, of course, there is

:38:13.:38:16.

the business of state to be handled today. She will be going to Windsor

:38:17.:38:21.

and there is one other event that will be in her horizon, that is

:38:22.:38:28.

tomorrow, the 96th birthday of her husband, the Duke of Edinburgh. They

:38:29.:38:32.

will celebrate that family event at Windsor. But that is the apparatus

:38:33.:38:37.

of ceremonial London and the significant events, Trooping the

:38:38.:38:41.

Colour, the Queen's Birthday Parade taking place a week tomorrow,

:38:42.:38:45.

followed two days later by the State Opening of Parliament which, as you

:38:46.:38:49.

have said, will be non-ceremonial, not least because after Trooping the

:38:50.:38:54.

Colour on Saturday the 17th it has been concluded that the Footguards,

:38:55.:38:59.

Horse Guards and the rest will not have the opportunity to rehearse for

:39:00.:39:03.

the State opening enough, that is one of the particular reasons why on

:39:04.:39:06.

this occasion it is being done in this non-ceremonial way. So there we

:39:07.:39:11.

can see this aerial shot of Buckingham Palace and we can see

:39:12.:39:15.

that the crowds have certainly thinned from the front of the Paras,

:39:16.:39:21.

-- Palace, there are considerable crowds here at this time every year

:39:22.:39:25.

when they watch the changing of the guard. They have largely dispersed

:39:26.:39:30.

but there are some left, particularly clustered around the

:39:31.:39:34.

North Centre gate which is the way in which visitors generally low in

:39:35.:39:41.

across the forecourt and in. What are we, I would say we are about 15

:39:42.:39:47.

minutes into this audience so far. Perhaps another, who knows, 50

:39:48.:39:51.

minutes ago. Thank you, Nick Witchell. Let's go back to Downing

:39:52.:39:56.

Street if I can, I think they are preparing for a prime ministerial

:39:57.:40:01.

statement. The lectern, the podium is in place in its usual place

:40:02.:40:08.

outside the door of number ten. At least, Jo, we know there will be a

:40:09.:40:12.

statement is expected? We have talked about that. Just think back

:40:13.:40:16.

if you weeks ago, the last time we saw a Lachie Turner unexpectedly, I

:40:17.:40:21.

suppose we expected this time, which appeared outside number ten was, of

:40:22.:40:24.

course, when Theresa May announced the snap election night she said she

:40:25.:40:29.

would never call -- the last time we saw a lectern. I will not call a

:40:30.:40:34.

snap election is what she said. I cannot tell you the rush and the

:40:35.:40:38.

fury around newsrooms when we saw that lectern going up outside number

:40:39.:40:41.

ten. If I remember rightly it was not a prime ministerial one at that

:40:42.:40:46.

stage, it was the party, that is what led to was thinking it would be

:40:47.:40:50.

a call for a snap election. Let's stay on this. My next contribution

:40:51.:40:57.

is rather relevant as we look at the door of number ten. George Osborne,

:40:58.:41:01.

who is editor of the London Evening Standard, has written this in his

:41:02.:41:04.

editorial today talking about this notion of confidence and supply,

:41:05.:41:09.

that is the technical term for the Democratic Unionist supporting the

:41:10.:41:13.

Conservatives. He says the confidence in her leadership is

:41:14.:41:17.

precisely what the British people failed to give her, and supply will

:41:18.:41:21.

mean London taxpayers sending yet more money to Northern Ireland. In

:41:22.:41:25.

this topsy-turvy world, decisions that affect London will be taking in

:41:26.:41:31.

Belfast. He is not pulling any punches, Andy? He is having a lovely

:41:32.:41:34.

time. He is editor of Evening Standard but I think he has been

:41:35.:41:38.

caught slightly by surprise by the events of the last few weeks and

:41:39.:41:42.

months. Had he stayed in the House of Commons, we would be talking

:41:43.:41:46.

about him as a future Conservative leader. He got out, he is in the

:41:47.:41:50.

wrong place just as Ruth Davidson was in the wrong place at the rump

:41:51.:41:54.

Parliament if she wants to lead the Conservative Party in the UK. -- the

:41:55.:41:59.

wrong place in the wrong parliament. David Miliband in the wrong

:42:00.:42:04.

continent. If you look further down in the editorial George Osborne says

:42:05.:42:08.

it is not a sustainable position and the paper were subjected to close

:42:09.:42:11.

scrutiny. The other people who will be scrutinised will be the DDP.

:42:12.:42:16.

Peter, you will know that in this minority governments the people who

:42:17.:42:19.

seem to be propping up a government commenting enormous scrutiny

:42:20.:42:23.

themselves, as do their policies. -- the other people who will be

:42:24.:42:29.

scrutinised will be the DUP. The last seats, the Huffington Post say

:42:30.:42:33.

that the early tip about Labour taking Kensington is correct. Labour

:42:34.:42:37.

was ahead by more than 20 boats on the secondary cap. That is a real

:42:38.:42:49.

turn up. Kensington goes Labour! They will be quite rightly hailing

:42:50.:42:55.

that is a big victory. -- is a big victory. It has not been confirmed,

:42:56.:43:00.

but if that is the case they will claim that is a big victory. Let's

:43:01.:43:06.

go to Laura in Downing Street. Some thoughts on what the Prime Minister

:43:07.:43:09.

will need to do in the statement she will deliver within the next 15

:43:10.:43:15.

minutes or so. I think she has to strike a very different tone and

:43:16.:43:18.

close to when we saw a glimpse of her at her Maidenhead counter in the

:43:19.:43:23.

early hours of the morning. At that stage she looked visibly shocked and

:43:24.:43:28.

hurting from the results. The expectation the Tories had being

:43:29.:43:33.

turned on their head. If this is to work and if she is to be able to

:43:34.:43:36.

stay for a dignified period of time she needs to walk back in and look

:43:37.:43:43.

like she is in charge of the moment. She is not in charge of a majority

:43:44.:43:47.

but she needs to come back and look like the Prime Minister that she has

:43:48.:43:51.

just told the Queen she hopes to be in terms of forming a government. It

:43:52.:43:56.

is not that long ago since we had the formal coalition in 2010. Even

:43:57.:44:01.

at that stage, even though David Cameron never had a majority and he

:44:02.:44:06.

had to rely hugely on the Liberal Democrats, his supporters at the

:44:07.:44:10.

time would say he looked the part, he always looked confident and made

:44:11.:44:14.

what he described at the time is an open and expansive offer to the

:44:15.:44:18.

Liberal Democrats, and with confidence strode into a very

:44:19.:44:25.

different era of politics. Theresa May has to, to reassure her own

:44:26.:44:29.

party and stop the sniping about this terrible results, she has to

:44:30.:44:33.

come back and look like she is in charge. Given the personal defeat

:44:34.:44:37.

that this is for her, although she of course is still the leader of the

:44:38.:44:41.

largest party, that is quite some task.

:44:42.:44:50.

Let's bring in Andrew Neil at Westminster, your thoughts, Andrew?

:44:51.:44:53.

I think the big unknown is that we do not know the nature of the deal

:44:54.:44:57.

that the Prime Minister has done with the DUP. We know it is not a

:44:58.:45:01.

formal coalition of the sort that Mr Cameron had with Mr Clegg and the

:45:02.:45:05.

Lib Dems, but we know some kind of deal has been done. We do not know

:45:06.:45:09.

what she has given away, what she has agreed to in order to get the

:45:10.:45:14.

support of the ten DUP members and give her and all but working

:45:15.:45:20.

majority. Nor do we know, the atmospherics, it is not just the

:45:21.:45:24.

arithmetic, but Mrs May will seem not just to the country but the

:45:25.:45:28.

Conservative Party a diminished figure in British politics. Maybe

:45:29.:45:32.

even the walking wounded by some. Several Conservatives have said to

:45:33.:45:36.

me this morning in the course of the broadcast that they do not see her

:45:37.:45:41.

running another election campaign, that they will not let her run

:45:42.:45:45.

another election campaign after what has happened. So as they scrabble to

:45:46.:45:49.

put together a minority government or a government that can survive a

:45:50.:45:54.

hung parliament for a while, the future is still very uncertain for

:45:55.:45:55.

this Conservative government. Nicholas Witchel is still with us, I

:45:56.:46:07.

am wondering, I am seeing some staff in the courtyard, I'm wondering if

:46:08.:46:13.

we might be getting to the point where Mrs made's departure could be

:46:14.:46:21.

imminent. -- Mrs May. I would think not for the next few minutes, this

:46:22.:46:25.

is one of the Escort vehicles but to the left you can see one of the

:46:26.:46:33.

footmen who is looking out of the victor. The Prime Minister's car to

:46:34.:46:39.

the left. They are standing there ready to open the door when she does

:46:40.:46:44.

come out. We have been trying to see whether the motorcyclists who are in

:46:45.:46:48.

the outer forecourt, they don't seem to be starting up yet. We are about

:46:49.:46:56.

22 minutes in... There is Wing Commander Sam Fletcher, the

:46:57.:47:08.

equerries. And there we are. And as you said, the Prime Minister

:47:09.:47:11.

emerging after an audience of 20 minutes or so with the time almost

:47:12.:47:18.

ten to one this Friday after the general election and Theresa May has

:47:19.:47:21.

been to have an audience with Her Majesty the Queen as she faces a

:47:22.:47:28.

hung parliament and intends to carry on as the primaries that at the head

:47:29.:47:32.

of the Conservative administration with the head of support on a vote

:47:33.:47:38.

to vote bases, not any formal grounds of the DUP in Northern

:47:39.:47:41.

Ireland. But we have no idea what kind of deal has been struck and

:47:42.:47:45.

what assurances have been given and no idea of the basis on which any

:47:46.:47:50.

agreement has been reached. Maybe the pie Minister will shed some

:47:51.:47:55.

light on that when she gets back -- Prime Minister. She will soon be

:47:56.:48:02.

delivering a message which is meant to convince and reassure people. She

:48:03.:48:09.

will. And as Laura was saying, it is all about demeanour, the way she

:48:10.:48:16.

presents herself. If she wants to carry on as Prime Minister, she

:48:17.:48:20.

needs to look and sound like one and put to one side or the self doubt

:48:21.:48:25.

and shock of the night and come out fighting and it will be interesting

:48:26.:48:29.

to see if she can deliver that kind of speech. She is a much less

:48:30.:48:35.

practice figure in that sense than David Cameron or Tony Blair so can

:48:36.:48:43.

she raised her game rhetorically and in terms of demeanour? She is not

:48:44.:48:49.

known for being agile from her performances at PMQs and some may

:48:50.:48:52.

argue the fact that she did not take part in the TV debates, that another

:48:53.:48:57.

example of her perhaps showing away from having to think on her feet in

:48:58.:49:01.

that way and you said earlier, Peter, that she likes to be in the

:49:02.:49:07.

arena of being prepared. She will have had some time to think about

:49:08.:49:10.

this, particularly if it is relatively short. She is speaking to

:49:11.:49:19.

the markets, to the Tory body, swing voters, MPs. An authority will count

:49:20.:49:24.

a lot here. And in human terms sheet must be worn out -- she must be one

:49:25.:49:31.

out. It is bad enough if things go well but after these shocks, in

:49:32.:49:36.

human terms you can only sympathise. We were talking about Kensington,

:49:37.:49:43.

three words we would not associate, Labour gain Kensington. That has

:49:44.:49:51.

been confirmed. The car passing through Admiralty Arch into

:49:52.:49:54.

Trafalgar Square and turning into Whitehall. And going past a lot of

:49:55.:50:03.

the big government offices including Adrien Admiralty House on the right.

:50:04.:50:12.

We mentioned that earlier with the security crisis in the 90s. And I'm

:50:13.:50:16.

bound to say it past the Wales Office! The Ministry of Defence on

:50:17.:50:25.

the left. Thank you, can we stop this now! And soon turning right...

:50:26.:50:31.

The red Lion pub! I knew you would mention that! And turning into

:50:32.:50:36.

Downing Street and we will see the Prime Minister emerging from the car

:50:37.:50:39.

and making that statement straightway before going back into

:50:40.:50:43.

Downing Street to maybe complete the calls about the formation the new

:50:44.:50:49.

government. Laura Coombs but it in Downing

:50:50.:50:53.

-- Laura Kuenssberg. She is arriving now, we expect that she will confirm

:50:54.:51:01.

that she will stay on as Prime Minister with some form of

:51:02.:51:06.

arrangement with the DUP, not the scenario she had dreams of or that

:51:07.:51:13.

she hoped for. She exits the car with her husband, who is putting a

:51:14.:51:20.

rather grim face on it and she gets out to walk up to the podium. Only

:51:21.:51:27.

seven weeks since she stood at that podium and announced the snap

:51:28.:51:31.

election which she had said would not happen, the election that she

:51:32.:51:35.

changed her mind about. And how any human being in her vision must

:51:36.:51:38.

regret that decision. Here she is. I have just been to see Her Majesty

:51:39.:51:52.

the Queen. And I will now form a government, a government that can

:51:53.:51:57.

provide certainty and lead Britain forward at this critical time for

:51:58.:52:02.

our country. This government will guide the country through the

:52:03.:52:05.

crucial Brexit talks that begin in just ten days and deliver on the

:52:06.:52:12.

will of the British people by taking the United Kingdom out of the

:52:13.:52:16.

European Union. It will work to keep our nation safe and secure by

:52:17.:52:23.

delivering the change that I set out following the appalling attacks in

:52:24.:52:26.

Manchester and London. Cracking down on the ideology of Islamist

:52:27.:52:32.

extremism and all those who support it and giving the police and the

:52:33.:52:37.

authorities the powers they need to keep our country safe. The

:52:38.:52:43.

government I lead will put fairness and opportunity at the heart of

:52:44.:52:49.

everything we do. So that we will fulfil the promise of Brexit

:52:50.:52:54.

together and, over the next five years, filled a country in which no

:52:55.:53:00.

one and no community is left behind -- build a country. A country in

:53:01.:53:06.

which prosperity and opportunity are shared right across this United

:53:07.:53:11.

Kingdom. What the country needs more than ever is certainty and having

:53:12.:53:17.

secured the largest number of votes and the greatest number of seats in

:53:18.:53:20.

the general election it is clear that only the Conservative and

:53:21.:53:27.

Unionist Party has the legitimacy and ability to provide that

:53:28.:53:30.

certainty by commanding majority the House of Commons. As we do, we will

:53:31.:53:38.

continue to work with our friends and allies in the Democratic

:53:39.:53:41.

Unionist Party in particular will stop our two parties have enjoyed a

:53:42.:53:46.

strong relationship over many years and this gives me the confidence to

:53:47.:53:51.

believe that we will be able to work together in the interests of the

:53:52.:53:55.

whole United Kingdom. This will allow us to come together as a

:53:56.:54:02.

country and channel our energies towards a successful Brexit deal

:54:03.:54:05.

that works for everybody in the country, securing a new partnership

:54:06.:54:10.

with the EU which guarantees our long-term prosperity. That is what

:54:11.:54:14.

people voted for last June, that is what we will deliver, now let's get

:54:15.:54:25.

to work. The Prime Minister making a brief statement on the threshold of

:54:26.:54:30.

Downing Street and really, Andrew Marr, I'm trying to make out that it

:54:31.:54:37.

is business as usual. I thought the most important thing she said is

:54:38.:54:40.

that she would carry on the Brexit negotiations as planned on the

:54:41.:54:44.

timetable, having heard these voices from the continent saying to delay

:54:45.:54:50.

things but she is saying no, we are going ahead on the original

:54:51.:54:55.

timetable which strongly suggests that David Davies remained as Brexit

:54:56.:54:58.

secretary and the plans remain as they were. The rest of it is

:54:59.:55:02.

repeating of campaign slogans, unspecific, but the reference to the

:55:03.:55:07.

Conservative and Unionist Party which they don't often say. That was

:55:08.:55:12.

a very pointed reference because it is a commission of the situation she

:55:13.:55:16.

is in and she said it in a way that I thought she was dragged to say to

:55:17.:55:19.

everybody, and that is a natural thing, a natural fit -- she was

:55:20.:55:26.

trying to say. A natural fit to have the Conservatives and the DUP

:55:27.:55:30.

together in these negotiations and the government. And not even the

:55:31.:55:36.

most glancing reference to what happened in the campaign. If you

:55:37.:55:41.

keep it short and to the point, you just look ahead. She must have said

:55:42.:55:44.

certainty at least half a dozen times. Not even glancing reference

:55:45.:55:52.

to performance. No, it has played to her strengths and that is hers, she

:55:53.:55:56.

always says that she gets on with what is put in front of let's get to

:55:57.:56:00.

work, that will be her new trademark. It was brave and quite

:56:01.:56:07.

impressive. Fairness and opportunity, echoes of course of the

:56:08.:56:11.

first speech that she made at the time. People will make of that what

:56:12.:56:16.

they will, fairness and opportunity for the whole divinity, working for

:56:17.:56:19.

everyone, all those statement she made when she stood there -- for the

:56:20.:56:26.

whole community. Laura is there for us. A pretty grim faced Theresa May

:56:27.:56:33.

but emphasising that word she used throughout the campaign, certainty.

:56:34.:56:38.

Not giving any more details of how she would work with the DUP, she

:56:39.:56:43.

said they will continue to work with friends and allies, suggesting as we

:56:44.:56:46.

expected that the arrangement between them will be very loose,

:56:47.:56:50.

nothing formal at all. One wonders therefore in the rough-and-tumble of

:56:51.:56:56.

the next few months, perhaps the next few weeks, how the bonds

:56:57.:56:59.

between those parties might be tested. I think in terms of getting

:57:00.:57:05.

back her composure, certainly it was a very different Theresa May to the

:57:06.:57:10.

one we saw standing at her count in Maidenhead when she looked almost

:57:11.:57:15.

broken by the result is the picture was emerging overnight. No question,

:57:16.:57:19.

she might have walked back in as Prime Minister but she walks back

:57:20.:57:24.

into number ten are diminished figure, a politically damaged

:57:25.:57:27.

figure, still Prime Minister but for quite how long? And given that we

:57:28.:57:33.

are talking about her status and position as Prime Minister, a

:57:34.:57:37.

thought on the event this afternoon and how soon you think we will be in

:57:38.:57:40.

a position to hear her confirming who is in and out the Cabinet? I

:57:41.:57:46.

think that any plans she might have had for our bold reshuffle, moving

:57:47.:57:53.

her neighbour out of number 11 or making big switches around in the

:57:54.:57:57.

top team, I would expect, and I'm speculating, that she would be

:57:58.:58:03.

encouraged against making any big changes. Her diminished stature of

:58:04.:58:07.

course gives more power to the rest of the people around the Cabinet

:58:08.:58:12.

table. She needs their backing, it has been conspicuous, really

:58:13.:58:18.

conspicuous this morning, that whether by accident or design and I

:58:19.:58:22.

suspect design while the situation with fluid, we have not seen the cam

:58:23.:58:27.

and administers coming to her defence publicly, silence instead --

:58:28.:58:33.

the Cabinet ministers. They have not put a ring of steel around Theresa

:58:34.:58:38.

May and I expect she will certainly be called on to change her style and

:58:39.:58:46.

expand her circle, to rely on more people also I think that will have

:58:47.:58:49.

an impact on the scale of her reshuffle. We might well find that

:58:50.:58:54.

all she does is replace those who have lost their jobs with people

:58:55.:59:00.

further down the ranks. Don't forget overnight she lost eight ministers,

:59:01.:59:05.

only one Cabinet minister, Ben Gummer, and what a metaphor, the

:59:06.:59:07.

minister in charge of coordinating the manifesto, the manifesto that

:59:08.:59:14.

for many people appears to have been such a part of the root of all of

:59:15.:59:20.

the Tories' disaster overnight. Quite a strange situation, the

:59:21.:59:23.

leader of the biggest party, with the biggest share of the votes but

:59:24.:59:27.

so diminished by the decision of the British people who did not like what

:59:28.:59:32.

they saw. And finally, we are looking at a House of Commons that

:59:33.:59:36.

will look very different with a different character, what are your

:59:37.:59:40.

thoughts on how it will conduct itself in the weeks and months to

:59:41.:59:45.

come? It will be fascinating to see, how will Jeremy Corbyn responds to

:59:46.:59:50.

his new-found strength? Will he reached out to his prominent

:59:51.:59:55.

critics, many of whom have real experience in the front bench? Will

:59:56.:59:59.

he strengthen in that way? How will the SNB behave without their

:00:00.:00:03.

dominant leader in Westminster, Angus Robertson, one of the biggest

:00:04.:00:10.

scalps -- the SNP. We are in for all sorts of interesting elements as the

:00:11.:00:14.

political Rubiks cube turns around with new faces and patterns emerging

:00:15.:00:18.

but one thing I would say is that it will not be straightforward.

:00:19.:00:23.

Thank you, Laura. The one o'clock News, by the way, follows very

:00:24.:00:30.

shortly with Sophie Raworth, we just added a few more minutes for us to

:00:31.:00:34.

really undermine the magnitude of what has happened overnight, and

:00:35.:00:37.

that's being underlined by some of the responses from conservatives.

:00:38.:00:42.

Despite the fact that Theresa May says the largest party of the

:00:43.:00:46.

largest number of votes, we have Tories like Heidi Allen, we as

:00:47.:00:50.

Conservatives will learn from this, we will listen, collaborate more and

:00:51.:00:54.

demonstrate greater vision and compassion for all. We had to

:00:55.:00:58.

change. With the emphasis on the have. It is not lost on anyone that

:00:59.:01:04.

Heidi Allen has opposed her own Government in the past as a

:01:05.:01:08.

backbench MP on some of the measures that she felt were too harsh, this

:01:09.:01:12.

is the type of pressure that will come to bear. In the weeks to come

:01:13.:01:17.

and when legislation is put before the house. That is just one, we have

:01:18.:01:22.

heard from Sarah Wolviston already. These people will not remain quiet.

:01:23.:01:26.

Low blow both of the main parties badly shaken or changed in many

:01:27.:01:31.

ways, I am stripping compared with Peter but I have followed the House

:01:32.:01:36.

of Commons since 1984 and I think it will be the most interesting

:01:37.:01:40.

parliament of my political lifetime -- I am a stripling compared to

:01:41.:01:44.

Peter. She was timed in modest to say so but we had to pay more

:01:45.:01:48.

attention to Laura Kuenssberg! I think that is good advice. Peter,

:01:49.:01:55.

your thoughts after the last 15 hours? One of the greatest upsets

:01:56.:02:02.

since the Second World War which will be scarred and seared in the

:02:03.:02:07.

memories of the country forever because of the atrocities at

:02:08.:02:11.

Manchester and London Bridge. Andreu, Jo and Peter, I want to

:02:12.:02:16.

thank you. I am bound to thank Emily and her team. Thank you to John

:02:17.:02:20.

Curtice, Jeremy Vine and their teams as well. It is not just those in the

:02:21.:02:25.

studio, an army outside the studio performs all sorts of vital tasks.

:02:26.:02:31.

Without that, we would not be on air. It is not just in the BBC

:02:32.:02:39.

Election Centre, it is all of us, thank you very much. It has been a

:02:40.:02:44.

remarkable 15 hours and I don't think anyone expected to be in this

:02:45.:02:48.

position, least of all Theresa May, who went into at the majority and

:02:49.:02:53.

has come with no majority, a hung parliament, she will have to depend

:02:54.:02:57.

on an informal deal. Stumbling along, as her opponents would say,

:02:58.:03:02.

with the Democratic Unionists. A hung parliament with many questions

:03:03.:03:07.

to be answered. Coverage continues on the BBC News Channel, the BBC

:03:08.:03:14.

News at one is coming up, but I will leave you with some of the enduring

:03:15.:03:17.

words and images of the last 15 hours.

:03:18.:03:19.

It is the third time in just over two McCready is that we have come to

:03:20.:03:23.

discover the result of the major UK wide poll. -- in just over two

:03:24.:03:30.

years. Will the Conservatives get the seats they need to win outright

:03:31.:03:35.

or will Labour close the gap? Never before have we gone into an election

:03:36.:03:41.

with such diverse prediction. By the magic of psephology we can predict

:03:42.:03:44.

what we think has happened tonight. And what we are saying is that the

:03:45.:03:50.

Conservatives are the largest party. They don't have an overall majority

:03:51.:03:54.

at this stage. The Conservative Party have lost their overall

:03:55.:03:59.

majority and will be short by 12 votes, 12 MP short. If these numbers

:04:00.:04:03.

are correct than Theresa May has played a high risk political gain

:04:04.:04:07.

and it appears she may have lost a gamble. The reaction from senior

:04:08.:04:12.

Conservatives, I have talked to a few, is they flatly do not believe

:04:13.:04:15.

it. It will give enormous power to

:04:16.:04:18.

Jeremy Corbyn, not just in parliament but within his party.

:04:19.:04:23.

The pound is down around 2% already against the dollar, it is down

:04:24.:04:30.

against the euro. Boy, old boy, oh boy, will we be hung, drawn and

:04:31.:04:37.

quartered if this is wrong?! Chi Onwurah, Labour Party, 24000 and 71.

:04:38.:04:47.

It is the first sign of the night that maybe the country will drift

:04:48.:04:51.

from the Conservatives to the Labour Party. I don't know what has

:04:52.:04:54.

happened to Sunderland, they were beavering away but nothing seems to

:04:55.:04:58.

have happened. All those white grubs that running around. Julie Elliott

:04:59.:05:03.

has been elected to serve as member for the said constituency.

:05:04.:05:06.

Immediately better for the Conservatives than the exit poll

:05:07.:05:11.

suggested, worse for labour than the exit polls suggested. We are getting

:05:12.:05:26.

really conflicting signals. Help me with the technology for a moment, it

:05:27.:05:29.

does not matter if we see you! Gobbler we will need anywhere to the

:05:30.:05:31.

caveat soon. The SNP are on 34 seats, they would lose 12. A real

:05:32.:05:34.

triumph the Ruth Davidson. It is much less likely we will see another

:05:35.:05:36.

Scottish independence referendum any time soon. No election is complete

:05:37.:05:39.

without the swingometer, where is it?!

:05:40.:05:50.

Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrats, 19700 and 56. In politics, you live by the

:05:51.:05:55.

sword and you die by the sword. The electorate gives with one hand and

:05:56.:06:00.

takes away with the other. Will you come back into active politics? I

:06:01.:06:05.

would have absolutely no choice but to do exactly that.

:06:06.:06:09.

I am standing down today as the leader of UKIP with immediate

:06:10.:06:16.

effect. Extraordinary, Labour has done serious damage to Conservative

:06:17.:06:19.

seats in England. The worst possible outcome would be a hung parliament.

:06:20.:06:23.

I would have thought that is enough to go, actually. Contrast that with

:06:24.:06:29.

the face of Theresa May, the look of a woman defeated, heavily made up as

:06:30.:06:34.

if she had been in tears earlier. At this time, more than anything else,

:06:35.:06:38.

this country needs a period of stability. Are you still a moron?

:06:39.:06:45.

Jeremy has performed better than anybody, probably even Jeremy,

:06:46.:06:49.

expected he would, and Theresa May has performed infinitely worse. She

:06:50.:06:53.

has to content with the absolute horror of her party. She has to

:06:54.:06:58.

consider her position. We have tried to get Boris Johnson to talk to us,

:06:59.:07:04.

no. David Davis, no. Philip Hammond to talk to us, went to his count,

:07:05.:07:12.

no. Senior figures in the Tory party, keeping Stumpf.

:07:13.:07:23.

It looks as though our forecast will prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in

:07:24.:07:27.

the end the most accurate exit poll yet. It is a hung parliament, that

:07:28.:07:33.

is the story. Nobody has won, who is best to form

:07:34.:07:37.

a stable government in the interest of the people? We believe the Labour

:07:38.:07:42.

Party. Theresa May has no intention whatsoever of resigning, she will be

:07:43.:07:46.

than a couple of hours to go to Buckingham Palace to seek permission

:07:47.:07:50.

from the Queen to form a government, and the way we understand she will

:07:51.:07:54.

do that is with assurances from the Ulster Unionists that they will see

:07:55.:08:03.

her through in Parliament. Not a formal coalition but an

:08:04.:08:05.

informal understanding between the Conservatives and the Democratic

:08:06.:08:06.

Unionist Party. I hope that the result of the

:08:07.:08:10.

election will have no major impact on the negotiations we are

:08:11.:08:14.

desperately waiting for. The government IVF will put -- the

:08:15.:08:17.

government I read will put fairness and opportunity at the heart of

:08:18.:08:22.

everything we do so that we will fulfil the promise of Brexit

:08:23.:08:27.

together, and over the next five years, build a country in which no

:08:28.:08:30.

one and no community is left behind. I've had enough...

:08:31.:08:38.

..alternative facts. here to help you

:08:39.:08:44.

get the facts straight. Search online,

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:08:54.:08:57.

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