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Welcome to HARDtalk. I'm Stephen Sackur. | :00:00. | :00:09. | |
There's a faultline that lies beneath much of the current | :00:10. | :00:12. | |
turmoil in the Middle East, and it runs between Riyadh and Tehran. | :00:13. | :00:17. | |
Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shia Iran are locked | :00:18. | :00:20. | |
It's a dangerous and costly struggle for regional | :00:21. | :00:26. | |
supremacy that weaves from Lebanon to Yemen by way of Syria and Iraq. | :00:27. | :00:34. | |
My guests today are Mohammad Marandi in Tehran, | :00:35. | :00:36. | |
Both respected clinical analysts. -- political. | :00:37. | :00:46. | |
Is there any way to take the heat out of the Saudi-Iranian | :00:47. | :00:49. | |
Mohammad Marandi in Tehran and Jamal Khashoggi in Jeddah, welcome to | :00:50. | :01:31. | |
HARDtalk. Let me start with a simple question for both of you. Relations | :01:32. | :01:34. | |
between the two countries are currently toxic. Diplomatic | :01:35. | :01:38. | |
relations have been severed. Mohammad Marandi first, is this | :01:39. | :01:43. | |
something the Iranians government deliberately wanted, set out to | :01:44. | :01:49. | |
achieve, or is this crisis in relations something that has | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
happened by accident? I think definitely the Iranians did not want | :01:55. | :01:59. | |
to break relations. The Iranians believe the Saudis have been showing | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
erratic behaviour for quite a long time. A few months ago, hundreds of | :02:06. | :02:12. | |
uranium pilgrims died during the Hajj pilgrimage. Because of sad in | :02:13. | :02:18. | |
competence. The Saudis not only did not apologise but did not show | :02:19. | :02:23. | |
remorse or express condolences. This angered Iranians a great deal. The | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
Iranians did not break off relations, the Saudis on the other | :02:28. | :02:36. | |
hand after the beheading of Nimr al-Nimr, who never carried arms, | :02:37. | :02:42. | |
people in Iran became angry, and some people went to win NBC -- went | :02:43. | :02:50. | |
to an embassy. They did the wrong thing, and a senior official was | :02:51. | :02:57. | |
dismissed. They threw stones and a firebomb, and the Saudis cut off | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
relations. When we compare the two incidents, it is obvious that the | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
Iranians are the ones who have shown patience, as they showed a few | :03:07. | :03:10. | |
months ago, and the Saudis, the belief here, is that the Saudis want | :03:11. | :03:17. | |
confrontation. Jamal Khashoggi, you have heard the Iranians narrative | :03:18. | :03:21. | |
presented by Mohammad Marandi, does that match what you perceive to be | :03:22. | :03:32. | |
reality? It was the straw that broke the back of a sour political | :03:33. | :03:35. | |
relationship that lasted many years. It only started because of Iranians | :03:36. | :03:42. | |
expansion. This fighting and killing Syrians, the political process in | :03:43. | :03:54. | |
Yemen, those and others led to a falling apart of peace. It would be | :03:55. | :04:01. | |
better if the Iranians got their hatred out of Syria, sat with us, | :04:02. | :04:07. | |
and talked peace. If they cannot do that, just get out of the Middle | :04:08. | :04:12. | |
East, go back to Iran, and let us fix the middle east along with | :04:13. | :04:16. | |
Turkey, Pakistan, and the international community, because it | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
has become so dangerous for all of us. All we need is for the Iranians | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
to stop meddling in the middle east. If laugh life were that simple. You | :04:27. | :04:32. | |
raised many points about different theatres of conflict in the region. | :04:33. | :04:37. | |
We will have to take them one by one. Before we get to external | :04:38. | :04:40. | |
issues, but stick with Saudi Arabia for a moment. Your government | :04:41. | :04:46. | |
beheaded 47 people at the beginning of this year, including the senior | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
Shia cleric and dissident Nimr al-Nimr. The decision to do that was | :04:52. | :04:58. | |
obviously taken consciously knowing it would infuriate, enrage and | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
provoke Tehran. I come back to this point about countries | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
decision-making. Why did the Saudis see fit to do that at this | :05:07. | :05:14. | |
particular time? If I want to give a reason why we executed Nimr al-Nimr, | :05:15. | :05:18. | |
I have to give a reason why we executed the other 46 people | :05:19. | :05:26. | |
implicated of terrorism. Some of them are also linked to Al Qaeda, | :05:27. | :05:31. | |
important leaders to Al Qaeda. They were all tried and were caught. It | :05:32. | :05:41. | |
is hypocritical to talk about execution of violent preachers while | :05:42. | :05:48. | |
Iran is doing the same thing. They have executed 200 people. They have | :05:49. | :06:03. | |
a law to execute someone who endangered the state. If they can do | :06:04. | :06:08. | |
it, why can't we do it? This is the law. It is a point I will put to | :06:09. | :06:16. | |
Mohammad Marandi. It is a bit rich, is it not, of the Iranians, Angelo | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
Foreign Minister in the New York Times are specially, to say the | :06:22. | :06:27. | |
Saudi actions, the executions, were an act of barbarism, then say Saudi | :06:28. | :06:36. | |
Arabia has a choice, it can continue promoting sectarian hatred, or it | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
can choose to play a constructive role in promoting regional | :06:41. | :06:44. | |
stability, as if Iran does not execute people, as if Iran does not | :06:45. | :06:50. | |
play sectarian politics in the region just as Saudi Arabia does. | :06:51. | :06:54. | |
What hypocrisy from your government! Well, I think most | :06:55. | :07:02. | |
objective observers would know there is no comparison between Iran and | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia first of all has a wishing that promotes an | :07:08. | :07:13. | |
extreme ideology that should not be exhibited to Sunni is them -- | :07:14. | :07:20. | |
regime. Textbooks speak of discrimination and believe that | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
those who do not believe the ideology of Muhammad are not real | :07:25. | :07:28. | |
Muslims, and that in many incidences, we see the Saudis | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
justified the death of people and minorities because of that. It is | :07:33. | :07:38. | |
interesting that Islamic state, Al Qaeda and other extremist groups use | :07:39. | :07:41. | |
the same textbooks used in Saudi Arabia. They use them to teach. That | :07:42. | :07:55. | |
is why we see the UCD-- Yazidis destroyed. It was the Iranians who | :07:56. | :08:07. | |
saved people from IS attacks. There is no comparison. Iran is opposed to | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
sectarianism. It does not exist in our text books. We have Christian | :08:13. | :08:18. | |
MPs. That is dangerous territory you are on giving the record of Iranian | :08:19. | :08:23. | |
leaders of a recent vintage Austin in the Holocaust and coming out with | :08:24. | :08:27. | |
various anti-Semitic words and phrases. If you suggest that Iran is | :08:28. | :08:34. | |
an entirely nonsectarian regime with leaders who are committed to | :08:35. | :08:37. | |
tolerance and freedom, I will question that clearly. Of course. I | :08:38. | :08:44. | |
would be glad if you tried to question it, but none of the | :08:45. | :08:49. | |
Iranians leaders, past or present, have ever made anti-Semitic remarks. | :08:50. | :09:02. | |
Iran does not equate to those with Zionism -- Judaism. If someone in | :09:03. | :09:12. | |
Iran, Angelo referring to the president, that is one individual | :09:13. | :09:17. | |
and whether we accept the line which he uses, I personally do not like | :09:18. | :09:22. | |
that sort of language, but he never made any anti-Semitic remarks -- and | :09:23. | :09:28. | |
you are referring to the president. With respect to both of you, our | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
viewers can judge for themselves whether they are any comparisons | :09:33. | :09:36. | |
between your government when it comes to sectarianism. We'll have to | :09:37. | :09:41. | |
park that for the moment. Let's talk about the various proxy conflicts | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
that engage in the two governments and upbringing turmoil to the middle | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
east region. Let's start with Syria. Before relations between your two | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
countries were severed, there was some hope this month would say a | :09:55. | :09:58. | |
breakthrough coming together of all the different parties to the Syria | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
conflict, including the President Assad government, rebel | :10:04. | :10:08. | |
representatives, and all of the external powers who have a role to | :10:09. | :10:11. | |
play, including the Saudi and Iranians representatives. From both | :10:12. | :10:15. | |
of your perspectives, given where you are today in the bilateral | :10:16. | :10:20. | |
relationship, is it impossible to believe you to governments can work | :10:21. | :10:24. | |
together to find a solution to Syria? Yes, we should do that, but | :10:25. | :10:36. | |
we do not have militias that fight the Syrian people, the Iranians are | :10:37. | :10:42. | |
doing that. We demand that the Iranians get out of Syria soaking | :10:43. | :10:48. | |
bring peace back to Syria. We brought every single representative | :10:49. | :10:57. | |
from the Syrian people to Riyadh from the Sunnis, the Shias, they | :10:58. | :11:04. | |
were all represented and from the team that would negotiate peace in | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
Geneva. We are supporting the Syrian people. While the Iranians are | :11:10. | :11:17. | |
supporting a dictator. You are supporting Saudi Arabia's money | :11:18. | :11:23. | |
going to one of the key rebel forces. No, no, no. Of course not! | :11:24. | :11:33. | |
The United States, United Kingdom, the international would hold as | :11:34. | :11:40. | |
liable if we send a single gunshot to the al-Nussra front. It is a | :11:41. | :11:56. | |
terrorist organisation. Just as much as Islamic State and Hezbollah. I | :11:57. | :12:02. | |
know many independent observers don't believe that. I wonder how | :12:03. | :12:07. | |
that goes down in Tehran. Last night, I read an interview with the | :12:08. | :12:14. | |
Indian ambassador to Damascus during 2011 and 2012, and he was saying the | :12:15. | :12:24. | |
government in the Persian region were involved in this, and Al Qaeda | :12:25. | :12:27. | |
were involved from the start. He said he spoke about the role Al | :12:28. | :12:32. | |
Jazeera played, but more importantly, let's go to the head of | :12:33. | :12:36. | |
the US defence and intelligence agency at that time, which is this | :12:37. | :12:43. | |
most important organisation, intelligence and military | :12:44. | :12:45. | |
organisation in the United States. He had 20,000 people working for | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
him. A document from that agency basically said they knew from early | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
on in Syria that the dominant groups that were fighting the Syrian | :12:56. | :13:00. | |
government were the extremists. They knew their allies were supporting | :13:01. | :13:03. | |
these governments activity and Saudi Arabia. -- Turkey. They knew there | :13:04. | :13:10. | |
was a strong possibility and extreme estate, including Al Qaeda, | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
remembering that Isil back then was Al Qaeda in Iraq, would be able to | :13:16. | :13:18. | |
form a government of swords between Iraq and Syria. -- sorts. The | :13:19. | :13:24. | |
general feeling did an article on Al Jazeera and admitted the United | :13:25. | :13:28. | |
States took a wilful decision to support its allies in Syria in their | :13:29. | :13:36. | |
pursuit of these policies. United States, the Saudis, the Turks, they | :13:37. | :13:38. | |
were all supporting the extremists. Neither of your government is | :13:39. | :13:47. | |
prepared to tell the truth which is that you are fuelled by paranoia of | :13:48. | :13:52. | |
each other. Despite you telling me you don't believe in sectarian | :13:53. | :13:56. | |
politics, both in Tehran and Riyadh there is a mentality that suggest | :13:57. | :14:02. | |
that if we don't project our power and place, our bitter rivals - of | :14:03. | :14:09. | |
the Saudis -Iranians - depending where you sit, will benefit. Because | :14:10. | :14:15. | |
of that mentality, Yemen, Syria, you could argue Lebanon and Iraq and a | :14:16. | :14:20. | |
host of other theatres of operation too have become this arena for a | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
struggle between your government that red ash that is the truth. If | :14:25. | :14:32. | |
we look at the Iran is supporting, it is supporting exclusively | :14:33. | :14:38. | |
sectarian groups, whether in Syria, in the form of the government of | :14:39. | :14:43. | |
Syria, in Lebanon, in the form of Hezbollah, in Yemen, in the form of | :14:44. | :14:47. | |
the Houthi, who have hijacked the process, why is Saudi Arabia dealing | :14:48. | :14:53. | |
with the people of Syria and Yemen, those who want a better future, who | :14:54. | :14:57. | |
want to build a new Yemen, a sectarian Yemen? (CROSSTALK). Hang | :14:58. | :15:03. | |
on. Let me talk Yemen for a moment. You are propping up President Hadi, | :15:04. | :15:10. | |
who we know, if your bombers, agreement and money were not | :15:11. | :15:13. | |
propping him up, we would be out of the country in no time at all. He | :15:14. | :15:17. | |
isn't the product of a popular movement but he is your puppet. No, | :15:18. | :15:23. | |
President Hadi is the head of a transitional government that was | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
part of a political process which was hijacked by the Houthis and the | :15:28. | :15:33. | |
former dictator of Yemen whom the Iranians are supporting today. | :15:34. | :15:38. | |
Iranians have their favourite dictator in the Middle East, in | :15:39. | :15:44. | |
Assad. In favour of the political process in Yemen we are not against | :15:45. | :15:51. | |
the Houthi because they are Shia but because they hijack the political | :15:52. | :15:56. | |
process. You say we are against the Houthis when the truth is, what you | :15:57. | :16:02. | |
are doing is killing civilians by the thousands. The death toll in | :16:03. | :16:05. | |
Yemen has gone beyond 5000. Many of them are civilians. Even today there | :16:06. | :16:10. | |
is a report of more civilian casualties. In one particular | :16:11. | :16:15. | |
terrible bombing last September more than 130 people were killed in a | :16:16. | :16:20. | |
wedding party. Your bombs are doing the sort of damage that many people | :16:21. | :16:23. | |
around the world would regard as criminal Tom warcrimes. No, no, -- | :16:24. | :16:31. | |
criminal, warcrimes. When they were investigated, it turned out they | :16:32. | :16:35. | |
were targeted by the Houthi bombing. They are starving people in Taez. We | :16:36. | :16:42. | |
are targeting military locations. Hezbollah, the party the Iranians | :16:43. | :16:49. | |
support, they are starving people in Syria, in Madaya. You saw it on the | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
BBC. Let's take a bigger view of this away from the individual | :16:54. | :16:56. | |
theatres of conflict in the region, and lets think about both of your | :16:57. | :16:59. | |
government and your relationship with the US of America. Now, this | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
month is supposed to see the next level of implementation of the | :17:06. | :17:07. | |
nuclear deal between the international powers and Iran. We've | :17:08. | :17:14. | |
just seen in the last 24 hours a serious incident which has been | :17:15. | :17:17. | |
diffused, where an American military personnel appear to have encroached | :17:18. | :17:22. | |
on Iranian territorial waters and have since been released. The | :17:23. | :17:27. | |
relationship between Washington and Tehran is fragile. Mahomet Morandi, | :17:28. | :17:35. | |
do you believe this deal will stick Les --? Obviously they don't, nor do | :17:36. | :17:45. | |
the Israelis, but we have to see. India's recent incident, we saw that | :17:46. | :17:48. | |
the Americans were behaving irresponsibly. -- in this recent | :17:49. | :17:54. | |
incident. They were in Iranian territory when they were immediately | :17:55. | :17:57. | |
arrested by naval forces of the Revolutionary Guard. We saw American | :17:58. | :18:01. | |
ships and an American aircraft carrier behaving aggressively in the | :18:02. | :18:06. | |
region and the Iranians told them to abide by international law and | :18:07. | :18:10. | |
behave more responsibly. Ultimately the Iranians carried out an | :18:11. | :18:13. | |
investigation and saw that there was a problem with a navigation system | :18:14. | :18:18. | |
and they release these people. So I think it is fragile but I think... | :18:19. | :18:23. | |
(CROSSTALK). It is fragile because there are serious players inside | :18:24. | :18:29. | |
Tehran - hardliners, so called - who are suspicious of President Rohani | :18:30. | :18:31. | |
and his agenda of warming relationship with Washington? I | :18:32. | :18:37. | |
don't agree. The political establishment, major players, have | :18:38. | :18:40. | |
agreed to go by this agreement, which parliament has approved, as | :18:41. | :18:45. | |
has the national Security Council with major discussion in Iran about | :18:46. | :18:48. | |
the pros and cons. Ultimately it was approved. I want to take back their | :18:49. | :18:55. | |
thought about America to Khashoggi, here is the work of a former US | :18:56. | :18:58. | |
ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Robert Jordan, who says, the Saudis are | :18:59. | :19:05. | |
feeling a real sense of encirclement right now - they feel abandoned by | :19:06. | :19:09. | |
the Obama Administration. You know that the Iranians Wilbert unfrozen | :19:10. | :19:19. | |
pretty much $100 billion of assets. -- will get. Use either warming of | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
relations and you in Saudi Arabia are deeply worried about it, are you | :19:25. | :19:35. | |
not? yes. It is good to be incorporated into a peaceful Middle | :19:36. | :19:40. | |
East. A different Iran, like Turkey Pakistan, which wants to be part of | :19:41. | :19:45. | |
a peaceful Middle East. But we think it is wrong of the Americans, | :19:46. | :19:51. | |
particularly Mr Obama, to separate between the nuclear issue and | :19:52. | :19:55. | |
Iranians' behaviour in the region. What is a danger to all of peace is | :19:56. | :20:01. | |
the Iranians' behaviour in the region, and the American and | :20:02. | :20:04. | |
international community should put a check on Iran when they do. Look | :20:05. | :20:09. | |
what they are doing in Syria and Yemen, what they are doing hijacking | :20:10. | :20:14. | |
the political system in Lebanon - this is all wrong internationally, | :20:15. | :20:24. | |
for international peace. So, I wish the international community would | :20:25. | :20:26. | |
have consideration and link the nuclear issue to Iranians' behaviour | :20:27. | :20:32. | |
in the Middle East, because it is not great in the Middle East. For | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
both of you it strikes me you are at a fundamentally difficult moment | :20:37. | :20:39. | |
right now. Leave aside all of the conflict we just discussed. You are | :20:40. | :20:43. | |
both under immense economic pressure. That is because of the | :20:44. | :20:47. | |
plummeting price of oil. As we speak today it is around 30 US dollars per | :20:48. | :20:54. | |
barrel. I think in Saudi Arabia you need $100 a barrel to make your | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
budgets work. In Iran, similarly, you need a higher price of oil to | :21:00. | :21:05. | |
dig yourself out of huge annual deficits. Saudi first, when we look | :21:06. | :21:09. | |
at what you are doing today we see a government talking about austerity, | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
we see a deputy crown prince who cites Mrs Thatcher when he talks | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
about imposing cuts on the subsidies it your people are used to, there is | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
also talks of a sales tax, and you have a deficit that is 15% of your | :21:26. | :21:30. | |
national income - you are in crisis right now. No. I don't feel at a | :21:31. | :21:37. | |
crisis. And the Saudi market doesn't feel that crisis. We are going | :21:38. | :21:41. | |
through difficulties. We want to have a bit of Saudi Arabia -- a | :21:42. | :21:47. | |
better Saudi Arabia, a prosperous Saudi Arabia - we all want that. At | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
the same time we have another priority, it is to have a secure | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
Middle East. We cannot allow Iranians to win in Syria and impose | :21:57. | :22:04. | |
a sectarian dictatorship in Syria, not Yemen. I wish we can think of | :22:05. | :22:13. | |
the broader picture. Let's give the final word to Tehran, to Mr Marandi. | :22:14. | :22:18. | |
A return to economics, which in a sense tries everything - Saudi | :22:19. | :22:21. | |
Arabia has pretty much the world's biggest and cheapest to exploit oil | :22:22. | :22:26. | |
reserves, a much more effective oil industry than you do. Your economy | :22:27. | :22:31. | |
already has severe unemployment, high inflation. In the end, | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
economics dictates that Iran is not going to be able to project its | :22:36. | :22:42. | |
power in the way it wants... I think the Iranians have been under | :22:43. | :22:46. | |
sanctions for a number of years and they are not projecting power | :22:47. | :22:49. | |
negatively - they are supporting indigenous groups in different | :22:50. | :22:53. | |
countries. And that is why the Saudis are you losing in Yemen, | :22:54. | :22:59. | |
because they are supporting an unpopular former president whose | :23:00. | :23:02. | |
term in office had expired. The Saudis are supporting extremist E in | :23:03. | :23:08. | |
Syria. I would like to lecture the US and European. The head of, the | :23:09. | :23:16. | |
deputy head of Germany warned Saudi Arabia that they are spreading | :23:17. | :23:22. | |
extremism in Europe -- extremists. And Wahabism. German intelligence | :23:23. | :23:25. | |
said Saudi Arabia is becoming a threat to Europe. This is their | :23:26. | :23:28. | |
allies they invest, not Iran. The real fault is with the US and | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
European to allow Saudi Arabia to export extremism to Afghanistan. And | :23:34. | :23:39. | |
then we had 9/11. We had the explosions in London. They allowed | :23:40. | :23:42. | |
this to happen again over the last couple of years. We saw what | :23:43. | :23:45. | |
happened in Syria and Iraq and now we have the refugees in Europe and | :23:46. | :23:50. | |
the explosions in the US, in Istanbul, people who came from Saudi | :23:51. | :23:55. | |
Arabia and the US. It is the fault of the US for allowing this | :23:56. | :24:00. | |
extremism to be exported from Saudi Arabia - and now the chickens are | :24:01. | :24:03. | |
coming home to roost. We have not had a meeting of minds but we have | :24:04. | :24:07. | |
had an interesting debate. We will have to edit there. Mohammad Marandi | :24:08. | :24:11. | |
and Jamal Khashoggi, thank you both for being on HARDtalk. -- we will | :24:12. | :24:14. | |
have to end it there. We have already seen a fair bit | :24:15. | :24:42. | |
of snow overnight, | :24:43. | :24:46. |