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Now on BBC News, it's
time for HARDtalk. | 0:00:02 | 0:00:04 | |
Welcome to HARDtalk,
I'm Stephen Sackur. | 0:00:08 | 0:00:11 | |
In the spirit of marking his own
homework, President Trump has | 0:00:11 | 0:00:14 | |
already declared his foreign policy
and outstanding success. | 0:00:15 | 0:00:17 | |
So-called Islamic State vanquished,
Iran put on notice, the Middle East | 0:00:17 | 0:00:20 | |
reminded that America sticks
by its friends and | 0:00:20 | 0:00:22 | |
stands up to enemies. | 0:00:22 | 0:00:26 | |
My guest today is Andrew Peek,
Deputy Assistant Secretary | 0:00:26 | 0:00:29 | |
of State, with responsibility
for Iran and Iraq. | 0:00:29 | 0:00:33 | |
Is the Trump presidency
really changing the rules | 0:00:33 | 0:00:35 | |
of the game in the Middle East? | 0:00:35 | 0:00:54 | |
Andrew Peek in Washington, DC,
welcome to HARDtalk. | 0:01:12 | 0:01:15 | |
Thank you so much. | 0:01:15 | 0:01:16 | |
It's great to be here. | 0:01:16 | 0:01:18 | |
If I may, I'm going to begin
with some words of yours, | 0:01:18 | 0:01:21 | |
written right after Donald Trump's
extraordinary election win | 0:01:21 | 0:01:23 | |
back in November 2016. | 0:01:23 | 0:01:24 | |
You said, "America's role
in the world will be fundamentally | 0:01:24 | 0:01:27 | |
altered by this election
and in the middle | 0:01:27 | 0:01:30 | |
East, most of all." | 0:01:30 | 0:01:30 | |
Well, now that you are inside
the State Department, | 0:01:30 | 0:01:33 | |
do you stand by that and in what way
do you think this fundamental | 0:01:33 | 0:01:36 | |
alteration has happened? | 0:01:36 | 0:01:44 | |
Oh, I think there is a lot of common
threads that run through American | 0:01:44 | 0:01:47 | |
foreign policy from one
administration to another. | 0:01:47 | 0:01:49 | |
I think one of the alterations
we saw was that in 2016 | 0:01:49 | 0:01:53 | |
there was a fundamental choice
between a more hawkish foreign | 0:01:53 | 0:01:55 | |
policy, that for the first time,
really in a long time, | 0:01:55 | 0:01:58 | |
was offered by the Democrats. | 0:01:58 | 0:02:01 | |
And a more restrained foreign policy
that was offered by Donald Trump, | 0:02:01 | 0:02:05 | |
who sought to conserve American
resources while still accomplishing | 0:02:05 | 0:02:07 | |
a vital aims, kind of in the wake
of the excesses of the Iraq war | 0:02:07 | 0:02:11 | |
in 2003 and perhaps,
the Libyan and Syrian interventions | 0:02:11 | 0:02:14 | |
and nonintervention you know,
respectively in 2011. | 0:02:14 | 0:02:15 | |
I think there's been a different
approach to the region. | 0:02:16 | 0:02:18 | |
I think there has also been
a reassurance of our traditional | 0:02:18 | 0:02:21 | |
allies, Israel and the Sunni Gulf
countries, of their security | 0:02:21 | 0:02:24 | |
and America's commitment
to regional stability. | 0:02:24 | 0:02:26 | |
And also, I think there is a genuine
focus on perhaps strengthening some | 0:02:26 | 0:02:29 | |
of the holes or the,
you know, challenges | 0:02:29 | 0:02:31 | |
that are inherent in
the Iranian nuclear deal | 0:02:32 | 0:02:53 | |
that the Obama Administration
left behind. | 0:02:53 | 0:02:55 | |
OK, well there's plenty
to unpack there. | 0:02:55 | 0:02:57 | |
I'm just very struck by another turn
of phrase of yours, you said, | 0:02:57 | 0:03:00 | |
"we are going to see the end
of America as a crusader | 0:03:00 | 0:03:04 | |
and the return of America
as a great power." | 0:03:04 | 0:03:06 | |
What exactly did you mean by that? | 0:03:06 | 0:03:21 | |
Well, I think this goes back to
2001, where in the Republican Party | 0:03:21 | 0:03:24 | |
there's always been these
two competing poles. | 0:03:24 | 0:03:26 | |
There's been the kind of 1990s
America as a great nation | 0:03:26 | 0:03:29 | |
with a unique moral message,
but not necessarily a proselytiser. | 0:03:29 | 0:03:32 | |
And then I think after 2001,
there was a definite shift | 0:03:32 | 0:03:35 | |
to America the proselytiser,
and America the country | 0:03:35 | 0:03:37 | |
that spread democracy
while wearing combat boots. | 0:03:37 | 0:03:39 | |
Which was a turn of phrase
which in the last Bush | 0:03:39 | 0:03:42 | |
administration, was quite common. | 0:03:42 | 0:03:57 | |
And I think that really the election
of Trump and some of the people that | 0:03:57 | 0:04:01 | |
he's brought into office
on the foreign policy side, | 0:04:01 | 0:04:03 | |
reflect that slightly older
republican tradition, | 0:04:03 | 0:04:09 | |
the 1990s, the H W Bush. | 0:04:09 | 0:04:10 | |
America the realist, not necessarily
America the Evangelist. | 0:04:10 | 0:04:13 | |
But you can't be a great power
if the rest of the world doesn't | 0:04:13 | 0:04:16 | |
really understand what you're doing. | 0:04:16 | 0:04:18 | |
So let's get into your
areas of responsibility | 0:04:18 | 0:04:20 | |
and talk in some detail. | 0:04:20 | 0:04:21 | |
Iran, first of all. | 0:04:21 | 0:04:22 | |
I think it is fair to say the rest
of the world is somewhat confused | 0:04:22 | 0:04:26 | |
and indeed alarmed by your policy,
that is US policy, | 0:04:27 | 0:04:29 | |
towards Iran today. | 0:04:29 | 0:04:30 | |
Can you try and assure me that
you know what you are doing? | 0:04:30 | 0:04:35 | |
I'm not sure I would make
that general statement. | 0:04:35 | 0:04:38 | |
I'm not sure that when you say
the rest of the world, | 0:04:38 | 0:04:41 | |
I know who you are talking about. | 0:04:41 | 0:04:43 | |
OK, I will be clearer,
fair point, I will be clear. | 0:04:43 | 0:04:46 | |
The European Union,
the Russians, even the IAEA, | 0:04:46 | 0:04:48 | |
the nuclear watchdog authority,
all believe the US is mistaken, | 0:04:48 | 0:04:51 | |
fundamentally mistaken
in its current approach | 0:04:51 | 0:04:52 | |
to the nuclear deal with Iran,
which of course was struck | 0:04:52 | 0:04:55 | |
by the Obama Administration,
amongst the other great powers | 0:04:55 | 0:04:58 | |
with Iran and which Donald Trump now
seems intent upon tearing up. | 0:04:58 | 0:05:12 | |
Well, let me offer that
in the countries that | 0:05:12 | 0:05:15 | |
I most often deal with,
Israel, the Sunni Gulf | 0:05:15 | 0:05:17 | |
countries, Saudi Arabia,
The Emirates and others, | 0:05:17 | 0:05:19 | |
there's no confusion at all. | 0:05:19 | 0:05:21 | |
In fact, they are greatly reassured
by this Administration's approach | 0:05:21 | 0:05:23 | |
to Iran, because they are living
at the front line with | 0:05:23 | 0:05:26 | |
the challenges that Iran
and its regional behaviour plays. | 0:05:26 | 0:05:29 | |
From my interactions
with the European Union | 0:05:29 | 0:05:31 | |
and Western European countries,
I would say that I have found great | 0:05:31 | 0:05:34 | |
interest in trying to address
some of the challenges | 0:05:34 | 0:05:47 | |
of the Iranians nuclear deal. | 0:05:48 | 0:05:49 | |
If I may interrupt for a second,
surely what matters most | 0:05:49 | 0:05:52 | |
is the thinking in those partner
countries that you did | 0:05:52 | 0:05:55 | |
the deal with Iran with. | 0:05:55 | 0:05:56 | |
Of course, that is the Europeans,
the Russians and to quote the EU | 0:05:56 | 0:05:59 | |
foreign affairs spokeswoman,
Federica Mogherini, she says | 0:06:00 | 0:06:01 | |
the deal is working,
it is delivering on its main goal, | 0:06:01 | 0:06:04 | |
which means keeping the Iranians
nuclear programme in check. | 0:06:04 | 0:06:07 | |
And as I said, the IAEA,
which is the watchdog | 0:06:07 | 0:06:10 | |
authority overseeing it says,
"I can quite clearly state that Iran | 0:06:10 | 0:06:12 | |
is implementing its nuclear
related commitments." | 0:06:13 | 0:06:14 | |
The views of these people
matter, don't they? | 0:06:14 | 0:06:25 | |
They sure do. | 0:06:25 | 0:06:26 | |
I'mnot sure that I would be so bold
as to say the views of the countries | 0:06:26 | 0:06:30 | |
on the front line of Iran matter
less than the countries | 0:06:31 | 0:06:33 | |
in Western Europe. | 0:06:34 | 0:06:34 | |
I think that would be
a strong thing to say. | 0:06:34 | 0:06:38 | |
I would bet that Israel
and Saudi Arabia have very, | 0:06:38 | 0:06:40 | |
very strong feelings
about the Iranians nuclear deal. | 0:06:40 | 0:06:42 | |
Indeed, I know they do,
because I have talked to them. | 0:06:42 | 0:06:51 | |
I know they do to because I read
what they say, but nonetheless | 0:06:52 | 0:06:55 | |
the point of that deal
was to try to rein in | 0:06:55 | 0:06:58 | |
Iran's nuclear programme. | 0:06:58 | 0:06:59 | |
All of the experts who are given
the responsibility of monitoring | 0:06:59 | 0:07:02 | |
it, say it is working. | 0:07:02 | 0:07:03 | |
I just want to figure out
what you think Donald Trump | 0:07:03 | 0:07:06 | |
is going to do next,
because again, in terms of my point | 0:07:06 | 0:07:09 | |
about confusing signals,
we've had Mike Pence recently | 0:07:10 | 0:07:12 | |
indicate that as far as he's
concerned, the Trump administration | 0:07:12 | 0:07:14 | |
is going to trash the deal. | 0:07:14 | 0:07:16 | |
The deal is pretty much over. | 0:07:16 | 0:07:18 | |
But we've had other members
of the Trump team suggesting, | 0:07:18 | 0:07:20 | |
Rex Tillerson, the Secretary
of State is one of them, | 0:07:20 | 0:07:23 | |
suggesting there is much
more talking to be done. | 0:07:23 | 0:07:25 | |
So what is going on right now? | 0:07:26 | 0:07:38 | |
Well, I think the president has
been reasonably clear. | 0:07:38 | 0:07:40 | |
I think he wants, by May 12th,
an agreement with the Europeans that | 0:07:40 | 0:07:44 | |
will address some of the weaknesses
that are inherent JCPOA, | 0:07:44 | 0:07:47 | |
the Iran deal, that we inherited
from the Obama administration. | 0:07:47 | 0:07:49 | |
These are weaknesses
like the linkage between | 0:07:49 | 0:07:51 | |
sanctions and inspections. | 0:07:51 | 0:07:52 | |
How quickly sanctions come back
on if Iran doesn't comply | 0:07:52 | 0:07:55 | |
or doesn't comply fully,
or pushes back on inspections. | 0:07:55 | 0:07:57 | |
Or on ICBMs, why does
a country make ICBMs, | 0:07:57 | 0:08:00 | |
if not to carry a nuclear weapon? | 0:08:00 | 0:08:02 | |
Thus, shouldn't ICBMs be considered
part of a nuclear programme? | 0:08:02 | 0:08:04 | |
That's a question we're working
on with the Europeans also. | 0:08:04 | 0:08:32 | |
And lastly, this issue... | 0:08:32 | 0:08:33 | |
The Iranians with their... | 0:08:33 | 0:08:34 | |
I'm sorry, hang on one second... | 0:08:35 | 0:08:37 | |
The Iranians, on the
intercontinental ballistic missiles, | 0:08:37 | 0:08:38 | |
the Iranians aren't going to give
ground on that, they've | 0:08:38 | 0:08:41 | |
made that quite plain. | 0:08:41 | 0:08:42 | |
They are not interested in giving
new assurances on permanent | 0:08:42 | 0:08:45 | |
restrictions on uranium enrichment. | 0:08:45 | 0:08:46 | |
So there's really no wriggle room
here and Donald Trump has put | 0:08:46 | 0:08:49 | |
himself in the position
where he says he won't | 0:08:49 | 0:08:51 | |
certify the deal again. | 0:08:51 | 0:08:52 | |
He has basically asked the Europeans
to do the impossible | 0:08:53 | 0:08:55 | |
and if they can't do the impossible,
I just wonder, are you clear, | 0:08:55 | 0:08:59 | |
is the United States clear,
come May, sanctions will be | 0:08:59 | 0:09:01 | |
reintroduced and as far as the US
is concerned, the deal is over? | 0:09:02 | 0:09:06 | |
Again, there's a couple of different
areas that we're working on. | 0:09:06 | 0:09:09 | |
A third one is the
sunset clause, right? | 0:09:09 | 0:09:11 | |
I think there's broad agreement that
it's concerning that some of these | 0:09:11 | 0:09:14 | |
safeguards begin to be lost
after years eight, ten and so forth. | 0:09:14 | 0:09:17 | |
I will say, with the Europeans,
that there has been great interest | 0:09:17 | 0:09:20 | |
in working to strengthen elements
of the deal. | 0:09:21 | 0:09:23 | |
The president has said,
as you know, he's not | 0:09:23 | 0:09:25 | |
going to waive sanctions again,
he wants a follow on | 0:09:25 | 0:09:28 | |
agreement with the E3. | 0:09:28 | 0:09:29 | |
And I think that's pretty clear. | 0:09:29 | 0:09:36 | |
It just comes to my point
about the United States | 0:09:36 | 0:09:39 | |
being a great power. | 0:09:39 | 0:09:41 | |
If you are truly a great power,
you would be showing the sort | 0:09:41 | 0:09:45 | |
of leadership on this issue that
would have your partner | 0:09:45 | 0:09:48 | |
countries come with you. | 0:09:48 | 0:09:49 | |
But they are not coming with you. | 0:09:49 | 0:09:53 | |
In the end, it could well be
a humiliating situation where the US | 0:09:53 | 0:09:57 | |
is out on its own on this issue? | 0:09:57 | 0:09:59 | |
But I think it is being a great
power because other countries | 0:09:59 | 0:10:02 | |
are greatly reassured by car
approach to this issue. | 0:10:02 | 0:10:05 | |
And the fact that one
administration has a slightly | 0:10:05 | 0:10:07 | |
different policy focus,
or a greatly different policy focus, | 0:10:07 | 0:10:10 | |
as in the case of this
administration than the past | 0:10:10 | 0:10:12 | |
administration, being a great power
doesn't mean consistently doing | 0:10:12 | 0:10:15 | |
exactly what was done
the administration before. | 0:10:15 | 0:10:17 | |
These are real concerns we have
that are broadly shared | 0:10:17 | 0:10:19 | |
by a lot of Americans. | 0:10:19 | 0:10:21 | |
They broadly shared by a lot
of the international community. | 0:10:21 | 0:10:24 | |
And the fact the Iranians don't
like them, I don't think mitigates | 0:10:24 | 0:10:28 | |
the fact that we need address them. | 0:10:28 | 0:10:33 | |
Again, I am just wondering
what you mean, or what Donald Trump | 0:10:34 | 0:10:37 | |
means by some of the words he uses. | 0:10:37 | 0:10:39 | |
For example, during the recent spate
of street protests in Iran, | 0:10:39 | 0:10:42 | |
which mostly seem to be about issues
of costs of living, | 0:10:42 | 0:10:49 | |
but they became deeply political. | 0:10:49 | 0:10:50 | |
Some people calling even for the end
of the Islamic regime. | 0:10:50 | 0:10:53 | |
Donald Trump said in his tweets,
"the world is watching", he said, | 0:10:53 | 0:10:57 | |
"it is time for change." | 0:10:57 | 0:10:58 | |
So what is the United States doing
in terms of engineering change | 0:10:58 | 0:11:01 | |
and what sort of change do
you realistically expect to see? | 0:11:01 | 0:11:05 | |
You know, I thought the protests
that broke out in Iran | 0:11:05 | 0:11:08 | |
were so interesting. | 0:11:08 | 0:11:09 | |
They were fundamentally
different than in 2009. | 0:11:09 | 0:11:11 | |
This was a different demographic,
it was many working-class | 0:11:11 | 0:11:20 | |
Iranians, more regional. | 0:11:20 | 0:11:20 | |
They broke out in Iran's most
conservative, or one | 0:11:21 | 0:11:23 | |
of its most conservative
cities, in Mashhad. | 0:11:23 | 0:11:25 | |
You know, I would say
that we want to see a change | 0:11:25 | 0:11:28 | |
in Iran's behaviour. | 0:11:28 | 0:11:40 | |
I think some of the economic
hardships that are faced | 0:11:40 | 0:11:42 | |
by Iranians, which contributed
to the unrest in Iran, | 0:11:42 | 0:11:45 | |
came from sanctions and responses
by the international community | 0:11:45 | 0:11:47 | |
to Iran's destabilising behaviour
and I think reinforcing that link | 0:11:47 | 0:11:50 | |
on behalf of the US is something
we are quite committed to. | 0:11:50 | 0:11:53 | |
You saw protesters chanting,
"no to Lebanon", "yes to Iran". | 0:11:53 | 0:11:56 | |
That sort of thing is a real
undercurrent in Iran. | 0:11:56 | 0:12:08 | |
Yeah. | 0:12:08 | 0:12:08 | |
In addition to do basic weaknesses
of the regime and the economic | 0:12:08 | 0:12:11 | |
structure that it's trying to impose
on its people. | 0:12:11 | 0:12:13 | |
We want... | 0:12:14 | 0:12:14 | |
Interesting that... | 0:12:14 | 0:12:15 | |
Yeah, go ahead. | 0:12:15 | 0:12:25 | |
Sorry, interesting that
in your Iran policy, | 0:12:25 | 0:12:27 | |
and you mentioned it in this
interview, working and feeling that | 0:12:27 | 0:12:30 | |
you are echoing the feelings
of allies in the region | 0:12:30 | 0:12:33 | |
like Saudi Arabia and Egypt. | 0:12:33 | 0:12:34 | |
Egypt being described by many
independent human rights | 0:12:34 | 0:12:35 | |
organisations as more repressive now
than at any time | 0:12:35 | 0:12:38 | |
in its recent history. | 0:12:38 | 0:12:39 | |
You are lining up with extremely
repressive authoritarian regimes | 0:12:39 | 0:12:41 | |
against a country where frankly,
at least protesters feel they're | 0:12:41 | 0:12:44 | |
able to take to the streets
and voice their concerns. | 0:12:44 | 0:12:47 | |
I am struggling again to see
what values are principles the Trump | 0:12:47 | 0:12:50 | |
administration is applying here. | 0:12:50 | 0:12:51 | |
Well, what I would offer
to you is that as it | 0:12:51 | 0:12:54 | |
has in the past, the US
makes its feelings on democracy, | 0:12:54 | 0:12:57 | |
on pluralistic government,
on basic rights, well-known | 0:12:57 | 0:12:59 | |
across the board. | 0:12:59 | 0:13:06 | |
This is not an Iran specific
issue, this is regional. | 0:13:06 | 0:13:08 | |
Hang on a second, please. | 0:13:08 | 0:13:11 | |
With respect, if we're talking
Egypt and President Sisi, | 0:13:11 | 0:13:14 | |
the United States is signally silent
and there is no condemnation. | 0:13:14 | 0:13:17 | |
In some cases where we have a good
relationship with countries, | 0:13:17 | 0:13:18 | |
we do it in private. | 0:13:18 | 0:13:20 | |
In other countries,
we do it in public. | 0:13:20 | 0:13:22 | |
There is not a one size fits
all to how we make our concerns | 0:13:22 | 0:13:26 | |
about human rights known. | 0:13:26 | 0:13:27 | |
Simply, that would be untenable,
we would have a galaxy of different | 0:13:27 | 0:13:30 | |
hues of relationships
with these countries. | 0:13:30 | 0:13:32 | |
We address this issue
differently in many cases. | 0:13:32 | 0:13:42 | |
A final point on Iran
and then we will move on. | 0:13:42 | 0:13:45 | |
The former UK ambassador
in the country and one of the UK | 0:13:45 | 0:13:48 | |
negotiators involved in the Iran
deal says of Donald Trump's | 0:13:48 | 0:13:51 | |
interventions, rhetorical
interventions in Iran, | 0:13:51 | 0:13:52 | |
he said, "to try to insert yourself
into the middle by too overt and too | 0:13:53 | 0:13:57 | |
activist an approach,
actually just plays into the hands | 0:13:57 | 0:14:00 | |
of the hardliners in Iran." | 0:14:00 | 0:14:00 | |
It's counter-productive. | 0:14:00 | 0:14:12 | |
Yeah, well look, this is an argument
that has been made in the foreign | 0:14:12 | 0:14:16 | |
policy community since the 1970s,
since the Helsinki act, right? | 0:14:16 | 0:14:20 | |
I mean, how do you encourage
the growth of freedoms | 0:14:20 | 0:14:23 | |
in autocratic countries? | 0:14:23 | 0:14:26 | |
I remember we had this exact
same discussion under | 0:14:26 | 0:14:28 | |
the Reagan Administration
and in the late years of the Carter | 0:14:28 | 0:14:31 | |
Administration. | 0:14:31 | 0:14:33 | |
How do you engage
with those countries? | 0:14:33 | 0:14:35 | |
Do you engage through their
government with the thought | 0:14:35 | 0:14:38 | |
of improving the rights
of the people? | 0:14:38 | 0:14:40 | |
Or do you engage through civic
society, which has traditionally | 0:14:40 | 0:14:43 | |
been the US platform? | 0:14:43 | 0:14:46 | |
So I think this is a continual
policy debate in this town. | 0:14:46 | 0:14:49 | |
This Administration has chosen
to differentiate itself | 0:14:50 | 0:14:51 | |
from the Obama Administration
by siding loudly and vocally | 0:14:51 | 0:14:54 | |
with the people who are
on the streets getting beat up. | 0:14:54 | 0:15:00 | |
OK, that's your template,
"we are doing things differently | 0:15:01 | 0:15:03 | |
from the Obama Administration". | 0:15:03 | 0:15:06 | |
Let's leave Iran for
a while and look at other parts | 0:15:06 | 0:15:09 | |
of the region. | 0:15:09 | 0:15:10 | |
You are responsible for Iraq. | 0:15:10 | 0:15:12 | |
Donald Trump made it plain
that whether it be Iraq, | 0:15:12 | 0:15:17 | |
Afghanistan, Syria, he didn't
want to see US troops on the ground | 0:15:17 | 0:15:20 | |
any more in these
foreign entanglements. | 0:15:20 | 0:15:22 | |
So literally, specifically,
how many US military personnel, | 0:15:22 | 0:15:25 | |
trainers and whatever
are in Iraq right now? | 0:15:25 | 0:15:31 | |
Gosh, you know, for specific
operational issues I would urge | 0:15:31 | 0:15:34 | |
you to bring a defence
department person in here. | 0:15:34 | 0:15:37 | |
You know, I am happy to talk
about the foreign policy aspect, | 0:15:37 | 0:15:40 | |
I am happy to talk... | 0:15:40 | 0:15:41 | |
It is definitely part of foreign
policy if you've got boots | 0:15:42 | 0:15:45 | |
on the ground in Iraq. | 0:15:45 | 0:15:46 | |
Several thousand. | 0:15:46 | 0:15:49 | |
That will do, a ballpark,
several thousand. | 0:15:49 | 0:15:51 | |
We now learn you are going to keep
2000 boots on the ground or pairs | 0:15:51 | 0:15:55 | |
of boots on the ground in Syria too
and we understand that more | 0:15:55 | 0:15:59 | |
than 15,000 US military personnel
are either already in or going to be | 0:15:59 | 0:16:02 | |
deployed to Afghanistan. | 0:16:02 | 0:16:05 | |
So coming back to your opening point
about the difference between Obama | 0:16:05 | 0:16:10 | |
and Trump when it comes to these
difficult foreign policy issues, | 0:16:10 | 0:16:13 | |
the difference ain't
so great after all, is it? | 0:16:13 | 0:16:16 | |
Well, in fact, I think
there is a lot of difference. | 0:16:17 | 0:16:19 | |
Trump is halving at least the amount
of people that we are going to be | 0:16:20 | 0:16:24 | |
having in Iraq. | 0:16:24 | 0:16:25 | |
In Afghanistan, there is
a recommendation from the commander | 0:16:25 | 0:16:28 | |
on the ground, Nick Nicholson,
with whom I served when I was | 0:16:28 | 0:16:31 | |
deployed there, that they needed
to reinforce the existing train, | 0:16:31 | 0:16:34 | |
advise and assist structure,
to give the Afghan government | 0:16:34 | 0:16:36 | |
a better grip on the country as it
moves forward over the next two | 0:16:36 | 0:16:40 | |
or three years. | 0:16:40 | 0:16:49 | |
Hang on, Donald Trump tweeted
literally dozens of times saying | 0:16:49 | 0:16:51 | |
that the Afghan policy was a huge
mistake, the troops should never | 0:16:51 | 0:16:55 | |
have been sent and if he were
president, those troops would be | 0:16:55 | 0:16:58 | |
coming home right now. | 0:16:58 | 0:16:59 | |
He's completely changed his policy. | 0:16:59 | 0:17:04 | |
Again, this is my understanding,
it was a request directly | 0:17:04 | 0:17:09 | |
from Nick Nicholson
to the president. | 0:17:09 | 0:17:11 | |
Afghanistan is not my area of writ. | 0:17:11 | 0:17:16 | |
Having served there myself,
I can tell you it is | 0:17:16 | 0:17:18 | |
a multifaceted problem set. | 0:17:19 | 0:17:20 | |
John Allen, my old commander,
used to call it the Ph.D. | 0:17:20 | 0:17:23 | |
Of Warfare and so it's a decision
that the White House | 0:17:23 | 0:17:26 | |
is constantly looking at. | 0:17:26 | 0:17:27 | |
I understand that Afghanistan
is not your specific bag and indeed | 0:17:27 | 0:17:30 | |
neither is Syria, but because Iraq
is, I am sure you take a great | 0:17:30 | 0:17:33 | |
interest in Syria because they are
neighbouring countries and some | 0:17:34 | 0:17:36 | |
of the issues cross the border, not
least the fight against so-called | 0:17:36 | 0:17:39 | |
IS and America's military
strategy in both countries. | 0:17:40 | 0:17:51 | |
Obviously, they are interlinked. | 0:17:51 | 0:17:53 | |
And in Syria in particular,
again it seems to me | 0:17:53 | 0:17:57 | |
you have a massive problem
because you have backed Kurdish | 0:17:57 | 0:17:59 | |
forces in northern Syria,
partly to eradicate remnants | 0:18:00 | 0:18:02 | |
of Islamic State and the Turks
are now calling the force you've | 0:18:02 | 0:18:05 | |
worked with, funded and trained,
a terrorist army and Mr Erdogan | 0:18:05 | 0:18:08 | |
in Turkey is sending his
forces in to fight them. | 0:18:08 | 0:18:11 | |
Turkey of course,
a fellow member of Nato. | 0:18:11 | 0:18:13 | |
The United States in Syria
is in a very big mess right now. | 0:18:13 | 0:18:27 | |
Well, listen, we are constantly
reinforcing to the Turks | 0:18:27 | 0:18:29 | |
that we want whatever
is happening in Afrin right now, | 0:18:29 | 0:18:32 | |
their operations, Operation Olive
Branch to limit civilian casualties, | 0:18:32 | 0:18:34 | |
to be proportional
and to be restrained. | 0:18:35 | 0:18:46 | |
We are constantly reinforcing
to the YPG not to provoke the Turks, | 0:18:47 | 0:18:50 | |
not to step outside of their
boundaries and to concentrate | 0:18:50 | 0:18:52 | |
on the fight that we all
agree on against Isis... | 0:18:52 | 0:18:55 | |
Your Nato partners in Turkey
are accusing you of funding | 0:18:55 | 0:18:58 | |
and training a terrorist
army on their border. | 0:18:58 | 0:19:04 | |
Again, we are constantly engaging
with the Turks on this issue. | 0:19:04 | 0:19:10 | |
We are constantly engaging the YPG
to de-conflict this and keep | 0:19:10 | 0:19:13 | |
the focus on Isis. | 0:19:13 | 0:19:15 | |
I mean, that is the core of US
policy, that is what we are doing. | 0:19:15 | 0:19:19 | |
It takes a little bit of time
sometimes, but we are constantly | 0:19:19 | 0:19:22 | |
engaged on this. | 0:19:22 | 0:19:24 | |
The country you are specifically
responsible for as well as Iran, | 0:19:24 | 0:19:27 | |
is Iraq. | 0:19:27 | 0:19:28 | |
There are supposed to be
elections in Iraq in May. | 0:19:28 | 0:19:31 | |
Do you have full confidence
in Prime Minister Abadi, | 0:19:31 | 0:19:33 | |
are you backing him
and you want to see him succeed | 0:19:33 | 0:19:36 | |
in those elections? | 0:19:36 | 0:19:41 | |
Oh gosh, the Iraqi elections
are really interesting. | 0:19:42 | 0:19:44 | |
We are not backing
Abadi specifically. | 0:19:44 | 0:19:45 | |
We think his leadership has been
extremely positive for Iraq, | 0:19:45 | 0:19:48 | |
not least of which pulling it back
from the brink in 2014. | 0:19:48 | 0:19:58 | |
What I would offer is,
I think it is a reflection | 0:19:58 | 0:20:01 | |
on the progress that has
been achieved in Iraq, | 0:20:01 | 0:20:03 | |
that it is one of the few countries
in the region where we genuinely | 0:20:03 | 0:20:07 | |
don't know who is going to lead
the country after May. | 0:20:07 | 0:20:13 | |
There is a couple of
main Shia candidates. | 0:20:13 | 0:20:15 | |
Whoever wins will likely amalgamate
a list with several, | 0:20:15 | 0:20:18 | |
probably several
smaller ethnic parties. | 0:20:18 | 0:20:22 | |
But we think Abadi's leadership has
been positive for Iraq, | 0:20:22 | 0:20:25 | |
that goes without saying. | 0:20:25 | 0:20:28 | |
Interesting that just
a very short time ago, | 0:20:28 | 0:20:30 | |
Mr Abadi tried to bring
in an Iranian-backed Shia militia | 0:20:31 | 0:20:33 | |
into his governing coalition. | 0:20:33 | 0:20:39 | |
It failed in the end,
but it was an intent that he had | 0:20:39 | 0:20:43 | |
and certainly if one looks at Syria,
the Iranians' influence is huge, | 0:20:43 | 0:20:46 | |
long-running and military
and political. | 0:20:46 | 0:20:48 | |
So going back to your point that
you see Iran as an overarching | 0:20:49 | 0:20:52 | |
threat in the region,
things really aren't going that well | 0:20:52 | 0:20:55 | |
are they, for the United States,
if that is your overarching concern? | 0:20:55 | 0:21:01 | |
Well, I was encouraged by the fact
that the Iranians backed group | 0:21:01 | 0:21:05 | |
you mentioned that tried to join
with Abadi, engaged in an electoral | 0:21:05 | 0:21:08 | |
coalition with him for a grand total
of 20 hours, before withdrawing. | 0:21:08 | 0:21:11 | |
So from that perspective,
I was greatly encourage. | 0:21:11 | 0:21:13 | |
The reality Iraq faces, as you know,
it is adjacent to Iran. | 0:21:13 | 0:21:21 | |
It will be next to Iran
for the rest of the time | 0:21:21 | 0:21:24 | |
that there is an Iraq and Iran. | 0:21:24 | 0:21:26 | |
So it's going to have some kind
of relationship with that country | 0:21:27 | 0:21:30 | |
and thus, Iranian backed
candidates like Amiri will, | 0:21:30 | 0:21:32 | |
are allowed to participate
in the elections. | 0:21:32 | 0:21:37 | |
Now, we think that Hahram Amiri
is genuinely a negative force. | 0:21:37 | 0:21:41 | |
But, you know, Iraq is a sovereign
country, we cannot force | 0:21:41 | 0:21:45 | |
the Prime Minister to enter
into electoral coalitions | 0:21:45 | 0:21:47 | |
with people we don't like. | 0:21:47 | 0:22:05 | |
All right, we must end
soon, but before we do, | 0:22:05 | 0:22:08 | |
a more general point. | 0:22:08 | 0:22:09 | |
You have made a point to me
of saying, you know what, | 0:22:09 | 0:22:12 | |
we are rebuilding our friendships
and partnerships with long-time | 0:22:12 | 0:22:14 | |
allies in the region. | 0:22:14 | 0:22:15 | |
How does that square
with the fallout from Donald Trump's | 0:22:15 | 0:22:18 | |
very personal decision to move
the US Embassy in Israel | 0:22:18 | 0:22:21 | |
from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem,
recognising Jerusalem | 0:22:21 | 0:22:23 | |
as the capital of Israel? | 0:22:23 | 0:22:29 | |
The fallout from that has been
profoundly negative, | 0:22:29 | 0:22:31 | |
not least in some of countries
like Saudi Arabia that you've cited | 0:22:31 | 0:22:35 | |
to me as your staunchest partners. | 0:22:35 | 0:22:38 | |
For you, it makes your job so much
more difficult, doesn't it? | 0:22:38 | 0:22:44 | |
You know, I would say that Saudis
recognise that decision as one | 0:22:44 | 0:22:47 | |
element in our relationship. | 0:22:47 | 0:22:52 | |
I would say that the president
was simply carrying out a law that | 0:22:52 | 0:22:55 | |
had been on the books for over ten
years, in doing that. | 0:22:55 | 0:22:59 | |
And by the way, a campaign
promise of his from 2016. | 0:22:59 | 0:23:02 | |
So I think all of those
countries that I referenced, | 0:23:02 | 0:23:05 | |
see the US regional relationship
as composed of many things | 0:23:05 | 0:23:08 | |
and aren't going to tank it over
any single one of them. | 0:23:08 | 0:23:18 | |
Well, you may be confident,
many others aren't. | 0:23:18 | 0:23:20 | |
Relevant to this, he wasn't just
making a point just about the move | 0:23:20 | 0:23:24 | |
of the embassy in Israel,
but he was making a point | 0:23:24 | 0:23:27 | |
about the way in which Donald
Trump's foreign policy has become | 0:23:27 | 0:23:30 | |
so controversial in so many
countries with his global approval | 0:23:30 | 0:23:34 | |
rating, according to Gallup,
down at historic lows, | 0:23:34 | 0:23:36 | |
much lower than Barack Obama's. | 0:23:36 | 0:23:40 | |
In a response to all of that,
it has to be said, conservative | 0:23:40 | 0:23:43 | |
commentator, Max Boot,
wrote this, he said, | 0:23:43 | 0:23:45 | |
"Trump has proved to be the worst
salesman that America has ever had. | 0:23:45 | 0:23:49 | |
Far from winning over other
countries, he's actively repelling | 0:23:49 | 0:23:51 | |
and repulsing them." | 0:23:51 | 0:23:54 | |
Again, makes your job awfully
difficult, doesn't it? | 0:23:54 | 0:23:58 | |
Not at all, I think the region has
been greatly encouraged | 0:23:59 | 0:24:01 | |
by Donald Trump's election. | 0:24:02 | 0:24:03 | |
I can't stress that to you enough. | 0:24:03 | 0:24:05 | |
The Sunni Gulf allies and Israel. | 0:24:05 | 0:24:07 | |
All right, we'll leave it there. | 0:24:07 | 0:24:09 | |
Andrew Peek, I thank you very much
for joining me on HARDtalk. | 0:24:09 | 0:24:13 | |
Thanks so much, great to be here. | 0:24:13 | 0:24:15 |