29/04/2014 Newsnight Scotland


29/04/2014

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have noticed she has slowed down. -- basketball supporters may have

:00:00.:00:00.

noticed he has slowed down. Sometimes a draw is the best you can

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hope for. Tonight on Newsnight Scotland: Is it

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now safe to say the economy is recovering and we can all stop

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holding our breath? Can George Osborne claim the credit? And will

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his opponents give him any? And as the capital pays homage to

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John Muir - the founding father of National Parks - farmers say they

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should be working areas and not theme parks for townies.

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Good evening. Britain's coming back was the message from the Chancellor

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today. For the first time since before the recession, just about

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every economic indicator is going in the right direction. Figures out

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today show GDP rising for the fifth quarter in a row - up 0.8% in the

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first quarter of this year. The economy is now growing at over three

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per cent a year - that's pre-crisis levels of growth.

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Labour say there is a cost of living crisis and that people aren't

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experiencing any recovery. Incomes are still below pre-recession

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levels, but after six long years, recent figures showed they now have

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caught up with inflation. The property market is also growing.

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Registers of Scotland said today prices are going up. More

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significantly, sales are now running at pre-crisis levels. As to who gets

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the credit for all this - well some argue George Osborne's policies have

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held up recovery. Others, that his opponents have been left clutching

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at straws. I joined by Cathy Jamieson, Malcolm

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Bruce and Marco Biagi. Does the Coalition Government

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deserve any credit for the fact that the economy now seems to be

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recovering at the strongest rate of most of the world economies? GDP has

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not hit the plenary session level yet. But it will later on this year.

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But if you look at the great depression, GDP reached the level a

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lot faster than less. Why has it taken such a long time to get to

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this level. And this is a level many people are still not feeling.

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Decisions taken in the early days of the Tory Government to cut back

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spending on capital areas - we were correct to criticise those. But you

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are arguing a counterfactual. It is difficult for you to show that you

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are correct. You cannot point to any evidence. I can point to the things

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that were said. If politicians say that the policies would result in

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GDP growth being stagnant for years, and GDP growth was stagnant,

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then credit is deserved. We are now moving into some kind of recovery,

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but who is feeling the benefit? So much of it is concentrated in London

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and the south-east. Malcolm Bruce, do you see this as surrogates? I do.

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This is not a Conservative Government. This is a quality

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Government. We wanted to get a stronger and theatre society. We

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were told it would be a double-dip recession. We are now growing

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stronger than any economy in the developed world. It was tough, it

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was difficult, but we have stuck with it and that is delivering

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results raped across-the-board. -- it is delivering results

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across-the-board. But people said it would take longer than it otherwise

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would. This idea of the economy and Britain are growing stronger than

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anywhere else is a red herring, because austerity was so much more

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severe, when you bounce back from hostility it will be faster. We had

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the biggest date of any of our major partners. The markets would not have

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allowed us not to tackle the deficit. We have raised the tax

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threshold. That has put ?800 into the pockets of the standard rate

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taxpayer. This is the basis for a strong and balanced recovery. I

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would suggest that our opponents should give us some credit. Will you

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give them any credit, Cathy Jamieson? It would be churlish not

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to accept that any amount of growth is to be welcomed. That ordinarily

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people across the UK are not feeling this recovery. Families are around

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?1600 per year worse off. We are not yet seeing the living wage. It is

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also a fragile recovery. All that economic commentators would say

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that. It is good that we are seeing a bit of improvement in the

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manufacturing sector. By definition, at the start of the

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recovery, we just will not have recovered to where they were. Do we

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do have any policies -- do the Labour Party have policies to

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increase wages? They could have looked at the living wage. We also

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have to tackle unemployment. These are the things that are important.

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Even if you don't implement the living wage policy that would not

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bring wages and salaries back to where they were before the

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recession. It is difficult to know what point you are trying to make.

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In our view that recovery could have come about at that cracker. It was

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chalked off right at the beginning. And also the recovery at the moment

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is not being felt by ordinarily people. 24 million people have had

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that tax cuts. The problem about the tax cut is things like the VAT rise

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completely took that away. Marco Biagi, what is your answer to the

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question? People are not feeling the benefits, he said. What are the SNP

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policies to make people as well off right now as they were before the

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recession? We have tried to make sure as much economic growth has

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happened in Scotland. We have been relatively successful and had youth

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unemployment a lot lower in Scotland and the rest of the UK for example.

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Our performance compared to most of England has been excellent. But

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looking ahead, the kinds of things Cathy talks about, the minimum wage,

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living wage, these are things which are beyond the current powers of the

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Scottish Parliament. The living wage, you could do that, with

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respect. The Scottish Government pays the living wage. I don't want

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to get diverted into the living wage. You criticise the Coalition

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Government by saying people aren't feeling the recovery. By definition,

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at the start of a recovery people aren't going to be as well of as

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before the recession happened. You keep going on about this but it is

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difficult to see what your point is. It implemented a living wage that's

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not going to make us all as well off as we were before the recession, so

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it's not an answer to the question I'm asking. This isn't the start of

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the recovery. It should have started five years ago. We are getting a

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very belated half-hearted last-minute recovery after so many

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years. The best way for people to feel better office to be... In what

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way is the fastest-growing economy half-hearted recovery? The USA is 7%

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higher than it was prerecession in GDP. Even if we continued the

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current level, we will still be three levels behind that. It's about

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how much you've actually got full the UK GDP is far behind it. That is

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the real point. It's not the economy is growing fast, that we are still

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not at prerecession levels and the USA is way ahead and the argument

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is, it's the policies of your government that delayed the kind of

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recovery in Britain that we have seen in the USA. It was the nature

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of the crash in the UK which was quite different in character to the

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USA particular fraud trading nation depending on exports. Our financial

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system dragged the economy down faster and it's taken us longer to

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get back on track but now we're seeing not just the service sector

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but manufacturing and construction growing. They have done for five

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consecutive quarters. We have lower unemployment, falling faster than

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anywhere else, except in Scotland. And we have seen a much stronger

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position in terms of inflation which is low. I think people should

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recognise that what we have now is the basis of a sustainable recovery.

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The Labour Party and SNP have started to abandon the discipline

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and create a situation with the market will force up interest-rate

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and they will build inflation back into the economy. That's why we need

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to maintain a clear, confident determination to ensure employment

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growth, inflation continues to be low and people can invest

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confidently. We don't need to break up the UK and create uncertainty in

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this picture. The problem Labour has is that you can keep going on about

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people aren't feeling the recovery and all the rest of it. It all

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sounds a bit lame when all the figures are going in one direction.

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By and large, people are accepting these have been tough times, they

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don't expect everything to be going swimmingly all of a sudden. And they

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are prepared to give the government some credit for what they have done

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and it just sounds like you're standing on the sidelines saying

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it's not as good as it used to be. Actually, what we're doing is

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reflecting what people right across the UK, ordinary people are feeling.

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They want to see the energy frozen, young people out of work in

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Scotland, youth unemployment, get back into work. They want to see

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things like infrastructure projects moving, the manufacturing sector

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take on more people, on decent wages, not zero hours contracts. We

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are reflecting that, it's not standing on the sidelines. Does the

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fact the economy is recovering, even though you give Malcolm Bruce and

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his government no credit for it, designated easier for you to argue

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for a yes case? Will people say Britain is turning around, why risk

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it? I think people had to ask themselves why it is that Scotland,

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in 2010 we voted overwhelmingly for the kind of approach to recovery

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that Labour and the SNP were putting forward, did we get the kind of

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policies which have delayed that recovery for four years since?

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Looking ahead, do we think there is a better chance for Scotland to be

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prosperous, to be fair, so everyone is feeling the effects of recovery

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under a government elected here in Scotland or a continuation of the

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politicians we have Westminster? Thank you all very much indeed.

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There have been a series of events across Scotland to mark the

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centenary of the death of John Muir, the Dunbar man often called the

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father of national parks. But at the same time there's growing resistance

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among farmers in Wales to the whole idea of national parks. They want

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them be stripped of all their planning powers. So should we

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celebrate Muir's legacy? Or ditch it? Huw Williams reports.

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This morning in Edinburgh, a plaque unveiled to John Muir in the

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capital's literary monument, the Mac is caught. The man who loves the

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woods, the mountains in the wild things have in him some indefinable

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quality which appealed even to those who care little outside of brick

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walls. John Muir the fine illustration of this rule. He is

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revered as the father of national parks.

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The man who preserve the wilderness of Yosemite, protecting it from

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destructive development. But his story and his love of nature started

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here in East Lothian. John Muir was a Scot from Dunbar who emigrated to

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America. Early in the 19th century. And became very interested in the

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American wilds, very concerned about what was happening in America, with

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a clearance of land, and persuaded the president of the USA, President

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Roosevelt, to set aside a beautiful places in America. Its legacy has

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been marked with a festival which lit up the kelpie 's. The opening of

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an extended John Muir Way and plans for a conference in Perth in the

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middle of May. But in Wales, there are signs of a backlash against

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national parks. With the farmers union of Wales voting to strip them

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of all their planning powers. There is an inconsistency in the way they

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operate. It is undemocratic and I don't think the park appreciates,

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because of its membership or of its officers, they don't seem to

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appreciate the history and traditions and culture of Wales and

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it tends to be more concerned with tourism and incomers than with the

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population and agriculture generally. The three Welsh national

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parks disagree. We undertook some research independently a few months

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ago which highlighted that national parks in Wales, it brought 500

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million to the Welsh economy. Some of the beneficiaries would be

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farmers who are diversifying into tourism. Therefore, obviously, to

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remove the work of national park authorities might have a detrimental

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impact on that. In Pembrokeshire, we manage the coastal path in

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partnership with landowners, farmers, we recognise the excellent

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work they do. They are imported to the future. The law to establish

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national parks is one of the first bills passed by the then new

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Scottish Parliament back in the year 2000. Unlike national parks in

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England and Wales, parks here have an explicit legal responsibility

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that they care for the sustainable economic development of the

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communities which means the people that live in the areas they manage.

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Eff there are not thriving businesses and communities in the

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area, the conservation jobs more difficult. So finding that balance

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where we can maximise the opportunities of national parks with

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the many visitors that come here and businesses benefiting from that, it

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helps us to look at how we can conserve the healthy economy,

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because landowners can look after the landscape. Why should be so

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different here than in Wales? I think, having the aim of social and

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economic developers of communities is fundamental

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economic developers of communities that perspective to be able to look

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means we get it right for the economy and the environment. You

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might expect Scotland's national parks to say that but it seems

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landowners and rural businesses agree. While parks in England and

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Wales has focused on preservation or conservation of the environment, in

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Scotland, we have also looked at promoting sustainable economic

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growth, development, and that's a major benefit for us. The other

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thing which has happened is a national park authorities have

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embraced the new modernised planning system far more than local

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authorities and

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