
Browse content similar to 21/02/2012. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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The Government scheme to get young people into work is in trouble, one | :00:07. | :00:11. | |
after another, companies expecting to take part in the scheme have | :00:11. | :00:14. | |
pulled back, in the face of protests that work experience | :00:14. | :00:18. | |
amounts to slave labour. Is doing this kind of thing, | :00:18. | :00:24. | |
without proper pay, a way into regular work, or just the state | :00:24. | :00:27. | |
subsidising private enterprise. Would you do it if you were on | :00:27. | :00:33. | |
benefits? We will ask these three. The Greek Prime Minister pulls off | :00:33. | :00:38. | |
his bailout, but could a minority of banks and hedge funds still kill | :00:38. | :00:42. | |
it by refusing to co-operate, we will talk to their chief negotiator. | :00:43. | :00:46. | |
It is not inconceivable if too many go in that direction, the system | :00:47. | :00:50. | |
breaks down, we will not have a successful conclusion to this deal, | :00:50. | :00:55. | |
and then where will they be? This nursery is run for profit, | :00:55. | :00:59. | |
what is wrong with the idea of letting businesses run state | :00:59. | :01:04. | |
schools on the same basis? And it is probably the most international | :01:04. | :01:09. | |
city on earth, but do Londoners share anything beyond their streets. | :01:09. | :01:13. | |
Author, John Lanchester, is here to talk about his big new novel, | :01:13. | :01:23. | |
| :01:23. | :01:23. | ||
Capital. Last week they were delighted to be | :01:23. | :01:27. | |
part of a Government scheme which earned them money for taking on | :01:27. | :01:33. | |
young people on work experience, today, Tesco hurriedly changed its | :01:33. | :01:37. | |
position, from now on a young person taken on will be offered a | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
wage. By tonight numerous retailers had joined the retreat. The | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
Government scheme to get young people into a job is still alive, | :01:44. | :01:49. | |
but it is very battered. Those who oppose the device as sweated labour, | :01:49. | :01:58. | |
are said a cabinet minister today, job snobs. We report. | :01:59. | :02:04. | |
The bright lights of a bustling high street offer much, but not the | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
one thing Ben Perkins is looking for. He has had just one paid job | :02:08. | :02:14. | |
since he grad waited last year -- graduated last year. Christmas work | :02:14. | :02:18. | |
with HMV. He felt undermined when job seekers on the Government work | :02:18. | :02:23. | |
programme got taken on. And then as I found out, they said, this work | :02:23. | :02:27. | |
programme is happening, people are coming in who are unemployed, on | :02:27. | :02:33. | |
job seekers, come to do work, three people, like, that doesn't chime | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
with work experience which is the whole idea of this kind of | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
programme. The row began when Tesco placed an | :02:39. | :02:44. | |
ad for a night worker, and they would be paid their job see, | :02:44. | :02:49. | |
allowance, just �53 a week. The job was mistakenly described as | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
permanent, in fact it was part of the voluntary work experience | :02:53. | :02:57. | |
scheme. Plays.S of up to eight weeks, in return for benefits and | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
expenses. The outcry over the ad proves there | :03:00. | :03:06. | |
is such a thing as bad publicity afterall. Last week Tesco defended | :03:06. | :03:11. | |
the scheme, now they are offering to abandon it. In future people on | :03:12. | :03:16. | |
work plays.S can actually get paid for them, with the offer of a | :03:16. | :03:24. | |
guaranteed job if all goes well. Tesco are calling their about turn | :03:24. | :03:29. | |
a major confidence boost for young people wanting permanent work. The | :03:29. | :03:33. | |
Government is putting a brave face on things. I'm pleased when a | :03:33. | :03:43. | |
| :03:43. | :03:50. | ||
company expands what they do. If they do the work plays. Properly, | :03:50. | :03:58. | |
they will have experience. We get a better offer than we had before. | :03:58. | :04:02. | |
That is good news for unemployed young people. But there was no | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
escaping the sound of gears going into reverse, as more high street | :04:06. | :04:15. | |
names decide they too, like Waterstones and TK Maxx, will pull | :04:15. | :04:20. | |
out of the placements, Matalan has paused the programme, in the face | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
of what it calls, negative speculation, and Argos wants to | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
make sure no-one is disadvantaged working on the programme. | :04:27. | :04:31. | |
Sainsbury's has already opted out, but today it admitted it has had to | :04:31. | :04:36. | |
remind local branches of that fact, after some of them signed up free | :04:36. | :04:41. | |
recruits. This was after they had been approached by Jobcentre plus. | :04:41. | :04:44. | |
Meanwhile, other private sector providers are to be the subject of | :04:44. | :04:48. | |
an official complaint to the September for Work and Pensions, by | :04:48. | :04:53. | |
Oxfam. The charity firmly declined to take part in the work programme, | :04:53. | :04:58. | |
concerned that those who refused to join, or failed to complete a | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
placement, would lose benefits. someone refuses to participate or | :05:02. | :05:07. | |
needs to leave the scheme, their benefits can be stopped a minimum | :05:07. | :05:14. | |
of 13 weeks and potentially 26 weeks. This cessation of benefits | :05:14. | :05:19. | |
isn't compatible with Oxfam trying to overcome poverty. You had an | :05:19. | :05:24. | |
opportunity to help young people get work and you turned it down? | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
Absolutely not, it was nothing we could have accepted with the | :05:27. | :05:31. | |
cessation of benefits and putting people into destitution for a | :05:31. | :05:36. | |
minimum of 13 weeks, we Coventry consider that. With 700 -- | :05:36. | :05:41. | |
couldn't consider that. With 700 stores, Oxfam has been unable to | :05:41. | :05:47. | |
prevent forced volunteering by the providers in the scheme. We would | :05:47. | :05:53. | |
like to ask providers to stop contacting our shops about schemes | :05:53. | :05:56. | |
with sanctions to benefits. You have a great voice. The Deputy | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
Prime Minister was at pains today to show the coalition is tackling | :06:00. | :06:05. | |
youth unemployment. Firms will be paid to take on 16 and 17-year-olds. | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
But more people are saying the emphasis of the work programme | :06:09. | :06:17. | |
should be on jobs that pay. The riots that ripped through Haringey | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
last summer, gave added urgency to the council's jobs fund, which will | :06:21. | :06:29. | |
be launched this spring. It is sped spending �2 -- spending �2 million, | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
directly subsidising people to create jobs. Young people need | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
high-quality, long-term sustained experience. That is why we have | :06:36. | :06:38. | |
been working with local and national employers based in the | :06:38. | :06:43. | |
borough, to make sure we can put in place the year-long schemes. | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
has moved back to his parents in Lincolnshire, and back on to | :06:47. | :06:51. | |
benefits, he's volunteering at a radio station, to use his media | :06:51. | :06:55. | |
degrees, but fears a double bind, as a jobseeker he may lose out to | :06:55. | :07:01. | |
those doing unpaid work experience. He may be compelled to take up an | :07:01. | :07:08. | |
official placement himself. With us now is the Conservative MP, | :07:08. | :07:12. | |
Harriett Baldwin, on the Work and Pensions select commit year, and | :07:12. | :07:14. | |
three people who have all experience of unemployment and | :07:14. | :07:23. | |
Government work schemes. Do you understand why some people | :07:23. | :07:29. | |
find these schemes offensive? have to understand where we came | :07:29. | :07:33. | |
from. In terms of the inheritance with a lot of young people out of | :07:33. | :07:36. | |
work. The situation used to be that if you were a young person, and you | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
were offered work experience, you had to come off benefits, I | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
actually think that is profoundly unfair and against social mobility, | :07:44. | :07:48. | |
because, in fact, a lot of prosperous parents can afford for | :07:48. | :07:53. | |
their parents to do work experience and lose those benefits. Where as | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
those who rely on the benefits needed to keep them when they got | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
the work experience. Do you understand my question that some | :08:01. | :08:04. | |
people find this offensive? understand. Do you understand why | :08:04. | :08:07. | |
people find it offensive? It is offensive that it has been | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
portrayed by a lot of people as being something that doesn't help | :08:10. | :08:14. | |
young people. You know, Jeremy, in an organisation like the BBC that | :08:14. | :08:20. | |
employs a lot of people on work experience. We have contradictory | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
experienced here, helps some and not others, but my question is, do | :08:24. | :08:30. | |
you understand why some people find it offensive that somebody can be | :08:30. | :08:36. | |
taken on, not be paid in a job that might at least be paid minimum wage, | :08:37. | :08:42. | |
and be paid by the state, and the employer is able to use unpaid | :08:42. | :08:47. | |
labour? Does the BBC offer work experience places for students. | :08:47. | :08:51. | |
doesn't bother you? It is widely used for short work placements. | :08:51. | :08:53. | |
These are very short work placements. | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
OK, all of you three have had experience of these schemes, of one | :08:58. | :09:04. | |
kind or another, it worked in your case, didn't it? Yes. Tell us what | :09:04. | :09:07. | |
happened? My experience of volunteering was, it is not | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
necessarily the scheme that is going out now, I wasn't forced into | :09:10. | :09:16. | |
it, I actually went out and applied for a scheme called V-Talent, I was | :09:16. | :09:20. | |
working for a year within youth services, that was something I was | :09:20. | :09:23. | |
passionate about. Throughout that course I was guided, I was helped, | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
I was given qualifications, I was given certificates, I was helped at | :09:27. | :09:33. | |
the end of it on getting a job. What was it about being on a course | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
like that, in that sort of environment, that changed things | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
for you? I think because it was something that I was passionate | :09:40. | :09:43. | |
about, and because it was voluntary, I think if you are forced into it, | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
I think it will be negative, I think it will have knock-on effects. | :09:47. | :09:52. | |
I think it will give you a negative view on the work environment itself. | :09:52. | :09:57. | |
I think if you're not passionate about work, why would you do it. | :09:57. | :10:01. | |
There should be more things voluntary for them to. Have you had | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
experience of one of these schemes? I have, it was a complete waste of | :10:05. | :10:12. | |
my time. Four weeks, well, if you get on to phase 2 job seeking, | :10:12. | :10:16. | |
which is the point where you are put into these schemes, then you | :10:16. | :10:22. | |
have four weeks, absolutely mandatory, you have no choice, | :10:22. | :10:26. | |
...Doesn't That get you into the habit, with the greatest of respect, | :10:26. | :10:32. | |
of getting out of bed and going to a place of work? With the greatest | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
of respect, I had eight years previous experience to this of | :10:35. | :10:42. | |
getting up and going to a job. shouldn't get mixed up Work Fair | :10:42. | :10:46. | |
and short periods of work experience for young people. | :10:46. | :10:52. | |
talking about both schemes, I did the short scheme and now on the 26 | :10:52. | :10:58. | |
weeks one, both were ineptly handled. In what sense? Firstly | :10:58. | :11:05. | |
they are, anyone who is involved in it gets dragged off to do things | :11:05. | :11:14. | |
that, by force, basically. Secondly, they are administered badly. | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
think we're confusing two things here, the work experience that was | :11:18. | :11:21. | |
getting all the media attention today, is for young people who are | :11:21. | :11:28. | |
given short periods of experience, so that they can have something on | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
their CV to show to employers. are a young person, have you done | :11:31. | :11:35. | |
any of these schemes? Actually the work programme is a re-established | :11:35. | :11:40. | |
programme, it was run by a company called Caller UK previously, I was | :11:40. | :11:44. | |
on the flexible new deal, and I signed to the programme. In about | :11:44. | :11:50. | |
nine months of the programme, the company got liquid dated because | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
they failed mis-- liquidated, because they failed miserably to | :11:54. | :11:57. | |
get people employed. When you look at the current figures, | :11:57. | :12:02. | |
statistically now, it was 2.3 million to 6.3 million. Let's talk | :12:02. | :12:07. | |
about your experience, the argument, I think, if I paraphrase it | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
correctly, is that at the very least, although the precise | :12:11. | :12:15. | |
employment may be not exactly what you want, it at least gets you into | :12:15. | :12:23. | |
the habit of going to work, and, re-establish ago work habit? | :12:23. | :12:29. | |
didn't get me into the habit of going to work. It demote vaited me, | :12:29. | :12:35. | |
it took away my e-- demote vaited me, it took away me equal | :12:35. | :12:40. | |
opportunity of rights, you don't have the freedom to choose | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
something that would practically work. What was getting the media | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
attention today, was a voluntary scheme for young people to get work | :12:48. | :12:53. | |
experience. We are hearing about historical experiences of work | :12:53. | :12:56. | |
experience under the last Government, it wasn't working well | :12:56. | :13:02. | |
and was complicated. The new thing is a black box approach. If you | :13:02. | :13:04. | |
penalise someone who agrees to start the programme, by saying if | :13:04. | :13:08. | |
you don't carry on turning up in an efficient and satisfactory manner, | :13:08. | :13:13. | |
you will lose your benefits, that is coercion, isn't it? I think you | :13:13. | :13:17. | |
have to have turned down several jobs before that starts to happen | :13:17. | :13:22. | |
to you. That is not true. That is not true. I have sat in, with | :13:22. | :13:25. | |
people on the four-week scheme, I have seen people thrown off | :13:25. | :13:35. | |
| :13:35. | :13:39. | ||
placements. One for speaking too loud, and they had not been to | :13:39. | :13:43. | |
several interviews. These were all young people on the young people's | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
scheme. There was two separate young people's scheme that we | :13:46. | :13:50. | |
encountered. One of them was volumity, the work programme ones | :13:50. | :13:55. | |
that -- voluntary, the work programme ones that were there were | :13:55. | :13:58. | |
not voluntary, they were all mandatory, you had to turn up and | :13:58. | :14:02. | |
take part. It was part of the suppliers' contract with the | :14:02. | :14:06. | |
Department of Work and pension, that the person they sent to them | :14:06. | :14:11. | |
will be there for a four-week period, and will have a four-week | :14:11. | :14:21. | |
| :14:21. | :14:24. | ||
work placement. This is different from what we were talking about | :14:24. | :14:32. | |
with young people. It is a four- week work period, it is not | :14:32. | :14:36. | |
voluntary, anyone who says it is voluntary is lying. We looked at | :14:36. | :14:41. | |
the rules earlier and it clearly says it is voluntary? | :14:41. | :14:43. | |
Department of Work and Pensions sends you to a supplier, the | :14:43. | :14:46. | |
supplier has in the contract that they will send you for a mandatory, | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
not a voluntary, mandatory work placement. I think, to be fair, I | :14:50. | :14:53. | |
think we are confusing two different things here, we are | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
talking about the work programme that was put out to new contracts, | :14:56. | :15:02. | |
starting in June, the early indications on that are that about | :15:02. | :15:06. | |
28-30% of people are put into jobs, compared to about 1.2% at this | :15:06. | :15:11. | |
stage for the flexible new deal. would like to ask you, why you | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
think it is that it is an outrage that Governments and departments | :15:15. | :15:20. | |
acting on behalf of the taxpayer, who afterall has to fund benefits, | :15:20. | :15:24. | |
shouldn't expect people to do as they are asked and get a job? | :15:24. | :15:29. | |
I believe it is a complex situation, and what they are doing is to use | :15:29. | :15:33. | |
the lower percentage of the population who are unemployed, as a | :15:33. | :15:38. | |
scapegoat, because you still have these bankers getting big lump sums. | :15:38. | :15:41. | |
Bankers are irrelevant? It is relevant because, they are the ones | :15:41. | :15:45. | |
you should be penalising for this, not us. We didn't cause the | :15:45. | :15:51. | |
recession in the first place. So why should we be forced and imposed | :15:51. | :15:56. | |
a system to force somebody to do something voluntary, for 30 hours a | :15:56. | :16:00. | |
week, for four weeks consecutively, without a proper wage. I think it | :16:00. | :16:04. | |
is great that these employers are offering work experience to young | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
people. They are not, they are now saying, one after another, one big | :16:08. | :16:14. | |
recoginsable name after another, is saying, this is too embarrassing | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
for us to continue our connection with the scheme? That is very sad, | :16:18. | :16:23. | |
because it will mean, from now on it will be people who can afford to | :16:23. | :16:27. | |
subsidise their children to do work experience, it will hamper social | :16:27. | :16:32. | |
mobility in this country. So you assert, but if these companies | :16:32. | :16:39. | |
consider it to be an embarrassment to them, some sort of besmirching | :16:39. | :16:43. | |
of their name, it is failing? sad that a lot of people waving the | :16:43. | :16:50. | |
copies of the Socialist Worker have put paid to these companies | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
offering workers peerence to young people. It is important to get it | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
on your -- experience to young people. It is important to get it | :16:56. | :17:01. | |
on your CV early on in life. It is hard to know whether to laugh or | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
cry if you are a Greek, the other countries cobbled together an | :17:05. | :17:11. | |
agreement which will make sure the Greek Government get a shed load of | :17:11. | :17:16. | |
cash and the people will have to work for the foreseeable future. | :17:16. | :17:21. | |
How can Greece, which couldn't pay existing debts, will pay off an | :17:21. | :17:28. | |
additional 130 billion euros. A problem for another day. | :17:28. | :17:33. | |
They talked for 14 hours, which in itself highlighted the gulf between | :17:33. | :17:37. | |
what creditor countries such as Germany and Finland wanted, and | :17:37. | :17:42. | |
what the embattled Greeks wanted. In the end the 16 other eurozone | :17:42. | :17:46. | |
Governments agreed to lend 130 billion your yr roars and pay it | :17:46. | :17:51. | |
out in tranches over the next two years. Greeks wouldn't have to pay | :17:51. | :17:56. | |
back loans to banks worth 100 billion euros. In order to get it, | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
Greece has promised a programme of austerity, unseen in a western | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
democracy in a generation. Including mass privatisation of | :18:03. | :18:08. | |
ports, airports and some public utilities, on top of widespread job | :18:08. | :18:13. | |
and wage cuts. The lenders, who will oversee that, the IMF, the | :18:14. | :18:19. | |
European Central Bank and the EU, known as the troika, hailed this | :18:19. | :18:24. | |
morning's hard earned deal. Today's deal is a key remaining building | :18:24. | :18:29. | |
block of our comprehensive crisis, and with this agreement we have a | :18:29. | :18:35. | |
real chance to turn the corner and move from stablisation to boosting | :18:35. | :18:39. | |
sustainable growth and job creation. But the agreement depends crucially | :18:39. | :18:43. | |
on a number of key, and some might say, optimistic assumptions. | :18:43. | :18:48. | |
Firstly, that the cocktail of austerity, fresh loans and bank | :18:48. | :18:52. | |
haircuts, will bring Greek national debt, as a percentage of its annual | :18:52. | :18:58. | |
income, down from its current level of 160%, to an equally high 120%, | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
by the end of the decade. That assumes a fair wind at its back. A | :19:03. | :19:07. | |
leaked internal EU document says it is more likely that debt will be | :19:07. | :19:12. | |
129% by 2020, and worse, if Greece's run of bad luck continues, | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
the leaked debt sustainability report says that it may end up | :19:16. | :19:21. | |
owing exactly as much in eight years as it does today. Or 1.6- | :19:21. | :19:26. | |
times GDP. The bailout deal also assumes that | :19:26. | :19:30. | |
the private sector will grow enough to make up the shortfall from a | :19:30. | :19:33. | |
dramatically shrinking Government sector. That is a big ask, given | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
the massive capital flight that Greece has endured over the past | :19:36. | :19:40. | |
two years. We really don't know what might happen in eight years | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
time. It is very hard to project. Even the projections made in 2010 | :19:44. | :19:48. | |
at the time of the first loan are very far from the reality we now | :19:48. | :19:51. | |
see. I would have thought it is quite difficult, particularly when | :19:51. | :19:55. | |
tax receipts are falling, VAT and other tax receipts are falling | :19:55. | :19:59. | |
quite sharply, it is very difficult to know that austerity would | :19:59. | :20:03. | |
deliver much of an improvement at all. The Greek Finance Minister, | :20:03. | :20:07. | |
Evangelos Venizelos, says today's deal means his country avoids a | :20:07. | :20:10. | |
nightmare scenario. It is true, they do get the bailout, and they | :20:10. | :20:14. | |
stay within the warm embrace of the eurozone. But with unemployment at | :20:14. | :20:18. | |
21%, GDP shrinking rapidly, and private wealth abandoning the | :20:18. | :20:22. | |
country, it is hard to think of any other description for the current | :20:22. | :20:25. | |
situation other than a nightmare scenario, that is before you drill | :20:25. | :20:33. | |
into the detail of today's deal. Like will the Greek populus accept | :20:33. | :20:37. | |
on the ground what their leaders have Bartered in Belgium. With | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
elections planned for late April, opinion polls suggest a big lurch | :20:41. | :20:45. | |
to the extreme parties. Who may want to tear up today's deal. | :20:45. | :20:51. | |
This second bailout also assumes that Greece's creditor banks accept | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
write-downs in the face value of their bonds of 53.5%. Something | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
that they themselves ruled out only last autumn. I think for Greece the | :20:59. | :21:03. | |
50% nominal reduction is, in my view, at the border line of what | :21:03. | :21:12. | |
could be reasonably viewed as voluntary. Any further dereduction | :21:12. | :21:17. | |
in -- reduction in value and losses would be put at non-voluntary. | :21:17. | :21:21. | |
begs the important question, how many of Greece's lenders will sign | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
up for the proposed haircut, which is looking like an all over blade | :21:25. | :21:28. | |
one. Greece said at least two- thirds of the creditors have to | :21:28. | :21:34. | |
sign up for the debt write-off to work. If they don't reach that | :21:34. | :21:37. | |
threshold, it might be Greece's banks, rather than the political | :21:37. | :21:40. | |
elite that will pull the plug on Greece. | :21:40. | :21:44. | |
To find out, earlier I spoke to the man at the forefront of the Greek | :21:44. | :21:48. | |
debt talks, the managing director of the Institute for International | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
Finance, Aaron Delahunty. I asked him, how much -- Charles Dallara, I | :21:52. | :22:01. | |
asked him how much of the 200 billion cuts in Greece he | :22:01. | :22:07. | |
represented? We represent under half of that, just under 100 | :22:07. | :22:09. | |
billion euros. We have communication with an investor base | :22:10. | :22:14. | |
much larger. Our formal representation is just under 100 | :22:14. | :22:17. | |
billion euros. Is this deal dependant on a certain level of | :22:17. | :22:23. | |
participation? Certainly it is. We have not judged, nor has the Greek | :22:23. | :22:29. | |
Government set a particular minimum threshold, but certainly I think we | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
all realise, that for this economic programme to work, and for the | :22:32. | :22:36. | |
cloud of debt burden to be sufficiently cleared off the Greek | :22:36. | :22:40. | |
horizon. That we will need very high participation in this deal, we | :22:40. | :22:45. | |
will work to achieve that. But you have no guarantee you will get a | :22:45. | :22:48. | |
very high level of participation, do you? No, no guarantee at all. | :22:48. | :22:52. | |
You do the best you can in designing these deals. We respect | :22:52. | :22:57. | |
the right that each investor, including the members of our own | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
steering committee, who have endorsed the basic perameters of | :23:01. | :23:06. | |
this deal, has the right to look at the documentation and value wait | :23:06. | :23:10. | |
the costs of the deal, and make their own judgment. We feel | :23:10. | :23:14. | |
confident once investors have sorted dlu the documentation, and | :23:14. | :23:18. | |
looked at the -- through the documentation and looked at the | :23:18. | :23:21. | |
perameters and benefits, that a large number of investors will come | :23:21. | :23:26. | |
in. What proportion of their loans will investors lose? They will lose | :23:26. | :23:32. | |
just over 50% of the nominal value of their current claims, in terms | :23:32. | :23:37. | |
of the net present value, the economic value of the loans, they | :23:37. | :23:41. | |
will lose north of the value of 70%. There is substantial loss embedded | :23:41. | :23:45. | |
in this deal, there is no use trying to hide that. It was | :23:45. | :23:51. | |
necessary, if we were to deal effectively, and determinately, | :23:51. | :23:56. | |
with the scale of debt burden, which Greece is simply unable to | :23:56. | :24:02. | |
cope with. By your own admission, you only represent about half of | :24:02. | :24:06. | |
the total debt exposure here. What is to stop someone like a hedge | :24:06. | :24:12. | |
fund or someone, who has bought Greek debt, trying to trigger the | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
insurance involved in a Credit Default Swap? There is nothing that | :24:15. | :24:21. | |
I'm aware of, Jeremy, that will definitively stop someone who wants | :24:21. | :24:27. | |
toe stake such action. There is no iron -- to take such action. There | :24:27. | :24:32. | |
is no iron-clad guarantee as we discussed earlier, that individual | :24:32. | :24:36. | |
investors might not contemplate counter-productive activity here. | :24:36. | :24:41. | |
They have the right, the legal rights, the market judgments to | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
make, but we are convinced that when you look at the total picture | :24:45. | :24:51. | |
here, that the overwhelming bulk of investors will consider this a | :24:51. | :24:54. | |
favourable transaction, which benefits not only the narrow | :24:54. | :25:00. | |
contours of the balance sheet, but the broader conure tours of the | :25:00. | :25:06. | |
market place, which is -- contour of the market place. If the | :25:06. | :25:12. | |
insurance system worked, they could recoup 100% of the money they lent | :25:12. | :25:15. | |
the Greeks, instead of something like 30%? It is not inconceivable, | :25:16. | :25:19. | |
if too many go in that direction, though, the system breaks down, we | :25:19. | :25:24. | |
will not have a successful conclusion of this deal. And then | :25:24. | :25:29. | |
where will they be. Judgment calls have to be made here. I'm | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
encouraged that the overwhelming bulk of investors we have been in | :25:33. | :25:38. | |
communication with, not just those we formally represent, but those | :25:38. | :25:42. | |
outside the formal umbrella of our Steering committee and investment | :25:42. | :25:45. | |
committee, with whom we have been discussing the broad strategy, see | :25:45. | :25:49. | |
the broader benefits of this. We will have to wait and see, of | :25:49. | :25:53. | |
course, it will be up to the Greeks working with their agents to go out | :25:53. | :25:57. | |
and mobilise support, but once we see the formal, final details of | :25:57. | :26:01. | |
the offer, we are also going to give support to this deal as best | :26:01. | :26:05. | |
we can. But Mr Dallara, of course European | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
Governments believe in saving the euro, it is the only game in town. | :26:09. | :26:14. | |
It is a political project. You are acting and talking as if these | :26:14. | :26:21. | |
financial institutions are some sort of charity? No, I just think - | :26:21. | :26:25. | |
- No, I just think that most of the CEOs that we work with, it is a | :26:25. | :26:29. | |
wide range of financial institutions. It includes state- | :26:29. | :26:33. | |
owned insurance firms, it includes prove detention insurance firms, | :26:33. | :26:37. | |
banks, hedge funds, Asset Management firms, not just head | :26:37. | :26:42. | |
quartered in Europe, but the US and elsewhere. The bulk of the CEOs | :26:42. | :26:46. | |
have a broud perspective of what is in the interest of -- broad | :26:46. | :26:49. | |
perspective and what is in the interest of their balance sheet and | :26:49. | :26:54. | |
investor base. That is why they do not consider it an issue of charity, | :26:54. | :27:02. | |
but an issue of looking at long- term cost and benefits. | :27:02. | :27:06. | |
The Education Secretary claimed today that the Government was | :27:06. | :27:10. | |
Marching towards the sound of gunfire, there speaks a scrappy | :27:10. | :27:14. | |
little Scot and reformed journalist. But the readiness to have a fight | :27:14. | :27:17. | |
with the educational establishment is yet to lead to the wholesale | :27:17. | :27:20. | |
reform of the schools system in England, which we were promised | :27:20. | :27:24. | |
when the Tories asked for our votes. The favourite wheeze of Free | :27:24. | :27:30. | |
Schools, set up independent of local authority control, has so far | :27:30. | :27:35. | |
yielded a grand total of 79 such establishments. Tomorrow the | :27:35. | :27:39. | |
organisation called David Cameron's favourite think-tank, will suggest | :27:39. | :27:45. | |
they could make more programme if the Government wasn't so allergic | :27:45. | :27:49. | |
to get -- progress, if the Government wasn't so allergic to | :27:49. | :27:52. | |
letting private companies get involved. Shrove Tuesday in central | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
London, not an unusual nursery, it is funded through a mix of public | :27:55. | :28:00. | |
and private money, and profits can be made. They are, in is over half | :28:00. | :28:03. | |
of our nurseries. These kids will grow up and go to schools less | :28:03. | :28:10. | |
unusual. Fully funded by the state, and unlike at nursery level, there | :28:10. | :28:14. | |
is no chance of companies that might make a profit getting | :28:14. | :28:19. | |
involved. Why do we left profits in caring for our tiniests, but not | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
further up. That is the question think-tank exchange is asking, they | :28:22. | :28:27. | |
think the Government's flagship policy, setting up Free Schools | :28:27. | :28:32. | |
outside state col could learn from this. This is the right thing to. | :28:32. | :28:37. | |
Do we urgently need more state schools in Britain, the Government | :28:37. | :28:40. | |
doesn't have money to spend, bringing in private money could | :28:41. | :28:47. | |
bring in expertise. Advocated point to Sweden, there, they say there is | :28:47. | :28:51. | |
a massive rise in children attending Free Schools, because | :28:51. | :28:57. | |
they were run by profit-making sectors. We could do this, we know | :28:57. | :29:01. | |
we could, because we have been doing it successfully, parents have | :29:01. | :29:09. | |
bought into it. The Cameron Government is in a hurry to deliver | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
policies before the next election. Free Schools are not working as | :29:13. | :29:16. | |
they would like. Many senior advisers think they should go the | :29:16. | :29:21. | |
whole way, bring in profit-making companies to Free Schools and allow | :29:21. | :29:24. | |
the policy to flourish. The politics of putting children's | :29:24. | :29:29. | |
learning in the hand of profit- making companies has a fraught his | :29:29. | :29:36. | |
treatment some in the Government pushed it but Lib Dems ruled it out. | :29:36. | :29:42. | |
It is probably dead. Here is why. In one poll in the National Union | :29:42. | :29:45. | |
of Teachers, an organisation against Free Schools. Parents were | :29:45. | :29:55. | |
| :29:55. | :30:04. | ||
Policy Exchange think they have come up with a compromise. We don't | :30:04. | :30:08. | |
have to choose between a traditional for-profit model, we | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
could have something in the middle, schools owned and run by the | :30:12. | :30:15. | |
teachers who work in them. We have a situation where a third of | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
children in some parts of the country are missing out on their | :30:18. | :30:23. | |
preferred school, as the number of children needing school places go | :30:23. | :30:27. | |
up in places like London increase, we will have a schools' places | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
crisis, unless we have new money from somewhere to bring into the | :30:30. | :30:34. | |
state sector to increase the numbers of places. Critics say it | :30:34. | :30:38. | |
is about ideology rather than basic education needs. There are clearly | :30:38. | :30:42. | |
issues in the school system that need reform and we need improvement. | :30:42. | :30:46. | |
But bringing in the private sector is not necessarily the way to do it. | :30:46. | :30:50. | |
We have plenty of robust national evidence which shows the best way | :30:50. | :30:53. | |
to improve schools is improve the quality of teaching, bring in | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
effective school leadership, provide clear accountability to | :30:57. | :31:02. | |
parent, there are plenty of ways of doing it which don't involve the | :31:02. | :31:10. | |
private sector. The The balance of evidence shows in Sweden that Free | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
Schools bring up standards, and in the US for-profit schools increase | :31:14. | :31:23. | |
standards. The support for Free Schools coming your way is not high. | :31:23. | :31:26. | |
The Conservatives believe by 2015 they may have as many as 500 Free | :31:26. | :31:30. | |
Schools, without the need for help. In their darker moments, when | :31:30. | :31:35. | |
Tories worry about their legacy, they reach for palatable ways to | :31:35. | :31:40. | |
implement their own agenda. As policy makers come up with things | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
to sell to the Liberal Democrats. With us now is Graham Stuart, chair | :31:44. | :31:48. | |
of the Commons Education Select Committee, and Mary Bousted, | :31:48. | :31:53. | |
general secretary of the general teachers union, the ATL. What can | :31:53. | :32:00. | |
the private sector do that the state can't? Two things Policy | :32:00. | :32:04. | |
Exchange identified, additional capital and a shortage of places, | :32:04. | :32:11. | |
and we want parental support we have to have surplus of places, and | :32:11. | :32:14. | |
additional expertise and innovation from the private sector. Those are | :32:14. | :32:18. | |
the two key benefit that is could come from allowing the profit | :32:18. | :32:21. | |
sector into education. Given that money is short, school places are | :32:21. | :32:25. | |
going to get short, it is an obvious solution, isn't it? Not at | :32:25. | :32:30. | |
all, the problem with the profit motive is schools could be set up | :32:30. | :32:33. | |
where they are not needed. In that case they will fail? Children are | :32:33. | :32:38. | |
not cans of beans, you don't want them in schools that fail, you want | :32:38. | :32:42. | |
regulation of quality. They will only fail because there are not | :32:42. | :32:46. | |
enough children? If there are no enough children, you don't have the | :32:46. | :32:50. | |
staff, or the curriculum. So it is a commercial misjudgment, not the | :32:50. | :32:54. | |
state's problem? It is the children's problem and the state's | :32:54. | :32:59. | |
money paying for schools to fail. Profit is for profit, schools | :32:59. | :33:04. | |
should be more pupils. Your objection is ideolgical? No based | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
on research evidence. There is no evidence whatsoever, that report | :33:07. | :33:10. | |
was wrong from the director of Policy Exchange, there is no | :33:10. | :33:13. | |
evidence that for-profit schools raise standards, they haven't done | :33:13. | :33:16. | |
so in America, they certainly haven't done so in Sweden. What do | :33:16. | :33:22. | |
you make that have? I think Mary's perhaps wrong on that issue, the | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
evidence is mixed. I think is the best you could say. The for-profit | :33:27. | :33:30. | |
sector it is not obvious that standards have been raised in | :33:30. | :33:35. | |
America and Sweden, we have probably got the largest sector of | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
for-profit schools there. They are not leading he Lee lights globally, | :33:39. | :33:44. | |
in terms of he had -- leading lights globally in terms of | :33:44. | :33:47. | |
education. If we look at the best countries in the world for their | :33:47. | :33:51. | |
education system, what you don't find in Korea or Singapore or | :33:51. | :33:56. | |
Finland is a big for-profit sector. On the other hand, if we can bring | :33:56. | :34:02. | |
in extra capital and do what Policy Exchange says, we can have a social | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
enterprise model, pilot it and see if the extra money and expertise | :34:06. | :34:08. | |
can raise standards, that is surely what it should be about. It | :34:08. | :34:15. | |
shouldn't be a right, left, ideolgical bat, between luddite | :34:15. | :34:20. | |
unions on the one side. Luddite unions, here we go again, it is odd | :34:20. | :34:25. | |
that if it is such an attractive model your own party hasn't | :34:25. | :34:29. | |
embraced it in Government? It is a coalition Government. Left to your | :34:29. | :34:33. | |
own devices you think they would? think there are many in the | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
Government who would be sympathetic to it. As I say, the evidence is | :34:36. | :34:39. | |
mixed, and Policy Exchange is suggesting a social enterprise | :34:39. | :34:43. | |
model where half the profits are retained by shareholders and the | :34:43. | :34:47. | |
other half reinvested in the schools. If the private sector | :34:47. | :34:50. | |
concentrates on schools serving the poorest, and must underprivileged | :34:51. | :34:55. | |
areas of the country, and they can bring improvement to those children | :34:55. | :35:00. | |
who need it most, surely, even people like Mary, who have a knee- | :35:00. | :35:04. | |
jeark opposition to anything to do with the private sector, could set | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
that asite, put the children first, instead of her own members' | :35:07. | :35:11. | |
interests for once. You have said yourself that there is no evidence | :35:11. | :35:14. | |
it would put the children first. Let's be clear there are real | :35:15. | :35:19. | |
dangers. Let's do pilots like Policy Exchange suggest. There are | :35:19. | :35:24. | |
real problems. Even the pilots are dangerous. Look in America with the | :35:24. | :35:27. | |
charter schools, $400 million for charter schools, what have they | :35:27. | :35:34. | |
found out, school management companies raking off between 5-18% | :35:34. | :35:39. | |
of the school's income. Lack of resources, kids being taught in | :35:39. | :35:45. | |
huts, kids not having books, children being charged $600 to | :35:45. | :35:50. | |
gratd wait. What they found in flour -- grat wait. What they found | :35:50. | :35:55. | |
in Florida is no real control. that was the true picture in Sweden | :35:55. | :35:58. | |
and America there would be wholesale desire to get rid of for- | :35:58. | :36:02. | |
profit. If you go to Sweden, historically socialist Sweden, is | :36:02. | :36:07. | |
there anybody in the political landscape who think you should get | :36:07. | :36:10. | |
rid of the for-profits, I don't think you are painting a fair | :36:10. | :36:15. | |
picture, let's have pilots, stop opposing all change just because it | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
proves for-profit. They don't think they should get rid of Free Schools | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
in Sweden, but they issued a report and investigation into how Free | :36:23. | :36:27. | |
Schools and the management company of Free Schools in Sweden are | :36:28. | :36:31. | |
cutting corners in order to make profit. He said we are finding they | :36:31. | :36:36. | |
don't have libraries, or school nurses, they don't have a rigorous | :36:36. | :36:39. | |
curriculum, they are letting the kids do what they want. Strange | :36:39. | :36:44. | |
they don't want to get rid of them. They want to regulate them better. | :36:44. | :36:48. | |
That is a different argument, we should pilot it, try to get the | :36:48. | :36:51. | |
framework right, we have to incentivise the right behaviour, if | :36:51. | :36:54. | |
we can target it at the children who are most often being let down | :36:54. | :36:58. | |
by the system now, it is surely something, across the divide, we | :36:58. | :37:03. | |
should all be able to join together on and see piloted. We will do that, | :37:04. | :37:08. | |
if you do something for us, stop local authorities being denied the | :37:08. | :37:12. | |
opportunity to run a school. They can't even bid to run a school. | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
Even if it is a parents-preferred choice, that good local authorities, | :37:16. | :37:20. | |
are not allowed to set up and run schools. There is no place planing, | :37:20. | :37:24. | |
these Free Schools, largely secondary schools, where we have an | :37:24. | :37:28. | |
explosion of Primary School places needed, there is no place planning, | :37:28. | :37:32. | |
there is no sensible way of managing and organising place | :37:32. | :37:36. | |
planing in the system at the moment. It is at tomorrowised, it is | :37:36. | :37:40. | |
fragmented, and the result will be, never mind the profit motive for | :37:40. | :37:43. | |
whatever else, children won't have school places, that is because | :37:43. | :37:47. | |
there is no way they can be controlled. You uniquely -- neatly | :37:47. | :37:53. | |
changed the subject to place planning. I have no thoits on that. | :37:53. | :37:57. | |
The man who is tired of London is tired of life, there is no London | :37:58. | :38:04. | |
all that life can afford. The old place has changed a bit since Dr | :38:04. | :38:08. | |
Johnson's testimonial, it has changed astonishingly, where it is | :38:08. | :38:12. | |
unrecoginsable in some places over the last few years. What is it that | :38:12. | :38:16. | |
making Londoners Londoners, they are as likely toe come from Poland | :38:16. | :38:20. | |
and Ecuador as Ealing. It seems more plugged into the rest of the | :38:20. | :38:26. | |
world than the rest of the country. The gap between rich and poor yawns. | :38:26. | :38:32. | |
A big fat London novel is how John Lanchester describes Capital, the | :38:32. | :38:38. | |
saga of the residents of Pepys Road, an ordinary street in south London. | :38:38. | :38:43. | |
The housing boom, that British obsession has made its residents | :38:43. | :38:48. | |
rich, because all of the houses in the road, as if by magic, were now | :38:48. | :38:52. | |
worth millions of pounds. The new residents, including a banker | :38:52. | :38:56. | |
waiting anxiously whether his bonus will top �1 million, it is not | :38:56. | :39:01. | |
strictly, to him, a bonus, but a vital necessity. But the novel | :39:01. | :39:07. | |
opens on the eve of the financial crisis. Enthusiastic reviewers have | :39:07. | :39:14. | |
seen the book as a post-crash state-of-the-nation novel, in which | :39:14. | :39:19. | |
Asian shopkeepers rub shoulders with Zimbabwean traffic wardens, | :39:19. | :39:25. | |
and Polish builders lust after Hungarian nannies. The last | :39:25. | :39:30. | |
locally-born resident dies mid-way through, while they are artist | :39:30. | :39:34. | |
grandson, basks in the attention of a trivial middle-class. What do | :39:34. | :39:40. | |
these people have in common, do they share anything beyond | :39:41. | :39:45. | |
capital's rather grubby air. The author of Capital, John Lanchester, | :39:45. | :39:49. | |
is with us now. From your novel we are not all in this together, are | :39:49. | :39:54. | |
we? I don't think we are, no. most striking characteristic of | :39:54. | :39:59. | |
Londoners portrayed in your novel is how at tomorrowised it is? | :39:59. | :40:09. | |
| :40:09. | :40:09. | ||
is my own view of London -- atomised it is. That is my own view | :40:09. | :40:14. | |
of London. I always think about when politicians talk about | :40:14. | :40:18. | |
community, people live in parallel solitude, they don't know the | :40:18. | :40:22. | |
people around them and they are on these parallel tracks that barely | :40:22. | :40:27. | |
brush up against each other. centres on one road, built for | :40:27. | :40:32. | |
people of relatively modest means, and because of the London profit | :40:32. | :40:37. | |
boom they have all got wealthy, there is the banker, Polish | :40:37. | :40:43. | |
builders, the Hungarian nannies, the Zimbabwean traffic warden, they | :40:43. | :40:48. | |
all lead very independent lives, do you get any sense of what it is | :40:48. | :40:58. | |
| :40:58. | :40:59. | ||
draws people to London. I once spent an afternoon in the pub, I | :40:59. | :41:02. | |
was locked out of the house, and there was a misunderstanding about | :41:02. | :41:07. | |
the keys. I got chatting to a Polish woman working as a nanny, | :41:07. | :41:11. | |
although she was a qualified teacher, she had a doctorate. She | :41:11. | :41:15. | |
talked about her reasons for being in London and reeled off these | :41:15. | :41:18. | |
things, and the expression became whist. And said there is also the | :41:19. | :41:22. | |
London dream. There was a striking sense, once people would have | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
talked like that about America. Now there is a sense that the UK in | :41:25. | :41:29. | |
general, London in particular is a place where people come to make | :41:29. | :41:31. | |
their fortunes. It seems, I don't know whether it | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
seems like this to you, it seems a city that is not really plugged | :41:34. | :41:40. | |
into the rest of Britain so much, as plugged into the world? I worry | :41:40. | :41:46. | |
about that aspect, the Manhattenisation of London. In the | :41:46. | :41:52. | |
way that Manhatten is the financial centre and is much more ethnically | :41:52. | :41:56. | |
diverse and regarded as a special case by the rest of the US. London | :41:56. | :42:02. | |
could go in that direction t might almost be an island floating of the | :42:02. | :42:12. | |
rest of the UK. Does it matter? might as inequality grows, not just | :42:12. | :42:19. | |
the 0.1%, but the 0.01% of those, with the wealth and privilege there | :42:19. | :42:22. | |
and the rest of the country struggling. I get a slight whiff of | :42:22. | :42:28. | |
that already. There are parts of the UK you go to and it feels like | :42:28. | :42:32. | |
1976. If we move apart from each other, that does matter. | :42:32. | :42:37. | |
There is in your portrait of this straight, there is no such thing as | :42:37. | :42:40. | |
what used to be called the host community, is there? No, I think | :42:41. | :42:46. | |
that's a thing you notice in London too. That a lot, it is like those | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
things when you used to see diagrams of the neutron bomb | :42:50. | :42:53. | |
radiating out, and leaving buildings intact, but killing all | :42:53. | :42:57. | |
the people. Money has done that to London, the people who used to live | :42:57. | :43:02. | |
in centre now live further out, the people who used to live in the | :43:02. | :43:06. | |
periphery have largely dispersed, it has changed the pexure of London | :43:06. | :43:13. | |
life. It has -- texture of London life. And in a factual way changed | :43:13. | :43:17. | |
the people who live here. What about changed moral codes? That is | :43:17. | :43:21. | |
an issue, one of the things that can happen in the modern world, if | :43:21. | :43:24. | |
you never go anywhere or do anything and stay in the same place | :43:24. | :43:28. | |
all your life, you still look out of the window and don't recognise | :43:28. | :43:32. | |
where you are. That can happen, the sleepiest, most rural parts of the | :43:32. | :43:36. | |
country, people have that experience. I think a big part of | :43:36. | :43:39. | |
it is that sense that the stories we tell each other, and the values | :43:39. | :43:44. | |
we have, are no longer shared. mention that the opportunity that | :43:44. | :43:50. | |
London seems in the minds of many people to offer to realise a dream, | :43:50. | :43:55. | |
it also offers sanctuary, doesn't it? That's true. I pine for a | :43:55. | :44:01. | |
simple letter day when we speak straight forwardly about refugees - | :44:01. | :44:05. | |
simpler day when we talk about refugees, and people noi talk about | :44:05. | :44:10. | |
asylum seekers and it is a contested -- now talk about asylum | :44:10. | :44:14. | |
seekers and it is a contested issue. It is about the places people want | :44:15. | :44:19. | |
to get away from and to, and the second catagory is a better thing | :44:19. | :44:26. | |
to be. Do you feel optimistic about the future about this | :44:26. | :44:30. | |
increatesingly heterogeneous, -- increasingly hettro genius | :44:30. | :44:37. | |
straining at the seems city. I was born in hoing Kong and brought up | :44:37. | :44:45. | |
in Germany, I'm from where else, the hettro genius -- hettro genius | :44:45. | :44:49. | |
is a strength. It will be a difficult few years for everyone in | :44:49. | :44:53. | |
the UK, but there is so much energy, talent, enterprise and appetite | :44:53. | :45:03. | |
| :45:03. | :45:05. | ||
here, I'm optimistic. That's all from Tuesday night tonight, nothing | :45:05. | :45:10. | |
so exciting as the political career of the former Prime Minister of | :45:10. | :45:14. | |
Belgium, Herman Van Rompuy, his time has President of the European | :45:14. | :45:19. | |
Union's council has been such a glittering success it is to be | :45:19. | :45:22. | |
extended for another couple of years, it seems no-one else wants | :45:22. | :45:30. | |
the job. What a man. # As I walk along the street | :45:30. | :45:34. | |
# With my naiyo in this case and frittes | :45:34. | :45:41. | |
# You can tell I'm as happy as can # It is a shame about the weather | :45:41. | :45:46. | |
# But we all live in harmony # It is great to be a Belgian | :45:46. | :45:54. | |
# I'm not English, French or Dutch # I'm not Polish, Italian ordainish | :45:54. | :46:04. | |
| :46:04. | :46:07. | ||
# I'm a Belgian, so thank you very Wettest conditions in western | :46:07. | :46:14. | |
Scotland and the Cumbrian fells during the day. | :46:14. | :46:20. | |
Surface water flooding, easing off across the North West later, patchy | :46:20. | :46:27. | |
mainly light drizzle, gusty winds possible. In East Anglia dry, but a | :46:27. | :46:31. | |
cooler day to come compared with today. Temperatures only around 9- | :46:31. | :46:36. | |
10, strengthening winds. After a reasonably dry start to the south | :46:36. | :46:42. | |
west, here the rain will develop widely, heaviest to be across | :46:42. | :46:46. | |
Snowdonia. In the Northern Ireland rain to be heavy all morning, light | :46:46. | :46:52. | |
in the afternoon. 12-13 possible in the westerly winds. Scotland 12-14 | :46:52. | :46:56. | |
is likely. Damp across western areas, not as wet as the morning, | :46:56. | :47:01. | |
the north-east dryer and brighter. Changes into Thursday, not as wet | :47:01. | :47:04. | |
across parts of North West England, Scotland and Northern Ireland, but | :47:04. | :47:08. | |
the western coast jal hills damp and drizzley, same too across | :47:08. | :47:11. | |
England and Wales, Thursday set to be dry, brighter and that is going | :47:11. | :47:16. | |
to have a huge impact. Even with the outbreaks of rain across the | :47:16. | :47:19. |