25/09/2012 Newsnight


25/09/2012

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The battle of the badger cull turns nasty. Newsnight goes undercover in

:00:12.:00:16.

the undergrowth. And learns how threats and intimidation towards

:00:16.:00:20.

farmers could jeopardise the Government's plans. It was

:00:20.:00:23.

harassment, they said you have fantastic garden, a fantastic-

:00:23.:00:27.

looking farm, you must have a lovely lifestyle there. You enter

:00:27.:00:32.

into the badger scheme, you will come up with some consequences.

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Bill Oddie is against the cull, he is with us. We will ask if the

:00:36.:00:39.

killing of these animals make scientific sense.

:00:39.:00:45.

The budget for overseas aid will sore next year, the PM confirms his

:00:45.:00:49.

commitment, but is he right. There are concerns that the aid budget is

:00:49.:00:54.

growing so fast that the civil servants in here are having to do

:00:54.:00:58.

the equivalent of shovelling money out the door to get it out fast

:00:58.:01:01.

enough. The Liberal Democrats are telling us why we should vote for

:01:01.:01:07.

them in the next election. Tomorrow Nick Clegg will try to rival the

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speech made by Vince Cable, he will say there is no turning back on

:01:11.:01:13.

deficit reduction, and tell the country he's still strong enough to

:01:13.:01:17.

make the tough choices. How does your brain respond to information,

:01:18.:01:27.
:01:28.:01:28.

pictures, number, words? Welcome to the art of data visualisation.

:01:28.:01:32.

Good evening. Will badgers be to David Cameron what hunted foxes

:01:32.:01:39.

became to Tony Blair? A totemic, or toxic symbol of the curious

:01:39.:01:44.

relationship the English have with their animals, and something that

:01:44.:01:47.

does not welcome political interference. Since the badger cull

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received its license, 100,000 people petitioned to stop it.

:01:56.:02:01.

We look at the intimidation for farmers by protesters. Some say the

:02:01.:02:06.

cull will have no significant effect against TB, but the

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Government says it has to be tried. In the dead of night, disputed

:02:09.:02:12.

territory in the latest clash between farmers and wildlife

:02:12.:02:17.

campaigners. Using a night vision camera, we

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were secretly shown one of the largest sets in Gloucestershire, a

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pilot zone for the mass slaughter of badgers. This is one of the

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first areas where the cull will begin, in the Seth behind me, bait

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will be -- set behind me, bait will be laid to encourage badgers to

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come out to eat, when they are in the habit of doing, that they will

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be shot. Cattle farmers say the move will

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limited endless spread of TB through their herds. But the plans

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are provoking fury. Any day now, the silence of the Gloucestershire

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night will be broken, as campaigners rampage around the area,

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making as much noise as possible to scare the badgers away. They say

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that if they see anyone with a shotgun, they will stand in the way

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to stop the badgers getting hurt. Protestor and farmer, there is a

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gulf in mutual understanding and sympathy. Both are certain they are

:03:13.:03:23.

right. January has helped organised the Gloucestershire -- Jan has

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helped organised the Gloucestershire cull, his own farm

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lies out of the boundary. TB has laid siege to his dairy herd,

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costing him, he estimates, half a million pounds. We have to do

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something different now, to sit back and let farmers take the

:03:40.:03:44.

strain. We know DEFRA's budget is coming under pressure, cutbacks are

:03:44.:03:48.

likely, pressure will be ramped up again. There is a huge threat to

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the cattle industry this the west of the country, if we doesn't do

:03:51.:03:54.

something effective against the disease. This protestor co-

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ordinates the group Stop The Cull. He's promising direct action, and

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wants to remain anonymous, in case he's targeted. We will be using

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megaphones to disrupt the cull directly, so if we see maxmen and

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see badgers we will make -- marksmen we will make noise to

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scare them off. He is one of three groups opposed to the cull?

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largest group RSPCA, with Brian May, they are broadly politically

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lobbying. We are a direct action group going in, and stop the cull

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taking place. There is a much more extreme group, which I would guess

:04:39.:04:44.

would be the Animal Liberation Front. What sort of tactics are

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they threatening? The Animal Liberation Front have put out

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communiques saying they will superglue the cashpoints of

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Sainsbury's. If it stocks milk from cull areas? Yes. It isn't just

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protests, but locals are facing economic consequences too, with a

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possible consumer boycott. Areas like Tewkesbury rely on the tourist

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trade, while some supermarkets are reassuring their customers they

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went stock milk that comes from the cull areas. The protesters claim

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that farmers in Gloucestershire are losing heart, and support for the

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cull. With some even pulling out because of the pressure. That's why

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they are not taking part in the cull? Yes, they initial low said

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they would, now they are saying they won't. -- initially said they

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would, now they are saying they won't. What has changed their mind?

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It is the amount of publicity it is getting and the amount of public

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outcry. We talk today one of those farm,

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she told us there was another reason for they are change of heart,

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a threatening phone call. It was harassment, they said you have a

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fantastic garden and farm, you must have a lovely lifestyle there,

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enter in the badger scheme you will come up with some consequences. I'm

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subsequently thinking about it all whether or not to go ahead, because

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this is rather frightening. Stop The Cull says it doesn't support

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such tactics? We condemn the harassment and damage to property.

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Scientists agree killing most of the badgers in the pilot areas will

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have an impact on cattle TB. If the full programme goes ahead, as many

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as 100,000 badgers will be culled. Reducing cattle TB by 16%. The

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argument between farmers and campaigners is whether that

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reduction justifies the slaughter. I think the emotion and sentiment

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about the badger is probably most of the problem. I think when, it is

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very difficult, as a disease, to tell people all of the problems

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with it, and how the badger is central in maintaining the

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reservoir in it. Until we deal with it in a significant way, as yet

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that may be vaccines and that is not ready for use, we have to look

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at other ways of getting on top of the disease.

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Vaccination, promoted as cure, not kill, is being tried over the

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boarder in Wales. It's labour- intensive, with each badger being

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trapped and injected. An oral vaccine will be more cost effective,

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but is still in development. Another approach, the vaccination

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of cattle, is banned by the EU. With no technical fix, the conflict

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is moving towards difficult terrain, to be played out in darkness and in

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anger. The badger minister, David Heath,

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has gone underground, we are now joined from Leicester by the bird

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watcher and broadcaster, Bill Oddie, who has campaigned against the cull,

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and by Peter Kendall, President of the National Farmers' Union, David

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Bowles from the RSPCA, and the Government aide Daniel Kawczynski.

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Thank you for joining us. If I start with you, Bill Oddie, if

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people are pulling out of these pilots, through intimidation, as

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you heard in the piece, is that a good thing? I think I would

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probably say it's the right result for the wrong reason. Because the

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thing that bothers me most, I think, it never seems to get a mention, is

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that we have, as conservationists, had an ever-improving relationship

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with farmers for a considerable time now. That was very important,

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because the British countryside and farmland in particular was losing

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its wildlife. Not just badgers, losing wildlife all down the way.

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And it's going to be very sad if we're now being set up against one

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another. Because believe me, there are plenty of farmers, not just in

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the cull areas, who have chosen not to go in with the cull. And it

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would be very detrimental to British countryside and wildlife in

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general. I certainly don't condone any kind of guerrilla violent

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tactics. Although, I have to say, the practicality of carrying out

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this cull is another big problem. I have watched enough badgers and

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filmed enough badgers to know you only have to crack a twig and Mr

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Badger is down in his set and he ain't coming out for several hours.

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How on earth marksmen are going to wander round in pitch darkness and

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shoot badgers, I simply don't know. There is bound to be confrontation.

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Let me pick up, first of all with you David Bowles, the RSPCA, you

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have heard Bill Oddie saying he condemns guerrilla violence tactics,

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this is the way it is going to happen, people will be intimidated

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out of participateing? We agree with Bill, we condemn violence on

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all sides. There has been, what we are trying to do is to highlight

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the fact that actually badger culling is not going to achieve

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what we all want to achieve, which is a reduction in bovine TB in the

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cattle herd. What we have seen is the Government saying to farmers,

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if you go down this route your problems will be solved. They are

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not, as you said in the piece, we could see reductions as little as

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3% in the cull areas, and around about 16% as an average. That is

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diney in terms of the fact you are wiping out 7 -- tiny in terms it of

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the fact you are wiping out 70% of an animal. The reason for the

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judicial review and the way the Government presented its figures,

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it shows over the average nine years of the I -- scientific

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reduction unit, if you go to those areas there is a 30% reduction, if

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you go to Ireland, where they are doing a cull of badgers, there is

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already over a 30% reduction. This isn't just one solution, we know we

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have to work on cattle movements and vaccination as well. But,

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reluctantly, and this is a big reluctant, because of exactly what

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Bill said about the relationship with the countryside and everybody

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who loves the countryside. Reluctantly we have to start and

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wind back the reservoir of disease in badgers. Bill Oddie, I'm going

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to let you come back. You said this was a friction between the farmers

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and the conservationists, surely you want to wipe out that disease?

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Of course, and conhave vaigsists have for years and years and years

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-- conservationists have for years and years and years T has been

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going on for many years. Proof in my hand of a publication from many

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years ago from the Wildlife Trust, it is telling the members what the

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problem is, and sympathiseing entirely with farmers and saying,

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basically, we are trying to achieve the same thing. My argument,

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frankly, if you want to put one set of people up against another set of

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people, let's put the farmers aside, it is the conservationists against

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this, flipping Government, who are showing a considerable ignorance

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and arrogance in everything to do with the countryside and

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agriculture. For the purposes of this debate you are the "flipping"

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Government, you can respond? What Bill Oddie hasn't talked about is

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the suffering of the badgers themselves, they suffer an

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appalling death because of bovine tuberculosis. You are culling the

:12:26.:12:32.

badgers so they feel better? limited cull of badgers, in hot

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spot areas, in order to try to tackle this rampent disease, which

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is blown out of all proportion against England. It is a bit

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cynical to say the badge letters be feeling better, why not stand up

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and say it is about industry and protecting those people who need

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your support? Representing a rural constituency like slowsbury, I have

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sat on many occasion -- Shrewsbury, I have sat on many occasions with

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farmers in their kitchens and seen grown men cry when all of their

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herds have been slaughtered. The devastation it causes to families,

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to smie Shropshire farm -- my Shropshire farmers and my dairy

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farmers, I would suggest it that Bill Oddie spend time with my

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constituents and farmers, and see the devastation they are going

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through because of the lack of action from the Labour

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administration for many years? Is it not a political thing that you

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want to be seen to be doing something, and that is what your

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Government is about, we have done something. We have a duty and

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responsibility, Sir, to ensure that there is, that England does

:13:43.:13:47.

continue to have a dairy industry. And unless we take these steps,

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thousands of dairy farmers will go out of business. That is not true.

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Let's talk about the dairy question for a second, there is now a

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campaign that others have signed to try to get supermarkets to register

:13:58.:14:02.

the equivalent of dolphin-friendly tuna, for example, millk from

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places badgers have not been culled. Is that workable and would you

:14:06.:14:10.

support it, should people be buying milk that hasn't come from those

:14:11.:14:16.

farms? To start off with you said the Number Ten petition had 100,000

:14:16.:14:19.

signatures, one of the fastest- growing petitions in over two weeks,

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it is still going up. It shows the depth of frustration and anger from

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the public. We have known from the two Government consultations that

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the majority of the public do not want to see culling. That is

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specifically about the culling, would you like people to boycott

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milk that didn't come from badger- friendly farms? We want people to

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be given the choice, whether to buy milk from a badger cull area or not.

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It is a simple consumer choice issue, it is not a boycott. At the

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moment they don't have that choice. Modern dairy issues are incredibly

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complicated, sometimes supermarkets buy an aggregated supply, and

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sometimes from a few producers. You know the problems the dairy

:14:58.:15:02.

industry is having in the UK at the moment, to try to bankrupt and put

:15:02.:15:05.

people out of business and stop people being involved and trying to

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save an industry. That is what I worry about this debate. In 1998

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there were 9,000 cattle slaughtered, last year there were 32,000 cattle

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slaughtered because of TB, this is an explosion of disease, we must do

:15:20.:15:24.

something about it. To try to drive people out of business to stop them

:15:24.:15:27.

tackling the reservoir of disease I think is an incredibly

:15:27.:15:32.

irresponsible line to take. What we don't know, if we get the licenses

:15:32.:15:36.

in both these areas happening, the Government has then said they will

:15:36.:15:41.

go to ten additional culls each year, where do we stop, do we wipe

:15:41.:15:45.

out 70% of the badgers in the south west of England, all over England.

:15:45.:15:49.

This is a protected species. The ironic thing is, just across the

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border from Daniel's constituency s the Welsh Government, looking at

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the same science and statistics have decided to go down a humane

:15:57.:16:00.

vaccination route, rather than a cull route. The most important

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thing to remember here is the Government has had a consultation

:16:03.:16:08.

on this. The scientists. The Government got rid of all its

:16:08.:16:10.

vaccination trials when it came into power, it didn't want to spend

:16:10.:16:14.

the money on it? Over 50% of the Government said they -- public said

:16:14.:16:16.

they didn't want the cull, the Government ignored them.

:16:17.:16:22.

Government line on this, to have a limited cull of badgers has the

:16:22.:16:27.

backing of the High Court. The scam badgers' Trust took us to court and

:16:27.:16:31.

the court ruled in our favour. What all of us have to remember is the

:16:31.:16:35.

High Court has assessed, and taken a huge amount of time to look

:16:35.:16:39.

through all the evidence and they backed us.

:16:39.:16:42.

If this turns into the equivalent of the fox-hunting ban for Tony

:16:43.:16:47.

Blair, which he then said he regreted, would it be worth it?

:16:47.:16:52.

very pleased that my neighbour, Owen Patterson, the new DEFRA

:16:52.:16:57.

secretary, he is committed to this, I, and other rural MPs, who have a

:16:57.:17:02.

duty and responsibility to our dairy farmer, will insist the

:17:02.:17:06.

Government fulfils this obligation in this matter. Let me ask you

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about the practicalities of this now, do you think they will be able

:17:09.:17:19.
:17:19.:17:22.

to stop this going ahead? Who was that question to you -- Who was

:17:22.:17:32.
:17:32.:17:34.

that question to? To you, Bill weeks ago and said I'm afraid this

:17:34.:17:41.

was going to turn nasty. It didn't powers to say that. It is perfectly

:17:41.:17:47.

obvious that it was. It will. It is police will be the next people who

:17:47.:17:51.

guarantee the safety of people in an area where there are people with

:17:51.:17:56.

guns, at night, in the dark, and other people wandering around

:17:56.:18:03.

trying to interrupt them. on this, is more than the amount

:18:03.:18:13.
:18:13.:18:14.

It is not, the message Bill should be tweeting and the RSPB, is this

:18:14.:18:16.

should not turn nasty, all of the organisations campaigning against

:18:16.:18:23.

the cull should put out a really big signal that lady shouldn't meal

:18:23.:18:28.

will turn nasty, I would like to see all the campaigners for

:18:28.:18:34.

wildlife to say it shouldn't turn nasty, we should put a message out

:18:34.:18:39.

saying this sort of behaviour is beyond the pale. We don't want to

:18:39.:18:46.

there are people who also feel intimidated and scared to speak out,

:18:46.:18:50.

actually against the cull, because they feel that they are intimidated.

:18:50.:18:57.

Thank you very much all of you. It may have been clever once, but

:18:57.:19:02.

does it still make political sense be going up by a third next year,

:19:02.:19:09.

when every other budget is going the Conservative decontamination

:19:09.:19:11.

project, might now look too much like a political gamble, when, say

:19:11.:19:13.

many in the party, there is plenty of suffering close to home. Tonight

:19:13.:19:20.

at the UN, David Cameron will restate his commitment to overseas

:19:20.:19:22.

aid, despite hints that his development secretary has questions

:19:22.:19:27.

of her own, she will be by his side. For all the high-volume campaigning

:19:27.:19:32.

of Live Aid, the commitment to spend 0.7% of GDP is actually far

:19:32.:19:42.
:19:42.:19:42.

older, it goes way back to the UN in 1970. The United Nations

:19:42.:19:46.

sponsored arrangement in 1970, it had no rhyme or reason, most

:19:46.:19:50.

countries now don't bother about it at all. We are giving now, in this

:19:50.:19:53.

country, more aid than any other country in the world with the

:19:53.:19:56.

exception of the United States, which, of course, is immensely

:19:56.:20:00.

richer than we are. Progress towards this goal has not

:20:00.:20:04.

been very impressive. Only Norway, Luxembourg, Sweden and the

:20:04.:20:10.

Netherlands manage it, according to the OECD, with Belgium not far

:20:10.:20:14.

behind, and then comes Britain on 0.6%. We are committed to hitting

:20:14.:20:18.

the target by 2013. The Prime Minister arrived in New York today,

:20:18.:20:24.

his first stop was to meet a group of young entrepeneurs, but tomorrow

:20:24.:20:28.

he will address the General Assembly of the UN, and tell them

:20:28.:20:32.

that the 0.7% commitment is more important than ever, and he will

:20:32.:20:38.

reaffirm Britain's commitment to it. This is where David Cameron's

:20:38.:20:42.

pledge gets made into reality, the Department for International

:20:42.:20:48.

Development in London. But there is, though, scepticism within Mr

:20:48.:20:53.

Cameron's own party, that this huge increase in Britain's aid budget

:20:53.:20:58.

will be well spent. Peter Bone is a Conservative MP, who almost

:20:58.:21:04.

singlehandedly attempts to get the 0.7% enshrined in British law.

:21:04.:21:09.

are talking from going from �7 billion a year to �12 billion in

:21:09.:21:13.

aid. In other words you could have �5 billion of tax cuts to get the

:21:13.:21:17.

economy going, without affecting any level of overseas aid, just

:21:17.:21:21.

keep it at the same level we have inherited. When we came to power we

:21:21.:21:26.

said overseas aid was poorly spent f we spent it better rather than

:21:26.:21:33.

increasing it, we are hooked on the 0.7%. The rise in the international

:21:34.:21:36.

development budget is spectacular, when set alongside other

:21:36.:21:40.

unfortunate Government departments. It has a rise of 34% over the next

:21:40.:21:44.

few years, the NHS is just about keeping pace with inflation. Wheen

:21:44.:21:50.

mile defence, education, the Home Office, communities and local

:21:50.:21:53.

Government, almost every other Government department is taking a

:21:53.:21:56.

big hit. Some influential Conservatives think this sends an

:21:56.:21:59.

important message about the Government's priorities. There are

:21:59.:22:03.

a number of things that David Cameron did to try to show that the

:22:03.:22:07.

Conservative Party was different from the Conservative Party of old.

:22:07.:22:11.

And things like committing to the poorest people of the world, things

:22:11.:22:15.

like maintaining the NHS budget. Things like gay marriage, are

:22:15.:22:20.

absolute signs that he is still the modernising Tory that he presented

:22:20.:22:24.

himself to the electorate before the election. As Britain's aid

:22:24.:22:28.

budget has increased, critics say all we are doing is spending more

:22:28.:22:32.

money on more marginal and questionable project. Indeed the

:22:32.:22:37.

Public Accounts Committee of the House of Commons has concluded that

:22:37.:22:40.

the Department of Development doesn't have the capacity to spend

:22:40.:22:45.

all this extra money on its own projects, instead it is having to

:22:45.:22:50.

funnel it through outside organisations with lower levels of

:22:50.:22:53.

accountability, it is doing this, say MPs, not because this is a

:22:53.:22:56.

smarter way of spending public money, no, they are doing it, they

:22:56.:23:00.

say, because it is easier. The way the projects are described is

:23:00.:23:04.

extremely vague, for example, �3020 million has gone to improve the

:23:05.:23:08.

Kenyan Government's accountability to its citizens. �94 million is

:23:08.:23:13.

going to improve the quality of life and opportunity for 2.4

:23:13.:23:19.

million in the Kolkata Metropolitan area. If you are worrying that all

:23:19.:23:28.

this is adding to our national debt, you might not like to know that

:23:28.:23:33.

�1,-- �1.4 million is to improve the economic debt of the Government

:23:33.:23:36.

of Jamaica. The House of Lords has admitted that British aid is often

:23:36.:23:41.

counter-productive, with much of it lost to corruption and middle men.

:23:41.:23:47.

It is a bonanza of consultants, it is these who are employed at large

:23:47.:23:51.

costs by the department to help them do their job. It is the

:23:51.:23:54.

consultants who are the main beneficiaries of the aid programme,

:23:54.:23:57.

rather than the poor people in the poor countries one would like to

:23:57.:24:01.

see benefiting from economic growth and economic development.

:24:01.:24:04.

Some Conservatives had hoped that the appointment of Jeremy

:24:04.:24:09.

Greenstock as the new development secretary, and -- Justine Greening,

:24:09.:24:15.

in the reshuffle as new Development Secretary, would help with the

:24:15.:24:18.

downgrading of aid, she is with the Prime Minister in New York, and we

:24:18.:24:23.

are told, fully signed up to the target.

:24:23.:24:27.

Our guests are with us. Ian Birrell, former adviser to David Cameron,

:24:28.:24:31.

now contributing editor of the Daily Mail is with me too. Adrian,

:24:31.:24:35.

when you look at the figures and see the jump in real terms, when

:24:35.:24:38.

every other department is getting cut, it is unjustifiable, isn't it?

:24:38.:24:42.

I don't think it is, firstly because it is affordable, the

:24:42.:24:45.

figure you didn't hear there, and which the British public rarely

:24:45.:24:50.

hears, that actually this costs just over a penny on each pound of

:24:50.:24:57.

Government revenue, Government spending. A penny on the pound, 99p

:24:57.:25:01.

goes elsewhere. Just a penny going towards the outcomes we are seeing

:25:01.:25:04.

from British aid. You are still talking about a jump from �7

:25:05.:25:10.

billion to �12 billion. These are substantialal sums of money at a

:25:10.:25:14.

time when things are not affordable? Taking away that aid

:25:14.:25:19.

budget, if you took it all away, you would barely make a dent in the

:25:19.:25:22.

trillion-pound debt that we have in the UK today. But the difference

:25:22.:25:26.

that aid is making is much more specific, actually, than your

:25:26.:25:29.

report showed there. For the investment that Britain will make

:25:29.:25:34.

in the next few years, the increase you just talked about, 16 million

:25:34.:25:40.

children will go to school, who don't currently go to cool. 80 mill

:25:40.:25:45.

-- school. 80 million will be vaccinated against life-threatening

:25:45.:25:48.

diseases, 77 million will get access to things like bank accounts,

:25:49.:25:53.

and things that help them work their way out of poverty. What kind

:25:53.:25:58.

of place would we be if we said no to that? The other way of putting

:25:58.:26:03.

the figure is it is �300 a household spent on aid. It is very

:26:03.:26:10.

outdated policy, nothing to do with modernisation, it is anachronism

:26:10.:26:17.

based on ideas around years ago. Educating children? The watchdog

:26:17.:26:22.

said �1 billion was spent theoretically on educating children

:26:22.:26:26.

in three African countries, and there was no improvement in

:26:26.:26:30.

literacy or numeracy, it is about achieving targets and not about on

:26:30.:26:33.

the ground. That is the biggest problem, I wouldn't object if the

:26:33.:26:37.

aid was doing something to help. But it is not. I would have no

:26:37.:26:41.

problem if it was going to help, it is corrosive, it is corroding the

:26:41.:26:45.

connection between Governments and people. It is fuelling conflict. A

:26:45.:26:49.

lot of the aid money, two-thirds of aid workers say the projects don't

:26:49.:26:52.

work. This is in this huge great booming industry, where consultants

:26:52.:26:56.

are getting rich. Let's not forget, for all the talk we hear about

:26:56.:27:04.

education and health, actually �1.3 billion goes to the EU and improves

:27:04.:27:08.

food labelling in Iceland and cleans up the EU. The whole thing

:27:08.:27:13.

ising a fast thing, D of IFD don't know what to do with the money and

:27:13.:27:17.

are shovelling out of it and lots of people get rich on the back of

:27:17.:27:21.

it. No money that goes to Iceland does that, it does to accession

:27:21.:27:26.

into the EU. That is the misunderstanding. It comes out of

:27:26.:27:30.

the aid budget. It doesn't. It goes on food labelling. Address the

:27:30.:27:35.

question of consultants which is a major one, �500 million last year,

:27:35.:27:39.

paid to consultants, many of those sums of money go straight into the

:27:40.:27:45.

pockets of the bosses who run them? I think it is absolutely right that

:27:45.:27:49.

Justine Greening take as close look at it and goes through it line by

:27:49.:27:53.

line and see where the money goes. It worries you? Absolutely. These

:27:53.:27:58.

are big challenges, we need experts wrecks need people who have dealt

:27:58.:28:02.

with these problems before to bring it to bear. Some of those will be

:28:03.:28:06.

consultants. Of course she should go through and see is there money

:28:06.:28:09.

to be spent here better spent in other ways. It is very convenient

:28:09.:28:13.

just to say it will do more harm than good. It is very nice if it we

:28:13.:28:17.

can turn around and say, let's keep all the money, there must be better

:28:17.:28:23.

solutions than that? Take the former head. DIFD in Rwanda saying

:28:23.:28:26.

it is the least effective public service there. You would like the

:28:27.:28:31.

pledge to be dropped? It is meaningless and the target

:28:31.:28:35.

ridiculous. It attacks welfare dependency at home and encourages

:28:35.:28:40.

it at home, it says that it distorts targets, and it is based

:28:40.:28:44.

on figures from the 1940s, when the UN looked at the figures six years

:28:44.:28:49.

ago and said the target should be 0.44%. Does it matter to you if it

:28:49.:28:52.

is just about a political strategy of decontamination, does it make

:28:52.:28:57.

any difference to how you see this? In a sense it doesn't matter. It is

:28:57.:29:00.

the policy. I don't believe it is just about that. I understand the

:29:00.:29:03.

argument that is being put across there. It is the policy, it was the

:29:03.:29:05.

policy of all three major parties at the last election, and so,

:29:05.:29:10.

what's happening now is simply the enactment of democracy, in fact,

:29:10.:29:16.

actually when you go out and talk to people. 77% of people oppose it.

:29:16.:29:20.

Not really. A year ago when people were asked in a fair way, not given

:29:20.:29:27.

the recession do you think we can afford the aid budget. Lots of

:29:27.:29:32.

people supported Live Aid? Most recent surveys show support is

:29:32.:29:37.

falling. It is veryiesy for an organisation founded like One, who

:29:37.:29:41.

is founded by rock stars not paying their full whack in tax, shown up

:29:41.:29:44.

for that. To advocate that people struggling in this country should

:29:44.:29:48.

pay out a lot of money on projected that don't work, and shown time and

:29:48.:29:51.

time again that they don't work, and not wanted by ordinary people.

:29:51.:29:55.

If the same amount of money was paid, not in the way it is now, but

:29:55.:29:59.

to disasters and emergencies, you wouldn't have a problem? There are

:29:59.:30:03.

issues, there is so much money, when you have a disaster you have

:30:03.:30:07.

1,000 aid groups turning up and chaos on the ground, and the cost

:30:07.:30:13.

of housing and food soaring. And many of those saying there is a

:30:13.:30:20.

huge problem with aid groups because there is so much aid money

:30:20.:30:23.

sloshing around. Those campaigning every day on the issues snow it is

:30:24.:30:28.

an investment we can afford, it is cheaper than people believe, and it

:30:28.:30:31.

is making a bigger difference than people believe and we should

:30:31.:30:37.

continue with it. Are current Lib Dem tactics working, Nick Clegg

:30:37.:30:42.

will set out how he intends to attract voters in his loader's

:30:42.:30:46.

speech tomorrow. Documents leaked today claim there is no real

:30:46.:30:51.

evidence their current strategy is working. Our political editor is in

:30:51.:30:55.

Brighton now. Take us through the documents, what happened? While we

:30:55.:31:00.

have been on air the Lib Dem leader and his wife walked past us, he has

:31:00.:31:04.

been practising his speech all night. He takes the speech

:31:04.:31:06.

incredibly seriously. Some documents came out today, they told

:31:07.:31:10.

people what they knew here already, that it is very difficult to see

:31:10.:31:13.

what message is working, particularly well for the Lib Dems,

:31:13.:31:17.

in either the south or the north of England. But back to that speech.

:31:17.:31:23.

That speech is why he made that apology last week, to much mirth

:31:23.:31:27.

and muttering from people. He wanted to clear the decks, so

:31:27.:31:31.

tomorrow he would be listened to with a message that they think can

:31:31.:31:34.

last the next two weeks and put them in a better place than the

:31:35.:31:39.

documents do suggest. The trouble is, lots of people here, activists

:31:39.:31:42.

and MPs, wonder about the strategy. The strategy is to carve out a new

:31:42.:31:46.

role for them in the centre of British politics. In the speech

:31:46.:31:49.

tomorrow he will talk about British politics being about three parties,

:31:49.:31:53.

not two, and they will being a small third party. With that he has

:31:53.:31:56.

messages on the deficit. At the start of the week we had soft

:31:56.:31:59.

language for his party, who were worried about the economy and

:31:59.:32:02.

deficit reduction. Today and tomorrow we will start to see them

:32:02.:32:05.

hardening up again as they send their delegates on their way.

:32:05.:32:08.

Saying we will have to find lots of cuts, just like the Conservatives

:32:08.:32:12.

will. So there is that message, there is also something to make

:32:12.:32:14.

them happier. There will be a policy on education and language

:32:14.:32:18.

around the environment. What he's trying to do is position them on

:32:18.:32:22.

the centre. Many MPs and activists are not sure that necessarily works.

:32:22.:32:26.

It may work in 15-20 years time, that is a generational struggle,

:32:26.:32:29.

that doesn't necessarily get them through the next general election.

:32:29.:32:33.

One more thing, people are quoting David Lloyd George, he said if

:32:33.:32:36.

you're going to jump across a chasam, it is best to do it in one

:32:37.:32:40.

step. Thank you very much. The magic of television being what

:32:41.:32:45.

it is, you might, indeed, recognise the next backdrop, the one you have

:32:45.:32:49.

just seen for our guest, the Lib Dem Home Office Minister, Jeremy

:32:49.:32:53.

Browne, who is, as we speak, swapping a quickstep with Allegra

:32:53.:32:58.

to speak with us now, about those issues she has been raising. We

:32:58.:33:02.

will go to him now. Let's start, first of all, Jeremy Browne, with

:33:02.:33:11.

this issue of the leaked document, showing "very little valid evidence

:33:11.:33:15.

that tactics work". I don't know about the leaked development, I

:33:15.:33:18.

don't think that is central to the big choices the party is facing.

:33:18.:33:21.

Nick Clegg will lay out the big choices tomorrow in his speech. As

:33:21.:33:25.

Allegra just said, there are two essential messages that hang

:33:25.:33:29.

together, one is a Deputy Prime Minister message, and the other is

:33:29.:33:32.

a Liberal Democrat party leader message. The Deputy Prime Minister

:33:32.:33:35.

message is the country needs to make the transition from austerity

:33:35.:33:40.

to prosperity. That will require some difficult decisions of us all.

:33:40.:33:43.

The Liberal Democrat leader message is the party needs to make the

:33:43.:33:46.

journey from opposition to Government, protest to power. That

:33:46.:33:50.

will require some tough decisions as well. Those two journeys are

:33:50.:33:53.

interlinked and the suck he is of the Liberal Democrats and the

:33:53.:33:56.

success of the country depends on them both working out what. I want

:33:56.:34:01.

to go back to these reports, that came from. Don't worry about the

:34:01.:34:05.

trivia, worry about the big central message. That's the big central

:34:05.:34:10.

message. Is it trivial. I have just told you what the big...I Have just

:34:10.:34:13.

told you what the strategy is, I have just told you what the

:34:13.:34:17.

strategy is. Because something is leaked doesn't make it inherently

:34:17.:34:21.

interesting. That is for me a side show. The party leader, the Deputy

:34:21.:34:24.

Prime Minister of the country, is talking about what we need to do as

:34:24.:34:28.

a country to ensure Britain's future prosperity and quality of

:34:28.:34:31.

life and standard of living, and about how the Liberal Democrats can

:34:31.:34:35.

make the journey from being a party of opposition for 75 years, to one

:34:35.:34:39.

of the three governing options in this country for the next

:34:39.:34:43.

generation those are really crucial messages right through and beyond

:34:43.:34:46.

2015. As you said before. If your tactics are working and your

:34:46.:34:50.

strategy is getting through to people. Why, on a central issue,

:34:50.:34:55.

like universal welfare, very rich mentioners receiving benefits and

:34:55.:34:58.

Winter Fuel Allowances and all the rest of it, why do we have that one

:34:58.:35:03.

policy, one day, five different views from all the Lib Dem

:35:03.:35:08.

ministers at the conference here. Different views from David Laws,

:35:08.:35:13.

Vince Cable, Nick Clegg, and Mr Foster, you can't even centrally

:35:13.:35:18.

agree on something like that? Government has made the policy

:35:18.:35:24.

completely plea -- completely clear. There is a question for the future

:35:24.:35:28.

if it is a good use of reforce relatively poor people in work to

:35:28.:35:35.

have their taxes used to give a lot of money to people like Alan Sugar

:35:35.:35:41.

and Peter Stringfellow. I would have thought, intelligent people,

:35:41.:35:45.

watching this programme, would be interested in intelligent debate at

:35:45.:35:49.

a party conference about whether poor people in work should

:35:49.:35:54.

subsidise the lifestyle of Alan Sugar, that isn't an issue for the

:35:54.:35:57.

Autumn Statement or budget. There is a big message here, when the

:35:57.:36:01.

Government says we are all in it together, that is true. Maybe

:36:01.:36:04.

people think it is a Conservative slogan or they don't like the

:36:04.:36:09.

slogan. The central truth of it remains, which is we are borrowing

:36:10.:36:14.

as a country a billion pounds every three days. That is not sustainable.

:36:14.:36:18.

If we are not make the journey from austerity to shared prosperity, we,

:36:18.:36:23.

as a country, will have to face up to difficult but hard truths. And

:36:23.:36:28.

he as a leader of a party right in the centre ground of politics will

:36:28.:36:35.

be able to talk about that some. -- tomorrow.

:36:35.:36:40.

Was the apology of Nick Clegg a success. I know you are hoping for

:36:40.:36:44.

number 40 in the UK charts with a turn around of it. Was it a

:36:44.:36:48.

constructive use of the message? There is a serious point here. We

:36:48.:36:56.

are half way through the parliament, the question for the party is

:36:56.:37:01.

whether we spend ages analysing decisions made in 2010 or go on for

:37:01.:37:05.

2015. There are two groups of people, knows who won't give Nick

:37:05.:37:09.

Clegg a hearing whatever he says. Those people will say they don't

:37:09.:37:13.

like him or agree with what he's saying. There are other people out

:37:13.:37:18.

there, those less likely to phone into talk shows and express their

:37:18.:37:24.

views in vosive rus terms, they understand that Nick Clegg hadn't

:37:24.:37:29.

been in Government and the party hadn't been in for many generations

:37:29.:37:34.

and accept that it is a place to make mistakes in politics, and

:37:34.:37:37.

accept that he made the mistake, and are willing to accept the

:37:37.:37:43.

things he has done and give him a fair hearing tomorrow. As minister

:37:43.:37:47.

for state for crime reduction, do you think when a police officer is

:37:47.:37:51.

sworn at by a member of public, do you think that person should be

:37:51.:37:55.

arrested? That is an artful way of asking yesterday another Andrew

:37:55.:37:59.

Mitchell question, which has been a theme of the media through the

:37:59.:38:02.

conference. I think the Prime Minister got it right when he said

:38:02.:38:06.

that what Andrew Mitchell was reported as saying was wrong and

:38:06.:38:10.

inappropriate, that's the point of view put by the Prime Minister, all

:38:10.:38:14.

the people watching will agree with that. Does he have to say more to

:38:15.:38:20.

explain himself, or has he done enough, according to you? I think

:38:20.:38:24.

people watching the programme will agree that if what he is report to

:38:24.:38:28.

have said is what he said, or anything approximating to that is

:38:28.:38:33.

what he said, and of course, Andrew Mitchell denies that he said what

:38:33.:38:38.

the police officer claimed he said. Well, that whole way of talking to

:38:38.:38:43.

a person like a police officer is clearly an inappropriate way, let

:38:43.:38:46.

alone a Government minister. I think for people to behave

:38:46.:38:49.

generally, it is not a question of the law but a question of good

:38:49.:38:57.

planners. Are you an image person or a word person, do you remember

:38:57.:39:00.

voices from the radio or faces from the television, if you had had to

:39:00.:39:03.

learn something off by heart, how would you do it. The science or art

:39:03.:39:07.

of data visualisation, is the growing philosophy of how best to

:39:07.:39:10.

project the material on to our brains when information is

:39:10.:39:14.

screaming at us all the time. The most successful in their field will

:39:14.:39:19.

be recognised at an award ceremony from London's ICA, we will hear

:39:19.:39:23.

from two Evangelists in the field in a moment. Here is a little of

:39:23.:39:28.

what we are talking about. The war is currently costing us �12 million

:39:28.:39:32.

a day. That is the same cost as employing 100,000 nurses and

:39:32.:39:37.

150,000 care workers. How did you feel about what you just heard from

:39:37.:39:42.

Tony Benn, now let's hear it again with the right pictures. The war is

:39:42.:39:47.

currently costing us over �12 mill kwhron a day. That is the same cost

:39:47.:39:53.

-- �12 million day, that is the same cost as 100,000 nurses and

:39:53.:39:58.

150,000 care worker. To theal cost of civilian Afghans dead, like the

:39:58.:40:04.

cost of war is unknown, but cautious estimates exceed 40,000

:40:04.:40:09.

people. Did the visuals heighten the impact. The theory of data

:40:09.:40:16.

visualisation, a sin they sees of story telling, regurpblg station

:40:16.:40:21.

and design, hits different parts of the train, maybe more analytical.

:40:21.:40:26.

Take this one, what American voters care about. You can click on

:40:26.:40:31.

"climate change" and see how attitudes have changed year by year,

:40:31.:40:34.

Democrat and Republican. Then click on terrorism instead and do it all

:40:34.:40:44.
:40:44.:40:45.

again. The process makes you feel stimulated and informed, is it

:40:45.:40:51.

meritricious. In the data bank of power plants and factories around

:40:51.:40:57.

the world, 20 -times more complex than any previous virus code, it

:40:57.:41:01.

had an array of capablities, the ability to turn up the pressure

:41:01.:41:05.

among nuclear reactors or switch off oil pipeline, and they could

:41:05.:41:09.

tell the system operators everything was normal. It looks

:41:09.:41:15.

beautiful, but the visuals are just glorified subtitles, is data

:41:15.:41:19.

visualisation truly a new art form, or the pop culture offspring of

:41:19.:41:24.

real analysis. I'm joined by two data

:41:24.:41:29.

visualisation specialists, the founder of Information Is Beautiful

:41:29.:41:33.

awards, and Kenneth Neil Cukier, the data visualisation expert from

:41:33.:41:37.

the Economist Magazine. Do you have a sense that we are taking more in,

:41:37.:41:41.

or we are just taking it in a different way? It feels there is a

:41:41.:41:44.

lot more data and information around. We are looking for some

:41:45.:41:48.

kind of solution that allows us to gobble that information and

:41:48.:41:57.

understand it on the fly. When we are moving fast. Data

:41:57.:42:00.

visualisingation seems to be able to translate that understanding

:42:00.:42:07.

quicker than text. Is it more polemic, sub blimal messages, the

:42:07.:42:15.

way that used to -- subliminal information in a way it used to?

:42:15.:42:22.

Probably not. The visualisation will have the same shortcomings as

:42:22.:42:27.

words. You can do more with it than words and less than others. It is a

:42:27.:42:31.

new medium, there is a Rennaissance going on of the new tools we have

:42:31.:42:35.

to show highly quantitative information, to say it is more poll

:42:35.:42:41.

lem kal, probably not. Let's look at a few examples, you have brought

:42:41.:42:46.

in favourites, and the viewers will know it as what we call chart porn,

:42:46.:42:49.

a way to get people to look at things they like looking at it.

:42:49.:42:58.

What is this? It is Denmark looking at survey results about Islamic

:42:58.:43:04.

head dress. The designer has done a pie chart and used the medium

:43:04.:43:10.

itself to express it. It is the way of opening up the subject, and

:43:10.:43:16.

stopping the enwit that we have when we look at it. You have the

:43:16.:43:20.

equivalent of the bar chart on the headbands? It is using a different

:43:20.:43:28.

approach to visualise that data. Has more impact and is more

:43:28.:43:33.

memorable. Take us through the next one, the 999 calls? In New York

:43:33.:43:39.

they have 311 for non-emergency phone calls, the municiple services,

:43:39.:43:46.

this, going from left to right is the frequency of certain types of

:43:46.:43:51.

calls in a period. The noise is the pink bar going through the middle.

:43:51.:43:57.

You have dead animal removal, road kill, a big issue in New York.

:43:57.:44:02.

Noisy neighbours, graffiti, and so on. Why is that more effective than

:44:02.:44:07.

a bar chart that could show meet same thing? It is depicting it as a

:44:07.:44:12.

landscape. You can roamit yourself and find your own connections,

:44:12.:44:16.

explore patterns. It is also showing lots of variables all at

:44:16.:44:19.

once. It is showing a vast and extraordinary amount of information,

:44:19.:44:23.

that you can take in immediately. Imagine if you worked in public

:44:23.:44:30.

serves and you wanted to bring those who are specialists to this

:44:30.:44:33.

type of complaint with the complaint that was made. With lost

:44:33.:44:37.

property you want it in the afternoon. You know that now

:44:37.:44:40.

through this. With the dead animal removal, you want to do that

:44:40.:44:43.

quickly, because it could be a source of health hazard. You would

:44:43.:44:47.

know when to put the person there who would be able to interact with

:44:47.:44:53.

the caller better to get emergency people to clean it up. Looking at

:44:53.:44:57.

your examples, they pick out the US map and the states, using it to

:44:57.:45:01.

very different effect. This was a mind-boggle when I saw it, I

:45:01.:45:06.

couldn't get my head round it? Great, it was not so great it was a

:45:06.:45:11.

mind boggle, but it is an interactive map, if you could mouse

:45:11.:45:16.

over it you could see more data. Russia is where Texas is. The map

:45:16.:45:21.

in the United States, in the form of the GDP of the country, that the

:45:21.:45:26.

state corresponds to. Texas has $1 trillion in terms of wealth in

:45:26.:45:30.

terms of the size of the economy. So has Russia, we put that there

:45:30.:45:35.

together. Who knew that Italy, the bot of Europe, should have an

:45:35.:45:41.

economy about the second or eighth largest in the world, also the size

:45:41.:45:46.

of California, $2 trillion. Greece we think is basket case because of

:45:46.:45:49.

the problems they face. Washington state is a small but important

:45:49.:45:53.

economy in America. You have the same in population. They stay with

:45:53.:45:57.

this map and it changes colour, talk us through now. Saudi Arabia

:45:57.:46:02.

has the same number of people as Texas? That's right. 25 million

:46:02.:46:07.

people in Saudi Arabia, it is one of the geopolitically strategic

:46:07.:46:11.

countries in the world. Mexico may not be strategic, depending on

:46:11.:46:18.

butter reet toes, but you can see that Texas punches above its weight

:46:18.:46:26.

in terms of those 25 million people having a presance if it was its own

:46:26.:46:30.

state. Poland has large state, so too California has a massive state

:46:30.:46:34.

for America. It is a way of reconcept actualising the United

:46:34.:46:39.

States, for many people it is breath taking that this one country,

:46:39.:46:43.

without one country in the UN, has the heft that it does. Fascinating,

:46:43.:46:47.

thank you very much. That is all we have time for in Newsnight tonight,

:46:47.:46:57.
:46:57.:47:21.

Paul Mason is here tomorrow, from Paul Mason is here tomorrow, from

:47:21.:47:24.

all of us, a very good night. The worst is nearly over, certainly

:47:24.:47:28.

by Wednesday things looking better across the northern half of the UK,

:47:28.:47:32.

in terms of the lack of rain out of the sky. Heavy showers further

:47:32.:47:36.

south. A welcome return of sunshine in northern parts of England,

:47:36.:47:39.

Northern Ireland and southern Scotland. One or two showers in

:47:39.:47:43.

Northern Ireland, nothing like the intensity we have seen. Further

:47:43.:47:46.

south a scattering of heavy showers, sunshine inbetween. Temperatures

:47:46.:47:50.

into the mid-teens not feeling too bad. The south west of England,

:47:50.:47:55.

South Wales, could be the focus of heavier downpour. Not the

:47:55.:48:00.

widespread rain seen recently, the ground saturated, so more localised

:48:00.:48:04.

problems maybe. For Northern Ireland it looks like staying dry,

:48:04.:48:08.

temperatures around 14. A cool breeze flowing from the north. That

:48:08.:48:13.

is the story across much of Scotlanded today. 1 degrees in

:48:13.:48:23.
:48:23.:48:26.

Inverness, and glos co-a fairly ples -- 14 degrees in innerves, but

:48:26.:48:32.

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