17/10/2012 Newsnight


17/10/2012

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Fixing the energy market, really? David Cameron's announcement to

:00:16.:00:20.

force companies to put us on lower tarrifs, is surprised even those in

:00:20.:00:25.

his own Government. Is this a very unConservative curb on capitalism,

:00:25.:00:33.

and is it even legal under EU competition laws? We will be

:00:33.:00:37.

legislating to energy companies have to give the lowest tarrif to

:00:37.:00:42.

their customers. Also, the far right is on the march in Greece,

:00:42.:00:46.

the leader of the extremist party, Golden Dawn, tells Newsnight of

:00:46.:00:49.

their rise and support from unexpected quarters. With what they

:00:49.:00:54.

are saying now, we have more than 50-60% of police staff that are

:00:54.:00:59.

following us, maybe more. She's the daughter of a former

:00:59.:01:03.

President, could she also be the daughter of a future one. I asked

:01:03.:01:07.

Chelsea Clinton if her mother should take a tilt at the top job.

:01:07.:01:11.

I hope she will get some well deserved rest, and stay off an

:01:11.:01:14.

aeroplane for a while, I know she will make whatever right choices

:01:14.:01:19.

are for her. And with the world's growing

:01:19.:01:22.

population, demand for food has never been higher, is the era of

:01:22.:01:26.

cheap food over. We discuss with star chef, Yotam Ottolenghi, and

:01:26.:01:31.

other food industry players, if we need to look to farming methods

:01:31.:01:41.
:01:41.:01:43.

some people, up to now, have found unpalatable.

:01:43.:01:46.

David Cameron was getting a little hot under the collar at Prime

:01:46.:01:49.

Minister's Questions, perhaps he had been goaded by Ed Miliband's

:01:49.:01:53.

conference declaration, that he wanted every pensioner over 75 to

:01:53.:01:57.

pay the lowest energy tarrif. When the Prime Minister announced his

:01:57.:02:00.

plans to force energy companies to give their customers the cheapest

:02:00.:02:04.

tarrifs possible, he took some of his colleagues at the highest level

:02:04.:02:08.

of Government by surprise. It sounds like state planning. But is

:02:08.:02:13.

this really want he has in mind? Is it even allowed under European

:02:14.:02:18.

competition laws? Here is our political editor, Allegra Stratton.

:02:18.:02:22.

Making energy may be a simple chemical equation, but in the hands

:02:22.:02:27.

of energy companies, its pricing becomes complicated. The problem

:02:27.:02:31.

remains clear enough. Energy prices are too high, it is a big issue for

:02:31.:02:37.

politicians. If C equals commodity prices, and W equals flatlining

:02:37.:02:41.

wages and they are combined, you have a strong political force. The

:02:41.:02:45.

rising cost of living is an imposing cost, and today, in the

:02:45.:02:47.

first Prime Minister's Questions of the autumn, the Prime Minister

:02:47.:02:53.

wanted to get on the front foot, he came up with this striking action.

:02:53.:02:58.

The Prime Minister's energy summit, he promised faithfully to take

:02:59.:03:02.

action to help people reduce their energy bills. Can he tell the House

:03:02.:03:06.

and the country how is it going? have encouraged people to switch,

:03:06.:03:09.

which is one of the best ways to get your energy bills down, I can

:03:09.:03:13.

announce, which I'm sure he will welcome, we will be legislating, so

:03:13.:03:18.

that energy companies have to give the lowest tarrif to their customer.

:03:18.:03:21.

Something Labour didn't do in 13 years, even though the leader of

:03:21.:03:25.

the Labour Party could have done, because he had the job.

:03:25.:03:28.

Only the last week, major energy companies have announced a ramping

:03:28.:03:34.

up of their prices for this winter. A handful hovering around the 9%

:03:34.:03:44.
:03:44.:03:52.

increase mark. SSE is up 9% this A while a at the beginning of the

:03:52.:03:56.

year in January, the Labour leader proposed something a little similar,

:03:56.:03:58.

that any Government he formed, would force energy companies to

:03:59.:04:02.

give the over 75s their cheapest tarrif.

:04:02.:04:06.

So it seems like there is the scope to do something, but is there the

:04:06.:04:09.

means. Since the Prime Minister made his surprise announcement

:04:09.:04:12.

admit day today, it has been incredibly difficult to find

:04:12.:04:16.

anybody who can explain exactly what he meant. In the huddle

:04:16.:04:18.

immediately after Prime Minister's Questions, even his own aides

:04:18.:04:22.

couldn't explain what the Prime Minister meant. One source

:04:22.:04:26.

described the idea is "daft", another said to me, if it was

:04:26.:04:28.

brought in the way the Prime Minister suggested, it would be the

:04:28.:04:32.

end of competition in the energy market.

:04:32.:04:36.

The problems appear legion. How would companies know when

:04:36.:04:39.

individuals use energy, in order to be able to tell which tarrif is

:04:39.:04:43.

best for them. Knew people have a smart metre, and the Government

:04:43.:04:49.

isn't yet ominousent. Would the companies react by bringing in one

:04:49.:04:54.

single tarrif, the same tarrif, probably the higher tarrif, to not

:04:54.:05:02.

miss out. This might mean collusion, some say, in a bid not to lose out.

:05:02.:05:05.

The department for energy and climate change clarified that the

:05:05.:05:08.

Prime Minister didn't mean all bills would be pegged to the lowest

:05:08.:05:12.

tarrif, but instead, different types of energy users would be

:05:12.:05:17.

given the lowest part of their rate. Some were still aghast at what they

:05:17.:05:21.

called an economic illiteracy. Low tarrifs are only low because few

:05:22.:05:26.

people are canny enough to look around, they are subsidised by the

:05:26.:05:30.

higher amount of people on high tarrifs, low tarrifs for all

:05:30.:05:34.

upturns the economics. One man who advised the former climate

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secretary, Chris Huhne, is not sure that nobbling the energy companies

:05:38.:05:41.

is the whole way to bring down prices. There are probably things

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to do to make the gas and electricity markets more comptetive

:05:48.:05:52.

and drive down prices. The biggest thing is reducing the reliance on

:05:52.:05:57.

imported gas, and improving the efficencies of British homes. They

:05:57.:06:01.

are notoriously inear firt, the Government is bringing in the Green

:06:01.:06:04.

Deal, it helps you insulate your house at no extra cost to

:06:04.:06:08.

yourselves and reduce bills. summit was held inside Government

:06:08.:06:11.

to broker an agreement between the coalition partner, currently

:06:11.:06:14.

fighting over long-term energy sources. What the Chancellor seems

:06:14.:06:19.

to be arguing for is more and more gas imports, which are likely to go

:06:19.:06:23.

up in cost, from probably dangerous and unstable areas of the world. It

:06:23.:06:27.

seems to make no sense whatsoever. It is clear when the energy bill is

:06:27.:06:33.

announced in the next few week, it will include action on energy

:06:33.:06:35.

companies, but we aren't really further on in knowing what. For

:06:35.:06:39.

those wanting help with their bills, today the Prime Minister has so far

:06:39.:06:47.

dished out more heat than light. We asked the Government, the Big

:06:47.:06:51.

Six and the energy regulator, Ofgem to comment on today's announcement.

:06:52.:06:55.

None wanted to appear on the programme this evening. Labour's

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Caroline Flint, is the shadow Energy Secretary, and is here. This

:07:00.:07:03.

builds on what Ed Miliband announced earlier in the year,

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presumably you would vote for it? I'm very interested in anything

:07:07.:07:10.

that helps people get the best deal. What we know is a huge number of

:07:10.:07:13.

people could be on a cheaper deal, but because it is so complicated,

:07:13.:07:18.

with hundreds of tarrif, people aren't switching, switching is at a

:07:18.:07:23.

lowest level ever. We said we should put those over 75 on the

:07:23.:07:28.

cheapest tarrif. If they put it in the Energy Bill, that they will

:07:28.:07:31.

insist companies have lower tarrif, will you support it? The truth is,

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as we have heard from the report and other reports this evening,

:07:35.:07:38.

this policy isn't going anywhere, because the Prime Minister actually

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announced a policy, that within ten hours has disappeared. Because it

:07:43.:07:45.

is impossible, it would be impossible for a Labour Government

:07:45.:07:50.

as well? It wouldn't be. Would you go back to state control?

:07:50.:07:53.

wouldn't be impossible for Labour Government to suggest that those

:07:53.:07:57.

over 75 should be put on the low tarrif. We are interested in more

:07:57.:08:01.

competition. At the moment we have seen that people aren't getting the

:08:01.:08:05.

best deal possible. Also the market is dominated by six companies. Can

:08:05.:08:09.

I finish the point. We need radical reform of the energy market, to

:08:09.:08:12.

open it up to others who want to retail the energy, make the price

:08:12.:08:16.

structure more transparent, and ensure we have fair prices. There

:08:16.:08:18.

is nothing the Government has said about addressing that, either in

:08:18.:08:22.

the draft energy bill, or announcements before we get the

:08:22.:08:25.

Energy Bill in a few months time. It is easy for politicians to say

:08:25.:08:29.

go for the cheapest tarrif, do you know what it is for different

:08:29.:08:32.

companies? It is a good question, there are hundreds of different

:08:32.:08:35.

tarrifs. The problem is, as our research found out, we are at the

:08:35.:08:41.

lowest level of switching ever. We have said we need more transparency,

:08:41.:08:46.

a simplified tarrif structure something the energy companies are

:08:46.:08:49.

working on. If everyone switches there won't be low tarrifs, it is

:08:49.:08:53.

simple economics? In the last two years, with the prices going up, on

:08:53.:08:58.

David Cameron's watch, prices are up by �200, the profit margins have

:08:58.:09:01.

been healthy. When the wholesale prices go down, they don't pass on

:09:01.:09:05.

the cuts to the consumers. whole point of the profit margin,

:09:05.:09:09.

they say they invest for the future, in order to make sure that in the

:09:10.:09:13.

future we don't pay higher bills? The way we will get to the bottom

:09:13.:09:18.

of this, is totally relook at how the market is regulated. We need a

:09:18.:09:21.

more competitive market. Six companies dominate 99% of the

:09:21.:09:27.

customer base in the UK. What do we need? A tougher regulator. We have

:09:27.:09:31.

acknowledged abolishing of Ofgem and a tougher regulator. We need

:09:31.:09:34.

transparency, so we can see that the companies are investing. We

:09:34.:09:38.

need to know when wholesale prices go down, they pass on those cuts to

:09:38.:09:41.

the consumers, just in the same way as they do when they go up. But you

:09:41.:09:45.

are not preaching what you practised. Point is, under a Labour

:09:45.:09:48.

Government, wholesale prices came down, and the energy bills didn't

:09:48.:09:52.

come down. What happened then? have seen, over the last five to

:09:52.:09:56.

six years, prices, wholesale prices have been going down, that hasn't

:09:56.:09:59.

been passed on. In the last two years, under David Cameron's watch,

:10:00.:10:05.

prices have gone up by �200. Wholesale prices came down 27%

:10:05.:10:09.

under a Labour Government, the bills by 9%? This is why under the

:10:09.:10:12.

last general election, Ed Miliband said we need to radically reform

:10:12.:10:15.

the market. We need to ensure on the present arrangements people are

:10:15.:10:20.

getting the best deal. We need to reform the markets to make it fair.

:10:20.:10:23.

Is it an ideology or about the consumer, do you want xetsnigs

:10:23.:10:27.

course we do, do we have competition at the moment. You are

:10:27.:10:32.

nobbling xet tiing, you can't do that? Talk to some of the energy

:10:32.:10:36.

retailers, the smaller ones, those who generate as well. They want a

:10:36.:10:40.

more open market. The energy that is generated should be put in a

:10:40.:10:46.

pool, and ri retailers competing on a price to sell it to you. We have

:10:46.:10:49.

energy companies creating energy, buying it from themselves, and

:10:49.:10:52.

selling it on, there is no transparency. Would you not be

:10:52.:10:56.

better to go for renationalisation, get rid of the industries you hate,

:10:56.:11:01.

and have a renationalised energy sector? No, we need a reformed

:11:01.:11:04.

market, and fairer one, and new tougher regulator that works in the

:11:04.:11:08.

interest of the market to be competitive, but also the consumer

:11:08.:11:14.

as well. When extremists are on the rise in

:11:14.:11:18.

any society, it is the police who enforce law and order. In Greece

:11:18.:11:21.

today there is increasing evidence that exactly the opposite is

:11:21.:11:24.

happening. A pattern is emerging where supporters of the far right

:11:24.:11:29.

Golden Dawn party, which won 18 seats in June's election, violently

:11:29.:11:33.

target migrants, the left or gay, and the police standby. From Athens,

:11:33.:11:37.

our Economics Editor has been hearing fears of police collusion

:11:37.:11:42.

with those trying to bring down the Greek political system. This report

:11:42.:11:47.

contains strong language. In a small Greek theatre the gates

:11:47.:11:54.

are locked. Among the actors, inside, rising panic. The manager

:11:54.:12:02.

is speaking frantically to the Athens chief of police.

:12:02.:12:08.

Outside supporter of the far right party, Golden Dawn throw bricks and

:12:08.:12:15.

punches. Their leader, a member of parliament, hurls racist abuse too

:12:15.:12:23.

obscene to translate. "your time is up, you Albanian

:12:23.:12:30.

faggot", is the polite version. The performance of the play, Corpus

:12:30.:12:34.

Christi, goes ahead, symbolically to 20 people. Even days later, the

:12:34.:12:39.

play's director is stunned by what has happened. What happened that

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night, it was like the Kristallnacht, many people they

:12:45.:12:49.

have called my mother, and they said to her that we are going to

:12:49.:12:55.

cut down your son in pieces, and bring you a box. Your son will be

:12:55.:13:04.

in that box. So, it is not a performance any more. It is, do we

:13:04.:13:07.

have a democracy in this country, or do we have a dictatorship, and

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nobody is telling us. If we have a dictatorship, then, then Europe

:13:12.:13:17.

must do something. The attack on the theatre has

:13:17.:13:22.

stunned Greece, in the past two months, Golden Dawn support has

:13:22.:13:28.

surged. Here, its supporters attack migrant stall holders on a market.

:13:28.:13:33.

It is one of a spate of incidents in which the party's uniformed

:13:33.:13:40.

activists have begun DIY law enforcement. This is your shop.

:13:40.:13:45.

This is the man who led the shutdown at the theatre, the de

:13:45.:13:51.

facto commander of the Golden Dawn attack squads. So policemen might

:13:51.:13:58.

come here to buy these gloves? The shop he owns sells the

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paraphernalia of civil conflict, that is what he intends. Even

:14:01.:14:06.

though nobody likes this, the Greek society is ready to have a fight, a

:14:06.:14:11.

new type of civil war. On the one side will there will be, let's say,

:14:11.:14:17.

nationalists like us, and and Greeks who want our country to be

:14:17.:14:21.

as it used to be, and on the other side there will be illegal

:14:21.:14:25.

immigrants and anarchists and all those who have destroyed Athens

:14:25.:14:30.

several times and Greece. With his party surging to 12% in the opinion

:14:30.:14:34.

poll, Mr Panagiotaros, one of 18 Golden Dawn MPs, makes no apology

:14:34.:14:40.

for his attempts to control the streets. Is Golden Dawn at war with

:14:40.:14:45.

immigrants? Golden Dawn is in war with the political system, and the

:14:45.:14:51.

people who are representing it. We are in war with demos sick and

:14:51.:14:54.

international bankers. We are in -- domestic and international bankers.

:14:54.:14:58.

We are at war with all those illegal invaders. Immigrants?

:14:58.:15:03.

call them invaders. Of course we are at war, meaning they have

:15:03.:15:07.

invaded in our country, the state is doing absolutely nothing. They

:15:07.:15:14.

are just waving a white flag. So, we are against everyone. The Greek

:15:14.:15:19.

police seem powerless to stop golden dawn. They are engaged in a

:15:19.:15:23.

round up of illegal immigrant, and scenes like this are now common.

:15:23.:15:29.

But those attacked by gold claimed police failed to help them. Critics

:15:29.:15:34.

say there is a reason, and Golden Dawn frank about it. I think with

:15:34.:15:38.

what they are saying now, we have more than 50-60% of police staff

:15:38.:15:44.

that are following us. It may be more. Every day it is growing.

:15:44.:15:50.

this rising tension, anti-fascists have moved from a graffiti war to

:15:50.:15:53.

action. This motorcycle demonstration was organised on the

:15:53.:15:59.

30th of September. It led to a clash with Golden Dawn. 15

:15:59.:16:03.

demonstrators were arrested, and 25 more when it came to court, and

:16:03.:16:11.

others turned up to support them. Iannis and Maria were detained for

:16:11.:16:15.

four nights. They don't want to reveal their true identities, when

:16:15.:16:18.

you listen to their testimony, you can see why. TRANSLATION: They put

:16:18.:16:22.

me and the other girls, one at a time in a room for a strip-search,

:16:22.:16:30.

they asked me to bend, to, how can I put it, search me. TRANSLATION:

:16:30.:16:34.

They told me it take my pants off and show my genitals. Then he

:16:34.:16:38.

starts hitting me in the face and body, and kicking me too. All the

:16:38.:16:44.

time they are threatening, things have changed, we will lock you up,

:16:44.:16:50.

you are all dead, you are in big trouble.

:16:50.:16:54.

There were obvious conversations just above our heads, they were

:16:54.:16:58.

openly talking about Golden Dawn and their position, and they were

:16:58.:17:02.

with Golden Dawn and we have to get that into our heads. By the end of

:17:02.:17:06.

the four days was there any doubt in your minds that some of the

:17:06.:17:14.

police were active supporters of Golden Dawn. You are laughing.

:17:14.:17:19.

TRANSLATION: I'm laughing because I feel in these unit, the Delta Force

:17:19.:17:22.

unit, it is obvious, also with the officer in charge. They co-operate

:17:22.:17:27.

openly. The example is that they videoed us, threatening us that our

:17:27.:17:33.

names would be given to Golden Dawn. At the police HQ, I put these

:17:33.:17:39.

allegations to a police spokesperson. TRANSLATION:

:17:39.:17:43.

catagoric, that in this incident none of these things happened in

:17:43.:17:49.

the headquarters buildings of the police. Greek Police respect human

:17:49.:17:56.

rights, this is a non-story. These allegations were never made to the

:17:56.:17:59.

police, no charges were pressed, so the police couldn't look into this

:18:00.:18:03.

from the start. All the same, if anybody wants to identify

:18:03.:18:07.

themselves, we will investigate in depth. At night fall, in central

:18:08.:18:11.

Athens, plain clothes police stage a round up of migrants, arresting

:18:11.:18:15.

those without papers, some 4,000 have been placed in detention camps

:18:15.:18:19.

this way. The Government is getting visibly tough, for a reason, to

:18:19.:18:23.

counter act the rise of the far right, and show the state can do

:18:24.:18:27.

the job. The Greek Prime Minister recently

:18:27.:18:35.

compared his country to Wymar Germany, on the eve of Hitler's

:18:35.:18:40.

takeover of power. And the likes are apt, behind me plain clothes

:18:40.:18:44.

police are arresting migrants in Athens, but they seem to be unable

:18:44.:18:47.

to do anything about the violence and intimidation of Golden Dawn.

:18:47.:18:52.

Many in mainstream politics feel powerless to influence the

:18:52.:18:55.

situation. And the rapidity of change is obvious. Just two years

:18:55.:18:59.

ago this square was famous as a place for migrants to hang out.

:18:59.:19:05.

Today, the children play on a giant piece of graffiti, drawn by Golden

:19:05.:19:11.

Dawn. When you are the daughter of a former President of the US, and

:19:11.:19:15.

your mother is Secretary of State for President Obama, either the

:19:15.:19:19.

world's your oyster, or the pressure to perform is almost

:19:19.:19:23.

overwhelming. Chelsea Clinton is navigating her way into a career,

:19:23.:19:27.

and possibly a political future, quite canly, putting her own stamp

:19:28.:19:33.

on a new initiative in Africa. She has been in Nigeria's capital,

:19:33.:19:37.

Abuja, and I spoke to her from there. Potentially it is a dynasty

:19:37.:19:41.

in the making, born when Bill Clinton was Governor of Arkansas,

:19:41.:19:44.

Chelsea was 12 years old when her father was sworn in as President.

:19:44.:19:48.

She was largely shielded from the public eye during his time in

:19:48.:19:53.

office, but now, Chelsea is very much in the limelight. In 2008, she

:19:53.:19:56.

campaigned on behalf of her mother's bid for the democratic

:19:56.:19:59.

nomination for the presidency, and she now works as a special

:19:59.:20:06.

correspondent for NBC news. When she married investment banker Marc

:20:06.:20:13.

Mezvinsky in 2010, the inevitable media circus led to a conscious

:20:13.:20:16.

decision to embrace her position in the public eye and put it to good

:20:16.:20:19.

use. Her parents' investment for charities in the developing world,

:20:19.:20:24.

has led to support a new initiative in Nigeria, whose Government is

:20:24.:20:30.

trying to drive down child mortality from preventable diseases.

:20:30.:20:37.

Can you give me detail about the initiative you are putting about

:20:37.:20:42.

today? I'm here with the Clinton Health Access Initiative with the

:20:42.:20:45.

Government of Nigeria, led by President Goodluck Jonathan, who

:20:45.:20:50.

launched the Save One Million Lives initiative, whereby Nigeria aims to

:20:50.:20:56.

save one million mother and child lives, by 2015. Currently there are

:20:56.:21:02.

about a million preventable maternal and child deaths every

:21:02.:21:12.

year in Nigeria. The vast majority of them are children who perish

:21:12.:21:16.

from diahorreal diseases and HIV AIDS. We are working with the

:21:16.:21:23.

Ministry of Health on scaling up ORS zinc, that is what the World

:21:23.:21:26.

Health Organisation to treat diahorreal diseases. We believe if

:21:26.:21:31.

we can get to full coverage of the country, we can save 100,000 lives

:21:31.:21:36.

a year. Do you have any concerns, as an American woman going to

:21:36.:21:41.

Nigeria, to launch this initiative, in a sense you are allowing Nigeria

:21:41.:21:45.

to abdicate its responsibility? at all. This is being architected

:21:45.:21:50.

and will have to be driven and implemented primarily by the

:21:50.:21:54.

Nigerian minutestry of health, in conjunction with -- Ministry of

:21:54.:22:00.

Health, in conjunction with global partners and local partners here in

:22:00.:22:04.

Nigeria. The Clinton Health Access Initiative, particularly hons in

:22:04.:22:08.

Africa, have you concerns about other American foreign policy

:22:08.:22:12.

issues, what is happening to women in Afghanistan and Iraq? Thinking

:22:12.:22:16.

about Africa, tough think about Nigeria, one in four people living

:22:16.:22:20.

in Africa live in Nigeria. 10% of the children who perish every year

:22:20.:22:26.

from things like diarrhoea, which no-one should die of in the 21st

:22:26.:22:30.

century, die here in Nigeria. For me, so much of that is really about

:22:30.:22:34.

women's right. You mentioned women. I think that fundamentally women

:22:34.:22:37.

should be empowered to make the right decisions for themselves and

:22:37.:22:41.

their families, and to have the resources that they need to be able

:22:41.:22:44.

to be healthy mothers, and to have healthy children, and that should

:22:44.:22:48.

be true everywhere in the world. wonder what you make of the effort

:22:48.:22:51.

of the Taliban in Afghanistan, trying to stop women going to

:22:51.:22:55.

schools, trying to make sure women stay in their homes, how much of a

:22:55.:23:00.

concern have you about that? think that the effort to stop or

:23:00.:23:05.

girls anywhere in reprehensible. Whether it's efforts in the United

:23:05.:23:11.

States, or efforts anywhere on any continent. Certainly, I think what

:23:11.:23:18.

is happening in parts of south Asia is deeply, deeply troubling. We saw

:23:18.:23:22.

last week n Pakistan what happened when a 14-year-old girl -- in

:23:22.:23:26.

Pakistan what happened when a 14- year-old girl was singled out on a

:23:26.:23:31.

bus and shot, for standing up for girls' education. I know she's in

:23:31.:23:34.

the UK receiving the care she needs to hopefully regain her health, and

:23:34.:23:40.

go back to her important work. So certainly it is critical that those

:23:40.:23:44.

of us who believe that only when we live in a world in which every

:23:44.:23:47.

person can participate to his or her full potential, is the world we

:23:47.:23:51.

want to see. You have very definitely found your voice, and

:23:51.:23:55.

you have said you want to have a purposeful public life. Would that

:23:55.:23:59.

extend to taking office? You know, I don't know. To take office I

:23:59.:24:03.

would have to be elected in the United States. I honestly don't

:24:03.:24:09.

know. Before my mom's campaign in 2008 I would have said no. Not as

:24:09.:24:15.

the result of any long, deliberate, thoughtful process, but rather

:24:15.:24:19.

because people have been asking me that question for as long as I can

:24:20.:24:23.

remember. America loves a dynasty? I don't know about that. But I

:24:23.:24:28.

certainly feel a strong call to public service. It is why I'm here

:24:28.:24:32.

in Abuja today. I think there are many ways to serve. I certainly

:24:32.:24:37.

believe my mother's life is a testament to that. My father calls

:24:37.:24:44.

her an NGO woman of one, as the era of her life until she ran for

:24:44.:24:49.

Senate. Watching my mother, and watching many people, many women

:24:50.:24:53.

like her, who have advocated in civil society and outside

:24:53.:24:58.

Government, I do believe there are many ways to be a public servant. I

:24:58.:25:01.

don't really know what the right answer for me will be in the longer

:25:01.:25:05.

term, for now I'm trying to do the work I can wherever I can in the

:25:05.:25:09.

world make a difference. I know you have said your mother is vehement

:25:09.:25:11.

about leaving office after President Obama's first term, if he

:25:11.:25:15.

wins a second of the I wonder what you would think about her heading

:25:15.:25:18.

towards the White House herself? want her to do whatever she want to

:25:18.:25:22.

do. I'm so proud of my mom and everything she does. Someone came

:25:22.:25:26.

up to me today, I love your parents, and quickly said, I'm so sorry you

:25:27.:25:30.

must hear it all the time. I hear it all the time and I never tire of

:25:30.:25:33.

hearing it. My parents every day give me reasons to be proud of the

:25:34.:25:37.

work they do in the world. For my mom, as her daughter, I hope she

:25:37.:25:41.

will get some well deserved rest and stay off an aeroplane for a

:25:41.:25:46.

while, and I know she will make whatever the right choice is for

:25:46.:25:50.

her in the future, that will ultimately be the right choice for

:25:50.:25:55.

our family and for our world. In the final film of our special

:25:55.:26:00.

series oned food, we examine one of the biggest problems of all. De--

:26:00.:26:04.

on food, we examine one of the biggest problems of all, decreasing

:26:04.:26:07.

production and increasing demand all round. We have been fooled into

:26:07.:26:15.

thinking that food was an inexpensive commodity, that was an

:26:15.:26:19.

old. The search for biofuels and weather problems and wastefulness

:26:19.:26:24.

are problems. I will discuss this with our guests, but first our

:26:24.:26:34.
:26:34.:26:35.

science editor. The modern supermarket is the

:26:35.:26:42.

epitomy of plenty. Shelves are permanently stocked. The only

:26:42.:26:50.

queues are at the checkout. But this precarious system now faces

:26:50.:26:54.

serious pressure points. Over the past few decades, we have all got

:26:55.:27:00.

used to the idea that we deserve cheap, abundant food, whenever we

:27:00.:27:04.

want it. But for how much longer can that comfortable model survive.

:27:04.:27:14.
:27:14.:27:16.

Is the era of cheap food finally coming to an end.

:27:16.:27:21.

Lincoln, Nebraska. Where corn is king. The heart of North America,

:27:21.:27:26.

where the state and the football team are known as the corn huskers.

:27:26.:27:31.

But the corn belt is at the centre of a crippling drought. This is the

:27:31.:27:35.

worst drought in 50 years, and we really don't see any end to it. The

:27:35.:27:41.

spacial area that is being consumed by drought right now in the US is,

:27:41.:27:46.

we're over 65% of the lower 48 states are in drought right now.

:27:46.:27:50.

The US drought monitoring service has tracked the spread of drought.

:27:50.:27:55.

Almost half of all America's counties have been declared

:27:55.:28:02.

disaster areas. We have had places across the US that their

:28:02.:28:07.

presiptation record for this year is comparable to the 1930s, or

:28:07.:28:11.

worse. Crop failures can shape history. Prices are on a

:28:11.:28:17.

rollercoaster. They are not yet at the high of 2011, when protests led

:28:17.:28:24.

to the Arab Spring. But they are inching closer to the spike of 2008,

:28:24.:28:28.

when there were riots in Haiti and Egypt. This is the third spike in

:28:28.:28:38.
:28:38.:28:48.

just five years. Rod farms beans and corn, he has seen record

:28:48.:28:52.

drought. We have only had one rainful. You have been raising the

:28:52.:28:57.

crops on one rainful. Soya bean yields are down by two third, the

:28:57.:29:01.

corn yields are down by about a third. There have been droughts in

:29:01.:29:07.

Russia, Kazakhstan and India as well. And, 40% of America's corn

:29:07.:29:12.

crop is diverted to create biofuels, finding an alternative to gasoline

:29:12.:29:18.

has put even more pressure on supply. All that means rising

:29:18.:29:27.

prices. Looking at soya bean oil, looking at tyfructose syrup from

:29:27.:29:32.

corn crop, look at the products they are used in, as the product

:29:32.:29:37.

stays high we will see the impact on the products we use on a day-to-

:29:38.:29:42.

day basis. It is American football night. The corn huskers face their

:29:42.:29:46.

great rivals from Wisconsin. For the fan, stocking up before the big

:29:46.:29:53.

game, most price rises will take a while to enter the system it. But

:29:53.:29:56.

fluctuations are already hitting the meat markets. Meat will be one

:29:56.:30:01.

of the main one, meat and dairy product, many of those animals are

:30:01.:30:05.

fed grain and hey products that are on short sprie supply and prices

:30:05.:30:12.

are very high. With the price of feed going up, rod Kristallnacht

:30:12.:30:21.

has had to slaughter early, 10% of his -- Rod has had to slaughter

:30:21.:30:26.

earlier, 10%. His parents and their parents farmed this land, his

:30:26.:30:32.

children want to follow in his footsteps. His parents remember the

:30:32.:30:38.

1930s when the land became a dust ball. At one time it got so dark at

:30:38.:30:43.

noon from the dust, the folks hit the lamps so we could see the

:30:43.:30:49.

dinner. You know farmers are used to hardships, we can roll with the

:30:49.:30:52.

punches, we will survive this, like anything else. The first stage is

:30:52.:30:56.

the older cows go first, if there are too big cows that take more

:30:56.:31:02.

feed than the rest of them, they are the ones continuing to go now.

:31:02.:31:10.

Demand is the other pressure point on prices. Rod's cattle grow on a

:31:10.:31:15.

mix of pasture and liquid supplement, cattle raised on grain

:31:15.:31:20.

need seven kilograms to produce one kilogram of meat. Global demand for

:31:20.:31:24.

wheat is rising as people get richer, demand for grain will rise

:31:24.:31:30.

in step. On top of that, each year the planet's population grows by

:31:30.:31:34.

some 70 million. I think we're facing pressures on natural

:31:35.:31:40.

resources, certainly on land, and on water. The large amount of the

:31:40.:31:45.

increase in food production over the last 20-30 years, was as a

:31:45.:31:52.

result of being able to allocate more water for irrigation for

:31:52.:31:57.

irgated agriculture. Roberto Lenton has advised the UN on using water

:31:57.:32:01.

for emirbtly in agriculture. He thinks we -- efficiently in

:32:01.:32:06.

agriculture, he thinks we need to cut the land used for biofuels and

:32:06.:32:12.

use it for food. You have increasing demands fored food, if

:32:12.:32:16.

we want to be serious about global warming and climate change, we have

:32:16.:32:22.

to look at alternative energy sources. Biofuels has all sorts of

:32:22.:32:29.

implications on food supplies. matters here, the corn huskers have

:32:29.:32:35.

sold out every game since 1962. Back then droughts were a once in a

:32:35.:32:39.

generation event. Now scientists warn a long-term rise in

:32:40.:32:44.

temperatures could make droughts like this summer's more frequent,

:32:44.:32:48.

even in areas where rainful has been normal. In a changing climate

:32:49.:32:52.

we need to be more prepared for droughts that are more frequent and

:32:52.:32:56.

intense. The main thing we have seen over the last several decades

:32:56.:33:06.
:33:06.:33:06.

is the temperature component, we have seen that on the upswing.

:33:06.:33:12.

Nebraska has had a difficult summer, the fans could do with a break.

:33:13.:33:20.

So what's in play? Many are confident we can still step up

:33:20.:33:30.
:33:30.:33:32.

supply, with better use of water and soils. Could we run with the

:33:32.:33:36.

high-tech approach, genetically modified crop, that perhaps can

:33:36.:33:42.

better resist drought? We wanted to ask the man who directs Nebraska's

:33:42.:33:48.

agricultural policy, we found him pitch side. We are already seeing

:33:48.:33:51.

in Nebraska, that the scenes and technology we have applied to our

:33:51.:33:56.

crops are helping us to produce more. Our crops are able to use the

:33:56.:33:58.

water and nutrients more efficiently. We think, as we look

:33:58.:34:02.

forward, we will be able to identify genes within those crops

:34:02.:34:08.

that will resist drought, and produce even more bushels under

:34:08.:34:15.

extreme drought conditions like we experienced in Nebraska this year.

:34:15.:34:21.

The huskers need a comeback, with ten minutes to go, they are 10-27

:34:21.:34:27.

down. Time is ticking away. Can supply shortages be tackled with

:34:27.:34:31.

crop science? Do we use the corn fields to grow more food, or

:34:31.:34:40.

cleaner fuel? Bust your ass, effort, effort, effort. Or do we wrestle

:34:40.:34:43.

with the trickier problem of demand. If we are to support more and more

:34:43.:34:49.

people, we may each have to consume less. And be less wasteful. 40% of

:34:49.:34:54.

food in the United States alone is never eaten, simply thrown away.

:34:54.:34:59.

The security of our food system is threatened by restrictions on

:34:59.:35:04.

supply and ever-increasing demand. And just one knock to that system

:35:04.:35:09.

can send primes rocketing. But how we increase supply and bring down

:35:09.:35:16.

demand will require some really tough decisions.

:35:16.:35:23.

It was a hard night for Nebraska, but they fought back, winning 30-27,

:35:23.:35:32.

85,000 people went home happy. But it promise to be a tough autumn.

:35:32.:35:35.

Harvests are down, and unless there is significant rainfall, and then

:35:35.:35:43.

snow over the winter, next year will be even tougher. With corn and

:35:43.:35:47.

so I prices edging ever higher, global food security has never been

:35:47.:35:53.

more vulnerable. To discuss whether we are really at

:35:53.:35:58.

the end of the era of cheap food is the chef and author Yotam

:35:58.:36:06.

Ottolenghi, Giles Oldroyd, and self-styled scavenger, Katherine

:36:06.:36:11.

Hibbert. We are apparently going to need 70% more food by 2050, how

:36:11.:36:14.

terrifying is that? It is a terrifying figure. It seems like we

:36:14.:36:19.

are also changing our diet. People are not only eating more, but they

:36:19.:36:23.

eat more meat. And obvious low that is way more wasteful, we have heard

:36:23.:36:29.

in the film, how many kilograms of vegtables need to feed a cow. More

:36:29.:36:32.

and more people throughout the world eat more meat. It is a

:36:33.:36:36.

changing in diet habit all over the world, in China and India and also

:36:36.:36:39.

a little bit in the west. But also the fact that we waste so much,

:36:39.:36:44.

because there is so much thrown away. You just need to look outside

:36:44.:36:47.

supermarkets or restaurants at the end of the day, it is piles of food

:36:47.:36:53.

that just goes to waste, and gooded food. Katherine, you are a

:36:53.:36:58.

scavenger among many things, when did you last scavange? Earlier this

:36:58.:37:04.

week I went to the artisan bakery, and I found several bin bags packed

:37:04.:37:11.

with loaves of bread, you have your choi, wholegrain, white, sandwiches,

:37:11.:37:19.

mozzarella sand wi witches and ham sandwiches. -- -- Sandwiches and

:37:19.:37:25.

ham sind witches. Did you eat it or hand it around to your friends?

:37:25.:37:30.

couldn't get it all home, I took some home, the ham to my dog and

:37:30.:37:40.
:37:40.:37:48.

shared with my flatmate. What leads to the idea there is so much waste,

:37:48.:37:52.

that idea? It is the idea of it being there, it is built into the

:37:52.:37:57.

business models to create that amount of waste. It is perfectly

:37:57.:38:00.

good food. Completely fresh, made that day. They want to give you the

:38:00.:38:04.

sense, if you walk in, even as the last customer of the day, the

:38:04.:38:10.

shelves are full. Does it idea that waste is built in, and that, in

:38:10.:38:15.

fact, in America, 40% of all food is wasted? Very similar figure in

:38:15.:38:19.

Britain too. A similar figure in Britain. One of the main things,

:38:19.:38:23.

presumably, is that we actually don't know how to deal with our

:38:23.:38:28.

relationship with food, we think it should be cheap all the time, we

:38:28.:38:34.

think we are entitled to it? have lived through decades of

:38:34.:38:40.

cheaped food, we had food mountain, it was only 20 years ago we had

:38:40.:38:46.

mountains of butter and lakes of wine. That has changed, the world

:38:46.:38:51.

is changing very quickly. The demand for food is going up, and

:38:51.:38:54.

the challenges for growing food are increasing. There is no-one answer

:38:54.:38:58.

to the problem. Of course we have to reduce waste, but we also need

:38:58.:39:03.

to increase productivity. It is a hugele cha eing, and it takes a

:39:03.:39:07.

multi-- challenge, -- it is a huge challenge and it takes a

:39:07.:39:11.

multipronged approach. How can we do that? There are many ways. In

:39:11.:39:16.

the developed world we have to improve the crops we grow, either

:39:16.:39:20.

using conventional plant breeding or genetically modified. But in the

:39:20.:39:27.

developing world, like sub-Saharan Africa, the potential it great to

:39:27.:39:30.

increase productivity, they are getting yields of 20%. That could

:39:30.:39:36.

be for lots of reasons, the farming not done the way we do in the west,

:39:36.:39:39.

would you increase that by science or better farming? It has to be

:39:39.:39:45.

both. There is a lot that we can do right now, just using technology

:39:45.:39:50.

like fertiliser, better seeds, and getting those to farmers in sub-

:39:50.:39:54.

Saharan Africa. If you look at the developing world, you see in the

:39:54.:39:57.

developing world they waste a similar amount of food to what we

:39:57.:40:00.

do here, that is because of the lack of chill chains and good

:40:01.:40:04.

storage. If you are storing grain in the field, of course the rats

:40:04.:40:09.

will eat it. If you haven't a fridge to put your milk in, it will

:40:09.:40:13.

go off. It might be better to put infrastructure in to deal with that.

:40:13.:40:18.

As a chef, and you are very influential as a cookery writer now,

:40:18.:40:24.

are you entirely for natural, as it were, the proubgt it we know, just

:40:24.:40:29.

through pesticides -- products as we know, just through pesticides,

:40:29.:40:34.

or do you agree that science has a role to play in this? There is no-

:40:34.:40:37.

one answer. People probably will need to change their habits, for

:40:37.:40:41.

various reasons. First of all, it will be too expensive to eat as we

:40:41.:40:45.

eat now, the prices are going up because everybody wants to eat like

:40:45.:40:50.

we do. Secondly, because it is not healthy to eat to much meat. There

:40:50.:40:54.

are various reasons to change our habit, it is not a one-solution

:40:54.:40:57.

story. You really do need, I completely see the reason why you

:40:57.:41:01.

want to increase productivity, and why you want to add the scientific

:41:01.:41:06.

aspect to it. You know, if it wasn't for science, we wouldn't

:41:06.:41:10.

have tomato, or courgette, or all the wonderful things we have today.

:41:10.:41:14.

Some gofd, you wouldn't be against that, per-- genetically modified,

:41:14.:41:19.

so you wouldn't be against that per se? Not persay. At the moment the

:41:19.:41:22.

industry is in the hand of a few cynical players, it is all about

:41:22.:41:25.

money. It is very difficult to see how we get out of this circle, and

:41:25.:41:30.

it is a trap. It is a trap, and it won't only be

:41:30.:41:34.

solved by waste. Do you have to accept that there might be a case

:41:34.:41:38.

for science, beyond fertilisers? think if you are having a meal, you

:41:38.:41:42.

finish what's on your plate before you take a second helping. You

:41:42.:41:49.

don't, we really have to do the things we can do right now, without

:41:49.:41:56.

taking risks and I'm not kneejerk against GM and of course science

:41:56.:42:01.

has brought all sorts of brilliant things. But where we are throwing

:42:01.:42:05.

away perfectly good food all the time, and more than enough to feed

:42:05.:42:10.

everyone who is hungry, dealing with that should be the priority.

:42:10.:42:15.

The point is, you won't educate that mind set before you need to do

:42:16.:42:19.

something radical with science? is a terrible shame if we have got

:42:19.:42:23.

into this situation, if that is the case it is a scandal that we have

:42:23.:42:27.

wasted the era of cheaped food. Food doesn't get the respect it

:42:27.:42:33.

should, it has been too cheap. The mountain of grain and lakes of milk

:42:33.:42:37.

has cheapened our attitude to food. There isn't a sense of respect to

:42:37.:42:46.

food. What has been talked about, for example, is making some kind of

:42:46.:42:50.

genetic modification that allows corn to be grown with much less

:42:50.:42:54.

water and sue Septemberability to drought? There are a -- sue

:42:54.:42:58.

Septemberability to drought? There are lots of problems, some of those

:42:58.:43:04.

problems, we have the GM crops out there already, drought, salt

:43:04.:43:11.

tolerance, fertilisers used, pests and path though begins, many people

:43:11.:43:16.

are working -- path begins many people are working them at the

:43:16.:43:20.

moment. Don't you think we will lose some of the inherent food

:43:20.:43:22.

qualities at the moment? Most of the target crops for genetically

:43:22.:43:26.

modified, are your big commodity crops, they are maize, wheat,

:43:26.:43:32.

cotton, soya bean, they are not the sort of crops that you worry about

:43:32.:43:36.

having some old artisan variety. So, you when you talk about food

:43:36.:43:43.

quality, you are generally talking about your tomatos, your aubergines,

:43:43.:43:47.

your pomegranates, we will not see genetically modified in those crop,

:43:47.:43:56.

they are such a small market. Coverage starch fructose is so

:43:56.:44:06.
:44:06.:44:06.

unhealthy. -- corn fructose starch is so unhalty, it has no nutrients

:44:06.:44:10.

in it. Is there a problem for society we expect food on demand,

:44:10.:44:16.

it is one of the things we take for grant, we expect asparagus from

:44:16.:44:20.

Peru, strawberries all year round. We make unrealistic demands on the

:44:20.:44:25.

market, that is about education? Because we are so

:44:25.:44:29.

disproportionately rich we can make these demands, the upshot is we are

:44:29.:44:33.

taking this stuff out of the market, and preventing people who are

:44:33.:44:37.

actually hungry and can't afford to eat properly, from being able to

:44:37.:44:43.

afford it. If you are saying someone to grow asparagus, where

:44:43.:44:46.

they could be growing something that could feed a lot more people

:44:46.:44:49.

without being air freighted ayes cross the world. You are leading to

:44:49.:44:53.

other people being hungry. When they were talking about respect, it

:44:53.:44:56.

means there is an element of reference when it come to food that

:44:56.:45:00.

we have completely lost. We don't think about what we eat, we don't

:45:00.:45:04.

think about what we put in our mouths. You need to be able to

:45:04.:45:11.

enjoy it, to understand what is a good bite of food, whether as

:45:11.:45:15.

tomato, pomegranate or corn. say we eat too much meat, we need

:45:15.:45:20.

to change our mind, we only think we have had a great meal when we

:45:20.:45:23.

have a big portion of meat? That is true, it is not black and white any

:45:23.:45:28.

more. It is not meat-eating versus vegetarianism. People incorporate

:45:28.:45:31.

more vegtables into their diet. Just time for the papers from

:45:31.:45:37.

tomorrow morning. First of all..

:45:37.:45:47.
:45:47.:45:47.

Apology for the loss of subtitles for 40 seconds

:45:47.:46:28.

That's all for tonight, Emily is here, from all of us, have a very

:46:28.:46:38.
:46:38.:47:01.

Hello, after some particularly wet and windy weather, across the UK on

:47:01.:47:05.

Wednesday, the prospects for Thursday do see the picture

:47:05.:47:09.

becoming quieter. The wind easing and many areas seeing some dryer

:47:09.:47:13.

weather eventually. Northern England, one of the favourite areas

:47:13.:47:16.

for decent sunshine come the afternoon. The Midland and East

:47:16.:47:19.

Anglia, perhaps picking up sharper showers, along the east coast the

:47:19.:47:23.

possibility of some thicker cloud bringing more persistent rain. For

:47:23.:47:27.

the south west of England, after some morning showers, we should see

:47:27.:47:31.

a good amount of sun shine, come the afternoon, and also for Wales,

:47:31.:47:37.

simply, showers in the morning, tending to clear to leave with

:47:37.:47:41.

brighter spells, feeling pleasant, highs of 13 and 14. For Northern

:47:41.:47:45.

Ireland sharper showers through the afternoon, generally an improving

:47:45.:47:48.

picture. Still heavier showers for south western Scotland. Further

:47:48.:47:53.

north a dry story, still cool, thanks to the Eastleigh breeze. For

:47:53.:47:58.

Thursday, some rain, but gradually -- easterly breeze. For Thursday,

:47:58.:48:08.
:48:08.:48:15.

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