21/02/2014 Newsnight


21/02/2014

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Ukraine rocked to its foundations by the most recent deaths, finally does

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a deal to bring the country back from the brink of Civil War. As the

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coffins of dead protestors are paraded through Independence Square,

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will the promise of future elections keep the two sides from each other's

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throats. We will hear live from Kiev. If I'm desoperate I will try

:00:30.:00:36.

to go for shoplifting, when you do it, it is for something to eat.

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Benefits sanctions now the Archbishop of Canterbury joins the

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clamour condemning the Government as policies. The former Children's

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Minister, walking away from politics tells us she is furious as well.

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Colourful adverts for top brand, Sony, Ford, fairy, BMW, does the

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Internet lay every fact about your product in black and white and is it

:01:04.:01:14.

necessary? ??FORCEDWHI It took the deaths of at least 77 people and

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hundreds injured to get Ukraine's opposition and Government to sign up

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to a mediated peace pact. The 2004 constitution will be restored, which

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will restrict President Yanukovych's power. An interim Government of

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National Unity will be put together within the fortnight. And there will

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be presidential elections by December at the latest. Also the

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opposition leader, Yulia Temeshenko, incarcerated for two years now, will

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be released from jail. Gabriel Gatehouse joins us from Kiev. Yes

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there were extraordinary emotional scenes as open coffins of the dead

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were paraded for the protestors to see. People trying, and in the

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middle of it all some of the opposition leaders took to the stage

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to announce the details of the deal they have made, they were booed off

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stage. Many of the protesters were not happy with it, particularly with

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the idea that the elections they have been demanding for so long

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could only be in do nearly a year away. It remains to be seen whether

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the people on the street accept the deal hammered out by the diplomats

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and the politicians. Meanwhile it has always been talked about as a

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conflict between east and west, between those who look towards

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Europe and those who look towards Russia. I have been walking around

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Kiev today looking at the deep historical divisions behind in

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conflict. Marching down to Independence Square, a column of

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policemen who have defected to the protesters. They chant "glory to

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Ukraine", echoing the slogan of the Ukrainian insurgent army, a national

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group that in the 1940s and 1950s had waged a doom guerrilla war

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against the Soviet regime. These officers have travelled all the way

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from the west of Ukraine. TRANSLATION: You can't shoot

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civilians in cold blood, it is wrong. We as officers, we know how

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to handle weapons, so we have come here to defend the people. Ukraine's

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security forces are in disarray, yesterday they were beaten back by

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the protesters, today they were order today vacate their positions

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outside parliament. News of the deal between the Government and the

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opposition filtered through to the square. Early elections, a unity

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Government and curbs on the President's powers. Until this

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week's bloody event those concessions might have been enough

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to end the protest. But not now. These people are going nowhere. The

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first thing first he needs to go away, Yanukovych. The President?

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Needs to go, needs to resign now. After that we can talk, anything

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else sun acceptable. Before you were all saying early elections and that

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would be fine, but now? Not any more, he's a kill, a murderer, a

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mass murderer, we need him to go, he's not the President any more. He

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is a murderer, nothing else. Echos of history were on display again as

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the defected officers were cheered by the crowd. "Glory to Ukraine",

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the old nationalist chant goes on, "death to our enemies". Ukraine and

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Russia's histories are inextricably intertwined. This is St Sofia's

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Cathedral, the oldest in the Russian Orthodox Church. It was built in the

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11th century when this city was the centre of the cradle of Russian

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civilisation. For many Russians this Cathedral is the spiritual birth

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place of their religion. And it is a powerful emotional reason why the

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Kremlin feels it absolutely cannot allow Ukraine to drop out of its

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orbit. In normal times this is the reason why many Ukraines from east

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and west feel a strong historical and cultural affinity to their

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brothers and sisters in Russia. But these are not normal times,

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especially when people start dying in the street, historical fault

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lines become exacerbated. The Second World War was Ukraine's darkest

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hour. Millions lost their lives. The eventual Soviet victory has

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officially been elevated to almost cult-like status. But not in western

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Ukraine. Where many see the Soviet liberation as just another

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occupation. The Ukrainian insurgent army, whose slogans the protesters

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now chant on Independence Square fought against the Soviets, a

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historical sin, many in the east can still not forgive. The slogan "glory

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to Ukraine", is not as scary as it used to be, "glory to the nation",

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which is answered normally with "death to the enemies", that is of

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course unacceptable for many, many people in history. Why? Because they

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think that they are some how classified as enemies within this

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reply. That the east is the enemy? Yes. At this time what unites

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Ukrainians? One very bad thing unites Ukrainians now, it is a fear

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of losing our country, the fear for losing our independence, and one

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very good thing unites us, it is an understanding that no-one will build

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our country instead of us. But will that and today's concessions be

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enough to prevent this country sliding deeper into conflict. Away

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from the protest square we met some young Ukrainians who fear it may

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already be too late. Do you think there will be a Civil War? There is

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a Civil War, even now, maybe in a very low level, but there is a Civil

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War. A lot of people are dying now and it is horrible that they cannot

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stop it. Amid the nationalist chants, the barricades feel more

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deserted this evening. Perhaps Ukraine has pulled back from the

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brink. But the blood still lies fresh on the cobble stones at the

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spot where so many young men lost their lives to sniper fire

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yesterday. Emotions are still raw, Ukraine's future remains perilously

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uncertain. Earlier I spoke to Ukraine's ambassador to the United

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Nations, Yuriy Sergeyev. Ambassador Sergeyev, the bloodshed has been

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horrific, particularly yesterday's bloodshed, surely this is a kind of

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deal that President Yanukovych could have done months ago? The opposition

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of the President, they tried to reach a compromise, but it never

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happened, even after the Prime Minister of the Government resigned.

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It happened only yesterday. Most probably after they recognised the

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magnitude of crisis and the huge amount of deaths on the streets.

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Most probably after that they found it possible to then speak. The

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protesters want President Yanukovych to go now. If a unity Government can

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be formed in 12 days only with his resignation do you think he will be

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prepared to go? I could understand the e -- emotion, and they lost

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their friends and relatives and the coffins surround them. I am afraid

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these demands could lead to another conflict. Yulia Temeshenko will be

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released from prison, would you like to see her run for President again?

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I was impressed that the decision to release Yulia Temeshenko was taken

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by the constitutional majority. Either she is going or not back to

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politics and for any elections that is beyond me to judge. Would you

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like to see Ukraine a member of the European Union within the decade?

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Undoubtedly, and it is written in our legislation, the European

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leaders, they keep saying, and yesterday confirmed, that doors are

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open. Are you prepared, do you think, for Russia to be hostile to

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any new overture or any renewed overture to Europe? Russia recently

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sent the message that the Russian Government is ready to co-operate

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with the new Ukrainian Government, the new Government could create both

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the good relations with the European Union through a cessationship, and

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probably with membership in future and to keep good relationships with

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Russia. Thank you. OW. The vice Prime Minister who served in the

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Government of Yulia Temeshenko, joins me from Kiev via science. Good

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evening? You heard the protestors in the film saying first things first,

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Viktor Yanukovych has to go away. No matter how the opposition leaders

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have phrased the deal. Do you think the protesters will buy it? No today

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I was talking to hundreds of people, it is impossible to convince them

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that they have to live with the first President in the

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newly-independent Ukraine on whose hands there is the blood of so many

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killed people. When they heard about the agreement that Yanukovych could

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stay until December, actually until there would be formalities, it means

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another year. Because it could be somewhere in January, people would

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never agree to this. If Yanukovych has good political instincts it is

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better for him not to try to put that behind certain agreement, but

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to accept the reality and go for early elections that can probably

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defuse the tension. Or defuse the tension by, returning to the 2004

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constitution he actually has much less power any way. Do you think he

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could be persuaded there is any chance he will be persuaded to stand

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down earlier? Very difficult to predict because on the one hand he

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wants presidential election, on the other hand the way he behaves is

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unpredictable and very, very irresponsible, I would say. He is

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making all possible mistakes and he, with his next decision he makes his

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personal situation, and therefore the country is more complicated. On

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that basis, because there was such an overwhelming shock of the

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bloodshed yesterday, if there was a return to violence, surely the

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pressure on him would be huge then to stand down immediately? There

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will be pressure on him and I strongly doubt that he is in charge

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of the country. I have been talking to some ambassadors, negotiators,

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they told me also, high-level negotiators, they said they are

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under the impression that they are talking to the wrong guy, that

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decisions are not made by him and not by his administration sometimes.

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You were part of the Government of Yulia Temeshenko, although you are

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not in the same party. What do you think the chances of her announcing,

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we don't know how well she is, but announcing that she would run for

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President? There should be a court decision letting her out first. Is

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it going to happen or not? Also it depends a lot on Yanukovych, he

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still controls the whole system, though this system is just crashing

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right before his nose. As for Yulia Temeshenko, well, no-one can say,

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but knowing her as I know her I can predict she will run. She's probably

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leaning now with revenge. To what extent it is good for the country,

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to what extent revenge is a good motivation is another story. But

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when she is out I can't imagine her being out of big politics. She's

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possessed, obsessed with desire to be at the top. Thank you very much

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indeed. Today the week-long collision between the pulpit and

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politics was stepped up by the intervention of the Archbishop of

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Canterbury in the row over sanctions over benefits designed to get people

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back to work. He wrote a letter signed by 40 Clergy decrying the

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benefit cuts, saying half a million people in the UK have visited food

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banks since last Easter. This is what I have got so far donate bid

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friends, neighbours and also the Citizens Advice Bureau. Terry has

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just had his job-seeker's allowance stopped, because he misread the date

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he had to sign on. Sanctions of stopping someone's benefits if they

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haven't made enough effort to look for work, are part of a package of

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reforms designed to get people back to work. I have only been out of

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work really for about two or three years inbetween jobs. The fact that

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I'm being penalised in such a way after paying in so much money in

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national insurance contributions, tax, etc, etc, I think it is an

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absolute disgrace. But those reform, say Church of England bishops are

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forcing people to choose between heating and eating. David Cameron

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has a moral imperative to act. The head of the Catholic Church in

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England and Wales blames the coalition for creating destitution.

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Ministers, he says, have torn apart the traditional safety net for the

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poor. And those words were backed up today by the Archbishop of

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Canterbury, those who criticise the coalition are simply giving voice to

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an upswell of feeling. On Monday's Newsnight rereported on the em--

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reported on the impact of benefits sanctions. It is really damp. At

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this foodbank in axe ington, staff say 70% of people coming in for food

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parcels have been sanctioned. How do you end the poverty trap, how do you

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make work pay? Is it right that people remain stuck on benefits? Is

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it moral? Well to discuss where moral arguments and benefits are the

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MPs Steve Baker a member of the Conservative Christian Fellowship,

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and Sarah Teather, the former Lib Dem families minister. First of all,

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both of you are Christians, and you follow faith, but your leader Nick

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Clegg said that the church leaders had got it wrong, they were

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exaggerating? Yes rather a patronising response from my leader

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there, and not very helpful and not in my view very well informed

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either. If I think about the experience of a lot of my

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constituents, I'm afraid I'm seeing far too many people who are made

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destitute and put into severe poverty by the benefit changes. I

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mean for example I had a woman where the whole of the last trimester of

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her pregnancy she had no money whatsoever. I had another case where

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somebody was sanctioned for failing to turn up at an appointment when

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she was having surgery for cancer. I am afraid the Archbishop's criticism

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this week really chimes with my own experience. And do you think the

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Clergy, the senior Clergy were right to put it in the terms they put it?

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The Clergy are right to speak up for the poor, of course, I don't think

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it was right when the Archbishop said that the welfare state has been

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torn away. I don't think that stands up to scrutiny. We are still paying

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job-seeker's allowance and pension, the health service is still there.

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But is it true that the welfare state is failing people and leaving

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them destitute, I am afraid it is. The bureaucracy is always

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inefficient, it is not way of dispensing kindness, like Sarah I

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have seen cases where as an MP I have had to step in and help.

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In terms of the moral purpose of politicians, is that often at odds

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with the actual facts of policy? That is a broad question. In this

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regard. They have a moral duty to lift people out of poverty? I think

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from my perspective it is difficult to discern what the clear moral

:18:44.:18:47.

vision is behind welfare reform, there is three things going on all

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at the same time, you have Iain Duncan Smith's original idea around

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Universal Credit, that was something supposed to provide a flexible

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dynamic system responding in real time to people's wage changes, that

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simplified the system that meant people were better off in work. In

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my view the original vision was a good thing. That was quite a moral

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vision from Iain Duncan Smith. It had a lot to commend it. The problem

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is it has been cut against by two other things. We have taken a lot of

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money out of the system undermining how it would work. The third-most

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important thing is it is overlaid by a number of directly political

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interventions that are more about trying to demonstrate whose side we

:19:31.:19:34.

are on rather than really about helping individuals get back into

:19:35.:19:37.

work. That is interesting, so in fact, let's take the money out of

:19:38.:19:44.

this, actually what the policy reflects is a political purpose and

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therefore you could say that actually it is not about the

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morality of it, it is about politics? I don't think that is fair

:19:50.:19:52.

comment. I think Iain Duncan Smith is a deeply moral man. I got

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involved with the Centre for Social Justice in 2007 or so. When you look

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back at the broken Britain, breakdown Britain report in 2006, it

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is clear even then there were profound failures in the welfare

:20:07.:20:11.

state. People living in entrenched cycles of poverty and the welfare

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state was not breaking. His whole journey is one of moral purpose and

:20:16.:20:19.

resconetruction. The idea of lifting people out of poverty and getting

:20:20.:20:23.

them out of the benefits cycle. But if you are a churchman, or

:20:24.:20:30.

churchwoman, and you see half a million people in food banks? So I

:20:31.:20:34.

would agree with the Archbishop there is an acute moral imperative

:20:35.:20:38.

to act, but who should act and who should pay for it. The problem we

:20:39.:20:41.

have is you can't take the money out. We are spending ?1 billion more

:20:42.:20:48.

a year than we can raise in tax. It is ?3,400 per taxpayer, we can't

:20:49.:20:51.

afford it. Who should be paying for this morally? I think there are two

:20:52.:20:55.

things, I would say, I don't accept the argument that the best way to

:20:56.:20:59.

balance the books for us as a country is to do it all on the backs

:21:00.:21:03.

of the poor. We have taken too much out of the benefits system, it has

:21:04.:21:08.

been done too quickly. You can make one change and people may have

:21:09.:21:12.

enough resilience to cope, when you make change, after change, after

:21:13.:21:15.

change, people have no capacity to deal with it. We have removed a lot

:21:16.:21:19.

of the system that is support people like the crisis loans and the social

:21:20.:21:23.

fund is not there in the same way that people are really able to

:21:24.:21:29.

access. Vincent Nichol is saying that it is immoral to leave people

:21:30.:21:34.

in destitution? It is immoral to leave people in destitution, we

:21:35.:21:39.

should lift them out of it, how should we do it. To answer the how

:21:40.:21:44.

to balance the budgets on the backs of the poor. Nobody wants to do.

:21:45.:21:47.

That but three quarters of the Government spending is social debt

:21:48.:21:55.

interest and education. The fact is, if we are going to protect the

:21:56.:21:59.

health and education budgets, if we can't keep cutting defence and

:22:00.:22:02.

foreign affairs, it has to come out somewhere. We can't cut pensions.

:22:03.:22:08.

Most of it has come out of the same group of people. I want to say

:22:09.:22:10.

something else, that is also, some of the things that have been most

:22:11.:22:14.

devastating don't save money. The overall benefit cap for example has

:22:15.:22:18.

a devastating impact on a small number of people, who have no

:22:19.:22:21.

possibility of making claims for themselves, but save no money for

:22:22.:22:25.

the country. Thank you very much indeed. Some of the most memorable

:22:26.:22:30.

images of the last 20 years have been in adverts, the Guinness

:22:31.:22:36.

toucan, the Milky Bar and the PG Tips Chimps. According to a new

:22:37.:22:40.

book, companies no longer need to spend millions building brands the

:22:41.:22:43.

Internet will do it for virtually no money. Now is about price comparison

:22:44.:22:48.

websites, customer reviews and trusts bloggers, is the era of big

:22:49.:22:54.

brands over. In a moment a former Saatchi and Saatchi executives talks

:22:55.:22:59.

to us. But first this. # I would like to buy the world a

:23:00.:23:03.

home # And furnish it with love

:23:04.:23:06.

# Grow apple trees # And honey bees

:23:07.:23:12.

# And snow white turtle to doves For more than a century Coca-Cola has

:23:13.:23:18.

been peddling so much more than brown cabonated water, this brand is

:23:19.:23:22.

not going flat any time soon. Some argue brands are under threat,

:23:23.:23:26.

because ads like this can so easily be drowned out by an ocean of

:23:27.:23:31.

on-line information. Some even predict that is brands could become

:23:32.:23:36.

mere museum exhibits. Back in the day it was hard to find out whether

:23:37.:23:40.

a Roberts Radio was better than a Decca, you could ask the bloke

:23:41.:23:44.

behind the counter or your next door neighbour, but it was hardly perfect

:23:45.:23:49.

information. People tended to rely on brand names, the Internet has

:23:50.:23:53.

changed all that, you can go on-line and read reviews by customers and

:23:54.:23:57.

experts, and you can still ask your neighbour and all your other friends

:23:58.:24:02.

on Facebook. Some argue the brand is much less important. I will mix it

:24:03.:24:06.

up a little bit today, I will do it on boxing and a review of the ASUS,

:24:07.:24:13.

66 dual band wireless... . It was the on-line techie reviewers that

:24:14.:24:20.

helped ASUS, a Taiwanese company with little label recognition to

:24:21.:24:25.

become the third-biggest seller of tablets. To enable the best web

:24:26.:24:29.

connection. Because they couldn't rely on brand name they say they

:24:30.:24:32.

broke through on quality of product and virtual word of mouth.

:24:33.:24:38.

Introducing the holiday assurance. But it is not just the tech sector,

:24:39.:24:45.

Hyundai say they expect customers to thoroughly research their cars

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on-line before they buy. It makes it much harder to hide behind the

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brand. 80% of the customers who go into a showroom today and buy a car,

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80% of them have already gone on-line. And what that has done, in

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terms of the purchasing of a vehicle, it has changed about 15

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years ago, people would visit four dealerships, today they visit one.

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Two dealerships. The reason being, so it is almost when they are going

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in there they have almost decided to buy that brand. So what they have

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done, they have done the investigation beforehand and they

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have done it on-line. Not everyone is convinced that all this

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information is necessarily very informative. In fact, it is

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overwhelming. The brand, they argue, has never been more important. The

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marketing industry has always loved to talk about brand loyalty, of

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nurturing relationships with consumers. But is this talk of

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monogamy ever been realistic, haven't customers always been serial

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adult at thor, take coke drinkers, the ultimate two-timers, 70% of them

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also prink Pepsi. So much for loyalty.

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We have the chair of the brand consultancy Brand Cap, and Emanual

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Rosen is the co-author of a new book, Absolute Value. It argues that

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the brands in decline in some sectors. Rosen ruchings you don't

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deny that people love brand, they feel a loyalty to brands, an

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affinity to a brand, it says something about them? In this book

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we are talking about a major shift in consumer decision making as you

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described in the last few minutes. Consumers increasingly rely on

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reviews from other user, from experts. Whenever they do that then

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they add affinity to the brand and a connection, and they play a reduced

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role. Brands are not disappearing, we are not saying it is the end of

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brand, but brands will play a reduced role in the quality proxy

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when people use alternative information sources such as reviews

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from users or experts. I was going to say though, presumably then you

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can have an unknown brand, but if you get the ear of an expert who

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then promotes it, it is a lot cheaper than spending a lot on a

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huge brand campaign? It is, absolutely, we have this debate over

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few years. There is a new social change or retail change or

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technology change and there is talk about the death of brands. But never

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one like the Internet? What's interesting about the Internet is

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great brands have grown up out of the internet. Despite the fact that

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the talk about the Internet was brands are dead, because it is all

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going to be exposed, prices will be laid bare and everything else. But

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we have Google, Facebook, Amazon, these arm so of the world's most --

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these are some of the world's most valuable brands. What doesn't work

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is marketing targeting up a mediocre product. That will be killed stone

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dead more quickly? Yeah, you have to be a great business and great brand.

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What about what Rita is saying, massive grand, Google, Amazon, Ebay,

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Apple, these are huge technology brands of the 21st century? That's

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true, but the thing is that the brand equity that these companies

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have created will play a reduced role in the decision by a customer

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for his next move. That is you know, you mentioned Google, Google

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introduced in 2009 a programme called Google Wave. Now Google had

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back then incredible goodwill... . I think we have a technology problem

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here! Clearly Google is not running that well. That issue, that he was

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raising there, the fact that just what you are saying, I suppose,

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Google had the brand called Google wave, and because it wasn't a

:29:03.:29:06.

successful programme it went down. And Apple had a problem for a while

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as well? Appleyard is the very best example, in this particular book

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they talk about in an almost perfect information world. But of course

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people aren't perfect. People are a bit messy, they make decisions to

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buy brands on not just rational grounds, and looking at lots of

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information, but emotional ground too, do I like it? Frankly, as far

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as information is concerned then human beings aren't going to be able

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to stay awake for much longer reading all these reviews and short

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cuts. You wouldn't deny that new product, start-ups and so on, that

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doesn't have huge budgets for brand building will turn to the Internet

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and you have to devise a different way of displaying a brand?

:29:50.:29:52.

Absolutely. You don't need a huge advertising budget any more. It is

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true. But what branding is these days, it is not just something you

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stick on a product and advertise. This is about everything you do and

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make and say in a business. So for example you need to make sure that

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your people understand what they are doing what your brand is about, so

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they can serve people in the right way. It is not just about the

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product itself. But is there a danger that actually we're going to

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have narrowing of choice then, because what happens is your arch

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blogger or expert or Go Compare sites or whatever will narrow what

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people want, which won't be such a good deal for the consumer because

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the price will go up? We won't see a narrowing, there is always

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development, and you have such competition that it forces companies

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to keep on innovating and improving their product. The way to generate

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long-term sustainable value is to create brand. Products come and go,

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people die, but brands live on. Out of the top 50 brands they have been

:30:53.:30:56.

there for 50 years or more. Thank you very much, we probably need a

:30:57.:31:00.

new brand of line to get us to America. That is all we have time

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for tonight. Jeremy is back on Monday, have a good weekend, good

:31:03.:31:05.

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