18/10/2016 Reporting Scotland


18/10/2016

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The prices we pay - in shops, for travel

:00:08.:00:11.

and for household bills - are rising.

:00:12.:00:14.

Official inflation data almost doubled last month and it's widely

:00:15.:00:16.

expected this could be the start of a new bout

:00:17.:00:18.

One of the main factors driving this up are fuel prices.

:00:19.:00:22.

Here's our Business and Economy Editor Douglas Fraser.

:00:23.:00:31.

Inflation had risen to 0.6% to August, and it was expected

:00:32.:00:35.

to rise, but it was up 1% in September against a basket

:00:36.:00:45.

to rise, but it was up 1% in September across a basket

:00:46.:00:48.

One of the reasons was the increase in fuel costs.

:00:49.:00:51.

Petrol and diesel have been rising steeply

:00:52.:00:53.

and they are expected to continue rising in the weeks to come.

:00:54.:00:56.

They have been hit by a double whammy.

:00:57.:00:58.

Brent crude, is the benchmark price and that has been rising

:00:59.:01:01.

and in January it hit a low point of $30 but now it is over $50.

:01:02.:01:05.

The pound since the European Union referendum, it has dropped in value,

:01:06.:01:08.

so anything which is valued in foreign currency including oil,

:01:09.:01:10.

That is driving costs up right across the economy.

:01:11.:01:20.

Inflation is measured with a shopping basket of more

:01:21.:01:22.

than 700 everyday items in the household budget

:01:23.:01:24.

and many of them will be affected by the same thing.

:01:25.:01:27.

decided to leave the European Union our currency sterling has declined

:01:28.:01:34.

in value, down about 18% against the dollar and the euro

:01:35.:01:36.

The price of importing raw materials is up.

:01:37.:01:44.

Two more items rising fast, clothing and hotel

:01:45.:01:45.

But there are exceptions - competition remains fierce

:01:46.:01:52.

in the supermarkets keeping prices down, and that means food prices

:01:53.:01:56.

continue to fall in September, but don't expect that to last.

:01:57.:02:02.

The price inflation basket is a very large one but it is not big enough

:02:03.:02:05.

to include housing costs, and we also get figures on them.

:02:06.:02:09.

The average home in August sold for 4.3% more than last year,

:02:10.:02:13.

nothing like the price rises seen in England, partly because of

:02:14.:02:16.

The oil sector has stalled and city prices have plunged 18%

:02:17.:02:21.

Home-buyers and consumers are looking for confidence,

:02:22.:02:30.

but they are facing uncertainty and that is with

:02:31.:02:33.

We can put up with inflation, as long as we can expect

:02:34.:02:40.

to see incomes rising, but is it rising, will it rise

:02:41.:02:42.

We will find out more when we get wider figures about the labour

:02:43.:02:50.

Ukip's David Coburn says he's considering running to become the UK

:02:51.:02:55.

leader of his party - if he's asked by colleagues.

:02:56.:03:00.

There's a leadership vacuum in Ukip, which has had a torrid time

:03:01.:03:02.

But, the party's former Scottish chairman says he laughed

:03:03.:03:07.

when he heard David Coburn - Scotland's only elected

:03:08.:03:09.

Ukip politician - was considering the move.

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Our political correspondent, Andrew Kerr has more.

:03:13.:03:18.

David Coburn was elected two years ago to serve

:03:19.:03:20.

Now his sights could be set on the top Ukip job.

:03:21.:03:31.

Nigel Farage's departure has left a power vacuum in the party,

:03:32.:03:34.

his successor Diane James was in post for just 18 days,

:03:35.:03:39.

as the leadership contest opens David Coburn has said

:03:40.:03:40.

Many people have suggested it, but I will wait

:03:41.:03:46.

It is more important to get someone we can unite around,

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that is the most important thing, but if nothing else I've got some

:03:53.:03:55.

experience in running Scotland so hopefully that would be helpful,

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but we have a lot of people, very talented in Ukip and we need

:04:00.:04:04.

to settle on somebody who will do a good job that we can agree with.

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But the MEP was shunned by the Scottish political

:04:17.:04:18.

There are wider problems for Ukip with the leading leadership

:04:19.:04:23.

contender having dropped out after an alleged

:04:24.:04:24.

You have elected politicians fighting each other where there

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is this hatred in some cases towards Nigel or anyone who is seen

:04:33.:04:34.

Some people called me his puppet, things like that.

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Whilst that is happening, they are letting down the members

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I do think at this stage Ukip is ungovernable.

:04:45.:04:49.

David Coburn doesn't recognise that portrayal.

:04:50.:04:57.

We are not easy to govern, why should we be?

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We are ordinary people, it is not like the smooth

:05:06.:05:07.

politicians who want to head for the House of Lords.

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But here in Scotland, for some people the prospect

:05:11.:05:12.

of David Coburn becoming Ukip's UK leader is a step too far.

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Ukip's former Scottish chairman fell out with the party,

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I laughed when I heard it and I phoned a few friends,

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former Ukip, who also had the same reaction, it is not funny,

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The idea that the man has any leadership qualities to lead a party

:05:33.:05:39.

If David Coburn decides to run he could be against these Ukip

:05:40.:05:47.

figures, Paul Nuttall, Suzanne Evans and Raheem Kassam.

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These people and the party have achieved what they set out to do,

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David Coburn might wonder about the leadership,

:05:56.:05:58.

while others wonder about the future direction of the party.

:05:59.:06:06.

There were numerous failings in the treatment and assessment

:06:07.:06:08.

of a mentally ill man who attacked his parents in Troon.

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Four years ago, Graeme Morris, who was living in Brighton

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at the time, travelled to Ayrshire where he killed his mother

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A new report criticises mental health services

:06:17.:06:19.

Ten patients of the Sussex Partnership Trust have killed

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Aileen Clarke has been looking into this Scottish case.

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In October 2012 Graeme Morris, who was 30 at the time.

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to his parents' home in Troon and he

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slapped and pushed his mother and beat up his father,

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He was diagnosed as a schizophrenic and pleaded guilty to culpable

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homicide and is being detained indefinitely.

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He had attacked his parents, such was his paranoia

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he believed his father had abused him and along with his mother

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This lengthy independent report into Graeme Morris's care

:07:07.:07:13.

in Brighton where he was living has found a number of failings

:07:14.:07:17.

and weaknesses in his treatment and assessments and a failure

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to involve either his family or a former partner,

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when assessing the risk he might pose.

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To discover, that he was using drugs, for example, and legal highs.

:07:26.:07:35.

Despite that the report concludes that Graeme Morris's violent attack

:07:36.:07:40.

on his parents was neither predictable or preventable.

:07:41.:07:43.

However the report notes that his family do not agree.

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They believe it could have been predicted and prevented.

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Today the chief executive of the Trust responsible

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for his care, gave this apology to his father.

:07:58.:07:59.

I apologise entirely, this is not something we wanted

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to happen and I can understand how devastating it is for him.

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There is nothing I can say that can bring his wife back.

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I would want to assure him that we are serious

:08:14.:08:15.

Cafes, shops and restaurants in Aberdeen have signed up

:08:16.:08:25.

to welcome women who want to breast-feed on their premises.

:08:26.:08:27.

Figures show almost half of new mums feel uncomfortable

:08:28.:08:29.

nursing their babies in front of others.

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It is still a fairly uncommon sight in public,

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but here in Aberdeen that could be about to change.

:08:36.:08:40.

Businesses are being recruited to display their breast-feeding

:08:41.:08:52.

I have gone to a few places myself where I've been desperate

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to breast-feed and to have a sign on the door to say that

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you are welcome is good and I will feel less uncomfortable.

:09:00.:09:01.

Still in this country compared to Sweden where I'm from,

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you rarely see people breast-feeding in public, and it is important that

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women who have just given birth have got

:09:08.:09:08.

the opportunity to go out and do

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what needs to be done and also have safe places to breast-feed,

:09:11.:09:13.

where we have facilities to change our babies

:09:14.:09:15.

This is one of more than 60 cafes, shops and restaurants

:09:16.:09:26.

in Aberdeen which have already signed up to the scheme,

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they will display a logo saying that breast-feeding is OK here,

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women can see it as a safe and secure environment for them

:09:34.:09:36.

The aim of the scheme is to reduce the stigma and to make it more

:09:37.:09:44.

It is a woman's right to be able to breast-feed in public

:09:45.:09:48.

but it is helping them to feel more comfortable to do that.

:09:49.:09:52.

This cafe is already a haven for breast-feeding mothers,

:09:53.:09:56.

We have had a great response, we have done this now for four years

:09:57.:10:03.

and there has been no negativity from any guests and we have

:10:04.:10:06.

been bold enough to say, use our units to breast-feed.

:10:07.:10:09.

Is this it scheme something older mothers approve of?

:10:10.:10:13.

Someone of my age, we didn't do it, but it is all changed

:10:14.:10:16.

When you were breast-feeding you would not have gone

:10:17.:10:21.

If it had been happening at the time, I would have done,

:10:22.:10:27.

but everything was hidden in those days.

:10:28.:10:33.

This is the logo to look out for, it is dotted around businesses

:10:34.:10:37.

in Aberdeen city centre but the scheme is already expanding

:10:38.:10:39.

into rural areas, another important step to a breast-feeding

:10:40.:10:41.

The number of people killed in fires in Scotland has gone up slightly.

:10:42.:10:50.

45 people died - that's up four on the previous

:10:51.:10:55.

12 months, according to the Scottish Fire

:10:56.:10:56.

More than half the number of call-outs were false

:10:57.:11:01.

Here is the weather. There is a lot of dry and settled

:11:02.:11:17.

weather in the forecast over the next few days and we need to look to

:11:18.:11:23.

the jet stream to understand. This steers weather systems across the

:11:24.:11:29.

Atlantic. Its shape is important. Developing into a horseshoe shape

:11:30.:11:32.

keeping the rain at bay and within the apex of that high-pressure sets.

:11:33.:11:36.

That will edge and sweet and over the next few days keeping as largely

:11:37.:11:42.

dry and settled. Some crisp autumnal sunshine. Tonight mostly dry. One or

:11:43.:11:47.

two showers. Still quite breezy. Nothing to call. Tomorrow morning a

:11:48.:11:54.

number of showers to start on the West Coast, through the Hebrides,

:11:55.:11:56.

but most of the mainland starting dry and bright. Temperatures there

:11:57.:12:03.

at eight in the morning. Showers in the Inverness area, far north-east,

:12:04.:12:06.

north-west and Northern Isles. I please from the north-west. Through

:12:07.:12:15.

their course of Wednesday showers in the West tend to fizzle and feed

:12:16.:12:19.

away. There will be some on the East coast. Elsewhere plenty of sunshine.

:12:20.:12:30.

Down the East coast from the Borders towards his anger and cant quite

:12:31.:12:34.

breezy with a number of showers elsewhere. Dry and bright. Light

:12:35.:12:41.

winds and sunshine, it should feel fairly decent. Into the evening

:12:42.:12:46.

showers across Eastern part of a country but more cloud and a call

:12:47.:12:51.

that night. Into Thursday, high-pressure still with us. Keeping

:12:52.:12:55.

that low pressure at bay and keeping their weather front in the Atlantic

:12:56.:12:59.

there. We start to see thickening cloud for the Western Isles but for

:13:00.:13:03.

most it is dry and bright and sunny. Temperatures similar. And to

:13:04.:13:05.

most it is dry and bright and sunny. little in the way of change. Might

:13:06.:13:06.

it not sunny spells. One or Our next update is during Breakfast

:13:07.:13:11.

at 6.25 tomorrow morning. But from everyone on the late team

:13:12.:13:19.

here in Glasgow and around the country, enjoy what's left

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of your Tuesday evening. It was the most beautiful view

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I've ever been through.

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