08/05/2017 Reporting Scotland


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Here on BBC One, it's time for the news where you are.


On Election Reporting Scotland tonight...


What do the council results tell us about what will


And I'll be calling the parties to account out


And we'll reveal who really is Holyrood's top dog.


Between now and the general election, we'll bring you up


to speed with daily events from the campaign trail with


If you watch nothing else each day, we will be here with your essential


So, with the local elections now out of the way, today the general


But who got the biggest bounce from Thursday's results?


Here's our political correspondent Glenn Campbell.


Nb That the SNP won is not in doubt. They are the biggest. Their win is


reflected in new data confirming the share of first preference votes each


reflected in new data confirming the party received. The SNP were first


with 32%. Seven points ahead of the Conservatives on 25. Labour are on


20%, pushed into third place ahead of independence and others with shop


smaller shares. Now look at how that compares with what happened five


years ago. The SNP vote share has not changed. The Tories are up 12


percentage points, mainly at the expense of labour, down 11 on the


last local Government elections. What might be going on? It looks as


though what has happened have the Conservatives' concentration on the


question of the strong, robust opposition has meant that Labour


voters have gone straight over to the Conservatives because the Labour


Party's message has been more muted, Let's the polarisation of Scottish


politics between all the parties. The Tories will place the future of


the union at the centre of their campaign for next month's general


election. At Westminster, the SNP is defending 56 of the 59 available


seats in Scotland. It won them with a 50% share of the vote across the


country in the general election two years ago. That is more than the 47%


share they got of the constituency vote at last year's Holyrood


election for up and much more than the 32% of first preference is the


party got in this year's locals. The truth is the figures for the SNP are


low as compared with 2015 and 2016. But of course back in 2012, they


also did relatively poorly in the local elections, so what we are now


wondering is whether or not this simply reflects the fact that voters


are less willing to vote for the SNP in local elections are if this is a


sign of what is to come. Having won all but three of the Scottish seats


in the last general election, the SNP has the most to lose in next


month's vote. Opinion polls suggest there are still on course to finish


with the largest group of MPs. We've got a trio of top commentators


to talk about the campaigns so far and the challenges ahead


for the politicians. Stephen Paton is the online content


editor for The National, Marianne Taylor writes


for the Herald, and in our Edinburgh studio, we're joined


by Andy Maciver, a former director of communications for


the Scottish Conservatives and currently director of the PR


agency Message Matters. Thank you to you all for joining us


this evening. Marianne, who gets the biggest bounce from Thursday's


results? I think it is clear the Conservatives had a fantastic day,


and it was not as we imagined it would would be. It has left some


very interesting propositions, situations. I think it would be


naive to think that all the voters vote on things like wheelie bins on


the roads. Obviously the are influenced, knowing this year that


there is a general election just around the corner, but I also think


that it reflects, as John Curtis said earlier, the changing


landscape, the new landscape we are in. Nobody quite knows how this will


hit Julie Yates and how it will go. I think the SMB will be nervous


about what has happened, but on the other hand, they are believed it


quite strongly to you. Will they be nervous or does it suit the SNP, do


you think, for the soon Conservatives, the old bogeyman


against the opposition. I definitely think it helped them. Not just in


terms of the general election but looking at a referendum in the


future between the SNP and the Conservative Party. I do not think


the local elections were a massive resurgence in Tory support as much


the support for the union, collecting around the Conservative


Party, when you are looking at the breakdowns figures with only 25% of


the country voting for the Conservatives, it is not so much


resurgence. That is a problem for them, because that is not a buy into


their policies, it is to them to the opposition to independence at this


time. If you look back to the local elections in 2012,


time. If you look back to the local second had a higher percentage of


the boat than the Conservatives. As they frame it as their win, I do not


think the numbers back that up. And in Akiva, Glasgow lost. What now for


Scottish Labour? Not much, but I think the reality of last week is


Scottish Labour was a stock market company. It would have been priced


into the stock last week, so I do not think it has a huge impact on


labour. I think the interesting thing in last week's results and


what it tells is the most about Juno the eighth added particular areas


the opposition parties did well. You look in East Lothian, probably their


top target see, they did well. The Lib Dems did it well in Edinburgh


West. The Tories did well right across the South in Perth, Moray, in


Aberdeenshire, all places they are hoping to take on June the 8th. That


is something that will worry the SNP the most. But the thing that will


really concerned the SNP is in those particular seats, maybe eight or ten


target seats for other parties, the SNP did poorly and their main


opposition in those seats did really well. Hang on, we saw the SNP do


well in Edinburgh, at area they well. Hang on, we saw the SNP do


not polls so well in the independence referendum. They did


perfectly well in Edinburgh, but I think the biggest seats that is in


jeopardy is Edinburgh West. They did not do particular well in some of


the keyboards in Edinburgh West, I think that remains in jeopardy along


with a number of others. What about the Liberal Democrats? They lost


seats on Thursday. Tim Farron here today seemed to be very confident of


a researchers for them in Scotland. I think that is hard to see. It is


not impossible, but in the new landscape, I do not think there is


room there for them at all. I do not see how they would be able to appeal


to union voters who wanted a stronger voice, the whole Brexit


thing is not playing strongly here in Scotland as it is elsewhere in


England. I do not think there is room for them. It is not playing


here at all. Brexit is the elections south of the body. It is all about


independence year, no? Soul now framed through the constitutional


lens of who is going to stand up for or against a referendum. Possibly


one of the reasons why supporter has gone away from the Labour Party in


the local elections, given that both the Labour Party and the


Conservatives ran on the same message, vote for us to say no to


another referendum. It is no surprise that the support... Andy


Maciver, was we look forward to the surprise that the support... Andy


next four weeks, not the big policy areas in Scotland? I think it it is


going to be a policy election. They're going to trying keep this on


policy, you will see what they have been doing with the well fine cap


and they will try their best they possibly can to keep on two issues


like that. This general election is almost like two referendums wrapped


into one. As you look to England, is very much a referendum on Brexit and


that is what the Tory party once it framed us. We saw them say that they


need a bigger mandate to negotiate Europe. To me, the Tories are trying


to make it into an independence referendum. It is a bit of an


answering between the Tories on the SNP to see who can be the central


theme of the campaign. Internally, the SNP have been under a little


pressure to turn it back onto independence because there was a


period where they were trying not to talk about that about this time last


week, Nicola Sturgeon said it was a key issue in the campaign as well,


so I do not think we will see much policy at all from south of the


border, there is not much time for it, there is not a lot of space in


the media for it, and there is not much appetite among the parties to


talk about it. We will see personalities. Theresa May has been


on the The capital Mac one Show. I believe we will seek Brexit, which


is not soft cuddly. I think people deserve the... I would ask them why


they have taken the biggest risk of the campaign by going on the show in


the first place. We will find out tomorrow at seven. Thank you for


your time. More from the campaign trail coming


up, but first Anne Lundon has Two men from Larkhall whose bodies


were recovered from the Irish Sea after going out on a speedboat


at the weekend have Our reporter


Willie Johnston has the details. The victims have been named as Sandy


Hamilton, who was 35, and 47 old Kevin McKinlay, both from Larkhall


in Lanarkshire. The friends had set out on Saturday morning from Port


Logan just along the coast here, foray powerboats drive up the coast


when something went badly wrong. Their bodies were discovered last


night after a major air and sea search which had gone on for nearly


24 hours. They were found about two and a half miles of straw. The


tragedy happened in apparently benign conditions. Over the weekend


we have had fantastic weekend weather. The water is very


attractive, the sun is out, and it is good to go out and enjoy the


water at that point. I think this highlights the danger the water can


entail, how quick a very fun, enjoyable day can become a


catastrophe and a disaster. The warning has been echoed by police


Scotland, who say their investigation into the tragedy is


continuing. Willie Johnston, Reporting Scotland, Portpatrick.


A plea's been issued for more families to get


The Fostering Network says over 600 new foster families


are needed in Scotland, with homes particularly sought


The charity says unless people come forward, children face being placed


It's getting increasingly difficult to find somewhere to live


in the centre of Edinburgh, and that's partly down


to the capital's success as a draw for tourists.


According to research by the Scottish Green Party,


by 2050, almost half of the homes in the EH1 postcode


Margo Mason lives in Edinburgh's New Town,


and is one of the growing number of people who rent out their homes


The extra income enables her to stay living in the city centre.


I didn't have enough money coming in to live on.


The alternative would be I would have to sell my house,


Homeowners like Margot still live in the places


they rent out at peak times, but there is an ever growing trend


for people to buy up properties in Edinburgh that they will use


Critics say this is causing problems.


Ross Cowan lives on the historic Grassmarket,


and there are now three holiday flats in his stair alone.


You've got noise disruption, littering within the stair.


For somebody coming into the holiday let,


it is like a hotel without any staff.


They can do what they like, because there is no-one there.


Estate agents are concerned about losing rents from


If you cannot find somewhere to live,


The Scottish Green Party reckons that if the trend continues,


around half the homes in EH1 will be holiday homes by 2050.


Michael Allan's business manages short-term lets,


which he says are good for the local economy, but he agrees


All of the negatives can be solved by simple regulation,


by the council taking insight from local neighbourhood areas,


taking advice from agencies, to create good policy.


Other cities like London and Paris have introduced regulations


The challenge is to find a solution that suits the capital.


Thanks, Anne, back to Election 2017 in Scotland.


This was the day Labour and the Conservatives


Nicola Sturgeon pulled a pint in Perthshire


and Lib Dem Leader Tim Farron brought his battle bus to Scotland.


Here some of the key moments with 32 days to go.


Theresa May says the Conservatives will not abandon their promise to


reduce annual net migration to the tens of thousands. Even though they


have never met the target. Of course once we leave the European Union, we


will have the opportunity to ensure that we have control of our borders


here in the UK. Labour have been talking tax. Kezia


Dugdale does not seem keen on the Shadow Chancellor's promise not to


increase tax for low and middle earners. That is a policy he has


produced because that is where the power lies, England. I have


consistently argued for using our powers to raise the money we need to


stop the cuts. The S hinted that a 50p rate for


higher errors could be back on the table. We should not be increasing


the burden of income tax for low and middle-income earners. The cost of


living is going up. We set in the past that UK wide, going back to the


50p top rate is something that should be considered.


While the UK Lib Dems leader was in Scotland. He is not interested in


deals or coalitions. Individuals will make their own choices and we


are not in a case of being able to delegate. But the one party standing


for Scotland in the UK and Scotland in the EU, that is a powerful


message. With me to talk through today's


events, Ivan McKee from the SNP, Annie Wells from


the Scottish Conservatives and Jackie Baillie from


Scottish Labour. And in Edinburgh is


Alex Cole-Hamilton from Thank you all for joining us this


evening. Jackie Baillie, John McDonnell announced yesterday a


commitment to a tax rise for anyone over ?80,000 a year, will that be in


commitment to a tax rise for anyone the Scottish party manifesto? We


already control income tax in Scotland and we set out our


proposals quite clearly at the last budget because we thought that the


Scottish Parliament should use the new powers they have in a bid to end


austerity. So we proposed a top rate of income tax for those lucky enough


to earn over ?150,000 because we thought that was the right thing to


do. Now we see the ridiculous spectacle of Nicola Sturgeon having


initially proposed a 50p top rate of tax, then denying it in the


Parliament where she had the power to do something about it. What about


your policy, will you back what John McDonnell has been saying? Those


people owning over 80,000 fans a year. We think those with the


broadest shoulders should be a little bit more. -- over ?80,000 a


year. In Scotland we have responsibility over our own taxation


so we would come forward with proposals as we have done that suit


what is going on at the time. And I will not include people who earn


?80,000 a year? We think people should be paying a little and more,


those who are fortunate enough to earn more, because we want to end


austerity in Scotland, whereas the SNP and the Tories simply want to


pass it on to the very poorest in our country. Ivan McKee, does the


50p rate for higher earners remain on the table for you? Yes, it has


always been on the table. The issue of the 50p rate is, you have to do


the calculations to understand how much it will raise. If you don't do


that property, it can actually cost you money. It would be insane to put


a tax rise in that it is going to cost you money and you get less


money for public services. But we are clear that we will not increase


taxes for low and average earners, as you have seen in the Labour Party


policy, to increase taxes for the lowest earners and societies, so


they would pay for posterity twice. We do not think that is the right


thing to do. So where should the line be? ?80,000 by the Labour


Party, or is it for you? I am not go to make a manifesto commitment on


this show. We will see what happens when the party manifesto comes out


but the 50% rate is never off the table, and the details of what we


will propose will be clear in our manifesto. Annie Wells, the other


big story today was migration. You never actually managed to reach it


appointments minister said -- Bardia Prime Minister say that the promise


to cut net migration will be in it again. Do we have a problem with


migration in Scotland? I don't think we do. The only issue here is that


we only have 4% of people that come to the UK actually coming to


Scotland. So we need more people coming? The Scottish Government have


the leverage to control it, to make this the place to come. But who is


good working with the highest taxes in the UK and a education system?


But if the national Government, if the Tory Government nationally is


setting these limits, but is inevitably going to impact on the


number of people coming to Scotland. Of course, but you also have the


operations that people are coming here for. At the end of the day,


what we are saying is, if the SNP believe that we should get more


migration here... Do you have an issue with migration here? We need


to encourage people to live and work in our country but we need to make


it a fair place for them to come and work. But on the 8th of June the


people of the UK will have the vote there. We control our borders, or


Jeremy Corbyn just as free movement of people. You have got Theresa May


fighting an election campaign at a UK level on the basis that they want


to reduce immigration despite the fact that when she was Home


Secretary she completely failed to do so. 160,000 people a year from


outside the EU. You have the Scottish Conservatives somehow


trying to blame the SNP... No, because the SNP have been in


Parliament saying we should have more migration in Scotland. We are


saying that if people do not just come to Scotland or to any place


because of cultural values, they come to Scotland or to any place


come because there are jobs, job growth, things for them... That is


not how it works. Immigration is there to encourage growth. If you


ask economic experts, all the UK growth forecasts assume that


immigration will be in the hundreds of thousands going forward, not the


tens of thousands. If it was reduced to tens of thousand, the UK' numbers


would take a tumble. That is going to hurt Scotland. Tim Farron's


visit, Alex Cole-Hamilton is in Edinburgh. He lost to seize


nationally and in Scotland only 7% of the vote last week. Your party


leader says no deals or no pacts. Given how badly you did with that


the last time, it is easy to see why he's doing it. But how will you get


anywhere if you're not prepared to deal other parties? Firstly, the


results of the local election showed our best results were in those seats


where we are in contention against the SNP, Eastern Bodiger, North East


Fife and in the West, and in the Highlands we saw us overtaking the


SNP. Glenn Campbell should a photograph relic, it puts liberal


Democrat in contention and shows that the SNP are unassailable, and


we are absolutely bringing the fight that the SNP are unassailable, and


to them. The seats we took from them last year, against the odds, and in


North East Fife, so Tim Farron did a tour of some of those seats today to


bring a message of enthusiasm to the activist base... But you will have


to deal with other parties to ever get your hands on the levers. I do


not think that is in question. If every party has ruled out a


coalition. The SNP have ruled out ever forming a coalition with the


Conservatives. We cannot ever see as aligning ourselves in this election,


which everybody is for telling as being a Conservative landslide, what


we have a race for here is the effective opposition to take the


fight to Theresa May. Jeremy Corbyn has been shown to be woeful in


delivering that. Complete capitulation over Brexit. The SNP


are driving the SNP -- the independence agenda solely the only


party standing up Scotland's place in the UK and the UK's place in


Europe is the Lib Dems that is a message and you can see the results


of both referendums, that is compelling and is winning over


voters across those areas... Jackie Baillie, when his Jeremy Corbyn


coming to Scotland? I believe he has already been and I think he will be


back several times into the course of the campaign. But at the end of


the day, what this is about is a bold for Labour is a boat very much


against a second independence referendum and it is a vote to end


austerity. We are very clear and Jeremy Corbyn is equally clear. What


we want to do is we want to return to introducing the kind of values


and policies that have been traditional to Labour. We are a


tough time, thank you very much indeed. -- out of time.


And finally, forget the local elections -


anyone looking for clues as to the general election result


today turned their attention to the first Holyrood


14 contenders battled it out to be named Scotland's


with the prize eventually going to SNP MSP Emma Harper


The winner decided, apparently, on a first PAWS the post system.


And that's Election Reporting Scotland.


Tomorrow on the campaign trail, there's oil and gas, Europe,


Join me again after the Ten O'Clock News,


Cloud across the far north was patchy rain drifting into the


Northern Isles by tomorrow morning. But not too cold. We could see a


touch of frost towards the Great Glen area. So if I'm stuck to the


day, any cloud breaking up as we head through the course of the


morning. Seven or six Celsius across the South and the central lowlands.


We could see a touch of frost towards the Great Glen Lyon. Across


the North Coast and the Northern Isles, cloudy with patchy rain, a


bit of a breeze coming from the West. For the rest of the morning,


nothing changing across the far North. Cloud sinking further South


into Aberdeenshire, Friday with bright and sunny spells. As far of


the rest of the UK goes, some lovely sunshine for Northern Ireland, the


Western side of the UK will have more in the way of cloud. Quite cool


and eastern coastal areas, Newcastle right down to the South East.


Temperatures not looking too bad at all, 18 Celsius for Northern


Ireland. You will notice the East of Scotland feeling much better in the


temperature stakes. We could see 17 Celsius by the likes of Perthshire


and inland parts of the Borders as well. But very little in the way of


rain. It will feel pleasant in the sunshine. Always a bit cooler under


the cloud across the former. Holding onto cloudy conditions across the


foreign or with patchy rain and drizzle. Elsewhere, dry as we head


through tomorrow evening. Here is the pressure drop, high pressure


driving our weather. -- the pressure chart. Brightening up on Wednesday,


that rain clears from the Northern


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