The Dimbleby Interviews Scotland Decides


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36 hours from now, the future of the United Kingdom will be decided as

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Scotland votes on whether to become an independent country. For months,

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the argument over this issue has been raging here in Scotland. But

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it's only now as the polls show the vote narrowing that the significance

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for the whole United Kingdom has become apparent for our economic

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future, our position in the world. I've been talking to two of the

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protagonists in this issue. Alex Salmond, First Minister of Scotland,

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leader of the "yes" campaign and former Prime Minister, Gordon Brown,

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who wants Scotland to vote no and is offering instead home rule.

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I'm joined in Edinburgh by the former Prime Minister, Gordon Brown.

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Mr Brown, many people on the "no" side acknowledge that an independent

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Scotland can survive and even prosper in the long run. Do you

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subscribe to that view? I would hope that under any circumstances my

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country, Scotland, could do well, but it will not do as well under an

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independent Scotland. It's absolutely clear. We have seen all

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the evidence now. The uncertainty over the currency. We have seen the

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problem over the debt default. We have seen the problem over higher

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prices in the shops. We have seen the problem now over higher interest

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rates. We know that there's... Do you believe all of that? I believe

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all of it. You cannot ignore all of the experts all of the time. Let's

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take one issue, debt default. Alex Salmond said that because England

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would not deal with it, he would default on his debts. What message

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does that send out? Everybody watching this programme in any part

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of the United Kingdom, if you say you're not going to pay your debts,

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nobody lends to you. The debts belong to England. The Bank of

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England has said it will back the debts? The Bank of England will pay

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out. Scotland has no obligation to the debt. He is then known as a

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defaulter, someone who goes back on debts and refuses to pay. People

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don't lend and interest rates go up and sometimes you are charged more

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if you refuse. I think that's the most irresponsible statement of the

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campaign, because he's sending a message to the whole of the

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international community, Scotland is volunteering it might default. Look

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around at everything else, uncertainty over the currency. Look

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at interest rates, they're bound to go up. Food prices. Tesco, trex,

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charges -- for example, charges 12% more in southern Ireland and

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inevitably if you are a smaller economy and you have to have the

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loss of the cross-subsidy of prices the prices will go up. Now you are

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all doom and gloom. You began by saying you would agree with people

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who said an independent Scotland would triumph. Hold on, I'm a proud

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Scot. When I left Downing Street I came home to Scotland. My children

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are brought up here. My children are at school here. I want to see a pat

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oTic -- patriotic vision of Scotland, proud of identity and

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history and institutions, the churches and education. Proud also

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of our Scottish Parliament that we created, the Labour Party actually

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created. Proud we have agreed there are to be more powers for that

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Parliament, but proud also that we found a way, we led the way as

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Scots, in sharing and pooling resources across the whole of the

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United Kingdom so we have UK pensions, a UK welfare state and

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currency and UK defence. I'm proud that as a nation we have our own

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Parliament, but at the same time, we get the benefit from something I

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don't think people in Scotland want to lose. They don't want to lose UK

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pensions, but that's independence. They don't want to lose the pound,

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but that's the effect of independence. I have to say to

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people, I want Scotland to be successful at all times. To be

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honest, I'm addressing Scottish voters here, my fellow Scots and I

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could talk at any time to talk about the English and Welsh rple

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indications, but -- ramifications, but I want to say I've looked at

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this very carefully and I know the risks that are associated with this

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proposition. I know also that Alex Salmond has not thought this through

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and if you have any doubts you've got no alternative, if you are

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thinking of your children and your children's children, because this is

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a vote for future generations. You have no alternative. This is not a

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party political broadcast for the "no" campaign. This is being seen

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throughout the United Kingdom and the question I want to ask you, on

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behalf... But David. On behalf of the whole of the United Kingdom,

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what is the value of a union when you appear to be at this stage,

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having to cajole even bribe Scottish voters to stay part of it? Because

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sometimes people have to be reminded, when change is in the air,

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everywhere I go, people want change in Scotland. You can have the right

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or wrong kind of change and in your desire to can make the wrong

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decision. I've got to people reminding people that the sharing

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that takes place, the co-operation across the United Kingdom, has

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brought immense benefits not just in war time when we fought fascism, but

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in building the Health Service and welfare state and pensions. Scotland

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gets huge benefits, so too does the rest of the country. Now you are in

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the bribery business. You have come up with proposals for what you call

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home rule. This very day, the three party leaders have said they back

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what you have said apparently now the leader of this campaign, not

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Alistair Darling. Not at all. You are the person who has been leading

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for the last two weeks and it looks like a last-minute panic to bribe

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Scotland to stick with it. I've been saying this for some time now. I

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wrote a book months ago and I have been giving speeches. This is a new

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world. We are in the 21st century and we have to reshape the union, so

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we have patriotic Scots proud of their institutions, wanting to make

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decisions closer to home, but also wanting to know that they can

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continue to be part of a sharing process within the United Kingdom.

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And I think that's the way forward. The alternative is this - you break

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every single political link with the United Kingdom. You break it on

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pensions, passports, the pound, on everything and I don't think that's

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where people want to be. They want change and I can see why people want

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change, but they want the right kind of change and I've had a duty to

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point out and to ask the party leaders to make it clear, three

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things, the Parliament will have the powers promised and that will be

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legislated soon. That's at no cost to the rest of the United Kingdom.

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Fairness is the principle that governs the United Kingdom, equity

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between the regions and nations and anybody watching this would agree

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that the United Kingdom must be based on fairness and equity. Then

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I've had to say, because of the charges that have been made by the

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SNP that the NHS is in danger if you don't have separation, I've got to

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point out and ask the leaders to point out, the Barnet formula that

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allocates resources will continue and also the Scottish Parliament has

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powers if it wishes to do, so ask the Scottish people to raise revenue

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so that you can have a final say in Scotland over how much to spend. We

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have had to nail that lie and that's what he's done today. I'll come to

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the practical politics of that in a moment, but sticking with the idea

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of the union, because when you became Prime Minister,

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interestingly, you seemed to spot a problem here. And you had a period

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when you were talking about increasing a sense of Britishness in

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the United Kingdom. You wanted to have a British national day, people

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laughed at the proposal and people should hoist the Union flag. This is

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a long-standing problem about separation from the United Kingdom?

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It's to the just -- it's not just, it's worse and worse and worse? No,

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in every generation you have to rethink your relationships. We have

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four nations. We have got this unique multi-national partnership.

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Go any place in the world, whether you go to Europe and look at France

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and Germany or Australia and New Zealand or whether you go even to

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the States within America, there are no four nations on Earth that have

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managed to combine and share resources and to have the same

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economic and social lives for each citizen, irrespective of your

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nationality that Britain has. We should be proud that we persuaded

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people to create a welfare state and persuaded of the benefits of UK

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pensions and this is something I don't think we should want to lose.

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That's what uphold the strong sense that Britain a huge contribution to

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make, but I also understand that in England and Wales and Northern

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Ireland as well as in Scotland, there is strong a sense sense of

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patriotic pride in the culture and traditions and institutions, so

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every generation we have got to find a way of combining the strong sense

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of identity that exists in each nation, with the desire, I believe,

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the willingness, to share as part of the United Kingdom and no set of

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countries in the world has managed to do what we have done. It is the

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most successful multi-national partnership in history and that's

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why I want to keep it, but keep it because I know also it's got

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benefits for each of the nations. Why have the people who have said in

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your own party and in the Conservative, that devolution of any

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kind would be a slippery slope towards independence? Why are they

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apparently being proved right in this sense, that the move towards

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independence has grown in Scotland over the years until you now reach a

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kind of 50/50, we don't know until Friday morning how Scotland has

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voted, but why has that happened? The idea was that devolution would

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solve this problem. They are not right, because if you held a poll

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throughout the whole of the United Kingdom, but particularly in

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Scotland, because I'm addressing directly my fellow Scots this

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evening, the vast majority would want to keep the UK pension. The

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vast majority want to keep the pound. The vast majority want to

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keep the UK funding. They want -- Why not vote no? They are going to

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vote no. The vast majority will vote no? I believe the vast majority will

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vote no. The vast majority want to keep the welfare state and pensions

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and pound and as a result I believe I can persuade these people to vote

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no. They want change. They want a strong Scottish Parliament. You and

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anybody in the English regions would not wish to deny the Scots or the

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Welsh or the Northern Ireland people the power to make their own

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decisions on transport, environment, health, housing and education and

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universities. These are big decisions. Perhaps in 1997 we could

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have given more powers to the Scottish Parliament. Now more powers

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are coming. But remember, that is as part of the United Kingdom. Keeping

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the principles that underlie the United Kingdom, which is said today

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equity between the regions, so we can maximise security and

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opportunity for all. It's curious. I notice the Labour Daily Record here

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today gives all the details and then says, the three leaders saying, "We

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will honour the principles and values, not only before the

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referendum, but after." That is a bit of a weird thing to say? Not

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only until Thursday, but on Friday morning too? I think they want to

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make it clear that even if there is a distrust in the political system,

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even if people think that Westminster is not a great place for

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them to look to, that people have had to think long and hard about

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this. And these are vows that are set in stone now, that are important

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for the future not just of Scotland, but the United Kingdom. I could

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illustrate that by talking about the Health Service if you wish me to do

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so. I'm interesting though just in sticking to the idea for one moment

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of whether in your view, as a Scott -- Scot, over your lifetime as a

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politician, you have seen England, Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland

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drifting apart, that the tendency has been that, that's why you have

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to do Britishness and there is a tendency to pull apart? You see,

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since the union of 1707 and I have had time for reflection, as you

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might understand, since I lost power, there is always a strong

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sense of Scottish identity. It's never gone. It's the myth that

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somehow it would be destroyed by the union. In fact, it's strong in our

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institutions and sporting institutions and culture and

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history. In the 20th century and 21st, people are looking for a

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balance, the recognition of the identity and also preparing to

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co-operate for common and mutual services and mutual needs. I think

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you misunderstand. You are majjing either or. I'm saying that the

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fallacy is to put Scotland against Britain. These are two visions, one

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a strong Scottish Parliament within Britain and that's what I support

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and that's why I'm calling for a "no" vote and the other vision is of

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Scotland apart from Britain, where we break every single link and I

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went through all the risks that that could accompany and that's not what

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people who are desperate for change in Scotland. I don't think they want

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to break all the links. You made a speech a couple of years back in

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memory of Donald Dewar, the distinguished Scot and you

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distinguished there between Scotland having community values and England

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having individualism as a value. Those are two conflicting ideas. I

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actually said, if you look at the final points I made, I said it's the

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come bip nation of -- combination of the Scotland and English support for

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liberty that has made the union of Britain what it is. You have this

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great coming together of two great ideas in history, but when it comes

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down in practice to what that means, if you take support for the Health

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Service in the public sector, free at the point of need, 90% of English

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people, 90% of Scottish people believe exactly the same. When you

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go through the actual detail of individual policies about taxation,

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or about the public services, I find that most people in England and

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Scotland believe the same. Yes, we come from different traditions, but

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yes also we have absorbed them, so Scotland came to recognise the value

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of liberty. At some points in history we were quite an

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authoritarian country. Also, England, Churchill talked about the

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English sense of fair play and I think that was in part the merging

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of the tradition of fairness and egalitarianism and liberty that came

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from the English debate at the time of the civil war. We have come

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together. There is a cross-fertilisation and I think

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people in England and Wales and Northern Ireland and also in many

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cases, share the same approach to most of the issues that I'm talking

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about. Why did everyone assume the vote was

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going to be no thanks in the first place? Why has it narrowed so much?

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What have people seem in Salmond 's argument that has appealed? People

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want change. Item they want the change he is offering. They want

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change. They are unhappy with the position of the global economy,

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status and prospects for children. They share that with people in

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England and Wales as well. Until a few weeks ago, perhaps they thought

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the only way they could achieve change was going for independence.

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Now they know it is crucial you have a stronger Scottish Parliament, part

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of the United Kingdom. That was always my view. Why did you leave it

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so late to announce? With respect, it was two weeks ago that you

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entered centre stage and have been centrestage ever since, explaining

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these things you may have been talking about in meetings over

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Scotland but nobody had heard it. You have come up from London for a

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day trip. All right comic you have come up for two days. I have been

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speaking in Scotland over these last few years. It may not have been

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reported in London newspapers but it is in Scotland. Today it has been

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done with a clear resolution of the individual parties, I have said we

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put in print what we have said to each other. We set up a commission

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of the Labour Party to review devolution. I believe that people

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understand now, and take some people to get the message, that there is

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change coming. Change is definitely coming and it is a stronger Scottish

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parliament, part of the United Kingdom. We do not lose what we have

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got. The pensions are UK, defence we have not talked about. Military, air

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force, army, navy. That is still part of the UK. People do not want

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that change. When people say they have that change as part of the

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United Kingdom they will reject the risks that a company with breaking

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links. You are an old Labour man. What about the risks of having

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another Conservative government dominating Scotland? There are many

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people in Scotland, there is one Tory MP in Scotland, who want to see

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the back of the Tory Party. They remember the poll tax, the bedroom

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tax. At is what they want in Scotland. We will never have Tories

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in Westminster deciding our fate. The Conservatives are in power

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because of a deal with the Liberal Democrats. Three quarters of their

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life has been under a Labour government. The idea that Labour

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cannot win an election and we are permanently having Conservative

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governments, it was exploded when we won the biggest majority of any

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government at any time. That can easily happen again. Why struggle we

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are not saying there will -- you are not saying there will never be a

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Conservative majority... That is what Mister Better Together seems to

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be saying. If people are looking to the Scottish National Party, they

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need to look no further than the manifesto. -- that is what Mister

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Salmond seems to be saying. There is no proposal for a bankers bonus tax.

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The only tax proposal is to give a cut in tax to the richest companies.

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It is the directors of the richest utilities that get a better fit. The

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Scottish National party are not offering a route to social justice,

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only the Labour Party under a Labour government is offering maps. An

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independent Scotland would have a permanent Labour government? I did

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not say that. Those people who take Scotland to independence,

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nationalist parties remain in being. That is what has happened in

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Ireland. Do not believe that the Scottish National party can offer

:20:34.:20:37.

you social justice. Do not believe it is impossible to have a Labour

:20:38.:20:40.

government in the rest of the country because the evidence is

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pointing towards that. The biggest argument is not these things. You

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cannot give up because you do not like 1 Conservative politician or a

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1 conservative policies on the system of sharing resources. It is

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of huge benefit to Scotland. I defend it in principle because it is

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based on allocating resources dependent on me. Scotland gets ?200

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per pension or because we have got more pensioners with greater needs

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and more disabilities. 900 million to 1000 million more comes from the

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Barnett formula. We have historically had more pensioners and

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greater needs. I justifies these -- justify these additional

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expenditures. What is being committed to by the leaders today in

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this bout that they support these principles of equity and Scotland

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has benefited from it. In my view, we would be throwing away something

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that is, in principle, the right basis for forming alliances and

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cooperating. If Scotland were independent, 40% of Scotland voted

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Labour in the last election. If Scotland were independent, the

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chance to have socialism and labour is infinitely greater than if they

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remain run by the Parliament at Westminster. If you vote independent

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comic you throw away something that is irreplaceable. You cannot bring

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it back. We share across the whole of the regions and nations. 5

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million people can pool resources. You cannot achieve what can be

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achieved like that. There will be no Conservative government investment

:22:52.:22:53.

if the people of England and Scotland combined disabling really

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say about some of their policies. Waitangi cannot say that. There will

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be no Conservative government at the next election. -- you cannot say

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that. You are thinking 50 years, 100 years ahead. The principle I am

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talking about will survive one or 2 Conservative governments. The

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principle will survive a few Conservative politicians who annoy

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people. The principle is bigger than me as an individual or one

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particular period in time. I do not think there will be another

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Conservative government. I believe the Scottish National party cannot

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produce the progressive policies we are talking about. Underlying my

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argument is a big principle, what is the point of giving up a system of

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sharing and cooperating which has been of great use to the United

:23:48.:23:53.

Kingdom not only in defence and security but in welfare. You cannot

:23:54.:23:59.

replicate that system of fairness in a smaller nation when you have got

:24:00.:24:03.

it across 63,000,000 people who are prepared to share and cooperate for

:24:04.:24:07.

the common good. That is the principle that underlies the United

:24:08.:24:11.

Kingdom. It would be a shame to send out a message to the world that,

:24:12.:24:15.

after all these years of building it up, when countries struggle to find

:24:16.:24:20.

a way of living side-by-side, we could not continue it into the

:24:21.:24:24.

future. I think it would be disastrous for us to destroy. You

:24:25.:24:32.

have been talking in the last couple of weeks about home rule. You have

:24:33.:24:36.

these 3 party leaders today signing this thing, saying they would go

:24:37.:24:40.

along with it all. What persuades you they will get it through the

:24:41.:24:48.

House of Commons? What persuades English, Welsh and Irish voters, we

:24:49.:24:56.

will go for giving that part of the United Kingdom that degree of

:24:57.:25:03.

independence and freedom? I think there is a movement for change in

:25:04.:25:09.

the United Kingdom. I have always believed undiluted Westminster

:25:10.:25:12.

sovereignty is not the way of expressing the needs and aspirations

:25:13.:25:19.

of people. Scotland may have led the way. Northern Ireland once

:25:20.:25:28.

devolution as well. London has already gone. Devolution. I believe

:25:29.:25:33.

there is a movement of change taking place which encourages the regions

:25:34.:25:37.

to want more powers. Those people in Westminster looking at that will see

:25:38.:25:41.

this as not just something specifically for Scotland. Yesterday

:25:42.:25:45.

I said my fairness principle is not at the expense of the regions and

:25:46.:25:49.

nations, it was a challenge to London centralisation. Do you think

:25:50.:25:56.

there will not be hostility in England, the largest country in the

:25:57.:26:00.

United Kingdom, to these measures that you are offering Scotland? It

:26:01.:26:07.

does seem to be that you are giving Scotland everything they want? Most

:26:08.:26:14.

people would subscribe that we are not advocating fairness at the

:26:15.:26:19.

expense of someone else. The greatest beneficiaries of the

:26:20.:26:25.

pension system are the north-east of England. You do not understand, it

:26:26.:26:33.

is right because it is based on need. There are greater needs

:26:34.:26:37.

because they are 3rd of the land area of the country. They have a

:26:38.:26:41.

high number of pensioners. The north-east gets the best benefits

:26:42.:26:46.

from pensions. Wales gets the best benefits from incapacity and

:26:47.:26:50.

disability benefit. London benefits the most from housing benefit. We

:26:51.:26:53.

pull resources from across the whole of the United Kingdom and it

:26:54.:26:58.

benefits everyone because needs better met irrespective of

:26:59.:27:01.

nationality. No country in the world has managed to do what we have done.

:27:02.:27:06.

I think people in England, Wales and Northern Ireland recognise we have

:27:07.:27:10.

something very precious that it would be a shame, in a world that is

:27:11.:27:16.

becoming more integrated, more connected, more interdependent, to

:27:17.:27:19.

throw away this form of cooperation that make such a difference. You are

:27:20.:27:24.

putting forward a vision of the future of the United Kingdom. The

:27:25.:27:28.

reality is that on Thursday the people in Scotland will vote on

:27:29.:27:33.

whether to stay in the UK or not. In effect, what you are doing, as many

:27:34.:27:39.

commentators have said, is rewriting the whole constitution of the United

:27:40.:27:45.

Kingdom, in order to keep Scotland in it. You are saying, everything

:27:46.:27:51.

have to change. I am saying we need a debate on the constitution of the

:27:52.:27:56.

United Kingdom. If they vote yes, you have already started. The truth

:27:57.:28:05.

of the matter is the debate is ongoing about the Constitution of

:28:06.:28:09.

the United Kingdom. Many people are contributing. Wales once more

:28:10.:28:14.

powers, London is talking about more powers. In the regions you will see

:28:15.:28:19.

a demand for more powers. I am saying this is the right way ahead

:28:20.:28:23.

for Scotland. It makes sense for the rest of the United Kingdom. It is

:28:24.:28:28.

not at the expense of the regions and nations. It is a demand that has

:28:29.:28:33.

come from Scotland for change and it should be meant. More powers for

:28:34.:28:37.

Parliament, fairness as a principle of allocation in the United

:28:38.:28:43.

Kingdom. We need to raise revenues ourselves on the National Health

:28:44.:28:47.

Service we can fund it properly, irrespective of what happens. This

:28:48.:28:53.

is, is it not, the last round. Looking at the United Kingdom, a

:28:54.:28:58.

historian will say, it was a gradual step. We did this, we did theirs.

:28:59.:29:04.

Even if they know any win this referendum, in the end, Scotland

:29:05.:29:09.

will become an independent country. I do not think so. Tides of opinion

:29:10.:29:15.

rise and fall. We have had to modernise the United Kingdom and, in

:29:16.:29:19.

particular, the role of Scotland in it for the 21st century. We had to

:29:20.:29:24.

make big changes in the 20th century with the creation of the welfare

:29:25.:29:30.

state. In the 19th century, there were institutions for the industrial

:29:31.:29:36.

revolution. The United Kingdom has evolved through that. Once the

:29:37.:29:40.

Westminster sovereignty, unity state, is at an end, people will

:29:41.:29:45.

recognise the diversity, power-sharing, everyone feeling part

:29:46.:29:48.

of the United Kingdom. A patriotically for Scotland on

:29:49.:29:54.

Thursday ensures we have more powers for Parliament but, equally, we have

:29:55.:29:58.

Scotland as part of the United Kingdom. Thank you very much.

:29:59.:30:06.

I am joined now by Alex Salmond. I wonder whether I shouldn't be

:30:07.:30:14.

congratulated because you seem to have got the best of both worlds.

:30:15.:30:19.

You have the option of independents and now Gordon Brown is saying you

:30:20.:30:23.

have been offered home rule for Scotland. It is too early for

:30:24.:30:29.

congratulations of any kind. This campaign has 2 days to go. We are

:30:30.:30:34.

working flat out. We are still the underdogs because Westminster has a

:30:35.:30:39.

huge amount of ability to throwing kitchen sinks, half the living room

:30:40.:30:43.

and probably some of the bedroom at us. My feeling is that people are

:30:44.:30:50.

determined to vote yes on Thursday but we will be working flat out till

:30:51.:30:58.

the polls close at 10 PM. Hasn't the no side said, what most people want

:30:59.:31:06.

is home rule. That is what the Prime Minister said. This is not Devereux

:31:07.:31:14.

Max. That is economic control. -- devo max. This is a rehash of what

:31:15.:31:20.

was offered in the spring. When it was offered in the spring, when

:31:21.:31:24.

people took a look at it, people in Scotland said, it is nothing like

:31:25.:31:29.

enough for study does not give as economic control. -- like enough. It

:31:30.:31:37.

does not give us. It is last-minute, desperate stuff. There is no content

:31:38.:31:42.

in it. It is very little in terms of economic powers and next to nothing

:31:43.:31:50.

in terms of other powers. For people who are nerve, cautious, may it not

:31:51.:32:45.

They are not Labour voters. These people are Scots who normally vote

:32:46.:32:56.

Labour. We are seeing lots of people who would normally vote Labour have

:32:57.:32:59.

been hugely attractive to the optimistic message of the yes

:33:00.:33:03.

campaign that we can create a stronger economy but also a more

:33:04.:33:09.

just society. The key figures on legendary. That is why there has

:33:10.:33:12.

been such a movement among Scots who want to see a more prosperous but

:33:13.:33:14.

also more just society. The wonderful proposal where they

:33:15.:33:52.

had a right to increased tax but not reduce it. I think that is a pretty

:33:53.:33:58.

strange thing, nothing like home rule, nothing like devo max. It is

:33:59.:34:03.

an insult to the intelligence of the people of Scotland to rehash these

:34:04.:34:07.

proposals last-gasp in the campaign and hope beyond hope that people

:34:08.:34:12.

think it is anything substantial. It is not. White Rabbit gives Scotland

:34:13.:34:18.

votes no on Thursday, do you think it will be implemented? -- if

:34:19.:34:20.

Scotland votes no. the last time he signed something

:34:21.:34:35.

was on tuition fees, which they then promptly broke. David Cameron has

:34:36.:34:41.

already faced a bloodbath to use the words of Tories, in terms of John

:34:42.:34:46.

Redwood and others, saying that this can't be countenanced, so he's

:34:47.:34:49.

already facing a resoleT and we're not past the referendum. As for the

:34:50.:34:54.

Labour Party, they're actually, in their proposals on the strength, had

:34:55.:34:58.

the weakest of all, even weaker than those of the Conservative Party,

:34:59.:35:01.

which tells you absolutely this is not home rule. It is a

:35:02.:35:06.

next-to-nothing offer at the last minute because of the substantial

:35:07.:35:10.

movement to yes. The fact that it's caused such a fuss in Westminster,

:35:11.:35:14.

if it has, suggests that at least the Conservative Party in

:35:15.:35:17.

Westminster thinks there's something substantial in it, otherwise they

:35:18.:35:19.

wouldn't be campaigning? That's true. The people are Scotland are

:35:20.:35:25.

less easily fooled than the backbenches of the Conservative

:35:26.:35:27.

Party in Westminster. We'll talk about the people of Scotland. We'll

:35:28.:35:31.

talk about the United Kingdom. How do you feel when you see nearly 80%

:35:32.:35:38.

of the rest of the United Kingdom wants Scotland to remain in the

:35:39.:35:44.

union? I think that's an interesting statistic. I think when people

:35:45.:35:48.

elsewhere in the United Kingdom understand and realise that we are

:35:49.:35:52.

not going anywhere, we are not drifting off to the north poll, but

:35:53.:35:56.

-- North Pole, but we'll be best friends and neighbours and we'll run

:35:57.:36:01.

our own finances and reap our own harvest and check our own tills in

:36:02.:36:05.

Scotland, but we'll still be part of an island where we'll have a share

:36:06.:36:10.

of a common border and we'll not have customs posts or any 19th

:36:11.:36:14.

century nonsense. We'll be part of the island and great friends, best

:36:15.:36:21.

pals and good neighbours. That may all be true, but nevertheless, the

:36:22.:36:25.

rest of the United Kingdom, the alarm seems to be on two fronts,

:36:26.:36:29.

one, the damage and we'll talk about money in one moment and the economy

:36:30.:36:32.

and that possible damage, and the other is, the damage to the

:36:33.:36:37.

international standing of the United Kingdom, that it won't have the same

:36:38.:36:41.

clout in the world as it does have with Scotland. I think that's an

:36:42.:36:46.

argument about what makes a country great. Some people in Westminster

:36:47.:36:50.

think greatness is about having nuclear weapons and being on the

:36:51.:36:53.

Security Council of the UN and participating in the illegal

:36:54.:36:58.

invasion of Iraq. Some 11 years, that is. I think greatness comes

:36:59.:37:02.

from the strength and vitality of culture, the hinterland and the

:37:03.:37:05.

compassion of the society and the approach you make to others. I think

:37:06.:37:10.

England's a great country. Not because the UK possesses nuclear

:37:11.:37:15.

weapons. I think England's a great country because it has enormous

:37:16.:37:18.

unparalleled hinterland and offered a great deal to the world. That's

:37:19.:37:22.

what I think makes a country great. Scotland can be a great country,

:37:23.:37:25.

because we have a heritage of what we should be proud of and we have a

:37:26.:37:31.

modernity and future of which we can contribute greatly, but you should

:37:32.:37:35.

speak to the rest of the international country, not by saying

:37:36.:37:39.

how great you are, but how useless you are and contribute and offer. On

:37:40.:37:43.

that basis I think the true greatness of a country depends.

:37:44.:37:48.

Nevertheless, you, for over 300 years -- Not me personally. No. It

:37:49.:37:53.

may feel like that in this stage of the campaign. For 300 years Scotland

:37:54.:37:57.

has been part of the United Kingdom and wielded with the rest of the

:37:58.:38:02.

United Kingdom huge international influence and power. You can cite

:38:03.:38:07.

examples with the Iraq war, where you disagree, but you are turning

:38:08.:38:10.

your back on Scotland ever again playing that kind of role in the

:38:11.:38:16.

world. It's more than a disagreement about the invasion of Iraq. For

:38:17.:38:20.

many, it was a turning point and tipping point in terms of their

:38:21.:38:25.

attitude to this question. When the UK did something I was starringered

:38:26.:38:31.

by in terms -- staggered by in terms of flouting the international law

:38:32.:38:34.

and participating in an illegal invasion and causing the death

:38:35.:38:38.

therefore of hundreds of thousands of people and the tragic things we

:38:39.:38:43.

see across the world now, giving an open door almost to extremism by not

:38:44.:38:47.

even planning for the aftermath of that conflict, that was a major

:38:48.:38:51.

issue and that was something which is not just, oh well, that was

:38:52.:38:56.

unfortunate, it was a dramatic illustration of why a country should

:38:57.:39:00.

not look to achieve greatness in wanting to participate in an

:39:01.:39:05.

adventure like that. Is that enough of a reason for leaving the world

:39:06.:39:09.

stage effectively? Well, with great respect, I don't think Scotland is

:39:10.:39:12.

going to leave the world stage. On the contrary, we are a nation of 5.

:39:13.:39:17.

25 million people. We don't want to dominate the world. We don't want to

:39:18.:39:20.

be a world power in that sense, but we are not without influence,

:39:21.:39:25.

because our people in Scotland, we have 100 million people who

:39:26.:39:28.

associate with Scotland worldwide and many of these people hold huge

:39:29.:39:32.

and influential positions in government and business and

:39:33.:39:36.

elsewhere and so our influence is based on the concept and idea of

:39:37.:39:41.

Scotland and it's a very attractive idea. There was a book talking about

:39:42.:39:48.

Scots inventing the modern world. That's not something we can say

:39:49.:39:51.

directly, although we quote it occasionally. That sort of influence

:39:52.:39:55.

is the influence that Scots will be able to bring. I think we can make a

:39:56.:40:01.

substantial, not dominating, but a substantial contribution to the

:40:02.:40:06.

world affairs. Is the option of independence a risk-free option? No,

:40:07.:40:10.

every country has problems and issues and every country will make

:40:11.:40:18.

his takes. I think -- missteaks. -- mistakes. We'll have challenges. We

:40:19.:40:25.

won't wake up in the spring of 2016, after the negotiation and find on

:40:26.:40:34.

Independence Day Scotland has no challenges. But what I think we'll

:40:35.:40:39.

have is better means and mechanisms of overcoming the challenges. That's

:40:40.:40:44.

one of the attractions. What are the risks that voters run by voting

:40:45.:40:50.

"yes"? I think the risk is in terms of not doing something about the

:40:51.:40:53.

circumstances. I think the biggest challenge facing Scotland and indeed

:40:54.:40:57.

most of western Europe is a demographic challenge. Most of

:40:58.:41:01.

western Europe has a challenge looking forward of a shrinking and

:41:02.:41:05.

working-age population and growing older population. To tackle that we

:41:06.:41:09.

have got specific ideas and specific measures but they depend on having

:41:10.:41:16.

the powers of independence. We lose 30,000 people under 35 ever year,

:41:17.:41:20.

despite the relative success now of the Scottish economy. If you want to

:41:21.:41:24.

travel the world that's great and the wonder of the 21st century, but

:41:25.:41:28.

people shouldn't have to leave Scotland to find economic

:41:29.:41:32.

opportunities. You can't force them to stay? No, I don't think anybody

:41:33.:41:37.

should be forced to say. It's wonderful if people want to seek

:41:38.:41:39.

opportunities elsewhere, but you shouldn't have to leave because you

:41:40.:41:42.

can't find opportunities. You shouldn't be forced to leave by

:41:43.:41:47.

economic considerations. Then there's the people who want to stay

:41:48.:41:51.

and work and contribute to our economy. The people who we educate

:41:52.:41:57.

and raise as human capital. The present government kicks them out of

:41:58.:42:00.

the country and won't let them work and as a result of that policy we

:42:01.:42:06.

have seen a halving of the number of Indian students in the last few

:42:07.:42:10.

years. I say let's create opportunity for Scottish youngsters

:42:11.:42:14.

so they don't have to leave the country and if people like Scotland

:42:15.:42:18.

so much that they want to use their skills, many of them which we have

:42:19.:42:24.

contributed to for our educational system, then let the people work in

:42:25.:42:27.

our country and make the country more prosperous. You have said that

:42:28.:42:33.

people who say they're going to vote "no" are actually deferred "yes"

:42:34.:42:39.

voters, in other words, everyone really believes in your view. We'll

:42:40.:42:42.

come back to the issue of risk and fear. What is it do you think that

:42:43.:42:48.

is holding people back then from supporting the case for

:42:49.:42:51.

independence? What is it, because you hear people always and they've

:42:52.:42:58.

had many warnings from banks and businesses and people about the

:42:59.:43:01.

value of property and the cost of mortgages, a load of things thrown

:43:02.:43:06.

at them about the downside of voting "yes"? And they are fearful, aren't

:43:07.:43:11.

they? Certainly for some business, yes, but not from banks. For

:43:12.:43:17.

example, RBS, the Chief Executive, was very quick last week after the

:43:18.:43:22.

Treasury was misbriefing and releasing information that it had to

:43:23.:43:26.

right to release and very quick, the next morning, to write to every

:43:27.:43:32.

single employee and say -- Standard Life? It would not affect jobs,

:43:33.:43:40.

investment or transactions carried out in Scotland. We'll absolve the

:43:41.:43:44.

banks. What about all the businesses that have been lining up, either

:43:45.:43:49.

leaving or prices going up? I know you picked them off one by one and

:43:50.:43:54.

can say they were influenced by Number Ten. Is everybody lying about

:43:55.:44:01.

the downside? I never used the world about lying about the businesses,

:44:02.:44:05.

but it's not a question of picked off. Or being insurance fluenced by

:44:06.:44:11.

Number Ten. We know for a fact that David Cameron invited the big

:44:12.:44:17.

supermarkets a week past and asked them desperately, because he can't

:44:18.:44:21.

win the campaign politically if they would say something hostile about

:44:22.:44:23.

Scottish independence. Some unfortunately did. ASDA for example,

:44:24.:44:27.

but many others like Tesco and Aldi said no, this is not their

:44:28.:44:31.

businesses. They don't want to play politics. They want to be businesses

:44:32.:44:37.

and well done for them for resisting that crude pressure from Downing

:44:38.:44:40.

Street. The Prime Minister's fingerprints were all over it. It's

:44:41.:44:44.

demeaning for the Prime Minister to be reduced to scare tactics

:44:45.:44:51.

desperately in a campaign to try to use pressure to be agents of the

:44:52.:44:57.

project fear, which is disastrous. Do you think you would cut more - I

:44:58.:45:06.

don't know what the word is, have more effect, let's put it like that

:45:07.:45:11.

in this debate that's been going on for the last two years, if you were

:45:12.:45:15.

willing to admit on your side that there were risks, if you were

:45:16.:45:19.

willing to take on board people's fears about what might happen? Not

:45:20.:45:24.

in terms of challenges. Every country has challenges, but is there

:45:25.:45:31.

a downside risk? The reason I chose the demographic issue... It's not a

:45:32.:45:36.

risk. It was presented as a risk. The image is that we won't be able

:45:37.:45:42.

to afford pensions because the working-age population will be

:45:43.:45:48.

shrinking. I think the one which is probably the most effective of the

:45:49.:45:51.

older people in Scotland is exactly that. What I'm pointing out is

:45:52.:45:54.

that's a challenge for all societies. We currently have a low

:45:55.:46:01.

dependency ratio than the UK as a whole, but if you project forward we

:46:02.:46:05.

have a challenge, but we can overcome that, by encouraging young

:46:06.:46:07.

people to seek a future in their country and helping and assisting

:46:08.:46:12.

people who want to be part of this wonderful society we have in

:46:13.:46:18.

Scotland. Now, once an elderly person is satisfied as we have

:46:19.:46:21.

satisfied people in this campaign, that pensions are secure and a

:46:22.:46:25.

minister from Scotland will be paid from Scotland, then the debate

:46:26.:46:28.

becomes different and it's about the future. That's why I think it's so

:46:29.:46:31.

important for us to say, yes, that is a challenge for Scotland. This is

:46:32.:46:34.

how we are going to overcome it and this is how we can build a better

:46:35.:46:38.

future for our country and on that basis I see a significant movement

:46:39.:46:42.

of older Scots to the "yes" campaign. Can we talk about the

:46:43.:46:48.

future? We'll go as far as Friday afternoon, say. And there is a "yes"

:46:49.:46:55.

vote. And as many are predicting there's a run on the pound, there's

:46:56.:47:00.

chaos in the stock markets, what would your responsibility be then as

:47:01.:47:06.

the First Minister of Scotland to help stabilise that?

:47:07.:47:14.

This is why we have the Edinburgh Agreement. David Cameron said we

:47:15.:47:25.

would not have Devo Max. It would not even appear on the ballot paper.

:47:26.:47:32.

We wanted a clause that said after the result, both governments accept

:47:33.:47:40.

the democratic wishes of the people of Scotland. Before we get to these

:47:41.:47:49.

circumstances, a reiteration of that agreement and its importance will be

:47:50.:47:54.

a fundamental priority for both the Scottish and the London government.

:47:55.:48:00.

There is a slight problem. There is no advantage in scaring people any

:48:01.:48:06.

more. There is a slight problem. Whatever is in the best interests of

:48:07.:48:09.

the people of Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom, the people of

:48:10.:48:14.

Scotland have said they will become a foreign country. Let me just

:48:15.:48:18.

finished. The Prime Minister and the Westminster politicians, the

:48:19.:48:22.

Government there, will be looking after the interests, not of the

:48:23.:48:31.

United Kingdom. Can I just take you up on this foreign country

:48:32.:48:38.

nonsense? In 1940, I think it was, Ireland became a republic. It was in

:48:39.:48:45.

much more difficult circumstances than this democratic, peaceful

:48:46.:48:47.

process in which we are engaged. In that act, there was a phrase,

:48:48.:48:53.

Ireland will not be regarded as a foreign country. England will not be

:48:54.:48:59.

regarded as a foreign country. It is our neighbour and partner. The no

:49:00.:49:08.

campaign has been served so ill over the last few months because people

:49:09.:49:14.

have examined that sort of bogeyman tactic which has been dragged into

:49:15.:49:22.

the sunlight like Dracula. What will you say about the money in Scotland,

:49:23.:49:30.

about sterling? The Treasury says, you cannot have 1 currency was

:49:31.:49:34.

Scotland. You are out on your own. What will you say on that Friday

:49:35.:49:41.

when the markets are turbulent? The Bank of England has not said that.

:49:42.:49:46.

The Treasury has but the Bank of England has not. Governments will

:49:47.:49:57.

work together. After 10 PM on Thursday, there is no point in

:49:58.:50:00.

running a negative campaign any more. People get down and discuss

:50:01.:50:04.

the future and act in the best interests of the people of Scotland

:50:05.:50:08.

and the rest of the United Kingdom. Also to make it clear that the

:50:09.:50:13.

Governor of the Bank of England is responsible for financial stability

:50:14.:50:17.

over the next 18 months. That is a fact. It is an 18 month period of

:50:18.:50:21.

figures she Asian. Over that time, the Bank of England is in charge of

:50:22.:50:29.

financial stability. We want to take out the two nomination or risk that

:50:30.:50:33.

we intend to have sterling as our currency. -- the denomination risk.

:50:34.:50:42.

That may not be on Friday but over the next week or two, you will find

:50:43.:50:47.

unnamed Cabinet ministers who will say, of course there would be a

:50:48.:50:52.

currency union which will come out of the columns of the Guardian and

:50:53.:50:58.

into the sunlight to explain why. The anonymous minister, who was

:50:59.:51:02.

quoted as saying that, said Scotland wants a currency union and we want

:51:03.:51:07.

to keep Trident at fast lane. There is room for a deal. He said he would

:51:08.:51:16.

have to give something big in return. He said, of course there

:51:17.:51:23.

will be a currency union. He talks about trade-offs. I have said

:51:24.:51:29.

Trident is not a negotiating point. We put forward a timescale for the

:51:30.:51:33.

removal of nuclear weapons from Scotland which is not unreasonable.

:51:34.:51:37.

It is a 5 one half year timescale in the White Paper which I think is a

:51:38.:51:41.

pretty reasonable thing to put forward. In that report, people tell

:51:42.:51:48.

me it is an Anonymous Minister but I think sometimes anonymous quotes

:51:49.:51:51.

have more of the truth than ones which are made in person. Do you

:51:52.:52:02.

think you know who it is? I do. I am not the journalist concerned so I

:52:03.:52:05.

cannot say. Another interesting thing in that report was to explain

:52:06.:52:13.

why they were adopting an aggressive stance against currency union. It is

:52:14.:52:17.

about Alastair asking us to do it for the campaign. All of that get

:52:18.:52:23.

swept away once the results are in at 10pm. That is when people sit

:52:24.:52:28.

down and act in the best interests of the people of Scotland and the

:52:29.:52:33.

United Kingdom. Making it clear that the Governor of the Bank of England

:52:34.:52:38.

horror as he has made it clear, three weeks ago, he has said he is

:52:39.:52:46.

in charge of financial stability. We will see that the campaign is over

:52:47.:52:49.

and people start to talk sensibly with statements like, of course,

:52:50.:52:55.

there will be a monetary union. That will prevail. If you are wrong in

:52:56.:53:02.

that, what will you do? I cannot be wrong in the first two. I talk you

:53:03.:53:07.

can be wrong with the currency union. You were asking about

:53:08.:53:14.

Friday. I believe there will be a currency union. The verdict of the

:53:15.:53:17.

Scottish people will be very important. The Edinburgh Agreement

:53:18.:53:24.

says we will acknowledge this process and accept it. You have been

:53:25.:53:31.

extremely rude about Westminster politicians. Your website calls

:53:32.:53:35.

them, the most distrusted politicians ever. The most

:53:36.:53:44.

distrusted, you said. People in the papers today are so distrusted. They

:53:45.:53:47.

are rude about each other but they are standing shoulder to shoulder.

:53:48.:53:51.

There is an element of scepticism among the public who say they are so

:53:52.:53:56.

opposed to each other but can link hands, joined arms, and march up to

:53:57.:53:59.

Scotland and tell us what we can and cannot do. -- join arms. Why to use

:54:00.:54:08.

say you distrust them. I must take you at your word. -- you say you

:54:09.:54:13.

distrust them. Everything you want in the negotiations will go your

:54:14.:54:19.

way. You do not like it being called a foreign country but an independent

:54:20.:54:23.

Scotland on the one side and the rest of the UK looking to its own

:54:24.:54:27.

interests on everything, oil spending, the breakup of resources,

:54:28.:54:35.

Trident, whatever it is. It will be hard, difficult, and not necessarily

:54:36.:54:39.

going away. I will tell you why the negotiations will be positive... Why

:54:40.:54:49.

they will be positive, is the old phrase of Adam Smith. We are in the

:54:50.:54:54.

land of Adam Smith. That is why we find it so demeaning to be told we

:54:55.:55:00.

cannot run this economy successfully. He developed the

:55:01.:55:04.

concept of enlightened self interest. People acted economically

:55:05.:55:09.

because of self interest, which could contribute to mutual self

:55:10.:55:14.

interest. The reason it is important is England is Scotland 's largest

:55:15.:55:18.

trading partner and Scotland is England 's largest trading partner.

:55:19.:55:26.

It is in the enlightened self interests to get on with each other.

:55:27.:55:35.

Not just for Scotland but it is joint interests. It does not mean

:55:36.:55:39.

the rest of the knee are ticking doom should agree with every point

:55:40.:55:47.

of the negotiations? -- the United Kingdom. Bill Aa reasonable

:55:48.:55:53.

settlement is at the heart of proposals. -- a reasonable

:55:54.:56:00.

settlement. We have said, you need to have a reasonable timetable. We

:56:01.:56:08.

have tried to adopt that approach so life is not made difficult for

:56:09.:56:16.

people. You take the whole travails of the Westminster system and the

:56:17.:56:20.

rest of the European Union at the present moment. That's just assume,

:56:21.:56:25.

as I hope, that the rest of the UK decides to stay in the European

:56:26.:56:29.

Union and does not get dragged out by the Tory and UKIP strange dance

:56:30.:56:33.

that is going on at the moment wouldn't it be great to have 2

:56:34.:56:39.

voices on a lot of officials, as opposed to being isolated totally?

:56:40.:56:43.

On many things, we are an independent Scotland and an

:56:44.:56:50.

independent rest the UK. The fisheries policy is one example. We

:56:51.:57:00.

talked about the reluctance of the rest of the United Kingdom to see

:57:01.:57:04.

Scotland become independent. Are you not worried there will be a backlash

:57:05.:57:09.

against all of this? A vast majority of voters do not want to to have a

:57:10.:57:15.

currency union. Would the politicians at Westminster

:57:16.:57:20.

inevitably respond to that? If there is a swell of opposition to

:57:21.:57:25.

Scotland, simply because they want to cut loose, they could say, cut

:57:26.:57:33.

loose. Nothing to do with us. Trade is very important. I would never

:57:34.:57:37.

demean the people are being them by saying they are represented in terms

:57:38.:57:41.

of attitude to Scotland or anything else. By Tory backbenchers at

:57:42.:57:47.

Westminster. Let me answer in this way. I have made many speeches in

:57:48.:57:59.

England over the last few years. My feeling is whatever peoples attitude

:58:00.:58:03.

in England towards the process of Scottish independence, and there is

:58:04.:58:15.

substantial support. My friend, the MP for Liverpool Walton, he thinks

:58:16.:58:20.

it will start a process. There are active supporters of Scottish

:58:21.:58:24.

independence. The overwhelming majority, the view of the plain

:58:25.:58:28.

people of England will be, the Scots have made their decision, whether we

:58:29.:58:32.

liked it or not, we wish them well, as we will wish England well. That

:58:33.:58:37.

would be the prevailing view of the people of England, who I have the

:58:38.:58:42.

most extraordinary admiration and confidence in. Thank you very much

:58:43.:58:45.

indeed. A great pleasure. or to stay part of

:58:46.:59:06.

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