23/03/2014 Sunday Politics East Midlands


23/03/2014

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. The dust has barely

:00:36.:00:43.

settled on George Osborne's Budget and, amazingly, for once it hasn't

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all gone horribly wrong by the weekend. So, is this the election

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springboard the Tories needed, and where does it leave Labour? Turns

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out the big Budget surprise was a revolution in how we pay for old

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age. The Pensions Minister says he's relaxed if you want to spend it all

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on a Lamborghini. He'll join us later. And could the man with the

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maracas be on his way to Westminster? Bez from the Happy

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Mondays tells us about his unlikely plan to

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In the East Midlands: We are in Brussels at the European Parliament

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with four of our MEPs. They will be arguing the

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stay in Axbridge. Are there ways of making the European arrest warrant

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work better? -- Uxbridge. And who better to help guide you through all

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of that than three journalists, who dispense wisdom faster than Grant

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Shapps calls out the numbers in his local bingo hall over a pint of

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beer. Yes, they're hard-working and they're doing the things they enjoy.

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Cup of tea, number three. It's Nick Watt, Polly Toynbee and Janan

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Ganesh. So, George Osborne delivered his

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fifth Budget on Wednesday and had so many glowing front pages the day

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afterwards he must be running out of room to pin them up in on his

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bedroom wall. Although it's probably a pretty big wall. For those of you

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who didn't have time to watch 3.5 hours of Budget coverage on the BBC,

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here's Giles with the whole thing in three minutes.

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Budget days have a rhythm of their own, driven partly by tradition,

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like that photocall at 11 Downing Street and part logistics, how to

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get this important statement out and explain to those whom it affects -

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us? Behind-the-scenes of a Budget Day is much the same. This ritual

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red boxery may be the beginning of the end of weeks of work behind the

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scenes in the Treasury and sets the clock ticking on the process of

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finding out the answer to one question. You got any rabbits in the

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box, Chancellor? Yes, there will be something in the Budget we don't

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know about. Time marches steadily towards the statement and already

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commentators are hovering over what those potential surprises are. As

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Big Ben chimes, all focus returns to the Commons, where there is Prime

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Minister's questions and the Chancellor gets up and does his

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thing. Once he's on his feet and remembering there is still no copy

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of the details, the major measures are rapidly highlighted as they come

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and then put up on screen. A cap on Government welfare spending set for

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2015/16 at 119 billion. Income tax personal allowance raised to

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?10,500. Bingo duty halved, which ticked boxes for some but was

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unlikely to make anyone a poster boy. And the beer tax cut of 1p, or

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the froth on the top. And changes to pensions allowing people to take

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their money out in one lump sum, rather than being forced to accept a

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fixed annual pay-out, or annuity. This is a Budget for the makers, the

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doers and the savers and I commend it to the House. Not everyone can

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focus on the Budget by listening to what the Chancellor says. We need to

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get a copy of the script. We do not get that till he sits down. I'm

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going to go into the House of Commons to get that right now. There

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will be a response on that and all the other things from Mr Miliband.

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The Chancellor spoke for nearly an hour but he did not mention one

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essential fact, the working people of Britain are worse off under the

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Tories. It is a tricky job answering the Budget at the best of times,

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though some, including Labour MPs, think it is better to mention the

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Budget when you do. Here we are. I am going to go. I am

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not the only journalist missing Ed Miliband's speech. Many others leave

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the Chamber as the Chancellor sits down to attend a special briefing

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from the Chancellor's advisory team. I am hotfoot to the studio. There is

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a little more detail to the Budget than the Budget Speech. That detail

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can be whether words unravel and other interpretations emerge. By now

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the gaggle of supporters and detractors are taking the debate

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onto the airwaves. Are you the BBC? Have the Daily Politics packed up?

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No, we're still standing and, days later, still trying to assess

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whether the measures announced still seem fresh and appetising or have

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already gone stale in the minds of voters?

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How significant are these two poles this morning putting Labour and Tory

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nip and tuck? Osborne gave his party a good bounce. It was an

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astonishingly theatrical coup. At first glance, it seems like a huge

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gift to all people. That is where all of the money has been channelled

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by this government. They have been ultra-protected, triple locked.

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Pensioners have done very well and others less well. It is not

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surprising. Normally a budget which is well received on the day and the

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day after has unravelled by the weekend. This time, it has not, so

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far. The dangerous thing for the Labour Party now, George Osborne is

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the assessment this thing called the baseline. He says, in government,

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you must control the baseline. The Labour party controlled in 2001 and

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2005 and he needs to control it next time. He is controlling it on fiscal

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policy because labour is matching them on everything. The danger for

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Labour on the big, headline grabbing issue, which was freeing up

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annuities on pensions, that again Labour was pretty much saying it was

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going to support it though it were saying it has to be fair and

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cost-effective. On a big, policy issue, they are following on behind

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George Osborne. George Osborne is controlling the crucial baseline.

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Are we in danger of reading too much into the political implications of

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the budget? The good thing about the pensions policy is, if it does

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unravel, it will not happen for ten years and, by that time, George

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Osborne will have left office. Towards the end of his speech, I

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thought, that is not enough. There is not an idea in your budget which

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is politically very vivid a year before an election. What I

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underestimated was, how many frustrated savers that are in the

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country. There are a lot of people who are frustrated by low interest

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rates and tax rates on pension pots. This was an explicit gesture for

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them. That is what has paid off in the polls in the past few days. You

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spend all of your money on your wardrobe, is that right? The bingo

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poster was a kind of get out of jail card for Labour. It gave them

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something to zoom in on. Everyone beat up on Grant Shapps, the Tory

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chairman. We read in the daily Telegraph that the fingerprints of

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the Chancellor were all over this poster. The Chancellor signed off it

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-- off on it and so did Lynton Crosby. They referred to working

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class people as, they are. How did it get into the Telegraph? We can

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only presume but grant Shapps made it clear that it was not him. We had

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a time when Labour politicians, we saw from the response of Ed Miliband

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onwards, they were not quite sure how to react to this budget. A lot

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of detail had to be absorbed. Suddenly, here is something we can

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talk about. You can see the thinking behind the poster was very sensible.

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We are not Tory toffs, we are interested in helping people who do

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not come from our backgrounds. The wording was awful and played into

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every cliche. It was all his fault. It shows how unsophisticated he

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was. There were people from Tory HQ who agreed the budget. A month down

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the line will the budget look as good? Probably. Once people look at

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it, pensions are fiendishly conjugated. Once they look and see

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what it will do with people having to pay for their own care because

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they can now take capital at their pension, that will come as a shock

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to a lot of people with small savings. It all be gone on their

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care. The polling will be neck and neck all the way. In the past,

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George Osborne has been accused of using his Budgets to tinker at the

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margins or pull cheap tricks on his political opponents. Perish the

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thought. But the big surprise in this year's statement was a

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genuinely radical shake-up of the pensions system that will affect

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most people who've yet to retire. At the moment, everyone is saving money

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into a defined contribution pension, that is the type most common in the

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private sector. They can take 25% of the pot is a tax-free lump sum when

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they retire. The rest of the money, for most people, they are forced to

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buy an annuity, a form of insurance which provide a guaranteed monthly

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income until they die. Annuities have hardly been a bargain since

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interest rates were flat slashed following the financial crash. Even

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with a ?100,000 pension pot would only get an income of ?5,800 a year

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at current rates. From 2018, pensioners will not be forced to buy

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an annuity. They can do what they like with their money, even taking

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the entire pot as a lump some but paying tax on 75% of it.

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With an average pension pot closer to around ?30,000, pensioners would

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be more likely to buy a Skoda instead of a Lamborghini. Most newly

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retired people who take the cash are more likely to spend the money

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paying off their mortgage, helping a family member to buy a property or

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investing the money elsewhere. Well, earlier I spoke to the Pensions

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Minister. He's a Lib Dem called Steve Webb. I began by asking him if

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he still thought the reforms might lead to pensioners splurging all

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their savings on supercars. What this reform is about is treating

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people as adults. For far too long, we have said, we will make sure you

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save for your old age and then we will control each year how much is

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spent on what you spend it on. What we are saying is because we have

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formed -- reformed the state pension, we will be much more

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relaxed about what people do with their own money. The evidence is

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that people who have been frugal and saved hard for retirement do not

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generally blows a lot. They will spin it out. It is treating people

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as adults and giving them choices they should have had all along. It

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is a red herring, isn't it? The average pension pot is between 25000

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and 30,000. Lamborghinis aren't an option, correct? I gather only about

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5000 people a year retiring can buy a flashy Italian sports car. It

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might be about paying off a mortgage, paying off outstanding

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debts. Maybe spending more money earlier in retirement when they are

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fit and able and can enjoy it more. We will give people guidance. We

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will make sure when they retire, there is someone to have a

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conversation with talking through the implications of spending the

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money early and options of investing it. This will be a real step

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forward. Even if you have a much bigger pension pot, say half ?1

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million, which is way bigger than the average, even then the marginal

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rates of tax will be a disincentive to take it all out at once. You will

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lose huge chunks of it at the 40% band and then the 45% band. The tax

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system gives you the incentive to spread it out if the tax threshold

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is a bit over 10000 and the state pension is a bit over 7000, the

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first 3000 you draw out in a given year is tax-free. The next band is

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at 20%. Spreading your money will mean you pay less tax. That is why,

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in general, people will not blow the lot up front. They will spread it

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out over their retirement. You have kept this policy quiet. Not even a

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hint. How did you test it? How did you make sure it would be robust?

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You did not do a consultation. I have been talking about freeing up

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the annuity market for a decade. The idea of giving people more choice.

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The government has relaxed rules over this Parliament. It was not a

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completely new idea. We know in places like Australia and America,

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people have these freedoms. We already have something to judge it

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by. We will spend the next year talking to people, working it

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through. There will be a three-month consultation. I want people to have

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choices about their own money. There is detail still to be worked out and

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we are in listening mode about how we implement it. When you announce

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something you cannot do widespread consultation, for the reasons I have

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given, you do run the risk of unforeseen consequences? Pension

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companies this morning are indicating, you, the government can

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write you are looking for ?25 billion of infrastructure investment

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from us. You hold our shell below the water line. That may not happen.

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We spoke internally about the implications for instruction --

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infrastructure. It seems to me there will still be long-term investments.

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Many people want to turn their whole pot into an income. I understand the

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insurance companies are lobbying, but I'm convinced there will still

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be plenty of money for investment and infrastructure. If the

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Chancellor's pro-savings measures work, that will generate more

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savings. With no requirement now to buy an annuity, surely it is the

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case that pension pots are another ordinary savings fund, so why should

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they continue to get favourable tax treatment? Bear in mind that a lot

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of the tax treatment of pensioners is tax deferred so most people pay

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tax at the standard rate. If they put money into a pension, they don't

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pay tax when they earn it, but they do at retirement. We do want, we

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will still have automatic enrolment into workplace pensions, we do want

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people to build up, because at age 20 and 30 nobody thinks about

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retirement. It is still vital that people do reach retirement to have

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these new choices with a decent sized pension pot. Pensions. Tax

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breaks because they were supposed to provide an income in retirement,

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that is how it was structured, but that is no longer a requirement,

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surely that undermines the case that if they get tax breaks, other forms

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of savings should get tax breaks. Other forms do get tax breaks, of

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course. The return with ISAs is tax free. The point with pensions is

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that you are simply deferring your earnings. There is a bit when high

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tax rate payers get a kick when they are working and then retire on

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standard rate, so there is the issue of the top getting too many tax

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breaks, but the basic principle that you pay tax when you get the income

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seems right to me and isn't affected by these changes. You have announced

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save friendly measures, are we right to look at them as a consolation

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prize because savers have suffered from the Government's policy of

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keeping interest rates abnormally low? It is certainly the case that

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very low interest rates have been a huge boon to people of working age

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with mortgages, and people who have retired said they thought they could

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have got a better deal on their savings. I think there is a

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recognition that whilst we have done the right thing with pensioners on

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the state pension, we have brought in the triple lock, and many will

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bent on -- benefit from these changes. Why don't savers who are

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not pensioners get the same help? They have been hit by low interest

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rates as well. Those of working age, many of them say they have

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benefited from low interest rates was predominantly people in

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retirement have not had the benefit. Obviously people of working age will

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have benefited from the tax allowance so it is a myth to say the

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Budget was all about pensioners. And yet even when the Office for Budget

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Responsibility takes into account your new measures, it still shows

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that over the next five years households will save less and less,

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indeed the savings ratio falls by 50%. You haven't done enough. One of

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the things we know is that the economy is picking up strongly, and

:20:16.:20:20.

as we have more confidence about the future they will be more willing to

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consume now, so without these measures it may be that the saving

:20:24.:20:28.

rate would have fallen further. We want people to save and spend, it is

:20:29.:20:36.

about getting the right balance. As the economy picks up, people will

:20:37.:20:39.

want to spend more of their money and it is about getting the balance

:20:40.:20:45.

right. You make the point that if people are little profligate with

:20:46.:20:49.

their private pensions, they will have the state pension to fall back

:20:50.:20:53.

on and it will be higher than it has been, but it is also the case that

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in these circumstances they will still be entitled to housing benefit

:20:59.:21:04.

and even to perhaps some council tax benefit as well. Do you know by how

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much this could put the welfare bill up? We think the impact will be

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relatively modest because the sort of people who save for a pension and

:21:16.:21:19.

make sacrifices while they are at work are not the sort of people who

:21:20.:21:26.

get to 65 and decide to blow the lot for the great privilege of receiving

:21:27.:21:30.

council tax benefit or housing benefit. There will be people on the

:21:31.:21:32.

margins and benefit. There will be people on the

:21:33.:21:44.

who retire with some capital want to put some money away for their

:21:45.:21:47.

funeral. People like to save even into retirement so the myth of the

:21:48.:21:52.

spendthrift pensioner I don't believe. I think this has been

:21:53.:22:01.

rightly welcomed. Ever fancied a Lamborghini yourself? If you turned

:22:02.:22:07.

the camera around you would see my 2-door Corsa!

:22:08.:22:20.

What's your favourite thing about an election? Could it be the candidates

:22:21.:22:23.

ringing on your door while you're having dinner? The leaflets piling

:22:24.:22:26.

up on your doormat? Or the endless adverts aimed at hardworking

:22:27.:22:28.

families? Well, if you thought that was bad enough, then you might want

:22:29.:22:32.

to consider going overseas for the 2015 election because the parties

:22:33.:22:35.

are going to be aiming their message at you like never before. Adam's

:22:36.:22:40.

been to Worcester to find out more. One of the most famous political

:22:41.:22:45.

figures in history lived here, she is called Worcester woman. She was

:22:46.:22:49.

in her 30s, working class with a couple of kids, aspirational yet

:22:50.:22:54.

worried about quality of life. But she wasn't a real person, she was a

:22:55.:22:58.

label for the kind of voter new Labour were trying to reach and she

:22:59.:23:03.

was later joined by Mondeo man and several others. Doesn't that all

:23:04.:23:10.

seem a bit 90s? The technique, called segmentation, was used by

:23:11.:23:17.

George Bush in 2004. Then refined by Barack Obama. Rather than focusing

:23:18.:23:21.

on crude measures like cars and hometowns, they delved into the

:23:22.:23:27.

minds of voters. It is not just women, not just people who live in

:23:28.:23:31.

cities, but if you start to put together these groups of people you

:23:32.:23:36.

can even in an anecdote or way imagine who they are, what types of

:23:37.:23:46.

language and imagery might relate to them. We have been given access to a

:23:47.:23:51.

new polling model being used here by this firm, which is pretty close to

:23:52.:23:57.

the one we are told is being used by the Tories. It carves the country

:23:58.:24:01.

into six personality types, and we are trying it out on Worcester woman

:24:02.:24:06.

and wast of man. We are using an online quiz to work out who is in

:24:07.:24:13.

which segment. Meet new monk, Susie. She feels well represented. I

:24:14.:24:22.

know the Budget and the increases to childcare, I think at the moment I

:24:23.:24:28.

am fairly represented. This puts her in the category of optimistic

:24:29.:24:32.

contentment, people who feel they are doing OK. Terry, on the other

:24:33.:24:38.

hand, isn't happy about Britain today. Health and safety and all

:24:39.:24:46.

that! I hardly recognise the country a living in any more? Yes. Are you

:24:47.:24:56.

ready for the result? He is Mr comfortable nostalgia, they tend to

:24:57.:25:01.

favour the Tories and UKIP. They dislike the cultural changes they

:25:02.:25:06.

see as altering Britain for the worst. That sums me up. Tony is

:25:07.:25:11.

worried as well but feels much less secure. I look forward to the future

:25:12.:25:23.

with optimism or anxiety? Anxiety. Optimist or pessimist? Pessimist.

:25:24.:25:33.

His category is... You feel a bit insecure, you think the Government

:25:34.:25:39.

could probably help you more? Yes. Labour picks up a lot of these

:25:40.:25:44.

voters. This man is being asked to do more and more at work, but he is

:25:45.:25:53.

getting less and less. I am getting more towards the despair side.

:25:54.:25:58.

Things are getting tougher, generally? It puts him into the

:25:59.:26:03.

segment called long-term despair, people who feel left out. Finally,

:26:04.:26:12.

this is ever thoughtful Carol. I am a bit of an idealist. Her idealism

:26:13.:26:21.

makes her a cosmopolitan critic. I am a liberal person. Apparently a

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lot of the media fit into this category as well. There is one group

:26:26.:26:32.

of voters we have not come across, people who show calm persistence.

:26:33.:26:35.

They hope things will get better but don't expect them to. They are

:26:36.:26:40.

coping, rather than comfortable. Presumably they are all out of work.

:26:41.:26:45.

Which group are you win? You can take the poll on the BBC website,

:26:46.:26:50.

and in the coming weeks we will be doing our own polling using the six

:26:51.:26:55.

segments to see of the politicians really have worked out how we think.

:26:56.:27:02.

And as Adam said, if you want to try the survey for yourself, you can go

:27:03.:27:06.

to the BBC website and click on the link.

:27:07.:27:08.

And we're joined now by the pollster, Rick Nye. Welcome to

:27:09.:27:18.

Sunday Politics. We have had Worcester woman, Worcester man, is

:27:19.:27:24.

this any different? It is a recognition that or politician --

:27:25.:27:40.

all politics these days is like this. It enables them to cut them

:27:41.:27:48.

more finally. You think all politics is coalition politics, you think

:27:49.:27:52.

they have to put together these groups of people, not that the Lib

:27:53.:27:59.

Dems will always be in power? No, and if you listen to the coverage

:28:00.:28:04.

these days you might think it is about grumpy old men on the one hand

:28:05.:28:10.

with Guardian readers on the other. It is far more complicated than

:28:11.:28:14.

that, there is a lot of churning going on underneath which is driven

:28:15.:28:21.

by people's value systems. A lot of this has been pioneered in the

:28:22.:28:25.

United States, very sophisticated on their election techniques, and in

:28:26.:28:29.

Britain we are always the first to grab whatever the New Year will is

:28:30.:28:35.

from America. How do you think this will translate to this country? I

:28:36.:28:40.

think it means that if you are target photo you will still get the

:28:41.:28:45.

same of leaflets and people calling, but you will probably have different

:28:46.:28:48.

kinds of conversations because people on the other side, the party

:28:49.:28:55.

campaigners, will think they know more about you. Will I know who you

:28:56.:29:01.

are? If I am a party campaigner, will I know, looking down the

:29:02.:29:06.

street, who fits into which category? You will be able to

:29:07.:29:10.

approximate that with all of the other data that you have gathered

:29:11.:29:15.

through polling, or doing local campaigning, that is the idea to

:29:16.:29:19.

make sense of this vast quantity of data people have about voters. We

:29:20.:29:26.

asked our panel to fill in your survey. Nick is optimistic

:29:27.:29:32.

contentment, 99%. He was 1% cosmopolitan critic, which is how he

:29:33.:29:37.

keeps his job at the Guardian. Polly's job could not be more

:29:38.:29:42.

secure, 100% cosmopolitan critics, and Janan Ganesh, optimistic

:29:43.:29:48.

contentment, which is what you would expect from a financial Times

:29:49.:29:54.

columnist. What do you make of this technique? Why are you only 99? It

:29:55.:30:12.

sounds really clever. 95% of the population five years ago voted

:30:13.:30:18.

Labour or the Conservatives. We have got away from that. It is coalition

:30:19.:30:22.

politics. You need sophisticated methods. Presumably you must not

:30:23.:30:30.

lose touch with basic points. You said it was used in the US

:30:31.:30:33.

presidential elections. Wasn't there them moment emit Romney 's sweet

:30:34.:30:40.

when the initial response was, we did not know the sort of people

:30:41.:30:45.

voted. His next response was, we did not know these people existed.

:30:46.:30:51.

Unless you know about certain key demographics, you are wasting your

:30:52.:30:57.

time. Is it important in modern campaigning? I think it is useful

:30:58.:31:04.

because it is about attitude. We have got Mosaic. We have got Acorn.

:31:05.:31:14.

It does not tell us very much. What people think and feel may be

:31:15.:31:18.

different to their income. You can be quite a high earner and anxious.

:31:19.:31:23.

You can be quite a low earner and feeling aspirational and optimistic

:31:24.:31:26.

about the future. I think this does get something else. In days gone by,

:31:27.:31:34.

particularly in America, overwhelmingly, if you are in the

:31:35.:31:39.

better of segment, you would be Republican and the blue-collar

:31:40.:31:42.

workers and some academics and Liberals voted Democrat. In the last

:31:43.:31:47.

election, the richest 200 counties in America voted Democrat. That is

:31:48.:31:51.

an attitude thing. Income does not tell you how people will vote. There

:31:52.:31:57.

is a huge, working-class base of support for the Republicans. It is

:31:58.:32:02.

unavoidable. Add a time when people no longer identify with ideologies

:32:03.:32:06.

or class blocks, you have to go the temperament and lifestyle and

:32:07.:32:20.

manageable. In America there were 128 segments according to lifestyle

:32:21.:32:24.

and Outlook. Once you get to that stage, it becomes close to useless.

:32:25.:32:28.

We were talking about the budget earlier. What other polls saying

:32:29.:32:36.

about the budget? The lead of labour has been narrowed over the

:32:37.:32:43.

Conservatives. -- Labour. Osborne and Cameron as an academic team have

:32:44.:32:51.

always had a lead over Miller band and Balls. This week it is about

:32:52.:32:56.

economic management. -- over Mr Miller band.

:32:57.:33:03.

Thank you for being with us today. It's just gone 11:30am. You're

:33:04.:33:14.

watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who

:33:15.:33:17.

leave us now for Sunday Politics Scotland. Coming up here in 20

:33:18.:33:37.

We are in the European Parliament. In a few weeks time, we be voting in

:33:38.:33:44.

those important elections. We have four MEPs with us and we will be

:33:45.:33:47.

putting your questions to them as we take a closer look at Europe and

:33:48.:33:54.

what it means to us. If we stay in the EU, we would carry on with

:33:55.:33:57.

better subsidies but if we came out, we wouldn't have as much red tape.

:33:58.:34:01.

It would be nice if they tell us more about the benefits because we

:34:02.:34:06.

don't know any different. I can name the Parliamentary MPs but not the

:34:07.:34:13.

MEPs. Welcome to the plush TV studio at the European Parliament in

:34:14.:34:18.

Brussels. Let's meet our guests. A Conservative MEP for the East

:34:19.:34:24.

Midlands. The Liberal Democrats. Dennis Wilmot is the Labour MEP for

:34:25.:34:32.

our region. And here is one of two UKIP MEPs. Two months ago. I you

:34:33.:34:42.

excited? `2 months to go. Are you excited? I'm really excited. It is

:34:43.:34:45.

our chance every five years to tell people what we've been doing and

:34:46.:34:50.

what our policies are. We have a really clear message that the

:34:51.:34:53.

selection that if you want real change in Europe and if you want to

:34:54.:34:57.

have a referendum on the Conservative Party is the party to

:34:58.:35:01.

vote for. Is there a buzz about the place? Since the Lisbon Treaty came

:35:02.:35:07.

in a few years ago which changed the powers, this election matters

:35:08.:35:10.

enormously about what kind of Europe we are going to have in future. The

:35:11.:35:15.

Liberal Democrats want to stay in because we want to keep influence

:35:16.:35:21.

for Britain. How important do you think these elections are? They are

:35:22.:35:24.

very important but for a different reason. All three of the old parties

:35:25.:35:30.

have promised the British people a referendum on the European question.

:35:31.:35:33.

All three have failed to deliver. What we are saying is, this is your

:35:34.:35:38.

referendum. If you like Europe and want to stay in Europe, that's

:35:39.:35:41.

fine, you can vote for any of the old parties. If you want to make a

:35:42.:35:46.

statement and vote against British membership of the European Union,

:35:47.:35:52.

vote for UKIP. These elections are a taste of things to come. We are very

:35:53.:35:56.

excited about it because we are doing very well in the polls. It is

:35:57.:36:00.

also our chance to say why it is important that we have membership of

:36:01.:36:04.

a single market of 500 million people. That's a massive advantage.

:36:05.:36:08.

It means many thousands of jobs in the East Midlands. That's really

:36:09.:36:11.

important. There is a lot riding on this. We are constantly told that we

:36:12.:36:18.

want to be in the EU for jobs in the East Midlands. When we leave, trade

:36:19.:36:23.

will continue. China, America, Canada can all sell into Europe and

:36:24.:36:27.

so will we. And not worried about the jobs they think we are going to

:36:28.:36:31.

lose. I am worried about the jobs we are losing out because of European

:36:32.:36:34.

energy policy, immigration policy and the damage that the euro is

:36:35.:36:38.

doing, because of overregulation in the labour market. This is costing

:36:39.:36:44.

jobs today. We want out. It's absurd what Roger says. Shell, Nissan,

:36:45.:36:51.

Toyota, all sorts of enormous companies have all said Britain has

:36:52.:36:55.

to stay in, otherwise they could well move away from Britain. Where

:36:56.:37:00.

do the Tories sit on this? It is very clear. The choices for the

:37:01.:37:05.

people. You can vote Liberal Democrat, they want to stay in,

:37:06.:37:12.

Labour to stay in. UKIP Want to stay out. They don't have that power. If

:37:13.:37:15.

you vote Conservative, you will get your referendum and then the British

:37:16.:37:21.

people can decide. Our own research of voters tells us there is a good

:37:22.:37:24.

deal of confusion out there about what goes on here in Brussels. We've

:37:25.:37:29.

asked our political reporter to give us a tour of the European Parliament

:37:30.:37:31.

and explain everything you ever wanted to know about what goes on

:37:32.:37:33.

here but were too afraid to ask. This is the grand entrance of the

:37:34.:37:48.

European Parliament. Faces from 28 countries are staring down at me.

:37:49.:37:53.

751 MEPs will be voted in in May. Let's have a look inside. Inside,

:37:54.:38:00.

artwork like this. This piece is supposed to represent the unity of

:38:01.:38:03.

the European Union will stop there are eight buildings like this. There

:38:04.:38:08.

are a symbol that similar number in Strasberg with 14,000 people working

:38:09.:38:12.

inside. That's about the same number of people who work in our councils

:38:13.:38:17.

across the East Midlands. Plenty of TV crews, plenty of media

:38:18.:38:21.

attention, perhaps not for our British MEPs though, of which there

:38:22.:38:26.

are five and East Midlands. Each earns around ?75,500 a year, more

:38:27.:38:31.

than a British MP come up but on top of that, they can claim ?250 in a

:38:32.:38:38.

daily allowance. This is the main debating chamber. I would love to

:38:39.:38:41.

show you inside but unfortunately, the reef is falling in. Some might

:38:42.:38:45.

see a metaphor in that. It will only be open for one more session before

:38:46.:38:51.

the all important elections in May. Tim finished by talking about the

:38:52.:38:54.

European elections and they are the most keenly awaited in years. The

:38:55.:39:04.

big question is, how well UKIP will do and the damage they will inflict

:39:05.:39:07.

on the three main parties. How will you do? We think we are going to do

:39:08.:39:12.

well. I've been an MEP for 15 years. I've been campaigning throughout

:39:13.:39:15.

that period. I have never seen such a positive reaction on the doorstep,

:39:16.:39:19.

in the street. The best thing I can give you is a poll from a couple of

:39:20.:39:24.

days ago, when we were on 30%, Labour on 28%, conservatives on 21%

:39:25.:39:31.

and the Liberal Democrats on 8%. That is the running order now. How

:39:32.:39:37.

many in the East Midlands? To MEPs. We can be pretty clear. We can take

:39:38.:39:48.

those results. If we plug goes in to the system, you can be accurate. It

:39:49.:39:52.

is the public 's choice. They can vote as they choose. Are you

:39:53.:39:58.

worried? We have a very clear message from our party. If you want

:39:59.:40:03.

real work done here in Europe, if you want real reform and a real

:40:04.:40:07.

referendum and sundry that can deliver that, you have to vote

:40:08.:40:13.

Conservative. They can shout at the wind as much as they want to, UKIP,

:40:14.:40:19.

but we cannot get results for the UK. You worried about them? No, not

:40:20.:40:27.

really. Many people are voting UKIP cars they are a protest party. We

:40:28.:40:32.

have two concentrate on the issues that matter to people, issues like

:40:33.:40:36.

rights at work. People get four weeks paid holiday because of

:40:37.:40:44.

legislation in Europe. I would never ever be complacent. You never know

:40:45.:40:47.

the result until it is finished. I'm not being complacent. Let's be

:40:48.:40:53.

honest, predictions for your party are not good. You about to lose your

:40:54.:40:58.

seat? That is up to the public to decide. When we have the debate on

:40:59.:41:05.

BBC between Nick and Nigel, Nick is going to elevate the pro`Europeans

:41:06.:41:08.

and the Lib Dems would do a lot better than the 8% currently in the

:41:09.:41:12.

polls. You don't sound show yourself as to whether you will keep your

:41:13.:41:16.

seat. No politician should be sure. Are you worried? Some of those

:41:17.:41:22.

predictions are pretty dire. Senior Liberal Democrats are talking

:41:23.:41:25.

privately about the party being wiped out. The public will decide.

:41:26.:41:31.

We say we've got to stay in Europe for jobs and there are a large

:41:32.:41:35.

number of pro`European people in the East Midlands and we would like them

:41:36.:41:38.

to vote Lib Dem. Reject the ridiculous ideas of UKIP. Cameron's

:41:39.:41:46.

promise of a referendum is a cynical party management device, designed to

:41:47.:41:54.

get Eurosceptics of his back. He cannot get a significantly

:41:55.:41:57.

negotiation. He is unlikely to get into a position where he can

:41:58.:42:00.

deliver. The way to vote against British mentorship of the EU has to

:42:01.:42:06.

be to vote UKIP. The point about this is, we need to do what is in

:42:07.:42:11.

Britain's interest. It's in Britain's interest to be part of the

:42:12.:42:16.

EU. There are so many benefits. It would be stupidity to leave. We

:42:17.:42:20.

really have got to get across our message to people why it is

:42:21.:42:24.

important and why it's important we stay in the EU. Many jobs depend on

:42:25.:42:29.

it. 300,000 in the East Midlands alone. If we are on the inside, we

:42:30.:42:34.

can affect the future. We have an ability to vote. Outside, we will

:42:35.:42:41.

drift. We have very little influence here. We have about 8% of the vote.

:42:42.:42:49.

We do not have much influence. Roger's attendants that attendants

:42:50.:42:56.

record is bad. It's better than the average of your Lib Dems. Would you

:42:57.:43:02.

like to apologise? That's not true. You are not here yesterday. He

:43:03.:43:08.

didn't turn up. No, I was actually campaigning. I was campaigning in

:43:09.:43:17.

the region, like utility to. I was working in a region. No, you are

:43:18.:43:23.

not. You are an absentee. Should he be there all the time? He should be.

:43:24.:43:28.

I do serve the people of the East Midlands. The point I must make and

:43:29.:43:33.

I will make again, by voting dash my voting participation rate in the

:43:34.:43:38.

European Parliament is almost exactly the same as Bill's. It is

:43:39.:43:45.

higher than the average of Liberal Democrat MEPs. Is that important to

:43:46.:43:51.

people in the East Midlands? Let's get back to the issue. We have more

:43:52.:43:54.

say as a global player being part of Europe than we do on our own. This

:43:55.:43:59.

is about influence for the people we represent. We get more influence

:44:00.:44:03.

being part of the EU than not being part of the EU. Sometimes it seems

:44:04.:44:07.

you work against each other. Do you work together? People with nonsense

:44:08.:44:15.

policies want us to throw away all our influence. We need to listen to

:44:16.:44:21.

the people and it is people listening to politicians fighting

:44:22.:44:25.

amongst themselves which they are sick to death. This puts off

:44:26.:44:29.

politics. You are coming from different sides. There are things

:44:30.:44:37.

that we have to work together on and sometimes we put together. In this

:44:38.:44:41.

Parliament, we have to build alliances. Sometimes we do and

:44:42.:44:44.

sometimes we disagree. It depends on the issue. Let's leave that one

:44:45.:44:48.

there for the moment. What about you? We've been in Brussels and our

:44:49.:44:53.

political editor has been sampling local delicacies. Are there any

:44:54.:44:57.

connections with the folks back home?

:44:58.:45:04.

I am in the heart of the Belgian capital and it is celebrated for its

:45:05.:45:14.

lace, beers and chocolates. What else has it got that we haven't got?

:45:15.:45:20.

Where is that chocolate shop? Utopia does a fine line in chocolate as

:45:21.:45:23.

well but they are made at the company's shop in Nottingham. There

:45:24.:45:27.

is a definite Belgian influence here. They find being able to source

:45:28.:45:32.

supplies and packaging within the EU is a useful spin off from the

:45:33.:45:35.

European Union. It makes it easier to buy things in Europe. There are

:45:36.:45:41.

more convocations a few why anything outside the European Union. ``

:45:42.:45:47.

convocations. It is simpler to do tax and returns, things like that.

:45:48.:45:52.

In Brussels, they fancy themselves up making knockout beer. At places

:45:53.:45:57.

like this brewery, we can match them all the way. Traditional English

:45:58.:46:04.

ales and yet the brewery was built with 40% funding from Europe.

:46:05.:46:08.

Despite that cash help, the talk here is whether there is a financial

:46:09.:46:12.

case for staying in or pulling out. We need value for money. We need a

:46:13.:46:22.

clear strategy as to where we are going. We either join them for lawn

:46:23.:46:26.

or we don't. My personal view is that we join them. If we are not

:46:27.:46:32.

going to, let's step straight out. There is lamb on the menu here and

:46:33.:46:36.

the likelihood is it is British. It's one of the many exports from

:46:37.:46:40.

the East Midlands. It was valued at 1000 million pounds last year. For

:46:41.:46:45.

our farmers, the EU is or was on the menu. In Derbyshire, at the Bakewell

:46:46.:46:51.

cattle market, they are torn. They are aware that the EU, with its

:46:52.:46:57.

agricultural subsidies, is very pro`market but frustrated by red

:46:58.:47:01.

tape and wondering if it would be better if we left. The worst thing

:47:02.:47:07.

that happened was as going into the common market. We should be

:47:08.:47:10.

self`sufficient. We shouldn't be in this situation, ruled by what they

:47:11.:47:16.

do and everything. We should be on our own. Farmers would be better if

:47:17.:47:23.

we stayed in the European Union. We would carry on with better

:47:24.:47:26.

subsidies. But if we came out, we wouldn't have as much red tape like

:47:27.:47:35.

this EID system for the lambs. We are the biggest sheep industry in

:47:36.:47:39.

Europe. We should be saying what goes on. I am not sure that Britain

:47:40.:47:44.

as a whole would be better off staying in. I believe we would be

:47:45.:47:48.

better off out. From my own personal view, from making a living in the

:47:49.:47:55.

sheep trade, we are definitely better in. Act, react, impact. It is

:47:56.:48:03.

a slogan we will hear a lot of over the next few months as the European

:48:04.:48:06.

Parliament and the EU explain to us voters what these elections are all

:48:07.:48:11.

about. It would be nice if they did tell us more about what the benefits

:48:12.:48:13.

are because we don't know any different. Everyone is talking about

:48:14.:48:18.

the referendum but nobody actually knows the full detail. I could name

:48:19.:48:24.

a Parliamentary MPs but I never see them. The constituency is too big.

:48:25.:48:28.

Places like this can be a long way from home but with Europe going up

:48:29.:48:32.

the political agenda, many voters may have an appetite for more

:48:33.:48:36.

information about Europe and whether to embrace the EU or whether it is

:48:37.:48:40.

time to ask for the bill and to check out for good.

:48:41.:48:46.

Some interesting views and what seems to come across is that people

:48:47.:48:49.

are not necessarily hostile to Europe dashed towards Europe. Among

:48:50.:48:54.

those farmers there, there was a reluctant agreement that they are

:48:55.:49:04.

better off in. Top delete with macro there are some very powerful

:49:05.:49:08.

arguments for being in favour. Every pound you get in European grant

:49:09.:49:14.

funding costs them British Parliament threepence. I am very

:49:15.:49:17.

concerned about his idea that we wouldn't be able to trade if we

:49:18.:49:21.

left. The other point that I want to make is about farmers. Everybody

:49:22.:49:25.

agrees that in today's world, British farmers need a subsidy

:49:26.:49:28.

regime. Our point is quite simple. British farmers would be better off

:49:29.:49:32.

with a British subsidy regime, designed in Britain, rather than

:49:33.:49:37.

with a subsidy regime designed in Brussels for French farmers. Did you

:49:38.:49:41.

hear what the farmers said? They recognise there is a financial need

:49:42.:49:56.

to union, whether they personally felt they wanted to be in it.

:49:57.:49:58.

Financially, they felt they had to be. They were making the assumption

:49:59.:50:01.

that in the EU, they get payments but if they leave, that's the end of

:50:02.:50:04.

farm subsidies. My job is to reassure. We would have less

:50:05.:50:06.

regulation. You were sceptical about this. When we joined the European

:50:07.:50:12.

Union, it was for a common market, for the benefits of trade. It's a

:50:13.:50:20.

substantial contributor to the UK economy. What is in question is the

:50:21.:50:24.

level of interference we are having. We have been working hard in cutting

:50:25.:50:29.

that red tape and making sure people are actually working towards

:50:30.:50:32.

building an economy that is going to spill on growth and jobs. There is

:50:33.:50:35.

no getting away from it, there were a lot of sceptics in that film. I

:50:36.:50:40.

think partly because we don't get the message across well enough. When

:50:41.:50:46.

Emma talks about red tape, but the Conservatives are talking about are

:50:47.:50:52.

cutting rights at work, cart `` writes for part`time workers and for

:50:53.:50:55.

maternity provision. What is always said about the cost... I heard Roger

:50:56.:51:00.

talking about it. The CBI did a survey and each family is ?3000 a

:51:01.:51:07.

year better off... It's about information. They don't know who you

:51:08.:51:12.

are. Why is that? Some of you have been in Parliament in Europe for so

:51:13.:51:18.

long. We have to represent 3.5 million people in the East

:51:19.:51:22.

Midlands. It is physically impossible... Is that the problem?

:51:23.:51:29.

The cost of postage of a second`class stamp is 50p so we can

:51:30.:51:34.

certain letters out as well. It is physically impossible to reach these

:51:35.:51:38.

people. We don't get on national TV. This sounds like you're blaming us.

:51:39.:51:44.

The last thing is, the people who get the national media attention and

:51:45.:51:49.

are able of `` able to inform people other national leaders at

:51:50.:51:53.

Westminster. No party leader has ever talked about Europe in

:51:54.:51:58.

favourable terms. It would help if people in the East Midlands knew

:51:59.:52:03.

what it is you are doing for them. Can I give an example? I have a vote

:52:04.:52:09.

in a couple of weeks time on clinical trials. That means we will

:52:10.:52:12.

have medical research made easier and quicker. That brings new

:52:13.:52:16.

medicines to people in the East Midlands. I did that because I met

:52:17.:52:19.

cancer patients at the Nottingham hospital. That will be better for

:52:20.:52:22.

all of these patients suffering from those diseases. That is something we

:52:23.:52:25.

have done here. That's something practical. I can give an example.

:52:26.:52:34.

This very morning, I was arguing in a meeting that was taking place with

:52:35.:52:39.

the commission, that they should be reducing green energy subsidies,

:52:40.:52:43.

having the effect of reducing energy prices. I have brought into place,

:52:44.:52:50.

through working on the professional qualifications directive and alert

:52:51.:52:53.

mechanism so we will know if health care professionals working in this

:52:54.:52:57.

country have been struck off in another country. There will be an

:52:58.:53:00.

alert sent out to all countries in the EU and to also allow us to

:53:01.:53:05.

language test our professionals. That is something concrete that will

:53:06.:53:12.

change people 's lives. Mobile roaming charges would be got rid

:53:13.:53:17.

of. It's practical things that people care about. And also things

:53:18.:53:22.

like if you are bumped off your aircraft with your flight is

:53:23.:53:26.

cancelled, how you can actually make a claim for those sorts of things.

:53:27.:53:32.

It is not going to get us to the barricades. They don't know this

:53:33.:53:36.

comes from Europe. They think it is national legislation. The point I am

:53:37.:53:38.

making is this is European legislation. Glenys made a good

:53:39.:53:42.

point. The national ministers comeback from Brussels and claim the

:53:43.:53:48.

credit. They say I did this and that. They don't actually say it is

:53:49.:53:53.

the European Parliament. Another debate about whether we should be in

:53:54.:53:57.

Law out. Isn't that the time we gave voters once and for all the chance?

:53:58.:54:03.

You have to decide whether you think it is in Britain's interest. That is

:54:04.:54:08.

what you expect you to do. They expect you to take a lead. We

:54:09.:54:11.

believe it is in Britain's interest to be in the EU. We have been quite

:54:12.:54:18.

clear, there will be a referendum if there is any move of powers back to

:54:19.:54:23.

Brussels from the UK. There will be an in out referendum. That is our

:54:24.:54:26.

position. That is a sensible position to take. The uncertainty

:54:27.:54:32.

that the Conservatives are causing at the moment is for investment.

:54:33.:54:37.

Businesses tell me all the time they don't know whether to invest in

:54:38.:54:39.

Britain because they don't know whether we are going to be out in a

:54:40.:54:43.

couple of years time or not. We have to give that stability. We have said

:54:44.:54:47.

yes, we are in and we will have an in out referendum if there are

:54:48.:54:51.

powers... We need the referendum now. The reason why we cannot have

:54:52.:54:57.

the referendum now is because we need to get legislation through the

:54:58.:55:01.

House of Commons to have a referendum. These two parties won't

:55:02.:55:04.

let that happen. The remedy is, if we are going to have a new

:55:05.:55:08.

relationship with the EU going forward, needs to be the British

:55:09.:55:11.

people who make that decision. We need a referendum. We need a plan in

:55:12.:55:15.

place. There is no plan for the future from UKIP. We trust the

:55:16.:55:20.

British people which Labour and the Lib Dems don't, to make that

:55:21.:55:23.

decision. You don't have a plan because we don't know what is going

:55:24.:55:27.

to be negotiated. We don't know what it is going to look like and what we

:55:28.:55:34.

are going to vote on. It is not clearly outlined. There is no plan

:55:35.:55:39.

because nobody knows. If you ask David Cameron, will he say yes or

:55:40.:55:42.

no? You doesn't know because he doesn't know what he is going to

:55:43.:55:48.

come out with. It's nonsense. He doesn't want to stay in the

:55:49.:55:53.

casino... We have a referendum in 1975. The campaign started, they

:55:54.:55:58.

were two to one against. After four weeks of campaigning, the public

:55:59.:56:06.

voted in favour of staying in. For four weeks we will have all the

:56:07.:56:09.

facts put forward. I'm very confident that the public will vote

:56:10.:56:12.

yes to stay in. We will have to leave it there. That's it from

:56:13.:56:19.

Brussels. Next, we will be slumming it

:56:20.:56:22.

decision, she will weigh up the factors. Andrew, back

:56:23.:56:23.

The big news is the popular server is struggling to control all of the

:56:24.:56:39.

people who want to find out where they fit in the political spectrum.

:56:40.:56:44.

It hasn't quite crashed but it is queueing up those people. Who would

:56:45.:56:49.

have thought the Sunday Politics had so many viewers? It has never

:56:50.:56:59.

happened on the X factor. This morning's papers don't make

:57:00.:57:01.

comfortable reading for Labour with two separate polls showing the

:57:02.:57:04.

party's lead over the Tories is down to just one point. And there's been

:57:05.:57:07.

plenty of criticism of Ed Miliband's response to the Budget. Let's take a

:57:08.:57:11.

look. You know you are in trouble when even the Education Secretary

:57:12.:57:14.

calls you and out of touch bunch of elitist. Where is he? He is hiding!

:57:15.:57:26.

I think he has been consigned to the naughty step by the Prime Minister.

:57:27.:57:33.

The naughty step! And we're joined now by shadow chief secretary to the

:57:34.:57:38.

Treasury, Chris Leslie. There was a widely criticised response by Ed

:57:39.:57:42.

Balls to the Autumn Statement, now a widely criticised response by Ed

:57:43.:57:48.

Miliband to the Budget. Does this show you are struggling at the

:57:49.:57:54.

moment? Of course Ed Balls and Ed Miliband don't want to hear the fact

:57:55.:57:59.

that in reality, for most people, life is getting harder and there is

:58:00.:58:03.

the cost of living crisis. Did we get any mention of that in the

:58:04.:58:13.

Budget? Of course we didn't. We were waiting for action on the cost of

:58:14.:58:17.

living and it wasn't forthcoming. Ed Miliband came up with the tactic of

:58:18.:58:22.

responding to the Budget without mentioning anything that was in it.

:58:23.:58:27.

He mentioned the fact the personal tax allowance was a bit of a

:58:28.:58:31.

giveaway but he takes more with the other hand. He is in favour of that,

:58:32.:58:38.

right? Anything we can get but we need a lot more. Let me tell you

:58:39.:58:42.

something else he mentioned, the fact the national debt has risen by

:58:43.:58:51.

a third and George Osborne and David Cameron... They knew that before the

:58:52.:58:54.

Budget. The borrowing figures were announced and Ed Miliband made

:58:55.:59:00.

reference to those. There is not a lot of happiness on Labour

:59:01.:59:05.

backbenchers about this, is there? And indeed not a lot of happiness in

:59:06.:59:10.

the shadow cabinet. There is concern that Ed Miliband is on a journey to

:59:11.:59:15.

remodel world capitalism whilst George Osborne is firing some love

:59:16.:59:19.

bombs at Middle England by talking about freeing up the pensions market

:59:20.:59:23.

and there is real nerves that what Ed Miliband is saying is not going

:59:24.:59:28.

to be in tune with those middle income earners that the Labour Party

:59:29.:59:34.

has got to attract if they are going to win the general election. When

:59:35.:59:41.

Rachel Reeves used the medium of Radio 4 to announce you were broadly

:59:42.:59:45.

in favour of the pension reforms announced by the Chancellor on

:59:46.:59:49.

Friday night, was that a result of a decision taken by the shadow

:59:50.:59:59.

cabinet? Is With annuities, they are a very old-fashioned product. There

:00:00.:00:06.

are some serious questions which need to be addressed. Was that the

:00:07.:00:13.

result of a Shadow Cabinet decision? We have not had a Shadow

:00:14.:00:17.

Cabinet since the budget. We all want to make sure that we understand

:00:18.:00:22.

the point about flexibility. No one is arguing with that. There are some

:00:23.:00:27.

serious concerns. Let me give you a couple of examples. This is

:00:28.:00:30.

something the Chancellor has done, he claims, for reasons of freedom

:00:31.:00:35.

and flexibility. Is it a coincidence he is grabbing quite a lot of tax

:00:36.:00:39.

from pensioners early on to plug a hole which is necessary because the

:00:40.:00:47.

deficit has not gone down? Forgive me for being slightly cynical about

:00:48.:00:53.

motives. For or against it? We need to have safeguards for protection of

:00:54.:00:58.

pensioners. What will it do for the annuity market if most people still

:00:59.:01:01.

want to have a steadying come for a third of their lives? -- steady

:01:02.:01:09.

income. What does Labour have to do to get it show back on the road? The

:01:10.:01:18.

question is, how do people feel? How many people will still not be

:01:19.:01:22.

feeling better by the next election? Wages may be rising slightly but not

:01:23.:01:25.

for a large and significant number of people. They were just looking at

:01:26.:01:31.

the YouGov poll. If you look at the middle to low earners, they are

:01:32.:01:34.

overwhelmingly pro-labour. Can Labour get those people out to vote?

:01:35.:01:39.

They are really hurting. There are plenty of them. The question is

:01:40.:01:43.

whether people are optimistic because they see figures as if they

:01:44.:01:48.

look as if they are on the up or whether they vote according to how

:01:49.:01:53.

they feel, which will still be very far behind. Cost of living has been

:01:54.:01:58.

a major mantra from Labour. That's that this chart shows how things are

:01:59.:02:03.

beginning to change. What this shows is that, sometime this year, after a

:02:04.:02:09.

long time at which average earnings trailed inflation, they now overtake

:02:10.:02:13.

it in the run-up to the election and they stay there for the forecast

:02:14.:02:20.

period. What do you now do if your cost of living mantra is running out

:02:21.:02:26.

of steam? I am not sure that, for most people, they will recognise the

:02:27.:02:30.

sense that suddenly things will be getting better. Particularly the

:02:31.:02:33.

younger generation are really feeling quite down about the

:02:34.:02:39.

pressures they are facing to make ends meet. You can see the lines are

:02:40.:02:46.

exaggerated because the Y axis on the side starts quite high up. It

:02:47.:02:51.

does not start at zero. The other statistic from the OBR is that we

:02:52.:02:55.

will not be getting back to the point where wages are exceeding

:02:56.:02:59.

prices from the pre-banking crisis period until late 2017. There are

:03:00.:03:07.

some really serious pressures that people are under. What they wanted

:03:08.:03:11.

was a budget that would address concerns and, for the vast majority

:03:12.:03:16.

of people, they will have heard the statement by George Osborne and

:03:17.:03:22.

think, how is it really help them now? It did not address it. It is

:03:23.:03:30.

clear that by 2015, average living standards will probably not have

:03:31.:03:35.

returned to where they were in 2010. Average wages will not have

:03:36.:03:39.

done that. On the other hand, the chart shows the sense of direction

:03:40.:03:43.

is moving in the right way. Which one matters more with the

:03:44.:03:49.

electorate? I suspect it is sense of direction. People sense of

:03:50.:03:52.

prosperity does not need to be buoyant. It has to be something

:03:53.:03:57.

worth preserving. We have to fear the all turn. That is what intrigued

:03:58.:04:03.

me this week. People make too much of a fuss about the Parliamentary

:04:04.:04:07.

response by Ed Miliband. People will forgive a bad day at the dispatch

:04:08.:04:12.

box. What they will not forgive is the absence of a macro economic

:04:13.:04:19.

mess. Labour have a very powerful message on living standards and lots

:04:20.:04:24.

of popular, targeted interventions like the energy price freeze. You

:04:25.:04:30.

can imagine they will be sufficiently nervous about that next

:04:31.:04:35.

year. If living standards are not back to where they were, Labour can

:04:36.:04:43.

say, are you better off now than when you were four years ago? The

:04:44.:04:51.

reason why break and -- wallowed waken one that is because Jimmy

:04:52.:05:03.

Carter mucked it up -- Ronald Reagan. Labour have to say, vote for

:05:04.:05:11.

us and you will get 2 million homes. At the moment, the offer is very

:05:12.:05:15.

modest. You need to find the money to do that. People need to

:05:16.:05:19.

understand that housing is at the very heart of the economy, as well

:05:20.:05:23.

as young people and their aspirations. At the moment, Labour

:05:24.:05:30.

's offer is not spectacular in. If the focus group shows the cost of

:05:31.:05:33.

living crisis have no longer has the attraction it did, what line do you

:05:34.:05:39.

move onto? Yellow McCoy must remind people of the wasted years and the

:05:40.:05:42.

cost of living pressures they have been under. -- we must remind

:05:43.:05:49.

people. We want a recovery which has low growth, low wage. A race to the

:05:50.:05:58.

bottom. They want a recovery that is felt by everyone, shared and felt by

:05:59.:06:04.

all. Now, here's an idea to twist your melon. Mark Berry, better known

:06:05.:06:09.

as Bez, it says here he's a member of something called The Happy

:06:10.:06:11.

Mondays, wants to stand for parliament. He's best known for

:06:12.:06:15.

being in a band, and not doing very much, so he might fit in. Here he is

:06:16.:06:20.

in action. And Bez joins us from our Salford

:06:21.:06:48.

studio. Good to see you. Is this a genuine candidacy or are you

:06:49.:06:56.

twisting my melon? Amazing how time flies when you're having fun! You

:06:57.:07:05.

having fun doing this candidacy? I am doing the job of the politicians

:07:06.:07:09.

and standing up for the people and bringing attention to the horror of

:07:10.:07:15.

fracking, which is a totally unsafe technology. There is no one in

:07:16.:07:19.

mainstream politics who is discussing or saying anything about

:07:20.:07:24.

it. It is an unsafe technology and it has been proven in America. You

:07:25.:07:29.

see the process in America and the people out on the streets. The whole

:07:30.:07:39.

atmosphere has been made toxic. These people are allowing it to

:07:40.:07:44.

happen in the name of profit. This has been a Labour seat you are

:07:45.:07:50.

fighting in Salford since 1945. It is a tough mountain. Supposing you

:07:51.:07:55.

were to win, could you ever see yourself entering a coalition? With

:07:56.:08:02.

a bit of luck I may be able to shame Labour politicians to do the job

:08:03.:08:05.

properly and stand up for the rights of people. They are not and I am

:08:06.:08:09.

having to do that job. All I am doing is causing debate and bringing

:08:10.:08:15.

to attention the horror that is hanging on our doorsteps. It is not

:08:16.:08:19.

only fracking but GM modified foods that they want to bring into this

:08:20.:08:24.

country as well. Owen Paterson is one of the main lobbyists. Lobbying

:08:25.:08:32.

is legalised bribery, by the way. It is run by the bankers. Basically, we

:08:33.:08:38.

have to stop these monsters from getting into our country and turning

:08:39.:08:42.

our land into a toxic waste. That is what I am trying to say. You are

:08:43.:08:48.

raising the debate, as you are doing with us here. We do not really need

:08:49.:08:54.

fracking. You have done that and you have talked about other things as

:08:55.:08:59.

well. In terms of a new integrity, if you were to become an MP, would

:09:00.:09:06.

you claim expenses? If I ever do get in charge, I would completely enter

:09:07.:09:10.

the banking system and there would be expensive, but they would be like

:09:11.:09:15.

bus passes and train passes. You behave like the people and you are

:09:16.:09:19.

in touch with the people, you move with the people and do understand

:09:20.:09:24.

what the people want. You do not live in acre Kuhn of your own making

:09:25.:09:28.

of luxury, wealth and total disregard of everyone else. -- a

:09:29.:09:36.

cocoon. If you did get into the Palace of Westminster and had to

:09:37.:09:39.

mingle with all these people, who would you rather have in night out

:09:40.:09:45.

with - Mr Cameron, Mr Miller band or Mr Clegg? I would be willing to

:09:46.:09:54.

discuss politics with anybody. I would make them realise what they

:09:55.:10:02.

are doing. I am glad too have a debate and with anyone. The people

:10:03.:10:09.

of Salford, quite a lot people people behind me. I have been

:10:10.:10:15.

speaking to Salford councillors. They are going to lend me their

:10:16.:10:23.

support. The people of Salford, and not to forget the people of Eccles,

:10:24.:10:29.

sending you much. We must stop this horror. There is a monster on our

:10:30.:10:34.

doorstep and we must stop it, people. Do not forget to take your

:10:35.:10:40.

maracas on campaign trail. Would you like a pair to shake yourself? You

:10:41.:10:48.

shake your maracas against fracking! Thanks, Bez, goodbye. Thank you for

:10:49.:10:54.

giving me a little platform to express my views. Now if there's one

:10:55.:11:01.

thing that gets us hot under the collar here at the Sunday Politics

:11:02.:11:03.

it's European elections. The only thing we like more than the

:11:04.:11:06.

elections themselves is a TV debate about them. And we're in luck! Take

:11:07.:11:11.

a look at this. Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome leader of

:11:12.:11:14.

the Liberal Democrats and Deputy Prime Minister, Nick Clegg. Gives

:11:15.:11:22.

the most fantastic welcome to Nigel Farage. I would challenge Nigel

:11:23.:11:30.

Farage to a public, open debate, about whether she we should be out

:11:31.:11:37.

all in of the European Union. I will do it for Nick Clegg. Since 2009, I

:11:38.:11:48.

have taken part in 45% of votes in the European Parliament. Nigel

:11:49.:11:55.

Farage has not tabled a single amendment since July 2009. Mr Clegg

:11:56.:12:03.

has only taken part in 22% of votes in the House of commons. You can

:12:04.:12:10.

watch the debate at 7pm on the 2nd of April over on BBC Two. And for a

:12:11.:12:22.

chance to be part of the studio audience on the night and put your

:12:23.:12:25.

question to the two party leaders, e-mail the question you'd like to

:12:26.:12:28.

ask to [email protected] or tweet it using the hashtag

:12:29.:12:30.

#europedebate. And Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage will be limbering up

:12:31.:12:34.

this week with their first debate on LBC radio on Wednesday. Who is going

:12:35.:12:42.

to come out the best? I suspect Nigel Farage. It is easy to portray

:12:43.:12:48.

Nick Clegg as morally compromised, who has not asserted himself in

:12:49.:12:52.

government. I do wonder about Nigel Farage, whether he is much better at

:12:53.:12:57.

delivering a popular line and responding to the second question of

:12:58.:13:02.

third question. Nick Clegg will win it hands over fist because he knows

:13:03.:13:06.

this stuff. He is right. The evidence that he can produce about

:13:07.:13:10.

what will happen if we pulled out of Europe will, I think, overwhelm

:13:11.:13:18.

Nigel Farage 's one-liners. They will both be winners because you

:13:19.:13:25.

will have the rare sight of the pro-European saying he likes the

:13:26.:13:29.

European Union. That is unlike Eurosceptics who tie themselves up

:13:30.:13:35.

in knots. 14 Nigel, one for Nick and one for both. There you go. Here is

:13:36.:13:48.

a mess, it is Janen Ganesh. That's all for today. The Daily Politics is

:13:49.:13:52.

on BBC Two at Lunchtime every day this week, I'll be back here next

:13:53.:13:55.

week with Energy Secretary Ed Davey. Remember if it's Sunday, it's the

:13:56.:13:57.

Sunday Politics.

:13:58.:14:03.

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