
Browse content similar to 30/03/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. | :00:36. | :00:41. | |
Can Ed Davey keep the lights on? Can he ever deliver cheaper power? Or | :00:42. | :00:45. | |
the investment our energy market badly needs? We'll be asking the | :00:46. | :00:49. | |
Energy Secretary. Why has the anti-independence Better | :00:50. | :00:52. | |
Together campaign suddenly got the jitters? We'll be quizzing Scottish | :00:53. | :00:58. | |
Secretary Alistair Carmichael. And whatever happened to the BNP? | :00:59. | :01:00. | |
They could be heading And in the East Midlands: The cuts | :01:01. | :01:06. | |
to mental health services which put patients and the public at risk. | :01:07. | :01:10. | |
And talk like an East Midlander ` should politicians sound more like | :01:11. | :01:11. | |
us? In London, changes to the authority | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
which runs the capital's Fire Service. The Mayor has a political | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
move designed to silence his critics. | :01:19. | :01:24. | |
And with me, as always, the most useless political panel in the | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
business, who we're contractually obliged to insult on a weekly basis. | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
But not today, because they are our chosen ones. They are the brightest | :01:34. | :01:37. | |
and the best, we've even hired a plane to prove it: Helen Lewis, | :01:38. | :01:45. | |
Janan Ganesh and Nick Watt who'll be tweeting throughout the programme. | :01:46. | :01:51. | |
Right, left and centre of the Westminster Establishment have been | :01:52. | :01:54. | |
unanimous in saying there would be no chance of monetary union with the | :01:55. | :01:57. | |
rest of the UK for an independent Scotland. Then an unnamed minister | :01:58. | :02:02. | |
spoke to our Nick saying that wasn't necessarily so, and that made the | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
Guardian's front page. The SNP were delighted and the anti-independence | :02:08. | :02:12. | |
campaign rushed to limit the damage. The faux pas has come at a time when | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
the Better Together side was already beginning to worry that things were | :02:16. | :02:20. | |
going the Nationalists' way. Let's speak to a leading light in that | :02:21. | :02:23. | |
campaign, Scottish Secretary Alistair Carmichael, who's in | :02:24. | :02:25. | |
Aberdeen at the Scottish Liberal Democrat spring conference. | :02:26. | :02:36. | |
Alistair Carmichael, why is there a sense of crisis now engulfing the no | :02:37. | :02:42. | |
campaign? I think that is something of an overstatement. What you have | :02:43. | :02:50. | |
got is, I am getting my own voice played back in my ear. What you have | :02:51. | :02:55. | |
got here is one story from an unnamed source, a minister who we | :02:56. | :03:01. | |
are told, we do not know for certain, who has speculated on the | :03:02. | :03:05. | |
possibility of a currency union actually happening. I do not think | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
that is helpful but it is not any big deal. You have to measure it | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
against what we have got publicly named on the record. We have got a | :03:14. | :03:17. | |
detailed intervention of the Governor of the Bank of England, | :03:18. | :03:20. | |
Mark Carney, outlining all the reasons why a currency union would | :03:21. | :03:24. | |
not be a good idea. And then you have got independent advice from the | :03:25. | :03:28. | |
permanent Secretary of the Treasury himself saying actually, this is | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
such a bad idea, that I would never advise a chancellor to go ahead with | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
it. You set one against the other and you see that pretty much the | :03:37. | :03:42. | |
force of argument is very much against those of us who want to | :03:43. | :03:46. | |
remain in the United Kingdom. All the minister was saying is come the | :03:47. | :03:50. | |
day, if Westminster is negotiating with a new independent Scotland, a | :03:51. | :03:54. | |
deal is to be done, Faslane where the nuclear deterrent is, there is | :03:55. | :03:58. | |
nowhere else in the UK to put that is, certainly not for the next 20 | :03:59. | :04:04. | |
years, a deal would be done, the nuclear weapons would stay in | :04:05. | :04:07. | |
Faslane and Scotland would get a monetary union with the rest of the | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
UK. That is perfectly plausible, isn't it? No, I'm sorry, it is | :04:12. | :04:18. | |
simply not plausible. The economy is more important than anything else. | :04:19. | :04:21. | |
What you have had here is very clear advice from the treasury officials | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
saying it is not in the economic best interests of the people of | :04:27. | :04:29. | |
England Wales, Northern Ireland, any more than it is in the interests of | :04:30. | :04:36. | |
people in Scotland. Where do you put the nukes? The outcome will not | :04:37. | :04:43. | |
change. Where do you put the nukes when the Nationalists kick you out? | :04:44. | :04:50. | |
I do not believe that will be a problem because I do not believe | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
Scotland will vote for independence. But you might be asking the Scottish | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
Nationalists, who are apparently promoting this, are they then not | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
sincere when they say they want to remove nuclear weapons from | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
Scotland? It seems to be a curious mixed message. As you know, I have | :05:07. | :05:11. | |
not got the Nationalists, I have got you, so let me ask you the | :05:12. | :05:15. | |
questions. You are widely seen as running a campaign which is too | :05:16. | :05:27. | |
negative. The Nationalists are narrowing the gap in the poll found | :05:28. | :05:29. | |
you are squabbling among yourselves. This campaign is going pear shaped, | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
isn't it? No, let's deal with the polls. All the polls show that the | :05:34. | :05:37. | |
people of Scotland want to stay as part of the United Kingdom. Yes, | :05:38. | :05:43. | |
there were a couple of polls last week that said the gap was narrowing | :05:44. | :05:48. | |
a little. The most recent poll of all, the poll on Wednesday which | :05:49. | :05:55. | |
actually polled people's voting intentions on the question come | :05:56. | :05:59. | |
September showed that only 28% of people in Scotland were prepared to | :06:00. | :06:02. | |
say they were voting yes, as opposed to the 42% who were on our side of | :06:03. | :06:07. | |
the argument saying they wish to remain part of the UK. That poll | :06:08. | :06:13. | |
said women were skewing towards a yes vote and it showed that the | :06:14. | :06:18. | |
don't knows were beginning to skew towards a yes vote. That is why you | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
yourself wrote this morning that if your campaign does not get its act | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
together, you would be sleepwalking into a split to quote yourself. No, | :06:28. | :06:33. | |
to quote myself I said it was not impossible that the Nationalists | :06:34. | :06:37. | |
could win that. That is absolutely the case. The biggest danger for the | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
United Kingdom camp in this whole argument is people will look at the | :06:42. | :06:45. | |
polls. They show us with a healthy lead consistently. As a consequence, | :06:46. | :06:50. | |
they think this will not happen. It can happen. I have got to tell | :06:51. | :07:05. | |
everybody that it could, not least because the Nationalists have an | :07:06. | :07:07. | |
enormous advantage in terms of the amount of money they have at their | :07:08. | :07:10. | |
disposal to buy momentum. They will be advertising in cinemas, in | :07:11. | :07:12. | |
football matches and on social media. We have got to realise what | :07:13. | :07:17. | |
is coming and as a consequence, we have got to get our arguments in | :07:18. | :07:21. | |
place and our campaign as sharp as theirs. Thank you for joining us. | :07:22. | :07:29. | |
Nick, this unnamed minister who gave you the story, did he or she know | :07:30. | :07:35. | |
what they were doing? I do not think they were sitting there wanting to | :07:36. | :07:42. | |
blast this out there, because the agreed government position was there | :07:43. | :07:46. | |
will not be a currency union, if there is a vote for independence. | :07:47. | :07:53. | |
But what I was managing to get hold of whether thoughts that are in the | :07:54. | :07:56. | |
deeper recesses of people's minds, when they are looking at the polls | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
which have been narrowing, or there was Alistair Carmichael quite | :08:01. | :08:03. | |
rightly says, the pro-UK vote is still ahead. People are looking down | :08:04. | :08:09. | |
the line, what would happen after the 18th of September this year, not | :08:10. | :08:12. | |
just the next day but the next year, in those very lengthy | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
negotiations that would take place, when there would be a lot of moving | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
places on the table. You talked about Faslane, what would happen | :08:22. | :08:25. | |
then and that is what I managed to get hold of, that there are thoughts | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
about all those pieces that would be on the table. It is not surprising | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
that some in Westminster think that. Let's take the Shadow | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
Chancellor Danny Alexander at his word, they do not want a monetary | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
union. But if they are faced with giving the Scots a monetary union in | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
a post-independent Scotland, or having to remove the nuclear | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
submarines from Faslane, where they have nowhere else to put them, | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
probably except North America, there is a deal to be done. I think | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
whatever minister gave Nick his story is probably onto something. If | :09:01. | :09:04. | |
the Scots vote for independence, of course a deal will be done about the | :09:05. | :09:09. | |
currency because it is not in London's interests to have a | :09:10. | :09:12. | |
rancorous relationship with Edinburgh. Even if the deal is not | :09:13. | :09:16. | |
done, how does one country stop another country using its. That is | :09:17. | :09:27. | |
different. All London can really do is prevent Scottish intervention on | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
the monetary policy committee. The interest rate would be set without | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
any regard to the Scottish interest. Even that is only a fatal problem if | :09:35. | :09:38. | |
the Scottish economy becomes so out of sync with the UK economy. Except | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
it is a problem for Scotland's financial system because if you go | :09:44. | :09:49. | |
down that route there is no means of injecting liquidity into the | :09:50. | :09:52. | |
financial system in the financial crisis. That is why they would | :09:53. | :09:56. | |
rather have a monetary union. Is it not remarkable to hear the Secretary | :09:57. | :10:00. | |
of State for Scotland here that the Nationalists are spending too much | :10:01. | :10:03. | |
money, when he represents a campaign which brings together all the major | :10:04. | :10:06. | |
parties in the UK and all the resources of the UK and he is | :10:07. | :10:11. | |
bleating about the Nationalists having more to spend? I did think | :10:12. | :10:14. | |
that was a funny line and it was in the Observer. It lays into Alex | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
Salmond's plucky upstart idea that he's taking on this big | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
establishment. I thought it was a bizarre open goal, I am losing my | :10:24. | :10:30. | |
football metaphors, forgive me. The polls are so in favour of a no | :10:31. | :10:38. | |
vote. But the trend has been going their way. We have six months left | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
which is not enough to close the gap. They always tell you Alex | :10:43. | :10:46. | |
Salmond is a strong finisher. The plucky upstarts have this funding | :10:47. | :10:53. | |
from a millionaire. The Better Together campaign are being | :10:54. | :10:56. | |
incredibly cautious about where they get their money from. They do not | :10:57. | :11:00. | |
want to go to the City of London Police say, give us a couple of | :11:01. | :11:03. | |
million. Being Energy Secretary used to be a | :11:04. | :11:07. | |
bit of a dawdle, especially when North Sea oil was flowing. Now it's | :11:08. | :11:10. | |
very much a hot potato as Ed Davey has been finding out the hard way. | :11:11. | :11:18. | |
High household energy bills have been top of his inbox. The big six | :11:19. | :11:26. | |
energy companies account for 95% of the market. Off Johnson -- Ofgem | :11:27. | :11:33. | |
said there had been possible tacit coordination in the timing of price | :11:34. | :11:38. | |
rises and ordered an investigation by the competition and markets | :11:39. | :11:40. | |
authorities which will look at whether the big six should be broken | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
up. Where does that leave investment? The boss of Centrica | :11:46. | :11:49. | |
made the point that you would not spend money building an extension if | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
you knew in two years time your home might be bulldozed. The spare | :11:54. | :11:58. | |
margin, that is what is left in the generating system to cope with a | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
surge in demand on a cold winter's night, is due to drop to | :12:03. | :12:08. | |
historically low levels in 2016, according to Ofgem. Normally at | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
around 15%, capacity could drop to 2% after the next election and that | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
could lead to a surge in the sale of candles. Now where is that light | :12:19. | :12:22. | |
switch? Energy Secretary Ed Davey, joins me | :12:23. | :12:28. | |
now. Oh, we have found the light switch! The gap between a peak | :12:29. | :12:36. | |
winter demand and generating capacity could possibly reach 2% | :12:37. | :12:41. | |
next winter or the winter after. We will keep the lights on, that is for | :12:42. | :12:47. | |
clear. When we came to power, energy investment had been relatively low. | :12:48. | :12:50. | |
The Labour Party had failed to deal with the energy deficit. From day | :12:51. | :12:54. | |
one we have been pushing up massively. Investment has been 8 | :12:55. | :13:02. | |
billion a year. Last year was a record. Spare capacity is now | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
heading to 2%. Why are you allowing it to get that no? Because we have | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
been increasing investment massively, last was a record level, | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
we will be able to keep the lights on. Some of the figures you are | :13:17. | :13:19. | |
showing suggests we are not doing anything. We have not only done | :13:20. | :13:25. | |
enough in our last three years, we have put in measures to stimulate | :13:26. | :13:30. | |
huge amounts of extra investment. We have the healthiest pipeline | :13:31. | :13:33. | |
investment in our history. We will come onto investment in a minute. | :13:34. | :13:37. | |
None of that change is the fact that we will be close to 2% next winter | :13:38. | :13:42. | |
or the winter after that. We have one major power station shut down, | :13:43. | :13:50. | |
or a cold winter away from having major problems with energy supply. | :13:51. | :13:57. | |
It is still 2%. Let me explain. The figures assume we are not doing | :13:58. | :14:01. | |
anything but we are doing something. Look at the National Grid. They are | :14:02. | :14:06. | |
able to bring in energy from interconnector is because we are | :14:07. | :14:10. | |
connected up to Europe. They are able to create a reserve so if we | :14:11. | :14:16. | |
get to problems, they will have a mothballed plant they can bring on. | :14:17. | :14:22. | |
You have not agreed with anybody on that. The decision was taken last | :14:23. | :14:28. | |
July. But no supplier has agreed to under mothball its plant. We would | :14:29. | :14:33. | |
not expect them to do that yet. Our plan is in place. On time, on | :14:34. | :14:40. | |
schedule, as we already thought it would be. But you have not got a | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
single agreement with a power supply who has mothballed plant to on the | :14:45. | :14:52. | |
ball it. We did not expect to. Our plan is in me National Grid will do | :14:53. | :14:57. | |
an election to allow those plants to come on. There is a huge amount of | :14:58. | :15:01. | |
interest. There are gigawatts of power that can come in to come on. | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
There is a huge amount of interest. There are gigawatts of power that | :15:05. | :15:08. | |
can come into that auction and we are not other measures we can take | :15:09. | :15:12. | |
and that is just in the short term. We have a plan for the medium-term. | :15:13. | :15:17. | |
We will be running the first auction for new capacity. The final decision | :15:18. | :15:33. | |
will be taken and we have learned lessons from what they do in North | :15:34. | :15:35. | |
America and other European countries so we can stay minute mothballed | :15:36. | :15:38. | |
plants and new plants to be built. I am absolutely clear there is not a | :15:39. | :15:47. | |
problem. You only build 9000 megawatts of new capacity from | :15:48. | :15:54. | |
2011-13. You have closed almost 22,000 megawatts. Why would you be | :15:55. | :15:57. | |
so cavalier with a nation's power supply? The last Government was | :15:58. | :16:02. | |
cavalier because we knew those figures are happening because we've | :16:03. | :16:05. | |
known for a long time a lot of power plants were coming to the end of | :16:06. | :16:09. | |
their life, coal power plants, nuclear power plants, and we had to | :16:10. | :16:12. | |
increase the rate of investment, but we... That shows clearly you are | :16:13. | :16:20. | |
closing twice as much, you have to date, closed twice as much as you | :16:21. | :16:23. | |
have opened, hence the lack of spare capacity. We knew a lot of them are | :16:24. | :16:27. | |
coming back for the last Labour Government knew. We have increased | :16:28. | :16:31. | |
the new so that's increasing significantly, far faster than under | :16:32. | :16:34. | |
the last Government but also remember, you were very wrong at the | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
beginning of your clip, margins at 15% are very own usual. They are | :16:40. | :16:46. | |
historically high. The average margin was 25%. That was wasting a | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
huge amount of money. But since privatisation, we've had margins | :16:52. | :16:56. | |
between 5% and 10%. Normally, high margins historically, which is | :16:57. | :17:02. | |
costly. Now we will have historically low margins. People | :17:03. | :17:06. | |
have to pay for that, so we make sure the lights stay on, we have a | :17:07. | :17:10. | |
short-term policy I have described to you, and medium-term policy and a | :17:11. | :17:14. | |
long-term policy. The long-term policy comes huge investment between | :17:15. | :17:15. | |
nuclear and optional, policy comes huge investment between | :17:16. | :17:39. | |
on. Ofgem, Independent, says the chance of blackouts by 2016 has | :17:40. | :17:47. | |
increased fourfold under your watch. What they say, if you read the | :17:48. | :17:56. | |
report, if we did nothing, they would be problems. But we have been | :17:57. | :17:59. | |
working with Ofgem. We have been working with National Grid, and we | :18:00. | :18:04. | |
have agreed that there will be a reserve capacity which can come on | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
if we get to the peak for the Best not just on the supply side but | :18:09. | :18:14. | |
demand and into connectors. You talk about industry having to move to | :18:15. | :18:18. | |
off-peak times. We say, they are prepared to that you paid for it, | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
and it makes commercial sense for them, it's a sensible thing for the | :18:23. | :18:26. | |
Wii will pay them to move to off-peak. You have huge diesel parks | :18:27. | :18:30. | |
for the you talk as if that something new but it's been around | :18:31. | :18:33. | |
for a long time for the 200 these contracts out there. We want to | :18:34. | :18:39. | |
expand that. You have hundreds of diesel generators to click into, | :18:40. | :18:42. | |
haven't you? There's a whole range of generators. Diesel generation, | :18:43. | :18:50. | |
dirty fuel. There's a of mothballed gas which can come. If you look at | :18:51. | :18:55. | |
the increase of the independent generators, many companies, a range | :18:56. | :19:05. | |
of power companies who are building a new power station and want to | :19:06. | :19:10. | |
build new ones. This is a healthy situation. You say you made over 100 | :19:11. | :19:13. | |
billion new investment between now and the end of the decade to restore | :19:14. | :19:17. | |
capacity and meet renewable targets. Now you have referred the | :19:18. | :19:21. | |
Big Six to the competition commission, how much of that to | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
expect to come from them? We will see what the market delivers. We | :19:27. | :19:31. | |
have always expected independent generators to do a lot more than is | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
happening in the past. How much from the Big Six? It's not for me to say | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
it's going to be best from that company. The real interest is we | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
have huge amounts of companies wanting to invest. If you look at | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
independent analysis, they say Britain is one of the best places to | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
invest in energy in the world. We are the worldly do in offshore | :19:55. | :19:57. | |
wind, one of the best for renewables, one of the only | :19:58. | :20:00. | |
countries getting nuclear power stations. Rather than the bleaker | :20:01. | :20:05. | |
picture you're painting, the reverse is the case. We are seeing an | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
investment renaissance. You say that. Let me give you some facts. | :20:11. | :20:15. | |
Under this Government, only one gas plant has been under construction, | :20:16. | :20:20. | |
only one started under your watch for the others were done under | :20:21. | :20:23. | |
Labour. You have none in the pipeline. The Big Six has pulled | :20:24. | :20:28. | |
back from further investment including new offshore wind | :20:29. | :20:31. | |
investment and none of what you're talking about will come before 2020 | :20:32. | :20:37. | |
anyway. That's simply not true. The balance reserves I've talked about, | :20:38. | :20:40. | |
the reserve planned: Making sure the mothballed plant could come on, I | :20:41. | :20:44. | |
capacity market incentivising new power, will happen way before 2020, | :20:45. | :20:51. | |
so that's not true. But doesn't answer the extra capacity. You have | :20:52. | :20:54. | |
no answer between now and the end of this decade. We have three answers. | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
Let me repeat them for you. I said permanent, not the short-term ones | :21:00. | :21:04. | |
you are putting in place to try to do with spare capacity. We have a | :21:05. | :21:09. | |
short-term plan, of course, that's very sensible. Medium-term plan, | :21:10. | :21:13. | |
auctioning for new power stations. That can lead to both mothballed | :21:14. | :21:16. | |
plant and when you plant, permanent plant being built, and the long-term | :21:17. | :21:22. | |
plan, to stimulator long-term investment, some of which will be | :21:23. | :21:26. | |
built and come online way before the end of the decade. I'm afraid, it's | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
a far rosier picture than your painting. It's also far more | :21:31. | :21:35. | |
expensive, too. Let's look at how you are replacing relatively cheap | :21:36. | :21:38. | |
energy with much more expensive sources of energy. Wholesale prices | :21:39. | :21:44. | |
is ?50 per megawatt. You have done a deal with EDF, nuclear, ?92 50. You | :21:45. | :21:51. | |
have indexed it for 30 years at 2012 prices. | :21:52. | :22:02. | |
All of that puts up our bills. First of all, the support of the low | :22:03. | :22:11. | |
Carbon is just 4% on bills. What has been driving peoples bills over the | :22:12. | :22:16. | |
last decade has been wholesale gas prices. No one knows what guys | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
prices are going to be in the future -- gas prices. When you look at the | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
Ukraine and other market indicators, many people are worried that by the | :22:25. | :22:28. | |
time nuclear power stations come online for example, the price of gas | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
could be significantly higher. You have indexed linked that for them by | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
the time you get any power from this, it'll be up to ?125 per | :22:36. | :22:41. | |
megawatt hour. The price of gas been going up far higher. Not recently. | :22:42. | :22:50. | |
Despite Iran, Ukraine, Libya, not recently. The long-term forecast, | :22:51. | :22:53. | |
Andrew, it's going to go higher but more importantly than that, this is | :22:54. | :22:57. | |
an area we could disagree on but it's very important that power | :22:58. | :23:01. | |
plants pay the cost of pollution. In those prizes, all of those prices | :23:02. | :23:06. | |
except the wholesale out a steep price, you have those power stations | :23:07. | :23:11. | |
paying the cost of air pollution. If gas and coal where paying the proper | :23:12. | :23:15. | |
carbon price, you would see nuclear and renewables as competitive. It's | :23:16. | :23:20. | |
very important that we ensure that power plants pay the cost of the | :23:21. | :23:24. | |
pollution. When you were last on this programme to talk about this in | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
May 2012, you said that the price of offshore wind was coming down fast. | :23:30. | :23:34. | |
You told me it would be down by 30% in the next few years. That figure | :23:35. | :23:39. | |
is 155, and for the deeper stuff, it's going to be ?165. That's the | :23:40. | :23:45. | |
first year of a limit control framework which had it coming down. | :23:46. | :23:53. | |
If you talk to many companies, Siemens had invested with their | :23:54. | :23:58. | |
partners, ?310 million with two new factories. They are talking about | :23:59. | :24:04. | |
lower prices because what they are saying to me is that, rather than | :24:05. | :24:10. | |
the 30% cost reductions I talked about, I was wrong, they are | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
targeting 40%. You said prices would come down 30% in two years for that | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
that was 2012 and they have gone higher. I absolutely did not say | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
that. Your exact quote was 30% in the next few years. Your exact few | :24:25. | :24:28. | |
years. You said two years, I sell a few years. I haven't changed a | :24:29. | :24:34. | |
single moment that you said two years, I said a few years. That's | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
what we are projecting. They will come down. You have to invest in | :24:39. | :24:43. | |
technology. Let me give you this example. When people invest in | :24:44. | :24:46. | |
mobile phones to start off with, they were expensive, and they were | :24:47. | :24:55. | |
clunky and the costs were going down for the one final question. You put | :24:56. | :25:00. | |
the Big Six into investigation because they made a 5% return on | :25:01. | :25:04. | |
investment and you're done a deal with EDF, nuclear power, which will | :25:05. | :25:10. | |
guarantee them a return of 10% - 15% every year for 30 years. Doesn't | :25:11. | :25:14. | |
that underline the shambles of your energy policy? You have mixed up two | :25:15. | :25:19. | |
separate things. The 5% Ofgem are talking about is on the supply | :25:20. | :25:23. | |
retail side. The percentage you quoted for EDF is in the wholesale | :25:24. | :25:28. | |
side of two different markets. It's the same return. It's not. You are | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
comparing apples and pears, dangerous thing to do. You have to | :25:33. | :25:38. | |
do have a high return but in the retail market, with a 5% stake, | :25:39. | :25:41. | |
there is less risk, says a low return. Ed Davey, I'm sorry we | :25:42. | :25:50. | |
haven't got more time. Thank you. Have me back. We will. Whatever | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
happened to the BNP? The far right party looked as if it was on the | :25:55. | :25:58. | |
verge of a major breakthrough not so long ago. Now it seems to be going | :25:59. | :26:02. | |
nowhere. In a moment we'll be speaking to the party's press | :26:03. | :26:04. | |
officer, Simon Derby. But first here's Giles. His report contains | :26:05. | :26:07. | |
some flash photography. For a moment in 2009 Nick Griffin and the BNP had | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
a spring in their step, smiling at their success of winning two seats | :26:12. | :26:14. | |
in the European Parliament. They already were the second largest | :26:15. | :26:17. | |
party in a London council and had a London Assembly seat. Despite | :26:18. | :26:21. | |
concerns from mainstream parties their vote was up. Our vote | :26:22. | :26:32. | |
increased up to 943,000. Savouring success was brief that morning as | :26:33. | :26:35. | |
anti-far right protestors invaded and egged the press conference and | :26:36. | :26:38. | |
forced the BNP MEPs into a hasty retreat. What is more significant is | :26:39. | :26:43. | |
that, in the years since, that retreat has been matched internally, | :26:44. | :26:46. | |
electorally and in the minds of those who had given them that vote. | :26:47. | :26:56. | |
For a number of years they were performing better than the UK | :26:57. | :26:59. | |
Independence Party and other smaller parties like the Greens and respect. | :27:00. | :27:03. | |
The problem for the BNP if they didn't make any inroads into other | :27:04. | :27:06. | |
groups, they didn't go into the middle class, the young, they didn't | :27:07. | :27:10. | |
go into women and ethnic minorities for obvious reasons. So the party | :27:11. | :27:13. | |
was quickly handicapped from the outset. Not that you would have | :27:14. | :27:19. | |
known that at the outset. In 2006 in Barking and Dagenham, the party won | :27:20. | :27:22. | |
12 council seats against a back drop of discontent with the ruling Labour | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
council and Government and picking up on immigration and housing | :27:26. | :27:34. | |
concerns in the borough. It's because of all the different | :27:35. | :27:37. | |
nationality people moving in the area, they are taking over | :27:38. | :27:41. | |
everything. My Nan and grandad lived there all their lives. I thought I | :27:42. | :27:47. | |
would vote for BNP. Hopefully, yeah, they will get elected over here. | :27:48. | :27:53. | |
When I came to Barking, Dagenham and Redbridge in 2006, the BNP with a | :27:54. | :27:57. | |
second largest party in one of the local councils. You can even find | :27:58. | :28:02. | |
non-white people who voted BNP. Now they have no counsellors, and even | :28:03. | :28:05. | |
though can when you talk to people, you will find among the older white | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
working-class population concerned that the BNP claim to represent, | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
everyone says they are nowhere. So what happened to that about? On | :28:15. | :28:21. | |
behalf of all the people in Britain, we in Barking have not just beaten, | :28:22. | :28:26. | |
that we have smashed the attempt of extremist outsiders. The local | :28:27. | :28:30. | |
Labour MP was as clear in 2010 as she is now. I always knew if we | :28:31. | :28:38. | |
could manage to ensure that wasn't a single BNP councillor left on the | :28:39. | :28:41. | |
council and I won my seat, it would stop the process of disintegration. | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
But what beat the BNP here in 2010 was a mobilisation of the Labour | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
vote. And today it is not hard to find the same discontent over the | :28:49. | :28:52. | |
same issues. It's just finding a new political home. A couple of years | :28:53. | :29:00. | |
ago, I used to vote Labour. Obviously, they haven't done nothing | :29:01. | :29:04. | |
around here as much now, with jobs and unemployment, and housing and | :29:05. | :29:08. | |
stuff like that about, basically, BNP ain't around here no more. Now | :29:09. | :29:12. | |
it's more about UKIP and I believe that these UKIP are saying are true. | :29:13. | :29:17. | |
If I thought BNP would make the difference, I would vote but is not | :29:18. | :29:22. | |
in the people behind them. They all get bandaged with the same brush. | :29:23. | :29:26. | |
I'm going to vote UKIP because BNP didn't get anywhere. What they say | :29:27. | :29:31. | |
in UKIP, with a bit of luck, they will get somewhere. It's not racist | :29:32. | :29:35. | |
but it's just that our kids haven't got jobs. Nick Griffin's dislike of | :29:36. | :29:39. | |
UKIP is mutual but his once fellow MEP Andrew Brons who's now left the | :29:40. | :29:42. | |
party issued a statement to this programme saying BNP failure is | :29:43. | :29:51. | |
closer to home post 2010. It was after that election discontent arose | :29:52. | :29:53. | |
amongst sections of the membership. Those members who left or were | :29:54. | :30:10. | |
thrown out by Nick Griffin had already felt let down by his | :30:11. | :30:14. | |
appearance on Question Time. It was a national platform for the BNP, | :30:15. | :30:17. | |
something they felt they had the right to through electoral success. | :30:18. | :30:27. | |
This was no big breakthrough moment for Griffin, unlike it was for John | :30:28. | :30:33. | |
Marina pen when he appeared on national television in France. He | :30:34. | :30:37. | |
went on to mobilise a national force. Despite there being some | :30:38. | :30:40. | |
voters tuned to their message, for the BNP, becoming such a force here | :30:41. | :30:44. | |
has never looked quite so difficult. And Simon Derby from the BNP joins | :30:45. | :30:52. | |
me now. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. It was not long ago you | :30:53. | :30:56. | |
had 55 councillors up and down the land, you now have two. You are on | :30:57. | :31:02. | |
the brink of extinction. That is not true. I have watched the film. It is | :31:03. | :31:08. | |
very negative as I would expect. The party has faced a few problems. The | :31:09. | :31:13. | |
main thing to bear in mind is that the issues, the problems the country | :31:14. | :31:19. | |
faces have gone away. We won nearly a million votes in the European | :31:20. | :31:24. | |
elections. We brought that mandate to the establishment and we were | :31:25. | :31:34. | |
denied. Let's face it, we would -- were denied any opportunity to take | :31:35. | :31:39. | |
place in the political apparatus. You have been destroyed by a pincer | :31:40. | :31:44. | |
movement. UKIP has taken away or more respectable voters and the EDL | :31:45. | :31:52. | |
is better at anti-Muslim protests and street thuggery. The EDL is not | :31:53. | :31:58. | |
a political party. I take your point about UKIP. The power structure took | :31:59. | :32:02. | |
a look at us and so we were a threat to power. We were not making this | :32:03. | :32:08. | |
stuff up, we meant it and they have co-opted our message. This shameless | :32:09. | :32:13. | |
promotion of UKIP, you have evenly had him presenting the weather on | :32:14. | :32:16. | |
this programme. That is unbelievable. That was a joke. | :32:17. | :32:22. | |
Across Europe, in France, your sister party the National front will | :32:23. | :32:27. | |
probably do very well. You can see the rise of the far right across | :32:28. | :32:32. | |
Western Europe so why are you in decline? We are not far right, I | :32:33. | :32:39. | |
reject that label. How would you describe yourselves nationalists and | :32:40. | :32:56. | |
Patriots. Why are you in decline and other similar parties to yours are | :32:57. | :33:01. | |
on the rise? You mentioned Barking and it is very interesting because I | :33:02. | :33:05. | |
was involved in that campaign. What Margaret Hodge and her Labour Party | :33:06. | :33:10. | |
did, they replaced the white indigenous population in Barking and | :33:11. | :33:14. | |
Dagenham with Africans, that is how they won that election. For that was | :33:15. | :33:17. | |
true, you would be doing well elsewhere. You have now got a leader | :33:18. | :33:23. | |
who is declared bankrupt and your party is heading for bankruptcy. | :33:24. | :33:29. | |
No, it is not. It is over. You would like that. What I would like is | :33:30. | :33:35. | |
irrelevant. Your membership is in deep decline. All parties have highs | :33:36. | :33:41. | |
and lows. In 2009 they said it is no way you will win any seats in the | :33:42. | :33:46. | |
European election. We did. And then you lost them. Parties win and lose | :33:47. | :33:54. | |
seats. The Lib Dems will be annihilated. You deny you are far | :33:55. | :34:00. | |
right. People used to say the BNP were neo-Nazis. Then Nick Griffin | :34:01. | :34:11. | |
appeared with Golden Dawn. They are not neo-Nazis, they are Nazis. It is | :34:12. | :34:16. | |
part and parcel of being in politics. You have to appear with | :34:17. | :34:24. | |
them? Of course we do, we have to speak to ordinary people. I am | :34:25. | :34:27. | |
perfectly happy speaking to you at the BBC, the BBC have a terrible | :34:28. | :34:32. | |
reputation but I am happy to be here. Mr Griffin has asked me, when | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
will the BBC apologised for trying to put him in prison twice, merely | :34:37. | :34:43. | |
for exposing a Muslim scandal. Why can't Nick Griffin appear on TV and | :34:44. | :34:51. | |
self? He would not appear. He was in Syria. He literally flew out to | :34:52. | :34:56. | |
Damascus and prevented a war. We decided we would not interfere in | :34:57. | :35:02. | |
Syria. The BBC never covered that. Please do not make out we are just | :35:03. | :35:06. | |
an ordinary political party you cover like everybody else. It is | :35:07. | :35:13. | |
completely different. All the signs are, membership, performance at the | :35:14. | :35:17. | |
polls, performance at elections, the problem with your leadership is you | :35:18. | :35:22. | |
are now going the way of the National front, heading for | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
oblivion. As I said to you before, that may be the case, if all the | :35:27. | :35:31. | |
problems we had not highlighted and how we got a huge vote so many years | :35:32. | :35:36. | |
ago, six years ago now, five years ago, in 2009, if they were not | :35:37. | :35:41. | |
around. These things are only going to get worse. We are looking at a | :35:42. | :35:45. | |
prototype Islamic republic that is going to be set up in this country. | :35:46. | :35:49. | |
That will lead to huge problems. Only the British National Party are | :35:50. | :35:53. | |
prepared to say that and deal with it. Word leaked out that I was doing | :35:54. | :35:59. | |
this interview with you before the weekend. Isn't it a sign of how | :36:00. | :36:03. | |
irrelevant you now are that not a single person has turned up at New | :36:04. | :36:08. | |
Broadcasting House this morning to protest? Used to be hundreds would | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
turn up when we said the BNP were on. That is the left for you, they | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
put the clocks forward and they could not be bothered to get out of | :36:18. | :36:21. | |
bed. I think they are still in bed. Thank you. | :36:22. | :36:24. | |
You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers in | :36:25. | :36:27. | |
Scotland who leave us now for Sunday Politics Scotland. Coming up here in | :36:28. | :36:31. | |
In the East Midlands: A growing crisis in mental health care ` poor | :36:32. | :36:43. | |
service in our hospitals and patients relying on cash`strapped | :36:44. | :36:55. | |
charities. They give me food parcels, he comes round to my house | :36:56. | :36:59. | |
every week and helps me with bills. I suffer from mental health problems | :37:00. | :37:02. | |
and alcohol problems. And talk like an East Midlander! | :37:03. | :37:05. | |
Should politicians be speaking our language to get their ideas across? | :37:06. | :37:11. | |
We don't understand what they're saying. One minute it's one thing, | :37:12. | :37:15. | |
the next time we see them on TV there's saying the opposite. They | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
don't want us to know what they're doing. | :37:20. | :37:21. | |
Hello, I'm John Hess, and my guests this week, two politicians who | :37:22. | :37:25. | |
always tell it how it is ` Stephen Dorrell, the Conservative MP for | :37:26. | :37:27. | |
Charnwood in Leicestershire, and John Mann, who's Labour's MP for | :37:28. | :37:33. | |
Bassetlaw in North Nottinghamshire. But first, the news that Atos is | :37:34. | :37:36. | |
pulling out of its contract to carry out assessments to see if people on | :37:37. | :37:40. | |
benefits are fit to work. It's an issue we've looked at before ` back | :37:41. | :37:44. | |
in November, we featured a Derbyshire man, Gary Swift, who has | :37:45. | :37:50. | |
one arm. He told us he'd been asked if his arm would grow back at an | :37:51. | :37:53. | |
Atos interview, although the company denied the claim. And the Bolsover | :37:54. | :38:05. | |
MP Dennis Skinner launched a savage attack in the House of Commons over | :38:06. | :38:08. | |
the case of a constituent he said had died from cancer whilst | :38:09. | :38:11. | |
appealing against an Atos decision that he was fit to work. Two things | :38:12. | :38:17. | |
the Prime Minister should do. One, with immediate effect, make a | :38:18. | :38:24. | |
payment to his widow to cover the suffering, the pain and the loss of | :38:25. | :38:30. | |
income. And secondly, abolish this cruel, heartless monster called | :38:31. | :38:37. | |
Atos. Get rid of it. A typically powerful argument from | :38:38. | :38:40. | |
Dennis Skinner there. Stephen Dorrell, did David Cameron take that | :38:41. | :38:51. | |
advice on board? I think many MPs, myself included, have had cases in | :38:52. | :38:56. | |
their constituency surgeries where the service delivered by this | :38:57. | :39:02. | |
business was not what we would want to see, which is why the government | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
takes action to change the service so that it does meet standards. | :39:07. | :39:14. | |
There are no party politics in this. Atos were appointed in 2008 by | :39:15. | :39:19. | |
predecessors. They did not deliver. They will be changed. Who will take | :39:20. | :39:27. | |
it on? The ministers made it clear that they are open to proposals from | :39:28. | :39:34. | |
a wide range of potential partners. No party politics in this? Well, | :39:35. | :39:41. | |
good riddance to bad rubbish. That is what they were. They were just | :39:42. | :39:53. | |
stitching decent people up. But Labour introduced it in the first | :39:54. | :39:58. | |
place. It was a bad Labour decision and this lot have worsened it, | :39:59. | :40:03. | |
telling them, here are your targets, not treating the disabled as human | :40:04. | :40:11. | |
beings, but as economic fodder. Will not a future Labour government have | :40:12. | :40:17. | |
to have a similar setup? We need doctors to make an assessment and | :40:18. | :40:20. | |
the NHS are the ones that should be doing that, deciding how disabled | :40:21. | :40:27. | |
people are and what help they need. Is that practical? I don't think it | :40:28. | :40:34. | |
is necessary to have a doctor doing everyone a doctor doing every one of | :40:35. | :40:38. | |
these assessments. The assessment is fair and when people cannot qualify, | :40:39. | :40:49. | |
we should all agree that the amounts are set. | :40:50. | :40:56. | |
Next, there are warnings that cuts in mental health treatment are | :40:57. | :40:59. | |
putting patients and the public at risk. Unions say some parts of the | :41:00. | :41:03. | |
East Midlands are facing a 25% cut in the number of mental health | :41:04. | :41:06. | |
workers, who treat some of the most vulnerable people in our society. | :41:07. | :41:09. | |
Chris Doidge has been taking a closer look. | :41:10. | :41:17. | |
In Derbyshire, Donovan tells me about his experience of getting help | :41:18. | :41:22. | |
for mental illness. You seem to go in and they've got one key worker. | :41:23. | :41:28. | |
Sorry, that keyword is off. Or they change your work. See you have to go | :41:29. | :41:31. | |
through your life story again and again. It happened this year about | :41:32. | :41:35. | |
three times already and it's only March. Many of the charities helping | :41:36. | :41:42. | |
people with mental illness have found their funding squeezed. Derby | :41:43. | :41:46. | |
City Council have taken away all the funding, which has caused | :41:47. | :41:51. | |
operational difficulties. We're going to have to reduce the | :41:52. | :41:57. | |
involvement. They're been cut across the mental health sector. Firstly, | :41:58. | :42:02. | |
local councils have reduced grant funding. Secondly, in the NHS, | :42:03. | :42:07. | |
mental health trusts have had to reduce the number of beds available | :42:08. | :42:09. | |
because of the financial pressure they are under. Among the mental | :42:10. | :42:14. | |
health units in trouble in recent years, this one at the Glenfield | :42:15. | :42:19. | |
Hospital in Leicester. After several bad reports from the Care Quality | :42:20. | :42:22. | |
Commission, health bosses say there are signs of improvement. I was | :42:23. | :42:28. | |
really pleased to see some improvements. I'm a doctor in my | :42:29. | :42:33. | |
background, a psychiatrist, so it is heartening to see the improvements | :42:34. | :42:38. | |
that have been made. Some of the comments that have been made so | :42:39. | :42:42. | |
serious that you wonder whether a health trust should have identified | :42:43. | :42:47. | |
some of problems itself. I agree. We collect hundreds of pieces of | :42:48. | :42:53. | |
information and were doing so, but we really have to focus on the | :42:54. | :42:57. | |
important pieces of information. What are patients and staff saying | :42:58. | :43:00. | |
about our services? With the recommend them? Savings in the NHS | :43:01. | :43:08. | |
partly depend on councils tackling mental illness earlier. In | :43:09. | :43:10. | |
Nottinghamshire, there are fears that the opposite will happen. The | :43:11. | :43:16. | |
council is planning to cut by 25% all social care jobs. That is a | :43:17. | :43:28. | |
dramatic cut in the service. Demographic changes and better | :43:29. | :43:32. | |
awareness mean mental health is becoming a bigger and bigger issue. | :43:33. | :43:36. | |
But in the East Midlands, as in the UK more widely, the funding for | :43:37. | :43:42. | |
mental health is not keeping pace. Well, Nottinghamshire County Council | :43:43. | :43:44. | |
told us they're prioritising mental health services, with ?10 million | :43:45. | :43:47. | |
pounds dedicated to it next year. But they also say they're having to | :43:48. | :43:51. | |
make cuts to services for vulnerable people because of government | :43:52. | :43:54. | |
cutbacks. And that's an issue Mark Simms knows all about. | :43:55. | :43:57. | |
Mark Simms is the chief executive of the Derbyshire charity P3, which | :43:58. | :44:06. | |
works with vulnerable people. What are some of the problems you deal | :44:07. | :44:17. | |
with? The simple truth of it is these cuts are impacting harshly on | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
people with mental health problems from two angles. One, the welfare | :44:22. | :44:25. | |
benefit reform and the impact that is happening `` having. But also the | :44:26. | :44:35. | |
cuts to social care. There is no requirement, no statutory duty to | :44:36. | :44:40. | |
support vulnerable people. There are duties to do other things, but if | :44:41. | :44:43. | |
you are simply someone vulnerable with a set of need, there is no | :44:44. | :44:50. | |
statutory requirement to support you. We're talking about people who | :44:51. | :44:56. | |
present with multiple and complex needs. People who sometimes get | :44:57. | :45:00. | |
letters they don't understand, they fall behind in their rent. It is a | :45:01. | :45:04. | |
downward spiral because there is no safety net to stop that happening. | :45:05. | :45:15. | |
Stephen Dorrell, this will not come as a surprise to because of the | :45:16. | :45:20. | |
report you published last year. A quote said the situation was so bad | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
it was an infringement of the human rights of patients. What did your | :45:25. | :45:30. | |
committee mean by that? We published several reports on mental health | :45:31. | :45:38. | |
services. That particular quote I think refers to the abuse of | :45:39. | :45:48. | |
sectioning powers. The NHS is allowed to treat patients | :45:49. | :45:54. | |
compulsorily in closely defined circumstances and occasionally we | :45:55. | :45:56. | |
were concerned some psychiatrists have been abusing that power to | :45:57. | :46:00. | |
subject people to compulsory medical treatment that they did not want. | :46:01. | :46:08. | |
That was the abuse of human rights. What I agree with Mark about is the | :46:09. | :46:12. | |
need to ensure there is proper provision in the community to enable | :46:13. | :46:23. | |
people to leave `` to lead lives. This is why the government has | :46:24. | :46:26. | |
introduced what is known as the better care fund, which is doing | :46:27. | :46:29. | |
something health ministers have talked about for half a century. | :46:30. | :46:33. | |
They are making the health service and the social care system work more | :46:34. | :46:39. | |
closely together to join them up in order to deliver better care for | :46:40. | :46:42. | |
elderly people and for other people who suffer. Is this the picture you | :46:43. | :46:51. | |
recognise? These are the sneaky NHS cuts. The cuts next year will be | :46:52. | :46:54. | |
bigger than this year. The year after that will be bigger still. | :46:55. | :46:58. | |
They say they are not cutting the NHS but these are massive cuts. | :46:59. | :47:02. | |
Local authorities will have to cope even more in the future. This is | :47:03. | :47:09. | |
precisely what is going to get cut. Are these cuts underhand? We are | :47:10. | :47:18. | |
carrying out what the Health Select Committee has set out. It was first | :47:19. | :47:25. | |
set out in 2009, this challenge, by Andy Burnham when he was Health | :47:26. | :47:28. | |
Secretary. The resources available to the health and care system are | :47:29. | :47:32. | |
certainly more constrained than they were in the last decade. That is | :47:33. | :47:37. | |
precisely why we need to address some of these gaps in services, so | :47:38. | :47:44. | |
people don't fall down the cracks in the way that was illustrated there. | :47:45. | :47:51. | |
Loads of people are falling through the cracks. But many more will next | :47:52. | :47:54. | |
year. For families who have someone with mental health problems, who | :47:55. | :48:00. | |
needs that treatment, it is going to be horrendous. The government is not | :48:01. | :48:06. | |
prepared to be honest and allow the public to have a debate about it. | :48:07. | :48:10. | |
They are claiming there are no cuts. These are massive cuts and mental | :48:11. | :48:14. | |
health is taking the brunt of them. What is your reaction to all this? | :48:15. | :48:17. | |
What impact do you think it will have going forward? I think there | :48:18. | :48:24. | |
are not cracks appearing, there are enormous crevasses. Voluntary sector | :48:25. | :48:34. | |
funding is being cut by 80%, 100% in some cases. Where are these cases | :48:35. | :48:43. | |
going to do `` to go? Were talking about families in real chaos | :48:44. | :48:48. | |
sometimes. And sometimes it is small interventions that prevent that. We | :48:49. | :48:52. | |
get a link them into support, more solid structures of how to live and | :48:53. | :48:57. | |
survive. But the support that we provide, when that is taken away, | :48:58. | :49:00. | |
people try to access that support through the health care system and | :49:01. | :49:06. | |
put those systems under more pressure. It is a downward spiral. | :49:07. | :49:12. | |
You are a former Health Secretary, chairman of a highly influential | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
select committee of MPs. What can be done to sort this out? This is why | :49:17. | :49:23. | |
the health committee were doing a review of the child and adolescent | :49:24. | :49:29. | |
mental health services. Some of the biggest problems in the mental | :49:30. | :49:33. | |
health world are to be found in those services for children and | :49:34. | :49:36. | |
adolescents. In particular, when they leave the child and adolescent | :49:37. | :49:41. | |
service and going into the adult service. At a time when resources | :49:42. | :49:47. | |
are more constrained than they were, there is no point denying that, it | :49:48. | :49:54. | |
is clearly true and likely to remain true after the election, whatever | :49:55. | :49:59. | |
the results, but that is why it is so important to ensure the services | :50:00. | :50:03. | |
are properly designed to avoid people falling between different | :50:04. | :50:10. | |
elements of the service. Money is tight and mental health has surely | :50:11. | :50:14. | |
always been the Cinderella of the health service. And it will become | :50:15. | :50:19. | |
more so. Where will these people and out? On the streets, in crime, in | :50:20. | :50:25. | |
prison. So eventually, we will all have to pay for it. This is the | :50:26. | :50:31. | |
wrong kind of cut. Vulnerable people are going to be terribly hurt. The | :50:32. | :50:37. | |
argument in a sense is stronger than that. So often, they don't end up | :50:38. | :50:42. | |
where you say. They actually end up in acute hospitals when they don't | :50:43. | :50:49. | |
need to be. It is by improving community services and links with | :50:50. | :50:51. | |
the voluntary sector as well statutory services that we can | :50:52. | :50:59. | |
enable people to lead better lives. Mark, what do you think? It is a bit | :51:00. | :51:07. | |
smoke and mirrors. We have to leave it there, I'm afraid. | :51:08. | :51:12. | |
Some plain speaking from both of our politicians there. But is there | :51:13. | :51:15. | |
enough of that around? Last week, John Mann, you said Ed Miliband | :51:16. | :51:19. | |
needs to talk more like they do in Bassetlaw rather than Hampstead. | :51:20. | :51:21. | |
We'll get your views shortly, but first, Des has been to Bassetlaw to | :51:22. | :51:28. | |
get the local lingo. Do politicians speak our language? | :51:29. | :51:36. | |
To find out, we are here in Worksop on the high street, or as a | :51:37. | :51:41. | |
politician might say, an area with potential for retail and catering | :51:42. | :51:45. | |
opportunities. They speak a load of rubbish. They all speak the same. | :51:46. | :51:54. | |
They learn it at university. They don't really conversed with the | :51:55. | :52:00. | |
normal person in the street. I don't really listen to it. If they spoke | :52:01. | :52:04. | |
more like the common man, would you get more into it? Probably. Just | :52:05. | :52:13. | |
normal English, no fancy words, just ordinary. Like normal people on the | :52:14. | :52:20. | |
street. Wide evening a taut jargon? I've no idea. `` why do you think | :52:21. | :52:31. | |
they'd talk in jargon? It probably makes them feel better. One minute | :52:32. | :52:37. | |
they're saying one thing, the next time we see them on telly they are | :52:38. | :52:45. | |
saying the complete opposite. They don't speak plain English that | :52:46. | :52:49. | |
ordinary people can understand. Wide evening they do that? `` why do you | :52:50. | :53:00. | |
think they do that? Because they don't want you to know what they are | :53:01. | :53:10. | |
doing. That should be obvious. Were there any surprises there? No | :53:11. | :53:24. | |
surprises whatsoever. Politicians could have some real fun. Starting | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
to use the same phrases ` it's the right thing to do. It's incredibly | :53:30. | :53:35. | |
important. Hard`working families. This kind of jargon time and time | :53:36. | :53:41. | |
again, the political class is separating itself and is going to | :53:42. | :53:46. | |
pay a heavy price. Have you used that phrase? I tried to avoid | :53:47. | :53:53. | |
jargon, I can't say that has never passed my lips. It is the curse of | :53:54. | :53:59. | |
the sound bite. I always tried to avoid endlessly repeating the same | :54:00. | :54:05. | |
sound bite. You do have to make the same point, but to try to find a way | :54:06. | :54:09. | |
to make it with fresh language every time is more likely to find an | :54:10. | :54:15. | |
audience. Critics of your government will say, look around the Cabinet | :54:16. | :54:21. | |
table, a lot of posh voices. Does that shaped decision`making in | :54:22. | :54:24. | |
government, that maybe the government are out of touch? I think | :54:25. | :54:31. | |
all the major parties try hard to bring in a broader range of voices. | :54:32. | :54:36. | |
It is certainly true John and I are exactly the same in this respect. We | :54:37. | :54:41. | |
are both white males of an indeterminate age. All three parties | :54:42. | :54:47. | |
are trying to bring in people from an ethnic minority, more women. | :54:48. | :54:53. | |
Younger members, I think it is all`important. There is no easy fix | :54:54. | :54:59. | |
but I think listening to what people are saying will make one party more | :55:00. | :55:03. | |
electable. So does it really matter what | :55:04. | :55:06. | |
politicians sound or even look like if they're doing their job? Well, an | :55:07. | :55:09. | |
expert from Nottingham University has been studying what the public | :55:10. | :55:12. | |
want from their political leaders. Professor Phil Cowley told us it | :55:13. | :55:20. | |
does matter. People will often say parliament is becoming less | :55:21. | :55:23. | |
diverse, or sometimes more diverse, I'm not sure it is. It is becoming | :55:24. | :55:28. | |
diverse in different ways. 40 years ago, there were much larger number | :55:29. | :55:35. | |
of working`class MPs than there now. Lots of people who had worked in | :55:36. | :55:38. | |
manual jobs and then went on to Westminster. But there were no | :55:39. | :55:43. | |
women. Now, there are more women but the place is much more middle class. | :55:44. | :55:49. | |
So whether it is becoming more less diverse overtime is tricky. It is | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
unrepresentative now and it was unrepresentative then. Researchers | :55:54. | :56:00. | |
also found voters overall want Parliament to be more reflective of | :56:01. | :56:03. | |
society but they don't expect their MPs necessarily to have those issues | :56:04. | :56:09. | |
taken on board. They don't expect their MPs to reflect the whole of | :56:10. | :56:13. | |
society, but they do expect Parliament to. Is there a | :56:14. | :56:20. | |
contradiction? I don't think people will be calling for Dennis Skinner | :56:21. | :56:23. | |
to be replaced by a 20`year`old Oxford graduate. MPs should be seen | :56:24. | :56:29. | |
to be in touch with their constituency. That is more of a | :56:30. | :56:34. | |
missing ingredient. MPs don't live in their constituency, spend much | :56:35. | :56:40. | |
time there. They use clever technology to communicate rather | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
than being seen. I think that divides politicians and the public | :56:45. | :56:50. | |
and resentment is beginning to grow. Do you see that resentment? Yes, I | :56:51. | :56:57. | |
do. First of all, Parliament does not work if there are not voices in | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
Parliament that people feel are speaking their language, saying the | :57:02. | :57:04. | |
things they want to see said in Parliament. But it has to do | :57:05. | :57:10. | |
something else as well. It is no good having a parliament that does | :57:11. | :57:15. | |
not address the real issues. It needs to address health failings, as | :57:16. | :57:20. | |
we've been talking about, education, the deficit. It has two deal with | :57:21. | :57:25. | |
real issues. The language has to reflect peoples views. Has that | :57:26. | :57:31. | |
changed in the time you been in the Commons? Yes, I think politics has | :57:32. | :57:38. | |
become too concerned with the way things look rather than ensuring the | :57:39. | :57:43. | |
real issues are explored in depth in language that people understand. One | :57:44. | :57:49. | |
measure that might change all this, you think. Well, I'd have people | :57:50. | :57:55. | |
choose the candidates at the primaries. I think that would | :57:56. | :57:59. | |
liberate the Labour Party and we would be far more representative. We | :58:00. | :58:01. | |
would sell into power. ``sail. And now for a round`up of some of | :58:02. | :58:12. | |
the other stories of the week in 60 seconds, with Rob Pittam. | :58:13. | :58:19. | |
A move by the North West Leicestershire MP to save people who | :58:20. | :58:24. | |
don't pay their TV licences from getting a criminal record is set to | :58:25. | :58:28. | |
become law. The Conservative MP got the backing of 150 of his fellow | :58:29. | :58:34. | |
MPs. I said, will you support my amendment. They actually couldn't | :58:35. | :58:38. | |
believe it was a criminal offence. It is. People don't realise. The Lib | :58:39. | :58:43. | |
Dems have chosen a candidate for mid Derbyshire in the next election. | :58:44. | :58:48. | |
Hilary Jones will take on the sitting MP. | :58:49. | :58:52. | |
Residents and businesses in Nottingham will soon be able to use | :58:53. | :58:58. | |
a car hire scheme introduced by the City Council. The charge is from ?5 | :58:59. | :59:04. | |
an hour. Leicester City Council is asking | :59:05. | :59:08. | |
people for their views on a shake`up of parking. Plans include payment by | :59:09. | :59:15. | |
debit and credit card and reducing the parking zones in the city | :59:16. | :59:19. | |
centre. That's the Sunday Politics in the | :59:20. | :59:23. | |
East Midlands, thanks to my guests John Mann and Stephen Dorrell. Don't | :59:24. | :59:26. | |
forget to catch up with my political blog. Next week, our guests are | :59:27. | :59:31. | |
Loughborough's Nicky Morgan and the Chesterfield MP Labour's Toby | :59:32. | :59:32. | |
Perkins. Now, back to Andrew Neil. Thanks very much indeed. Andrew, | :59:33. | :59:35. | |
back to you. Now let's get more from our | :59:36. | :59:49. | |
political panel. If the BNP finished? They were never | :59:50. | :59:53. | |
spectacularly successful to begin with but one of my childhood | :59:54. | :59:56. | |
memories was a huge fuss in London about the fact that they won a few | :59:57. | :00:01. | |
council seat on the Isle of dogs back in 1993. That was enough to | :00:02. | :00:03. | |
cause a panic. As if they are falling from a great tit and I think | :00:04. | :00:06. | |
the big difference with the National front in France is that they are | :00:07. | :00:11. | |
building on decades of successful that they finished second in the | :00:12. | :00:15. | |
presence of elections in 2002, I think. And, even in the 60s, they | :00:16. | :00:20. | |
were versions of their politics. So they are building on a lot whereas | :00:21. | :00:24. | |
the BNP are working with incredibly few raw materials in this country. | :00:25. | :00:33. | |
It is interesting that the BNP does seem to be in decline in terms of | :00:34. | :00:38. | |
its membership and financially, but in France, the far right party, not | :00:39. | :00:44. | |
as far right as the BNP, but pretty far right, will probably do well in | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
the second round of the French local elections. You could say the same | :00:49. | :00:56. | |
about Golden Dawn in Greece. Parties prosper when the picture is | :00:57. | :01:01. | |
pre-rolled for them. If mainstream parties talk endlessly about | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
immigration, saying you cannot get a council house because it has gone to | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
an immigrant instead of saying it is because there are not enough council | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
houses, that creates the conditions in which the far right can thrive. | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
We are lucky that all the members of the BNP fell out with each other. As | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
extreme members of the far right and left do. You can see that with the | :01:21. | :01:27. | |
comedian in France, he has got a lot of support from people on the left | :01:28. | :01:35. | |
as well. I asked Simon Derby was here victim of a pincer movement | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
that UKIP were taken away voters and EDL has captured the Street protest. | :01:41. | :01:51. | |
Yes, and Giles still not mention that the Labour Party has got its | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
act together. They got the act together in Dagenham. Margaret Hodge | :01:56. | :01:59. | |
and Jon Cruddas did a very good job. I think UKIP would say, not a racist | :02:00. | :02:05. | |
party but they are picking up votes from people who would once have | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
voted BNP. But it is interesting the difference between Britain and | :02:11. | :02:16. | |
France. Why is it that the Front Nationale came second in 2002 when | :02:17. | :02:24. | |
they are not far right? I think they were on a five-year cycle because | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
the next election was 2007. 2002 they came second when Jean-Marie Le | :02:31. | :02:39. | |
Pen came second. They are not as far right as the BNP. Marine has put | :02:40. | :02:50. | |
them -- cleaned them up a bit. Diplomatically there is a much | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
harder vote which spreads further across the electorate in France than | :02:55. | :02:58. | |
there is in this country. This is a much more tolerant country. If | :02:59. | :03:12. | |
Marine Le Pen does well today, she will not win that many because the | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
centre-right and centre-left will always gang up against terror in the | :03:17. | :03:20. | |
second round, but it sets the tone for the European elections. It does | :03:21. | :03:26. | |
and for the next French presidential election as well. I think what she's | :03:27. | :03:31. | |
doing masterfully is combining a far right politics with what you might | :03:32. | :03:35. | |
call a far left economic politics. She's not just picking up votes from | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
xenophobes, she is picking up votes from who feel victimised from | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
globalisation. They are people who would be voting for socialists but | :03:46. | :03:49. | |
are put off by the current president. That is what I do not | :03:50. | :03:53. | |
think the British far right parties have been able to do. You sort Simon | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
Derby try to tell you that the BNP are not far right party. I think he | :03:59. | :04:03. | |
was going to say if you look at issues of protectionism, standing up | :04:04. | :04:05. | |
against globalisation, they are quite statist. That is where the | :04:06. | :04:12. | |
phrase National Socialist comes from. That is why a little bit of | :04:13. | :04:17. | |
electoral success is often a killer for far right parties. They get a | :04:18. | :04:21. | |
few council seats and then they are rubbish. They are not getting | :04:22. | :04:25. | |
people's bins collected so they become part of the system that | :04:26. | :04:28. | |
people were voting against in the first place. Lets go on to the | :04:29. | :04:34. | |
Labour Party. If you are a Labour Party supporter and you want to be | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
cheered up, you pick up the Sunday Times where you see a poll where the | :04:39. | :04:43. | |
leader is up to seven points. If you are Tory Lib Dem and you want to be | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
cheered up, you pick up the Observer, the left-wing paper, where | :04:48. | :04:53. | |
the Labour leader is still 1%. I have read in the paper that there is | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
quite a lot of of the record briefings going on at the top of the | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
Labour Party. Give us a sense of the mood. Clearly, they are unsettled. | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
One pol looks OK but there has been a run of polls where there is a lead | :05:08. | :05:17. | |
over the Tories which is closing. There are worrying number of people | :05:18. | :05:24. | |
who are what are called the 35s and they are people who thought all the | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
Labour Party needs to do is sit still because there are a number of | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
Liberal Democrat voters who hate the coalition. Because the Conservatives | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
did not get through the boundary changes they needed to win, we can | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
sit tight and it will all be fine. What a few wise old heads are | :05:42. | :05:46. | |
concerned about is they feel this has a feel of 1987 about it when the | :05:47. | :05:51. | |
Labour Party was united. They had a very good leader. The leader was | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
impressive, the party was united and then what happened? They met the | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
British people and an election. The British people said, terribly sorry, | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
you are not occupying the party political territory where we will | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
vote for you. There are some people from the Blair era who say it feels | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
a bit complacent and there may be a bit of a shock when they meet the | :06:15. | :06:20. | |
voters. We talk about people being unsettled but Ed Miliband is not | :06:21. | :06:25. | |
unsettled. His defining characteristic is you might call it | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
steadiness or you might call it a lack of agility. He could not | :06:29. | :06:32. | |
respond to the pension stuff in the budget which was thrown at him. But | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
he's very good at separating the signal from the noise. They may | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
think this will all change in me. The Tories may be on the back foot | :06:41. | :06:44. | |
after the European elections. He has the ability to set the political | :06:45. | :06:48. | |
weather. He did it with the price freeze. There is no doubt that Mr | :06:49. | :06:56. | |
Davey would not be referring these energy companies to the competition | :06:57. | :06:59. | |
authorities if it had not been for that speech by the Labour leader. | :07:00. | :07:03. | |
And we read today he has come up with another policy which will be | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
attention grabbing to cut student tuition fees. It is easy to forget | :07:08. | :07:13. | |
that before he announced the price freeze he was in as much vertical | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
trouble as he is now. I think the Labour poll lead will expand up to | :07:18. | :07:24. | |
five or 6% by the summer, assuming the Tories do badly. The question | :07:25. | :07:30. | |
is, is five or 6% enough? Nick through the analogy with 1987. This | :07:31. | :07:36. | |
reminds me of the Conservatives in 2009/10. You have a steadily sinking | :07:37. | :07:40. | |
poll lead, differences in what campaign they should be running and | :07:41. | :07:45. | |
personal animosity behind the scenes. It led to them throwing away | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
an election which seemed to be winnable. There is an important | :07:50. | :07:56. | |
difference with the 1980s which was because you did not know when the | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
election would be. Will it be in 87 or 88? They do not need to make up | :08:01. | :08:05. | |
their mind until next year. What they are telling the pollsters now, | :08:06. | :08:08. | |
we do not like this government because of course, you do not like | :08:09. | :08:12. | |
the government. But next January or February they will be making up | :08:13. | :08:17. | |
their minds. Is there a lot of animosity among the leading Labour | :08:18. | :08:22. | |
figures behind-the-scenes? It must be personal or tactical because | :08:23. | :08:26. | |
there are not big ideological differences between them, is there? | :08:27. | :08:32. | |
Yes and no. What is striking is how little support Miliband gets from | :08:33. | :08:37. | |
the shadow cabinet. He does not have outriders. That has been a | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
continuous theme. Said he feels he is on his own? That they feel they | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
do not get support from him. There was a column by Jenni Russell saying | :08:48. | :08:54. | |
he is distant and detached. And Andrew Walmsley touched on this in | :08:55. | :09:00. | |
the Observer. One of the divisions is Ed versus Ed. There is a terrible | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
structural problem between those two. It is a real problem. Ed | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
Miliband believes Ed Balls has not done enough to get economic red | :09:10. | :09:15. | |
ability. Ed Balls believes Ed Miliband is making airy fairy | :09:16. | :09:18. | |
speeches and it will not cut with the electorate. Neither Mr Cameron | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
nor Mr Miller band took part in the debate which happened earlier this | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
week between the Lib Dems and UKIP. We have got another one coming up on | :09:28. | :09:33. | |
the BBC on Wednesday night. Let's remind ourselves of what happened in | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
last week's debate. I will ask Nick to open the batting. | :09:39. | :09:46. | |
We are better off in Europe... Frankly not working any more. A | :09:47. | :09:52. | |
referendum on Europe. I agree with you. I agree with you. If you can | :09:53. | :09:59. | |
read the small print. Pull up the drawbridge, pool drawbridge up... We | :10:00. | :10:08. | |
have 485 million people... It is simply not true! Not true. Not true. | :10:09. | :10:14. | |
Not true. Identical with Nick. I don't agree with Nick. Based on | :10:15. | :10:22. | |
facts, facts, the facts, facts, the facts... Thank God we did not listen | :10:23. | :10:28. | |
to you. The food is getting better here. Jobs, jobs, jobs, jobs. You | :10:29. | :10:36. | |
have never had a proper job. Great not little England. Good night. | :10:37. | :10:43. | |
I think it is seven o'clock BBC Two. Helen, what was the outcome of that | :10:44. | :10:48. | |
and how do we mark our card for this week? It was not a great time for | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
pundits. Everybody called the debate for Nick and then they said | :10:54. | :10:58. | |
actually, we think it has gone the other way. Consensus emerged later | :10:59. | :11:06. | |
on that Nick Clegg made a difficult argument. I think the most important | :11:07. | :11:09. | |
thing Nigel Farage said was he distinguished out the immigration | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
policy by saying we're not just closing day over, we want people to | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
come, we just do not want mass EU immigration. That is an important | :11:19. | :11:21. | |
thing for him to say to get away from the echoes of the far right. I | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
suspect Nick Clegg will not ask us to read the small print. That was 11 | :11:26. | :11:33. | |
turn he took. It compounded his reputation for being sneaky. I | :11:34. | :11:37. | |
slightly disagree about the pundits. I say this as someone who thought | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
far it would win. -- Nigel Farage would win. The fact that the public | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
disagree with you and the public favoured Nigel Farage does not mean | :11:49. | :11:55. | |
the public were wrong. The question is, who is going to tune in for the | :11:56. | :12:01. | |
second one? What is the answer to that? Phil Collins argument is a man | :12:02. | :12:07. | |
who is on 8% is fantastic. It is a binary choice in this debate. | :12:08. | :12:13. | |
Clearly they need to brush up on opposite areas. Nigel Farage needs | :12:14. | :12:16. | |
to brush up on facts and Nick Clegg needs to brush up on the motions | :12:17. | :12:20. | |
because he did not connect very well. Where Nick Clegg may go after | :12:21. | :12:25. | |
Nigel Farage is when the -- when he said the EU has blood on its hands | :12:26. | :12:30. | |
with Ukraine. He then came back to talk about the vanity of EU foreign | :12:31. | :12:34. | |
policy and said European Union had made what was going on in Syria | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
worse. It is one thing to say I do not think the UK should be part of | :12:40. | :12:42. | |
the joint European foreign policy, it is part of another thing to say | :12:43. | :12:46. | |
that Europe which will act with or without the UK is responsible for | :12:47. | :12:51. | |
blood on the streets of Kiev and also responsible for exacerbating | :12:52. | :12:55. | |
the Civil War in Syria. Maybe an hour is too long for Nigel Farage's | :12:56. | :13:02. | |
shtick? That may be the case but Nick Clegg has precedence. He does | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
that show and he has had to deal with the worst thing with dealing | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
with what is thrown at him so he has honed his view consistently. We will | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
see what happens in part two. That's all for this week. The Daily | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
Politics is on BBC Two at lunchtime every day this week. I'll be here | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
next week at the usual time of 11 o'clock. Remember if it's Sunday, | :13:24. | :13:25. | |
it's the Sunday Politics. | :13:26. | :13:32. |