30/10/2016 Sunday Politics East Midlands


30/10/2016

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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:36.:00:39.

Theresa May says she wants to help people who are

:00:40.:00:42.

"just about managing" - so should she reverse

:00:43.:00:45.

George Osborne's cuts to benefits that are supposed to help people

:00:46.:00:47.

Prominent London Imam Shakeel Begg is an extremist speaker,

:00:48.:00:54.

says the High Court, after claims made on this programme.

:00:55.:00:57.

So why is Mr Begg still being allowed to advise the Police?

:00:58.:01:02.

Hillary Clinton fights back over the FBI's renewed investigation

:01:03.:01:07.

into her use of a private email server - is this the boost

:01:08.:01:10.

Cleaner air for our cities. chances of winning the White House?

:01:11.:01:17.

Plans to crack down on polltting vehicles and bring in

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Now it is just a question of building that runway with the

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political problems that lie ahead. And haunting the studio

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on this Halloween weekend, the most terrifying political

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panel in the business - Tim 'Ghost' Shipman,

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'Eerie' Isabel Oakeshott and First this morning, two

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new models of car to be built, securing 7,000 jobs at the car plant

:01:40.:01:48.

in Sunderland and a further 28, 00 The news from Nissan on Thursday

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was seized on by Leave campaigners as evidence that the British

:01:52.:01:58.

economy is in rude health This morning, the Business

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Secretary, Greg Clark, was asked what assurances were given

:02:01.:02:04.

to the Japanese firm's bosses Well, it's in no-one's the interest

:02:05.:02:07.

for there to be tariff barriers to the continent

:02:08.:02:14.

and vice versa. So, what I said is that our

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objective would be to ensure that we have continued access to the markets

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in Europe and vice versa, without tariffs and without

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bureaucratic impediments. That is how we will approach

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those negotiations. We're joined now from Newcastle

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by the Shadow Business Welcome to the programme. Labour has

:02:36.:02:49.

been a bit sceptical about this Nissan decision. Can we begin by

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making it clear just what a great achievement this is, above all for

:02:54.:02:58.

the workers of Sunderland who have some of the highest productivity in

:02:59.:03:03.

the world, have never been on strike for 30 years, and produce cars of

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incredible quality. This is their victory, isn't it? Andrew, you are

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absolutely right. The Nissan plant in Sunderland is among the most

:03:15.:03:16.

productive in the world. The workers of Nissan are amongst the most

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productive as well. And it's really a victory for them and for the trade

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unions and the business organisations, and everybody who

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campaigned to make sure that the government couldn't ignore their

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future. It's our future. I'm the MP for Newcastle. It makes a huge

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difference to the region. We are a region that still likes to make

:03:42.:03:45.

things that work. It is a huge part of our advanced manufacturing

:03:46.:03:50.

sector. So it's really something we welcome as well as the job security.

:03:51.:03:55.

I'm glad we have got that on the record from the Labour shadow

:03:56.:04:00.

business secretary. But your Shadow Chancellor, John McDonnell, claims

:04:01.:04:03.

the government is ignoring manufacturers and cares only about a

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small banking elite. In what way is safeguarding 30,000 industrial jobs

:04:10.:04:12.

in the North safeguarding a financial elite? As I said, we're

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really pleased that the campaigning by trade unions and the workforce,

:04:18.:04:21.

and business organisations, meant the government felt they couldn t

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ignore Nissan workers. Let's also be clear that we want that kind of job

:04:26.:04:29.

security for all of those working in manufacturing and in other sectors

:04:30.:04:34.

as well. And sweetheart deals for one company, no matter how important

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they are, that does not an industrial strategy make. Why'd you

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say it is a sweetheart deal? Greg Clark told the BBC this morning that

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what was assured to Nissan is an assurance he gives to the whole

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industrial sector? I was really pleased to see Greg Clark felt he

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had to say something, even though it's sad that we having our

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industrial strategy, you like, or our approach to Brexit delivered

:05:06.:05:08.

piecemeal to the media rather than to the British people and Nissan,

:05:09.:05:13.

actually. But he want published the letter. He said he has told us what

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is in the letter and that reassurances given on training, on

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science and on supporting the supply chain for the automated sector. You

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must be in favour all -- of all of that? We are in favour of an

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industrial strategy. Greg Clark unlike Sajid Javid, cannot say

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industrial strategy. I'm still puzzling to find out what it is you

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disagree with. Let me put the question. You said the assurances he

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has given to Nissan are available to the car manufacturing sector in

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general and indeed to industry in general. What is your problem with

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that? Two things. Let him publish the letter so we can see that, let

:06:01.:06:04.

him have the transparency he's pretending to offer. But also, we

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need an industrial strategy that values -- that is values based and

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joined. He talked about electric cars and supporting green cars. That

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was in regard to Nissan. At the same time the government has slashed

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support for other areas of green technology. So what is it? That is

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not to do with the Nissan deal. Labour implied at some stage there

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was some financial inducement, some secret bribes, that doesn't seem to

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be the case. You are not claiming that any more -- any more. Then you

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claimed it was a sweetheart deal for one company. That turns out not to

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be the case. What criticism are you left with on this Nissan deal? I

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would be really surprised if all that Nissan got was the reassurances

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that Greg Clark is shared with us. He didn't answer the question of

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what happens if we can't get continued tariff free access to the

:07:11.:07:13.

single market, if we are not within the single market or the Customs

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Union. Do you really think a negotiator like Nissan, who are very

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good at negotiating, they would have excepted making this significant

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investment without some further reassurances? Do you think there is

:07:26.:07:31.

some kind of financial bride and if so what is the evidence? I would

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like to see the letter published and I would also like to understand what

:07:37.:07:42.

would happen... There are 27 countries which need to agree with

:07:43.:07:46.

the deal we have from Brexit. What will Nissan, how will Nissan remain

:07:47.:07:50.

competitive? How will the automotive industry remain competitive? Greg

:07:51.:07:56.

Clark says he reassured them on that. But how will that be so if we

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do not get access? We haven't heard anything about that. He talks about

:08:01.:08:09.

reassurances given to Nissan. We need to make -- to know where we're

:08:10.:08:13.

going to make sure Brexit is in the interest of all workers, not only

:08:14.:08:16.

those who work for a Nissan and not only those who can get the attention

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of Greg Clark. He assured Nissan that Britain would remain a

:08:25.:08:26.

competitive place to do business. That was the main assurance he gave

:08:27.:08:31.

them. He would help with skills and infrastructure and all the rest

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Since you are -- intend to repeal the trade union laws that have made

:08:37.:08:40.

strikes in Britain largely a thing of the past, and you plan to raise

:08:41.:08:43.

corporation tax, you couldn't give Nissan the same assurance, could

:08:44.:08:48.

you? We could absolutely give Nissan the assurance that we will be, our

:08:49.:08:53.

vision of the future of the UK, is based on having a strong

:08:54.:08:57.

manufacturing sector. Repealing trade union laws? As we have seen at

:08:58.:09:08.

Nissan, the industrial sector is dependent on having highly trained,

:09:09.:09:16.

well skilled workers. -- highly skilled, well-trained. You don't

:09:17.:09:20.

have that by getting -- having an aggressive policy and trade union

:09:21.:09:24.

laws or by slashing corporation tax and not supporting manufacturing

:09:25.:09:28.

investment. Remember, the last government took away the

:09:29.:09:31.

Manufacturing allowances which supported Manufacturing and slashed

:09:32.:09:36.

corporation tax. That is their solution. It is a low tax, low skill

:09:37.:09:40.

economy they want. Thank you. Sorry I had to rush you.

:09:41.:09:45.

I'm grateful for you joining us I'm still struggling to see what is

:09:46.:09:55.

left of Labour's criticism? Yeah, except for this. This was a valid

:09:56.:09:59.

point she just made. What we know for sure is that Greg Clark could

:10:00.:10:03.

say to Nissan, my aim is to get tariff free deal. There is no way he

:10:04.:10:09.

could guarantee that. None of us know that. I don't think that was

:10:10.:10:13.

enough. I think clearly there was a more detailed package involving

:10:14.:10:20.

training and other things. He has acknowledged this, albeit we do not

:10:21.:10:24.

know the precise mechanism. What I think is interesting about this is

:10:25.:10:28.

if you reverse what happened this week, at a time when the government

:10:29.:10:31.

says Britain is open for business and it is going to have an

:10:32.:10:36.

industrial strategy, so far it is a bit vaguely defined. Nissan hadn't

:10:37.:10:40.

made this commitment. Imagine what would have happened? It is an

:10:41.:10:43.

impossible scenario. The government seems to me was obliged to make sure

:10:44.:10:50.

this didn't happen. Let's not forget Nissan has invested hundreds of

:10:51.:10:53.

millions in the north-east. It has been a huge success story. When I

:10:54.:10:58.

spoke to workers from Nissan, they were so proud because they went to

:10:59.:11:02.

Japan to teach the Japanese had to be more productive. The idea that

:11:03.:11:06.

Nissan was just going to walk away from this given its track record,

:11:07.:11:10.

its importance, wasn't really credible. The government had some

:11:11.:11:16.

bargaining chips. Absolutely, of course they weren't going to walk

:11:17.:11:20.

away. The majority of people in the area in which Nissan is braced -

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based, voted for Brexit. Nissan knows it is in a powerful position

:11:25.:11:29.

because it is an emotive sector Clearly the government didn't want

:11:30.:11:32.

to have some big showdown. I honestly don't think this is a

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smoking gun. The Labour Shadow minister really struggled to

:11:39.:11:41.

articulate what exactly she thinks the government is hiding. I think

:11:42.:11:44.

the reassurances were given were pretty anodyne, really. They were

:11:45.:11:49.

anodyne and general. And what Greg Clark was setting out was an

:11:50.:11:52.

objective and he made the right noises, and Nissan exercised its

:11:53.:11:56.

right to sabre rattle. It does have a history of doing that. The one

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thing that would now be clear given Greg Clark's performance this

:12:04.:12:06.

morning on the BBC, is that if we were to discover some kind of

:12:07.:12:09.

financial incentive directly linked to this investment, not more for

:12:10.:12:14.

skills or infrastructure, that is fine, but some direct financial

:12:15.:12:19.

investment, compensation for tariffs, which would be illegal

:12:20.:12:21.

under World Trade Organisation rules, what you might call a

:12:22.:12:27.

financial bride, the sect -- the business Secretary's position would

:12:28.:12:31.

be untenable? He would be in a very difficult position indeed. Just

:12:32.:12:34.

released the letter. There is nothing to hide. Put it out there.

:12:35.:12:38.

The most revealing thing is that people are getting wildly excited

:12:39.:12:44.

about the fact Greg Clark announced Britain's negotiating position would

:12:45.:12:47.

be that we would like tariff free trade with Europe. This is regarded

:12:48.:12:51.

as an insight into what this comment is doing and it says a great deal

:12:52.:12:54.

about how little we have been told in Parliament and the media about

:12:55.:13:00.

what they are up. Do you think it is exciting we are going for tariff

:13:01.:13:04.

free trade? We're easily excited these days. We don't know. This is

:13:05.:13:11.

where these things are at such a tentative phase. We don't know how

:13:12.:13:15.

the rest of the European Union is going to respond to Britain's

:13:16.:13:21.

negotiating hand. We know Britain once the best of everything, please.

:13:22.:13:26.

It is a starting point. But that is not how it is going to end up. We

:13:27.:13:31.

are getting wider than that. We have will have to see.

:13:32.:13:33.

Now, Universal Credit, a single payment made to welfare

:13:34.:13:35.

claimants that would roll together a plethora of benefits whilst

:13:36.:13:38.

encouraging people into work by making work pay.

:13:39.:13:40.

But have cuts to the flagship welfare scheme reduced work

:13:41.:13:42.

incentives and hit the incomes of the least well-off?

:13:43.:13:48.

Well, some of the government's own MPs think so, and,

:13:49.:13:50.

as Mark Lobel reports, want the cuts reversed.

:13:51.:13:57.

Theresa May says she wants a country that works

:13:58.:14:00.

for everyone, that's on the side of ordinary, working people.

:14:01.:14:04.

It means never writing off people who can work and consigning them

:14:05.:14:07.

to a life on benefits, but giving them the chance to go out

:14:08.:14:10.

and earn a living and to enjoy the dignity that comes

:14:11.:14:13.

But now some in her party are worried that the low earners

:14:14.:14:19.

will be hit by changes to Universal Credit benefit system

:14:20.:14:24.

originally set up to encourage more people into work.

:14:25.:14:26.

We also need to focus tax credits and Universal Credit

:14:27.:14:29.

Concern centred on the Government's decision in the July 2015 budget

:14:30.:14:36.

to find ?3 billion worth of savings from the Universal Credit bill.

:14:37.:14:45.

Conservative MP Heidi Allen is working on a campaign to get MPs

:14:46.:14:47.

in her party to urge the Prime Minister to think again.

:14:48.:14:55.

I want her to understand for herself what the outcomes might

:14:56.:14:58.

be if we press ahead with the Universal Credit,

:14:59.:15:00.

Do you think Theresa May, right now, understands what you understand

:15:01.:15:04.

To be fair, unless you really get into the detail,

:15:05.:15:07.

and I have through my work on the Work and Pensions

:15:08.:15:10.

Select Committee, I don't think anybody does.

:15:11.:15:11.

Independent economic analysts at the IFS agree with Heidi Alan

:15:12.:15:17.

that cuts to Universal Credit weaken incentives to work.

:15:18.:15:22.

One of the key parts of the Universal Credit system

:15:23.:15:24.

That is how much you can earn before your credit

:15:25.:15:28.

As the Government has sought to save money,

:15:29.:15:31.

both under the Coalition and now they Conservative Government,

:15:32.:15:33.

both under the Coalition and now the Conservative Government,

:15:34.:15:35.

that work allowance has been cut, time and time again.

:15:36.:15:37.

The biggest cuts happened in the summer budget of 2015.

:15:38.:15:40.

That basically reduces the amount of earnings you get to keep

:15:41.:15:42.

It weakens the incentive people have to move into work.

:15:43.:15:46.

What do changes to the Universal Credit system mean?

:15:47.:15:48.

The Resolution Foundation think tank has crunched the numbers.

:15:49.:15:51.

If you compare what would have happened before the July 2015 summer

:15:52.:15:55.

budget to what will happen by 2 20, even if you take into account gains

:15:56.:15:58.

in the National Living Wage and income tax cuts,

:15:59.:16:00.

recipients will be hit by annual deductions.

:16:01.:16:05.

Couples and parents would receive, on average, ?1000 less.

:16:06.:16:09.

A dual-earning couple with two children under four,

:16:10.:16:11.

with one partner working full-time on ?10.50 an hour and the other

:16:12.:16:14.

working part-time on the minimum wage for around 20

:16:15.:16:17.

hours a week, they would receive ?1800 less.

:16:18.:16:24.

Hit most by the changes would be a single parent

:16:25.:16:27.

with a child under four, working full-time

:16:28.:16:28.

I think, if I'm honest, it is unrealistic, given

:16:29.:16:42.

the economic climate, to expect everything to be reversed.

:16:43.:16:45.

What I would like to see is an increase in the work

:16:46.:16:51.

allowances to those people who will be hardest hit.

:16:52.:16:54.

That is single parents and second earners hoping to return to work,

:16:55.:16:57.

because they are the people we need to absolutely make

:16:58.:16:59.

The Sunday Politics understands that about 15 to 20 Conservative MPs

:17:00.:17:04.

are pushing for changes ahead of the Autumn Statement.

:17:05.:17:07.

A former cabinet minister told us that they believed further impact

:17:08.:17:11.

analysis should be done to find out if any mitigation measures

:17:12.:17:13.

Former Work and Pensions Secretary Iain Duncan Smith, an architect

:17:14.:17:20.

of the system, now says the cuts should be reversed.

:17:21.:17:24.

But his former department has told us that it has no plans to revisit

:17:25.:17:29.

the work allowance changes announced in the budget last year.

:17:30.:17:34.

What I would say to Heidi Allen and IDS, they got it right the first

:17:35.:17:38.

time and they should stick to the vote they cast last year

:17:39.:17:40.

because these reforms actually do make sense.

:17:41.:17:42.

What interests me is the fact we are trying to move people

:17:43.:17:45.

off welfare into work, we are raising the wages people

:17:46.:17:47.

earn by massively increasing the minimum wage and this

:17:48.:17:50.

People are coming off welfare and into work.

:17:51.:17:53.

Campaigners are pushing for savings to come from other areas to relieve

:17:54.:17:56.

The other thing we have to start looking at is the triple

:17:57.:18:02.

Financially it has been a great policy, and it was absolutely right

:18:03.:18:06.

that we lifted pensioners who were significantly behind,

:18:07.:18:08.

for many years, in terms of income levels, but they have

:18:09.:18:11.

I think it is time for us to look at that policy again,

:18:12.:18:16.

because is costing us an awful lot of money.

:18:17.:18:18.

With just over three weeks to wait until the Conservative leadership's

:18:19.:18:21.

new economic plan is unveiled in the Autumn Statement,

:18:22.:18:24.

its top team is under pressure from within its own ranks to use it

:18:25.:18:28.

And I'm joined now by former Work and Pensions Secretary,

:18:29.:18:37.

Welcome back to the programme. Theresa May said she is on the side

:18:38.:18:45.

of the just managing, the working poor. But they are about to be hit

:18:46.:18:50.

from all sides. Their modest living standards are going to be squeezed

:18:51.:18:54.

as inflation overtakes pay rises, they will be further squeezed

:18:55.:18:58.

because top-up benefits in work are frozen. Incentives to work are going

:18:59.:19:01.

to be reduced by the cuts in universal benefits. So much for

:19:02.:19:06.

being on the side of those just managing? Theresa was right to focus

:19:07.:19:11.

on this group. The definition has to be the bottom half, in economic

:19:12.:19:18.

terms, of the social structure. It doesn't look good for them? This is

:19:19.:19:22.

the point I am making, it is an opportunity to put some of this

:19:23.:19:26.

right. One of the reasons I resigned in March is because I felt the

:19:27.:19:28.

direction of travel we had been going in had been to take far too

:19:29.:19:32.

much money out of that group of people when there are other areas

:19:33.:19:36.

which, if you need to make some of those savings, you can. The key bit

:19:37.:19:40.

is that the group needs to be helped through into work and encouraged to

:19:41.:19:43.

stay in work. There was a report done with the IFS, when we were

:19:44.:19:47.

there, at Universal Credit. It said Universal Credit rolled out, as it

:19:48.:19:53.

should have been before the cuts, people would be much more likely to

:19:54.:19:57.

stay in work longer and earn more money. It is a net positive, but

:19:58.:20:01.

that is now called into question. Let's unpick some of the detail but

:20:02.:20:06.

first, do you accept the words of David Willets? It says on the basis

:20:07.:20:09.

of the things I read out to you that the just managing face a significant

:20:10.:20:16.

and painful cut in real terms if we continue on the way we are going. I

:20:17.:20:21.

do, in essence. That is the reason why I resigned. I felt Heidi raised

:20:22.:20:29.

that issue as well, that we got the balance wrong. It is right that

:20:30.:20:33.

pensioners get to a certain point, when they are on a level par, doing

:20:34.:20:37.

the right thing over five years Staying with that process has cost

:20:38.:20:42.

us ?18 billion extra this year, in total. It will go on costing another

:20:43.:20:51.

5 billion. Then there is the issue of tax allowances. I want to remind

:20:52.:20:55.

you and viewers what David Cameron told the Conservative conference in

:20:56.:21:02.

2009. If you are a single mother with two children, earning ?150 a

:21:03.:21:07.

week, the withdrawal of your benefits and the additional taxes

:21:08.:21:11.

that you pay me on that for every extra you earn, you keep just 4p.

:21:12.:21:19.

What kind of incentive is that? 30 years ago, this party won and

:21:20.:21:24.

election fighting against 98% tax rates for the Rex richest. I want us

:21:25.:21:34.

today to show even more anger about 96% tax rates for the very poorest

:21:35.:21:39.

in our country. Real anger, and effective rate of over 90%.

:21:40.:21:45.

Universal Credit reduces that. Some will still face, as they lose

:21:46.:21:49.

benefits and pay tax, a marginal rate of over 75%. That is still too

:21:50.:21:54.

high? Yes, it is the collision between those going into work at the

:21:55.:21:58.

moment they start paying tax. A racial Universal Credit is set at

:21:59.:22:03.

65%. You can call that the base marginal tax rate. 1.2 million will

:22:04.:22:09.

face 75%? That is the point about why the allowances are so important.

:22:10.:22:13.

The point about the allowances which viewers might not fully understand

:22:14.:22:16.

is that it was set, as part of Universal Credit, to allow you to

:22:17.:22:20.

get certain people, with certain difficulties, as they cross into

:22:21.:22:23.

work, to retain more benefit before it is tapered away as they go up in

:22:24.:22:31.

hours. A lone parent, who might have various issues, you want her to have

:22:32.:22:34.

a bigger incentive than a single person that does not have the same

:22:35.:22:38.

commitments. It is structured so that somebody who has difficulty

:22:39.:22:42.

going to work, they all have slightly different rates. What

:22:43.:22:45.

happened is that last year a decision was taken to reduce tax

:22:46.:22:48.

credits, and, on the back of that, to reduce allowances. I believe

:22:49.:22:52.

given everything that happened now, we need to restore that to the point

:22:53.:22:58.

where it helps those people crossing over. You say a decision was taken,

:22:59.:23:01.

it was a decision by the former Chancellor George Osborne in the

:23:02.:23:06.

summer budget. Other decisions were taken in successive Budgets to raise

:23:07.:23:10.

the Universal Credit budget, which resulted in the disincentive being

:23:11.:23:13.

higher than many people wanted. Do you accept that has been the

:23:14.:23:19.

consequence of his decisions? I was in the Government, we take

:23:20.:23:21.

collective responsibility. I argued this was not the right way to go,

:23:22.:23:25.

but when you are in you have to stay with it if you lose that argument.

:23:26.:23:28.

There was another attempt before the spending review last year to

:23:29.:23:32.

increase the taper, so the marginal rate would have gone up. I managed

:23:33.:23:37.

to stop that. I'm Sibley saying what we made as a decision last

:23:38.:23:41.

year, given the circumstances and given that the net effect of all of

:23:42.:23:46.

that, I think it is time for the Government to ask the question, if

:23:47.:23:49.

we are in this to help that group of people, Universal Credit is

:23:50.:23:54.

singularly the most powerful tool. One of the Argentine aid in the

:23:55.:23:56.

paper published on Thursday, we are set going on doing two more races of

:23:57.:24:02.

the tax threshold, taking more people out of tax. That has a

:24:03.:24:08.

diminishing effect on the bottom section. Only 25p in that tax rate

:24:09.:24:14.

will help any of those. Most of it goes to middle income? You and I

:24:15.:24:19.

will benefit more from that. With Universal Credit, every pound you

:24:20.:24:22.

put into that will go to the bottom five tenths. That is why I designed

:24:23.:24:26.

it like that. He pressed the button and immediately start to changed

:24:27.:24:31.

circumstances. Should the cuts in Universal Credit that Mr Osborne

:24:32.:24:34.

introduced, against your argument, should they be reversed? I believe

:24:35.:24:40.

so. I believe you can do it even if there is concern about spending I

:24:41.:24:43.

don't believe you need to go through with the continuing raise the tax

:24:44.:24:47.

threshold. Cost is dependent on inflation, but give or take. It is

:24:48.:24:55.

in the Tory manifesto? Has more than doubled. What is in the manifesto,

:24:56.:25:00.

and Lasse Prime Minister made this clear in conference, we want to

:25:01.:25:06.

improve the life chances of people. Today's announcement on the Green

:25:07.:25:09.

paper is what I wrote over the last two and a half years. Big changes

:25:10.:25:13.

necessary to how we deal with sickness benefit. That can now be

:25:14.:25:17.

done because of Universal Credit, because people can go back to work

:25:18.:25:20.

and it tapers away their benefits. It is the most powerful tool to sort

:25:21.:25:24.

our people that live in poverty Universal Credit. We need to make

:25:25.:25:30.

sure it lands positively. If Mr Osborne's cuts were reversed, what

:25:31.:25:32.

you and some of your backbench Tory colleagues want to do, how would

:25:33.:25:37.

that improve the incentives of the working poor, as they try to get on

:25:38.:25:43.

in life? They have to pay more tax, they lose some benefits. How would

:25:44.:25:49.

it improve it? Would many still face a 75% rate? The key question is

:25:50.:25:53.

first and foremost, as people move through income to the point where

:25:54.:25:58.

they are getting taxed, that group will be enormously benefited by the

:25:59.:26:01.

re-emergence of these allowances at the right level. That is what the

:26:02.:26:07.

IFS have said, that is what the Resolution Foundation are saying,

:26:08.:26:11.

and the Centre For Social Justice is saying. You have to get that group,

:26:12.:26:15.

because they are most likely to be drifting into poverty and less

:26:16.:26:19.

incomes are right. Would it help those who face a 75% margin? We

:26:20.:26:25.

don't face that. Exactly right. People much poorer than us do. I

:26:26.:26:29.

would love to get the marginal rate down to testify percent, and lower,.

:26:30.:26:38.

-- down to 65%. It is a balance of how you spend the money. I would

:26:39.:26:41.

prefer to do that rather than necessarily go ahead with threshold

:26:42.:26:49.

razors. I think the coronation of the marginal reduction of 65%,

:26:50.:26:54.

getting it down to 60%, plus more allowances, will allow Universal

:26:55.:26:57.

Credit to get to the group that is going to be, and the report written

:26:58.:27:01.

by the IFS and ourselves, it shows it is going to be the most dynamic

:27:02.:27:05.

and direct ability of a Government to be able to influence the way that

:27:06.:27:09.

people improve their incomes in the bottom five deciles. Would you take

:27:10.:27:16.

on extra work if you knew you were going to lose 75% of it? Even 6 %?

:27:17.:27:22.

This has been my argument all along. Universal Credit can help that

:27:23.:27:27.

enormously. One point that goes missing, 70% of the bottom five

:27:28.:27:32.

deciles will be on Universal Credit. Whatever change you make to

:27:33.:27:34.

Universal Credit has a dramatic and immediate effect I am arguing,

:27:35.:27:40.

genuinely, it is time to rethink this. The Prime Minister wants to

:27:41.:27:44.

make this a priority. I am completely with her on this. I think

:27:45.:27:48.

she made a really good start. To deliver this, we need to... You have

:27:49.:27:53.

a lot of work to do to deliver it. Because it is a manifesto

:27:54.:27:57.

commitment, or because they want to do it, stopping increasing the

:27:58.:28:02.

personal allowances are not acceptable, what about bringing to

:28:03.:28:05.

an end, by the end of the parliament, the pension triple lock

:28:06.:28:11.

that pensioners enjoy to improve and put more money to the working poor?

:28:12.:28:17.

What about that? Well, you are absolutely right that there is now

:28:18.:28:21.

the danger, I think, of a mess balance between the generations

:28:22.:28:24.

Quite rightly at the beginning, when we came in, we have a commitment as

:28:25.:28:28.

a Conservative Party in a manifesto to get pensions back onto earnings.

:28:29.:28:34.

It was moved to a triple lock that guaranteed a minimum. What about

:28:35.:28:39.

ending up now? I understand it is a promise through the Parliament, but

:28:40.:28:43.

after 2020? I am in favour of getting it back to innings and

:28:44.:28:47.

allowing it to rise at reasonable levels. Moving from earnings to the

:28:48.:28:52.

triple lock has cost ?18 billion this year. Here was a high, under

:28:53.:28:56.

pressure, as the Government was scratching around to pay more money

:28:57.:29:00.

out of working age areas, when the budget was almost out of control on

:29:01.:29:04.

the pension side. I'm in favour of helping pensioners, but now they are

:29:05.:29:07.

up to a reasonable level, at a steady rate, that can be afforded by

:29:08.:29:11.

Government, which takes the pressure off, working age people have to pay

:29:12.:29:16.

for that. In years to come, time to end the triple lock

:29:17.:29:27.

and use the savings to help these people we have been talking about?

:29:28.:29:31.

As part of a load of packages, yes. It would also help with the

:29:32.:29:33.

intergenerational fairness argument. Thank you for being with us.

:29:34.:29:36.

Now, a prominent London Imam called Shakeel Begg -

:29:37.:29:39.

who is Chief Imam the Lewisham Islamic Centre - is an extremist.

:29:40.:29:42.

That was the verdict of the judge in a libel action that Mr Begg took

:29:43.:29:45.

against the BBC, after we described him as an Islamic extremist

:29:46.:29:48.

Mr Begg had complained about a short segment in an interview in November

:29:49.:29:52.

2013 with Farooq Murad, the then head of the Muslim Council

:29:53.:29:55.

of Britain, an organisation which claims to represent British

:29:56.:29:57.

In that interview, we described Mr Begg as an extremist speaker

:29:58.:30:03.

who had hailed jihad is the greatest of deeds.

:30:04.:30:06.

From his base of the Lewisham Islamic Centre, Mr Begg has been

:30:07.:30:09.

involved in a number of community organisations, including

:30:10.:30:13.

the Police Independent Advisory Group in Lewisham,

:30:14.:30:15.

Lewisham Council's Advisory Council on Religious Education

:30:16.:30:20.

and as a volunteer chaplain at Lewisham Hospital.

:30:21.:30:23.

But in his judgment, Mr Justice Haddon-Cave called

:30:24.:30:28.

Mr Begg a Jekyll and Hyde character - a trusted figure in his local

:30:29.:30:32.

community, but when talking to predominantly Muslim audiences

:30:33.:30:35.

he shed the cloak of respectability and revealed the horns of extremism.

:30:36.:30:40.

The judge cited one speech made by Mr Begg at a rally

:30:41.:30:43.

outside Belmarsh Prisonm- the high security prison that houses

:30:44.:30:46.

terrorists - as particularly sinister.

:30:47.:30:49.

The judge said the imam was expressing admiration and praise

:30:50.:30:51.

Following Friday's judgment, the hospital trust have told us that

:30:52.:30:57.

Mr Begg's status as a voluntary chaplain has been terminated.

:30:58.:31:02.

We have been told by Lewisham Council he is no longer

:31:03.:31:05.

on their Religious Education Committee.

:31:06.:31:07.

The Metropolitan Police have confirmed that

:31:08.:31:09.

Mr Begg remains a member of their Independent Advisory Group

:31:10.:31:14.

in Lewisham, as well as the borough's faith group.

:31:15.:31:23.

I am joined by Haras Rafiq, chief executive of the Quilliam

:31:24.:31:28.

Foundation. Welcome to the programme. I have here in my hand a

:31:29.:31:35.

statement from the trustees of the Lewisham Islamic Centre. They reject

:31:36.:31:41.

the judge's ruling as fanciful and say they are unequivocal and

:31:42.:31:43.

unwavering in their support of Shakeel Begg as their head imam

:31:44.:31:50.

What do you make of that? To be honest, it doesn't surprise me. At

:31:51.:31:54.

the end of the day he is only the imam of that mosque because he

:31:55.:31:58.

belongs to the same theological fundamentalist views that the mosque

:31:59.:32:03.

would portray. If they were to say he was an extremist, they would be

:32:04.:32:08.

saying in fact that they have allowed extremist preaching and

:32:09.:32:12.

extremist theology within their walls. I think this is a very

:32:13.:32:17.

important decision and a very important judgment by the judge

:32:18.:32:24.

First of all, these people like to operate in a linear, under a veneer

:32:25.:32:28.

of respectability. When that veneer is taken away, there are a number of

:32:29.:32:33.

things that can happen. First of all, the BBC did very well to stand

:32:34.:32:37.

by their guns and say, we're not going to be intimidated by somebody

:32:38.:32:44.

who is threatening to taking -- to take us to court for potential

:32:45.:32:48.

libel. Many other media companies have done that in the past and

:32:49.:32:53.

people have capitulated. Also, this has exposed him. Legally now, here's

:32:54.:32:58.

some deal can be classified as an extremist preacher, somebody who

:32:59.:33:02.

promotes religious violence. I think the mosque really needs to take a

:33:03.:33:06.

step back and say, how we part of the problem that we are facing

:33:07.:33:10.

within society? Or are we going to be part of the solution? It really

:33:11.:33:19.

concerns me. The High Court judge says that Mr Begg's speeches were

:33:20.:33:24.

consistent with an extremist Salafist is the most worldview. What

:33:25.:33:31.

is Salafist is and how widespread is it in UK mosques? -- mosque. It

:33:32.:33:41.

comes from the Middle East. It is from Saudi Arabia. The enemy for

:33:42.:33:44.

them was the old colonial Ottoman Empire. There is the quiet Salafist

:33:45.:33:53.

to get some with their lives, lives outside society. There is a

:33:54.:33:55.

revolutionary who tries to convert other people to their worldview And

:33:56.:33:59.

then there is the Salafist jihad ease. People like Islamic State etc.

:34:00.:34:06.

We have seen of increased in recent decades because of money that has,

:34:07.:34:09.

growing from the Middle East. When that is mixed with a political

:34:10.:34:15.

ideology, it becomes potent. Do we have a political -- particular

:34:16.:34:19.

problem in Britain with this in our mosques? Absolutely. Without the

:34:20.:34:25.

theology that says hate the other, hate other Muslims, that

:34:26.:34:28.

excommunicate other people, that says it is OK to fight and is good

:34:29.:34:33.

to fight when you have got an enemy, we wouldn't really have a jihadi

:34:34.:34:37.

problem. Really that is something we have to tackle. The number of

:34:38.:34:45.

mosques and institutions supporting Salafist and Islam is has been on

:34:46.:34:49.

the increase. Do we have a problem with what the judge called Jekyll

:34:50.:34:54.

and Hyde characters who hide their extremism except when they are

:34:55.:35:00.

speaking to specific groups? Absolutely. One of the things we

:35:01.:35:05.

have focused on in the past, a number of hate preachers now in

:35:06.:35:09.

prison, people like Anjem Choudary, and everybody focused on them. But

:35:10.:35:13.

there is a range of people operating under that level. People who will

:35:14.:35:17.

show one face to the community because they actually need that for

:35:18.:35:22.

a respectability. They need that for a legitimacy. They need that to

:35:23.:35:26.

operate. When they are behind closed doors and talking to their

:35:27.:35:30.

constitution, that is when you will see the real face of what these

:35:31.:35:35.

people believe. It is an increasing phenomenon. We are seeing it more.

:35:36.:35:39.

And we're going to carry on seeing it. Not just has the Lewisham mosque

:35:40.:35:46.

stuck by him, but given the clarity of the judge's ruling, are you

:35:47.:35:50.

surprised that the Metropolitan police would wish to continue with

:35:51.:35:55.

Mr Begg as an adviser? I'm absolutely shocked that that

:35:56.:35:58.

decision. What Uzzy going to do Advise them on how to deal with

:35:59.:36:04.

extremist preachers and promote religiously motivated violence? I

:36:05.:36:06.

don't know what he's going to advise them on. Because we now have a judge

:36:07.:36:12.

that has ruled against him and actually classified him as an

:36:13.:36:15.

extremist and somebody who promotes religious violence, we actually have

:36:16.:36:20.

a possibility for the CPS to actually prosecute him. There is a

:36:21.:36:25.

law that has been in place since 2005 called religiously motivated

:36:26.:36:28.

violence. If he has been classified as somebody who promotes this, there

:36:29.:36:34.

is a potential for the CPS to prosecute. I want to called into

:36:35.:36:38.

question other organisations, interfaith organisations, other

:36:39.:36:41.

Muslims groups, who say they want to fight extremism, I call on them to

:36:42.:36:48.

say, this guy is an extremist preacher, we should cut our ties

:36:49.:36:57.

from him. This was a very high risk strategy by the BBC. The exposure

:36:58.:37:01.

could have been over ?1.5 million of licence payers money. Will this make

:37:02.:37:07.

it more difficult for Jekyll and Hyde characters to behave as Mr Begg

:37:08.:37:13.

has behaved? Absolutely. It will do. One of the things they will now have

:37:14.:37:17.

to make sure is that they are a lot more careful. Careful with what they

:37:18.:37:24.

say to their own constituency. It won't solve the theological problem.

:37:25.:37:28.

But it will actually stop other people from operating in this manner

:37:29.:37:32.

and allow other media organisations to have the confidence to expose

:37:33.:37:36.

them when they do. Haras Rafiq, thank you for joining us.

:37:37.:37:39.

It's just gone 11.35, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:40.:37:41.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now

:37:42.:37:44.

Cleaner air for our cities. the Week Ahead.

:37:45.:37:56.

Plans to crack down on polltting vehicles and bring in

:37:57.:37:59.

The price of freeing our cities from air pollution.

:38:00.:38:06.

Is it worth paying to invest in electric?

:38:07.:38:09.

And, what happens when the hairdressers who never vote went

:38:10.:38:11.

Simplify it a little bit more for us, definitely.

:38:12.:38:17.

Just speak as a normal person would rather than using all the f`ncy

:38:18.:38:20.

I'm Marie Ashby, and our gudsts this week, two politicians whose

:38:21.:38:27.

seats could disappear under boundary changes.

:38:28.:38:29.

Sitting comfortably now, Pauline Latham, Conservativd

:38:30.:38:31.

MP for Mid Derbyshire, and Vernon Coaker, who's

:38:32.:38:35.

First, a delegation of East Midlands businesses and politicians will be

:38:36.:38:43.

The idea is to make new contacts and sell the region

:38:44.:38:48.

It follows the news this wedk that the East Midlands has

:38:49.:38:52.

seen their second lowest growth in wages in the country.

:38:53.:38:57.

So, Pauline Latham, this trhp to China is being organised

:38:58.:38:59.

It sounds like they've got puite a big job on their hands

:39:00.:39:03.

here if they want to improve our economy.

:39:04.:39:05.

Well, obviously, we'd all lhke wages to be higher but this investment

:39:06.:39:12.

going into China will be good news for the whole region.

:39:13.:39:16.

In fact, Derby has a lot of trade with China.

:39:17.:39:24.

I think it's worth ?4.5 billion a year into Derbyshire.

:39:25.:39:26.

We need to build on that and, certainly in our area,

:39:27.:39:33.

we have John from Marketing Derby and some of his team,

:39:34.:39:36.

and the university are going, and the councils.

:39:37.:39:38.

I think that's really good news to go and promote Derbyshird.

:39:39.:39:40.

We need to promote the whold of the East Midlands.

:39:41.:39:51.

To be able to bring people in to invest in this area.

:39:52.:39:54.

That's really important for the whole region,

:39:55.:39:55.

We need to stimulate that and making sure we are working hard

:39:56.:39:59.

Vernon Coaker, we may be lagging behind in the East Midlands

:40:00.:40:03.

Nationally, it's the joint biggest rise since the financial crhsis

:40:04.:40:06.

I think, first of all, I think it's a really good hdea

:40:07.:40:09.

and very supportive of the concept of the Midlands Engine

:40:10.:40:12.

In the context in which we `re in, post-Brexit, in this world,

:40:13.:40:16.

we move to wherever we are going to end up as a country,

:40:17.:40:19.

it's important we fight for investment, we go out

:40:20.:40:21.

It's not just going to come into the East Midlands just

:40:22.:40:25.

The Chinese are looking for places to invest.

:40:26.:40:39.

We have big companies, Bomb`rdier, Rolls-Royce, JCB,

:40:40.:40:41.

as well as a plus of medium and small businesses.

:40:42.:40:43.

The plea I'd make, I think it's important,

:40:44.:40:45.

We need to see what we can do for medium and small

:40:46.:40:49.

How much of a difference cotld it make to our economy?

:40:50.:40:53.

It could make a huge differdnce if we can sell to China,

:40:54.:40:56.

which is an enormous market, and growing,

:40:57.:40:57.

and other countries as well, we need to go through the whole

:40:58.:41:00.

But that's a really important market.

:41:01.:41:03.

Companies like, as you say, the small and medium size,

:41:04.:41:07.

like Royal Crown Derby, they can go out there

:41:08.:41:09.

and sell their wares but yot have to build on these relationships

:41:10.:41:12.

You can't just go in and sax, I'm going to sell this,

:41:13.:41:15.

It takes a long time to build up a relationship.

:41:16.:41:19.

Another thing just to say vdry quickly, we shouldn't forget

:41:20.:41:21.

the huge number of students that come into higher

:41:22.:41:23.

To continue that is really hmportant for our region as well.

:41:24.:41:27.

Two of our cities have been told to bring in restrictions on vehicles

:41:28.:41:30.

The clean air zones will be introduced in Nottingham and Derby,

:41:31.:41:34.

which are in danger of failhng to meet European standards

:41:35.:41:37.

As our political editor, Tony Rowe, reports, there is a big push

:41:38.:41:41.

to encourage more environmentally friendly tr`vel

:41:42.:41:43.

A glimpse of the future or ` wrong turn which could hit business?

:41:44.:41:52.

As you can hear, there's a little bit of rolling noise,

:41:53.:42:00.

a bit of wind noise, but you can't hear anything

:42:01.:42:03.

Nottingham City Council is promoting electric cars, using them

:42:04.:42:07.

in the council's fleet and putting in charging points across the city.

:42:08.:42:10.

The main benefit for the city will be reduced emissions.

:42:11.:42:15.

Nottingham has an air quality problem, along with

:42:16.:42:17.

Electric cars means there are no emissions at source.

:42:18.:42:24.

This is one of 13 new electric buses on the streets of

:42:25.:42:30.

It gives the city the largest electric bus fleet in Europd.

:42:31.:42:36.

It's quite an investment at 300 grand a bus.

:42:37.:42:41.

Soon, they will be able to drive along here,

:42:42.:42:43.

Britain's first electrical vehicle only lane.

:42:44.:42:47.

Nottingham and Derby are among six cities the Government has ordered

:42:48.:42:50.

to cut down on air pollution to comply with European

:42:51.:42:52.

Low emission vehicles will have priority.

:42:53.:43:00.

High emission commercial vehicles like buses, HGVs and bands,

:43:01.:43:05.

vans, could be banned, or face a charge.

:43:06.:43:08.

This is something that is bding driven by government,

:43:09.:43:10.

We are supportive of it dond in the right way.

:43:11.:43:15.

We are supportive of the idda of controlling car usage,

:43:16.:43:18.

controlling certain types of high emissions vehicles.

:43:19.:43:22.

More importantly, prioritishng and incentivising

:43:23.:43:23.

The project in Nottingham and Derby is being backed by ?6 million

:43:24.:43:30.

Critics say it is more cash for costly green policies.

:43:31.:43:36.

The amount of subsidies going in to fighting climatd change,

:43:37.:43:39.

we are subsidising wind farms, subsidising

:43:40.:43:42.

We are now subsidising power points to connect our electric cars.

:43:43.:43:50.

I have no problem with electric cars and power points if they ard

:43:51.:43:53.

The point is, they're not commercially viable, otherwhse

:43:54.:43:56.

the local authority wouldn't be having to subsidise them.

:43:57.:43:59.

Environmentalists say the plans don't go far enough and all city

:44:00.:44:02.

Campaigners claim the Government had planned to include ten other

:44:03.:44:14.

city clean air zones, including Leicester,

:44:15.:44:15.

but dropped the idea after objections from the Treasury.

:44:16.:44:18.

It may be a glimpse of the future but it's not a vision

:44:19.:44:21.

Joining us now is Kat Boettge from the Green Party

:44:22.:44:35.

Will this emphasis on improving -- this emphasis on improving `ir

:44:36.:44:39.

quality and Nottingham and Derby, it's got to be good news,

:44:40.:44:42.

I don't think this is going far enough.

:44:43.:44:46.

Bear pollution is a huge issue for all of us.

:44:47.:44:50.

It's estimated over 50,000 people die a year down to air

:44:51.:44:52.

The Government of course would say are quality

:44:53.:44:55.

Since 2011, it's spent ?2 bhllion on greener transport.

:44:56.:44:59.

2013, Leicester was ninth and Nottingham elevenths

:45:00.:45:02.

for the worst cities in Europe regarding air pollution.

:45:03.:45:05.

Pauline Latham, it's not good enough.

:45:06.:45:09.

But we have to do it incremdntally because we can't afford

:45:10.:45:13.

We have to make improvements all the time.

:45:14.:45:17.

I'm very pleased that Derby is going to start tackling the poor

:45:18.:45:20.

quality are in the city and obviously Nottingham as well.

:45:21.:45:25.

The big criticism of this is it only for six cities.

:45:26.:45:29.

Once they sort themselves ott, there will probably be another six

:45:30.:45:34.

cities and another six cities on that.

:45:35.:45:36.

The country does not have enough money at the moment.

:45:37.:45:44.

People can make the change themselves.

:45:45.:45:46.

We can't take it any further because there is an enough loney.

:45:47.:45:50.

That's why the Treasury didn't expand this project and include

:45:51.:45:52.

It would be great if we did but we don't.

:45:53.:45:58.

We have to do it a bit at the time and to improve each city as we go

:45:59.:46:03.

I don't we can afford, economically speaking,

:46:04.:46:09.

We see floods and so on and so forth.

:46:10.:46:19.

A lot of people have asthma and other allergic reactions.

:46:20.:46:24.

We need to think long-term `nd do as much as possible because we can't

:46:25.:46:31.

What should be done on this, Vernon Coaker?

:46:32.:46:38.

First of all, I think it's ` really exciting step forward on thd part

:46:39.:46:41.

of the city and county councils here in Nottinghamshire.

:46:42.:46:43.

There are other authorities like Derby that are making

:46:44.:46:47.

Of course we always want to see more and we need to accelerate that

:46:48.:46:52.

process and the progress that's being made.

:46:53.:46:53.

Electric buses, electric cars, eco-expressways.

:46:54.:46:54.

All of those things are happening, as well as changes to indivhdual

:46:55.:46:57.

They are really exciting and all of us have to say how can

:46:58.:47:01.

we do this much more quicklx than we are doing at present?

:47:02.:47:10.

Isn't there a worry that restricting things like HGVs

:47:11.:47:12.

and vans in city centres, that could have a knock on,

:47:13.:47:15.

There's all with a balance to be made between economic

:47:16.:47:19.

Some of us would say of course there's a need for a balancd.

:47:20.:47:22.

Doing nothing is not an option for our country

:47:23.:47:25.

We need the politically move goods around.

:47:26.:47:32.

We can also change a lot of the things we do locally

:47:33.:47:36.

and indeed regionally and nationally, indeed

:47:37.:47:38.

internationally, to ensure we make sure we don't do damage

:47:39.:47:40.

You're seeing it with electric cars you're seeing it with

:47:41.:47:44.

the electrification that's coming of the Midland Main line.

:47:45.:47:49.

The point I make is how all of us accelerate that process.

:47:50.:47:55.

It doesn't have to be just councils and government.

:47:56.:47:59.

Individuals can do their bit as well.

:48:00.:48:01.

Electric cars, for example, are very expensive still.

:48:02.:48:04.

It's not really an option for most people.

:48:05.:48:13.

And there aren't any restrictions on private cars, as such,

:48:14.:48:15.

Services have been cut in Nottinghamshire.

:48:16.:48:18.

We do need, as politicians were to change this.

:48:19.:48:25.

There needs to be a cultural change as well.

:48:26.:48:27.

People are simply using public transport.

:48:28.:48:31.

Sadly, that needs to be dond by some enforcement and finances so it

:48:32.:48:34.

What should we do to try to restrict them?

:48:35.:48:40.

I think we should have car free zones in the inner city

:48:41.:48:43.

and we should charge people who come in with cars.

:48:44.:48:45.

So it becomes cheaper to use the bus.

:48:46.:48:49.

Is that the way we should bd going, Vernon Coaker?

:48:50.:48:52.

The council here has alreadx used the word placed parking levx,

:48:53.:48:58.

which was quite controversi`l, very controversial at the thme

:48:59.:49:03.

What the council here and authorities across our region

:49:04.:49:08.

are trying to do, how you b`lanced economic growth and ensure people

:49:09.:49:11.

can move around but at the same time recognise you have to do

:49:12.:49:14.

You have to do something about climate change these

:49:15.:49:17.

But it's not impossible and there is progress being made.

:49:18.:49:23.

What Kat Boettge said earlidr, figures show that air pollution

:49:24.:49:25.

Therese Coffey, your Environment Minister,

:49:26.:49:36.

says real progress is being made but there is an awful

:49:37.:49:39.

There is real progress made but we need to get on with ht.

:49:40.:49:43.

I do believe that councils are beginning to tackle it.

:49:44.:49:46.

If we damage business, we don't have any money

:49:47.:49:49.

We have to do it so it works for everybody.

:49:50.:49:52.

We have to make sure that the worst vehicles are tackled first.

:49:53.:49:55.

A lot of the vehicles that are coming into cities,

:49:56.:50:06.

the large HGVs, the big companies have already started to tackle it.

:50:07.:50:08.

You can't damage those smaller companies too quickly.

:50:09.:50:16.

You can't just do sticks, you can do carrots as well.

:50:17.:50:19.

We can't afford to not do something about it.

:50:20.:50:22.

For example, looking at altdrnative, green sources of energy,

:50:23.:50:24.

that would give us a good, industrial kind of basis and growth.

:50:25.:50:27.

We know fossil fuel, for example, solar, sorry,

:50:28.:50:32.

worldwide, produces more jobs than the entire fossil fuel

:50:33.:50:35.

If we were to have a proper transition to cleaner energx,

:50:36.:50:43.

that would economically also stimulate our country greatly.

:50:44.:50:44.

Kat Boettge, thank you very much for joining us in the studio.

:50:45.:50:50.

Next, how do we bridge the growing gap between votdrs

:50:51.:50:52.

It's a question that's becole more urgent since the referendum debate

:50:53.:50:55.

which revealed a large part of the Electric, particularly

:50:56.:50:59.

in parts of the East Midlands, is feeling alienated

:51:00.:51:01.

Our political reporter has taken two hairdressers who say politicians

:51:02.:51:11.

are out of touch down to Westminster to meet their MP.

:51:12.:51:14.

For one day only, a politic`l rally with everyone in knots batthng

:51:15.:51:17.

There were 45 events throughout the Palace of Westminster.

:51:18.:51:24.

In the Speaker's words, Nottingham in Parliament

:51:25.:51:44.

Day really was a first.

:51:45.:51:45.

It wasn't just local dignit`ries who descended on the capital.

:51:46.:51:47.

Emma, my right I have never voted before the EU referendum.

:51:48.:51:50.

In an effort to close the g`p between the East Midlands

:51:51.:51:52.

and Parliament, we arrange for them to meet their MP for the first time.

:51:53.:51:56.

What do think we can do to change the way politics is?

:51:57.:51:59.

Simplify it a little bit more for us, definitely,

:52:00.:52:01.

and speak as a normal person would, rather than using all the f`ncy

:52:02.:52:04.

You hear all these different opinions.

:52:05.:52:08.

It's so hard to understand, to take it all in, to be honest

:52:09.:52:11.

It's easier just to sit on the fence or not have an opinion at all.

:52:12.:52:14.

We invent a language that locks people out of the whole thing.

:52:15.:52:17.

It makes a disconnect through politicians

:52:18.:52:19.

Like all hairdressers, these two spend their days

:52:20.:52:22.

Politics is one topic of conversation I'd rather `void.

:52:23.:52:33.

People just get angry straightaway and get on their high

:52:34.:52:41.

horse and start arguing. We're a bit like, calm down

:52:42.:52:43.

It's the first time we've seen new or met you.

:52:44.:52:47.

If the people ask you to do things, we want you to work

:52:48.:52:50.

For now, at least they feel closer to the democratic process.

:52:51.:52:55.

Nottingham may have come to Parliament this week but,

:52:56.:52:58.

to many back home, this place is still seems 1 million miles away.

:52:59.:53:01.

Vernon Coaker, you played a big role in this Nottingham

:53:02.:53:03.

in Parliament Day as we are about to see full stop what would it mean

:53:04.:53:07.

What it's trying to do is to make Parliament real.

:53:08.:53:11.

The process is what the problem is, as much as the language.

:53:12.:53:14.

A feeling of remoteness from political decision-makhng.

:53:15.:53:16.

As even the hairdressers were saying, everyone

:53:17.:53:18.

They will argue about it, debate it, discuss it.

:53:19.:53:22.

But it's this sense of, what difference does it makd?

:53:23.:53:25.

Part of what Nottingham in Parliament day was about

:53:26.:53:27.

and on the other days that other cities and regions well org`nising

:53:28.:53:43.

It was about saying to people, you can get involved and it does

:53:44.:53:49.

make the difference was we had students from Nottingham Trdnt

:53:50.:53:51.

That's why I got a pink timd because they were a pink te`m.

:53:52.:53:55.

Peter's report showed the bhg disconnect between Westminster

:53:56.:54:02.

and ordinary voters, as we saw in Emma and Sarah.

:54:03.:54:04.

I am trying very hard to persuade as many schools as possible to use

:54:05.:54:09.

the education programme in Parliament.

:54:10.:54:13.

It's beginning to pay off because many of the schools

:54:14.:54:15.

I'm also hosting a series of meet your MP events

:54:16.:54:22.

The recent one, I had somebody, saying, I voted for 40 odd xears.

:54:23.:54:28.

I've never met an MP and I'l really pleased to have met you.

:54:29.:54:31.

Today's MPs are out and abott far more than those of yesterye`r.

:54:32.:54:42.

Is it the language you're speaking that's a problem?

:54:43.:54:50.

That's certainly what Emma `nd Sarah told Gloria del Piero.

:54:51.:54:53.

They don't feel that politicians speak their language.

:54:54.:54:55.

You don't express things pl`inly enough for the ordinary person.

:54:56.:54:57.

I hope I do because I don't know any long words.

:54:58.:55:00.

I tried to use words people understand because I think

:55:01.:55:02.

I think people do feel we are all too posh and that's not

:55:03.:55:06.

So, yes, we probably have to speak in a more ordinary way.

:55:07.:55:10.

I still think there are ways we can go out and about and meet pdople.

:55:11.:55:14.

The more people who meet thdir MP, which I think is very important

:55:15.:55:17.

the more people realise we are real people just

:55:18.:55:19.

Is it a reaction to austerity, do you think?

:55:20.:55:31.

I don't think it's austeritx, it's something that's

:55:32.:55:33.

The trouble is, as politici`ns now, particularly female politichans

:55:34.:55:37.

since the death of Jo Cox, I feel more vulnerable going out

:55:38.:55:40.

and about and I am more cautious maybe then I used to be.

:55:41.:55:44.

Somebody dies and then we all start to feel worried

:55:45.:55:47.

I don't know about men, whether they feel that as wdll,

:55:48.:55:51.

but I feel more honourable than I used to.

:55:52.:55:55.

I'm sure some of your femald colleagues have spoken about that.

:55:56.:56:04.

This is a problem for Labour as well.

:56:05.:56:07.

We heard, didn't we, in Peter's reports, the first time

:56:08.:56:09.

Sarah had ever voted was in the EU referendum.

:56:10.:56:12.

Yet, there they are, in Sutton in Ashfield

:56:13.:56:14.

and that is Labour heartland territory, isn't it?

:56:15.:56:15.

It does go back to the point, people are interested in politics

:56:16.:56:21.

if you debate immigration or debate Europe, what the problem is,

:56:22.:56:23.

which is expressed in a way, politicians are removed,

:56:24.:56:26.

part of an elite, I think it's a sense in which people

:56:27.:56:31.

actually get into the polithcal system and make that differdnce

:56:32.:56:36.

That's what I think the polhtical system as a whole

:56:37.:56:38.

What people are saying is, just by voting, they're not sure how

:56:39.:56:53.

It's a sense in which, how do I influence what's going on?

:56:54.:56:57.

Not just at election time but all the time in between as well.

:56:58.:57:00.

Both are serious side of Nottingham Parliament dax but it

:57:01.:57:08.

isn't all hard work and policy discussions.

:57:09.:57:11.

Here's Vernon having a game of cricket on the green.

:57:12.:57:13.

Quite a good catch from Nottingham East MP,

:57:14.:57:15.

And our favourite of course, Dennis Skinner putting away

:57:16.:57:18.

Just for balance, he missed one as well.

:57:19.:57:23.

Let's hope I get this one, Coker caught Leslie 0,

:57:24.:57:27.

I think it was a first ball as well, actually.

:57:28.:57:32.

Not a bad penalty for 84-year-old Dennis Skinner.

:57:33.:57:37.

Somebody will sign him up if he carries on like that, I think.

:57:38.:57:40.

45 events were held throughout the day.

:57:41.:57:45.

What we're just talking about is making Parliament

:57:46.:57:49.

It's the breadth of the people that came.

:57:50.:57:56.

You had students, captains of industry.

:57:57.:57:57.

You couldn't get into that event.

:57:58.:58:20.

It was from industry to civhc society to citizens.

:58:21.:58:23.

For all of them to come togdther and get a common sense of ptrpose

:58:24.:58:27.

about how we would do more, obviously for Nottingham

:58:28.:58:29.

and Nottinghamshire but our region as a whole as well.

:58:30.:58:34.

Another important thing, how do we make sure we use this

:58:35.:58:39.

we all reflect upon and say, this is brilliant, what

:58:40.:58:47.

Should other cities be following in Nottingham's steps

:58:48.:58:57.

We've had a Derby food day for a number of years.

:58:58.:59:00.

It was much smaller but it worked really well we had

:59:01.:59:04.

What Nottinghamshire did is a really good idea.

:59:05.:59:07.

I'm sure there will be other counties and cities who will decide

:59:08.:59:10.

to go down that route for top it is certainly something

:59:11.:59:13.

I would like for Derby and Derbyshire to have a dax

:59:14.:59:15.

To be fair to the media, the media reported it reallx well.

:59:16.:59:20.

Time for a round-up of some of the other political storhes

:59:21.:59:25.

MPs from all sides have paid tribute to the Grantham and Stamford MP

:59:26.:59:34.

Nick Bowles, who is revealed he s being treated for cancer

:59:35.:59:37.

In a tweet announcing he had a tumour in his head, he joked.

:59:38.:59:46.

Critics might think it expl`ins some of his recent behaviour.

:59:47.:59:48.

In Strasbourg, the East Midlands Labour MEP, Glenis Willmott,

:59:49.:59:50.

criticised the British government handling of Brexit.

:59:51.:59:52.

The reality is Britain's future prosperity depends on having

:59:53.:59:54.

sensible negotiations with other EU countries.

:59:55.:59:57.

Membership of the single market on which many jobs depend,

:59:58.:00:07.

East Midlands Airport has announced it has plans for a major expansion.

:00:08.:00:17.

The airport wants to double passenger numbers and tripld

:00:18.:00:19.

There will be a shortage of Christmas cheer in Derby thhs year.

:00:20.:00:27.

The city council has decided not to stage a big switch

:00:28.:00:29.

The council says cuts means it cannot afford the event.

:00:30.:00:38.

Our best wishes to Nick Bowles as he begins his treatment

:00:39.:00:41.

and thanks to Pauline Lathal and Vernon Coaker for being my

:00:42.:00:44.

Next week will be taking a closer look at those plans

:00:45.:00:57.

Barely more than a week now until polling day,

:00:58.:01:02.

and a new revelation rocks the US Presidential election campaign.

:01:03.:01:11.

If it wasn't bizarre enough, it just got more bizarre.

:01:12.:01:15.

The FBI have reopened their investigation into Hillary Clinton's

:01:16.:01:17.

use of private email servers whilst she was Secretary

:01:18.:01:19.

of State, after the discovery of further emails.

:01:20.:01:27.

Though not on her laptop or even the State Department.

:01:28.:01:32.

Donald Trump is saying that it's bigger than Watergate -

:01:33.:01:34.

so could it swing the election in his favour?

:01:35.:01:37.

We spoke to top US pollster, Frank Luntz.

:01:38.:01:39.

The FBI investigation is happening so late in the election process

:01:40.:01:42.

that it would be very difficult to derail a Clinton victory.

:01:43.:01:47.

That said, if there is one thing that could keep Hillary Clinton

:01:48.:01:50.

from the presidency, it's an FBI investigation.

:01:51.:01:55.

But there's still only four states that really matter, Florida, Ohio,

:01:56.:01:57.

Right now, Clinton has beyond the margin of error leads

:01:58.:02:03.

This would have to have a truly significant impact for the election

:02:04.:02:10.

There is a point about a week ago when I was prepared to say that

:02:11.:02:17.

Clinton had a 95% chance of winning this election.

:02:18.:02:22.

Based on what has happened in the last 48 hours,

:02:23.:02:28.

It is still very likely, but I wouldn't bet on it.

:02:29.:02:33.

I thought the 2000 election would be the best election of my lifetime,

:02:34.:02:36.

And then I thought 2008 would be amazing, because we had two

:02:37.:02:41.

challenger candidates and the first African-American President.

:02:42.:02:45.

It is ugly, it's painful, it is as negative as anything

:02:46.:02:54.

The public is angry, the country, overall, is frustrated.

:02:55.:02:59.

But for entertainment value, these candidates probably should

:03:00.:03:06.

have charged us money, because it's better than any movie

:03:07.:03:10.

at ever seen, it's better than any TV show.

:03:11.:03:12.

That was Frank Luntz. He may be right or wrong about Mrs Clinton

:03:13.:03:24.

still having an 80% chance of winning. I would bet on an 80%

:03:25.:03:33.

chance? Yes, absolutely. I spoke to a high-profile American pollster and

:03:34.:03:36.

strategist last night and he took a rather different view to Frank

:03:37.:03:42.

Luntz. He thought, and I think some other high-profile commentators

:03:43.:03:45.

agree, that this is actually much more serious than some people

:03:46.:03:50.

realise. There are an awful lot of undecided voters out there looking

:03:51.:03:55.

for an excuse to vote Trump. They do not like what they see in either

:03:56.:03:59.

candidate. But because this FBI probe is not going to conclude

:04:00.:04:04.

before the election, the question, the doubt over Hillary Clinton,

:04:05.:04:09.

gives them an excuse to back Trump. The thing that will play on the

:04:10.:04:14.

minds of the voters is, could the 100 day honeymoon turning to the 100

:04:15.:04:18.

day divorce? Which even be impeached? It may give some people

:04:19.:04:24.

an excuse not to vote for Mrs Clinton. It could provide a problem

:04:25.:04:28.

in terms of energising her base The battle ground almost matters more

:04:29.:04:35.

than the polls. Florida and Pennsylvania have been trending to

:04:36.:04:42.

Mrs Clinton. Mr Trump needs to win both. He does not get in without

:04:43.:04:47.

both. He needs both. Just coming up in the latest BBC News, the

:04:48.:04:53.

Washington Post tracking poll, Mrs Clinton is now only one point ahead

:04:54.:04:59.

in the national poll. One point Even given my caveat that the state

:05:00.:05:04.

battles are most important. That is incredibly close? It is. Polls

:05:05.:05:10.

yesterday showed Trump nationally closing of. -- up. There is a clear

:05:11.:05:18.

trend and movement. This has reinforced everything that people

:05:19.:05:21.

who have a problem with Hillary Clinton know about Hillary Clinton.

:05:22.:05:25.

Trump is running this insurgent campaign. We have seen at here with

:05:26.:05:30.

Brexit. If you are running an insurgent campaign, you want to be

:05:31.:05:34.

against the ultimate establishment insider and that is what Hillary

:05:35.:05:38.

Clinton is. I suggested it was bizarre. Fathoming the behaviour of

:05:39.:05:44.

the FBI is interesting as well. This is a separate investigation into a

:05:45.:05:48.

former congressman, Anthony Wiener, who had done all sorts of things. He

:05:49.:05:53.

seemed to be sex text thing a minor. A 15-year-old girl. The FBI

:05:54.:06:01.

investigate. They get his laptop to see what else he has been too. In

:06:02.:06:08.

the course of that, his wife, now separated, the closest adviser to

:06:09.:06:12.

Hillary Clinton, they find on the laptop e-mails involving the Clinton

:06:13.:06:21.

server to her. And yet the FBI cannot, it needs now a separate

:06:22.:06:28.

warrant to access these e-mails It hasn't got that yet. It has got a

:06:29.:06:31.

warrant to do the congressman e-mails. On the basis of not knowing

:06:32.:06:38.

the content, this has happened. Yeah. Who knows? He is a Republican,

:06:39.:06:45.

this guy. Earlier this year he was being praised to the hilt by

:06:46.:06:50.

Democrats. Absolutely. The timing is a nightmare for her. You described

:06:51.:06:55.

the whole sequence. There is nothing definitive to doubt in this

:06:56.:07:00.

sequence. All he is saying is he has discovered more e-mails in effect.

:07:01.:07:07.

They are from the congressman's former wife. On Anthony Wiener's

:07:08.:07:14.

laptop, which apparently she used sometimes. But what that shows is

:07:15.:07:21.

that for all the scrutiny of modern politicians, they cannot escape

:07:22.:07:26.

caricature. And as Tim was just saying, her weakness is perceived to

:07:27.:07:30.

be secretive, elitism and complacency about that elitism. And

:07:31.:07:35.

so just the announcement of a reopening of the investigation so

:07:36.:07:41.

fuels that caricature, you have just revealed a poll giving her a 1%

:07:42.:07:45.

lead. That must be related to what has happened. It is without a shred

:07:46.:07:50.

of evidence that she has done anything wrong. You can see how

:07:51.:07:56.

because people only see things encourage kids, that is deadly

:07:57.:08:01.

serious. -- in caricature. An American friend of mine said we have

:08:02.:08:05.

got our October surprise but we don't know what it is. The FBI must

:08:06.:08:13.

surely come under massive pressure. It did its -- it did this against

:08:14.:08:20.

the Justice Department. The difficulty the FBI had was that this

:08:21.:08:23.

information, for what it's worth, it came to them. Were they not to have

:08:24.:08:28.

said something and it worked to have come out later, they would have been

:08:29.:08:32.

accused of a massive cover-up. They are dammed if they do, dammed if

:08:33.:08:37.

they don't. There is still time for another surprise. And early November

:08:38.:08:41.

surprise. Who knows if there might still be something that comes out on

:08:42.:08:46.

Donald Trump? This is the first election where I can remember we

:08:47.:08:50.

have had two October surprises already. There are is stuff about

:08:51.:08:55.

tapes knocking around about Donald Trump saying racist things. The

:08:56.:09:00.

Clintons have got a lot of friends. It would be a big surprise if we did

:09:01.:09:03.

not see anything else in the next few days.

:09:04.:09:06.

Just when you think it could not get more interesting, it has. There has

:09:07.:09:12.

been plenty in the papers lately about the Ukip leadership saying

:09:13.:09:13.

unpleasant things about each other. But what about Mr Farage himself?

:09:14.:09:17.

What's he up to? Well, on BBC Two tonight we may

:09:18.:09:19.

find out the answer. Well, I'm led to believe

:09:20.:09:22.

she's very experienced. But I don't think Strictly Come

:09:23.:09:28.

Dancing is for me. That is, unless, of course,

:09:29.:09:31.

you fancy popping a cheeky zero No, I don't think Strictly

:09:32.:09:37.

Come Dancing is for me. Well, you tell Mr Balls he has just

:09:38.:09:41.

lost your programme one viewer. I might have nothing to do these

:09:42.:09:47.

days but, realistically, Well, that wasn't Nigel Farage. It

:09:48.:10:09.

is a BBC comedy on tonight. Nigel Farage gets his life back. A number

:10:10.:10:14.

of runners and riders. Let's come straight down to it. Who would be

:10:15.:10:20.

the next leader of Ukip? Probably Paul Nuttall. He is the favourite.

:10:21.:10:25.

The one who has the backing, not very enthusiastic backing, is Rahim

:10:26.:10:30.

Cassandra. And also Aaron Banks a big donor. The best of a rather weak

:10:31.:10:41.

lot. I think Paul Nuttall should squeak through. I interviewed all

:10:42.:10:52.

three of them this week. Mr Cassandra is a lively character and

:10:53.:10:55.

he knows how to make a few headlines. With a bit of money

:10:56.:10:59.

behind him, anything is possible. This is a guy who has been to the

:11:00.:11:02.

States, who has literally studied what Trump has done. Pees on

:11:03.:11:14.

secondment for the time being. The guy who is his line manager is one

:11:15.:11:20.

of Donald Trump's campaign stop He is extraordinarily right-wing. I am

:11:21.:11:23.

told he kept a picture of Enoch Powell by his bed. Barry Goldwater

:11:24.:11:31.

is one of his heroes, for example. There are other candidates. I would

:11:32.:11:39.

suggest, put out as a hypothesis, Paul Nuttall is Labour's worst

:11:40.:11:45.

nightmare. They are more vulnerable in the North. Paul Nuttall is from

:11:46.:11:50.

Merseyside, a working-class background, performs well on

:11:51.:11:54.

television. He is a really good interviewee. He is one of the best

:11:55.:11:58.

around in politics at the moment. However, I think whoever gets it has

:11:59.:12:03.

a massive task. The clip of this Nigel Farage satire partly shows

:12:04.:12:10.

why. His dominance was overwhelming. He, in many ways, did a brilliant

:12:11.:12:14.

job at keeping the show on the road. The trouble for all new political

:12:15.:12:19.

parties is keeping it going is tough. A very different party, the

:12:20.:12:24.

SDP, with all those glamorous figures in it, lasted eight years,

:12:25.:12:28.

something like that. I think they are in real trouble at the moment

:12:29.:12:31.

because of the implosion we have been seeing in front of our eyes and

:12:32.:12:37.

the ideal -- ideological splits Whoever gets it will face a tough

:12:38.:12:47.

tussle. All three of the main contenders want to put Nigel Farage

:12:48.:12:49.

in the House of Lords. They were falling over themselves to soak up

:12:50.:12:54.

two farads. That is how you win this election.

:12:55.:12:58.

Mr Aaron Banks, who is he putting his money on? He said he supports

:12:59.:13:05.

Rahim. I know Mr Banks is utterly fed with the shenanigans in Ukip. He

:13:06.:13:10.

thinks it is terribly disorganised, dysfunctional and doesn't want a

:13:11.:13:14.

great deal to do with it for the foreseeable future.

:13:15.:13:16.

It is not quite Trump the Clinton but it is interesting. That is it.

:13:17.:13:21.

The Daily Politics is back tomorrow. And all of next week. Jo Coburn will

:13:22.:13:27.

be your next Sunday because I am off to the United States to begin to

:13:28.:13:31.

rehearse presenting the BBC's US election night coverage on the th

:13:32.:13:38.

of November. It will be here on BBC One, BBC

:13:39.:13:39.

world, BBC News Channel and BBC online.

:13:40.:13:41.

Remember if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:42.:14:12.

A stone stained with blood and beset with a curse.

:14:13.:14:15.

The Moonstone is of inestimable value in India.

:14:16.:14:19.

Its appointed guardians would move heaven and earth to reclaim it

:14:20.:14:23.

Let us not let the past haunt all of our actions.

:14:24.:14:31.

You've got to do something! It's only you that can!

:14:32.:14:31.

He's a scientist, brilliant apparently.

:14:32.:14:33.

But you may be bringing people over here who did things during the war.

:14:34.:14:42.

I will not work for you. I will not work for the British Government

:14:43.:14:47.

Let us not let the past haunt all of our actions.

:14:48.:14:51.

You've got to do something! It's only you that can!

:14:52.:14:54.

'We're the Raintown Superheroes Keep the streets safe.'

:14:55.:15:03.

You can trust me. What the hell are you dressed as?

:15:04.:15:08.

So, it seems my boyfriend saved you from a horrendous attack.

:15:09.:15:11.

How can she not know? No-one knows.

:15:12.:15:16.

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