Browse content similar to 12/02/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Commons Speaker John Bercow is accused of compromising his | :00:41. | :00:45. | |
impartiality by revealing he voted Remain in last year's EU referendum. | :00:46. | :00:47. | |
The EU Withdrawal Bill clears its first Parliamentary hurdle. | :00:48. | :00:56. | |
But will the House of Lords be quite so accommodating? | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
Labour's Leader in the Lords joins us live. | :01:00. | :01:06. | |
And we report from Stoke-on-Trent ahead of a crucial by-election | :01:07. | :01:10. | |
later this month, where Ukip is looking to give | :01:11. | :01:13. | |
And in the East Midlands, the Brexit hotspots - | :01:14. | :01:15. | |
we'll be looking at a detailed report into how our region voted. | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
And women forced to wait years for their pension prepare | :01:19. | :01:20. | |
And with me a political panel who frequently like to compromise | :01:21. | :01:36. | |
Steve Richards, Julia Hartley-Brewer and Janan Ganesh. | :01:37. | :01:41. | |
I'll be trying to keep them in order during the course of the programme. | :01:42. | :01:48. | |
So, Commons Speaker John Bercow has insisted his ability | :01:49. | :01:50. | |
to act impartially is not damaged by reports that he voted to Remain | :01:51. | :01:56. | |
The Sunday Telegraph reveals that Speaker Bercow revealed his views | :01:57. | :02:03. | |
in front of an audience of students at Reading University | :02:04. | :02:06. | |
This may not be popular with some people in this audience - | :02:07. | :02:23. | |
I thought it was better to stay in the European Union than not, | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
partly for economic reason, being part of a big trade bloc, | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
and partly because I think we're in a world of power blocs, | :02:32. | :02:35. | |
and I think for all the weaknesses and deficiencies | :02:36. | :02:37. | |
of the European Union, it is better to be part of that big | :02:38. | :02:40. | |
Speaker Bercow speaking at Reading University earlier this month. Does | :02:41. | :02:51. | |
he not care is this I get that impression, he knows perfectly well, | :02:52. | :02:56. | |
it states he has to be particularly -- Parliamentary neural. Whether | :02:57. | :03:00. | |
there are going to be enough votes to force him out, the question, the | :03:01. | :03:05. | |
last speaker wept out with the 20 vote against him. You yes to have | :03:06. | :03:10. | |
the command of the support across the House. There is a Deputy | :03:11. | :03:16. | |
Speaker, waiting, who would be superb. I think even the people who | :03:17. | :03:25. | |
pretend to support Macis have had enough -- Speaker Bercow have had | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
enough of his ways. The reason I ask whether he care, he didn't just tell | :03:32. | :03:34. | |
the students that he voted to Remain, he then gave them a running | :03:35. | :03:39. | |
commentary on all the issues that will be part of the Brexit | :03:40. | :03:46. | |
negotiations, workers' rights, immigration, trade policy, everyone | :03:47. | :03:48. | |
maternity leave got a hat tip from him. He would be a very well | :03:49. | :03:54. | |
prepared Brexit minister if attendance needs a colleague -- | :03:55. | :03:59. | |
David Davis needs a colleague. I don't think this story makes his | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
position untenable, what does is the wired pattern of behaviour of | :04:04. | :04:07. | |
excessive candour on his political views, going back years, this is a | :04:08. | :04:15. | |
guy who when the Queen visited Parliament described her as theical | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
lied scope Queen. He had a running argument with David Cameron. We know | :04:22. | :04:25. | |
his views on Brexit, we know his views on Donald Trump. . He has | :04:26. | :04:36. | |
given interviews, none of the views are illegitimate but the candour | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
which they are expressed with is scrupulous. Given Lyndsay Hoyle is a | :04:41. | :04:44. | |
class accuse. He is the Deputy Speaker. And a fairly ready | :04:45. | :04:49. | |
replacement, whether there is more of a movement to say, maybe not | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
force Bercow out but acknowledge he has had a few years in the job and | :04:55. | :04:58. | |
the question of successor ship comes into play. Has he concluded he is | :04:59. | :05:04. | |
untouchable? What I can definitely say, is that he is determined to | :05:05. | :05:09. | |
fight this one out, and not go of his own volition, so if he goes he | :05:10. | :05:12. | |
will have to be forced out. He wants to stay. Which will be tough. It | :05:13. | :05:19. | |
will be tough. Likely as things stand. I would say this, I speak to | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
someone who likes the way he has brought the House of Commons to | :05:24. | :05:27. | |
life, held ministers to account, forced them into explain thing, | :05:28. | :05:30. | |
whenever there is a topical issue you know it will be in the House of | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
Commons. He has changed that. He has. Time has been courageous, Ied a | :05:35. | :05:41. | |
mire the way he has been a speaker. I would say this, during the | :05:42. | :05:48. | |
referendum campaign, he asked me Nick Clegg, and Peter Hitchens to | :05:49. | :05:51. | |
debate Brexit if his constituency. It was a packed out meeting. He | :05:52. | :05:56. | |
chaired it. I said don't you want to join in? He didn't. He showed no | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
desire to join in, he was impartial. He goes out to universities and kind | :06:02. | :06:08. | |
of demyth GCSEs Parliament by speaking to them in a way, he | :06:09. | :06:15. | |
doesn't gets credit for it and stays on after and drinks with them. | :06:16. | :06:22. | |
Sometimes he, you know, it is clearly a mistake to have gone into | :06:23. | :06:26. | |
his views retrospectively on that referendum campaign, I don't think | :06:27. | :06:29. | |
that, did he try and stop Article 50 from being triggered in the House of | :06:30. | :06:33. | |
Commons? That would be a scandal. Even that would be beyond him. | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
Briefly, yes or no, could you imagine Betty Boothroyd behaving | :06:39. | :06:43. | |
like that? Not at all. None of the recent speakers I could imagine | :06:44. | :06:48. | |
doing that. It is good he is different. | :06:49. | :06:51. | |
The bill that will allow the government to trigger Article 50 | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
and begin Brexit negotiations was voted through | :06:56. | :06:57. | |
Many MPs were in a difficult position - unsure whether to vote | :06:58. | :07:01. | |
with their conscience, their constituency, | :07:02. | :07:02. | |
Europe, once such a divisive issue for the Conservatives, | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
is now causing major divisions inside the Labour Party. | :07:07. | :07:08. | |
So, let's have a look what happened in a bit more detail: | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
Thanks to academic research carried out since the referendum, | :07:14. | :07:15. | |
we now have estimates of how each individual constituency voted. | :07:16. | :07:18. | |
It's thought that 410 constituencies voted Leave. | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
On Wednesday night, the EU Notification of Withdrawal Bill | :07:24. | :07:31. | |
was voted through by the House of Commons. | :07:32. | :07:33. | |
The bill left the Labour Party divided. | :07:34. | :07:42. | |
Jeremy Corbyn told his MPs to respect the result | :07:43. | :07:44. | |
of the referendum and vote for the government's bill - | :07:45. | :07:47. | |
But 52 Labour MPs defied Mr Corbyn's thee-line whip | :07:48. | :07:50. | |
That's about a fifth of the Parliamentary Labour Party. | :07:51. | :08:06. | |
Of those 52 Labour MPs who voted against the bill, | :08:07. | :08:08. | |
the majority, 45 of them, represent seats that voted Remain. | :08:09. | :08:11. | |
However, seven Labour MPs voted against the Article 50 Bill, | :08:12. | :08:13. | |
even though their constituents voted Leave in the referendum. | :08:14. | :08:15. | |
The Conservative Party were much more united. | :08:16. | :08:17. | |
The vast majority of Tory MPs, 320 of them, voted for the bill. | :08:18. | :08:20. | |
Just one Conservative MP, Ken Clarke, voted against it. | :08:21. | :08:22. | |
His constituency, Rushcliffe in Nottinghamshire, voted Remain. | :08:23. | :08:24. | |
The bill will now go to the House of Lords - | :08:25. | :08:27. | |
peers will start debating it on Monday the 20th of February. | :08:28. | :08:40. | |
Joining me now is Matthew Goodwin, politics professor at | :08:41. | :08:43. | |
He's got a book out next month called | :08:44. | :08:46. | |
Brexit: Why Britain Voted To Leave The European Union. | :08:47. | :08:47. | |
Welcome to the programme. Has Brexit, how you voted in the | :08:48. | :08:56. | |
referendum and your continuing attitudes toward it, is that now | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
becoming the new dividing line in British politics? I think it | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
certainly is contributing to a new dividing line, in western politics | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
more generally, we know over the last ten years, that the old left | :09:10. | :09:13. | |
and right division has been making way for a new division, between | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
essentially social liberals and Conservative, and Brexit was a, an | :09:18. | :09:20. | |
incident a moment that really reflected that new dividing line, so | :09:21. | :09:25. | |
it wasn't just the case that Brexit has cut across Labour's base, it is | :09:26. | :09:31. | |
that dividing line, that deeper division is cutting across social | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
democracies more generally. Is there a possibility, no higher than that, | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
that it will reShane our party politics? I think it is too early to | :09:41. | :09:45. | |
know whether this is a fundamental long-term realignment. If we look at | :09:46. | :09:49. | |
what is happening in local by-election, what is happening at | :09:50. | :09:54. | |
by-elections, pictures a bit mixed but if you look at how some of the | :09:55. | :10:01. | |
Labour vote is responding, I think that potentially reflects the | :10:02. | :10:05. | |
possibility of a terminal decline for the Labour Party, it is going to | :10:06. | :10:09. | |
be incredibly difficult for Labour to win these voters back, these are | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
traditional working class, socially Conservative voters who are leaving | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
the party, don't forget, since the 1997 general election. It is not | :10:19. | :10:22. | |
just because of the referendum. If that was the case, Labour would | :10:23. | :10:27. | |
become more a party of the Metropolitan areas, and less of a | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
party outside of these area, is that what you are saying? What we are S | :10:31. | :10:35. | |
seeing across the west can social democracy that retrenchment into the | :10:36. | :10:41. | |
cosmopolitan, Metropolitan city area, university towns, you can | :10:42. | :10:45. | |
seeing in many European states populist right parties filling the | :10:46. | :10:48. | |
traditional socialist area, why are they doing that? Because they are | :10:49. | :10:54. | |
offering two message, economic and cultural protectionism. Social | :10:55. | :10:58. | |
Democrats are clinging to that economic protectionism but not | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
saying much about migration and multiculturalism and that sort of | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
stuff. Are there deeper forces at work than Jeremy Corbyn? He often | :11:07. | :11:09. | |
gets the blame for what is happening to the Labour Party now, but if you | :11:10. | :11:13. | |
look the way the Greek socialist party has been wiped out. The German | :11:14. | :11:20. | |
Social Democrats are in trouble. The Italian socialist party has lost a | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
referendum. The French socialist are coming close to being wiped out on | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
April 23rd, Labour's problems, are part of a much wider problem of | :11:30. | :11:33. | |
social democracy S Jeremy Corbyn is a surface problem, what I mean by | :11:34. | :11:38. | |
that is you could replace him tosh with another leader, they would | :11:39. | :11:41. | |
still have this fundamental tension within the electorate. They are | :11:42. | :11:48. | |
trying to appeal to two differenter reconcilable groups of voters who | :11:49. | :11:51. | |
think differently about the key issues of the day. It is very | :11:52. | :11:56. | |
difficult for any centre left party now to assemble the kinds of | :11:57. | :12:02. | |
coalitionses we saw in the '90s with Clinton and Blair and Schroeder. | :12:03. | :12:05. | |
Those days are gone. Does that explain why it is now Labour, rather | :12:06. | :12:11. | |
than the Conservatives, historically the party divided over the European | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
Union, does all of that help to explain why its Labour that now | :12:16. | :12:21. | |
seems, disunited over the EU? I think so, I think also that the | :12:22. | :12:27. | |
issue of Brexit, and the EU, is so immatly wrapped up with that issue | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
of immigration, if you look at who has been abandoned Labour since 2015 | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
or the late 90s, the one thing those voters share is a rejection of the | :12:37. | :12:41. | |
so-called liberal consensus on EU membership and mass immigration. It | :12:42. | :12:45. | |
is difficult for any Labour lead eer co-bin or Clive Lewis on Dan Jarvis, | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
to bring those voters back unless they are going to move on that | :12:51. | :12:54. | |
cultural terrain. If they are not, they may not go to Ukip, they might | :12:55. | :12:59. | |
go to somewhere more difficult for Labour which is political apathy. | :13:00. | :13:01. | |
Thank you for that. Attention now shifts to the House | :13:02. | :13:04. | |
of Lords where peers will begin scrutinising the EU Withdrawal Bill | :13:05. | :13:07. | |
in just over a week. Brexit Secretary David Davis urged | :13:08. | :13:09. | |
the Lords "to do its patriotic duty" and resist the urge to tinker | :13:10. | :13:12. | |
with the legislation. Former minister Oliver Letwin | :13:13. | :13:14. | |
went one further - mooting the possibility | :13:15. | :13:16. | |
of the abolition of the Lords if it sought to frustrate | :13:17. | :13:18. | |
the bill in any way. Here he is posing the question | :13:19. | :13:21. | |
in the Commons on Thursday. Would he find time, in government | :13:22. | :13:28. | |
time for a debate, should the other place seek to delay beyond the end | :13:29. | :13:31. | |
of March the passage of our accession to Article 50, for this | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
House to discuss the possibility of either the abolition or full-scale | :13:36. | :13:38. | |
reform of the other place? And Oliver Letwin joins | :13:39. | :13:47. | |
me now from Dorset. Welcome back to the programme Mr Let | :13:48. | :14:00. | |
win. Before we come on to the Lord's, can I get your thoughts on a | :14:01. | :14:04. | |
matter that has been making the news this morning and John Bercow's | :14:05. | :14:09. | |
remarks about being a remain voter an giving something of a running | :14:10. | :14:13. | |
commentary on various Brexit issues, has he sqloefr stepped the mark as | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
speaker? -- overstepped the mark. I think this is slightly a fuss about | :14:19. | :14:26. | |
nothing. Every person who thinks about politics will have had some | :14:27. | :14:29. | |
opinion about great matters like Brexit, and I really don't see any | :14:30. | :14:33. | |
particular reason why his opinion shouldn't be known after the fact. | :14:34. | :14:39. | |
I, I was there throughout the five days of the Brexit debate, and I | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
have to say, I thought he was pretty scrupulously fair in the way he | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
handled the House, so, I, I don't really share the view that there is | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
some terrible thing that has been revealed this weekend. Let me come | :14:53. | :14:56. | |
on to what we are here to talk about, which is the Lords. Why have | :14:57. | :15:02. | |
you raised the threat of the abolition of the Lord for doing its | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
job of scrutinising what is coming out the Commons? Well, you know, | :15:07. | :15:15. | |
Andrew, this question of the job of the House of Lords and scrutiny, has | :15:16. | :15:19. | |
to be looked at carefully. There are all sorts of bills that come out the | :15:20. | :15:24. | |
House of Commons which are detailed things that relate to, finance, and | :15:25. | :15:29. | |
expenditure, and the criminal law, and all that sort of thing, and all | :15:30. | :15:33. | |
of that, I admire the work that the House of Lords does, as you say | :15:34. | :15:37. | |
scrutinising and we shouldn't use that word loosely, it means looking | :15:38. | :15:43. | |
carefully at the detail, line by line of complicated legislation, | :15:44. | :15:49. | |
hundreds of Paps in some cases, and spotting, using the considerable | :15:50. | :15:52. | |
expertise many, not all be many of the peers have, in any given field, | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
to identify things where the Commons has got it wrong in the sense that | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
the legislation wouldn't achieve what the Government of the day is | :16:02. | :16:04. | |
seeking to make it achieve. That is a serious proper role for an Upper | :16:05. | :16:09. | |
House and the House of Lords performs it pretty | :16:10. | :16:13. | |
Now this is a very different case. This is a two clause bill. The first | :16:14. | :16:24. | |
clause which is the operative clause says the Prime Minister should go | :16:25. | :16:30. | |
ahead and sign... I understand all that. We haven't got that much time, | :16:31. | :16:36. | |
this is becoming a monologue. There is nothing to scrutinise, Andrew. | :16:37. | :16:43. | |
There were plenty of amendments put before the Commons, none of them got | :16:44. | :16:48. | |
through, it is true. There are eight Labour amendments in the Lords, are | :16:49. | :16:51. | |
you resigned to this bill coming back to the Commons with amendments? | :16:52. | :16:57. | |
No, it should not come back with amendments. There were hundreds of | :16:58. | :17:00. | |
amendments literally put down in the House of Commons, they were all | :17:01. | :17:04. | |
drunk. They were all trying one way or another to derail the process. | :17:05. | :17:08. | |
This is a binary issue, should Theresa May sign the withdrawal or | :17:09. | :17:16. | |
not? What should the Commons do? The Commons has now voted in favour of | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
it. Node do should tolerate and unelected chamber forcing the | :17:22. | :17:30. | |
British people... The people voted in a referendum and the Commons | :17:31. | :17:33. | |
voted. The matter is now signed and sealed and should not be derailed by | :17:34. | :17:39. | |
the House of Lords. On Labour amendment wants confirmation that | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
when it is done, the potential Brexit agreement will be put before | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
parliament before any vote in the European Parliament, that has been | :17:48. | :17:52. | |
an agreed principle, what is wrong with that amendments? The government | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
has already agreed there will be a vote, but actually, what the | :17:58. | :18:00. | |
amendments were seeking was to give the Commons a further vote on | :18:01. | :18:05. | |
whether we actually leave or not. That is already decided. Neither the | :18:06. | :18:09. | |
House of Lords nor anybody else has a right in my view, despite the fact | :18:10. | :18:14. | |
I was a remain, to what the will of the British people. Nobody should | :18:15. | :18:19. | |
think an unelected chamber should now try to change the course of | :18:20. | :18:24. | |
British history by asserting amendments in a very effective on | :18:25. | :18:29. | |
clause bill which says go ahead and trigger Article 50. Are you | :18:30. | :18:32. | |
concerned that amendments by the Lords which would then have to go | :18:33. | :18:35. | |
back to the Commons for consideration, are you concerned | :18:36. | :18:42. | |
that could derail or delay the Prime Minister's timetable for Article 50? | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
Yes, exactly. That would be the result of a prolonged bout of | :18:48. | :18:52. | |
ping-pong between the two houses, or much worse, if the House of Lords | :18:53. | :18:55. | |
failed to give way and the Parliament act had to be used. It | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
would really be intolerable. It is not good for our country. Those of | :19:01. | :19:04. | |
us who voted remain would prefer for that not to happen. The whole | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
country -- it is important for the whole country that this happens in a | :19:11. | :19:15. | |
rapid way and allowing the government free rein to negotiate, | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
that is surely in all our advantages? Deed think any efforts | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
to abolish the House of Lords, an issue you have raised, does that | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
make it easier because your friend David Cameron stuffed the upper | :19:29. | :19:35. | |
chamber with donors, lapdogs and lingerie designers? I was among | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
those who advocated for many years wholesale reform of the House of | :19:40. | :19:44. | |
Lords, to turn it into a serious elected second chamber. I think we | :19:45. | :19:48. | |
should have an upper house which commands legitimacy. This is a | :19:49. | :19:53. | |
second issue. Here we have not got such a House and it seems to be very | :19:54. | :19:58. | |
clear that it should not seek to derail on delay the action which has | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
been mandated by the referendum, agreed by the House of Commons, and | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
what we want to see now is a smooth orderly effect for this bill, so it | :20:07. | :20:12. | |
becomes law and Theresa May can go ahead and negotiate on our behalf. | :20:13. | :20:17. | |
One more question on the process, if the Lords to amend the bill and it | :20:18. | :20:20. | |
goes back to the Commons and the Commons sends these amendments back | :20:21. | :20:26. | |
again, take them out, how long could this ping-pong between the two | :20:27. | :20:33. | |
chambers go on in your experience? It is a very, very interesting and | :20:34. | :20:37. | |
complicated question with the clerks of the two ends of the Palace of | :20:38. | :20:42. | |
Westminster not always agreeing about this. But through certain | :20:43. | :20:47. | |
machinations of slightly changing amendments as they go, in my | :20:48. | :20:50. | |
experience this could carry on for an awful long time if clever people, | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
and there are plenty of clever people in the House of Lords, want | :20:55. | :20:57. | |
to do that and that is precisely why I think we should not tolerate it. | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
Oliver Letwin, thank you for joining us from Dorset. | :21:03. | :21:04. | |
Joining me now is Labour's Leader in the House of Lords, Angela Smith. | :21:05. | :21:09. | |
The Commons passed this bill without any amendments... There were | :21:10. | :21:15. | |
changes, the government did concede a couple of points. But the | :21:16. | :21:20. | |
amendments did not go through. Does that put pressure on the Lords to do | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
the same? I think the Lords always feels under pressure to do the right | :21:26. | :21:29. | |
thing. When I heard Oliver Letwin, I did not know whether to laugh or | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
cry. We will not frustrate, we will not wreck, we will not sabotage. We | :21:36. | :21:41. | |
will do what David Davis said was our patriotic duty. We will | :21:42. | :21:45. | |
scrutinise the bill. We have at amendments from the Labour Party. We | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
will look at those. It depends on the government response if we vote | :21:50. | :21:52. | |
on those. There could be amendments asking the Commons to look again. | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
That is normally what we do. It is not the wrong thing to do. But if | :21:57. | :22:02. | |
you do this and make amendments, it then goes back to the Commons. If | :22:03. | :22:07. | |
the Commons rejects the Lords' amendments, what do you think will | :22:08. | :22:11. | |
happen? I do not see any extended ping-pong at all. It is perfectly | :22:12. | :22:17. | |
legitimate. We are not talking about the outcome of negotiations, we are | :22:18. | :22:21. | |
talking about the process. The process of engaging with Parliament | :22:22. | :22:24. | |
and reporting to Parliament. It would be totally responsible for | :22:25. | :22:28. | |
Parliament to say, off you go, Theresa May, have two years of | :22:29. | :22:31. | |
negotiation and come back and talk to us at the end. The has to be a | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
process where the government can use the expertise of parliament to get | :22:36. | :22:40. | |
this right. But if you do put in some amendments, it has to go back | :22:41. | :22:46. | |
to the Commons, they may well say they don't want those amendments and | :22:47. | :22:48. | |
it may go back to the Lords, could that at the very least delay the | :22:49. | :22:54. | |
Prime Minister's Brexit timetable? I don't think so. She said the end of | :22:55. | :22:59. | |
March. Time has been built in for all the normal processes. I think | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
Oliver Letwin and others are getting a bit overexcited. This is the | :23:04. | :23:06. | |
normal process. Unless the government get things right the | :23:07. | :23:10. | |
first time every time, the has to be this kind of process. These are | :23:11. | :23:15. | |
reasonable amendments. This is a Labour amendment we are talking | :23:16. | :23:19. | |
about here, you want a vote in the UK Parliament before any | :23:20. | :23:32. | |
vote in the European Parliament if and when the Brexit deal is done, | :23:33. | :23:36. | |
the Commons and the Lords get to vote on it first. But the government | :23:37. | :23:39. | |
I think have already agreed to that so what is the point? It needs to be | :23:40. | :23:43. | |
on the face of the bill. It is over well if the government have agreed | :23:44. | :23:45. | |
it. Lord dubs had an agreement about child and look what happened to | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
that. Does not sound as if you would go to the wire on that? It is | :23:50. | :23:55. | |
important it is not just about the vote at the end, you have the | :23:56. | :24:00. | |
ongoing engagement. If it is going to be a bad deal, we need to know | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
long before we get to that stage? Is it something you would hold out for? | :24:06. | :24:10. | |
I don't know yet. It is about how the House of Lords votes, Labour do | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
not have a majority, we never had a majority in the House of Lords when | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
we were in government. It is wrong to suggest that we cannot debate | :24:20. | :24:24. | |
these issues... I don't think anyone is suggesting that. They are. It is | :24:25. | :24:30. | |
not unfair to ask the government to ask the House of Commons to look | :24:31. | :24:34. | |
again to look at those issues if that is what the House of Lords | :24:35. | :24:38. | |
decides. Bit of the House of Commons says we looked, we are sticking with | :24:39. | :24:43. | |
what we voted for, we rejected every amendment by at least 30 votes on | :24:44. | :24:47. | |
all occasions, the Lords then have to buckle, is that what you are | :24:48. | :24:52. | |
saying? Some point I think it is clear the House of Commons have to | :24:53. | :24:55. | |
have its say. I think it is inconceivable that having had a | :24:56. | :24:59. | |
referendum, which was not overwhelming, but it was a clear | :25:00. | :25:05. | |
result, the House of Lords has no intention of sabotaging that but | :25:06. | :25:07. | |
there are things which are not good about the process that we think | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
could be improved. We have not just have the result of the referendum | :25:13. | :25:16. | |
which voted to leave, but we have had the will of the Commons that | :25:17. | :25:21. | |
passed this legislation by a majority of 372. And I am not | :25:22. | :25:28. | |
contesting that for a second! Could you cite a precedent for the upper | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
house amending a bill which passed by 372 votes in the Commons? Quite | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
other things will come to the House of Lords with big majorities from | :25:38. | :25:40. | |
the Commons and quite often the amendments we get, with that then | :25:41. | :25:44. | |
forward and the government sees it could do better. Though not | :25:45. | :25:50. | |
necessarily saying the government has got things wrong, but they could | :25:51. | :25:52. | |
do things better. That happens time and time again and it is not | :25:53. | :25:58. | |
unusual. If you were seen to thwart the referendum result and the vote | :25:59. | :26:03. | |
in the Commons, the elected chamber of parliament, is the threat of | :26:04. | :26:07. | |
abolition hanging over you? I think that is really ridiculous and | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
absolute nonsense. We are not tying to what the decision of the House of | :26:12. | :26:14. | |
Commons, we are trying to do better. It is a bit rich of the government | :26:15. | :26:18. | |
and Oliver Letwin to complain about getting things through in time when | :26:19. | :26:23. | |
the House of Commons spent -- the government spent three months trying | :26:24. | :26:28. | |
to debate this issue. There have been some strong questions put to | :26:29. | :26:31. | |
the government from the House of Lords on all sides. I don't know if | :26:32. | :26:35. | |
the amendments have been passed or not. I think we have a good case for | :26:36. | :26:44. | |
the government to get debate the point. If a traditional MP like | :26:45. | :26:51. | |
Oliver Letwin is calling for the abolition of the hereditary and | :26:52. | :26:54. | |
appointed chamber, and the Labour person like yourself was trying to | :26:55. | :26:58. | |
defend that, that would not be a sustainable position, I would | :26:59. | :27:04. | |
suggest! We saw this with the Strathclyde report as well, this is | :27:05. | :27:06. | |
a government like no other. It is the first Conservative government in | :27:07. | :27:10. | |
history not to have an automatic majority. They do not like challenge | :27:11. | :27:15. | |
or scrutiny. But you get my point, Labour cannot go to the wire in | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
defending and an elected second chamber, can it? Actually, Labour | :27:21. | :27:23. | |
can go to the wire in saying the government does not get it right | :27:24. | :27:27. | |
every time. House of Lords is going to normal processes and people like | :27:28. | :27:33. | |
Oliver Letwin are really getting a little bit over excited, and people | :27:34. | :27:37. | |
who have been anonymously briefing. Who has been anonymously briefing? I | :27:38. | :27:44. | |
don't know, they are anonymous! I understand people want to make | :27:45. | :27:47. | |
amendments, that is the role of the House of Lords, but can I just for | :27:48. | :27:51. | |
the avoidance of doubt, is it still your case that whatever amendments | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
to make, whatever may go back and forward, it is not your intention to | :27:56. | :28:00. | |
stop Article 50 being triggered by the end of March? I have been saying | :28:01. | :28:06. | |
that, exactly that for months and months and months. It is | :28:07. | :28:09. | |
inconceivable that an unelected House will thwart the will of the | :28:10. | :28:12. | |
House of Commons and a referendum on this issue. But that does not mean | :28:13. | :28:16. | |
we will be bullied by Oliver Letwin and others. But the triggering will | :28:17. | :28:21. | |
happen by the end of March? I very much suspect so unless Theresa May | :28:22. | :28:27. | |
has second thoughts, I suspect that will happen. Thank you. | :28:28. | :28:30. | |
Now, just because it's parliamentary recess next week | :28:31. | :28:32. | |
There are two by-elections round the corner - | :28:33. | :28:35. | |
one in Copeland, and another in Stoke-on-Trent Central | :28:36. | :28:38. | |
where the former Shadow Education Secretary, | :28:39. | :28:39. | |
Tristram Hunt, vacated his seat to take up a role | :28:40. | :28:41. | |
as Director of the Victoria Albert Museum in London. | :28:42. | :28:44. | |
But Labour are facing a fight to hold onto the constituency | :28:45. | :28:47. | |
Seconds away, Ukip's new leader has stepped into the ring | :28:48. | :28:53. | |
as their candidate in a by-election bout to see | :28:54. | :28:55. | |
At the last election Ukip came second to Labour here | :28:56. | :29:03. | |
But now they are confident they can land a knockout blow, | :29:04. | :29:07. | |
because this place is packed with people that voted to leave the EU. | :29:08. | :29:14. | |
70% of people voted to leave the European Union. | :29:15. | :29:17. | |
I'm the only candidate standing in this election | :29:18. | :29:25. | |
who is a true Brexiteer, who has always campaigned to leave | :29:26. | :29:28. | |
the EU and therefore I believe I would be the best person | :29:29. | :29:31. | |
But he has had to fight off allegations | :29:32. | :29:33. | |
he wasn't living in the constituency when he entered the contest. | :29:34. | :29:36. | |
Explain to me what is going on with this issue about your house? | :29:37. | :29:39. | |
Well, we took up the lease the day before nominations. | :29:40. | :29:42. | |
Everything we've done is perfectly legal and within the law. | :29:43. | :29:44. | |
The Labour Party are trying to get off the real issues in this election | :29:45. | :29:50. | |
and focus on something which is banal nonsense. | :29:51. | :29:56. | |
And there's been trouble as well for the Labour contender. | :29:57. | :30:02. | |
He's been labelled a Remoaner after he sent a series | :30:03. | :30:04. | |
of anti-Brexit tweets, filled with words | :30:05. | :30:07. | |
I can't believe I'm about to ask this question in a nursery | :30:08. | :30:18. | |
on a Sunday morning TV programme, but did you really tweet that | :30:19. | :30:21. | |
I tweeted many things about Brexit, that's tweet is out there. | :30:22. | :30:25. | |
It was done quite after the referendum result and it | :30:26. | :30:28. | |
was my way of showing my frustration at the fact that months | :30:29. | :30:31. | |
after the result we hadn't had anything from the government. | :30:32. | :30:36. | |
Theresa May had failed to produce any plan, | :30:37. | :30:38. | |
she had failed to give any meaningful statement | :30:39. | :30:40. | |
about what Brexit meant other than bland statements | :30:41. | :30:42. | |
about Brexit is Brexit, and it's a hard Brexit, or a soft Brexit. | :30:43. | :30:45. | |
The context of it was it was out of frustration. | :30:46. | :30:49. | |
So you didn't mean to insult the 70% of the people who live here | :30:50. | :30:52. | |
I never mean to insult anybody and you know, | :30:53. | :30:56. | |
I've made it quite clear, if I'm elected as the member | :30:57. | :30:58. | |
of Parliament for Stoke-on-Trent Central, I will absolutely respect | :30:59. | :31:00. | |
the wishes of the people of Stoke Central. | :31:01. | :31:02. | |
I will make sure my vote in parliament is to trigger Article 50. | :31:03. | :31:06. | |
While the Tories' man has done little bit of rebranding too. | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
I voted Remain and I've been open about that, but my top priority | :31:10. | :31:12. | |
is about the economy and to ensure we still have an | :31:13. | :31:15. | |
Theresa May has set out clear proposal to ensure we develop | :31:16. | :31:18. | |
a trade relationship with Europe and make that a success. | :31:19. | :31:29. | |
It means the Lib Dems and the Greens are the ones battling Brexit. | :31:30. | :31:32. | |
Well, when the Lib Dem candidate is actually here. | :31:33. | :31:34. | |
The candidate is a consultant cardiologist. | :31:35. | :31:40. | |
He is actually at work today doing very important heart surgery. | :31:41. | :31:42. | |
He will be back tomorrow, back on the campaign trail working hard. | :31:43. | :31:45. | |
30% of people voted to Remain and nobody else | :31:46. | :31:49. | |
is representing them, so, you know, it is still a live issue. | :31:50. | :31:53. | |
It is still something people care about. | :31:54. | :31:55. | |
We are only at the start of the Article 50 process | :31:56. | :31:57. | |
We are very a clear that we are standing up for those | :31:58. | :32:02. | |
who want to remain in the single market, who want to protect jobs | :32:03. | :32:05. | |
Labour have taken people for granted in this area for a great many years. | :32:06. | :32:10. | |
Ukip, I'm afraid, all Ukip can offer to politics is division. | :32:11. | :32:13. | |
I've covered a lot of by-elections where Ukip have come second. | :32:14. | :32:15. | |
We'll find out if they really got Labour on the ropes this | :32:16. | :32:18. | |
And here is a full list of all the candidates standing | :32:19. | :32:38. | |
in the Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election. | :32:39. | :32:49. | |
They do atract lots of candidates. You can get that on the BBC website | :32:50. | :32:58. | |
as well. I was trying to think back, here we have the main opposition | :32:59. | :33:06. | |
party defending two seats in by-elections in the midterm of a | :33:07. | :33:08. | |
government. All the speculation is where the | :33:09. | :33:15. | |
opposition party can hold on, that is unprecedented. I can't give of an | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
equivalent. You wouldn't just expect them to win seats they have held | :33:21. | :33:26. | |
traditionally, you would expect hem to make inroads into seats held by | :33:27. | :33:32. | |
the other party, I wonder if they fail to hold on to just one of | :33:33. | :33:35. | |
these, whether it accelerates the momentum and criticism of the | :33:36. | :33:41. | |
leadership of the moment. I think they are interesting constituencies. | :33:42. | :33:45. | |
Matthew good win was talking about the left win coalition over the | :33:46. | :33:51. | |
years, almost being too broad for its own good, including places like | :33:52. | :33:58. | |
Primrose Hill and Hackney. Big university towns in Manchester, | :33:59. | :34:03. | |
Bristol. Diverse ethnically and included places like Stoke which are | :34:04. | :34:12. | |
more Conservative. With a small c. Less economically well-off, more | :34:13. | :34:17. | |
diverse, can the left hang on to both bits of country. Recent | :34:18. | :34:20. | |
evidence suggests it cannot and the opportunity for Ukip is to pick up | :34:21. | :34:24. | |
the second of those two types of community, the Stokes and the cope | :34:25. | :34:28. | |
lands. That what makes the by-elections interest I would | :34:29. | :34:32. | |
suggest. It is not just about Mr Corbyn's future about which we hear | :34:33. | :34:37. | |
too much, it is about this traditional Labour coalition, can it | :34:38. | :34:41. | |
still survive, particularly in places like Stoke? Europe clearly is | :34:42. | :34:46. | |
a test. I think it's a myth by the way that Labour are only split now, | :34:47. | :34:53. | |
over Europe and it has always been a Tory problem, last time I was on I | :34:54. | :34:57. | |
mentioned it. That is why we had a referendum in 75. That is why they | :34:58. | :35:04. | |
had a round then. But they were in chaos behind the scenes over what | :35:05. | :35:09. | |
they thought about the euro, skillful leadership can paper over | :35:10. | :35:14. | |
the cracks, and to address the wider issue of whether we are now in an | :35:15. | :35:18. | |
era where left right issues have disappeared, and there is more of a | :35:19. | :35:23. | |
regional divide, if you take Europe out of the equation which you can't, | :35:24. | :35:30. | |
but if you were able to, issues about health, transport housing do | :35:31. | :35:34. | |
split more left-right than a regional divide, so I think there is | :35:35. | :35:39. | |
still fundamental left-right issues, but Europe isn't one of them and | :35:40. | :35:44. | |
Europe has to be managed by a Labour leader skill fully and evidently | :35:45. | :35:48. | |
that hasn't happened now. How would you see the by-elections in the | :35:49. | :35:53. | |
current political context? Labour should be walking them, it should be | :35:54. | :35:58. | |
a sign of the March of the Labour Party taking on the current | :35:59. | :36:00. | |
Conservative Government. I don't think they raise any questions about | :36:01. | :36:03. | |
Corbyn's leadership because the people who put him in don't think | :36:04. | :36:07. | |
that winning elections matter, you have to remember this will be the | :36:08. | :36:12. | |
mainstream media, it will be our fault why any of those Labour | :36:13. | :36:17. | |
candidates don't win, the thing that is interesting is whether there is | :36:18. | :36:20. | |
is a role for Ukip. The argument after the referendum was Ukip has | :36:21. | :36:24. | |
done its job, it got the referendum, nothing to see here, I remember | :36:25. | :36:30. | |
speaking to put a Nuttall before he was Ukip leader, on the day after | :36:31. | :36:37. | |
the battle and he said this is Year Zero, where Ukip starts now, and | :36:38. | :36:41. | |
this, and this is the interesting thing, does, do we see this one | :36:42. | :36:44. | |
particular party having a role in the future? And I think it is all to | :36:45. | :36:49. | |
play for, they could not not have stood in this seat. They have to win | :36:50. | :36:53. | |
it to be an electoral force. The Labour candidate in Copeland has | :36:54. | :36:57. | |
made the NHS the issue for her in this, that goes into the left-right, | :36:58. | :37:00. | |
are we spending enough, are we not? That will be a test of what you were | :37:01. | :37:06. | |
saying to see if traditional left-right issue, which at the | :37:07. | :37:09. | |
moment would play Labour's way I would suggest, are big enough to | :37:10. | :37:13. | |
overcome all the things you have been talking about and Matthew has | :37:14. | :37:17. | |
been talking about. Maybe at this particular junction they are not, | :37:18. | :37:21. | |
but I don't think any of those issues will go away, and that is why | :37:22. | :37:27. | |
I question whether we are see the end of a historic left-right divide. | :37:28. | :37:33. | |
At the moment with Europe so prominent, clearly these | :37:34. | :37:36. | |
by-elections are unusual. And they will be a test of leadership for | :37:37. | :37:40. | |
Theresa May in the coming months if not at the moment, as they have been | :37:41. | :37:44. | |
in a way that he hasn't risen to, for the Labour leader. | :37:45. | :37:49. | |
We will be leave on BBC One on the night, February 23rd off back of | :37:50. | :37:53. | |
this week, we will bring you the result of both these crucial | :37:54. | :37:55. | |
It's just gone 11.35, you're watching the Sunday Politics. | :37:56. | :37:58. | |
We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now | :37:59. | :38:01. | |
Coming up here in 20 minutes, the Week Ahead. | :38:02. | :38:17. | |
In the East Midlands, women on the march. | :38:18. | :38:19. | |
# When I get older, dyeing my hair...# | :38:20. | :38:21. | |
Thousands affected by changes to their pension age | :38:22. | :38:23. | |
Over 2.6 million women across the UK have | :38:24. | :38:26. | |
lost ?36,000, up to ?40,000 out of a planned pension pot, which | :38:27. | :38:31. | |
And the Brexit hotspots, and the polling | :38:32. | :38:39. | |
centre which exactly matched the national results. | :38:40. | :38:41. | |
A new survey produces a detailed map of how the | :38:42. | :38:43. | |
region voted, but has anyone changed their mind? | :38:44. | :38:48. | |
I think it will do the country good. So... | :38:49. | :38:51. | |
Get it back to English-grown produce. | :38:52. | :38:54. | |
We could start trading in other countries | :38:55. | :38:55. | |
I had no big reason to vote to stay in, I just thought | :38:56. | :39:01. | |
it was a logical reason to stay in, because I think it's more | :39:02. | :39:04. | |
Hello, I'm Marie Ashby, and my guests this week - | :39:05. | :39:11. | |
Mark Spencer is the Conservative MP for Sherwood, and Margot Parker | :39:12. | :39:14. | |
is a Ukip member for the European Parliament | :39:15. | :39:16. | |
And let's start by looking at a story raised in | :39:17. | :39:20. | |
A Derbyshire headteacher who normally runs marathons | :39:21. | :39:27. | |
for charity is having to raise funds for his school instead. | :39:28. | :39:33. | |
Dave Shaw is head of the Spire Primary School in Chesterfield, | :39:34. | :39:36. | |
which is facing a ?19,000 cut in its budget. | :39:37. | :39:38. | |
His case was raised by Toby Perkins at this week's | :39:39. | :39:40. | |
The headteacher, Dave Shaw, was running | :39:41. | :39:49. | |
However, her new school's funding formula means that | :39:50. | :39:52. | |
Spire Junior School now faces the biggest cuts | :39:53. | :39:53. | |
Running for cash is now the only alternative to sacking staff. | :39:54. | :39:59. | |
Mark Spencer - Dave Shaw, there, used to | :40:00. | :40:01. | |
Running marathons for charity is one thing, but having | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
to run to pay his staff's wages - that's mad! | :40:06. | :40:10. | |
Yes, I think clearly every pupil, whether they are in | :40:11. | :40:13. | |
Chesterfield or in Sherwood, should get the same amount of funding right | :40:14. | :40:16. | |
across the country and that's what we're trying to achieve. | :40:17. | :40:19. | |
At the moment, a pupil in Nottinghamshire | :40:20. | :40:21. | |
If you compare that to Islington, to pick a | :40:22. | :40:27. | |
constituency at random, that's over ?6,000 per pupil, and even if you | :40:28. | :40:30. | |
consider the London weighting of that, that's | :40:31. | :40:32. | |
So, the good news is that Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire on average, when | :40:33. | :40:38. | |
we apply this new formula, win on average. | :40:39. | :40:41. | |
So I think you've got to bring balance to the country so that | :40:42. | :40:44. | |
a pupil in Sherwood gets the same cash as a pupil anywhere else. | :40:45. | :40:47. | |
And headteachers like Dave don't have to | :40:48. | :40:49. | |
go running to try to get money to pay the wages. | :40:50. | :40:52. | |
This isn't just a one-off, though, Mark, is it? | :40:53. | :40:54. | |
The PTA, the charity which supports parents, | :40:55. | :40:56. | |
reported just over a week ago that more than a third of | :40:57. | :40:59. | |
parents are being asked to contribute to school funds to top it | :41:00. | :41:01. | |
Well, I mean, I think if you go back, parent teacher associations | :41:02. | :41:08. | |
have existed forever, and there's always | :41:09. | :41:09. | |
something else you can buy to | :41:10. | :41:10. | |
Yes, but this is for books and things like that that children need | :41:11. | :41:15. | |
So, we need to make sure that the funding system for our | :41:16. | :41:19. | |
schools is fair right across the country, | :41:20. | :41:21. | |
and whether you are a pupil here in Nottinghamshire or | :41:22. | :41:23. | |
Derbyshire or Leicestershire, you get the same support, the same | :41:24. | :41:25. | |
amount of cash, as anywhere else in the country, | :41:26. | :41:28. | |
Margot Parker, what do you think about this? | :41:29. | :41:32. | |
I think clearly it's got to be balanced out. | :41:33. | :41:37. | |
It's not right that somebody runs to handle load of | :41:38. | :41:42. | |
It's not right that somebody runs to hand a load of | :41:43. | :41:44. | |
money over in order to be able to maintain a teacher or maintain | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
breakfast at school, or whatever it is they are trying to do. | :41:49. | :41:50. | |
There should be an equal playing field. | :41:51. | :41:52. | |
You can't mess around with education - it's got to be fair. | :41:53. | :41:55. | |
Yes, it's massive, it's not acceptable. | :41:56. | :41:58. | |
It's worth pointing out, at the moment | :41:59. | :42:03. | |
it's not fair, so there are schools who are | :42:04. | :42:05. | |
getting a lot less cash in | :42:06. | :42:07. | |
Nottinghamshire than in other parts of the country. | :42:08. | :42:09. | |
Well, to be quite honest, education is very | :42:10. | :42:13. | |
I mean, at the end of the day, it has to be found from | :42:14. | :42:17. | |
I'm not an education spokesperson, but I can tell you | :42:18. | :42:21. | |
that you got to have a fairness, you got to have kids that, | :42:22. | :42:24. | |
if they don't get breakfast, a breakfast is | :42:25. | :42:26. | |
That's important, because no child should | :42:27. | :42:28. | |
have to start the day hungry, or any other way. | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
So, wherever it comes from, I think it has to be found, because | :42:32. | :42:37. | |
the children are the future, at the end of the day. | :42:38. | :42:40. | |
It's not their fault - we have to really look after them. | :42:41. | :42:44. | |
Well, hundreds of women from across the East Midlands | :42:45. | :42:47. | |
are planning to join a national protest in London next month | :42:48. | :42:50. | |
The so-called Waspis, or Women Against State Pension Inequality, | :42:51. | :42:53. | |
are angry that changes to their retirement age | :42:54. | :42:55. | |
have left them having to work longer than planned | :42:56. | :42:57. | |
Our political reporter Helen McCulloch's been | :42:58. | :43:00. | |
# Send me a forecast, drop me a line, try to change your mind. | :43:01. | :43:05. | |
# Indicate precisely what you mean to say, Waspi women, | :43:06. | :43:10. | |
The Waspi campaign began two years ago when women born | :43:11. | :43:16. | |
Two pensions acts aimed at bringing women's retirement age in line | :43:17. | :43:26. | |
with men meant women born in the 50s would have to wait until they were | :43:27. | :43:30. | |
Campaigners say they were never informed of the changes, | :43:31. | :43:35. | |
We're very angry and very frustrated, and I've completely lost | :43:36. | :43:41. | |
all trust in the government and politicians and systems | :43:42. | :43:43. | |
I paid a full stamp, and I honestly thought | :43:44. | :43:49. | |
I would get my pension when I reached 60, | :43:50. | :43:51. | |
I organised this big party, everything, thinking... | :43:52. | :43:56. | |
And two weeks before this, then I get told off, | :43:57. | :44:03. | |
Tricia Clough is one of the main coordinators of the campaign, | :44:04. | :44:10. | |
and insists the government failed to inform millions of women | :44:11. | :44:13. | |
The government are saying, we've put it out on the news, | :44:14. | :44:17. | |
we had a news item, and we also put little articles in newspapers. | :44:18. | :44:20. | |
We've had women who've lost their partners, who have had | :44:21. | :44:26. | |
We've had some women who had to go on jobseekers' schemes, | :44:27. | :44:36. | |
which they've found really difficult emotionally, physically... | :44:37. | :44:38. | |
Meetings like this are happening up and down the country, | :44:39. | :44:40. | |
and it seems the Waspi movement shows no signs of slowing down, | :44:41. | :44:43. | |
but not everybody has welcomed their campaign. | :44:44. | :44:47. | |
If the Waspi campaign got their way, which was for | :44:48. | :44:52. | |
If the Waspi campaign got their way, which was for a bridging pension | :44:53. | :44:55. | |
in the 1950s, then a woman born on the 1st of January 1960 would not | :44:56. | :45:00. | |
only see her classmate one day older gets six years of tension | :45:01. | :45:03. | |
only see her classmate one day older gets six years of pension | :45:04. | :45:06. | |
that she would not get, but she would have to paperback | :45:07. | :45:09. | |
that she would not get, but she would have to pay for that | :45:10. | :45:12. | |
through higher national insurance contributions and higher taxes. | :45:13. | :45:14. | |
I can't see how that is in anyway fair. | :45:15. | :45:17. | |
The other group of I think who are grossly discriminated | :45:18. | :45:19. | |
The Department for Work and Pensions say that the decision to equalise | :45:20. | :45:28. | |
the state pension age was made over 20 years ago, and there are no | :45:29. | :45:32. | |
My husband's retired now, and the two of us | :45:33. | :45:35. | |
We are just having to scrape through. | :45:36. | :45:39. | |
Making sure their voices are heard is a key priority for this campaign. | :45:40. | :45:48. | |
The next step, a march on Parliament on budget day. | :45:49. | :45:51. | |
# Will you still bleed me, corrupt and greedy, | :45:52. | :46:04. | |
That's what those women are saying, Mark Spencer, and you | :46:05. | :46:08. | |
probably recognise them, because some of them are actually your | :46:09. | :46:10. | |
constituents and I know that you've met them, and actually, | :46:11. | :46:13. | |
they say that you've been very dismissive of | :46:14. | :46:15. | |
Well, I've met them a number of times, actually. | :46:16. | :46:19. | |
I've met them certainly in the constituency, I've | :46:20. | :46:21. | |
met them in London when they came to London. | :46:22. | :46:23. | |
I think there's some good news in this in that clearly society | :46:24. | :46:27. | |
has changed, women's roles have changed since the 1950s. | :46:28. | :46:29. | |
Of course we are living a lot longer, so... | :46:30. | :46:31. | |
They haven't got enough money for their retirement. | :46:32. | :46:33. | |
If you go back to the 50s, people would retire at 65 as a | :46:34. | :46:38. | |
man and probably would pass away in their early 70s. | :46:39. | :46:40. | |
Now we are all living to, sort of, 80 plus, | :46:41. | :46:42. | |
These women say they've never really had | :46:43. | :46:45. | |
equality, and now this is happening to them. | :46:46. | :46:47. | |
So, the pension needs to adapt to those circumstances, and | :46:48. | :46:50. | |
we've got to be fair to those women coming behind, to the 18-year-old | :46:51. | :46:53. | |
girl who is coming out of university who's | :46:54. | :46:55. | |
going to have to fund this | :46:56. | :46:56. | |
system, so we've got to get the balance right. | :46:57. | :47:02. | |
The government has listened, actually, and made ?1 billion | :47:03. | :47:04. | |
of concessions, so it only makes about a year's difference | :47:05. | :47:07. | |
OK, Margot Parker, the women fighting this change feel | :47:08. | :47:13. | |
that they haven't really been given enough notice on this, as you heard | :47:14. | :47:17. | |
Is that really fair, though, actually? | :47:18. | :47:20. | |
Because the law's been in place for nearly 20 years now. | :47:21. | :47:23. | |
Yes, it has, and I am quite sorry for them, | :47:24. | :47:27. | |
because I think, to be honest, you know, they will have | :47:28. | :47:29. | |
brought their children up, they will often have had jobs | :47:30. | :47:32. | |
where they are perhaps working in local government, | :47:33. | :47:35. | |
you know, not terribly well paid, paid their contribution, thought | :47:36. | :47:37. | |
they were going to get their pension, and then, this particular | :47:38. | :47:43. | |
group, I think, you know, also take care | :47:44. | :47:47. | |
their families, so I think you've got a balance there where they are | :47:48. | :47:52. | |
But there has to be a cut-off, doesn't that? | :47:53. | :47:56. | |
Because what about people who were born in the 1960s? | :47:57. | :48:01. | |
Well, this is true, but there has got to | :48:02. | :48:04. | |
people are paid today so that they can actually | :48:05. | :48:07. | |
They've got to have the dignity of a reasonable pension | :48:08. | :48:13. | |
that they can survive on, because, if they said, well, I've only got | :48:14. | :48:16. | |
this amount of money, and frankly, I can't pay my bills... | :48:17. | :48:19. | |
This is an issue where dignity is really important, | :48:20. | :48:21. | |
because it is very harsh for some of the 500,000 women | :48:22. | :48:24. | |
They have paid into their pensions, they were expecting to see some of | :48:25. | :48:29. | |
Some of them are having to go onto Jobseeker's | :48:30. | :48:32. | |
Allowance, and they say that's degrading - | :48:33. | :48:33. | |
they shouldn't have to be doing that, Mark. | :48:34. | :48:35. | |
Wherever you draw the line, someone is going to lose out. | :48:36. | :48:40. | |
But should they be on Jobseeker's Allowance? | :48:41. | :48:41. | |
Wouldn't you rather they get the money that they've put in? | :48:42. | :48:44. | |
I think, to be fair, my mother is 70, | :48:45. | :48:46. | |
My mother in law is 71, and she's still working, | :48:47. | :48:49. | |
so lots of women are fit and able to work and enjoy that, actually | :48:50. | :48:53. | |
government, then, write to these women | :48:54. | :48:57. | |
individually and say, this is | :48:58. | :48:58. | |
what's going to happen, it unique to prepare | :48:59. | :49:00. | |
what's going to happen, it, you need to prepare | :49:01. | :49:02. | |
for this, we're letting you | :49:03. | :49:03. | |
I mean, to be fair, Mark, we all got letters about | :49:04. | :49:07. | |
There was an enormous amount of coverage in the | :49:08. | :49:10. | |
media and in the press, and lots of women were written to. | :49:11. | :49:13. | |
Now, some of the Waspi women are saying they | :49:14. | :49:15. | |
Now, of course, there's no way of knowing | :49:16. | :49:19. | |
whether those letters arrived or not, or... | :49:20. | :49:21. | |
There wasn't enough notification, maybe they should have | :49:22. | :49:23. | |
There was an enormous amount of coverage, | :49:24. | :49:26. | |
though, in the press, about the equalisation | :49:27. | :49:27. | |
women's pensions having to equalise and come at the same time. | :49:28. | :49:31. | |
We've got to be fair to everybody, so, for those | :49:32. | :49:34. | |
But how can we afford to compensate these women, | :49:35. | :49:37. | |
how could we afford to compensate them? | :49:38. | :49:39. | |
It's a question of balancing looking after people that | :49:40. | :49:42. | |
I mean, dare I go onto the foreign aid | :49:43. | :49:45. | |
budget, maybe I shouldn't, but, you know, there is money, | :49:46. | :49:48. | |
Not ?30 billion, which is what it's going to cost. | :49:49. | :49:52. | |
Not everybody in their 50s is saying they do help. | :49:53. | :50:00. | |
What about giving to those who really are in more need | :50:01. | :50:02. | |
Targeted help to help them, would that be a way of | :50:03. | :50:06. | |
I think that's probably quite sensible. | :50:07. | :50:09. | |
I think you've got to judge cases are they are, and | :50:10. | :50:13. | |
people who have to care for, you know, very sick people, | :50:14. | :50:15. | |
and they are not really being helped. | :50:16. | :50:16. | |
I mean, a lot of people give up their lives, | :50:17. | :50:19. | |
give up perhaps going back into work because they've got sick relatives. | :50:20. | :50:22. | |
You know, I'd like to see a fair system there so that they are not | :50:23. | :50:25. | |
There is a carer's allowance system, of course. | :50:26. | :50:28. | |
To help people in those circumstances. | :50:29. | :50:31. | |
These people are having to compete, as well, | :50:32. | :50:33. | |
Women in their early 60s are going to try and find jobs | :50:34. | :50:38. | |
younger people are going for as well. | :50:39. | :50:40. | |
You want young people to get those jobs. | :50:41. | :50:43. | |
I think women of that generation actually make very good | :50:44. | :50:47. | |
I'm just saying what these women feel about being made to feel | :50:48. | :50:52. | |
guilty, in a way, Mark, that's what they're saying. | :50:53. | :50:54. | |
I'd be disappointed if they felt guilty, | :50:55. | :50:57. | |
I think that would be wrong, if they were to feel like that. | :50:58. | :51:00. | |
The fact that they are having to compete with | :51:01. | :51:03. | |
I think we need to recognise where we are out, and | :51:04. | :51:06. | |
I think we need to recognise where we are at, and | :51:07. | :51:09. | |
there is this enormous challenge in the budget and an enormous | :51:10. | :51:11. | |
properly, and that's what the government is doing. | :51:12. | :51:17. | |
That March is on March the 8th in London. | :51:18. | :51:19. | |
Now, it's been another week in which Brexit has dominated | :51:20. | :51:22. | |
the political scene, with the East Midlands | :51:23. | :51:23. | |
politicians once again at the forefront of the debate. | :51:24. | :51:25. | |
The Grantham MP, Nick Bowles, who is being treated for cancer, left | :51:26. | :51:29. | |
Meanwhile, Brockstowe's Anna Soubry couldn't hide her disgust | :51:30. | :51:36. | |
at some of the debate, and Chris Leslie | :51:37. | :51:38. | |
tabled dozens of amendments, which were all ignored. | :51:39. | :51:40. | |
Of 35 amendments that I have tabled today, I've not been | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
Doesn't it prove that the whole of the curtailing of this debate leaves | :51:44. | :51:48. | |
Parliament and able to scrutinise the EU withdrawal? | :51:49. | :51:53. | |
Parliament unable to scrutinise the EU withdrawal? | :51:54. | :51:54. | |
So, looking at that vote in the Commons, | :51:55. | :51:56. | |
government whip, of course, Ken Clarke was the only Tory who decided | :51:57. | :52:01. | |
Did the whips tried to persuade him otherwise, or | :52:02. | :52:04. | |
His commitments on Europe are well-known, and frankly, I admire | :52:05. | :52:10. | |
him for that, for standing his ground, and defending his well-known | :52:11. | :52:13. | |
position that he's had for a number of years. | :52:14. | :52:14. | |
Now, of course, as the government, we need to recognise | :52:15. | :52:17. | |
that the people took a decision to take it of Europe. | :52:18. | :52:20. | |
that the people took a decision to take us of Europe. | :52:21. | :52:23. | |
The government has to deliver that, and that's | :52:24. | :52:27. | |
And a number of colleagues, including Chris Leslie, | :52:28. | :52:30. | |
frankly, were just trying to slow the process, | :52:31. | :52:31. | |
delay it and block it, and I think that is a travesty, | :52:32. | :52:34. | |
Are you happy now, Margot, that this has passed through | :52:35. | :52:38. | |
We are definitely going to be leaving? | :52:39. | :52:41. | |
Well, yes, I mean, we are making a start, you know, and | :52:42. | :52:44. | |
the heavy ground digging work, I suppose, takes place between the | :52:45. | :52:46. | |
Council of Ministers and our own Brexit Minister, David Davis, who I | :52:47. | :52:49. | |
think probably will do a very good job. | :52:50. | :52:51. | |
Well, what happens in the European Parliament | :52:52. | :52:56. | |
now, though, Margot, with | :52:57. | :52:58. | |
all this activity in the Commons, do you just feel like you're on the | :52:59. | :53:01. | |
sidelines as spectators, really, as a party? | :53:02. | :53:02. | |
I mean, every day, we go through all sorts of | :53:03. | :53:06. | |
things, you know, there are certain things we still have to clearly vote | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
Immediately after Brexit, there was a very strong, very anti-UK mood | :53:10. | :53:15. | |
Even our country's name was dragged off the | :53:16. | :53:18. | |
I mean, it was put back two or three days later. | :53:19. | :53:26. | |
Did it feel like this was a piece of history, this vote, Mark? | :53:27. | :53:36. | |
It really did feel like it was a significant moment in our history, | :53:37. | :53:40. | |
We'll look back at this moment, hopefully, through | :53:41. | :53:43. | |
rose coloured spectacles, and say what a fantastic moment it was in 20 | :53:44. | :53:46. | |
years' time when we are trading with countries all over the world. | :53:47. | :53:49. | |
Passions obviously running very high in the Commons. | :53:50. | :53:55. | |
But away from Parliament, the BBC has been | :53:56. | :53:57. | |
carrying out its own analysis of how the voting went in the referendum. | :53:58. | :54:00. | |
It has looked at the results from individual polling stations and | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
found one place here in the East Midlands | :54:04. | :54:04. | |
where the voting exactly matched the national results. | :54:05. | :54:06. | |
Our political editor Tony Rowe has been | :54:07. | :54:08. | |
The 527 people who cast their votes in this pub polling station | :54:09. | :54:14. | |
represent exactly the split between Remain and Leave in the country. | :54:15. | :54:17. | |
51.99% voted that way when they walked | :54:18. | :54:20. | |
into the pub to vote, so the | :54:21. | :54:26. | |
picturesque villages of Mackworth and Kirk Langley, where Amber Valley | :54:27. | :54:30. | |
meets Derby, are an exact barometer of how we feel is a country about | :54:31. | :54:34. | |
Joe Wickes flies the cross of St George | :54:35. | :54:43. | |
I think if there was a big vote again, I do think a | :54:44. | :54:49. | |
lot of people would change their minds, | :54:50. | :54:50. | |
because I think a lot of | :54:51. | :54:52. | |
people like myself didn't realise how big it was, this Brexit thing, | :54:53. | :54:55. | |
In Nottingham, the vote to Leave was narrow, but | :54:56. | :54:58. | |
Bulwell marketplace is of course where the | :54:59. | :55:07. | |
former city trader and then Ukip leader chose to bring his bust | :55:08. | :55:10. | |
former city trader and then Ukip leader chose to bring his bus | :55:11. | :55:13. | |
Shall we hum the theme tune, The Great Escape? | :55:14. | :55:23. | |
We would be better off without the EU. | :55:24. | :55:25. | |
We give too much money away and get no thanks for it. | :55:26. | :55:27. | |
I think it would do the country good. | :55:28. | :55:31. | |
Get it back to English grown produce. | :55:32. | :55:34. | |
We could start trading in other countries apart from the EU, so it | :55:35. | :55:37. | |
Research into how we voted also shows that older people were more | :55:38. | :55:41. | |
Those we spoke to here certainly fit the bill. | :55:42. | :55:45. | |
Ethnic minorities were less likely to vote to Leave. | :55:46. | :55:52. | |
There are concerns about people's attitudes to anyone perceived, | :55:53. | :55:55. | |
Because you're talking about immigrants, as well. | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
All over the world there's immigrants, no matter which way you | :56:01. | :56:02. | |
Where is all the immigrants going to go? | :56:03. | :56:05. | |
Over on the other side of city, we have the | :56:06. | :56:08. | |
Radford Park Ward, where they voted heavily to Remain. | :56:09. | :56:10. | |
The research concluded that this part of Nottingham fits in with | :56:11. | :56:14. | |
I think it's more of a community to stay together. | :56:15. | :56:24. | |
I feel like when people start breaking up, it's like, that's | :56:25. | :56:27. | |
The report, which examined how over 1,000 wards voted, shows a | :56:28. | :56:38. | |
strong link with educational qualifications and voting. | :56:39. | :56:40. | |
The better educated voted to Remain, the | :56:41. | :56:42. | |
It could be about more than that, though. | :56:43. | :56:46. | |
Poorer areas who feel left out, left behind, wanting to blame | :56:47. | :56:49. | |
someone, accepting this simple argument to join the great escape | :56:50. | :56:51. | |
from the EU, to make things better for them. | :56:52. | :57:00. | |
Well, one thing that this BBC survey found, Margot Parker, | :57:01. | :57:02. | |
But it's happened, and everybody, I do believe, wants us to get | :57:03. | :57:10. | |
Let's sort it, let's get it fixed, let's go out and let's | :57:11. | :57:21. | |
get good contracts around the world, let's | :57:22. | :57:22. | |
make sure businesses in the | :57:23. | :57:24. | |
East Midlands thrive, and all over the country, for that matter. | :57:25. | :57:26. | |
There is a lot to be thankful for, that we | :57:27. | :57:29. | |
As the world's fifth-largest economy we've got a lot to look forward to. | :57:30. | :57:33. | |
But we did also hear that ethnic voters tended to vote | :57:34. | :57:35. | |
Remain, and that they obviously still have a lot of concerns. | :57:36. | :57:38. | |
What would you say to those ethnic voters? | :57:39. | :57:40. | |
I would say, frankly, this will be sorted. | :57:41. | :57:42. | |
I mean, nobody is likely to be asked to leave the country. | :57:43. | :57:45. | |
I think that scaremongering of the very worst order. | :57:46. | :57:52. | |
There is that fear, though, isn't there? | :57:53. | :57:54. | |
Well, yes, but I think it's up to the government, | :57:55. | :57:57. | |
actually, to calm that down and to say to people, look, | :57:58. | :58:01. | |
of course we will resolve this, there won't be a problem. | :58:02. | :58:03. | |
Clearly if you're here and you're working in the NHS, you will | :58:04. | :58:06. | |
be working in the NHS and are most welcome to do so. | :58:07. | :58:09. | |
So, if you have the skills, we are very happy. | :58:10. | :58:12. | |
I think it's the large unskilled swathes of population coming in that | :58:13. | :58:14. | |
we simply cannot afford to have, we can't afford, because all of the | :58:15. | :58:18. | |
cascading down onto society makes a tremendous | :58:19. | :58:19. | |
burden, so, fairness, but | :58:20. | :58:20. | |
let's take care of people that are from Europe that work here. | :58:21. | :58:23. | |
OK, well, with opinions so mixed, Mark, how do you | :58:24. | :58:27. | |
actually go about representing your constituents when you have such a | :58:28. | :58:29. | |
mix of views and feelings about this? | :58:30. | :58:31. | |
So, you have to do what's right, and what is right is getting | :58:32. | :58:34. | |
the best deal for the United Kingdom... | :58:35. | :58:36. | |
You can't represent them all, though. | :58:37. | :58:37. | |
I think you clearly can't represent the more in | :58:38. | :58:43. | |
I think you clearly can't represent them all in | :58:44. | :58:45. | |
terms of Remain or Leave, but I think we need to recognise that | :58:46. | :58:48. | |
Remain and Leave has gone now, we are leaving | :58:49. | :58:50. | |
the European Union, that | :58:51. | :58:51. | |
was the democratic will of the people, | :58:52. | :58:53. | |
and so we need to get the | :58:54. | :58:55. | |
best deal for the United Kingdom, we need to make sure our relationships | :58:56. | :58:58. | |
with our European colleagues improve and continue to trade with them and | :58:59. | :59:01. | |
look to the rest of the world and continue to build our economy so | :59:02. | :59:04. | |
that the jobs and prosperity flow down to those people who are my | :59:05. | :59:07. | |
And you supported Remain whilst your constituents | :59:08. | :59:10. | |
wanted to Leave, so how do you square that circle? | :59:11. | :59:12. | |
Well, you have to take democracy on the chin, | :59:13. | :59:14. | |
frankly, and, you know, Leave won, so we now | :59:15. | :59:17. | |
have to commit to that and | :59:18. | :59:18. | |
deliver what we can for the United Kingdom, | :59:19. | :59:20. | |
and that comes down to the | :59:21. | :59:21. | |
best deal we possibly can squeeze out of our European colleagues. | :59:22. | :59:24. | |
They want to trade with us as well, it's | :59:25. | :59:26. | |
a two-way street, so let's get out there, | :59:27. | :59:28. | |
in the rest of the world as | :59:29. | :59:30. | |
well, and, you know, build the economy | :59:31. | :59:32. | |
Well, that's the message here in the studio! | :59:33. | :59:37. | |
Time now for a round-up of some of the other | :59:38. | :59:39. | |
political stories from the | :59:40. | :59:41. | |
Grantham's Accident Emergency unit is to remain | :59:42. | :59:51. | |
closed overnight because of a shortage of doctors. | :59:52. | :59:56. | |
Lincolnshire Hospitals Trust says it's committed | :59:57. | :59:58. | |
to reopening the unit, and is looking to recruit staff. | :59:59. | :00:00. | |
Campaigners have dismissed the plan to open the service for an extra | :00:01. | :00:03. | |
Derby City Council is to set up a crowdfunding | :00:04. | :00:07. | |
website to raise money for small community projects. | :00:08. | :00:09. | |
The authority is to spend ?45,000 setting up a | :00:10. | :00:14. | |
platform on the Crowdfunder website, and will invite local groups to list | :00:15. | :00:17. | |
Meanwhile, Derbyshire County Council has announced plans to increase | :00:18. | :00:21. | |
It will add ?46 a year to the average band D household bill. | :00:22. | :00:29. | |
A drive to have more electric taxis in Nottingham has been | :00:30. | :00:31. | |
Nottingham has some of the worst air pollution figures in the country. | :00:32. | :00:37. | |
The council wants to see more low emission vehicles | :00:38. | :00:39. | |
The plans will also include a new code of conduct for drivers | :00:40. | :00:47. | |
And that is the Sunday Politics here in the East Midlands. | :00:48. | :00:57. | |
Thanks to our guests this week, Mark Spencer | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
and Margot Parker, for joining us here in the studio. | :01:01. | :01:05. | |
After the excitement and late nights in the Commons last week, | :01:06. | :01:16. | |
MPs are having a little break this week as we head into | :01:17. | :01:19. | |
But there's still plenty in the diary in the near future - | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
let's just remind ourselves of some key upcoming dates. | :01:24. | :01:31. | |
There they are. We have the two by-elections on February 23rd. The | :01:32. | :01:40. | |
budget is 8th March. That will be the last spring budget under this | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
Government because it moves to the autumn. | :01:45. | :01:58. | |
That round of French elections narrows the candidates, probably | :01:59. | :02:04. | |
about eight or nine, down to two, the two who come first and second, | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
then go into a play off round on May 7th. That will determine the next | :02:11. | :02:17. | |
President. Steve, listening to Oliver Letwin and to the Labour | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
leader in the House of Lords, is there any way you think that end of | :02:22. | :02:24. | |
March deadline for Mrs May could be in jeopardy? No, I don't. Andrew | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
Smith couldn't have been clearer with you they would do nothing to | :02:31. | :02:35. | |
block not just Article 50 but that timetable, so I would be surprised | :02:36. | :02:41. | |
if they don't make it. Given her, Theresa May's explicit determination | :02:42. | :02:45. | |
to do so, not to do so would have become a problem for her, I think | :02:46. | :02:50. | |
one way or another... No before this vote last week there was a vote nor | :02:51. | :02:55. | |
the deadline, to agree the deadline by all sides. Plain sailing do you | :02:56. | :03:00. | |
think? There is no serious Parliamentary resistance and it | :03:01. | :03:02. | |
would be a personal embarrassment, I think for the Prime Minister to name | :03:03. | :03:05. | |
the the end of March as the deadline and to miss it, unless she has a | :03:06. | :03:12. | |
good excuse. I I reckon it will change the atmosphere of politics | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
for the next two years, as soon as the negotiations begin, people in | :03:17. | :03:19. | |
our profession will hunt for any detail and inside information we can | :03:20. | :03:23. | |
find, thing also be leaked, I think from the European side from time to | :03:24. | :03:27. | |
time, it will dominate the headlines for a solid two years and change | :03:28. | :03:32. | |
politics. Let me just raise a possible, a dark cloud. No bigger | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
than man's hand, that can complicate the timetable, because the Royal | :03:39. | :03:41. | |
Assent on the current timetable has to come round the 13th. I would | :03:42. | :03:47. | |
suggest that the Prime Minister can't trigger that until she does | :03:48. | :03:51. | |
get the Royal Assent. If there is a bit of ping-pong that could delay | :03:52. | :03:57. | |
that by receive day, the last thing the Europeans would want, they have | :03:58. | :04:00. | |
another big meeting at the end of March which is the 60th anniversary | :04:01. | :04:06. | |
of the Treaty of Rome. They don't want Article 50 to land on the | :04:07. | :04:13. | |
table... It would infuriate everybody. My guess is she will have | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
done it by then, this is between the Commons and the Lords, I mean Andrew | :04:19. | :04:22. | |
Smith couldn't have been clearer, that they might send something back | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
but they didn't expect a kind of a long play over this, so. The Liberal | :04:29. | :04:33. | |
Democrats, they are almost an irrelevance in the Commons but not | :04:34. | :04:38. | |
the Lords, they feel differently. Now, we don't know yet what the | :04:39. | :04:43. | |
European Union negotiating position is going to be, we don't know | :04:44. | :04:46. | |
because there are several crucial elections taking place, the Dutch | :04:47. | :04:49. | |
taking place in March and then the one we put up, the French, and, at | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
the moment, the French one is, it seems like it is coming down, to a | :04:55. | :05:01. | |
play-off in the second round between Madame Le Pen who could come first | :05:02. | :05:09. | |
in the first round and this Blairite figure, independent, centre-leftish | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
Mr Macron, he may well get through and that, and the outcome of that | :05:14. | :05:17. | |
will be an important determine napt on our negotiations. -- determinant. | :05:18. | :05:22. | |
You o couldn't have two more different candidate, you have a | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
national a front candidate and on the other hand the closest thing | :05:28. | :05:31. | |
France could have you to a liberal President. With a small l. A | :05:32. | :05:38. | |
reformist liberal President. It would be the most French thing in | :05:39. | :05:43. | |
the world to elect someone who while the rest of the world is elected | :05:44. | :05:50. | |
elitist, to elect someone who is the son of a teacher, who has liberal | :05:51. | :05:56. | |
views, is a member of the French elite. It would be a thing for them | :05:57. | :06:03. | |
to elect a man like that which I why I see them doing it. If it is Le | :06:04. | :06:11. | |
Pen, Brexit becomes a minor sideshow, if it is Le Pen, the | :06:12. | :06:15. | |
future of the European Union is? Danger, regardless of whether we are | :06:16. | :06:23. | |
were in or out. I suggest if it is Mr Macron that presents some | :06:24. | :06:26. | |
problems. He doesn't have his own party. He won't have a majority in | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
the French assembly, he is untried and untested. He wants to do a | :06:31. | :06:34. | |
number of things that will be unpopular which is why a number of | :06:35. | :06:42. | |
people close to Mrs Le Pen tell me that she has her eye on 2022. She | :06:43. | :06:49. | |
thinks lit go to hell in a hand basket under Mr Macron. He hasn't | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
got the experience. What I find fascinating. It is not just all to | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
play for in France, it is the fact what happens in France and Germany, | :07:01. | :07:04. | |
not so much Holland I think but Germany later on in the year, how | :07:05. | :07:11. | |
much it impacts what we are going to get. How much which ex #i78 panting | :07:12. | :07:24. | |
on them. And at the time we are trying to, withdrawing ourself from | :07:25. | :07:26. | |
European politics it is fascinating how much it will affect us. You see | :07:27. | :07:30. | |
what Matthew was talking about earlier in the show, that what we do | :07:31. | :07:36. | |
know, almost for sure, is that the socialist candidate will not get | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
through to the second round. He could come firth but the | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
centre-right candidate. If we were discussing that monthing a we would | :07:46. | :07:48. | |
say it between teen the centre-right and the national fronts. We are to | :07:49. | :07:53. | |
saying that. Matthew good win who spent a time in France isn't sure Le | :07:54. | :07:58. | |
Pen will get into the second round, which is interesting. It is, I mean, | :07:59. | :08:03. | |
it is going to be as important for the future of the European Union, as | :08:04. | :08:10. | |
in retrospect the British 2015 general election was, if Labour had | :08:11. | :08:13. | |
got in there would have been no referendum. That referendum has | :08:14. | :08:16. | |
transformed the European Union because we are leaving and the | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
French election is significant. We will be live from Paris on April | :08:23. | :08:28. | |
23rd on the day France goings to the first round of polls. Tom Watson, he | :08:29. | :08:33. | |
was on The Andrew Marr Show earlier today, was asked about Mr Corbyn, | :08:34. | :08:34. | |
this is what he had to say. We had a damaging second leadership | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
election, so we've got The polls aren't great for us, | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
but I'm determined now we've got the leadership settled for this | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
parliament, that we can focus on developing a very positive clear | :08:48. | :08:49. | |
message to the British people So Julia, I don't know who are you | :08:50. | :09:05. | |
are giggling. I find it untenable that, he is a very good media | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
performer and he comes on and he is sitting there so well, you know, | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
things are bad but don't worry we are looking at what we can do to win | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
2020. The idea that Tony Blair and Gordon Brown were sitting in their | :09:19. | :09:24. | |
offices or on TV screens at this time in the electoral cycle thinking | :09:25. | :09:28. | |
well I wonder if we can come up with a policy the British people might | :09:29. | :09:33. | |
like. It is a nonsense, this is Tuesday night book zlufb. I am going | :09:34. | :09:41. | |
to ask you the question I was going to before. I would suggest that he | :09:42. | :09:48. | |
the right. The deputy Labour leader Tom Watson is violent the leadership | :09:49. | :09:55. | |
is settled, with one caveat, unless the Corbynistas themselves to decide | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
to move on Mr Corbyn, if the left of the Labour Party decides then it is | :10:00. | :10:04. | |
not settled. Settled. If that doesn't happen that is That would be | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
the worst situation if you are a Labour moderate. The Corbynistas | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
would be saying the problem is no Corbynism, it is Corbyn himself, if | :10:14. | :10:19. | |
we a younger person leading the process we can win the next general | :10:20. | :10:24. | |
election, which means you have another itration of this, another | :10:25. | :10:28. | |
five year experiment. And that is worst of all. If you are a Labour | :10:29. | :10:36. | |
moderate, what you want is Jeremy Corbyn contest the next general | :10:37. | :10:41. | |
election, possibly loses badly and then a Labour not moderate runs for | :10:42. | :10:44. | |
the leadership saying we have tried your way, the worst would be Corbyn | :10:45. | :10:49. | |
going, and a younger seven version of him trying and the experiment | :10:50. | :10:54. | |
being extended. I see no easy way out of this. That is why he radiated | :10:55. | :10:59. | |
the enthusiasm of someone in a hostage video in that interview. | :11:00. | :11:04. | |
Maybe he has the Stockholm Syndrome now. The Labour moderates have had | :11:05. | :11:11. | |
their day in the sun, two days in the sun and they lost. I suggest | :11:12. | :11:14. | |
they are not going to try for the hat-trick again. Is there any | :11:15. | :11:19. | |
indication that on the more Corbyn wing of the Labour Party, there is | :11:20. | :11:26. | |
now doubts about their man. Yes, just to translate Tom Watson, what | :11:27. | :11:31. | |
he meant was I Tom Watson am not going to get involved in another | :11:32. | :11:37. | |
attempted coup. I tried it and it was a catastrophe. That is question | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
enhe says it is set selled. It is because there is speculation on a | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
daily basis. I disagree, Julia said I think this lot don't care about | :11:49. | :11:54. | |
winning, I think they do. If the current position continue, one of | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
two things will happen. Either Jeremy Corbyn will decide himself | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
will decide he doesn't want to carry on. He half enjoys I it and half | :12:03. | :12:09. | |
hates it. Finds it a strain. If that doesn't happen there will be some | :12:10. | :12:13. | |
people round him who will say, look, this isn't working. There is another | :12:14. | :12:19. | |
three-and-a-half years. There is a long way to go. I can't see it | :12:20. | :12:25. | |
lasting in this way with politics in a state of flux, Tories will be | :12:26. | :12:30. | |
under pressure in the coming two years, to have opinion polls at this | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
level, I think is unsustainable. Final thought from you.? Yes, the | :12:36. | :12:39. | |
idea it St another three-and-a-half years is just madness, but the | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
people we are putting up at replacement for Jeremy Corbyn, and | :12:44. | :12:49. | |
they have been focus grouping them. Most members wouldn't know who most | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
of people were let alone most of the public. | :12:54. | :12:57. | |
Angela rain? They are not overwhelmed with leadership | :12:58. | :13:04. | |
potential at the moment. Very diplomatically put. Neither are the | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
Tories, but they happened to have one at the moment. All right. That | :13:09. | :13:10. | |
is it. Now, there's no Daily | :13:11. | :13:13. | |
or Sunday Politics for the next week But the Daily Politics will be back | :13:14. | :13:16. | |
on Monday 20th February and I'll be back here with the Sunday Politics | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
on the 26th. Remember if it's Sunday, | :13:21. | :13:24. | |
it's the Sunday Politics... Just back from | :13:25. | :13:26. | |
a very long shift at work... The staff are losing - | :13:27. | :14:08. | |
they're just giving in. Panorama goes undercover | :14:09. | :14:14. | |
to reveal the real cost | :14:15. | :14:20. |