06/10/2013 Sunday Politics East


06/10/2013

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Morning, folks, welcome to the Sunday Politics. And in-out EU

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election? We talk to the Tory rebel demanding one next year, that is our

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top story. As government ministers prepare to decide how the press

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should be regulated, what will be You are talking about the colour of

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And in the East: The Home Office You are talking about the colour of

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And in the East: The Home Office find itself in a jam over foreign

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He will try to force a vote in the October. Home Secretary Theresa

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He will try to force a vote in the was asked about his plans on the BBC

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earlier this morning. I think he has got it wrong, I think what we need

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to do is to negotiate the settlement with the European Union and then put

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that to the people me to decide whether to be in or out. Is this a

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flea bite or a real threat? I think the next election, a Conservative

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Party that will be offering people that renegotiation, a new settlement

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with Europe, looking to the future and putting that to the British

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people in and in or out referendum. And what the amendment possibly

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could do, as James Wharton, who And what the amendment possibly

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putting the Referendum Bill through Parliament has said, is it could

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jeopardise that bill. Adam Afriyie joins us now from Millbank studio.

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Good morning. If the referendum would be held next October, it would

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have to be an in-out question based the status quo? There wouldn't be

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time for a full renegotiation. I disagree. By having a referendum in

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2014, it gives us 12 months to renegotiate, but it kick-started

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negotiations, because the European Union, if they wish us to remain

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and make changes so that they would members, would need to accommodate

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and make changes so that they would persuade the British public to stay,

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strengthens the Prime Minister's hand, and 12 months is ample time

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for that kind of negotiation. You might think that, but Germany has

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not even got a government at the moment, why should they meet our

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timetable? This is going to be incredibly, located renegotiation. I

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think, basically, 80% of people incredibly, located renegotiation. I

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a referendum. More than 50% what a election. British businesses need

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certainty, and we could carry on taking a scan down the road for

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ever, but I have struggled with taking a scan down the road for

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conscience over this one. I do not want to cause trouble, but it is

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essential that Parliament and MPs have the opportunity to search their

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souls and give people a referendum this side of the election. That

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would also bring certainty and clarity for the future, and like I

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said, it strengthens the Prime Minister's hand if it is successful.

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You right in the Mail on Sunday Minister's hand if it is successful.

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the people are not convinced there even will be a referendum, so they

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don't trust David Cameron? I think the headline was not the headline I

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wrote for that piece. What I am You are saying that the British

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people are not convinced. Look, there are too many uncertainties

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here - they may not be convinced the Conservatives will win the election,

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I hope we will, they may not be convinced the renegotiation will be

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good enough, that there will be convinced the renegotiation will be

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referendum. Do you trust David That is why we need to bring the

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referendum forward, there is time to negotiate, and we tidy up the issue

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that has been hanging around for too long. Do you trust David Cameron to

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deliver a referendum in 2017? I Minister, and of course I trust

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deliver a referendum in 2017? I referendum? There as only variables

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in between. What I am doing with referendum? There as only variables

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this amendment, is to try to be referendum? There as only variables

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is that Parliament and every MP referendum? There as only variables

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the opportunity decide whether they want to be sure of a referendum

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within this parliament, or maybe leave it to the vagaries of what may

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within this parliament, or maybe happen in 2015. Supposing you got

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your way, how would you vote? Like Michael Gove, I would vote for us to

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leave as of today, but there will be Michael Gove, I would vote for us to

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an enormous amount of pressure on European Union leaders to come

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forward with proposals. If they European Union leaders to come

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to say, the mandate is not ever closer political union, it is ever

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closer trading harmony, giving us closer trading harmony, giving us

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more border control and control closer trading harmony, giving us

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our legal system, I might change my mind. But this is what needs to

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happen - if we have a referendum in happen - if we have a referendum in

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negotiations to be kick-started happen - if we have a referendum in

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people to argue in or out, and the end result is a stronger Prime

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Minister. Is it true that you have end result is a stronger Prime

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Minister. Is it true that you have got about 80 MPs supporting this? It

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certain, and I think we will see it on hold over the next three or five

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weeks. He will have to ask each individual MP. I am asking you,

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is your motion! There will be other motions coming forward, and I know

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cross-party, for people who want the British public to have a say in

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2014. You know it is not going to get through, the whips will stop

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this from happening. One of the successes, apparently, of your

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party's Manchester conference was that you were not divided over

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was settled. Here you are bringing it

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was back to life and pouring petrol

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Europe anymore, the Europe issue was unlicensed troublemaker of the

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Tories? The only struggle I have had is not a fight with my party but

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Tories? The only struggle I have had with my conscience as to whether or

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not I would give Parliament and with my conscience as to whether or

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British people an opportunity to have a say in 2014. I wrestled with

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it, and I decided I wanted people to have that opportunity. It is for

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each individual MP to search their soul, speak to constituents and

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decide whether they want that. You decided it would get you in the

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headlines again. Oh, you are so cynical, Andrew! I have no ambition

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publicity seeker. All I seek is cynical, Andrew! I have no ambition

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would not be able to sleep at night if I did not bring forward this

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opportunity for Britain to have if I did not bring forward this

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say. We have left it far too long. Nobody under the age of 56 has had a

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say. Thanks for joining us, good luck with this continuing struggle

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with your conscience! I will move the seat around and addressed the

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panel, what do you make of it? The party managers must be furious with

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him. I think what this confirms party managers must be furious with

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that David Cameron is incredibly lucky in his enemies. His most

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prolific critics, Nadine Dorries, Peter Bone, Adam Afriyie, even if

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you are very anti-Cameron, you will not think, man, if only they were in

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charge of the party! I think the party managers are not too alarmed.

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They do not take him seriously? No, is not as if the James Wharton bill

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is a work of genius, it is riddled with flaws, anomalies and loopholes.

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It purports to guarantee that a referendum will take place in the

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next Parliament. My understanding of theoretically impossible and that

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all the future government would theoretically impossible and that

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is cancel out that bill with another bill. He does have a point that

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Cameron's plan for a referendum bill. He does have a point that

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nothing like as likely to happen... dangerous. The problem for David

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Cameron is twofold. One, if Ed Miliband says he's going to support

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Adam Afriyie, it will go through. Unlikely that Ed Miliband would

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Adam Afriyie, it will go through. that, but what he might do is say to

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his MPs, ignore this. It may well be significant number of Labour MPs do

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not turn up, and then what you have Conservative backbenchers, and in

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that war you might well find that through, and then the Prime Minister

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has real trouble, because Adam Afriyie says, the Prime Minister

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membership, up what basis and with which mandate? He would not be able

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to get agreement with Nick Clegg or Ed Miliband, so you would be looking

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think he is a Labour mole, that Ed Miliband, so you would be looking

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what I have come to, a Daily Mail style conspiracy theory, it could

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not be more perfect. The prospect of style conspiracy theory, it could

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a referendum on the EU at the same time as Scottish independence is

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has told us he could not sleep at conscience. We could send him some

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pills, I suppose. We know he's going to sack all those lieutenants were

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going around and saying he is the great future and the next leader of

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the Conservative Party. He denied doing that! He would be amazed to

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hear you say that, this is a crisis conversations in corridors, quite an

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operation to get letters into Graham Brady, he said to have letters,

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operation to get letters into Graham 46, but at the moment this campaign

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is being run by Lieutenant of Adam They are disaffected and not happy

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under David Cameron's leadership. There is a whole army of them! I am

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pleased he has outmanoeuvred the awkward squad, and now James Wharton

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is saying, you're going to kill awkward squad, and now James Wharton

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bill. I do not think they are very competence lieutenants. The main

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episode is it will unify a large Conservative Party behind David

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Cameron. On what they hope is a settled position. We still hope

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Cameron. On what they hope is a be talking to John Prescott, who is

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in hole, if you see him, pointing in the direction of the BBC studios! Do

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you want to buy a house? Can you afford the mortgage repayments but

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not the 20% or 30% deposit the mortgage provider is demanding from

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you? The Government says it has mortgage provider is demanding from

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scheme designed for you which is in launching next week, help to buy,

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re-emergence of 95% mortgages, remember them?! But is the policy

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really good for home-buyers or the British economy? Here is Giles.

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Never mind who lives in a house British economy? Here is Giles.

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this, who can afford to buy a house these days? The Government would

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this, who can afford to buy a house like many more people to be able to

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without putting down a crippling like many more people to be able to

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without putting down a crippling amount of money as a deposit, and in

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the spirit of rights to buy, the government has launched help to

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the spirit of rights to buy, the confusingly it is the name for two

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been running since April. Help to government are bringing it in early.

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Let's get in on the inside and take a good look around at what this

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scheme actually has to offer. And why the Government thinks it really

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works. Help to Buy 1 was an equity loan scheme. The idea, nice, is

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works. Help to Buy 1 was an equity it was for new build only, up to a

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value of £600,000. But it is Help to value of £600,000. But it is Help to

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Buy 2 that everyone is looking into right now. It is for any property up

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to a value, again, of £600,000. right now. It is for any property up

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time the Government is guaranteeing that it will take on the first

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losses should the home owner in that it will take on the first

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future failed to make their mortgage payments. Don't worry about that, if

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you are a buyer, you are going to be concerned about coming up with the

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5% deposit and 95% mortgages will be available again in participating

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banks and building societies. And a housing prime mover. You cannot

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get training to 5% mortgage anymore, 90% even, so there are couples in

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our country who have good jobs, decent incomes, they could afford

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the mortgage payments but they failure in our banking market. So

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Jonathan, but I guess for you this is not Homes Under The Hammer, but a

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main impact of this scheme will is not Homes Under The Hammer, but a

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to push up prices, who does that benefit? Mostly rich and all the

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people who own their houses. Plus the banks, of course, because it is

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a subsidy for them. Who loses? People who want to buy a house in

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the future. Moreover, it is a bit odd that the Government says it

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the future. Moreover, it is a bit not OK to borrow to finance schools

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or roads, but it is fine for the effectively, in order to guarantee

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housing market. 2.3 million? I do not think Help to Buy covers that.

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But enter a would-be buyer, will they now be seeing a plethora of

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help to buy mortgages? In a word, no. David Cameron has brought the

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months, and banks were not ready at that stage. Two banks have committed

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to fund the scheme, the Lloyds group and the RBS group, so lenders like

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Halifax, RBS and NatWest. They will be doing the scheme, but even once

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the scheme is up and running you are probably find 95% mortgages on the

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high street because of the guarantee the government is offering. People

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might say this is how we got into a mess in the first place. Why would

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the government want to make those products available then now? It

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the government want to make those more what investment banks were

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doing in the background that caused performed extremely well through the

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depths of the downturn. Is this performed extremely well through the

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game changer? Yes, I have done my best to save over the last few years

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but this has enabled me to make best to save over the last few years

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first purchase. How frustrating best to save over the last few years

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it just renting? Very frustrating, you are throwing away money hand

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over fist, and now I can take that enthusiasm raises a question back at

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the flat. If you are looking for a 95% mortgage, you don't really care

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economy, you are thinking, great, I can buy a house. Yes, if I was a

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house buyer or a bank, I would be pleased, but it will do longer term

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economic damage. The tricky steps the government are trying to pull

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off is that home-buyers might be so grateful for the opportunity to

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off is that home-buyers might be so their own homes that they reward the

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Government with the vote, while their own homes that they reward the

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the same time the Government tries to sidestep consequences that such a

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Now Conservative MP Margot James, and Allister Heath, editor of City

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It is said by the critics that this scheme will cause a housing bubble.

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Where is the evidence? House prices are more varied. Housing not just in

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London remains overvalued and the problem with this scheme is that it

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will pump up house prices, it will therefore houses will become even

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more overvalued. That is a dangerous territory, last time it ended in

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tears, and now the Government is taking on the risk of that policy.

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What do you say to that? We have a real problem, it takes people on

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average until they are 38 years real problem, it takes people on

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property. The problem is not that they cannot afford it, but they

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cannot afford the deposit. We have got to do something to allow people

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to get their feet on the property ladder and I don't agree it will

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cause a boom in house prices. It would if we were not building any

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have had a record this year, 12 months to right now, the record

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have had a record this year, 12 the last ten years. These are not

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the statistics I have seen, but the last ten years. These are not

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new supply is coming up. It is starting to creep up. We don't see

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enough house building, need to build more houses and that is a solution

:18:46.:18:50.

to this problem. You are right, people cannot afford to buy homes

:18:50.:18:54.

and the reason is there are not enough good quality homes in the

:18:54.:19:00.

deposits are so high is because secondly the Government has passed

:19:00.:19:04.

laws to make the banking system secondly the Government has passed

:19:04.:19:08.

prudent, telling them to put more wrong. Now suddenly the Government

:19:08.:19:15.

is not happy with the outcome of its own rules and is trying to create

:19:16.:19:19.

these subsidies to circumvent the rules it has put in place. It is not

:19:19.:19:26.

a subsidy. Don't forget banks have to pay a charge in order to take

:19:26.:19:32.

part in this loan scheme and that the... You are guaranteeing the

:19:32.:19:39.

money. Yes, but the fear is worked out on a commercial basis. The

:19:39.:19:42.

taxpayer is protected. Why? You out on a commercial basis. The

:19:42.:19:49.

guaranteeing £12 billion worth of mortgages per year. Yes but the

:19:49.:19:54.

change in the whole mortgage basis has been made a few years ago in

:19:54.:20:00.

response of the crash. They made the distressed test on people applying

:20:00.:20:03.

for mortgages much higher and you twice... So it will not be like

:20:03.:20:13.

these self certification mortgages handed out in America that caused

:20:13.:20:19.

the sub-prime crisis? Pigment bit like that but the banks are rightly

:20:19.:20:24.

asking for bigger deposits, they know there is a big chance house

:20:24.:20:29.

prices could fall if interest rates eventually, so they are demanding

:20:29.:20:33.

bigger deposits. The Government eventually, so they are demanding

:20:33.:20:38.

circumventing this is being passed eventually, so they are demanding

:20:38.:20:41.

on to the taxpayers which is why it is a dangerous policy. Instead they

:20:41.:20:46.

should be massively accelerating Planning permission is much easier

:20:46.:20:54.

to get now, we have seen a 49% increase in planning permission

:20:54.:20:58.

to get now, we have seen a 49% a new building over the last year, a

:20:58.:20:59.

huge increase. In the figures I a new building over the last year, a

:20:59.:21:05.

recently, they showed new start a new building over the last year, a

:21:05.:21:09.

the 12 months to the autumn were only about 110,000 which is the

:21:09.:21:12.

figure you inherited, which was only about 110,000 which is the

:21:12.:21:17.

an all-time low in 2010. New house built in the last quarter are third

:21:17.:21:24.

up on the time last year. You have relaxation of planning laws and

:21:24.:21:29.

up on the time last year. You have other policies the Government put

:21:29.:21:31.

into effect last year to take effect and it is coming through now. I

:21:31.:21:36.

agree, if we weren't building more houses, if the construction sector

:21:36.:21:42.

advantage of the increased demand, there would be a risk. David Cameron

:21:42.:21:49.

says you are snob and it is only snobs who dislike Help To Buy. They

:21:49.:21:57.

don't have the bank of mum and dad, people like that will finally get on

:21:57.:22:03.

the housing ladder. That is complete nonsense. We need a sustainable

:22:03.:22:07.

housing market where there is a large amount of construction, like

:22:07.:22:11.

in the 1930s for example, where large numbers of proper family homes

:22:11.:22:19.

were being built for people. House prices were pushed down and people

:22:19.:22:25.

could afford houses. You are now encouraging people to take out a 95%

:22:25.:22:29.

mortgage, I thought that was a bad idea, so supposing interest rates go

:22:29.:22:38.

struggle, and supposing house prices fall by more than 5%, I am now faced

:22:38.:22:44.

with negative equity and soaring interest rates that I cannot afford.

:22:44.:22:49.

95% mortgage, if you can afford interest rates that I cannot afford.

:22:49.:22:55.

repayments, you will be fine. What happens when interest rates rise?

:22:55.:23:00.

They have got to rise a lot before you get into trouble. People are

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already affording rent which is you get into trouble. People are

:23:03.:23:09.

lot higher than mortgage payments. You will not be able to get into

:23:09.:23:16.

this scheme unless you can afford repayments double what they are

:23:16.:23:20.

this scheme unless you can afford the moment. The Conservatives should

:23:20.:23:24.

limelight last week but there was an unwelcome intruder in the shape

:23:24.:23:30.

limelight last week but there was an row between Ed Miliband and the

:23:30.:23:33.

Daily Mail. Just over a week ago the claiming that Ed Miliband's Father

:23:33.:23:41.

Ralph hated Britain. They showed a picture of his father's gravestone

:23:41.:23:48.

with the caption, grave socialist. They then removed the photo and

:23:48.:23:52.

with the caption, grave socialist. Ed Miliband the right to reply on

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printed an editorial alongside it saying they stood by every word

:23:57.:24:01.

printed an editorial alongside it published an fair headline. It also

:24:01.:24:06.

reporter had gate-crashed a private memorial service for Ed Miliband's

:24:06.:24:11.

uncle in a London hospital, for which the paper has now apologised,

:24:11.:24:15.

but Ed Miliband has called on the hard look at the way his papers

:24:15.:24:23.

but Ed Miliband has called on the run. This comes a week before a

:24:23.:24:31.

but Ed Miliband has called on the Joining us now from Hull, John

:24:31.:24:31.

Prescott. Does this row between Joining us now from Hull, John

:24:31.:24:42.

reinforce the case for tough, new certainly influences the opinion

:24:42.:24:49.

about that but that is more of Paul Dacre's doing. Ed Miliband rang

:24:49.:24:53.

about that but that is more of Paul while I was in Strasbourg making

:24:53.:24:54.

sure my complaints were nothing while I was in Strasbourg making

:24:54.:24:59.

do with press regulation and he while I was in Strasbourg making

:24:59.:25:04.

right. This argument is not about politicians and media people, it is

:25:04.:25:07.

about ordinary people that love politicians and media people, it is

:25:07.:25:16.

and dealt with. All of these cases affected individual people and they

:25:16.:25:21.

are the ones that need to have justice in this matter. Next week we

:25:21.:25:26.

will be hearing whether the Privy Council will be reporting on the

:25:26.:25:33.

proposal to replace it. Are you agreeing then that what the mail did

:25:33.:25:49.

with its Miliband article was a matter of judgement? Yes, and the

:25:49.:26:02.

with its Miliband article was a conclusion that the relationship

:26:02.:26:04.

between the press, the police and politicians should be governed,

:26:05.:26:13.

between the press, the police and proposal given by half the press

:26:13.:26:18.

industry that that does not meet the Leveson requirement and I suspect

:26:18.:26:22.

the Privy Council this week will have to reject that, and I hope

:26:22.:26:26.

the Privy Council this week will will because it is not consistent

:26:26.:26:28.

with the Leveson report which the Prime Minister said he supported.

:26:28.:26:34.

You attacked the mail in your column today but your paper went through

:26:34.:26:40.

the Cameron family bins to see what nappies they used for their disabled

:26:40.:26:45.

son. Isn't that far more offensive than what the Daily Mail wrote about

:26:45.:26:46.

Ralph Miliband? It probably is, than what the Daily Mail wrote about

:26:46.:26:56.

couldn't defend that. I have had Haven't we all? Yes, but we are

:26:56.:27:09.

editors who acts unilaterally. Paul Dacre is running this thing in the

:27:09.:27:23.

judgement and some accountability which the press have accepted the

:27:23.:27:33.

old PCC is no good. They are playing for time because if they reject

:27:33.:27:37.

old PCC is no good. They are playing this week there is 12 months until

:27:37.:27:40.

you can consider a parliamentary alternative and then you are near

:27:40.:27:43.

the election and you begin to bully the leaders. That is how they have

:27:43.:27:48.

been successful in putting off recommendations. Maybe my memory is

:27:48.:27:58.

fading but did you or anybody else in the Labour Party object to the

:27:58.:28:04.

Sunday Mirror's behaviour? I didn't know about it. I would just say

:28:04.:28:08.

Sunday Mirror's behaviour? I didn't is wrong if that is what they did.

:28:08.:28:11.

As you said, you have the same position when they go through your

:28:11.:28:17.

rubbish bins, I think that is wrong. We have Leveson set up by the Prime

:28:17.:28:21.

Minister to look at the cultures and practices and the unilateral action

:28:21.:28:24.

of editors and he came forward with Parliament under a compromise of the

:28:25.:28:39.

frankly, but we have agreed to go frankly, but we have agreed to go

:28:39.:28:44.

Government set up in charge at the same time rushed through the press

:28:44.:28:51.

box? It looks like a fix, like they are using the Royal Charter as a

:28:51.:28:58.

means of delaying everything. They have now said they are going to

:28:58.:29:02.

introduce their own independent charter. This industry does not

:29:02.:29:08.

introduce their own independent accountability. We know Alistair

:29:08.:29:09.

Campbell and Ed Miliband's officers accountability. We know Alistair

:29:09.:29:13.

are working closely on the assault of the Mail. What is the endgame for

:29:13.:29:24.

this? Is it the head of Paul Dacre? He is not an acceptable character to

:29:24.:29:39.

account. When Ed Miliband rang me it regulation, he wanted the argument

:29:39.:29:44.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband regulation, he wanted the argument

:29:44.:29:57.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband after Paul Dacre's head? No, he

:29:57.:29:59.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband stay there. It is like with Murdoch,

:29:59.:30:01.

of decency. Are you and Ed Miliband we were not attacking him but what

:30:01.:30:06.

extent, what they are doing about politicians who can look after

:30:06.:30:12.

themselves. We know, with the bad cases he had to deal with, they

:30:12.:30:16.

might get libel action, which the press say, but they pretty well

:30:16.:30:20.

destroyed their lives. That is about judgment. If you say, as Paul Dacre

:30:20.:30:25.

got good judgment? I would say no, Thank you for joining us, he did not

:30:25.:30:32.

even have to go to the BBC studios, we sent a truck there for him. What

:30:32.:30:35.

is the endgame in this? Whether we sent a truck there for him. What

:30:36.:30:41.

Labour Party is trying to make this an issue press regulation are not,

:30:41.:30:45.

this is where it is going. We have the criminal trial involving Andy

:30:45.:30:48.

Coulson coming up, the Privy Council discussing press radiation before

:30:49.:30:52.

question is, what is political unfashionable view, is that the

:30:52.:30:59.

total at yum elated political impact of the Leveson story over the past

:30:59.:31:12.

those who do care believe that all parties are roughly complicit in

:31:12.:31:14.

being too close to editors and proprietors. You said that Adam

:31:14.:31:19.

Afriyie was a Labour mould, with a smile. Is the Daily Mail also a

:31:19.:31:26.

Labour mole? This has been a dream for Ed Miliband, I took on Murdoch,

:31:26.:31:30.

I am taking on the energy companies and now the evil Daily Mail! I

:31:30.:31:34.

think... I should say I used to and now the evil Daily Mail! I

:31:34.:31:38.

for the Daily Mail, but when they printed the right of reply, they

:31:38.:31:42.

surrounded it with a big two fingers up at Ed. If they had not done

:31:42.:31:46.

surrounded it with a big two fingers that, they would not be in this

:31:46.:31:49.

position. The poll in the Sunday Times this morning shows 72% think

:31:49.:31:52.

the Daily Mail was wrong and backed Mr Miliband's demand for an apology.

:31:52.:31:58.

If you come to define and your dad, people are naturally going to do

:31:58.:32:01.

this, but it took all the coverage away from the Tory conference, the

:32:01.:32:05.

media loves covering itself, here we are doing it again, this has been a

:32:05.:32:12.

dream for Mr Miliband. The political significance of this is that David

:32:12.:32:15.

Cameron said in the House of Commons that he wanted to try to find some

:32:15.:32:18.

common ground between the three so-called press industry version.

:32:18.:32:26.

What the Daily Mail has done is ensured that the Prime Minister

:32:26.:32:30.

What the Daily Mail has done is What is going to happen this week is

:32:30.:32:33.

that the press Royal Charter has to be considered first, and that will

:32:33.:32:36.

probably be rejected. The Privy Council will reject it. Then the

:32:36.:32:43.

three party Royal Charter will come up, but meanwhile the press will set

:32:43.:32:48.

up their own regulatory body because the Royal Charter is not a proper

:32:48.:32:52.

statutory underpinning, they will be able to go ahead with that. There

:32:52.:32:56.

statutory underpinning, they will be will be the legal basis for the

:32:56.:33:07.

resolved. As you say, no-one much cares about this outside of the

:33:07.:33:10.

profession and a few media watchers. But this has been great politics for

:33:10.:33:25.

victory. I take your view that people are cynical about it. But the

:33:25.:33:29.

narrative is, I am the chap who stands up to vested interests. But

:33:29.:33:33.

all those vested interests are people that you would expect a

:33:33.:33:35.

left-wing politician to want to people that you would expect a

:33:35.:33:41.

on. It is also more significant about who he has stood up for, and

:33:41.:33:46.

the person he has studied for is his father. Maybe people thought of

:33:46.:33:49.

the person he has studied for is his as a Marxist, now they think of

:33:49.:33:53.

the person he has studied for is his as war hero. He gets to the crux of

:33:53.:33:56.

matters, you know! You are watching the Sunday Politics. Coming up in

:33:56.:34:01.

Hello. At a time when we celebrate gathering in the harvest, there is

:34:01.:34:29.

doubt —— trouble on the farm. Growers are angry at a decision to

:34:29.:34:35.

scrap a popular works dream the students. It is a scheme that has

:34:35.:34:39.

worked well. It is a shame to see the whole thing being binned so

:34:39.:34:45.

easily. In the Fens, there is mounting

:34:45.:34:48.

pressure to act against the exploitation of migrant workers. The

:34:48.:34:55.

BBC investigation uncovers serious breaches of UK employment law.

:34:55.:35:00.

Do you think the condition your tenants live in our good enough? Can

:35:00.:35:05.

you go please. Can the Tories pass the Bridget

:35:05.:35:09.

Jones test as are most favourite Singleton makes a comeback.

:35:09.:35:12.

We start with an investigation which sends alarm bells running through

:35:12.:35:18.

the Fens. We uncovered disturbing evidence of the widespread abuse of

:35:18.:35:24.

migrant workers. The allegation is, unscrupulous gang masters were

:35:24.:35:28.

recruiting workers from Eastern Europe with promises of rich

:35:28.:35:32.

pickings. The shocking truth is many of these recruits were housed in

:35:32.:35:36.

appalling conditions and were paid well below the minimum wage. That is

:35:36.:35:46.

an offence under UK employment law. Are you taking their wages? No, I

:35:46.:35:52.

don't take anything. This is a story of exploitation,

:35:52.:35:58.

intimidation and bribery. Our investigation has found evidence of

:35:58.:36:02.

illegal gang masters are still exploiting migrants in the Fens.

:36:02.:36:07.

This is one of the worst houses. The ceiling is falling in, water is

:36:07.:36:10.

dripping down and there is mould everywhere. The smell is

:36:10.:36:15.

indescribable. I certainly wouldn't want to live here. We have evidence

:36:15.:36:20.

you are at ring as an illegal gang master. Maybe the police have

:36:20.:36:25.

evidence, but not you. We have Lisa Duffy, she is the mayor

:36:25.:36:35.

of the UKIP strong county. Alongside her is Stuart Jackson, Conservative

:36:35.:36:41.

MP for Peter borough. A lot of these problems happening not far from you

:36:41.:36:46.

in Wisbech. What do you make of that? It is appalling. I think

:36:46.:36:56.

Operation Pheasant, happening, the partnership group, eight different

:36:56.:37:02.

authorities to come together to fight against this problem in our

:37:02.:37:07.

region is a good thing. But where are the prosecutions? We have The

:37:07.:37:19.

Gang Masters Licensing Authority. There is legislation, why isn't it

:37:19.:37:23.

working? There is good cooperation between the agencies. I do think the

:37:23.:37:30.

wider picture is, we need to be working on reducing the pool factor

:37:30.:37:36.

of people coming from Eastern Europe. We need to make it clear

:37:36.:37:42.

they need to work in legitimate as Mrs and cannot claim benefit so we

:37:42.:37:47.

are reducing the numbers. No one can excuse the appalling conditions they

:37:47.:37:54.

are housed in. I have two play tribute to Mike Coley, the local MP

:37:54.:37:58.

who has been campaigning on this issue. —— my colleague. How can we

:37:58.:38:07.

do this when people from Romania and Bulgaria are free to come to the UK?

:38:07.:38:14.

We are expect thing a big influx from Romania and Bulgaria. We need

:38:14.:38:18.

to deal with the problem here and now and take action. I agree totally

:38:18.:38:25.

with what the MP, Steve Barclay is doing in Wisbech and supported. Do

:38:25.:38:30.

you think people will be shocked they are paying the price through

:38:30.:38:35.

the price of fruit and veg, they are paying the price for this sort of

:38:35.:38:40.

Labour or do you think they will pay more for fruit and veg? Nobody wants

:38:40.:38:46.

to see this behaviour. Illegal gang masters should end up in prison. We

:38:46.:38:52.

have some rogue landlords in Peter borough and they should feel the

:38:52.:38:55.

full weight of the law. Most of them come to make a better life for

:38:55.:38:59.

themselves, decent working people do not deserve to be treated in this

:38:59.:39:04.

way. The basis of this is the ludicrous decision of the Labour

:39:04.:39:10.

Party in 2004 to have no controls on immigration for the European Union.

:39:10.:39:13.

We said there would be problems with the labour market and the issue of

:39:13.:39:18.

public services and infrastructure. That is what has happened. On this

:39:18.:39:25.

occasion it is housing, but there is education and health.

:39:25.:39:30.

Not all farmers rely on gang masters. A lot of it is staffed by

:39:30.:39:34.

overseas students. At present they are hired on a government programme

:39:34.:39:46.

called This Season Agricultural Programme. But from January it is

:39:46.:39:54.

being abolished. The government says there is no need for it and in any

:39:54.:39:59.

case they want more UK citizens to fill the vacancies.

:39:59.:40:09.

A group of vulgar Aryan and Romanian fruit pickers on this farm at

:40:09.:40:15.

Tiptree. This is where they make the world—famous jam. This 24—year—old

:40:15.:40:25.

student has been coming over here to pick fruit the six years under the

:40:25.:40:32.

scheme. She is up at first light, works eight hours a day and can earn

:40:32.:40:40.

around 320 pounds a week before tax. We are living in the camp, so I have

:40:40.:40:47.

made a lot of friendships. Not only Bulgarian, so I have met different

:40:47.:40:55.

people here. This farm have employed foreign workers since 1953. They

:40:55.:40:59.

have come from all over the world to work in Essex and the scheme has

:40:59.:41:04.

always worked well. Fruit yields have been good. Flavour has been

:41:05.:41:11.

good. This is the farm director and he is worried when this scheme comes

:41:12.:41:15.

to an end, he will struggle to get enough reliable workers to pick the

:41:15.:41:20.

fruit. We are licensed by the Home Office and monitored by the Home

:41:20.:41:23.

Office. I come to see us several times a year. So great

:41:23.:41:27.

disappointment and frustration because it has worked well,

:41:27.:41:30.

everybody acknowledged it worked well. It is a shame to see it end so

:41:30.:41:37.

easily. What will happen when it is scrapped in January? Workers from

:41:37.:41:42.

Eastern Europe will still be able to come here. But the government says

:41:42.:41:49.

it will able to help unemployed, UK residents. Although many people in

:41:49.:41:55.

this sector find it laughable. Many workers are not as reliable and

:41:55.:41:59.

efficient and cannot make it within the industry. It is sad, because we

:41:59.:42:03.

would like to employ more British workers. Will 20,000 British people

:42:03.:42:10.

come and work in this sector? I don't think so, no. The people we

:42:11.:42:16.

employ in this industry are migrant labour. They stay less than six

:42:16.:42:21.

months and they don't even register on the immigration figures. Getting

:42:21.:42:25.

rid of these workers makes no difference to immigration. What do

:42:25.:42:30.

think the government are doing? Playing to the crowd? That is our

:42:30.:42:37.

fear. We know the results the government had in the elections

:42:37.:42:40.

earlier in the year and are great fear is we have been caught in the

:42:40.:42:52.

crossfire. Can I have a look in. This lady shares a static caravan

:42:52.:42:56.

with three others. The community centre has a kitchen, laundry and

:42:56.:43:02.

cooking facilities. The farm is disappointed at what they say is the

:43:03.:43:07.

government's short—term decision. They would never take production

:43:08.:43:10.

abroad to somewhere like Spain, but other growers say that is a real

:43:10.:43:17.

possibility. I know the Home Office have been

:43:17.:43:23.

talking to you about this. We saw it is popular with farmers, popular

:43:23.:43:27.

with students and it gives work. White abolish it? Immigration is the

:43:27.:43:34.

issue. It is number one in the east, an issue most people are concerned

:43:34.:43:40.

about. Local employers have a social responsibility. I commend the

:43:40.:43:43.

company for providing accommodation for their workforce. You cannot make

:43:43.:43:49.

an impact on welfare reform to get young people off benefits into work,

:43:49.:43:55.

if you import of people on a special scheme, a sweetheart deal between

:43:55.:44:01.

the farmers and government. Is it a sweetheart deal or is it a scheme

:44:01.:44:07.

that was working very well? The farmers say they need people who are

:44:07.:44:10.

trained, speed is of the essence when working with fruit and

:44:10.:44:14.

vegetables. Shouldn't those views be important? They are important and

:44:14.:44:21.

there has been consultation on the changes that are going to be made.

:44:21.:44:25.

But it is important they go into Jobcentres and meet British workers,

:44:25.:44:29.

train them and bring them on board and pay them a decent wage. They

:44:29.:44:35.

have a social responsibility. Just importing low skilled foreign

:44:35.:44:40.

workers while we have thousands of youngsters parked on benefits is no

:44:40.:44:43.

way to drive economic growth. Farmers say it is a six—month

:44:43.:44:48.

contract, and the workers are committed the six months, will that

:44:48.:44:52.

work in reality in the open job market? People can come and work in

:44:52.:44:58.

horticulture and food processing. The government is bringing an end to

:44:58.:45:05.

this particular scheme. We all have a social responsibility to get

:45:05.:45:08.

people off benefits, off welfare and into work and also control

:45:08.:45:13.

immigration, which is a major concern amongst my constituents.

:45:13.:45:17.

Farmers say local people don't want to do this work. They all say that.

:45:17.:45:25.

They are making plenty of money, paying taxes to the Treasury and the

:45:25.:45:29.

people they employ are happy. In my city we are having to Howes, provide

:45:29.:45:32.

health service and education service. There has to be a social

:45:33.:45:40.

contract between business and government and the people coming to

:45:40.:45:45.

work here. Lisa Duffy, the Observer newspaper quoted Abul Garey and

:45:45.:45:50.

government source as saying its citizens were brought over here to

:45:50.:45:55.

do things like fruit picking because UK citizens are too lazy to do the

:45:55.:45:59.

work. Are they lazy people where you live? There are lazy people were

:45:59.:46:05.

anybody lives. What I would have wanted to have seen was the scheme

:46:05.:46:10.

phased out, so at the moment there is a certain level that are able to

:46:10.:46:15.

come in for the six—month period. I would like to have seen it phased

:46:15.:46:21.

out so the farmers have a sense of not nervousness of them losing these

:46:21.:46:27.

workers. Quite rightly, British young people are not taking those

:46:27.:46:30.

jobs on for six months. They need to know they have got these workers for

:46:30.:46:36.

six months at a time so they can produce and deliver on time. We need

:46:36.:46:40.

to keep the work in this country and not have it going abroad to Spain.

:46:40.:46:46.

Isn't there a danger the growing itself could transfer abroad? That

:46:46.:46:51.

is not the case because people will always come to this country because

:46:51.:46:56.

of the English language, because of the free labour market, the capacity

:46:56.:47:02.

to improve yourself. We are not turning people away who are highly

:47:02.:47:06.

skilled and in well—paid jobs. While we have thousands of young people

:47:07.:47:11.

who are parked on benefits who need training and support and the work,

:47:11.:47:17.

that is a priority. I remain to be convinced companies will make

:47:17.:47:20.

long—term, substantial business decisions on the basis of ending

:47:20.:47:24.

this scheme when they can already recruit. This was a perfectly

:47:24.:47:30.

workable scheme which has been caught up in the immigration issue

:47:30.:47:34.

which UKIP has been part of stoking the flames of. Do you agree with

:47:34.:47:42.

that statement? Yes, in our region immigration is a huge problem. 1st

:47:42.:47:46.

of January there is a nervousness of how many Romanians and Bulgarians

:47:46.:47:55.

welcome over. We have to manage it. They are taking some of the jobs are

:47:56.:48:00.

British and people don't take. But we need to encourage young people to

:48:00.:48:05.

take these jobs. They need to earn higher wages so that puts the

:48:05.:48:11.

products up. Do you think this scheme has been the victim of the

:48:11.:48:16.

immigration issue? The immigration minister and Theresa May have made a

:48:16.:48:21.

brave decision, supported by The Migration Advisory Committee. Make

:48:21.:48:27.

it clear you come to this country to study or work. No free lunches, you

:48:27.:48:33.

don't get free health care and free housing. That is the way it is.

:48:33.:48:40.

Party canvassers know immigration is high on the agenda of voters. Tory

:48:40.:48:45.

MPs in the marginal seats are right to worry about the impact of UKIP

:48:45.:48:50.

rivals. At the Conservative party conference, the subject of UKIP

:48:50.:48:58.

fringed in the bars were Nigel Farage talked about Conservative MPs

:48:58.:49:03.

in our region who might be interested in some form of pact.

:49:03.:49:07.

UKIP's appeal, whether it is on the European question, whether it is on

:49:07.:49:13.

mass, open—door immigration. Whether it is our desire to bring back

:49:13.:49:17.

grammar schools and give working class kids in poor areas a chance to

:49:17.:49:22.

get on. Whether it is on all these issues, UKIP connects, not just with

:49:22.:49:27.

traditional Tories, but it connects across the political spectrum. Peter

:49:27.:49:35.

Bowen and Jacob, have made the running with the idea that why can't

:49:35.:49:42.

we have haps, in some areas, a co—operation that takes place at

:49:42.:49:48.

local level between UKIP associations and Tory, or perhaps

:49:48.:49:53.

even Labour local associations? At the moment UKIP is destroying the

:49:53.:50:00.

chances of an in out referendum. Somehow you have to move to gather.

:50:00.:50:11.

You have to get them to work together somehow. I am a

:50:11.:50:14.

conservative and I hope UKIP will endorse conservatives and in return,

:50:14.:50:20.

give David Cameron is huge majority. You are one of those MPs who were

:50:20.:50:25.

not mind a UKIP endorsements? We will have one of the most

:50:25.:50:30.

ideological elections coming up in 2015, the 20 years. The choice UKIP

:50:30.:50:37.

have as a party is are they going to stand candidates against people like

:50:37.:50:41.

me who voted against more powers to the European Union. If they do that

:50:41.:50:45.

they will elect a Euro fanatical Labour MP, destroy any chances of an

:50:45.:50:51.

EU referendum and put Ed Balls and Ed Miliband in charge of the country

:50:51.:50:56.

via a Labour government and we will have high debt, high borrowing and

:50:56.:51:02.

high interest rates for mortgages. I am interested to know how this would

:51:02.:51:06.

work on a practical level. What would it take to persuade you as a

:51:06.:51:12.

party not to put a candidate up? What Nigel was talking about is

:51:12.:51:16.

working at a local level together, which we are already being seen

:51:16.:51:22.

being done on our county councils where we want them to work together

:51:22.:51:25.

for the best interests of the community. Surely at a national

:51:25.:51:29.

level you would want to veto and know what was going on at the local

:51:29.:51:34.

level? We would know exactly what is going on. We should do what is right

:51:34.:51:39.

for the people you are representing. In terms of standing against the

:51:39.:51:43.

likes of Stuart, who are clearly of the same mindset of us, we would

:51:43.:51:49.

like to say, come across. You are working underneath a Euro fanatic

:51:49.:51:54.

leader. Stewart, let's go for dinner and have a discussion. You have zero

:51:54.:52:01.

MPs. I'll eat my hat on this programme live if you get to MPs in

:52:01.:52:04.

a general election. There will not be a UKIP government. But you will

:52:04.:52:12.

knock out some good Eurosceptic MPs to put Labour in. We are in spirit

:52:12.:52:18.

as one, but there are ways of delivering. You are not moving

:52:18.:52:23.

across, but Lisa Duffy, would you put up a candidate against Stuart

:52:23.:52:28.

Jackson? I have been in a meeting this morning looking at the

:52:28.:52:31.

elections over the next 90 months, we will be standing against the

:52:31.:52:37.

likes of Stuart. —— 19 months. Their leader is wanting to stay within the

:52:37.:52:43.

European Union. This by—election, the Euro election coming up will be

:52:43.:52:49.

the country's referendum. This is UKIP all over. They punch David

:52:49.:52:55.

Cameron on the nose to feel good about it. About 70% are not

:52:56.:53:00.

conservatives. What conversation would you like to have? My

:53:00.:53:06.

conversation is not with Lisa Duffy, who I'm sure isn't Admiral

:53:06.:53:12.

Conservative in another constituency. —— isn't Admiral

:53:12.:53:20.

person. They will put Ed Miliband in Downing Street. If they want but,

:53:20.:53:25.

never to have an opportunity for a referendum, high welfare costs,

:53:25.:53:30.

open—door immigration again, that is the choice UKIP have. Are you

:53:30.:53:35.

prepared to potentially let Labour candidates in? No, we're asking for

:53:35.:53:41.

the British people to vote with their heads and hearts and see there

:53:41.:53:44.

is an alternative. We are consistently coming place where the

:53:44.:53:51.

north or south of the country. We are becoming the party of opposition

:53:51.:53:56.

in by—elections. We are building the vote share and people are seen UKIP

:53:56.:54:00.

have common—sense policies and will deliver what they say they will

:54:00.:54:07.

deliver. No handshakes today? I am an authentic, long—standing

:54:07.:54:13.

principles Eurosceptic and I think UKIP should join my party.

:54:13.:54:19.

The conference season has had its share of protests, both inside and

:54:19.:54:20.

out. Hundreds of health protesters from

:54:20.:54:36.

around the region joined the 50,000 strong march at the start of the

:54:36.:54:38.

Conservative conference in Manchester. It is no longer going to

:54:38.:54:44.

be an NHS, it will be a private health service. More demonstrations

:54:44.:54:49.

followed later in the week when teachers held a strike and hundreds

:54:49.:54:54.

of schools in the region closed. The people who suffer are the children.

:54:55.:54:58.

I have some of the most disadvantaged children in the

:54:58.:55:02.

region. But better news as new regulation aimed at stopping the

:55:02.:55:08.

plague of metal that came into force as a Stevenage firm helped draw up

:55:08.:55:12.

the new rules. Cash is not available, we have do have ID and

:55:12.:55:17.

proof of address. We can trace every bit of metal that comes through the

:55:17.:55:23.

doors. As the Conservative conference drew to a close, a new

:55:23.:55:34.

Richard Jones hit the shelves. Let's remind ourselves what UKIP

:55:34.:55:38.

said about Labour and the Conservatives.

:55:39.:55:44.

It is perfectly so obvious Labour stands for sharing, kindness, days,

:55:44.:55:49.

single mothers and Nelson Mandela as opposed to praying, see men having

:55:49.:55:56.

affairs with everyone left right and centre and going to the Ritz in

:55:56.:56:00.

Paris and telling the presenters of on the today programme.

:56:00.:56:04.

Stuart Jackson, are their brain, bossy men in your party? No, that is

:56:04.:56:13.

a caricature. To ascribe those values to every Conservative MP or

:56:13.:56:18.

member is not a very nice caricature and not true. Lisa Duffy, can you

:56:18.:56:24.

imagine a single mother on benefits voting for UKIP? Yes I can. We are

:56:24.:56:31.

talking to single mothers, single women, women of all ages coming

:56:31.:56:35.

across to UKIP for common—sense policies. Do you have to do anything

:56:35.:56:41.

as Conservatives to make the party more inclusive? We have driven up

:56:41.:56:46.

the number of women members and members of polity —— members of

:56:46.:56:51.

Parliament. We are a one nation party. Same for UKIP? Absolutely. We

:56:51.:57:00.

have to leave it there. You can keep in touch on the website, where you

:57:00.:57:02.

will find in touch on the website, where you

:57:02.:57:05.

We are getting into a discussion of more affordable homes needed, but we

:57:05.:57:07.

have no time. Andrew, back to you. Our next guest is no stranger to

:57:07.:57:20.

controversy, a former UKIP MEP he recently lost his party's whip after

:57:20.:57:41.

a series of outbursts including receiving aid as 'Bongo Bongo Land'

:57:42.:57:46.

and joking that a group of UKIP women who didn't clean behind their

:57:46.:57:49.

fridges were 'sluts'. Now he sits in independent but remains a UKIP party

:57:49.:57:53.

member. Here's a flavour of recent events in the political life of

:57:53.:58:03.

Godfrey Bloom. How you can possibly be giving £1 million a month...

:58:03.:58:13.

Bongo Bongo Land. I got 6000 e-mails within 12 hours, only 47 were not

:58:13.:58:16.

agreeing with me so you are the within 12 hours, only 47 were not

:58:16.:58:20.

that is out of touch. Everybody knows me, a bit like the Marmite

:58:20.:58:23.

joke, they love me or they hate knows me, a bit like the Marmite

:58:23.:58:27.

but I have always told me like it is. I made a joke and said that

:58:27.:58:38.

women who did not clean behind the French were sluts and everybody

:58:38.:58:42.

laughed along, including the women. I have had hundreds of e-mails,

:58:42.:58:45.

saying, God Almighty, can't you I have had hundreds of e-mails,

:58:46.:58:51.

a joke any more? I am long in the correctness and I understand UKIP

:58:51.:58:56.

have moved on and they are doing well, and I wish them well. This,

:58:56.:59:10.

with no black faces on it. You are picking people out for the colour of

:59:10.:59:16.

with no black faces on it. You are their skin? You disgust me! Perhaps

:59:16.:59:19.

the way they are doing things now is disgrace me. We are joined now with

:59:19.:59:27.

a suitable distance between us by the independent MEP for Yorkshire

:59:27.:59:34.

and the Humber, Godfrey Bloom. You said this weekend that you have

:59:34.:59:39.

and the Humber, Godfrey Bloom. You be a complete sociopath to be in

:59:39.:59:48.

politics, are you a sociopath? No, I am just an ordinary bloke from the

:59:48.:59:51.

rugby club likes to tell it as it is. I did not come into politics to

:59:51.:59:55.

rugby club likes to tell it as it save my country from the clutches of

:59:55.:00:00.

the awful, evil... That is why I am in politics, and that is why I

:00:00.:00:06.

member, and I will still be voting ability... Do you accept that your

:00:06.:00:14.

conference? We were both born in ability... Do you accept that your

:00:14.:00:21.

same year, we are too old to worry about regrets. Let's look forward

:00:21.:00:27.

and see... Never mind the year I was born, what is the answer to my

:00:27.:00:35.

country and intent to do the best I independent for my country, and

:00:35.:00:42.

country and intent to do the best I re-elected. They are the only game

:00:42.:00:45.

in town, the only party that will get as out. Shouldn't you have been

:00:45.:00:54.

liability? You hijacked the party conference. That is a matter of

:00:54.:00:58.

perception. We have heard nothing in the last two years but it is a

:00:58.:01:03.

one-man band, a Nigel Farage party, and I can make a joke at a fringe

:01:03.:01:06.

meeting and collapse the whole thing. This doesn't say anything

:01:06.:01:14.

Andrew. It tells you about your journalism - it is not about UKIP or

:01:14.:01:23.

me, it was the journalists' reaction to a small joke at a meeting. And

:01:23.:01:29.

myself, unless I had a commended. Personality, the most unbelievable

:01:30.:01:43.

force of personality to collapse a party conference. Nigel Farage has

:01:43.:01:56.

been a friend of mine for 20 years, and may I remind you that in June

:01:56.:02:00.

and July UK was slipping in the polls, and when I made my statement

:02:00.:02:06.

about overseas aid, we went back to liability, I never was, I am a vote

:02:06.:02:13.

getter. As you know, there is a correlation, but let me show you

:02:13.:02:18.

what Nigel Farage had to say about you on the BBC. Let's blunder clip

:02:18.:02:23.

of that. We are not here to win friends amongst the liberal elite,

:02:23.:02:30.

and Godfrey's problem was that he manifesto. Don't you need to reflect

:02:30.:02:39.

that you are too outrageous, too politically incorrect even for UKIP?

:02:39.:02:41.

Well, you see, to a certain extent I politically incorrect even for UKIP?

:02:41.:02:47.

have been gagged on other subjects. I am a libertarian, I wanted to

:02:47.:02:51.

have been gagged on other subjects. about flat tax. I thought David

:02:51.:02:53.

Aronowitz wrote a very good piece in the times on drugs, and I have been

:02:53.:02:57.

gagged to speak about any of these things because they are not part of

:02:57.:03:01.

it, so I tend to speak about other things. Maybe they have outgrown

:03:01.:03:10.

machine, and they have to get rid of the Victor Meldrew wing. You might

:03:10.:03:13.

have a point, but I am speaking the Victor Meldrew wing. You might

:03:13.:03:17.

you from Hull, and if you look at Barnsley, and very recently in

:03:17.:03:23.

Scarborough and Whitby in the buy legends, 25%, so how you see things

:03:23.:03:28.

in the bubble, it is not like how we see it appear in Yorkshire. You

:03:28.:03:32.

in the bubble, it is not like how we like the one who was sitting in

:03:32.:03:35.

in the bubble, it is not like how we bubble! Is UKIP unravelling? Of

:03:35.:03:35.

course it isn't, we are getting bubble! Is UKIP unravelling? Of

:03:35.:03:40.

of the vote in by-elections, of course it is not. Boy, wouldn't

:03:40.:03:45.

of the vote in by-elections, of main parties and the establishment

:03:45.:03:48.

love to see that! But I am sorry, it is not happening. Will you stand as

:03:48.:03:52.

an independence against UKIP in is not happening. Will you stand as

:03:52.:03:55.

European elections? Almost certainly elections were next week, I could

:03:55.:04:07.

do not think I will go that route. Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:08.:04:10.

again? We do not know, probably Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:10.:04:14.

but I shall certainly be trying Will you stand as a UKIP candidate

:04:14.:04:18.

help UKIP as best I can. You both share a flat, I understand, in

:04:18.:04:21.

Brussels, neither of you clean behind the fridge. Other than the

:04:21.:04:26.

fact that the place is probably quite murky, you have got a chance

:04:26.:04:30.

to talk to each other and get back into his good graces, haven't you? I

:04:30.:04:34.

am sure we will be having a beer before the month is out. So Godfrey

:04:34.:04:44.

take it? For those of you who were shrugged! Thank you very much for

:04:44.:04:50.

joining. A great pleasure. I will have to move my own share, you do

:04:50.:04:55.

not have the sea Jeremy Paxman doing that! Nobody votes for UKIP because

:04:55.:05:00.

they think they are a smooth, slick, absence of PR polish is the reason

:05:00.:05:07.

for their popularity, so these are skirmishes are not a problem, and

:05:07.:05:10.

more than that, Godfrey Bloom does make Nigel Farage look better. Even

:05:11.:05:15.

in that clip from Andrew Marr, he juxtaposition with someone like

:05:15.:05:20.

Godfrey Bloom than he has done before. I mean, he did hijacked

:05:20.:05:25.

Godfrey Bloom than he has done conference, it was a disaster, they

:05:25.:05:25.

got tonnes of publicity but not conference, it was a disaster, they

:05:26.:05:28.

kind they wanted. But you have to journalists. I thought he was sexist

:05:29.:05:37.

long before anyone else, he used to have an incredible page on his

:05:37.:05:42.

website entitled Godfrey Bloom: Misogynist, and the proof that he

:05:42.:05:47.

photographed with a girls' rugby characters in politics. He does

:05:47.:05:53.

photographed with a girls' rugby Nigel Farage look better, but is sin

:05:53.:05:55.

was to say things you said before but to ruin the party conference. It

:05:55.:06:01.

sounds like he is coming back. A beer in Brussels and he will be

:06:01.:06:06.

sounds like he is coming back. A on the UKIP ticket. Sitting having a

:06:06.:06:06.

beer in that built the Chechen, on the UKIP ticket. Sitting having a

:06:06.:06:12.

sounds like it may be what the deal is that he comes back into UKIP

:06:12.:06:15.

sounds like it may be what the deal does not stand as an MEP at the

:06:15.:06:18.

European Parliamentary elections. -- in that built the kitchen. It is

:06:18.:06:22.

right to say the electorate are sophisticated and they know what

:06:22.:06:25.

this party is for, what characters Godfrey Bloom said for people to

:06:25.:06:33.

electorate know what they go using UKIP four. They are using it as

:06:33.:06:37.

electorate know what they go using vehicle to beat over the head the

:06:37.:06:37.

three established parties. They vehicle to beat over the head the

:06:37.:06:40.

probably do it in the European elections and give them first place.

:06:40.:06:44.

The big question is what happens in problem that Nigel Farage was making

:06:44.:06:55.

The big question is what happens in an Andrew Marr this morning is that

:06:55.:06:56.

he wants to copy the tactics of an Andrew Marr this morning is that

:06:56.:06:58.

he wants to copy the tactics of Paddy Ashdown, get elected and

:06:58.:07:00.

councils, build up a Parliamentary base, and to do that you do need

:07:00.:07:01.

Commons next week, and there is base, and to do that you do need

:07:01.:07:04.

ministerial reshuffle on the cards, that is the rumour in Westminster.

:07:04.:07:06.

David Cameron has spoken of the that is the rumour in Westminster.

:07:06.:07:10.

David Cameron has spoken of the extraordinary talent pool of women

:07:10.:07:12.

among his ministers, so could he bring more of them into the cabinet?

:07:12.:07:14.

He was talking about it earlier bring more of them into the cabinet?

:07:14.:07:19.

week. I think we are getting there in Britain, but we have a long way

:07:19.:07:25.

businesses in Britain, there are not boardroom. If you look at politics

:07:25.:07:29.

in Britain, there aren't nearly enough women around the Cabinet

:07:29.:07:34.

table. So I think, in every walk of life, whether it is the judiciary,

:07:34.:07:38.

whether it is politics, business, there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:38.:07:41.

the last election, we only had there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:41.:07:45.

women Members of Parliament. We there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:45.:07:47.

have around 50, so we have made there is a lot further to go. Before

:07:47.:07:50.

big change, but it is still 50 out of 300, not nearly enough. So we

:07:50.:07:55.

need to do more. My wife likes to say, if you don't have women in

:07:55.:08:00.

need to do more. My wife likes to places, you're not just missing

:08:00.:08:03.

need to do more. My wife likes to missing out on a lot more than

:08:03.:08:06.

need to do more. My wife likes to of the talent, and I think she

:08:06.:08:09.

need to do more. My wife likes to probably has a point. The prime

:08:09.:08:14.

need to do more. My wife likes to there going to be a reshuffle? I

:08:14.:08:14.

think you are right to say there there going to be a reshuffle? I

:08:14.:08:19.

will be a lot more women, they need to change the ratio of women to

:08:19.:08:25.

will be a lot more women, they need called Dave who went to maudlin

:08:25.:08:33.

college. So obviously they are not fishing in the biggest talent pool,

:08:33.:08:43.

but there are numbers. Esther McVey has been selling a very difficult

:08:43.:08:46.

brief in work and pensions, you could see people being given bigger

:08:46.:08:48.

roles. Helen is pretty sure. We could see people being given bigger

:08:48.:08:55.

told it is not a Cabinet level reshuffle me it is under Secretary

:08:55.:08:57.

level, so maybe you could put Esther McVey into the Cabinet. Margot

:08:57.:09:05.

James, who you had here not that long ago, she is very impressive.

:09:05.:09:07.

What is impressive is that some long ago, she is very impressive.

:09:07.:09:11.

like Andrea Leadsom, who is really impressive, worked in the City,

:09:11.:09:16.

like Andrea Leadsom, who is really smart, really big on important

:09:16.:09:19.

intervention, she should still be in there, but she fell out with George

:09:19.:09:23.

Osborne when she dared to criticise him a few years ago over Ed Balls

:09:23.:09:33.

you are doing it on talent, Andrea expectation, if he does not do this

:09:33.:09:41.

now, a tonne of bricks will fall on him. He has got no excuse not to

:09:41.:09:48.

promote women, because the 2010 intake was disproportionately female

:09:48.:09:56.

in terms of talent. The question of the Tories and the struggle with

:09:56.:10:00.

women voters is a very deep and historic one. You have to remember

:10:00.:10:03.

that for most of the post-war period they had an advantage electorally

:10:03.:10:07.

amongst women voters. Many times Conservative government without

:10:07.:10:12.

amongst women voters. Many times women of this country. This began to

:10:12.:10:14.

change in the mid-1990s, and the question is, why has that happened?

:10:14.:10:21.

personalities at the top are now much more hostile to women, or less,

:10:21.:10:26.

personalities at the top are now Brent doubled to female voters?

:10:26.:10:27.

personalities at the top are now is such a deep historical trend

:10:27.:10:29.

personalities at the top are now I do not think one reshuffle will

:10:29.:10:35.

change it. -- or less competent civil. The English party conference

:10:35.:10:40.

season is over, do you share the consensus view that Ed Miliband

:10:40.:10:46.

season is over, do you share the out best of the three party leaders?

:10:46.:10:51.

I think I probably do, but his overall approval ratings are still

:10:51.:10:56.

minus 20, whereas Cameron's minus ten. And the more the recovery seems

:10:56.:11:00.

minus 20, whereas Cameron's minus to take place, and some of the

:11:00.:11:03.

latest figures are quite amazing, they certainly surprised me, you

:11:03.:11:07.

wonder whether Labour's tactic is right to put all their eggs into the

:11:07.:11:14.

living standards basket. I was looking at car sales, which are

:11:14.:11:18.

booming. If people start to feel better, and they don't yet, but

:11:18.:11:22.

booming. If people start to feel they were, it is tougher to go on

:11:22.:11:30.

about living standards. George Osborne's... You have Ed Miliband

:11:30.:11:32.

making a great thing about living standards, but then they say under

:11:32.:11:37.

their breath, this is global forces, outstripping wage increases. And

:11:37.:11:43.

you're absolutely right, as the economy improves, presumably that

:11:43.:11:47.

will be dealt with, but Miliband's argument will be that there are

:11:47.:11:51.

people suffering, and even if the economy recovers, they will still

:11:51.:11:56.

forces, it is difficult to blame the government for that. Body being

:11:56.:12:01.

noticed now, there is nothing worse for the leader of the opposition

:12:01.:12:06.

than to be not noticed. -- but he is being noticed now. It seems that he

:12:06.:12:11.

in many ways has set the political weather. Look at the number of

:12:11.:12:12.

references to the Labour leader weather. Look at the number of

:12:12.:12:18.

Mr Cameron's speech. And in Mr Obama's speech on a similar topic,

:12:18.:12:25.

living standards. Was the mentioning Ed Miliband?! Oh, he was using the

:12:25.:12:31.

same language, he has not gone that far. If I were Ed Miliband, I would

:12:31.:12:37.

be more worried now, because Labour through the kitchen sink at their

:12:37.:12:40.

conference. They came out with the biggest policy announcements they

:12:40.:12:45.

could, compulsory apprenticeships, the energy freeze on prices, and it

:12:45.:12:49.

generated a poll boost which has fizzled away within ten days. I

:12:49.:12:54.

generated a poll boost which has not know where they go from here.

:12:54.:12:57.

What is significant with Ed Miliband conference beaches, he has set the

:12:57.:13:04.

one nation Britain, and the problem with those speeches is people say,

:13:04.:13:07.

they are fine, they are academic, but what does it mean? What you

:13:07.:13:14.

they are fine, they are academic, now is an intellectual framework

:13:14.:13:16.

that translates into policies. The polls to watch are not the ones

:13:16.:13:20.

after the conferences, but at the end of the month when it has also

:13:20.:13:23.

pulled down. They will tell us where we are going. We will have to go

:13:23.:13:28.

ourselves now. Thank you to our guests. The Daily Politics will

:13:28.:13:31.

ourselves now. Thank you to our back tomorrow at noon on BBC Two,

:13:31.:13:34.

and I will be back on BBC One this time, same time, next week. If it is

:13:34.:13:37.

Sunday, it is the Sunday Politics.

:13:37.:13:39.

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