22/01/2017 Sunday Politics East


22/01/2017

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It's Sunday morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

:00:35.:00:37.

Theresa May will be the first foreign leader to visit US

:00:38.:00:40.

President Donald Trump this week - she's promised to hold "very

:00:41.:00:43.

frank" conversations with the new and controversial

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Speaking of the 45th President of America,

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we'll be looking at what the Trump presidency could hold

:00:54.:00:56.

in store for Britain and the rest of the world.

:00:57.:01:03.

And with the Supreme Court expected to say that Parliament should

:01:04.:01:05.

have a vote before the Brexit process begins, we'll ask

:01:06.:01:09.

it is like about to get harder for what Labour will do next.

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it is like about to get harder for university students from

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disadvantaged backgrounds? And to talk about all of that

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and more, I'm joined by three journalists who, in an era

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of so-called fake news, can be relied upon for their accuracy,

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their impartiality - and their willingness

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to come to the studio It's Steve Richards,

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Julia Hartley-Brewer and Tom Newton Dunn,

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and during the programme they'll be tweeting as often as the 45th

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President of the USA in the middle So - the Prime Minister has been

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appearing on the BBC this morning. She was mostly talking

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about Donald Trump and Brexit, but she was also asked about a story

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on the front of this It's reported that an unarmed

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Trident missile test fired from the submarine HMS Vengeance

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near the Florida coast in June The paper says the incident took

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place weeks before a crucial Commons Well, let's have listen

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to Theresa May talking The issue that we were talking

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about in the House of Commons It was about whether or not

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we should renew Trident, whether we should look to the future

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and have a replacement Trident. That's what we were talking

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about in the House of Commons. That's what the House

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of Commons voted for. He doesn't want to defend our

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country with an independent There are tests that take place

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all the time, regularly, What we were talking about in that

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debate that took place... I'm not going to get

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an answer to this. Tom, it was clear this was going to

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come up this morning. It is on the front page of the Sunday Times. It

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would seem to me the Prime Minister wasn't properly briefed on how to

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reply. I think she probably was, but the Prime Minister we now have

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doesn't necessarily answer all questions in the straightest way.

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She didn't answer that one and all. Unlike previous ones? She made it

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quite clear she was briefed. You read between the Theresa May lines.

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By simply not answering Andrew Marr four times, it is obvious she knew,

:04:03.:04:07.

and that she knew before she went into the House of Commons and urged

:04:08.:04:12.

everyone to renew the ?40 billion replacement programme. Of course it

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is an embarrassment, but does it have political legs? I don't think

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so. She didn't mislead the Commons. If she wanted to close it down, the

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answer should have been, these are matters of national security.

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There's nothing more important in that than our nuclear deterrent. I'm

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not prepared to talk about testing. End of. But she didn't. Maybe you

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should be briefing her. That's a good answer. She is an interesting

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interviewee. She shows it when she is nervous. She was transparently

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uneasy answering those questions, and the fact she didn't answer it

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definitively suggests she did know and didn't want to say it, and she

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answered awkwardly. But how wider point, that the House of Commons

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voted for the renewal of Trident, suggests to me that in the broader

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sweep of things, this will not run, because if there was another vote, I

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would suggest she'd win it again. But it is an embarrassment and she

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handled it with a transparent awkwardness. She said that the tests

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go on all the time, but not of the missiles. Does it not show that when

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the Prime Minister leaves her comfort zone of Home Office affairs

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or related matters, she often struggles. We've seen it under

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questioning from Mr Corbyn even, and we saw it again today. Absolutely.

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Tests of various aspects of the missiles go on all the time, but

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there's only been five since 2000. What you described wouldn't have

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worked, because in previous tests they have always been very public

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about it. Look how well our missiles work! She may not have misled

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Parliament, but she may not have known about it. If she didn't know,

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does Michael Fallon still have a job on Monday? Should Parliament know

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about a test that doesn't work? Some would say absolutely not. Our

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deterrent is there to deter people from attacking us. If they know that

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we are hitting the United States by mistake rather than the Atlantic

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Ocean, then... There is such a thing as national security, and telling

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all the bad guys about where we are going wrong may not be a good idea.

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It was her first statement as Prime Minister to put her case for

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renewal, to have the vote on Trident, and in that context, it is

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significant not to say anything. If anyone knows where the missile

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landed, give us a call! So Donald Trump's inauguration day

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closed with him dancing to Frank Sinatra's My Way,

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and whatever your view on the 45th President of the United States

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he certainly did do it his way. Not for him the idealistic call

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for national unity - instead he used Friday's inaugural

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address to launch a blistering attack on the dark state

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of the nation and the political class, and to promise

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to take his uncompromising approach from the campaign trail

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to the White House. Here's Adam Fleming,

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with a reminder of how First, dropping by for a cup of tea

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and a slightly awkward exchange Then, friends, foes

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and predecessors watched I, Donald John Trump,

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do solemnly swear... The crowds seemed smaller

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than previous inaugurations, the speech tougher then any

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previous incoming president. From this day forth,

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it's going to be only America first. In the meantime, there were sporadic

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protests in Washington, DC. Opponents made their voices heard

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around the world too. The President,

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who'd criticised the work of the intelligence agencies,

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fitted in a visit to the CIA. There is nobody that feels stronger

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about the intelligence community And, back at the office,

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in the dark, a signature signalled the end of the Obama era

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and the dawn of Trump. So, as you heard there,

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President Trump used his inauguration to repeat his campaign

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promise to put "America first" in all his decisions, and offered

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some hints of what to expect He talked of in America in carnage,

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to be rebuilt by American hands and American Labour. President Trump has

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already started to dismantle key parts of the Obama Legacy, including

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the unwinding of the affordable care act, and the siding of the climate

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action plan to tackle global warning. Little to say about foreign

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policy, but promised to eradicate Islamic terrorism from the face of

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the Earth, insisting he would restore the US military to

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unquestioning dominance. He also said the US would develop a state

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missile defence system to deal with threats he sees from Iran and North

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Korea. In a statement that painted a bleak picture of the country he now

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runs, he said his would be a law and order Administration, and he would

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keep the innocents safe by building the border war with Mexico. One

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thing he didn't mention, for the first time ever, there is a

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Eurosceptic in the oval office, who is also an enthusiast for Brexit.

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We're joined now by Ted Malloch - he's a Trump supporter who's been

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tipped as the president's choice for US ambassador

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to the EU, and he's just flown back from Washington.

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And by James Rubin - he's a democrat who served

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Let's start with that last point I made in the voice over there. We now

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have a Eurosceptic in the oval office. He is pro-Brexit and not

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keen on further European Union integration. What are the

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implications of that? First of all, a renewal of the US- UK special

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relationship. You see the Prime Minister already going to build and

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rebuild this relationship. Already, the bust of Winston Churchill is

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back in the oval office. Interestingly, Martin Luther King's

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bust is also there, so there is an act of unity in that first movement

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of dusts. Donald Trump will be oriented between bilateral

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relationships and not multilateral or supernatural. Supranational full.

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What are the implications of someone in the White House now not believing

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in it? I think we are present in the unravelling of America's leadership

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of the West. There is now a thing called the west that America has led

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since the end of World War II, creating supranational - we just

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heard supernatural! These institutions were created. With

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American leadership, the world was at peace in Europe, and the world

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grew increasingly democratic and prosperous. Wars were averted that

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could be extremely costly. When something works in diplomacy, you

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don't really understand what the consequences could have been. I

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think we've got complacent. The new president is taking advantage of

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that. It is a terrible tragedy that so many in the West take for granted

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the successful leadership and institutions we have built. You

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could argue, as James Rubin has argued in some articles, that...

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Will Mr Trump's America be more involved in the world than the Obama

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won? Or will it continue the process with running shoes on that began

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with Mr Obama? President Obama stepped back from American

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leadership. He withdrew from the world. He had a horrendous eight

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years in office, and American powers have diminished everywhere in the

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world, not just in Europe. That power will reassert. The focus will

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be on America first, but there are foreign interests around the

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world... How does it reassert itself around the world? I think the

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institutions will be recreated. Some may be taken down. There could be

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some new ones. I think Nato itself, and certainly the Defence Secretary

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will have discussions with Donald Trump about how Nato can be

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reshaped, and maybe there will be more burden sharing. That is an

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important thing for him. You are tipped to be the US ambassador to

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Brussels, to the EU, and we are still waiting to hear if that will

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happen. Is it true to say that Mr Trump does not believe in EU

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integration? I think you made that clear in the speech. He talked about

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supranational. He does not believe in those kinds of organisations. He

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is investing himself in bilateral relationships, the first of which

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will be with the UK. So we have a president who does not believe in EU

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integration and has been highly critical of Nato. Do the people he

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has appointed to defend, Secretary of State, national security, do you

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think that will temper this anti-NATO wretched? Will he come

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round to a more pro-NATO situation? I think those of us who care about

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America's situation in the world will come in to miss President Obama

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a lot. I think the Secretary of State and the faculty of defence

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will limit the damage and will urge him not to take formal steps to

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unravel this most powerful and most successful alliance in history, the

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Nato alliance. But the damage is already being done. When you are the

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leader of the West, leadership means you are persuading, encouraging,

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bolstering your leadership and these institutions by the way you speak.

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Millions, if not hundreds of millions of people, have now heard

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the US say that what they care about is within their borders.

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What do you say to that? It is such an overstatement. The point is that

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Donald Trump is in a Jacksonian tradition of national populism. He

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is appealing to the people first. The other day, I was sitting below

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this page during the address, and he said, everyone sitting behind me as

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part of the problem. Everyone in front of me, the crowd and the crowd

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on television, is part of the solution, so we are giving the

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Government back to the people. That emphasis is going to change American

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life, including American International relations. It doesn't

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moving the leak back -- it doesn't mean we are moving out of Nato, it

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simply means we will put our national interests first. There were

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echoes of Andrew Jackson's inauguration address of 1820. That

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night, the Jacksonians trashed the White House, but Mr Trump's people

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didn't do that, so there is a difference there. He also said

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something else in the address - that protectionism would lead to

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prosperity. I would suggest there is no evidence for that in the post-war

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world. He talked about protecting the American worker, American jobs,

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the American economy. I actually think that Donald Trump will not

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turn out to be a protectionist. If you read the heart of the deal...

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This is referring to two Republican senators who introduce massive

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tariffs in the Hoover administration. Exactly. If you read

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The Art Of The Deal, you will see how Donald Trump deals with

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individuals and countries. There is a lot of bluster, positioning, and I

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think you already see this in bringing jobs by the United States.

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Things are going to change. Let's also deal with this proposition.

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China is the biggest loser of this election result. Let me say this:

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The first time in American history and American president has set forth

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his view of the world, and it is a mercantile view of the world, who

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makes more money, who gets more trade, it doesn't look at the shared

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values, leadership and defends the world needs. The art of the deal has

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no application to America's leadership of the world, that's what

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we're learning. You can be a great businessman and make great real

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estate deals - whether he did not is debatable - but it has nothing to do

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with inspiring shared values from the West. You saying China may lose,

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because he may pressure them to reduce their trade deficit with the

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US. They may or may not. We may both lose. Right now, his Secretary of

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State has said, and I think he will walk this back when he is brief,

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that they will prevent the Chinese from entering these islands in the

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South China Sea. If they were to do that, it would be a blockade, and

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there would be a shooting war between the United States and China,

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so US - China relations are the most important bilateral relationship of

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the United States, and they don't lend themselves to the bluff and

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bluster that may have worked when you are trying to get a big building

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on second Ave in Manhattan. Is China the biggest loser? I think the

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Chinese have a lot to lose. Gigi and Ping was in Davos this week -- Xi

:19:43.:19:53.

Jin Ping was in Davos. Is Germany the second biggest loser

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in the sense that I understand he hasn't agreed time to see Angela

:20:04.:20:07.

Merkel yet, also that those close to him believe that Germany is guilty

:20:08.:20:14.

of currency manipulation by adopting a weak your row instead of the

:20:15.:20:18.

strong Deutschmark, and that that is why they are running a huge balance

:20:19.:20:22.

of payments surplus with the United States. American - German relations

:20:23.:20:28.

may not be great. There is a point of view throughout Europe. You only

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have to talk to the southern Europeans about this question. It

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seems like the euro has been aligned to benefit Germany. Joe Stiglitz,

:20:38.:20:42.

the famous left of centre Democrat economist, made the same case in a

:20:43.:20:49.

recent book. In this case, I think Germany will be put under the

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spotlight. Angela Merkel has shown herself to be the most respected and

:20:54.:20:57.

the most successful leader in Europe. We who care about the West,

:20:58.:21:03.

who care about the shared values of the West, should pray and hope that

:21:04.:21:07.

she is re-elected. This isn't about dollars and cents. We're living in a

:21:08.:21:12.

time whether Russian leader has another country in Europe and for

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some inexplicable reason, the American president, who can use his

:21:18.:21:23.

insult diplomacy on everyone, including Mrs Merkel, the only

:21:24.:21:28.

person he can't seem to find anything to criticise about is Mr

:21:29.:21:33.

Putin. There are things more important than the actual details of

:21:34.:21:36.

your currency. There are things like preventing another war in Europe,

:21:37.:21:40.

preventing a war between the Chinese and the US. You talk about the

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Trident missile all morning, nuclear deterrence is extremely important.

:21:48.:21:51.

It doesn't lend itself to the bluff and bluster of a real estate deal. I

:21:52.:21:55.

understand all that, but the fact we are even talking about these things

:21:56.:21:58.

shows the new world we are moving into. I'd like to get you both to

:21:59.:22:04.

react to this. This is a man that ended the Bush Dynasty, a man that

:22:05.:22:12.

beat the Clinton machine. In his inauguration, not only did he not

:22:13.:22:15.

reach out to the Democrats, he didn't even mention the Republicans.

:22:16.:22:20.

These are changed days for us. They are, and change can be good or

:22:21.:22:24.

disastrous. I'm worried that it's easy in the world of diplomacy and

:22:25.:22:29.

in them -- for the leadership of the United States to break relationships

:22:30.:22:34.

and ruin alliances. These are things that were carefully nurtured. George

:22:35.:22:43.

Schultz, the American Secretary of State under Reagan talked about

:22:44.:22:46.

gardening, the slow, careful creation of a place with bilateral

:22:47.:22:52.

relationships that were blossoming and flowering multilateral

:22:53.:22:54.

relationships that take decades to create, and he will throw them away

:22:55.:22:57.

in a matter of days. The final word... I work for George Schultz.

:22:58.:23:04.

He was a Marine who stood up America, defended America, who would

:23:05.:23:08.

be in favour of many of the things that Donald Trump and the tramp

:23:09.:23:13.

Administration... Give him a call. His top aide macs that I've spoken

:23:14.:23:18.

to are appalled by Mr Trump's abdication of leadership. He is

:23:19.:23:23.

going to our radically -- he's going to eradicate extremist Islam from

:23:24.:23:31.

the face of the year. Is that realistic? I know people in the

:23:32.:23:34.

national security realm have worked on a plan. They say they will have

:23:35.:23:38.

such a plan in some detail within 90 days. Lets hope they succeed. We

:23:39.:23:47.

have run out of time. As a issues. Thank you, both. -- fascinating

:23:48.:23:48.

issues. So Theresa May promised a big speech

:23:49.:23:52.

on Brexit, and this week - perhaps against expectation -

:23:53.:23:55.

she delivered, trying to answer claims that the government didn't

:23:56.:23:57.

have a plan with an explicit wish-list of what she hopes to

:23:58.:24:00.

achieve in negotiations with the EU. To her allies it was ambitious,

:24:01.:24:02.

bold, optimistic - to her opponents it was full

:24:03.:24:05.

of contradictions Here's Adam again, with a reminder

:24:06.:24:07.

of the speech and how There are speeches,

:24:08.:24:10.

and there are speeches. Like Theresa May's 12 principles

:24:11.:24:15.

for a Brexit deal leading to the UK fully out of the EU

:24:16.:24:19.

but still friendly in terms This agreement should allow

:24:20.:24:22.

for the freest possible trade in goods and services between

:24:23.:24:26.

Britain and the EU's member states. It should give British

:24:27.:24:28.

companies the maximum operate within European markets

:24:29.:24:34.

and let European businesses do She also said no deal would be

:24:35.:24:37.

better than the wrong deal, We want to test what people think

:24:38.:24:45.

about what she's just said. Do we have any of our

:24:46.:25:01.

future negotiating As the European Parliament

:25:02.:25:03.

voted for its new president, its chief

:25:04.:25:08.

negotiator sounded off. Saying, OK, if our European

:25:09.:25:16.

counterparts don't accept it, we're going to make

:25:17.:25:18.

from Britain a sort of free zone or tax haven,

:25:19.:25:21.

I The Prime Minister of Malta,

:25:22.:25:23.

the country that's assumed the EU's rotating presidency,

:25:24.:25:30.

spoke in sorrow and a bit of anger. We want a fair deal

:25:31.:25:33.

for the United Kingdom, but that deal necessarily needs to be

:25:34.:25:37.

inferior to membership. Next, let's hear

:25:38.:25:47.

from some enthusiastic leavers, like, I don't

:25:48.:25:49.

know, the Daily Mail? The paper lapped it up

:25:50.:25:55.

with this adoring front page. For Brexiteers, it was

:25:56.:25:58.

all manna from heaven. I think today means we are a big

:25:59.:26:02.

step closer to becoming an independent country again,

:26:03.:26:04.

with control of our own laws, I was chuckling at some of it,

:26:05.:26:07.

to be honest, because There were various phrases there

:26:08.:26:13.

which I've used myself again and Do we have any of those

:26:14.:26:17.

so-called Remoaners? There will, at the end

:26:18.:26:22.

of this deal process, so politicians get to vote

:26:23.:26:24.

on the stitch-up, but We take the view as

:26:25.:26:27.

Liberal Democrats that if this process started

:26:28.:26:31.

with democracy last June, We trusted the people

:26:32.:26:33.

with departure, we must trust them Do we have anyone from

:26:34.:26:37.

Labour, or are you all watching it in a small

:26:38.:26:43.

room somewhere? Throughout the speech, there seemed

:26:44.:26:45.

to be an implied threat that somewhere along the line,

:26:46.:26:53.

if all her optimism of a deal with the European Union didn't work,

:26:54.:26:56.

we would move into a low-tax, corporate taxation,

:26:57.:26:58.

bargain-basement economy on the I think she needs to be

:26:59.:27:00.

a bit clearer about what The Labour leader

:27:01.:27:04.

suggested he'd tell his MPs to vote in favour

:27:05.:27:11.

of starting a Brexit process if Parliament was given the choice,

:27:12.:27:14.

sparking a mini pre-revolt among Finally, do we have anyone

:27:15.:27:16.

from big business here? Of course, your all in Davos

:27:17.:27:22.

at the World Economic Clarity, first of all, really

:27:23.:27:31.

codified what many of us have been anticipating since

:27:32.:27:41.

the referendum result, particularly around

:27:42.:27:43.

the I think what we've also seen

:27:44.:27:43.

today is the Government's willingness to put a bit of edge

:27:44.:27:48.

into the negotiating dynamic, and I Trade negotiations are negotiations,

:27:49.:27:51.

and you have to lay out, and you have to be pretty tough

:27:52.:27:56.

to get what you want. Although some business people

:27:57.:27:58.

on the slopes speculated about moving some of their

:27:59.:28:00.

operations out of Brexit Britain. We saw there the instant reaction

:28:01.:28:02.

of Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, but how will the party respond

:28:03.:28:21.

to the challenge posed by Brexit Well, I'm joined now by the Shadow

:28:22.:28:23.

Home Secretary, Diane Abbott. People know that Ukip and the Tories

:28:24.:28:33.

are for Brexit. The Lib Dems are four remain. What is Labour for? For

:28:34.:28:38.

respecting the result of the referendum. It was a 72% turnout,

:28:39.:28:44.

very high for an election of that nature, and we believe you have to

:28:45.:28:47.

respect that result. You couldn't have a situation where people like

:28:48.:28:51.

Tim Farron are saying to people, millions of people, sorry, you got

:28:52.:28:55.

it wrong, we in London no better. However, how the Tories go forward

:28:56.:29:00.

from here has to be subject to parliamentary scrutiny. Is it Shadow

:29:01.:29:06.

Cabinet policy to vote for the triggering of Article 50? Our policy

:29:07.:29:11.

is not to block Article 50. That is what the leader was saying this

:29:12.:29:17.

morning. So are you for it? Our policy is not to block it. You are

:29:18.:29:23.

talking about voting for it. We don't know what the Supreme Court is

:29:24.:29:29.

going to say, and we don't know what legislation Government will bring

:29:30.:29:31.

forward, and we don't know what amendment we will move, but we're

:29:32.:29:37.

clear that we will not vote to block it. OK, so you won't bow to stop it,

:29:38.:29:41.

but you could abstain? No, what we will do... Either you vote for or

:29:42.:29:49.

against all you abstain. There are too many unanswered questions. For

:29:50.:29:53.

instance, the position of EU migrants working and living in this

:29:54.:29:57.

country. You may not get the answer to that before Article 50 comes

:29:58.:30:01.

before the Commons, so what would you do then? We are giving to amend

:30:02.:30:07.

it. We can only tell you exactly how we will amend it when we understand

:30:08.:30:11.

what sort of legislation the Government is putting forward, and

:30:12.:30:15.

in the course of moving those amendments, we will ask the

:30:16.:30:19.

questions that the people of Britain whether they voted to leave remain

:30:20.:30:20.

want answered. When you come to a collective view,

:30:21.:30:31.

will there be a three line whip? I can't tell you, because we have not

:30:32.:30:35.

seen the government 's legislation. But when you see it, you will come

:30:36.:30:43.

to a collective view. Many regard this as extremely important. Will

:30:44.:30:47.

there be a three line whip on Labour's collective view? Because it

:30:48.:30:52.

is important, we shouldn't get ahead of ourselves. When we see what the

:30:53.:30:56.

Supreme Court says, and crucially, when we see what the government

:30:57.:31:02.

position is, you will hear what the whipping is. Will shadow ministers

:31:03.:31:07.

be able to defy any three line whip on this? That is not normally the

:31:08.:31:14.

case. But they did on an early vote that the government introduced on

:31:15.:31:18.

Article 50. Those who voted against it are still there. In the Blair

:31:19.:31:24.

years, you certainly couldn't defy a three line whip. We will see what

:31:25.:31:29.

happens going forward. I remember when the Tories were hopelessly

:31:30.:31:35.

divided over the EU. All these Maastricht votes and an list

:31:36.:31:39.

arguments. Now it is Labour. Just another symptom of Mr Corbyn's poor

:31:40.:31:52.

leadership. Not at all. Two thirds voted to leave, a third to remain.

:31:53.:31:57.

We are seeking to bring the country and the party together. We will do

:31:58.:32:02.

that by pointing out how disastrous a Tory Brexit would be. Meanwhile,

:32:03.:32:12.

around 80 Labour MPs will defy a three line whip. It's too early to

:32:13.:32:18.

say that. Will you publish what you believe the negotiating goal should

:32:19.:32:23.

be? We are clear on it. We think that the economy, jobs and living

:32:24.:32:28.

standards should be the priority. What Theresa May is saying is that

:32:29.:32:33.

holding her party together is her priority. She is putting party above

:32:34.:32:39.

country. Does Labour think we should remain members of the single market?

:32:40.:32:45.

Ideally, in terms of jobs and the economy, of course. Ritt -ish

:32:46.:32:51.

business thinks that as well. Is Labour policy that we should remain

:32:52.:32:54.

a member of the single market? Labour leaves that jobs and the

:32:55.:32:59.

economy comes first, and if they come first, you would want to remain

:33:00.:33:05.

part of the single market. But to remain a member? Jobs and the

:33:06.:33:11.

economy comes first, and to do that, ideally, guess. So with that, comes

:33:12.:33:17.

free movement of people, the jurisdiction of the European, and a

:33:18.:33:21.

multi-million never shipped thief. Is Labour prepared to pay that?

:33:22.:33:30.

Money is neither here nor there. Because the Tories will be asked to

:33:31.:33:38.

pay a lot of money... The EU has made it clear that you cannot

:33:39.:33:44.

have... I am asking for Labour's position. Our position is rooted in

:33:45.:33:50.

the reality, and the reality is that you cannot have the benefits of the

:33:51.:33:54.

member of the European Union, including being a member of the

:33:55.:33:58.

single market, without responsibility, including free

:33:59.:34:03.

movement of people. Free movement, is remaining under the jurisdiction

:34:04.:34:08.

of the European Court of Justice. Is that the Labour position? You've

:34:09.:34:15.

said that Labour wants to remain a member of the single market. That is

:34:16.:34:20.

the price tag that comes with it. Does Labour agree with paying that

:34:21.:34:26.

price tag? We are not pre-empting negotiation. Our goals are protect

:34:27.:34:31.

jobs and the British economy. Is it Labour's position that we remain a

:34:32.:34:36.

member of the customs union? Well, if we don't, I don't see how Theresa

:34:37.:34:50.

May can keep our promises and has unfettered access... You said

:34:51.:34:55.

Labour's position was clear. It is! It is clear that Theresa May... I am

:34:56.:35:03.

not asking about Theresa May. Is it Labour's position to remain a member

:35:04.:35:10.

of the customs union? It is Labour's position to do what is right for

:35:11.:35:15.

British industry. Depending on how the negotiations go, it may prove

:35:16.:35:20.

that coming out of the customs union, as Theresa May has indicated

:35:21.:35:24.

she wants to do, could prove catastrophic, and could actually

:35:25.:35:31.

destroy some of her promises. You do accept that if we are member of the

:35:32.:35:35.

customs union, we cannot do our own free trade deals? What free trade

:35:36.:35:44.

deals are you talking about? The ones that Labour might want to do in

:35:45.:35:50.

the future. First, we have to protect British jobs and British

:35:51.:35:53.

industries. If you are talking about free trade deals with Donald Trump,

:35:54.:35:58.

the danger is that Theresa May will get drawn into a free-trade deal

:35:59.:36:03.

with America that will open up the NHS to American corporate... The

:36:04.:36:10.

cards are in Theresa May's hands. If she takes us out of the single

:36:11.:36:15.

market, if she takes us out of the customs union, we will have to deal

:36:16.:36:19.

with that. How big a crisis for Jeremy Corbyn will be if Labour

:36:20.:36:25.

loses both by-elections in February. I don't believe we will lose both.

:36:26.:36:31.

But if he did? I am not anticipating that. Is Labour lost two seats in a

:36:32.:36:40.

midterm of a Tory government, would that be business as usual? I'm not

:36:41.:36:43.

prepared to see us lose those seats, so I will not talk about something

:36:44.:36:45.

that will not happen. Thank you. You're watching

:36:46.:36:49.

the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:36:50.:36:50.

in Scotland, who leave us now Coming up here in 20

:36:51.:36:53.

minutes, The Week Ahead, when we'll be talking

:36:54.:36:56.

to Business Minister Margot James about the government's

:36:57.:36:58.

new industrial strategy and that crucial Supreme Court

:36:59.:37:01.

ruling on Brexit. First, though, the Sunday

:37:02.:37:04.

Politics where you are. Going underground, we reveal

:37:05.:37:13.

the real problems in the bowels of Westminster, making the case

:37:14.:37:22.

for moving Parliament elsewhere. I think the best thing

:37:23.:37:27.

is if we move out completely. I don't buy into this

:37:28.:37:32.

idea if we move out, And leading the campaign

:37:33.:37:34.

against moving Parliament, Shailesh Vara, the Conservative MP

:37:35.:37:44.

for North West Cambridgeshire, and with us also today,

:37:45.:37:48.

Dr Julian Huppert for the Lib Dems, former

:37:49.:37:50.

Cambridge MP who will fight But we start with maintenance

:37:51.:37:53.

grants for students. If you want to go to

:37:54.:37:58.

university this autumn, this week was the deadline

:37:59.:38:00.

for your application. It is the first year that

:38:01.:38:02.

disadvantaged students will no longer be able to get

:38:03.:38:05.

a maintenance grant. They've been scrapped

:38:06.:38:09.

by the Government and been According to the latest

:38:10.:38:11.

figures, in this region, 35,000 students received more

:38:12.:38:19.

than ?114 million in So, will it make a difference

:38:20.:38:21.

when they are withdrawn? Alexi is in his second year studying

:38:22.:38:31.

politics and sociology He receives around ?3500

:38:32.:38:38.

a year from the Government in maintenance grants,

:38:39.:38:44.

money to help with living costs of being at university that does not

:38:45.:38:46.

have to be paid back. Just a few more days

:38:47.:38:52.

and it will be over. A few more days and

:38:53.:38:57.

we can party hard. I am from a single-parent family

:38:58.:39:03.

and my sister and I are both at university now and it is

:39:04.:39:06.

a huge burden on my mum. Even the maintenance

:39:07.:39:09.

loan and grant together, there is a shortfall in terms of how

:39:10.:39:12.

much you actually need for living, particularly now my sister doesn't

:39:13.:39:15.

have a maintenance grant It means that there is a massive

:39:16.:39:18.

shortfall and she's going to have to pay a huge amount more interest

:39:19.:39:25.

when she leaves university in debt. There is concern the high levels

:39:26.:39:27.

of debt will make some people think I think the change from grants

:39:28.:39:31.

to loans will put off quite a few students,

:39:32.:39:36.

particularly students Partially because they are so debt

:39:37.:39:37.

averse and they are thinking about, once I have gone to university,

:39:38.:39:44.

how much debt am I going Only 3% of students from the most

:39:45.:39:47.

disadvantaged families go to top universities like these, compared

:39:48.:39:52.

to 20% from the most well off. This is something universities

:39:53.:39:57.

are keen to improve so will be watching with interest to see

:39:58.:40:00.

what impact the Government's In the latest figures from 2014,

:40:01.:40:02.

Cambridge University had 26% of students receiving

:40:03.:40:09.

maintenance grants. For the other universities

:40:10.:40:11.

in the east, the figures climb, and at the top on 56%

:40:12.:40:15.

is the University of Bedfordshire. One of the Cambridge colleges

:40:16.:40:20.

is trying to address this by introducing studentships

:40:21.:40:23.

and a grant of up to ?9,500 a year to help with living costs of those

:40:24.:40:28.

most in need. I want my students here in college

:40:29.:40:34.

to be financially sound, they can participate

:40:35.:40:36.

in all the educational activities that are happening in the college,

:40:37.:40:39.

without any financial worries. It is not just so-called elite

:40:40.:40:46.

universities trying to make sure Anglia Ruskin has an outreach

:40:47.:40:48.

programme that includes speaking to sixth formers and parents

:40:49.:40:53.

about the new student We've been presenting it to parents

:40:54.:40:55.

and students since we've known what the system is and I've not had

:40:56.:41:02.

a negative reaction from anyone. People take the information

:41:03.:41:07.

and are grateful for understanding what it is and how it is put

:41:08.:41:11.

together and it does not If you want to go to university,

:41:12.:41:14.

the system is the system presented to you and you consider

:41:15.:41:20.

the system you have got and you cannot wish for last

:41:21.:41:22.

year because that is not going to be For a normal boy like Alexi,

:41:23.:41:26.

going to King's College Cambridge is a dream come true and his hope

:41:27.:41:30.

for the future is that other students will be able

:41:31.:41:35.

to follow in his footsteps. For poorer people,

:41:36.:41:37.

finance is a priority, when it comes to deciding

:41:38.:41:39.

whether to go to university. To think about looming debt

:41:40.:41:43.

when you are leaving, as well as the interest

:41:44.:41:46.

you are paying on that, on that It was for me and I am sure

:41:47.:41:49.

it is for a lot of other people too. Well, the Government

:41:50.:41:57.

declined an interview, "We are already seeing record

:41:58.:41:58.

numbers of disadvantaged young We have increased maintenance

:41:59.:42:05.

support for students from the lowest Financial assistance is also

:42:06.:42:09.

available through all universities." Well, earlier this week,

:42:10.:42:22.

I spoke to the Vice Chancellor of the University of Bedfordshire

:42:23.:42:29.

and a former Universities Minister I asked if he was happy

:42:30.:42:31.

that enough people from disadvantaged backgrounds

:42:32.:42:35.

were going to university. Everybody who has the potential

:42:36.:42:37.

to benefit from going to university Historically, students

:42:38.:42:40.

from the poorest backgrounds have not participated at the same rate

:42:41.:42:45.

as those from more However, in the last decade or so,

:42:46.:42:47.

albeit from a low base, there has been a significant

:42:48.:42:53.

acceleration of access from students In fact, faster than the whole

:42:54.:42:57.

student cohort as a whole. That has been driven in part

:42:58.:43:03.

by nonrepayable student grants and it is in that context that

:43:04.:43:06.

I regret the fact that What difference do

:43:07.:43:09.

you think it will make? I think there is a risk that

:43:10.:43:16.

students who may be not willing to take out loan finance

:43:17.:43:25.

will be put off. In part, the Government

:43:26.:43:27.

is compensating by increasing the overall loan finance package

:43:28.:43:29.

that is available. It is going up by about 10% compared

:43:30.:43:38.

to the loan plus nonrepayable grant But of course, that is

:43:39.:43:41.

a loan you have to repay. I think it is really important

:43:42.:43:47.

that we get the message across that there is more money

:43:48.:43:50.

available to students whilst they are actually studying and also

:43:51.:43:52.

that the repayments mechanisms are progressive and fair

:43:53.:43:55.

and that you only repay when you are in work and earning

:43:56.:43:57.

more than ?21,000 a year. It is an affordable system

:43:58.:44:00.

and for anyone who is thinking of going to university,

:44:01.:44:03.

it is still the best But there are mixed signals

:44:04.:44:04.

from the Government. On the one hand, urging universities

:44:05.:44:08.

to recruit more students from poorer backgrounds,

:44:09.:44:10.

which is right, but at the same time, abolishing

:44:11.:44:13.

nonrepayable grants. Being in government,

:44:14.:44:15.

I know it from my background as a government minister,

:44:16.:44:30.

when the last government was in power, I know you have

:44:31.:44:33.

to make difficult choices. I would not have

:44:34.:44:35.

chosen to abolishing Nevertheless, I think

:44:36.:44:40.

it is important that we now are saddled with this system,

:44:41.:44:47.

it is important we get the benefits of the system

:44:48.:44:49.

across to potential students, particularly from the poorest

:44:50.:44:51.

backgrounds, the fact that overall loan finance is increasing

:44:52.:44:54.

by about 10% and the payback, once you are in work and earning,

:44:55.:45:00.

for someone with One last message from you,

:45:01.:45:03.

to anybody who is thinking about going to university

:45:04.:45:08.

and cannot afford it. I would say to anyone

:45:09.:45:10.

with the potential to benefit from going to university,

:45:11.:45:12.

do it, it is the best The vast majority of people never

:45:13.:45:14.

regret that decision The benefit will stay

:45:15.:45:21.

with you right the way up, Julian Huppert, what is your

:45:22.:45:24.

experience, you are in teaching? I think there is a real problem

:45:25.:45:32.

for people from poorer backgrounds and while the point has been made

:45:33.:45:36.

that people get loans which they can which they can pay off,

:45:37.:45:40.

the thing is, if you are doing the sums, you think

:45:41.:45:43.

about things one way. If you are a 17-year-old,

:45:44.:45:46.

you're probably not used to the idea of having thousands of pounds

:45:47.:45:49.

of debt sitting over you. I am worried it will have a huge

:45:50.:45:51.

effect on people like that. When I talk to students,

:45:52.:45:55.

many are not so concerned about what will happen in 10,

:45:56.:45:58.

20 years, they are concerned about having enough money now to pay

:45:59.:46:01.

for somewhere to live, for food, for drink,

:46:02.:46:03.

for the normal parts of life. I think it is really important

:46:04.:46:07.

to try to help, particularly people Otherwise we will continue to see

:46:08.:46:09.

ever growing inequality. But the Government is saying

:46:10.:46:13.

it is putting more money in, There is some money but it is loans

:46:14.:46:15.

and it makes a big difference. While people who may own a house

:46:16.:46:27.

are used to the idea of having a mortgage and people are not that

:46:28.:46:31.

worried about a mortgage, they do not see it as money

:46:32.:46:33.

they do not have and need It is very different if you are 17,

:46:34.:46:36.

18, contemplating owing many thousands of pounds,

:46:37.:46:40.

it has a huge effect on people. Finance a priority, we heard

:46:41.:46:43.

that young student say, Well, first of all, these

:46:44.:46:45.

are difficult decisions. In 2015, there was some ?1.6 billion

:46:46.:46:48.

spent on maintenance grants. If that were to continue,

:46:49.:46:57.

over the next decade, If you stop some poorer

:46:58.:46:59.

families going... When tuition fees were introduced,

:47:00.:47:03.

that was the argument that it would stop poorer

:47:04.:47:10.

people coming forward. If you look at the figures,

:47:11.:47:12.

again in 2015, 2015 alone, 4% more people from poorer

:47:13.:47:18.

backgrounds entered There is that element and also

:47:19.:47:20.

an element of fairness. What you are effectively

:47:21.:47:24.

saying is that people who have further education,

:47:25.:47:29.

we know that as a rule they will earn in their working life

:47:30.:47:34.

a lot more than those who do not We are asking people who do not have

:47:35.:47:38.

further education through taxes to pay for other people

:47:39.:47:42.

to have an education... To have an education

:47:43.:47:44.

which will allow them to have more I think we have to recognise

:47:45.:47:48.

the fairness element. Firstly, the reason why

:47:49.:47:52.

there were more people who came from poorer backgrounds

:47:53.:47:55.

was precisely because of schemes like this that were expanded to help

:47:56.:47:58.

fund people from poorer backgrounds. If you take that away,

:47:59.:48:01.

we will start seeing problems. Yes, people who have a higher

:48:02.:48:08.

education do earn more It is really useful to say

:48:09.:48:10.

that people should... Why should people who are earning

:48:11.:48:14.

pay for other people to go I think the point is

:48:15.:48:20.

that the 17-year-old from a very poor background who may well go

:48:21.:48:24.

on and earn more, if they do learn -- earn more, they will be paying

:48:25.:48:30.

income tax, they will be paying other taxes and we should be quite

:48:31.:48:33.

robust about collecting those, close the loopholes,

:48:34.:48:36.

many things we have talked about before, but at that

:48:37.:48:38.

point when someone of 17, like the man we saw,

:48:39.:48:40.

from a single-parent family, Disadvantage against advantage,

:48:41.:48:42.

those people from advantaged backgrounds are more likely

:48:43.:48:50.

to have a successful life. It has always been the case

:48:51.:48:54.

that those who have a generous wallet are going to be better off

:48:55.:48:57.

in life in many other ways. But there is more

:48:58.:49:00.

to life than money. What I would say to Julian

:49:01.:49:07.

about the 17-year-old boy, he is not going to be asked to repay

:49:08.:49:11.

that at the age of 17. There is a threshold that

:49:12.:49:15.

when he starts working, that is when he starts to pay,

:49:16.:49:17.

only if he is earning MPs have got a lot on their minds

:49:18.:49:20.

at the moment, including the future of the Houses

:49:21.:49:25.

of Parliament themselves. The building is in desperate

:49:26.:49:28.

need of renovation. Next week, MPs will discuss a plan

:49:29.:49:30.

to move out altogether for six years There are some strong

:49:31.:49:33.

feelings on the matter. Mr Vara is one of those who want

:49:34.:49:44.

them to stay where they are. We will hear from him

:49:45.:49:48.

in a moment about why. First, we have been on a special

:49:49.:49:50.

tour of one of the most famous Watch yourselves

:49:51.:49:53.

as you come through. We're heading into one of the main

:49:54.:50:01.

pipe vaults of the Palace which we are now walking through has

:50:02.:50:11.

been completely filled with pipework, wiring,

:50:12.:50:19.

everything you need to keep a big Practically, getting to this stuff

:50:20.:50:21.

right at the top now is impossible because of the way we have layered

:50:22.:50:26.

stuff on top of stuff. Everything you see here would have

:50:27.:50:29.

to be replaced under Lots of it dates from the 1950s,

:50:30.:50:31.

though as I said, there is stuff As you head deeper into the Palace,

:50:32.:50:35.

start to crouch down a lot more, we are in a situation

:50:36.:50:40.

where there is physically not enough That are 240 miles worth of cabling

:50:41.:50:42.

and it is just chaos. We know what type of cables

:50:43.:50:47.

they are but we do not know where they run,

:50:48.:50:50.

what they serve and what they do. This is our current

:50:51.:50:53.

telephone system. The real risk for us

:50:54.:50:55.

is a catastrophic failure of the systems leading to a fire

:50:56.:51:03.

and that fire could end up taking hold and we could lose big portions

:51:04.:51:07.

of the building. Everything you can see down

:51:08.:51:13.

here in the basement is visible but all of these pipes and wires end

:51:14.:51:25.

up in the 1100 rooms we have in the Palace,

:51:26.:51:28.

going through all the fine areas, so for us to replace this

:51:29.:51:30.

on the upper floors means pulling the building apart,

:51:31.:51:33.

all of those fine decorative panels would come off the wall for us

:51:34.:51:35.

to replace the system This is just another example

:51:36.:51:38.

of some of the crumbling conditions we have got,

:51:39.:51:42.

down to the extreme heat Some of this is superficial,

:51:43.:51:45.

just on the surface. At the end of the day,

:51:46.:51:48.

we should not be putting this building through the sort

:51:49.:51:51.

of pressures we are putting it through in terms of the environment

:51:52.:51:53.

we are forcing it to work in. Here we are in one of the almost

:51:54.:51:56.

forgotten courtyards of the Palace of Westminster,

:51:57.:51:59.

on the roof. One of the oldest

:52:00.:52:01.

courtyards we have got. You can start to see

:52:02.:52:03.

the crumbling conditions. That is down to pollution

:52:04.:52:05.

and generally the age. We need to get in here in this

:52:06.:52:07.

courtyard to do the huge amount of restoration

:52:08.:52:10.

work, conservation work. It is not just about doing

:52:11.:52:11.

the replacement of the mechanical and electrical plant

:52:12.:52:16.

in the basement, it is about Retaining what is an iconic

:52:17.:52:18.

building of Britain. Under the proposals, MPs would move

:52:19.:52:24.

into the Department of Health. The Lords would go to the Queen

:52:25.:52:31.

Elizabeth Conference Centre nearby. The plans will be

:52:32.:52:34.

debated on Wednesday. This is the centre of

:52:35.:52:40.

democracy in the world, This place here, if you start

:52:41.:52:42.

undermining the presence of MPs in Westminster,

:52:43.:52:46.

the elected MPs, then I think we are talking

:52:47.:52:48.

about a serious issue. You see steam pipes

:52:49.:52:53.

near electricity cables near communications cables

:52:54.:52:58.

and so on, it is an I think therefore that the safest

:52:59.:53:00.

option, as well as in the end the cheapest option is to get out

:53:01.:53:04.

of it, let the workers get on with it and then

:53:05.:53:07.

we will have the best result I think the best thing

:53:08.:53:10.

is if we move out completely. When the building was built 150

:53:11.:53:18.

years ago, over a 20-year period, the peers and the commoners insisted

:53:19.:53:23.

on operating within the ruins, if you like,

:53:24.:53:31.

and they complained day in, day out, about the noise,

:53:32.:53:36.

not enough being done for them, and it proved a great distraction

:53:37.:53:39.

to the engineers. Safest and cheapest,

:53:40.:53:41.

if they go out completely? The proposals say we should be

:53:42.:53:48.

leaving, peers and MPs and all our staff, in six years'

:53:49.:53:57.

time and then we would be out for another 6-8 years and they say

:53:58.:54:01.

it would cost 3.5 billion. But those are flawed figures

:54:02.:54:03.

because the report makes several caveats and in fact on the opening

:54:04.:54:06.

page, it says the budget still needs significant work by professionals

:54:07.:54:09.

to do proper costings. They do say it is going to cost

:54:10.:54:11.

a lot more if they work around you. What I'm saying is that an eight

:54:12.:54:15.

acre site, they should be I am not prepared to look

:54:16.:54:21.

a constituent in the eye and say that they cannot have extra money

:54:22.:54:25.

for whatever and yet commission ?3.5 billion to be spent

:54:26.:54:28.

on the place where I do my work. What I would suggest is that

:54:29.:54:31.

what they do is spend a longer time working around us and we will pay

:54:32.:54:37.

as the work gets done and it At a time of austerity,

:54:38.:54:41.

I do not think we should be The other thing, very important,

:54:42.:54:45.

at this very important time in our history,

:54:46.:54:49.

at a time of Brexit, when we are going to be wanting

:54:50.:54:55.

new friends overseas, seeking favourable trade agreements,

:54:56.:54:58.

do we really want to be working from a temporary House of Commons,

:54:59.:55:00.

in the courtyard of What are our opponents

:55:01.:55:03.

going to be saying? They will say, this is UK Plc,

:55:04.:55:06.

doing their own thing, they will have a picture

:55:07.:55:15.

of the temporary building and they will say, this is UK Plc

:55:16.:55:18.

doing its own thing. We ought to be making

:55:19.:55:21.

maximum use of this iconic It has a huge power

:55:22.:55:24.

in terms of soft sell. Yes, it is falling apart

:55:25.:55:30.

and work needs to be done. It is not fit to be a contemporary

:55:31.:55:36.

parliament building. There are all sorts of ways

:55:37.:55:39.

in which it is not good enough. I don't recall Julian ever once

:55:40.:55:42.

complaining it was not good enough. When you have an eight acre site

:55:43.:55:55.

that was designed... I think it is very archaic,

:55:56.:55:57.

not fit for the way democracy should work now, the way the Chamber is set

:55:58.:56:06.

up, the way it doesn't deal with electronics,

:56:07.:56:09.

the inability to get Wi-Fi He says he does not want to work

:56:10.:56:11.

in a courtyard somewhere else. I think working on a building site

:56:12.:56:22.

would look far more ridiculous. But far more important

:56:23.:56:25.

than the prestige is actually how much money is going to be

:56:26.:56:27.

spent on this. It is an iconic

:56:28.:56:29.

building, no question. I think both of those

:56:30.:56:32.

will probably go up. I would like to see something

:56:33.:56:39.

that is done cheaper, It is not about making MPs feel

:56:40.:56:41.

happy in a famous building but about not wasting taxpayers'

:56:42.:56:45.

money and getting One word from you, will the vote

:56:46.:56:47.

go your way or against you? This is going to be

:56:48.:56:52.

Westminster Hall where there Now for our round-up

:56:53.:56:59.

of the political Week Schoolchildren in Ipswich

:57:00.:57:04.

could benefit after it was named as one of the Government's

:57:05.:57:11.

new opportunity areas. The ?70 million scheme is designed

:57:12.:57:15.

to improve social mobility. Food producers from the region

:57:16.:57:28.

warned MPs this week that continued free

:57:29.:57:31.

access to migrant workers was absolutely vital

:57:32.:57:34.

for their businesses. We absolutely would not be able

:57:35.:57:35.

to operate without access In what might be a first,

:57:36.:57:38.

every single Conservative MP from Bedfordshire got to their feet

:57:39.:57:48.

at Prime Minister's Question Time, including a surprise

:57:49.:57:51.

intervention from a key member Could I commend my right honourable

:57:52.:57:54.

friend for her remarks yesterday, not least the constructive tone

:57:55.:57:58.

she took towards the EU and the future of the EU in marked

:57:59.:58:01.

contrast to others we have heard over the years from many

:58:02.:58:04.

different quarters in the UK? And not for the first time,

:58:05.:58:08.

Suffolk MP and Defra Minister was put in place by a helpful

:58:09.:58:16.

Speaker, John Bercow. LAUGHTER

:58:17.:58:32.

He praised the tone of the Prime Minister's speech, not the content.

:58:33.:58:36.

What is important here is the fact that there were a lot of remainers

:58:37.:58:42.

who recognise 17.4 million people voted in a particular way and we

:58:43.:58:45.

need to get on and respect that decision. Democracy has

:58:46.:58:51.

consequences. I think we are seeing more and more people than the macro

:58:52.:58:56.

problems. Food producers speaking. People did vote but it was partly on

:58:57.:58:59.

a promise we would stay in the single market and there would be

:59:00.:59:03.

extra for the NHS. We should give people the chance to comment on the

:59:04.:59:07.

deal. Where was the promise made about staying in the single market?

:59:08.:59:11.

I can point you to lots of vote leave websites. It is not saying

:59:12.:59:20.

that they will stay in it. It was a conservative manifesto commitment to

:59:21.:59:25.

stay in the single market. We said there would be a referendum and it

:59:26.:59:30.

would be a simple yes or no. It was in my literature. There was a

:59:31.:59:34.

separate peace. We can have a look. The great thing about faxes we can

:59:35.:59:38.

look at the manifesto. I would urge people to do that. -- facts. We need

:59:39.:59:44.

a vote on the deal. Is it what people wanted? Was it a good speech?

:59:45.:59:49.

No, I found it depressing. It will be hugely damaging for the country.

:59:50.:59:53.

Excellent speech, set out very clearly... Very loyal! Fine macro it

:59:54.:59:59.

made it clear to the European Union that there is something in this for

:00:00.:00:03.

both sides. Thank you both of us for being with us this week. You can

:00:04.:00:07.

keep in Dutch on our website. We are back

:00:08.:00:07.

have to do this. Thank you to you both.

:00:08.:00:10.

What exactly is the government's industrial strategy?

:00:11.:00:20.

Will ministers lose their supreme court battle over Brexit, and,

:00:21.:00:23.

Well, tomorrow Theresa May is launching the government's

:00:24.:00:36.

industrial strategy - and to talk about that we're joined

:00:37.:00:39.

by the Business Minister, Margot James - welcome to the show.

:00:40.:00:47.

When you look at what has already been released in advance of the

:00:48.:00:54.

Prime Minister's statement, it was embargoed for last night, it's not

:00:55.:01:00.

really an industrial strategy, it's just another skills strategy, of

:01:01.:01:04.

which we have had about six since the war, and our skills training is

:01:05.:01:11.

among the worst in Western Europe? There will be plenty more to be

:01:12.:01:15.

announced tomorrow in what is really a discussion document in the

:01:16.:01:19.

preparation of an industrial strategy which we intend to launch

:01:20.:01:23.

properly later in the year. Let's look at skills. You are allocating

:01:24.:01:32.

117 of funding to establish institutes of technology. How many?

:01:33.:01:38.

The exact number is to be agreed, but the spend is there, and it will

:01:39.:01:44.

be on top of what we are doing to the university, technical

:01:45.:01:47.

colleges... How many were lit bio create? We don't know exactly, but

:01:48.:01:53.

we want to put them in areas where young people are performing under

:01:54.:01:57.

the national average. But if you don't know how many, what is the

:01:58.:02:04.

basis of 170 million? That is the amount the Treasury have released.

:02:05.:02:08.

The something that is very important, we are agreed we need to

:02:09.:02:13.

devote more resources to vocational training and get it on a par with

:02:14.:02:19.

academic qualifications. I looked on the website of my old university,

:02:20.:02:25.

the University of Glasgow, the Russell group universities. Its

:02:26.:02:30.

spending budget every year is over 600 million. That's one University.

:02:31.:02:38.

And yet you have a mere 170 million foreign unspecified number of

:02:39.:02:43.

institutes of technology. It hasn't got equality with the academics? You

:02:44.:02:48.

have to remember that just as you have quoted figures from Glasgow

:02:49.:02:52.

University there are further education colleges all over the

:02:53.:02:56.

country. The government is already spending on 16 to 19-year-olds. But

:02:57.:03:05.

also, we are going to be adding... This is new money that is all to the

:03:06.:03:10.

good, because we are already spending a lot. We have already

:03:11.:03:15.

created 2 million more apprentices since 2010. That many are not in

:03:16.:03:19.

what we would call the stem skills, and a lot come nowhere near what the

:03:20.:03:24.

Dutch, Germans and Austrians would have. I'm not clear how another 170

:03:25.:03:30.

million would do. You said it is more than skills. In what way is

:03:31.:03:35.

this industrial strategy different from what Mr Cameron and Mr Osborne

:03:36.:03:46.

did before? It's different because it is involving every single

:03:47.:03:48.

government department, and bringing together everything that government

:03:49.:03:51.

does in a bid to make Britain more competitive as it disengages from

:03:52.:03:54.

the European Union. That is what the last Labour government did. They

:03:55.:04:00.

will much more targeted interventions. Under the Labour

:04:01.:04:04.

government, the auto industry got some benefit. A few more sectors

:04:05.:04:09.

were broached under the coalition government. This is all about

:04:10.:04:13.

communities all over the country, some of whom have fallen behind in

:04:14.:04:18.

terms of wage growth and good jobs. The Prime Minister has already

:04:19.:04:24.

announced 2 billion as a research and development priority in specific

:04:25.:04:31.

technologies, robotics, artificial intelligence, medical technology,

:04:32.:04:35.

satellites... So you are doing what has been done before. There is

:04:36.:04:40.

nothing new about this. Wait until tomorrow, because there will be some

:04:41.:04:45.

new strands emerging. It is the beginning of the dialogue with

:04:46.:04:48.

industry and with workers, and the responses will be invited up until

:04:49.:04:55.

April. That will inform a wider strategy that goes beyond skills. I

:04:56.:05:00.

have moved on to beyond them. I'm slightly puzzled as to how the

:05:01.:05:05.

government knows where to invest in robotics, when it can't even provide

:05:06.:05:11.

the NHS with a decent IT system. Discuss. I have to say I find it

:05:12.:05:16.

bizarre that the government is making an announcement about an

:05:17.:05:19.

amount of money and don't know where it's going. This is typical of all

:05:20.:05:24.

governments over all political shoes, which is total disregard for

:05:25.:05:30.

technical education, so different from Germany, who actually invest in

:05:31.:05:38.

the technological side. Germany has a long history. We want to emulate

:05:39.:05:44.

some of the best of what German companies do. Siemens sponsor

:05:45.:05:49.

primary schools, for example. We want to get a dialogue on with

:05:50.:05:55.

business. We don't want to decide where this money is going. By the

:05:56.:06:00.

way, it was 4.7 billion that the government has agreed to invest in

:06:01.:06:05.

science and research, which is the most significant increase in

:06:06.:06:09.

decades. Can you remind us what happened in Northern Ireland, when

:06:10.:06:13.

the government invested money in state-of-the-art technology for

:06:14.:06:17.

energy? No one needs to be reminded of that, and that is not what we are

:06:18.:06:24.

doing. We are inviting business and industry to advise where that money

:06:25.:06:29.

is best spent. That's very different from government deciding that a

:06:30.:06:35.

particular technology is for the future. The government's chief

:06:36.:06:40.

scientific adviser has determined that we will invest a huge amount in

:06:41.:06:45.

battery technology, which should benefit the electric car industry,

:06:46.:06:50.

and... This is taxpayers' money. Who gets it? Ultimately, business will

:06:51.:06:57.

get it, but often only when there is a considerable amount of private

:06:58.:07:02.

sector finance also drawn in. But who is held to account? Various

:07:03.:07:10.

government departments at local authorities will hold this list to

:07:11.:07:15.

account. A lot of it is about releasing private capital as well.

:07:16.:07:21.

Thank you very much. This week, the Supreme Court, I think we know the

:07:22.:07:29.

ruling is coming on Tuesday. And the expectation is that the judges will

:07:30.:07:33.

say Parliament will have to vote to trigger. Is this all much ado about

:07:34.:07:38.

nothing? Parliament will vote to trigger, and the government will win

:07:39.:07:42.

in the Lords and the Commons by substantial majorities, and it will

:07:43.:07:46.

be triggered? Completely. We've known that. Parliament is voted.

:07:47.:07:51.

Everyone is pretty confident that the Supreme Court will uphold the

:07:52.:07:55.

High Court's decision and say it has to go to MPs. There will be a bit of

:07:56.:08:04.

toing and froing among MPs on amendments. You heard Diane Abbott's

:08:05.:08:09.

slightly car crash interview there. The Lib Dems may throw something in,

:08:10.:08:13.

but we will trigger Article 50 by the end of March. If it also says

:08:14.:08:20.

that the roll of Edinburgh, Cardiff and Belfast should be picked up,

:08:21.:08:25.

that could complicate matters. Absolutely. That could delay the

:08:26.:08:29.

planned triggering of Article 50 before the end of March. Not what

:08:30.:08:34.

they say about the Westminster Parliament, because it is clear that

:08:35.:08:39.

it was. I never understood the furore about that original judgment,

:08:40.:08:44.

because every MP made it clear they wouldn't block it. Even though Diane

:08:45.:08:48.

Abbott was evasive on several fronts, she said they wouldn't block

:08:49.:08:54.

it. You are right, if they give a vote, or give some authorisation for

:08:55.:08:58.

the Scottish Parliament and other devolved assemblies, that might

:08:59.:09:03.

delay the whole sequence. That is the only significant thing to watch

:09:04.:09:09.

out for. Watch out on Tuesday. Mrs May goes to Washington. It will be

:09:10.:09:14.

another movie in the making! I would suggest that she has a tricky line

:09:15.:09:19.

to follow. She has got to be seen to be taking advantage of the fact that

:09:20.:09:24.

there is a very pro-British, pro-Brexit president in the Oval

:09:25.:09:29.

Office, who I am told is prepared to expend political capital on this.

:09:30.:09:33.

But on the other hand, to make sure that she is not what we used to call

:09:34.:09:46.

Mr Blair, George Bush's poodle. It is very difficult, and who would not

:09:47.:09:49.

want to be a fly on the wall in that meeting! I can't think of anyone in

:09:50.:09:53.

the world who would despise Mr Trump more than Mrs May, and for him, he

:09:54.:09:58.

dislikes any woman who does not look like a supermodel, no disrespected

:09:59.:10:09.

Mrs May. Most of it is actually anti-EU, and I think we should

:10:10.:10:12.

capitalise it. Let's get the Queen to earn her money, roll out the red

:10:13.:10:17.

carpet, invite him to dinner, spend the night, what ever we need...

:10:18.:10:25.

Trump at Balmoral! Here is the issue, because the agenda is, as we

:10:26.:10:29.

heard from Ted Malloch earlier, that this is not an administration that

:10:30.:10:35.

has much time for the EU, EU integration or Germany. I think

:10:36.:10:38.

Germany will be the second biggest loser to begin with. They will not

:10:39.:10:43.

even give a date for Angela Merkel to meet the president. This is an

:10:44.:10:51.

opportunity for Mrs May... It is a huge. It could sideline talks of the

:10:52.:11:00.

punishment beating from Germany. The Trump presidency has completely

:11:01.:11:06.

changed the field on Brexit. Along came Donald Trump, and Theresa May

:11:07.:11:10.

has this incredible opportunity here. Not of her making, but she has

:11:11.:11:16.

played her cards well. To an officially be the EU emissary to

:11:17.:11:21.

Washington, to get some sort of broker going. That gives us huge

:11:22.:11:26.

extra leveraged in the Brexit negotiations. People around the

:11:27.:11:30.

world think Germany as a currency manipulator, that it is benefiting

:11:31.:11:35.

from an underpriced euro, hence the huge surplus it runs of America, and

:11:36.:11:39.

they think it is disgraceful that a country that runs a massive budget

:11:40.:11:45.

surplus spends only 1.2% of its GDP on defence, and America runs a

:11:46.:11:50.

massive deficit and needs to spend a lot more. He's going for Germany.

:11:51.:11:56.

And what a massive shift. I think Obama was quite open, in a farewell

:11:57.:12:01.

interview, that he felt closer to Merkel than any other European

:12:02.:12:06.

leader. And Jamie kind of reflected that in our discussion. Yes, that's

:12:07.:12:13.

very interesting discussion. I think she was the last person he spoke to

:12:14.:12:17.

in the White House, Obama. And now you are getting the onslaught from

:12:18.:12:24.

Trump. This Thatcher- Reagan imagery is dangerous, though. Blair was

:12:25.:12:28.

hypnotised by it and was too scared to criticise Bush, because he wanted

:12:29.:12:33.

to be seen in that light, and we know where that led. Cameron

:12:34.:12:38.

similarly with Obama, which presented him with problems, as

:12:39.:12:42.

Obama didn't regard him as his number one pin up in Europe. I would

:12:43.:12:49.

put a note of caution in there about the Thatcher - Reagan parallel.

:12:50.:12:54.

Everything Trump is doing now is different from before, so Mrs May

:12:55.:12:59.

should not have any of these previous relationships in her mind.

:13:00.:13:05.

That is not entirely true. Donald Trump aches to be the new Ronald

:13:06.:13:12.

Reagan. He may be impeached first! He sees her as the new Margaret

:13:13.:13:16.

Thatcher, and that may her leveraged with him. Thank you.

:13:17.:13:24.

We'll be back here at the same time next week, and you can catch up

:13:25.:13:29.

on all the latest political news on the Daily Politics,

:13:30.:13:31.

In the meantime, remember - if it's Sunday,

:13:32.:13:35.

It's just pain, but it doesn't feel like pain,

:13:36.:14:13.

it feels much more violent, dark and exciting.

:14:14.:14:36.

Join Michael Buerk as he explores the dishes fit for kings and queens.

:14:37.:14:41.

When it comes to extravagance, few monarchs can compete with George IV.

:14:42.:14:46.

If that was for breakfast, I dread to think what he had for dinner.

:14:47.:14:50.

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