30/04/2017 Sunday Politics East


30/04/2017

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It's Sunday Morning, and this is the Sunday Politics.

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Theresa May says she has no plans to increase tax levels,

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but refuses to repeat David Cameron's 2015 manifesto

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promise ruling out hikes in VAT, national insurance and income tax.

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The leaders of the EU's 27 member states unanimously

:00:54.:00:56.

agree their negotiating strategy for the upcoming Brexit talks, but

:00:57.:01:00.

And in the last of our series of interviews ahead of Thursday's

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local elections, I'll be talking to the leader of Plaid Cymru Leanne

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Here in the east, will the first elected regional mayor manage

:01:15.:01:18.

And tributes to our MPs ending their parliamentary careers.

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They hit an all-time low after coalition government,

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but are the Lib Dems poised to bounce back,

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And with me to analyse the week's politics,

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Isabel Oakeshott, Steve Richards, Tom Newton-Dunn.

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They'll be tweeting using the hashtag #bbcsp.

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So when Theresa May was interviewed just over an hour ago

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on The Andrew Marr Show, the Prime Minister was asked

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to confirm that she would repeat David Cameron's 2015 election

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promise not to raise VAT, national insurance and income tax

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We have absolutely no plans to increase the level of tax,

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but I'm also very clear that I don't want to make specific proposals

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on taxes unless I'm absolutely sure that I can deliver on those.

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But it is, would be my intention as a Conservative Government

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and a Conservative Prime Minister, to reduce the taxes

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The Tories like to have a clear tax message in elections, are they

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getting into a bit of a mess? That method wasn't clear, but does it

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mean, saying they have no plans to increase the level of tax? We are

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clear there will not be a rise in VAT, a lot of commentators will get

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overexcited about that, but there was no great expectations there

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would be a rise in VAT. Tempting as it is, because even one percentage

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point on VAT rate is 4.5 billion for the exchequer so it is tempting but

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there has been no speculation that would happen. We can see that she

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clearly wants to reiterate the language about hard-working families

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but I don't think we are that much the wiser. Even if she does not put

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up rates, according to projections the overall tax burden, as a

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percentage of GDP, is rising, will rise in the years ahead. That is why

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it was an odd phrase, I know she is doing it to be evasive but to say

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they have no plans to raise the general level of taxation, they do

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have. We also know they have specific plans because it was in the

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last budget, they had a tax rise which they had to revise, National

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Insurance rises, so very wisely in my view they are keeping options

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open, the 2015 tax-and-spend debate was a fantasy world, totally

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unrelated to the demands that would follow. They now have the

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flexibility, one of the arguments you had heard last time was Philip

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Hammond saying to her, we have to break away from the 2015 manifesto

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commitment and we can only do it this way, that is one of the better

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arguments. The Tories like to talk about tax cuts in elections, whether

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they do it is another matter, but they are not being allowed to talk

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about tax cuts, they are now on the defensive over whether they will

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raise taxes. That is not a healthy position for the campaign to be in.

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If you look at the numbers, quite frankly, if you will not do this at

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this election with eight 20 point lead over Labour, then when will you

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take these tough decisions? Reading between the lines of what Theresa

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May has said all over different broadcasters this morning, income

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tax will go down for low-income families, such as the threshold rise

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that microbes that was already factored in. She has had to commit

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to it again. VAT will be fat, national insurance contributions

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will go up. Do you think they will go up? I think so, she had plenty of

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opportunity to rule it out and she didn't. There was a terrible mess

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with the budget, it is a good tax argument but not a good electoral

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argument that you are eroding the base so heavily with people moving

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into self-employment that as you raise national insurance

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contributions for everybody but the self-employed, it is something the

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Treasury will have to look at. The other triple lock on pensions, we

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don't know if they will keep to that either? If they are sensible they

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will find a form of words to give them flexibility in that area as

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well. I would say there is no question over that, that has gone.

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As Mrs May would say, you will have to wait for the manifesto. That is

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what all the party leaders tell me! Labour have spent the weekend

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pushing their messages Speaking at a camapign rally

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in London yesterday, Jeremy Corbyn promised a Labour

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government would fix what he called People are fed up, fed up with not

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being able to get somewhere to live, fed up waiting for hospital

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appointments, fed up with 0-hours contracts, fed up with low pay, fed

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up with debt, fed up with not being able to get on in their lives

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because we have a system that is rigged against so many.

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I've been joined from Newcastle by Labour's elections

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and campaigns co-ordinator, Ian Lavery.

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Good morning. To deal with this rigged economy, as Mr Corbyn calls

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it, the Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell has a 20 point plan for

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workers out today. When you add up everything he plans to do to help

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workers, how much will it cost? The full costings, one thing I need to

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say at the very beginning, the costings of any policy which we have

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already ruled out and any policy we will be ruling out in the next few

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days and weeks will be fully costed in the manifesto and in addition to

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the fact that it will be fully costed, we will see it in the

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manifesto how indeed it has been funded, so we are very clear,

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anything we have seen already, and there are some exciting policy

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releases and there will be more in the future, anything we are going to

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do will be fully costed and in the manifesto. You announced a 20 point

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plan but cannot tell me what the costs will be this morning so at the

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moment it is a menu without prices? It is not a menu without prices, it

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is a fantastic opportunity. This 20 point plan is something which will

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transform the lives of millions of millions of people in the

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workplace... But what is the cost? It will be welcomed by many people

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across the UK. The fact the costings have not been released, you will

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have to be patient, it will be released very clearly, it will

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identify that in the manifesto. Let me come down to one of the points,

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the end of the public sector pay freeze. Can you give us any idea how

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much that will cost? The end of the public sector pay freeze, so

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important to the future of the Labour Party, it is an massive

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policy decision. Let me say at this stage, Theresa May, the Prime

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Minister, this morning, on The Andrew Marr Show, did not have the

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common decency, courtesy all respect to condone the fact that nurses, the

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heroes of the NHS, have had a reduction of nearly 14% in their

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wages since 2010 and are using food banks to feed themselves! Does that

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not say everything that is wrong with today's society? So can you

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tell me what it will cost, which is what my question was? What I will

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say is everything the Labour Party pledges, everything that we come out

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with, what we will roll out between now and the 8th of June, will be

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fully costed, people will be very much aware of how much the costings

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will be, where the funding will come from, when the manifesto is

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published. What about doubling paternity leave, nu minimum wage,

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four new bank holidays, any idea what it will

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cost? These are exciting new proposals and of course today cost

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money but we are the sixth richest economy in the world. It is about

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redistribution of the wealth we create. We are seeing growth in the

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economy, it is how we utilise the finances in the best way we possibly

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can for a fairer society for the many and not the few. You just can't

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tell me how much it will cost? That is why I will repeat again that you

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need to be very patient. Do you know the cost yourself? You are the head

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of the campaign, do you know the cost of these things yourself? I am

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very much aware of how much the costings are likely to be, they have

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been identified, they will be published in the manifesto. You

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really do understand I would not be releasing today, live on your show,

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any costings or predictions with regards the manifesto. Why not? You

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have released the policy, why not the cost? Because there is a fine

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detail and we will identify it to the general public in the manifesto.

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We not only explain how much it will cost but we will explain where the

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funding comes from. Be patient. Will some of the costs be met by

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increasing taxes? I would think at this point in time there is not any

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indication to increase basic taxes and again the taxes and spending of

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the Labour Government with the proposals of the 20 point plan, the

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issues we have got, housing, the NHS, crime, education will all be

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identified with the costings in the publication. Can you tell us this

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morning, we'll tax for most people rise or not to finance this? We in

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the Labour Party are looking to a fair tax system which will be

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clearly identified in the manifesto. Mr McDonnell also wants to ban all

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0-hours contracts. Would that include those who actually like

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those contracts? There are nearly 1 million, depending on which figured

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you'd use, there are nearly 1 million people on zero-hours

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contract and the vast proportion of those want to be able to live a

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decent life, a secure life, they want to understand whether they will

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be at work the next day, they're included hours... I understand a lot

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of people don't like zero-hours contract and your proposal will

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address that, but there are those, I saw one survey where 65% of people

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on zero-hours contract like the flexibility it gives them. Will you

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force them off zero-hours contract or if they like them will they

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continue with them? We will discuss it with employee is to make sure

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individuals in the workplace have the right to negotiate hours in that

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workplace. Guaranteed hours is very, very important. Zero-hour contracts

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are an instrument in which employers abuse and exploit mainly young

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people, mainly female people in the workplace. We would be banning

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zero-hour contract. But there are those, students for example, who

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like them, would they be forced off zero-hour contracts in your

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proposal? Our proposal would be banning zero-hour contract and

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introducing contracts which have set hours in the workplace. You also say

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no company will be able to bid for a public contract unless the boss

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earns no more than 20 times the lowest paid, or the average wage,

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I'm not quite sure which. What would happen if British Aerospace bids to

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build more joint strike Fighters and the boss is paid more than 20 times?

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I understand the point you raise but we have an obscene situation in this

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country, Andrew, in which the bosses at the very top make an absolute

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fortune... But what would happen then? Who would build joint strike

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Fighters... The difference in wages between the top earners in the

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country and the people in the factories, in the workshops,

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producing the goods, is vast. I understand that is the reason you

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want a ratio. What I am saying is, what happens if the ratio is

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greater? Who gets the contract if not British Aerospace? Who else

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builds the planes? We are going to introduce a wage rate CEO of one to

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20. -- wage ratio. We want to close the gap between the people at the

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very top and people who produce the goods. Let me try one more Time, who

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would build the joint strike fighter? We would look at the issue

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as it came along but the policy is clear... Can you name a single

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defence contractor weather boss' salary is less than 20 times average

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earnings? We are not reducing, we have rolled that out as part of this

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fantastic plan to transform society to get rid of discrimination, to try

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and bring together our communities. We will introduce a pay ratio of one

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to 20. Fair enough, thank you very much.

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It's a month after the triggering of Article 50, and EU leaders -

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with the exception of Britain - met in Brussels this weekend

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to agree their opening negotiating stance, to get the divorce

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It is inside this psychedelic chamber where Britain's 'Grexit'

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future will be decided over the next two years, but there is a vast gulf

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in rhetoric coming from the UK and the EU. With parallel narratives

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emerging for both sides. There is broad agreement that an orderly

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withdrawal is in the interests of both sides. But Theresa May's

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position is that the terms of our future trade deal should be

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negotiated alongside the terms of our divorce. Meanwhile the EU says

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the terms of the UK's exit must be decided before any discussion on a

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future trade deal can begin. But don't forget that divorce

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settlement. Don't remind me. In Brussels, many think written should

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pay even more, while in the UK ministers said the divorce bill

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should be capped at 3 billion. After you. Thank you.

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For are you looking forward to it? Isn't that divorce bill a bit high?

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Isn't this about punishing Britain? We are very united, you all seem so

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surprised but it's a fact. How soon can we get a deal? We have to wait

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for the elections. It was the decision of Mrs May. It took over an

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hour for the leaders to make their entrances but once inside it's just

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a few minutes to agree the negotiating guidelines. They set out

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three main areas. The first phase of talks on the divorce settlement will

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deal with the existing financial commitments to the EU, the Northern

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Ireland border and the rights of EU citizens in the UK. They said a UK

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trade agreement can be discussed when the first phase of talks

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reaches significant progress. And that there must be unity in the

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negotiations, that individual EU members won't negotiate separately

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with the UK. They are quite good here at negotiating because they are

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used to it. They set a maximum and then they have to recede a little

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bit depending on what the other side is prepared to offer. I think there

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is room for manoeuvre in some issues, but I don't think some of

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the baseline things will change that much. For example I don't think the

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European Union will concede on the rights of citizens who are already

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in the UK. It will be very difficult for them to accept that they will

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not be any exit bill, and the question of Northern Ireland is very

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important as well, the hard order question. The baseline things are

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not going to move that much, then you have room for manoeuvring

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between. On security, defence and the fight against terrorism, the

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guidelines said the EU stands ready to work together. And after lunch,

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friendly signs from some EU leaders as they gave individual press

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conferences. Paul and said the talks should open doors to new

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opportunities and even German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who had

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earlier said some in Britain were deluded about Brexit, softened her

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tone saying there was no conspiracy against the UK. Unity was the

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buzzword at this summit and for once everybody seemed to be sticking to

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the script. That unity is not only amongst the 27 states, it's also

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among the institutions so many of the divisions we have seen in the

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past at European level do not exist. That is very important and it's not

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be unity that is directed somehow against the UK because I think we

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all want this to be an orderly process and part of that is that the

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EU side is unified. So although there are no surprises here, what

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took place in this room was a significant step towards the real

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Brexit negotiations which will begin soon after the general election in

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June, said to be the most complex the UK has faced in our lifetimes.

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Isabel, Steve and Tom are still with me.

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Isabel, doesn't the British media have to be a bit careful here? We

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would never take at face value anything a British politician tells

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us. We would question it, put it in context and wonder if they are

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bluffing, but we seem to take at face value anything a European

:19:44.:19:47.

politician says about these negotiations. You only have to look

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at the front page of the Sunday Times today to see that. They quoted

:19:53.:19:56.

at length Juncker, who didn't like the food at the reception and this

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and that, and I think the mood is very optimistic. The key thing is

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the EU trade Commissioner has said we will get a free trade deal and a

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lot of people seem to be wilfully ignoring that incredibly big

:20:12.:20:14.

concession. That is what will happen in their view. Everything that is

:20:15.:20:20.

said at the moment needs a slight rerun over. They are all in

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negotiating positions, plus we seem to be completely unaware that they

:20:26.:20:28.

all have their own domestic constituencies as well. Angela

:20:29.:20:34.

Merkel has an important election coming up in September,

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Euroscepticism is quite different from Britain of course, but there's

:20:38.:20:41.

a different kind of euro scepticism in Germany, she has got to deal with

:20:42.:20:45.

that. Of course she has, which is why you are right, nothing should be

:20:46.:20:49.

taken too seriously out of the mouths of British politicians or

:20:50.:20:55.

European politicians until October this year. We have got to wait for

:20:56.:21:00.

the French elections, then German elections, and if you look through

:21:01.:21:04.

this you can see a way forward. There's no trade talks until pay up,

:21:05.:21:09.

but what was actually written was no trade talks until we make

:21:10.:21:13.

significant progress on the money. You can define significant progress

:21:14.:21:17.

in a lot of ways but come December, fireworks over the summer, we all

:21:18.:21:23.

get very excited about it, in these chairs I'm sure, come December

:21:24.:21:27.

things will look a lot smoother. The German elections are at the end of

:21:28.:21:31.

September but I've seen reports in German press, depending how it goes

:21:32.:21:34.

it could take until Christmas before a new coalition government is put

:21:35.:21:41.

together. The Brussels long-standing negotiating tactic of nothing is

:21:42.:21:44.

agreed until everything is agreed, then I guess the British could say

:21:45.:21:49.

we agree a certain sum of money if that's what it takes but that

:21:50.:21:53.

depends on them, what good trade deal we get. If we don't get that,

:21:54.:21:59.

the sum of money is off the table. In that sense, the two are going

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parallel. However, I wouldn't entirely dismiss what people are

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saying in their pre-election periods to their own electorates because

:22:09.:22:14.

they have to some extent to deliver subsequently. Of course Angela

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Merkel is campaigning and electioneering, who wouldn't, she

:22:19.:22:22.

has a tough election to fight, but she is measured and thoughtful and

:22:23.:22:26.

when she says things like some of the British are delusional, that is

:22:27.:22:30.

unusually strong language for her. What was she referring to? I don't

:22:31.:22:37.

know, it wasn't specific. Have the cake and eat it perhaps the

:22:38.:22:41.

sequencing the British don't want. When they thought the British

:22:42.:22:45.

government was going to effectively demand membership of the single

:22:46.:22:48.

market, that's not going to happen now. Unless you sign up to the four

:22:49.:22:56.

pillars, that's the cake and eat it proposition, which they are right in

:22:57.:23:01.

saying Theresa May has made. But everybody has access, even with no

:23:02.:23:06.

deal you have access. The other side of it is I think there will be a

:23:07.:23:15.

united position from them. And so, as somebody pointed out in that

:23:16.:23:22.

report, they are experienced, tough negotiators, so I don't think it

:23:23.:23:29.

will be quite as easy as some think. I spoke to one of those who drew up

:23:30.:23:35.

Article 50 and they said to me they deliberately put this two year

:23:36.:23:38.

timetable in to make it impossible for anybody to think about leaving.

:23:39.:23:45.

This is really tight, this negotiation. Easy, it isn't.

:23:46.:23:48.

This coming Thursday, voters up and down the country

:23:49.:23:51.

will be going to the polls in this year's local elections.

:23:52.:23:53.

Over the past few weeks I've interviewed representatives

:23:54.:23:55.

of the Conservative Party, Labour, the Liberal Democrats,

:23:56.:23:57.

Today it's the turn of Plaid Cymru and the SNP.

:23:58.:24:01.

A little earlier I spoke Alex Salmond, who until 2014

:24:02.:24:03.

I started by asking him why Scots should vote SNP in local elections

:24:04.:24:07.

when the Scottish Government had just cut central Government funding

:24:08.:24:10.

It's actually a funding increase going into Scottish councils this

:24:11.:24:26.

year, and if you look at the funding position for example between

:24:27.:24:29.

Scottish councils and those in England, which are obviously

:24:30.:24:33.

directly related through the Barnett formula, the funding in Scotland has

:24:34.:24:37.

been incomparably better than that in England so there's a whole range

:24:38.:24:47.

of the -- of reasons... What's happening south of the border

:24:48.:24:50.

indicates the protection the Scottish Parliament has been able to

:24:51.:24:54.

put in that helps vital services in Scotland. But there hasn't been a

:24:55.:24:59.

funding increase, the block grant from Westminster to Edinburgh was

:25:00.:25:03.

increased by 1.5% in real terms but the grant to councils was cut by

:25:04.:25:10.

2.6%. It was going to be a cut of 330 million, the Greens got you to

:25:11.:25:15.

reduce it to 170 million but it is still a cut of 2.6%. Your own

:25:16.:25:25.

Aberdeenshire Council has had a cut to 391 million. You have cut the

:25:26.:25:30.

money to councils. Yes, but councils have available to them more

:25:31.:25:33.

resources this year, and as you say the budget increased that further

:25:34.:25:39.

which is why we put forward an excellent local government budget in

:25:40.:25:41.

Aberdeenshire and resisted a Tory attempts to knock ?3 million off...

:25:42.:25:48.

You asked me about Aberdeenshire, and Aberdeenshire has put forward a

:25:49.:25:52.

budget for investment expansion and resisted a Tory attempts to knock ?3

:25:53.:25:58.

million off the education budget, and I'm very grateful you have given

:25:59.:26:01.

me the opportunity to make that point. The Government in Edinburgh

:26:02.:26:07.

has cut the money to Aberdeenshire by ?11 million. It is a cut. But

:26:08.:26:13.

there is an investment budget in Aberdeenshire that has been made

:26:14.:26:17.

available by the ability to increase the council tax by 2.5% after a

:26:18.:26:22.

nine-year freeze in Scotland, and that has brought more resources into

:26:23.:26:26.

local government and that's why the butchered in Aberdeenshire has been

:26:27.:26:30.

an investment budget including protection of the education budget

:26:31.:26:35.

in the face of a Tory and liberal attempt to cut bit. You have to

:26:36.:26:39.

compare what is happening in Scotland and England, and there's no

:26:40.:26:42.

doubt Scottish local authorities have been much better funded than

:26:43.:26:48.

those in England over the last few years and that's been the ability of

:26:49.:26:50.

the Scottish Government to protect the services at local level. A good

:26:51.:26:56.

reason for voting SNP. If they have been so well funded, why after a

:26:57.:27:03.

decade of SNP rule do one in five Scottish pupils leave primary school

:27:04.:27:10.

functionally illiterate? You have got to take these things... Nicola

:27:11.:27:14.

Sturgeon has made it a top priority to address these challenges but

:27:15.:27:19.

let's take another statistic. 93% of Scottish kids are now emerging from

:27:20.:27:23.

school to positive destinations, that means to further education,

:27:24.:27:30.

apprenticeships or work. Why are one in five functionally illiterate? You

:27:31.:27:36.

argue one statistic, I'm arguing Scottish education is putting in

:27:37.:27:41.

some substantially good performances like the 93% going on to positive

:27:42.:27:46.

destinations. You can't have a failing education system if you have

:27:47.:27:50.

got that 93%, and incidentally a record low youth unemployment in

:27:51.:27:54.

Scotland without the second lowest unemployment rate in Europe. These

:27:55.:27:59.

pupils are being prepared by the Scottish education system. Let's

:28:00.:28:04.

take the figures in the round on education. It's so important. Under

:28:05.:28:08.

your watch, under your government, the Scottish schools in the most

:28:09.:28:14.

important global comparison have fallen from tenth to 19th in

:28:15.:28:24.

science, and 11 to 24th in maths, that is a record of decline and

:28:25.:28:31.

failure. That is by the OECD and first questions about that, but the

:28:32.:28:36.

OECD has also described Scotland is one of the best educated societies

:28:37.:28:41.

in the world. That was from the school system in previous years gone

:28:42.:28:46.

by. For those who are currently in Scottish schools, you have fallen

:28:47.:28:52.

from 11th to 24th in mathematics. The OECD was commenting on

:28:53.:28:55.

introduction of the new curriculum for excellence in which they have

:28:56.:28:59.

given a resounding thumbs up to it, and that's the same source as the

:29:00.:29:05.

rankings which you are comparing. Nicola Sturgeon has said there are

:29:06.:29:09.

challenges on Scottish education, particularly the access through the

:29:10.:29:12.

education system and the attainment gap but don't tell me it's failing

:29:13.:29:17.

when 55% of our pupils have gone on to higher education. That's one of

:29:18.:29:20.

the most impressive figures in the world. Why have you cut 4000

:29:21.:29:27.

teachers? The pupil numbers in Scotland have been falling over

:29:28.:29:31.

recent years as well and now of course we are increasing the number

:29:32.:29:34.

of people going through teachers training so we can make sure that

:29:35.:29:38.

number increases, but listen, the Scottish Government and Scottish

:29:39.:29:43.

Parliament, as you very well know, are subject to real terms spending

:29:44.:29:48.

cuts over the last few years and all public services have been under

:29:49.:29:51.

pressure. The main reason in terms of teacher numbers has been an

:29:52.:29:55.

attempt on the Scottish Government to protect the teacher pupil ratio,

:29:56.:29:59.

and that will now be enhanced by a further taker -- intake. You

:30:00.:30:08.

promised you would reduce primary class sizes to 18 and instead they

:30:09.:30:13.

are now 23.5 and rising. You broke that promise. You didn't mention

:30:14.:30:19.

where we started from. We have kept the teacher pupil ratio very solid

:30:20.:30:23.

in Scotland and that's been against a range of public expenditure cuts

:30:24.:30:28.

but the new intake of teachers into the new teacher training in Scotland

:30:29.:30:29.

I think will enhance the system. You have spent in the pasty in

:30:30.:30:40.

Hollywood 43 hours on Government time debating independence. How many

:30:41.:30:45.

hours have you debated education on Government time? I don't have that

:30:46.:30:50.

they get a hand... The answer is zero, you have spent zero-hours

:30:51.:30:54.

debating education on Government time. Isn't it time the SNP got back

:30:55.:31:00.

to concentrating on the day job? Andrew, as you very well know Nicola

:31:01.:31:04.

Sturgeon has identified a key priority, closing the attainment gap

:31:05.:31:08.

in Scottish education. That is exactly what she has done. Let me

:31:09.:31:13.

answer the question, it is difficult to be in a remote location, if you

:31:14.:31:19.

talk before I answer the question then the view was will not be able

:31:20.:31:25.

to listen. I let you answer that without saying a word. Is this

:31:26.:31:30.

general election about independence, as you say it is, or not about

:31:31.:31:34.

independence, as Mrs Sturgeon says it is? No, I have said exactly the

:31:35.:31:40.

same as Nicola Sturgeon on that. The issue what independence will be

:31:41.:31:44.

decided in a national referendum of the Scottish people. The mandate for

:31:45.:31:49.

that referendum was gained in last year's Scottish elections. What this

:31:50.:31:53.

election is about is backing the right of the Scottish parliament to

:31:54.:31:56.

exercise that mandate and also providing real opposition to this

:31:57.:31:59.

Tory Government and allowing the Scottish Parliament to reverse

:32:00.:32:04.

austerity and some of the public expenditure cutbacks you have been

:32:05.:32:08.

talking about, that is what this is about, backing our Scottish

:32:09.:32:09.

Parliament. Alex Salmond, speaking

:32:10.:32:11.

to me earlier. I'm now joined by the leader

:32:12.:32:12.

of Plaid Cymru, Leanne Wood. You accuse the Government of wanting

:32:13.:32:19.

an extreme Brexit, those are your words. What is the difference

:32:20.:32:24.

between hard Brexit and extreme Brexit? My concern is the way in

:32:25.:32:28.

which we leave the European Union could be very damaging to Wales if,

:32:29.:32:32.

for example, there are tariffs introduced then that would have a

:32:33.:32:36.

real impact in terms of Welsh jobs, and I want to make sure that we have

:32:37.:32:43.

a Brexit that doesn't cause the damage to Wales that could be

:32:44.:32:46.

caused. But what is the difference between extreme and hard? Anything

:32:47.:32:52.

that puts Welsh jobs at risk is either extreme or hard and

:32:53.:32:55.

unacceptable to Plaid Cymru, and we will do what we can to protect those

:32:56.:32:59.

jobs. You want Wales to remain a member of the single market even if

:33:00.:33:04.

the UK isn't, which would mean Wales having to accept the free movement

:33:05.:33:09.

of people, still being under the jurisdiction of the European Court,

:33:10.:33:20.

and you also want to stay in the customs union which means you could

:33:21.:33:23.

not do your own free trade deals. What is the difference between that

:33:24.:33:25.

and being a member of the European Union? We would be like Norway,

:33:26.:33:27.

outside the European Union and inside the single market. The key

:33:28.:33:30.

question is the issue of jobs and the ability to continue to trade.

:33:31.:33:34.

Wales exports, we are the biggest exporter in the whole of the UK, so

:33:35.:33:39.

there are many jobs reliant upon those goods being able to be sold to

:33:40.:33:47.

the single market. Is it central to the UK? Out of the four countries

:33:48.:33:53.

that make up the UK... Proportionally, yes. If you remain

:33:54.:34:00.

in the single market, it is hard to see how Wales could stay in the

:34:01.:34:04.

single market if the UK -- when the rest of the UK was not, you cite

:34:05.:34:09.

Norway, that has free movement, it has to be said, it effectively have

:34:10.:34:14.

to accept the jurisdiction of the European Court, it is not in the

:34:15.:34:18.

customs union so it can do some of its own free trade deals, but the

:34:19.:34:26.

Welsh people voted to leave. We have to accept the principle of free

:34:27.:34:30.

movement if there is not going to be a hard border between the north and

:34:31.:34:34.

south of Ireland. There is going to be free movement within Ireland and

:34:35.:34:38.

therefore freedom of movement, as we said in the referendum campaign,

:34:39.:34:44.

would be very, very difficult to rule out. You lost that campaign, as

:34:45.:34:49.

you know, Wales voted to leave, 17 Council areas voted to leave, only

:34:50.:34:55.

five voted to remain. Doesn't it explain why your party is going

:34:56.:35:00.

nowhere? A majority in Wales voted to leave but you effectively want to

:35:01.:35:06.

support that and de facto remain in the EU? I don't accept that, we

:35:07.:35:10.

accepted the result but Plaid Cymru now is about defending Wales. There

:35:11.:35:16.

are so many risks facing our people from the jobs perspective, the

:35:17.:35:20.

privatisation perspective, the cuts perspective, and from the fact that

:35:21.:35:24.

the Tories would like to grab power was back from our National Assembly,

:35:25.:35:29.

so the key point... If you look at the Wales bill that went through

:35:30.:35:33.

recently, the list of reserved powers there suggests there are some

:35:34.:35:36.

powers currently within the Welsh Assembly jurisdiction that would be

:35:37.:35:43.

dragged back. Which power was will Westminster take back? They could

:35:44.:35:48.

take powers back over the NHS, for example. There is no indication they

:35:49.:35:55.

want to do that. The Tories have attacked the Welsh NHS. That is my

:35:56.:36:04.

point! Quite viciously. If they increase their mandate, I wouldn't

:36:05.:36:07.

put it past them to try to take power was back over the NHS and then

:36:08.:36:12.

of course we risk our NHS being privatised though this election is

:36:13.:36:16.

all about defending Wales, protecting Welsh people from further

:36:17.:36:19.

privatisation and cuts and a power grab from the Tories. Why is there

:36:20.:36:24.

never a breakthrough for your party, Plaid Cymru? Labour dominated in

:36:25.:36:29.

Wales for years, the Tories do quite well, Ukip had a surge for a while,

:36:30.:36:33.

it looks like the Tories will have another surge, never you, always the

:36:34.:36:38.

bridesmaid, never the bride. Wait until Thursday and I think you will

:36:39.:36:41.

see that in many parts of Wales we will increase our representation at

:36:42.:36:45.

a local council level. In the Rhondda, where I am assembly member,

:36:46.:36:52.

we are looking to increase our representation... You are only 13%

:36:53.:36:59.

in the polls will stop which is half of even the Tories in Wales! If you

:37:00.:37:04.

don't breakthrough in the selection, if the real problem is going

:37:05.:37:10.

nowhere, do you think you will pack it in? Robert Green not, I have a

:37:11.:37:16.

job to do, a vision of Wales which is about building up our nation and

:37:17.:37:20.

standing on our own two feet and my job is not done yet. Thank you for

:37:21.:37:24.

being with us as part of your job, we will see how it goes on Thursday.

:37:25.:37:28.

It's just gone 11.35, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:29.:37:30.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:37:31.:37:32.

Welcome to Sunday Politics East, I'm Amelia Reynolds.

:37:33.:37:47.

The faces that will disappear from the green benches this election.

:37:48.:37:54.

I really don't want to retire and do nothing.

:37:55.:37:56.

I think I've still got challenges that I can face.

:37:57.:38:05.

not only in the county council elections

:38:06.:38:13.

but history will be made when the people of Cambridgeshire

:38:14.:38:15.

and Peterborough choose their first elected mayor.

:38:16.:38:18.

The mayor will have a multi-million pound budget and wide ranging

:38:19.:38:21.

Although Cambridge has one of the most highly qualified work

:38:22.:38:29.

there is still a serious skills shortage in the area.

:38:30.:38:33.

They are the workforce of the future beginning their careers in this

:38:34.:38:43.

These engineering students are actually apprentices.

:38:44.:38:48.

Earning while they learn, up to ?13,000 per year.

:38:49.:38:53.

That money has opened big doors for me, such

:38:54.:39:01.

Some people cannot afford to run a car.

:39:02.:39:04.

I'm currently having the time of my life.

:39:05.:39:06.

A few of my mates and other people mentioned about

:39:07.:39:09.

You develop and learn stuff easier if you wre a

:39:10.:39:17.

Not everyone can just look at a whiteboard and know

:39:18.:39:20.

While vocational courses are becoming more popular, more

:39:21.:39:23.

apprenticeships are needed to fuel Cambridgeshire's growth.

:39:24.:39:26.

The new mayor will have a designated budget

:39:27.:39:28.

to create more places but obstacles still remain.

:39:29.:39:31.

There is still an existing stigma around vocational

:39:32.:39:33.

and apprenticeship education as opposed to more traditional,

:39:34.:39:36.

academic routes such as A levels and university.

:39:37.:39:39.

The reality is that the opportunities that are open to

:39:40.:39:49.

apprentices and people who follow a vocational route are many and

:39:50.:39:51.

By creating a new, young, skilled labour force, it's hoped

:39:52.:39:58.

the new mayor will be able to strengthen local communities,

:39:59.:40:02.

keeping workers close to their homes.

:40:03.:40:02.

The College of West Anglia works alongside local businesses to

:40:03.:40:05.

pinpoint the type of labour that is needed and demand is growing.

:40:06.:40:08.

We have an ageing workforce and a lot

:40:09.:40:12.

We are expecting people to come in at the ground and be able

:40:13.:40:21.

to deliver what those people leaving at the

:40:22.:40:23.

other end of the business are leaving with.

:40:24.:40:26.

We are making sure that, by bringing apprenticeships

:40:27.:40:28.

into that business, we are giving them the opportunity to

:40:29.:40:30.

Not only themselves, but also the business.

:40:31.:40:34.

Closing the skills gap is fundamental to the

:40:35.:40:36.

success of businesses across Cambridgeshire.

:40:37.:40:37.

Not only is there a shortage of skills, there is a

:40:38.:40:40.

mismatch between the skills people have and what employers need.

:40:41.:40:43.

Places like the College of West Anglia are key

:40:44.:40:48.

Whoever's elected next week will have powers to

:40:49.:40:52.

kick-start a housing boom and improve roads

:40:53.:40:54.

What can a new mayor do for me or us?

:40:55.:41:03.

If they want to do something for me, let him come round and canvas for my

:41:04.:41:08.

For Wisbech especially, I think put a bit of money in.

:41:09.:41:18.

A lot of the shops you see, when they are empty,

:41:19.:41:21.

they turn into pound shops, charity shops.

:41:22.:41:22.

Basically, try and promote the town because it's just

:41:23.:41:26.

full of charity shops and building societies, property places.

:41:27.:41:28.

This ship has come in from Latvia this morning.

:41:29.:41:39.

As you see, we have started unloading.

:41:40.:41:43.

Hopefully we will be finished by tomorrow

:41:44.:41:45.

One of the companies that could benefit is

:41:46.:41:50.

People were laid off as the recession bit.

:41:51.:41:54.

Just one ship a month would need its cargo unloading.

:41:55.:41:56.

That figure has now jumped, with the port turning over

:41:57.:41:59.

A lot of the lads here are migrant workers from Eastern Europe.

:42:00.:42:03.

If it is a hard Brexit, it might give us a pretty big

:42:04.:42:10.

Especially on boat days where gear up threefold.

:42:11.:42:22.

I think it would be a great idea if we

:42:23.:42:25.

had some sort of apprenticeship scheme where we start from the

:42:26.:42:29.

bottom, work their way into a proper job.

:42:30.:42:30.

May the fourth will be an important day in history for the

:42:31.:42:33.

county as it awaits its first-ever mayor.

:42:34.:42:35.

A role that could have a very real stake in the future of

:42:36.:42:38.

Here with me are Chloe Smith, Conservative MP for Norwich North,

:42:39.:42:44.

and Daniel Zeichner, the Labour MP for Cambridge,

:42:45.:42:46.

which is at the heart of the devolution deal.

:42:47.:42:50.

Daniel Zeichner, what difference do you think the new mayor will make?

:42:51.:42:56.

I think there are two things. Cambridgeshire got a very good deal

:42:57.:43:03.

on housing from the governments. 500 new council homes. That is what

:43:04.:43:07.

makes it worth having for the people in Cambridge. The lady in Wisbech as

:43:08.:43:12.

what difference it makes to her, transport powers. We can take

:43:13.:43:15.

control of our local bosses. If they are run by private companies, the

:43:16.:43:22.

mayor has more control. Kevin Price, Labour candidate, promised me we

:43:23.:43:27.

will make those powers very useful. Not everyone else has. The people in

:43:28.:43:33.

Wisbech said there has not been a lot of engagement. Do people really

:43:34.:43:39.

want a mayor? Do they get it? From talking to people on doorsteps, most

:43:40.:43:42.

people don't fully understand it. It's a new concept of a new idea. I

:43:43.:43:48.

hope whoever is elected will make it work and it is important for local

:43:49.:43:51.

MPs like me to work with them and make it work.

:43:52.:43:55.

Chloe Smith, the whole devolution deal wasn't a success

:43:56.:43:57.

Well, it was a case of not being able to agree together. My personal

:43:58.:44:07.

view is that it could have been beneficial. Some of the points

:44:08.:44:09.

Daniel make stretch more widely across the east. Did you miss out?

:44:10.:44:15.

Assignment to be honest, the past is the past. I think many of these

:44:16.:44:21.

powers are things that might continue to be worked on. Norfolk, I

:44:22.:44:25.

will talk about my own neck of the woods. The transport issues for us

:44:26.:44:30.

are very vital. I continue to campaign around the great Eastern

:44:31.:44:31.

mainline. More on roads. It was illed as giving

:44:32.:44:40.

local people more say Well, before Daniel nods his head to

:44:41.:44:56.

that, I have to say, he just said this is a good thing for Cambridge.

:44:57.:45:01.

It is not bad to have this on offer. They batted the past, I'm not

:45:02.:45:05.

terribly dated up what has been said around Norfolk and Suffolk about

:45:06.:45:09.

this. The council had to make decisions, it is close to my home. I

:45:10.:45:14.

think it is a shame that a Labour-controlled Norwich City

:45:15.:45:17.

Council could not agree to play nicely with the others. I would like

:45:18.:45:21.

to see these issues return to discussion in Norfolk and Suffolk

:45:22.:45:24.

because I think there are important things hair that little bit would

:45:25.:45:29.

you want, such as greater transport links, some of the points are and

:45:30.:45:34.

housing and young people's jobs. Looking at the film and the skills

:45:35.:45:40.

gap, is that something a mayor could tackle? Yes. The problem at the

:45:41.:45:45.

moment is the skill system is in turmoil with the apprenticeship

:45:46.:45:48.

leading. There are some worries about funding for some of the

:45:49.:45:52.

providers. The mayor will need to get a grip on this very quickly. The

:45:53.:45:58.

bigger point about this is looking at post-Brexit, we will need so many

:45:59.:46:01.

people to be filling the loss of jobs. It is vital we get this done

:46:02.:46:06.

quickly. OK, more from both of you in just a minute.

:46:07.:46:08.

Now, it's not only the Government that

:46:09.:46:10.

general election but many faces from parliament, too.

:46:11.:46:14.

Former MPs who could be standing again include

:46:15.:46:17.

Sir Bob Russell in Colchester, Brian Binley in Northampton North

:46:18.:46:19.

But some of our most distinguished MPs

:46:20.:46:23.

After 34 years, the political career of former Social

:46:24.:46:27.

Hertfordshire MP Peter Lilley draws to a close.

:46:28.:46:37.

Does my right honourable friend realise I'm standing

:46:38.:46:39.

down after 34 years because of her?

:46:40.:46:45.

Because I have confidence that the country will be

:46:46.:46:47.

safe after the election under her strong and stable leadership.

:46:48.:46:53.

Another MP standing down this time is the former deputy speaker and

:46:54.:46:56.

member of Saffron Walden Sir Alan Hazlehurst.

:46:57.:46:57.

Can I first of all pay tribute to my right honourable

:46:58.:47:01.

friend for his service, not just to his constituents over

:47:02.:47:03.

the years but his service to his house when he

:47:04.:47:06.

took the chair as deputy speaker of this house.

:47:07.:47:16.

Speaker Bercow called former minister and Chelmsford MP

:47:17.:47:18.

Simon Burns to speak for the last time.

:47:19.:47:20.

In wishing the right honourable gentlemen all the best for the

:47:21.:47:22.

It has been a great honour to represent the people of Chelmsford

:47:23.:47:40.

here at the House of Commons and it has been a fascinating job.

:47:41.:47:45.

There have been highs, lows, high drama

:47:46.:47:48.

But also, there is the looking forward to future challenges.

:47:49.:48:02.

Northampton South MP David McIntosh has confirmed he is to go.

:48:03.:48:06.

As is the Brentwood MP, who earned this compliment from the

:48:07.:48:09.

Can I first of all pay tribute to my right honourable friend, my

:48:10.:48:17.

So, after 25 years in parliament the former Communities

:48:18.:48:27.

and Local Government Secretary is standing down.

:48:28.:48:28.

I spoke to Sir Eric Pickles earlier this week and asked

:48:29.:48:35.

him if he'd had to do much soul searching.

:48:36.:48:41.

Ten days ago, I had no idea that, tonight, they would be selecting

:48:42.:48:46.

I had decided that I had fought my last general

:48:47.:48:49.

election and I needed to decide whether I really wanted to do

:48:50.:48:53.

I decided that, in truth, I really didn't.

:48:54.:48:55.

Theresa May called you her chum this week.

:48:56.:48:59.

I was her deputy when we were in opposition.

:49:00.:49:18.

I think she's a great person to work with

:49:19.:49:23.

and I am really delighted in the way in which she has taken to the job of

:49:24.:49:27.

You say you are everyone's charm, after

:49:28.:49:32.

25 years, is it going to be the people you miss most, or what?

:49:33.:49:36.

I am going to miss that daily cameraderie and

:49:37.:49:48.

gossip that goes with being a Member of Parliament.

:49:49.:49:51.

Yesterday was a very emotional day for me when Parliament

:49:52.:49:56.

closed down and 25 years of your life is a long time,

:49:57.:49:59.

but I hope I'll keep in touch with people.

:50:00.:50:05.

In many ways, it is not the grandstanding, it is

:50:06.:50:13.

I clearly did a lot of things with regards to planning.

:50:14.:50:23.

I change the nature of housing, I reformed local governments

:50:24.:50:28.

Is there something that is niggling you now?

:50:29.:50:31.

Something you wish you had achieved or you had done?

:50:32.:50:34.

I feel like I put a lot of effort into weekly collections,

:50:35.:50:38.

I put a lot of effort into that, I put a lot of resources.

:50:39.:50:42.

I hoped that local authorities would rise to the

:50:43.:50:43.

occasion and I'm very pleased I live in an area that has

:50:44.:50:46.

In some places, fortnightly and monthly collections.

:50:47.:50:49.

It does seem to me that, unless you are prepared to provide

:50:50.:50:52.

a weekly collection, then in some way local

:50:53.:50:54.

Something else you have been connected to, the

:50:55.:51:07.

Looking back on that, it was criticised,

:51:08.:51:11.

A lot of money spent, perhaps not reaching the people it

:51:12.:51:16.

I thought the report, if I'm being very blunt, was

:51:17.:51:25.

premature and it seemed to me to be something to do with the sector

:51:26.:51:28.

I'm pleased to see police and fire, and health,

:51:29.:51:31.

and probation, and housing all working together.

:51:32.:51:33.

It just seems to me to have been just a little

:51:34.:51:40.

premature to make a judgment about that in a relatively small

:51:41.:51:43.

I remain in the Prime Minister's special envoy on

:51:44.:52:06.

That is actually quite a busy programme.

:52:07.:52:12.

We're building a new learning centre.

:52:13.:52:18.

I'm involved in getting goods and treasures back from the Nazis.

:52:19.:52:26.

I'm involved in spreading Holocaust education.

:52:27.:52:36.

I've been involved in anti-racist activities just about as

:52:37.:52:38.

long as I've been a member of the Conservative Party, and I'm looking

:52:39.:52:41.

forward to devoting an enormous amount of time to doing that.

:52:42.:52:46.

Sir Eric Pickles, thank you very much.

:52:47.:52:57.

And we're going to lose a lot more faces.

:52:58.:52:59.

No denying Labour are going into this election on the back foot.

:53:00.:53:02.

I'm not so sure about that. That is what pundits say, but not what it

:53:03.:53:10.

seems to be out on the street. You have seen people can misread the

:53:11.:53:14.

mood and I think it will be an interesting five or six weeks. This

:53:15.:53:16.

is a long campaign. Chloe Smith, when I was talking

:53:17.:53:19.

to Eric Pickles this week, his advice for fellow

:53:20.:53:21.

Conservatives was, Is that good advice? It is always

:53:22.:53:32.

good advice. Like many others across this region, high-value talking to

:53:33.:53:37.

my constituents as well. Daniel's part of Jeremy Corbyn's team and

:53:38.:53:42.

what we see nationally from that team is chaos and confusion. This is

:53:43.:53:46.

a large long and stable leadership at this election.

:53:47.:53:50.

No, this is about getting the best deal for Britain.

:53:51.:54:04.

But Theresa May kept saying she didn't want a general election.

:54:05.:54:07.

Well, we are now in that two-year period of negotiation for a good

:54:08.:54:13.

Brexit deal and this is about having a leader that can get a good deal.

:54:14.:54:19.

That will make a difference in fact towns, cities and counties across

:54:20.:54:24.

the east. We need the strength behind that leader to go and do

:54:25.:54:25.

that. Daniel Zeichner, five weeks to go

:54:26.:54:27.

and, locally, you haven't got They will all be in place. Don't we

:54:28.:54:39.

about that. That is not an issue. It is the repeated narrow mantra that

:54:40.:54:43.

is the problem being repeated by the Conservatives. You need something

:54:44.:54:47.

more subtle and sophisticated than just shouting to negotiate with

:54:48.:54:52.

Europe. Do you remember who won the war that John Major fought over

:54:53.:54:57.

beef? No, of course you don't. You need to look at the Plantier Starmer

:54:58.:55:02.

set out. That will get a good deal for Britain. -- Kier Starmer.

:55:03.:55:07.

Chloe Smith, Labour have already come up with plans

:55:08.:55:09.

Support for small businesses in this region.

:55:10.:55:18.

We haven't heard what policies are there for this

:55:19.:55:23.

I think this is Labour's seven different plans now. That is a

:55:24.:55:32.

measure of chaos and not a confident approach. You are not seeing a kind

:55:33.:55:37.

of unity that people want. You are seeing a coalition of that. What

:55:38.:55:42.

about this region? What are your policies? To reason may has been

:55:43.:55:47.

talking this morning about a better deal for workers in relation to

:55:48.:55:54.

pensions. -- Theresa May. You will see those plans in the manifesto and

:55:55.:55:57.

I'm sure we will come back and at once they are published. The other

:55:58.:56:02.

things that are important are things like transport links. If we can

:56:03.:56:05.

continue to have a strong economy and locking the growth that has been

:56:06.:56:09.

achieved their eye having a strong leader that will also go to Europe

:56:10.:56:14.

to get a good deal, then we can make a great deal of progress on those

:56:15.:56:15.

things for our region as well. Daniel Zeichner, realistically,

:56:16.:56:17.

what's the future looking I'm not denying, and the moment, it

:56:18.:56:27.

looks challenging. We have been here before. As people think hard about

:56:28.:56:32.

what their future life will be, they see petrol prices going up, prices

:56:33.:56:36.

rising in the shops, the health service under pressure and schools

:56:37.:56:40.

sending out begging letters. We are a rich country, we can do so much

:56:41.:56:44.

better than that. I had to stop you there.

:56:45.:56:47.

Time now for our 60 second political round up of the week,

:56:48.:56:50.

and Guess who's impressed with Essex man?

:56:51.:56:52.

Deborah McGurran has the answer and more.

:56:53.:57:00.

Clacton once again at the middle of a political storm

:57:01.:57:03.

Arron Banks turned up with a plan to fight the seat but, within hours,

:57:04.:57:08.

What I said the meeting was that Clacton is

:57:09.:57:12.

I will be financially supporting them whatever,

:57:13.:57:14.

The Conservative Euro MP Vicky Ford has been chosen to fight Chelmsford,

:57:15.:57:21.

following Sir Simon Burns' stepping down.

:57:22.:57:25.

The Liberal Democrats have Cambridge very firmly in their

:57:26.:57:28.

sights as leader Tim Farron turned up in the most marginal seat

:57:29.:57:31.

The opportunity of the British people and people in

:57:32.:57:36.

Cambridge is to change the direction of the country.

:57:37.:57:38.

Kettering MP Philip Hollobone will benefit from a

:57:39.:57:41.

Ukip pact not to field candidates against the pro-Brexit Tories.

:57:42.:57:43.

Ukip have also pledged not to stand against Peterborough's

:57:44.:57:45.

I don't think there will be very many instances of us standing

:57:46.:57:53.

And Jeremy Corbyn, on a visit to Harlow,

:57:54.:57:59.

I love Essex men and love Essex women, and I love Essex.

:58:00.:58:04.

In all honesty, I don't really care much for Ukip during this election.

:58:05.:58:32.

It is a question about Ukip candidates and what they want.

:58:33.:58:35.

Voters need to know what they want and I think that you would have just

:58:36.:58:41.

urge people to vote Conservative in the local general elections.

:58:42.:58:43.

Daniel Zeichner, do you support collaberations on the left

:58:44.:58:45.

Is that a good idea? I think you just trust voters to make the right

:58:46.:58:59.

choices. You cannot use them as pawns on a chessboard. The Ukip

:59:00.:59:04.

party has been captured by hardline Brexiteers and people need to know

:59:05.:59:08.

what that will mean for the future. It is the Conservative Party that is

:59:09.:59:11.

ironically more split many Labour Party.

:59:12.:59:16.

It need not go that way. It is about the national interest, getting a

:59:17.:59:28.

good deal from Europe and only trees reason may can deliver that. The

:59:29.:59:32.

rest is potentially a coalition of chaos about what you want. --

:59:33.:59:39.

Theresa May. Will people come vote, Daniel Zeichner? There was a lot of

:59:40.:59:45.

fatigue around elections. Do you trust a woman who tells you that

:59:46.:59:49.

there will not be a general election then completely, complete the

:59:50.:59:54.

promise? Do you listen to that? No. Then why listen to anything else she

:59:55.:00:01.

says? Will voter fatigue be an issue? Welcome myself, I want to

:00:02.:00:05.

talk to people out on the doorsteps, I enjoy that. That is what politics

:00:06.:00:10.

is all about. It is about working hard for your constituents and

:00:11.:00:16.

getting the best deal. Rather than packed and tactical voting? I agree

:00:17.:00:19.

with that. Thank you, both of you. We'll be back next week

:00:20.:00:22.

after the county councils elections and the results from

:00:23.:00:25.

that mayoral contest Hope you can join us

:00:26.:00:27.

for all the analysis on the results. actually give us a blank cheque and

:00:28.:00:35.

we will take the mandate that we want. To all three of you, thank

:00:36.:00:39.

you. Andrew, back to you. So, how will Thursday's local

:00:40.:00:52.

election results affect Who's winning the

:00:53.:00:53.

election ground war? And as he celebrates 100

:00:54.:00:56.

days in the White House, We have the local elections, Metro

:00:57.:01:14.

elections in Liverpool, greater Birmingham, West Midlands, how will

:01:15.:01:18.

they play into the general election? Significantly, it is very unusual.

:01:19.:01:22.

People keep comparing this with the election in 83, not! Margaret

:01:23.:01:27.

Thatcher was nervous and to wait until after the local elections to

:01:28.:01:30.

call the election to see the result. We are getting these result in the

:01:31.:01:34.

middle of an election campaign so it will be important, whoever does

:01:35.:01:40.

badly will suffer a dent in confidence in terms of how they

:01:41.:01:44.

approach the election and we are also going to have mayoral figures

:01:45.:01:48.

as a reminder of another big difference with the 80s that however

:01:49.:01:53.

big, say, the Conservatives win in Westminster, there are now sectors

:01:54.:01:57.

of power in other parts of the United Kingdom which were not there

:01:58.:02:01.

in the 80s. One of the reasons niches that are rated in 83 was

:02:02.:02:05.

memories were still alive in political circles of 1970, Wilson

:02:06.:02:11.

saw the local election results and thought, I can win, he was told he

:02:12.:02:15.

would win by the Economist magazine, who had done the analysis, and of

:02:16.:02:19.

course he lost, so that is why she waited, Mrs May does not need to

:02:20.:02:27.

wait for that at all now, and on the Metro elections, the one she will be

:02:28.:02:30.

looking at is the West Midlands, that is the one that is a

:02:31.:02:34.

competition. I think she can really lose on Thursday in the local

:02:35.:02:38.

elections, governing parties are supposed to take effect again,

:02:39.:02:42.

losing lots of council seats. She is projected to put on 100 or so seats,

:02:43.:02:48.

Labour projected to lose around 200, the first time the main opposition

:02:49.:02:52.

party has shed seats since something like 83 so clearly the local

:02:53.:02:56.

elections give Mrs May great momentum going into the general

:02:57.:02:59.

election campaign but there is a downside in that, which is what we

:03:00.:03:03.

have already heard fighting about this morning, if it looks like it is

:03:04.:03:08.

going too well for the Tories, it says to voters, why bother turning

:03:09.:03:12.

up? Sushi comes up with totally unbelievable sound bites this

:03:13.:03:15.

morning that this is the most important general election in her

:03:16.:03:22.

lifetime. Really?! For her it is! It always is until the next one! I

:03:23.:03:28.

wonder if voter turnout is a problem? Tory voters are more likely

:03:29.:03:33.

to vote than Labour voters. If there is a sense that it is all over bar

:03:34.:03:38.

the shouting, the overall turnout will be low that Tory voters are

:03:39.:03:42.

still likely to turn out more than Labour voters so she would still win

:03:43.:03:47.

some. I don't think she needs to be too worried, I think there will be a

:03:48.:03:51.

significantly low turnout, even I am finding it hard to be that excited

:03:52.:03:59.

about this general election. Really, the policies, we have spent a lot of

:04:00.:04:02.

time talking about them today and we have to examine them, but all this

:04:03.:04:07.

is about is, do you want Theresa May or Jeremy Corbyn in Number Ten?

:04:08.:04:11.

Those are the only question is, apart from possibly how strong do

:04:12.:04:15.

you feel about Brexit, that will be on the voters' minds. You may say

:04:16.:04:20.

that but I will not be put off from going through a list of policies

:04:21.:04:25.

that we have already had in the last 24 hours. On the Conservatives, more

:04:26.:04:31.

powers to stop company bosses under pensions, of course Philip Green was

:04:32.:04:38.

in mind there. Labour has come up with quite a few policies, actually,

:04:39.:04:43.

give all work of equal rights, whether part-time or full-time,

:04:44.:04:53.

temporary or permanent. Ukip, scrap VAT or takeaway -- on takeaway food

:04:54.:04:58.

and end the BBC licence fee. The Liberal Democrats have come out

:04:59.:05:04.

posed to the runway at Heathrow. I thought I knew that already? Will

:05:05.:05:11.

any of these policies make a difference? They are all nice handy

:05:12.:05:17.

things that people quite liked but probably not, is the answer. They

:05:18.:05:21.

are an awful way away from polling day now for people to remember and

:05:22.:05:24.

latch onto. I don't think you make your mind up on small issues like

:05:25.:05:30.

Heathrow, unless you live in Richmond-upon-Thames, maybe, but the

:05:31.:05:33.

problem Labour have got with unfailing a lot of these retail type

:05:34.:05:38.

policies which, in themselves, are very popular, is no one will listen

:05:39.:05:43.

to them until they get over the leadership credibility issue. Jeremy

:05:44.:05:46.

Corbyn could the world on a stick, but if no one believes he can

:05:47.:05:49.

deliver it then he will not be listened to and he has not done much

:05:50.:05:53.

apart from a speech yesterday in which is claim to fame was getting

:05:54.:05:56.

arrested, I don't see how that would work for him getting to Number Ten.

:05:57.:06:02.

They are not making progress on it. Labour has rolled out a number of

:06:03.:06:08.

policies which, taken individually, would have certain traction in

:06:09.:06:14.

normal times, quite interesting ideas, this sense of unfairness, a

:06:15.:06:16.

feeling that ordinary workers have not done well out of the recovery,

:06:17.:06:22.

those who caused the crash have, 20 points, I went through some of them

:06:23.:06:26.

earlier, putting aside they are not costed, we are assured they will be.

:06:27.:06:30.

The problem I suggest is not the costing but the cut through? Every

:06:31.:06:37.

election has a context which is determined by opinion polls, however

:06:38.:06:40.

sceptical we are these days, and if one party is way ahead it is

:06:41.:06:44.

difficult for the other party to appear relevant, because if people

:06:45.:06:49.

assume they are not going to win, even some of its own MPs are saying,

:06:50.:06:54.

we are not going to win this, so you can vote for us, it is very hard to

:06:55.:07:01.

get attention and relevance. Where I think all the parties are bad with

:07:02.:07:05.

their current leaders is framing arguments, so those policies you

:07:06.:07:11.

have highlighted makes sense. The best leaders are brilliant framers

:07:12.:07:14.

of an argument and neither Theresa Maynor Jeremy Corbyn R. They have

:07:15.:07:20.

been campaigning, their manifestos are not out yet, both sides have

:07:21.:07:25.

been telling us we have to wait for costings, but it has not stopped

:07:26.:07:28.

them campaigning. Let's remind you of where they have been and what

:07:29.:07:33.

they have been doing so far. Let's start with Jeremy Corbyn, his

:07:34.:07:38.

first official visit was in the ultra-marginal Conservative seat of

:07:39.:07:42.

Croydon Central where the MP Gavin Barwell has a lead of just 165. That

:07:43.:07:47.

is not the only Conservative seat he has visited, along the way he popped

:07:48.:07:52.

in on Bristol North West, a Conservative majority of nearly

:07:53.:07:58.

5000. The Tory seat of Cardiff North, a lead of just over 2000,

:07:59.:08:05.

Warrington South, just over 2700, and Crewe and Nantwich, Tory

:08:06.:08:10.

majority of three and a half thousand. Yesterday he visited

:08:11.:08:16.

Bethnal greed and Bob, a Labour lead of 20 4000. Theresa May kicked off

:08:17.:08:21.

her campaign in Bolton, Labour majority of over 4000. On her way

:08:22.:08:26.

round the UK she had a comfy stop in her own maidenhead seat, where she

:08:27.:08:31.

is defending a majority of nearly 30,000, before travelling to other

:08:32.:08:34.

Labour marginals including Dudley North, a Labour lead of 4000.

:08:35.:08:41.

Bridgend, a lead of just under 2004 Labour, before becoming ambitious

:08:42.:08:43.

and visiting shadow minister Richard Bergen's Leeds East seat, which he

:08:44.:08:59.

won by over 12,500 votes. Yesterday she went north of the border to

:09:00.:09:01.

Aberdeenshire, where amongst other places she visited the SNP seat of

:09:02.:09:03.

West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine, where the Tories would have to gain

:09:04.:09:05.

over 7000 votes to unseat the NP. What do you make of it all so far?

:09:06.:09:12.

It is remarkable she is doing these visits in Scotland. Past but even

:09:13.:09:16.

five years and the idea of a Tory Prime Minister going round Scotland

:09:17.:09:20.

would be utterly counter-productive, and actually they are ambitious for

:09:21.:09:25.

Scotland now under with Davidson, a prospect of multiple seats, and that

:09:26.:09:29.

would be a real genuine shift in Scottish politics, the likes of

:09:30.:09:32.

which we have not seen for 15 or 20 years. If she gets that, that helps

:09:33.:09:42.

towards 100 seats, because if she wins ten in Scotland, it is

:09:43.:09:46.

effectively 20, the SNP lose ten, she gains ten, she wants to do that

:09:47.:09:51.

in the Midlands with Labour, and the North. To get the 100 majority,

:09:52.:09:56.

other than Scotland, she has to win Labour seats, that is all that is

:09:57.:10:01.

there. And clearly she has been told, it is obvious, that she has a

:10:02.:10:05.

chance of doing so, otherwise you don't go to these parts of the

:10:06.:10:08.

country in the first few days of the campaign. All logic points to her

:10:09.:10:14.

being able to pull it off as well. The opinion polls, the state of the

:10:15.:10:18.

Labour Party. The only qualification I have in this is that politics is

:10:19.:10:22.

so wild and free Braille at the moment, it doesn't feel like

:10:23.:10:30.

landslide to rain. That is true, it doesn't. It is early days, we

:10:31.:10:35.

haven't yet had the manifestos, the campaign is yet to gather momentum.

:10:36.:10:39.

It doesn't feel like landslide territory. I disagree, look at every

:10:40.:10:48.

single poll, the Tory lead is 10% in Wales, you can see her picking up 20

:10:49.:10:52.

seat there. Put this together, I am told by the way she is going into

:10:53.:10:57.

traditional Labour heartland again tomorrow, the key is the Ukip vote.

:10:58.:11:02.

That will implode... Crumble towards Tories? If she can hoover that up

:11:03.:11:21.

and retain the Tory vote, she will have a majority of 150.

:11:22.:11:22.

I cannot let you go without reminding you that it is Donald

:11:23.:11:23.

Trump's 100 days. He's not making a lot of it now, this is what he said

:11:24.:11:23.

last night. We are just beginning in our fight

:11:24.:11:26.

to make America great again. Now, before we talk about my first

:11:27.:11:29.

100 days, which has been very exciting and very productive,

:11:30.:11:38.

let's rate the media's 100 days. Because, as you know,

:11:39.:11:42.

they are a disgrace. There you go, still bashing the

:11:43.:12:02.

media, that was at a rally in Virginia, the 100 days was last

:12:03.:12:07.

night. He seems happier campaigning than running the country. You each

:12:08.:12:11.

have 20 seconds to give me your board on the first 100 days.

:12:12.:12:19.

Remarkable, he will not stop slagging off the media but America

:12:20.:12:24.

first has not meant America first in terms of national policy, he has

:12:25.:12:28.

reneges on what he said about Nato being obsolete. He is moving from

:12:29.:12:33.

the old right to the centre because that is where you get things done,

:12:34.:12:41.

he is a pragmatist, also is about's friend Nigel Parrott is no longer

:12:42.:12:46.

welcome, we read this morning! Allegedly! He loves campaigning but

:12:47.:12:52.

finds governing much more difficult. Who would have thought being

:12:53.:12:55.

president of the United States was a difficult job?! He loves rallies but

:12:56.:12:59.

being president and politics is a very difficult thing indeed. Thank

:13:00.:13:05.

you, there we go, Mr Trump's 100 days, we will see what the next 100

:13:06.:13:07.

brings. The Daily Politics is back

:13:08.:13:09.

on BBC Two after the bank holiday on Tuesday at midday,

:13:10.:13:12.

with all the latest And I'll be back here

:13:13.:13:14.

on BBC One next Sunday Remember - if it's Sunday,

:13:15.:13:18.

it's the Sunday Politics. The East End girl who became the

:13:19.:14:24.

nation's favourite. We don't know what it is,

:14:25.:14:27.

but she definitely has... Something. From stage to screen

:14:28.:14:32.

and into our hearts. Ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha!

:14:33.:14:37.

Ooh, in't she wonderful? If you're not careful, you'll end up

:14:38.:14:44.

playing this sexy little blonde

:14:45.:14:48.

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