22/01/2012 Sunday Politics London


22/01/2012

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Afternoon, folks, welcome to Sunday Politics. Our top story:

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George Osborne wants Britain to "play its part" to stabilise the

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world economy. But opposition is growing to a request for billions

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of pounds in extra funds from Britain to bailout the eurozone.

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Does the Chancellor have a fight on his hands?

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The unions didn't like it, neither did some of his own MPs. Has Ed

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Miliband got his fingers burnt messing with Labour's economic

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policy? I'll be asking Shadow Business Secretary, Chuka Umunna,

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Their judges ruled that radical Muslim Cleric, Abu Qatada, can stay

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in this country, so should we leave the European Court of Human Rights?

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We'll debate that live. And our regular political panel is

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here to analyse the week ahead in politics and tweeting throughout

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the programme, including the journalist whose story could end

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Environment Secretary Chris Huhne's political career. In London, why

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Boris Johnson has said that he backs a new airport. What is the

:01:42.:01:52.
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coalition government going to All that is coming up. First, the

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news with Tim Willcox. The long journey to finding a

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Republican presidential candidate has taken another twist overnight

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after the right winger, Newt Gingrich, triumphed in the key

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South Carolina primary. The former Speaker of the House of

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Representatives pulled off a surprise victory over the current

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frontrunner, Mitt Romney. Our North America editor, Mark Mardell,

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reports from South Carolina. Meet Gingrich's supporters had a

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lot to celebrate. -- Newt Gingrich's supporters. But he has

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an immense amount of work to do if this victory is to be any more than

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a flash in the pan. The former Speaker told the crowd why he

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wanted to win the right to take on President Obama in the autumn

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election. I believe because we, after a year of conversation -- we

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decided we wanted to run because we concluded, this is the most

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important election of our lifetime. If Barack Obama can get re-elected

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Just think how radical he would be in a second term. The victory is a

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blow to Mitt Romney, the front runner who is distrusted by many

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Republican Conservatives. In his speech, he warned Newt Gingrich to

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lay off attacking -- attacking his record as a businessman. Our party

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can't be led to victory by someone who has also never run a business,

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and never run a state. When my opponent's attack success and free

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enterprise, they are not only attacking me, but their attacking

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every person who dreams of a better future. Black - but they are

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The state by state election next move to Florida. Conservative

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celebrating here tonight will hope they have found one single

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candidate they can unite behind and so a pos Mitt Romney. This result

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means the road ahead will be long and probably rather nasty. -- and

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Close The Deputy Prime Minister, Nick

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Clegg, has defended Government proposals for a �500-a-week benefit

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cap. Mr Clegg told the BBC he believed the measures would

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encourage people who were able to work to seek employment. But he

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said more thought was needed on the way the plans are implemented.

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The Government's controversial plans to reform the NHS in England

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are expected to be criticised this week in a report by senior MPs. The

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Commons Health Select Committee - which is led by a Conservative - is

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likely to attack Health Secretary Andrew Lansley's strategy of trying

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to save billions of pounds while attempting to carry out a major

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overhaul of the service. A 6-year-old girl is in hospital

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with serious injuries after being mauled by a dog. It happened in a

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park near Chingford in north-east London yesterday. The dog bit off

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part of her ear. Police are trying to find the dog and its owner.

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That's it - there's more here on BBC One at 6:30pm this evening.

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Andrew. There's mounting opposition from

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MPs to the idea that Britain should stump up billions of pounds to help

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the stricken eurozone. The money would be channelled through the IMF

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- the International Monetary Fund - which has asked for an extra �325

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billion from members. In a moment I'll be joined by senior Tory

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backbencher, David Davis. But first, this is what the Deputy Prime

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Minister said on this morning's Andrew Marr Show. We ought to, and

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the Chancellor was very clear about this, we must always be strong

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supporters of the IMF. It is a linchpin, in many ways it was a

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British invention in the creation of these great institutions in the

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post-war period. It is a linchpin in creating a system of stability.

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We will contribute more if we asked to? We will always make our fair

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contribution to the IMF, when it says and shows that increased

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contributions are necessary. David Davis, do you agree with the Deputy

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Prime Minister? Historically he is right, the IMF has been the

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linchpin, but you have got to ask himself why -- yourself why the

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Americans, Canada, Japan, are all antagonistic towards this proposal.

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It is because the IMF is about to do something new. That is not to

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look after poor countries in difficulty but prop up some of the

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richest countries in the world, in pursuit of a policy which has

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failed already. I don't know which buyout this will be by the time we

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get to it. -- which bail-out. Principle because the leaders of

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Europe will not recognise it is not just the return that has a problem

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but that the euro is a problem. -- not just the eurozone that has a

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problem. Look at the proposals, they are continually bailing out

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but not allowing the one thing which will allow Greece, Portugal,

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Ireland, Spain, Italy to recover, which is devaluation, which

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requires leaving the euro. As a result, what we are looking at is

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probably a decade of zombie economies, of countries to have no

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way forward other than to cut back on public services and public

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spending. They have got to do some of that anyway, but if they haven't

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got any growth in the economy, all our markets in Europe... They will

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be suffering poverty for a decade. British policy as given by the

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Treasury, the Chancellor, the Prime Minister, is to try to save the

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eurozone as currently constituted. We are supporting measures to that

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end. Is that the wrong policy? think it is. I think we should

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recognise that the measures designed to keep Greece and

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Portugal and maybe others within the euro are not working. They

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actually hold out the prospect for causing a bigger catastrophe and

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crisis. I think we should think again about that possible but I can

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understand why. There is lots of business pressure on the government

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to protect the euro as it now stands, because we have got big

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markets. But they are going to be eroded and damaged by the policy

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the European Union is following. Our policy in your view should be

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to let purism break up? I would go for an orderly reductions. -- to

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let the eurozone break up? I still think there will be a eurozone in a

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decade, but if they are sensible, it would be the strong economies of

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the north plus those they can keep within, France and Italy, probably,

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in the medium term. I don't really think that keeping Greece and

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Portugal, maybe Ireland within, is in the very long term, even

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possible. If the government comes to Parliament to ask for more money

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for the IMF, will you vote for or against? If it is for the IMF to

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support the current year his own policies, I would vote against.

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be joined by many of your colleagues? -- will you be joined?

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There are quite a few who are critical of supporting the eurozone

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with British taxpayers' money. The Prime Minister has said we did not

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intend to do that. I suspect there would be quite a few there, yes.

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Political parties can't win elections if they are not trusted

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on the economy. Despite the television's economic troubles,

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Labour is struggling to convince voters that it could do better. It

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is also struggling in the polls. One put Labour five points behind

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the Conservatives this morning. That's despite Labour's leadership

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efforts to shift the political debate forward.

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Shadow Chancellor, Ed Balls, said he could not commit to reversing

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any government cuts, if Labour came to power in 2015. He backed the

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coalition's cap on public sector pay. The head of Labour's biggest

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union donor was furious and said embracing austerity would lead to

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the destruction of the party and certain election defeat. Ed

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Miliband stood firm, saying it was tough if people disagreed with him.

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Meanwhile, the party has not given up fighting individual cuts,

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helping defeat government welfare reforms in the Lords. One Labour MP

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questioned whether this new strategy made sense. I think Ed

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Miliband is to go back to the drawing board, to rethink through a

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current deficit reduction plan, which he should have. But one that

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has got some real meat in it. was John Mann. With me to discuss

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Labour's economic policy, the Shadow Business Secretary, Chuka

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What is different about Labour's economic policy now, compared with

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a week ago? I think the key thing is that we have emphasised what we

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would do in the current climate, given the current situation with

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the public finances. We still, absolutely oppose the economic

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strategy that is being pursued by the government. Not least because

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yes, it is true, we have to reduce debt. But the way they are going

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about it is counter-productive. Because it is creating a vicious

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circle. So what is different? key thing we have emphasised is

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that we are not in a position to promise now to reverse all of the

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different things that the government is doing. In respect of

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the 2015 general election. In the same way that viewers of this

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programme are not in a position to decide, given household finances,

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where they will be in three years' time, whenever they decide to go on

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holiday, we are not in a position to do that either. I asked what was

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different. That was also your policy over a week ago and it has

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been your policy throughout opposition. Ed Balls told the

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Labour conference last September, no matter how much we dislike

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particular Tory spending cuts or tax rises, we cannot make promises

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not to reverse them. I won't do that, neither will any of my shadow

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cabinet colleagues. So that is not new either. I suppose the one thing

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that has been different is that we have been very clear that we are

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not in a position to promise -- make promises on public-sector pay,

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which are practically different from the government. We have said

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that we would accept the 1% cap on public sector pay. Where we differ

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from the government is that we think you should look to do that in

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a far more fairway. If you were tough on those earning more in the

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public sector, we believe that in respect of lower-paid workers, we

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would be able to give them �250 more at least. On the public sector

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pay freeze, you are really running to catch up with the coalition

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there. I don't accept that. In government, we were quite clear

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from 2009 that we would have to have public sector pay restraints,

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and we made some reference to that in our manifesto as well. If that

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is the any substantive change, and it is what Andy Burnham told me on

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The Daily Politics last week as well, is that alongside the public

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sector for its -- pay freeze enough to restore your economic

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credibility? I think for economic credibility, you need growth.

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That's why we have put forward are five point plan for growth in jobs,

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because we say that you cannot reduce the borrowing of the country

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unless you have growth, unless you have people getting back into work.

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2.6 million people out of work are people not paying income tax and to

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whom we have to pay benefit. We must prioritised growth in

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particular as a way of sorting out the country's finances. To that

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extent, that is a key distinction between us and the government. The

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government say everything has to be about the debt, we say you can't

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reduce your debt unless you have gross going again. I understand

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that but if we look at the map - a measure of growth going again. If

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you look at the public attitude -- It doesn't get worse than that.

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What I would say, polls are polls. that matters of votes. First of all,

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clearly, if we had got everything right and people had full

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confidence in the Labour Party, we would be in government now. We have

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to be humble enough to admit we did not get everything right, for

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example around the regulation of the banks. Secondly, I see the

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survey -- the poll in front of us but what really matters is what

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people think in the ballot box. We have had five by-elections over 12

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months, not all of them easy, that we have won. Those are votes from

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people. David Cameron in particular will tell you this, in the lead-up

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to the 2010 general election, the polls were saying he was going to

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be governing with a majority and that he would win the election.

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That did not happen. We have to be absolutely focused on the main

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things that people care about, the cost of living is the one thing

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that people are concerned about at the moment. That is something Ed

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Miliband was talking about. He was ridiculed for talking about the

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squeezed middle. That is a key argument. If all that is true, why

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have you got a 23% credibility on the economy? At a time when it is

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hardly going well for the coalition. Polls go up and down. These haven't,

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they have kept going down. If you look at the overall rating for the

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Labour Party, it is significantly higher than 2010. We will come on

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to that in a minute! Votes are what matters and the key thing is, are

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we making the arguments that really impact on people's lives? I have

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over 4,000 people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance in my

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constituency, they don't care about polls, they care about what you are

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going to do to get me back into work. That is what really matters,

:15:43.:15:52.
:15:53.:15:54.

Let's look at welfare reform, which is becoming a big issue. �26,000 a

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year, more than the average age, isn't that plenty for anybody on

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benefits to be collecting from the state? If you put it in those terms,

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you make a persuasive argument. We are not opposed to a benefit cap in

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principle. We are opposed to the way that the Government is doing it.

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Actually this is based on what Eric Pickles has said in a letter to

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Number 10 Downing Street. He pointed out last year that because

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of the changes, you would be forcing 40,000 people into

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homelessness. It was a departmental letter which the Government now

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says was based on false figures. Hang on just a moment. This is

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their own communities secretary saying that this could potentially

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cost them more money in the long term. In respect of that �26,000

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figure which you mention, Andrew, the way it has been calculated,

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they say that is the average of what people in work are learning in

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this country. The average includes people on benefit. In fact it comes

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in under what the average would be for people not on benefit. For any

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of our viewers watching this programme, they would have to earn

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�35,000 a year, much above the average wage, to end up with the

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take home of �26,000. Surely that is a decent cab for people on

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benefits. Otherwise you take away any incentive to work. There are a

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number of problems with it, as I said. I have outlined why the

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26,000 figure is not entirely accurate. What would you have?

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are not in Government at the moment. But you don't like what the

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Government is doing. No, what I said was that in principle we are

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not opposed to having a benefits cap. We are opposed to the way the

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Government has done it. There is also an issue about having the same

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level across the country, which needs to be looked at. Would you

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have a London cab and one for the rest of the country? I am not

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necessarily saying that. So what are you saying? The Government

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needs to think this out better. do you. Hang on just a minute,

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Andrew. We are not in Government. It is for the Government to come

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forward. If you are criticising the Government then you need to tell us

:18:13.:18:19.

what you would do. We do not have a problem with the cap in principle,

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but Denise to be implemented in a fair weight which would not cost

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more to society. -- which needs to be implemented in a fair way.

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McCluskey, let's look at what he had to say. It was not just policy.

:18:34.:18:39.

He said that Ed Balls's sudden embrace of austerity challenges the

:18:39.:18:41.

whole course that Ed Miliband has set for the party and perhaps his

:18:41.:18:48.

leadership itself. That is the head of your union, Len McCluskey, so

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how significant is he as a political figure to talk of Labour

:18:52.:18:56.

leadership? Len McCluskey leads the country's biggest union and it is

:18:57.:19:01.

significant when he says anything. I fundamentally disagree with it

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though. We have to be careful that we do not end up doing George

:19:05.:19:09.

Osborne's work for him. Why do I say that? Because the argument that

:19:09.:19:12.

George Osborne is seeking to prosecute is that there are only

:19:12.:19:18.

two options. Either 100% austerity or an option which says we do not

:19:18.:19:25.

have to do any consolidation at all. We are going for a more sensible

:19:25.:19:29.

argument, which says that we have to consolidate and reduce borrowing,

:19:29.:19:32.

but in a realistic way that does not choke off growth and keeps

:19:32.:19:36.

people in work and can hopefully raise living standards, which is

:19:36.:19:39.

the big issue for people in this country. It seems to be so subtle

:19:39.:19:44.

that it is not getting through to the country. Let's look at your

:19:44.:19:48.

leader's net approval rating, among all voters. It compares to light of

:19:48.:19:53.

last year with January now. He had a negative approval rating in July,

:19:53.:20:01.

not great, -12. Now it has gone all the way down in six months to minus

:20:01.:20:07.

35. As I said, these are opinion polls. By that is what you get for

:20:07.:20:13.

subtlety. You say that. That is what the opinion polls tell us.

:20:13.:20:16.

say that, but what are the big issues that people are talking

:20:16.:20:21.

about? I have talked about the cost of living rises. The debate around

:20:21.:20:25.

capitalism and the way markets work. Ed Miliband has been leading this

:20:25.:20:29.

debate and to talk about it in the party conference speech. He was

:20:29.:20:32.

criticised at the time by the Prime Minister in particular and now

:20:32.:20:35.

everybody is saying that this is something that we need to look at.

:20:35.:20:40.

I have already talked about the squeezed middle. Are the arguments

:20:40.:20:44.

that he is making resonating? Yes. If you look at the different voting

:20:44.:20:51.

systems that we had, by-elections, local elections, remember we took

:20:51.:20:54.

its 800 more councillors, several hundred more than the

:20:54.:20:59.

Conservatives... He cannot even influence his own supporters. This

:20:59.:21:03.

is what it is like among Labour voters. In July he used to have a

:21:03.:21:07.

positive rating of 30% among Labour voters, which was not great. He now

:21:07.:21:13.

has a positive reading of 4%. That is among Labour voters. Andrew,

:21:13.:21:18.

Andrew, opinion polls go up and down. Sorry, they did. It just goes

:21:18.:21:23.

down. This is over a period of a year. The six months. Opinion polls

:21:23.:21:28.

go up and down over a longer period. People form their views on

:21:28.:21:33.

political parties over the course of many more months, actually years.

:21:33.:21:37.

If we look at the opinion polls leading up to the 2010 general

:21:37.:21:40.

election, David Cameron would be governing without the Liberal

:21:40.:21:43.

Democrats right now. We are under no illusion about the scale of the

:21:43.:21:46.

task. Come back in another six months and we will see what has

:21:46.:21:51.

happened. You are obsessed with opinion polls, Andrew. You can see

:21:51.:21:55.

Ed Miliband interviewed on BBC Radio 5 Live with John Pienaar at 7

:21:55.:22:00.

o'clock. The ruling by the European Court of

:22:00.:22:06.

Human Rights last week that the radical Muslim cleric Abu Qatada

:22:06.:22:11.

cannot be deported to Jordan has left many asking whether we should

:22:11.:22:16.

reform the court or leave altogether. David Cameron is

:22:16.:22:26.
:22:26.:22:30.

pushing for changes, but what are It was the debt of World War Two

:22:30.:22:34.

and the Government was run from his bunker below Whitehall. Winston

:22:34.:22:38.

Churchill took to the airwaves to propose a new organisation that

:22:38.:22:42.

would safeguard human rights across the battle-scarred Continent. The

:22:42.:22:49.

Council of Europe. We must try to make the Council of Europe, or

:22:49.:22:53.

whatever it may be called, into a really effective leader, with all

:22:53.:23:02.

the strongest forces concerned, woven into its texture. With a High

:23:02.:23:07.

Court to sort out disputes. He got his way, because there are now 47

:23:07.:23:11.

member states and the cornerstone is the European Convention on Human

:23:11.:23:15.

Rights, written in 1950, which guarantees things like an

:23:15.:23:18.

individual's right to live, freedom of expression and freedom of

:23:18.:23:23.

torture. Individuals who feel those rights have been denied can take

:23:24.:23:26.

their own Government to the European Court of Human Rights in

:23:26.:23:31.

Strasbourg. For some, it strayed far from Churchill's ideal. Getting

:23:31.:23:34.

there has to write on this actually shows that the cabinet at the time

:23:34.:23:37.

was concerned that the text of the convention was a reflection of

:23:37.:23:41.

English common law principles, the protection of rights that we have

:23:41.:23:44.

enjoyed in this country for centuries. What has happened since

:23:44.:23:48.

has been the growth of a human rights culture, driven by the

:23:48.:23:51.

Strasbourg court, which has taken those fundamental principles very

:23:51.:23:56.

far away from the common law tradition that the convention was

:23:56.:24:01.

established to protect. He means decisions like the one this week

:24:01.:24:04.

that the Islamist cleric Abu Qatada cannot be deported from the UK.

:24:04.:24:08.

That followed a ruling that British prisoners should be given the vote,

:24:08.:24:12.

which caused outrage in the Commons. In his speech next week, David

:24:12.:24:16.

Cameron will push for changes to the court, mainly to make it more

:24:16.:24:21.

efficient, such as cutting the backlog of cases, currently 150,000

:24:21.:24:27.

long. There is easier said than done, according to this QC. We can

:24:27.:24:31.

propose reforms that are debated for months, for example the

:24:31.:24:38.

committee of ministers, but if they think it is a political agenda

:24:38.:24:41.

designed to dilute the power of the court, rather than merely to make

:24:41.:24:45.

it more efficient, then those proposed reforms will not go

:24:45.:24:50.

through. Others hope to mount a defence against the court by

:24:50.:24:54.

writing a British Bill of Rights, which could from Strasbourg. If you

:24:54.:25:00.

want the Prime Minister to do the reverse Churchill, and withdraw

:25:00.:25:04.

from the Convention of Human Rights altogether. -- some people want the

:25:05.:25:06.

Prime Minister to do a reverse Churchill.

:25:06.:25:16.
:25:16.:25:18.

To debate this, Helena Kennedy and Martin Callanan, the Conservative

:25:18.:25:21.

leader in the European Parliament. David Cameron is off to Strasbourg

:25:21.:25:26.

this week to argue for major reform in the European Court. If that

:25:26.:25:30.

proves impossible, should Britain withdraw? It might do. I hope we

:25:30.:25:35.

can get some reforms. The trouble is that there has been a series of

:25:35.:25:42.

increasingly ludicrous job to rent from the Court of Human Rights, --

:25:42.:25:47.

ludicrous judgments. It is bringing human rights into dispute. If we go

:25:47.:25:51.

to a part in the UK, and we ask what people think, you will get an

:25:51.:25:54.

answer that cannot be printed because of these judgments that are

:25:54.:25:57.

superimposing the will of an unelected panel of judges, some of

:25:58.:26:03.

whom are not even legally qualified, over the will of Parliament and the

:26:03.:26:05.

elected Home Secretary of this country and it is becoming

:26:05.:26:14.

ridiculous. If we cannot get major reform, should we withdraw? No. We

:26:14.:26:18.

were at the heart of drafting the European Convention on Human Rights

:26:18.:26:22.

and it was a very good purposes. It was about creating a template of

:26:22.:26:27.

standards that should apply around all of Europe. It should bring

:26:27.:26:32.

conformity to the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. As it

:26:32.:26:36.

were dealt as Winston Churchill would have wanted? With votes for

:26:36.:26:44.

prisoners? -- has it worked out? This is very much about the

:26:44.:26:48.

protection of democracy. Winston Churchill would have been appalled

:26:48.:26:51.

to find that the convention, which is perfectly well drafted and well-

:26:51.:26:55.

meaning, we do been used to mean that terrorist prisoners cannot be

:26:55.:27:01.

deported from this country. -- would be used. Let's talk about

:27:01.:27:08.

this. Let's put it in the context of that pub. Back there again!

:27:08.:27:10.

point about human rights was that you have to make decisions that

:27:10.:27:14.

will not be popular with people sometimes but which are about

:27:14.:27:18.

protecting principles. This is about torture. One of the things

:27:18.:27:23.

that the European Court did was to say very clearly that the process

:27:23.:27:27.

that we have developed of having discussions with countries and

:27:27.:27:30.

protections, diplomatic assurances with countries that have a record

:27:30.:27:35.

on torture, diplomatic assurances so that we can return people, they

:27:35.:27:39.

found that we were right on that and they found in our favour. But

:27:39.:27:43.

they said that the evidence was that Abu Qatada would be facing

:27:44.:27:48.

trial that was based on evidence extracted from people using torture.

:27:48.:27:54.

We have led the way in the world on saying that torture cannot be

:27:54.:27:57.

tolerated and sometimes you have to make decisions, even if that means

:27:57.:28:00.

that that people can take advantage of it. It is not just the

:28:01.:28:04.

occasional bad decision. The court has found against the UK 300 times

:28:04.:28:08.

in the last few years. These are decisions that often fly in the

:28:08.:28:12.

face of common sense. Do you really think that this country is a

:28:12.:28:15.

bastion of human rights abuses to mean that the court can stand

:28:15.:28:21.

against us? Nobody has any faith in their judgments. Would you replace

:28:21.:28:26.

the European Convention, if we withdrew, with the British Bill of

:28:27.:28:32.

Rights? Ideally, yes. I have no problem with the concept of human

:28:32.:28:36.

rights being recognised. I agree with it. Of course we do not agree

:28:36.:28:43.

with torture. Look at the Abu Qatada case. He arrived in this

:28:43.:28:46.

country on forged documents. Since then he has not been loyal to the

:28:46.:28:50.

country, he backed the 9/11 hijackers, he was described as a

:28:50.:28:53.

truly dangerous individual in a British court. Successive home

:28:53.:28:57.

secretaries, Labour and Conservative, have tried to deport

:28:57.:29:01.

him and the court has said no. Let's move on from Abu Qatada

:29:02.:29:05.

because I want to get the principle. What would be wrong with a British

:29:05.:29:09.

Bill of Rights that would be used in our Supreme Court, and are the

:29:09.:29:13.

finest judges in Europe, and that British Bill of Rights reflecting

:29:13.:29:18.

our experience from the Magna Carta onwards? That is what we are

:29:18.:29:21.

investigating. I am sitting on a Government commission that is

:29:21.:29:24.

looking at this and we are taking evidence. What would be wrong with

:29:24.:29:30.

it? The number of things have been raised. People are concerned that

:29:30.:29:33.

if we withdraw from the European Convention, that would mean

:29:33.:29:37.

withdrawing from the Council of Europe. It would be very difficult

:29:37.:29:41.

to withdraw from the European Court... That is a technical thing.

:29:41.:29:45.

What would be wrong with having a British Bill of Rights? We could

:29:45.:29:48.

have a British Bill of Rights and still be part of the European

:29:48.:29:55.

consensus. Including everything but adding more of Britain? A listen, I

:29:55.:30:00.

am one of the people always arguing that we should have jury trial,

:30:00.:30:04.

habeas corpus, incorporated into our very own Bill of Rights. The

:30:04.:30:08.

problem with it is that people like Martin really want to use this as a

:30:08.:30:15.

Trojan horse because they don't like Europe. The Council of Europe,

:30:15.:30:19.

as you well know, is completely separate to the EU. Take another

:30:19.:30:23.

issue, prisoner voting rights. The House of Commons has voted on a

:30:23.:30:28.

number of occasions by enormous majorities that we do not wish to

:30:28.:30:31.

give some prisoners in the UK the right to vote. The European Court

:30:31.:30:35.

of Human Rights is substituting its judgment for the will of our

:30:35.:30:41.

elected representatives. If this is such a good thing, it stand before

:30:41.:30:46.

the people of the UK in elections and ask them. What are the chances

:30:46.:30:49.

of David Cameron making any material progress on this? We will

:30:49.:30:54.

see what he comes up with. He wants a filtering mechanism. What are his

:30:54.:31:04.

chances? I don't think they are You are watching the Sunday

:31:04.:31:08.

Politics. In 20 minutes I will be looking at the week ahead with the

:31:08.:31:18.
:31:18.:31:26.

political panel. You're watching As the economic forecasts did clear

:31:26.:31:30.

by the day, how much money is being wasted by leaving the lights on in

:31:30.:31:38.

London? -- forecasts get gloomier. Joining us, Tessa Jowell and

:31:38.:31:42.

Conservative MP for Croydon Central, Gavin Barwell. I will start by

:31:42.:31:46.

talking about the crime figures this week. While they have come

:31:46.:31:49.

down, over all the fences have come down, it has come down far less

:31:50.:31:54.

than elsewhere in the country. -- overall offences have gone down.

:31:54.:31:57.

Violent crime looks to be going in the wrong direction. You have to

:31:57.:32:01.

look at crime figures over a longer period. Over the period that Boris

:32:01.:32:10.

has been there, they are down 10%. There were a significant number of

:32:10.:32:15.

defences -- offences connected with the riots. The overall trend on

:32:15.:32:23.

robberies is down, certainly in Croydon. We hope to see that

:32:23.:32:27.

continue. I don't actually agree with Gavin on the figures. If you

:32:27.:32:31.

take the years of the Labour government, overall crime fell by

:32:31.:32:34.

40%. We have now seen serious violent crime beginning to rise

:32:34.:32:41.

again. Rape, and very particularly knife crime, which was one of the

:32:41.:32:45.

Mayor's number one priority is, when he stood as a candidate to be

:32:45.:32:51.

elected. He would tackle life crime in London and he has to answer why

:32:51.:32:55.

knife crime is rising, not falling. I will help him with the answer and

:32:55.:32:59.

say the fact he is cutting police numbers by more than he told

:32:59.:33:03.

Londoners he would is clearly a factor in this. Police on the

:33:03.:33:09.

street reduce knife crime. Do you agree with that, or do you think

:33:09.:33:13.

should happen? The police numbers will be higher at the end of

:33:13.:33:18.

Boris's turn than when he -- what he inherited from Ken. I don't want

:33:18.:33:23.

to see a fall in frontline officers and I support the Mayor in same

:33:23.:33:27.

money to keep numbers at 32,000 officers after the Olympics, I

:33:27.:33:32.

think he is right to do that. are said to be 900 below that, so

:33:32.:33:36.

perhaps Gavin will join with me on calling on the Mayor to restore

:33:36.:33:42.

those cuts -- they are set to be 900. Boris Johnson attempted to

:33:42.:33:46.

breathe new life into the decades old idea of an airport in, or close

:33:46.:33:50.

to the Thames Estuary. Some saw a mayoral candidate keen to keep

:33:50.:33:54.

alive a scheme he has backed so relentlessly, at least until after

:33:54.:33:58.

the next mayoral election. There is not much evidence yet that the

:33:58.:34:03.

Prime Minister has, quote, warmed to the idea, other than the Mayor's

:34:03.:34:06.

word for that. But this did remind us that this is a government in

:34:06.:34:11.

need of a modern, updated aviation policy. As the Chancellor said last

:34:11.:34:15.

autumn, all options for a new hub airport are being considered as

:34:15.:34:25.
:34:25.:34:28.

A huge hub airport in the history, technically it's possible, hurdles

:34:28.:34:32.

are many. A son called -- sunken battleship full of explosives, bird

:34:32.:34:36.

strikes, fierce local opposition and coalition partners, the Liberal

:34:36.:34:40.

Democrats. We would not support the building of a new airport and we

:34:40.:34:45.

would do our best to stop it. is the airport in the news again?

:34:45.:34:49.

Have some on the blue side of government warmed to the idea?

:34:49.:34:53.

policy has not been cleared through the normal government processes. It

:34:53.:34:57.

seems to me, that someone in favour of the airport is deliberately

:34:57.:35:03.

pushing the story. The history aboard's most high-profile

:35:03.:35:07.

supporter is... For a long time, George Osborne and David Cameron

:35:07.:35:11.

have been very interested in the idea of a long-term, sustainable

:35:11.:35:15.

solution for Britain's aviation needs. Apart from extra runways at

:35:15.:35:20.

Heathrow, Stansted and Gatwick, the government has also always said it

:35:20.:35:24.

is looking at all of the aviation options. There is now time to make

:35:24.:35:30.

the case for and mystery airport, or kill it. -- 4 and estuary

:35:30.:35:40.

This may not move the airport idea any closer, but it is reopening the

:35:40.:35:45.

debate, shifting it, might you say? Perhaps shifting the perception a

:35:45.:35:50.

little bit. They have got a big decision coming up on capacity.

:35:50.:35:53.

What we know is that there is an aviation reviewed going on. We have

:35:53.:35:58.

been told there are no extra and run race -- no extra runways at

:35:58.:36:02.

Heathrow, Gatwick and Stansted. Apart from that, nothing is being

:36:02.:36:10.

rolled in or out. That includes the Thames Estuary and also the high-

:36:10.:36:16.

speed air link -- rail link between Heathrow and Gatwick. The aviation

:36:16.:36:20.

industry say there is a vacuum in policy, this is a shambles, a joke,

:36:20.:36:25.

very critical of the government policy. Some suggest that Boris

:36:25.:36:28.

Johnson may have overplayed his hand, and there is a danger of

:36:28.:36:33.

whipping up opposition, not just in Conservative areas like Kent, but

:36:33.:36:37.

also among the Liberal Democrats, who are against expansion. Those

:36:37.:36:41.

are the messages that were seen to be coming out of Number 10 on the

:36:41.:36:48.

Thursday, the day after this big announcement. I think what the real

:36:48.:36:53.

concern is, is because they have been critical of the Mayor, he put

:36:53.:36:58.

this idea out there, and from their point of view, opponents could then

:36:58.:37:02.

easily kill it. I think there is another angle. When I have ever

:37:02.:37:06.

spoken to the Mayor about it, he says he always wants to shift,

:37:06.:37:11.

broaden the debate on aviation, one capacity. I think arguably, he has

:37:11.:37:17.

perhaps done that when it comes to the capacity issues we will see in

:37:17.:37:25.

the south-east -- on capacity for Do you support the idea of an

:37:25.:37:30.

estuary airport? I think the Mayor is right to look at it. If you look

:37:30.:37:35.

at the 12th Chinese cities that will be in the world top 25 cities,

:37:35.:37:39.

London has a connection with just two. Can you see it happening, do

:37:39.:37:44.

you want it to happen? You can't take a final decision until you

:37:44.:37:46.

have looked at all the different options and the government is right

:37:46.:37:50.

to do that. I want to see a Mayor of London who is looking at the

:37:50.:37:53.

long term economic future of the capital and maintaining their

:37:53.:37:58.

status as an international hub is important. You are well plugged

:37:58.:38:04.

into Conservative HQ, has David Cameron wants to the idea? It is

:38:04.:38:08.

clear that he is prepared to look at it, they are not saying they

:38:08.:38:11.

will go ahead with air but it is an option on the table. We knew that

:38:11.:38:17.

already. -- they have not said they will go ahead with it.

:38:17.:38:19.

government recognises the importance of having this

:38:19.:38:23.

international hub. There are real issues with police night as with

:38:23.:38:27.

Heathrow in terms of pollution and noise and its ability to expand.

:38:27.:38:31.

The Mayor is right to have pushed this idea. Have you seen any signs

:38:31.:38:35.

or got any idea that the Prime Minister or the Chancellor have

:38:35.:38:39.

warmed, that they now support this idea more than before? I can't

:38:39.:38:42.

speak personally for the Prime Minister or the Chancellor. I think

:38:42.:38:45.

the fact the government has set out the review shows there is an

:38:45.:38:50.

appetite took find a solution. third runway has gone out of the

:38:50.:38:54.

window now and labour accepts that, so you would presumably welcome

:38:54.:39:01.

this kind of original... It is decades old, but this revival of

:39:01.:39:06.

the idea. I agree with a lot of what Gavin has just said. London

:39:06.:39:10.

and the south-east definitely need more airport capacity, for the

:39:10.:39:14.

reasons that Gavin has outlined and many more besides. I think there

:39:14.:39:21.

are two points. I think the Mayor did overplay the announcement meant

:39:21.:39:27.

his great mates, Dave and George... You would say that. I would, but

:39:27.:39:31.

the important point is realising this. This is a 15 year product --

:39:31.:39:38.

project, and therefore it has got to be handled deftly at every stage.

:39:38.:39:40.

If the Liberal Democrat partners in the coalition are going to sit on

:39:40.:39:44.

it, it is very unlikely to make progress. The point is that this is

:39:44.:39:49.

the kind of project, a bit like the Olympics, that has got to be

:39:49.:39:57.

planned on a cross-party basis. would all fit into a logic. Tell us

:39:57.:40:01.

that you like this idea and you would like it pursued. I like the

:40:01.:40:08.

idea of building capacity in London and the south-east. You want expert

:40:08.:40:13.

views on where the best location is. You want expert analysis of the

:40:13.:40:19.

impact on Heathrow and the hundred 1,000 jobs. You want a proper

:40:19.:40:23.

assessment of how it might create an altogether different balance in

:40:23.:40:28.

London. I am absolutely in favour of looking seriously at all the

:40:28.:40:37.

options but doing it on a cross- party basis. A lot of people in

:40:37.:40:42.

Croydon go to Gatwick, you must be attracted by this idea for a double

:40:42.:40:48.

hub? I think that is an option. A lot of my constituents are employed

:40:48.:40:52.

at Gatwick Airport, the vitality of Gatwick is important to Croydon. I

:40:52.:40:56.

think since the ownership was transferred to BAA we have seen an

:40:56.:41:00.

improvement in the service that passengers get. We want to find a

:41:00.:41:03.

solution best for London's economic future and which represents

:41:03.:41:07.

taxpayers best. Cash-strapped councils have been turning off the

:41:07.:41:10.

street lights in order to save money and protect other services

:41:10.:41:14.

from the cuts. But London is bucking that trend and the number

:41:14.:41:17.

of street lights has actually increased in the last year. We have

:41:17.:41:21.

also discovered a rather awkward problem affecting half of the

:41:22.:41:25.

capital's Tube stations. This is Stratford International

:41:25.:41:29.

station. In the last decade or so, hundreds of millions of pounds have

:41:29.:41:33.

been spent up grading it. One thing they didn't get round to building

:41:33.:41:38.

was a light switch. The problem is that they used to turn the lights

:41:38.:41:42.

of by using a circuit breaker. In this day and age, it doesn't pass

:41:42.:41:46.

health and safety, so the lights shine all the time. Stratford

:41:46.:41:51.

station is not alone. We found that half of London's Tube stations

:41:51.:41:56.

don't have a light switch at all. In all, that is 136 Tube stations

:41:56.:42:00.

where come day or night, the lights stay on. Transport for London say

:42:00.:42:07.

they don't know how much it costs the taxpayer. However, could it be

:42:07.:42:10.

that all over London, money is being wasted on unnecessary

:42:10.:42:14.

lighting? It was certainly the worry for Westminster Council, who

:42:14.:42:18.

are in the process of replacing all the street lights in the borough

:42:18.:42:21.

with a computerised system which leads the council been the lights

:42:21.:42:26.

as and when they think it is appropriate. The word of dimming

:42:26.:42:29.

the lights is something that will frighten people. The fact that they

:42:29.:42:35.

think it is going to be dark and dingy. We have seen on the street,

:42:35.:42:39.

we have dimmed the lights, and some of it, you don't notice it at all.

:42:39.:42:43.

It might not look like much is happening here, but what you are

:42:43.:42:48.

seeing is the street lights being turned down by 25%. The lights on

:42:48.:42:52.

the street are so high tech, you can control them remotely. You can

:42:52.:42:56.

stand on the street with an iPad, or even a phone, and turn them up,

:42:56.:43:06.
:43:06.:43:08.

But at the moment, Westminster are pretty unusual. Sunday Politics but

:43:08.:43:12.

to every local authority in London and only seven of 33 have dimmed

:43:12.:43:16.

the lights at all in the last year. In effect, spending on street

:43:16.:43:21.

lighting has gone up, with 4,000 new units put up over the capital

:43:21.:43:26.

in the last 12 months. Shouldn't we be welcoming the move by councils

:43:26.:43:30.

to keep a safe. Isn't it common sense that better street lights

:43:30.:43:35.

mean less crime? Not necessarily, according to one ex- gang member.

:43:35.:43:40.

In a time when I was of a frame of mind, we used to do things in

:43:40.:43:44.

daylight. Street lighting meant nothing. I guess it is good for the

:43:45.:43:47.

people who come out of their house and they are scared, to reassure

:43:47.:43:51.

them, it is good for them to have street lighting, so they can feel

:43:51.:43:58.

safer. But it is not going to matter to somebody who wants to do

:43:58.:44:02.

something to them. Some fear that saving money on street lights may

:44:02.:44:06.

be a false economy. When you consider it costs �1.6 million to

:44:06.:44:10.

clear up every time there is a fatal road accident, you can see

:44:10.:44:12.

the consequence of not getting this right to the public purse, let

:44:12.:44:17.

alone beefier that this will create among those who decide not to go

:44:17.:44:22.

out at all -- let alone the fear. Come the morning, the arguments for

:44:23.:44:29.

keeping the lights on maybe harder to make. I am joined by London

:44:29.:44:34.

Assembly Member Darren Johnson from the greens, and from Ealing council,

:44:34.:44:38.

cabinet member responsible for the environment and transport. Darren

:44:38.:44:43.

Johnson, what do you think of the Tube stations? Is there nothing

:44:43.:44:47.

that can be done about this? It is ridiculous that they still have not

:44:47.:44:53.

got a way of turning the lights off at these Tube stations. The once

:44:53.:44:58.

above ground, obviously. Are we spending too much on street lights?

:44:58.:45:05.

I think there are massive savings to be made, not by plunging London

:45:05.:45:09.

into total darkness. We definitely don't want that. But technology is

:45:09.:45:14.

the answer. If we move to energy saving early delights, we also have

:45:15.:45:20.

dimming programmes where lights can be deemed in certain areas, we

:45:20.:45:23.

don't necessarily need a uniform level of brightness across the

:45:23.:45:32.

You are responsible for the greatest increase in street lights

:45:32.:45:36.

recently in Ealing. What are you doing to mitigate the effects?

:45:36.:45:41.

are right. In 2005, residents gave us a clear message. Let there be

:45:41.:45:45.

light. We have been delivering that throughout Elin. Now that we have

:45:45.:45:50.

finished their programme, with better street lighting across the

:45:50.:45:54.

borough, we are looking at a programme of installing street

:45:54.:45:58.

lights in locations that are crime hot spots. We are also looking

:45:58.:46:05.

forward to moving towards efficient street lighting. Why are you

:46:05.:46:09.

putting lighting in just because residents ask for it? They also

:46:09.:46:13.

want libraries, education, great children's services. Absolutely and

:46:13.:46:17.

we are working on all of those areas but in 2005 we were one of

:46:17.:46:21.

the worst boroughs for lighting. I can proudly so that we have

:46:21.:46:26.

transformed that with the programme that we have. -- proudly say.

:46:26.:46:29.

you think there is any link between reduction of crime and street

:46:29.:46:34.

lighting? With this programme we are working with the police and

:46:34.:46:37.

local representatives to identify locations when you street lighting

:46:37.:46:45.

will make a real difference to tackle the crime. -- new street

:46:45.:46:51.

lighting. Also real differences where we have got CCTV, now you can

:46:51.:46:57.

see what is on the camera. Do you think local authorities are doing

:46:57.:47:01.

enough? I think there is far more potential to save money and energy.

:47:01.:47:05.

Obviously we don't want to plunge London into darkness and fear of

:47:05.:47:10.

crime is important. But also householders are being urged to

:47:10.:47:13.

save energy in their own homes and quite rightly. The public sector

:47:13.:47:18.

also needs to get its own house in order and stop wasting money.

:47:18.:47:27.

we ever spent too much John Whiting? I think Darren has set out

:47:27.:47:32.

a good plan. Lighting, commensurate with people feeling safe as they

:47:32.:47:36.

walk the streets, and that is important. Croydon always seems to

:47:36.:47:40.

be very light. Is there enough? They are putting in an intelligent

:47:40.:47:47.

lighting system which can be turned down in particular areas so that

:47:47.:47:54.

the system is flexible. In certain boroughs we have a programme so

:47:54.:47:59.

that there is a win-lose situation. The borough council wins by saving

:47:59.:48:06.

money but residents lose out with demonstrates. I am sorry, but...

:48:06.:48:10.

also need to make sure that struck the tube station is sorted out in

:48:10.:48:16.

time for the Olympics. It would be embarrassing. -- Stratford to

:48:17.:48:22.

station. Very illuminating but we have to move on! What else has been

:48:22.:48:32.
:48:32.:48:34.

On Monday, Shepherd's Bush was a bad place to be for criminals.

:48:34.:48:38.

Coppers and cameras the law assembled to mark the transfer of

:48:38.:48:42.

new powers over policing to this man. I carry the can in the sense

:48:42.:48:45.

that I want London to be safer and I am pleased that we are achieving

:48:45.:48:55.

that. The acronym for the new body? Inside London's Government, another

:48:55.:49:00.

landmark. 12 years after its first meeting, the London Assembly used

:49:00.:49:04.

to new powers to have its first vote to block one of the Mayor's

:49:04.:49:11.

policies. The Occupy protesters were occupied with a court case

:49:11.:49:15.

about how long their occupation would continue. The verdict came

:49:15.:49:19.

back. Not very long. Just last week on the programme,

:49:19.:49:23.

outgoing Westminster council leader Colin Barrow told us that plans to

:49:23.:49:26.

introduce parking charges at evenings and weekends should stay.

:49:26.:49:36.
:49:36.:49:38.

We have argued about police numbers already but this new policing Board,

:49:38.:49:42.

some argue, because it is just the Mayor holding the commissioner to

:49:42.:49:47.

account, if you like, is less accountable. I think they have done

:49:47.:49:52.

the sensible thing and separated responsibility between those

:49:52.:49:55.

running the service, the Mayor and the commissioner, and given the

:49:55.:49:59.

assembly the role of scrutinising the work. Previously, they were

:49:59.:50:03.

making decisions and also scrutinising so this separation is

:50:03.:50:07.

very sensible. Do you think Labour might have encouraged this move?

:50:07.:50:12.

They didn't do it. The test will be whether it safeguards the safety of

:50:12.:50:18.

people on the streets. Is this a structure that will oversee the

:50:18.:50:23.

reduction of crime? Will it preserved in line with the Mayor's

:50:23.:50:27.

promises the number of people policing the streets? She has got

:50:27.:50:31.

it back to those numbers. Do you accept that this will be a crucial

:50:31.:50:38.

issue, with crime going up again, in a mayoral election? We were hit

:50:38.:50:43.

so hard by it the riots and so I support the police in numbers. The

:50:43.:50:48.

solution the Prime Minister came up with was to increase them, so the

:50:48.:50:53.

Mayor is right and keeping the numbers at 32,000 is important. But

:50:53.:50:58.

what do you do with them? The Mayor deserves a lot of credit to bring

:50:58.:51:01.

in single patrolling so that we seek more visibility with the

:51:01.:51:11.
:51:11.:51:16.

numbers that we have got. Thank you. Welcome back. There have been

:51:16.:51:19.

tweeting throughout the programme and they are with me now, the

:51:19.:51:24.

political panel, the best and brightest, I am told, of a new

:51:24.:51:29.

generation of commentators. Janan Ganesh of the Economist, Isabel

:51:29.:51:35.

Oakeshott of the Sunday Times and Rowenna Davis of the New Statesman.

:51:35.:51:40.

Isabel Oakeshott, Chris Huhne, your story. The Sunday Times has agreed

:51:40.:51:44.

to hand over the communications, emails with his former wife. Has it

:51:44.:51:49.

done so yet? We will do that next week. The police have been looking

:51:49.:51:53.

at this for a very long time. The Criminal Prosecution Service has

:51:53.:51:59.

had a file for a very long time and the fact that they have considered

:51:59.:52:05.

it so carefully shows how sensitive the case is. This is a sitting

:52:05.:52:09.

cabinet member and it is a serious allegation. Are there lots of

:52:09.:52:13.

emails? Will it take the police a long time to go through them?

:52:13.:52:16.

Speedie when I go through the mouth but the police cannot afford to

:52:16.:52:21.

make mistakes so they may not be that quick. -- speedy when I go

:52:21.:52:25.

through emails. You may want to ask me what will happen. What will

:52:25.:52:30.

happen? If I knew that then I would go to the bookmakers and pile money

:52:30.:52:34.

on. They all think Chris Huhne is heading for a swift exit. I think

:52:34.:52:39.

it is a difficult one to call. have seen all of the emails. Are

:52:39.:52:43.

they incriminating? I can't talk about emails because they are

:52:43.:52:46.

subject to a confidentiality order from the judge. I think the police

:52:46.:52:50.

will need to look at all of the evidence. It is a difficult

:52:50.:52:55.

decision for them to take. Will anybody as the implicated?

:52:55.:52:59.

Particularly Vince Cable? There are allegations that Chris Huhne sought

:52:59.:53:03.

advice from home in the past. If it tangled up Vince Cable then it

:53:04.:53:10.

becomes a much bigger story. If and if Chris Huhne does go, who will

:53:10.:53:17.

replace him? If he is charged, of course. Yes, and if he does go. The

:53:17.:53:21.

Tories will push for a much green energy secretary, mindful of rising

:53:21.:53:28.

energy prices. It is a Lib Dem cabinet post. Yes. One of the

:53:28.:53:32.

interesting things about this Government is that the ultimate

:53:32.:53:37.

power for the Prime Minister only exists in some form. There are five

:53:37.:53:42.

cabinet posts where he does not have the final say. If Nick Clegg

:53:42.:53:45.

chooses somebody that is not to his liking, there is not much David

:53:45.:53:50.

Cameron can do. If Chris Huhne goes, they want to put in someone that is

:53:50.:53:55.

quite new liberal. S Davey, Jeremy Browne, someone like that. That

:53:55.:53:58.

would be interesting in terms of policy because you are going to get

:53:59.:54:02.

rid of the strongest socialist democratic influences in that

:54:02.:54:05.

Cabinet, which could be an interesting branding issue for the

:54:05.:54:10.

Lib Dems. Actually I think that Nick Clegg gave a strong hint this

:54:10.:54:16.

morning that he wants David Laws back. It was not a hint. In a way

:54:16.:54:20.

we are getting ahead of ourselves. Chris Huhne appears to think that

:54:20.:54:24.

you may be able to stay in position, even if he is charged. I saw that.

:54:24.:54:29.

What do you make of that? Absolute pie-in-the-sky. My understanding is

:54:29.:54:32.

that it would be completely unacceptable to have a Cabinet

:54:32.:54:37.

minister, still doing his job, while facing criminal charges. He

:54:37.:54:41.

does protect his innocence and that is fair enough. Let's move on.

:54:41.:54:47.

Welfare, a big story again. Going back to the Lords. Nick Clegg gave

:54:47.:54:50.

a robust defence of the welfare cap on the Andrew Marr Show. Paddy

:54:50.:54:57.

Ashdown said that he would vote against it in the Lords. I suspect,

:54:57.:55:00.

and I have been criticised for mentioning opinion polls too much,

:55:00.:55:05.

that when you look at opinion polls in this respect, the Tories seem to

:55:05.:55:09.

be on to a winner. They are prepared to fight on that

:55:09.:55:12.

battleground because public opinion is on their side. If you look at

:55:12.:55:16.

the polling numbers, the main grievance that boaters have with

:55:16.:55:23.

the benefit cabbie's that it is not tough enough. -- voters have with

:55:23.:55:33.
:55:33.:55:34.

the benefit cap is that it is not offer enough. David Cameron has

:55:34.:55:37.

said that he could not believe how tough the public wanting to be on

:55:37.:55:40.

welfare. He went into the campaign assuming that the Tory policy would

:55:40.:55:44.

be too harsh, but he is getting the opposite message in town hall

:55:44.:55:47.

meetings and the like. The Government is very confident on

:55:47.:55:51.

this issue and if anything it is a challenge for Labour. Do they want

:55:51.:55:55.

to be seen as supportive of the current rules. It is an

:55:55.:55:59.

uncomfortable issue for Labour. We saw how Chuka Umunna handled that.

:55:59.:56:03.

It is very uncomfortable for Labour. They want to so that they agree

:56:03.:56:07.

with the principle that the incentives of the system are wrong.

:56:07.:56:11.

They agreed that it is criminal that some people cannot afford to

:56:11.:56:15.

work in this country. But at the same time there are real problems

:56:15.:56:18.

with this particular benefit issue. If you take away benefits now,

:56:18.:56:22.

you'll find that lots of people, and this is raised by the Lib Dems

:56:22.:56:28.

massively, like Simon Hughes, that people will be homeless. I have to

:56:29.:56:35.

reject here. Let her reply. This word homeless goes to the heart of

:56:35.:56:39.

what is going on here. There is a lot of disingenuous spinning going

:56:40.:56:46.

on. What definition of homeless are you using? If you are in a council

:56:46.:56:50.

home, it is a very loose definition. If you are in a council home in

:56:50.:56:54.

Southwark, the rents are incredibly high. Without housing benefit you

:56:54.:56:58.

either move out or you go onto the street. At the moment there are not

:56:58.:57:02.

alternative jobs for people to be going into. You are completely

:57:02.:57:06.

right. Labour cannot win on defending the benefits bill at the

:57:06.:57:09.

moment and that is where they are being quiet about it and that is

:57:09.:57:13.

why Chuka Umunna cannot make any points. The Government will be

:57:13.:57:18.

careful to make sure nobody end up on the street. Imagine these

:57:18.:57:22.

children in cardboard boxes, like an Indian slum. That is absurd.

:57:22.:57:25.

Nobody is talking about taking away their housing. They were still be

:57:25.:57:29.

on a maximum of �400 a week, which is more than MPs get to spend on

:57:29.:57:33.

their flats. We will talk about health again, which will become an

:57:33.:57:37.

issue with the Select Committee. We have had most of the major medical

:57:37.:57:40.

trade unions and authorities and lobbies against the Government

:57:40.:57:46.

reforms. We now have a Select Committee chaired by the former

:57:46.:57:53.

Conservative Secretary of State for Health. Tory MPs must be saying

:57:53.:57:57.

that we have welfare and education reform, why did we go down this

:57:57.:58:01.

road as well? Lots of Tories are mystified as to how they arrived

:58:01.:58:06.

here. In opposition their policy on the NHS was effectively that we

:58:06.:58:12.

love the NHS, at no, really, we really love it. It was a message of

:58:12.:58:15.

reassurance rather than structural reform. Then in 2010 they found

:58:16.:58:19.

this bill emanating from Andrew Lansley, proposing exactly that,

:58:19.:58:22.

radical structural reform of the NHS. Now they are having to unpick

:58:23.:58:26.

the whole thing. The service in for them to do politically would be to

:58:26.:58:34.

abandon the whole thing. This is a terrible issue for Labour. Until

:58:34.:58:36.

recently lots of party members about that the party has been far

:58:36.:58:41.

too quiet on this. Ed Miliband got a massive cheer for this on his

:58:41.:58:47.

conference speech, defending the NHS. They are taking a huge gamble

:58:47.:58:56.

by backing this. There -- I work quite closely on the NHS, and the

:58:57.:59:00.

consistency of the bill has been jeopardised. They are taking things

:59:00.:59:05.

away and it is becoming dangerously inconsistent. Andrew Lansley has

:59:05.:59:08.

one great advantage in this debate, which is that hardly anybody apart

:59:08.:59:11.

from Andrew Lansley actually understand what the proposals are.

:59:12.:59:15.

I remember looking at them when this came up last year and they

:59:15.:59:20.

were fiendishly complicated. This includes Nick Clegg! He did not

:59:20.:59:23.

understand it. Honestly, I don't blame him and I don't think people

:59:23.:59:27.

at home as the understand them either. For all the talk of

:59:27.:59:31.

technical reform of the NHS, there is a clear view in Number 10 that

:59:31.:59:34.

the public only understand one thing about the NHS, which is

:59:34.:59:37.

waiting times. If they go up over the cause of this Parliament then

:59:37.:59:42.

it will be disastrous. And they have started to. This is a negative

:59:42.:59:46.

issue for the Government. Will Andrew Lansley survive? Will there

:59:46.:59:50.

be more changes? There is no prospect of an immediate reshuffle.

:59:50.:59:55.

Yes, there will be if Chris Huhne bites the dust. Not a comprehensive

:59:55.:00:01.

one. A nobody would want Andrew Lansley's job. Thank you to all

:00:01.:00:06.

three of you. Jo Coburn will be on BBC Two tomorrow at midday for the

:00:06.:00:10.

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