29/04/2012 Sunday Politics London


29/04/2012

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Afternoon folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. David Cameron puts

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his Culture Secretary on probation this morning. He'll see how Jeremy

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Hunt performs before Leveson, then decide his future. But a lot could

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happen before then. We'll ask Lib Dem Culture spokesman Don Foster

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who he's backing in the hunt for Hunt.

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Hunt's tormentor in-chief has been Labour Deputy Leader Harriet Harman,

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who joins us for the Sunday interview. She'll tell us what's at

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stake for Labour when London, Glasgow and councils around the UK

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go to the polls on Thursday. And, how do you get out of an omni-

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shambles? Don't know? Well, we've been asking around Westminster for

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tips. Always happy to help. All that, and our political panel

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of the best and the brightest, here every week to analyse British

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politics in The Week Ahead and tweeting mercilessly with abandon

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throughout the programme. In London: Four days to go and in

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the last of our series of interviews with the mayoral

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candidates we will be speaking not to Boris Johnson, but one of his

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deputies. All that coming up, but first the

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news with Maxine. Good afternoon. The Prime Minister

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has insisted there was no grand deal between him and the Murdoch

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media empire to trade political support in return for helping their

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business interests. Speaking to the BBC, David Cameron also said he if

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it is shown that the Culture Secretary breached the code for

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Government ministers, then he would act. Our political correspondent

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Naomi Grimley reports. David Cameron has had a terrible

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week of headlines, after new evidence emerged from the Leveson

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Inquiry into media ethics. Even the Prime Minister's own meetings with

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the Murdoches are being examined. So, was there some unspoken

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agreement whereby News International backed the

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Conservatives in return for commercial favours? Mr Cameron says

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no. Was there some big deal, some big agreement between me and Rupert

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Murdoch or James Murdoch that in return for the support for the

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Conservative Party I would somehow help their business interests or

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allow this merger to go through? That is not true. But this man, the

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Culture Secretary, Jeremy Hunt, is still under the most scrutiny. His

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office appears to have had regular contact with News International at

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a very sensitive time and the Murdoches were hoping to launch a

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full buyout of BSkyB. So is the Prime Minister still backing him

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100%? I think he does a good job. I think he is a good culture, media

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and sport sport Secretary. He is He is doing an excellent job on the

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Olympics. I do think... You think he can survive? People deserve to

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have these things looked into properly. The Prime Minister has

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insisted that Jeremy Hunt should be able to give evidence to the

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Leveson Inquiry before any judgments are made. But, as Jeremy

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Hunt's own advisor has already resigned, Mr Cameron is under

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pressure to trigger a specific investigation into whether

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Ministerial rules were broken. things stand, I don't believe

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Jeremy Hunt breached the Ministerial Code. If evidence comes

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out through this exhaustive inquiry, where you are giving evidence under

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oath f he does breach the code, clearly that's a different issue

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and I would act. Jeremy Hunt isn't due to appear before the Leveson

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Inquiry until mid-May. But a trawl of the Culture Secretary's e-mails

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and text messages is already under way.

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Police in Leeds have arrested a 36- year-old man in connection with two

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murders in the North East of England. James Allen is being held

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on suspicion of killing an 81-year- old man in Middlesbrough and a 50-

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year-old woman in Whitby. Residents in a block of flats in

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East London have been told that surface-to-air missiles could be

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placed on their roof during the Olympics. People living there have

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received a leaflet telling them soldiers could be based there over

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the summer. Ministers revealed last year that the military might deploy

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missiles in the capital to defend the Games. Flood alerts have been

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issued across England and Wales for the next 48 hours. Up to 40

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milimetres of rain is predicted to fall in places - more than the UK's

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average rainfall last month. At Burnham-on-Sea in Somerset the bad

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weather has brought down a number of trees, causing delays on the

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roads. Engineers are also working to secure electricity cables which

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fell down overnight in gales of up to 60mph. That's it for the moment.

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The next news on BBC1 is at 6.00pm. Thank you. Good to see the drought

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is still going well! Another day, another set of grim

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headlines for the Government. After ricocheting from tax trouble to tax

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trouble post-Budget, the Government is now reeling from complaints that

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it got too close the the Murdochs, especially Culture Secretary Jeremy

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Hunt, who's now fighting for his political life, with only

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conditional support this morning from the Prime Minister. More

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important, the economy is back in recession. It wasn't meant to be

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like this and it's taking its toll. One poll today has the

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Conservatives on their lowest rating for eight years at 29%. So,

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how might the Tories and the Coalition Government, more

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generally, recover? Giles Dilnot's been asking around.

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The PM has admitted it's been a bad day for a month ahead of the local

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elections. An omni-shambles Budget. If it

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starts to look incompetent, it's in trouble.

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Two arrogant posh boys who don't know the price of milk.

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Forget milk or indeed the price of it, there is a bewildering awry of

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suggestions across Westminster for what the PM could grab off the

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political shelf to reseize the initiative. Could it be tax cuts or

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public spending cuts? More of them. Is it getting the policy focus

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right? Or is it indeed just renosing the message? Could it be a

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range of new political people in Downing Street? Or does it just

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boil down to a few treats for those backbenchers who still feel he is a

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bit aloof? I am not bothered whether he has - what I am

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interested in is whether escapable of doing it, what we need are

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solutions at the moment. And not some, to be honest, people are

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being rude at each other. We don't need to have Ministers inviting us

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in for cups of tea and glasses of wine. What we need is for them to

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be delivering stuff that we can talk about in our constituencies

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and actually see that it's making a difference. That's all very well,

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but they may be expecting too much of this coalition. The base

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position for the Government is very difficult. The Conservatives don't

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have a majority. They're in a coalition with a party with which

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they don't have that much in common. They don't have any money. I think

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one of the things that's happened is MPs, journalists, the Government

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itself, doesn't accept this is a Government with real limitations.

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Another limitation may be the very structure of the Downing Street

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operation. I think the root of the problems lie in absence of

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political nous inside Number 10. Coalition has given huge power to

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civil servants. The policy unit is entirely staffed by civil servants.

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The idea that by moving the press office from one room to another and

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making sure that someone in the policy unit has a political

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background rather than a civil service one, the idea that that

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standing against billions of pounds of public spending reductions is

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going to make a difference is fanciful.

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Hence, in the short-term to draw a line the PM needs a Boris Johnson

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victory in London this week. There's no doubt that for a Tory to

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win in mid-term in austerity driven Government with all this t would be

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wonderful blast of good news, a shot in the arm for David Cameron t

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might even tip his fortune from bad to good. In the long-term, everyone

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we spoke to knew the Government's fortunes hinge on the economy.

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policies that we have announced and that are all about getting the

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economy growing again, rebalancing it away from the public sector,

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away from financial services, that actually starts happening and

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starts happening visibly in people's lives. I think that when

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that does happen, and I am confident it will, and can, then I

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think that people will start ignoring the sort of froth that

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otherwise with dominate. Dominate it has, but in a week that

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saw us enter a double dip recession, the men at the top know that

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confidence has certainly yet to spread to the wider public.

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For the latest on Government's big problem this weekend, the the skapt

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hunt affair, we are joined by Adam Fleming. We have had the Sunday

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papers and the Andrew Marr show, is Mr Hunt in a better or worse place?

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Afternoon, well it looks like the interpretation that's been put on

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this is that David Cameron has put his Culture Secretary on probation.

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That's because we have now got a timeline for the process by which

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it will be judged whether Jeremy Hunt has broken the rule book for

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Cabinet Ministers, the Ministerial Code and this looks like this, in

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the middle of next month Mr Hunt will go to the Leveson Inquiry and

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give evidence under oath, like all witnesses there, although he is not

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going earlier than planned because Lord Justice Leveson refused to

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change the timetable for political reasons. David Cameron will look at

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that evidence as it's published and will decide whether any new facts

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have come out that cast doubt on Jeremy Hunt's version of events. He

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will judge on the Ministerial Code, with Alex Allen, whether there's

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been any breach of that code. What deck's done is neutralise two

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criticisms levelled at him. One that the inquiry was going to take

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too long to sort this out and it's not Lord Justice Leveson's job to

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judge Ministers. The Prime Minister anxious to let us know this morning

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he did no deals with Rupert Murdoch. David Cameron spent a long time in

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that interview with Andrew Marr and said over and over again there was

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no grand bargain with Rupert Murdoch or James Murdoch or News

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News Corporation or News International. David Cameron says

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there was no no tweaks to Conservative policy to get the

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support of those newspapers. In fact, Mr Cameron pointed out where

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they disagreed on things. For example, detention without charge

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for terror suspects for 42 days. Although David Cameron said

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something that he said a few times, which is that he and all Prime

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Ministers had got too close to newspaper proprietors and newspaper

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editors, although Mr Cameron pointed out that Tony Blair and

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Gordon Brown had met Rupert Murdoch far more times in the first few

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years in office than he had. We got that infamous pre-Christmas Daner a

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couple -- dinner a couple of years ago, much speculation about what

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was said at that. David Cameron says the conversation was entirely

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appropriate. It was all about how from now on the Government was

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going to handle the merger talks over BSkyB properly after Vince

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Cable got caught out. Thank you for that.

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Where do David Cameron's coalition partners stand on this? We are

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joined by Don Foster, a man who has been covering the culture brief for

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the Liberal Democrats since most of us were in short trousers.

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The chairman of the committee on public standards agrees, even

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senior Tory backbenchers want this to happen. The Prime Minister says

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wait. Where do you stand? I think everybody's agreed that we have got

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to have that investigation as to whether Jeremy Hunt breached the

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Ministerial Code, the public want that. The real question is how is

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the best way of going about that. Is it by having some sort of behind

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the scenes investigation into what is after all an investigation into

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alleged behind the scenes deals anyway? Or should we have the

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opportunity that is provided of Jeremy Hunt having to give evidence

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in front of a judge, under oath, with some of the most forensic

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examination team available to ask him questions? I think the public

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would prefer that, and the minute we have seen that then if there is

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anything untoward, then I have no doubt whatsoever that there has to

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be an immediate investigation into the Ministerial Code. Justice

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Leveson says he is not competent to rule on breaches of the code,

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that's not his job. Nor should it be. But the job of Lord Justice

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Leveson is clear in his remit, it's to investigate the relationship

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between politicians and the media and that's what he will do and this

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is part of it. After all, if you have a big deal, politicians

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agreeing who can own the media, there can't be much of a bigger

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deal going on. Incidentally, it's sort of deal that I don't think

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politicians should ever be be deciding on anyway. I said on a

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number of occasions that should be done independently. But what's the

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point of Alex Allen? We the taxpayer pay him to police the

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Ministerial Code. Why do we bother if we are never referring anything

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to him? If we didn't have Leveson going on, with all of the benefits

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of Leveson, I would be the first to be saying that this should

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immediately go to Alex Allen. All I am saying is that given we have the

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opportunity to have a public evidence-giving session, a public

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inquiry with some really forensic questioning that we can all observe,

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in about two weeks' time, let's have that and then immediately

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after we have all seen what emerges from that, then you ask Alex Allen

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to have a look and make it a recommendation to the Prime

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Minister. Surely there is already enough grounds for referring this

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to the Ministerial Code. Sir Michael Lyons had to deal with

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Jeremy Hunt a lot of the time and with his special advisor. He says

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Adam Smith did nothing without Mr Hunt knowing and condoning it.

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Michael Lyons is entitled to his view and may or may not be right. I

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don't know. The public don't know. We have an opportunity... Did you

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meet Mr Smith? On many occasions. Did you see him as a maverick?

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Someone who would do all this on his own without his master

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I think he was a guy of great integrity who went beyond what was

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appropriate, and that is what he has admitted. You do not think he

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would have checked? The honest answer is I genuinely do not know.

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Let's put it to the ministerial code! Adam Smith's relationship

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with Jeremy Hunt will be best investigated by getting all of the

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data which Jeremy Hunt has agreed to provide, or of the text messages,

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the e-mails, provide that and then have questioning under oath.

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Everybody wants an answer to this. All I am suggesting is getting it

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done under a judge-led inquiry first of all, then, in the light of

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that, going and doing the other investigation. Thank you for

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joining us. Now, what is that you hear? Could it be the sound of

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Harriet Harman rubbing her hands together with glee as Jeremy Hunt

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twists in the wind? It has been good sport for Labour, but back in

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the real world, there is a big electoral test coming for a party.

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Labour going to Thursday's local elections expected to pick up large

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numbers of seats, but they start from a low base, and they are big

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test for Ed Miliband's party in London, where polls say that Boris

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Johnson will beat Ken Livingstone. And in Glasgow, the SNP have high

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hopes of success in city council elections. Earlier this week,

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deputy leader Harriet Harman targeted Liberal Democrat voters in

:16:58.:17:02.

the South in an attempt to win back the sort of seats that Tony Blair

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used to win in the 1990s and early 2000s. But when mere mention of the

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former Labour leader guess this reaction at Labour conference...

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And not Tony Blair. His Ed Miliband's Labour likely to win in

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the south again when they are desperate to shake of the legacy of

:17:23.:17:33.
:17:33.:17:39.

New Labour? And Harriet Harman Harriet Harman, the Prime Minister

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says Jeremy Hunt will have to testify under oath, he will be

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interrogated by a QC, and all communications that are relevant

:17:46.:17:49.

will be published. Then you will decide his future, what is wrong

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with that? It is already evidence that Jeremy Hunt has breached the

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ministerial code. The ministerial code says that you must not, a

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Secretary of State must not mislead Parliament. He has. He said on the

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3rd March that he had published all the exchanges between his

:18:09.:18:11.

department and News Corp, and evidently he had not published all

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those exchanges, because he is now offering to do that some months

:18:15.:18:20.

later. Also, the ministerial code says your special adviser, your

:18:20.:18:24.

political appointee must act appropriately, and you must be

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responsible for and control your political adviser. Well, the Prime

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Minister and Jeremy Hunt have acknowledged that he did not. That

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is a breach of the code, they have acknowledged that. There is really

:18:38.:18:41.

no point in referring to the ministerial code, because you have

:18:41.:18:43.

called for his resignation. You have already convicted him without

:18:43.:18:49.

a hearing. He is evidently that not only has he breached the

:18:49.:18:52.

ministerial code in many ways, but even more seriously than that, when

:18:52.:18:58.

he was responsible for acting in a quasi-judicial manner on a hugely

:18:58.:19:04.

important take over bid of �8 billion, he did not act impartially.

:19:05.:19:09.

So you have decided he is guilty. Absolutely. So what is the point of

:19:09.:19:13.

a hearing? It says everything about David Cameron that he is refusing

:19:13.:19:17.

to refer him to Sir Alex Allan to investigate all these breaches of

:19:17.:19:20.

the ministerial code, and there is one thing which I would like to

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point out, which is that the ministerial code says that if a

:19:23.:19:25.

matter warrants further investigation in the view of the

:19:25.:19:31.

Prime Minister, then he will refer it to the independent adviser. He

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does not have a discretion to say, oh, somebody else can look at it.

:19:35.:19:38.

The Prime Minister himself was now in breach of the ministerial code.

:19:38.:19:43.

I have read that bit of the code, it says the Prime Minister himself

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feels there has been a breach. You called for his resignation within

:19:49.:19:53.

25 minutes of the publication of crucial correspondence between

:19:54.:19:58.

Jeremy Hunt's office and the Murdoch empire. Had he read it all?

:19:58.:20:04.

No, in fact, I had already formed a view that Jeremy Hunt had acted

:20:04.:20:07.

totally inappropriately even before those e-mails were published, and I

:20:07.:20:12.

went to the House of Commons. When I saw James Murdoch's evidence

:20:12.:20:18.

to Leveson, it was quite clear that the Culture Secretary had given

:20:19.:20:22.

James Murdoch to understand that he was not impartial in the bid, that

:20:22.:20:28.

he was on his side. So you believes James Murdoch? What you have got to

:20:28.:20:32.

do... Let me explain this, what you have got to do when you act in a

:20:32.:20:35.

quasi-judicial fashion is that you have got to be impartial, and you

:20:35.:20:39.

have got to make it clear that everybody understands you are

:20:39.:20:42.

impartial, so you have got to create the perception that of

:20:42.:20:47.

impartiality, and clearly one... Clearly James Murdoch had the

:20:47.:20:52.

perception and had been given to believe that Jeremy Hunt was on his

:20:52.:20:57.

side. That is hopeless. But rather than studying the 163 pages of

:20:57.:21:02.

evidence, within 25 minutes, on the basis of testimony from James

:21:02.:21:04.

Murdoch, he decided he had to resign, even though there's plenty

:21:05.:21:09.

other bits of testimony you do not agree with. Well, the point is...

:21:09.:21:14.

Correct? It was before the e-mails were published that I formed the

:21:14.:21:19.

view that Jeremy Hunt had made a major... On the basis of James

:21:19.:21:23.

Murdoch saying, I had nothing to do with the hacking, do you believe

:21:23.:21:27.

him on that? Do you believe him on that? Either he knew about the

:21:27.:21:30.

hacking or he should have known about the hacking. So you do not

:21:30.:21:34.

believe him on that, but you believe them on the basis of his

:21:34.:21:37.

testimony, on evidence that had not been published and you have not

:21:37.:21:43.

read. What he had done is said that the Secretary of State had given

:21:43.:21:49.

him to understand that, actually, he was on his side. Actually,

:21:49.:21:53.

Andrew, the e-mails have only borne that out, so the idea that

:21:53.:21:58.

somehow... Which you had not read, you condemned the man before you

:21:58.:22:04.

had read the evidence. I formed the view, before the e-mails were

:22:04.:22:10.

published, that he had acted so wrongly and so out with the

:22:10.:22:13.

obligations to be quasi-judicial and impartial, that he could no

:22:13.:22:17.

longer carry on in his office. And every minute of every day brings

:22:17.:22:22.

more evidence that my judgment was right and he should go all start do

:22:22.:22:26.

you believe David Cameron when he says there was no grand bargain,

:22:26.:22:31.

you scratch my back, I'll scratch yours, with Rupert Murdoch?

:22:31.:22:35.

I think the more that David Cameron refuses to refer the matter...

:22:35.:22:41.

you believe them? Well, I do not have any specific evidence that he

:22:41.:22:44.

did, although I think it was unwise of David Cameron, when the

:22:44.:22:48.

government was considering his �8 billion deal, to be at a dinner

:22:48.:22:53.

with one side of the deal. Remember, there was a lot of people against

:22:53.:22:57.

this bird, and the Government was opposed the even-handed. Let's move

:22:57.:23:01.

on to the wider political scene now. The government is in the middle of

:23:02.:23:06.

almost a self-styled omni-shambles at the moment, and David Cameron

:23:06.:23:10.

has become considerably less popular, it is clear in all polls,

:23:10.:23:13.

the budget and the things we are talking about, the economy taking

:23:13.:23:17.

its toll. Given that has happened, why does he remain more popular

:23:17.:23:21.

than your leader? Well, let's see what happens at elections this

:23:21.:23:25.

Thursday. Currently, people are already filling in their postal

:23:25.:23:30.

vote ballot forms... Your party is more popular, I accept that in the

:23:30.:23:35.

polls, I've seen the Tories are down to 29%. But in terms of

:23:35.:23:40.

performance, Your leader is less popular than David Cameron. Why?

:23:40.:23:46.

terms of performance, Ed Miliband is leading the team of Labour

:23:46.:23:50.

candidate in an election on Thursday. It is his job to lead a

:23:50.:23:52.

great team of Labour candidates to make sure we have Labour

:23:52.:23:57.

councillors who can stand up for people at local level. The wheels

:23:57.:24:01.

have for Mark the coalition economic policy, that is clear to

:24:01.:24:06.

see, it is back in recession. -- have fallen off. Your party has a

:24:06.:24:09.

comfortable lead in the polls. I want to show you these figures.

:24:09.:24:16.

Given the state of the economy, quite remarkably, people are still

:24:16.:24:21.

more inclined to trust Mr Cameron and Mr Osborne on the economy than

:24:21.:24:27.

Mr Miliband and Mr Balls. Why? you know, we will see... You can

:24:27.:24:33.

see the figures there, 36%, more people trust Mr Osborne and Mr

:24:33.:24:37.

Cameron on the economy than are prepared to vote for them! We are

:24:37.:24:41.

making an argument which we believe is right, which is that

:24:41.:24:44.

unfortunately the Government have got it completely wrong. They

:24:44.:24:48.

promised that they would bring the deficit down, that the economy

:24:48.:24:53.

would grow and that unemployment would fall. Actually, what is

:24:53.:24:56.

happening is it is becoming evidence that they are borrowing

:24:56.:25:00.

much more than a plant, �150 billion more, the economy is

:25:00.:25:05.

stagnating... Why do people trust them more? You are not winning the

:25:05.:25:11.

argument. I think people will say that the argument being made by the

:25:11.:25:13.

shadow chancellor and by Ed Miliband is actually, unfortunately,

:25:13.:25:17.

coming true, and the Government's need to go to Plan B, because

:25:17.:25:21.

people are really suffering because of their mistakes. Isn't there

:25:21.:25:24.

something wrong with the Labour leadership? Ken Livingstone is less

:25:24.:25:29.

popular than the Labour Party in London, much less popular. Ed

:25:29.:25:33.

Miliband is less popular than the Labour Party in the country. This

:25:33.:25:39.

is a quote from your deputy- chairman, Tom Watson, let's get

:25:39.:25:43.

that onto the screen. This is what he said to London supporters, hold

:25:43.:25:50.

your nose, vote for Ken. Hold your nose! Hardly a rallying cry, is it?

:25:50.:25:55.

Well, I am strongly supporting Ken, and he would be saying to make...

:25:55.:26:01.

Why did he say, hold your nose? have put it to me that, if Ken were

:26:01.:26:05.

more popular than the party, you would be saying, why is the party

:26:05.:26:09.

so unpopular? There is often a differential. The point is that Ken

:26:09.:26:12.

is putting forward a lot of key points which are really important

:26:12.:26:18.

for Londoners. Will you hold your nose when you vote for Ken? No.

:26:18.:26:25.

is Tom Watson? I had not seen that quote. You have now! I have seen it

:26:25.:26:29.

and your assurances that is what he said. I do not agree with it, Ken

:26:30.:26:37.

is the best mayor for London. is another quote from a Labour pier,

:26:37.:26:41.

he was characteristically forthright. I do not care if Ed

:26:41.:26:44.

Miliband is backing Ken Livingstone, I suggest no-one votes for Ken

:26:44.:26:50.

Livingstone. When you have a word with him? If you want to lower

:26:50.:26:53.

fares, more police, the restoration of the Education Maintenance

:26:53.:26:57.

Allowance, low energy costs, vote for Ken Livingstone. This is about

:26:57.:27:02.

policy, not about what people say about 10, it is about policy and

:27:02.:27:04.

the difference it will make for Londoners. Will you withdraw the

:27:04.:27:08.

whip from Lord Sugar? They are all sorts of different views in the

:27:09.:27:14.

party. So you will not say to Alan Sugar, you are fired! We are saying

:27:14.:27:18.

to voters, vote for Ken, vote Labour, do not have Tory Boris

:27:18.:27:24.

Johnson who wanted the top rate of tax cuts by 10%. So Alan Sugar's

:27:24.:27:29.

job is safe in the House of Lords. He is a peer, once you are

:27:29.:27:34.

pointed... Oh, well, it is really not the issue. People are not

:27:34.:27:39.

voting on Alan Sugar. He has got 2 million followers on Twitter! You

:27:39.:27:42.

have a particular problem in the south, problems in Glasgow against

:27:42.:27:46.

the nationalists, in London against Ken, and even at a time when you're

:27:46.:27:51.

doing well nationally, you have a problem in the south. Let me ask,

:27:51.:28:00.

why should people in the South vote for a party that brews Tony Blair?

:28:00.:28:05.

The party did not boo Tony Blair. There was a tiny fraction of the

:28:05.:28:11.

audience. I was there, it was more than a tiny fraction. So was I.

:28:11.:28:15.

Your leader did not slap them down, he did not say a word about it.

:28:15.:28:19.

tiny fraction of the audience, quite wrongly in my view, and in

:28:19.:28:23.

the view of the rest of conference, jeered the reference to Tony Blair,

:28:23.:28:29.

and for the rest of the conference, anybody who said, and we don't

:28:29.:28:32.

believe that Tony Blair should have been jeered, the conference

:28:32.:28:37.

actually erupted in support. Do not misrepresent that. Viewers will

:28:37.:28:41.

make up their minds. Let me bring you back for circle and as a simple

:28:41.:28:46.

question. His Rupert Murdoch a fit and proper person to hold a

:28:46.:28:49.

broadcasting licence in the United Kingdom? Well, I would say that

:28:49.:28:54.

should be examined... What is your view? If I were examining it

:28:54.:29:00.

independently, of course I would say no, because... So we should

:29:00.:29:04.

lose the 40% of BSkyB that he currently owns? If the test were to

:29:04.:29:08.

be applied and you asked, what has gone on in this organisation...

:29:08.:29:13.

Should he lose it? Yes, he is not a fit and proper person because of

:29:13.:29:17.

what went on in his organisation, widespread criminality. Thank you

:29:17.:29:22.

for being with us on the Sunday Politics. It is approaching 12:30pm,

:29:22.:29:26.

you are watching the Sunday Politics. Coming up in 20 minutes,

:29:26.:29:30.

I will be back to look at the week ahead with the best political panel

:29:30.:29:40.
:29:40.:29:52.

in the business! Until then, the There are four days to go and the

:29:52.:29:54.

mayoral campaign now enters its final crucial stage. While Boris

:29:54.:29:58.

Johnson is - according to the polls - personally ahead so far, his

:29:58.:30:00.

Conservative Party is beset by economic woes and yet more fall-out

:30:00.:30:06.

from the phone-hacking scandal. In the last of our series of

:30:06.:30:09.

interviews we were hoping to talk to Boris Johnson today, but he was

:30:09.:30:14.

unable to be with us. Joining me instead is Kit Malthouse, who has

:30:14.:30:20.

been one of his deputies for the last four years. Welcome. Did he

:30:20.:30:24.

not want to do this? As you were told in March bore his a long-

:30:24.:30:27.

standing -- bore his a long- standing engagement this morning.

:30:28.:30:30.

What is he doing, campaigning? has a private engagement this

:30:31.:30:36.

morning. He didn't want to defendant his record in -- defend

:30:36.:30:46.
:30:46.:30:48.

his record in person? You were told in March. You can make an issue of

:30:48.:30:50.

it or ask information. OK, you are here. Let's put to you the

:30:50.:30:53.

questions we would have asked him. Is Boris Johnson pleased with the

:30:53.:30:55.

Government's economic plans, their progress, the us a terality

:30:55.:30:57.

measures and -- austerity measures? Boris recognises the Government has

:30:57.:31:07.
:31:07.:31:07.

done London a good deal. He's been on the phone badgering to get

:31:07.:31:12.

London the deal it needs. He has a philosophy which is this, London is

:31:12.:31:15.

the heart of the UK economy. It's the beating heart often of the

:31:15.:31:19.

European economy and it needs investment. So, he has over the

:31:19.:31:23.

last four years extracted billions of pounds for investment in the

:31:23.:31:27.

basic infrastructure of London to produce an economic machine, if you

:31:27.:31:30.

like, that will be the rival of the world and in those circumstances I

:31:30.:31:32.

think he does think the Government's done the City well.

:31:32.:31:35.

Was he pleased for instance that the Chancellor bowed to what he had

:31:35.:31:40.

been asking for repeatedly? Lowering the top rate of tax for

:31:40.:31:44.

the rerich? What Boris has done over the last four years is take a

:31:44.:31:49.

lot of flack, if you like, for standing up for London's

:31:49.:31:53.

competitiveness across the world. The Chancellor obviously - listened

:31:53.:31:59.

to him and said reduce the top rate. Can I tput in context. We have been

:31:59.:32:03.

dealing with the biggest financial crash for the last whatever years,

:32:03.:32:09.

the financial services industry was in a very bad odour with lots of

:32:09.:32:13.

people. Boris recognised early on and he called it right, I think t

:32:13.:32:17.

would be a mistake to jump on the band wagon of trashing that

:32:17.:32:23.

industry. I am just saying he is happy that's happened and happy

:32:23.:32:27.

with what we have to do to pay for that, like, for instance freezing

:32:27.:32:30.

tax relief for pensioners, the granny tax, if you like? I don't

:32:30.:32:34.

think he necessarily backs the entire balance of things that were

:32:34.:32:38.

in the Budget. A number of things that he has some question marks

:32:38.:32:42.

over. But at the same time... Because they're harmful? His view

:32:42.:32:45.

was that for London to remain competitive to attract the best and

:32:45.:32:51.

the brightest here, and to attract the headquarters of huge financial

:32:51.:32:54.

institutions, we had to be tax competitive. Having a higher rate

:32:54.:33:00.

tax rate at 50% didn't put us in that position. It was putting

:33:00.:33:05.

people off coming. When those high paid people come, didn't give them

:33:05.:33:09.

unqualified support, when they come they bring wealth throughout the

:33:09.:33:13.

City, they bring with them jobs, rents for landlords, in buildings,

:33:13.:33:16.

they bring cleaning jobs, supply jobs, middle management,

:33:16.:33:20.

accountants, lawyers, all those people benefit from that wealth.

:33:20.:33:23.

One last part on this section, happy with the benefit changes and

:33:23.:33:27.

the cap which we are seeing already are forcing hundreds and will force

:33:27.:33:31.

hundreds of Londoners to move from their homes? Boris wasn't happy

:33:31.:33:34.

with that and he berated the Government and managed to extract

:33:34.:33:38.

three things from them. A transitional arrangement, he

:33:38.:33:41.

extracted 100 million for the boroughs, and he extracted a number

:33:41.:33:45.

of landlord incentives to try and make housing cheaper so that people

:33:45.:33:48.

who are at benefit levels could stay in their homes. There is no

:33:48.:33:52.

need, we believe, for people to export people out of London. We

:33:52.:33:58.

think the arrangements put in place to soften, if you like... Three or

:33:58.:34:01.

four years down the line, but it will happen and you won't be able

:34:01.:34:06.

to do anything about it. housing - something knees to be

:34:06.:34:10.

done -- needs to be done about that, in a gradual way so people are not

:34:10.:34:14.

damaged or affected significantly in any way. Boris personally

:34:14.:34:16.

extracted those concessions from the Government for the people of

:34:16.:34:22.

London. Let's look at the flagship policies which - the cycle hire

:34:22.:34:26.

scheme to begin with. Is he disappointed this hasn't made the

:34:26.:34:30.

money? It's not self-financing, it's a drain on public resources,

:34:30.:34:34.

contrary to what he said? overall view of the scheme is a

:34:34.:34:37.

great one. That's why we are expanding it. It's going east to

:34:38.:34:42.

the Olympics, west in the next couple of years and once it's

:34:42.:34:44.

expanded and there is wider use there will be greater recovery of

:34:44.:34:51.

the underlining costs and it may over time, hopefully... Costs?

:34:51.:34:53.

Fundamentally when you are providing public transport

:34:53.:34:56.

infrastructure often it's not done at full cost recovery. The buses

:34:56.:35:02.

get a subsidy, the tube. People understand that. But disappointed,

:35:02.:35:07.

he promised that and it hasn't happened. It was self-financing.

:35:07.:35:11.

is pleased with the amount of private sponsorship. We would like

:35:11.:35:13.

it to be making more money than it is. We recognise this is a public

:35:13.:35:17.

good. This is something that is trying to get a shift in the

:35:17.:35:21.

mindset of Londoners about how they travel around the capital. I wanted

:35:21.:35:25.

to check... Can I finish. He said he is pleased with that. Is he

:35:25.:35:34.

pleased with up to to �25 million from Barclays Bank whose chairman,

:35:34.:35:38.

Bob Diamond made �17 million in one year? He would have liked to have

:35:38.:35:42.

got more, �25 million was the best bid at the time. The expansion

:35:42.:35:47.

hopefully will extract more and the west even more again. These are one

:35:47.:35:50.

of the new things Boris has brought. Never before had a mayor extracted

:35:50.:35:53.

tens of millions of pounds of private sponsorship into public

:35:53.:35:58.

works. This is money that's given for public public good and he got

:35:58.:36:02.

that personly himself. That's I think an achievement. What about

:36:02.:36:07.

the other flagship measure, tackle the underlining causes of youth

:36:07.:36:10.

crime. The civil servant, if you like, that designed the time for

:36:10.:36:14.

action, said virtually nothing had been done. How does the mayor react

:36:14.:36:18.

to that? Obviously, as you know that was part of my remit as well,

:36:18.:36:23.

and I react very badly to that, that's a slur on the work of many

:36:23.:36:28.

people who were in that man's team. A slur? He is just saying it didn't

:36:28.:36:32.

work. Tim, you have been down to Feltham and seen the prison unit

:36:32.:36:35.

there, that is a sign of what we have been doing f you bothered we

:36:35.:36:40.

could have taken to you see the thousands of extra cadets across

:36:40.:36:44.

the now... You haven't done anything to tackle the underlining

:36:44.:36:47.

causes of youth crime particularly as it affects young black people.

:36:47.:36:51.

At some stage in this interview you have to allow me to finish an

:36:51.:36:54.

answer. You are getting plenty of time to finish. Go ahead. We have

:36:54.:36:58.

put together a comprehensive plan working backwards from young

:36:58.:37:01.

offenders institutions through young people's lives looking at

:37:01.:37:04.

where things are going wrong and they're getting into crime. That's

:37:04.:37:07.

dealing with difficult issues and difficult young people. These are

:37:07.:37:12.

young people who were neglected for many, many years before. This is

:37:12.:37:17.

new work - Ken said... Are you disappointed at the progress?

:37:17.:37:20.

not. I am pleased with the progress. Is the mayor disappointed? He is

:37:20.:37:24.

not. One of the critical things here, Tim, this is one of the

:37:24.:37:29.

things BBC London always goes for Boris on. Boris is somebody who

:37:29.:37:33.

sets ambitious targets. We don't resile from that. Reset ambitious

:37:33.:37:39.

targets because we are driving a machine here, TFL, the Met police,

:37:39.:37:43.

we set hard targets and if we fall short that doesn't mean we failed.

:37:43.:37:48.

It means that we made progress, but we haven't done p... Does he regret

:37:49.:37:51.

misleading people about the effectiveness of the Feltham unit

:37:51.:37:55.

and that programme as you said with his giving of false statistics

:37:55.:38:00.

about how it was impacting on re- offending? You are misleading

:38:00.:38:03.

people. He gave the best statistics that he had been given at the time.

:38:03.:38:07.

They were unreliable statistics which the officials had expressly

:38:07.:38:10.

said to Boris Johnson and presumably you, should not use

:38:10.:38:12.

publicly about the re-offending rates, claiming great things for

:38:12.:38:17.

this unit which were not imperically proven? They were early

:38:17.:38:22.

statistics. They were always in the framework of going to be an

:38:22.:38:24.

independent evaluation. You have had a session with this scheme

:38:24.:38:28.

over... The Howard league for penal reform said why are they making

:38:28.:38:33.

these claims, you know it is not possible to make claims? One guy

:38:33.:38:39.

from the Howard League who you repeated go to for quotes. Can I

:38:39.:38:44.

just... Can I give you. You tput in every report you do. The paragraph

:38:44.:38:47.

from the official evaluation. can talk more in the interview than

:38:47.:38:50.

me. A small number of people released, their potential

:38:50.:38:58.

motivation to change their - and lack of adequate matched control

:38:58.:39:01.

group, mean no firm conclusions can be drawn. You picked a group of

:39:01.:39:04.

people where you can't tell that Feltham made the difference, they

:39:04.:39:12.

were going to not reoffend anyway, if they haven't been retpaefding.

:39:12.:39:15.

That's not true. There is much about that scheme that is good. We

:39:15.:39:18.

have had fantastic stories, young people coming out of Feltham who

:39:18.:39:20.

have gone straight to university. We are trying to turn lives around

:39:20.:39:24.

but I am not going to pretend this is not difficult and because you

:39:24.:39:28.

and your pals at BBC London decide to have a go at the scheme doesn't

:39:28.:39:32.

mean... Professor Gus John an educationalist said the policy was

:39:32.:39:37.

a sham. You have done not enough, nothing to understand the

:39:37.:39:43.

underlying causes of black youth crime. Can I speak now? OK. Tim, we

:39:43.:39:47.

started out on a very, very difficult job four years ago. The

:39:47.:39:51.

gangs, the knives, all of them had been left unattended for eight

:39:51.:39:55.

years under Ken Livingstone. These were deep-seated problems that had

:39:55.:39:58.

infected the minds of young people and communities over a number of

:39:58.:40:01.

years. Turning that around is a very difficult job and is going to

:40:01.:40:05.

take a lot longer than four years. If I can finish, please. What we

:40:05.:40:09.

try to do was address the issue through policing, to look at the

:40:09.:40:13.

enforcement side and if we can improve that and at the same time

:40:13.:40:23.
:40:23.:40:23.

do some of that longer-term work. The critical word is longer-term

:40:23.:40:26.

and we learn as we go. The proof of the pudding is the numbers.

:40:26.:40:28.

Teenager killings are half what they were in... Serious youth crime

:40:28.:40:31.

going up every year. That's not true, either. You are promoting

:40:31.:40:33.

falsities here. Let's not get involved in a dispute about the

:40:33.:40:38.

numbers. The wider picture, it was his main pledge, very reasonant to

:40:38.:40:42.

hold the Metropolitan Police to account during his term. Yes.

:40:42.:40:47.

badly does he feel about how he failed over the phone hacking

:40:47.:40:50.

scandal which brought the Metropolitan Police to their knees

:40:50.:40:55.

last year? Holding the Metropolitan Police to account, to investigate

:40:55.:40:59.

News International, they didn't do their job, did they? Tim Tim, I

:40:59.:41:03.

find it very odd that you are posing this in a sort of framework

:41:03.:41:08.

of some failure of Boris. Boris was briefed on a regular basis by the

:41:08.:41:12.

third most senior police officer in the land about the progress of the

:41:12.:41:18.

hacking investigation. He was given - he was given briefings from John

:41:19.:41:24.

Yates that led him to make certain public statements. Subsequently...

:41:24.:41:28.

Didn't ask the questions. There are all these people apparently

:41:28.:41:31.

emerging who have had their phones hacked and he didn't ask questions.

:41:31.:41:35.

He received a letter of apology from John Yates to say the

:41:35.:41:38.

information given was not necessarily correct and after that

:41:38.:41:43.

he has put... People knew that. I am saying at the time the

:41:43.:41:47.

importance of this constitutional role holding the police to account,

:41:47.:41:50.

was it right for instance for him to be pursuing commercial

:41:50.:41:54.

arrangements, deals with News International when they were under

:41:54.:41:57.

suspicious, their staff over phone hacking? What commercial deal as

:41:57.:42:05.

soon as. A partnership to open a new mayoral academy in east London.

:42:05.:42:09.

Interesting them in cable car. There were regular regular

:42:09.:42:13.

discussions, did you not know about that? You have to put two parts of

:42:13.:42:19.

the equation together. He is being told by the - on the other side, he

:42:19.:42:23.

has this large employer in London who is willing to put private money

:42:23.:42:27.

into academies or whatever. Isn't that the iraou -- issue? There was

:42:27.:42:31.

a conflict of interest here. He was the person constitutionallily in

:42:31.:42:34.

charge of the police and he was embarking on these dealings and

:42:34.:42:38.

there were lunches and dinners, we can put those aside, seeking

:42:39.:42:41.

commercial partnerships with News International? Was that right?

:42:41.:42:44.

is a rather crafty kind of smear attempt which is frankly a bit

:42:44.:42:47.

beneath you. A conflict of interest. Throwing in that little line about

:42:47.:42:51.

lunches and dinners, we will forget that. This is a straight smear and

:42:51.:42:56.

you should stop it, it's not fair. It's not right. Would it have been

:42:56.:42:59.

right when there was an ongoing, concerns raised by parliamentary

:42:59.:43:03.

committees. Boris was a victim of phone hacking himself. He relied on

:43:04.:43:07.

information that he was given by extremely senior police officers

:43:07.:43:10.

and indeed I might say by the Commissioner of the Police himself

:43:10.:43:16.

and that's a perfectly legitimate and fair... I haven't suggested,

:43:16.:43:20.

you will know other politicians are being accused of trying to tury

:43:20.:43:22.

favour with News -- curry favour with News International. Was this

:43:22.:43:27.

an appropriate way, did it lead to this hacking scanned al, not

:43:27.:43:31.

emerging as it might have done through Boris Johnson who has

:43:31.:43:34.

constitutional responsibility? Was it an error of judgment to have

:43:34.:43:38.

been so close to News International during his mayoralty? Tim, I have

:43:38.:43:42.

to say this is pretty disgraceful. Boris has behaved with complete

:43:42.:43:46.

probity throughout this issue. He was a victim of phone hacking

:43:46.:43:49.

himself. If we are talking about judgment, maybe we should talk

:43:49.:43:54.

about Ken Livingstone, who was at the employ of Mr Murdoch writing

:43:54.:43:59.

for The Sun. Now suddenly seems to have forgotten that. We are talking

:43:59.:44:01.

about partnerships, talking about public money. Two things happening

:44:01.:44:05.

at the same time. A guarantee, hacking victims may well have

:44:05.:44:08.

suggested of wanting to know the extent of phone hacking. He was the

:44:08.:44:13.

person that could put pressure, ask the right questions of the

:44:13.:44:17.

Metropolitan Police, as we see that didn't happen. No, no. At the same

:44:17.:44:21.

time,... You are making massive leaps and assumptions which are

:44:21.:44:24.

unwarranted. Boris was briefed and asked questions in those briefings

:44:24.:44:27.

about phone hacking. He got reassurances from the most senior

:44:27.:44:32.

police officers in the land that everything was fine, that there was

:44:32.:44:34.

no requirement to reopen the investigation and he relied on that

:44:34.:44:38.

information. That's a perfectly reasonable thing to do. If he had

:44:38.:44:41.

done anything different, if he had put pressure on the police to

:44:41.:44:44.

reopen the investigation, that would have been equally as improper.

:44:44.:44:47.

Stay with us. Given the economic dip, austerity and other problems,

:44:47.:44:50.

was there ever a better time for a Labour candidate? Boris Johnson

:44:50.:44:53.

remains the bookies' favourite but could there be a Labour resurgence

:44:53.:45:03.
:45:03.:45:12.

on the ground which springs a Boris Johnson is consistently shown

:45:12.:45:17.

as more popular than his party, Ken Livingstone dragging behind his. So

:45:17.:45:23.

why is the race falsity of different? It isn't really about

:45:23.:45:27.

the parties, although that is part of it. It is just as much about the

:45:28.:45:32.

character of the two men, and Ken Livingstone seems a bit tired,

:45:32.:45:36.

Boris is seen as amusing, he is a character, and as a result he

:45:36.:45:41.

appears to be well ahead in the polls. Boris provides a few laughs

:45:41.:45:48.

every now and then. For me, everyone I know sides with Boris,

:45:48.:45:57.

really. Why is that? Ken has had his time. But is the fact that he

:45:57.:46:02.

tickles funny Bones enough to explain why the former Etonian who

:46:02.:46:05.

acts and sounds just like a traditional Tory is not as

:46:05.:46:12.

unpopular in the polls as the Conservative Party? He does appear

:46:12.:46:16.

like a conventional Conservative if you look from outside. His image is

:46:16.:46:19.

one that you could associate with a certain part of the Conservative

:46:19.:46:24.

Party, but actually, in office, he has sustained many of the policies

:46:24.:46:28.

that Ken Livingstone had, he is relatively young and a social

:46:28.:46:32.

liberal. He does not believe in what Theresa May called the nasty

:46:32.:46:35.

party things that the Conservative Party used to be associated with.

:46:35.:46:40.

He has run London in a tolerant and relatively liberal way. He is a

:46:40.:46:44.

modern conservative in that sense. Perhaps an attempt to contaminate

:46:44.:46:48.

Boris with the Tory brand, Ken Livingstone is fond of reminding

:46:48.:46:52.

people of his opponent's affiliation. He refers to Boris

:46:52.:47:02.

Johnson part in the manifesto... But do people really need

:47:02.:47:06.

reminding? I think most people have got that Boris Johnson is posh and

:47:06.:47:11.

a Tory. Trying to remind... There is no need to remind them of that,

:47:11.:47:16.

the man appears on Have I Got News For You and remind them of that. He

:47:17.:47:20.

has been an mayor since 2008, and therefore it does not particularly

:47:20.:47:25.

help. Secondly, he has done quite a few things to distance himself from

:47:25.:47:28.

the Conservative Party. Perhaps in contrast, Ken Livingstone seems to

:47:28.:47:33.

be making the most of his association with Labour. He says he

:47:33.:47:36.

enjoys the closest relationship with the party leader and key

:47:36.:47:40.

figures often accompany him on the campaign trail. But if the last

:47:40.:47:43.

election is anything to go by, one group of traditional Labour voters

:47:43.:47:50.

are keener on the party than the man, the white working class.

:47:50.:47:55.

matter what the social class was of the people living in a White Awards,

:47:55.:48:01.

they voted Boris. The more diverse the ward, the more likely they were

:48:01.:48:05.

too vote for Ken, but the challenge for Ken is that although London is

:48:05.:48:11.

an extremely diverse city, only a minority of voters were get out to

:48:11.:48:15.

vote. No normal I am not a floating voter. I have voted Labour my

:48:15.:48:19.

entire life. I'm just not convinced that Ken is the right candidate for

:48:20.:48:25.

Labour this year. Rather than remind people he is Labour, much of

:48:25.:48:28.

the campaign has been spent reminding the public that Ken is,

:48:28.:48:33.

well, Ken. Indeed, a challenge for Ken Livingstone is that some in his

:48:33.:48:38.

own party do not seem too keen on him. People like Alan Sugar, a

:48:38.:48:43.

long-time Labour supporter, saying not can again! That has become a

:48:43.:48:47.

real problem. One of the tests offer wins an election is how

:48:47.:48:51.

committed supporters are and what they think is going to happen. The

:48:51.:48:55.

Conservatives have more support in their car -- called base for Boris

:48:55.:48:59.

that Labour does for Ken. Whatever the polls are showing, they can be

:48:59.:49:03.

wrong. There's no guarantee that on Thursday Londoners will not vote on

:49:03.:49:07.

something more like the traditional party lines.

:49:07.:49:12.

A final few words, does he feel he has it in the bag? No, I think it

:49:12.:49:17.

is very close. As we get nearer the time, people are recognising they

:49:17.:49:21.

want a mayor who will bring the city together, who recognises the

:49:21.:49:26.

need to grow the economy, but I think it is very close. All to play

:49:26.:49:30.

for. Kit Malthouse, thanks very much indeed. There is a list of all

:49:30.:49:40.
:49:40.:49:46.

the male candidates on screen. With What have we got? A Cabinet

:49:46.:49:50.

minister struggling to hold on to his job, and economy back in

:49:50.:49:53.

recession, polls plummeting for the Prime Minister, and elections

:49:53.:49:59.

across the UK on May 3rd. David Cameron must need them like a hole

:49:59.:50:03.

in the head, but there could also be problems for Ed Miliband, plenty

:50:03.:50:10.

to talk about in the weekend! -- week ahead!

:50:10.:50:14.

We are back in recession, although Goldman Sachs has come out to say

:50:14.:50:18.

that they do not think we are, but the damage is done. Even if we are

:50:18.:50:21.

not, we are bouncing along the bottom. The coalition must be

:50:21.:50:26.

worried of the timing of this. If it stays like this for much longer,

:50:27.:50:31.

even 2015 will be trouble. whole election strategy for 2015

:50:31.:50:34.

assumed the economy would be going at a healthy clip and that the

:50:35.:50:38.

fiscal deficit would be more or less taken care of, and neither of

:50:38.:50:42.

those things look quite as likely. Even more worrying is that the

:50:42.:50:47.

economy is likely to get worse, because whether you believe the

:50:47.:50:50.

economy is suffering because of cuts or because of the eurozone,

:50:50.:50:54.

both of those things are likely to worsen over the next year. Most of

:50:54.:50:58.

the cuts have not picked in, and the eurozone crisis is now

:50:58.:51:02.

ensnaring Spain and potentially even France, countries which are

:51:02.:51:08.

too big. Ed Balls is talking about a lost decade in one of the papers.

:51:08.:51:13.

We have already had a lost half a decade. This economy is 4% smaller

:51:13.:51:19.

than it was in 2007, half a decade has already been lost. That is true,

:51:19.:51:23.

but Labour are still worried about this, because the Conservatives

:51:23.:51:27.

could still preside over five years of economic decline, but if there

:51:27.:51:30.

is a tiny bounce towards the end, they will say at the beginning of

:51:30.:51:34.

the next election, we are vindicated, so the real problem

:51:34.:51:39.

Labour has is, how do we prove the opportunity cost? How do we prove

:51:39.:51:44.

things would have been different? Also, particularly, what they try

:51:44.:51:47.

to do is shift the debate on not just what growth is there but what

:51:47.:51:50.

type of growth, is it in the private sector as well as public,

:51:50.:51:54.

in the north as well as the South, in terms of wages rather than

:51:54.:51:59.

profits? We certainly would not want the wrong sort of growth!

:51:59.:52:03.

Before I come to you, let's just see what the Prime Minister, asked

:52:03.:52:07.

about the economy, had to tell Andrew Marr this morning. I will

:52:07.:52:11.

strain every sinew to make sure we get our economy growing and get

:52:11.:52:15.

people back to work and get ourselves out of the mess that we

:52:15.:52:19.

were left by the last government. The figures this week were, you

:52:19.:52:23.

know, extremely disappointing. You know, the economy did not grow in

:52:23.:52:27.

the first three months of this year. Strain every sinew? One would hope

:52:27.:52:32.

he has been doing that already. It reminded me of Gordon Brown. You

:52:32.:52:37.

used to think, if only he worked harder, 22 hours a day, if he

:52:37.:52:40.

worked a wee bit harder, everything would be fine! I think people

:52:40.:52:44.

believe the government is working as hard as they can to make things

:52:44.:52:49.

better. The political question is whether the Tory leadership in

:52:49.:52:52.

particular I seem to understand what people who are struggling are

:52:53.:52:57.

really going through. I think you are in a good job in London and you

:52:57.:53:00.

have that kind of background, You are quite insulated from what it

:53:00.:53:04.

really feels like. Strain every sinew is not an effective message,

:53:04.:53:09.

is it? I don't think so. I think people would like to see George

:53:09.:53:14.

Osborne doing a live swap for a week, let's see how he gets on in a

:53:14.:53:18.

council house living on the minimum wage on no wage at all, and then we

:53:18.:53:21.

will feel the Chancellor is somebody who really understands

:53:21.:53:25.

what people are going through. Maybe he would think twice about

:53:25.:53:30.

putting 20% on pasties if he had to do that! Coming to May 3rd, and

:53:30.:53:35.

actions across the UK, it seems pretty clear it will be grim for

:53:36.:53:40.

the Tories. Just how good they will be Paul Labour is not so clear, but

:53:40.:53:45.

they will be grim for the Tories. But if things go badly in London

:53:45.:53:48.

for Labour and in Glasgow, we may end up still talking about Ed

:53:48.:53:52.

Miliband on Friday. I'm certain we will be if that is what happens.

:53:52.:53:56.

You could have a situation where the Tories lose 400 council seats

:53:56.:54:00.

and still end up being seen as symbolic winners, because London

:54:00.:54:05.

and Glasgow will attract so much attention. I wonder if we would be

:54:05.:54:09.

right to do that. London gets covered too much already, Glasgow

:54:09.:54:12.

is symbolic as the home of Red Clydeside, and it would show the

:54:12.:54:16.

nationalists on the move if they do win, which is not a foregone

:54:16.:54:21.

conclusion. In between, the country matters as well. Of course. Labour

:54:21.:54:26.

may do very well in between. interesting thing for me is that

:54:26.:54:31.

the turnout in the last election was 35%, phenomenally low, and we

:54:31.:54:35.

are living in a time when it is not even an delayed and anti-

:54:35.:54:39.

Conservatives, it is anti-politics. I think we are going to see the

:54:39.:54:42.

turnout go down again, and that is a massive challenge for Labour and

:54:42.:54:47.

the Tories. If I can come back on Ed Miliband, one thing I will say

:54:47.:54:51.

is that it will only go on so long, to sustain this kind of lead for a

:54:51.:54:54.

long time, to keep making us points and hammering them home on Leveson,

:54:55.:54:59.

the economy, the NHS. I think the tide will start to change, and it

:54:59.:55:05.

is going to take time. He is not actually a great leader. He is only

:55:05.:55:10.

11 points ahead, Labour across the UK, which is pretty woeful when the

:55:10.:55:15.

Tories are on 29. You would expect Labour to be picking up more.

:55:16.:55:20.

are on 10, nip and tuck with the Lib Dems! A lot of joy is expected

:55:20.:55:29.

to be 20% behind in the polls by midterm. -- a lot of Tories. Yes,

:55:29.:55:33.

they thought the cuts would be hurting, going through the hair

:55:33.:55:35.

shirt, doing the right thing, but the sunshine in the distance would

:55:35.:55:41.

be visible. It is not. It is not at the moment. The did not expect to

:55:41.:55:47.

be down in the polls because of the perception of omni-shambles. And

:55:47.:55:51.

number of entirely avoidable fiascos. Labour have been good at

:55:51.:55:53.

downplaying expectations for Thursday. They have not been

:55:54.:55:59.

boasting about making 700 seats, which is a feasible target.

:55:59.:56:02.

Perversely, because of expectations management, we might not even be

:56:02.:56:07.

talking about Boris. We have got the Select Committee on the whole

:56:07.:56:12.

hacking scandal coming out on Tuesday morning, and Harriet Harman

:56:12.:56:15.

has just of this programme that she does not think that the Murdochs

:56:15.:56:21.

are fit and proper people to own a TV licence, to have a 40% of BSkyB

:56:22.:56:26.

that they have. This makes it... If this report is highly critical of

:56:26.:56:31.

James Murdoch, that as to the clamour. I am not so sure it really

:56:31.:56:35.

does. I think people are getting very confused, because the Leveson

:56:35.:56:39.

Inquiry has come on for long time now, and we have got a select

:56:39.:56:43.

committee inquiry as well. That seems to be a little bit irrelevant

:56:43.:56:47.

at his point. The big game is Leveson. He is taking his time,

:56:47.:56:51.

going through things forensically. I do not think there will be huge

:56:51.:56:54.

amount of excitement from the select committee report. Remind Me

:56:54.:57:00.

Who owns the Sunday Times. well! I understand the committee

:57:00.:57:03.

has been arguing down to the wire. They cannot be tough about those

:57:03.:57:08.

who have been arrested, because it is sub judice. And contempt. But

:57:08.:57:13.

James Murdoch has not been arrested. If the what Harriet Harman says, if

:57:13.:57:17.

the report is book about James Murdoch, that whole issue, and

:57:17.:57:20.

Ofcom is investigating whether they are fit and proper, it becomes an

:57:20.:57:23.

issue. I am surprised that whether the question of whether Murdoch

:57:23.:57:27.

should be able to hold on to BSkyB has not taken up in the way I

:57:27.:57:30.

thought it would. I think it is right that he is allowed to retain

:57:30.:57:36.

40%. It would not exist if he did not started. We would have an

:57:36.:57:39.

extraordinary monopolistic media market were it not for what he did

:57:39.:57:44.

with Sky. The political question of whether Jeremy Hunt hands on on not,

:57:44.:57:46.

on top of that there is David Cameron's own appearance before

:57:46.:57:53.

Leveson in June. Fit and proper, 20 seconds. There la two big questions

:57:53.:57:58.

coming out of this, bigger than the personalities involved. 10 seconds!

:57:58.:58:01.

Can you have an independent investigation into what is going on

:58:01.:58:06.

when it is only cold for by Cameron? The second one I will have

:58:07.:58:11.

to tweet! We will look forward to that. That is all for today. You

:58:11.:58:15.

can follow the twists and turns of the huge political week on the

:58:15.:58:19.

Daily Politics over on BBC Two at noon from tomorrow and every day.

:58:19.:58:23.

Just imagine, this time next week we will know if it is 10 or Boris

:58:23.:58:28.

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