Browse content similar to 03/03/2013. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Good morning, hoax. Welcome to the programme. After the Tories' | :00:42. | :00:46. | |
disastrous showing in the Eastleigh by-election, the Prime Minister | :00:46. | :00:49. | |
attempts a fightback. But he tells his party there will be no lurch to | :00:49. | :00:53. | |
the right. How is that going down with restless backbenchers? Who | :00:53. | :00:56. | |
better to ask than Chief Whip Andrew Mitchell? After another bad | :00:56. | :01:03. | |
week for the economy, we ask Vince Cable if the Government can | :01:03. | :01:11. | |
continue cutting and stimulate growth. Right here we have the | :01:11. | :01:16. | |
stale bread... And R Michael Gove's plans for history horrible or just | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
what the doctor ordered? We will ask Dr David Starkey, who goes | :01:20. | :01:26. | |
head-to-head with Professor Richard Evans and be -- on the historic | :01:26. | :01:29. | |
plans. In London, plans to double the | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
number of journeys by river. Is the Thames a realistic option as a | :01:33. | :01:43. | |
:01:43. | :01:47. | ||
All that and a political panel offering more fun, insight and | :01:47. | :01:51. | |
excitement than you will find this side of a post by-election pub | :01:51. | :01:58. | |
crawl around East Leake with Nigel Farage. It is Janan Ganesh, Isabel | :01:58. | :02:04. | |
Oakeshott and Steve Richards. So, the Tories postmortem continues | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
with David Cameron using an article in the Sunday Telegraph to reject | :02:08. | :02:16. | |
calls from in his party to lurch to the right. The Conservative Party | :02:16. | :02:21. | |
must stay on the common ground, representing... No, not the middle | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
ground. This is not about triangulating a point in politics | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
between us and other parties. It is certainly not about a lurch in any | :02:30. | :02:35. | |
direction. It's about making the success of these things, in the | :02:35. | :02:38. | |
most challenging circumstances of any government in modern times, | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
that this government has set about doing. When the Prime Minister is | :02:42. | :02:46. | |
in trouble he writes an article for a Sunday newspaper. Did you enjoy | :02:46. | :02:51. | |
it? I didn't get to the end. I got about two sentences three before | :02:51. | :02:56. | |
losing the will to live. He can take heart from the fact that the | :02:56. | :03:03. | |
reaction from backbenchers has been fairly muted. David Davies had said | :03:03. | :03:08. | |
that if the Tories came third there would be a crisis. On other Daily | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
Politics, he said that. Clearly, there has not been a crisis. Having | :03:11. | :03:14. | |
said that, there is something slightly ominous about how muted | :03:14. | :03:18. | |
the reaction has been. It feels to me that something fishy might be | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
going on. We need to wait and see what happens at the budget. Maybe | :03:22. | :03:25. | |
they are waiting at the budget. If they get another omnishambles | :03:25. | :03:31. | |
budget, it is going to be gloves off? It's either the budget or the | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
May local elections they are waiting for, I suspect. I thought | :03:34. | :03:38. | |
the article in the Sunday Telegraph was not scintillating. But it's | :03:38. | :03:42. | |
called point, that the party should not move to the right, is basically | :03:42. | :03:46. | |
correct. The ultimate proof of that was easily. You have to remember | :03:46. | :03:52. | |
that they did feel a stridently conservative candidate. They fought | :03:52. | :03:58. | |
a core vote campaign. They even used UKIP coloured purple and | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
yellow campaign paraphernalia. The campaign took place only six weeks | :04:01. | :04:07. | |
after the in-out speech that David Cameron gave on Europe. It's | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
difficult to see how they could have done any more to appeal to the | :04:11. | :04:15. | |
right-wing UKIP vote. And it didn't work. That leads me to conclude | :04:15. | :04:20. | |
that competing with UKIP on the right is a mug's game. The further | :04:20. | :04:23. | |
you go in that direction, the further you alienate wavering | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
centrist voters. The Prime Minister says he's not moving to the right. | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
The Home Secretary and just a secretary at out of manoeuvres. One | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
is calling for total withdrawal from the European Court of Human | :04:34. | :04:38. | |
Rights. The other is saying they will get rid of the Human Rights | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
Act. What is that about? Exactly, slightly conflicting messages | :04:42. | :04:46. | |
coming out from the various Sunday papers. You get those quite right- | :04:46. | :04:52. | |
wing headlines. We are not lurching from the right, that is what is | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
coming from David Cameron. It's interesting that David Davis gave | :04:56. | :05:00. | |
that interview with you before Eastleigh. He is a formidable | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
operator and he would not have made that warning without intending some | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
kind of follow-up, knowing then that it was likely they would come | :05:07. | :05:12. | |
third. At some point, perhaps around the budget, there will be a | :05:12. | :05:17. | |
follow-up from him and others. They are clearly waiting to time it. It | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
is incredibly interesting, it is because this call to go right, | :05:21. | :05:26. | |
Cameron has said we will not lurch to the right, as some have observed | :05:26. | :05:31. | |
today, quite a lot of what Cameron is arguing for his honour the right. | :05:31. | :05:36. | |
He's off a day in-not referendum, welfare reforms, public service | :05:36. | :05:43. | |
reforms, its difficult to see where he goes coming after the election. | :05:43. | :05:49. | |
It's not just the backbenchers that have some issues, he's not exactly | :05:49. | :05:59. | |
:05:59. | :06:02. | ||
flavour of the month in the party Up and down the country, people are | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
very frustrated. They feel that the voluntary party has not been | :06:07. | :06:12. | |
listened to. There seemed to be a group of modernisers around the | :06:12. | :06:16. | |
Prime Minister that have his ear. We, in Conservative Grassroots, | :06:16. | :06:19. | |
really want to appeal to the Conservative Party leadership to | :06:19. | :06:26. | |
wake up and listen to its core membership. And not just its core | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
membership, loyal Conservative voters, lifelong loyal Conservative | :06:30. | :06:35. | |
voters, who have been utterly switched off by what has been going | :06:35. | :06:40. | |
on for a little while now. Niemi now, former Tory Cabinet | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
minister Andrew Mitchell, back in the political fray after something | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
of an enforced absence. This is his first interview since leaving the | :06:47. | :06:54. | |
Government last year. We are not going to go over the whole pleb | :06:54. | :07:00. | |
incident again. They are saying it is time to listen to the grassroots, | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
they are fed up? I think they are fed up, the protest A3 that your | :07:05. | :07:08. | |
panel has so clearly identified in the earlier part of this programme | :07:08. | :07:12. | |
shows why they are fed up. The question for the Government is if | :07:12. | :07:20. | |
it is pursuing the right policies. In very difficult circumstances, in | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
all of the key areas, I think they are doing exactly that. What | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
lessons did you learn from Eastleigh? That it was a difficult | :07:28. | :07:31. | |
lesson for the Conservative Party, it's not as bad as some I can | :07:31. | :07:34. | |
remember. But it was extremely difficult. The lesson that we have | :07:35. | :07:39. | |
to take away, as any to communicate what we're doing better, and they | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
are, after all, two core texts which show what this government is | :07:43. | :07:48. | |
about. One is David Cameron's speech at the party conference last | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
year, in Birmingham. The other one is the speech that he made about | :07:52. | :07:58. | |
Europe. Both of those two things, most Conservatives can camp on the | :07:58. | :08:03. | |
ground that he set out. But these are not lessons, I asked you what | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
the lessons of Eastleigh were. The reason I ask is because it is quite | :08:07. | :08:09. | |
clear that if you cannot win in Eastleigh you do not have any | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
chance of having an overall majority? I don't think by- | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
elections are a good guide to the result of the next election. | :08:16. | :08:21. | |
there are no lessons? No, there are, the lessons are that we need to | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
communicate what we're doing better. The two speeches I'd mentioned I | :08:26. | :08:30. | |
believe are the core texts. But he said that well before Eastleigh and | :08:30. | :08:34. | |
he still didn't win. And not just a by-election, he did and when his | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
General Election in 2010, Eastleigh was one of your target seats. He | :08:38. | :08:45. | |
didn't win the by-election and your chance of winning Eastleigh is | :08:45. | :08:48. | |
unlikely and therefore your overall majority is unlikely? The policies | :08:48. | :08:53. | |
we are pursuing are the overall best policies for Britain. If you | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
look at the sophisticated polling carried out on election day by Lord | :08:57. | :09:01. | |
Ashcroft, you can see that, at the next election, in a choice between | :09:01. | :09:06. | |
Ed Miliband and David Cameron, the voters of Eastleigh would plump for | :09:06. | :09:15. | |
David Cameron. How deep and serious is the anger? There is a healthy | :09:15. | :09:19. | |
debate on other Tory backbenchers which will, I think, come to a head, | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
if you like, at the time of the budget. This is going to be an | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
extremely important budget. If you ask me, as a former Chief Whip, | :09:27. | :09:34. | |
about discipline on the backbenches, I think that the party has been | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
incredibly disciplined. There will not be another omnishambles budget? | :09:38. | :09:42. | |
I can compare it to John Major's day, when discipline went out of | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
the window. I think they have been very disciplined. David Davies says | :09:46. | :09:51. | |
that it is a crisis for David Cameron, coming third? He wants the | :09:51. | :09:56. | |
Conservative Party to win the next General Election. Well, he is a | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
Tory MP. He is, he wants the Conservative Party to win the | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
election and his advisers always worth listening to. But was he | :10:03. | :10:09. | |
right? I think coming third was deeply disappointing and a bad | :10:09. | :10:12. | |
result for the Conservative Party. I think has to be seen in the | :10:12. | :10:17. | |
context of by-elections, as a protest vote and not a sign of the | :10:17. | :10:21. | |
likely outcome of the next election. On the one hand we had the Prime | :10:21. | :10:24. | |
Minister telling us he is not going to moved to the right. On the other | :10:24. | :10:30. | |
hand, we have Theresa May and Chris Grayling saying we will repeal a | :10:30. | :10:33. | |
hidden Rights Act, we are going to leave the court of human rights | :10:33. | :10:38. | |
altogether. Is that the direction your party should be going in? | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
think the news this morning from Chris Grayling, and I have only | :10:41. | :10:44. | |
seen the interview that he has given, is exactly the right thing | :10:44. | :10:49. | |
to do. I think the approach he is taking will be hugely in Britain's | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
interests. I think we must wait and see what goes into the next | :10:53. | :10:59. | |
manifesto. I would expect something like that TB in it. There is a | :10:59. | :11:01. | |
story in the Mail on Sunday, that you have been in discussions with | :11:01. | :11:07. | |
the Prime Minister about a job as Britain's next to EU commissioner. | :11:07. | :11:15. | |
Is that true? My main aim at the moment is to concentrate on looking | :11:15. | :11:20. | |
after my constituents in Sutton Coldfield. But he had a chat with | :11:20. | :11:28. | |
the Prime Minister about this? chat with the Prime Minister from | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
time to time. But I am not going to do my career planning here. | :11:31. | :11:36. | |
sounds like you have been talking about it? There is an important job | :11:36. | :11:39. | |
to do, to make sure that Europe changes in the interests of | :11:39. | :11:43. | |
everybody in Europe and in Britain. I don't deny that. But my central | :11:43. | :11:47. | |
interest is to support my party in any way I can and look after my | :11:48. | :11:52. | |
constituents in Sutton Coldfield. Keep us posted. House prices are | :11:52. | :11:55. | |
quite low in Brussels, it could be a good time. | :11:55. | :11:59. | |
Now, amid the Lib Dem sex scandal, the Eastleigh by-election and the | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
departing Pope, you might have missed what was a truly awful week | :12:02. | :12:06. | |
for the UK economy. Bad news for the Government and tough times for | :12:06. | :12:10. | |
the man charged with getting Britain's business is booming. | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
Vince Cable is in his third year as a business secretary. His job, | :12:15. | :12:18. | |
trying to get British business and the economy growing again, isn't | :12:18. | :12:24. | |
getting any easier. Last week, Britain lost its treasure it AAA | :12:24. | :12:27. | |
rating and the figures confirmed a shrinking economy for the last | :12:27. | :12:31. | |
quarter of 2012, putting us officially on the verge of one | :12:31. | :12:38. | |
unprecedented triple dip recession. No wonder, with the budget A little | :12:38. | :12:43. | |
under two weeks away, he is said to favour more spending on | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
infrastructure projects. There was some good news. Not the economy, | :12:48. | :12:54. | |
but Eastleigh, where they hold on to Chris Huhne's old seat. That's | :12:54. | :12:58. | |
despite criticism of Nick Clegg's handling of allegations over Lord | :12:58. | :13:07. | |
Rennard. But the Business Secretary were -- is refusing to rule out | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
relay his party one day, so there could be a silver lining for Vince | :13:11. | :13:20. | |
Cable. And he joins me now for the Inflation remains high, and the | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
squeeze on living standards is worse than at any time since the | :13:23. | :13:28. | |
1920s. Sterling is slipping. The deficit reduction has stalled. Bond | :13:28. | :13:32. | |
yields are rising. Productivity is slumping. There is no growth in the | :13:32. | :13:37. | |
economy. The AAA rating is gone. What is the good news about the | :13:37. | :13:41. | |
Government economic strategy? is good news to set aside that long | :13:41. | :13:46. | |
list of difficulties. Job growth is very substantial. 1 million private | :13:46. | :13:50. | |
sector jobs over the last two years. Company formation start-ups are at | :13:50. | :13:56. | |
a record rate. The areas we need to be, exporting to the big emerging | :13:56. | :14:01. | |
markets, big manufacturing countries in particular, education | :14:01. | :14:05. | |
services, there are some positive signs. You are quite right, that | :14:05. | :14:09. | |
list is a grim one and it reflects the depths of the crisis we are | :14:09. | :14:14. | |
emerging from. You have said that manufacturing is a key driver of | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
our economy. But output fell in manufacturing in the 4th quarter of | :14:18. | :14:23. | |
last year, and again last month. So, no growth, no rebalancing of the | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
economy. The manufacturing story is heavily influenced by the fact that | :14:27. | :14:31. | |
a big chunk of manufacturing is construction products, things like | :14:31. | :14:36. | |
steel, cement and glass, which had been hit very badly by the slump in | :14:36. | :14:40. | |
construction. If you look at the bits of manufacturing that adhered | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
to the big emerging markets, like engineering, you have got some very | :14:43. | :14:51. | |
good, successful companies. overall it is down? Lending to | :14:51. | :14:54. | |
businesses, you and the coalition have always been talking about this, | :14:54. | :14:57. | |
that has been going down for months and the rate of decline is even | :14:57. | :15:01. | |
faster, there is less and less going to business? I am alarmed by | :15:01. | :15:05. | |
that as well. It is one of the consequences of the banking crisis. | :15:05. | :15:09. | |
It takes years and years for banks to adjust their balance sheet. One | :15:09. | :15:13. | |
of the casualties has been lending to businesses. The Government has | :15:14. | :15:16. | |
introduced a Funding for Lending scheme, which has mainly helped the | :15:16. | :15:25. | |
Margaret -- mortgage market. The new banks are taking advantage of | :15:25. | :15:32. | |
it and the business bank will help mending. It is a problem and we | :15:32. | :15:35. | |
have got a lot to do, particularly getting the state-owned banks much | :15:35. | :15:45. | |
:15:45. | :15:53. | ||
You were expecting an export boom. No boom, very little growth. | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
exports fall into two distinct categories. Where we are exporting | :15:57. | :16:00. | |
to the growth market of Asia and countries like Turkish and Brazil, | :16:01. | :16:04. | |
we are doing well. There is rapid growth. We started from a will he | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
base. There was neglect for many years and the more competitive | :16:08. | :16:12. | |
exchange rate helps but on the other side half of our exports go | :16:12. | :16:15. | |
to the European Union and they have been clobbered by the crisis there | :16:15. | :16:19. | |
and we have been hit. But in terms of restructuring the economy, it | :16:19. | :16:23. | |
has to come through exports and it is proving pretty... I was looking | :16:23. | :16:27. | |
at comparative figures, both the dollar and sterling have seen a 30% | :16:27. | :16:32. | |
declin since 2006. But American exports over that time are up 70%. | :16:33. | :16:38. | |
Ours are up 10%. They have actually started to slowdown in recent years. | :16:38. | :16:43. | |
It's a pretty terrible record. is. I think the fact is this over a | :16:43. | :16:47. | |
decade-and-a-half, partly because of an over-valued exchange rate, | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
but for more complex reasons, British companies and the | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
Government at the time took their eyes off the big growth markets. We | :16:56. | :16:59. | |
fell horribly behind not just Germany and the US but also | :16:59. | :17:03. | |
countries like France and Italy and rebuilding an exporting | :17:03. | :17:07. | |
infrastructure is a major challenge. We are actually doing it. We are | :17:07. | :17:10. | |
putting in place better trade finance facilities. My department | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
has a whole lot of new products we are trying to help exporters with | :17:15. | :17:17. | |
and putting effort behind trade promotion but you pose the | :17:18. | :17:21. | |
challenge rightly. Here, over two- and-a-half years into power with | :17:21. | :17:24. | |
this coalition, in your particular area, we have manufacturing in | :17:24. | :17:28. | |
decline, lending to business in decline, sterling in decline, but | :17:28. | :17:35. | |
no export boom. It's a remarkable catalogue of failure for a Business | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
Secretary. Not at all. As I said, there are some very positive things | :17:39. | :17:43. | |
happening. Exports to emerging markets, rapid job growth in the | :17:43. | :17:47. | |
private sector, lots of private companies being established and a | :17:47. | :17:51. | |
lot of entrepreneurial activity but we have deep-rooted problems and | :17:51. | :17:56. | |
the kind of things I'm responsible for, the long-term issues which is | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
why we're building an industrial strategy working over the long-term | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
working with our industries, investing in skills and | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
apprenticeships, science and innovation. They take a long time | :18:06. | :18:09. | |
to mature. Let's look at what Nick Clegg said on this. To see what you | :18:09. | :18:19. | |
:18:19. | :18:30. | ||
Do you agree with him? Is he right? Yes, and I have said that many | :18:30. | :18:35. | |
times. And yet for all the talk up there and I have seen you say it | :18:35. | :18:41. | |
too, for extra infrastructure spending, it's still in decline. | :18:41. | :18:45. | |
Public investment was �50 billion a year when you came into power. Last | :18:45. | :18:50. | |
year it was �28 billion. Almost half. Next year it will be �25 | :18:50. | :18:54. | |
billion and then in the next couple of years it falls to �22. So you | :18:54. | :18:58. | |
talk about it, but it continues to fall. The decline from �50 billion | :18:58. | :19:02. | |
which you refer to, came from the fact that there had been a big | :19:02. | :19:05. | |
burst of infrastructure spending in the middle of the financial crisis | :19:05. | :19:08. | |
which was rightly the right thing for Alistair Darling to have done | :19:08. | :19:11. | |
but he then slashed capital spending by half and we have been | :19:11. | :19:14. | |
living with the legacy. You have kept with that, you haven't changed. | :19:15. | :19:19. | |
You are not learning Mr Clegg - Mr Clegg said we need to learn from | :19:19. | :19:22. | |
that. But under your coalition's plans, infrastructure spending | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
continues to fall year after year? I think in the Autumn Statement | :19:26. | :19:31. | |
last year we went some way to correcting that. Big capital | :19:31. | :19:33. | |
investment in things like science and universities. But, we need to | :19:34. | :19:37. | |
do a will the more. This is the area where the Government, through | :19:37. | :19:43. | |
the Budget and subsequently now has to focus, getting capital spending | :19:43. | :19:46. | |
going. Big infrastructure projects take years to get off the ground. | :19:46. | :19:50. | |
You cannot just press a button but you have to do it. You say you are | :19:50. | :19:55. | |
doing it. These are the figures from the Treasury public finances | :19:55. | :19:59. | |
data bank dated 225th February. Public spending -- 25th February. | :19:59. | :20:04. | |
Public spending on infrastructure will go from �25 billion next year | :20:04. | :20:10. | |
to �22 billion by 2015-16. For all your talk, it's still declines. | :20:10. | :20:14. | |
Well that has to be reversed. it in the Budget? My colleagues in | :20:14. | :20:18. | |
the Government will be arguing very strongly for a much heavier | :20:18. | :20:21. | |
emphasis on capital spending and infrastructure and getting big | :20:21. | :20:24. | |
products moving. Is the Chancellor listening? I think he is. He is | :20:24. | :20:28. | |
heavily involved in it. We've identified 40 big infrastructure | :20:28. | :20:34. | |
projects. The obstacles to getting them off the ground - partly about | :20:34. | :20:39. | |
funding because PFI has collapsed in the funding crisis. A lot of | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
physical and training problems. If you are doing tunneling, you have | :20:43. | :20:48. | |
to train engineers it, takes time. Exactly. If you are only talking | :20:48. | :20:53. | |
about that and not got to the stage of spending, this kind of | :20:53. | :20:56. | |
infrastructure spending can bring no relief to the current state of | :20:56. | :20:59. | |
the economy it. Won't get us out of the stagnation this year or next? | :20:59. | :21:02. | |
Well there are different kinds of capital spending. The kind of | :21:02. | :21:07. | |
things I'm doing in our department, for every �1 put forward by | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
universities from their own money, we get from private sector, we | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
match it. That happens quickly. There are road projects which | :21:14. | :21:17. | |
involve maintenance rather than big construction which can be moved | :21:17. | :21:21. | |
quickly. We have to get that moving. If you were honest with us, you are | :21:21. | :21:23. | |
deeply disappointed by what happened in this field, aren't you? | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
Yes, I am. I think we should be doing a lot more and that's where | :21:27. | :21:31. | |
the focus has to be now. Your department isn't ring-fenced when | :21:31. | :21:37. | |
it comes to spending cuts. Should health, education and everseas aid | :21:37. | :21:43. | |
remain fing-fenced? -- overseas aid. I have been critical of fence 46 | :21:43. | :21:48. | |
fencing, but I accepted the policy. My colleagues agreed we would do a | :21:48. | :21:51. | |
ring-fencing approach in this Parliament. That's what we're | :21:51. | :21:55. | |
committed to and I'm living with it and delivering substantial cuts in | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
my debt. But I think in general it is not a good approach in the long- | :21:59. | :22:03. | |
run. Are you up for any more cuts or due feel, as fillip Hammond the | :22:03. | :22:10. | |
Defence Secretary said this weekend, that he doesn't want any - Philip | :22:10. | :22:15. | |
Hammond. He is what we now call the National Union of Ministers. Are | :22:15. | :22:20. | |
you a member? I think I have been fingered as the shop steward. There | :22:20. | :22:24. | |
is a very strong argument, if we are interested in greth and | :22:24. | :22:28. | |
recovery, for investing more, not less in skills, science and | :22:28. | :22:32. | |
innovation. -- growth. I will make that case in Government. There was | :22:32. | :22:42. | |
:22:42. | :22:49. | ||
a sting with what Mr Hammond had to Do you agree with that? If I was | :22:49. | :22:53. | |
trying to help Philip Hammond with his Budget, I would sympathise with | :22:53. | :22:57. | |
him not wanting to cut front-line troops which if you trapped the | :22:57. | :23:02. | |
Trident missile, which my side of the coalition argues would make | :23:02. | :23:05. | |
significant savings. What about the welfare spending being further cut? | :23:05. | :23:08. | |
I think it would be very difficult to go further down that road. My | :23:08. | :23:12. | |
party has argued that there are elements of universial benefit that | :23:12. | :23:16. | |
we should perhaps be looking at. All right. | :23:16. | :23:24. | |
You wrote to the heads of the big FTSE firms - excuse me - that men- | :23:24. | :23:27. | |
only boardrooms should be a thing of the past. They had them. You | :23:27. | :23:32. | |
urged them to redress the gender balance, telling them to change the | :23:32. | :23:35. | |
paternalistic culture, urge a significant female presence. A bit | :23:35. | :23:41. | |
rich given your party's own record on women? Well, the matter did not | :23:41. | :23:44. | |
the complaints about Lord Rennard very well. We acknowledged that and | :23:44. | :23:48. | |
that's why we set up inquiries to investigate what happened and how | :23:48. | :23:51. | |
we improve the procedure it. Wasn't good practice. I'm particularly | :23:51. | :23:55. | |
concerned that the women that were affected by it, do feel that they | :23:55. | :23:58. | |
get proper treatment. We have to address that. No it wasn't a good | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
example. As far as women on boards is concerned, that is a separate | :24:02. | :24:07. | |
issue, but a very important one. The more women there are in top- | :24:07. | :24:11. | |
decision-making the better. Your own female MPs, own 12% of Liberal | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
Democrats are female. Many in vulnerable seats. The Tories are | :24:15. | :24:21. | |
are better at 16%, Labour better at 33%. It is a bit tough to lecture | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
boards, when your own party is hardly in the van grd? No, we are | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
not. We have to do more. I think you will find in terms of our | :24:29. | :24:32. | |
candidates in our existing winnable seats next time, we are going to do | :24:32. | :24:35. | |
much better. It is not a great record. We acknowledge that. We | :24:35. | :24:41. | |
have to do more. Last week you sin cysted that Nick Clegg knew nothing | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
-- insisted. That Nick Clegg knew nothing specific or unspecific | :24:45. | :24:49. | |
about the allegations of Chris Rennard. Within 12 hours it was | :24:49. | :24:53. | |
proved wrong. Who misled you? told that he didn't know about the | :24:53. | :24:56. | |
specific allegations. Who told you? Well I talked to his team about it. | :24:56. | :25:00. | |
I was actually asked what I knew. I knew nothing and I wasn't involved | :25:00. | :25:04. | |
at any stage but I did add that because his team had informed me | :25:05. | :25:08. | |
that he didn't know anything about the specific allegation. And that | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
remains the case. His office misled you? No, they didn't mislead me on | :25:12. | :25:18. | |
that. They said he didn't know anything... You said he knew | :25:18. | :25:24. | |
nothing but he knew something. it is about general issues. Hes a | :25:24. | :25:29. | |
acknowledged that. At that point, it was - was he aware at all about | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
allegations about Mr Rennie, Chris Rennard, you had been told he | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
wasn't, and he was. I was told he wasn't aware of specific | :25:37. | :25:41. | |
allegations but this whole question of who said what to whom? It is be | :25:41. | :25:46. | |
an important question. That's why we have set up an inquiry to get to | :25:46. | :25:49. | |
the bottom of it, rather than apportioning... I understand, but | :25:49. | :25:55. | |
as you know Nick Clegg said he knew about allegations way back in 2008 | :25:55. | :26:01. | |
that Chris Rennard was told to "stop it now" and it is now even | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
being said that Mr Clegg's office this it was a reason why he was | :26:04. | :26:10. | |
encouraged to step down. Why didn't he single him at the 2009 | :26:10. | :26:14. | |
conference. Let's hear what he had to say: I would like to pay my own | :26:14. | :26:19. | |
tribute to Chris. Chris, I can honestly say, if it wasn't for your | :26:19. | :26:23. | |
guidance and encouragement, I wouldn't have been elected as an MP, | :26:23. | :26:32. | |
let alone now be leading the party. And if it wasn't for the Rennard | :26:32. | :26:36. | |
School of Campaigning, this would not be a party ready to transform | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
British politics, ready to win, winning already. | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
Now given what Mr Clegg now tells us he knew at that time, what does | :26:45. | :26:50. | |
that sort of econium send to the women who made the allegations, or | :26:50. | :26:54. | |
the people who'd heard the allegations? Well, those women are | :26:54. | :26:57. | |
very hurt by what has happened and felt the matter was not properly | :26:57. | :27:04. | |
dealt with and they are right. is being heaped on Chris Rennard, | :27:04. | :27:08. | |
the praise. He was praising his record as a campaigner. He was a | :27:08. | :27:11. | |
brilliant campaigner. That's separate from personal conduct in | :27:11. | :27:15. | |
the office. That has to be properly investigated. After Eastleigh is | :27:15. | :27:20. | |
Nick Clegg's leadership safe? nobody is diveg. He'll lead the | :27:20. | :27:25. | |
Liberal Democrats into the general election at 2015? If he wishes to, | :27:25. | :27:29. | |
I'm sure he will. That's the assumption. He does, does that mean | :27:29. | :27:33. | |
you have to abandon all hope of being leader? I can see this side | :27:33. | :27:36. | |
of the election you are probably the major contender to take over if | :27:36. | :27:41. | |
he was to step down. But post-2015 they'll likely turn to a new | :27:41. | :27:45. | |
generation? Probably. I'm not helping or planning to be the | :27:46. | :27:49. | |
leader. For logical reasons, I don't rule it out. If he falls | :27:49. | :27:52. | |
under a bus, there will be people who will be looked at. It is not | :27:52. | :27:56. | |
something I'm hoping, conspiring or competing to do. He is safe in his | :27:56. | :27:59. | |
job and he is getting on with it. Thank you for being on the Sunday | :27:59. | :28:05. | |
Politics. Now, how's your history? When you hear the words "William of | :28:05. | :28:08. | |
Orange", do you think of an invading Dutch monarch or the | :28:08. | :28:11. | |
Foreign Secretary after a trip to the tanning salon? And are you a | :28:11. | :28:14. | |
bit sketchy about the Reformation but think it might have something | :28:14. | :28:17. | |
to do with Robbie Williams going back to Take That? Well, it's a | :28:17. | :28:21. | |
good job Michael Gove is on the case. He has plans to change the | :28:21. | :28:24. | |
way we teach history in schools in England. But what are they and will | :28:24. | :28:34. | |
they work? Susana Mendonsa's been back in time to find out. This is | :28:34. | :28:39. | |
school, Victorian-style. These nine and ten-year-olds are on a day trip | :28:39. | :28:44. | |
to London's ragged school mue zem but in the future kids this young | :28:44. | :28:47. | |
won't have to be caught about the Victorians because the way we teach | :28:47. | :28:57. | |
:28:57. | :28:57. | ||
his industry changing. -- Ragged School Museum. Now we are doing | :28:57. | :29:04. | |
spelling. Excellent. Well done. So what cooks for these kids? | :29:04. | :29:08. | |
like the Romans. I really like the Romans. | :29:08. | :29:13. | |
I did like the Great Fire of London. The Egyptians. | :29:13. | :29:19. | |
Sit up. Yes, pay attention. The Egyptians | :29:19. | :29:22. | |
are not on the new curriculum but the Romans are and there will be | :29:22. | :29:26. | |
more focus on chronology and knowledge. But why? There is a | :29:26. | :29:30. | |
perception, which I think is real, that children are leaving school | :29:30. | :29:35. | |
without a deep knowledge of the chronology of British history and | :29:35. | :29:38. | |
the history of countries that are important to this country. They | :29:38. | :29:43. | |
tend to repeat the same periods of history over again, the Tudors and | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
then the Second World War. I think children need to understand the | :29:46. | :29:56. | |
:29:56. | :30:03. | ||
whole of our history if they are One attempt to get children | :30:03. | :30:06. | |
interested has been Horrible Histories. The programme's | :30:06. | :30:10. | |
historical consultant thinks that the Government's curriculum might | :30:10. | :30:16. | |
struggle to engage their minds. feels a bit like a 19th century | :30:16. | :30:23. | |
rote learning type of scholarship. It's all about absorbing facts that | :30:23. | :30:26. | |
are flown at them, rather than communicating with children. | :30:26. | :30:31. | |
will learn by repetition, repeat, repeat, repeat. Remember, remember, | :30:31. | :30:37. | |
remember. Back in Victorian times it was all about rote-learning, the | :30:37. | :30:44. | |
idea Ross repeating facts again and again until it stuck in your head. | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
Critics of Michael Gove's plans think he is heading back in that | :30:47. | :30:50. | |
direction. Supporters think the balance has tipped too far the | :30:50. | :30:56. | |
other way. The 70s array move away from textbook based teaching in | :30:56. | :30:59. | |
private schools. According to Nick Gibb, secretary schools began to | :30:59. | :31:04. | |
focus more on skills and knowledge in 2007. But how much do these kids | :31:05. | :31:12. | |
know? The Spanish Armada, what here today attack England? I seriously | :31:12. | :31:20. | |
doubt no! The who was the Queen at the time? Queen Victoria. Who was | :31:20. | :31:26. | |
Brunel? I'm just guessing. Maybe a Queen? Do you know what the Magna | :31:27. | :31:36. | |
To be fair, a few adults out there will not know the answers to those | :31:36. | :31:40. | |
either. So, his Michael Gove right or | :31:40. | :31:45. | |
wrong? Dr David Starkey and Professor Richard Evans joined me | :31:45. | :31:55. | |
:31:55. | :31:56. | ||
Richard Evans, what is wrong with what Michael Gove is proposing? | :31:56. | :31:59. | |
There are lots of things wrong with what he is proposing. First of all, | :31:59. | :32:06. | |
it's his a very personal plan he has brought up. It was a large | :32:06. | :32:11. | |
consultation exercise, consulting teachers. He pushed that all to one | :32:11. | :32:16. | |
side. Many of these historical organisations, conservative | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
teachers who are used to teaching in schools, they are absolutely | :32:19. | :32:28. | |
horrified. It is a very amateur set of proposals. It is just teaching a | :32:28. | :32:31. | |
chronicle. There doesn't teach the kind of historical skills that you | :32:31. | :32:36. | |
need to analyse the past, to make up your mind. It is shoving facts | :32:36. | :32:39. | |
down schoolchildren's throats without giving them a chance to | :32:39. | :32:43. | |
debate and make it they remind. What say you? I think there are two | :32:43. | :32:48. | |
problems with what Richard has just said. We have seen from those clips | :32:48. | :32:55. | |
their the staggering level of ignorance. University Challenge, a | :32:55. | :32:59. | |
question on 1688, it got an answer from one good student at Bangor, | :32:59. | :33:03. | |
the monarch involved was Elizabeth I. From another even brighter | :33:03. | :33:11. | |
student, a medical student at UCL, that it was William the first. Out | :33:11. | :33:16. | |
by 600 years. That is a problem. Richard does not seem to think it | :33:16. | :33:20. | |
is. There is evidence of an extraordinary evacuation of basic | :33:20. | :33:24. | |
historical knowledge. He talks about debate and criticism, you | :33:24. | :33:27. | |
cannot debate unless you know. This whole skills approach has got it | :33:27. | :33:31. | |
the wrong way round. I think there is something much more | :33:31. | :33:35. | |
fundamental... Before you go on, can I get your reaction to that? | :33:35. | :33:40. | |
You need to know the facts before you can analyse them? No, Michael | :33:40. | :33:45. | |
Gove is preparing kids to do well in a pub quiz or come top in | :33:45. | :33:49. | |
Mastermind. The curriculum is not about teaching them to understand | :33:49. | :33:54. | |
and analyse history. The facts do not come first. They come together | :33:54. | :33:58. | |
with the interpretation. They both belong together. I absolutely agree | :33:58. | :34:02. | |
that factual knowledge is important. When should it be taught? It should | :34:02. | :34:07. | |
be taught in an age appropriate way. Michael Gove is posing to get | :34:07. | :34:12. | |
seven-year-olds to understand early medieval history, he wants ten- | :34:12. | :34:16. | |
year-olds to be up to understand the Magna Carta. He wants 11-year- | :34:16. | :34:21. | |
olds to understand John Locke, for goodness sake. Having a whole | :34:21. | :34:25. | |
chronology of basic history, from five to 18, starting at the present, | :34:25. | :34:31. | |
is not going to work. I will interrupt him, the problem is that | :34:31. | :34:34. | |
the current curriculum, which Richard is defending, is wholly | :34:34. | :34:38. | |
dishonest. He talks about the need for debate, the need to question | :34:38. | :34:41. | |
everything. Richard, should schools be questioning and debating the | :34:41. | :34:47. | |
Holocaust or should they be presenting it as moral fact? That a | :34:47. | :34:50. | |
really good point. The new curriculum says that the children | :34:50. | :34:53. | |
have to learn that the unique evil of the Holocaust. Now, there are | :34:53. | :34:59. | |
several problems with that. First, it is a moral and not historical | :34:59. | :35:04. | |
approach. Secondly, the uniqueness. That is wholly controversial. | :35:04. | :35:09. | |
is exactly what is going on now. I have never heard a single debate in | :35:09. | :35:14. | |
school on the issue of the Holocaust. It is taught as a moral | :35:14. | :35:21. | |
absolute. It should be taught as an historical issue. We are agreeing! | :35:21. | :35:26. | |
How can you understand it without knowing something about the history | :35:26. | :35:28. | |
of anti-Semitism? How can you understand it without knowing | :35:28. | :35:33. | |
something about Germany? Germany does not appear in this entire... | :35:33. | :35:37. | |
You said you were going to drop out. Come on, I am taking you at your | :35:37. | :35:42. | |
word. Let's take another point. You said you disliked myths and hero | :35:42. | :35:48. | |
worship. Why do we have Mary Sicko there? Have you looked at the text? | :35:49. | :35:54. | |
They describe a fashion that is clearly designed to make her the | :35:54. | :36:04. | |
antithesis. Do you remember Diane Abbott saying we do not want blonde, | :36:04. | :36:09. | |
blue-eyed women in the National Health Service. She's being | :36:09. | :36:15. | |
referred to as the patron and heroine of these nurses. The | :36:15. | :36:22. | |
current curriculum is affected by current political concerns. And she | :36:22. | :36:25. | |
is in the new curriculum. What they need to be taught to do is to look | :36:25. | :36:29. | |
at somebody like that and asked difficult questions about them. The | :36:29. | :36:33. | |
new curriculum does not combine historical thinking more skills on | :36:33. | :36:38. | |
the one hand with the facts. It just has the facts. We are now | :36:38. | :36:40. | |
agreeing that the current curriculum, it has fundamental | :36:40. | :36:46. | |
problems? No, no, you are generalising. I have ever seen any | :36:46. | :36:50. | |
evidence in any of the teaching materials that there is any debate | :36:50. | :36:56. | |
on her at all. You get the final word, seeing as he has said a lot. | :36:56. | :37:00. | |
The current curriculum does a narrative of British history from | :37:00. | :37:06. | |
the age of 11, up to the age of 14. Let's remember, this is up to the | :37:06. | :37:11. | |
age of 14. There is another bunch of problems about 14-16, 16-18. But | :37:11. | :37:16. | |
it is centred on a narrative of British history, it combines that | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
with skills and it has some world history and European history. That | :37:19. | :37:24. | |
is why the new one is absolutely missing that. You have a whole | :37:24. | :37:26. | |
generation leaving school without knowing anything about any other | :37:26. | :37:34. | |
country. It really is wrong. The campaign for the current curriculum, | :37:34. | :37:38. | |
it was headed by a list of signatories with Jesse Jackson at | :37:38. | :37:42. | |
the top. It is politically and left-wing skewed and quite | :37:42. | :37:46. | |
deliberately so. It is a product of the last government and it needs | :37:46. | :37:50. | |
demolishing now. We shall see how many viewers have ever heard of | :37:50. | :37:56. | |
her! There is a good reason they haven't. The U-boat get 100 lines | :37:56. | :38:01. | |
for a overrunning. -- you both get 100 lines for overrunning. | :38:01. | :38:04. | |
The coming up: I will be looking at the week ahead with our political | :38:04. | :38:14. | |
:38:14. | :38:17. | ||
panel. Until then, the Sunday Hello, welcome from others. This | :38:17. | :38:22. | |
week, we will be talking about how to make more of the river as a | :38:22. | :38:25. | |
regular form of transport. A little later, these are difficult times | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
for councils with difficult decisions to make. Our counsellors | :38:29. | :38:35. | |
trained and paid and have to do the job? Mark Field and Diane Abbott | :38:35. | :38:40. | |
out with me today. Welcome to both. A quick word on ECT kick-off with. | :38:40. | :38:45. | |
Mark, you are a well-known Tory plot there. Does this bring forward | :38:45. | :38:48. | |
the day when you consider installing the extra phone lines in | :38:48. | :38:54. | |
your Westminster pad? Obviously a very disappointing result for the | :38:54. | :38:57. | |
Conservatives. We would have liked to have done better. The important | :38:57. | :39:03. | |
thing from the party's point of view is to not lose our nerve. | :39:03. | :39:06. | |
Let's have a proper postmortem. Obviously we have to move on from | :39:06. | :39:10. | |
that. When were you have that postmortem? The urgent meetings you | :39:10. | :39:15. | |
have been having around Adam Afriyie and everything else? | :39:15. | :39:20. | |
think that is taken as read. But much more importantly, the party | :39:20. | :39:23. | |
needs to discover on the ground where things went wrong. Clearly, | :39:23. | :39:27. | |
this is a must-win seat at the next General Election, given the | :39:27. | :39:31. | |
boundary changes are not going to happen. One of the disappointments | :39:31. | :39:35. | |
is the search for UKIP. It was felt that David Cameron had rather put | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
this issue to bed. The idea was that we had rather shocked the UKIP | :39:39. | :39:45. | |
Fox by having that talk about a EU referendum. Clearly, that has | :39:45. | :39:49. | |
backfired. Do you think you are now more write about thinking for the | :39:49. | :39:52. | |
future and you need to look for someone else as a leader? | :39:52. | :39:56. | |
future thought is simply if the coalition doesn't blast and we are | :39:56. | :40:00. | |
back in opposition in 2015, clearly there will need to be a fundamental | :40:00. | :40:04. | |
change of direction and where the Conservative Party does. Are we a | :40:04. | :40:07. | |
bit closer to that? It is going to be made the 15th. My view has | :40:08. | :40:15. | |
always been that this coalition will always last right through. We | :40:15. | :40:19. | |
have some very difficult issues that have to be faced, particularly | :40:19. | :40:23. | |
in relation to the economy. I think the public want see a government | :40:23. | :40:28. | |
pushing the national interest. do we turn Labour into a party that | :40:28. | :40:34. | |
is more than one nation north of Watford? No, no. East the was a | :40:34. | :40:40. | |
difficult city for us. I don't dig we have ever held it. But we never | :40:40. | :40:43. | |
expected to come higher than third or 4th. It would be unreasonable to | :40:43. | :40:50. | |
expect anything else. Really? It was not long ago that you well, you | :40:50. | :40:53. | |
had the UKIP thing. What worries me about them doing so well is that | :40:53. | :40:59. | |
they will drag the centre ground towards them on issues like | :40:59. | :41:07. | |
immigration and Europe. I don't In several parts of London, | :41:07. | :41:12. | |
detectives working at the specialist unit dealing with sex | :41:12. | :41:16. | |
crimes, allegations that they tried to persuade victims not to pursue | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
complaints. What did you feel about that? I thought it was very | :41:20. | :41:24. | |
shocking. We have one of the lowest rates of conviction for rape in | :41:24. | :41:29. | |
Europe. Less than one in 30 rape victims can expect to have their | :41:29. | :41:32. | |
crime cleared up. It shows a pretty rotten attitude to what is a | :41:32. | :41:37. | |
serious crime. Mark Field, satisfied that the practice is not | :41:37. | :41:45. | |
going on across London now? totally satisfied I'm afraid, no. | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
In a more trivial way, the evidence of what has happened with the | :41:49. | :41:53. | |
Liberal Democrats and that Lord Rennard fear or is the fact that | :41:53. | :41:58. | |
you cannot push up any of these sorts of issues. -- furore. The | :41:58. | :42:01. | |
public demand transparency, that is expected of the police and I hope | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
we will get to the bottom of that. Why aren't more people travelling | :42:04. | :42:09. | |
to work by river? This week, the mayor announced plans to double the | :42:09. | :42:13. | |
number of river journeys by 2020. But his travel by the Thames likely | :42:13. | :42:18. | |
to remain mainly for tourists, as the cost and time of journeys rules | :42:18. | :42:22. | |
it out as a genuine commuter option? | :42:22. | :42:25. | |
It last year's Jubilee was a reminder of the time when the | :42:25. | :42:28. | |
Thames was the busiest waterway in the world. On a normal day, it is | :42:28. | :42:36. | |
more likely to look like this. But the Met wants that to change, this | :42:36. | :42:38. | |
week announcing his plan to double the number of journeys on the river | :42:38. | :42:43. | |
by the end of the decade. In order to do that, he has pledged �10 | :42:43. | :42:47. | |
million. Part of that is going to go on three new piers and he also | :42:47. | :42:50. | |
wants better information from people so they know when they are | :42:50. | :42:54. | |
going and how long it is going to take until the next service comes | :42:54. | :42:59. | |
along. But could he be doing more? A report by the London Assembly | :43:00. | :43:02. | |
said that for people to really treat the river as an alternative | :43:02. | :43:07. | |
type of transport, it needs to be marked as one on the Tube map, a | :43:07. | :43:11. | |
recommendation he has not adopted. Every mode of transport is really | :43:11. | :43:14. | |
at capacity in London. We are looking at increasing capacity on | :43:14. | :43:18. | |
the Tube and the rail. If we can make it like a tube line, carrying | :43:18. | :43:23. | |
12 million passengers a year, it will help other motor transport and | :43:23. | :43:27. | |
transform the river into a genuine mode of transport. But is the | :43:27. | :43:31. | |
Thames ready? According to the Policy Exchange, millions of extra | :43:31. | :43:36. | |
journeys on the river could lead to something like chaos on the water | :43:36. | :43:40. | |
without air traffic control style management. Again, that is absent | :43:40. | :43:44. | |
from the mayor's plant. At the moment there is an disruption and | :43:44. | :43:47. | |
that would get worse. It's important to think about some kind | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
of air traffic control system to make sure you have a steady flow | :43:51. | :43:55. | |
and less disruption. As an alternative to the Tube and buses, | :43:55. | :43:59. | |
it certainly fails at one count, Speed. A morning commute from North | :43:59. | :44:04. | |
Greenwich to London Bridge takes 34 minutes. On the Tube, it is just | :44:04. | :44:09. | |
nine. For tourists, that is less of a problem. City Cruises are the | :44:09. | :44:12. | |
largest tour operator on the river. They think too much focus is | :44:13. | :44:18. | |
sometimes put on commuter services as opposed to tourism. Cruising on | :44:18. | :44:22. | |
the river is an experienced. It is wonderful. We have three World | :44:22. | :44:25. | |
Heritage Sites, we have 50 attractions you can view from the | :44:25. | :44:29. | |
boat. It is that message, that messaging that needs to get out. | :44:30. | :44:35. | |
fact, the figures in this week's action plan show City Hall expect | :44:35. | :44:38. | |
the increase in travel to come more from tourist services than | :44:38. | :44:42. | |
commuters. Those hoping the Thames can be transformed into some kind | :44:42. | :44:48. | |
of Tube line that will have to wait a little on their guard. -- a | :44:48. | :44:58. | |
:44:58. | :45:03. | ||
Joining me is Richard traistyi, the mayor's river ambassador. -- | :45:03. | :45:08. | |
Richard traistyi. Is it price, or time? A lot of people are keen to | :45:08. | :45:12. | |
use it. Upstream to Putney there has been a skeleton service. That | :45:12. | :45:17. | |
will be changed from the 2nd April. Otherwise, I don't think people who | :45:17. | :45:20. | |
want to use the river are too put off by the price. It's not actually | :45:20. | :45:25. | |
that much more, really. It is double, stpbt? It is excluding low | :45:26. | :45:29. | |
earners? -- isn't it? The people who say they want to use it, who | :45:29. | :45:34. | |
live by the river, in fact, you know, low earners can get, if they | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
wanted to use it, they can get season tickets. They certainly get | :45:38. | :45:42. | |
reductions by having Oyster or travelcards. The make a point, the | :45:42. | :45:46. | |
people living by the river, we know the people living close to the | :45:46. | :45:50. | |
river in piers, in nice flats. Is that what this service, you hope | :45:50. | :45:55. | |
will develop into, something for the quite well-off? Not entirely. | :45:55. | :46:00. | |
We want to see everybody using it. It is focused on that. If you let | :46:00. | :46:04. | |
me finish the answer, the fact is that there are people living by the | :46:04. | :46:08. | |
river, who most definitely do want to use it. They maybe, as you have | :46:08. | :46:13. | |
described them. Quite well-off. But other people, too. Indeed old age | :46:13. | :46:16. | |
pensioners, who have the Freedom Pass will actually have half the | :46:16. | :46:20. | |
price that other people will have and then, of course, fll be - | :46:20. | :46:25. | |
anybody who wants to use it, -- there will be. - anybody who wants | :46:25. | :46:31. | |
to use it regularly, season tickets give enormous reductions. The issue, | :46:31. | :46:35. | |
as everyone accepts, is interconnectivity, how do they get | :46:35. | :46:38. | |
towards needing the bus or other form of transport to get to the | :46:38. | :46:43. | |
river first? And all the information tying up. That is all | :46:43. | :46:47. | |
part of the river strategy. TfL. Now that they have a river strategy, | :46:47. | :46:50. | |
which of course they didn't before but now that they do, we will be | :46:50. | :46:55. | |
working on signage. We will be working on connectivity and as was | :46:56. | :46:59. | |
mentioned into the film, we'll certainly be working on | :46:59. | :47:03. | |
incorporating the river transport into the London travel map, along | :47:03. | :47:08. | |
with the underground lines. Are you optimistic or do you believe this | :47:08. | :47:12. | |
could become a genuine alternative mode of transport a serious one, | :47:12. | :47:16. | |
taking numbers away from other forms? I am optimistic. One of the | :47:16. | :47:21. | |
models we've looked at it some depth is the Brisbane river in | :47:21. | :47:26. | |
Australia, a windy river like the Thames and ten million people use | :47:26. | :47:31. | |
the boats there, similar boats. Similar catamaran form of boat. | :47:31. | :47:35. | |
Going forward, what we want the river to do is to relieve some of | :47:35. | :47:40. | |
the other services. Where I'm a member, in Wandsworth particularly, | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
very long river front, actually the underground service going along the | :47:43. | :47:48. | |
line of the river isn't particularly good. Its mainline | :47:48. | :47:54. | |
trains or buses and it would relieve the buses -- it's mainline. | :47:54. | :48:00. | |
Why a promise of this by 2020? The mayor won't be around then? What | :48:00. | :48:05. | |
can we see while he is still mayor? He is looking forward, to have a | :48:05. | :48:08. | |
plan. What will happen over the next four years while he is mayor, | :48:08. | :48:12. | |
rather than looking so far ahead? In the last four years, when he is | :48:12. | :48:17. | |
mayor, the use of the river has gone up by 25%. Pretty significant. | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
He did decide, in 2008, with a certain amount of cajoling from the | :48:20. | :48:25. | |
likes of me, that it was a good idea. So, we have worked hard and, | :48:25. | :48:32. | |
you know, as I say, this is, really, a landmark moment, to get TfL to | :48:32. | :48:35. | |
have a river strategy that they didn't have before. It was all | :48:36. | :48:41. | |
buses and underground and roads and so on. Now they have their eyes on | :48:41. | :48:45. | |
the river. Diane Abbott dou, believe this will unlock it, | :48:45. | :48:49. | |
without more subsidy. -- do you believe? Lots of people have hope | :48:49. | :48:53. | |
that we'll turn it into a thriving mode but it hasn't happened. I have | :48:53. | :48:57. | |
heard people say they are going to turn the river into the equivalent | :48:57. | :49:00. | |
of the Central line for years and it doesn't happen. It doesn't | :49:00. | :49:03. | |
really serve communities and taking them where they want to go. If you | :49:03. | :49:07. | |
are in Hackney the river is not going to take you to work in the | :49:07. | :49:11. | |
City or West End. This is another Boris gimmick like his blessed zip | :49:11. | :49:15. | |
wire. That was a one-off. You mean the | :49:15. | :49:20. | |
cable car. The cable car. Yeah. Introducing a permanent zip wire | :49:20. | :49:24. | |
across - there is an idea! Would you run away and play with that | :49:24. | :49:30. | |
one? Well, people have suggested it. Do you think this is a gimmick? | :49:30. | :49:40. | |
don't. I think some parts have been a success. To be honest, it is | :49:40. | :49:44. | |
never going to be a mass transit option, partly because of tides and | :49:44. | :49:47. | |
the pure volume, compared to looking at how many people are on | :49:47. | :49:52. | |
the Tube going down the District line. Millions a day. You have to | :49:52. | :49:56. | |
go around the Isle of Dogs to go from North Greenwich to London | :49:56. | :49:59. | |
Bridge, it is slightly unfair it make that comparison. I think it is | :49:59. | :50:03. | |
a leisurely form of transport. I love going by boat. It tends to be | :50:04. | :50:06. | |
something I do at the weekends with my children going to Greenwich, | :50:06. | :50:11. | |
rather than something I will do on a dilly basis. It is not commuter | :50:11. | :50:16. | |
challenge. - Daily basis. Who knows, perhaps we can see improvements | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
soon. London has 1,00 local councillors much it is a tough job | :50:20. | :50:26. | |
at the moment for those who take their duty seriously. -- 1,800. | :50:26. | :50:30. | |
There are tough decisions on spending to take and to make to | :50:30. | :50:32. | |
voters Rthey paid enough and skilled enough? | :50:32. | :50:37. | |
Most of us will know, more or less, what we get out of our local | :50:37. | :50:43. | |
councils? Such as lending us book, emptying our bins and comparing for | :50:43. | :50:46. | |
the elderly. Perhaps less familiar is the work of councillors, they | :50:46. | :50:50. | |
man the meetings and committees on town halls but do you know how | :50:50. | :50:54. | |
diligently they work? Sunday Politics London has contacted all | :50:54. | :50:58. | |
London authorities about their councillor's attendance records. | :50:58. | :51:00. | |
Most attend well but some councillors do much worse, | :51:00. | :51:05. | |
attending half of meetings or less. Brent has two councillors who have | :51:05. | :51:10. | |
done just that since May 2010. In Hounslow it's three, and two | :51:10. | :51:14. | |
boroughs with directly-elected mayors, Hackney and will you I | :51:14. | :51:19. | |
shall ham have four. Last week, a Lewisham councillor was forced to | :51:19. | :51:24. | |
resign after attending just one meeting in the last six months, the | :51:24. | :51:28. | |
statutory minimum. They are paid a basic allowance which is topped up | :51:28. | :51:31. | |
if they take on extra responsibilities, such as chairing | :51:31. | :51:38. | |
a committee. In London the basic rate varies from �7,500 to �11,200. | :51:38. | :51:41. | |
I think probably councillors shouldn't be paid at all. There are | :51:41. | :51:44. | |
lots of people who work hard in public service, school governors, | :51:44. | :51:47. | |
for example, who don't get paid. There would be an advantage, I | :51:47. | :51:51. | |
think that some of the people who are the deadwood hanging on because | :51:51. | :51:55. | |
they get paid the money, would decide to standdown. | :51:55. | :51:59. | |
Others argue that it is actually higher payments that could attract | :51:59. | :52:04. | |
brighter and better candidates but West Africa-tightening budgets, | :52:04. | :52:11. | |
what can council do to get members working -- with ever-tightening | :52:11. | :52:15. | |
budgets. Now the points of view of Clive | :52:15. | :52:20. | |
Betts now, the Chairman of the Select Committee on local | :52:20. | :52:24. | |
government. Are they skilled and paid enough? I think councillors | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
have an incredibly difficult job as your piece said at the beginning | :52:28. | :52:31. | |
there. The cuts they are now making throughout the country are | :52:31. | :52:36. | |
unprecedented in their scale. So, they have a very difficult job | :52:36. | :52:40. | |
making choice abouts which services to cut and explaining them to | :52:40. | :52:43. | |
constituents and listening to constituents about them. We have | :52:43. | :52:47. | |
found that councillors are not representative of a community as a | :52:47. | :52:51. | |
whole. The average age is 60, a minority of people in work when | :52:51. | :52:55. | |
councillors don't do a full-time work job, they do an important | :52:55. | :52:59. | |
part-time job. Some of them work. But we were told repeatedly of | :52:59. | :53:04. | |
people who get an allowance to do council o work but because they | :53:04. | :53:09. | |
have to get time off on their council job from their day jobs | :53:09. | :53:13. | |
they end up being worse off. Would you like to see the allowances | :53:13. | :53:17. | |
increased for a rank and file officer? The majority of people on | :53:17. | :53:22. | |
many councils are pensioners. There is no great incentive for them to | :53:22. | :53:26. | |
look at the position who are on -- of the people who are on the | :53:26. | :53:32. | |
council with a job, or of those who might be deterred from going on the | :53:32. | :53:39. | |
council. MPs have let their pay and allowances be overseen by an | :53:39. | :53:45. | |
independent body. Why should they say they should have an independent | :53:45. | :53:49. | |
body. What about employers rthey sympathetic enough, make allowances, | :53:49. | :53:52. | |
encourage people to be council ors and put back into the community? | :53:52. | :53:57. | |
Not always. -- councillors. We had examples of people who said - carry | :53:57. | :54:01. | |
on with your council work and you will get the sack. Other people who | :54:01. | :54:04. | |
were told at the Jobcentre don't put on your application form that | :54:04. | :54:10. | |
you are a councillor, as nobody will take you on. We are | :54:10. | :54:15. | |
encouraging employers to release people for Territorial Army a good | :54:15. | :54:19. | |
scheme, do something similar for councillors. And instead of giving | :54:19. | :54:22. | |
allowances, why not look at the people who are in work, who have to | :54:22. | :54:27. | |
take time off, why not have the element of allowance as a also of | :54:27. | :54:31. | |
earnings. The public can understand, that give up your time to be a | :54:31. | :54:34. | |
councillor and you will get your earnings covered. That arrangement | :54:34. | :54:38. | |
to be brought. In Whether about the Cabinet structure in place, which | :54:38. | :54:41. | |
gives quite important powers and responsibilities to a small group | :54:41. | :54:46. | |
of councillors but leaves a few or a lot of backbenchers and so on who | :54:46. | :54:51. | |
perhaps aren't proving as useful? Doesn't this, you know, produce an | :54:51. | :54:55. | |
argument for slimming down local authorities? Getting rid of | :54:55. | :54:58. | |
councillors? It certainly doesn't stop the number of complaints | :54:58. | :55:02. | |
coming to individual councillors. There is a danger sometimes that | :55:02. | :55:04. | |
councils overcentralise and it is the Cabinet members who get advice | :55:05. | :55:09. | |
and support and backbenchers are left to fend for themselves. We | :55:09. | :55:12. | |
went as part of our inquiry to Sunderland and looked to what they | :55:12. | :55:15. | |
are doing. They are giving more power and responsibilities to what | :55:16. | :55:18. | |
they called, not backbench councillors but frontline | :55:18. | :55:22. | |
councillors. More councillors make morgue decisions with more support | :55:22. | :55:26. | |
to help constituents. -- making more decisions. It was a very good | :55:26. | :55:30. | |
model. I know what Conservative councillor in Bromley was thinking | :55:30. | :55:33. | |
of reducing the number of councillor. Do you think it is time | :55:33. | :55:38. | |
for this? It probably is in London. I wonder whether they are over | :55:38. | :55:41. | |
counciled with almost 2,000 and 33 London boroughs. I was a councillor | :55:41. | :55:45. | |
before I came an MP in the neighbouring borough of Kensington | :55:45. | :55:49. | |
and Chelsea. We had an allowance system when I was on the council | :55:49. | :55:53. | |
initially, almost 20 years ago at �1,500. I think the allowance is | :55:53. | :55:56. | |
roughly the right level. I think there is a difficulty that it | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
becomes almost like a second income or second pension for a few people | :56:00. | :56:04. | |
who hang on in there because of the financial element of it all but I | :56:04. | :56:08. | |
do wonder whether we actually probably have too many councillors. | :56:08. | :56:12. | |
Again, in the days of the pre- Cabinet system, that's when I was | :56:12. | :56:17. | |
involved, which has made a great difference. A small number of | :56:17. | :56:20. | |
councillors having tremendous responsibilities and a large number, | :56:21. | :56:24. | |
somewhat twiddling their thumbs. Diane Abbott, it's mayor and London | :56:24. | :56:26. | |
Assembly and this Cabinet system, whether there is an argument or | :56:26. | :56:32. | |
what will we lose if we slimdown or get rid of some councillors? We'd | :56:32. | :56:35. | |
lose ordinary people at a local level knowing there is someone who | :56:35. | :56:39. | |
lives on a street or around the corner for them and speaks for them | :56:39. | :56:43. | |
at the Town Hall. It is an important function of demcascy. I | :56:43. | :56:47. | |
couldn't put their money up. -- democracy. Clearly people have to | :56:47. | :56:51. | |
be paid for out of pocket ebsspenss. If you give them a salary you will | :56:51. | :56:55. | |
get people in it for the money. -- pocket expenses. How important is | :56:55. | :57:00. | |
the local councillor. We hardly see that reflected in a huge turnout at | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
local elections? Well it comes back to the role of both political | :57:04. | :57:08. | |
parties. If we want better quality councillor, both political parties | :57:08. | :57:11. | |
have to search their conscience and think about the sorts of people | :57:11. | :57:16. | |
they are putting forward on local authorities. I lived in the ward I | :57:16. | :57:19. | |
represented. I moved to the ward when I got selected. But I have to | :57:19. | :57:23. | |
say I think it made a real difference. Day-to-day I could see | :57:23. | :57:27. | |
the problems. From the trivial things like potholes, whether there | :57:27. | :57:32. | |
was a house that - where there were potentially squatters and the | :57:32. | :57:37. | |
issues and I was able to report it back on a daily basis. I'm sounding | :57:37. | :57:41. | |
like an anorak on this. Therefore, I think it helps to have local | :57:41. | :57:45. | |
councillors. You would agree with that, no need to change the | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
structure? I think this is very important for people to be | :57:48. | :57:53. | |
represent bid someone really local who they know. Fewer people may be | :57:53. | :57:57. | |
voter but more people are going to MPs and councillors, so it is | :57:57. | :58:01. | |
important we keep them. Time for a round-up for the rest of the | :58:02. | :58:06. | |
political news nted capital this week, in -- news in the capital | :58:06. | :58:11. | |
this week in 60 Seconds. Further evidence of the so-called | :58:11. | :58:15. | |
practice of beds in sheds. When it was revealed that two high street | :58:15. | :58:18. | |
estate agents in Brent are renting out beds and sheds without | :58:18. | :58:21. | |
residential planning permission. Offering substandard housing on | :58:22. | :58:27. | |
behalf of landlords. According to a new NHS audit, | :58:27. | :58:29. | |
London hospitals are failing patients who need emergency care. | :58:29. | :58:34. | |
None of the 28 trust meet all the minimum standards. | :58:34. | :58:38. | |
The London Fire Authority has decided not to challenge mayor, | :58:38. | :58:42. | |
Boris Johnson's, order to hold a public consultation on proposed | :58:42. | :58:47. | |
cuts to the London Fire Brigade. At the vote on the mayor's Budget, | :58:48. | :58:52. | |
Labour, Liberal Democrat and Green Assembly Members spotted the Deputy | :58:52. | :58:56. | |
Mayor was missing, giving them the two-thirds majority they needed to | :58:56. | :58:59. | |
block the vote. They kick pld Johnson out of the chamber and | :58:59. | :59:05. | |
attempted to rush it through but the plot was foiled when the Deputy | :59:05. | :59:12. | |
Mayors with arrived in a nick of time. Leading him to describe them | :59:12. | :59:17. | |
as... Great supine protoplasmis invertebrate jellies. | :59:17. | :59:21. | |
So drama at the City Hall Budget setting meeting. The first time | :59:21. | :59:24. | |
that has ever happened. I have had to sit through a few. Was that | :59:24. | :59:28. | |
right for Labour and the opposition to give up the chance, democratic, | :59:28. | :59:32. | |
open session, hold the mayor to account, because someone was | :59:32. | :59:36. | |
missing, rushed a sneaky quick vote? That's politics. I have been | :59:36. | :59:39. | |
in Parliament for over 20 years. is a brutal game. It was absolutely | :59:39. | :59:45. | |
the right thing to do. Seriously. When I you see that exchange and | :59:45. | :59:49. | |
General eight Arnold having to interrupt the mayor and the mayor | :59:49. | :59:55. | |
insulting Assembly me, doesn't it person people off -- Jenette. | :59:56. | :00:00. | |
! Have you seen Lincoln, the film, people love it? It is a law we can | :00:00. | :00:06. | |
never get away from. Did you feel that? Everyone took it in good | :00:06. | :00:11. | |
humour. Borelies laugh it off. I think onelies yon, will be that | :00:11. | :00:15. | |
every last Tory member will be there for the next three years. | :00:16. | :00:20. | |
-- one lesson. The Glassly sqauling and shouting | :00:20. | :00:22. | |
at Prime Minister's Questions put people off. But this was an | :00:23. | :00:26. | |
opportunity to ask the mayor to explain his policies and given the | :00:26. | :00:31. | |
chance to do it and the opposition groups weren't prepared to do that. | :00:31. | :00:34. | |
Day-to-day they have to deal with Boris. They obviously felt that | :00:34. | :00:39. | |
particular meeting was time for shock and awe. And 95% of the hard | :00:39. | :00:43. | |
work gets done quitely. Labour and Liberal Democrat Assembly Members | :00:43. | :00:48. | |
are able it talk to Boris Johnson and get things done. -- to talk. | :00:48. | :00:52. | |
This is the fun. You look at set- piece moments. A lot of good work | :00:52. | :00:58. | |
we do is very much on a cross-party basis. The irony was, we were told, | :00:58. | :01:01. | |
given discussing transport and so on, that she was late because she | :01:01. | :01:04. | |
was delayed on the Tube but officials rushed to say that was | :01:04. | :01:14. | |
:01:14. | :01:19. | ||
not true. Thank you both very much. In a moment, we will look ahead to | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
the big stories that will dominate next week. But first, the news. | :01:23. | :01:26. | |
Good afternoon, further assistance for the Syrian rebels will be | :01:26. | :01:30. | |
announced in Parliament this week, according to the Foreign Secretary. | :01:30. | :01:34. | |
Speaking to the BBC, William Hague dismissed President Assad's | :01:34. | :01:41. | |
criticism of British policy, describing his remarks as | :01:41. | :01:45. | |
delusional. The shelling and the shooting | :01:45. | :01:51. | |
continues in Syria. Tearing apart a state in which 70,000 have died | :01:51. | :01:58. | |
since the uprising began almost two years ago. But Syria's President | :01:58. | :02:04. | |
has accused the British government of trying to miniaturise the | :02:04. | :02:10. | |
country, in his remarks to the Sunday Times today. This government | :02:10. | :02:15. | |
is acting in a naive and confused manner. William Hague described the | :02:15. | :02:19. | |
interview as delusional. This is a man presiding over this slaughter. | :02:19. | :02:22. | |
The message to him is that we, Britain, are the people sending | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
food, shelter and blankets to help people driven from their homes and | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
families in his name. We are the people sending medical supplies to | :02:30. | :02:34. | |
try to look after people injured and abused by the soldiers working | :02:34. | :02:41. | |
for this man. William Hague said that, faced with the extreme | :02:41. | :02:45. | |
humanitarian distress of Syrian civilians, Britain could not just | :02:45. | :02:49. | |
sit it out. There were arming the rebels is not yet British policy, | :02:49. | :02:54. | |
he made it clear he would not rule it out in future. | :02:54. | :02:58. | |
The Prime Minister has insisted there will be no lurch to the right | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
by the Conservatives following the party's defeat in the Eastleigh by- | :03:01. | :03:05. | |
election. Writing in the Sunday Telegraph, he said he would stick | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
to the course that the Government is on. This report is from Louise | :03:09. | :03:14. | |
Stewart. Following two days of negative | :03:14. | :03:16. | |
headlines after the Conservatives's bruising defeat in the Eastleigh | :03:16. | :03:21. | |
by-election, David Cameron has chosen to fight back. He says the | :03:21. | :03:25. | |
Battle for Britain will not be won by lurching to the right, but by | :03:25. | :03:29. | |
appealing to the common ground. In an interview with the Sunday | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
Telegraph, he pledges to do that by protecting NHS spending, | :03:32. | :03:38. | |
controlling immigration and capping welfare payments. But the leader of | :03:38. | :03:41. | |
the UK Independence Party, which came second in Eastleigh, forcing | :03:42. | :03:44. | |
the Conservatives into third place, said they should be focusing on | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
addressing concerns now, not making pledges for beyond the next | :03:48. | :03:54. | |
election. Jam tomorrow. That is what we keep hearing from the | :03:54. | :03:57. | |
Conservatives, promises about what they might do if they win the next | :03:57. | :04:02. | |
General Election, just as we heard promises from them before 2010. | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
Justice Secretary Chris Grayling has said he would expect a future | :04:05. | :04:08. | |
Conservative government to scrap the Human Rights Act. His remarks, | :04:08. | :04:13. | |
and those of the Prime Minister, will be seen as an attempt to | :04:13. | :04:17. | |
please some on the backbenches who crave what they see as a more | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
muscular conservatism, while trying to broaden the party's appeal. | :04:21. | :04:25. | |
That is all of the news for now. There will be more on BBC One at | :04:26. | :04:35. | |
Now, Cabinet ministers are already fighting like rats in a sack over | :04:35. | :04:43. | |
whether the next round of cuts should come. NHS to the executive | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
David Nicholson's fight for survival is also likely to dominate | :04:46. | :04:56. | |
In the interview with Vince Cable, he came out, I think, probably | :04:56. | :05:03. | |
further from the traditional coalition line and he has before, | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
almost Plan B? Certainly in terms of capping spending, he not only | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
echoed the quote you gave him from Nick Clegg in January, saying that | :05:11. | :05:14. | |
they should have done more, earlier, he was absolutely adamant they | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
needed to do more now and wanted more money to go into capital | :05:18. | :05:22. | |
spending. I think this negotiation over public spending is going to be | :05:22. | :05:27. | |
really, really interesting. In theory, people are always say in | :05:27. | :05:30. | |
public spending, we need to cut it. In practice, they find it much, | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
much more difficult. You on going to have lots of battles between | :05:34. | :05:39. | |
different departments. I get the sense from him that he wants an | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
increase of his budget. Forget cats, he wants more. When you see that | :05:44. | :05:50. | |
the Defence Department and others are doing that, I think this will | :05:50. | :05:54. | |
be really interesting. mentioned the Defence Department, | :05:54. | :05:58. | |
this latest ball began to roll thanks to Philip Hammond. Let's see | :05:58. | :06:02. | |
what he had to say. We will not be able to make significant further | :06:02. | :06:10. | |
cuts without eroding military capability. We are already | :06:10. | :06:15. | |
extremely taut. We have hard targets ahead of us and I am clear | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
we will not be able to deliver big further savings without eroding | :06:19. | :06:23. | |
military capability. He needed the army behind him as he said that. | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
This isn't just about the budget, it's about the next spending review. | :06:27. | :06:32. | |
They are now jockeying, Vince Cable, Philip Hammond, they are playing | :06:32. | :06:36. | |
for position? It is what they call the Comprehensive Spending Review, | :06:36. | :06:41. | |
which comes well after the budget. I was not really surprised to sheer | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
Philip Hammond saying what he did. He has had such a battle to fill | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
what he calls the great black hole in his budget. I think it was | :06:49. | :06:54. | |
something like �36 billion. That is what he had to address. He managed | :06:54. | :06:57. | |
to pull that off. The last thing he wants now is to be told that he | :06:58. | :07:02. | |
needs to make further cuts. He knows that will go down terribly | :07:02. | :07:09. | |
with the core Tory vote. It's all hanging on George Osborne now? | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
was surprised he went as public with his remarks as he did. You | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
would expect Vince Cable to do his lobbying and public, you do not | :07:15. | :07:19. | |
expect somebody who has traditionally been an ally of the | :07:19. | :07:23. | |
Treasury to do it. In general, I don't have much sympathy for what | :07:23. | :07:26. | |
is being called the National Union of ministers. I think they are | :07:26. | :07:32. | |
guilty of what some of us call fiscal nimbyism. They support | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
austerity in the abstract, but when it conflicts with their interests | :07:35. | :07:40. | |
they go cold. The best example so far has been the cap on child | :07:40. | :07:43. | |
benefit. It is a welfare cut. It should be something that most | :07:43. | :07:48. | |
Tories would support. And yet it provoked a huge amount of hostility | :07:48. | :07:52. | |
from Tory backbenchers and the Tory press. It goes to show how | :07:52. | :07:58. | |
difficult it is to make cuts a practical reality. The thing is, | :07:58. | :08:01. | |
Vince Cable believes that the way out of austerity is increases in | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
capital spending. That is the wider political debate. I take your point, | :08:05. | :08:09. | |
the rest of them are battling like hell for their departments, while | :08:09. | :08:13. | |
arguing, in theory, in favour of public spending limits. Even if | :08:13. | :08:17. | |
Vince Cable were to get his way, it would make no difference to the | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
economy for the foreseeable future? As he acknowledged, it takes a heck | :08:21. | :08:24. | |
of a long time for these plans, once agreed, to take practical | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
effect. Certainly by the time of the next election they will not. | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
That is always the downside of capital spending. If they want to | :08:33. | :08:36. | |
do this, they should have done at the moment they came in? As they | :08:36. | :08:42. | |
now admit, some of them. The Tory backbenches, they are not really | :08:42. | :08:48. | |
kicking off after Eastleigh. We are told they are waiting to see what | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
Mr Osborne will do in the budget. I would suggest they should not hold | :08:52. | :08:56. | |
their breath? I don't think it will be a dramatic budget. What Osborne | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
is desperately trying to achieve is to ensure there is no repeat | :09:00. | :09:03. | |
whatsoever of what could be described as an omnishambles. I | :09:03. | :09:08. | |
think memories of this time next here -- last year are still quite | :09:08. | :09:12. | |
fresh. So the buyer is being set quite low, it would be hard to do | :09:12. | :09:18. | |
worse! The pre-Budget was rather bland. He said the pre-Budget | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
Report led the way to the loss of the AAA rating, because it | :09:21. | :09:25. | |
confirmed that the fiscal targets were going to hell and a hand | :09:25. | :09:30. | |
basket. Mr Clyde, is he out of the world's banks to Eastleigh? -- | :09:30. | :09:38. | |
I think he is, for the foreseeable future. The encouraging thing for | :09:38. | :09:48. | |
David Cameron is that it shores up Nick Clegg's position, which shores | :09:48. | :09:54. | |
up the coalition. The omnishambles, it comes in various forms. For the | :09:54. | :09:57. | |
Conservatives, having lost Eastleigh, they could then have a | :09:57. | :10:00. | |
budget that doesn't have much in it, it doesn't have to be disastrous | :10:00. | :10:04. | |
but have very little impact. They get a kicking in the May elections, | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
which they probably will, they are stuck at below 30% in the polls. | :10:08. | :10:13. | |
That is when you open the cup and headless chickens run out? I think | :10:13. | :10:17. | |
all of those things will happen. That sequence you have described is | :10:17. | :10:23. | |
about to unfold. The budget, there are no tricks, no magic wand he can | :10:23. | :10:27. | |
wave to suddenly appease those that are furious with him. If who were | :10:27. | :10:32. | |
to wave a magic wand, I think it would look like an omnishambles. | :10:32. | :10:37. | |
All of those things will happen. The question is, what then? We get | :10:37. | :10:40. | |
these stirrings and we know there are lots of Tory MPs that do not | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
like David Cameron and would want him out. But how, when, with who? | :10:44. | :10:50. | |
All of those things are very unclear. Where does this leave | :10:50. | :10:56. | |
Labour? Well, none of us are talking about Labour. I think there | :10:56. | :10:59. | |
by-election result, or fiercely it was absolutely dismal, but they can | :11:00. | :11:04. | |
comfort themselves with the fact that it was not a target for them. | :11:04. | :11:08. | |
I think they did not really put heart and soul into it, far from it. | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
I suppose they are thinking to themselves, well, it is not like we | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
really threw ourselves at this. I think they will write it off as | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
fairly irrelevant. They may have learnt something important about | :11:18. | :11:23. | |
the kind of candidate they put up. It clearly didn't work putting in | :11:23. | :11:27. | |
an outsider in a by-election like that. I think it was a surprising | :11:27. | :11:30. | |
mistake to make. If Steve is right that there is a grim scenario | :11:30. | :11:33. | |
coming for the rest of the year, David does not have to worry about | :11:33. | :11:38. | |
Eastleigh? We thought that would have happened over the past 18 | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
months. The economy hasn't grown, we have lost the AAA rating, and | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
yet Labour still feel frustrated that they struggle to land blows on | :11:47. | :11:51. | |
the issue of the economy. A lot of that is because the public don't | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
expect the economy to be much better than it is. Their research a | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
sense of resignation, a real British attitude, that they don't | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
think that a change in fiscal strategy would make much of a | :12:01. | :12:08. | |
difference in the short to medium term. It's difficult for Ed Balls | :12:08. | :12:13. | |
to make incursions into public opinion. We saw that with the | :12:13. | :12:16. | |
emergency question on the AAA rating, when the stage was set and | :12:16. | :12:20. | |
he could have really eviscerated George Osborne. It was more of a | :12:20. | :12:27. | |
tepid score draw. Given the state of the economy, the list of things | :12:27. | :12:31. | |
I read to Vince Cable, it's quite remarkable they are not able to | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
land more punches? They have a tactical dilemma. Does easily | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
suggest that by not saying or doing very much nationally, keeping | :12:39. | :12:43. | |
things fairly vague, they are going to get into power because the vote | :12:43. | :12:47. | |
on the right is split and the Lib Dems are doing well in Tory seats? | :12:47. | :12:51. | |
Or do they now need to start flashing things out, try to really | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
develop a sense of momentum towards the next election? I don't think | :12:55. | :13:00. | |
they have answered that question. They are partly in a dilemma | :13:00. | :13:03. | |
because a five-year parliament means it is still a long way off. | :13:03. | :13:12. | |
But I suspect they do need to start flashing things out. That is it for | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
this week. The Daily Politics will keep you up-to-date throughout the | :13:15. | :13:19. |