24/04/2016 Sunday Politics London


24/04/2016

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President Obama leaves the UK, claiming it could take up to 10

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years to do a free trade deal with the UK if we leave the EU

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but is America's trade deal with the EU any closer to happening?

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Immigration's running at more than three times

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the Government's target - but is the Home Secretary right that

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Britain can only stay in the single market if it agrees to the continued

:00:58.:01:00.

Jeremy Corbyn faces his first big electoral test as Labour Leader

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in next month's local elections - will the party increase the number

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as the mayoral finishing line draws closer, Labour's candidate,

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Sadiq Khan, is here with us to outline why he should

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And with me for the duration, three journalists whom no-one puts

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at the back of the queue - or even the line.

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Nick Watt, Isabel Oakeshott and Tom Newton Dunn -

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they'll be tweeting throughout the programme.

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So, Air Force One left Stanstead Airport a few hours ago

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and the President is now in Hanover, Germany.

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But the reverberations of Mr Obama's intervention in the EU referendum

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On Friday, the President told a press conference

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the EU, it would be at the back of the queue when it comes to doing

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a free trade deal with the US - comments he was asked about in a BBC

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The UK would not be able to negotiate something with the United

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We wouldn't abandon our efforts to negotiate a trade deal with our

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largest trading partner, the European market, but rather

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it could be five years from now ten years

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from now, before we were able to actually get something done.

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And I'm joined now by the Justice Minister and Leave

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Welcome to the programme. Mr Obama, 5-10 years for a free-trade deal

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with the UK under the EU. He's right, isn't he? What was most

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interesting this morning was how far he has backtracked since Friday

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evening. As you said, we were told we would be sent to the back of the

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queue if we didn't take his advice and stay in the EU. Now, he has said

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that if Britain was independent from the EU, we could not expect to do a

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free-trade deal quicker than with the EU. No one is really expecting

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that, so I think the reality is that these things can take time. It has

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taken almost 40 years even to get to this stage with a stalled EU- US

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deal. I think we would be better placed, and we are not prejudiced by

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being outside the EU in doing that. The president has made it clear that

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American power will do regional deals. That is why he has put so

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much energy into a specific deal with the 11 countries. He wants to

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do and EU deal involving all the EU members. The only started in 20 3,

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they haven't been at it for 40 years. We have been talking about it

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for 40 years. That is a different matter. The negotiations started in

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2013. We would be a long way behind these two megadeal. When he said we

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were at the back of the queue, I was a bit startled, so I went and

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checked. The US has no other bilateral negotiations for a freight

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train with any other country than the EU. When you look at the 23

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trade deals it has, none of them are worth an economy bigger than

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Britain. Let's remember that if America signed a trade deal with us,

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it would be the equivalent of the North American trade deal because...

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I think we have strong mutual interest in doing it. America had a

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number of bilateral free trade talks going on with about 15 different

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countries. It essentially froze them because it wants to do regional

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deals - why would it reopen at Mr Ross? In the last 25 years, it has

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done a string of bilateral and regional negotiations, given the

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collapse of WTO talks, the Pacific deal was done. The EU one is stuck

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in the mud. If Britain came out of the EU, saying, we are not shackled

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by the special interests of film-makers who don't want American

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box sets polluting French culture, we want insist on the labelling

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requirements unfettered cheese that the Greeks do. And we won't have a

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dispute about the settlement mechanism that the Europeans are

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concerned about and people are concerned about in this country It

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is important to understand why the Americans insist on that, because

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they don't trust the court systems in many European countries will stop

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American firms trust British courts to resolve commercial this beautiful

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stop all of these problems will be swept away, and I think we would be

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well placed. If we're done with the EU and we not a member, the EU will

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have free trade with United States and we don't know when we will have

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it. It could give a huge advantage to the French, Germans, Italians and

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Spanish. We know that the White House briefs out... The White House

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regularly briefed it. If you look at White House commentary, let me just

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put this to you - if America was my priority is the EU deal, the best

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way of ramping up its negotiations leveraged would be to come to a

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relatively quick deal with Britain. That would put the pressure on. In

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trade negotiations, America had a history of doing that. Do you accept

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that whatever our relationship with the EU, if we read, we can have no

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full access to the single market unless we agree to free movement of

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people? It depends what you mean by full access to the single market. I

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think we would not see any trade barriers go up because we are the

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fifth biggest economy in the world, but it means we can have proper

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control of our borders and we will not be bound by the stifling

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regulation that gives us a competitive disadvantage. It is

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important for small businesses here. You still don't know if we would

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have access to the single market. You can't tell as that. Everyone who

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does who is not a member of the EU has had to agree to free movement.

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It is a strawman to say, I can't tell you what the deal looks like

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until we have had the referendum. I can tell you this: Look at the

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options being put at their - Swiss, Norwegian, Turkish. I think because

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Britain's economy is bigger than all of those combined, and because

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French farmers and German car manufacturers sell as ?60 billion

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more each year than we sell them, we are very well placed and mutual

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self-interest suggests we would cut a good deal.

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How would we have more control over borders if we left? We would have

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control over who could come to work here, I understand that, if we want

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in the EU any more, provided we weren't part of the single market,

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but how would we be able to stop people coming here? Do you think if

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we leave the EU that, if you're French or German or Italian, you

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would need a Visa? There are two issues: The numbers, and I think

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that as the Home Secretary conceded, we cannot control the numbers

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because of free movement if we are in the EU, and that makes life

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harder. The second question is, checks at the border, preventative

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ones. Under UK law with non-EU countries, we can stop someone

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coming in because it is not conducive to the public good. With

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the EU, we can only deny entry if there is a serious, credible and

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present threat. Which we do. As a result, since 2010, 6000 people have

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been turned back from the EU. If you compare that with people from out

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with the EU, we have registered to 60 7000. That shows the stronger

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checks. I understand, but my question is, outside the EU, we

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would not insist on visas for the Germans, French and so on? We would

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have to look at that as part of the negotiations. At the moment, the

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Obama Administration is looking at new Visa requirement and screening

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from Germany, Belgium, Greece, France because of the recent

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terrorist attacks. I think we should at least have the power and control

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to do that to keep Britain safe Then we would need a Visa to go to

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France and Germany. A final question: Why do you not want the

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leader of the National front in France, Marine Le Pen, to come here?

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She's one of your biggest supporters. Her views are racist and

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I don't share her values. I think our party is deeply offensive. But

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she is on your site. All the more reason why I wouldn't like to see

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her come. So we do have control over our borders of the Home Secretary

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can stop coming? People from outside the EU, rappers like snoop doggy

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dog, have been barred entry because they have a offensive views. If the

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Home Secretary checks with officials, we probably cannot be

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nigh Marine Le Pen entry. It is another demonstration of the things

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we can't do because we don't have the proper controls of our borders.

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Thank you. Jeremy Corbyn will get his first big

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electoral test in just under two weeks' time, when voters go

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to the polls in local Opposition parties usually do

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well in these contests, even when they've just

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lost a general election. But with analysts predicting

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that the party could actually lose councillors, party

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strategists are There's a simple principle

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in British politics - if you want to win elections, you need to win

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seats of every shape and size. When in government, parties tend

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to lose council seats. In opposition,

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they tend to win them. Even Michael Foot, who went

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on to lead Labour to its biggest general election defeat

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ever, did pretty well to start with. In his first electoral test,

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in 1981, the party took When Neil Kinnock became leader

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he also managed a more And then Ed Miliband,

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he picked up 857 seats. Since local government was invented

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in its modern form in 1974,

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there have been only two years 1982 and 1985 - when the opposition

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party has actually lost seats in a local

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election if it is not So far, so historically positive for

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Jeremy Corbyn. The problem is, experts in the field

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reckon Labour could lose 150 seats in these English

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council elections. Even the party machine has been

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managing expectations. You simply can't

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explain away any kind of net loss of seats

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in these elections. After all, a new leader

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in the middle of his honeymoon period following on from

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a disastrous mega-galactic shambles of a budget failure shouldn't expect

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to see anything other than dramatic gains in the local

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elections that follow. Anything else,

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historically speaking, is It's an argument put forward by some

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of his MPs. I'm not going to put

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a specific number on it, but 300-400 seats would be a good

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step in the We have to be ambitious,

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because we are the Labour Party, and we are a

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party of government. We exist in order to be

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in Government and make a difference Southampton, that is where

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Ed Miliband has been... The last time this batch of council

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seats were contested, Labour under Southampton was one of a number

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of areas where Labour failed to capitalise in the general election,

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losing a Parliamentary If Jeremy Corbyn wants to be

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Prime Minister in 2020, he will be expected to make inroads now in many

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of the English council areas, and I think that all

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leaders are judged by We've got from now until

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the 5th of May to deliver positive and encouraging

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results for Labour. It's always hard to compare

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historic elections. There are always different

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political contexts, varying numbers of seats up grabs,

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but rightly or wrongly, several Labour MPs I've spoken

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to will do just that, conscious that Jeremy Corbyn

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could make history for the And we're joined now

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from Salford by the Shadow Education Secretary,

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Lucy Powell. Welcome to the programme, Lucy

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Powell. Your Labour MP Carly, Stephen Kinnock, says you should be

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gaining an extra 300-400 council seat in England - does that seem

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right? I won't get into the predictions game. Like Stephen, like

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Jeremy and the rest of the Shadow Cabinet, I am optimistic about these

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elections. We are a political party and always looking to make gains and

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progress at every electoral test. These elections are no different. I

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won't get into the predictions business. Hold on. What about the

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principle that new opposition leaders always do pretty well in

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their first electoral test? I was looking at the record - Ed Miliband,

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Tony Blair, Neil Kinnock, even Michael Foot, they all made gains.

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We must expect Jeremy Corbyn to do the same, surely?

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I have been hoping we will make progress. Do you think you will make

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gains? We are looking at winning in London for the first time since

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2004, we are looking to make progress in the local elections we

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are looking to stay in power in Wales. Obviously in Scotland things

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are difficult there and they are long-term legacy issues for the

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Labour Party to deal with in Scotland but you do have to set it

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into context. It has been an incredibly tough year for the Labour

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Party, we suffered a crushing election defeat. That was not even a

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year ago, which we weren't expecting and everybody else wasn't expecting

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either. We had a long, drawn-out leadership contest. We have a new

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leader in Jeremy Corbyn and it takes time for everybody to adjust to

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that. But I think we have had a very positive few weeks where we have

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been on the front foot, we have been effective opposition, with issues

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like the Budget... We haven't got too much time. Let me put it in

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context. The Tories have divided and they are in disarray, last month

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brought yet another omnishambles Budget. Why would you not be poised

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for big gains? I am very hopeful we will get big gains. London will be a

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big gain, we haven't won since 004. What I'm interested in is how we on

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the right track for winning in 020, and that is a really tough job. I

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don't think anyone underestimates the challenge we face as a political

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party. Let me see if I can pin you down. Maybe one of the reasons it is

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not an easy job is that you may not be in tune with the public mood

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This chart shows they regularly rate immigration one of their number one

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concern is, ahead of the NHS and the economy, this is recent poll. Most

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are not against immigration but they think the influx is too high. How

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does that square with Jeremy Corbyn's view that we have not let

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too many in? All of these issues we have got to think deeply about and

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there is an urgency to that. Immigration, welfare, the economy,

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these were all issues at the last election but that was only a few

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months ago. If we knew the answer is, if we knew how we would make

:17:58.:18:03.

labour relevant again, the Labour values I care about, how we will

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make them relevant in the modern world, if I had those answers we

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wouldn't be sitting here now because we would be in Government. Do you

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agree with Jeremy Corbyn... We have got to spend time, doing the

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difficult job of understanding how the Labour Party can be relevant in

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the modern world, and that includes issues... If you let me come back to

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immigration and get a specific answer out of you. Do you agree with

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Jeremy Corbyn that in recent years we have not let too many in? I don't

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want to get into a numbers game about immigration. I know from all

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the work I do on the doorstep, immigration is a massive issue and

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people have real concerns about the impact that immigration has on some

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of our communities. As the Labour Party, we have to address those

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That's why I thought we were right at the last election to have a

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policy around the emergency rate for example on benefits for EU migrants,

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a policy the Government have adopted, but I don't think simple

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retail policy offers are what Labour's challenge is right now Our

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challenge is over the next few years what is our relevant values that we

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can offer to the public that will help us win the election. Let me

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come onto education. You asked if you planned to bring academies under

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local authority control and you said no, by 2020 almost every secondary

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school will be a free School or an Academy, do you stand by that? Only

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17% of primary schools are academies. You said nearly every

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secondary, do you stand by that I don't know about primary schools,

:20:13.:20:16.

let's see what happens over the next few weeks because the Government's

:20:17.:20:20.

attempt to force all schools against their wishes to become an Academy is

:20:21.:20:25.

on the rocks. They put the brakes on some schools feeling they have no

:20:26.:20:28.

option but to become academies, which is what many schools felt over

:20:29.:20:36.

the last few years. And I understand the policy of making every school

:20:37.:20:40.

and Academy is difficult, I take your point, but you said every

:20:41.:20:45.

secondary school and most primaries will be free schools or an Academy.

:20:46.:20:49.

It is not that different from where the Government wants to end up, is

:20:50.:20:56.

it? You are taking my comments out of context. I was talking about

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Labour's policy at the next election in that circumstance, and my point

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is that we have got to look anew at what is the accountability framework

:21:07.:21:11.

for all schools? How do we make sure there are sufficient places in our

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schools, that we have raising standards in our schools, we have

:21:15.:21:17.

sufficient school improvement support for our schools, and we have

:21:18.:21:23.

proper accountability of some of these Academy chains of which we are

:21:24.:21:25.

seeing many more problems arising with their accountability. That is

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what I will be looking at. In the short term, I will be fighting tooth

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and nail the Government's plans to force good and outstanding schools

:21:38.:21:40.

against their wishes to become academies. Jeremy Corbyn has

:21:41.:21:52.

described academise a share -- described... Jeremy said lots of

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things about the forced programme. Is it asset stripping or not? In

:22:02.:22:07.

some cases it can be. The key question is does it meet the test of

:22:08.:22:13.

school improvement? There is mixed evidence of whether it leads to

:22:14.:22:17.

school improvement, as the education select committee have found. The

:22:18.:22:23.

second question is does it give schools freedom and autonomy? How

:22:24.:22:26.

can that be the case if you are forcing a school against its wish to

:22:27.:22:32.

be an Academy. That is not real autonomy. And the first test is

:22:33.:22:37.

around accountability and there are some very real issues there. Some

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might call that asset stripping If our state system is being asset

:22:49.:22:52.

stripped as your leader claims, that would be really serious so is he

:22:53.:22:58.

right or wrong? There have been examples of financial mismanagement

:22:59.:23:02.

in some Academy chains, we have seen those recently where directors have

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been paying themselves double money by setting up arms length

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organisations that they are also paying themselves from so there are

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issues of financial probity which is why both Jeremy and I have been

:23:17.:23:21.

arguing that there needs to be a much more robust financial

:23:22.:23:27.

accountability structure. He seems to be against academies altogether.

:23:28.:23:34.

We have got exactly the same view about this, Jeremy and I have worked

:23:35.:23:40.

closely on these issues and that is that there are some excellent

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Academy schools, there are also some excellent community schools. This

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tired argument of pitting one school type against another is frankly

:23:49.:23:54.

over. What we have got to be addressing is ensuring we have good

:23:55.:23:57.

quality teachers and head teachers in all of our schools, something the

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Government is failing to do. We ve got to make sure schools have

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adequate resources, and they are facing real terms cuts to their

:24:05.:24:13.

budgets, and make sure we have enough places for all of our

:24:14.:24:17.

children. There is a crisis in school places and teacher shortages.

:24:18.:24:23.

Very interesting ground which you have gone over before. I want to

:24:24.:24:28.

show you an advert gone up for a new media spokesperson for Jeremy

:24:29.:24:35.

Corbyn. There is a fixed term contract for Jeremy Corbyn, leader

:24:36.:24:41.

of the Labour Party, running from December 2016 or when he ceases to

:24:42.:24:46.

be leader, whichever is sooner. Which do you think will be sooner? I

:24:47.:24:52.

haven't seen the advert but Jeremy has only been a leader for a few

:24:53.:24:57.

months. OK, you're not going to tell me which would be sooner? We are

:24:58.:25:02.

supporting him in his job and I m not going to comment on that. Very

:25:03.:25:05.

well. Thank you very much. The party views on Europe

:25:06.:25:07.

and immigration are well-known, but voters may not know

:25:08.:25:11.

what Nigel Farage's Purple Army thinks about issues

:25:12.:25:14.

like recycling and council tax. Ukip, which had never held more

:25:15.:25:17.

than a handful of local election seats before,

:25:18.:25:19.

achieved its first major breakthrough in 2013,

:25:20.:25:21.

when they gained 139 seats. The following year they increased

:25:22.:25:27.

their total by another 161 seats, performing particularly well

:25:28.:25:31.

in parts of Essex. While in 2015, on the same day

:25:32.:25:35.

as the general election, In that set of elections,

:25:36.:25:37.

Ukip won control of Thanet Council in Kent, the first time the party

:25:38.:25:46.

took control of a local council But within six months they had

:25:47.:25:50.

lost overall control, after five councillors left Ukip,

:25:51.:25:54.

saying they were unhappy with the council's lack of action

:25:55.:25:59.

on a manifesto pledge to reopen So, 2016 is the last year

:26:00.:26:01.

in the four-yearly cycle Will they be able to

:26:02.:26:07.

maintain the momentum? We're joined now by the party's

:26:08.:26:16.

deputy chairman, Diane James. Welcome to the programme. You have

:26:17.:26:26.

got your referendum running strongly in the news, immigration is a huge

:26:27.:26:32.

issue as well. What would be a good result for Ukip in these local

:26:33.:26:37.

elections? Certainly to retain the 20 seat we will be defending this

:26:38.:26:41.

time, but also building on that We are fielding 1400 candidates out of

:26:42.:26:48.

the 2700 that will be available across the country. We are also

:26:49.:26:52.

fielding candidates in the big Assembly elections - Stormont,

:26:53.:26:57.

Holyrood... And the police crime Commissioner. Are you looking to

:26:58.:27:05.

gain? Of course, we wouldn't be doing anything otherwise. Populist

:27:06.:27:12.

and anti-EU parties are gaining ground right across Europe so if you

:27:13.:27:16.

don't gain ground there must be serious doubts in this climate about

:27:17.:27:21.

your long-term future. We are looking to gain ground and increase

:27:22.:27:23.

the number of councillors we have got as well as membership of all of

:27:24.:27:29.

the assemblies I have referred to. The momentum is behind the populist

:27:30.:27:36.

parties, but certainly behind the Eurosceptic parties because what

:27:37.:27:39.

they do say and they share in terms of issues is the negative impact of

:27:40.:27:44.

EU membership is having on particularly for instance just

:27:45.:27:48.

trying to plan in terms of infrastructure and other aspects.

:27:49.:27:51.

And yet when you get a foothold in local government it doesn't go very

:27:52.:28:00.

well. You controlled Thanet, within six months you had lost overall

:28:01.:28:04.

control. You are still just a protest party. We are not just a

:28:05.:28:11.

protest party. The issue you are referring to is Manston airport

:28:12.:28:16.

very difficult in terms of the overall plans for that from not only

:28:17.:28:20.

just the local authority but also the county council level so we don't

:28:21.:28:25.

actually have control of Kent County Council. I'm sure if we had we could

:28:26.:28:28.

have had a lot more import there. Equally there is this issue of a

:28:29.:28:35.

local problem and individuals coming into government, no matter which

:28:36.:28:39.

party they represent, understanding how slowly sometimes decisions can

:28:40.:28:43.

be reached. Look at Boston Borough Council, you did well there in 015.

:28:44.:28:49.

Then one Ukip councillor was suspended, the party split down the

:28:50.:28:53.

middle because you couldn't agree on a leader, six councils carried on

:28:54.:28:58.

under the Ukip banner, six others under the Ukip Group, it is a

:28:59.:29:05.

shambles. You always pick up on the bad news to do with Ukip but you

:29:06.:29:09.

never pick up on the bad news to do with other parties. This morning you

:29:10.:29:14.

reeled off a series of good examples, but you have you raised

:29:15.:29:24.

any of the councillors from Labour across the country who have had to

:29:25.:29:30.

be suspended for serious reasons. Some decided to walk away from the

:29:31.:29:34.

Ukip banner for whatever reasons, but in terms of the individuals who

:29:35.:29:38.

have been suspended or had to stand down, that is the different ball

:29:39.:29:46.

game and I would like you to be fair in tackling that.

:29:47.:29:51.

My job is to put the tough questions each party. Why would people vote

:29:52.:29:56.

for a party that might not even have a reason to exist after the

:29:57.:30:00.

referendum? We will have a reason to exist because no one else will hold

:30:01.:30:06.

David Cameron to account and make sure it happens. That is my view. In

:30:07.:30:11.

terms of our counsellors, bear in mind we are the only party out there

:30:12.:30:17.

that does not flip councillors. Probably just as well! It sounds

:30:18.:30:25.

like you cannot be whipped. I am not into dominatrix stuff. I'm talking

:30:26.:30:30.

about politics! It is something our cabinet ministers are accused of the

:30:31.:30:34.

moment. There is real disquiet amongst the electorate that they

:30:35.:30:37.

want to vote for somebody, and then they see the systems that are in

:30:38.:30:42.

place, cabinet rather than committee, backbenchers who find

:30:43.:30:45.

themselves in a situation where they can't contribute to decisions. And

:30:46.:30:49.

we are talking about incursions into the green belt, housing targets and

:30:50.:30:59.

academies. This is the sort of issue that I Ukip councillor who is not

:31:00.:31:03.

whipped will be able to represent their community. Even if we leave

:31:04.:31:10.

the EU, Ukip continues? Yes, it does. We will talk to the

:31:11.:31:15.

Conservatives and Liberal Democrats about the local elections in England

:31:16.:31:16.

next week. We say goodbye to viewers

:31:17.:31:18.

in Scotland, who leave us now Coming up here in 20 minutes, I ll

:31:19.:31:23.

be joined by our political panel. First though, the Sunday

:31:24.:31:27.

Politics where you are. a sustained bombardment

:31:28.:31:35.

from the Conservatives. They claim this is about his

:31:36.:31:42.

judgment being dodgy over No, say others, it's just

:31:43.:31:46.

desperate smear tactics against the front runner

:31:47.:31:52.

because he's Muslim. What all this may have

:31:53.:31:54.

done for many voters - and who knows, this may

:31:55.:31:57.

have been the intention -

:31:58.:31:58.

is to drown out the arguments on the central issues

:31:59.:32:00.

and challenges facing the capital. And if so, in the time remaining,

:32:01.:32:03.

can Labour's candidate convince London's electorate

:32:04.:32:05.

with his policies? I'll talk to him in a moment. After

:32:06.:32:13.

this. If the polls are to be believed

:32:14.:32:23.

this man is on course to be the Mayor of London in less

:32:24.:32:26.

than a fortnight's time. In case you haven't heard,

:32:27.:32:29.

this is his pitch to Londoners. London is the greatest city

:32:30.:32:33.

in the world that gave me the chance to go from a council estate

:32:34.:32:36.

to running a successful business, to being a minister attending

:32:37.:32:39.

a Cabinet, and now running to be But too many Londoners

:32:40.:32:42.

now are being priced This week, Sadiq Khan

:32:43.:32:45.

was at Scotland Yard meeting The Met Police are a key part

:32:46.:32:50.

of the Mayor's responsibilities and he says he wants investment

:32:51.:32:54.

on neighbourhood policing and a greater commitment to tackling

:32:55.:32:58.

violence against women and girls. On transport he says he wants

:32:59.:33:01.

to introduce a one-hour bus ticket and a freeze

:33:02.:33:03.

on public transport fares. In this election there's one or two

:33:04.:33:09.

phrases that Sadiq Khan likes So, he likes to say he was the son

:33:10.:33:12.

of a bus driver who grew He likes to say that London

:33:13.:33:17.

is the greatest city on Earth, But also, he likes to say

:33:18.:33:21.

he would be the most business-friendly mayor that London

:33:22.:33:25.

has ever seen. His manifesto promises to involve

:33:26.:33:28.

business in decision-making in key areas, all very laudable

:33:29.:33:30.

but what happens when businesses have tough questions about his

:33:31.:33:33.

promises to the electorate? For example, London First are one

:33:34.:33:37.

of the capital's best-known business lobbying groups and think it's fare

:33:38.:33:40.

freeze cannot be painless. I think it would be hard to think

:33:41.:33:48.

that any of these things can be done without taking any pain,

:33:49.:33:56.

without anyone noticing. I think there is scope

:33:57.:33:58.

for efficiency at Transport for London but it will require

:33:59.:34:00.

some difficult choices. Part of that will be

:34:01.:34:02.

about headcount, you know, inevitably there are likely

:34:03.:34:04.

to be fewer people. You know, that won't

:34:05.:34:06.

be straightforward. Part of it will be about

:34:07.:34:08.

modernising ways of working There are suggestions, too,

:34:09.:34:10.

that there might be tension between two of Sadiq Khan's key

:34:11.:34:13.

housing promises, to double house-building to 50,000 homes

:34:14.:34:16.

a year while at the same time introducing a target

:34:17.:34:18.

so that over 50% of those His Conservative rival,

:34:19.:34:21.

Zac Goldsmith, wants to build exactly the same number of homes

:34:22.:34:27.

but says Sadiq Khan's 50% affordable target means it will be harder

:34:28.:34:30.

for developers to make a profit The truth is, if you come up

:34:31.:34:33.

with targets which are realistic, which at times Sadiq Khan has

:34:34.:34:43.

come close to admitting, We need 50,000 homes a year,

:34:44.:34:46.

we know that, there's a consensus on that,

:34:47.:34:50.

and I will deliver those homes by working with Government,

:34:51.:34:52.

by getting the Government to release brownfield land, which

:34:53.:34:55.

the Government, which we own, and by growing the transport network

:34:56.:34:57.

to unlock that land. During the week, the Conservatives

:34:58.:34:59.

also had this van on the street Their message, that council tax

:35:00.:35:02.

would rise under a Labour mayor But while the Zac Goldsmith campaign

:35:03.:35:06.

do have questions about Sadiq Khan's policy platform, it's questions

:35:07.:35:08.

of another nature that are grabbing Sulaiman Ghani, the honourable

:35:09.:35:11.

member for Tooting, has appeared Anyone can make a mistake

:35:12.:35:18.

about who they appear We're not always responsible

:35:19.:35:26.

for what our political opponents say, but if you do it time

:35:27.:35:31.

after time after time, it is right to question

:35:32.:35:33.

your judgment. But if much of the battle to run

:35:34.:35:36.

London isn't being fought on policy grounds, could that be

:35:37.:35:39.

because on policy there isn't that Watched from afar, and particularly

:35:40.:35:42.

in the matter of policy, you would have to say the mayoral

:35:43.:35:50.

election of 2016 is definitely one where the two major candidates,

:35:51.:35:55.

indeed most of the major candidates, have got policies which are so close

:35:56.:35:58.

to each other that the electorate would find it very hard to find any

:35:59.:36:03.

ideological gap between them. Both Sadiq Khan and Zac Goldsmith

:36:04.:36:07.

agree that London needs 50,000 homes a year,

:36:08.:36:10.

that Crossrail 2 needs to be built, They both want to keep

:36:11.:36:16.

the congestion charge basically the same,

:36:17.:36:19.

and the similarities continue. Perhaps inevitably then

:36:20.:36:22.

the discussion becomes about who would be more effective

:36:23.:36:24.

at achieving all of this Welcome to you.

:36:25.:36:41.

Let's begin with comments from Lord sugar, Alan Sugar. Sadiq Khan has

:36:42.:36:51.

wrecked the Labour Party. Now he is turning his sights to London. What

:36:52.:36:58.

do you make of that? I am the most prisoners -- pro-business Mayor that

:36:59.:37:04.

London has ever had. I am making sure my manifesto reflects the

:37:05.:37:07.

challenges that Londoners face. I am also looking at aspiration. For

:37:08.:37:11.

example, I have a business advisory board advising me, made up of

:37:12.:37:18.

business experts. I want to set up skills for Londoners, working with

:37:19.:37:22.

today's employers to train youngsters for the jobs of tomorrow.

:37:23.:37:26.

I want to be the most pro-business Mayor that London has ever had. It

:37:27.:37:29.

will lead to more London is getting a living wage, quality

:37:30.:37:35.

apprenticeshipss jobs, growth and prosperity. What do you think of

:37:36.:37:41.

Alan Sugar's comments? It is for him to say what he things. I have

:37:42.:37:50.

brought more than 100 successful business leaders across London to

:37:51.:37:54.

support my campaign. I have managed to speak to chief executives who

:37:55.:37:58.

understand the importance of us remaining in the European Union

:37:59.:38:02.

With respect to the other candidates, the most realistic Mayor

:38:03.:38:07.

is either Zac Goldsmith or me. He wants to leave the EU. I think more

:38:08.:38:13.

than 500,000 jobs depended on this. European companies have their

:38:14.:38:19.

headquarters in London. You need to show that you are a pro-business

:38:20.:38:23.

mayor and show that you understand the importance of the EU. Alan Sugar

:38:24.:38:35.

's... Some -- you have just been a partner in a legal aid firm, it is

:38:36.:38:45.

said. People say that being a partner in a

:38:46.:38:50.

law firm hardly qualifies as calling yourself a business person. I

:38:51.:38:55.

employed 50 people, pay taxes, ensured that people had a roof over

:38:56.:39:02.

their head and gave them skills I understand sleepless nights over the

:39:03.:39:11.

overdraft being expanded. It is important to recognise that we may

:39:12.:39:14.

be the greatest in the world, but there are too many Londoners missing

:39:15.:39:17.

out on the joys of London. Londoners are not sure about one aspect of

:39:18.:39:22.

your business credentials, and they wonder about your policy on public

:39:23.:39:30.

transport fares. If the policy of freezing them on London transport

:39:31.:39:35.

shows not to be bringing in enough money, will you review a? No. We

:39:36.:39:41.

have the most expensive public transport fares in the whole of

:39:42.:39:43.

Europe. They have increased by more than 50% in the last eight years

:39:44.:39:47.

will stop my point is, transport for London is good, but its annual

:39:48.:39:52.

budget is more than ?12 billion more than most Government

:39:53.:39:57.

departments. TEFL needs to reduce inefficiency, cut waste, and think

:39:58.:40:05.

about other ways of raising revenue. We had some freedom of information

:40:06.:40:12.

questions. Agency staff spending has doubled. Last year, they spent. .

:40:13.:40:22.

There was more than ?61 million lost in transport fare evasion. We lost

:40:23.:40:26.

?100 million in a contract with Lombardi. We need to make transport

:40:27.:40:41.

for London fit for purpose. Your figures estimate that this would

:40:42.:40:45.

cost ?450 million and it is said that you are underestimating what it

:40:46.:40:51.

would really cast. My predictions are, and it is confirmed by experts,

:40:52.:40:58.

the cost of this breed is ?452 million. He hasn't done that. It is

:40:59.:41:03.

not right to say that. It is not right is a that he has said it will

:41:04.:41:09.

cost ?450 million. You are wrong there. You and I disagree. No, he

:41:10.:41:14.

does agrees. He doesn't. Where has he said that he agrees with that? He

:41:15.:41:20.

has confirmed that it will have no impact on future investment in

:41:21.:41:24.

transport for London. That is slightly different, but the figure,

:41:25.:41:27.

because you know that you decided on that figure because you assume that

:41:28.:41:31.

inflation would be 1% of the next four years, but he says that TEFL

:41:32.:41:38.

estimate it differently. No, he has accepted how my calculations are

:41:39.:41:43.

made. The Mayor has increased the fares in the last four years by 1%.

:41:44.:41:48.

The formulae used to be RPI plus one. Fares have increased by more

:41:49.:41:56.

than 17%. I am unwilling to make Londoners pay that. The point is,

:41:57.:42:01.

you are freezing them in cash terms. You will not put them up in

:42:02.:42:05.

inflation. The commissioner will say, my other costs will go up in

:42:06.:42:09.

line with inflation, so obviously I need to get income and it comes from

:42:10.:42:14.

there is. I wonder whether it is an inflexible business approach from

:42:15.:42:16.

you which could put business investment risk. The Commissioner

:42:17.:42:21.

has confirmed that the freeze will have no impact on investment. As

:42:22.:42:27.

long as you can find those savings. -- as long as he can find those

:42:28.:42:32.

savings. If he can't, it is an underestimate. We can make

:42:33.:42:38.

efficiencies and we can increase revenue streams. Some more examples

:42:39.:42:44.

- if you think about the land that transport for London owns, it is

:42:45.:42:51.

equivalent to 16 times Hyde Park. Let's use that. We will come onto

:42:52.:42:59.

that housing. When you say it is 16 times Hyde Park, that is the amount

:43:00.:43:03.

of land that they have. How much could you develop on that? 10% is

:43:04.:43:12.

available. So, 1.6 Hyde Parks. I have also spoken to council leaders.

:43:13.:43:16.

We could have access to lots of council land. That is why homes for

:43:17.:43:23.

Londoners is so important. We will talk about housing, because it is so

:43:24.:43:29.

important. The key issue about transport, if you don't accept an

:43:30.:43:33.

accounting error that you made an underestimation, but if you are

:43:34.:43:40.

saying you are going to keep fares frozen and limiting your income can

:43:41.:43:44.

you also give us a guarantee that the pay rises for Tube workers and

:43:45.:43:51.

bus workers will be capped at inflation as well for four years? I

:43:52.:43:59.

can't negotiate a pay deal with drivers on the Sunday Politics.

:44:00.:44:03.

Could you say that that is what you would want to see? That they

:44:04.:44:06.

shouldn't have higher pay rises than inflation? Would you be able to

:44:07.:44:12.

answer that because it is important? I can say that I think it is wrong

:44:13.:44:17.

that there are more than 450 staff who are more than ?100,000. I think

:44:18.:44:23.

it is wrong that the fees spent on consultants is ?1.3 million. I think

:44:24.:44:28.

it is wrong that we spend ?61 million on fairy vision. When

:44:29.:44:34.

Schubert drivers come to you -- on their eve Asian. When Tube drivers

:44:35.:44:41.

come to you, what are you going to do about costs? Can you give us a

:44:42.:44:47.

guarantee or tell us you don't want to see their pay rises going up

:44:48.:44:48.

above inflation? I will be speaking to those who

:44:49.:44:59.

represent workers in transport for London. The mayor should be speaking

:45:00.:45:02.

with those people to engage with them. But you can see that there

:45:03.:45:08.

might be a problem for an organisation like London First? I

:45:09.:45:18.

agree with London First that Transport for London is floppy. They

:45:19.:45:22.

have two engineering departments, one doing underground and one doing

:45:23.:45:28.

service, why not merge the two? Let's turn to housing. If you're 50%

:45:29.:45:39.

demand that new homes, 50% of them should be affordable, if that

:45:40.:45:44.

dissuade developers from coming forward and developing, if it slows

:45:45.:45:48.

down building, will you look at that again? I am bringing together

:45:49.:45:55.

developers and something called Homes for Londoners. The issue isn't

:45:56.:46:01.

the number of properties built in London, the issue is making sure

:46:02.:46:05.

there are genuinely affordable homes to buy and rent in London. At the

:46:06.:46:10.

moment before homes are completed they are sold to investors in the

:46:11.:46:15.

Middle East and Asia. I want to make sure the right sorts of homes are

:46:16.:46:19.

being built in London, I'm not obsessed by 50,000... You say half

:46:20.:46:26.

of all homes, land owned by developers... If it starts to show

:46:27.:46:31.

very early on because the house builders Federation and some are

:46:32.:46:34.

beginning to say it sounds a bit prescriptive, if it starts to show

:46:35.:46:38.

early on will you say I shouldn t have had a 50% target, I will go a

:46:39.:46:45.

bit lower? Over the last 50 years we have had the least number of homes

:46:46.:46:56.

being built since peacetime. We need homes which can be part rented. . We

:46:57.:47:09.

have been priced out of our city because of a housing crisis. It

:47:10.:47:13.

isn't working. You said this week when it comes to getting permission

:47:14.:47:17.

on homes on private land the expectation is for most of them

:47:18.:47:22.

should be first dibs for Londoners. How can you tell developers across

:47:23.:47:25.

London they will not be able to market homes and get money from

:47:26.:47:28.

foreign investors to make these developments happen? What happens

:47:29.:47:32.

with developers is once they have got the land they will apply to a

:47:33.:47:36.

local authority for permission to build homes on land. Some local

:47:37.:47:40.

authorities at the moment saved to the developer we are happy to give

:47:41.:47:45.

you permission for X number of units. We want some of those to be

:47:46.:47:51.

affordable, but we want you to market those properties first in it

:47:52.:47:56.

could be Hackney or London before you go overseas. Developers want to

:47:57.:48:02.

market overseas because of health 's with their cash flow. I understand

:48:03.:48:07.

that, that's why the homes for Londoners we will set up will have

:48:08.:48:11.

the right sort of flexibility to make sure on some piece of land

:48:12.:48:16.

developers can sell overseas. The point I'm making is you describe it

:48:17.:48:23.

as a bar this week again, but this can only happen voluntarily. How can

:48:24.:48:28.

you force all London boroughs? You always cite Hackney or Camden, but

:48:29.:48:36.

you cannot force all London boroughs to market all of their properties to

:48:37.:48:41.

Londoners first. The current Mayor of London has a plan that basically

:48:42.:48:45.

allows developers to do whatever they want. Local authorities don't

:48:46.:48:50.

think the mayor is behind them. You have a situation in recently Camden

:48:51.:48:54.

and Islington where the Council negotiated with the developer.. I

:48:55.:49:00.

am asking, are you going to put in the London plan then that you will

:49:01.:49:04.

insist all London's councils do this? We want half the homes to be

:49:05.:49:10.

genuinely affordable, I will set out what I mean by that, and on public

:49:11.:49:15.

land we will be quite clear, we want to build... I don't need to rehearse

:49:16.:49:20.

because lots of housing experts think that will drive away

:49:21.:49:26.

development, nothing will happen. On private land we want first dibs to

:49:27.:49:31.

Londoners. Homes for Londoners will be local authorities, housing

:49:32.:49:34.

associations and developers to make sure we can collate the land but

:49:35.:49:37.

also make sure we have the right sorts of homes built in London. Very

:49:38.:49:45.

important on policing, holding them to account, do you think you will

:49:46.:49:49.

show more concern about police tactics than the current mayor? The

:49:50.:49:56.

important thing is to keep London safe. I'm concerned that over the

:49:57.:50:00.

last six years we have lost ?60 million from the Met Police budget,

:50:01.:50:06.

we have lost 1500 uniformed officers from our streets, and 70% of our

:50:07.:50:11.

community support officers. I'm keen to make sure we return to

:50:12.:50:15.

neighbourhood policing. It is important the public have confidence

:50:16.:50:18.

in the police service, they can provide intelligence and be

:50:19.:50:25.

witnesses. This is where your record or past as a civil rights lawyer,

:50:26.:50:29.

you have hard actions against police in the past, this is where it

:50:30.:50:43.

becomes relevant. On something like kettling and, if the police keep

:50:44.:50:48.

using that process, what would you say? It could be anything, it could

:50:49.:50:52.

be stopped and searched, the use of body cameras, it is important the

:50:53.:50:56.

police know they have a mayor on their side. This week I was talking

:50:57.:51:02.

to our armed response teams, they are our heroes keeping Londoners

:51:03.:51:07.

safe. I was in favour of another 600 joining the armed response teams but

:51:08.:51:10.

they know they have to make split second decisions and when they do

:51:11.:51:15.

they will have the mayor on their side. We heard the Prime Minister

:51:16.:51:19.

talking this week about Sulaiman Ghani, who we should point out that

:51:20.:51:30.

he said he has never supported IS, but nevertheless the point of David

:51:31.:51:35.

Cameron, the thrust of the Conservative attack, have you looked

:51:36.:51:38.

at this and wondered and are you prepared to say you should have been

:51:39.:51:41.

more careful, more challenging with any of these people in the past He

:51:42.:51:46.

was a preacher at a local mosque. I've spent my whole life around

:51:47.:51:56.

extremes. I have had extremists outside a mosque saying I shouldn't

:51:57.:52:01.

be Member of Parliament, and any Muslim who voted for me was going to

:52:02.:52:07.

hell. I voted for same-sex marriage, I have been against inequality and

:52:08.:52:13.

injustice all my life. There was a fatwa put out against me... The

:52:14.:52:27.

point about Sulaiman Ghani is that you have met him nine times and

:52:28.:52:31.

people will wonder whether you have challenged at all times his views on

:52:32.:52:37.

women or same-sex marriage. It is no secret he doesn't like me, he

:52:38.:52:42.

campaigned against me in the 20 9 election. He was invited to an

:52:43.:52:48.

event... I want to have a positive campaign... You agree it is right

:52:49.:52:54.

you should be scrutinised on this? And I have answered all questions

:52:55.:52:59.

put to me. So you are not unhappy this has been raised? I am the only

:53:00.:53:03.

candidate who has faced death threats... You do agree you have

:53:04.:53:10.

given the impression in the past... I am the only British Muslim that

:53:11.:53:14.

wants to defeat extremism. I want to use my experience as somebody that

:53:15.:53:20.

Islamic faith to make sure we keep London safe. I have a plan I want to

:53:21.:53:25.

talk about. I am disappointed that all the Conservatives want to talk

:53:26.:53:29.

about the stuff that is divisive and negative. I want to talk about

:53:30.:53:34.

housing and public transport, how we support the police, and businesses.

:53:35.:53:42.

When there is a terrorist threat against Western capitals it is

:53:43.:53:45.

important, and it is right for people to wonder where you have been

:53:46.:53:50.

all your life on this. Absolutely. My campaign has the support of many

:53:51.:53:59.

religions, rich, poor, gay, lesbian, white, black, I want to be a mayor

:54:00.:54:05.

for all Londoners. Jeremy Corbyn, is there a number of seats he needs to

:54:06.:54:13.

win? My focus laser light is on London, I'm working my socks off to

:54:14.:54:19.

make sure London returns a mayor who will be a mayor for all Londoners.

:54:20.:54:22.

Thank you. You can see a full list

:54:23.:54:24.

of all the candidates standing in the Mayoral election

:54:25.:54:28.

on the screen now. And further information is available

:54:29.:54:30.

on the BBC London website. Now, the Home Secretary has

:54:31.:54:32.

made her first major intervention She was on Andrew Marr this morning,

:54:33.:54:37.

speaking up for Remain. She was asked how immigration

:54:38.:54:41.

could be controlled if we stay Nobody who has heard

:54:42.:54:43.

me over the last few years can doubt that

:54:44.:54:48.

I think we need to

:54:49.:54:50.

control immigration. Controlling it is hard, and it's

:54:51.:54:53.

hard whether we are inside the It's hard dealing

:54:54.:54:58.

with EU migration or Harder to deal if we

:54:59.:55:04.

are still inside. Immigration is going

:55:05.:55:07.

to carry on rising very sharply

:55:08.:55:08.

if we stay inside the EU, isn't it? The thing about immigration is,

:55:09.:55:12.

it is as a government, say,

:55:13.:55:14.

we are going to change this one rule and suddenly the result is going to

:55:15.:55:22.

be what we want. You have constantly to be working

:55:23.:55:24.

at it, which is exactly what The Home Secretary having trouble

:55:25.:55:37.

getting a clear-cut answer. The Leave campaign thinks immigration

:55:38.:55:41.

has its strongest card, why isn t it making more of it? I think it is a

:55:42.:55:46.

while since the strong card within a certain group of the electorate it

:55:47.:55:49.

also backfires with another one and that has gone to the heart of a lot

:55:50.:55:53.

of disagreement that has been all the way through the last few months

:55:54.:55:59.

between the rival Brexit camps. One side of those camps thinks they

:56:00.:56:03.

should go very hard on immigration, they think it is a banker for them,

:56:04.:56:15.

the other groups are actually this deters as many people from our case

:56:16.:56:18.

as it attracts so there is a real tension there. That may be the

:56:19.:56:20.

issue. My understanding is that polling shows immigration really

:56:21.:56:22.

resonates with those who have already made up their mind to leave

:56:23.:56:27.

but for those who are still not sure, it doesn't get them to come on

:56:28.:56:33.

board. Yes, the levers of Vote Leave -- leaders have been clear since the

:56:34.:56:41.

moment they set up shop that they should talk about immigration, that

:56:42.:56:46.

if they defined their campaign on immigration they would lose, simple

:56:47.:56:50.

as that because you are simply talking to up to 30% of the

:56:51.:56:54.

electorate who have already made up their minds. And Matthew Elliott has

:56:55.:57:01.

been clear all along their campaign has got to be defined on the

:57:02.:57:05.

economy, on security, and they have got to show their option is the

:57:06.:57:10.

safest option and that staying inside the EU is the risky one. They

:57:11.:57:15.

have headlines today saying the Home Secretary has admitted we cannot

:57:16.:57:19.

have full control of our borders but watch them, they will be moving back

:57:20.:57:23.

to Obama and the economy because that is the area from which they

:57:24.:57:27.

only have a chance of winning. The consensus view seems to be that it

:57:28.:57:35.

was a bad week for Leave. What will they do now? I think they need to

:57:36.:57:42.

make some impact with something spectacular, different. You feel

:57:43.:57:45.

they have run out of momentum. They had a terrific dart, with huge names

:57:46.:57:52.

like Michael Gove and Boris Johnson, and that then seemed to be it. Every

:57:53.:57:59.

week the Remain campaign have treated this like a Lynton Crosby

:58:00.:58:03.

style general election campaign They are totally owning the agenda,

:58:04.:58:08.

which begs the question why put out Theresa May today? Why would you

:58:09.:58:15.

want to slip that in? Maybe because they think the Obama coverage will

:58:16.:58:22.

cover that up. I think Leave Haft to concentrate on immigration now. Do

:58:23.:58:27.

you think that puts people off as well? It may well but it is their

:58:28.:58:33.

strongest suit and they do have a huge amount of support on what they

:58:34.:58:36.

are saying about immigration across the country. If you have one big

:58:37.:58:40.

weapon, you have got to keep firing it. Were you surprised that Dominic

:58:41.:58:46.

Rabb didn't just rule out the idea of visas? I was actually, I'm not

:58:47.:58:53.

sure how that will go down among the Leave campaigners. I think it will

:58:54.:58:57.

be picked up that the Remain campaign will run with that, but to

:58:58.:59:02.

follow on from what Tom was saying about what Leave should do this

:59:03.:59:07.

week, I think they have got to nail this ongoing claim that the alt

:59:08.:59:11.

campaigners cannot explain what out looks like. It is very lazy

:59:12.:59:18.

criticism but quite an effective one that they cannot come up with some

:59:19.:59:21.

kind of model and it is difficult for them to prove a negative. But

:59:22.:59:26.

they need to start some kind of language which ridicules the

:59:27.:59:29.

suggestion that they cannot come up with a comparable... This is Norway

:59:30.:59:37.

or whatever. I think you need more Michael Gove and less Boris Johnson.

:59:38.:59:41.

Michael Gove made a significant speech in the week in which he said

:59:42.:59:44.

the optimistic case is to leave the European Union because he was saying

:59:45.:59:50.

Britain could have a great future outside the European Union and the

:59:51.:59:53.

Remain people are pessimistic because they are saying we have got

:59:54.:59:58.

to be part of this club. What do you get from Boris Johnson? Raising

:59:59.:00:08.

questions about whether he was being racist against the President of the

:00:09.:00:14.

United States. Voters don't like that. What voters like is optimism

:00:15.:00:19.

and substance, and that is what Michael Gove is doing. Also their

:00:20.:00:24.

big problem, absolutely part of their strategy is not to spell out

:00:25.:00:29.

what Leave looks like in any detail because they don't want to make the

:00:30.:00:35.

same mistake that Alex Salmond did, they want to give no detail at all.

:00:36.:00:40.

Then nobody can never come back about it. Michael Howard said it

:00:41.:00:47.

won't be the Norway deal, it won't be the Swiss deal, it will be the

:00:48.:00:52.

British Steel, the fifth largest economy in the world. It takes the

:00:53.:00:56.

president of the US to put trade deals into the headlines, you don't

:00:57.:01:00.

often get that, and he said if we weren't part of an EU deal, we would

:01:01.:01:07.

go to the back of the queue. Tom, you think he has already stepped

:01:08.:01:11.

back a bit from that quite blunt statement? It was interesting, the

:01:12.:01:17.

Hugh Edwards interview, which was very saccharine stuff. It got some

:01:18.:01:24.

good news headlines. I would like to see you up against him. If we have a

:01:25.:01:30.

special relationship, why do we go to the back of the queue? And Obama

:01:31.:01:37.

pointedly didn't be that. I think it was a misstep. I was sitting in the

:01:38.:01:41.

Foreign Office behind Number Ten officials on Friday when trade

:01:42.:01:45.

started coming up and you could see them shuffling. When he said the

:01:46.:01:49.

back of the queue comment, they turned around and said that is your

:01:50.:01:53.

intro, which made me think they didn't know that was coming either.

:01:54.:01:59.

I wonder if it isn't a paper tiger. The fact is there is no deal between

:02:00.:02:06.

the EU and the USA. They started talks in 2013, they are meeting in

:02:07.:02:10.

New York tomorrow for the 13th round, speaking to contacts in

:02:11.:02:14.

Washington they say there is no prospect of any ratification of the

:02:15.:02:19.

deal by this Congress. We will be lucky to get it signed before Obama

:02:20.:02:25.

steps down in January 2017, and there are now protests growing

:02:26.:02:28.

everywhere. We have pictures of demonstrations in Germany yesterday,

:02:29.:02:38.

there is a head of steam building up against it and it may not even

:02:39.:02:45.

happen. The hope of the Brexit campaigners will be that this Barack

:02:46.:02:49.

Obama comment backfires. Even if there were a queue, are we to really

:02:50.:02:54.

believe America is so short of tremendous negotiators that there is

:02:55.:02:58.

a limited number of personal available to actually make further

:02:59.:03:04.

deals? I think it is an extremely thin argument. Additionally we know

:03:05.:03:10.

that America sells us something like $56 billion worth of goods, are we

:03:11.:03:13.

really to believe they will somehow throw with that to the wind?

:03:14.:03:18.

Even without free trade, we are the big as in -- the biggest investors

:03:19.:03:27.

in America. There are 1 million Brits employed by American companies

:03:28.:03:32.

here. The US election campaign has become increasingly isolationist or

:03:33.:03:35.

stop not just Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump, or even Ted Cruz, but

:03:36.:03:40.

now Hillary Clinton has come out against the Pacific trade deal,

:03:41.:03:47.

which is ahead of the queue -- is ahead of the European one. The

:03:48.:03:52.

problem with Clinton is that it was on her husband's watch that NAFTA

:03:53.:03:58.

was signed, the North American Free Trade Agreement. The argument is

:03:59.:04:02.

that all those jobs in Detroit went south to Mexico, and the Clinton

:04:03.:04:05.

brand has been badly damaged by that. She has always had to walk

:04:06.:04:10.

away from that. I don't believe that Hillary Clinton as president would

:04:11.:04:13.

be isolationist. The thing about Arak Obama is that this queue may

:04:14.:04:21.

not exist, but the United States likes to deal with regional blocs,

:04:22.:04:26.

not individual countries. One of the big challenges for Brexit is that

:04:27.:04:32.

the EU minus us is 440 million people. How important are we? There

:04:33.:04:37.

is no doubt that Obama's impact here will be big, because the Leave

:04:38.:04:44.

campaign say, when we leave the EU, we will replace any lost trade with

:04:45.:04:48.

greater trade deals with other countries that the EU stopped us

:04:49.:04:52.

from signing, such as America pulls up or bar masses, no you want.

:04:53.:04:56.

Hillary Clinton says, you certainly won't. -- President Obama says. As I

:04:57.:05:08.

look at it, it is on both the Democratic left and the Republic

:05:09.:05:11.

right, that it may become more difficult not to Britain but for

:05:12.:05:15.

anyone to do trade deals with America. America does what is in its

:05:16.:05:19.

interest. The most significant thing about Arak Obama 's remarks was

:05:20.:05:26.

homelike king Ince bestial qualities our relationship is. Didn't he make

:05:27.:05:33.

a joke about us having to sell an electric chair to the United States?

:05:34.:05:39.

The great height of our special relationship was all about pounds,

:05:40.:05:45.

shillings and pence. Someone who follows -- as someone who follows

:05:46.:05:48.

trade talks, I am grateful to the president for bringing it to the

:05:49.:05:49.

front of the agenda. The junior doctors' strike is due

:05:50.:06:02.

this week. It is only in England, but the Labour Party has come up

:06:03.:06:07.

with a suggested compromise, let's pilot the plan. There we go, Labour

:06:08.:06:13.

steps in to halt doctors' strike. People might think, that is not a

:06:14.:06:18.

bad idea, let's see if it works I would be surprised if Jeremy Hunt

:06:19.:06:23.

went for that. He would say, here is the deal, you must accept it. The

:06:24.:06:27.

BMA and the Labour Party don't really want this to go ahead. The

:06:28.:06:31.

second they start withdrawing doctors and people start dying

:06:32.:06:35.

because of it, they are in trouble in terms of public support. It is

:06:36.:06:42.

worth asking why they did not pilot it first. Jeremy Corbyn is in a

:06:43.:06:47.

corner on this, for all the right reasons. He agrees that a seven day

:06:48.:06:52.

service is needed. I think the junior doctors have done themselves

:06:53.:06:56.

no favours by being as dogmatic as they have been. Mr Hunt hasn't done

:06:57.:07:01.

himself any favours, either. He believes that what he is doing is in

:07:02.:07:05.

the interest of patients. I expect him to hold the line. Syriza May was

:07:06.:07:11.

saying, it is being piloted with 20,000 -- to Reza may.... The Home

:07:12.:07:20.

Secretary is saying it is being piloted with 20,000 doctors. I am

:07:21.:07:27.

not sure that Jeremy Hunt would want an independent forensic examination.

:07:28.:07:32.

Do you agree that if the strike goes ahead it starts to go the

:07:33.:07:37.

Government's way? Absolutely. Jeremy Hunt knows that he just needs to sit

:07:38.:07:41.

pretty and not worry too much about these last-minute offers. Tomorrow

:07:42.:07:49.

will be a fascinating day. We will find out before the strike begins

:07:50.:07:54.

which side will blink. If we are looking at a complete withdrawal of

:07:55.:08:00.

labour from doctors,, it is something that has never happened

:08:01.:08:03.

before in this country and it could be disastrous in terms of deaths.

:08:04.:08:09.

The blame will fall squarely on the shoulders of the doctors. We shall

:08:10.:08:14.

see. We have marked this week as another bad week for Remain. We

:08:15.:08:23.

should market every week and -- we should mark it every week and see

:08:24.:08:24.

what happens. We'll be back at the usual time

:08:25.:08:27.

of 11am next Sunday, and the Daily Politics

:08:28.:08:31.

is on at lunchtime all next week Remember - if it's Sunday,

:08:32.:08:35.

it's the Sunday Politics.

:08:36.:08:38.

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