03/07/2016 Sunday Politics London


03/07/2016

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Five Tory candidates square up to become Prime Minister,

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after a Leave vote in the referendum.

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Mr Corbyn, surely you can stop and spare 30 seconds

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to talk to the media, this is embarassing.

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He's lost a vote of no confidence and most of his Shadow Cabinet

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When will one of his rebellious MPs make a move against him?

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In London, another Heathrow delay -

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but the man who recommended expansion says he hopes

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the new prime minister will decide in the national interest.

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And with me, three political journalists, key lieutenants

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who have pledged unflinching loyalty to the programme, so I'm expecting

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them to jump ship to ITV for Peston's Croissants any moment -

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Helen Lewis, Tom Newton Dunn and Isabel Oakeshott.

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So after a brutal week in Tory politics, the party's leadership

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candidates are all out making their pitch for the top job

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Conservative MPs get to whittle a shortlist of five down to two

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who will then face a ballot of the party's wider membership

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This is what we've heard from them so far this morning.

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We need to seize the opportunity. It's not just about leaving the EU,

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but giving certainty to businesses, saying to the world we are open for

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business, lets get some free trade agreement started as soon as we can.

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It's about saying to young people, we are sorting out the issues around

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competition from EU migrants for your jobs. Businesses need to

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upscale British workers. We just need to get on with it. We need to

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establish our own negotiating position. Once we hit Article 5 ,

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once we invoke that, the process at the EU starts and could take up to

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two years. What is important is that we get the right deal, a deal which

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is about controlling free movement, but is also about ensuring we have

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the best deal in trading goods and services. I didn't want to be in

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this position. If I had wanted to be leader, if my sole ambition was

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place and position, if I just wanted the glory, I would have declared my

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candidacy last week. Many friends urged me to do so. I put my own

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ambition to one side and did what I thought was right for the country.

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Now I am entering this race because I think the next leader of the

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country needs to be someone who believes heart and soul that Britain

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should be outside the European Union. We are all committed to

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taking Britain out of the European Union. We all stood on the manifesto

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to abide by the outcome of the referendum. We all share a

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commitment to taking Britain out of the European Union. What gains trust

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is showing now that we have a clearer idea for how we will do that

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and what our principles will be that will guide the exit.

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Four of the candidates there, and we'll be talking

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to Liam Fox in a moment, but first, let's talk to my panel.

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Isabel, we sum up this morning and see if you agree. Theresa May

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consolidated her frontrunner status. Andrea Leadsom performed in a way

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that suggested she wasn't quite ready for prime time. And Michael

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Gove cannot escape the manner in which he has become a candidate I

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think that is fair. Certainly in relation to Michael Gove, what we

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have seen this morning is him trying to persuade the nation that the way

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he behaved was reasonable and had nothing to do with his personal

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ambition. The question is not whether it was reasonable or to do

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with his ambition, but whether it was an honourable way to behave And

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most of us who know Michael would have thought until now that he is an

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honourable person, a man of principle. But he can't get away

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from the fact of the manner in which he did it, at the last possible

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moment, which was guaranteed to create a very ugly situation for

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Boris Johnson. And this morning instead of wanting to try and talk

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about his vision for Britain and what he would do if he was Prime

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Minister and so on, again and again, he had to defend his behaviour over

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last weekend and through the week. Absolutely. Whether he likes it or

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not, he is now the Ed Miliband of the Conservative Party. That is the

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narrative. Ed Miliband killed his brother David. He killed his brother

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in arms, Boris Johnson. Michael Gove is an interesting candidate, very

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different to Theresa May, the radical entry. But he has got dead

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bodies piling up behind him. David Cameron, the European Union and now

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Boris Johnson. Even George Osborne was his friend. And Aberdeen Grammar

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schoolboy gets hat-trick of Bullingdon boys, takes all three

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out. It is an extraordinary record. But I don't see how he can move away

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from that. The person who really has to be worried now is Andrea Leadsom.

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She is target number one. The one thing Michael Gove has proved is

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that he's good at taking people s legs from underneath them. He is

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competing with Andrea Leadsom for crown of the truly 'em champion

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That is Michael Gove's pitch -- the true Leave champion. She got into

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trouble this morning on tax returns. Well, there had been rumbling issue

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with Andrea Leadsom offshore trusts. This is not new. There is also a

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question mark over what she may or may not have said a couple of years

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ago about whether she really thinks Brexit is a good idea. I disagree

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with the negative assessment of Andrea Leadsom. I think she is an

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impressive person and she does have a good chance, because she can cast

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herself as a true Brexiteer who was undamaged like Michael Gove by the

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events of last week. It would have to be her or Michael Gove as a

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Brexiteer. Don't underestimate the effort to get Michael Gove getting

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into the last two. There is talk of Theresa May as such a frontrunner in

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the MPP is -- in the MPP collections that it may not go to the country.

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That would be a stretch, but if it is two Remainers, Theresa May and

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Stephen Crabb, but Theresa May is way ahead, it may not go to the

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country. But if it is a Remainer, May and a Brexiteer, Andrea Leadsom

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or Michael Gove, it has to go to the Tory party. That is exactly the

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dynamic that will play out in the next 12 days among the Tories in the

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Commons. What you have just done, I'm afraid, is committed to mistake

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that Stephen Crabb only this morning has said that everyone needs to move

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on from, which is between leavers and Remainers in the Tory party It

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serves the likes of Michael Gove and Andrea Leadsom well to say there are

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two caps. If Tory MPs can move on quickly from the great divide, you

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could easily see two Remainers and the Theresa coronation. If they

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can't and the might of you ask questions like that, I cannot see

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anything but Theresa May and Michael Gove or Andrea Leadsom on the final

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ticket, because the Tory Parliamentary party will not allow

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others. If you think Tory MPs are going to move on for the issue that

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presided over them for the last generation, I have a bridge to sell

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you. I know, but the problem is that we voted for Brexit, not any

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particular form of it. It will come down to the issue of freedom of

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movement and what type Brexit you are offering. The original Leavers

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will probably offer a stronger version of Brexit than the other

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side. Who is going to win? Looks like Theresa May. Let me say Andrea

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Leadsom to be excited. Boringly Theresa May. And you are just being

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contrarian. We shall see. A long way to go.

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Now, Liam Fox is the only candidate to have stood

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Here he is, launching his bid on Thursday.

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If we are to heal the divisions created by the referendum,

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we must fully implement the instruction given to us

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for membership of the single market

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if it entails the movement of people.

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Those who voted to leave the EU would regard it as a betrayal,

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Everybody thinks you will come fifth on Tuesday. You would be the first

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to be knocked out, so why are you standing? Well, we will see what the

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result is. If you remember 2005 they were all wrong then. The reason

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I am in this is because we need to take the argument on from the

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referendum to how we take Britain out of the European Union. We also

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have to look at other issues. We are not in this leadership race in

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netting a Leader of the Opposition, which is what we have done before.

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Someone does not have four years to play themselves in. The day after

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this election, someone will be difficult from Mr Putin and I will

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have to make an assessment on our nuclear deterrence. It is a lot more

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than just a rerun of the European argument. We have to get this into

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perspective. It is not a parlour game we are playing, not an

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extension of the European Union This is a government having to make

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serious decisions in a dangerous world. How many Tory MPs are backing

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you? I am not saying, because it only helps everybody else.

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Tactically, it makes sense to keep your powder dry. In double figures's

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oh, yes. But still in fifth place. I don't know what the other numbers

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will be. This is different from the previous campaign I stood in,

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because in that one, by this point, most people had committed. There is

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a large number of uncommitted people in this race. Therefore, the most

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important event will be the party has things tomorrow night. There are

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three Leavers running. What do you bring to the contest that Andrea

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Leadsom and Michael Gove don't? I have been in the Foreign Office I

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understand how European mechanics operates. We are now seeing the road

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ahead. People have been asking, how do you set the ground rules before

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you trigger article 50? This week, we have seen a differentiation

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between the position of the commission, which is hard line, and

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a softer approach from our elected colleagues across the European

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Union. For example, on Newsnight the other night, the European trade

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Commissioner said we couldn't have any negotiations on trade with

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Britain until we were outside the EU. She was asked, wouldn't that be

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detrimental to every economy in Europe? And she said yes. That is a

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crazy position and it tells you how stupid the approach of the

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commission is. So we have to talk to our German and French colleagues who

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have elections next year, and we have to say to them, let's talk

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about what would be in our mutual interests. Before triggering Article

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50. Yes, and say to them, what sort of flexibility do we have? What can

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we do in our mutual interests? You have elections next year and you

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want to sell to the Germans and the French and idea of how to maintain

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prosperity. At the moment, they are saying no informal talks. It is true

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that Mrs Merkel is sounding more friendly than the commission or even

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President Hollande, but at the moment, there are no talks. You must

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expect that to change? I do expect it to change once we have a new

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Prime Minister. We want to implement the view of the British people. I

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don't want a deal that includes anything to do with free movement.

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That was rejected by the public So we have to say to the European

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Parliament, this is the position we have all stop how do we do that in a

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way that doesn't cause you greater inconvenience than necessary? But

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there will be a trade-off between an element of free movement, but less

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than we have at the moment, and a certain access to the single market,

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but less than we have at the moment? For example, whether you have quotas

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in turns of job visas you are going to give, that is something. If we

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had quotas for Europeans coming here, they undoubtedly will have

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quotas for us going there. It will have to be reciprocal. It is one of

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the things we will have to understand. If we introduce

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restrictions on work permits, settlement and work will be

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restricted, but not travel, and we have to expect moves in the other

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direction. Is it true that if Theresa May had promised to make you

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her Foreign Secretary, you would not be running? I would not have

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accepted any promise. Anybody who makes you a promise in a race like

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this doesn't deserve to get to the top. Was a matter for discussion

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between your people and her people? No. I have had discussions with

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Stephen Crabb and Andrea Leadsom is a friend, and I have spoken to

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Theresa, but I would not make or accept any offer, because any Prime

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Minister must keep themselves free from promises to bring in the

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Cabinet they require. And with a small parliamentary majority and a

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very big split in the party ideologically over what happened in

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the European Union, whoever wins will have to make a lot of

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compromises across a lot of the party if we are to have an effective

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government. What's most important quality for

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the next Prime Minister, to be a Brexiteer or to have experience

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They are both important. Experience matters. It is not something... So

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the Remainer would be possible? It doesn't have to be a Brexiteer? It

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is possible to be a Remainer, but I have to view it in this way, I think

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the honest critique of this is that how do our European partners see it?

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If you were negotiating with Britain, would you be more likely to

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take seriously somebody who had campaigned to leave the European

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Union or someone who chose to remain? If you are out after

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Tuesday, who will you back? Naturally you don't even expect me

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to answer hypothetical question like that? I do. Hope springs eternal,

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but all the candidates have their strengths and weaknesses. So which

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one? If that were to happen, and I'm not expecting it to happen on

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Tuesday, I would come to a decision some time after that and make it

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known in the usual way. You don t know yet? If I know I'm not going to

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tell you. At the moment Theresa May is the front runner. If they were to

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emerge from the Parliamentary contest with a clear majority, an

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overall majority among MPs, and polls suggesting a clear majority

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among the party faithful in the country, should it still go to the

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country? Under our rules, it should still go to the country and I think

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the Parliamentary party... The Conservative Party in the country

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would expect there to be a contest. That might differ, if there were to

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be a huge an overall majority in parliament for any one candidate, I

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think MPs would say what would happen then if the Parliamentary

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party had a different view from the party and the country, what would it

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mean for the authority of the Prime Minister? It is a hypothetical, but

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it is an important question we will have to think about in the next 12

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days. Very well, a lot can happen in the next 12 days, because not much

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has happened in the last 12 days! Liam Fox, thank you.

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Now, as the Tories descended into post-referendum turmoil,

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the stand-off continues in the Labour Party

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with rebellious MPs - the bulk of the parliamentary party

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expressing no confidence in Jeremy Corbyn, but yet to put up

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Mark Lobel has been following the twists and turns

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I think people may look back on this week as the week

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when the Labour Party committed suicide.

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He's a good and decent man, but he is not a leader,

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The Labour Party are being ripped apart...

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sacked his Shadow Foreign Secretary, Hilary Benn,

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he received over 30 Shadow Cabinet and ministerial resignations

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ahead of this EU referendum debate.

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and the country will thank neither the benches in front of me

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in internal manoeuvring at this time.

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In response, his supporters amassed outside Parliament.

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Don't let those people who wish us ill divide us.

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at a meeting with his party behind closed doors

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on the eve of a no-confidence vote

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his battle with his own colleagues worsened.

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It was overwhelmingly dignified for most of the meeting,

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where people were pleading with Jeremy saying,

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"I like you, you've always been my friend.

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I appreciate what you've tried to do,

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but this is tearing the Labour Party apart".

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With 50 vacant positions to fill, Jeremy Corbyn reshuffled his pack

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He was visibly uncomfortable with the arrangement.

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And between takes, a critic of his leadership,

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his deputy Tom Watson, had left the room.

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I think that Seamus Milne, Jeremy Corbyn, John McDonnell

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and Diane Abbott, they have the mentality of people in a bunker.

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The whole of the rest of the world is against them.

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They are interested in the plight of people on Pacific islands.

:20:03.:20:06.

They are interested in the Falklands.

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They are interested in a whole range of things like that.

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But they are not interested and have very little understanding

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of the processes of Westminster politics.

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On Wednesday, in the first PMQs since Brexit,

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the Prime Minister surprised many with this intervention.

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Well, the heavens have certainly opened on Jeremy Corbyn's parade.

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Ed Miliband, once tipped to join his cabinet after the referendum,

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I did find one fan of Jeremy Corbyn's,

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It's obviously a highly emotional subject, this,

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On Thursday morning, it looked like a challenger

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Are you going to stand for the leadership?

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I'll be saying something later today.

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It's 2.35 here in Westminster this Thursday afternoon, and rumours

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We understand that four of Jeremy Corbyn's closest allies,

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four MPs he'd just recently put into his new Shadow Cabinet,

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have gone into his office and are trying

:21:20.:21:21.

As it happened, they weren't invited in.

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Our source said the Shadow Cabinet ministers were left exasperated

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and frustrated, unable to deliver their suggested

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retirement plan for Mr Corbyn to the man himself.

:21:34.:21:41.

no challenge to Jeremy Corbyn's leadership emerged.

:21:42.:21:50.

We're at the Royal Festival Hall, and we're just about to hear

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a speech from Jeremy Corbyn's biggest ally,

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the Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell.

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He claimed the Shadow Cabinet resignations have allowed

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a new generation of politicians to come forward.

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This has given opportunities to people like Barry,

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who I think should have been in Shadow Cabinet years ago,

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And they're rising to the challenge effectively.

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These are the heroes and heroines of our movement at the moment.

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You talked about the movement, rather than the party.

:22:23.:22:25.

Is that usurping traditional party structures?

:22:26.:22:28.

The movement is the Labour Party, and we're building it on a mass

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basis into a social movement so it isn't just an electoral machine

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it is something that engages in the wider community.

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If the Labour Party is to reconnect with people, it needs to do more

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than have soundbites and a polished media performance

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It needs to build a social movement, and I think Jeremy and John

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They've stood on picket lines alongside striking workers.

:22:52.:22:56.

With the threat of a leadership contest on the horizon,

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over the past week, Labour membership has risen by 60,000.

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But a new YouGov poll suggests that Labour Party members think

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Jeremy Corbyn is not doing as well in his job

:23:10.:23:12.

Aside from the focus on his own future, Jeremy Corbyn

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still has half a dozen key shadow front bench posts to fill so that

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Labour can offer effective opposition in Parliament.

:23:27.:23:34.

I'm joined now by the Labour MP Barry Gardiner, who has stayed loyal

:23:35.:23:37.

to Jeremy Corbyn and is now in the Shadow Cabinet.

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How can Jeremy Corbyn be regarded as a credible Leader of the Opposition?

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He cannot fill his Shadow Cabinet team and 80% of his fellow Labour

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MPs have no confidence in him. We have a very difficult situation in

:23:56.:23:58.

the Labour Party at the moment. We have a division between the

:23:59.:24:03.

Parliamentary Labour Party... The Parliamentary Labour Party has never

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actually supported Jeremy. Last year I think it was only 36 nominations

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that he secured. I didn't nominate Jeremy and I didn't vote for him,

:24:13.:24:16.

but nonetheless the way in which our party decides upon a leader is not

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just with the Parliamentary Labour Party, it is with the membership as

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well. What we have to do now is we now need to have a situation where

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we broker that divide, and we have seen, I think earlier today, we have

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seen that Jeremy himself wants to do that. He came out in the press today

:24:37.:24:41.

saying that, and also I think the unions have been saying that as

:24:42.:24:47.

well. A figure like Frances O'Grady or perhaps John Prescott, someone

:24:48.:24:51.

who has stayed neutral, out of the fight, but ultimately has the best

:24:52.:24:57.

interest, not of Jeremy, not of the party, but of the country, which

:24:58.:25:02.

needs to have a strong opposition at the moment at a time when you have

:25:03.:25:07.

seen the newspapers this morning, the Conservatives have their own

:25:08.:25:11.

problems. You have dealt with that. Calling each other hypocrites. Boris

:25:12.:25:19.

stabbed David, Michael Gove stabbed Boris, but there are fundamental

:25:20.:25:24.

issues about housing, fundamental issues about investment in this

:25:25.:25:29.

country. Before you can even get to that or deserve a hearing on that,

:25:30.:25:34.

you have got to sort things out as you have been seen. We have John

:25:35.:25:38.

Prescott on later in the programme, we will see if he is willing to be

:25:39.:25:42.

the honest broker in this, but in your mind what would be the general

:25:43.:25:46.

principle of a brokered agreement? What would be the compromise for Mr

:25:47.:25:53.

Corbyn? I'm not sitting here in that position as the negotiator, but what

:25:54.:25:57.

I would say is there are certain things that need to be respected.

:25:58.:26:02.

The democracy of the party needs to be respected, and that's what I had

:26:03.:26:08.

against the way in which this whole... Call it what you like. .

:26:09.:26:15.

To, plot was done. It was done in a way that didn't respect party

:26:16.:26:19.

members, didn't respect party democracy, and whatever we end up

:26:20.:26:24.

with the result of a negotiation, it must show that respect for the party

:26:25.:26:29.

membership. The second obviously is the legacy that Jeremy feels is his

:26:30.:26:39.

responsibility. He was elected with particular... On a particular

:26:40.:26:43.

mandate, political mandate. Not just about party democratisation, but a

:26:44.:26:50.

suite of policies that he would want to be sure were continued. Somehow

:26:51.:26:56.

we need to make sure that the compromise, whatever it is, brings

:26:57.:27:01.

both of those together. You are already talking about Mr Corbyn s

:27:02.:27:06.

legacy and you are talking about a suite of policies that could

:27:07.:27:09.

continue to be party policy even if he wasn't there. We are talking

:27:10.:27:17.

about a negotiated settlement. Which could involve Mr Corbyn going? That

:27:18.:27:24.

is not a matter for me. If you go into a negotiation, you are going to

:27:25.:27:28.

negotiate and what we know is that one side of that negotiation wants

:27:29.:27:34.

Jeremy to go now without a contest. The other side of that negotiation

:27:35.:27:38.

has clearly said there isn't going to be a resignation. What one has to

:27:39.:27:44.

do is say, any of these permutations may come together. The question is

:27:45.:27:52.

in what form, what shape? The coup, if I can call it that, try to ensure

:27:53.:27:56.

Jeremy simply threw up his hands and went. That is clearly not going to

:27:57.:28:03.

happen. Therefore what we have to do is be able to provide a strong and

:28:04.:28:09.

credible and real opposition to the Government at the moment because the

:28:10.:28:14.

country is in crisis after Brexit. Absolute crisis. Not just the pound

:28:15.:28:21.

falling to 35 euros, not just the stock markets but the whole future

:28:22.:28:25.

negotiation of investment in this country is up for grabs and we need

:28:26.:28:29.

to be saying that firmly to the House of Commons. And we don't have,

:28:30.:28:33.

at a time when many people think we most need it, we don't have a

:28:34.:28:38.

credible opposition. And we don t have a credible government, they are

:28:39.:28:42.

squabbling like rats in sacks. That seems to be the default position in

:28:43.:28:47.

politics on all sides! Let me put this to you, if you don't have a

:28:48.:28:52.

contest, Mr Corbyn cannot function as a credible opposition because he

:28:53.:28:57.

cannot fill the Shadow Cabinet and the other positions. If you do have

:28:58.:29:02.

a contest and he wins in the country, that doesn't resolve things

:29:03.:29:07.

either so neither of these two options really help you. Do they?

:29:08.:29:14.

That may be true but there may be a third way. What is that? A brokered

:29:15.:29:20.

agreement without Mr Corbyn? There would have to be a third way. I

:29:21.:29:28.

don't know what it is. It is not Tony Blair, I assume? We have moved

:29:29.:29:34.

on somewhat since those days and I'm huge admirer of Tony Blair and he

:29:35.:29:38.

led the Labour Party into government, and he won those

:29:39.:29:42.

collections and delivered a tremendous mandate, but that's not

:29:43.:29:46.

where we are now. It is your use of the third way that interested me. If

:29:47.:29:52.

there is to be a contest, if one of the rebels finally comes forward as

:29:53.:29:55.

a challenger and you have the vote again, would you vote for Mr Corbyn?

:29:56.:30:02.

I didn't vote for Jeremy nine months ago. He was not my choice as leader

:30:03.:30:11.

of the party. What I will do, if a candidate comes forward to challenge

:30:12.:30:16.

Jeremy, if Jeremy is part of that election, I will look at all of the

:30:17.:30:19.

candidates and make my judgment at that time as to what best serves not

:30:20.:30:24.

only the interests of the Labour Party, but what best serves the

:30:25.:30:29.

interests of the country. How did you vote in the no-confidence

:30:30.:30:32.

motion? That was a secret ballot and I will keep it that way. So you

:30:33.:30:37.

didn't vote for him before and you might not vote for him again and you

:30:38.:30:41.

keep the no-confidence ballot secret. Isn't there a systemic

:30:42.:30:45.

problem in the Labour Party that has developed with all the new Labour is

:30:46.:30:48.

that came in from last summer onwards, that they have invigorated

:30:49.:30:53.

your membership, but they may not be very representative, they are

:30:54.:30:58.

certainly not representative of the parliamentary party, and they may

:30:59.:31:03.

not be representative of the wider Labour voter, never mind the wider

:31:04.:31:10.

electorate. The wonderful thing about political parties is, if you

:31:11.:31:13.

look at most members of most political parties, they are a bit

:31:14.:31:20.

like anoraks. They are not similar to ordinary people, and that is in

:31:21.:31:25.

both parties. You are asking a more subtle question, whether we are

:31:26.:31:37.

seeing entries into the party. - entryism. And there has been, but

:31:38.:31:41.

those people have been evicted from the party, and rightly so. I don't

:31:42.:31:45.

want people to join the Labour Party because they can think they can

:31:46.:31:49.

destabilise it. I want people to join because they want to fight this

:31:50.:31:54.

rotten government, make sure the real issues that people are facing

:31:55.:31:58.

in terms of their jobs and their livelihoods are tackled and get out

:31:59.:32:01.

with me on the doorstep each weekend, knocking on doors and

:32:02.:32:04.

talking to people, not just coming into exercise their vote once in a

:32:05.:32:11.

while. Final question, which could be answered yes, know or don't know.

:32:12.:32:16.

When we talk again at the Labour Party conference in Liverpool at the

:32:17.:32:18.

end of September, will Mr Corbyn still be your leader? I don't know.

:32:19.:32:25.

I haven't got a crystal ball to see the results of whatever negotiations

:32:26.:32:29.

Jeremy now engages in. Thank you for joining us in these interesting

:32:30.:32:30.

times. Well, earlier, Len McCluskey -

:32:31.:32:34.

the General Secretary of the Unite union,

:32:35.:32:35.

Labour's biggest donor - told Andrew Marr that Mr Corbyn

:32:36.:32:37.

was not going anywhere, and that rebellious MPs seemed

:32:38.:32:40.

to have been seduced Grandees being dragged out to be

:32:41.:32:42.

part of this unedifying coup The reality is that this

:32:43.:32:46.

has been a political Undermined, humiliated,

:32:47.:32:50.

attacked in order to push him out. Jeremy Corbyn is made

:32:51.:32:58.

of stronger stuff. and he has made it clear that

:32:59.:33:04.

he will not step down. And Chris Bryant, who resigned

:33:05.:33:09.

from the Shadow Cabinet Will there be a challenge to Mr

:33:10.:33:24.

Corbyn now for the leadership? Well, there is a previous question. It

:33:25.:33:30.

seems to me that there are millions of people who would like to be able

:33:31.:33:35.

to vote for the Labour Party, but whilst we have this unsustainable

:33:36.:33:38.

position, they feel it is impossible. And the unsustainability

:33:39.:33:42.

of it is that we are a parliamentary democracy. So the first job of them

:33:43.:33:47.

leader of the Labour Party is to lead the Labour Party and provide an

:33:48.:33:51.

opposition. That requires 95 MPs on the front bench. Jeremy can't get

:33:52.:33:57.

more than 20 or 25. That means the present situation is unsustainable.

:33:58.:34:00.

The only person who can break that logjam is Jeremy. But the logjam

:34:01.:34:08.

would be tested if someone challenged him. So let me come to

:34:09.:34:15.

the second question. Will somebody challenging? Should they? I don t

:34:16.:34:19.

want anyone to challenging yet, I want Jeremy to read the writing on

:34:20.:34:23.

the wall. We have now had an opinion poll of Labour Party members which

:34:24.:34:27.

shows that 44% of them want him to go now and another 10% want him to

:34:28.:34:31.

go before the general election. We have had votes of no confidence not

:34:32.:34:34.

only in the Parliamentary party more than 80% of MPs, this has never

:34:35.:34:40.

happened before, saying they have no confidence in his leadership. That

:34:41.:34:44.

means he wouldn't be able to get on the ballot paper. There is a reason

:34:45.:34:48.

why the rule book says you have to get a certain number of nominations

:34:49.:34:52.

from the Parliamentary party, because if you haven't even got that

:34:53.:34:56.

much support, how can you leave the Labour Party? Even if you are the

:34:57.:35:04.

incumbent? People watching this programme who may not be political

:35:05.:35:08.

will think that if you are the leader of a party and you challenge

:35:09.:35:11.

for the leadership, natural justice says you should be allowed to defend

:35:12.:35:16.

your position? But if you then return to the status quo with the

:35:17.:35:19.

same unsustainable position, that doesn't resolve anything. That would

:35:20.:35:25.

be your democratic decision. Well, because we are a Parliamentary

:35:26.:35:30.

democracy, the leader of the Labour Party has to be able to unite the

:35:31.:35:36.

Parliamentary party and recruit supporters to our cause. Amongst the

:35:37.:35:41.

membership, I don't think Jeremy would win a contest. It was striking

:35:42.:35:49.

to me how many people have got in touch with me from my local party.

:35:50.:35:54.

Of course there are those who are ardent supporters, but others have

:35:55.:35:57.

cut in touch to say I only joined the Labour Party to support Jeremy,

:35:58.:36:02.

but this can't go on. He is not convincing me or my neighbours, and

:36:03.:36:06.

they want him to go. You may be right, but there is only one way to

:36:07.:36:10.

put that to the test and that is for someone to challenge Mr Corbyn.

:36:11.:36:15.

Let's see how the dominoes fall No, because that brings us to the same

:36:16.:36:22.

position. It would be phenomenally bruising within the Labour Party to

:36:23.:36:27.

have that contest. More effective would be for Jeremy to read the

:36:28.:36:31.

writing on the wall. It must be eight metres high now. How can you

:36:32.:36:35.

go forward with a situation as leader of the Labour Party, when

:36:36.:36:38.

seven of your new members of your Shadow Cabinet, that you only

:36:39.:36:41.

appointed this week as Corbyn supporters, want to come and see you

:36:42.:36:45.

and you are so frightened that you can't even meet with them? I see the

:36:46.:36:52.

logic of that. How long will you give him to read this writing on the

:36:53.:36:59.

wall? It is up to Jeremy. He is a decent man. I can't imagine any

:37:00.:37:06.

other leader of the Labour Party in our history, apart from perhaps

:37:07.:37:09.

Ramsay MacDonald, who would not have taken on board the result of a

:37:10.:37:13.

motion of no confidence. But he seems to be surrounded by people who

:37:14.:37:18.

are telling him not to. We have heard that he was thinking of

:37:19.:37:21.

standing down, but was talked out of it. We don't know the veracity of

:37:22.:37:26.

that. But if he doesn't and decides to hang on, what do you do? Once you

:37:27.:37:32.

are in the bunker and you have a bunker mentality, the game is up. I

:37:33.:37:40.

am sure that in Jeremy's hard, he knows there is a danger that his

:37:41.:37:43.

broken leadership will break the Labour Party. Parliament goes into

:37:44.:37:49.

recess on the 21st of July. The Tories haven't got much time to go

:37:50.:37:53.

further leadership process, and you haven't got much time. If he hangs

:37:54.:37:57.

on until the parliamentary recess, he is there for the party

:37:58.:38:02.

conference. No. We then also have the September session. But if Jeremy

:38:03.:38:06.

is listening, I would just say, please, you are the only person who

:38:07.:38:13.

can break this logjam. You could go out with dignity and the whole of

:38:14.:38:16.

the Labour movement, and the millions who would love to vote for

:38:17.:38:19.

the Labour Party at the time when we have a gastric Tory government which

:38:20.:38:23.

might inflict even more harm to further -- a gastric Tory government

:38:24.:38:27.

which might inflict further anti-austerity policies come if you

:38:28.:38:31.

were to go now, those people would say you have done the honourable

:38:32.:38:34.

thing. The Labour Party isn't going to go back to what it was ten years

:38:35.:38:39.

ago. What did you make of what Barry Gardner was saying about a third

:38:40.:38:42.

way, some kind of brokered arrangement, which I took to imply

:38:43.:38:48.

need not mean Mr Corbyn continuing as leader? It didn't sound to me as

:38:49.:38:53.

if Barry was supportive of Jeremy remaining as leader. Part of what

:38:54.:39:00.

happens now must be Jeremy going, I think. But it is a problem if Jeremy

:39:01.:39:04.

will not even see the seven people in his Shadow Cabinet that he

:39:05.:39:07.

appointed this week who wanted to talk to him about his departing with

:39:08.:39:11.

honour more or if he will not even have a meeting with the leader of

:39:12.:39:15.

the deputy Labour Party, who also has a mandate. My local members the

:39:16.:39:19.

other day, some of them want Jeremy to stay, but many were saying this

:39:20.:39:26.

is now unsustainable. Jeremy must go. The party must treat him with

:39:27.:39:30.

decency so that we can move forward and take the fight to the Tories. If

:39:31.:39:37.

he doesn't go, or if the is a contest and he wins again, what

:39:38.:39:43.

happens to the Labour Party? That would break the back of the Labour

:39:44.:39:48.

Party on, I would argue, the vanity of those surrounding Jeremy. And I

:39:49.:39:52.

think that would be a terrible shame, because there are people in

:39:53.:39:56.

my constituency who will only get a decent chance in life, and for that

:39:57.:40:00.

matter in other parts of the country who, after the Brexit vote last

:40:01.:40:03.

week, wanted the Labour Party to come up with a strong argument about

:40:04.:40:07.

how we could change the country for the better, and they will have

:40:08.:40:12.

nowhere to turn. If you break the back of the party, it sounds

:40:13.:40:16.

possible that the Labour Party would split. We are parliamentary

:40:17.:40:22.

democracy. We were founded as the Labour Party because the trade

:40:23.:40:25.

unions started losing battles through the courts and we wanted to

:40:26.:40:31.

change the laws and to do that, you had to change the government. That

:40:32.:40:35.

is what I still believe in. But the leader of the Labour Party has to

:40:36.:40:38.

convince voters that we have a compelling vision for the future of

:40:39.:40:41.

this country. And Jeremy is unable to do that. Many of his policies, I

:40:42.:40:48.

would support. I want us to change the language around public

:40:49.:40:55.

expenditure and the public sector. Many parts of the country feel no

:40:56.:40:58.

elected and there are angry people who want to vote Labour, but are not

:40:59.:41:04.

convinced -- they feel neglected. As things stand, even with chaos in the

:41:05.:41:10.

governing party, you would need a miracle to win in 2020. I believe in

:41:11.:41:19.

miracles. And the most important miracle is that Jeremy can break the

:41:20.:41:26.

logjam. You still don't want to hit Ed Miliband smack you have changed

:41:27.:41:32.

your mind on that. I don't. I wish the Labour Party were not where they

:41:33.:41:39.

are, because I can do nothing for the Rhondda. May your God go with

:41:40.:41:41.

you. It's coming up to 11:40,

:41:42.:41:42.

you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:41:43.:41:45.

in Scotland, who leave us now I'll be talking to the former deputy

:41:46.:41:47.

leader of the First, though, the Sunday

:41:48.:41:52.

Politics where you are. This week, we continue

:41:53.:42:02.

to try to fathom what Brexit And here was one thing

:42:03.:42:08.

that happened... A decision on Heathrow

:42:09.:42:11.

expansion put off again, But Sir Howard Davies

:42:12.:42:14.

tells us he hopes the two Joining me for the duration,

:42:15.:42:18.

former transport minister Jim Fitzpatrick, Labour MP

:42:19.:42:29.

for Poplar and Limehouse, and Immigration Minister,

:42:30.:42:31.

James Brokenshire, Conservative MP James, what did you think when you

:42:32.:42:43.

saw the way Boris Johnson was disposed of this week? It has been

:42:44.:42:46.

an extraordinary week with all of the changes that have taken place. I

:42:47.:42:51.

am supporting Theresa May for the leadership of the Conservative Party

:42:52.:42:55.

to be our next Prime Minister. So when you heard what happened to

:42:56.:43:01.

Boris Johnson, what did you think? Well, Boris has been such a big

:43:02.:43:04.

figure in the Conservative Party for so long. I hope he will still have a

:43:05.:43:13.

role to play. Surprise, shock. It was extraordinary that Boris, having

:43:14.:43:18.

set up in terms of running for the Conservative leadership, suddenly

:43:19.:43:24.

now not to be running. And now that your candidate could win? We are not

:43:25.:43:29.

taking anything for granted. It is important that we get out to sell

:43:30.:43:34.

the message of what Theresa will do, the experience she has, how she

:43:35.:43:38.

would be a leader from day one. But it is important to underline that

:43:39.:43:42.

sense of unity of the party and the country coming together. I believe

:43:43.:43:47.

Theresa May has those qualities but we will need to see what

:43:48.:43:52.

Conservative MPs say this week. It is now that study approach in

:43:53.:43:56.

undermining the strength that Theresa has. Jim Fitzpatrick, the

:43:57.:44:02.

next steps for your party? Well the ball is in Jeremy Corbyn's court. He

:44:03.:44:06.

has lost over 60 of his shadow ministers including most of his

:44:07.:44:11.

Shadow Cabinet. He has lost lost the support of many of his previous

:44:12.:44:13.

supporters within the Parliamentary Labour Party. There seems to be a

:44:14.:44:18.

groundswell outside which is not as supportive of him as previously But

:44:19.:44:24.

he is supported by the membership. Well, there is some evidence that

:44:25.:44:29.

the membership are moving. It remains to be seen. The only person

:44:30.:44:33.

who can break the logjam is Jeremy. He has lost the confidence of the

:44:34.:44:37.

dressing room, to use a football analogy, and his team will not play

:44:38.:44:39.

for him. But Barry Gardiner says this is an

:44:40.:44:51.

offence against democracy, what you have been doing? The ministers have

:44:52.:45:00.

tried for nine months and ultimately they have said it is just not going

:45:01.:45:03.

to work and on what basis they have said we will not be part of it.

:45:04.:45:11.

Surely the next Prime Minister has to be someone who voted for Brexit?

:45:12.:45:16.

No, they have to have the right qualities and I think Theresa has

:45:17.:45:21.

those qualities. 17 million people voted for it, the key quality has to

:45:22.:45:28.

have made that decision to lead that battle? But this is about choosing

:45:29.:45:32.

Prime Minister, this is how we get the best possible deal for London

:45:33.:45:37.

and the country, very much at the forefront, but it's also about

:45:38.:45:41.

national security. Theresa May has those qualities, but it's also how

:45:42.:45:45.

she will set up a separate department led by someone who

:45:46.:45:49.

advocated Brexit and they can reunify the country as well. It s

:45:50.:45:53.

like you have read the script! Let's move on.

:45:54.:45:57.

The Mayor, Sadiq Khan, said this week that Brexit

:45:58.:45:59.

for more powers to be devolved to London - that is to

:46:00.:46:03.

He hijacked a Leave slogan and said it was time to "take back control".

:46:04.:46:08.

As the petition calling for London to declare independence reached

:46:09.:46:11.

almost 200,000 signatories this week, the Mayor outlined

:46:12.:46:13.

Londoners who voted for a different path than the rest of England need

:46:14.:46:19.

We need to control our own destiny, we need

:46:20.:46:22.

The Mayor is backing calls to keep all business rate

:46:23.:46:29.

income, stamp duty income, and revalue council tax.

:46:30.:46:33.

He also wants to borrow more for infrastructure

:46:34.:46:35.

like transport, and also take over suburban railway services.

:46:36.:46:40.

Sadiq Khan has urged the Government to move fast on devolution

:46:41.:46:43.

and he asserts that London cannot afford to hang around

:46:44.:46:45.

The former mayor Boris Johnson's chief economic adviser,

:46:46.:46:51.

Welcome to you, and impossible before we get onto some of the

:46:52.:47:06.

economics and devolution issues about the man to not ask what you

:47:07.:47:16.

think about that? Obviously it is disappointing he has not continued

:47:17.:47:19.

with his campaign but to be honest policies matter more than

:47:20.:47:22.

personalities. I think Andrea Leadsom is a very good candidate,

:47:23.:47:28.

she brings forward the Brexit case. Rather than Michael Gove? In my

:47:29.:47:34.

view, yes. Brexit is not only positive for London but for the UK.

:47:35.:47:38.

Boris was a very good Mayor of London but we are in a new situation

:47:39.:47:43.

now and I think Andrea is a very good candidate. Any comment about

:47:44.:47:48.

why Boris Johnson pulled out? I don't have an Ian -- any more

:47:49.:47:58.

information on that then you have. Obviously you helped him a lot in

:47:59.:48:02.

terms of the Leave campaign and supplied a lot of the intellectual

:48:03.:48:06.

ballast, are you disappointed that he didn't go ahead and stand? As I

:48:07.:48:17.

say, I admire Boris on economic issues, bought at the end of the day

:48:18.:48:21.

life is more than personalities Obviously I think he would have done

:48:22.:48:25.

very well but I think there are other good candidates as well.

:48:26.:48:29.

Coming back to your question, and my disappointed, the most important

:48:30.:48:33.

thing is for the country has voted for Brexit. One has to be mindful

:48:34.:48:38.

about the fact 48% of people voted to Remain but we need to move

:48:39.:48:42.

forward and leave the European Union. The best way is to invoke

:48:43.:48:47.

article 50 to try to make it clear we will not try to reverse that

:48:48.:48:56.

decision. When? Immediately? We cannot have political stability

:48:57.:49:00.

until the new Prime Minister or the Leader of the Opposition are in

:49:01.:49:04.

place. I would personally like to see that speeded up but it's not

:49:05.:49:09.

possible it seems. When we have political stability we can start to

:49:10.:49:14.

implement policies. The major report you did for Boris Johnson a couple

:49:15.:49:17.

of years ago made clear that the best option would be to stay in the

:49:18.:49:22.

EU as long as it was reformed and the second-best option was obviously

:49:23.:49:26.

that you could come out and really negotiate very well. Do you still

:49:27.:49:33.

stick by that? To be clear. In terms of the scenarios, I stressed that

:49:34.:49:37.

leaving would be an economic shock, and the Treasury Select Committee

:49:38.:49:42.

refer to my comments in their report, and I said the best two

:49:43.:49:47.

scenarios by a long way were either to be in a truly reformed European

:49:48.:49:51.

Union or to be global with Brexit and both of those were considerably

:49:52.:49:56.

better than staying in an EU that was not reformed. You said expect

:49:57.:50:02.

there to be turbulence for a couple of years, have you been surprised by

:50:03.:50:08.

the immediate turbulent shocks? Actually what I made clear was that

:50:09.:50:12.

it depends on the policies chosen, and I think coming back to

:50:13.:50:16.

reiterating an earlier point, we need to have sensible policies being

:50:17.:50:24.

chosen. The life and the economic out -- outcome depends on the

:50:25.:50:30.

fundamentals, which show the UK economy losing momentum before this

:50:31.:50:38.

referendum. Also G7 countries highlighting the need for policy

:50:39.:50:42.

boost. Confidence is a difficult one. What's interesting is that on

:50:43.:50:46.

Friday the Chancellor, correctly in my view, changed his fiscal stance.

:50:47.:50:51.

We need a lot more infrastructure spending, the UK Government can

:50:52.:50:54.

borrow for next to nothing and we should be investing longer term for

:50:55.:51:00.

the infrastructure. James, do you agree, that we may get short-term

:51:01.:51:04.

turbulence but we will restore confidence eventually with the right

:51:05.:51:10.

leader in place? I think that is now the key objective that we move

:51:11.:51:16.

forward... And it was always going to be the objective, Leave was never

:51:17.:51:22.

going to be a problem... I was never arguing this guy would fall in, it

:51:23.:51:26.

is now giving that sense of stability, getting the right

:51:27.:51:31.

policies. I think we shouldn't just rushed to invoke article 50, it is

:51:32.:51:34.

important we have a clearer approach set out in terms of our negotiating

:51:35.:51:39.

mandate so we can go in clearly and get the best possible deal. That's

:51:40.:51:43.

why I think it is right not to trigger that before the end of this

:51:44.:51:47.

year, but it is how we get the best possible deal for the city, for

:51:48.:51:52.

London, on the best possible access for goods and services to the single

:51:53.:51:55.

market. That is the approach we need to be clear on. And no signals at

:51:56.:52:02.

all that London cannot get a good deal in this new world. Sadiq Khan

:52:03.:52:07.

has outlined this week that London obviously has a special place in the

:52:08.:52:11.

UK economy, it needs special arrangements. He has already laid

:52:12.:52:16.

out a case for greater devolution of powers to London as an entity.

:52:17.:52:20.

People are naturally very worried and we need the reassurance of

:52:21.:52:24.

political stability, and that will not happen very soon but hopefully

:52:25.:52:28.

as quickly as possible. We need an effective opposition as well to keep

:52:29.:52:33.

the Government on their toes, to hold them to account and we are not

:52:34.:52:38.

going to do that any time soon. Was there a sense of contradiction for

:52:39.:52:42.

you this week in Sadiq Khan asking for more devolution to London given

:52:43.:52:47.

that you think his support for the EU was a centralising body? Yes I

:52:48.:52:53.

thought the mayor gave a very good speech but I thought there was a big

:52:54.:53:00.

contradiction in terms. He spoke about the need to be in the EU. At

:53:01.:53:05.

the same time he said devolved more powers to London. But because of the

:53:06.:53:12.

EU decision, it has made that case. We have decided to leave the

:53:13.:53:16.

European Union, I think that's in the best interests for London and

:53:17.:53:19.

the whole country, but the mayor said this week was something Boris

:53:20.:53:25.

Johnson was pushing for, to devolve more powers not just to London but

:53:26.:53:31.

across the whole country. But for transparency, and will allow more

:53:32.:53:36.

infrastructure spending. Let's move on. Stay with us.

:53:37.:53:38.

At just over one million, EU nationals account for 12%

:53:39.:53:41.

Perhaps overlooked amidst the sound and fury of the battles fought

:53:42.:53:47.

over the referendum, the decision to leave

:53:48.:53:49.

the European Union has cast doubt over the future of EU nationals

:53:50.:53:52.

Those nationals seeking clarity might feel less than assured

:53:53.:53:56.

by Theresa May's speech on Thursday as she launched her campaign

:53:57.:53:59.

to become the next Prime Minister, indicating that the legal status

:54:00.:54:01.

of EU nationals will at some point be on the table for negotiation

:54:02.:54:09.

And until a new legal agreement is reached with the EU,

:54:10.:54:11.

which will not happen for some time, the legal status of British

:54:12.:54:14.

nationals living or working in Europe will not change

:54:15.:54:18.

and neither will the status of EU nationals in Britain.

:54:19.:54:24.

Cause for disquiet then for the EU National community

:54:25.:54:26.

We showed a few of them Theresa May's speech.

:54:27.:54:31.

Actually a colleague of mine at work, she came to work the other

:54:32.:54:34.

day and she said her kids came back from school saying that...

:54:35.:54:40.

asking mum, are going to be deported?

:54:41.:54:43.

She said no, don't worry, we are not leaving, but after this

:54:44.:54:50.

The morning after the referendum results, I felt it was

:54:51.:54:56.

Suddenly I'm looking over my shoulder for no reason,

:54:57.:55:00.

It's kind of a primal instinct now to just think about looking

:55:01.:55:07.

at people on the bus and thinking, oh, 50% of this bus voted for me

:55:08.:55:11.

The UK has yet to begin negotiations to leave the EU, leaving

:55:12.:55:17.

the fate of EU nationals here very much in limbo.

:55:18.:55:30.

Gerard, would London survive without it EU workforce? I think they will

:55:31.:55:38.

stay, but 38% of the London population is international, on a

:55:39.:55:44.

par with New York and Singapore One in eight people in the finance

:55:45.:55:48.

industry are Europeans, so they are important and hence the focus on the

:55:49.:55:54.

points-based migration system. Jim Fitzpatrick, freedom of movement is

:55:55.:55:58.

up for grabs, you have to reconsider your policy on migration as well. It

:55:59.:56:03.

is clearly an issue, but the attacks on European citizens and people who

:56:04.:56:08.

are brown and black are completely outrageous and it is great the

:56:09.:56:11.

Government has said they will clamp down on that. We need to see the

:56:12.:56:15.

police taking greater action because these people have been working here,

:56:16.:56:19.

they are helping London be successful and they need those

:56:20.:56:25.

reassurances. Will EU citizens after EU be able to stay here? There is no

:56:26.:56:30.

change at the moment whilst we remain in the European Union, and

:56:31.:56:34.

it's important we look for guarantees for those EU citizens who

:56:35.:56:39.

are here, those who are working and contributing, and equally for

:56:40.:56:43.

British citizens overseas. We heard some concerns in the film and I

:56:44.:56:48.

didn't hear it clarified by Theresa May or Robert Peston this morning,

:56:49.:56:53.

can you guarantee that the people from the EU here now will be able to

:56:54.:56:58.

stay as long as they like? It is important to seek those guarantees

:56:59.:57:02.

as part of the negotiation, but Jim's point is right, some of the

:57:03.:57:07.

awful incidents that have taken place are unacceptable and don't

:57:08.:57:11.

represent our country. Do you accept you cannot guarantee that, the

:57:12.:57:15.

people who have contributed their taxes and made their lives here

:57:16.:57:19.

won't be able to stay? It is important we have this as a core

:57:20.:57:24.

part of the negotiation, to get that reassurance. It is such an important

:57:25.:57:29.

part of our economy, around 60, 00 people in the care sector, we need

:57:30.:57:34.

to look at that assurance so people can continue to contribute in that

:57:35.:57:39.

way. You are shaking your head but no party will be able to guarantee

:57:40.:57:44.

that now. The mixed signals the Government is sending has given

:57:45.:57:49.

licence to people to think it is a field day on foreign people. We need

:57:50.:57:53.

to make sure the Government acts to clamp down on people who are

:57:54.:57:56.

attacking those with a different accent. The police are giving the

:57:57.:58:02.

firm message this is utterly unacceptable. Sorry we cannot come

:58:03.:58:07.

back to you. Gerard, thanks for coming.

:58:08.:58:08.

First it was meant to be last Christmas, then it was this summer.

:58:09.:58:11.

Now it's slipped until at least October.

:58:12.:58:13.

No-one seems to want to have to make this decision on airport expansion.

:58:14.:58:16.

But the chair of the commission which recommended a third

:58:17.:58:19.

runway at Heathrow - and as a second preference

:58:20.:58:21.

another runway at Gatwick - has told us he thinks

:58:22.:58:23.

it's the perfect moment for a new Prime Minister

:58:24.:58:25.

A new campaign to challenge plans for Heathrow Airport

:58:26.:58:29.

Just a small airfield in the middle of acres of farmland,

:58:30.:58:35.

People have been making almost exactly the same news report

:58:36.:58:41.

about Heathrow expansion for decades.

:58:42.:58:43.

There's a map of the new runway at visit to a potentially

:58:44.:58:46.

We said we didn't think another runway was necessary

:58:47.:58:52.

in the south-east until the year 2016, providing we are allowed

:58:53.:58:54.

The latest push for a third runway began exactly one

:58:55.:59:02.

year and two days ago, when the Government's Airport

:59:03.:59:06.

Chaired by the Economist Sir Howard Davies, he plumped for Heathrow

:59:07.:59:11.

We have concluded that the north-west runway at Heathrow

:59:12.:59:13.

12 months on, he told us he was disappointed

:59:14.:59:19.

They said they needed to look at evidence and our analysis,

:59:20.:59:27.

which is quite reasonable, but that they would make

:59:28.:59:29.

a decision in the autumn, that's the autumn of 2015.

:59:30.:59:35.

The decision came eventually in December, and opted for indecision.

:59:36.:59:37.

More work was needed, the Government said,

:59:38.:59:41.

on air quality impacts, but then this week more delay.

:59:42.:59:46.

The Government said it would now be down to the next

:59:47.:59:48.

News which dropped just hours before this meeting from the lobbying

:59:49.:59:54.

On every seat here they have given away a packet of fudge, which says,

:59:55.:00:00.

"stop fudging a decision on airport expansion".

:00:01.:00:05.

It's fair to say that a lot of people here think that is exactly

:00:06.:00:08.

I'm not surprised but it is bad news for British economy.

:00:09.:00:16.

Now more than ever we need decisions to go ahead on investment

:00:17.:00:18.

But the news kept coming. After the meeting, this.

:00:19.:00:27.

..I have concluded that person cannot be me.

:00:28.:00:31.

Along with the former mayor's prime ministerial ambitions,

:00:32.:00:33.

surely went any hope of this - his idea for an airport

:00:34.:00:37.

in the Thames estuary, sometimes dubbed Boris Island.

:00:38.:00:42.

Now whether building a new airport in the Thames estuary

:00:43.:00:45.

was a good idea or not, you cannot take it away

:00:46.:00:48.

from Boris Johnson, he was certainly very clear in his enthusiasm

:00:49.:00:51.

What is much less clear is where the people who are still in the race

:00:52.:00:57.

to be the Conservative leader stand on the issue.

:00:58.:01:00.

Both Theresa May and Michael Gove have constituencies near Heathrow

:01:01.:01:03.

and have in the past expressed concerns about its noise.

:01:04.:01:08.

So, does that mean that they would oppose a third runway?

:01:09.:01:12.

Neither Theresa May nor Michael Gove were involved in the Cabinet

:01:13.:01:15.

committee which was looking at these options, and I'm not aware

:01:16.:01:18.

that they have made any firm commitment either for or against.

:01:19.:01:21.

They both have struck me when I have met them as being people

:01:22.:01:27.

who are analytical, who will look at the pros and cons in a way

:01:28.:01:31.

that is imbued with the national interest, if you like,

:01:32.:01:37.

But nevertheless it seemed to some that it was a good week for

:01:38.:01:42.

alternatives to Heathrow Airport, namely building a second

:01:43.:01:44.

I mean, in our view we have always had a very strong case and we think

:01:45.:01:54.

today our case is probably strong as it has ever been so, yes,

:01:55.:01:57.

For half a century, people have struggled with how to build

:01:58.:02:05.

extra airport capacity here in the south-east.

:02:06.:02:10.

Could it be that it is so difficult, the closest a new runway ever gets

:02:11.:02:14.

to being built is pretty much just a map drawing on a news report?

:02:15.:02:25.

James, what will you be advising Theresa May to do? Let's look at the

:02:26.:02:37.

evidence that will come through It's important that we get the air

:02:38.:02:42.

quality information. Equally, the airport operators are saying they

:02:43.:02:46.

will set out more details as to how they would provide financial

:02:47.:02:49.

compensation and also, the links to other airports. So I think it's

:02:50.:02:55.

about getting the decision right. I can understand why it has been

:02:56.:02:58.

deferred. It doesn't affect the long term time scale, but it is better

:02:59.:03:02.

that whoever is the next Prime Minister has that information. Where

:03:03.:03:11.

do you think it should go? I have not expressed a view. I want to look

:03:12.:03:18.

at the evidence as well. Knowing that for so many people, the air

:03:19.:03:21.

quality information is essential to the conclusion. Clarify for us, I

:03:22.:03:28.

understood that Theresa May was against expansion at Heathrow. Is

:03:29.:03:34.

that the case? I have never had a conversation with her about this.

:03:35.:03:38.

You would have to ask her. But it is about looking at the evidence

:03:39.:03:44.

carefully, and the economic analysis as well as the environmental impact

:03:45.:03:47.

so that we get the right decision. Yes, we are seeing a further

:03:48.:03:51.

deferral, but that doesn't have an overall impact. Jim, you have always

:03:52.:03:55.

supported it in the past and still back it now. We had a 2003 white

:03:56.:04:08.

paper which recommended it. In 012, the government realised they had

:04:09.:04:12.

made a mistake. They set up a commission to say there would be an

:04:13.:04:17.

answer by 2015, then by January Then there was Labour confusion as

:04:18.:04:23.

well. Given the Brexit result, one of the real challenges is

:04:24.:04:25.

connectivity to the rest of the world. Our trading partners, Paris,

:04:26.:04:30.

Madrid, Berlin, all of our main competitors have four or six runway

:04:31.:04:35.

airports. Dubai has just built a six runway airport. We are dithering and

:04:36.:04:41.

we need this sorted. And it is private sector investment, not

:04:42.:04:44.

taxpayers' money. Let both airports do their job, which is to sell

:04:45.:04:48.

business to their customers. Well, you have heard him loud and clear. I

:04:49.:04:53.

hope you are reported to Theresa May.

:04:54.:04:53.

That's all we have time for. Back to Andrew.

:04:54.:04:59.

Let's return to Labour's travails now, and we're joined now from Hull

:05:00.:05:02.

by the former deputy leader of the Labour Party, John Prescott.

:05:03.:05:09.

Earlier in this programme am a Barry Gardiner, a member of the Shadow

:05:10.:05:17.

Cabinet, said that what was needed was an honest broker to resolve the

:05:18.:05:20.

issue between Mr Corbyn and the parliamentary party and the party in

:05:21.:05:25.

the country. He named you as a potential honest broker. Are you up

:05:26.:05:31.

for it? I'm amazed. He twists and turns every 24 hours. And all of a

:05:32.:05:36.

sudden, when I appear on your programme, I am told I am to be the

:05:37.:05:40.

honest broker. There is no doubt that I love my party, the Labour

:05:41.:05:46.

Party. I would always do whatever was helpful. But simply because I

:05:47.:05:50.

had a few negotiating with is with Gordon and Tony, it's not an easy

:05:51.:05:53.

proposition. You have to have the will, and the Will this time must

:05:54.:05:59.

be, can we avoid the disaster we are heading to and the talk of civil war

:06:00.:06:04.

and separate parties? You can't have that. We must do everything to stop

:06:05.:06:10.

it. Is that a note to being honest broker? You can take on a thing from

:06:11.:06:18.

that. I am just amazed to hear it. It wouldn't just be one person, it

:06:19.:06:22.

would have to be a group of people are thinking about how you deal with

:06:23.:06:26.

the real problems. The MPs have concerns about selections which they

:06:27.:06:29.

have been that and with. There is concern about what the negotiating

:06:30.:06:33.

position will be an about the leadership. When I listen to the

:06:34.:06:38.

programmes again, Neil Kinnock and others, whether you can go ahead

:06:39.:06:44.

without an election. I am a believer and I fought hard for one member,

:06:45.:06:48.

one vote to involve the ordinary members. That is why I persuaded

:06:49.:06:53.

people to vote for Jeremy, let the party make the decision. I didn t

:06:54.:06:57.

vote for him. I didn't think he was the leader I wanted. But the party

:06:58.:07:03.

did speak. What has changed now is one member, one vote. The

:07:04.:07:08.

Parliamentary party has its position. It used to originally

:07:09.:07:12.

elect the leader. We changed that and went out to the members. Surely

:07:13.:07:18.

if you want an election, use the proper procedure, get the names of

:07:19.:07:21.

the MPs for the nominations and have an election. I hope we don't. I hope

:07:22.:07:28.

Angela and Owen Smith don't go into an election, because that will take

:07:29.:07:34.

the fight closer to civil war. If Mr Corbyn is challenged, is it your

:07:35.:07:41.

view that as the incumbent, as the existing leader of the Labour Party,

:07:42.:07:44.

he has a right to be on the ballot paper automatically? I hear what the

:07:45.:07:51.

lawyers they about that. I say this. If you want to challenge the leader

:07:52.:07:55.

of the Labour Party, then you get the names of the MPs and a

:07:56.:08:00.

nomination list and have a vote But since he is the incumbent, and if he

:08:01.:08:10.

is being challenged rather than stepping down, whatever the lawyers

:08:11.:08:15.

say, would he not have a right to be on the ballot paper? I believe if he

:08:16.:08:22.

can get sufficient names from the PLP, which is the rule under our

:08:23.:08:26.

situation, then he is entitled to be on it. The argument as to whether

:08:27.:08:32.

because he was the leader before is a legal one, personally, if you are

:08:33.:08:37.

going to have an election, and I hope we don't, that is the only way

:08:38.:08:41.

to sort it out. Otherwise you have a divided party. So he would still

:08:42.:08:48.

need to get the names as well. Those are the rules we have. But why

:08:49.:08:54.

haven't the names being put up before now? On this occasion, they

:08:55.:08:58.

hoped they could shake him down They hoped he would resign

:08:59.:09:03.

voluntarily. I think many MPs were convinced that was the road forward.

:09:04.:09:08.

Well, it hasn't turned out that way and the man intends to stand in the

:09:09.:09:12.

election. In my view, follow the processes of the party and get the

:09:13.:09:16.

names of supporters to enter the list. If he is not challenged and

:09:17.:09:21.

remains as leader of the Labour Party, what evidence is there that

:09:22.:09:29.

he will get better at the job? Well, I didn't vote for Jeremy for some of

:09:30.:09:34.

these reasons. From when he started to now, he has been improving. But I

:09:35.:09:40.

do accept that a lot of people are not convinced. He doesn't have the

:09:41.:09:44.

pension you sometimes need. I scream and shout, as you know, from time to

:09:45.:09:49.

time. They don't doubt that he believes what he is saying, but a

:09:50.:09:52.

leader has to reach across the party. I don't think Jeremy has done

:09:53.:09:57.

that. There are people in the party who have declared war on him from

:09:58.:10:00.

the first day of his election, let's be honest. He has got to improve.

:10:01.:10:05.

The party has to recognise the road it has embarked upon, or the PLP.

:10:06.:10:11.

And we need to prevent civil war. It would be disastrous for us. I sat in

:10:12.:10:17.

the Labour Party when it was the SDP and they put us out for 18 years. Is

:10:18.:10:23.

that what we want again? Is that our answer to the people screaming out

:10:24.:10:28.

to tackle this Tory government? Follow the constitution. Have an

:10:29.:10:32.

election if you have to, although I hope we don't have to. I hope Angela

:10:33.:10:38.

and Owen will not stand. I tried to advise a week ago to take more time

:10:39.:10:43.

to think about it. I think the MPs should go away and think about it

:10:44.:10:48.

over the holiday and come back and remember that the party once asked

:10:49.:10:55.

to resent a good case against this Tory government, or people will

:10:56.:10:59.

suffer. We cannot stand on the side, wringing our hands. Play it

:11:00.:11:06.

together. I understand that rallying call, but if there isn't an election

:11:07.:11:10.

or if there is but Mr Corbyn remains as leader, surely the situation is a

:11:11.:11:16.

leader who doesn't have the confidence of 80% of the

:11:17.:11:21.

parliamentary party. That is not sustainable. I understand that and

:11:22.:11:26.

it is a proper question. But listening to all the arguments over

:11:27.:11:33.

the last few weeks and in the PLP, I wonder if every MP would feel the

:11:34.:11:43.

same if we embarked upon a new party, isolating itself from the

:11:44.:11:46.

membership. If they do that, I wonder if you would keep the same

:11:47.:11:53.

vote. MPs have to look at themselves and say, let us get behind the guy

:11:54.:11:57.

or get rid of him, but get rid of him in the proper way. Most thought

:11:58.:12:02.

he would resign. It hasn't happened, so let's think through the

:12:03.:12:06.

consequences and avoid that civil war and deserting our own people in

:12:07.:12:10.

fighting against Tories. You wrote this morning that the last time

:12:11.:12:15.

Labour split, the gang of four in the 1980s, you ended up in

:12:16.:12:19.

opposition for 18 years. When you look at the situation at the moment,

:12:20.:12:23.

it is possible that split or un-split, if things continue the way

:12:24.:12:30.

they do, you would be in opposition for 18 years. That is a possibility.

:12:31.:12:39.

There are misconceptions people had. Many in the PLP assumed this man

:12:40.:12:45.

should go. OK, they expressed their opinion. But they thought he would

:12:46.:12:48.

just go quietly. That hasn't happened. If you go along this road

:12:49.:12:53.

and have another election, we are embarking upon those who are already

:12:54.:12:58.

talking about a separate PLP party, separated from the members. Blimey,

:12:59.:13:03.

think twice before you go down that road. We now it will be four years

:13:04.:13:07.

before the next election. Let's have more common sense. Remember, it s a

:13:08.:13:15.

whole party. One final question not wishing to make you more gloomy

:13:16.:13:20.

Isn't there a chance of things getting worse before they get

:13:21.:13:23.

better? We have the Chilcot report coming on Wednesday and we are being

:13:24.:13:29.

told that a number of leading Labour people, perhaps even Mr Corbyn

:13:30.:13:32.

himself, will brand Tony Blair is a war criminal. That can only make

:13:33.:13:42.

things worse, can't it? I agree It will make it worse, whatever they

:13:43.:13:48.

say. That is more the reason why bitter division in the PLP can only

:13:49.:13:53.

be made worse by angry statements about Iraq. We got it wrong on Iraq.

:13:54.:13:58.

Most people now recognise that, and a terrible price was paid. I cannot

:13:59.:14:05.

absolve myself from that. I sat in that cabinet. We can have a proper

:14:06.:14:09.

debate, but keep it less personal. Let's learn the lessons and avoid

:14:10.:14:14.

such a terrible situation, although frankly, we have been in other wars

:14:15.:14:19.

since then with the same feeling prevailing. John Prescott, thank you

:14:20.:14:21.

for being with us today. Helen, what is happening? The one

:14:22.:14:30.

thing I was missing there is a plan for what happens next. It is

:14:31.:14:33.

unlikely that people who have exited the Shadow Cabinet are going to go

:14:34.:14:38.

back into it. So if you are a Jeremy Corbyn supporter, what do you want?

:14:39.:14:44.

If you accept that there is no way, and that is what the negotiations

:14:45.:14:48.

are about, could you have an automatic place on the next ballot

:14:49.:14:51.

or would you have an agreement that someone like Clive Lewis would get

:14:52.:14:55.

onto next ballot? That would require Jeremy Corbyn to stand down. Yes, so

:14:56.:15:00.

if Corbyn stands again, it looks like he would win again with the

:15:01.:15:03.

members and there would be such a loss of hatred that the idea of

:15:04.:15:06.

anyone who ran against him that it would splinter the party. Chris

:15:07.:15:11.

Bryant was saying he didn't think it was a shoe in order that he would

:15:12.:15:14.

necessarily win with the members again. That is because there is

:15:15.:15:19.

polling that shows that support for Corbyn has slid backward. The polls

:15:20.:15:23.

put him against the other likely challengers and he beat all of them,

:15:24.:15:28.

but there was a sense in the vote that there were some who really

:15:29.:15:32.

wanted Jeremy Corbyn, but there were some who just didn't like the others

:15:33.:15:35.

and wanted something different. If there were a plausible person who

:15:36.:15:39.

was not Corbyn, they might go for that person. It was interesting that

:15:40.:15:44.

Don Prescott said that even if you are the incumbent -- John Prescott

:15:45.:15:49.

said that even if you are the income -- incumbent, you need the requisite

:15:50.:15:55.

number of MPs. That is hugely debated at the moment. It might go

:15:56.:16:00.

to the courts. That is all Labour bid now, for the Labour to be

:16:01.:16:04.

involved. They are between a rock and a hard place. Whether it is

:16:05.:16:08.

Clive Lewis or John Donald rather than Jeremy Corbyn versus Angela

:16:09.:16:13.

Eagle or whoever, the two tribes are now so far away from each other that

:16:14.:16:17.

the rubber band of the Labour Party has broken. We are now looking at

:16:18.:16:21.

two political parties eventually. It may take three months or three

:16:22.:16:25.

years, but I cannot see how those two wings can reconcile themselves.

:16:26.:16:32.

If Tom is right, the battle is who takes possession of the Labour

:16:33.:16:38.

brand. As a brand, it is more powerful than the conservative brand

:16:39.:16:43.

in some ways. And who has that brand automatically get at least 20% of

:16:44.:16:48.

the votes. It comes with the name. It does, but what is the brand? That

:16:49.:16:53.

is what goes to the heart of what this debate is about. There are a

:16:54.:16:57.

couple of other points. All credit to John Prescott for at least

:16:58.:17:00.

acknowledging that if this goes on, Labour could be out for another 18

:17:01.:17:06.

years. But what about these 40 MPs who are propping up Corbyn at the

:17:07.:17:10.

moment? I don't think enough scrutiny is being given to them At

:17:11.:17:15.

the end of the day, if they haemorrhaged away, Corbyn would have

:17:16.:17:21.

nobody left. I can't understand why very experienced senior figures like

:17:22.:17:29.

Andy Burnham are still helping him. That was the point Chris Bryant was

:17:30.:17:33.

making. Some of them apparently tried very hard to resign last week

:17:34.:17:37.

or tell Jeremy Corbyn they would if he didn't go, but they are now

:17:38.:17:40.

incapable of resigning cos he will not see them. There is a parallel to

:17:41.:17:48.

Article 50, which is Jeremy Corbyn's own article 50. As soon he stands

:17:49.:17:52.

down, he loses a lot of his bargaining ability. But what is the

:17:53.:17:59.

mood on the left of the Labour Party? Is it to stick it out with

:18:00.:18:06.

Jeremy Corbyn, or is it to accept that that is not working and get

:18:07.:18:10.

someone else from a more credible left-wing leader into place? My

:18:11.:18:18.

sense is that it is fracturing. You will end up with a rump of people

:18:19.:18:22.

who just want Jeremy Corbyn, they don't care about anything else. They

:18:23.:18:25.

joined to vote for him and they will leave the party when he goes. But

:18:26.:18:29.

there is a bigger group of people who want somebody who they feel is

:18:30.:18:36.

authentically left wing, but they are not wedded to it being Corbyn.

:18:37.:18:43.

That is what is changing. There has been bleeding of support from Corbyn

:18:44.:18:47.

himself. But also, the extent to which Corbyn is being propped up by

:18:48.:18:56.

a few figures, I am hearing that he wants to go but is being forced to

:18:57.:19:10.

stay. Do we know if that is true? People around him are saying, if you

:19:11.:19:15.

go, Alec experiment about this part of the party being in charge will be

:19:16.:19:22.

destroyed. Do you agree with that? I wonder. If you are the leader of a

:19:23.:19:26.

political party and you want to go, you go. Every time Jeremy Corbyn

:19:27.:19:38.

turns up at a rally in Parliamentary 's -- Parliament Square with

:19:39.:19:44.

thousands screaming for him, it makes him feel good and gives him

:19:45.:19:48.

hope. It makes him think that, I know it looks bad, but there are

:19:49.:19:53.

still people who love me. There is also a genuine principle thing,

:19:54.:19:57.

which is that he was elected by people who were not represent by the

:19:58.:20:01.

Labour Party as it was, and he feels a sense of responsibility to them.

:20:02.:20:06.

And with Chilcot coming out on Wednesday morning, it can only make

:20:07.:20:12.

it worse. Absolutely. There is a lot of speculation at Westminster that

:20:13.:20:15.

Jeremy Corbyn is only holding on until then so that he can stand up

:20:16.:20:19.

in the House of Commons and say that Tony Blair should be tried for war

:20:20.:20:26.

crimes. Possibly, he wants his big moment and will disappear after

:20:27.:20:30.

that. Or he may get reinvigorated by it. This is fascinating. All those

:20:31.:20:38.

people who are saying Jeremy should go, he was the position to Tony

:20:39.:20:47.

Blair within his own party -- he was the opposition. What are we going to

:20:48.:20:51.

learn from Chilcot? That Tony Blair got it wrong? They're zealots on

:20:52.:20:55.

both sides who will want to fight this out. Whether we learn anything

:20:56.:20:59.

or not is another matter. I suggest it is fuel on the Labour fire. But

:21:00.:21:06.

it doesn't change the positions we know will be confirmed. But if the

:21:07.:21:13.

leader of the Labour opposition calls on a former neighbour Prime

:21:14.:21:16.

Minister to be treated as a war criminal, that is history in

:21:17.:21:21.

anybody's books. That is one thing keeping the Labour Party avoided,

:21:22.:21:28.

the mistakes over Iraq. People are in one camp or the other. We shall

:21:29.:21:30.

leave it there. The Daily Politics is on all next

:21:31.:21:32.

week on BBC Two. I'm back here next Sunday

:21:33.:21:37.

at 11am on BBC One. Remember - if it's Sunday,

:21:38.:21:41.

it's the Sunday Politics.

:21:42.:21:51.

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