Browse content similar to 30/10/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Morning folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
Theresa May says she wants to help people who are | :00:41. | :00:42. | |
"just about managing" - so should she reverse | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
George Osborne's cuts to benefits that are supposed to help people | :00:46. | :00:48. | |
Prominent London Imam Shakeel Begg is an extremist speaker, | :00:49. | :00:55. | |
says the High Court, after claims made on this programme. | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
So why is Mr Begg still being allowed to advise the Police? | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
Hillary Clinton fights back over the FBI's renewed investigation | :01:04. | :01:08. | |
into her use of a private email server - is this the boost | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
Donald Trump needed to reignite his chances of winning the White House? | :01:12. | :01:20. | |
London, a decision finally taken. Now it is just a question of | :01:21. | :01:26. | |
building that runway with the political problems that lie ahead. | :01:27. | :01:32. | |
And haunting the studio on this Halloween weekend, | :01:33. | :01:35. | |
the most terrifying political panel in the business - | :01:36. | :01:37. | |
Tim 'Ghost' Shipman, 'Eerie' Isabel Oakeshott and | :01:38. | :01:40. | |
First this morning, two new models of car to be built, | :01:41. | :01:49. | |
securing 7,000 jobs at the car plant in Sunderland and a further 28, 00 | :01:50. | :01:52. | |
The news from Nissan on Thursday was seized on by Leave campaigners | :01:53. | :01:58. | |
as evidence that the British economy is in rude health | :01:59. | :02:01. | |
This morning, the Business Secretary, Greg Clark, was asked | :02:02. | :02:04. | |
what assurances were given to the Japanese firm's bosses | :02:05. | :02:08. | |
Well, it's in no-one's the interest for there to be tariff | :02:09. | :02:14. | |
barriers to the continent and vice versa. | :02:15. | :02:20. | |
So, what I said is that our objective would be to ensure that we | :02:21. | :02:23. | |
have continued access to the markets in Europe and vice versa, without | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
tariffs and without bureaucratic impediments. | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
That is how we will approach those negotiations. | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
We're joined now from Newcastle by the Shadow Business | :02:37. | :02:38. | |
Welcome to the programme. Labour has been a bit sceptical about this | :02:39. | :02:52. | |
Nissan decision. Can we begin by making it clear just what a great | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
achievement this is, above all for the workers of Sunderland who have | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
some of the highest productivity in the world, have never been on strike | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
for 30 years, and produce cars of incredible quality. This is their | :03:07. | :03:12. | |
victory, isn't it? Andrew, you are absolutely right. The Nissan plant | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
in Sunderland is among the most productive in the world. The workers | :03:17. | :03:21. | |
of Nissan are amongst the most productive as well. And it's really | :03:22. | :03:27. | |
a victory for them and for the trade unions and the business | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
organisations, and everybody who campaigned to make sure that the | :03:31. | :03:32. | |
government couldn't ignore their future. It's our future. I'm the MP | :03:33. | :03:40. | |
for Newcastle. It makes a huge difference to the region. We are a | :03:41. | :03:43. | |
region that still likes to make things that work. It is a huge part | :03:44. | :03:46. | |
of our advanced manufacturing sector. So it's really something we | :03:47. | :03:53. | |
welcome as well as the job security. I'm glad we have got that on the | :03:54. | :03:59. | |
record from the Labour shadow business secretary. But your Shadow | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
Chancellor, John McDonnell, claims the government is ignoring | :04:04. | :04:06. | |
manufacturers and cares only about a small banking elite. In what way is | :04:07. | :04:12. | |
safeguarding 30,000 industrial jobs in the North safeguarding a | :04:13. | :04:15. | |
financial elite? As I said, we're really pleased that the campaigning | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
by trade unions and the workforce, and business organisations, meant | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
the government felt they couldn t ignore Nissan workers. Let's also be | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
clear that we want that kind of job security for all of those working in | :04:29. | :04:31. | |
manufacturing and in other sectors as well. And sweetheart deals for | :04:32. | :04:36. | |
one company, no matter how important they are, that does not an | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
industrial strategy make. Why'd you say it is a sweetheart deal? Greg | :04:43. | :04:49. | |
Clark told the BBC this morning that what was assured to Nissan is an | :04:50. | :04:52. | |
assurance he gives to the whole industrial sector? I was really | :04:53. | :04:57. | |
pleased to see Greg Clark felt he had to say something, even though | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
it's sad that we having our industrial strategy, you like, or | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
our approach to Brexit delivered piecemeal to the media rather than | :05:08. | :05:12. | |
to the British people and Nissan, actually. But he want published the | :05:13. | :05:16. | |
letter. He said he has told us what is in the letter and that | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
reassurances given on training, on science and on supporting the supply | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
chain for the automated sector. You must be in favour all -- of all of | :05:26. | :05:31. | |
that? We are in favour of an industrial strategy. Greg Clark | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
unlike Sajid Javid, cannot say industrial strategy. I'm still | :05:37. | :05:42. | |
puzzling to find out what it is you disagree with. Let me put the | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
question. You said the assurances he has given to Nissan are available to | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
the car manufacturing sector in general and indeed to industry in | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
general. What is your problem with that? Two things. Let him publish | :06:00. | :06:04. | |
the letter so we can see that, let him have the transparency he's | :06:05. | :06:09. | |
pretending to offer. But also, we need an industrial strategy that | :06:10. | :06:13. | |
values -- that is values based and joined. He talked about electric | :06:14. | :06:21. | |
cars and supporting green cars. That was in regard to Nissan. At the same | :06:22. | :06:26. | |
time the government has slashed support for other areas of green | :06:27. | :06:31. | |
technology. So what is it? That is not to do with the Nissan deal. | :06:32. | :06:37. | |
Labour implied at some stage there was some financial inducement, some | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
secret bribes, that doesn't seem to be the case. You are not claiming | :06:42. | :06:46. | |
that any more -- any more. Then you claimed it was a sweetheart deal for | :06:47. | :06:49. | |
one company. That turns out not to be the case. What criticism are you | :06:50. | :06:58. | |
left with on this Nissan deal? I would be really surprised if all | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
that Nissan got was the reassurances that Greg Clark is shared with us. | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
He didn't answer the question of what happens if we can't get | :07:08. | :07:12. | |
continued tariff free access to the single market, if we are not within | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
the single market or the Customs Union. Do you really think a | :07:17. | :07:22. | |
negotiator like Nissan, who are very good at negotiating, they would have | :07:23. | :07:25. | |
excepted making this significant investment without some further | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
reassurances? Do you think there is some kind of financial bride and if | :07:31. | :07:34. | |
so what is the evidence? I would like to see the letter published and | :07:35. | :07:39. | |
I would also like to understand what would happen... There are 27 | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
countries which need to agree with the deal we have from Brexit. What | :07:45. | :07:50. | |
will Nissan, how will Nissan remain competitive? How will the automotive | :07:51. | :07:55. | |
industry remain competitive? Greg Clark says he reassured them on | :07:56. | :08:00. | |
that. But how will that be so if we do not get access? We haven't heard | :08:01. | :08:08. | |
anything about that. He talks about reassurances given to Nissan. We | :08:09. | :08:12. | |
need to make -- to know where we're going to make sure Brexit is in the | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
interest of all workers, not only those who work for a Nissan and not | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
only those who can get the attention of Greg Clark. He assured Nissan | :08:20. | :08:25. | |
that Britain would remain a competitive place to do business. | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
That was the main assurance he gave them. He would help with skills and | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
infrastructure and all the rest Since you are -- intend to repeal | :08:34. | :08:38. | |
the trade union laws that have made strikes in Britain largely a thing | :08:39. | :08:42. | |
of the past, and you plan to raise corporation tax, you couldn't give | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
Nissan the same assurance, could you? We could absolutely give Nissan | :08:46. | :08:52. | |
the assurance that we will be, our vision of the future of the UK, is | :08:53. | :08:55. | |
based on having a strong manufacturing sector. Repealing | :08:56. | :09:07. | |
trade union laws? As we have seen at Nissan, the industrial sector is | :09:08. | :09:11. | |
dependent on having highly trained, well skilled workers. -- highly | :09:12. | :09:17. | |
skilled, well-trained. You don't have that by getting -- having an | :09:18. | :09:23. | |
aggressive policy and trade union laws or by slashing corporation tax | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
and not supporting manufacturing investment. Remember, the last | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
government took away the Manufacturing allowances which | :09:31. | :09:36. | |
supported Manufacturing and slashed corporation tax. That is their | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
solution. It is a low tax, low skill economy they want. | :09:40. | :09:45. | |
Thank you. Sorry I had to rush you. I'm grateful for you joining us | :09:46. | :09:49. | |
I'm still struggling to see what is left of Labour's criticism? Yeah, | :09:50. | :09:58. | |
except for this. This was a valid point she just made. What we know | :09:59. | :10:02. | |
for sure is that Greg Clark could say to Nissan, my aim is to get | :10:03. | :10:07. | |
tariff free deal. There is no way he could guarantee that. None of us | :10:08. | :10:11. | |
know that. I don't think that was enough. I think clearly there was a | :10:12. | :10:19. | |
more detailed package involving training and other things. He has | :10:20. | :10:24. | |
acknowledged this, albeit we do not know the precise mechanism. What I | :10:25. | :10:27. | |
think is interesting about this is if you reverse what happened this | :10:28. | :10:31. | |
week, at a time when the government says Britain is open for business | :10:32. | :10:33. | |
and it is going to have an industrial strategy, so far it is a | :10:34. | :10:39. | |
bit vaguely defined. Nissan hadn't made this commitment. Imagine what | :10:40. | :10:43. | |
would have happened? It is an impossible scenario. The government | :10:44. | :10:46. | |
seems to me was obliged to make sure this didn't happen. Let's not forget | :10:47. | :10:52. | |
Nissan has invested hundreds of millions in the north-east. It has | :10:53. | :10:56. | |
been a huge success story. When I spoke to workers from Nissan, they | :10:57. | :11:01. | |
were so proud because they went to Japan to teach the Japanese had to | :11:02. | :11:05. | |
be more productive. The idea that Nissan was just going to walk away | :11:06. | :11:08. | |
from this given its track record, its importance, wasn't really | :11:09. | :11:13. | |
credible. The government had some bargaining chips. Absolutely, of | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
course they weren't going to walk away. The majority of people in the | :11:19. | :11:22. | |
area in which Nissan is braced - based, voted for Brexit. Nissan | :11:23. | :11:27. | |
knows it is in a powerful position because it is an emotive sector | :11:28. | :11:30. | |
Clearly the government didn't want to have some big showdown. I | :11:31. | :11:35. | |
honestly don't think this is a smoking gun. The Labour Shadow | :11:36. | :11:40. | |
minister really struggled to articulate what exactly she thinks | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
the government is hiding. I think the reassurances were given were | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
pretty anodyne, really. They were anodyne and general. And what Greg | :11:50. | :11:51. | |
Clark was setting out was an objective and he made the right | :11:52. | :11:56. | |
noises, and Nissan exercised its right to sabre rattle. It does have | :11:57. | :11:59. | |
a history of doing that. The one thing that would now be clear given | :12:00. | :12:05. | |
Greg Clark's performance this morning on the BBC, is that if we | :12:06. | :12:08. | |
were to discover some kind of financial incentive directly linked | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
to this investment, not more for skills or infrastructure, that is | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
fine, but some direct financial investment, compensation for | :12:19. | :12:21. | |
tariffs, which would be illegal under World Trade Organisation | :12:22. | :12:24. | |
rules, what you might call a financial bride, the sect -- the | :12:25. | :12:28. | |
business Secretary's position would be untenable? He would be in a very | :12:29. | :12:34. | |
difficult position indeed. Just released the letter. There is | :12:35. | :12:37. | |
nothing to hide. Put it out there. The most revealing thing is that | :12:38. | :12:40. | |
people are getting wildly excited about the fact Greg Clark announced | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
Britain's negotiating position would be that we would like tariff free | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
trade with Europe. This is regarded as an insight into what this comment | :12:51. | :12:53. | |
is doing and it says a great deal about how little we have been told | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
in Parliament and the media about what they are up. Do you think it is | :12:57. | :13:02. | |
exciting we are going for tariff free trade? We're easily excited | :13:03. | :13:09. | |
these days. We don't know. This is where these things are at such a | :13:10. | :13:13. | |
tentative phase. We don't know how the rest of the European Union is | :13:14. | :13:16. | |
going to respond to Britain's negotiating hand. We know Britain | :13:17. | :13:25. | |
once the best of everything, please. It is a starting point. But that is | :13:26. | :13:30. | |
not how it is going to end up. We are getting wider than that. We have | :13:31. | :13:32. | |
will have to see. Now, Universal Credit, | :13:33. | :13:34. | |
a single payment made to welfare claimants that would roll together | :13:35. | :13:36. | |
a plethora of benefits whilst encouraging people into work | :13:37. | :13:38. | |
by making work pay. But have cuts to the flagship | :13:39. | :13:41. | |
welfare scheme reduced work incentives and hit the incomes | :13:42. | :13:43. | |
of the least well-off? Well, some of the government's | :13:44. | :13:49. | |
own MPs think so, and, as Mark Lobel reports, | :13:50. | :13:51. | |
want the cuts reversed. Theresa May says she wants | :13:52. | :13:57. | |
a country that works for everyone, that's on the side | :13:58. | :14:00. | |
of ordinary, working people. It means never writing off people | :14:01. | :14:05. | |
who can work and consigning them to a life on benefits, | :14:06. | :14:08. | |
but giving them the chance to go out and earn a living and to enjoy | :14:09. | :14:11. | |
the dignity that comes But now some in her party | :14:12. | :14:14. | |
are worried that the low earners will be hit by changes | :14:15. | :14:20. | |
to Universal Credit benefit system originally set up to encourage | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
more people into work. We also need to focus tax credits | :14:25. | :14:27. | |
and Universal Credit Concern centred on the Government's | :14:28. | :14:30. | |
decision in the July 2015 budget to find ?3 billion worth of savings | :14:31. | :14:36. | |
from the Universal Credit bill. Conservative MP Heidi Allen | :14:37. | :14:45. | |
is working on a campaign to get MPs in her party to urge | :14:46. | :14:48. | |
the Prime Minister to think again. I want her to understand for herself | :14:49. | :14:56. | |
what the outcomes might be if we press ahead | :14:57. | :14:59. | |
with the Universal Credit, Do you think Theresa May, right now, | :15:00. | :15:01. | |
understands what you understand To be fair, unless you really | :15:02. | :15:05. | |
get into the detail, and I have through my work | :15:06. | :15:08. | |
on the Work and Pensions Select Committee, I don't | :15:09. | :15:10. | |
think anybody does. Independent economic analysts | :15:11. | :15:12. | |
at the IFS agree with Heidi Alan that cuts to Universal Credit weaken | :15:13. | :15:18. | |
incentives to work. One of the key parts | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
of the Universal Credit system That is how much you can | :15:23. | :15:25. | |
earn before your credit As the Government has | :15:26. | :15:28. | |
sought to save money, both under the Coalition and now | :15:29. | :15:31. | |
they Conservative Government, both under the Coalition and now | :15:32. | :15:34. | |
the Conservative Government, that work allowance has been cut, | :15:35. | :15:36. | |
time and time again. The biggest cuts happened | :15:37. | :15:38. | |
in the summer budget of 2015. That basically reduces the amount | :15:39. | :15:41. | |
of earnings you get to keep It weakens the incentive people have | :15:42. | :15:43. | |
to move into work. What do changes to the Universal | :15:44. | :15:47. | |
Credit system mean? The Resolution Foundation think tank | :15:48. | :15:49. | |
has crunched the numbers. If you compare what would have | :15:50. | :15:52. | |
happened before the July 2015 summer budget to what will happen by 2 20, | :15:53. | :15:56. | |
even if you take into account gains in the National Living Wage | :15:57. | :15:59. | |
and income tax cuts, recipients will be hit | :16:00. | :16:01. | |
by annual deductions. Couples and parents would receive, | :16:02. | :16:06. | |
on average, ?1000 less. A dual-earning couple with two | :16:07. | :16:10. | |
children under four, with one partner working full-time | :16:11. | :16:12. | |
on ?10.50 an hour and the other working part-time on the minimum | :16:13. | :16:15. | |
wage for around 20 hours a week, they would | :16:16. | :16:18. | |
receive ?1800 less. Hit most by the changes | :16:19. | :16:25. | |
would be a single parent with a child under four, | :16:26. | :16:27. | |
working full-time I think, if I'm honest, | :16:28. | :16:29. | |
it is unrealistic, given the economic climate, | :16:30. | :16:43. | |
to expect everything to be reversed. What I would like to see | :16:44. | :16:46. | |
is an increase in the work allowances to those people | :16:47. | :16:52. | |
who will be hardest hit. That is single parents and second | :16:53. | :16:55. | |
earners hoping to return to work, because they are the people we need | :16:56. | :16:58. | |
to absolutely make The Sunday Politics understands that | :16:59. | :17:00. | |
about 15 to 20 Conservative MPs are pushing for changes ahead | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
of the Autumn Statement. A former cabinet minister told us | :17:06. | :17:08. | |
that they believed further impact analysis should be done to find out | :17:09. | :17:11. | |
if any mitigation measures Former Work and Pensions Secretary | :17:12. | :17:14. | |
Iain Duncan Smith, an architect of the system, now says | :17:15. | :17:20. | |
the cuts should be reversed. But his former department has told | :17:21. | :17:25. | |
us that it has no plans to revisit the work allowance changes announced | :17:26. | :17:30. | |
in the budget last year. What I would say to Heidi Allen | :17:31. | :17:35. | |
and IDS, they got it right the first time and they should stick | :17:36. | :17:38. | |
to the vote they cast last year because these reforms actually | :17:39. | :17:41. | |
do make sense. What interests me is the fact | :17:42. | :17:43. | |
we are trying to move people off welfare into work, | :17:44. | :17:46. | |
we are raising the wages people earn by massively increasing | :17:47. | :17:48. | |
the minimum wage and this People are coming off | :17:49. | :17:50. | |
welfare and into work. Campaigners are pushing for savings | :17:51. | :17:54. | |
to come from other areas to relieve The other thing we have to start | :17:55. | :17:57. | |
looking at is the triple Financially it has been a great | :17:58. | :18:03. | |
policy, and it was absolutely right that we lifted pensioners | :18:04. | :18:07. | |
who were significantly behind, for many years, in terms of income | :18:08. | :18:09. | |
levels, but they have I think it is time for us to look | :18:10. | :18:11. | |
at that policy again, because is costing us an awful | :18:12. | :18:17. | |
lot of money. With just over three weeks to wait | :18:18. | :18:19. | |
until the Conservative leadership's new economic plan is unveiled | :18:20. | :18:22. | |
in the Autumn Statement, its top team is under pressure | :18:23. | :18:25. | |
from within its own ranks to use it And I'm joined now by former Work | :18:26. | :18:28. | |
and Pensions Secretary, Welcome back to the programme. | :18:29. | :18:44. | |
Theresa May said she is on the side of the just managing, the working | :18:45. | :18:49. | |
poor. But they are about to be hit from all sides. Their modest living | :18:50. | :18:53. | |
standards are going to be squeezed as inflation overtakes pay rises, | :18:54. | :18:56. | |
they will be further squeezed because top-up benefits in work are | :18:57. | :19:00. | |
frozen. Incentives to work are going to be reduced by the cuts in | :19:01. | :19:05. | |
universal benefits. So much for being on the side of those just | :19:06. | :19:10. | |
managing? Theresa was right to focus on this group. The definition has to | :19:11. | :19:17. | |
be the bottom half, in economic terms, of the social structure. It | :19:18. | :19:21. | |
doesn't look good for them? This is the point I am making, it is an | :19:22. | :19:24. | |
opportunity to put some of this right. One of the reasons I resigned | :19:25. | :19:28. | |
in March is because I felt the direction of travel we had been | :19:29. | :19:31. | |
going in had been to take far too much money out of that group of | :19:32. | :19:35. | |
people when there are other areas which, if you need to make some of | :19:36. | :19:38. | |
those savings, you can. The key bit is that the group needs to be helped | :19:39. | :19:42. | |
through into work and encouraged to stay in work. There was a report | :19:43. | :19:47. | |
done with the IFS, when we were there, at Universal Credit. It said | :19:48. | :19:51. | |
Universal Credit rolled out, as it should have been before the cuts, | :19:52. | :19:56. | |
people would be much more likely to stay in work longer and earn more | :19:57. | :20:00. | |
money. It is a net positive, but that is now called into question. | :20:01. | :20:04. | |
Let's unpick some of the detail but first, do you accept the words of | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
David Willets? It says on the basis of the things I read out to you that | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
the just managing face a significant and painful cut in real terms if we | :20:13. | :20:21. | |
continue on the way we are going. I do, in essence. That is the reason | :20:22. | :20:27. | |
why I resigned. I felt Heidi raised that issue as well, that we got the | :20:28. | :20:32. | |
balance wrong. It is right that pensioners get to a certain point, | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
when they are on a level par, doing the right thing over five years | :20:37. | :20:41. | |
Staying with that process has cost us ?18 billion extra this year, in | :20:42. | :20:49. | |
total. It will go on costing another 5 billion. Then there is the issue | :20:50. | :20:55. | |
of tax allowances. I want to remind you and viewers what David Cameron | :20:56. | :20:57. | |
told the Conservative conference in 2009. If you are a single mother | :20:58. | :21:04. | |
with two children, earning ?150 a week, the withdrawal of your | :21:05. | :21:09. | |
benefits and the additional taxes that you pay me on that for every | :21:10. | :21:15. | |
extra you earn, you keep just 4p. What kind of incentive is that? 30 | :21:16. | :21:23. | |
years ago, this party won and election fighting against 98% tax | :21:24. | :21:29. | |
rates for the Rex richest. I want us today to show even more anger about | :21:30. | :21:36. | |
96% tax rates for the very poorest in our country. Real anger, and | :21:37. | :21:41. | |
effective rate of over 90%. Universal Credit reduces that. Some | :21:42. | :21:48. | |
will still face, as they lose benefits and pay tax, a marginal | :21:49. | :21:53. | |
rate of over 75%. That is still too high? Yes, it is the collision | :21:54. | :21:56. | |
between those going into work at the moment they start paying tax. A | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
racial Universal Credit is set at 65%. You can call that the base | :22:02. | :22:07. | |
marginal tax rate. 1.2 million will face 75%? That is the point about | :22:08. | :22:12. | |
why the allowances are so important. The point about the allowances which | :22:13. | :22:15. | |
viewers might not fully understand is that it was set, as part of | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
Universal Credit, to allow you to get certain people, with certain | :22:20. | :22:23. | |
difficulties, as they cross into work, to retain more benefit before | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
it is tapered away as they go up in hours. A lone parent, who might have | :22:30. | :22:33. | |
various issues, you want her to have a bigger incentive than a single | :22:34. | :22:37. | |
person that does not have the same commitments. It is structured so | :22:38. | :22:41. | |
that somebody who has difficulty going to work, they all have | :22:42. | :22:43. | |
slightly different rates. What happened is that last year a | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
decision was taken to reduce tax credits, and, on the back of that, | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
to reduce allowances. I believe given everything that happened now, | :22:52. | :22:58. | |
we need to restore that to the point where it helps those people crossing | :22:59. | :23:00. | |
over. You say a decision was taken, it was a decision by the former | :23:01. | :23:03. | |
Chancellor George Osborne in the summer budget. Other decisions were | :23:04. | :23:09. | |
taken in successive Budgets to raise the Universal Credit budget, which | :23:10. | :23:12. | |
resulted in the disincentive being higher than many people wanted. Do | :23:13. | :23:15. | |
you accept that has been the consequence of his decisions? I was | :23:16. | :23:20. | |
in the Government, we take collective responsibility. I argued | :23:21. | :23:24. | |
this was not the right way to go, but when you are in you have to stay | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
with it if you lose that argument. There was another attempt before the | :23:28. | :23:30. | |
spending review last year to increase the taper, so the marginal | :23:31. | :23:35. | |
rate would have gone up. I managed to stop that. I'm Sibley saying | :23:36. | :23:40. | |
what we made as a decision last year, given the circumstances and | :23:41. | :23:44. | |
given that the net effect of all of that, I think it is time for the | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
Government to ask the question, if we are in this to help that group of | :23:49. | :23:53. | |
people, Universal Credit is singularly the most powerful tool. | :23:54. | :23:56. | |
One of the Argentine aid in the paper published on Thursday, we are | :23:57. | :24:02. | |
set going on doing two more races of the tax threshold, taking more | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
people out of tax. That has a diminishing effect on the bottom | :24:08. | :24:11. | |
section. Only 25p in that tax rate will help any of those. Most of it | :24:12. | :24:16. | |
goes to middle income? You and I will benefit more from that. With | :24:17. | :24:21. | |
Universal Credit, every pound you put into that will go to the bottom | :24:22. | :24:25. | |
five tenths. That is why I designed it like that. He pressed the button | :24:26. | :24:29. | |
and immediately start to changed circumstances. Should the cuts in | :24:30. | :24:34. | |
Universal Credit that Mr Osborne introduced, against your argument, | :24:35. | :24:36. | |
should they be reversed? I believe so. I believe you can do it even if | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
there is concern about spending I don't believe you need to go through | :24:43. | :24:45. | |
with the continuing raise the tax threshold. Cost is dependent on | :24:46. | :24:54. | |
inflation, but give or take. It is in the Tory manifesto? Has more than | :24:55. | :24:59. | |
doubled. What is in the manifesto, and Lasse Prime Minister made this | :25:00. | :25:02. | |
clear in conference, we want to improve the life chances of people. | :25:03. | :25:08. | |
Today's announcement on the Green paper is what I wrote over the last | :25:09. | :25:12. | |
two and a half years. Big changes necessary to how we deal with | :25:13. | :25:15. | |
sickness benefit. That can now be done because of Universal Credit, | :25:16. | :25:20. | |
because people can go back to work and it tapers away their benefits. | :25:21. | :25:24. | |
It is the most powerful tool to sort our people that live in poverty | :25:25. | :25:27. | |
Universal Credit. We need to make sure it lands positively. If Mr | :25:28. | :25:32. | |
Osborne's cuts were reversed, what you and some of your backbench Tory | :25:33. | :25:36. | |
colleagues want to do, how would that improve the incentives of the | :25:37. | :25:42. | |
working poor, as they try to get on in life? They have to pay more tax, | :25:43. | :25:46. | |
they lose some benefits. How would it improve it? Would many still face | :25:47. | :25:53. | |
a 75% rate? The key question is first and foremost, as people move | :25:54. | :25:57. | |
through income to the point where they are getting taxed, that group | :25:58. | :26:01. | |
will be enormously benefited by the re-emergence of these allowances at | :26:02. | :26:04. | |
the right level. That is what the IFS have said, that is what the | :26:05. | :26:10. | |
Resolution Foundation are saying, and the Centre For Social Justice is | :26:11. | :26:14. | |
saying. You have to get that group, because they are most likely to be | :26:15. | :26:17. | |
drifting into poverty and less incomes are right. Would it help | :26:18. | :26:22. | |
those who face a 75% margin? We don't face that. Exactly right. | :26:23. | :26:28. | |
People much poorer than us do. I would love to get the marginal rate | :26:29. | :26:37. | |
down to testify percent, and lower,. -- down to 65%. It is a balance of | :26:38. | :26:41. | |
how you spend the money. I would prefer to do that rather than | :26:42. | :26:46. | |
necessarily go ahead with threshold razors. I think the coronation of | :26:47. | :26:52. | |
the marginal reduction of 65%, getting it down to 60%, plus more | :26:53. | :26:56. | |
allowances, will allow Universal Credit to get to the group that is | :26:57. | :27:00. | |
going to be, and the report written by the IFS and ourselves, it shows | :27:01. | :27:04. | |
it is going to be the most dynamic and direct ability of a Government | :27:05. | :27:09. | |
to be able to influence the way that people improve their incomes in the | :27:10. | :27:15. | |
bottom five deciles. Would you take on extra work if you knew you were | :27:16. | :27:21. | |
going to lose 75% of it? Even 6 %? This has been my argument all along. | :27:22. | :27:25. | |
Universal Credit can help that enormously. One point that goes | :27:26. | :27:30. | |
missing, 70% of the bottom five deciles will be on Universal Credit. | :27:31. | :27:34. | |
Whatever change you make to Universal Credit has a dramatic and | :27:35. | :27:37. | |
immediate effect I am arguing, genuinely, it is time to rethink | :27:38. | :27:43. | |
this. The Prime Minister wants to make this a priority. I am | :27:44. | :27:46. | |
completely with her on this. I think she made a really good start. To | :27:47. | :27:51. | |
deliver this, we need to... You have a lot of work to do to deliver it. | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
Because it is a manifesto commitment, or because they want to | :27:56. | :28:02. | |
do it, stopping increasing the personal allowances are not | :28:03. | :28:04. | |
acceptable, what about bringing to an end, by the end of the | :28:05. | :28:07. | |
parliament, the pension triple lock that pensioners enjoy to improve and | :28:08. | :28:14. | |
put more money to the working poor? What about that? Well, you are | :28:15. | :28:20. | |
absolutely right that there is now the danger, I think, of a mess | :28:21. | :28:23. | |
balance between the generations Quite rightly at the beginning, when | :28:24. | :28:28. | |
we came in, we have a commitment as a Conservative Party in a manifesto | :28:29. | :28:33. | |
to get pensions back onto earnings. It was moved to a triple lock that | :28:34. | :28:38. | |
guaranteed a minimum. What about ending up now? I understand it is a | :28:39. | :28:42. | |
promise through the Parliament, but after 2020? I am in favour of | :28:43. | :28:45. | |
getting it back to innings and allowing it to rise at reasonable | :28:46. | :28:49. | |
levels. Moving from earnings to the triple lock has cost ?18 billion | :28:50. | :28:55. | |
this year. Here was a high, under pressure, as the Government was | :28:56. | :28:59. | |
scratching around to pay more money out of working age areas, when the | :29:00. | :29:03. | |
budget was almost out of control on the pension side. I'm in favour of | :29:04. | :29:06. | |
helping pensioners, but now they are up to a reasonable level, at a | :29:07. | :29:11. | |
steady rate, that can be afforded by Government, which takes the pressure | :29:12. | :29:14. | |
off, working age people have to pay for that. In years to come, time to | :29:15. | :29:17. | |
end the triple lock and use the savings to help these | :29:18. | :29:31. | |
people we have been talking about? As part of a load of packages, yes. | :29:32. | :29:33. | |
It would also help with the intergenerational fairness argument. | :29:34. | :29:34. | |
Thank you for being with us. Now, a prominent London Imam | :29:35. | :29:37. | |
called Shakeel Begg - who is Chief Imam the Lewisham | :29:38. | :29:39. | |
Islamic Centre - is an extremist. That was the verdict of the judge | :29:40. | :29:42. | |
in a libel action that Mr Begg took against the BBC, after we described | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
him as an Islamic extremist Mr Begg had complained about a short | :29:47. | :29:49. | |
segment in an interview in November 2013 with Farooq Murad, | :29:50. | :29:53. | |
the then head of the Muslim Council of Britain, an organisation | :29:54. | :29:56. | |
which claims to represent British In that interview, we described | :29:57. | :29:58. | |
Mr Begg as an extremist speaker who had hailed jihad | :29:59. | :30:04. | |
is the greatest of deeds. From his base of the Lewisham | :30:05. | :30:06. | |
Islamic Centre, Mr Begg has been involved in a number of community | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
organisations, including the Police Independent | :30:11. | :30:13. | |
Advisory Group in Lewisham, Lewisham Council's Advisory Council | :30:14. | :30:16. | |
on Religious Education and as a volunteer chaplain | :30:17. | :30:21. | |
at Lewisham Hospital. But in his judgment, | :30:22. | :30:24. | |
Mr Justice Haddon-Cave called Mr Begg a Jekyll and Hyde character | :30:25. | :30:29. | |
- a trusted figure in his local community, but when talking | :30:30. | :30:32. | |
to predominantly Muslim audiences he shed the cloak of respectability | :30:33. | :30:36. | |
and revealed the horns of extremism. The judge cited one speech made | :30:37. | :30:41. | |
by Mr Begg at a rally outside Belmarsh Prisonm- | :30:42. | :30:44. | |
the high security prison that houses terrorists - | :30:45. | :30:46. | |
as particularly sinister. The judge said the imam | :30:47. | :30:50. | |
was expressing admiration and praise Following Friday's judgment, | :30:51. | :30:52. | |
the hospital trust have told us that Mr Begg's status as a voluntary | :30:53. | :30:58. | |
chaplain has been terminated. We have been told by | :30:59. | :31:02. | |
Lewisham Council he is no longer on their Religious | :31:03. | :31:06. | |
Education Committee. The Metropolitan Police | :31:07. | :31:08. | |
have confirmed that Mr Begg remains a member | :31:09. | :31:10. | |
of their Independent Advisory Group in Lewisham, as well as | :31:11. | :31:15. | |
the borough's faith group. I am joined by Haras Rafiq, chief | :31:16. | :31:27. | |
executive of the Quilliam Foundation. Welcome to the | :31:28. | :31:34. | |
programme. I have here in my hand a statement from the trustees of the | :31:35. | :31:38. | |
Lewisham Islamic Centre. They reject the judge's ruling as fanciful and | :31:39. | :31:43. | |
say they are unequivocal and unwavering in their support of | :31:44. | :31:47. | |
Shakeel Begg as their head imam What do you make of that? To be | :31:48. | :31:53. | |
honest, it doesn't surprise me. At the end of the day he is only the | :31:54. | :31:58. | |
imam of that mosque because he belongs to the same theological | :31:59. | :32:02. | |
fundamentalist views that the mosque would portray. If they were to say | :32:03. | :32:05. | |
he was an extremist, they would be saying in fact that they have | :32:06. | :32:11. | |
allowed extremist preaching and extremist theology within their | :32:12. | :32:14. | |
walls. I think this is a very important decision and a very | :32:15. | :32:23. | |
important judgment by the judge First of all, these people like to | :32:24. | :32:26. | |
operate in a linear, under a veneer of respectability. When that veneer | :32:27. | :32:31. | |
is taken away, there are a number of things that can happen. First of | :32:32. | :32:35. | |
all, the BBC did very well to stand by their guns and say, we're not | :32:36. | :32:42. | |
going to be intimidated by somebody who is threatening to taking -- to | :32:43. | :32:46. | |
take us to court for potential libel. Many other media companies | :32:47. | :32:51. | |
have done that in the past and people have capitulated. Also, this | :32:52. | :32:56. | |
has exposed him. Legally now, here's some deal can be classified as an | :32:57. | :33:01. | |
extremist preacher, somebody who promotes religious violence. I think | :33:02. | :33:05. | |
the mosque really needs to take a step back and say, how we part of | :33:06. | :33:09. | |
the problem that we are facing within society? Or are we going to | :33:10. | :33:13. | |
be part of the solution? It really concerns me. The High Court judge | :33:14. | :33:21. | |
says that Mr Begg's speeches were consistent with an extremist | :33:22. | :33:27. | |
Salafist is the most worldview. What is Salafist is and how widespread is | :33:28. | :33:37. | |
it in UK mosques? -- mosque. It comes from the Middle East. It is | :33:38. | :33:43. | |
from Saudi Arabia. The enemy for them was the old colonial Ottoman | :33:44. | :33:50. | |
Empire. There is the quiet Salafist to get some with their lives, lives | :33:51. | :33:55. | |
outside society. There is a revolutionary who tries to convert | :33:56. | :33:59. | |
other people to their worldview And then there is the Salafist jihad | :34:00. | :34:05. | |
ease. People like Islamic State etc. We have seen of increased in recent | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
decades because of money that has, growing from the Middle East. When | :34:10. | :34:14. | |
that is mixed with a political ideology, it becomes potent. Do we | :34:15. | :34:18. | |
have a political -- particular problem in Britain with this in our | :34:19. | :34:24. | |
mosques? Absolutely. Without the theology that says hate the other, | :34:25. | :34:28. | |
hate other Muslims, that excommunicate other people, that | :34:29. | :34:32. | |
says it is OK to fight and is good to fight when you have got an enemy, | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
we wouldn't really have a jihadi problem. Really that is something we | :34:37. | :34:41. | |
have to tackle. The number of mosques and institutions supporting | :34:42. | :34:47. | |
Salafist and Islam is has been on the increase. Do we have a problem | :34:48. | :34:52. | |
with what the judge called Jekyll and Hyde characters who hide their | :34:53. | :34:56. | |
extremism except when they are speaking to specific groups? | :34:57. | :35:03. | |
Absolutely. One of the things we have focused on in the past, a | :35:04. | :35:08. | |
number of hate preachers now in prison, people like Anjem Choudary, | :35:09. | :35:12. | |
and everybody focused on them. But there is a range of people operating | :35:13. | :35:16. | |
under that level. People who will show one face to the community | :35:17. | :35:20. | |
because they actually need that for a respectability. They need that for | :35:21. | :35:25. | |
a legitimacy. They need that to operate. When they are behind closed | :35:26. | :35:28. | |
doors and talking to their constitution, that is when you will | :35:29. | :35:32. | |
see the real face of what these people believe. It is an increasing | :35:33. | :35:38. | |
phenomenon. We are seeing it more. And we're going to carry on seeing | :35:39. | :35:45. | |
it. Not just has the Lewisham mosque stuck by him, but given the clarity | :35:46. | :35:50. | |
of the judge's ruling, are you surprised that the Metropolitan | :35:51. | :35:53. | |
police would wish to continue with Mr Begg as an adviser? I'm | :35:54. | :35:57. | |
absolutely shocked that that decision. What Uzzy going to do | :35:58. | :36:01. | |
Advise them on how to deal with extremist preachers and promote | :36:02. | :36:06. | |
religiously motivated violence? I don't know what he's going to advise | :36:07. | :36:10. | |
them on. Because we now have a judge that has ruled against him and | :36:11. | :36:15. | |
actually classified him as an extremist and somebody who promotes | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
religious violence, we actually have a possibility for the CPS to | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
actually prosecute him. There is a law that has been in place since | :36:24. | :36:27. | |
2005 called religiously motivated violence. If he has been classified | :36:28. | :36:32. | |
as somebody who promotes this, there is a potential for the CPS to | :36:33. | :36:37. | |
prosecute. I want to called into question other organisations, | :36:38. | :36:39. | |
interfaith organisations, other Muslims groups, who say they want to | :36:40. | :36:46. | |
fight extremism, I call on them to say, this guy is an extremist | :36:47. | :36:50. | |
preacher, we should cut our ties from him. This was a very high risk | :36:51. | :36:59. | |
strategy by the BBC. The exposure could have been over ?1.5 million of | :37:00. | :37:06. | |
licence payers money. Will this make it more difficult for Jekyll and | :37:07. | :37:10. | |
Hyde characters to behave as Mr Begg has behaved? Absolutely. It will do. | :37:11. | :37:15. | |
One of the things they will now have to make sure is that they are a lot | :37:16. | :37:22. | |
more careful. Careful with what they say to their own constituency. It | :37:23. | :37:26. | |
won't solve the theological problem. But it will actually stop other | :37:27. | :37:32. | |
people from operating in this manner and allow other media organisations | :37:33. | :37:35. | |
to have the confidence to expose them when they do. Haras Rafiq, | :37:36. | :37:37. | |
thank you for joining us. It's just gone 11.35, | :37:38. | :37:40. | |
you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers | :37:41. | :37:42. | |
in Scotland, who leave us now Coming up here in 20 minutes, | :37:43. | :37:44. | |
the Week Ahead. First though, the Sunday | :37:45. | :37:48. | |
Politics where you are. Coming up later, a decision finally | :37:49. | :37:59. | |
taken, now just a question of building the thing - | :38:00. | :38:05. | |
with all the political, legal and planning | :38:06. | :38:08. | |
problems that lie ahead. Joining me today, David Lammy, | :38:09. | :38:11. | |
Labour MP for Todman, who is a Remainer and is pro that | :38:12. | :38:14. | |
third runway, a decision Theresa Villiers, Conservative MP | :38:15. | :38:17. | |
for Chipping Barnet is also here, a leading Brexiteer | :38:18. | :38:24. | |
and opponent of a third runway. Let's start with the review | :38:25. | :38:26. | |
of London's preparedness to deal with terrorism, | :38:27. | :38:30. | |
which was published this week. It had more than 120 | :38:31. | :38:33. | |
recommendations in it. Broadly speaking, it finds | :38:34. | :38:35. | |
the capital pretty well placed. Yes, I think Lord Harris | :38:36. | :38:37. | |
was positive about London's ability But I think he also had some | :38:38. | :38:45. | |
helpful suggestions. This is the sort of area | :38:46. | :38:49. | |
where there is always more Some of the suggestions, | :38:50. | :38:52. | |
I think, I don't think But, overall, I think this | :38:53. | :38:57. | |
is a helpful contribution. Like the one he thinks we should be | :38:58. | :39:00. | |
spending more time and attention looking at, merging the city | :39:01. | :39:03. | |
force with the Met? You don't think we should be | :39:04. | :39:05. | |
going along with that? I think those kind of structural | :39:06. | :39:08. | |
reorganisations, in relation, for example, to the British | :39:09. | :39:10. | |
Transport Police in the city, I think they would probably be | :39:11. | :39:12. | |
a bit of a distraction. I don't think that should be | :39:13. | :39:15. | |
the priority when it comes I think what is also useful | :39:16. | :39:17. | |
from this report is that it is a reminder that these attacks | :39:18. | :39:22. | |
are such a significant threat to London and could | :39:23. | :39:27. | |
happen at any time. The Tories in the London Assembly, | :39:28. | :39:29. | |
it is somewhat suggesting, their reaction this week, | :39:30. | :39:32. | |
that it was a bit bland, Presumably, you can argue that | :39:33. | :39:34. | |
number of recommendations I think it's surprising, | :39:35. | :39:38. | |
for example, that Sadiq Khan or the Mayor of London is not | :39:39. | :39:45. | |
going to Cobra meetings. The meetings of that gathering | :39:46. | :39:48. | |
of security experts and politicians that always happens, | :39:49. | :39:54. | |
we should make clear, the Cabinet committee, | :39:55. | :39:56. | |
at a time of crisis? Let's remember, just last week, | :39:57. | :39:58. | |
someone was arrested on the Jubilee Line | :39:59. | :40:01. | |
with what apparently looked like a bomb. | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
This is serious. The police have thwarted | :40:06. | :40:07. | |
50 attacks since 2005. Actually, I think Lord Harris has | :40:08. | :40:14. | |
done a really comprehensive job Things like alerts across London, | :40:15. | :40:18. | |
on our mobile phones, so we can all be in touch, | :40:19. | :40:21. | |
we can all stay connected. Actually, that ought | :40:22. | :40:24. | |
to be happening routinely. And finding that the 600 extra armed | :40:25. | :40:26. | |
officers that the capital is already getting, the Home Office | :40:27. | :40:29. | |
and the Government had authorised It might send the wrong impression, | :40:30. | :40:34. | |
psychosocial impression, he described it as, | :40:35. | :40:41. | |
to the people that we are too I think a balance needs to be struck | :40:42. | :40:43. | |
dependent on what's going on. Clearly, global affairs | :40:44. | :40:50. | |
and international policy can sometimes drive the urgency, | :40:51. | :40:53. | |
if you like, of our response. So, I would want to keep | :40:54. | :41:01. | |
that as a question mark. Would you like to see | :41:02. | :41:04. | |
more armed officers? Are people telling you they want | :41:05. | :41:06. | |
more armed reassurance? I think there is already a lot | :41:07. | :41:10. | |
of work being done on that. I know that the Met takes | :41:11. | :41:13. | |
this very seriously, I think the report is quite | :41:14. | :41:15. | |
interesting, on that. So, I don't think huge numbers | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
of extra armed police is necessarily I think what is crucial | :41:21. | :41:29. | |
is that we complete the Investigatory Powers Bill | :41:30. | :41:33. | |
in the Houses of Commons and Parliament, because | :41:34. | :41:37. | |
without those powers, our intelligence services | :41:38. | :41:40. | |
are going to find themselves progressively less and less able | :41:41. | :41:43. | |
to detect these plots before Worth a programme in itself, | :41:44. | :41:46. | |
but we must move on. So, the Government finally took | :41:47. | :41:51. | |
the plunge and gave its backing But there's quite a journey ahead, | :41:52. | :41:53. | |
full of challenges - At last the Government's green light | :41:54. | :41:57. | |
for a third runway at Heathrow. We believe a third runway | :41:58. | :42:09. | |
for Heathrow is the best option for our future, it's the best | :42:10. | :42:13. | |
for the whole country to create better connectivity | :42:14. | :42:16. | |
for the different regions of the United Kingdom and to provide | :42:17. | :42:18. | |
the best trade links to the world. So, London's airport capacity | :42:19. | :42:23. | |
is set to be increased. And there's reason | :42:24. | :42:27. | |
believe it might not. Residents near Heathrow have | :42:28. | :42:32. | |
concerns about noise And political | :42:33. | :42:43. | |
opposition is mounting. Are you still going to oppose | :42:44. | :42:47. | |
Heathrow, Boris? One of the most high-profile | :42:48. | :42:50. | |
Conservative backbenchers, Zac Goldsmith, has resigned to fight | :42:51. | :42:53. | |
a by-election as an independent This project is almost certainly not | :42:54. | :42:56. | |
going to be delivered. I believe this will be a millstone | :42:57. | :43:03. | |
around this government's neck for many, many years to come - | :43:04. | :43:06. | |
a constant source of delay, a constant source of | :43:07. | :43:09. | |
anger and betrayal. But even though the Tories won't be | :43:10. | :43:12. | |
standing a candidate against him, observers say there is a very strong | :43:13. | :43:16. | |
chance the Lib Dems might The Prime Minister is expected | :43:17. | :43:19. | |
to have enough votes in parliament for a third runway by almost two | :43:20. | :43:28. | |
thirds, according to a ComRes poll. The question might not be settled | :43:29. | :43:31. | |
in Parliament at all. At least five local councils, | :43:32. | :43:36. | |
including Theresa May's own in Windsor and Maidenhead, | :43:37. | :43:38. | |
will be fighting the They may even be getting some help | :43:39. | :43:40. | |
from the Mayor of London. I think this is the wrong decision | :43:41. | :43:44. | |
for London and the whole of Britain. I think the Government is riding | :43:45. | :43:48. | |
roughshod over Londoners' views It's worth speaking to local | :43:49. | :43:53. | |
councils now and exploring helping Heathrow may have got the green | :43:54. | :43:55. | |
light from the Government, but following a potential judicial | :43:56. | :44:01. | |
review into the environmental impact on locals, it might be looking | :44:02. | :44:04. | |
at a red light from the courts. How much time should Sadiq Khan be | :44:05. | :44:11. | |
spending continuing to oppose this? Sadiq has got to take his view | :44:12. | :44:16. | |
on behalf of London and he is clear You pointed that out in the mayoral | :44:17. | :44:22. | |
campaign, didn't you? During the mayoral campaign, | :44:23. | :44:31. | |
I wanted to be Mayor. I was very keen to point out that | :44:32. | :44:33. | |
Sadiq had flip-flopped on it. But it does feel that he | :44:34. | :44:36. | |
is absolutely clear it He must also, I think, | :44:37. | :44:39. | |
agree that we've got to move on There are real issues | :44:40. | :44:51. | |
about a lack of capacity. In a post-Brexit environment | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
particularly, where London could lose out, we have got | :44:57. | :44:58. | |
to increase their capacity and therefore the Government, | :44:59. | :45:02. | |
having settled on Heathrow, what I'm hoping now is that we can | :45:03. | :45:06. | |
actually move forward and not just get stuck on the same old record, | :45:07. | :45:10. | |
a record that has been turning now Theresa, when it is so | :45:11. | :45:13. | |
controversial, when they have waited so long, we had Davies and then | :45:14. | :45:19. | |
we have a big delay after Davies, as you pointed out before | :45:20. | :45:22. | |
we started recording, you've talked about it in the studio | :45:23. | :45:24. | |
so many times, going They wouldn't make this decision | :45:25. | :45:27. | |
if it wasn't doable, it couldn't happen eventually, | :45:28. | :45:30. | |
would you not say? Well, I think there is a reason why | :45:31. | :45:34. | |
people have been talking about a third runway at Heathrow | :45:35. | :45:36. | |
for 40 years and is not built it, about a third runway at Heathrow | :45:37. | :45:39. | |
for 40 years and not built it, We have heard about | :45:40. | :45:42. | |
huge legal problems. Remember, this construction project | :45:43. | :45:47. | |
involves either tunnelling the M25 or somehow building a runway | :45:48. | :45:50. | |
on a bridge over the M25. And that's before you get | :45:51. | :45:53. | |
into the fact that Heathrow is already the biggest noise | :45:54. | :45:55. | |
polluter in Europe. There are so many reasons why this | :45:56. | :45:59. | |
is a bad idea and, yet, Gatwick we could deliver in half the time, | :46:00. | :46:02. | |
half the cost. That simple point, if the logic | :46:03. | :46:05. | |
is so obvious, how... Why have they made | :46:06. | :46:07. | |
this decision, then? It's very frustrating, | :46:08. | :46:09. | |
the fixation of the establishment of Heathrow is getting in the way | :46:10. | :46:16. | |
of delivering a new runway. I agree we need airport capacity, | :46:17. | :46:19. | |
but the only way to deliver it in the south-east is via Gatwick, | :46:20. | :46:22. | |
because the problems Look, there have always been | :46:23. | :46:24. | |
West London MPs or MPs in the flight Huge amounts of jobs | :46:25. | :46:31. | |
will come as a consequence. Might I just say, London's young | :46:32. | :46:49. | |
people, 10,000 plus apprentices Most importantly, the economy | :46:50. | :46:51. | |
of West London, where the airport is situated, is the most important | :46:52. | :46:53. | |
economy currently in Europe. Let us grow it so that | :46:54. | :46:57. | |
all of the country can benefit. It looks like the SNP | :46:58. | :47:00. | |
are going to support this proposal. Let's get on with it and not | :47:01. | :47:02. | |
let the nimbys stop it. If that is going to be a crucial | :47:03. | :47:07. | |
decision and the votes are in favour of it, | :47:08. | :47:10. | |
what do you think it is that will stop it, that will make it | :47:11. | :47:13. | |
undeliverable, if it goes and gets that political cross | :47:14. | :47:16. | |
party endorsement? Well, I and others, | :47:17. | :47:18. | |
and I would point out I'm not a West London MP, | :47:19. | :47:20. | |
my constituency, thankfully, is not under the flight path, | :47:21. | :47:22. | |
so it is not just people people who are concerned | :47:23. | :47:28. | |
about their backyards that I think I will continue to make | :47:29. | :47:30. | |
the case as part of this long process which the Government has | :47:31. | :47:36. | |
undertaken for the better You know, Gatwick has been | :47:37. | :47:38. | |
transformed as an airport since BAA, as it then was, | :47:39. | :47:42. | |
was forced to sell it. The competition between our airports | :47:43. | :47:46. | |
has dramatically improved Can I just ask from you, | :47:47. | :47:48. | |
you feel very strongly about it why would you have never considered, | :47:49. | :47:56. | |
why don't you make it a resigning issue and follow | :47:57. | :47:59. | |
what Zac Goldsmith does? Well, people in politics care | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
passionately about all sorts of issues, but it's very rare | :48:05. | :48:06. | |
to trigger a by-election I respect the decision he has made, | :48:07. | :48:08. | |
that was part of the platform on which he stood in | :48:09. | :48:16. | |
the general election. Would you go and campaign for him | :48:17. | :48:18. | |
during this by-election? Certainly I would support | :48:19. | :48:22. | |
his campaign, yes. Do you expect frontbenchers, | :48:23. | :48:24. | |
key figures in the party, I don't know what their | :48:25. | :48:28. | |
intentions would be. Certainly, I would be very happy | :48:29. | :48:32. | |
to help Zac. You have to agree, don't you, | :48:33. | :48:38. | |
David Lammy, it is going to be a rugged, tough process, | :48:39. | :48:41. | |
with four local authorities, Conservative local authorities, | :48:42. | :48:43. | |
in the wings, ClientEarth, There are issues I think, still | :48:44. | :48:45. | |
in relation to pollution, genuinely. And noise, specifically | :48:46. | :48:55. | |
for those in the area. It is very likely we won't get | :48:56. | :48:58. | |
there until actually That's more reason to have settled | :48:59. | :49:01. | |
on a position and work Ready to go off and fly off | :49:02. | :49:08. | |
somewhere, to enjoy your retirement. Going back, eight years | :49:09. | :49:14. | |
ago with Geoff Hoon, he predicted technology would fix | :49:15. | :49:17. | |
these pollution problems. He was wrong then, and I'm afraid | :49:18. | :49:20. | |
the Government is Don't forget, the Davies Commission | :49:21. | :49:22. | |
said they were satisfied that the carbon emissions, | :49:23. | :49:29. | |
the standard was met. With, I think we will all agree | :49:30. | :49:32. | |
a lot of work to be done We've touched on Brexit | :49:33. | :49:38. | |
a little bit already, but it's 30 years since the big | :49:39. | :49:43. | |
bang, the process of deregulation which enabled the City | :49:44. | :49:46. | |
to become a world leader This week, the Mayor, | :49:47. | :49:48. | |
Sadiq Khan, and senior figures from the City Corporation | :49:49. | :49:53. | |
issued fresh warnings about the risks to that status | :49:54. | :49:55. | |
from the so-called hard Brexit, Despite being a financial powerhouse | :49:56. | :49:58. | |
and home to hundreds of banks in the early 1980s, London | :49:59. | :50:05. | |
was thought to be in danger of falling behind rivals | :50:06. | :50:08. | |
in New York. The Thatcher government | :50:09. | :50:12. | |
believed reform was needed, and rather than introduce it | :50:13. | :50:14. | |
gradually, they decided it should all come into force overnight | :50:15. | :50:17. | |
in what became known On Monday, October 27th, | :50:18. | :50:19. | |
1986, the London stock Gone were the crowded | :50:20. | :50:30. | |
and chaotic trading floors that bred inefficency, | :50:31. | :50:35. | |
replaced by electronic For the first time, foreign firms | :50:36. | :50:37. | |
could buy up and own some That was the trigger of the gun | :50:38. | :50:44. | |
being pulled saying, "Ladies and gentlemen worldwide | :50:45. | :50:50. | |
London is open for international business | :50:51. | :50:52. | |
and we are here." And of course, within five | :50:53. | :50:56. | |
years they hit the skies. Over the next 30 years London became | :50:57. | :51:06. | |
arguably the world's for most important financial centre, | :51:07. | :51:09. | |
employing three quarters Our time zone, proximity and access | :51:10. | :51:11. | |
to the European single market make London an attractive | :51:12. | :51:23. | |
base for American Under EU passport rules, | :51:24. | :51:24. | |
their location here enables them to sell their service | :51:25. | :51:27. | |
across the Union. Meanwhile, free movement of people | :51:28. | :51:31. | |
means Europe's best talent have But now, depending on the deal | :51:32. | :51:34. | |
we get with Europe, Brexit could mean the loss of passporting | :51:35. | :51:40. | |
and free movement. So some firms in London | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
are exploring their options The big bang helped London | :51:44. | :51:45. | |
secure its position as the market But now, 30 years on, after Brexit, | :51:46. | :51:52. | |
could this be the turning point If we get a Brexit that largely | :51:53. | :52:01. | |
maintains the ability national institutions based in Britain | :52:02. | :52:07. | |
to operate in the European Union, and those in the European Union | :52:08. | :52:09. | |
to operate in Britain, then the effect on jobs in London, | :52:10. | :52:12. | |
jobs in the country, If we don't get that, | :52:13. | :52:14. | |
there will be a loss of some functions over time and therefore | :52:15. | :52:19. | |
the loss of jobs and The scenario is from a couple | :52:20. | :52:21. | |
of thousand, if there is a Brexit that leaves us roughly where we are, | :52:22. | :52:26. | |
to perhaps as many as 75,000 if we have no access | :52:27. | :52:29. | |
to the single market But David Buick believes our closest | :52:30. | :52:31. | |
European rivals are anything but. Frankfurt, I don't want to be | :52:32. | :52:38. | |
disrespectful but I am going to be. It would take them ten years | :52:39. | :52:42. | |
to build the infrastructure. Regardless of the economic arguments | :52:43. | :52:51. | |
for London retaining its status as a financial centre of Europe | :52:52. | :52:57. | |
Brexit negotiations mean there are serious political | :52:58. | :52:59. | |
considerations, too. European politicians do economically | :53:00. | :53:06. | |
self-defeating things all the time. You shouldn't be surprised if Paris | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
and Berlin are now going to try to capitalise | :53:10. | :53:12. | |
on Britain leaving the EU, in a potentially futile effort | :53:13. | :53:17. | |
to turn their own cities I mean, you eventually run | :53:18. | :53:19. | |
into economic reality in some form, but the politicians can keep | :53:20. | :53:26. | |
going for an awfully long time This week, another big British | :53:27. | :53:29. | |
economic project did finally But Heathrow watchers who have seen | :53:30. | :53:35. | |
politics trump economics on that issue for decades, | :53:36. | :53:40. | |
will be wary of European leaders who have to balance their own | :53:41. | :53:43. | |
political realities And David, big car firms saying | :53:44. | :53:45. | |
they are going to start investing The City showing | :53:46. | :53:57. | |
that it's resilient. It has always come up new solutions | :53:58. | :54:02. | |
and kept its pre-eminent position. There is a lot of exaggerated | :54:03. | :54:06. | |
fear here, isn't there? We're living in very, | :54:07. | :54:08. | |
very serious times, in which the pound has fallen, | :54:09. | :54:15. | |
in which we are hearing very consistently from our major banks | :54:16. | :54:18. | |
and from the City that if we don't get those passporting rules, | :54:19. | :54:21. | |
they are off. And frankly, with an economy | :54:22. | :54:25. | |
in Britain, and this is the fundamental point, | :54:26. | :54:27. | |
where 80% of our economy is based on services, | :54:28. | :54:29. | |
we are not manufacturing in the way If we lose this, then those | :54:30. | :54:32. | |
services could go. They could go elsewhere, | :54:33. | :54:38. | |
and they will go elsewhere. Why would these City figures bother | :54:39. | :54:40. | |
to warn if there was not Well, it's very important that | :54:41. | :54:47. | |
during the Brexit negotiations the UK looks to see, | :54:48. | :54:53. | |
to do everything we can As you say, London has | :54:54. | :54:55. | |
always been resilient. It is the most successful financial | :54:56. | :55:02. | |
centre on earth. It is in the interest | :55:03. | :55:06. | |
of the United Kingdom and the EU, that London continues to be | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
successful, because it serves Do you expect there to be no loss | :55:12. | :55:13. | |
of any kind of strength opposition? That current arrangements will be | :55:14. | :55:21. | |
transferred across in I think we can deliver | :55:22. | :55:23. | |
passporting-type arrangements. But I also think it's crucial | :55:24. | :55:28. | |
to recognise that actually London does all sorts of business | :55:29. | :55:31. | |
across Europe which doesn't involve the passport anyway | :55:32. | :55:33. | |
because of the focus It is possible to deliver | :55:34. | :55:35. | |
a successful outcome through these negotiations for the city, | :55:36. | :55:43. | |
because it is in the interest It's the consultants, | :55:44. | :55:45. | |
it's the lawyers. All of that comes off | :55:46. | :55:55. | |
the back of that trading. That's why passporting | :55:56. | :55:57. | |
is so important. Why would the European Union give us | :55:58. | :56:01. | |
those rights when we have They'll want it for | :56:02. | :56:04. | |
the European Union. It's all well and good to say, | :56:05. | :56:06. | |
"I think we will get it." That, I think, particularly | :56:07. | :56:09. | |
if we actually move forward with Article 50, is going | :56:10. | :56:24. | |
to lead to an enormous So far you have been proved wrong | :56:25. | :56:27. | |
in terms of the economic shock that you and other Remainers | :56:28. | :56:32. | |
were predicting. How do we account for | :56:33. | :56:34. | |
third-quarter figures? The economic shock happens | :56:35. | :56:36. | |
the moment we press Most economists are predicting, | :56:37. | :56:39. | |
it's the first quarter of next year I believe that we will get a good | :56:40. | :56:45. | |
trading deal from the European Union because it is manifestly | :56:46. | :56:54. | |
in their interest that we do so Most member states have | :56:55. | :56:56. | |
nothing resembling their They will continue | :56:57. | :56:58. | |
to depend on London. They won't take kindly | :56:59. | :57:05. | |
to their businesses being told that they don't have access to those | :57:06. | :57:09. | |
liquid capital markets, which frankly no other financial | :57:10. | :57:11. | |
centre in Europe can The reality is, if there | :57:12. | :57:13. | |
is a politically driven attempt to try to undermine London's place | :57:14. | :57:19. | |
as Europe's financial centre, the only other place they're | :57:20. | :57:22. | |
going to go is New York. This is in our interest, | :57:23. | :57:26. | |
it is in the EU's interest, to make sure we have an orderly | :57:27. | :57:28. | |
transition to a new arrangement Of course it's in the EU's interests | :57:29. | :57:31. | |
to have a trading relationship. But it is also in their interests | :57:32. | :57:35. | |
to preserve the EU. And in many countries in the EU | :57:36. | :57:38. | |
there are movements And for those reasons, | :57:39. | :57:41. | |
when we get to the negotiation, as has been said by European | :57:42. | :57:46. | |
leaders, it will be hardball. There is much we have | :57:47. | :57:51. | |
now that we will no longer have Ten seconds to reassure, | :57:52. | :57:54. | |
to come back? London is going to continue to be | :57:55. | :57:57. | |
the biggest and best financial And it is in the interest of the UK | :57:58. | :58:00. | |
and EU that that continues. The EU has already got enough | :58:01. | :58:06. | |
problems with financial markets Now, for the rest of the political | :58:07. | :58:08. | |
news in 60 seconds. Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has | :58:09. | :58:24. | |
been urged to do more for Anglo Iranian aid worker | :58:25. | :58:27. | |
Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, detained in Iran | :58:28. | :58:31. | |
accused of espionage. The 37-year-old charity worker | :58:32. | :58:34. | |
from Hampstead was originally arrested at Tehran airport | :58:35. | :58:36. | |
on April three along Sadiq Khan has met with | :58:37. | :58:39. | |
a cross-party group of London MPs to support a push for a devolution | :58:40. | :58:46. | |
deal in the Autumn Statement. The Mayor argued that giving | :58:47. | :58:49. | |
City Hall and London's boroughs more control would allow the city | :58:50. | :58:52. | |
to better manage the potential Wimbledon MP Stephen Hammond raised | :58:53. | :58:55. | |
the issue of Crossrail 2 Could my right honourable friend | :58:56. | :59:01. | |
assure me that the Government still supports Crossrail 2, | :59:02. | :59:10. | |
and would she ask the Secretary of State to set the timetable | :59:11. | :59:13. | |
for the delayed consultation? We are waiting to see a robust | :59:14. | :59:17. | |
business case and a proper funding Very quickly, at the end of the week | :59:18. | :59:20. | |
a private members' bill on homelessness got through, | :59:21. | :59:37. | |
got government support. It will allow local authorities | :59:38. | :59:38. | |
or give them the obligation to do much more for people who are thrown | :59:39. | :59:41. | |
out of their private rented homes. I felt it was a good | :59:42. | :59:44. | |
day for Parliament. I have huge respect for my | :59:45. | :59:48. | |
colleague, Bob Blackman, who is taking this bill forward | :59:49. | :59:50. | |
because it will help some of the most vulnerable people | :59:51. | :59:53. | |
in our community avoid homelessness. It is the biggest upgrade | :59:54. | :59:57. | |
and modernisation of our laws on homelessness that we've | :59:58. | :59:59. | |
seen in this country. And a lot of collaboration, | :00:00. | :00:02. | |
cross-party? Of course it was cross-party | :00:03. | :00:04. | |
because right across London we can see the chronic homelessness | :00:05. | :00:06. | |
on our streets. There are kids without | :00:07. | :00:08. | |
homes in London. But the question will be, | :00:09. | :00:11. | |
can we give local government in London the resources to meet | :00:12. | :00:13. | |
these statutory obligations The other question everybody | :00:14. | :00:15. | |
was raising, we wouldn't be in this position if you guys were just | :00:16. | :00:22. | |
building more houses? Well, all parties accept the need | :00:23. | :00:25. | |
to build more houses For example, the borough I live in, | :00:26. | :00:27. | |
Barnet, is delivering more houses Labour failed to deliver | :00:28. | :00:32. | |
us the homes we need. Theresa Villiers, David Lammy, | :00:33. | :00:39. | |
thank you very much for coming in. And Andrew, with that, | :00:40. | :00:46. | |
it is back to you. Barely more than a week | :00:47. | :00:58. | |
now until polling day, and a new revelation rocks the US | :00:59. | :01:02. | |
Presidential election campaign. If it wasn't bizarre enough, it just | :01:03. | :01:12. | |
got more bizarre. The FBI have reopened their | :01:13. | :01:15. | |
investigation into Hillary Clinton's use of private email servers | :01:16. | :01:18. | |
whilst she was Secretary of State, after the discovery | :01:19. | :01:20. | |
of further emails. Though not on her laptop or even the | :01:21. | :01:28. | |
State Department. Donald Trump is saying that it's | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
bigger than Watergate - so could it swing the election | :01:34. | :01:35. | |
in his favour? We spoke to top US | :01:36. | :01:37. | |
pollster, Frank Luntz. The FBI investigation is happening | :01:38. | :01:39. | |
so late in the election process that it would be very difficult | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
to derail a Clinton victory. That said, if there is one thing | :01:44. | :01:47. | |
that could keep Hillary Clinton from the presidency, | :01:48. | :01:50. | |
it's an FBI investigation. But there's still only four states | :01:51. | :01:56. | |
that really matter, Florida, Ohio, Right now, Clinton has | :01:57. | :01:58. | |
beyond the margin of error leads This would have to have a truly | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
significant impact for the election There is a point about a week ago | :02:04. | :02:10. | |
when I was prepared to say that Clinton had a 95% chance | :02:11. | :02:18. | |
of winning this election. Based on what has happened | :02:19. | :02:23. | |
in the last 48 hours, It is still very likely, | :02:24. | :02:29. | |
but I wouldn't bet on it. I thought the 2000 election would be | :02:30. | :02:34. | |
the best election of my lifetime, And then I thought 2008 would be | :02:35. | :02:37. | |
amazing, because we had two challenger candidates and the first | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
African-American President. It is ugly, it's painful, | :02:43. | :02:45. | |
it is as negative as anything The public is angry, | :02:46. | :02:54. | |
the country, overall, is frustrated. But for entertainment value, | :02:55. | :03:00. | |
these candidates probably should have charged us money, | :03:01. | :03:07. | |
because it's better than any movie at ever seen, it's | :03:08. | :03:11. | |
better than any TV show. That was Frank Luntz. He may be | :03:12. | :03:24. | |
right or wrong about Mrs Clinton still having an 80% chance of | :03:25. | :03:31. | |
winning. I would bet on an 80% chance? Yes, absolutely. I spoke to | :03:32. | :03:35. | |
a high-profile American pollster and strategist last night and he took a | :03:36. | :03:38. | |
rather different view to Frank Luntz. He thought, and I think some | :03:39. | :03:45. | |
other high-profile commentators agree, that this is actually much | :03:46. | :03:47. | |
more serious than some people realise. There are an awful lot of | :03:48. | :03:53. | |
undecided voters out there looking for an excuse to vote Trump. They do | :03:54. | :03:57. | |
not like what they see in either candidate. But because this FBI | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
probe is not going to conclude before the election, the question, | :04:02. | :04:07. | |
the doubt over Hillary Clinton, gives them an excuse to back Trump. | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
The thing that will play on the minds of the voters is, could the | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
100 day honeymoon turning to the 100 day divorce? Which even be | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
impeached? It may give some people an excuse not to vote for Mrs | :04:22. | :04:27. | |
Clinton. It could provide a problem in terms of energising her base The | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
battle ground almost matters more than the polls. Florida and | :04:32. | :04:38. | |
Pennsylvania have been trending to Mrs Clinton. Mr Trump needs to win | :04:39. | :04:44. | |
both. He does not get in without both. He needs both. Just coming up | :04:45. | :04:53. | |
in the latest BBC News, the Washington Post tracking poll, Mrs | :04:54. | :04:56. | |
Clinton is now only one point ahead in the national poll. One point | :04:57. | :05:03. | |
Even given my caveat that the state battles are most important. That is | :05:04. | :05:10. | |
incredibly close? It is. Polls yesterday showed Trump nationally | :05:11. | :05:17. | |
closing of. -- up. There is a clear trend and movement. This has | :05:18. | :05:19. | |
reinforced everything that people who have a problem with Hillary | :05:20. | :05:25. | |
Clinton know about Hillary Clinton. Trump is running this insurgent | :05:26. | :05:29. | |
campaign. We have seen at here with Brexit. If you are running an | :05:30. | :05:34. | |
insurgent campaign, you want to be against the ultimate establishment | :05:35. | :05:36. | |
insider and that is what Hillary Clinton is. I suggested it was | :05:37. | :05:42. | |
bizarre. Fathoming the behaviour of the FBI is interesting as well. This | :05:43. | :05:47. | |
is a separate investigation into a former congressman, Anthony Wiener, | :05:48. | :05:51. | |
who had done all sorts of things. He seemed to be sex text thing a minor. | :05:52. | :05:59. | |
A 15-year-old girl. The FBI investigate. They get his laptop to | :06:00. | :06:04. | |
see what else he has been too. In the course of that, his wife, now | :06:05. | :06:10. | |
separated, the closest adviser to Hillary Clinton, they find on the | :06:11. | :06:16. | |
laptop e-mails involving the Clinton server to her. And yet the FBI | :06:17. | :06:27. | |
cannot, it needs now a separate warrant to access these e-mails It | :06:28. | :06:31. | |
hasn't got that yet. It has got a warrant to do the congressman | :06:32. | :06:35. | |
e-mails. On the basis of not knowing the content, this has happened. | :06:36. | :06:42. | |
Yeah. Who knows? He is a Republican, this guy. Earlier this year he was | :06:43. | :06:47. | |
being praised to the hilt by Democrats. Absolutely. The timing is | :06:48. | :06:53. | |
a nightmare for her. You described the whole sequence. There is nothing | :06:54. | :06:59. | |
definitive to doubt in this sequence. All he is saying is he has | :07:00. | :07:07. | |
discovered more e-mails in effect. They are from the congressman's | :07:08. | :07:14. | |
former wife. On Anthony Wiener's laptop, which apparently she used | :07:15. | :07:19. | |
sometimes. But what that shows is that for all the scrutiny of modern | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
politicians, they cannot escape caricature. And as Tim was just | :07:24. | :07:28. | |
saying, her weakness is perceived to be secretive, elitism and | :07:29. | :07:34. | |
complacency about that elitism. And so just the announcement of a | :07:35. | :07:38. | |
reopening of the investigation so fuels that caricature, you have just | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
revealed a poll giving her a 1% lead. That must be related to what | :07:44. | :07:50. | |
has happened. It is without a shred of evidence that she has done | :07:51. | :07:55. | |
anything wrong. You can see how because people only see things | :07:56. | :07:58. | |
encourage kids, that is deadly serious. -- in caricature. An | :07:59. | :08:05. | |
American friend of mine said we have got our October surprise but we | :08:06. | :08:10. | |
don't know what it is. The FBI must surely come under massive pressure. | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
It did its -- it did this against the Justice Department. The | :08:16. | :08:22. | |
difficulty the FBI had was that this information, for what it's worth, it | :08:23. | :08:27. | |
came to them. Were they not to have said something and it worked to have | :08:28. | :08:30. | |
come out later, they would have been accused of a massive cover-up. They | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
are dammed if they do, dammed if they don't. There is still time for | :08:36. | :08:40. | |
another surprise. And early November surprise. Who knows if there might | :08:41. | :08:43. | |
still be something that comes out on Donald Trump? This is the first | :08:44. | :08:49. | |
election where I can remember we have had two October surprises | :08:50. | :08:55. | |
already. There are is stuff about tapes knocking around about Donald | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
Trump saying racist things. The Clintons have got a lot of friends. | :09:00. | :09:03. | |
It would be a big surprise if we did not see anything else in the next | :09:04. | :09:05. | |
few days. Just when you think it could not get | :09:06. | :09:11. | |
more interesting, it has. There has been plenty in the papers lately | :09:12. | :09:14. | |
about the Ukip leadership saying unpleasant things about each other. | :09:15. | :09:17. | |
But what about Mr Farage himself? What's he up to? | :09:18. | :09:20. | |
Well, on BBC Two tonight we may find out the answer. | :09:21. | :09:22. | |
Well, I'm led to believe she's very experienced. | :09:23. | :09:29. | |
But I don't think Strictly Come Dancing is for me. | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
That is, unless, of course, you fancy popping a cheeky zero | :09:33. | :09:38. | |
No, I don't think Strictly Come Dancing is for me. | :09:39. | :09:41. | |
Well, you tell Mr Balls he has just lost your programme one viewer. | :09:42. | :09:48. | |
I might have nothing to do these days but, realistically, | :09:49. | :09:56. | |
Well, that wasn't Nigel Farage. It is a BBC comedy on tonight. Nigel | :09:57. | :10:13. | |
Farage gets his life back. A number of runners and riders. Let's come | :10:14. | :10:17. | |
straight down to it. Who would be the next leader of Ukip? Probably | :10:18. | :10:22. | |
Paul Nuttall. He is the favourite. The one who has the backing, not | :10:23. | :10:29. | |
very enthusiastic backing, is Rahim Cassandra. And also Aaron Banks a | :10:30. | :10:36. | |
big donor. The best of a rather weak lot. I think Paul Nuttall should | :10:37. | :10:43. | |
squeak through. I interviewed all three of them this week. Mr | :10:44. | :10:54. | |
Cassandra is a lively character and he knows how to make a few | :10:55. | :10:58. | |
headlines. With a bit of money behind him, anything is possible. | :10:59. | :11:02. | |
This is a guy who has been to the States, who has literally studied | :11:03. | :11:12. | |
what Trump has done. Pees on secondment for the time being. The | :11:13. | :11:16. | |
guy who is his line manager is one of Donald Trump's campaign stop He | :11:17. | :11:22. | |
is extraordinarily right-wing. I am told he kept a picture of Enoch | :11:23. | :11:27. | |
Powell by his bed. Barry Goldwater is one of his heroes, for example. | :11:28. | :11:38. | |
There are other candidates. I would suggest, put out as a hypothesis, | :11:39. | :11:44. | |
Paul Nuttall is Labour's worst nightmare. They are more vulnerable | :11:45. | :11:50. | |
in the North. Paul Nuttall is from Merseyside, a working-class | :11:51. | :11:52. | |
background, performs well on television. He is a really good | :11:53. | :11:57. | |
interviewee. He is one of the best around in politics at the moment. | :11:58. | :12:02. | |
However, I think whoever gets it has a massive task. The clip of this | :12:03. | :12:06. | |
Nigel Farage satire partly shows why. His dominance was overwhelming. | :12:07. | :12:13. | |
He, in many ways, did a brilliant job at keeping the show on the road. | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
The trouble for all new political parties is keeping it going is | :12:19. | :12:22. | |
tough. A very different party, the SDP, with all those glamorous | :12:23. | :12:27. | |
figures in it, lasted eight years, something like that. I think they | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
are in real trouble at the moment because of the implosion we have | :12:32. | :12:34. | |
been seeing in front of our eyes and the ideal -- ideological splits | :12:35. | :12:40. | |
Whoever gets it will face a tough tussle. All three of the main | :12:41. | :12:49. | |
contenders want to put Nigel Farage in the House of Lords. They were | :12:50. | :12:54. | |
falling over themselves to soak up two farads. That is how you win this | :12:55. | :12:57. | |
election. Mr Aaron Banks, who is he putting | :12:58. | :13:03. | |
his money on? He said he supports Rahim. I know Mr Banks is utterly | :13:04. | :13:08. | |
fed with the shenanigans in Ukip. He thinks it is terribly disorganised, | :13:09. | :13:12. | |
dysfunctional and doesn't want a great deal to do with it for the | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
foreseeable future. It is not quite Trump the Clinton | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
but it is interesting. That is it. The Daily Politics is back tomorrow. | :13:21. | :13:26. | |
And all of next week. Jo Coburn will be your next Sunday because I am off | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
to the United States to begin to rehearse presenting the BBC's US | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
election night coverage on the th of November. It will be here on BBC | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
One, BBC world, BBC News Channel and BBC | :13:40. | :13:40. | |
online. Remember if it's Sunday, | :13:41. | :13:42. | |
it's the Sunday Politics. A stone stained with blood | :13:43. | :14:12. | |
and beset with a curse. The Moonstone is of | :14:13. | :14:16. | |
inestimable value in India. Its appointed guardians would move | :14:17. | :14:19. | |
heaven and earth to reclaim it Let us not let the past haunt | :14:20. | :14:23. | |
all of our actions. You've got to do something! | :14:24. | :14:32. | |
It's only you that can! He's a scientist, | :14:33. | :14:32. | |
brilliant apparently. | :14:33. | :14:35. |