10/12/2017 Sunday Politics London


10/12/2017

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 10/12/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Morning everyone and welcome

to the Sunday Politics.

0:00:390:00:42

I'm Sarah Smith and I'll be bringing

you your essential briefing

0:00:420:00:44

on all the top political

stories this week.

0:00:440:00:47

She's done the easy bit,

now comes the hard part.

0:00:470:00:50

As we move on to trade

and transition talks with the EU,

0:00:500:00:52

just what sort of deal

is the Prime Minister aiming for?

0:00:520:00:57

The issue of trade across the Irish

border is likely to dominate

0:00:570:01:00

those talks, we'll speak

to the Northern Ireland

0:01:000:01:02

Secretary James Brokenshire

about what he thinks a solution

0:01:020:01:05

to the problem could look like.

0:01:050:01:08

Momentum, the group set up

to support Jeremy Corbyn,

0:01:080:01:10

is facing allegations it's trying

to take over the Labour

0:01:100:01:13

party, we'll investigate.

0:01:130:01:18

In London.

0:01:180:01:19

New figures show child poverty

is projected to rise for the

0:01:190:01:22

first time in a decade.

0:01:220:01:23

Is the government doing enough?

0:01:230:01:31

All that coming up in the programme.

0:01:310:01:35

And with me today to try to make

sense of is all, three journalists

0:01:350:01:41

who are in full alignment with this

week's political developments.

0:01:410:01:43

Tim Shipman, Helen

Lewis and Toby Young.

0:01:430:01:45

The cliche that a week is a long

time in politics has

0:01:450:01:48

never been more apt.

0:01:480:01:49

As Theresa May first appeared to be

the brink of collapse,

0:01:490:01:52

and then claimed victory with a deal

to allow Brexit talks to move

0:01:520:01:55

on to the next phase.

0:01:550:01:56

Deal or no deal?

0:01:560:01:59

The question that took

Theresa May to Brussels not

0:01:590:02:01

once but twice this week.

0:02:010:02:03

On Monday it seemed

it was all sorted.

0:02:030:02:05

Time to move onto talks about trade.

0:02:050:02:07

Then in stepped Arlene Foster.

0:02:070:02:09

Northern Ireland must

leave the European

0:02:090:02:13

Union on the same terms as the rest

of the United Kingdom.

0:02:130:02:17

So lunch was left to go

cold in Brussels as the

0:02:170:02:19

PM rushed home to try

and save the deal.

0:02:190:02:21

The problem ran along

the Irish border.

0:02:210:02:25

Did promises of regulatory

alignment mean Northern

0:02:250:02:27

Ireland would operate differently

from the rest of the UK?

0:02:270:02:30

Unionist alarm bells

could be heard in

0:02:300:02:33

Westminster where Theresa May

relies on their support.

0:02:330:02:37

While others saw their

chance to tell their own

0:02:370:02:39

bespoke Brexit deal.

0:02:390:02:44

So back to the drawing

board and a chance for

0:02:440:02:46

Labour to stick the boot in.

0:02:460:02:47

What an embarrassment.

0:02:470:02:49

Shambles.

0:02:490:02:52

The last 24 hours have

given a new meaning to

0:02:520:02:54

the phrase coalition of chaos.

0:02:540:02:55

There was a tricky

moment for the Brexit

0:02:550:02:59

secretary as he was quizzed over his

economic impact studies that don't

0:02:590:03:01

actually exist.

0:03:010:03:07

So there isn't one,

for example, on the automotive

0:03:070:03:09

sector.

0:03:090:03:11

On the automotive sector.

0:03:110:03:13

Is there one on aerospace?

0:03:130:03:14

No.

0:03:140:03:16

One on financial services?

0:03:160:03:18

I think the answer is

going to be no to all of

0:03:180:03:21

them.

0:03:210:03:22

Right.

0:03:220:03:23

By the Chancellor admitted

the Cabinet has not yet

0:03:230:03:25

debated future European

trading relations.

0:03:250:03:26

The Cabinet has had general

discussions about how Brexit

0:03:260:03:28

negotiations but we haven't had

a specific, er, mandate of the

0:03:280:03:31

position.

0:03:310:03:33

At Prime Minister's Questions

Brexiteers reminded the PM

0:03:330:03:38

they too had lines

they wouldn't cross.

0:03:380:03:42

Will she apply a new coat of paint

to her red lines because I

0:03:420:03:51

fear on Monday they were beginning

to look a little bit pink.

0:03:510:03:53

Talks through the night

on Thursday and

0:03:530:03:55

finally, white smoke.

0:03:550:03:56

Tweeted by Jean-Claude

Juncker's chief of staff

0:03:560:03:58

to signal a deal had been done.

0:03:580:03:59

4am Friday.

0:03:590:04:01

The red eye back to Brussels,

the Brexit Secretary's

0:04:010:04:03

face told the story of a long night.

0:04:030:04:05

A tweak of the words

and a deal agreed.

0:04:050:04:10

Sufficient progress has now

been made on the strict

0:04:100:04:12

terms of the divorce.

0:04:120:04:13

Not everyone was happy.

0:04:130:04:15

There are still matters

there that we would have liked

0:04:150:04:18

to have seen clarified.

0:04:180:04:20

The whole thing is a humiliation.

0:04:200:04:22

In a letter yesterday

Environment Secretary Michael Gove

0:04:220:04:24

said voters could change the deal

if they don't like it.

0:04:240:04:27

At the next general election.

0:04:270:04:35

Let's unpack a week of remarkable

political developments with our

0:04:350:04:39

panel.

0:04:390:04:42

Tim, the papers are claiming a

marvellous victory for Theresa May,

0:04:420:04:46

but this is a problem of her own

making she managed to dig herself

0:04:460:04:51

out of?

The government announced

immediately they had got a deal and

0:04:510:04:55

it took them two and a half weeks to

nail it down. It is worth

0:04:550:04:59

remembering that when she went off

to Brussels to Jean-Claude Juncker

0:04:590:05:03

who said, don't come here unless you

are ready to go. Theresa May kicked

0:05:030:05:09

him out of his office for an hour

while she begged Arlene Foster to

0:05:090:05:13

get in line and initially, it wasn't

happening because they hadn't nailed

0:05:130:05:18

it down. People say, why weren't all

these civil servants and people who

0:05:180:05:22

know about how to deal with these

guys, engaged in this process? The

0:05:220:05:28

separation between the Northern

Ireland Office and Downing Street,

0:05:280:05:31

the whip office was negligent and

they should have been holding hands

0:05:310:05:34

with the DUP and Tilly was taken

over the line. Disaster was only

0:05:340:05:38

narrowly averted. They were saying

earlier in the week, this is a

0:05:380:05:46

catastrophe and Theresa May needs to

go.

But she pulled it out in the

0:05:460:05:50

end. We were talking about takeover

plots, Theresa May might lose her

0:05:500:05:55

job and now it is a victory.

When

you are talking about this, you have

0:05:550:05:59

to divorce the theatre around it and

the last-minute concessions, which

0:05:590:06:04

will not end. The question is what

happens when the Forge recedes.

0:06:040:06:08

Everyone has something out of this

deal because there is no clarity.

0:06:080:06:13

Arlene Foster said they wanted

clarity. Both sides when they get

0:06:130:06:17

the clarity will be unhappy, but the

question is what they will do about

0:06:170:06:22

it.

Toby, both people on both sides

of the Brexit debate in the Tory

0:06:220:06:27

party, who are claiming they are

very, very happy. They can't all be

0:06:270:06:32

happy.

I am not surprised the

Brexiteers our content. There are

0:06:320:06:39

various things the remain as

predicted couldn't be achieved. They

0:06:390:06:43

thought they would be a backbench

rebellion. Now that looks like the

0:06:430:06:48

divorce bill will sail through. A

lot of Remainers thought the state

0:06:480:06:54

is of EU nationals would remain

uncertain for long time. This makes

0:06:540:07:04

no Deal Brexit less likely that was

always the Remainers best of

0:07:040:07:09

reversing the result of the

referendum.

Now we're left with the

0:07:090:07:13

question, what does full alignment

mean. David Davis asked that that

0:07:130:07:18

this morning.

0:07:180:07:19

It means outcomes.

0:07:190:07:20

It means...

0:07:200:07:22

If I arrived in two

cars, they are next

0:07:220:07:23

to each other.

0:07:230:07:25

Well, Northern Ireland is next

to the Republic of Ireland.

0:07:250:07:27

Yes, and it will have next

to regulations, it will be very

0:07:270:07:30

similar.

0:07:300:07:31

There will be some similarities.

0:07:310:07:32

Again, the Prime Minister

laid this out in her

0:07:320:07:34

Florence speech.

0:07:340:07:35

She said there are areas

where we will want similar

0:07:350:07:38

outcomes and we'll have similar

methods to achieve them.

0:07:380:07:40

There will be areas

where we have similar

0:07:400:07:43

outcomes where there will be

different methods to achieve them.

0:07:430:07:46

That's going to be true of a lot

of product areas, a lot of

0:07:460:07:49

manufacturing.

0:07:490:07:50

There will be areas where we want

different outcomes and

0:07:500:07:52

we will use different methods.

0:07:520:07:56

That was clear as mud, Toby, what do

you think full alignment means?

I

0:07:560:08:02

don't think we should spend as much

time as you seem to want to,

0:08:020:08:06

discussing it. As Michael Gove

clarified, it doesn't have any legal

0:08:060:08:11

force. It doesn't have any binding,

legal force. It hasn't got to the

0:08:110:08:16

stage of the treaty. It might be

difficult to unwind because it is

0:08:160:08:20

the basis of an agreement. But

nonetheless, it is not binding and a

0:08:200:08:25

lot is left to play for.

It is what

got the DUP on-board, finding a form

0:08:250:08:31

of words which could be what you

wanted them to.

People wanting

0:08:310:08:37

immigration cut without the economy

taking a hit. The same thing with

0:08:370:08:40

the DUP, they want to stay aligned

to prison, but they don't want their

0:08:400:08:46

agriculture, Northern Ireland is one

of the biggest industries, to take a

0:08:460:08:50

massive hit from a hard border. So

you are trying to reconcile two

0:08:500:08:55

contradictory impulses. That Philip

Hammond clip is extraordinary saying

0:08:550:09:01

the Cabinet have a discuss where

they think this ends up in the end.

0:09:010:09:04

That is where the row will be.

Number Ten is specifically briefing

0:09:040:09:10

full alignment, so we haven't solved

anything.

It is a verb, he converge,

0:09:100:09:19

I don't do converge, we have full

alignment. The Conservative Party

0:09:190:09:24

managed to get through a general

election where they had half of

0:09:240:09:29

their supporters hardline. This may

help them keep the show on the road.

0:09:290:09:35

We will be talking to all three of

you throughout the programme.

0:09:350:09:40

So it was the arrangements

to avoid a hard border

0:09:400:09:42

between Northern Ireland

and the Republic that

0:09:420:09:44

threatened to scupper progress

in the Brexit talks.

0:09:440:09:45

And there remains confusion

over exactly what it

0:09:450:09:47

is that's been agreed.

0:09:470:09:48

Hopefully we can clarify some

of that with the Secretary of State

0:09:480:09:51

for Northern Ireland

James Brokenshire.

0:09:510:09:55

Thanks for coming in. Can we go back

to the beginning of the week and the

0:09:550:09:58

discussions with the DUP. Where you

involved in that?

It is worth

0:09:580:10:04

stressing this is a fast-moving

situation. When the Prime Minister

0:10:040:10:08

was in Brussels at the start of the

week, the text hadn't been agreed.

0:10:080:10:12

That is why we've got the conclusion

with the text effectively now being

0:10:120:10:17

able to go on to the second phase.

Where you part of the back and

0:10:170:10:21

forward between Number Ten and the

DUP?

I don't want to get into the

0:10:210:10:26

details, but I have been involved,

supporting the Prime Minister and

0:10:260:10:30

making sure we have got sufficient

progress and why we have the benefit

0:10:300:10:34

of moving into phase two, which is

worth we can solve the issues with

0:10:340:10:40

relation to Northern Ireland.

He was

a significant failure at the

0:10:400:10:42

beginning of the week to flight to

Brussels without the DUP agreeing on

0:10:420:10:50

the text.

It was a fast-moving

situation.

Why go for lunch with

0:10:500:10:56

Jean-Claude Juncker if there wasn't

agreed text?

It was to continue the

0:10:560:11:02

discussions.

The Prime Minister

didn't think she had a deal on

0:11:020:11:05

Monday, she went to Brussels knowing

there wasn't an agreement with the

0:11:050:11:09

DUP.

The text wasn't agreed, as I

have underlined on a few occasions

0:11:090:11:15

already in this interview. It is how

we have secured what we needed to

0:11:150:11:19

do. We needed to give that assurance

in relation to Northern Ireland's

0:11:190:11:25

constitutional status in ensuring

trade between Northern Ireland and

0:11:250:11:28

Great Britain could remain

unfettered. That is important and we

0:11:280:11:32

can now solve this on phase two.

The

agreement said there would be full

0:11:320:11:37

alignment with the EU in the event

of no deal. It doesn't say anything

0:11:370:11:42

how you will avoid a hard border if

there is a trade deal with the EU.

0:11:420:11:46

You are looking at paragraph 49 of

the agreement. First and foremost,

0:11:460:11:50

this is about securing a free trade

agreement. Secondly, if that isn't

0:11:500:11:56

sufficient you move onto specific

solutions to deal with the unique

0:11:560:12:01

circumstances of Northern Ireland.

Only through an agreed outcome, do

0:12:010:12:04

you move on to the issue of

alignment, which I'm sure we will

0:12:040:12:08

discuss further.

Your preferred

option is to have the free trade.

0:12:080:12:13

Absolutely.

Nothing has been solved

on how you avoid a hard border

0:12:130:12:19

between Northern Ireland and the

republic if you have a free-trade

0:12:190:12:22

deal.

We were never going to solve

this in the first phase how this

0:12:220:12:30

agreement, we want to secure is

firmly in Ireland's interest, given

0:12:300:12:35

the nature of trade between Ireland

and the whole of the United Kingdom.

0:12:350:12:38

That is why we go into this second

phase with confidence we can secure

0:12:380:12:42

the positive outcome, which is the

best way to solve this.

The Irish

0:12:420:12:48

Taoiseach says it is clear in which

way it is going. He says we believe

0:12:480:12:53

the UK and Northern Ireland will

remain in alignment with the EU. Is

0:12:530:12:57

that your understanding?

I think he

underlines we could come to

0:12:570:13:03

different arrangements. It wasn't

about the same, somehow we would

0:13:030:13:07

stay within the customs union, the

single market. We are not. The text

0:13:070:13:12

says clearly, we are leaving and

Northern Ireland will be part of

0:13:120:13:16

that. Having shared outcomes may

mean we may achieve that to the same

0:13:160:13:23

or substantially the same way, or

very differently.

It cannot be too

0:13:230:13:28

different if you have to maintain

this idea you don't have a hard

0:13:280:13:32

border between Northern Ireland and

the republic. How does this allow

0:13:320:13:36

you to strike free trade deals with

the United States for instance, if

0:13:360:13:40

you have got to maintain either

alignment or come to some of the

0:13:400:13:42

United States for instance, if you

have got to maintain either

0:13:420:13:45

alignment or come to some other

border solution?

Let's take a couple

0:13:450:13:47

of examples. In relation to data

daylight, have your prescription

0:13:470:13:50

service nor those -- north or south

of the border. How that can converge

0:13:500:13:57

between Ireland and the UK. Things

like agriculture.

Let's talk about

0:13:570:14:06

agriculture. If we were to strike a

free trade deal with the US, they

0:14:060:14:10

have made it clear we will have to

diverged from EU rules on some

0:14:100:14:16

agricultural standards, like

chlorine washed chicken, how can we

0:14:160:14:19

do the kind of deal the US will

insist on and still maintain these

0:14:190:14:25

border arrangements?

We are yet to

get into those discussions.

They

0:14:250:14:30

have been to London and they have

said, if we stay too closely aligned

0:14:300:14:34

with the EU we will be able to get a

deal with the US.

We're not going to

0:14:340:14:39

somehow compromise our food safety

standards to have a race to the

0:14:390:14:43

bottom. That is why knowing the

integrated nature of the food sector

0:14:430:14:47

on island, is why we said we are

proud to look at alignment with

0:14:470:14:54

agricultural standards.

That tie

your hands. Why does the former

0:14:540:14:59

Brexit minister himself say it will

handicap our ability to enter into

0:14:590:15:03

free-trade arrangements?

We have

difference across the United Kingdom

0:15:030:15:09

over some of these devolved issues.

It doesn't create barriers within

0:15:090:15:11

the UK market. We are compliant with

the same rules as the EU and it is

0:15:110:15:19

positive decisions we might take.

When it comes down to this issue,

0:15:190:15:23

there won't be this race to the

bottom in relation to standards.

It

0:15:230:15:27

is important to understand. You are

tying the government's hands in its

0:15:270:15:33

ability to strike the free trade

deals that was supposed to create

0:15:330:15:37

the optimistic post Brexit future

proclaimed by the government.

It is

0:15:370:15:41

why we want to yes, secure the

positive free-trade agreement, Abbas

0:15:410:15:46

Bogue agreement with our EU

partners, but equally, which we

0:15:460:15:51

don't have, the flexibility to

negotiate trade deals around the

0:15:510:15:53

world so have the benefit of having

to do that.

0:15:530:16:01

The answer to this free trade deals

is how you manage the border between

0:16:010:16:04

the Republic of Ireland and Northern

Ireland, that has not been answered.

0:16:040:16:09

We've set up the framework, we've

not been able to have these

0:16:090:16:12

discussions yet. That's why it was

so important, where it was a really

0:16:120:16:17

positive achievement that Theresa

May secured by moving into phase two

0:16:170:16:21

where we can do just that. To look

at all these different elements we

0:16:210:16:24

been working hard on with the EU

that need to be solved whether

0:16:240:16:29

through the free trade agreement,

whether through specific

0:16:290:16:32

circumstances to meet these issues,

and protecting the ability from

0:16:320:16:39

people to move from Northern

Ireland's, into the Republic, really

0:16:390:16:48

importantly underlining the

significance of the Good Friday

0:16:480:16:50

Agreement.

The Prime Minister

significantly said no deal was

0:16:500:16:54

better than a bad deal. What this

means in Brussels as if there is no

0:16:540:16:59

do we have to stay in full alignment

with the rules and regulations, is

0:16:590:17:03

that the possible?

Is the document

states, nothing is agreed until

0:17:030:17:08

everything is agreed.

In the

situation of no deal, nothing would

0:17:080:17:14

be agreed and that is the

circumstance in which this deal

0:17:140:17:19

kicks in...?

This document doesn't

commit in that way. We are not

0:17:190:17:23

contemplating a notable situation.

The Prime Minister has frequently

0:17:230:17:29

contemplated that, saying no deal is

better than a bad deal.

I think it

0:17:290:17:33

says this in a good way, to secure

this positive outcome that agreement

0:17:330:17:39

with our EU partners. We will only

do that if it is acceptable. Under

0:17:390:17:44

the no deal statements that the

Prime Minister has made.

When this

0:17:440:17:49

agreement says, in the event of no

deal, we will maintain full

0:17:490:17:54

alignment, you say this doesn't mean

no deal?

This document doesn't deal

0:17:540:18:00

with no deal. That's what I'm

saying. Paragraph five...

So in the

0:18:000:18:04

absence of agreed solutions the UK

will maintain full alignment with

0:18:040:18:09

the rules of the customs union?

Paragraph five scissors and

0:18:090:18:14

agreement being reached...

So you

need an agreement before you have

0:18:140:18:20

absence of agreed solutions.

It is

about the three tiered approach will

0:18:200:18:24

take, free-trade agreements, dealing

with unique circumstances and then

0:18:240:18:28

moving onto the alignment issues. It

is this three tiered approach that

0:18:280:18:32

will inform the negotiations. This

is why I say this provides us with a

0:18:320:18:37

positive backdrop to go into phase

two, to get positive outcomes in

0:18:370:18:41

ensuring there is no barrier between

the Republic of Ireland and Northern

0:18:410:18:44

Ireland. I take the positive

viewpoint, around getting agreement,

0:18:440:18:50

securing that bright positive future

for Northern Ireland and the UK as a

0:18:500:18:54

whole which is what that does.

James

Brokenshire, thank you. Tim, are you

0:18:540:19:02

a clearer? On what has been agreed?

Much less clear. What is the scope

0:19:020:19:07

of this alignment issue? If you

listen to government ministers, and

0:19:070:19:11

David Davis earlier and James has

said nothing that contradicts that,

0:19:110:19:14

you are talking about big areas like

agriculture and energy. David Davis

0:19:140:19:19

said it would cover four areas, is

put to someone in the Irish

0:19:190:19:23

government has said and covered 142

areas, there's quite a big gap

0:19:230:19:27

between them and we haven't yet

bridged that intellectually, it

0:19:270:19:31

seems.

And not much clearer on what

if there is no deal.

We would crash

0:19:310:19:36

out which would be definitely worse

than a bad deal. An appalling

0:19:360:19:40

outcome. I think the whole issue of

these agricultural standards is

0:19:400:19:44

fascinating because it reveals the

difference between the average Leave

0:19:440:19:48

voter and the average person on the

right, the free trader who is not

0:19:480:19:55

worried about safety standards and

is fine with chlorine tipped chicken

0:19:550:19:59

but we no one that free-trade Dale

got bounced out of contention one

0:19:590:20:03

thing that revolted people with the

idea of lower animal safety

0:20:030:20:06

standards, food covered in bacteria

then washed in chlorine. So you have

0:20:060:20:10

one wing of the Tory party who are

OK with that and people who voted

0:20:100:20:15

Leave who are not.

Is it still on

the table, this idea of no deal?

It

0:20:150:20:21

has to be, until we've concluded a

deal, because otherwise our

0:20:210:20:27

negotiating position is weaker. In

some ways the way that we've managed

0:20:270:20:30

to agree on what the status of EU

National 's would-be and what the

0:20:300:20:35

role of the ECJ would be for eight

years after we leave, suggest that

0:20:350:20:38

even in the absence of a trade deal

or even a transition deal being

0:20:380:20:44

successfully negotiated we could

nonetheless put a minimal deal in

0:20:440:20:46

place which could guarantee the

rights of UK National is here and

0:20:460:20:50

British nationals in Europe. So in

that way it makes no deal a little

0:20:500:20:55

less unpalatable but I think we will

still get a deal.

Thanks for that.

0:20:550:21:01

Well, discussions of

what the government wants its final

0:21:010:21:03

deal to look like also brings

into focus what Labour's

0:21:030:21:06

plans would be.

0:21:060:21:07

Speaking this morning Labour's

Shadow Brexit Secretary Keir Starmer

0:21:070:21:09

argued that Britain should remain

as close to the EU as possible.

0:21:090:21:13

How we negotiate that agreement

with the EU is a matter for

0:21:130:21:16

negotiation.

0:21:160:21:17

It doesn't mean it's cut

and paste, but we do have a

0:21:170:21:20

choice, do we want to stay aligned

so we can trade successfully or do

0:21:200:21:23

we want to tear apart?

0:21:230:21:25

And I say we should stay aligned.

0:21:250:21:26

We are talking about

what sort of Britain we are

0:21:260:21:29

going to be and what the next 40

or 50 years might look like.

0:21:290:21:32

I don't think anybody

voted to make it

0:21:320:21:34

harder to trade with Europe.

0:21:340:21:37

Emily Thornberry, Labour's shadow

foreign affairs spokesperson, is

0:21:370:21:41

with me now. Thank you for coming

in. That was Keir Starmer this

0:21:410:21:44

morning. I don't want to put words

into his mouth or yours but I

0:21:440:21:49

interpret that as saying, we are not

staying in the single market, that

0:21:490:21:53

is not the Labour position but we

want to maintain many of the

0:21:530:21:56

arrangements we have with the single

market. Is that right?

We've always

0:21:560:22:01

said we have to accept the results

of the referendum, we have some

0:22:010:22:05

tests to be abided by to get a good

deal so we need to be able to get

0:22:050:22:09

the full advantage of access to the

single market and the customs union.

0:22:090:22:13

To achieve that what Keir Starmer

seemed to be saying was that was a

0:22:130:22:17

closely aligned to the rules and

regulations of the EU, possibly even

0:22:170:22:21

pay for access to the free market

and while free movement of people

0:22:210:22:25

wouldn't he said they should be easy

movement of people from the UK to

0:22:250:22:28

the EU and vice versa. Is that

really respecting the referendum

0:22:280:22:32

result?

We have to leave the

European Union that there's no

0:22:320:22:36

reason why we don't need go a long

way. It would not be respecting the

0:22:360:22:42

referendum and the sentiment that

has expressed during the referendum

0:22:420:22:45

if we did not move, after leaving

the European Union, to a system

0:22:450:22:49

where we had fair rules and managed

migration, so people could easily

0:22:490:22:53

travel across Europe and those that

we need to have an ox economy - this

0:22:530:22:58

we need an our economy can stay and

that will help us.

If we are staying

0:22:580:23:07

closely aligned to the rules and

regulations of the EU why we have no

0:23:070:23:11

say in the formation of those rules

how is that taking back control?

0:23:110:23:16

We're going to leave and it seems to

us that people wanted to leave, they

0:23:160:23:20

wanted some form of control over

migration and fair rules and managed

0:23:200:23:24

migration is what we want but they

did not vote to lose their jobs

0:23:240:23:27

offer their neighbours to lose their

jobs. We need to prioritise the

0:23:270:23:33

economy and trade when it came to

negotiations and people should be in

0:23:330:23:36

no doubt that our biggest trading

partner is the European Union. It

0:23:360:23:40

would be economically ridiculous for

us to march off into the Atlantic

0:23:400:23:44

and say, we are turning our backs on

the European Union. To go into deals

0:23:440:23:48

with them we'd need the same rules

when it came to our exporting of

0:23:480:23:54

carrots or anything else. If you

want to export vacuum cleaners to

0:23:540:23:57

Europe they need to have the same

safety standards as the rest of

0:23:570:24:01

Europe.

Do you think people who

voted to leave will be happy that we

0:24:010:24:07

would follow and mirror the rules

and regulations of EU when we have

0:24:070:24:11

no say in their creation now, we

become will takers and not makers?

0:24:110:24:17

What we've said is that we need an

interim period when we negotiate

0:24:170:24:22

properly and have a long-standing

relationship with EU. When it comes

0:24:220:24:26

to exporting goods clearly we need

the same standards and don't want to

0:24:260:24:29

undercut European standards, nobody

wants and implement controls, we

0:24:290:24:33

need all these things to be less in

Britain than in the rest of Europe,

0:24:330:24:37

well, some Tories do but we don't

and we are clear about that.

That

0:24:370:24:42

would constrain our ability to sign

free trade deals with other

0:24:420:24:47

countries. The more closely aligned

we stay with EU the less movement we

0:24:470:24:51

will have to sign a new deal with

the USA for example.

What we need is

0:24:510:24:58

a custom-built arrangement between

Britain and the rest of Europe. We'd

0:24:580:25:01

need to be in a form of the customs

union and closely aligned to the

0:25:010:25:05

single market and that might give us

room to make the that is something

0:25:050:25:09

we need to be involved in

negotiation...

That is clearly of

0:25:090:25:13

secondary importance to you, the

ability to strike new deals with

0:25:130:25:17

third countries.

We've always been

pragmatic, most of our trade has

0:25:170:25:22

been with EU. We're just stating a

fact and we shouldn't put the kibosh

0:25:220:25:26

on that.

Are you happy with the

agreement Theresa May struck this

0:25:260:25:31

week?

Really don't understand it.

I've looked at it, I don't

0:25:310:25:36

understand. I think probably what

she is doing is she's rubbed at some

0:25:360:25:41

of her red lines, and that's good

because you shouldn't go into

0:25:410:25:45

negotiations with hard red lines

like she has. I don't understand how

0:25:450:25:49

on one hand she is saying she's

going to align and on the other hand

0:25:490:25:53

will be out of the single market on

the customs union. It doesn't really

0:25:530:25:57

make any sense to me.

I thought that

was the position you said Labour

0:25:570:26:01

win, leaving the single market on

the customs union but wanting to

0:26:010:26:04

stay aligned to Europe and is

regulations...

They say they've

0:26:040:26:09

swept any form of customs union of

the table. That's what I understand.

0:26:090:26:14

She is swept away any suggestion

that the European Court of Justice

0:26:140:26:17

would have anything to do with any

rules. She seems to be busily

0:26:170:26:20

putting them back on the table

again. That's probably a good thing.

0:26:200:26:24

What a waste of time. Because

wouldn't it have been good to have

0:26:240:26:28

began on a pragmatic, realistic

basis and we might have got further

0:26:280:26:31

than we have now. We are running out

of time.

What is Labour's answer to

0:26:310:26:37

the question of the border between

the northern Ireland and the

0:26:370:26:43

Republic of Ireland, how do you

avoid hardboard?

The further we go

0:26:430:26:46

from the EU, the harder it is to

have a soft border. What we have

0:26:460:26:49

said without that a form of customs

union is a viable option. Melbourne

0:26:490:26:53

has come up with any other

suggestion.

This idea, it says in

0:26:530:26:57

the agreement that was struck with

EU in the absence of any other

0:26:570:27:01

agreement, this idea that we would

maintain the full alignment with the

0:27:010:27:05

rules and regulations come you are

satisfied that it works well for the

0:27:050:27:09

UK and EU and solves the border

question?

Of course there has to be

0:27:090:27:13

a form of alignment, of course the

European Court of Justice need staff

0:27:130:27:17

an ongoing relationship with British

justice in the way we put forward

0:27:170:27:20

rules when we are working with the

rest of the EU. Why have we denied

0:27:200:27:26

at all this time, it is self-evident

and continues to be so.

It is

0:27:260:27:32

proposed that an amendment be put

forward that would give MPs a

0:27:320:27:37

meaningful vote on this while there

is still time for more negotiation

0:27:370:27:40

rather than at the end of

negotiations, will Labour support

0:27:400:27:44

that?

We have always said this. From

the outset we have said, why should

0:27:440:27:48

parliaments across the rest of

Europe have a vote on this, and the

0:27:480:27:52

European Parliament have a vote, the

people of Walloons will have a lot

0:27:520:27:56

in it, why not the British people?

That has to be a meaningful vote. --

0:27:560:28:02

one at the British Parliament. They

will have to factor in what the

0:28:020:28:05

British Parliament thinks. And many

people in the British Parliament

0:28:050:28:08

will not accept no deal, for

example. If they think they are

0:28:080:28:12

going to come to the British

Parliament with no deal is an option

0:28:120:28:14

they have another think coming.

There's another amendment to the Lib

0:28:140:28:18

Dems want, to put forward the option

of remaining in the single market.

0:28:180:28:23

Vince Cable has said it is

specifically designed to flush out

0:28:230:28:26

the Labour Party by asking straight

out will you support this amendment

0:28:260:28:29

or not with the option of staying in

the single market. How would Labour

0:28:290:28:34

vote on that?

We are leaving the EU,

we need a custom made deal with the

0:28:340:28:40

EU. We need to be able to respect

the views of the British people as

0:28:400:28:44

expressed in the referendum and one

debate was about ensuring that we

0:28:440:28:47

have more control of migration.

We've been told that the four

0:28:470:28:51

freedoms mean we can't stay in the

single market as it currently is so

0:28:510:28:55

we need a different deal. Those

other things we should have focused

0:28:550:28:59

on rack from the outset.

Emily

Thornberry, thank you very much for

0:28:590:29:03

coming in this morning.

0:29:030:29:06

There have been a number of reports

in the press recently accusing

0:29:060:29:09

the Labour pressure group Momentum

of forcing serving Labour

0:29:090:29:11

councillors off the ballot paper

for re-election in favour

0:29:110:29:13

of their own candidates.

0:29:130:29:14

Sources close to Momentum argue

they are simply helping to reflect

0:29:140:29:17

the new make-up of the Labour Party.

0:29:170:29:19

So is there any truth

in the allegations?

0:29:190:29:20

Elizabeth Glinka has been

to Brighton to find out.

0:29:200:29:30

They say to keep your

friends close and your

0:29:310:29:33

enemies closer, and in

the

0:29:330:29:36

Labour Party in Brighton they are

0:29:360:29:38

very close indeed. Here, as in many

other parts of the country,

0:29:380:29:46

there are suggestions that Momentum

is attempting to seize control and

0:29:460:29:51

ultimately replace sitting

councillors with candidates of their

0:29:510:29:52

own choosing.

0:29:520:29:57

Two weeks ago Momentum won

all nine positions on the

0:29:570:30:00

committee which will organise

the selection of candidates

0:30:000:30:02

for the next City Council

elections in 2019.

0:30:020:30:04

Local activists have spoken

about installing the first Socialist

0:30:040:30:06

council in the city, the implication

being that the current Labour

0:30:060:30:08

council is not quite

socialist enough.

0:30:080:30:10

If you talk to people from Momentum,

they will say to you, we

0:30:100:30:18

have brought in all these

new members, they're

0:30:180:30:19

full of enthusiasm,

0:30:190:30:21

why shouldn't we have our people

moving in to take over the party,

0:30:210:30:31

we are the future of the party.

0:30:310:30:45

Is there bullying

going on in Brighton?

0:30:450:30:47

I think there has been.

0:30:470:30:48

And I think that has

predominantly been from people

0:30:480:30:51

outside the Labour Party

and it is not acceptable.

0:30:510:30:53

Wouldn't be accurate to say that

Momentum members and

0:30:530:30:55

some of the new Labour Party members

are mobilising against the existing

0:30:550:30:58

councillors?

0:30:580:30:59

I think there has been some chatter

about that and a lot of

0:30:590:31:02

that has been from those who are not

in the party at the present time.

0:31:020:31:06

Once people are not members

of the Labour Party,

0:31:060:31:08

they can't share our values

and therefore they should be

0:31:080:31:10

excluded from Momentum.

0:31:100:31:12

And that would be a way

to unify the party in

0:31:120:31:21

Brighton and Hove and

around the country.

0:31:210:31:23

As a former minister in the Blair

government you might expect of

0:31:230:31:33

a captain to take that view.

0:31:330:31:36

I spoke to a number of Labour Party

0:31:360:31:38

members who said they had

experienced intimidation and that

0:31:380:31:40

Momentum was authoritarian

and brutal to existing councillors.

0:31:400:31:42

None would agree

to appear on camera.

0:31:420:31:44

While I was in Brighton a Momentum

activist posted this video and

0:31:440:31:47

social media.

0:31:470:31:48

The faces of three Labour

councillors including the

0:31:480:31:49

council leader had

been superimposed.

0:31:490:31:51

Something I put to a local

Momentum organiser Greg

0:31:510:31:53

Hadfield, who is currently suspended

from the Labour Party.

0:31:530:31:55

I haven't seen it so I'm not

going to comment on it.

0:31:550:31:58

And you think that is?

0:31:580:31:59

I'm happy to get

back to you and have

0:31:590:32:01

considered view but

I haven't seen it.

0:32:010:32:03

I have spoken to a number of people

across the party in Brighton

0:32:030:32:06

and Hove, some of them tell me that

Momentum are using bullying tactics,

0:32:060:32:10

that the party is very divided

and they feel not able to speak up

0:32:100:32:13

and air their views.

0:32:130:32:15

They are saying that on the record?

0:32:150:32:18

Because I think that's

shocking smears.

0:32:180:32:22

What we have seen in

Brighton and Hove in the

0:32:220:32:24

last 18 months is a massive upsurge

in democratic, decent democratic

0:32:240:32:27

engagement with party members.

0:32:270:32:32

Anyone who says that,

first of all they are lying,

0:32:320:32:37

but also they don't have the best

interests of the party.

0:32:370:32:40

Would you like to get

rid of the current

0:32:400:32:42

cohort of councillors

in Brighton and Hove,

0:32:420:32:44

the Labour councillors.

0:32:440:32:46

I would love it for

members to elect the best

0:32:460:32:49

representatives of this

Labour Party that they can.

0:32:490:32:51

If that is bullying,

if that is not democratic, if that

0:32:510:32:58

is deselecting, then people

saying that have a very

0:32:580:33:00

strange view of democracy.

0:33:000:33:02

Overnight Labour suspended

the member who posted the video.

0:33:020:33:05

He denied was anti-Semitic

and issued an apology.

0:33:050:33:08

Away from Brighton

the deselection of Labour

0:33:080:33:12

councillors in Haringey

and in other London boroughs has

0:33:120:33:14

made the national press.

0:33:140:33:18

There have been deselection

is in other places as

0:33:180:33:20

well including Hastings

and by just aware the

0:33:200:33:22

former mayor is among

the casualties.

0:33:220:33:25

I think we need a cultural

message from the top.

0:33:250:33:28

Momentum clearly have a place

in the Labour movement now

0:33:280:33:30

although they are not affiliated

with the party

0:33:300:33:32

formally they have brought energy

and ideas to the party.

0:33:320:33:34

That is no bad thing.

0:33:340:33:36

But Jeremy Corbyn is not just

the party leader but the

0:33:360:33:38

figurehead of momentum,

he has to send a message

0:33:380:33:41

to all his troops,

if you like around the country,

0:33:410:33:43

saying perhaps, not in my name.

0:33:430:33:45

Having spoken to people

from across the

0:33:450:33:47

Labour Party in Brighton,

there are those that

0:33:470:33:53

will tell you that the party is more

united than ever before

0:33:530:33:56

and they are incredibly positive

about the future.

0:33:560:33:58

But on the other

side even people who

0:33:580:34:00

describe themselves as being

on the left say they feel despondent

0:34:000:34:03

and that the atmosphere can only be

described as toxic.

0:34:030:34:09

Well we asked Momentum if someone

could come on to discuss the issues

0:34:090:34:12

raised in that film but no

one was available.

0:34:120:34:18

Never mind, we have our panel of

experts. Helen, is it perfectly

0:34:180:34:25

legitimate for momentum to get their

own candidate selected. They are in

0:34:250:34:30

the ascendancy now, so why shouldn't

they have more candidates?

They have

0:34:300:34:36

a legitimate position and they are

entitled to push it forward. But it

0:34:360:34:43

is controlled by two Private limited

companies and the data is in the

0:34:430:34:46

hands of one man. They talk about

progress and the Fabians, it is

0:34:460:34:54

around Jeremy Corbyn as a person.

The third thing, they are very

0:34:540:34:59

successful in terms of making viral

videos and they are an effective,

0:34:590:35:03

organising force and that is why

people are so worried.

Momentum do

0:35:030:35:07

show the way politics is going, they

are fantastic at mobilising people,

0:35:070:35:12

reaching their supporters and doing

it in different ways, are centrists

0:35:120:35:17

in the Labour Party frightened by

their success?

Definitely and that

0:35:170:35:21

is why they haven't been able to put

up a better fight. To claim this is

0:35:210:35:25

an undemocratic, because votes have

been taken before Momentum takes

0:35:250:35:32

control like the Brighton & Hove

Albion are to, is absurd. It isn't

0:35:320:35:36

democratic because a small neo-Nazis

calls will be holding the Labour

0:35:360:35:42

Party to ransom. It doesn't matter

whether they can sit out at these

0:35:420:35:49

meetings until 2am until moderates

have to go home. It doesn't make it

0:35:490:35:56

a takeover, it is definitely not

democratic as it would be if Britain

0:35:560:36:05

First took over the Labour Party.

Is

that fair?

The problem is calling it

0:36:050:36:12

tiny. It isn't tiny any more. The

last lot of people campaigning on

0:36:120:36:18

the streets for Labour were involved

in Momentum. If you look at their

0:36:180:36:22

social media, 60% of voters saw a

Momentum video on their Facebook

0:36:220:36:29

feeds during the general election

and Momentum spent £2000 on it.

0:36:290:36:35

Everything else spread virally.

There is a popularity and yes they

0:36:350:36:40

are a bunch of old leftie Marxists,

but on the other side there is

0:36:400:36:44

people cheering the Jeremy Corbyn,

they have come together and it is a

0:36:440:36:51

powerful force and no wonder the

Blairites and motorists are worried.

0:36:510:36:58

It is a form of bullying?

You have

these optimistic people who want to

0:36:580:37:04

change the world, tied up with a

group of people who are effective

0:37:040:37:09

organisers and behave in a

substandard way a lot of the time.

0:37:090:37:16

To compare them with Britain First

is over the top. To compare it with

0:37:160:37:21

an organisation whose explicit

purpose is to advance racist

0:37:210:37:27

propaganda is unfair.

We will leave

that therefore now.

0:37:270:37:32

It's coming up to 11.40,

you're watching the Sunday Politics.

0:37:320:37:35

Coming up on the programme,

we hit the streets to find out

0:37:350:37:37

if people are looking on the bright

side of Brexit.

0:37:370:37:40

I'm with Christmas shoppers

in Basingstoke to ask,

0:37:400:37:42

when it comes to what we may get

in that final Brexit deal,

0:37:420:37:45

are you an optimist or a pessimist?

0:37:450:37:47

First though, its time for

the Sunday Politics where you are.

0:37:470:37:54

Hello and welcome to

the London part of the show.

0:37:540:37:57

I'm Jo Coburn.

0:37:570:38:00

And I'm joined for the duration by

0:38:000:38:02

Bambos Charalambous, the new Labour

MP for Enfield Southgate and

0:38:020:38:11

Mark Field Foreign Office minister

and Conservative MP for the Cities

0:38:110:38:13

of London and Westminster.

0:38:130:38:14

Welcome to both of you.

0:38:140:38:15

I want to start with Brexit

for a change, with phase one

0:38:150:38:18

of the negotiations out of the way,

the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan,

0:38:180:38:21

said he welcomed the agreement

and EU citizens living in the UK and

0:38:210:38:24

British people living in the EU.

0:38:240:38:26

But he criticised

the PM for insisting

0:38:260:38:29

Britain will leave the single market

and the customs union, which he said

0:38:290:38:35

meant it was now unlikely

they would be a deal that would work

0:38:350:38:38

in London's best interests.

0:38:380:38:40

Mark Gield in financial

services will post

0:38:400:38:42

Brexit London be more

successful than it is now?

0:38:420:38:44

We will wait and see.

0:38:440:38:45

I think we have to be bold come

positive, optimistic, buccaneering,

0:38:450:38:55

I don't deny that obviously

there are some concerns

0:38:550:38:57

being expressed in the City,

and therefore think it is one

0:38:570:39:00

of those key strategic sectors that

I think this whole move

0:39:000:39:02

towards alignment that we've seen

over the last 48 hours,

0:39:020:39:05

that has to have its part to play.

0:39:050:39:08

I think we will look

upon financial services,

0:39:080:39:10

professional services,

pharmaceuticals, biotech,

0:39:100:39:14

these industries which,

fragmentation is bad news of the EU

0:39:140:39:16

27 as much as it is that the UK.

0:39:160:39:19

And I think in the long term

we will want to emanate in

0:39:190:39:23

British law the new regulations and

directives that come from Europe.

0:39:230:39:25

In many ways suspect

that means being

0:39:250:39:27

run the table to discuss that.

0:39:270:39:35

There will be those key sectors

will be have alignment and will be

0:39:350:39:38

free our own trade deals in a range

of other areas.

0:39:380:39:41

In effect we will not really have

left the customs union.

0:39:410:39:44

For certain sectors, it will have

equivalents which will be like

0:39:440:39:46

staying in the customs union

but that will only apply in certain

0:39:460:39:49

sectors of the economy.

0:39:490:39:52

Bambos, freedom of movement

will end when the UK

0:39:520:39:57

leaves the single market and leaves

the EU will that be good, in your

0:39:570:40:00

mind, for London?

0:40:000:40:06

I think it will be a worry

because we'll need the best

0:40:060:40:09

people we can to work in UK, London,

because we're global city and we

0:40:090:40:13

need to make sure we have the jobs,

we attract people to work in the

0:40:130:40:16

industries we have in London

with the best jobs.

0:40:160:40:18

Right.

0:40:180:40:19

Keir Starmer has said that

staying in the customs

0:40:190:40:21

union should remain on the table.

0:40:210:40:23

Do you think remaining in the single

market and also remain on the table?

0:40:230:40:26

I'm not so sure.

0:40:260:40:27

I think the customs union

is the one that is most

0:40:270:40:30

important because that

provides the detail

0:40:300:40:31

for so many businesses that we want.

0:40:310:40:33

So I think the customs union is far

more important than the

0:40:330:40:36

single market.

0:40:360:40:37

Lets leave it there for the moment.

0:40:370:40:39

Mark will be interested

in this as minister for

0:40:390:40:41

Asia, the Maher of London

was on a trade mission to India

0:40:410:40:44

and Pakistan this week and this

is what he had to

0:40:440:40:47

say.

0:40:470:40:48

If Theresa May wants to make Brexit

a success, as I'm sure she

0:40:480:40:51

does, if she wants to

ensure that businesses

0:40:510:40:54

continue to flourish and thrive,

we continue having access

0:40:540:40:56

to talented people from around

the world including India,

0:40:560:40:59

it is in her interests

to make sure she changes

0:40:590:41:01

the rules and immigration.

0:41:010:41:02

Sadiq Khan there.

0:41:020:41:04

Mark, in order to actually

mitigate the challenges

0:41:040:41:06

of Brexit as Sadiq Khan

sees them and to attract

0:41:060:41:10

talent from India, do you think

there has to be more

0:41:100:41:12

generosity on visas?

0:41:120:41:14

There is already quite

a lot more generosity.

0:41:140:41:16

I have to say it is

a discussion I have with my

0:41:160:41:18

counterparts, Indian

and Pakistani ministers...

0:41:180:41:20

But they want more.

0:41:200:41:29

They do, it's obviously at people

level, educational establishments

0:41:290:41:32

but also highly skilled individuals

and particularly in India you have

0:41:320:41:36

an amazing technology sector,

going back to the time of Nehru with

0:41:360:41:38

technology related universities.

0:41:380:41:41

So yes, I think there

is something in there.

0:41:410:41:44

One of the great things about

watching Sadiq Khan, I think all of

0:41:440:41:48

us as Londoners who are cosmopolitan

are very proud of the idea of having

0:41:480:41:54

someone who is a Muslim out in that

part of the world, representing

0:41:540:41:57

London, I think it is a great trip.

0:41:570:41:59

The only thing I would say, one

of the difficulties he has in many

0:41:590:42:04

ways, it applies also to

Boris Johnson and Ken Livingstone,

0:42:040:42:06

his predecessors, the powers

of the Mayor of London are limited.

0:42:060:42:09

Outside of transportation

and policing.

0:42:090:42:10

One of the difficulties

is, I'm sure he

0:42:100:42:12

will try to make the case to say

London needs a specific, special

0:42:120:42:15

visa deal.

0:42:150:42:16

The truth is that he hasn't got

the power to make such a case.

0:42:160:42:19

Do you accept that he is limited,

he can cheerlead from the

0:42:190:42:22

sidelines but he will be

reacting to policy?

0:42:220:42:26

I think he can make the case,

he is the leader of a global

0:42:260:42:30

city, and is uniquely placed to make

sure we attract people over here.

0:42:300:42:33

Obviously there needs to be changes

in legislation for the visas, and

0:42:330:42:36

that's back to the government,

if they want a Britain that works

0:42:360:42:39

for everybody, they need to make

sure that is dealt with.

0:42:390:42:43

Would you like to see further powers

devolved to the mayor,

0:42:430:42:46

with regards to things

like immigration?

0:42:460:42:48

Further powers would be a good

thing, whether immigration

0:42:480:42:52

would work I don't know but I think

more devolution is good for London.

0:42:520:42:56

Do you see the number

of visas going up

0:42:560:42:59

in order to do a trade deal

with countries like India

0:42:590:43:01

in post Brexit Britain?

0:43:010:43:03

Well, one of the reasons people

voted Brexit was concerns

0:43:030:43:06

about immigration so it is ironic

that now we are talking about more

0:43:060:43:10

immigration to London but I do think

more visas would be an issue.

0:43:100:43:19

I have constituents

that have problems who

0:43:190:43:21

are here doing jobs, getting

problems getting leave to remain so

0:43:210:43:26

we already have a talent pool in

the UK and they are struggling with

0:43:260:43:29

visas at present.

0:43:290:43:30

I would say that the issue

about immigration, you're

0:43:300:43:32

right, clearly a major factor

in the referendum campaign,

0:43:320:43:34

but I think it's the issues

about having control

0:43:340:43:36

of immigration, of

immigration, the reality

0:43:360:43:39

of course is a member

of the European Union

0:43:390:43:41

we had no control...

0:43:410:43:42

The figures could go up as a result?

0:43:420:43:44

If we are going to be the great

success story which I very much hope

0:43:440:43:47

we will be economically, if we are

going to be buccaneering and

0:43:470:43:50

positive and optimistic, yes,

if British business makes the case

0:43:500:43:53

and we are thriving,

particularly in

0:43:530:43:54

those global industries, then yes,

we may see more immigration

0:43:540:43:57

certainly coming from outside

the European Union.

0:43:570:43:58

That wasn't the message

people had with Brexit.

0:43:580:44:02

Although the messaging

in London was very different.

0:44:020:44:04

And will no doubt continue to be so.

0:44:040:44:07

Now there is a row in

Haringey over the council's

0:44:070:44:10

flagship policy to redevelop two

estates in partnership with a

0:44:100:44:14

private company and

build 6,400 homes.

0:44:140:44:17

It has been the focus of criticism

over fears that locals

0:44:170:44:20

will be priced out

of their communities.

0:44:200:44:25

The Northumberland Park estate

in North London, months away from

0:44:250:44:31

Tottenham Hotspur's billion pound

new stadium, is also one of the most

0:44:310:44:34

deprived areas in Britain.

0:44:340:44:35

Haringey Council has

developed a plan to

0:44:350:44:37

regenerate it and the neighbouring

Broadwater farm estate.

0:44:370:44:46

A 20 year project to build 6400

homes worth £4 billion.

0:44:460:44:52

40% of the homes are

slated to be affordable.

0:44:520:44:54

The plan involves the Council

partnering with a

0:44:540:44:57

property company,

Lendlease in a 50-50

0:44:570:45:01

venture known as the HDV or Haringey

development vehicle.

0:45:010:45:03

This has sparked protests

about privatisation and what critics

0:45:030:45:06

have called the social cleansing

of the neighbourhood.

0:45:060:45:11

The Labour-run council

say cuts to the housing

0:45:110:45:13

budget leave them with no

choice but to enter

0:45:130:45:15

into such an arrangement.

0:45:150:45:17

There are now doubts

about its future though

0:45:170:45:19

after reselection process has

0:45:190:45:20

seen at least 17 Labour councillors

either withdraw from May's council

0:45:200:45:25

elections or find

themselves deselected.

0:45:250:45:26

Earlier this year a resident

of Northumberland Park told

0:45:260:45:29

Sunday politics London

about her fears.

0:45:290:45:37

People have brought

their families up here.

0:45:370:45:38

People have got memories.

0:45:380:45:39

It is not just a house.

0:45:390:45:41

And that's not the concern

of the council, it is pure profit.

0:45:410:45:44

And nothing they say

is going to make me

0:45:440:45:46

think any different about that.

0:45:460:45:47

The scheme is currently

subject to judicial review.

0:45:470:45:52

I'm joined now by Councillor Alan

Strickland, Haringey's cabinet

0:45:520:45:54

member for housing until May,

when he will be stepping down.

0:45:540:46:02

And by the Guardian's

chief economics

0:46:020:46:03

commentator, who grew up

near the Northumberland Park estate.

0:46:030:46:05

Welcome to both of you.

0:46:050:46:07

First of all, Alan, you heard

in that film, the lady

0:46:070:46:09

saying it is just about profit.

0:46:090:46:11

Is that right?

0:46:110:46:12

Absolutely not.

0:46:120:46:13

This is fundamentally

about tackling our

0:46:130:46:20

10,000 long waiting list, 3,000

people in temporary accommodation

0:46:200:46:26

and unacceptable levels of poverty

and unemployment in the

0:46:260:46:28

Northumberland Park estate.

0:46:280:46:29

That's why we want to

build new homes, why

0:46:290:46:32

existing tenants are guaranteed

replacement homes with the same rent

0:46:320:46:38

and why there will be new schools,

new health centre and Major jobs

0:46:380:46:41

programmes.

0:46:410:46:42

That's what it's about.

0:46:420:46:43

What's your problem?

0:46:430:46:44

There's no social housing

target for any of the

0:46:440:46:46

estates in the Haringey

Development Vehicle.

0:46:460:46:48

There's been precious

little consultation.

0:46:480:46:49

What consultation there has been

on Haringey Council's

0:46:490:46:50

own consultancy reports has been

dire, so that three

0:46:500:46:57

quarters of Sam's neighbours on the

Northumberland Park estate don't

0:46:570:46:59

even know there's going

to be a demolition.

0:46:590:47:01

Meanwhile, the council's putting out

papers which has got

0:47:010:47:03

maps, colour-coded,

which shows streets, houses,

0:47:030:47:05

flats which will be knocked

0:47:050:47:06

down.

0:47:060:47:07

We don't know what

will replace them.

0:47:070:47:10

We have just been given a very

loose promise about 40%

0:47:100:47:13

affordable.

0:47:130:47:14

Which everybody knows in London,

doesn't mean affordable at

0:47:140:47:16

all.

0:47:160:47:19

So you don't believe

Alan when he says all

0:47:190:47:21

council tenants whose

0:47:210:47:22

existing homes are demolished,

are guaranteed to be rehoused on the

0:47:220:47:25

same terms?

0:47:250:47:25

Well, I have read...

0:47:250:47:27

Actually, I should thank Alan

because he spoilt a number of

0:47:270:47:30

weekends for me because I had to go

through the paperwork

0:47:300:47:33

put out by Haringey

Council.

0:47:330:47:35

Someone has to!

0:47:350:47:36

And read the difference

between what the

0:47:360:47:38

rhetoric is and what they have

actually agreed to.

0:47:380:47:43

The actual plan is shot

through with more get out

0:47:430:47:45

clauses that would keep

David Blaine happy.

0:47:450:47:47

So it doesn't include housing

association tenants.

0:47:470:47:48

It doesn't include

people who already owned

0:47:480:47:50

their own places.

0:47:500:47:51

So it doesn't include leaseholders.

0:47:510:47:52

And it doesn't include

people like shopkeepers.

0:47:520:47:54

Let's put that to

Alan, is that true?

0:47:540:47:56

No.

0:47:560:47:57

Are there no guarantees for those

groups of people, and if

0:47:570:48:00

there are, why aren't

they in your plan?

0:48:000:48:02

There are clear guarantees

set out in our policy.

0:48:020:48:04

I know Aditya has raised

the leaseholder issue before,

0:48:040:48:06

so I checked the policy

this morning.

0:48:060:48:07

It's mentioned on page two.

0:48:070:48:09

There are clear guarantees

for tenants, for leaseholders.

0:48:090:48:11

Sorry, Alan, section

5.44, I can quote you

0:48:110:48:13

the paragraph, I know

it so well by now.

0:48:130:48:17

Section 5.44 of your members'

agreement that you voted through

0:48:170:48:19

this summer does not

give those guarantees.

0:48:190:48:21

It is shot through

with get out clauses.

0:48:210:48:23

It also makes it clear that

all the promises you make

0:48:230:48:25

do not apply to estates beyond

Northumberland Park and a couple of

0:48:250:48:29

the others in the first tranche.

0:48:290:48:31

People on Broadwater Farm

Estate are not subject

0:48:310:48:32

to the same promises.

0:48:320:48:34

I think what I am

talking about is the

0:48:340:48:39

very clear policy the Cabinet

adopted that gives clear

0:48:390:48:46

guarantees for estates that

are to be regenerated.

0:48:460:48:48

That is there.

0:48:480:48:49

That is there in black and white.

0:48:490:48:51

We have been very,

very clear that that

0:48:510:48:55

trumps any other document

and lawyers have made

0:48:550:48:57

that very clear as well.

0:48:570:48:58

Can Lendlease be trusted

to regenerate the estate in the way

0:48:580:49:01

that you are certainly saying today?

0:49:010:49:03

Most councils in London have done

on big regeneration schemes is sell

0:49:030:49:06

land 100% to a developer and then

you only have control through the

0:49:060:49:08

planning committee.

0:49:080:49:10

What we are proposing

is a 50-50 partnership.

0:49:100:49:12

Half the people round

the table on that board

0:49:120:49:14

will be people from the council.

0:49:140:49:15

So we can't be forced

to do anything.

0:49:150:49:17

We have a lot of control

into the future and it puts the

0:49:170:49:20

council in the driving seat rather

than playing second fiddle.

0:49:200:49:23

It's a private fiddle which will not

be run by the Council, the council

0:49:230:49:26

do not have majority control,

they don't have the final

0:49:260:49:28

control over this.

0:49:280:49:30

And the track record

isn't great, is it,

0:49:300:49:32

because if you look at Lendlease,

they were given the rights to

0:49:320:49:34

develop an estate in Southwark

for example and there were only 82

0:49:340:49:37

social houses provided out of 1,200

that were demolished.

0:49:370:49:39

How can you promise

that won't happen again

0:49:390:49:41

here?

0:49:410:49:42

We made it clear to everybody

who bid for this that we absolutely

0:49:420:49:45

expect to see large

amounts of affordable

0:49:450:49:47

housing, new clinics,

new

0:49:470:49:50

schools and other things.

0:49:500:49:56

And Lendlease have got a good

track record of working

0:49:560:49:58

with the public sector,

0:49:580:50:01

and in fact they have built

several things for the BBC.

0:50:010:50:04

Where is the target

for social housing?

0:50:040:50:05

There is no target

for social housing.

0:50:050:50:07

That's a target for

affordable housing.

0:50:070:50:08

It's very clear, all

tenants who live on

0:50:080:50:10

the estate at the moment

are guaranteed replacement homes...

0:50:100:50:13

The problem for this...

0:50:130:50:16

Don't talk over each

other, go on.

0:50:160:50:19

The way that Alan

and his colleagues have

0:50:190:50:20

approached this is shot

through with contempt.

0:50:200:50:22

Contempt for their colleagues

who have written two

0:50:220:50:24

reports, fraud scrutiny committee,

contempt for the MPs, both of them

0:50:240:50:27

in the area have written letters

calling for an immediate halt.

0:50:270:50:29

Contempt for people

living on the estate

0:50:290:50:31

such as Sam Leggett

who

0:50:310:50:32

didn't even know this was happening

until it was too late.

0:50:320:50:35

Is not your role to always

criticise policies?

0:50:350:50:37

Isn't this a genuine attempt

by the council to actually meet,

0:50:370:50:39

let me finish the question,

to actually

0:50:390:50:42

meet the needs of the housing crisis

in London by doing something?

0:50:420:50:47

I'm from the same borough as Bambos

0:50:470:50:53

he's my MP, and I've written

pieces in support of what

0:50:530:50:56

Enfield Council has been doing

in housing which is trying to build

0:50:560:50:59

housing, and which is

commissioned by the council.

0:50:590:51:01

You are making it more

difficult with these

0:51:010:51:02

criticisms.

0:51:020:51:04

No, because I favour social

housing which is the thing

0:51:040:51:06

that we have most dire

need for in London.

0:51:060:51:08

Bambos, who is right here?

0:51:080:51:11

In Enfield we have

got Housing Gateway

0:51:110:51:15

which is acquiring properties

to house council tenants.

0:51:150:51:17

And we plan to do that,

why, because it takes

0:51:170:51:19

pressure off the huge costs we face

of temporary accommodation.

0:51:190:51:21

Right, but you are

actually using money the

0:51:210:51:24

council is raising.

0:51:240:51:25

The council is borrowing

the money to buy

0:51:250:51:26

properties.

0:51:260:51:28

Is that not the problem,

that actually councils need to have

0:51:280:51:35

of money, so that they

0:51:350:51:37

can invest in the sorts of housing

schemes that are needed in places

0:51:370:51:40

like Haringey without running

into these sorts of problems?

0:51:400:51:42

I think we know why

for historical reasons

0:51:420:51:44

there's been a reluctance from

central government, not just from

0:51:440:51:46

Conservative Central government...

0:51:460:51:48

Should that change?

0:51:480:51:49

I feel sorry for the situation

Alan is in, he is

0:51:490:51:52

almost being punished for trying

to deal with the housing crisis.

0:51:520:51:57

I have been an MP for 16 years.

0:51:570:51:59

I was a councillor in

Kensington and Chelsea

0:51:590:52:04

in London so effectively for 25

years I've been involved in London

0:52:040:52:07

politics as an elected politician.

0:52:070:52:08

And there's always

been a housing crisis.

0:52:080:52:10

And it's got a lot worse.

0:52:100:52:11

I think we need

imaginative solutions,

0:52:110:52:13

and rather than being held back

by an ideology that says,

0:52:130:52:16

we must have this...

0:52:160:52:19

We mustn't talk over the people

we're meant to be looking after,

0:52:190:52:21

isn't that right?

0:52:210:52:23

Can I come to a final question.

0:52:230:52:25

The regeneration

will drive up prices.

0:52:250:52:29

For those who already

own their own leases or

0:52:290:52:31

pay commercial rents.

0:52:310:52:32

And in that sense you will

end up driving them

0:52:320:52:34

out those neighbourhoods.

0:52:340:52:36

As I said, if you live

on one of those estates

0:52:360:52:38

at the moment, you are guaranteed

replacement home on the same terms.

0:52:380:52:41

We are working hard,

we've got a full-time team of staff

0:52:410:52:44

out every day talking to tenants

on these

0:52:440:52:45

estates.

0:52:450:52:47

It is not the case that we're not

listening and our desire

0:52:470:52:50

to do something is driven by people

saying we need more homes, more

0:52:500:52:53

jobs, please sort out the local

school, please get us more services,

0:52:530:52:56

we are being driven

by what residents are telling us.

0:52:560:52:58

Will you be reassured at all?

0:52:580:53:01

I will be reassured

when I see an actual

0:53:010:53:11

document which you haven't got,

I think, which says actually we have

0:53:120:53:15

got a social housing target which is

satisfactory and we will have a

0:53:150:53:18

genuine right to return not

a rhetorical right to return

0:53:180:53:21

which is undercut by the pieces

of paper they

0:53:210:53:23

sign off.

0:53:230:53:24

Thank you to both of you.

0:53:240:53:25

It's the time of year when most

children are looking forward to

0:53:250:53:28

being spoilt at Christmas.

0:53:280:53:29

But a significant

number of children in

0:53:290:53:31

London are doing without,

and child poverty

0:53:310:53:32

rates in the capital

are

0:53:320:53:34

projected to rise the first

time in a decade.

0:53:340:53:36

This special report.

0:53:360:53:37

This is the weekly

drop in session of

0:53:370:53:39

Little Village, which distributes

children's clothes and equipment

0:53:390:53:41

donated by local families to parents

who can't afford them.

0:53:410:53:47

There's a festive

feeling at the charity's

0:53:470:53:49

Christmas party but the majority

of parents referred here are raising

0:53:490:53:52

children on little or no income.

0:53:520:53:53

Kefara is one of those parents.

0:53:530:53:55

It is a struggle when you have

three kids and paying

0:53:550:53:58

the bills and getting food

and so on and other stuff,

0:53:580:54:07

so when it comes down to clothes

or items they need it's kind of hard

0:54:110:54:15

to find the money to

stretch for that extra.

0:54:150:54:17

Child poverty in London has been

decreasing for about a decade.

0:54:170:54:20

Currently 37% of children in London,

that's 700,000, are deemed

0:54:200:54:22

to be living in poverty,

meaning they miss out on what most

0:54:220:54:31

take for granted such as warm

clothes or decent food.

0:54:310:54:33

But a new study has projected that

figure will rise to 42%

0:54:330:54:36

or 900,000 children by 2021.

0:54:360:54:37

Around 70% of children in poverty

in London are in a working family.

0:54:370:54:40

This charity operates

in three boroughs.

0:54:400:54:42

Camden, Southwark and Wandsworth.

0:54:420:54:43

And it has seen a growing

need for its services.

0:54:430:54:50

It's very striking, the level

of need we are seeing,

0:54:500:54:54

given that we live in

London, a wealthy city.

0:54:540:55:01

We have mums going back to

properties which are rat-infested,

0:55:010:55:04

we have families coming in saying

they can't afford nappies and 40%

0:55:040:55:06

of the people we see

don't have a safe place

0:55:060:55:09

for their babies to sleep.

0:55:090:55:11

Formerly there was cross-party

support to end child

0:55:110:55:13

poverty by 2020.

0:55:130:55:14

That target was dropped last year

when the government introduced

0:55:140:55:17

new ways to measure child poverty,

including levels of family

0:55:170:55:19

breakdown, debt and addiction.

0:55:190:55:26

But the Child Poverty Action Group

says there needs to be

0:55:260:55:31

a credible focus

on tackling the issue.

0:55:310:55:32

We have no social policy

at the moment about how

0:55:320:55:35

to tackle child poverty,

there was due to be a government

0:55:350:55:37

paper on life chances

but that never came,

0:55:370:55:39

that was going to be a Green

paper on social justice

0:55:390:55:42

and that never came either.

0:55:420:55:43

The effect of that vacuum in policy

is that we see no effective remedies

0:55:430:55:46

to the child poverty rises we face.

0:55:460:55:48

We need to address low pay and high

housing costs and most will tackle

0:55:480:55:56

- most of all we need to tackle

the benefit freezes and the cuts

0:55:560:55:59

to benefit tax credits

0:55:590:56:00

and Universal Credit that

need to be remedied.

0:56:000:56:02

However the Centre for

Social Justice argues that welfare

0:56:020:56:04

reforms will help tackle the causes

of child poverty.

0:56:040:56:07

You've got to recognise some of

the things the government has done

0:56:070:56:09

that has been successful,

they've reduced the numbers

0:56:090:56:11

of workless households to record

lows and we know that having someone

0:56:110:56:14

in work in a family is the best

thing for helping a child, to ensure

0:56:140:56:18

the child is not in poverty.

0:56:180:56:20

But those working at Little Village

say that has not been the experience

0:56:200:56:23

for parents they've helped.

0:56:230:56:30

We see many families

here living on low incomes,

0:56:300:56:33

struggling to pay their bills,

0:56:330:56:35

struggling to close their children

and also in work.

0:56:350:56:37

The truth is that having a job

does not guarantee that

0:56:370:56:39

you will not live in poverty.

0:56:390:56:41

The government claims poverty is no

higher than it was in 2010 and that

0:56:410:56:44

nearly three-quarters of children

from workless families moved out

0:56:440:56:47

of poverty when their parents

entered into full-time work.

0:56:470:56:54

This may be little comfort perhaps

for families can't afford to provide

0:56:540:56:58

the essentials for their children.

0:56:580:57:07

Mark Field, how shaming is it

that by the government's

0:57:070:57:10

own definition 700,000 children

are living in London in poverty?

0:57:100:57:12

I would not use the word shaming.

0:57:120:57:14

All of us know as MPs that we've

got poverty in London.

0:57:140:57:17

That's a very large number

of children by your own

0:57:170:57:20

definition living in poverty.

0:57:200:57:26

The concern is that those

who are in work, we know that London

0:57:260:57:29

is an incredibly expensive

place to live.

0:57:290:57:32

The one thing I would say,

a lot of these statistics on poverty

0:57:320:57:35

tend to be relative,

it was a good point made,

0:57:350:57:37

let's get this Green paper,

let's get some legislation in place,

0:57:370:57:43

that has gone on hold.

0:57:430:57:45

I wouldn't deny that's been

a positive way forward.

0:57:450:57:47

But child poverty is expected

to rise in London...

0:57:470:57:49

This has not been dealt with...

0:57:490:57:51

We need also to recognise that

educational attainment has got

0:57:510:57:53

higher, in many ways London

is a city with great opportunity,

0:57:530:57:56

people may be born into poverty

and make their way in life and that

0:57:560:58:01

sense of social mobility which has

stalled in much of the country,

0:58:010:58:05

in London still is a positive thing.

0:58:050:58:06

That is not to justify

what is happening, there are some

0:58:060:58:12

real issues that need to be dealt

with but we still have that sense

0:58:120:58:15

of mobility and people

are able to get on in life

0:58:150:58:18

not least because of

educational attainment.

0:58:180:58:22

What would Labour do

to tackle this issue?

0:58:220:58:24

I think it's shocking that you have

37% and rising children in poverty

0:58:240:58:27

in one of the wealthiest capitals

in the world.

0:58:270:58:32

Obviously it is Mark's government's

fault that this has happened,

0:58:320:58:35

it is through the policies they've

introduced, things like the benefit

0:58:350:58:38

cap and the attack on child tax

credits and the medieval sort

0:58:380:58:41

of rape clause...

0:58:410:58:45

Would Labour reverse

all of those cuts?

0:58:450:58:47

If you read our manifesto...

0:58:470:58:48

Which I have.

0:58:480:58:49

We will sort out Universal Credit...

0:58:490:58:51

You say you will sort

out Universal Credit,

0:58:510:58:56

you still agree with

that in principle.

0:58:560:58:58

I think it's always better to have

people working but the way

0:58:580:59:01

the government has gone about it,

where it has been trialled,

0:59:010:59:05

you've had people getting into debts

and getting into rent arrears

0:59:050:59:09

which is causing problems,

but the fact is that more children,

0:59:090:59:16

70% of the children are children

of working families.

0:59:160:59:21

Let me put that point to Mark.

0:59:210:59:23

That is the travesty

because your government has gone

0:59:230:59:25

on and on about making work pay.

0:59:250:59:27

It doesn't pay in London because 70%

of the children we've

0:59:270:59:29

talked about in poverty

are from a working family.

0:59:290:59:31

Once people are in work

and they are getting

0:59:310:59:35

better paid, better jobs

that the CSJ research suggests...

0:59:350:59:41

But not enough to pay

for the high cost of housing.

0:59:410:59:43

You start at that point, but I think

once households are in work...

0:59:430:59:46

The housing costs, I accept

the housing costs are extreme.

0:59:460:59:56

It doesn't pay in London because 70%

of the children we've

1:00:011:00:04

talked about in poverty

are from a working family.

1:00:041:00:06

Once people are in work

and they are getting

1:00:061:00:08

better paid, better jobs

that the CSJ research suggests...

1:00:081:00:10

But not enough to pay

for the high cost of housing.

1:00:101:00:13

You start at that point, but I think

once households are in work...

1:00:131:00:16

The housing costs, I accept

the housing costs are extreme.

1:00:161:00:18

But also, pay is flat-lining

so the pay isn't going up.

1:00:181:00:21

But also there has been

underinvestment over many,

1:00:211:00:23

many years and I think

that's a problem.

1:00:231:00:25

Also, in Mark's constituency,

I spoke to a teenager who told me

1:00:251:00:28

that children have got rickets

in schools in Mark's constituency.

1:00:281:00:30

That is one of the

wealthiest in London.

1:00:301:00:32

Let me come back to what Labour

would do, because you say

1:00:321:00:35

you would sort out Universal Credit.

1:00:351:00:36

And you said that you would reverse

some of the welfare cuts,

1:00:361:00:39

but Labour's manifesto is quite

clear that you would only reverse

1:00:391:00:42

a quarter, or a third, sorry,

a third of the cuts that have been

1:00:421:00:45

proposed by the government.

1:00:451:00:51

There is money in the budget,

for instance, the personal tax

1:00:511:00:54

credit is 1.3 billion and that

could wipe out the two child tax

1:00:541:00:57

credit limit that has been

introduced by the government.

1:00:571:00:59

We will have to leave it there.

1:00:591:01:01

My thanks to both of

you and now, back to Sarah.

1:01:011:01:03

Welcome back, I have got my

political insiders here who will

1:01:031:01:05

give us a peek behind the curtains

of what has been going on with the

1:01:051:01:08

big stories of the week. One of the

interesting thing is, after Theresa

1:01:081:01:11

May had done this deal in Brussels,

Michael Gove wrote a piece in the

1:01:111:01:16

paper yesterday which said if the

British people dislike the

1:01:161:01:19

arrangements we negotiate, they will

have the ability to change it, what

1:01:191:01:23

did he mean by that?

I think he had

a few things going on. First of all

1:01:231:01:30

he was effectively saying that the

wording in this communique doesn't

1:01:301:01:34

resolve the issue of how much

regulatory alignment there should be

1:01:341:01:38

between the UK and the EU, going on

into the future. That is helpful

1:01:381:01:43

because it means he can be loyal and

support the Prime Minister and

1:01:431:01:47

endorsed what she has done so far

without appearing to endorse some

1:01:471:01:51

sort of soft Brexit and it gives him

wriggle room to endorse further

1:01:511:01:56

concessions, if they are just

parking these issues, rather than

1:01:561:02:00

resolving them in stone. It gives

them the ability to exercise

1:02:001:02:06

flexibility in the future. The

wisdom within the party is, Theresa

1:02:061:02:09

May will probably step down after we

have left in 2019 and after that we

1:02:091:02:16

will look for somebody who is in

talks fight with having taken one

1:02:161:02:21

side or the other which would rule

out the Brexiteer is like Michael

1:02:211:02:27

Gove. But if we are just parking

these issues, and there will be

1:02:271:02:33

chants to debate them at the next

general election, it means somebody

1:02:331:02:36

like Michael Gove could be a viable

candidate.

It was interesting to

1:02:361:02:44

watch Michael Gove on Friday

morning, so supportive of the Prime

1:02:441:02:48

Minister as he did a round of media

interviews.

Is this part of a bigger

1:02:481:02:53

plan? Sometimes he is so supportive,

I think he is taking the make. He

1:02:531:02:59

said this is the best speech he has

ever seen and I thought he had laid

1:02:591:03:05

it on a bit thick. But there is a

point, I think he thinks he might

1:03:051:03:09

run for the Tory leadership. He has

made a lot of jokes with how badly

1:03:091:03:14

it went last time and I'm not

convinced it will go any better next

1:03:141:03:17

time.

In the middle of the week,

people were getting ready for a

1:03:171:03:23

leadership challenge?

Yes, I was

getting unsolicited calls, which is

1:03:231:03:28

a good sign there is something going

on. There were five MPs who have

1:03:281:03:33

previously said they would not

consider getting rid of Theresa May,

1:03:331:03:37

who were putting in their letters

for a vote of no-confidence. That

1:03:371:03:42

has gone away but Theresa May only

has so many lives. The poor way the

1:03:421:03:47

business with the DUP was handled

has caused her a bit of damage.

1:03:471:03:52

There is a lot of murmuring this

weekend, where Brexiteer is, like

1:03:521:03:58

Michael Gove have said this doesn't

settle anything. Lots of people

1:03:581:04:03

going around saying nothing is

sorted until everything is sorted.

1:04:031:04:06

It is a way of saying, nothing to

see here, we haven't capitulated

1:04:061:04:11

yet. But they are looking at the

wording of the document and they are

1:04:111:04:16

concerned.

It will be harder for the

Prime Minister to smooth over these

1:04:161:04:19

cracks in the cabinet sit down and

have a proper discussion about the

1:04:191:04:23

end stage, the type of future

trading relationship, will they do

1:04:231:04:28

that next week?

The crunch meeting

will, the week after. The Brexit War

1:04:281:04:35

Cabinet. It now has Michael Gove on

it and Gavin Williamson, the new

1:04:351:04:40

Defence Secretary. I am told Gavin

Williamson is supporting Michael

1:04:401:04:45

Gove, Boris Johnson and David Davis

in saying we need to have the

1:04:451:04:49

freedom to diverged. The

significance of that, there was a

1:04:491:04:54

majority of 4-3 in favour of the

diverges, rather than the liners.

1:04:541:04:59

With Theresa May drifting above

them. Looks like are going in that

1:04:591:05:05

direction.

Toby, one of the things

the Prime Minister has been able to

1:05:051:05:09

do, is stand above those arguments,

play the role of having a casting

1:05:091:05:14

vote. If she does cast her vote one

side or the other, does that make

1:05:141:05:21

her Premiership more difficult?

It

would make her Premiership more

1:05:211:05:25

difficult and that is why she has

had to postpone doing that until

1:05:251:05:28

now. But that doesn't mean she would

definitely not survive if she comes

1:05:281:05:33

down on one side or the other. Tim

and I had a disagreement on what

1:05:331:05:38

Gavin Williamson was up to. I think

it is partly because it sure is up

1:05:381:05:44

Theresa May's position if the

Brexiteer thought they would be in a

1:05:441:05:47

minority and in danger of being

outflanked by Hammond and Amber Rudd

1:05:471:05:53

in the committee. They might be more

inclined to rebel and whip up

1:05:531:05:57

discontent. If they think they will

have a majority, they will keep

1:05:571:06:01

their powder dry which means Theresa

May gets to live another day. I

1:06:011:06:06

thought it was Gavin Williamson

being loyal to the Prime Minister,

1:06:061:06:10

keep the Brexiteers onside. But

Tim's view is, he is ambitious for

1:06:101:06:16

the leadership himself and if he

positions himself as the Brexiteer

1:06:161:06:21

candidate, he will have more hope.

It doesn't look quite so good next

1:06:211:06:25

to the remaining candidates.

Gavin

Williamson has been at the centre of

1:06:251:06:31

another story, the fight he has been

having with Philip Hammond, the

1:06:311:06:34

Chancellor.

It is one of those

things were personal beef has been

1:06:341:06:39

brought into this. There does seem

to be a personal animosity between

1:06:391:06:45

them. Gavin Williamson will have to

go on a charm offensive if he wants

1:06:451:06:50

to have a go at the leadership. When

he was moved from Chief Whip to

1:06:501:06:56

Defence Secretary, some of the

briefings coming out where

1:06:561:07:01

extraordinary, people'spersonal

dislike about in. Chief Whip does

1:07:011:07:06

earn you some enemies, but he does

have some ground to make up.

He is

1:07:061:07:11

one of the signatories with the DUP

so if there is a change of

1:07:111:07:15

government before the agreement

expires, to keep the government

1:07:151:07:18

alive, you would have to be in the

cabinet.

1:07:181:07:24

So with lots of glowing headlines

in the papers over the weekend

1:07:241:07:27

and pictures of a beaming

Theresa May everywhere,

1:07:271:07:28

is it time for the Brexit

doom-mongers to start feeling

1:07:281:07:31

a bit more optimistic?

1:07:311:07:32

We sent Emma Vardy to Basingstoke,

which pretty much split down

1:07:321:07:35

the same lines as the rest

of the country in terms

1:07:351:07:37

of the referendum vote,

to find our how hopeful people

1:07:371:07:40

are feeling about the deal.

1:07:401:07:41

There's just over two weeks

until Christmas and Theresa May's

1:07:411:07:45

gift to you this year was getting us

onto the next stage of talks.

1:07:451:07:49

Will we end up with a good

agreement for Britain?

1:07:491:07:51

We are here to ask the people

of Basingstoke, when it comes

1:07:511:07:54

to the final Brexit deal,

are you an optimist or a pessimist.

1:07:541:08:05

We are coming out of the club.

1:08:051:08:07

of being in the club, we are coming

1:08:071:08:10

out and we are going to lose out.

1:08:101:08:12

We are a great nation.

1:08:121:08:13

We are going to do it.

1:08:131:08:16

I just think we haven't got a great

idea of what it looks like.

1:08:161:08:20

We are British,

we get on with things.

1:08:201:08:23

We've gone through a war.

1:08:231:08:25

Not you, but I have, you know.

1:08:251:08:26

It is wonderful.

1:08:261:08:30

We are a lovely country,

I love it and I'm very

1:08:301:08:33

patriotically so there you are.

1:08:331:08:34

Merry Christmas to you.

1:08:341:08:36

Happy Christmas.

1:08:361:08:44

Not enough information was given

to us, the money or anything.

1:08:441:08:47

And being ruled by Brussels,

didn't like that.

1:08:471:08:49

And we were just ill informed.

1:08:491:08:52

I think it's going to happen,

I think Theresa May

1:08:521:08:54

is doing a very good job.

1:08:541:09:01

I'm counting on it being

a disaster, personally.

1:09:011:09:03

Maybe the house prices

will come down.

1:09:031:09:09

It's happening, don't

want a bad deal, just

1:09:091:09:11

got to get on with it,

I suppose.

1:09:111:09:13

Everything they told us

during the campaign seems to have

1:09:131:09:16

gone out the window and they seem

to be doing something

1:09:161:09:18

completely different now.

1:09:181:09:19

She's been hanging on,

hanging on and now we

1:09:191:09:21

are paying £44 billion.

1:09:211:09:22

Come on!

1:09:221:09:23

Optimistic.

1:09:231:09:24

Optimistic, why is that, sir?

1:09:241:09:26

All those bad forecasts they made

when the vote was taken,

1:09:261:09:31

the country is going to fall apart,

everyone will be poorer.

1:09:311:09:33

None of it has happened, has it?

1:09:331:09:37

You can't vote with these,

but this lot should know a thing

1:09:371:09:40

or two about doing a deal,

what do you reckon?

1:09:401:09:43

Are we going to end

up with a good deal?

1:09:431:09:45

Yes, I think so.

1:09:451:09:49

Why shouldn't we?

1:09:491:09:50

They want our trade,

we want their trade.

1:09:501:09:52

Have a ball.

1:09:521:09:53

Going to be wobbly,

but we've gone through worse.

1:09:531:09:56

No, we haven't got a good deal,

not with what she did yesterday.

1:09:561:09:59

Basically, we've decided to give

away everything in the negotiations.

1:09:591:10:01

Should we have been tougher?

1:10:011:10:02

Yes.

1:10:021:10:04

They need trade with us,

we need trade with them,

1:10:041:10:06

so a deal will be made.

1:10:061:10:14

So you are pretty hopeful then?

1:10:141:10:15

Yes.

1:10:151:10:17

It's going to work out?

1:10:171:10:18

Yes.

1:10:181:10:19

Plenty of Christmas cheer here,

but were the people of Basingstoke

1:10:191:10:21

hopeful of getting a good deal?

1:10:211:10:23

It's close, but most

were optimistic that we will.

1:10:231:10:28

Some optimistic voters there, our

voters following this and trying to

1:10:281:10:34

work out whether what they wanted

during the referendum is being

1:10:341:10:38

delivered?

Some are following it

more closely than others. The money

1:10:381:10:42

cuts through, people get that, it

was the essential focus of the

1:10:421:10:48

referendum campaign. But let's spare

the public as best we can, this

1:10:481:10:53

discussion of every intricacy. Those

who cover it professionally have

1:10:531:10:56

been close to throwing ourselves off

buildings in the last year. To some

1:10:561:11:02

degree, they should leave us to do

the heavy lifting. It is interesting

1:11:021:11:08

that they are optimistic. I was

optimistic there would be a deal,

1:11:081:11:12

but not necessarily it would be that

great. What has happened in the last

1:11:121:11:18

six months, put optimism and

pessimism aside, there is a sense of

1:11:181:11:22

realism about what is going on. We

have seen what it's like the 18 with

1:11:221:11:26

Brussels. We have talked about the

cabinet negotiating with themselves,

1:11:261:11:31

but what will happen with the other

27 countries? They will have their

1:11:311:11:36

own negotiations early in the New

Year and they will set the

1:11:361:11:39

parameters of what they want and

what they want Michel Barnier to

1:11:391:11:42

negotiate. That will be closer to

what we will be getting.

We focused

1:11:421:11:49

a great deal on the split within the

Cabinet and the Prime Minister tried

1:11:491:11:54

to keep the Brexiteers and the

Remainers onside.

They don't think

1:11:541:12:01

there will be a good deal. I am

pessimistic for the simple reason,

1:12:011:12:07

if there was one pledge that mood

voting more than others, would be be

1:12:071:12:12

extra 350 million for the NHS and

public services. I will not happen,

1:12:121:12:17

we have a massive productivity

problem. Social care is still a

1:12:171:12:21

looming crisis, we cannot afford to

care for elderly people in the way

1:12:211:12:25

we would like to. None of that is

being sold by Brexit. It's not going

1:12:251:12:29

to the Commons at the moment. We're

not talking about schools, hospitals

1:12:291:12:36

and local councils.

Are you

optimistic or pessimistic? Even if

1:12:361:12:40

we are committed to pay up to 40

billion over the next 20 years it is

1:12:401:12:44

less than 10 billion a year in net

contributions for the next 20 years.

1:12:441:12:49

I am optimistic deal will be done

and I am optimistic it will be a

1:12:491:12:53

good deal. Let's not forget as James

Brokenshire pointed out, in the

1:12:531:12:59

communique on Friday morning, it

said the EU accepted the UK would no

1:12:591:13:02

longer be in the single market or

the customs union, yet they have

1:13:021:13:06

gone on with the willingness to

negotiate free-trade arrangement. I

1:13:061:13:10

think it will be something like the

deal with Canada, a free-trade

1:13:101:13:17

agreements and not something like

the Norway deal.

Thank you all very

1:13:171:13:21

much.

1:13:211:13:23

That's all for today,

thanks to all my guests,

1:13:231:13:25

especially Helen, Toby and Tim

for keeping me company

1:13:251:13:27

throughout the show.

1:13:271:13:28

Join me again next Sunday

at 11 here on BBC One.

1:13:281:13:31

Until then, those of

you who can, enjoy the snow.

1:13:311:13:33

Bye bye.

1:13:331:13:41

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS