17/12/2017 Sunday Politics London


17/12/2017

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LineFromTo

Morning, everyone,

and welcome to the Sunday Politics.

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I'm Sarah Smith.

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And for the last time in 2017,

this is your guide to the big

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political stories making the news

this Sunday morning.

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Theresa May says she's silenced

the doubters by securing a deal

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for Britain in the first phase

of the Brexit negotations.

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Now attention turns to the much

bigger task of deciding our future

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relationship with the EU.

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She'll be discussing that

with her cabinet this week,

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but with so many huge unresolved

questions about life after Brexit,

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can we possibly expect

seasonal goodwill to break out

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across the Tory party

and the country?

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And I'm here at stunning Warwick

Castle to find out whether people

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here think that Labour are ready

or not ready for government,

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and of course that means...

I've bought the balls.

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In the capital, with Christmas

approaching, the harrowing plight

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of refugees and the difficulties

London faces in trying to help.

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All that coming up in the programme,

our final show of the year.

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Think of it as

our early Christmas present,

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one I'm afraid you can't

take back to the shops.

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And joining me today,

Fleet Street's answer

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to Santa's little helpers,

Tom Newton Dunn,

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Camilla Tominey and Steve Richards.

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Well, we began the year

talking about Brexit,

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and we'll finish talking about...

you've guessed it, Brexit.

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And there have been big developments

in just the past week,

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which saw Theresa May go from hero

to zero, to somewhere in between.

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Seasonal goodwill spread

through the Conservative Party

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on Monday, when Theresa May reported

back to Parliament on her deal to

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move Brexit talks on to phase two.

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When people like me, Brexiteers,

look at the alternative,

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namely the Labour government,

a Labour government staying

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in the single market forever

and having no control over

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immigration, it's amazing

how our minds are concentrated

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in support of the Prime Minister.

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Across these benches,

complete unanimity

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in congratulating the Prime Minister

on securing this agreement.

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That Christmas cheer

did not last long.

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On the eve of the European

summit to ratify the deal,

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the EU Withdrawal Bill was

back in the Commons.

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The Government avoided defeat

on several amendments,

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but then came former

Attorney General Dominic Grieve

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and his call for MPs

to have a meaningful vote

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on the final Brexit deal.

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Brexit Secretary David Davis

tried to head off the rebellion

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with a letter to backbenchers.

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In the final hour,

there was a last-ditch offer.

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It wasn't enough.

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It's too late. I'm sorry.

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You cannot, you cannot treat

the House in this fashion.

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The Prime Minister suffered

her first defeat on government

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business of her premiership.

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The ayes to the right, 309.

The noes to the left, 305.

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Labour were delighted.

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The Prime Minister tried a power

grab, tried to push through the EU

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Withdrawal Bill without proper

Parliamentary scrutiny and take

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powers away from Parliament.

Parliament resisted tonight.

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Brexit supporters were enraged.

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One rebel, Stephen Hammond,

was promptly sacked

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as vice-chairman of the party.

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It was an embarrassment

for Theresa May, not a fatal blow.

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On Thursday, she arrived

in Brussels sounding upbeat.

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I'm disappointed with the amendment,

but actually the, EU Withdrawal Bill

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is making good progress

through the House of Commons,

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and we're on course

to deliver on Brexit.

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She was applauded by leaders

of the 27 EU member states,

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rewarded on Friday with a tweet

from EU Council President Donald

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Tusk confirming they had agreed

to move on to phase two

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of the talks.

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"Congratulations,

Theresa May," he said.

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Mrs May can't put her feet up

for holidays just yet.

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The Cabinet will meet this week

to discuss what the future

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relationship with the EU will

look like for the first time.

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No one's expecting them all to be

singing from the same carol sheet.

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But on Friday,

a fresh rebellion over the EU

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Withdrawal Bill was headed off,

so peace on earth, or at least

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within the Conservative

Party, reigns for now.

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But how much longer can that harmony

exist within the Cabinet? I will

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talk to the panel about next week's

discussion on the future end state

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of our relations with the EU,

because it will be discussed in

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Cabinet for the first time. Theresa

May writing in the papers today, she

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proved the doubters wrong, is she

right?

She did in the sense that

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many people thought she wouldn't get

through the first phase. They found

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words to bind all parties together.

That's what she did in the first

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phase. She is right in that sense.

The second phase of which this

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Cabinet meeting this week will be

just an early tiptoeing on the

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Touraine, it will be much more

mountainous and difficult. I suspect

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the Cabinet meeting will be merely

exploring some of the themes, and

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there will be, for sure, no

resolution as to what the

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government's final position will be.

We have seen some themes explored

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this week, Philip Hammond yesterday

in China talking about staying

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within the EU rules and regulations

during the transition. We have Boris

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Johnson in the papers today setting

out a vision for by virgin further

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from the EU then people like Hammond

would like. Will that be aired in

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Cabinet?

Are they going to be

singing from the same carol sheet...

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Will they sing from the same

spreadsheet in relation to Philip

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Hammond's desires? We note Boris

Johnson speaking today in the Sunday

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Times, talking about the notion of

eventual self-governance and a

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diverging. You have also got Michael

Gove wanting, during the transition

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period, for us to be out of the

common agricultural policy, Albert

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the Common fisheries policy, that

will be a difficult issue for them

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to discuss. We are not even getting

onto the end trade deal, and which

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direction do we want to go in? The

Prime Minister has made clear she

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wants Canada plus model as opposed

to a Norway style of agreement,

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which to be fair to her, she pointed

out in Florence. She said an EEA

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agreement was not what was agreed,

and we don't want to be rule takers.

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There is a lot to play for. Two

Cabinet meetings, one of the

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subcabinet, the war committee, and

the one on Tuesday following the

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parliament really address.

The

papers have gone on the idea that

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Boris is setting out a different

vision of Britain after Brexit, but

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is it different to Theresa May in

her Florence Beach?

Not really. This

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is no different to what Boris has

said, the Sunday before Christmas,

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there had to be a row -- Florence

speech. This is well established

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positions, we know what they all

think, and we have all been saying

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for a year and a half since the

referendum that am at some stage, it

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would have to be crossed. There has

to be a big choice between a

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diverging or harmonisation, because

so far, the EU has been binary about

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it. It won't be solved in Cabinet

this week or next month, my bet is,

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yet again, they will come up with a

fudged to present to the EU, or

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Cabinet will fall apart and half of

them will have to leave. Eventually,

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it will have to be grasped in the

autumn when the EU say, "You either

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have to defecate or get off the

potty, because this is what is in

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front of you." The third option was

interesting, at the summit on

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Friday, something interesting

happened, which was the EU blinked,

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they said, "Move on to trade and

transition." But we are not quite

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ready to do trade. We are incredibly

United to begin with, now we don't

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know what we want. We have three

months before trade starts in March

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for everybody, for the British

Governor, to influence the EU 27 in

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their thinking, and come up with a

great third Way, which is cake and

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eat it.

And will be considerably

more corrugated than what we have

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done already. Stay there, we will

come back to you during the course

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of the programme.

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Well, we can speak now

to the Conservative MP

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for mid-Bedfordshire.

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She ruffled some feathers this week

when she said that pro-European

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Tories who rebelled

on the EU Withdrawal Bill

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should be deselected.

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Thank you for joining us. Can we

talk first about the transition, or

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implementation period, two years

after we leave the EU, a number of

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your colleagues have expressed a

number of serious concerns about the

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idea we will be following EU rules

and regulations during that period,

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how worried are you about that?

I

think everybody's concerned about

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that. The important thing is, we get

this period, this transition period,

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through and done as quickly as

possible. Therefore, we have to

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reach agreement. The reason why it

needs to be done as quickly as

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possible is because it is in

Britain's interests, it is in the

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interest of business, who required

stability and security, and

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confidence moving forward. We've do

need to get to this position as

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quickly as possible. The rebels from

last week are going to have to

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explain why, if they don't think we

should leave the Commons fishery

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policy, why that would not be in

Britain's interest. There is a lot

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up for debate going forward.

The

Chancellor made it clear that he

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would be replicating the status quo

during this transition period. That

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doesn't mean leaving the common

fisheries policy or die vaulting in

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any way from EU rules. -- by

vaulting.

During his budget speech,

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he himself talk about the uniqueness

of Britain. It took about my own

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constituency and area, which will

become a tech corridor. So he has

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highlighted areas where we can

divert, which is in high-tech. We

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can do it in that area, we can do it

in my constituency, like art we do

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it in other areas...

The point he

was talking about was, yesterday, he

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said, we would be subject to all old

rules and regulations during that

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period.

It also depends how long

that period is going to be. Most

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reasonable and sensible people can

accept a period of time when we need

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to have those discussions, and when

we will abide by those rules. The

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problem is, what we don't want to

see is Brexit constantly kicked into

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the long grass as we go further and

further forward, and Brexit never

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seems to be actually happening.

There has to be an endgame.

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Everybody wants to see that. If we

can't see that quickly enough, then

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we do have to have these unique and

these individual situations where we

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may need to pull out of certain

things sooner.

Talking about the

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endgame, that is what the Cabinet

will discuss this week, we know

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there will be a debate inside there,

and people like Philip Hammond the

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Chancellor will argue that we stay

closely aligned to EU rules and

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regulations even after we have

finally left, how worried are you

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about those so-called soft

Brexiteers prevailing in Cabinet?

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Gosh, do you know... I'm not sure

they will prevail. I trust Theresa

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May, I trust David Davies, I trust

Amber Rudd. I trust all of the

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people in Cabinet to reach an

agreement. And because what they

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will be doing is reaching an

agreement in Britain's interest and

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the interest of Parliament, and the

interest of Brexit. All of those

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people in Cabinet stood on a

manifesto in 2017 to deliver Brexit,

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and they have to do that in a way

which the British people, who

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democratically exercised their vote,

would like to see. Otherwise they

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will lose the support of the British

public.

You say you trust the

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Cabinet to deliver Brexit, do you

trust all of your Tory MP colleagues

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to do so?

Well, I hope so. Can I

just say, I know the rebels are

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being lauded as he arose from whence

they not, can I tell you who the

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real heroes are in all of this, they

are the Conservative MPs, not the

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Labour MPs, but the Conservative MPs

who believed in Remain, who

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campaigned for Remain, during the EU

referendum, but stood on a manifesto

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to deliver Brexit, and they are the

people who are the unsung heroes,

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who are backing the government and

backing Theresa May, and doing so

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because they know that is their duty

to do so. Some of the rebels could

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perhaps learn a lesson from some of

their Remain colleagues, who know

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the right thing to do is to deliver

Brexit, because that was voted for a

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democratic mandate.

You are being

quite Conser Liege reef, --

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consulate tree, but you did at the

time tweaked that they should be

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deselected and never allowed to

stand as Tory MPs again, have you

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changed your mind about that?

Gosh... I don't know if I have

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changed my mind, but what I meant at

the time was, most of these rebels

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voted for the private members' Bill

to have a referendum. They stood on

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a manifesto in 2015 to deliver that

referendum. And then they stood

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again on a manifesto in 2017 to

implement Brexit. I think, to go

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back on those promises, that they

were elected to honour, it is

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something for their associations to

discuss and consider...

But... Have

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they gone back on those promises?

They would say they still want to

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intimate Brexit, they just want

Parliament to have control over that

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rather than the executive.

No, I

don't believe they do. I believe

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what they have deliberately tried to

do right from the moment of the

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referendum result is to frustrate

and delay Brexit, and I believe this

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is a very active tactic they are

using. No, I do believe they are

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honouring the promise they stood on

in the 20 Zinedine manifesto. They

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should put trust in David Davies and

the Prime Minister. Rather than make

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life difficult for the Prime

Minister when she is leaving to go

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to Brussels for further

negotiations, trust the Prime

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Minister and assist the Prime

Minister. That is what they have

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been elected to do. There is a

Conservative government that has

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been elected on a manifesto to

deliver Brexit.

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From the beginning, they have gone

out of their way to delay and

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frustrate this, and they need to

stop doing it.

Anna Soubry, one of

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the rebels, writing in the Mail on

Sunday, says that calls for rebels

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to be deselected mean the Tories now

have their own blue momentum

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movement.

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I do, I am sure he does.

You

frequently voted with your

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conscience, you voted against Tory

primaries does in the past and

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rebelled against the whip, why is it

different?

I voted many times

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against the government, I am a

self-declared rebel, but I do it at

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a time, you have to choose your

rebellions carefully. What I would

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say is different now is that we have

a Marxist government knocking on the

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door. We have a full mandate from

the British public to deliver

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Brexit, they voted for it in the

referendum. These MPs stood on that

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promise in 2017, today is very

different. What happened on

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Wednesday night was the rebels put a

spring in the step of Labour MPs.

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The party in Jeremy Corbyn's office

could be heard in the car park

0:17:170:17:24

outside. It has made life difficult

for us to keep that Marxist

0:17:240:17:28

government out of power eventually.

They have helped Labour MPs find

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their mojo one is again. We don't

want that to happen. We have an

0:17:310:17:38

important situation that has not

been seen since wartime. The

0:17:380:17:43

response ability was to support the

government.

Nadeem, thank you for

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talking to us this morning.

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We can speak now to one

of the leading pro-EU

0:17:500:17:52

Conservative MPs, Ken Clarke.

He's in Nottingham.

0:17:520:17:55

Thank you for joining us this

warning.

Glad to be here.

I hope you

0:17:550:18:02

could hear Nadine Dorries, she says

rebels, you and others, but voted

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against the government on Wednesday,

are trying to reverse Brexit.

You

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have succeeded in getting into all

of this personal stuff, but I do

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think she is aiming it at me. I am a

member of the government that led us

0:18:140:18:21

into Europe and the single market, I

did not vote in the referendum, and

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my constituents have no doubts about

my views. The 20 Zinedine manifesto

0:18:260:18:29

was produced after I had been

adopted as a candidate, no one sent

0:18:290:18:34

me a copy, and I haven't ever seen a

copy of it. Let's get back to the

0:18:340:18:40

big issues, which are how do we

preserve the future prosperity of

0:18:400:18:44

this country? How do we preserve a

leading position in world affairs to

0:18:440:18:48

look after our interest? What is the

best thing to do for the interests

0:18:480:18:54

of our children and our

grandchildren? All of these other

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things, the right-wing newspaper

rubbish,, it is trying to get a Tory

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equivalent of momentum.

Do you think

that the way to preserve the things

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you talk about is to put reverse

Brexit?

I don't think we can do

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that. I was in the small minority

when I voted against in -- invoking

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Article 50. The party is moving

towards Brexit, the country will see

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Brexit. Suddenly turning Brexit into

a proposal, we have big lorry parks,

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customs officers, so different

market regulations, you know,

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different rules about backing

cleaner noise, that was not what the

0:19:460:19:51

referendum was about. More

importantly, it will do great damage

0:19:510:19:55

to our economy, it could cost

thousands of jobs and make the

0:19:550:19:58

country much mess less attractive.

We have now got to try to reach an

0:19:580:20:08

agreement that produces a sensible,

sensible political and economic

0:20:080:20:13

future for this country in the real

world, not in the slightly childish

0:20:130:20:19

world of knock about politics.

How

confident are you the Cabinet will

0:20:190:20:22

come to that compromise when they

start to discuss things this week?

0:20:220:20:27

We keep having public statements,

which are rather alarming, but I am

0:20:270:20:31

reasonably confident that they can.

What are you alarmed by in the

0:20:310:20:35

public state was?

You are trying to

get me to go on about Boris, out of

0:20:350:20:43

line with what apply Mr has done.

But the Chancellor has a duty to

0:20:430:20:51

actually look after the British

economy, to make sure business is

0:20:510:20:55

not deterred from coming to this

country, to make sure we keep our

0:20:550:21:02

markets in Europe, and in the rest

of the world, as intact as we can. I

0:21:020:21:07

think the Cabinet will rally around

that.

Theresa May made pretty clear

0:21:070:21:13

in her Florence speech that what we

will leave the supermarket, the

0:21:130:21:16

customs unit, and there fetch you

ruled out the post Brexit future?

0:21:160:21:30

Lancaster House was the first time

anyone had interpreted, anyone in

0:21:300:21:35

authority, had interpreted the

referendum result to mean that. It

0:21:350:21:38

does give rise to problems. What

they have now got to address is the

0:21:380:21:43

problems that arise. It started with

last week, we suddenly faced

0:21:430:21:47

Ireland, which nobody had mentioned,

which is an insult to the people of

0:21:470:21:52

Northern Ireland and Republic of

Island, really we agreed then, we

0:21:520:21:56

must keep the border open with

regulatory convergence on both

0:21:560:22:00

sides. It applies to Dover and

Folkestone, and we won't get

0:22:000:22:04

planning permission for the lorry

parks we would need if we rush on

0:22:040:22:12

abandoning the single market in

March, 2019, we have brought coming.

0:22:120:22:16

Let's not into Gibraltar. It would

make the Irish problems looked like

0:22:160:22:21

a picnic. You will have a lot of

adage businesses wondering where on

0:22:210:22:25

earth Britain is going unless we now

interpret policy of the Florence

0:22:250:22:34

speech and move on from the Florence

speech, which was a big move

0:22:340:22:37

forward, move on from the fact that

we finally settled these three quite

0:22:370:22:42

simple issues that had to be settled

about our withdrawal, which could

0:22:420:22:46

have been months ago had it not been

for the troubles.

0:22:460:22:54

We need to get onto a sensible

economic future worked out by people

0:22:540:22:58

prepared to read the brief and who

know something about trade,

0:22:580:23:03

investment and business in the

modern, globalised economy.

With the

0:23:030:23:07

vote last week, in which Parliament

now gets a meaningful say on the

0:23:070:23:12

Brexit deal, do you interpret that

to mean that parliament could send

0:23:120:23:16

the Prime Minister back to Brussels

to renegotiate a different deal if

0:23:160:23:19

Parliament doesn't like it, so your

views have to be taken into account

0:23:190:23:22

with the final deal?

Politics in

this country is based on all

0:23:220:23:29

governments having to take the views

of Parliament into account. It's

0:23:290:23:32

difficult when Parliament is a small

majority where there is confusion,

0:23:320:23:36

because the issue cuts across party

lines, that makes it more difficult,

0:23:360:23:42

but it was a mistake to invoke the

royal prerogative, a mistake to try

0:23:420:23:45

and avoid Parliament revoked. In the

end, this is determining our future

0:23:450:23:51

for the next generation or two on

difficult issues that Parliament

0:23:510:23:56

will have to approve before

government can get a deal. That

0:23:560:24:00

should strengthen Theresa May and

David Davis's hands in the

0:24:000:24:04

negotiations because, just like the

other 27 negotiators, they will have

0:24:040:24:08

to say that they can't deliver

things which they can't get past

0:24:080:24:13

their own parliament.

It's been

reported this morning that Heidi

0:24:130:24:17

Allen, a Conservative MP who

rebelled against the government last

0:24:170:24:20

week, is facing threats of

deselection. You are perfectly safe

0:24:200:24:26

in your constituency, are you? What

do you think of the other rebels

0:24:260:24:31

being deselected?

I don't think my

constituents have any doubts about

0:24:310:24:35

my views, not all of my association

agree with me, but I have never

0:24:350:24:38

fallen out with anybody personally

because of political differences. I

0:24:380:24:43

think this is all nonsense. It's

caused by the rubbish that keeps

0:24:430:24:49

appearing in the right-wing

newspapers, which have completely

0:24:490:24:51

lost their heads over the whole

thing. It is totally absurd to say

0:24:510:24:55

this is helping Jeremy Corbyn, it is

weakening Theresa May and all the

0:24:550:25:01

rest of it. Here we are, three days

after the vote took place, and

0:25:010:25:05

Theresa May is no weaker and she was

after that. Jeremy Corbyn is not

0:25:050:25:10

marching towards Downing Street.

What we voted for is a Parliamentary

0:25:100:25:18

accountability of the government.

Nothing to do with blocking Brexit,

0:25:180:25:22

and it is utterly idiotic few of our

association members in various parts

0:25:220:25:28

of country start interpreting this

as the start of some sort of purge

0:25:280:25:34

of backbench members of conscience.

Eurosceptics have been voting

0:25:340:25:39

against the government for the last

30 years, and nobody on my side of

0:25:390:25:43

the argument has ever gone round

saying they should be expelled from

0:25:430:25:46

the party and sent to darkness. It

is a broad church, it is a

0:25:460:25:54

free-market party with a strong

social conscience, and it has been a

0:25:540:25:58

pro-European party for the first 50

years of my membership.

Thank you

0:25:580:26:02

for talking to us, and I'll come

back to the panel. He says the Prime

0:26:020:26:07

Minister was not weakened by that

vote, and neither was Jeremy Corbyn

0:26:070:26:10

emboldened. Is he right?

Not quite

right. What the vote did was point

0:26:100:26:16

out what we all secretly knew. She

wasn't further weakened by it, she

0:26:160:26:22

was weakened by the general election

result. She was always going to be

0:26:220:26:30

in this predicament without a

majority. That vote reminded

0:26:300:26:32

everybody of how weak she is and

will continue to be as this entire

0:26:320:26:39

Parliament passes.

The accusation

from people like Nadine Dorries is

0:26:390:26:42

that this helps Labour and

intentionally offers in a Corbyn

0:26:420:26:46

government is any truth in that?

There was a perception of truth

0:26:460:26:51

because of how close he got to

number ten, which took us by

0:26:510:26:56

surprise on election night, apart

from you, who got it right. But

0:26:560:26:58

equally I think there was a sense

with Theresa May's own popularity,

0:26:580:27:03

and recent polling is said that the

Conservatives are gaining an Jeremy

0:27:030:27:07

Corbyn, which is perhaps explained

by the fact that people are unclear,

0:27:070:27:13

despite numerous explanations by

Keir Starmer, shadow Brexit

0:27:130:27:15

Secretary, on the Labour opposition.

They appear to have backtracked on

0:27:150:27:19

their manifesto and want close

alignment, if not remaining in the

0:27:190:27:22

supermarket and customs union, which

is anathema to anybody who voted for

0:27:220:27:27

Brexit an Jeremy Corbyn and Labour,

and equally I think it's interesting

0:27:270:27:30

that, once we take ourselves out of

Westminster bubble, some of the talk

0:27:300:27:36

on the streets about Theresa May's

apparent weakness is misplaced. A

0:27:360:27:39

lots of people think she has shown

resilience and they appreciate she

0:27:390:27:44

is in a difficult political mess, in

terms of her lack of a larger

0:27:440:27:47

majority and the rest of it, but I

think she was pity David after

0:27:470:27:52

coughing gate, and I think that has

turned into grudging admiration for

0:27:520:27:58

the fact that she has defied the

people who said it would be

0:27:580:28:01

impossible and managed to get to the

second phase of negotiations.

I

0:28:010:28:06

think what we got with the vote was

recognition that this is a hung

0:28:060:28:09

parliament. In a hung Parliament,

government get defeated. . This is

0:28:090:28:16

new to us because we had the

coalition which a majority and the

0:28:160:28:20

Labour and Thatcher landslide eras,

but in the 70s, the key moments that

0:28:200:28:27

Labour government defeated again and

again, this one will. It's not that

0:28:270:28:32

she is inherently weak as a

personality, she is just in a weak

0:28:320:28:35

position. There was a majority

forming. It probably could have been

0:28:350:28:39

bigger. In favour of that amendment

last week. It will happen again

0:28:390:28:46

because the House of Commons is in a

different place on Europe than she

0:28:460:28:50

is.

Briefly.

What was fascinating is

that Nadine Dorries and those of her

0:28:500:28:57

like said, you weakened her, nobody

will take seriously in Brussels, but

0:28:570:29:00

she went and she got love oned. It

had an inverse effect. -- love oned.

0:29:000:29:08

Using weakness as a strength.

0:29:080:29:13

And you can find more Brexit

analysis and explanation on the BBC

0:29:130:29:16

website, at bbc.co.uk/brexit.

0:29:160:29:17

Let's turn now to Labour.

0:29:170:29:18

As 2017 draws to a close they've got

plenty to feel upbeat about,

0:29:180:29:21

although they could have to wait

another four and a half years

0:29:210:29:24

for a chance to form a government.

0:29:240:29:26

The party says it's ready,

but do the public agree?

0:29:260:29:28

Elizabeth Glinka took the entirely

unscientific moodbox

0:29:280:29:31

to the constituency of Warwick

and Leamington, a former

0:29:310:29:33

Conservative seat snatched

by Labour in June.

0:29:330:29:37

This week, Theresa May

faced her first defeat

0:29:380:29:41

in the House of Commons -

and, if you speak to Labour

0:29:410:29:44

activists, they will tell

you a general election could be just

0:29:440:29:46

around the corner, and they are more

than ready to form a government.

0:29:460:29:50

So we've come here to

Warwick Castle to ask people,

0:29:500:29:52

is Labour ready or not ready?

0:29:520:29:56

No, definitely not.

0:29:590:30:00

Why not?

0:30:000:30:01

I don't like the Labour leader.

0:30:010:30:03

It's the first time I've been asked

about politics here in the castle.

0:30:040:30:07

I think they are ready.

0:30:070:30:08

Absolutely not ready.

0:30:080:30:11

They don't seem to have any strong

policies and every time you hear

0:30:110:30:14

them arguing against the Government

they are just negative.

0:30:140:30:17

There's not a positive,

constructive response.

0:30:170:30:20

I came from a country

which was Communist for a long time.

0:30:210:30:24

It terrifies me when I hear

some of their ideas.

0:30:240:30:27

Although I don't like

the other guys, too.

0:30:270:30:29

LAUGHTER.

0:30:290:30:32

Would you say the Labour Party

is ready for government?

0:30:320:30:35

Yes.

0:30:350:30:37

I'll take that as a yes.

0:30:370:30:39

Sorry, Jeremy.

0:30:390:30:40

I remember British Rail

before it was privatised.

0:30:400:30:43

It was dreadful.

0:30:430:30:47

I would say ready.

0:30:470:30:49

I think that the Tory party

are totally focused on Brexit.

0:30:490:30:53

They are not looking at any

of the other problems,

0:30:530:30:56

the NHS, housing, transport,

everything else that's

0:30:560:30:58

going on in the country,

and I think the Labour Party

0:30:580:31:00

would look at those other issues.

0:31:000:31:02

Not ready.

0:31:020:31:03

Not ready.

0:31:030:31:04

They're not clear on their policies

and a lot of infighting,

0:31:040:31:06

so I just don't think they are ready

to be in charge yet.

0:31:060:31:09

Thank you for this.

0:31:100:31:11

That's OK.

0:31:110:31:12

There is never a knight

around when you need one.

0:31:120:31:15

I'd go with ready.

0:31:160:31:17

I think, from what we've got

at the moment, I think

0:31:170:31:19

give them a chance.

0:31:190:31:21

OK, let's go for it then.

0:31:210:31:23

Not ready, maybe because I don't

think the Shadow Chancellor

0:31:230:31:25

is at all suitable.

0:31:250:31:28

They can't do any worse

than what we've already got

0:31:320:31:34

at the moment, so I think time

for a change.

0:31:340:31:37

Would you say the Labour Party is

ready or not ready for government?

0:31:370:31:42

Interesting.

0:31:450:31:46

Not ready.

0:31:460:31:47

Why is that?

0:31:470:31:48

Not ready, because they are still

bickering amongst themselves.

0:31:480:31:51

Because I am fed up

with the Conservative government.

0:31:510:31:53

I feel we need a change.

0:31:530:31:54

OK, so why did you go for not ready?

0:31:540:31:56

I just don't think they have

what it takes just yet.

0:31:560:31:59

Well, only eight more

sleeps till Christmas,

0:31:590:32:01

and I'm afraid Jeremy Corbyn may not

like his present this year.

0:32:010:32:04

The visitors here to Warwick Castle

say that Labour is not

0:32:040:32:06

ready for government.

0:32:060:32:09

Right, better get the rest

of these presents delivered.

0:32:090:32:14

Elizabeth Glinka with

the decidedly unscientific

0:32:140:32:16

moodbox at Warwick Castle.

0:32:160:32:18

Well, I'm joined now

by the shadow justice

0:32:180:32:20

secretary Richard Burgon,

he's in Leeds.

0:32:200:32:26

Good morning.

Good morning, Sarah.

We were told in the summer that

0:32:260:32:32

Jeremy Corbyn reportedly said he

would be Prime Minister by

0:32:320:32:36

Christmas. It doesn't look as though

it is likely to happen. Will he be

0:32:360:32:40

in Number Ten by next Christmas, do

you think?

Who knows, all we can say

0:32:400:32:45

is we will be ready for another

general election when it take place

0:32:450:32:48

and we are ready to go the full

course is that needs to be the case

0:32:480:32:52

as well.

In order to be ready for an

election, it will be important to

0:32:520:32:57

have a clear position on Brexit, and

in fairness the Labour opposition

0:32:570:33:01

there has been some clarity in the

last couple of weeks on bad, and it

0:33:010:33:05

appears the wants to stay much

closer to EU rules and regulations

0:33:050:33:12

than the Conservative Party.

What

Labour wants to do is to reach a

0:33:120:33:15

position where we have a good

relationship with the EU has Brexit,

0:33:150:33:20

because Britain is leaving the

European Union and Labour accepts

0:33:200:33:23

and respect the outcome of the

referendum, and we want a post

0:33:230:33:26

Brexit Britain where the economy and

jobs is put first, not fixated on

0:33:260:33:31

structures. That is the end goal we

want to reach, will return as they

0:33:310:33:34

good trading relationship with the

EU and the rest of the world. --

0:33:340:33:41

where Britain has a good trading

relationship. And we want to protect

0:33:410:33:44

environmental rights and workers as

well.

The Tories would say they are

0:33:440:33:49

interested in those things as well

but there has to be a structure

0:33:490:33:52

around this when we have an in-state

relationship with the EU. Is it fair

0:33:520:33:56

to say you want a closer

relationship than the government is

0:33:560:34:02

arguing for?

We have set out the

vision of what we want in terms of

0:34:020:34:07

Britain post Brexit. The problem

that Theresa May as with negotiating

0:34:070:34:11

is that, at the same time as

negotiating with Brussels, she has

0:34:110:34:14

two negotiate with her backbenchers

and the extreme caucus in the

0:34:140:34:21

Conservative Party who are

ideological fixated on structures

0:34:210:34:24

and the ECJ, and that raised -- that

has really weakened her, as we saw

0:34:240:34:31

in Parliament.

We will have to have

answers on those questions. If you

0:34:310:34:34

say you are ready to form a

government within the next year,

0:34:340:34:38

Labour needs clear answers on these

questions about whether or not you

0:34:380:34:41

would ever consider a continuing

role for the European Court of

0:34:410:34:46

Justice, for instance.

We see it as

common sense that the ECJ should

0:34:460:34:52

play a role in the transition

period...

After that?

We are open

0:34:520:34:59

minded, because every trade deal

these institutions to protect and

0:34:590:35:02

oversee that deal. Seems like common

sense.

Tom Watson has said that he

0:35:020:35:07

wouldn't rule out a second

referendum on Brexit, and Jeremy

0:35:070:35:10

Corbyn a few weeks ago in Lisbon

said something similar. Would you be

0:35:100:35:13

in favour of a second referendum?

Labour isn't calling for a second

0:35:130:35:18

referendum.

But Tom Watson said he

wouldn't run it out.

It could be the

0:35:180:35:26

case that Theresa May caves in and

starts asking for another

0:35:260:35:30

referendum, I doubt that we are not

in government I can say clearly we

0:35:300:35:34

are not arguing for a second

referendum, and I think that was

0:35:340:35:39

made clear on Andrew Marr earlier

today by Diane Abbott.

Whatever the

0:35:390:35:44

end relationship between the UK and

EU, is it important you and to

0:35:440:35:47

Labour that we see lower levels of

immigration from the EU?

We want to

0:35:470:35:54

put the economy and jobs first and,

if you listen to the public sector

0:35:540:35:58

and the NHS, the care sector, they

are clear that the role EU migrants

0:35:580:36:03

have played and are playing is

essential to growth, essential to

0:36:030:36:07

the private sector, but also

essential to our NHS as well.

That

0:36:070:36:12

sounds like you don't want lower

levels of immigration after we

0:36:120:36:16

leave.

We want to put jobs and

economy first, we want fair and

0:36:160:36:21

reasonably managed migration, but

free movement as it is will end when

0:36:210:36:26

Britain leaves the EU and we will

need a new arrangement that is fair

0:36:260:36:29

and reasonably managed. We want to

put and the public economy first.

0:36:290:36:34

The Conservatives have a bad track

record of making headline grabbing

0:36:340:36:43

false promises on immigration but

never meeting those targets.

You are

0:36:430:36:48

an enthusiastic supporter of Richard

Leonard, the new leader of the

0:36:480:36:51

Scottish Labour Party. You have

called him an inspiring socialist in

0:36:510:36:55

the past. Are you hoping the UK

Labour manifesto will copy some of

0:36:550:36:59

his rather more radical Labour

ideas?

It is for the Scottish Labour

0:36:590:37:04

Party to decide Scottish policy.

But

do you want to some of his ideas

0:37:040:37:09

replicated nationwide?

We agree on

most things, and Richard Leonard

0:37:090:37:17

supported the UK wide manifesto in

2011, he enthusiastically supported

0:37:170:37:21

the minimum wage rise, taking

railways back into public ownership.

0:37:210:37:26

What about the idea for a one-off

wealth tax, 1% of the total wealth

0:37:260:37:32

of the richest 10% being paid?

That

is a matter for the Scottish Labour

0:37:320:37:37

Party.

But would you like the same

thing adopted nationwide?

Our

0:37:370:37:44

manifesto isn't decided by Shadow

Cabinet members making declarations

0:37:440:37:49

on the Sunday Politics.

But you are

allowed a view.

Our manifesto was

0:37:490:37:54

reached on a consensus basis, not

only the Shadow Cabinet and

0:37:540:37:59

Parliamentary Labour Party but with

members all over the country. We are

0:37:590:38:02

now the biggest political party in

Western Europe. It will be for me to

0:38:020:38:07

be making policy decisions live on

air. We believe in the politics of

0:38:070:38:12

consensus and collectivism and we

will be taking that forward with our

0:38:120:38:15

next manifesto.

Some viewers may not

know that, as well as being a Labour

0:38:150:38:21

MP, you present a heavy metal show

on your local radio station, so we

0:38:210:38:24

have a click to listen to.

0:38:240:38:26

The new album of Vallenfyre

is called Fear Those Who Fear Him,

0:38:260:38:29

and it's so heavy, it feels painful

to listen to, in a good way.

0:38:290:38:32

Let's see if you agree.

0:38:320:38:33

This song is by Vallenfyre and it's

called An Apathetic Grave.

0:38:330:38:37

METAL GUITAR RIFF.

0:38:370:38:41

MUSIC: An Apathetic

Grave by Vallentyre.

0:38:410:38:49

Clearly, you are a big heavy metal

band. Jeremy Corbyn told the NME you

0:38:490:38:53

listen to everything from Mahler to

piped music, but he has never

0:38:530:38:58

mentioned heavy metal. Can you

introduce him to some of your

0:38:580:39:01

favourite tracks?

I could do. Jeremy

has been on the front page of

0:39:010:39:08

Kerrang, and what was nice was that

he didn't pretend to like heavy

0:39:080:39:11

metal. It's good he set that. Far

more refreshing than when David

0:39:110:39:15

Cameron used to pretend to like the

Smiths.

0:39:150:39:18

It's coming up to 11:40,

you're watching the Sunday Politics.

0:39:180:39:21

And, remember this?

0:39:210:39:24

We have agreed that the government

should call a general election.

0:39:240:39:27

You're joking...

Not another one!

0:39:270:39:30

When we come back, we'll be taking

a look back at the year in politics,

0:39:310:39:35

and what a year it's been.

0:39:350:39:36

First though, its time for

the Sunday Politics where you are.

0:39:360:39:38

Hello and welcome to

the London part of the show.

0:39:460:39:49

I'm Jo Coburn, and I'm joined

for the duration by Sarah Jones,

0:39:490:39:53

Labour MP for Croydon Central,

and Bob Stewart, Conservative

0:39:530:39:55

MP for Beckenham.

0:39:550:39:57

Welcome to both of you.

0:39:570:39:59

I want to start today

with the Grenfell Tower fire.

0:39:590:40:02

This week marked six

months since the tragedy

0:40:020:40:05

that claimed 71 lives.

0:40:050:40:07

A multi-faith memorial service

was held at St Paul's Cathedral.

0:40:070:40:11

It was attended by

survivors of the fire.

0:40:110:40:16

People from the emergency services

and members of the royal family,

0:40:160:40:18

and the Prime Minister Theresa May.

0:40:180:40:20

Survivors also delivered

a petition to Number 10,

0:40:200:40:23

calling for Mrs May to appoint

people with an understanding

0:40:230:40:26

of the local community to assist

the chairman of the panel enquiry,

0:40:260:40:30

Sir Martin Moore-Bick.

0:40:300:40:33

Bob, six months on, and only 42

households have moved

0:40:330:40:37

into permanent new homes.

0:40:370:40:40

Is that acceptable, as far

as you're concerned?

0:40:400:40:42

It's clearly not acceptable for

the people trying to find new homes.

0:40:420:40:45

It's not acceptable if we can

do something about it.

0:40:450:40:48

And I suspect they're trying to move

heaven and earth to help.

0:40:480:40:52

To be honest, of course,

it's not acceptable.

0:40:520:40:56

It would be great if we could

actually find the homes very close

0:40:560:40:59

to where people want to live,

but it is difficult in London.

0:40:590:41:03

Right, do you accept that, Sarah,

that actually this is more

0:41:030:41:06

about the process of actually

finding homes in a capital city that

0:41:060:41:09

has a housing shortage?

0:41:090:41:10

I think there have been quite a lot

of failings in the way that people

0:41:100:41:14

have been treated since the fire.

0:41:140:41:15

I think the initial response

was not good enough,

0:41:150:41:17

and I think it took a long time

for all the agencies to come

0:41:170:41:21

together to really put the resources

into trying to make sure people

0:41:210:41:23

were housed, as well as looking

after people who were very

0:41:230:41:26

traumatised and needed support.

0:41:260:41:29

And I think the trust is not there.

0:41:290:41:31

And we need to try to rebuild that.

0:41:310:41:33

And one of the things

that we've suggested,

0:41:330:41:35

that others have suggested,

that survivors want,

0:41:350:41:39

is to have a panel of people who can

look at the enquiry and help to make

0:41:390:41:43

sure it reflects the diversity

of all the people who found

0:41:430:41:45

themselves without a home.

0:41:450:41:50

But I think we definitely need to be

putting more resources

0:41:500:41:52

into finding permanent housing.

0:41:520:41:59

So more money, you would

like to see, going into specifically

0:41:590:42:02

finding homes for people

who survived the Grenfell fire?

0:42:020:42:04

I think we need more

effort and more resource.

0:42:040:42:06

I asked the Secretary of State right

after the fire how long it would be

0:42:060:42:09

before people were permanently

rehoused, and he said he expected it

0:42:090:42:12

within a few months,

and that clearly hasn't happened.

0:42:120:42:14

Sarah is talking there

about the petition presented

0:42:140:42:16

to Number 10, in order to build

trust, because Conservative councils

0:42:160:42:19

from Kensington and Chelsea Council

had been asked not to attend this

0:42:190:42:23

week's memorial service.

0:42:230:42:25

What does that say about the level

0:42:250:42:27

of trust between the authority

and the surviving families?

0:42:270:42:29

I don't know.

0:42:290:42:30

I can't speak for them,

but I do know some MPs,

0:42:300:42:33

some Tory MPs, certainly went along

to try to go to that.

0:42:330:42:36

I didn't.

0:42:360:42:37

It's well away from my constituency,

but I have great sympathy

0:42:370:42:40

for what's happened.

0:42:400:42:41

Goodness, everyone wants to look

after the people that have

0:42:410:42:44

been hurt by this fire.

0:42:440:42:47

They want to get them

into decent accommodation,

0:42:470:42:49

decent homes as soon as possible,

but it is not easy.

0:42:490:42:51

It is not easy.

0:42:510:42:53

It's not just money,

it's more than that.

0:42:530:42:56

We've got to have the

available accommodation.

0:42:560:42:58

And there isn't available

accommodation, because look

0:42:580:43:00

at London, the waiting lists

to try to get into social housing.

0:43:000:43:04

What about the role of the Mayor,

Sarah Jones, because he could

0:43:040:43:07

actually take a lead,

Sadiq Khan.

0:43:070:43:09

Boris Johnson, his predecessor,

has criticised him for actually

0:43:090:43:12

failing to step up to the plate

and put more pressure on,

0:43:120:43:15

and he's in a position to do so.

0:43:150:43:20

Yeah, I think it was a very

unfortunate politicising of a very

0:43:200:43:23

difficult situation.

0:43:230:43:24

The Mayor's done everything

he possibly can, he's given a lot

0:43:240:43:26

of his staff to support,

he's putting in place support

0:43:260:43:29

for small businesses in the area

that are struggling,

0:43:290:43:31

he's doing all he can to make

sure people are getting

0:43:310:43:34

the support they need.

0:43:340:43:35

But actually allocating housing

to people, that is not his role.

0:43:350:43:37

Local authorities have to do

that, that's their job.

0:43:370:43:39

Right, couldn't he put more

pressure on the councils

0:43:390:43:41

and local authorities...

0:43:410:43:43

He's put on as much pressure

as he possibly can.

0:43:430:43:45

There is a wider issue,

which Bob rightly says,

0:43:450:43:53

which is the lack of affordable

housing and the lack

0:43:530:43:55

of housing in London.

0:43:550:43:56

And we need to be doing

so much more for this.

0:43:560:43:59

One of the really sad things

about the situation is,

0:43:590:44:01

people are saying, "We don't

want to go into temporary

0:44:010:44:05

accommodation, because we think

we will be left there for years."

0:44:050:44:08

And, "We don't want to turn anything

down because then we are scared

0:44:080:44:11

we will be intentionally homeless."

0:44:110:44:13

All these horrific things, which

people across London have to go

0:44:130:44:16

through when they're homeless,

quite rightly, people

0:44:160:44:17

in Grenfell are going,

"We don't want all these things

0:44:170:44:20

to happen to us."

0:44:200:44:21

And that speaks to a much bigger

problem, which is about government

0:44:210:44:24

investing in housing.

0:44:240:44:25

And Theresa May made

a personal pledge, didn't she,

0:44:250:44:27

to those families, about rehousing

them within a matter of weeks.

0:44:270:44:30

And in the end, that again,

feeds into a lack of trust

0:44:300:44:32

in what politicians are promising.

0:44:320:44:34

We all want them to be rehoused.

0:44:340:44:35

I'm sure she meant that

as best she could.

0:44:350:44:38

We all want everyone to be

put into a decent home

0:44:380:44:41

as soon as possible.

0:44:410:44:42

Has there been a failure

here on behalf of the politicians

0:44:420:44:45

and the authority?

0:44:450:44:46

There's been a failure

because we haven't got enough

0:44:460:44:48

accommodation for people

for emergencies like this.

0:44:480:44:52

People don't want to move away

from where they live, Grenfell,

0:44:520:44:55

they don't want to move away

from there, but there isn't

0:44:550:44:58

within a few blocks,

within a few streets,

0:44:580:45:00

there isn't the accommodation there.

0:45:000:45:01

People were offered places outside

and they don't want that,

0:45:010:45:05

so it's really difficult.

0:45:050:45:07

It's not just something

you can fix easily.

0:45:070:45:10

Well, it seems so.

0:45:100:45:12

We're going to have

to leave it there.

0:45:120:45:14

In response to the ongoing

wars in the Middle East

0:45:140:45:17

and their contribution

to the migrant crisis facing Europe,

0:45:170:45:20

the UK Government pledged

to resettle 20,000 Syrian refugees

0:45:200:45:23

in this country by 2020.

0:45:230:45:27

Matthew

0:45:270:45:27

According to the latest

Home Office statistics,

0:45:270:45:30

Home Office statistics,

0:45:300:45:34

London is actually the region

in the UK that has taken

0:45:340:45:37

in the fewest, only 400 or so,

despite surveys that show a majority

0:45:370:45:40

of Londoners being supportive of

refugee resettlement in the capital.

0:45:400:45:45

It is scenes like this that have

forced more than 5 million to flee

0:45:460:45:53

Syria and neighbouring countries

since the outbreak of war.

0:45:530:45:55

Religious persecution, ethnic

conflict, violence against women,

0:45:550:45:57

all have become widespread in parts

of the Middle East, and it's causing

0:45:570:46:00

many to look for refuge.

0:46:000:46:04

Leila found it in London

earlier this year under a government

0:46:040:46:07

scheme that resettles endangered

children and their parents.

0:46:070:46:13

The children die,

all the children die.

0:46:130:46:19

I saw my children scared

about the bomb and scared about...

0:46:190:46:24

He can't play on the streets.

0:46:240:46:27

This country, it's good

for my children and for me,

0:46:270:46:33

because gives us more options.

0:46:330:46:34

What do you make of Londoners?

0:46:340:46:36

Just London, just the name

London, I feel...

0:46:360:46:46

I can see more people

and more language, and I see

0:46:460:46:49

someone is not cover...

0:46:490:46:53

Someone that is not covered.

0:46:530:46:54

It's no problem.

0:46:540:46:57

There, this is black,

this is white, it's no problem.

0:46:570:47:01

Refugee charities say

there is strong support

0:47:010:47:02

for resettlement in London.

0:47:020:47:04

The population of London,

they are desperate

0:47:040:47:06

to welcome refugees.

0:47:060:47:10

We see it every single day,

with people wanting to volunteer

0:47:100:47:13

for us, and they are calling

on their local authorities to do

0:47:130:47:16

all they can to resettle refugees

into our wonderful capital.

0:47:160:47:19

The Government has pledged

by 2020 to take in 20,000

0:47:190:47:21

refugees from Syria.

0:47:210:47:27

So far, about half that

number have been accepted,

0:47:270:47:29

with London actually taking

in the fewest, only 400.

0:47:290:47:31

About half the local authorities

in London haven't taken in a single

0:47:310:47:34

refugee under the main scheme

for refugee resettlement.

0:47:340:47:38

Councils say it's because

existing pressures on housing

0:47:380:47:44

make it more difficult

in the capital than elsewhere.

0:47:440:47:46

According to City Hall,

the solution lies in increasing

0:47:460:47:49

the community sponsorship,

and that includes the Archbishop

0:47:490:47:51

of Canterbury, who is hosting

a family of Syrian refugees

0:47:510:47:54

in the grounds of Lambeth Palace.

0:47:540:47:57

Lambeth has been more

involved than most boroughs

0:47:570:47:59

in welcoming refugees,

even sending

0:47:590:48:00

a representative to Calais.

0:48:000:48:03

We've worked very closely

with the community, in particular

0:48:030:48:07

Lambeth Citizens Group,

and as a result of that we've been

0:48:070:48:09

able to manage to source housing

that otherwise would have been

0:48:090:48:12

unavailable for us, and it's

because of that, I think,

0:48:120:48:16

that we've been able to make sure

we've got more refugees coming

0:48:160:48:19

over to the country.

0:48:190:48:21

Why is the London Borough

of Lambeth devoting resources

0:48:210:48:25

to the resettlement of refugees,

when there is such a shortage

0:48:250:48:27

of housing for those

who are already living here?

0:48:270:48:31

Housing is a real issue,

but I think, for me

0:48:310:48:35

and for the politicians in Lambeth,

it's a moral case.

0:48:350:48:38

We can do more and we need

to help people who are living

0:48:380:48:41

in dire circumstances.

0:48:410:48:42

However, writer Douglas Murray isn't

convinced that resettlement

0:48:420:48:47

in London is the best way to help.

0:48:470:48:49

It costs around 100 times as much

to look after a migrant,

0:48:490:48:54

an asylum seeker in Europe,

in a country like Sweden,

0:48:540:48:59

or a country like Britain,

than it does to pay for them

0:48:590:49:02

to remain in, for instance,

Jordan, Lebanon, Turkey.

0:49:020:49:06

We might feel that we can pat

ourselves on the back for looking

0:49:060:49:12

after 400 asylum seekers here,

but that 400 asylum seekers

0:49:120:49:16

could become 40,000.

0:49:160:49:21

But Leila and her children are

just grateful to be somewhere

0:49:210:49:23

safe this Christmas.

0:49:230:49:25

Thank you for giving us

the chance, a new life.

0:49:250:49:29

And Happy New Year.

0:49:290:49:34

And joining us in the studio

is Matthew Ryder, the deputy mayor

0:49:340:49:37

for social integration,

whose responsibilities include

0:49:370:49:40

refugee resettlement in the capital.

0:49:400:49:42

Welcome to the programme.

Hi.

0:49:420:49:44

London politicians like to talk

about welcoming refugees but,

0:49:440:49:47

in your mind, is 400 enough?

No.

0:49:470:49:49

I think it would be really good

if we could do more,

0:49:490:49:54

and I know the councils are doing

the best they can, and City Hall

0:49:540:49:57

is doing the best it can,

but we have a structure,

0:49:570:50:00

and the way the structure is set up

means that a number of things have

0:50:000:50:03

to be in place before a council

can offer accommodation,

0:50:030:50:06

because they must do it separately

from the normal housing scheme

0:50:060:50:08

for people who are here already.

0:50:080:50:10

As a result, because of

the way the structure is set up,

0:50:100:50:13

it means that the housing price

in London makes it very, very

0:50:130:50:16

difficult to find available spaces,

so I'd like London to do more

0:50:160:50:19

and it's got to do its fair share.

0:50:190:50:22

London wants to do its fair share

but, at the moment, it's very

0:50:220:50:25

difficult within that framework.

0:50:250:50:26

We've got to find a way to make sure

the framework is more flexible

0:50:260:50:29

so that we don't have this problem

with housing prices.

0:50:290:50:32

But you say the councils

are doing what they can,

0:50:320:50:34

but there's a huge disparity

in terms of the numbers that

0:50:340:50:37

individual councils are taking.

0:50:370:50:38

Rightly or wrongly, some of them

have taken absolutely no one

0:50:380:50:41

in terms of refugees and others

have taken up to 50 or 60,

0:50:410:50:44

and they are in similar

parts of the capital.

0:50:440:50:46

You've got to be really careful

about that, because councils

0:50:460:50:49

are trying to do their best

in different ways.

0:50:490:50:52

Some are rehousing refugees

through different schemes,

0:50:520:50:56

or asylum seekers through different

schemes, or people who need help

0:50:560:50:58

through different schemes.

0:50:580:50:59

Some are doing it

through this scheme.

0:50:590:51:01

Some are supporting

community sponsorship more.

0:51:010:51:04

You've got to be a little bit

careful about trying to judge one

0:51:040:51:07

council against another just

on the sheer numbers, given

0:51:070:51:10

particularly because

the numbers are low, so everybody

0:51:100:51:12

is doing their best, but at

the moment the numbers are too low.

0:51:120:51:15

Are they doing their best,

or is there in some

0:51:150:51:17

cases just not the will?

0:51:170:51:18

I think it's quite hard

to second-guess councils.

0:51:180:51:20

I think there are councils

who are trying very hard,

0:51:200:51:23

but what you have to understand

when you talk about the numbers

0:51:230:51:26

in this problem is it's

the framework of the way

0:51:260:51:28

it's set up.

0:51:280:51:29

Various government departments

give some money to councils

0:51:290:51:31

for refugees, right?

0:51:310:51:35

What then happens is they have

to fit that into a framework

0:51:350:51:38

of benefit payments

and other things.

0:51:380:51:43

What sets the difficulty

is that the cost of housing prices

0:51:430:51:46

in London, it is very difficult

to fit it within that framework,

0:51:460:51:49

so that's why councils

are struggling to say,

0:51:490:51:51

we've got available places.

0:51:510:51:52

Putting the housing issue aside,

because yes, that seems to underline

0:51:520:51:55

almost everything that goes

on in the capital, why is London

0:51:550:51:58

lagging so far behind

the rest of the country?

0:51:580:52:00

Because of housing prices.

0:52:000:52:02

You can't say, "Put the housing

price aside," housing prices

0:52:020:52:04

are so much higher in London.

That is a problem.

0:52:040:52:06

Can I just say, the irony of this...

Sorry.

0:52:060:52:09

No, go on.

0:52:090:52:12

The irony of this is that London is,

in many ways, ideally

0:52:120:52:14

placed to take people.

0:52:140:52:16

Londoners want people

to come to London, there

0:52:160:52:20

are jobs and opportunities here,

and opportunities for people to feel

0:52:200:52:22

culturally comfortable in London,

because it is such a diverse

0:52:220:52:24

city, 300 languages.

0:52:240:52:26

We heard that in the film.

0:52:260:52:28

The problem is, we have this irony

that one of the best places

0:52:280:52:31

to settle people is

one of the hardest places

0:52:310:52:33

to settle people.

0:52:330:52:35

We've got to find a way

to get that mismatch solved.

0:52:350:52:37

But then, Sarah, if it is

a mismatch, and however

0:52:370:52:40

welcoming London may be,

is it realistic, and is it

0:52:400:52:44

actually something desirable

to want to house more people,

0:52:440:52:48

refugees coming to this country,

when there aren't the homes?

0:52:480:52:51

I think the point about which

scheme we are talking about is

0:52:510:52:54

really important here.

0:52:540:52:55

So Croydon, my borough,

has more unaccompanied asylum

0:52:550:52:59

seekers in it than any other borough

by some margin, we have over

0:52:590:53:02

400 that we care for...

0:53:020:53:04

It's zero here on the list

in terms of taking refugees.

0:53:040:53:07

Under that scheme,

because we have over 400

0:53:070:53:12

unaccompanied asylum seekers...

That's not my question.

0:53:120:53:14

My question is, is it desirable?

0:53:140:53:16

If Matthew has explained

it in the way he has,

0:53:160:53:18

there is a huge problem

because of housing prices,

0:53:180:53:20

so shouldn't people be

looking beyond the capital

0:53:200:53:22

to settle refugees?

0:53:220:53:24

This is what I'm saying,

there are over 400 children

0:53:240:53:27

in Croydon being looked

after the local authority

0:53:270:53:29

and housed via the...

funded by the Home Office,

0:53:290:53:35

it's a different scheme.

0:53:350:53:40

We come back to first

principles, which is,

0:53:400:53:42

what kind of country do

we want to be?

0:53:420:53:44

Do we want to welcome people

fleeing war and violence,

0:53:440:53:46

who are in fear of their lives?

Yes, of course we do.

0:53:460:53:49

But to the capital?

0:53:490:53:50

Yes, is that separate from migration

and economic migration?

0:53:500:53:52

Completely.

Two completely different things.

0:53:520:53:59

We're talking about housing

vulnerable people in exactly,

0:53:590:54:01

how you say, in a City,

which actually, wants

0:54:010:54:03

to welcome them.

Of course we must do what we can.

0:54:030:54:06

Should London, taking

this into account, be

0:54:060:54:08

taking in more refugees?

0:54:080:54:09

Yes, if it could.

0:54:090:54:10

But let's just take Bromley,

we've got 1400 people in temporary

0:54:100:54:13

accommodation at the moment,

3000 on the waiting list

0:54:130:54:15

for social housing.

0:54:150:54:16

Another 3000 waiting to get

onto the social housing list.

0:54:160:54:18

The accommodation is not there.

It is very expensive.

0:54:180:54:21

What Matthew's just said

is perfectly neutral

0:54:210:54:22

and decent, and proper.

0:54:220:54:27

He wants to take more people

in London, but we just can't do it

0:54:270:54:30

on the money we've got.

0:54:300:54:33

And what would it do

to community relations?

0:54:330:54:36

We already hear, and quite often

it is used as a bit of a stick

0:54:360:54:40

to beat authorities with,

that there are waiting list,

0:54:400:54:42

that there are families waiting

here for a long time,

0:54:420:54:47

waiting for accommodation,

and yet, the capital and various

0:54:470:54:49

authorities are being asked

to take more refugees.

0:54:490:54:51

I think you're

misunderstanding the scheme.

0:54:510:54:53

The scheme is designed to ensure

we put people in housing outside

0:54:530:54:56

of and away from the normal scheme

of housing people already here.

0:54:560:55:00

We're not talking about putting

people into the ordinary process.

0:55:000:55:02

Will people understand that?

That's got to be communicated.

0:55:020:55:04

I'm not sure...

That's your job, isn't it.

0:55:040:55:07

You mean, you've got

to find additional housing.

0:55:070:55:10

Where are we going to get

the additional housing?

0:55:100:55:12

I'll tell you.

0:55:120:55:13

The way it works is,

we have community sponsorship

0:55:130:55:15

and councils trying to find it.

0:55:150:55:18

What they're trying to do

is incentivise private landlords

0:55:180:55:20

to offer accommodation,

usually at a lower rent

0:55:200:55:23

for a short period of time,

to make sure the pieces can fit

0:55:230:55:26

in the package I was talking about.

0:55:260:55:28

Now, one of the key points we may

come onto is community sponsorship.

0:55:280:55:31

That's a new type of scheme.

0:55:310:55:33

And is it working?

Well, is it working?

0:55:330:55:35

It's at a really new stage,

brought in last year,

0:55:350:55:38

we have just had funding to have

somebody in City Hall working

0:55:380:55:41

on this specific point.

0:55:410:55:48

and six in London,

0:55:480:55:52

We have only 12 organisations

so far across the country

0:55:520:55:54

and six in London,

0:55:540:55:56

four are faith organisations,

but it is a new way of trying

0:55:560:55:59

to solve this problem by getting

communities to come together to fund

0:55:590:56:01

spaces, which wouldn't

ordinarily be available.

0:56:010:56:03

So what we need to do,

if I may say so, is find a way

0:56:030:56:06

to communicate that,

so that people can be reassured,

0:56:060:56:09

they're not bouncing people

out of accommodation.

0:56:090:56:10

That's good, because that

would be very difficult

0:56:100:56:14

for people to understand,

who have been on a waiting

0:56:140:56:16

list for three, four, five years.

That is the problem.

0:56:160:56:19

What you're going to say is, we them

to find additional accommodation,

0:56:190:56:22

but it's not available to you,

but you're still on the waiting list

0:56:220:56:25

for the normal accommodation?

0:56:250:56:26

Would you like to see more

of an open-door policy when it comes

0:56:260:56:29

to welcoming refugees to the UK

and to London?

0:56:290:56:31

I think what we need to watch

is what happens to all of the other

0:56:310:56:34

asylum seekers who come not under

this scheme as well, because I'm

0:56:340:56:37

on the Home Affairs Select Committee

and we did a report into looking

0:56:370:56:41

at what happens to

you if you come here.

0:56:410:56:43

And what happens is,

you're housed, in the main,

0:56:430:56:45

in accommodation run by Serco

or G4S, lots of cases of really

0:56:450:56:50

appalling accommodation -

cockroaches and damp,

0:56:500:56:52

all kinds of horrible things.

0:56:520:56:58

And you get food vouchers

of £36 a week, and you sit

0:56:580:57:00

there until your asylum claim

has been heard.

0:57:000:57:02

And because of the asylum system,

it takes such a long time.

0:57:020:57:05

The Home Office doesn't

have the resources to do it.

0:57:050:57:08

You can be there for two years.

0:57:080:57:09

So would it be better to actually

put some resources in housing

0:57:090:57:12

or settling refugees in the region?

0:57:120:57:15

We're going to welcome people

from countries where there is war,

0:57:150:57:18

and where people are fleeing.

0:57:180:57:19

We have more people in the world

now, fleeing and on the move,

0:57:190:57:22

than at any time in the past.

0:57:220:57:24

So we need to make sure that,

when they come here,

0:57:240:57:27

we give them a decent place to stay

until the decision is made,

0:57:270:57:30

and then they can either stay

or they have to go back.

0:57:300:57:33

Matthew, we've run out of time,

but thank you very much.

0:57:330:57:35

Thank you.

0:57:350:57:36

The second tallest skyscraper

in London after the Shard is due

0:57:360:57:39

to be built in Croydon.

0:57:390:57:40

The mayor has given it the green

light, but should London be building

0:57:400:57:44

more high-rise towers?

Jerry Thomas reports.

0:57:440:57:49

This is 1 Lansdowne Road, soon to be

hitting the Croydon skyline.

0:57:490:57:53

Other than the Shard,

it will be the tallest

0:57:530:57:57

building in London and,

according to the developer's

0:57:570:57:59

website, it will be visible all

the way from Piccadilly to Brighton.

0:57:590:58:02

It's a mixed use development.

0:58:020:58:05

It will have residential,

794 units, plus over 35,000 square

0:58:050:58:10

metres of office space,

plus retail, a swimming pool and

0:58:100:58:13

a public viewing gallery as well.

0:58:130:58:17

This is what the site

looks like today.

0:58:170:58:19

Demolition is due to start

next autumn, with the site

0:58:190:58:21

completed by the mid-2020s.

0:58:210:58:23

Views from all around the area

will be transformed.

0:58:230:58:29

But, of the 794 homes, only 20%

will be classed as affordable,

0:58:290:58:32

well below the Mayor's aim

of 50% across London.

0:58:320:58:35

It isn't acceptable.

0:58:350:58:38

The Mayor said it wasn't acceptable

in his first response

0:58:380:58:41

to the planning application.

0:58:410:58:43

What we've seen change since then

is a really minor improvement

0:58:430:58:46

in the level of some of the rents

that are being offered

0:58:460:58:49

in the 20% affordable homes.

0:58:490:58:51

It's gone down from the

old definition of affordable,

0:58:510:58:55

80% of market rate,

to the London living rent, which is

0:58:550:58:57

a third of local wages.

0:58:570:58:59

That genuinely is affordable,

but it's a tiny, tiny number

0:58:590:59:01

of flats in this development.

0:59:010:59:02

I don't think the Mayor has

pushed back enough on this.

0:59:020:59:05

I think it's

a poor planning decision.

0:59:050:59:09

If you think of all

the people living around it

0:59:090:59:11

in Croydon whose need

is proper social rents,

0:59:110:59:13

council levels of rent.

There's none of that in this tower.

0:59:130:59:16

It's a monument to a bad planning

decision, and they're going to have

0:59:160:59:19

to look at it

for many years to come.

0:59:190:59:21

Along with affordability,

many Londoners' top concern

0:59:210:59:23

about housing, in light

of the tragedy in Grenfell,

0:59:230:59:25

is now fire safety.

0:59:250:59:28

Will Londoners still be

happy to live high up

0:59:280:59:30

in the way they once were?

0:59:300:59:33

Well, people, rightly so,

are concerned about fire

0:59:330:59:35

in tall buildings.

0:59:350:59:37

The good thing about Lansdowne

is it's a purpose-built

0:59:370:59:39

residential building.

0:59:390:59:41

It's over 30 metres,

so it will be required

0:59:410:59:44

to have sprinklers and,

of course, before it gets anywhere

0:59:440:59:46

close to construction,

it will need to have met

0:59:460:59:48

all building regulations

and be thoroughly assessed

0:59:480:59:50

by trained building surveyors.

0:59:500:59:56

While 1 Lansdowne Road's

height will make it unique

0:59:560:59:58

and it may come to represent

a change in the nature of housing

0:59:581:00:01

across outer London.

1:00:011:00:03

To deal with the housing crisis,

the Mayor wants people to build

1:00:031:00:05

higher and more densely.

1:00:051:00:07

So the future of London's suburbs

could well look like this.

1:00:071:00:10

Sarah, it's in your constituency.

1:00:101:00:11

Sian Berry from the Greens

says it's a monument

1:00:111:00:13

to a bad planning decision.

1:00:131:00:15

Is she right?

1:00:151:00:16

I think it's quite

an interesting development.

1:00:161:00:19

Whether it ever gets built,

we'll wait and see but,

1:00:191:00:22

if you look at the context

of Croydon, it's a major transport

1:00:221:00:25

hub, a major economic area,

and it has been for many years,

1:00:251:00:28

since medieval times,

when people came and traded

1:00:281:00:30

from the coast up to London,

so it's going to be a major hub.

1:00:301:00:33

It's got lots of tall

buildings already...

1:00:331:00:35

Are you a fan?

1:00:351:00:36

I think it's fine.

1:00:361:00:38

I don't think it's the most

beautiful building I've ever seen,

1:00:381:00:41

but I think it's got affordable

housing at a level which, within

1:00:411:00:44

the London plan, is acceptable.

1:00:441:00:46

They had to go the extra mile...

1:00:461:00:48

Only 20% of this landmark

development, and Sadiq Khan

1:00:481:00:50

said it should be 50%.

1:00:501:00:51

When Boris Johnson was the Mayor,

his average was 13%

1:00:511:00:54

of new developments were affordable.

1:00:541:00:56

So you are saying that

is your benchmark then?

1:00:561:00:58

It's higher.

1:00:581:00:59

It's not as high as we would want it

to be, but what they had to do

1:00:591:01:03

was to prove in the planning meeting

that they looked at what was

1:01:031:01:06

possible, and they had to provide

a lot more information to City Hall

1:01:061:01:10

about what was possible

and feasible for that element,

1:01:101:01:12

and that was the level they got to.

1:01:121:01:14

What they did manage to do

via the Mayor was to make sure that

1:01:141:01:17

more of those homes will be London

living rent housing,

1:01:171:01:20

which is a good thing.

1:01:201:01:22

Bob, are you a fan of having more

tall buildings, higher density?

1:01:221:01:26

Is that the future for meeting

London's housing shortage?

1:01:261:01:30

I don't think we have

a choice, do we?

1:01:301:01:32

We're going to have to do that.

1:01:321:01:34

The fact of the matter is this

doesn't affect my constituency,

1:01:341:01:37

apart from making the skyline

from it of Croydon, which I think

1:01:371:01:39

is rather pretty, actually.

1:01:391:01:41

I like the...

1:01:411:01:43

I agree.

1:01:431:01:44

It looks like a really great place.

1:01:441:01:46

Yeah.

1:01:461:01:47

It looks, from a distance,

from my constituency, a great place.

1:01:471:01:50

But it's up to the people that live

there, to be honest.

1:01:501:01:53

I mean, if the people

that live there want it,

1:01:531:01:55

that is the crucial thing.

1:01:551:01:59

Who's going to be able to afford

to actually live there,

1:01:591:02:01

if we are talking about 80%

of market rent?

1:02:011:02:04

A lot of it is offices anyway, and,

you know, there's a swimming pool

1:02:041:02:07

and a restaurant and other parts

of the development,

1:02:071:02:10

and 20% is affordable.

1:02:101:02:13

You are absolutely right,

we need to do a lot more to build

1:02:131:02:17

more affordable housing,

and that is absolutely

1:02:171:02:18

Sadiq Khan's number one priority

in planning decisions.

1:02:181:02:20

I would like local authorities be

able to borrow so they can build

1:02:201:02:23

straight council housing,

so we can provide the affordable

1:02:231:02:28

housing people need.

1:02:281:02:31

That's for another discussion,

but that's all we have time for.

1:02:311:02:33

Thank you to both of you.

1:02:331:02:37

Welcome back.

1:02:471:02:49

You'll often hear people on TV shows

like this one in December

1:02:491:02:52

reflecting on what a momentous year

it's been in politics.

1:02:521:02:54

Well, this time we really mean it...

1:02:541:02:56

Again.

1:02:561:02:57

We sent Ellie Price off for a gentle

stroll through the events

1:02:571:03:00

that have shaped 2017.

1:03:001:03:02

2017 was shaped by what happened

when Theresa May went for a hike

1:03:041:03:07

with her husband in April and came

back with a jolly good idea.

1:03:071:03:11

I have just chaired a meeting

of the Cabinet where we agreed

1:03:111:03:15

that the Government should call

a general election to be

1:03:151:03:18

held on the 8th of June.

1:03:181:03:22

General election.

1:03:221:03:23

You're joking.

1:03:231:03:24

Not another one!

1:03:241:03:27

The path to victory seemed so clear.

1:03:271:03:29

Article 50 had been triggered,

the Tories had won a by-election,

1:03:291:03:32

and they made big gains

across the country at

1:03:321:03:35

the local elections,

at the expense of Ukip,

1:03:351:03:37

whose vote collapsed, and Labour.

1:03:371:03:41

Yes, we have to go out

there in the next four weeks

1:03:411:03:44

and get our message out.

1:03:441:03:46

Labour launched a manifesto that

called for the renationalisation

1:03:461:03:48

of the water companies and an end

to tuition fees.

1:03:481:03:51

This is a programme of hope.

1:03:511:03:54

The Tory campaign, by contrast,

is built on one word, fear.

1:03:541:03:59

The Tories, meanwhile,

unveiled a document that included

1:03:591:04:03

scrapping free school lunches

for children in England and a

1:04:031:04:06

shake-up of the social care system.

1:04:061:04:09

Let us all go forward together.

1:04:091:04:11

APPLAUSE.

1:04:111:04:13

But then the way forward wasn't

so obvious, and Theresa May

1:04:131:04:16

was forced into a U-turn

on social care.

1:04:161:04:19

Nothing has changed.

1:04:191:04:21

Nothing has changed.

1:04:221:04:25

Then she refused to take part in any

head-to-head televised debates.

1:04:251:04:29

The Prime Minister

is not here tonight.

1:04:291:04:32

She can't be bothered,

so why should you?

1:04:321:04:36

In fact, Bake Off

is on BBC Two next.

1:04:361:04:39

It wasn't Bake Off, but she did go

on the TV and talk about the bins,

1:04:391:04:43

and it all seemed a bit cringey.

1:04:431:04:46

I get to decide when I take the bins

out, not if I take them out.

1:04:461:04:51

LAUGHTER.

1:04:511:04:52

But, I mean...

1:04:521:04:54

There's boy jobs and

girl jobs, you see.

1:04:541:04:56

Oh, really?

1:04:561:04:57

What, boy jobs...

1:04:571:04:58

And then there was that weird time

the Prime Minister was asked

1:04:581:05:01

what was the naughtiest thing she'd

ever done as a child.

1:05:011:05:03

She said it was to run

through a field of wheat.

1:05:031:05:07

Come on, Ed.

1:05:071:05:08

Come on, Ed.

1:05:091:05:10

# The hills are alive with the sound

of music...#

1:05:101:05:17

Meanwhile, Jeremy Corbyn

was positively frolicking out

1:05:171:05:21

on the campaign trail,

greeted like a rock star

1:05:211:05:24

at his well-attended rallies.

1:05:241:05:27

The other party leaders also

had their challenges.

1:05:271:05:30

You won't say whether you think

having gay sex is a sin.

1:05:301:05:32

Winning those 56 seats

will be a huge challenge

1:05:321:05:36

for Nicola Sturgeon's party.

1:05:361:05:38

Ruth Davidson has predicted

that we've hit a peak

1:05:381:05:40

and the only way is down.

1:05:401:05:42

This party...

1:05:421:05:44

Hello.

1:05:441:05:45

And what we are saying

is that the Conservatives

1:05:451:05:49

are the largest party.

1:05:491:05:51

Note they don't have an overall

majority at this stage.

1:05:511:05:54

Deal or no deal, Mrs Foster?

1:05:541:05:56

The Conservatives lost 12 seats,

creating a hung parliament -

1:05:561:05:59

so, 18 days after the election,

Theresa May did a deal

1:05:591:06:02

with the Democratic Unionist Party's

ten MPs from Northern Ireland.

1:06:021:06:06

Meanwhile, Jeremy Corbyn

was hanging out with his

1:06:061:06:10

new mates at Glastonbury.

1:06:101:06:12

CROWD: # Oh, Jeremy Corbyn...#

1:06:121:06:15

With the election over, Brexit

negotiations dominated the summer,

1:06:151:06:17

and keeping control of her own party

was an uphill struggle for the PM.

1:06:171:06:21

That's why everyone was focused

on her conference speech,

1:06:211:06:25

including a prankster.

1:06:251:06:27

Boris, job done there.

1:06:271:06:30

An errant frog...

1:06:301:06:31

SHE COUGHS.

1:06:311:06:32

Excuse me.

1:06:321:06:34

The deficit is back

to pre-crisis levels...

1:06:341:06:35

And then the scenery that fell down.

1:06:351:06:38

The PM put on a brave face

and was supported by her husband,

1:06:381:06:41

and later her Cabinet,

after some whispering

1:06:411:06:43

about her leadership.

1:06:431:06:47

By the end of October,

the sexual harassment

1:06:471:06:48

scandal hit Westminster.

1:06:481:06:50

Various MPs were implicated,

and so was a Cabinet

1:06:501:06:52

minister, who stood down.

1:06:521:06:54

Below the high standards...

1:06:541:06:56

A week later, another

Cabinet resignation.

1:06:561:06:59

This time, Priti Patel,

the International Development

1:06:591:07:00

Secretary, fell on her sword over

unauthorised meetings

1:07:001:07:03

she'd had with Israeli

officials while on holiday.

1:07:031:07:05

Although there are plenty

of 27 moments Theresa May

1:07:051:07:07

would probably rather forget,

this handshake just last week

1:07:071:07:11

was a crucial breakthrough

in the Brexit negotiations.

1:07:111:07:16

The moment the EU accepted

it was time to move on and talk

1:07:161:07:20

about the future relationship.

1:07:201:07:22

Of course, that doesn't

mean negotiations next

1:07:221:07:26

year will be any easier.

1:07:261:07:29

But with everything going on this

year, 2018 couldn't possibly be

1:07:291:07:32

so frantic, could it?

1:07:321:07:41

Plenty to talk about in terms of the

big moments of last year and what's

1:07:411:07:44

likely to come in the year ahead

with our panel. I'll ask you first,

1:07:441:07:49

what was your favourite moment?

I

think it must be that exit poll

1:07:491:07:54

macro which we just saw again. The

moment that was announced, you felt

1:07:541:07:59

British politics changing in

dramatic ways, as it has done, in my

1:07:591:08:04

view. It's been the most significant

political year in terms of change

1:08:041:08:09

since 1979, even though the same

Prime Minister is in place. In that

1:08:091:08:13

second, you realise it was a myth

that a figure to the left of Tony

1:08:131:08:18

Blair would doom Labour to electoral

oblivion, you realised that young

1:08:181:08:21

people were starting to vote with

profound policy implications, which

1:08:211:08:26

we are already starting to see, and

that will continue, and you

1:08:261:08:30

recognised in that nanosecond that

she had lost the mandate for Brexit,

1:08:301:08:34

and a hung parliament would

transform the politics of Brexit, as

1:08:341:08:39

we were discussing earlier. It meant

many other things as well, that exit

1:08:391:08:43

poll. It will be a Brexit poll

another time! So it was a huge

1:08:431:08:50

moment, and I think some of it will

-- some of us will never forget it.

1:08:501:08:56

I can't believe we have crammed all

of that into a year! I think that

1:08:561:09:02

seminal week where Boris wrote his

4000 word thesis on Brexit, which

1:09:021:09:06

anyone who is a Brexiteer reading it

had Land Of Hope And Glory ringing

1:09:061:09:12

in their ears, and how that may or

may not have changed Theresa May's

1:09:121:09:16

Florence speech. Downing Street very

much road against the idea that the

1:09:161:09:22

substance was changed, but I think

there was an acceptance that his

1:09:221:09:25

Union Jack flying tone was

incorporated into that speech, and

1:09:251:09:30

it became how she set out in

Britainposition going forward.

I was

1:09:301:09:34

tempted to say the incredible walk

that reason may did with Donald

1:09:341:09:41

Trump way back in January where they

held hands. What an extra rib

1:09:411:09:45

Trump way back in January where they

picture that was, for those of us

1:09:451:09:47

out there to see what she had just

done full -- an incredible picture.

1:09:471:09:52

But I'm going to be cheeky and go

for another one, the conference

1:09:521:09:56

speech, Theresa May's. Yet again,

for anybody in that room, it was the

1:09:561:10:01

most excruciating 55 minutes of

anyone's political career or

1:10:011:10:07

journalistic career, but also a very

powerful metaphor for her

1:10:071:10:12

premiership. Things are falling

apart at the seams. It isn't going

1:10:121:10:16

at all how she planned. Yet she is

still there.

If we've learned

1:10:161:10:22

anything, it's that we shouldn't

make political predictions because

1:10:221:10:24

we will be proved wrong, but I'm

going to ask you for a couple for

1:10:241:10:28

the year ahead. Will we have a trade

deal by October?

We won't, not least

1:10:281:10:32

because the EU has said they aren't

going to offer one at any stage,

1:10:321:10:39

they are going to offer a political

declaration, those are the words in

1:10:391:10:42

the council document on Friday. We

might get that.

Will Theresa May

1:10:421:10:46

still be Prime Minister?

By

Christmas? What good is this time

1:10:461:10:53

next year. --

this time next year.

I

think it depends what happens in

1:10:531:11:03

October. She might be Prime Minister

but will she has set out a timetable

1:11:031:11:06

for a change in leadership?

Possibly.

And will the Cabinet look

1:11:061:11:14

the same?

Not entirely but I think

the key players will be in place. I

1:11:141:11:18

think it would be too disruptive to

change them, but that is a tentative

1:11:181:11:21

prediction. One -- what an

extraordinarily bigger Theresa May

1:11:211:11:27

is. She isn't an actor like most of

our Prime ministers but it is like

1:11:271:11:31

she is in a James Bond half of the

time. It is a glorious contrast, a

1:11:311:11:37

shy, dog-eared figure, and the

theatrics will continue into next

1:11:371:11:40

year, and I think she will be there.

-- a shy, dogged figure.

They have

1:11:401:11:46

tried to build a campaign about a

presidential style of leadership,

1:11:461:11:51

and she was ill suited to that, and

now she is using weakness as a

1:11:511:11:55

strength when it comes to

negotiating in Europe. She hasn't

1:11:551:11:58

really shown her cards on Brexit,

but it's probably to her advantage

1:11:581:12:04

nobody really knows exactly what

makes her tick, what is Willie going

1:12:041:12:08

on inside her head. It could be

nothing. Maybe it's entirely empty,

1:12:081:12:15

so she can be beautifully pragmatic

and plough her way through the

1:12:151:12:18

waves. Inside the bubble, she loses

votes, she does a terrible speech

1:12:181:12:24

and we kick her but, in the country,

the more and more people you speak

1:12:241:12:29

to, and they say, good on her, she

is getting the EU kicking her, her

1:12:291:12:35

side kicking her, but she still

carries on. The fact that she is

1:12:351:12:41

indefatigable...

Exhausting to say.

It's remarkable, so she is proving

1:12:411:12:47

Prime Minister of our times.

Will

Corbyn still be there?

He will be,

1:12:471:12:53

but does he want to be? What will

happen in goodness only knows.

1:12:531:12:59

Looking back at the rally, it's

interesting how popular and idolised

1:12:591:13:03

he was then in that campaigning

mode, which she was far better

1:13:031:13:06

suited to spend Theresa May, who

wasn't surrounded by crowds and

1:13:061:13:09

seemed to be standing on a podium

somewhere with Tory banners behind

1:13:091:13:13

her. I don't know. I think the shine

is coming off Corbyn, and I think

1:13:131:13:18

the more that Labour tie themselves

in knots over Brexit, having Richard

1:13:181:13:24

Burgon earlier saying, let's have

the ECJ ruling us for ever and not

1:13:241:13:28

cut immigration, that isn't going to

play well with Labour Brexit photos.

1:13:281:13:33

We will be back to discuss all this

next year.

1:13:331:13:35

That's all for today,

and that's all for 2017.

1:13:351:13:39

Until then, bye-bye.

1:13:391:13:43

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