23/03/2014 Sunday Politics North East and Cumbria


23/03/2014

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics. The dust has barely

:00:35.:00:42.

settled on George Osborne's Budget and, amazingly, for once it hasn't

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all gone horribly wrong by the weekend. So, is this the election

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springboard the Tories needed, and where does it leave Labour? Turns

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out the big Budget surprise was a where does it leave Labour? Turns

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revolution in how we pay for old age. The Pensions Minister says he's

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relaxed if you want to spend it all on a Lamborghini. He'll join us

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later. And could the man with the maracas be on his way to

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later. And could the man with the Westminster? Bez from the Happy

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Here: Will the budget kick`start the plan

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Here: Will the budget kick`start the region's recovery or leave ts

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lagging further behind? A c`mpaign to

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stay in Axbridge. Are there ways of making the European arrest warrant

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work better? -- Uxbridge. And who better to help guide you through all

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of that than three journalists, who dispense wisdom faster than Grant

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Shapps calls out the numbers in his local bingo hall over a pint of

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beer. Yes, they're hard-working and they're doing the things they enjoy.

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Cup of tea, number three. It's Nick Watt, Polly Toynbee and Janan

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Ganesh. So, George Osborne delivered his

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fifth Budget on Wednesday and had so many glowing front pages the day

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afterwards he must be running out of room to pin them up in on his

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bedroom wall. Although it's probably a pretty big wall. For those of you

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who didn't have time to watch 3 5 hours of Budget coverage on the BBC,

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here's Giles with the whole thing in three minutes.

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Budget days have a rhythm of their own, driven partly by tradition

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like that photocall at 11 Downing Street and part logistics, how to

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get this important statement out and explain to those whom it affects -

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us? Behind-the-scenes of a Budget Day is much the same. This ritual

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red boxery may be the beginning of the end of weeks of work behind the

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scenes in the Treasury and sets the clock ticking on the process of

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finding out the answer to one question. You got any rabbits in the

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box, Chancellor? Yes, there will be something in the Budget we don't

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know about. Time marches steadily towards the statement and already

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commentators are hovering over what those potential surprises are. As

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Big Ben chimes, all focus returns to the Commons, where there is Prime

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Minister's questions and the Chancellor gets up and does his

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thing. Once he's on his feet and remembering there is still no copy

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of the details, the major measures are rapidly highlighted as they come

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and then put up on screen. A cap on Government welfare spending set for

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2015/16 at 119 billion. Income tax personal allowance raised to

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?10,500. Bingo duty halved, which ticked boxes for some but was

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unlikely to make anyone a poster boy. And the beer tax cut of 1p or

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the froth on the top. And changes to pensions allowing people to take

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their money out in one lump sum rather than being forced to accept a

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fixed annual pay-out, or annuity. This is a Budget for the makers the

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doers and the savers and I commend it to the House. Not everyone can

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focus on the Budget by listening to what the Chancellor says. We need to

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get a copy of the script. We do not get that till he sits down. I'm

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going to go into the House of Commons to get that right now. There

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will be a response on that and all the other things from Mr Miliband.

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The Chancellor spoke for nearly an hour but he did not mention one

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essential fact, the working people of Britain are worse off under the

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Tories. It is a tricky job answering the Budget at the best of times

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though some, including Labour MPs, think it is better to mention the

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Budget when you do. Here we are. I am going to go. I am

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not the only journalist missing Ed Miliband's speech. Many others leave

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the Chamber as the Chancellor sits down to attend a special briefing

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from the Chancellor's advisory team. I am hotfoot to the studio. There is

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a little more detail to the Budget than the Budget Speech. That detail

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can be whether words unravel and other interpretations emerge. By now

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the gaggle of supporters and detractors are taking the debate

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onto the airwaves. Are you the BBC? Have the Daily Politics packed up?

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No, we're still standing and, days later, still trying to assess

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whether the measures announced still seem fresh and appetising or have

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already gone stale in the minds of voters?

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How significant are these two poles this morning putting Labour and Tory

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nip and tuck? Osborne gave his party a good bounce. It was an

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astonishingly theatrical coup. At first glance, it seems like a huge

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gift to all people. That is where all of the money has been channelled

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by this government. They have been ultra-protected, triple locked.

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Pensioners have done very well and others less well. It is not

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surprising. Normally a budget which is well received on the day and the

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day after has unravelled by the weekend. This time, it has not, so

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far. The dangerous thing for the Labour Party now, George Osborne is

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the assessment this thing called the baseline. He says, in government,

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you must control the baseline. The Labour party controlled in 2001 and

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2005 and he needs to control it next time. He is controlling it on fiscal

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policy because labour is matching them on everything. The danger for

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Labour on the big, headline grabbing issue, which was freeing up

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annuities on pensions, that again Labour was pretty much saying it was

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going to support it though it were saying it has to be fair and

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cost-effective. On a big, policy issue, they are following on behind

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George Osborne. George Osborne is controlling the crucial baseline.

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Are we in danger of reading too much into the political implications of

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the budget? The good thing about the pensions policy is, if it does

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unravel, it will not happen for ten years and, by that time, George

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Osborne will have left office. Towards the end of his speech, I

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thought, that is not enough. There is not an idea in your budget which

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is politically very vivid a year before an election. What I

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underestimated was, how many frustrated savers that are in the

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country. There are a lot of people who are frustrated by low interest

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rates and tax rates on pension pots. This was an explicit gesture for

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them. That is what has paid off in the polls in the past few days. You

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spend all of your money on your wardrobe, is that right? The bingo

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poster was a kind of get out of jail card for Labour. It gave them

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something to zoom in on. Everyone beat up on Grant Shapps, the Tory

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chairman. We read in the daily Telegraph that the fingerprints of

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the Chancellor were all over this poster. The Chancellor signed off it

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-- off on it and so did Lynton Crosby. They referred to working

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class people as, they are. How did it get into the Telegraph? We can

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only presume but grant Shapps made it clear that it was not him. We had

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a time when Labour politicians, we saw from the response of Ed Miliband

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onwards, they were not quite sure how to react to this budget. A lot

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of detail had to be absorbed. Suddenly, here is something we can

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talk about. You can see the thinking behind the poster was very sensible.

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We are not Tory toffs, we are interested in helping people who do

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not come from our backgrounds. The wording was awful and played into

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every cliche. It was all his fault. It shows how unsophisticated he

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was. There were people from Tory HQ who agreed the budget. A month down

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the line will the budget look as good? Probably. Once people look at

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it, pensions are fiendishly conjugated. Once they look and see

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what it will do with people having to pay for their own care because

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they can now take capital at their pension, that will come as a shock

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to a lot of people with small savings. It all be gone on their

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care. The polling will be neck and neck all the way. In the past,

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George Osborne has been accused of using his Budgets to tinker at the

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margins or pull cheap tricks on his political opponents. Perish the

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thought. But the big surprise in this year's statement was a

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genuinely radical shake-up of the pensions system that will affect

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most people who've yet to retire. At the moment, everyone is saving money

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into a defined contribution pension, that is the type most common in the

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private sector. They can take 2 % of the pot is a tax-free lump sum when

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they retire. The rest of the money, for most people, they are forced to

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buy an annuity, a form of insurance which provide a guaranteed monthly

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income until they die. Annuities have hardly been a bargain since

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interest rates were flat slashed following the financial crash. Even

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with a ?100,000 pension pot would only get an income of ?5,800 a year

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at current rates. From 2018, pensioners will not be forced to buy

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an annuity. They can do what they like with their money, even taking

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the entire pot as a lump some but paying tax on 75% of it.

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With an average pension pot closer to around ?30,000, pensioners would

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be more likely to buy a Skoda instead of a Lamborghini. Most newly

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retired people who take the cash are more likely to spend the money

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paying off their mortgage, helping a family member to buy a property or

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investing the money elsewhere. Well, earlier I spoke to the Pensions

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Minister. He's a Lib Dem called Steve Webb. I began by asking him if

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he still thought the reforms might lead to pensioners splurging all

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their savings on supercars. What this reform is about is treating

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people as adults. For far too long, we have said, we will make sure you

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save for your old age and then we will control each year how much is

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spent on what you spend it on. What we are saying is because we have

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formed -- reformed the state pension, we will be much more

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relaxed about what people do with their own money. The evidence is

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that people who have been frugal and saved hard for retirement do not

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generally blows a lot. They will spin it out. It is treating people

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as adults and giving them choices they should have had all along. It

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is a red herring, isn't it? The average pension pot is between 5000

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and 30,000. Lamborghinis aren't an option, correct? I gather only about

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5000 people a year retiring can buy a flashy Italian sports car. It

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might be about paying off a mortgage, paying off outstanding

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debts. Maybe spending more money earlier in retirement when they are

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fit and able and can enjoy it more. We will give people guidance. We

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will make sure when they retire there is someone to have a

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conversation with talking through the implications of spending the

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money early and options of investing it. This will be a real step

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forward. Even if you have a much bigger pension pot, say half ?1

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million, which is way bigger than the average, even then the marginal

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rates of tax will be a disincentive to take it all out at once. You will

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lose huge chunks of it at the 4 % band and then the 45% band. The tax

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system gives you the incentive to spread it out if the tax threshold

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is a bit over 10000 and the state pension is a bit over 7000, the

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first 3000 you draw out in a given year is tax-free. The next band is

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at 20%. Spreading your money will mean you pay less tax. That is why,

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in general, people will not blow the lot up front. They will spread it

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out over their retirement. You have kept this policy quiet. Not even a

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hint. How did you test it? How did you make sure it would be robust?

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You did not do a consultation. I have been talking about freeing up

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the annuity market for a decade The idea of giving people more choice.

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The government has relaxed rules over this Parliament. It was not a

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completely new idea. We know in places like Australia and America,

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people have these freedoms. We already have something to judge it

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by. We will spend the next year talking to people, working it

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through. There will be a three-month consultation. I want people to have

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choices about their own money. There is detail still to be worked out and

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we are in listening mode about how we implement it. When you announce

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something you cannot do widespread consultation, for the reasons I have

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given, you do run the risk of unforeseen consequences? Pension

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companies this morning are indicating, you, the government can

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write you are looking for ?25 billion of infrastructure investment

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from us. You hold our shell below the water line. That may not happen.

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We spoke internally about the implications for instruction --

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infrastructure. It seems to me there will still be long-term investments.

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Many people want to turn their whole pot into an income. I understand the

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insurance companies are lobbying, but I'm convinced there will still

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be plenty of money for investment and infrastructure. If the

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Chancellor's pro-savings measures work, that will generate more

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savings. With no requirement now to buy an annuity, surely it is the

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case that pension pots are another ordinary savings fund, so why should

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they continue to get favourable tax treatment? Bear in mind that a lot

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of the tax treatment of pensioners is tax deferred so most people pay

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tax at the standard rate. If they put money into a pension, they don't

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pay tax when they earn it, but they do at retirement. We do want, we

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will still have automatic enrolment into workplace pensions, we do want

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people to build up, because at age 20 and 30 nobody thinks about

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retirement. It is still vital that people do reach retirement to have

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these new choices with a decent sized pension pot. Pensions. Tax

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breaks because they were supposed to provide an income in retirement

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that is how it was structured, but that is no longer a requirement

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surely that undermines the case that if they get tax breaks, other forms

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of savings should get tax breaks. Other forms do get tax breaks, of

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course. The return with ISAs is tax free. The point with pensions is

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that you are simply deferring your earnings. There is a bit when high

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tax rate payers get a kick when they are working and then retire on

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standard rate, so there is the issue of the top getting too many tax

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breaks, but the basic principle that you pay tax when you get the income

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seems right to me and isn't affected by these changes. You have announced

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save friendly measures, are we right to look at them as a consolation

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prize because savers have suffered from the Government's policy of

:18:35.:18:38.

keeping interest rates abnormally low? It is certainly the case that

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very low interest rates have been a huge boon to people of working age

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with mortgages, and people who have retired said they thought they could

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have got a better deal on their savings. I think there is a

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recognition that whilst we have done the right thing with pensioners on

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the state pension, we have brought in the triple lock, and many will

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bent on -- benefit from these changes. Why don't savers who are

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not pensioners get the same help? They have been hit by low interest

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rates as well. Those of working age, many of them say they have

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benefited from low interest rates was predominantly people in

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retirement have not had the benefit. Obviously people of working age will

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have benefited from the tax allowance so it is a myth to say the

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Budget was all about pensioners And yet even when the Office for Budget

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Responsibility takes into account your new measures, it still shows

:19:59.:20:01.

that over the next five years households will save less and less,

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indeed the savings ratio falls by 50%. You haven't done enough. One of

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the things we know is that the economy is picking up strongly, and

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as we have more confidence about the future they will be more willing to

:20:20.:20:22.

consume now, so without these measures it may be that the saving

:20:23.:20:27.

rate would have fallen further. We want people to save and spend, it is

:20:28.:20:35.

about getting the right balance As the economy picks up, people will

:20:36.:20:38.

want to spend more of their money and it is about getting the balance

:20:39.:20:44.

right. You make the point that if people are little profligate with

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their private pensions, they will have the state pension to fall back

:20:49.:20:52.

on and it will be higher than it has been, but it is also the case that

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in these circumstances they will still be entitled to housing benefit

:20:58.:21:03.

and even to perhaps some council tax benefit as well. Do you know by how

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much this could put the welfare bill up? We think the impact will be

:21:10.:21:14.

relatively modest because the sort of people who save for a pension and

:21:15.:21:18.

make sacrifices while they are at work are not the sort of people who

:21:19.:21:25.

get to 65 and decide to blow the lot for the great privilege of receiving

:21:26.:21:29.

council tax benefit or housing benefit. There will be people on the

:21:30.:21:31.

margins and benefit. There will be people on the

:21:32.:21:43.

who retire with some capital want to put some money away for their

:21:44.:21:46.

funeral. People like to save even into retirement so the myth of the

:21:47.:21:51.

spendthrift pensioner I don't believe. I think this has been

:21:52.:22:00.

rightly welcomed. Ever fancied a Lamborghini yourself? If you turned

:22:01.:22:06.

the camera around you would see my 2-door Corsa!

:22:07.:22:19.

What's your favourite thing about an election? Could it be the candidates

:22:20.:22:22.

ringing on your door while you're having dinner? The leaflets piling

:22:23.:22:25.

up on your doormat? Or the endless adverts aimed at hardworking

:22:26.:22:27.

families? Well, if you thought that was bad enough, then you might want

:22:28.:22:31.

to consider going overseas for the 2015 election because the parties

:22:32.:22:34.

are going to be aiming their message at you like never before. Adam's

:22:35.:22:39.

been to Worcester to find out more. One of the most famous political

:22:40.:22:44.

figures in history lived here, she is called Worcester woman. She was

:22:45.:22:48.

in her 30s, working class with a couple of kids, aspirational yet

:22:49.:22:53.

worried about quality of life. But she wasn't a real person, she was a

:22:54.:22:58.

label for the kind of voter new Labour were trying to reach and she

:22:59.:23:02.

was later joined by Mondeo man and several others. Doesn't that all

:23:03.:23:09.

seem a bit 90s? The technique, called segmentation, was used by

:23:10.:23:16.

George Bush in 2004. Then refined by Barack Obama. Rather than focusing

:23:17.:23:20.

on crude measures like cars and hometowns, they delved into the

:23:21.:23:26.

minds of voters. It is not just women, not just people who live in

:23:27.:23:30.

cities, but if you start to put together these groups of people you

:23:31.:23:36.

can even in an anecdote or way imagine who they are, what types of

:23:37.:23:45.

language and imagery might relate to them. We have been given access to a

:23:46.:23:50.

new polling model being used here by this firm, which is pretty close to

:23:51.:23:56.

the one we are told is being used by the Tories. It carves the country

:23:57.:24:00.

into six personality types, and we are trying it out on Worcester woman

:24:01.:24:05.

and wast of man. We are using an online quiz to work out who is in

:24:06.:24:12.

which segment. Meet new monk, Susie. She feels well represented. I

:24:13.:24:21.

know the Budget and the increases to childcare, I think at the moment I

:24:22.:24:27.

am fairly represented. This puts her in the category of optimistic

:24:28.:24:31.

contentment, people who feel they are doing OK. Terry, on the other

:24:32.:24:37.

hand, isn't happy about Britain today. Health and safety and all

:24:38.:24:45.

that! I hardly recognise the country a living in any more? Yes. Are you

:24:46.:24:55.

ready for the result? He is Mr comfortable nostalgia, they tend to

:24:56.:25:00.

favour the Tories and UKIP. They dislike the cultural changes they

:25:01.:25:05.

see as altering Britain for the worst. That sums me up. Tony is

:25:06.:25:10.

worried as well but feels much less secure. I look forward to the future

:25:11.:25:22.

with optimism or anxiety? Anxiety. Optimist or pessimist? Pessimist.

:25:23.:25:32.

His category is... You feel a bit insecure, you think the Government

:25:33.:25:38.

could probably help you more? Yes. Labour picks up a lot of these

:25:39.:25:43.

voters. This man is being asked to do more and more at work, but he is

:25:44.:25:52.

getting less and less. I am getting more towards the despair side.

:25:53.:25:57.

Things are getting tougher, generally? It puts him into the

:25:58.:26:02.

segment called long-term despair, people who feel left out. Finally,

:26:03.:26:11.

this is ever thoughtful Carol. I am a bit of an idealist. Her idealism

:26:12.:26:20.

makes her a cosmopolitan critic I am a liberal person. Apparently a

:26:21.:26:25.

lot of the media fit into this category as well. There is one group

:26:26.:26:31.

of voters we have not come across, people who show calm persistence.

:26:32.:26:34.

They hope things will get better but don't expect them to. They are

:26:35.:26:39.

coping, rather than comfortable Presumably they are all out of work.

:26:40.:26:44.

Which group are you win? You can take the poll on the BBC website,

:26:45.:26:49.

and in the coming weeks we will be doing our own polling using the six

:26:50.:26:54.

segments to see of the politicians really have worked out how we think.

:26:55.:27:01.

And as Adam said, if you want to try the survey for yourself, you can go

:27:02.:27:05.

to the BBC website and click on the link.

:27:06.:27:07.

And we're joined now by the pollster, Rick Nye. Welcome to

:27:08.:27:17.

Sunday Politics. We have had Worcester woman, Worcester man, is

:27:18.:27:23.

this any different? It is a recognition that or politician -

:27:24.:27:39.

all politics these days is like this. It enables them to cut them

:27:40.:27:47.

more finally. You think all politics is coalition politics, you think

:27:48.:27:51.

they have to put together these groups of people, not that the Lib

:27:52.:27:58.

Dems will always be in power? No, and if you listen to the coverage

:27:59.:28:03.

these days you might think it is about grumpy old men on the one hand

:28:04.:28:09.

with Guardian readers on the other. It is far more complicated than

:28:10.:28:13.

that, there is a lot of churning going on underneath which is driven

:28:14.:28:20.

by people's value systems. A lot of this has been pioneered in the

:28:21.:28:24.

United States, very sophisticated on their election techniques, and in

:28:25.:28:28.

Britain we are always the first to grab whatever the New Year will is

:28:29.:28:34.

from America. How do you think this will translate to this country? I

:28:35.:28:39.

think it means that if you are target photo you will still get the

:28:40.:28:44.

same of leaflets and people calling, but you will probably have different

:28:45.:28:47.

kinds of conversations because people on the other side, the party

:28:48.:28:54.

campaigners, will think they know more about you. Will I know who you

:28:55.:29:00.

are? If I am a party campaigner will I know, looking down the

:29:01.:29:05.

street, who fits into which category? You will be able to

:29:06.:29:09.

approximate that with all of the other data that you have gathered

:29:10.:29:14.

through polling, or doing local campaigning, that is the idea to

:29:15.:29:18.

make sense of this vast quantity of data people have about voters. We

:29:19.:29:25.

asked our panel to fill in your survey. Nick is optimistic

:29:26.:29:31.

contentment, 99%. He was 1% cosmopolitan critic, which is how he

:29:32.:29:36.

keeps his job at the Guardian. Polly's job could not be more

:29:37.:29:41.

secure, 100% cosmopolitan critics, and Janan Ganesh, optimistic

:29:42.:29:45.

contentment, which is what you would contentment, which is what you would

:29:46.:29:48.

expect from a financial Times columnist. What do you make of this

:29:49.:30:05.

technique? Why are you only 99? It sounds really clever. 95% of the

:30:06.:30:15.

population five years ago voted Labour or the Conservatives. We have

:30:16.:30:19.

got away from that. It is coalition politics. You need sophisticated

:30:20.:30:25.

methods. Presumably you must not lose touch with basic points. You

:30:26.:30:32.

said it was used in the US presidential elections. Wasn't there

:30:33.:30:37.

them moment emit Romney 's sweet when the initial response was, we

:30:38.:30:42.

did not know the sort of people voted. His next response was, we did

:30:43.:30:45.

did not know the sort of people not know these people existed.

:30:46.:30:50.

Unless you know about certain key demographics, you are wasting your

:30:51.:30:56.

time. Is it important in modern campaigning? I think it is useful

:30:57.:31:03.

because it is about attitude. We have got Mosaic. We have got Acorn.

:31:04.:31:13.

It does not tell us very much. What people think and feel may be

:31:14.:31:17.

different to their income. You can be quite a high earner and anxious.

:31:18.:31:22.

You can be quite a low earner and feeling aspirational and optimistic

:31:23.:31:25.

about the future. I think this does get something else. In days gone by,

:31:26.:31:33.

particularly in America, overwhelmingly, if you are in the

:31:34.:31:38.

better of segment, you would be Republican and the blue-collar

:31:39.:31:41.

workers and some academics and Liberals voted Democrat. In the last

:31:42.:31:46.

election, the richest 200 counties in America voted Democrat. That is

:31:47.:31:50.

an attitude thing. Income does not tell you how people will vote. There

:31:51.:31:56.

support for the Republicans. It is support for the Republicans. It is

:31:57.:32:01.

unavoidable. Add a time when people no longer identify with ideologies

:32:02.:32:05.

or class blocks, you have to go the temperament and lifestyle and

:32:06.:32:19.

manageable. In America there were 128 segments according to lifestyle

:32:20.:32:21.

manageable. In America there were and Outlook. Once you get to that

:32:22.:32:26.

stage, it becomes close to useless. We were talking about the budget

:32:27.:32:31.

earlier. What other polls saying about the budget? The lead of labour

:32:32.:32:39.

has been narrowed over the Conservatives. -- Labour. Osborne

:32:40.:32:47.

and Cameron as an academic team have always had a lead over Miller band

:32:48.:32:53.

and Balls. This week it is about economic management. -- over Mr

:32:54.:32:55.

Miller band. Thank you for being with us

:32:56.:33:11.

It's just gone 11:30am. You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say

:33:12.:33:15.

goodbye to viewers in Scotland, who leave us now for Sunday Politics

:33:16.:33:16.

The economic recovery is helping all Scotland. Coming up here in

:33:17.:34:09.

The economic recovery is helping all regions of the UK. Not just the

:34:10.:34:14.

south`east. That is according to the Conservative party chairman, Grant

:34:15.:34:18.

Shapps. He's a man who causdd storm this week by Tweeting this `dvert

:34:19.:34:31.

about bingo and the attacks, That was criticised as "condescending" `

:34:32.:34:34.

even by his own coalition p`rtners ` among them Redcar MP Ian Sw`les As

:34:35.:34:38.

for Mr Shapps, he was on a visit to Carlisle on Friday, and was

:34:39.:34:41.

unrepentant about his comments. We can all argue about whether the

:34:42.:34:44.

words are "they", "us", or whatever. Personally, I drink beer and I love

:34:45.:34:48.

a game of bingo. I just don't see why they think this is more

:34:49.:34:51.

important than talking about the long`term economic future of our

:34:52.:34:54.

country. Supporting sectors like bingo, by halving the tax, local

:34:55.:34:57.

pubs, where we are helping them to stay open. That is more important

:34:58.:35:01.

and we have had heard nothing about it from Labour at all. All they want

:35:02.:35:05.

to do is talk about the trivia, rather than the real issues. There

:35:06.:35:14.

has been criticism of this because the perception is that the lask

:35:15.:35:18.

slipped. It is what they, the proles, as in the north`east,

:35:19.:35:25.

perhaps, won. This is a storm in a teacup generated by the Labour

:35:26.:35:29.

Party. As we saw on Wednesd`y we had Ed Miliband who had nothing to say

:35:30.:35:32.

about the substance of the budget, and this is a distraction t`ctic to

:35:33.:35:40.

try and get away from the f`ct that they do not have a response to the

:35:41.:35:43.

budget. On the other hand, we saw George Osborne, the Conserv`tive

:35:44.:35:49.

Chancellor, give a good budget for savers, doers and makers. And they

:35:50.:35:57.

can see what he has done about the long`term economic prospects. You

:35:58.:36:02.

are completely relaxed about the bingo and beer? If you look at the

:36:03.:36:07.

substance, there was nothing wrong with halving the tax on bingo halls

:36:08.:36:10.

full stop they are under vast pressure. Some have come out and

:36:11.:36:13.

said that they will be able to remain open and with regard to the

:36:14.:36:18.

beer industry, it is not just 1p off pint, the loss of jobs dependent on

:36:19.:36:26.

it. The headlines have been pretty good on this, apart from th`t, on

:36:27.:36:31.

the budget, but not for Ed Liliband, for instance. It is churlish not to

:36:32.:36:39.

welcome some help for bingo and for the beer industry, but the Labour

:36:40.:36:44.

criticism has been more fundamental. This is a budget delivering for a

:36:45.:36:47.

certain section of the population, not benefit of the country, and in

:36:48.:36:53.

particular, it did not give us the investment that we need to see in

:36:54.:36:56.

the North East, if the economy is to grow. Well, let's look at the

:36:57.:37:04.

economic impact of the Budgdt in a bit more detail. The steel `nd

:37:05.:37:07.

chemical industries on Teesside will benefit, thanks to tax relidf on

:37:08.:37:10.

heavy energy users. But what about smaller manufacturers? Mich`el

:37:11.:37:13.

Tuddenham runs a business m`king kitchen and bathroom units hn

:37:14.:37:15.

Longtown near Carlisle. He believes the Budget will help create more

:37:16.:37:18.

opportunities for young people. We took a 16`year`old on just `fter the

:37:19.:37:26.

summer holidays last year. From a local high school. And with the

:37:27.:37:36.

national insurance being taken out forunder 21s, that is very positive

:37:37.:37:39.

for the younger generation, basically. And I think employers

:37:40.:37:42.

will react to that and bringing down the unemployment among the xounger

:37:43.:37:45.

generation will be a positive step. Energy costs, there has been a cut

:37:46.:37:49.

on the carbon tax. This feeds into the electricity costs, etc.

:37:50.:37:59.

Obviously, energy use, lighting edge banding, power units, ht is

:38:00.:38:02.

something that we look at closely. So, all in all, I was very positive

:38:03.:38:06.

towards the budget. So at ldast one business in Cumbria thinks the

:38:07.:38:09.

Chancellor's on the right lhnes But let's talk now to the regional

:38:10.:38:13.

secretary of the TUC, Beth Farhat. Many business organisations have

:38:14.:38:17.

welcomed this. Is this delivering for businesses and for young people

:38:18.:38:22.

looking for jobs? That is good, the work that they are doing to support

:38:23.:38:27.

small businesses are taking on more apprenticeships, but the budget put

:38:28.:38:31.

forward a couple of measures that we would support, more investmdnt and

:38:32.:38:37.

support for manufacturing. That comes at a time when we havd got

:38:38.:38:43.

3000 fewer managed `` manuf`cturing jobs in the north`east and the dead,

:38:44.:38:48.

in 2010. We have a little bht of time to wait for that because it is

:38:49.:38:55.

in the next Parliament. Raising of the personal allowance, this was

:38:56.:38:57.

tabled as a policy that is going to help low`paid workers, but the

:38:58.:39:01.

reality is that it will be liddle income and high income earndrs that

:39:02.:39:05.

will benefit from it most. The fundamental thing that the budget

:39:06.:39:10.

did not tackle was the living standards crisis. When I talk to

:39:11.:39:13.

workers, that is the real issue for them. It did not talk about the

:39:14.:39:18.

living wage and Fairplay. It talked about bingo and beer. `` fahrer pay.

:39:19.:39:30.

The lifting of the tax threshold has been significant and will lhft a lot

:39:31.:39:37.

of people out of tax. You c`nnot be churlish about that, even if it

:39:38.:39:40.

helps people further up the chain as well. It will give low incole

:39:41.:39:46.

earners to hundred pounds annually. And it will increase the VAT

:39:47.:39:53.

anthrax, so the devil is in the detail. Can I tell you something

:39:54.:39:57.

about north`east workers? They are ?1300 a year worse off in rdal

:39:58.:40:04.

terms. That is the equivalent to 23 average weekly shops, one ydar's

:40:05.:40:09.

worth of energy bills for the average household. But they are

:40:10.:40:13.

getting back to work, the fhgures suggest this week. No. Unemployment

:40:14.:40:21.

fell? Yes, but the quality of the jobs, zero hours contracts, eight

:40:22.:40:26.

out of ten private sector jobs are created in the cell. The jobs that

:40:27.:40:30.

we see created are predomin`ntly in low`paid sectors. We have got

:40:31.:40:35.

families on low`paid incomes with more money going out than they can

:40:36.:40:39.

coming in, relying on zero hours contracts and payday loans

:40:40.:40:52.

companies, so that is a problem There was a difference in the

:40:53.:40:55.

recovery. It is more accents rated in the South than in the North. Is

:40:56.:41:01.

anything being done to addrdss that? You referred to the unemploxment

:41:02.:41:06.

statistics. It fell in the north`east at the highest r`te

:41:07.:41:08.

compared to anywhere else in the country. It is important th`t we are

:41:09.:41:12.

seeing things moving in the right direction. We have got plenty more

:41:13.:41:20.

to do. What was in the budgdt specifically to help the north`east?

:41:21.:41:25.

The increase in the personal allowance takes 14,000 people in the

:41:26.:41:27.

north`east out of paying income tax altogether. It has delivered 1

:41:28.:41:32.

million people a tax cut. This will help relieve the pressure is on

:41:33.:41:37.

budgets. And freezing the ftel duty escalator, if Labour had bedn in

:41:38.:41:42.

government, the fuel duty would be 20p higher per litre. If we look at

:41:43.:41:48.

jobs as well, this is where the Labour Party does not appreciate,

:41:49.:41:51.

but people are better in work than out of work. We have seen 1.4

:41:52.:42:00.

million more jobs created. The point is, the cost of living and frozen

:42:01.:42:06.

fuel duty, you make beer and fuel duty, you bring people out of tax,

:42:07.:42:10.

surely that is the way to t`ckle it. Labour is proposing to freeze energy

:42:11.:42:16.

bills until 2017 and reduce business rates for small businesses, and give

:42:17.:42:20.

all young people are job through the jobs guarantee. We would be doing

:42:21.:42:24.

much more to support the economy. There were no measures in this

:42:25.:42:29.

budget to help the North East. No specific understanding... W`s of

:42:30.:42:36.

chemical industries and stedl industries on these side will

:42:37.:42:44.

benefit massively. `` lots of industries on Teesside. We still

:42:45.:42:49.

need specific measures to rdbalance the economy and support trahning. We

:42:50.:42:55.

are seeing support pouring `cross the piece. We are saying th`t some

:42:56.:42:59.

areas need more assistance to get the economy fully buoyant, than

:43:00.:43:03.

others, and we need to see lore investment in the North East. At the

:43:04.:43:08.

moment 3% of investment frol this government is coming into the

:43:09.:43:14.

north`east. Some businesses wanted investment in infrastructurd in the

:43:15.:43:20.

north`east. There was none. The manufacturing organisations have

:43:21.:43:24.

welcomed the ?7 million worth of investment. They have already said

:43:25.:43:29.

that that is when to generate both and potentially lots more jobs. So

:43:30.:43:35.

it doesn't matter about the infrastructure investment? What we

:43:36.:43:39.

saw the day after the budget, we have seen a touchy moving their

:43:40.:43:44.

headquarters to London, gendrating 750 jobs in the north`east. That

:43:45.:43:48.

could see the North East become a world centre for building Hhgh Speed

:43:49.:43:51.

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