29/06/2014 Sunday Politics North East and Cumbria


29/06/2014

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No surprise that Mr Cameron didn't get his way at the European summit.

:00:38.:00:48.

But does it mean Britain has just moved closer to the EU exit?

:00:49.:00:51.

Doctors want to ban smoking outright.

:00:52.:00:54.

A sensible health measure or the health lobby's secret plan all

:00:55.:00:57.

Could Teesside get its own Boris Johnson?

:00:58.:01:11.

And old trains, run`down stations and poor journey

:01:12.:01:14.

times ` can the Government get rail services back on track?

:01:15.:01:28.

And with me, as always, the best and the brightest political

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panel in the business Nick Watt Helen Lewis and Janan Ganesh.

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They've had their usual cognac, or Juncker as it's known in

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Luxembourg, for breakfast and will be tweeting under the influence

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He's a boozing, chain-smoking, millionaire bon viveur who's made

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it big in the world of European politic.

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I speak of Jean-Claude Juncker, the former Prime Minister of Luxembourg

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He'll soon be President of the European Commission,

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He wasn't David Cameron's choice of course.

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But those the PM thought were his allies deserted him and he ended up

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on the wrong end of a 26-2 vote in favour of Arch-Fedrealist Juncker.

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-- on the wrong end of a 26-2 vote in favour of Arch-Federalist

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So where does this leave Mr Cameron's hopes

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of major reform and repatriation of EU powers back to the UK?

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Let's speak to his Europe Minister David Lidington

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Welcome to the programme. The Prime Minister says that now with Mr

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Juncker at the helm, the battle to keep Britain in the EU has got

:02:45.:02:47.

harder. In what way has it got harder? For two reasons. The

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majority of the leaders have accepted the process that shifts

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power, it will not careful, from the elected heads of government right

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cross Europe to the party bosses, the faction leaders in the European

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Parliament and and the disaffection was made clear in many European

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countries. Mr Juncker had a distinguished period as head of

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Luxembourg, and was not a known reformer, but we have to judge on

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how he leads the commission and there were some elements in the

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mandate that the heads of government gave this week to the new incoming

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European Commission that I think are cautiously encouraging for us. The

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Prime Minister talked about those that not everybody wants to

:03:38.:03:44.

integrate and to the same extent and speed. Let me just interrupt you.

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What is new about saying that Europe can go closer to closer union at

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different speeds? That has always been the case. It's nothing new

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Indeed there are precedents, and they are good examples of the

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approach as part of the course and one of the elements that the Prime

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Minister is taking forward in the strategy is to get general

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acceptance that while we agree that most of the partners have agreed to

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the single currency will want to press forward with closer

:04:26.:04:29.

integration of their economic and tax policies, but not every country

:04:30.:04:34.

in the EU is going to want to do that. We have to see the pattern

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that has grown up enough to recognise there is a diverse EU with

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28 member states and more in the future. We won't all integrate the

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extent. It is a matter of a pattern that is differentiation and

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integration. I understand that. John Major used to call it variable

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geometry, and other phrases nobody used to understand, but the point is

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that you're back benches don't want any union at any speed, even in the

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slow lane. They want to go in the other direction. It depends which

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backbencher you talk to. There's a diverse range of views. I think that

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there is acceptance that the core of the Prime Minister's approaches to

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seek reform of the European Union, for renegotiation after the

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election, then put it to the British people to decide. It won't be the

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British government or ministers that take the final decision, it's the

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British people, provided they are a Conservative government, who will

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take the decision on the basis of the reforms that David Cameron

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secures whether they want to stay in or not. Is there more of a chance,

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not a certainty or probability, but at least more of a chance that with

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Mr Juncker in that position of Britain leaving the EU? I don't

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think we can say that at the moment. I think we can say that the task of

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reform looks harder than it did a couple of weeks ago. But we have do

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put Mr Juncker to the test. I do think he would want his commission

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to be marked and I think that there is, and I find this in numbers

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around Europe, and there is a growing recognition that things

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cannot go on as they have been. Europe, economically, is in danger

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of losing a lot of ground will stop millions of youngsters are out of

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work already that reform. There is real anxiety and a number of

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countries now about the extent to which opinion polls and election

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results are showing a shift of support to both left and right wing

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parties, sometimes outright neofascist movements, expressing

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real content and resentment at Howard in touch -- how out of touch

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decisions have become. You say you are sensing anxiety about the

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condition of Europe, so why did they choose Mr Juncker then? You would

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have to put that question to some of the heads of European government.

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Clearly there were a number for whom domestic politics played a big role

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in the eventual decision that they took. There were some who had signed

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up to the lead candidate process and felt they could not back away from

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that, whatever their private feelings might have been, but I

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think the PM was right to say that this was a matter of principle and

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it shouldn't just be left as a stitch up by the European Parliament

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to tell us what they do. He said, I can't agree to pretend to acquiesce.

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They have to make the opposition clear that go on with reform. Are

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the current terms of membership for us unacceptable? The current terms

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of the membership are very far from perfect. Are they unacceptable? The

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current terms are certainly not ones that I feel comfortable with. The

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Prime Minister described them as unacceptable. Do you think they are?

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We look at the views of the British people at the moment. If you look at

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the polling at the moment, the evidence is that people are split on

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whether they think membership is a good thing. I'm asking what you

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think. David Cameron wants to in -- endorse changes in our interest but

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also because the biggest market is going to suffer if they don't

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challenge -- grasp the challenge of political and economic reform.

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Newsnight, Friday night, Malcolm Rifkind the former Secretary of

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State said to me that even if the choice was to stay in on the

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existing terms, he would vote to stay in on the existing terms. He

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doesn't necessarily like them, but he would vote to stay in. That is

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the authentic voice of the Foreign Office, isn't it? That is the

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position of your department. Is it your position? Malcolm Rifkind is a

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distinguished and independent minded backbencher. He's not in government

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now. But that is your position. No, the position of the government and

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the Conservative Party in the government is that we believe that

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important changes, both economic and political reforms, are necessary and

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that they are attainable in our interest and those of Europe as a

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whole. Would you vote to stay in on the existing terms? That's not going

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to be a question that the referendum. Really? I know that in

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2017 Europe is going to look rather different to how it looks today For

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one thing our colleagues in the Eurozone will want and need to press

:09:54.:09:56.

ahead with closer integration. That, in our view, needs to be done

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in a way that fully respects the rights of those of us who remain

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outside. Variable geometry, tackling things like the abuse of freedom of

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migration. Those are all in the conclusions from the leader this

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week and we should welcome that Very briefly, finally, when will

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you, as a government, give us the negotiating position of the

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government? Will you give us what you hope to achieve before the

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election or not? David Cameron set out very clearly in his Bloomberg

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speech that he wanted a Europe that was more democratically accountable,

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more flexible, more at it -- economically competitive. That is

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all very general. When will you lay out the negotiating position? It's

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not general. It is very far from general. We have seen evidence in

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the successful cut of the European budget, the reform of fisheries

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those reforms have started to take effect. We have won some victories

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and I'm sure the Prime Minister as we get towards the general election,

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will want to make clear what the Conservative Party position is, and

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perhaps other political leaders will do the same for their party. Thank

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you for joining us this morning The harsh reality of this is that there

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is a yawning gap between what the Prime Minister can hope to bring

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back and what will satisfy his Conservative backbenchers. Yes, I

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think the Parliamentary Conservative Party is divided into three parts,

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those who would vote to leave the EU regardless, those who would stay

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regardless, and a huge middle ground of people who want to stay in on

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renegotiated terms. These are not three equal parts. Those who would

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vote to stay in regardless are smaller and smaller. Compared to 20

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years ago, tiny. But the people in the middle, generally, would only

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stay in if you secure a renegotiation that will not be

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re-secured. In other words, they are de facto, out by 2017 and the

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referendum. This whole saga of the recent weeks has been the single

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biggest economy in foreign policy under this government. That's not

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what the voters think. -- single biggest ignominy. I mean the failure

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to secure the target. The opinion polls show that standing up against

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Mr Juncker has proved rather popular. I suggest that is not Mr

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Cameron's problem. His problem is that, if in the end he gets only

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because Medic changes, and if he says he still thinks that with these

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changes -- cosmetic changes. And he says that they should stay in, that

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would split the Tory party wide open. Eurosceptics say would be the

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biggest split since the corn laws. He wants to protect the position of

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coming out, and you might get that. He wants to crack down on abuse of

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benefits, and he might get that He wants to restrict freedom of

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movement for future member states, and that's difficult, because it is

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a treaty change. And he wants to deal with closer union, but that is

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also treaty change. In the Council conclusions, David Cameron was

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encouraged because it said, let s look at closer union, but it did not

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say it would reform. All it said was ever closer union can be interpreted

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in different ways. In other words, we're not going to change it. The

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fundamental problem the David Cameron was that two years ago, when

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he vetoed the fiscal compact, that showed Angela Merkel was unwilling

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to help them and what happened in the last two weeks was that Angela

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Merkel was unable to help him. There is not a single leader of the

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European Union that once Juncker as president, and he doesn't want it,

:13:37.:13:40.

he wants the note take a job at the European Council. But there was this

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basic stitch up by the European Parliament that meant he was

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presented, and when Angela Merkel put the question over his head there

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was a huge backlash in Germany and she was unable to deliver. I

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understand that, but I'm looking forward to Mr Cameron's predicament.

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I don't know how he squares the circle. It seems inconceivable that

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he can bring back enough from Brussels to satisfy his

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backbenchers. No, you can't. Most of them fundamentally want out. They

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don't want to be persuaded by renegotiations. Where it's hard to

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draw conclusions from the polling is that if you ask people question that

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sounds like, do you like the fact that our Prime Minister has gone to

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Brussels and stuck it to the man, they say yes, but how many people

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will go to the voting booths and put their cross in the box based on

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Europe? We know mostly voters care about Europe as a proxy for

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immigration fears. In ten people in this country could not tell you who

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John Claude Juncker is Angela Weir is replacing. -- and who he is

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replacing. And I'm joined in the studio now by

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arch-Eurosceptic Conservative MEP, Daniel Hannan and from Strasbourg by

:14:49.:14:51.

staunch European and former Liberal war? His declared objectives would

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leave Britain still in the common agricultural policy, the common

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foreign policy, the European arrest warrant, so the negotiating aims

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which we just heard Nick setting out wouldn't fundamentally change

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anything. It would be easy for the Government to declare war on any of

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these things. The danger from your point of view as someone who wants

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to stay in is that if David Cameron only gets cosmetic changes, the

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chance of getting the vote to leave the European Union increases,

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doesn't it? Hypothetically it probably does but we have two big

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things to get through first in domestic politics before we even

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reach a negotiation. One is are we going to have the United Kingdom

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this time next year following the referendum in Scotland? Secondly,

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are the Conservatives after the general election next year going to

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be in a position to pursue a negotiation? In other words are they

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going to be a majority government or even a minority government? For the

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sake of this morning let's assume the answer to both is yes, the UK

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stays intact and against the polls they were saying this morning, David

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Cameron forms an overall majority after the election. There is a

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danger, if he doesn't bring much back, that people will vote yes

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correct? There is that danger and I see a lot of the British press

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comment this morning saying this could be a rerun of the Harold

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Wilson like negotiation of the 1970s, a bit cosmetic but enough to

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say we have got new terms and you should go with it. I think what is

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different however, and this is really an appeal if you like, it

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cannot just be left to the Liberal Democrats and coalition government

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to make this case on our Rome. A lot of interest groups across the land

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will have to start being prepared to put their head above the parapet on

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the fundamental - do you want Britain to remain in the European

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Union? Yes or no? Are you willing to put your public reputations on the

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line? We are not getting enough of that at the moment and it is getting

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dangerously close to closing time. Daniel Hannan, David Cameron will

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not get away with this, will he It will be an acceptable to his party.

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If it is an acceptable to Tory backbenchers it is because it is

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working and they are reflecting what their constituents say. A majority

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of people in the country are unhappy with the present terms. They can see

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there is a huge wide world beyond the oceans and we have confined

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ourselves to this small trade bloc. There is a huge debate to be had

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about whether we could be doing better outside. It is not danger, it

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is democracy, trusting people. If the only person offering a

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referendum at the moment is the Prime Minister, it has serious

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consequences for his party, your party, that's what I'm talking

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about. I am very proud of being part of the party that is trusting people

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to offer this. If he only gets cosmetic changes he cannot carry his

:18:52.:18:57.

party. But ultimately it will not be his party, it is the electorate as a

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whole that has to decide whether the changes are substantive. Everything

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we have been hearing just now is about staying out of future

:19:07.:19:11.

integration, protecting the role of the non-euro countries. People are

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upset about what is going on today with the EU. They can see laws being

:19:16.:19:20.

passed by people they cannot vote for, friendships overseas are

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prejudiced, and they conceive that the European Union has just put in

:19:26.:19:29.

charge in the top slot somebody who wants a United States of Europe into

:19:30.:19:34.

which we will eventually be dragged into as some kind of Providence

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Jean-Claude Juncker is a Federalist, you are Federalist, why did the Lib

:19:41.:19:50.

Dems oppose him? We shared the view that whilst you take account of what

:19:51.:19:54.

the members of the European Parliament say, ultimately the

:19:55.:19:58.

choice of the presidency in the commission should be the political

:19:59.:20:02.

leaders, the governmental leaders at a national level, and that's why we

:20:03.:20:07.

went down the route we did. It was more to do with the system than the

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individual. Although I would say that you need to bear in mind, I

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mean Daniel, I respect him personally and the integrity of his

:20:18.:20:22.

views, as I think he does mine, but to dismiss the European Union as a

:20:23.:20:29.

small trading block globally, when you have got the United States of

:20:30.:20:34.

America, China and other countries acknowledging its importance, it is

:20:35.:20:44.

really Walter Mitty land. Are we closer than... Daniel Hannan, are we

:20:45.:20:56.

closer to an exit after what happened last week? Yes, because the

:20:57.:21:02.

idea that we could get substantive reforms, gets a mythic and powers

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back and be within a looser, more flexible European Union has plainly

:21:12.:21:19.

been closed off. We have to face up to the actual European Union that

:21:20.:21:24.

has taken shape on our doorstep Are we going to be part of that or are

:21:25.:21:29.

we going to have a much more semidetached, looser relationship

:21:30.:21:33.

with it which we can either achieve via a unilateral system of power or

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another way. This debate is never-ending, it is going on and on

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and has bedevilled British prime ministers for as long as I can

:21:51.:21:54.

remember. Shouldn't the Lib Dems change their stance on the

:21:55.:21:59.

referendum yet again let's just have this in-out referendum and have it

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sided one way or another? Our position remains clear. If there is

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a constitutional issue put before us in terms of treaty changes then we

:22:11.:22:17.

will have a referendum. Why not now? I am probably the wrong person to

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ask because I argued and voted for a referendum on Maastricht because I

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thought that was a constitutional treaty. Anything that makes the

:22:33.:22:36.

Queen a citizen of the European Union surely has constitutional

:22:37.:22:43.

implications. Anyway, 20 years on we are where we are and we need to

:22:44.:22:47.

established common vocabulary. You talk about federalism. What do we

:22:48.:22:55.

mean? Most of the people operating in the European Parliament and the

:22:56.:22:58.

institution across the road, the Council of Europe, they mean by

:22:59.:23:04.

federalism decentralisation of powers, not a Brussels superstate

:23:05.:23:11.

but actually the kind of decentralisation that maintains

:23:12.:23:14.

national characteristics and pools resources and sovereignty where it

:23:15.:23:23.

makes sense. Mr Juncker, who is now going to be in charge of the

:23:24.:23:27.

Brussels commission, he believes in a single EU reform policy, an EU

:23:28.:23:38.

wide minimum wage and EU wide taxes. You said this week that you

:23:39.:23:42.

liked the sound of Juncker federalism. Does that sound good to

:23:43.:23:49.

you? No, and I think the new president of the commission will be

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disappointed if he puts forward these views because although we only

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had Hungary voting with us, I think if you go to other countries,

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France, Poland, Scandinavia, they are not going to buy that kind of

:24:04.:24:10.

menu. What they mean by federalism is the continental concept, also the

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North American concept, that we can sit very happily... They have an

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army, a federal police force, federal taxation. Yes, but in terms

:24:24.:24:33.

of the political institutions which is what we are discussing here, you

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can have the supranational, the European level, whilst still having

:24:38.:24:41.

the very vibrant national, and indeed as we are practising in the

:24:42.:24:46.

United Kingdom the subnational. A very brief final word from you,

:24:47.:24:52.

Daniel. That is ultimately going to be the choice. The European Union is

:24:53.:24:58.

an evolving dynamic, we can see the direction it is going in. Do we want

:24:59.:25:03.

to be part of that? I suspect Charles Kennedy would have loved a

:25:04.:25:07.

referendum. I cannot help but notice his party is going downhill since he

:25:08.:25:23.

was running it. It is illegal to light up in the workplace, pubs and

:25:24.:25:28.

restaurants. Now the British Medical Association has voted to outlaw

:25:29.:25:31.

everywhere but not everybody at once. It would apply to anyone born

:25:32.:25:37.

after the year 2000. In a moment we will debate the merits of those

:25:38.:25:41.

plans but first he is Adam. There was a time when to be British

:25:42.:25:48.

was to be a smoker. 1948 was the year off peak fag with 82% of men

:25:49.:25:53.

smoking mainly cigarettes but it was a pipe that Harold Wilson used as a

:25:54.:25:58.

political prop to help with the hard-hitting interviews they did in

:25:59.:26:02.

those days. The advertisements make out pipe smokers to be more virile,

:26:03.:26:12.

more fascinating men than anybody else. Do you thought -- have that

:26:13.:26:17.

thought anywhere in your mind? No. It changed in 2006 when smoking in

:26:18.:26:28.

enclosed places was banned. I would rather be inside but unfortunately

:26:29.:26:32.

we have got to do what this Government tells us to do. I think

:26:33.:26:38.

it is good, it is calm and you can breathe. Research suggests it has

:26:39.:26:44.

improved the health of bar workers no end and reduced childhood asthma.

:26:45.:26:48.

Now just one in five adults is a smoker. Coming next, crackdowns on

:26:49.:26:54.

those newfangled e-cigarettes, smoking in cars and possibly the

:26:55.:26:59.

introduction of plain packaging There is still those who take pride

:27:00.:27:06.

in smoking and see it as a war on freedom.

:27:07.:27:19.

We're joined now by Dr Vivienne Nathanson

:27:20.:27:22.

from the British Medical Association who voted for a graduated ban

:27:23.:27:25.

on smoking at their conference last week, and Simon Clark

:27:26.:27:29.

They're here to go head-to-head There are plenty of things which are

:27:30.:27:38.

bad for our health, why single out cigarettes? We need some sugar in

:27:39.:27:48.

our diets but the fact is that we need to stop people smoking as

:27:49.:27:52.

children because if we can do that, the likelihood that they will start

:27:53.:27:57.

smoking is very small. In no circumstances is smoking good for

:27:58.:28:02.

you. There are lots of smokers who live long, healthy lives but we

:28:03.:28:06.

totally accept smoking is a risk to your health and adults have to make

:28:07.:28:11.

that decision, just as you make the decision about drinking alcohol

:28:12.:28:16.

eating fatty foods and drinking sugary drinks. This proposal is

:28:17.:28:20.

totally impractical. It will create a huge black market in cigarettes

:28:21.:28:25.

which will get bigger every year. They say this is about stopping

:28:26.:28:28.

children smoking but there is already a law in place that stops

:28:29.:28:34.

shopkeepers from selling cigarettes to children. This target adults so

:28:35.:28:39.

you could have the bizarre situation in the year 3035 for example where a

:28:40.:28:45.

36-year-old can go into shops to buy cigarettes but if you are 35 you

:28:46.:28:50.

will be denied that, which is ludicrous. The point is that the

:28:51.:28:54.

younger you start smoking the more likely you will become heavily

:28:55.:28:58.

addicted. I take the point, but the point he is saying is that if this

:28:59.:29:04.

becomes law, down the road, if you go into shops to buy cigarettes you

:29:05.:29:09.

would have to take your birth certificate, wouldn't you? We have

:29:10.:29:13.

no idea how the legislation would be written but the key point is that if

:29:14.:29:17.

we can stop young people from starting to smoke, we will in 2

:29:18.:29:23.

years have a whole group of people who have never smoked so you won't

:29:24.:29:28.

have that problem of people who are smokers and they are now in their

:29:29.:29:32.

20s and 30s. Or you will have a lot of younger people who get cigarettes

:29:33.:29:36.

the way they currently get illegal drugs now. They are already getting

:29:37.:29:39.

cigarettes illegally and we have to deal with that. We have got to get

:29:40.:29:46.

better. The Government has not been able to stop it. We know this is

:29:47.:29:56.

going to kill 50%... When you are 15 you think you will live for ever.

:29:57.:30:01.

Indeed but they also do it as rebellion and because they see

:30:02.:30:05.

adults and it is remarkably easy to buy cigarettes. Whatever the case is

:30:06.:30:09.

for individual choice, won't most people agree that if you could stop

:30:10.:30:14.

young people smoking, so that through the rest of their lives they

:30:15.:30:17.

never smoked, that would be worth doing? You get 16 or 17-year-olds

:30:18.:30:28.

who already do that. Is it worth trying? When the government

:30:29.:30:33.

increased the age at which shopkeepers could sell from 16 to

:30:34.:30:37.

18, we supported it. We don't support a ban on proxy purchasing,

:30:38.:30:43.

we support reasonable measures, but this is unreasonable. This proposal

:30:44.:30:46.

says a lot about the BMA, because this week the BMA also passed a

:30:47.:30:52.

motion to ban the use of E cigarettes in public places. There

:30:53.:30:55.

is no evidence that they are dangerous to health, so why are they

:30:56.:30:59.

doing that? They are becoming a temperance society. This is not

:31:00.:31:03.

about public health, it's an old-fashioned temperance society and

:31:04.:31:06.

they have to get their act together because they are bringing the

:31:07.:31:10.

medical profession into disrepute. We were having argument is about

:31:11.:31:15.

things that people buy large accept, smoking in bars or public places,

:31:16.:31:20.

but the real aim of the BMA was the total banning of cigarettes

:31:21.:31:22.

altogether. This would suggest that that was true to claim that. It s

:31:23.:31:28.

not about a ban, it's about a move to a country where nobody wants to

:31:29.:31:33.

smoke and no one is a smoker. But it would be illegal to smoke. It would

:31:34.:31:37.

be illegal to buy, not smoke, and there's a difference between two. So

:31:38.:31:44.

even if I am born in the year 2 00, it would still be illegal to smoke,

:31:45.:31:47.

just illegal to buy the cigarettes? Indeed. The point being that the

:31:48.:31:54.

habit of smoking is very strongly linked to your ability to buy, so

:31:55.:31:58.

that is why things like Price and availability and marketing are so

:31:59.:32:02.

important. People will flood across the Channel with the cigarettes One

:32:03.:32:06.

thing you will find is that throughout the world people is

:32:07.:32:09.

looking at -- people are looking at the same kind of measures, and

:32:10.:32:13.

different countries like Australia, they were the first with a

:32:14.:32:17.

standardised packaging. Other countries will follow, because all

:32:18.:32:20.

of us are facing the fact that we can't afford to pay for the

:32:21.:32:26.

tragedy. There will be people waiting to flood the market with

:32:27.:32:30.

cigarettes. This is nonsense. Thanks for both coming and going

:32:31.:32:33.

head-to-head. "Unless we have more equal

:32:34.:32:37.

representation, our politics won't be half as good as it should be "

:32:38.:32:41.

So said David Cameron back in 2 09. So how's it going?

:32:42.:32:43.

Well, you can judge the quality of the politics for yourself,

:32:44.:32:45.

but we've been crunching the numbers to find out what

:32:46.:32:48.

parliament might look like after the next year's general election.

:32:49.:32:49.

Here's Giles. Politicians are elected to

:32:50.:32:56.

Parliament to represent their constituents, but the make-up of

:32:57.:32:59.

Parliament does not reflect society well at all the parties it. In 010

:33:00.:33:05.

more women and ethnic minority candidates entered Westminster but

:33:06.:33:09.

not significantly more inner chamber still dominated by white males.

:33:10.:33:17.

Looking at the current make-up of the Commons, Labour has 83 female

:33:18.:33:23.

MPs, the Conservative have 47 women MPs, which is just over 47% -- and

:33:24.:33:30.

the Lib Dems have 12% of the parties. All of the parties have

:33:31.:33:34.

selected parliaments in those seats where existing MPs are retiring and

:33:35.:33:37.

to fight seats at the next election, and they've all been

:33:38.:33:40.

trying to up the number of women and ethnic minorities because discounts

:33:41.:33:45.

and can be capitalised on. A picture tells a thousand words. Look at the

:33:46.:33:50.

all-male front bench before us. And he says he wants to represent the

:33:51.:33:55.

whole country. Despite the jibe the Labour Party know they have a long

:33:56.:33:58.

way to go on the issue of being representative. So we

:33:59.:34:10.

way to go on the issue of being look at this particular area of lack

:34:11.:34:11.

of women and ethnic minorities. Women first.

:34:12.:34:11.

In the most marginal, 40 have women candidates, that would mean if they

:34:12.:34:43.

got just enough to win power, they would have 133 women, which is 1%

:34:44.:34:49.

The Conservatives currently have 305 MPs and their strategy

:34:50.:34:51.

at the next election is to concentrate on their 40 most

:34:52.:34:54.

marginal seats, and the 40 seats most mathematically likely to turn

:34:55.:34:56.

In those 40, 29 candidates have been selected

:34:57.:35:00.

If they kept hold of their existing seats and won those 29 new ones

:35:01.:35:05.

they would have 56 women MPs, around 17%, and up 2% from last time.

:35:06.:35:09.

The Liberal Democrats are fighting to hold on to the 57 seats they won

:35:10.:35:12.

at the last election, if they manage that, they would have

:35:13.:35:15.

However all the indications are it could be

:35:16.:35:20.

a bad night for the Lib Dems, if they lost 20 seats, on a uniform

:35:21.:35:24.

swing it would leave them with just four women, 11% of the party.

:35:25.:35:29.

One Conservative peer who thinks the party needs to look at all

:35:30.:35:33.

options if it's female numbers go down in 2015, says Parliament is

:35:34.:35:36.

The bottom line is, if 50% of our population is not being looked at

:35:37.:35:51.

evenly, are we really using the best of our talent? And yes, women's life

:35:52.:35:58.

experiences are different. They are not superior, they are not inferior.

:35:59.:36:01.

They are different. But surely those life experiences need to be

:36:02.:36:03.

represented here at Westminster So that's the Parliamentary

:36:04.:36:07.

projection for gender, According to the last census

:36:08.:36:09.

in 2011, 13% of people in the UK Labour currently has 16 MPs from

:36:10.:36:15.

black, Asian or minority ethnic backgrounds or just over 6%, if they

:36:16.:36:20.

get their extra 68 seats that figure would go up to 26, 8% of their party

:36:21.:36:24.

were from BAME backgrounds. The Tories currently have 11 BAME

:36:25.:36:28.

candidates, or 4% of the party. If they get an extra 29 seats,

:36:29.:36:35.

that would mean 14 BAME MPs, The Liberal Democrats

:36:36.:36:38.

don't have any BAME MPs. If they manage to cling

:36:39.:36:47.

on to their current number of seats they would have two,

:36:48.:36:52.

giving them a proportion of 4%. If they lost

:36:53.:36:55.

their 20 most vulnerable seats, But even if you changed the mix

:36:56.:36:57.

of gender and ethnicity in Parliament would that solve

:36:58.:37:07.

the problem? Probably not. Only 10% of us have gone to

:37:08.:37:09.

a private fee paid school. A Quarter of all Mps went to Oxford

:37:10.:37:13.

or Cambridge. Only a fifth

:37:14.:37:22.

of us went to any university. There is a huge disillusionment with

:37:23.:37:29.

the political elite due to the fact that these people don't look like

:37:30.:37:33.

us. They don't speak like us, they don't have our experiences and they

:37:34.:37:36.

cannot communicate in a way we relate to. If you look at the

:37:37.:37:41.

turnout, at the moment, if you are an unskilled worker, you are 20

:37:42.:37:44.

points less likely to turn and vote than a middle-class professional and

:37:45.:37:47.

that is getting worse with single election.

:37:48.:37:49.

And that's the key, evidence does suggest that if a

:37:50.:37:52.

Party reflects the society it exists within, it is more likely to get

:37:53.:37:55.

It's just gone 11.35pm, you're watching the Sunday Politics.

:37:56.:38:04.

We say goodbye to viewers in Scotland who leave us now

:38:05.:38:07.

Coming up here in 20 minutes, we'll have more from the panel.

:38:08.:38:11.

First though, the Sunday Politics where you are.

:38:12.:38:20.

Hello and a warm welcome to your local part of the show.

:38:21.:38:22.

We're talking trains this wdek ` and taking a journey in West Culbria.

:38:23.:38:26.

Passenger groups say lines like this are being neglected with old

:38:27.:38:30.

Does the Government have a plan to do something about it

:38:31.:38:35.

Who better to ask than the Transport Minister ` Scarborough and Whitby

:38:36.:38:39.

Conservative MP Robert Goodwill ` he's with me in the studio.

:38:40.:38:42.

With him, a member of Labour's Treasury team, Newcastle North's

:38:43.:38:45.

But let's start with a new transport project ` High Speed Rail.

:38:46.:38:52.

The Chancellor George Osborne this week floated the idea of HS3,

:38:53.:38:55.

But just like HS2 from London to Birmingham, it wouldn't go

:38:56.:39:01.

That's not good enough according to Cumbrian MP Tim Farron who wants

:39:02.:39:06.

a more ambitious plan ` including a high speed line

:39:07.:39:09.

Robert Goodwill, another high`speed rail link which is not coming

:39:10.:39:27.

anywhere near us. That is not true. Because HS2 will go up to Bhrmingham

:39:28.:39:34.

then form a Y `` a Y and cole to us. The trains will keep going tp

:39:35.:39:45.

through leaves of the East Coast. Another high`speed link to cross

:39:46.:39:51.

over into the Northeast? Thd Leeds and Manchester conurbations are two

:39:52.:39:55.

powerhouses. We have committed to electrifying the line which will

:39:56.:39:59.

have some benefits. But it hs a good idea to look at how we can love on

:40:00.:40:04.

from HS2. People in Scotland have ideas and people in Wales as well.

:40:05.:40:10.

That is decades away. We nedd to plan this. It is a major investment.

:40:11.:40:15.

We need to look at where we can move on from HS2 for better investment.

:40:16.:40:19.

The Chancellor has kicked the ball into play and we should kick it

:40:20.:40:22.

around and see what the bendfits could be. Catherine McKinnell, plans

:40:23.:40:29.

for HS3 have been welcomed by the Northeast Chamber of Commerce ``

:40:30.:40:31.

change of commerce, which you welcome them? With a caveat. They

:40:32.:40:41.

need to have benefits for the country north of Leeds. It `lmost

:40:42.:40:45.

seemed like George Osborne had completely forgotten that this

:40:46.:40:49.

reason exists. I think he h`s been trying to backpedal since the

:40:50.:40:53.

announcement on Monday. We know that HS2 has taken a long time to

:40:54.:40:57.

actually get on track. It is still not really on track. There has been

:40:58.:41:02.

delayed. There have been huge increases in the cost of th`t

:41:03.:41:07.

project. And so this talk of HS ultimately is jam tomorrow. But what

:41:08.:41:14.

Labour going to do? They had no plans and they have no plans to go

:41:15.:41:19.

beyond Leeds and Manchester? HS was a plan that was conceived under the

:41:20.:41:24.

Labour government and we have seen huge delay in getting it gohng under

:41:25.:41:30.

this government. We are going to set out our plans in the manifesto but

:41:31.:41:34.

the ball is very much in thd government's court to get a grip on

:41:35.:41:39.

HS2 rather than floating around pie in the sky idea about the ftture. We

:41:40.:41:44.

would like to see HS2 on tr`ck and see the benefits actually rdach this

:41:45.:41:47.

region which we did not hear the Chancellor even mention on Londay.

:41:48.:41:52.

He mentioned Teeside, but not in connection with the railways.

:41:53.:41:57.

Well, let's turn now to the state of our local railways

:41:58.:42:00.

which is causing serious concern among passenger groups and LPs.

:42:01.:42:02.

They point to trains that are nearly 30 years old,

:42:03.:42:05.

inaccessible stations and ldngthy journey times on the Northern Rail

:42:06.:42:07.

The Government says it'll invest ?1 billion over the next five xears

:42:08.:42:11.

in making things better ` and has started a consultathon

:42:12.:42:13.

This is the 9:38 from Carlisle to Lancaster via Barrow.

:42:14.:42:21.

There is a fast train but this is the stopping tr`in.

:42:22.:42:30.

It takes more than three and a half hours,

:42:31.:42:32.

hugging the Cumbrian coastlhne as it chugs its way West, calling at

:42:33.:42:35.

Many of the stations are by request only.

:42:36.:42:42.

There is no ticket office hdre, or even a ticket machine.

:42:43.:42:48.

You will not find any station staff and there are no public loos,

:42:49.:42:51.

Many of the trains have been in service for decades, although some

:42:52.:42:56.

Outside peak hours, they are rarely busy but regular

:42:57.:43:00.

I think there could be an extra couple of trains late in thd day,

:43:01.:43:06.

There is too big a gap between trains sometimes.

:43:07.:43:10.

Yes, basically, somewhere to have a drink and amiable.

:43:11.:43:14.

You can ask for whatever yot want, it wouldn't happen.

:43:15.:43:17.

The latest National Rail Passenger Survey suggested continuing

:43:18.:43:20.

dissatisfaction with Northern Rail, which runs the services.

:43:21.:43:24.

Just 61% of those asked were satisfidd with

:43:25.:43:27.

And only 64% said they were content with the cleanliness.

:43:28.:43:34.

Both scores are lower than the national average.

:43:35.:43:38.

Northern Rail said the figures are better than last year

:43:39.:43:40.

and it is listening to customers and continuing to improve.

:43:41.:43:44.

But among rail users, are were high hopes that whdn new

:43:45.:43:47.

franchises start in 2016, they will deliver a much`needed make over

:43:48.:43:52.

There is a crying need for new rolling stock.

:43:53.:43:58.

You go down to the south and see the difference in condition.

:43:59.:44:08.

It is vital for the economy of the area.

:44:09.:44:10.

Lots of people use trains to get to hospitals in Hexham and Newcastle

:44:11.:44:16.

For all sorts of reasons, we need a better service th`n now.

:44:17.:44:22.

The ageing rolling stock and slow services are key targets for change.

:44:23.:44:26.

Both on lines within Cumbri` and to the North East.

:44:27.:44:30.

There are three specific areas where I think there c`n

:44:31.:44:35.

One of them is the Carlisle to Newcastle route

:44:36.:44:42.

We want the trains to stop `t very small stations along the rotte, but

:44:43.:44:46.

we also want to see an exprdss line as well so there is a fast train.

:44:47.:44:49.

There needs to be substanti`l investment because

:44:50.:44:53.

the rolling stock is quite poor quality ` and of course connectivity

:44:54.:44:56.

between Cumbria, between thd east and west and the north and south.

:44:57.:44:59.

The government's consultation on rail services in the North runs

:45:00.:45:02.

But with unions and campaigners already picking holes in thd

:45:03.:45:08.

proposals, there is growing doubt that improvements that passdngers

:45:09.:45:12.

Let's get the view of the unions. Is there room for hope there whll be a

:45:13.:45:37.

big improvement? I don't sed any room for hope at all. One of the

:45:38.:45:43.

things you need to ask Robert Goodwill today is whether the

:45:44.:45:48.

trans`Pennine express services will continue to run from Scarborough in

:45:49.:45:54.

his franchise proposals. Perhaps his colleagues Tim Farron would also

:45:55.:45:57.

like to ask the DFT what is happening over the Windermere oxen

:45:58.:46:03.

home service. That is under consultation as well, that could go

:46:04.:46:12.

as well. Driver operated tr`ins `` driver only operated trains will be

:46:13.:46:16.

the future and we think that is less customer focused. And also there's a

:46:17.:46:23.

report over the horizon takhng away staff and ticket offices. And

:46:24.:46:27.

another proposal is that he was to hand over stations to local

:46:28.:46:29.

authorities which already cash`strapped. It is not workable.

:46:30.:46:35.

So ?1 billion makes no diffdrence but your solution is to put this

:46:36.:46:40.

into public hands. Out of that raise a single extra penny to improve

:46:41.:46:46.

services? I think the railw`ys cost three or four times what thdy cost

:46:47.:46:50.

under British rail when it was nationalised. The reality is that

:46:51.:46:55.

the conservatives who privatise the railways and keep restructuring

:46:56.:46:58.

them, because it is busy not working, one of the things H would

:46:59.:47:03.

say is that we can stop thel taking money out in terms of these foreign

:47:04.:47:08.

companies that run our railways The `` natural that the Dutch n`tional

:47:09.:47:16.

railways and the German railways... But how can we raise the kind of

:47:17.:47:20.

money to transform the servhces You have to have more public money. It

:47:21.:47:24.

is not a matter of who owns it, it means more investment. You can't

:47:25.:47:28.

make that argument unless you see how the railways funded at the

:47:29.:47:33.

moment. And we are thinking about three or four times normallx than

:47:34.:47:39.

British rail used. The forehgn`owned companies of Germany, Holland, the

:47:40.:47:42.

examples we have in this arda, they take money out of the area that

:47:43.:47:47.

could be used for rail investment. We already paying for the privatise

:47:48.:47:51.

railways through the taxpaydr. We are saying it could be structured

:47:52.:47:55.

better, publicly owned and publicly accountable. What we have got for

:47:56.:47:59.

the Northern and Trans Pennhne franchises bad news all round.

:48:00.:48:06.

Robert Goodwill, it is not just the RMT that are sceptical. The services

:48:07.:48:12.

need improvement. Can you pdrsuade us that you have a plan for that?

:48:13.:48:18.

Lets not forget that before the last election, there were people who were

:48:19.:48:21.

saying we were embarking on a teaching style round of cuts and all

:48:22.:48:27.

the stations would be shut down We have not done that. We have shown a

:48:28.:48:31.

commitment to keeping local services. More than that, wd have

:48:32.:48:35.

committed to a massive programme of electrification around the country

:48:36.:48:38.

which means new electric tr`ins We are committed to electrifying 6 0

:48:39.:48:44.

miles of our rail network compared to eight miles from the previous

:48:45.:48:49.

Labour government. We have ` ?3 billion package of improvemdnts to

:48:50.:48:52.

our rail network. For specific services, what can you tell people

:48:53.:48:58.

that will improve? Brisley, we have some very old rolling stock. Some of

:48:59.:49:02.

it has been improved alreadx. We have a new station in Middldsbrough.

:49:03.:49:07.

My constituents can get off at the hospital rather than travel

:49:08.:49:10.

information is rough. And I would love to have a trains starthng in

:49:11.:49:13.

Whidbey in the mornings so that people could come to work in

:49:14.:49:20.

Middlesbrough. `` in which we. `` in Whitby. There are services that will

:49:21.:49:35.

disappear, according to critics There is a service from Manchester

:49:36.:49:39.

through to York. It is whether we have a train that runs on dhesel or

:49:40.:49:43.

electric or whether we could increase the frequency of the

:49:44.:49:46.

service from Scarborough into York. Not everybody who travels there goes

:49:47.:49:50.

to Manchester. A lot of people get off and some of the complaints I get

:49:51.:49:54.

from commuters going into York is that there is only one train and

:49:55.:49:59.

hour at certain times of dax. Let's move it on. Catherine McKinnell

:50:00.:50:04.

this has built up over decades. At least the coalition have a plan

:50:05.:50:09.

What we need to see in this franchise plan is a commitmdnt, a

:50:10.:50:13.

steady timetable and a promhse that this rolling stock will not

:50:14.:50:19.

potentially be improved, but will actually be improved. These trains

:50:20.:50:24.

are 30 years old. There is no heating in the winter. They are

:50:25.:50:27.

totally inaccessible for people with mobility problems. We need to see a

:50:28.:50:32.

proper guarantee that this rolling stock is going to be improvdd as

:50:33.:50:37.

part of the franchising deal. It is all they get the moment in the

:50:38.:50:42.

government's plans. What about the planned about `` what about the idea

:50:43.:50:47.

of taking it into public ownership. Should Labour look at this? Craig

:50:48.:50:52.

raise a very important point that a number of our railways incltding the

:50:53.:50:58.

ones in Newcastle are run bx German state`owned railways. We have Dutch

:50:59.:51:02.

owned railways, French owned railways. If we were in govdrnment,

:51:03.:51:06.

we would not be rushing to put out to tender the East Coast Mahn Line

:51:07.:51:10.

which by 2015 will have rettrned ?1 billion to the taxpayer. Wh`t about

:51:11.:51:18.

other services. Would not bd rushing about `` we would be rushing for

:51:19.:51:22.

ideological reasons to put the matter to tender. Would you put them

:51:23.:51:28.

in public ownership? A statd`owned railway company could bid along with

:51:29.:51:32.

other railway companies and bade against the foreign`owned state

:51:33.:51:36.

companies to win the contract. At the moment, they are not actually

:51:37.:51:40.

allowed to do that. We would change that. A final question. Would you

:51:41.:51:44.

expect `` would you accept that there has been a huge imbal`nce in

:51:45.:51:48.

spending between the north `nd south. The figures suggest ?200 per

:51:49.:51:52.

head in London, ?5 per head in the North. Less is not forget that some

:51:53.:51:57.

of the Crossrail `` let us not forget that some of the projects Lye

:51:58.:52:03.

Cross well `` like Crossrail were planned by Labour. We bring it. We

:52:04.:52:10.

are bringing investment back to the North. We are manufacturing train

:52:11.:52:17.

plans in Sedgefield. Now London has too much powdr

:52:18.:52:21.

and cities in the north need to work together

:52:22.:52:23.

to compete with the capital. But this week it was coming

:52:24.:52:26.

from George Osborne. He wants to create a

:52:27.:52:29.

"northern powerhouse" with cities joining forces under elected mayors

:52:30.:52:31.

in the style of Boris Johnson. And he's also promised more

:52:32.:52:34.

investment in the north's science`based btsinesses

:52:35.:52:35.

` if they come up with good ideas. So how have

:52:36.:52:38.

the Chancellor's ideas gone down? Once known as I'm up a list,

:52:39.:52:51.

Middlesbrough was a powerhotse. But it has some of the highest rates of

:52:52.:52:58.

unemployment in the UK. The slow pace of regeneration here in

:52:59.:53:03.

Middlesbrough is the way thd fact that it is not in northern

:53:04.:53:07.

powerhouse. The Chancellor's solution is the choice of a Boris

:53:08.:53:11.

Johnson style elected mayor not just for that as well, but for the whole

:53:12.:53:16.

of the Teeside Valley. This man like the idea. He hopes to be

:53:17.:53:21.

Middlesbrough's mayor next xear He says a beefed up Teeside version

:53:22.:53:25.

could do much more. To have elected leaders trying to make decisions is

:53:26.:53:32.

not the best way to do it. Things will work much better if thdre is a

:53:33.:53:36.

Teeside wide body with one person at the top who is accountable `nd

:53:37.:53:42.

responsible for taking big decisions, driving investment at a

:53:43.:53:45.

level that affects everybodx, not just a tiny slice of the

:53:46.:53:50.

conurbation. Would the region's voters be enthusiastic? Although

:53:51.:53:57.

voters decided to keep their elected mayor, the three this year, voters

:53:58.:54:02.

in Hartlepool got rid of thdirs In Darlington and in Newcastle, the

:54:03.:54:05.

public have decided they did not want mayor is in charge of their

:54:06.:54:11.

communities. Some think that the Chancellor's speech is more about

:54:12.:54:14.

saving his team`mates and moving the north Bay division. He is in dire

:54:15.:54:19.

need of political traction hn the north. He knows that the Tory brand

:54:20.:54:24.

in the north and the North Dast in particular is toxic. He is doing

:54:25.:54:28.

something for those regions where he has marginal MPs. I am afrahd that

:54:29.:54:32.

the Chancellor is far too l`te and his MPs and those constituencies are

:54:33.:54:37.

on a hiding to nothing. But the Chancellor also talked about

:54:38.:54:40.

investment in cutting`edge science in places like this. Teesidd Centre

:54:41.:54:44.

for process innovation is hdlping develop the technology to ttrn

:54:45.:54:49.

rubbish into valuable fuel. It could create hundreds of jobs and he says

:54:50.:54:56.

that this man says support for innovation capacity that produce a

:54:57.:55:03.

positive reaction. We could get first`class academic capability and

:55:04.:55:06.

full`scale industrial capabhlity and infrastructure in the sites that we

:55:07.:55:09.

have. We are waiting for thdse opportunities and these jobs. With a

:55:10.:55:14.

little help, Teeside's business leaders think they could be part of

:55:15.:55:18.

a powerhouse. But they think that should include infrastructure

:55:19.:55:21.

investment here and not just between Manchester and Leeds. We want to see

:55:22.:55:26.

the opportunity for Middlesbrough to link with London, we won't

:55:27.:55:28.

Darlington to have more frepuent stops on these Coast mainline. We

:55:29.:55:34.

want is the electrification of the line through to Middlesbrough and to

:55:35.:55:38.

Teesport. So there are several things on rail that we would want

:55:39.:55:43.

but we would also lobby for whatever high`speed links are going to make

:55:44.:55:48.

sure the North East is incltded 150 years ago, Middlesbrough was at the

:55:49.:55:52.

centre of Britain's economic success. The Chancellor wants that

:55:53.:55:56.

to be true today. Has he re`lly offered anything to fuel a

:55:57.:56:13.

renaissance. Is this all data vu, Catherine McKinnell. What wd have

:56:14.:56:21.

seen from this government is four years of sustained funding, things

:56:22.:56:26.

shifted from areas in this region to areas in the south. We have seen

:56:27.:56:31.

jobs in this region decreashng as a proportion of the number of jobs in

:56:32.:56:36.

the whole economy. We have seen the North East lose out time and time

:56:37.:56:41.

again. I share Tom Blenkinsop's cynicism about the timing of this

:56:42.:56:44.

announcement. Ultimately, what we need to see is the local authority

:56:45.:56:54.

groupings which were suggested as the replacements, it has taken a

:56:55.:56:57.

long time to get them on thdir feet. And to bring investment to bring in

:56:58.:57:03.

jobs to the area. They are only now just Artem to make progress. Labour

:57:04.:57:11.

seems to be keen on these mdas. As an MP for Newcastle, could xou see

:57:12.:57:19.

the advantage of a mayor covering that area? . Would you say, don t

:57:20.:57:36.

think about mayor 's? It is unthinkable to the people. Hf a new

:57:37.:57:39.

offer is put forward, it is up to people to think if that is what they

:57:40.:57:46.

want. We need a strong regional voice to shout for investment. The

:57:47.:57:51.

Chancellor's speech was short on detail. What powers would this may

:57:52.:58:15.

have? I would like it to be somebody will like Boris Johnson with his

:58:16.:58:19.

power. People always say whoever we vote for, the council gets Laginn.

:58:20.:58:24.

But people feel they have pdople foisted on them. We would not foist

:58:25.:58:32.

people on people. It comes down to the mayor is. You can have ` good

:58:33.:58:36.

champion for a particular conurbation. We should look more

:58:37.:58:41.

closely at this proposal. Pdople rejected John Prescott's big idea

:58:42.:58:47.

and we need to keep it local. Somebody you can identify whth and

:58:48.:58:56.

the buck. . I'm talking abott Boris! Labour going to make an announcement

:58:57.:59:01.

which is raised similar, I suspect. If Labour makes out an annotncement

:59:02.:59:06.

it will not leave out the entire Northeast. This is a very cxnically

:59:07.:59:13.

timed announcement from the Chancellor and ultimately it is all

:59:14.:59:19.

jam tomorrow. There is nothhng concrete in his proposals. There is

:59:20.:59:23.

nothing that we can say, th`t will be grateful this region. We will

:59:24.:59:25.

have to leave it there. The number of hospital admissions

:59:26.:59:31.

as a result of eating disorders is 30% higher in the North East than

:59:32.:59:34.

the national average. So plans to close

:59:35.:59:37.

a specialist unit at the Roxal Victoria Infirmary in Newcastle were

:59:38.:59:39.

likely to be controversial. It was taken up by a Tyneside MP

:59:40.:59:41.

in the Commons this week. Here's Mark Denten with mord on that

:59:42.:59:44.

and the rest of the week's news The problems caused

:59:45.:59:50.

by shop closures in South Shields have been highlighted in thd Commons

:59:51.:59:53.

by Emma Law Buck after Marks Spencer closed on King

:59:54.:59:55.

Street after 80 years of tr`ding. An independent commission chaired

:59:56.:00:00.

by the Bishop of Carlisle h`s called for benefit changes to reduce

:00:01.:00:02.

the impact on vulnerable people The decision to close

:00:03.:00:06.

down a specialist unit in Ndwcastle for eating disorders has bedn

:00:07.:00:09.

criticised by Newcastle MP. She blamed it for sending pdople

:00:10.:00:13.

to local units far from homd. That is how we have come to the

:00:14.:00:19.

ridiculous and tragic situation of our National Health Service sending

:00:20.:00:23.

vulnerable Tyneside patients to Glasgow, to Norwich, to London, when

:00:24.:00:28.

there are empty beds in the centre And finally,

:00:29.:00:33.

a new plan to transform the The ?74 million project aims to

:00:34.:00:40.

create jobs And one extra bit of news from

:00:41.:00:45.

West Cumbria. Where the

:00:46.:00:54.

Workington MP Sir Tony Cunnhngham has announced he's to stand down

:00:55.:00:56.

at the next General Election. He's been the MP

:00:57.:00:59.

in the Labour seat since 2001. And that's about it from me

:01:00.:01:03.

for this week. You can read more

:01:04.:01:06.

about the northern powerhouse plans on my blog, and don't forget to

:01:07.:01:08.

follow me on Twitter. Now though it's back to Andrew

:01:09.:01:11.

for the rest of this week's show. been problems elsewhere in Europe,

:01:12.:01:16.

but I take your point. Thanks to both of you today. Back to you,

:01:17.:01:17.

Andrew. Now, there have been some

:01:18.:01:23.

less-than-helpful remarks about the way the Labour party makes

:01:24.:01:25.

policy, and they've come from the man who is heading Labour's

:01:26.:01:27.

Policy Review, Jon Cruddas. In a speech to party activists he

:01:28.:01:32.

was recorded saying that, "instrumentalised, cynical nuggets

:01:33.:01:36.

of policy to chime with our focus groups and our press strategies and

:01:37.:01:39.

our desire for a topline in terms of the 24 hour media cycle,

:01:40.:01:42.

dominate and crowd out any He added that Labour's election

:01:43.:01:45.

strategy was being hampered by a The shadow chancellor, Ed Balls

:01:46.:01:55.

was asked about what Mr Cruddas had I talked to him a couple of days

:01:56.:02:16.

ago, and he's not frustrated, he is excited about his policy agenda He

:02:17.:02:22.

is frustrated that one report of 250 pages gets reduced down. So it's our

:02:23.:02:27.

fault? That is the way we live in the world in which we live, but we

:02:28.:02:32.

have big ideas about devolution long term infrastructure spending

:02:33.:02:36.

and new manufacturing policy, new investment in skills, big changes

:02:37.:02:40.

which, let's be honest, I'm really on George Osborne's agenda. How

:02:41.:02:48.

serious is this? It is Wimbledon, so let's call it an unforced error You

:02:49.:02:52.

go to the party speeches, and you don't know who is in the audience.

:02:53.:02:56.

There is no need for something as serious as this to happen. It's

:02:57.:03:00.

hugely serious because it speaks about something people have felt for

:03:01.:03:03.

a long time, that they have doled out little nuggets of policy but no

:03:04.:03:07.

overarching story. There was a quite saying the Ed Miliband has given as

:03:08.:03:11.

a shopping list, not a narrative. When people in the party say things

:03:12.:03:15.

that are true, it's very difficult for people to explain it away. Not

:03:16.:03:20.

sure Mr Miliband can win here. He was recently criticised for not

:03:21.:03:23.

having policies. Now he's being criticised for having too many. I

:03:24.:03:28.

think this line of attack is particularly wounding because he

:03:29.:03:30.

prides himself on being a politician of ideas. That is his unique selling

:03:31.:03:36.

point, and the weight that David Cameron's prime ministerial nature

:03:37.:03:41.

is his selling point. So it is wounding. If I was the Labour Party,

:03:42.:03:44.

before announcing any policy, I would ask can help fix us on the

:03:45.:03:50.

economy? It might be radicalised immolating on its own terms, but

:03:51.:03:56.

it's politically useless. -- radical and innovative on its own terms I

:03:57.:03:59.

don't think any member of the public does not think they are not radical

:04:00.:04:03.

enough or creative enough. If anything, it's the opposite. They

:04:04.:04:06.

are a bit nervous about what a Labour government could do and

:04:07.:04:10.

nervous about the economic reputation. Reassurance, caution,

:04:11.:04:14.

maybe a bit of timidity might be the notions that inform their policies

:04:15.:04:18.

or should inform their policies in night -- my view, not the opposite.

:04:19.:04:24.

I am worried for Jon Cruddas, because anyone who questions the

:04:25.:04:27.

Labour Party are part of the nexus of the banking industry who are

:04:28.:04:32.

terrified of a Labour victory. It's interesting that this goes to the

:04:33.:04:34.

heart of the debate in the Labour Party, at the highest levels, do

:04:35.:04:38.

they put a big offer to the British people, or a little off, John

:04:39.:04:42.

Cruddas offer, or Douglas Alexander offer? Ed Miliband says that his

:04:43.:04:49.

ideas about freezing energy prices and rent controls are a big offer,

:04:50.:04:52.

but his policy chief clearly has real concerns that they don't go far

:04:53.:04:57.

enough. How important a figure is John Cruddas in the project? He is

:04:58.:05:01.

hell of the -- head of the policy review and has a huge amount of

:05:02.:05:06.

power, and so him slagging off the policy review is a bad moment. He is

:05:07.:05:12.

trusted in that inner circle and the problem for Ed Miliband from the odd

:05:13.:05:15.

is that he has people with strong opinions, Maurice clasping is

:05:16.:05:19.

another, big thinkers, but they maybe don't have a precaution that a

:05:20.:05:24.

professional politician might have in terms of giving bland answers.

:05:25.:05:29.

So, David Cameron had to apologise after his former director

:05:30.:05:32.

of communications was convicted of phone hacking.

:05:33.:05:33.

David Cameron's other former friend, Rebekah Brooks, had a better day.

:05:34.:05:37.

At the same trial, she was cleared of all the charges against her.

:05:38.:05:43.

I take full responsibility for employing Andy Coulson. I did some

:05:44.:05:49.

on the basis of undertakings I was given by him about phone hacking and

:05:50.:05:52.

those turned out not to be the case. I always said that if they turned

:05:53.:05:56.

out to be wrong, I would make a full and frank apology, and I do that

:05:57.:06:01.

today. I am extremely sorry that I employed him. It was the wrong

:06:02.:06:06.

decision. I'm clear about that. When I was arrested it was in the middle

:06:07.:06:11.

of a maelstrom of controversy, politics and of comment. Some of

:06:12.:06:14.

that was there, but much of it was not, so I'm grateful to the jury for

:06:15.:06:24.

coming to that decision. Not been a great week for David Cameron. Andy

:06:25.:06:29.

Coulson found guilty, and another person who had worked in Downing

:06:30.:06:31.

Street is also charged on an unrelated issue. And he was 26- on

:06:32.:06:37.

the wrong end in Brussels, and there is a poll this morning which no one

:06:38.:06:40.

seems to be talking about which puts Labour nine points ahead. Before all

:06:41.:06:45.

that there was Dominic Cummings criticising the Downing Street

:06:46.:06:49.

operation is being shambolic. Is Mr Cameron's judgement becoming an

:06:50.:06:53.

issue? Yes, what often happens when one leader is under pressure for

:06:54.:06:56.

long enough, as Ed Miliband has been the six months, we get bored. We

:06:57.:07:01.

then switch the Gatling gun to the other guy. So David Cameron going

:07:02.:07:04.

into the Conference season might be the man under pressure. The whole

:07:05.:07:07.

Andy Coulson saga has raised questions about his judgement and

:07:08.:07:11.

those around him, but any political damage she was going to sustain over

:07:12.:07:14.

Andy Coulson and phone hacking was sustained years ago -- he was

:07:15.:07:17.

going. It was Brother beyond the date the News of the World was

:07:18.:07:21.

closed down three summers ago - it was probably on the date. As the

:07:22.:07:26.

hacking trial cut through to the general public? Or is it just as

:07:27.:07:32.

media and political obsessives? I am sure it has cut through in some way

:07:33.:07:36.

but it didn't necessarily happen in recent days, more likely in recent

:07:37.:07:40.

years. It was some time ago that Andy Coulson resigned in high

:07:41.:07:44.

profile circumstances. It has had a slow burning effect over a few

:07:45.:07:48.

years, and the Prime Minister fears the Big Bang. But there is one theme

:07:49.:07:54.

and words that unites this week with Juncker and Andy Coulson, and that

:07:55.:07:58.

is that the Prime Minister can be lackadaisical. He was lackadaisical

:07:59.:08:01.

in not asking big question is when there was a lot in the public domain

:08:02.:08:04.

about what had happened that the News of the World. And he was

:08:05.:08:08.

lackadaisical with Juncker. He made a calculation that Angela Merkel

:08:09.:08:11.

would support him and it turned out she couldn't. Maybe he needs to

:08:12.:08:15.

change. He was late in understanding what was happening in Germany when

:08:16.:08:19.

both the Christian Democrats, her party, wanted Juncker, and when the

:08:20.:08:26.

actual Murdoch press of Germany said that they wanted him as well. He

:08:27.:08:31.

never saw that. He only looks at one person in Germany, Angela Merkel,

:08:32.:08:35.

and it is a grand coalition, and the SDP felt strongly about it. He is,

:08:36.:08:40.

in a sense, an essay crisis Prime Minister. He is, in a sense, an

:08:41.:08:42.

essay crisis Prime Minister. He s very good in an essay, and the SA

:08:43.:08:48.

gets a double first the essay. Is Ed Miliband right to be angry? He has

:08:49.:08:53.

John Cruddas attacking him, and that is the news leading in the Sunday

:08:54.:08:58.

Times, and has not been a good week the Prime Minister and in which Mr

:08:59.:09:01.

Miliband has a bigger lead in the polls than he has had some time so

:09:02.:09:04.

he must be wondering why they are having a go at him. He made a

:09:05.:09:08.

tactical error in Prime Minister's Questions by asking all the

:09:09.:09:11.

questions about Andy Coulson. The one at the end about what Gus

:09:12.:09:15.

O'Donnell said was rather hopeful in the extreme. Politicians can be out

:09:16.:09:20.

of touch on all sides of the house. The problem is, and there is a great

:09:21.:09:24.

quote by William Hague, is that the Tory party has two modes, panic and

:09:25.:09:28.

complacency. At the moment they are complacent. They think Ed Miliband

:09:29.:09:31.

will lose Labour election but I don't know if they have a positive

:09:32.:09:34.

plan about how to win it. -- lose Labour the election.

:09:35.:09:37.

Now, we knew Prince Charles had trouble keeping his views

:09:38.:09:40.

about the environment and the countryside to himself,

:09:41.:09:42.

but that's not the only thing he's passionate about according to

:09:43.:09:44.

a radio four documentary to be broadcast this lunchtime.

:09:45.:09:47.

Here's former Education Secretary, David Blunkett on how the Prince

:09:48.:09:51.

had once attempted to influence his policy on schools.

:09:52.:09:55.

I would explain that our policy was not to expand grammar schools, and

:09:56.:10:01.

he didn't like that. He was very keen that we should go back to a

:10:02.:10:07.

different era where youngsters had what he would've seen as the

:10:08.:10:11.

opportunity to escape from their background, where as I wanted to

:10:12.:10:12.

change their background. And you can hear that documentary -

:10:13.:10:14.

it's called The Royal Activist Does it matter that Prince Charles

:10:15.:10:24.

is getting involved in this kind of policy, released behind closed doors

:10:25.:10:27.

question mark on the issue of grammar schools is not clear anybody

:10:28.:10:33.

listened to him. I think it is a principal problem. I've spoken to

:10:34.:10:36.

form a government members, and judging by what they say, if

:10:37.:10:39.

anything we underestimate how much contacting makes with ministers And

:10:40.:10:43.

how many representations he makes on the issue that interest him. There

:10:44.:10:49.

has been an attempt to keep it hidden. It's almost a theological

:10:50.:10:52.

question about whether the future monarch should be involved in the

:10:53.:10:57.

public realm. If he wants to influence policy, shouldn't we know

:10:58.:11:00.

what policy he's trying to influence and what position he is taking?

:11:01.:11:05.

Sewer speech is better than private one-on-one lobbying. Possibly - so

:11:06.:11:11.

a speech. Prince Charles's views are interesting. He's not a straight

:11:12.:11:15.

down the light reactionary. He makes a left-wing case for rammer schools.

:11:16.:11:19.

There is an interview with him in the Financial Times in which his

:11:20.:11:24.

argument in favour for architectural development takes into account

:11:25.:11:27.

affordable housing in the wake which no one would have suspected. He has

:11:28.:11:30.

interesting views, but I'm not convinced on the point of principle

:11:31.:11:34.

whether someone is dashing his position should be speaking. Your

:11:35.:11:39.

former employer 's famously described him as the SDP king. You

:11:40.:11:46.

slightly feel sorry for him. He s 66 and still an apprentice. He's in a

:11:47.:11:53.

difficult position. We know what the powers of the monarch are. They are

:11:54.:11:57.

to advise in courage and warned the Prime Minister of the day. These in

:11:58.:12:00.

the difficult position where the problem for him is that there is a

:12:01.:12:03.

line that isn't really defined, but you slightly feel he just gets a bit

:12:04.:12:07.

too close to it and possibly crosses that line with the lobbying that

:12:08.:12:12.

goes on. I think the worrying thing is that at some point he will become

:12:13.:12:17.

King and will he know that he has got to work within that framework?

:12:18.:12:22.

He is somebody that cannot win either. If he doesn't take an

:12:23.:12:25.

interest in public policy, he will be thought to be a bit of a waster,

:12:26.:12:29.

going round opening town halls, and when he does have an interest we

:12:30.:12:33.

think, hey, you are in the monarchy, stay out. There's an interesting

:12:34.:12:38.

parallel with first ladies who are encouraged to find a controversial

:12:39.:12:43.

charitable project. Michelle Obama has bought childhood obesity, and

:12:44.:12:47.

that is the standard thing. Everybody knows that that is a bad

:12:48.:12:51.

thing, but you are not offering solutions that are party political.

:12:52.:12:55.

I feel there must be a middle way with what he should be able to do

:12:56.:12:58.

about finding big causes he can complain about without getting stuck

:12:59.:13:02.

into lobbying ministers. Which can become a party political issue. He

:13:03.:13:06.

has had some influence on architecture, because the buildings

:13:07.:13:09.

we are putting up to date are better than the ones we used to put up

:13:10.:13:11.

The Daily Politics is on BBC 2 at 11:00am

:13:12.:13:16.

We'll be back here at the same time next week.

:13:17.:13:20.

Remember if it's Sunday, it's the Sunday Politics.

:13:21.:13:25.

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